skinny.

Latest / Macro Pulse

Inflation at the Crossroads

The global macro backdrop has grown more unsettled. A stronger-than-expected US jobs report has pushed back Fed easing expectations, a tech sell-off has rattled sentiment, and Middle East instability continues to keep energy markets on edge. In our latest Charts of the Week we examine:

GDP growth forecasts: broad deterioration, with Taiwan the striking exception

Why 2027 inflation forecasts are now drifting above target

The reassuring signal from US unit labour costs

Renewed supply chain stress and the PPI pipeline

Energy costs as a structural constraint, not an exceptional shock

China's…

The skinny

The skinny isn't ready yet — notes appear once the transcript is processed.