Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 267 - 4/29/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 267 - 4/29/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:18
Hello, and welcome to episode 267 of the All Systems Go Sports
0:24
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:27
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
0:35
Happy Tuesday. Another day here in the arena,
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guys. Another day to bet on Major
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League Baseball in the NBA playoffs.
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That's right, I have a four pack of sweats for you guys excited
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to share with you, including three Major League Baseball
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plays and then also a play in an NBA game tonight with one of the
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sharpest line moves that I've seen in quite a while.
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It also has a fantastic bet split.
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It has a really good sharp mush edge and it's got a pretty good
1:01
rhythm edge as well with a lot of system matches lighting up on
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this one. So stay tuned for that and we're
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going to see if we can post a winning day, which is always the
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goal always grinders with blinders as an old friend of
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mine used to say. I do want to mention, of course,
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I remind you guys that today it is a Tuesday, so that means I
1:18
will be hosting the rhythm lab at 4:00 PM Eastern Time today.
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So for those of you who have tuned into a live stream before,
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thank you for those who have never tuned in, we go about 30
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to 45 minutes. I share my my rhythm account and
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we go through basically how to use rhythm to your advantage,
1:34
how to interpret and decipher the rhythm recommendations,
1:38
answer any questions and hopefully teach people how to
1:41
use rhythm to their advantage. And you guys know how we use it
1:44
as a fantastic cherry on top, starting with our market
1:47
breakdown, then getting to, hey, hopefully rhythm can come in
1:50
from the top rope and and tell us that, hey, we're on the right
1:53
side. Or maybe we should take a step
1:54
back because maybe the AI analytic, you know, robots,
1:59
maybe they disagree. I'll be the way guys.
2:00
Hope to see you guys 4:00 PM Eastern Time live on Twitter.
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You can just give me a follow if you don't follow me yet at Josh
2:07
under score Insights and we'll go live right at 4:00 PM.
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Now looking back toward yesterday, guys, we started off
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good, we ended good. It was the middle that was
2:15
annoying. Overall, 2 and 2 -, 0.53 units.
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We started off with a banger, the New York Mets absolutely
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pouring it on late 19 to 5 winner.
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So that was great. And we ended with a nice little
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Houston Astros win 8 to 5. They open it up late.
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You get a three run Homer or two run Homer late by Detroit to
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make it a little interesting, but Houston ended up holding,
2:36
holding, holding it down for us. But in the middle again, you
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have the Oreo cookie. You like the both cookies on the
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side that usually I like the filling the most.
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But the filling let us down because the Cleveland Guardians,
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what a complete trash performance by the Guardians
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yesterday. Good sharp line move in their
2:51
favor. They lose 11 to 1 to the Twins.
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Give me a break. What a joke, Guardians.
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And then the one that was kind of annoying was the Yankees.
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They got down early 4:00 to 1:00.
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But in the 8th inning, they scored a couple runs and
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actually had an opportunity to have a big inning.
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They had a bunch of consecutive double s was Volpe and then
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Wells and then they had I think one out with a guy on 2nd
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getting ready to tie the game or take the lead.
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Next two guys think it was Dominguez and who was at
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Cabrera. Both both made out.
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So that was kind of frustrating because we had chances there.
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But either way, guys 2 and 2 -, 1/2 unit again, sometimes
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you're, as Billy Walters likes, likes to say, sometimes you're
3:27
the chicken, sometimes you're the feather.
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But hey, two and two of the half unit.
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Nothing, nothing too terrible, luckily.
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I will see. We'll see if we can turn around
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and have a winning day for today.
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So I want to start off with some NBA switching up a little bit.
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Usually we talk MLB first. I would because it's a big
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playoff day and I have a system match on a game that I really
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like. Not from an opinion standpoint,
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but from a data standpoint. I figured, hey, we might as well
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start with the postseason in the NBA.
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So I want to focus on the Clippers and the Nuggets Now.
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This is a 10:00 game here tonight.
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This series is tied two to two. It is now going back to Denver
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and coming off the last game, if you guys didn't notice, there's
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a last second bucket from who is it?
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I think Gordon put back dunk Yokich.
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Maybe he passed it. Maybe he shot a three that was
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long, but a put back winner there at the very end to win the
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game for Denver to now send it back to to the Mile High City at
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2:00 to 2:00. So with that being said, what
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are we seeing across the betting market for this pivotal game
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five? Well, based on the market and
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we'll get to the other factors. Looks like all smart money is
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going with the Clippers. I like the Clippers tonight.
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It's going to be a money line play for me.
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We open this game with Denver listed as a very short about 1
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1/2 point favorite at home. We've not completely flipped to
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Clippers -1 1/2 on the road, some books even -2 so you you
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know, you had me at hello. Any, any Jerry Maguire fans used
4:51
to love that movie. Everyone, Renee Zellweger said
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you had me at hello. I'm not going to lie, I really
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like that movie when I was younger.
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But anyway, you had me at the dog to fave line move again,
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opening Clippers as a dog now flipping to a favorite.
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But then we get a little bit deeper here into some things
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that are really important to me #1 bet splits.
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If we look at the spread bet splits at DraftKings, we have
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the Clippers only getting 47% of spread bets, but 77% of spread
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dollars. Out at Circa in Vegas, 81% of
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spread bets, 91% of spread dollars.
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The DraftKings 1 is notable to me because you basically have
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the public leaning Clippers or sorry, public leaning Nuggets.
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Yet the big smart money discrepancy is on the Clips.
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But as you guys know, money line short favorites.
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I ain't laying a 1 1/2 or two with the Clips.
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They win by one or two and I lose or push.
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So I'm playing the Clippers on the money line.
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I got them at -122 at DraftKings a little bit earlier today.
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Posted that to the Juice Real app hints.
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You can follow those plays for $4.99 a week.
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The tip jar hopefully get some better numbers earlier in the
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day, but now the best number is -125 at ESPN bet others are as
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high as -130 -, 135. But in particular, the money
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line splits jumped out to me. At DraftKings, Clippers are
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getting 41% of money line tickets but 78% of money line
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dollars. And at Circa, they're getting
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53% of money line tickets, 88% of money line dollars.
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So both the spread and the money line have really good bet
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splits, which again, I always like it when the, you know,
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national public DraftKings, you know, and and really the sharp
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Circa desert book kind of both are leaning the same direction
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with that line move. But then we add a few more
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factors here. So let's look at other system
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matches when we have playoff favorites.
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Just chalk in the NBA 21 and 17 ATS this postseason 55 percent
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6% ROI playoff line moves 21 and 14 ATS 60 percent 15% ROI this
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postseason. But the banger even though I
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still can't get over that non foul on on Josh Hart, which
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should have won us the game with hard way going to the line.
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You still have playoff favorites off a loss now 7 and one ATS
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this postseason 88% and since the start of let me pull this
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up. You can see when this when this
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starts with, but this system is 80 and 53 ATS 60% with a 16% ROI
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since the start of 2020, the COVID year, the bubble year.
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So that favored off a loss, quote UN quote zigzag that'll
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match here with the Clippers off that tough loss late.
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And then we look at playoff favorites just straight up
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winning the game. There's a money line system, but
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playoff favorites winning the game.
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And we're not laying huge numbers because they're not -10
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or -8 or -12 but playoff favorites.
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Just winning these games in the postseason 28 and 1074%, you're
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actually up with a 3% ROI just blindly taking the favorites,
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which typically you don't want to do because it's a big loser.
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But shows you it's been chalky here this post season.
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I am going to kind of focus on a couple other things.
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Obviously, the play for me is the dog to fave line move, the
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good bet splits with the with the good system plays.
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But also, you know, Denver does have the better offensive
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efficiency #4 in the NBA, Clippers are 13th.
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But bigger edge here is Clippers defensively.
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They're the number 3 defensive efficiency team, Denver's number
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22. Lastly, if you look at a couple
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other things, I like to see the rhythm sharp or sorry, the Juice
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Reel sharp mush edge on the Clippers money line is 20%.
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So 20% more of the sharper winning betters who have
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downloaded Juice Reel and synced up their sports books are going
8:30
with the Clips money line. Lastly, I pulled up Rhythm and I
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have 3 models here from our friends at Rhythm on this game.
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One model has the Clippers -0.8 points, another model has them
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-1 and a third model has them -1.7.
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So it's not a massive edge, you know, Cuz again, right now
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you're 1 1/2 or two across the market.
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I guess technically 1 1/2 and they have it -1.7 as a tiny
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little edge. But the good thing to me is it's
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not like a pick em or it's not like Nuggets should be favored.
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So at least you're kind of in the same direction here with
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this line move. But you open as a dog, you flip
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to a favorite. You had me at hello.
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Great bet splits. We got rhythm and juice reel
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with us. Tons of system matches here.
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I am going with the Clippers money line.
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Hopefully win this game again. I got a -, 122 on the money line
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earlier today. Now -125 at ESPN bet looks to be
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your best number. Now let's flip over to some
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Major League Baseball cuz unlike yesterday where we had a small
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slate, we got a big slate tonight with 15 games overall.
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So let's start off with first bat of the night for me and
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Major League Baseball. Let's go to Cincinnati, the red
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Legs, the home of Pete Rose, St. Louis Cardinals at the
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Cincinnati Reds again, first pitch 640.
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Let's set the stage talk some line movement, some system
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matches and I'll give me my play for this one.
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So coming into it, we got the Reds 16 and 13 on the year.
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Remember Terry Francona took over that a tough start, but
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they played much better as a late they won last night series
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opener 3 to 1 took care of business as a - 125 home
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favorite. So pitch a match of tonight.
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We got the Cardinals who are 12 and 17 going with Rady Miles
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Michaelis. He's O and two with a 5.7 O ERA.
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He'll be opposed by Brady singer fellow Rady.
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Remember they picked him up in the trade with the Royals for
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Jonathan India. He's four and O 3.62 ERA.
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So good. Good trade so far for the red
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legs. Now what have we seen across the
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market? Well, nothing but steam on, Pete
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Rose. And by the way, have I ever told
10:30
you my best and shortest joke of all time?
10:34
You ready for it? Some of you guys are going to
10:36
know this, some of you don't. Pete Rose sat on attack.
10:40
Pete Rose, you get it. Do you get it?
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If you get it, it's pretty funny.
10:46
Anyway, since then had he opened -130 we've now seen the Reds get
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steamed up to -140 even -145 S about a 1015 cent adjustment
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here in favor of the Red Legs tells me a lot of money came in
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on Cincinnati. If you'll get DraftKings right
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now, Reds are getting 82% of bets, 87% of dollars.
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And at Circa they're getting 57% of bets but over 90% of dollars.
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So both DraftKings and Circa with some really good low bets,
11:13
higher dollar, sharp splits in favor of the Reds.
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Reds are lighting up quite a few systems for me.
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Home favorites this year, 188 and 9766 percent, 8% ROI.
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Home favorites with a winning record. 99 and 4469 percent, 12%
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ROI. Home favorites off a win with a
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winning record. So you're kind of combining a
11:33
couple systems, but that gets even better. 73 and 2972% with a
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15% ROI. And lastly, favorites, just with
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line move in their direction is the line going toward the
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favorite. Well, this year those teams are
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186 and one O 364% with a 6% ROI.
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Aside from singer, hopefully the advantage on the bump, hopefully
11:54
the bats of since he can get to Michaelis.
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We do have the Reds with a more explosive offense.
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They've hit 33 homers, scored 153 runs.
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Cardinals only hit 24 homers and scored 131 runs.
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Reds are 7 and six at home. Nothing amazing, but slightly
12:09
over 500. Did you know the Cardinals?
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I'm going to have to auto fade the Cardinals on the road.
12:13
They're 2 and 12 on the road. So hopefully that continues
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tonight. And lastly, Michaelis, he has a
12:19
6.38 ERA and four April starts. Saint Louis has lost all four of
12:24
those starts. Reds also have the better pen,
12:26
the area of 3.46 versus 4.7 O. So I'm laying it with the red
12:30
legs again. I got them a little bit earlier
12:32
today -134 right now your best price is around -140 -, 145.
12:38
But let's go Cincy. Next one for you, Detroit and
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Houston. Let's go right back to the
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Astros. This is an 8:10 PM Eastern Time.
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First pitch, Astros 15 and 13 on the year.
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Had a big win for us last night. 8 to 5 cash as a -, 125 home
12:54
favorite. So pitch a match up here
12:56
tonight. We got a couple of Radies going.
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The Tigers, who are 18 and 11, are going to send out Reese
13:00
Olson. He's three and one with a 3.29
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ERA. Meanwhile, the Stroh's are going
13:05
to go with the righty Ryan Gusto.
13:07
He's three and one with a 2.78 ERA.
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So what are we seeing across the market here this game?
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Open up basically a pickup -110 odds, and I always mention this,
13:17
but when a game opens out of pick em, I really value the line
13:20
movement because you got to remember if it's a pick em in
13:23
the eyes of the odds makers, maybe the sharps have a pick em
13:26
as well, in which there's really no value to hit either side.
13:28
But sometimes sharps will say, no, we don't have that as a pick
13:31
em. We have this team favored.
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So when they hammer one side in a pick em, I always like to go
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with whoever kind of the sharps are leaning with.
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And in this case, it's right back to the low of Houston.
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Houston open -110 Houston is now up to -115 -, 120.
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I got Houston -115 I think they're still -115 at ESPN bet,
13:52
but shop around because a couple others are -120 But I like the
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bet splits on the Astros. It's actually a fade.
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The trendy dog play. At DraftKings, they're only
14:00
getting 38% of bets, but 53% of dollars.
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And then out in Vegas, it just looks like a a sharp play, 73%
14:08
of bets, 80% of dollars. Now, Houston has quite a few
14:11
system matches. A lot of them we just talked
14:13
about with Cincy are right there with Houston as well.
14:16
You got your home favorite, 66 percent, 8% ROI, Home favorites
14:20
of the winning record, 69 percent, 12% ROI.
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Favorites at home with a winning record, 72 percent, 15% ROI.
14:28
And again, favorites of line movement, 64 percent, 6% ROI.
14:32
But then you have a couple others that I really like.
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When both teams are above 500, take the home favorite that is
14:38
37 and 22 this year, 63 percent, 6% ROI.
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And then lastly, non division home favorites off a win with at
14:46
least $0.05 of steam in their direction, 54 and 2370% with a
14:51
12% ROI. Now we do have some correlative
14:53
betting here with Detroit and Houston in favor of Houston as a
14:57
favorite. Low total.
14:58
A lot of these books are around 7 1/2 or 8.
15:01
So fair amount of expected run scored.
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Ideally more likely to come from quote UN quote the better team
15:05
that's favored. And lastly, home Rd.
15:08
We do have the Strohs 10 and six at home this year.
15:10
Tigers are only 5 and 8 on the road.
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And then lastly, I popped open my juice Reel app and I noticed
15:17
a 28% sharp mush edge on the Astros.
15:21
So 28% more of the sharper winning players who have synced
15:25
up their books to Juice Reel are going with the Strohs.
15:28
So you add it all up. We had a pick em game.
15:30
Steam's going Houston. We got a sharp mush edge from
15:32
Juice Reel. I'm going with the Stroh's here,
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guys, give me Houston. I got a -, 115.
15:37
I think you should still be able to get that, hopefully at ESPN
15:41
bet. Last bet of the night, 9:40 PM
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Eastern Time. Let's go out West, get some
15:46
sushi, put on our old Ichiro, you know, T-shirts and root for
15:50
the Mariners, Angels, Mariners tonight, 9:40 PM Eastern Time.
15:55
Let's set the stage and I'll give you my play for this one.
15:58
Angels 12 and 15. They started off pretty good,
16:00
but they have fallen to earth quite a bit.
16:02
They just got swept by the Twins.
16:04
They lost that last game in the series. 5 nothing as a + 150 Rd.
16:08
dog. Meanwhile, the Mariners, who are
16:10
16 and 12, they're kind of going the other way.
16:12
They're starting to get hot. Just took two or three against
16:14
the Marlins. They won the series finale. 7
16:17
nothing as a -, 145 home favorite.
16:20
So pitching match up tonight, we have the Angels going with the
16:23
ready Jack Kochana wits one and three 5.47 ERA.
16:28
Meanwhile, the M's are going to go with the fellow ready Brace
16:30
Miller. He's one and three 4.21 ERA.
16:33
So what have you seen across the market here?
16:35
Well, this came open Seattle around a -, 165 home favorite.
16:39
And boy has the steam come down hard on Seattle.
16:44
Seattle -165 got steamed up to -185 now they're as high as -190
16:50
at Bet MGM and other books are getting closing in on -200 So
16:53
there's been a lot, a lot, a lot of steam here hitting Seattle.
16:57
I did jump on Seattle -180 earlier today.
17:01
I think the best price is Bet MGM -190 whatever you're doing,
17:04
just try to find anything sub 200 if you if you want to play
17:07
this one with me. But I got I guess before I
17:11
mentioned the system matches circa bet splits jumped out to
17:13
me. 75% bets over 95% money is on Seattle.
17:18
And listen all the system matches on the Mariners.
17:21
We have home favorites 66 percent, 8% ROI.
17:24
Home favorites winning record 69 percent, 12% ROI.
17:27
Home favorites off a win with a winning record, 72 percent, 15%
17:32
ROI. Favorites with a line move, 64
17:34
percent, 6% ROI. Favorites -150 or more, 71% with
17:40
a 7% ROI. And here's the banger system to
17:42
end it all. Both teams coming off a day off,
17:45
which is the case here. Neither played yesterday.
17:48
Take the favorite 32 and 1174 percent, 22% ROI this year.
17:54
Seattle does have correlative betting favorite low total.
17:56
It's a very low total game of 7 1/2 with a big steam move here
17:59
towards Seattle. So hopefully it's a low scoring,
18:02
you know, Seattle 4 to one game, something like that.
18:05
Mariners do have the better bats.
18:07
They're hitting 237, they've scored 138 runs.
18:10
Angels only hitting 212. I've only scored 100 runs.
18:13
Seattle does have the better bullpen, 3.69 ERA.
18:17
Los Angeles is the fourth worst at 4.95.
18:21
Kochanowitz or Kochanowitz, how do you pronounce it?
18:25
Has a 6.2 OERA and four April starts and the Angels have lost
18:29
three of those four games. And on the road he has an ERA of
18:32
seven. So hopefully we can get to
18:34
Kochanowitz. Mariners, by the way, 10 and six
18:37
at home. Angels only 7 and 11 on the
18:40
road. So I know it's a big number.
18:42
Again, hopefully you maybe you read the sharp report I wrote
18:44
earlier today or you signed up for the tip jar.
18:47
Best bets in the juicer lab I got -180 Seattle again, I think
18:51
your best price now is -190 And as always, you're betting to
18:54
risk, not betting to win. Hope, hope you guys know that at
18:56
this point. So if you're playing Seattle
18:58
-190 you're not risking 1.9 units to win one, you're risking
19:02
1 unit every play. Spread money line total.
19:06
Again, dog fave over doesn't matter.
19:08
It's always risking 1 unit. So we're trying to get a little
19:10
more than 1/2 unit back with this one.
19:13
So Reds, Houston and Seattle and hopefully the Clippers can get a
19:16
win at Mile High. So that about does it for
19:19
episode 267 of the All Systems Go sports betting podcast
19:23
powered by Rhythm. Of course, this is the part of
19:25
the pod where we wrap things up and I start first by saying
19:28
thank you. Thank you for taking the time
19:30
out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
19:33
the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven breakdowns
19:35
with me. If you do enjoy the pod and you
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want to let me know that you appreciate, hopefully look
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forward to the pod each day, whether you play every game with
19:44
me or you fade them all, or you pick and choose, or you just
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like sitting back on your way home from work or whatever,
19:50
listen to some breakdowns. I thank you regardless.
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But if you want to make my day, could you take the 2 seconds
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required to give this podcast a five star review on Spotify or
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iTunes? I would go a long way to helping
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that would be great. If you want to leave a nice
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comment in the review section, hey, I'll take that.
20:12
If you want to recommend this pod to a friend or buddy or
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colleague or family member of yours, that'll be great as well.
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But seriously, thank you for tuning in.
20:21
Win, lose or draw each day means a lot to me and I think it
20:23
speaks to the grinders with blinders community that we've
20:25
created here. Next, if you enjoy this style of
20:29
betting breakdown, data-driven, sharp contrarian betting,
20:32
talking about what the markets doing, trying to pick up on
20:35
context clues, trying to find games that fit our model.
20:38
If this style of betting has intrigued you or interested you
20:41
and you want to learn more about data-driven betting.
20:43
Or maybe you have a friend in a newly legalized state trying to
20:47
get into betting for the first time, has no clue where to
20:49
begin. Or maybe you have a friend who
20:51
loves betting and loses a lot and has no bankroll management
20:54
plan and doesn't even consider line movement or bet splits or
20:56
anything like that. If you wanted to go to
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Amazon.com and type in the Everything Guide to Sports
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Betting, you can pick up a copy of my new book and gift it to
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that person in your life. Or if you just want to make me
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happy and buy one for yourself and support the team.
21:10
It's got everything I've learned in the industry.
21:12
How lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line
21:14
movement, how to locate sharp action, how to place a bet in
21:17
person online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up a
21:20
bankroll management plan. It's all included in the
21:22
Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
21:24
Now if you really want to make my day while you're at it, go
21:27
pre-order a copy of my new book. Super excited about it.
21:31
It's called the NFL Sharp Betting playbook.
21:33
It's all about betting. The NFL comes out August 12th
21:36
and if you want to pre-order a copy of that or bring the
21:39
everything guide to the sports book, I'll sign them for you.
21:42
I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale and we'll get some nachos
21:45
together and sweat these games tonight.
21:47
Next, if you haven't done it yet, what are you waiting for?
21:49
Go download Rhythm and Juice Reel, my two favorite sports
21:52
betting apps. Mention them each day because I
21:55
really like the data on the insights they provide.
21:57
All data-driven, no opinion based betting, really helping us
22:01
to solidify what the sharpest plays of the day are.
22:04
So in that case, of course we got rhythm.
22:10
Fantastic for their AI backed models and predictions for game
22:12
bets and player props. I know we don't mention a ton of
22:15
player props, but if you're a player prop better, again, those
22:18
rhythm predictions are fantastic.
22:20
And then also of course, Juice Reel great for their their best
22:24
bet picks that come from Robo Jackson, their arbitrage plays,
22:27
sharp mush indicator, syncing your sports books, getting a
22:30
running report card of your action, getting those cool
22:33
little graphs, your sweat meters when you're sweating the game.
22:35
But also I would love for you guys to download Juice Reel and
22:38
then follow the all systems go best bet picks on Juice Reel,
22:43
which you'll get a little earlier in the day, hopefully
22:44
get better numbers. And again, this pod is free.
22:47
So signing up for those plays, it's $4.99 a week, seven days
22:51
worth of plays, no days off for your boy.
22:54
And I consider that a tip jar. So if you like your bartender,
22:57
good service, good drinks, tip your bartender.
23:00
If your server comes through for you, you never have to refill
23:03
your water. It's always there with your
23:04
water and gives you a nice smile.
23:07
You tip your server well. Hopefully you enjoy your podcast
23:10
host. Tip your podcast host by getting
23:12
those $4.99 a week best bets on juice rule which I tweet out
23:16
every day and all the stuff I tell you about is located in the
23:19
bio description of every podcast.
23:21
Lastly, if you don't have a live odds page, how are you betting
23:25
on sports? It's all it's hard to win
23:27
betting anyway, but I don't know how you're betting if you don't
23:30
know all the games available to that day.
23:32
The opening lines, the current lines, the line history.
23:36
Figure out which direction the line is going is half the
23:38
battle. And then also shopping for the
23:40
best number. Super, super important.
23:43
So there's a lot of live pods pages out there, but the best
23:46
and most valuable one in my opinion is Odds logic.
23:49
Odds logic is great because it's a very crisp, crisp, clean
23:53
interface. All the games.
23:55
It has the most sports books too.
23:57
Like there's a lot of live odds pages out there.
23:58
Some are even free, but they're delayed.
24:01
You don't know where the data is coming from.
24:03
Odds Logic gives you all the books you're going to bet at and
24:05
it gives you Pinnacle and Circa which are considered your market
24:08
books are your kind of your big boys.
24:11
They're going to open 1st and move first and they take in the
24:13
most sharp money. So just knowing when those move
24:16
that you have like a 32nd window to go bet it at a kind of slow
24:20
move and copycat book. That's also very valuable, which
24:23
you can use with Odds Logic. So I want to give you guys an
24:26
opportunity to try out Odds Logic.
24:27
All you got to do is go to the specific link Odds
24:31
logic.com/josh 123, make sure it's slash
24:37
josh.123@theendoddslogic.com/josh 123.
24:40
You'll get a 7 day free trial and you'll get 50% off your
24:44
first month of service. And again, if you have any
24:46
questions about any of this stuff, the books, the apps, you
24:49
know the odds logic, you let me know on Twitter and I'll guide
24:53
you in the right direction at Josh under score insights.
24:56
So that about does it for episode 267 of the ASG pod.
25:00
As always, I'll leave you with a couple things.
25:02
One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
25:05
River in Rhode Island, the Brook of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or
25:08
Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston, or
25:11
Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield.
25:13
Or the Nash. Of course in Nashville, New
25:15
Hampshire. In my neck of the woods or in
25:17
the desert where the true grinders get down.
25:19
Or Billy Walters sends his number runners where the lowest
25:21
use possible is found at the South Point.
25:24
Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
25:26
swim pool. When you cash a big ticket at
25:28
Circa, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
25:31
Don't show me the Yankees or Cleveland, show me Astros or the
25:34
Mets, and guess what? First one's on me, next one's on
25:37
you. We'll post about the book.
25:38
So sharp contrain plays all night long, as always, guys two
25:42
and two, three and one, one and three, four and OO and four
25:46
again. We always want winning nights,
25:47
obviously, but realistic about betting.
25:50
It's difficult. It's hard to win, whether it's
25:53
trying to beat the razor sharp lines or overcoming the juice or
25:56
overcoming the ref screwing you on the Pistons game.
25:59
I don't know how long until I get over that one, but either
26:02
way, we are grinders with blinders.
26:04
I guess that's the the phrase of the day.
26:05
You know, the horse horses that you see like, you know, with the
26:09
flies and stuff and they put the blinders on them.
26:12
Just focus straight ahead. That's what we're we're doing as
26:14
sports bettors. Hopefully not too many flies
26:17
annoying you. But if we can kind of stay in
26:19
that sweet spot that games with our head and not our heart,
26:22
focus on games that fit our model, bypass the ones that
26:25
don't against the public, with the house, with the pros, flat
26:28
bet, avoid parlays, get that closing line value.
26:31
If we can do that, and I'm confident that we can just stick
26:34
to the model, stick to the blueprint.
26:36
Well, guess what? If we can do that, we're going
26:37
to be successful sports bettors. So have a great Tuesday night,
26:41
everybody. Reminder, 4:00 Eastern Time.
26:43
We'll be going live on Twitter. Hope to see you guys there.
26:46
And as always, we'll be right back at it tomorrow on a big
26:48
Wednesday edition. Last day, the final day in
26:52
April. And guess what?
26:53
My birthday is May 1st. I turned 38 years old.
26:56
God damn, I'm getting old. If you told me in high school
26:59
one day you'll be almost 40, I'd be like, no, I won't.
27:02
I'm closing in. Closing in, guys.
27:05
I'll be the way. Let's see if we can have a
27:06
winning night tonight and I'll see you tomorrow for episode 268
27:10
of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by
27:13
Rhythm. Good luck everybody.
27:15
Let's get some winners on the hardwood and on the diamond.