Latest / The CFL Outsiders / Fuelled By Pumpkin Spice Latte Oldman Plays CFL Weekly Fantasy S03 E 15
Transcript
- 0:02Hey kids, welcome back to another episode
- 0:04of Old Man Please CFL weekly fantasy. Ha
- 0:07ha in a good mood this week I
- 0:10finally got some sleep because my sleep
- 0:13survey medical stuff is out of the way
- 0:16and I am now back to using my
- 0:19machine properly. Things are going well
- 0:21at the old homesteads, the goddess has
- 0:23had a real winter week with her work
- 0:26and some other things so she's in a
- 0:29great mood which. Makes it much easier
- 0:31for me to be in a great mood. And
- 0:34then more specifically, we're into post
- 0:36Labour Day football, so lots of good
- 0:38heavy physicality football that I like
- 0:40everything with lots of playoff
- 0:41implications unless you're Ottawa, but
- 0:43other than that you've got that going on.
- 0:45I won last week in my in the fantasy
- 0:48league here. I was up against BB Ryan
- 0:51Can, which is Ryan Valentine, who he only
- 0:53picks Stampeders. So I should have had a
- 0:55good chance to win, but I did manage to
- 0:58win by. I think they're
- 1:01almost 30 points. Worked out fairly well
- 1:04for me. And I was also the second
- 1:07high scorer in the league, 108 points,
- 1:09109 was top scores. I was one point off
- 1:12low scoring week for Labour Day. But
- 1:14there it goes, you know. And then the
- 1:16last reason that I'm frankly happy is I
- 1:19not don't do a bunch for Starbucks. So
- 1:21they're not going to come and sponsor the
- 1:24show very often. But we're in the fall.
- 1:27Pumpkin Spice Latte is back, ha ha. My
- 1:30wasteland'll expand over the next few
- 1:32months though. One Starbuck product I
- 1:34love and I'm indulging. So let's talk
- 1:36some football here, though. That's what
- 1:38we're here for. The games this week.
- 1:40Well, I'm going to this week. I'm going
- 1:43to talk about them game by game and then.
- 1:46We'll see what we get out of that,
- 1:49so let's start with the first game of
- 1:51the day that starts out first of four.
- 1:54Wow. Ottawa
- 1:57at Toronto. Starting with the defences,
- 2:00Ottawa, well, Kelly turns over the ball a
- 2:03lot, throws a lot of interceptions, most
- 2:05in the league. But I think he'll
- 2:08also score a lot of points against them
- 2:10and get a lot of yardage, so I don't see
- 2:12them being a high scoring defence.
- 2:15Toronto, on the other hand. They'll
- 2:17probably have a lead, which means that
- 2:19Mare and the Red Black will be pushing to
- 2:22get back in. It could be lots of
- 2:25opportunities for some pit turnovers. I
- 2:27suspect there'll be sacks to be had.
- 2:30They're a good choice, I think one of the
- 2:32ones that you want to look at.
- 2:34Quarterbacks in this game well, mayor is
- 2:36mayor. He gets some fantasy points, but I
- 2:39don't think even at the slightly lower
- 2:41price he plays at, I don't think it's
- 2:44worth while. Kelly, I think will go off
- 2:46against this Ottawa defence. He might
- 2:48throw a pick or two, but he'll probably
- 2:50throw for well over 400 yards and.
- 2:54I wouldn't be surprised to see three or
- 2:56four touchdowns up there. They don't run
- 2:58very much so. Probably mostly passing
- 3:01touchdowns. We'll have to see, but I
- 3:03think he's a good choice. Running backs
- 3:06in this game, Bell for Ottawa. Ottawa on
- 3:08pace to set the worst rushing yardage of
- 3:11any CFL team in history, I'm told. So
- 3:13yeah, I'd stay away from there. I was
- 3:16going to put any one on from there. I
- 3:19might go without a boy at a lower price
- 3:22and they seem to use him in really
- 3:24important situations. On the
- 3:27other side, Toronto's been running the
- 3:29ball better and more. Auto wise and
- 3:32great against the run. There was no
- 3:35running backs last week that got over 50
- 3:37yards in the game. No, I lie. Connolly
- 3:40got 59 for Saskatchewan. A couple got
- 3:42some touchdowns. But nobody really
- 3:45performed, so who are you going to pick?
- 3:47Well, with Toronto, they've got Smith and
- 3:49Jones, who are both rookies, both low
- 3:50price. Smith is a little higher price,
- 3:52but he gets more touches and he did get a
- 3:55touchdown last week, so I'd consider.
- 3:57Receivers Ottawa. Eberhardt's the only
- 3:59one I'd think about. It's
- 4:02just yeah. But whereas Toronto, well,
- 4:04Coke sees 15K and may get a
- 4:07lot of looks in the game. So
- 4:10he's worthwhile, but they're lower price
- 4:11ones that they have out there. I mean
- 4:14you, you look at who they're renting come
- 4:16and get. Not so many catches
- 4:19but lots of second down stuff for better
- 4:22yardage and touchdowns. So he's
- 4:24definitely worth the look. Unger, the
- 4:26third is sneaky good in fantasy. Not a
- 4:28lot of touchdown some, but lots of
- 4:30catches and shorter yardage stuff. So he
- 4:33may get 50 yards, but he might get that
- 4:35on 7 catches. So you got 13 points right
- 4:38there at a relatively low price player.
- 4:41So he's something worth thinking about.
- 4:43Same thing with Mattel. Now Herslow and
- 4:45Polk are both out and they've got Davis,
- 4:47a rookie in there, so I'd stay away from
- 4:50that. But. There's might be some hay to
- 4:52be made there. Moving over
- 4:55to the next game, Saskatchewan going into
- 4:57Winnipeg, either defence. Performed
- 4:59exceptionally well last week.
- 5:01Saskatchewan was not bad. I don't see
- 5:03either of them getting a lot of picks.
- 5:06Maybe, maybe if Zack is an off game there
- 5:08may be some turnovers there. I suspect
- 5:11Saskatchewan will get two or three sacks,
- 5:13so they might be might be worth doing it.
- 5:16But the way that Saskatchewan plan, I
- 5:18would not go against. I would not pick
- 5:21the Winnipeg defence. And quarterbacks
- 5:23Zach is. People say he's back but I
- 5:26don't see it. And his fantasy point
- 5:29scoring just is not there. So I'd stay
- 5:31away from him. Harris might be a good
- 5:34choice. The downside is he's playing in
- 5:37Winnipeg against all that crowd noise.
- 5:39Could lead to some miscues. Might want
- 5:42to be a little bit careful. Running
- 5:45backs. If anybody but Tommy Condell was
- 5:47running the Winnipeg offence, I would be
- 5:50on Brady Olivera like. White on rice, as
- 5:53they say. He's by far the best running
- 5:55back in the league. He rarely gets
- 5:58tackled for a loss. He always gets at
- 6:00least 234 yards on a run and breaks some
- 6:03of them out to 810 and can take over a
- 6:06game. He receives well out of the
- 6:08backfield. He last week he got 3 catches
- 6:10for 33 yards, but on the ground 8 touches
- 6:13for 29. So you can't count on Condell
- 6:15using him. If you want to take him you
- 6:18it's boom or bust. You might get huge
- 6:20points or you might be throwing money
- 6:22down the drain. On the other
- 6:25side, Connolly is not as expensive and
- 6:27he'll probably get 50 to 70 yards in
- 6:30the game. So, you know, he's still, I
- 6:33don't think his yardage will justify his
- 6:35price unless he gets a touchdown. And if
- 6:38they're in close, it's much more likely
- 6:40Tommy's going to get the touchdown. So so
- 6:43I stay away from there. And then
- 6:46receivers, well, Singer, he's 3.5 K with
- 6:48Winnipeg. So you know.
- 6:513 catches for 30 yards and he's more than
- 6:54paid for himself. If he has a game
- 6:56anywhere near like we did last week, he's
- 6:58a steal. So I think you've got to lock
- 7:01him in. But otherwise maybe Claire says
- 7:03he's starting to come back. Demsky is
- 7:05back in the lineup, but he's just been
- 7:07too inconsistent for me and. Ontario
- 7:10Wilson is out. Kneeled and
- 7:13Cobb are sharing time over at the
- 7:15fieldside wide out, so I don't see any of
- 7:17them being productive. Saskatchewan,
- 7:19Winnipeg did a good job of shutting down
- 7:22Keyshawn Johnson last week, but that
- 7:24opened up Dell, Duncan, Busby. So they
- 7:26they worked more on shutting them both
- 7:28down and opened up Johnson. Or do they
- 7:30leave Busby open a bit? And I think that
- 7:33that will be what they'll do. And I think
- 7:36he will have, maybe not a career high
- 7:38game like he had last week, but he'll
- 7:41have another good solid game. Other than
- 7:43that, Mims has been underperforming.
- 7:45Weeb, who I would seriously look at is
- 7:47out in Shmar Bridges is in at the wide
- 7:50side receiver for him. So.
- 7:54You know. Maybe, but
- 7:57I. I'm not
- 8:00highly confident in any of that.
- 8:04Ah, takes us Tess. Calgary at
- 8:07Edmonton. Edmonton defence gets a lot
- 8:10of sacks and may get some turnovers, so
- 8:12they're worth thinking about. Calgary has
- 8:14a good defensive line, but they weren't
- 8:16getting as much pressure as I would have
- 8:19expected last week and that secondary is
- 8:21suspect, so I'm going to stay away from
- 8:23them. Quarterbacks VA is in his own
- 8:26head. He may go off and have a fantastic
- 8:29game, but like I said with Brady, he's.
- 8:32It's going to be boom or bust. I don't
- 8:35see him being an average week. It'll be
- 8:37either another report repeat of last week
- 8:39where he. In the end you
- 8:42couldn't get it done or he'll take off
- 8:45and whatever. Amazed the world.
- 8:49How much do you feel at gambling?Pejardo
- 8:52got good points last week. I think he got
- 8:54with the doubling. I think he got me over
- 8:5750 points last week, So more than paid
- 8:59for himself. A lot of that was his
- 9:01running, but they also only played half a
- 9:03game. So he plays a full game. What'll he
- 9:06do? I don't know. If he plays a full
- 9:08game, probably it'll because Rankin is
- 9:10running well too and that may take away
- 9:12from that a bit. And
- 9:15then running backs, yeah, Rankin had a
- 9:17touchdown, 50 yard touchdown to closeout
- 9:19the game last week. Looks good but
- 9:22up till then he had four carries for -1
- 9:24yard so. How's that going to go?
- 9:29Highly suspect. And Mills, like I said,
- 9:31nobody had over 50 yards. Mills didn't
- 9:34have over 50 yards last week. Will he
- 9:36do better? He might he might be worth
- 9:39considering. I think this week the the
- 9:41strategy is lower price at running back
- 9:44if you ask me. And then the you've
- 9:46got the receivers there. Well, Edmonton
- 9:49Mack is I think 4th in the league
- 9:51in yards and a reasonable number of
- 9:54touchdowns, but he's inconsistent. And if
- 9:56they take half a game off again.
- 10:00Not worth having them, so I would
- 10:02probably stay away from that. Riboselli,
- 10:04what a great pick, Absolutely fantastic.
- 10:06Let's get him in there. He started out
- 10:09well again. Calgary last week. He'll be
- 10:11back. Better chemistry, I think against
- 10:13Pjardo. The Elk are crazy. Happy to have
- 10:16him in there. As long as he's not
- 10:19too expensive, he's fantastic. So I went
- 10:21and looked for him and guess what?
- 10:24Nowhere to be found on the CFL Fantasy
- 10:26website. It's going to
- 10:29be a bit of a theme this week. You'll
- 10:32find I'm kind of ****** at them just not
- 10:34keeping up with roster changes. Annoys
- 10:36the hell out of me. Anyway, so he is not
- 10:39available. O'Leary Orange I went with
- 10:40last week because he's been consistently
- 10:42getting two or three catches over the
- 10:44middle for, you know, 15 to 20 yards of
- 10:47catch. That pays for what his price is.
- 10:49But last week he got one target and one
- 10:51catch, so I'm a little off of him again,
- 10:54especially going against that same
- 10:55defence. Cephas lower priced one
- 10:58and. Might be well worth looking at
- 11:01getting him in there. So I consider that.
- 11:03And then on the Calgary side, while they
- 11:05do have a good receiving course, so
- 11:07Philpott definitely, you might want to
- 11:08look at that. Brooks is not bad for them.
- 11:11And hey, Reggie Bagelton is finally back
- 11:13in. What's going to happen with him after
- 11:15being off for a year and a half? Will he
- 11:17be a good price? Will he be like 3 or 4K?
- 11:20Because AT15K he's going to have rust and
- 11:23he's not worth 3 or 4K. He might well be
- 11:25worth it. Let's check out the website and
- 11:27see what he's worth. Guess what?Not
- 11:30available. He's been on the roster
- 11:32constantly, yes, on the six game list,
- 11:34but there's lots of people on the six
- 11:37game list that show up on CFL Fantasy
- 11:40no Bagelton. Ah, I
- 11:43don't know, a JoJo is out injured,
- 11:46and if you're an Alfred fan, he's
- 11:49been demoted. He's second string now
- 11:52behind Brooks, so I wouldn't spend too
- 11:55much time on on there.
- 11:58And then that takes us to the last game
- 11:59of the week. 7:00 in BC,
- 12:0210:00 in Montreal, which may be the
- 12:05defining theme of this game. Travel
- 12:07across the country and trying to reset
- 12:10your body clock. Hard to do We'll see.
- 12:13Defences. Neither of them scored really
- 12:16well last week. I think I'm probably
- 12:18going to avoid them. Yes, Montreal had to
- 12:21pick 6, but will it happen again? I
- 12:24don't know. So I'm kind of leery there.
- 12:27Quarterbacks Nathan has not been
- 12:29performing the way he's capable of and
- 12:32he's still he's good. He's probably the
- 12:34top of the second tier of CFL
- 12:37quarterbacks with his performance right
- 12:39now, so he's worth some money. Playing
- 12:42against a tired Montreal defence, he may
- 12:43be. A fantastic pick. We'll see when I
- 12:46get to my team. And then on the other
- 12:49side, Davis Alexander has been a walk but
- 12:51he is playing late. He is still a little
- 12:54bit hurt. The team doesn't have as
- 12:56much to play for his BC.
- 12:59I think I'm gonna. This is
- 13:02going to be a Skip Davis week for me
- 13:05running backs. Stevie Scott, third. He's
- 13:07back with Montreal. Yay. He might be
- 13:09lower priced and they didn't run well
- 13:12last week, but that was because these got
- 13:14hurt early. Scott's a good running back.
- 13:16Let's look at him. Not
- 13:19available on the CFL site.
- 13:24I'm just I'm going to stop complaining.
- 13:26On the other side, Horvath got held in
- 13:28check pretty well by Montreal last week
- 13:30and he's more expensive. He went up, had
- 13:32a terrible game and went from 12 K to 13
- 13:35K. But he does have the chance for those
- 13:37short yardage touchdowns. Buck Pierce has
- 13:39had a week to see what Montreal did to
- 13:41them and to game plan for it. It will be
- 13:44a later game for the Montreal defence. I
- 13:46think Horvath is worth going with again
- 13:48this week. Not a captain but definitely
- 13:50worth going with. And then
- 13:53receivers well. Lots to choose from in
- 13:56this game Montreal. If you're willing to
- 13:58pay the price, you've got Philpott or
- 14:00Sneed. Sneed has outperformed in the last
- 14:02two games, but Philpott in the last game
- 14:04got like 17 1/2 points, which is you know
- 14:07AT15K you need maybe 2122 out of them to
- 14:09really justify the money. But it's pretty
- 14:11close. And he just he doesn't have bad
- 14:14games, whereas Sneed can go off for big
- 14:16games, but he might also have a game with
- 14:19a couple of catches for. 20
- 14:21yards not worth the 15K so.
- 14:24Out of prudence, I think Philpott's a
- 14:26better choice, but you can look at Sneed.
- 14:28Speaker I would stay away from he's
- 14:30slightly. He's in the higher end of that
- 14:32middle tier and doesn't get a lot of
- 14:34targets. If anything, I would say if you
- 14:36want some really cheap for maybe get a
- 14:39few targets out of it, Ferdinand, I think
- 14:41would be the way to go. On the
- 14:44BC side. Because they haven't been
- 14:46playing as well. All their receivers are
- 14:48not cheap. Cheap, but they're not 15K.
- 14:51Hatcher and Katoi are both.
- 14:55Around 12 or 12 and change and they may
- 14:58well justify that. Mckinnis is a real
- 15:00good choice. I think at 11 1/2, if he
- 15:03has any kind of a game, he's certainly
- 15:05capable of it. Jackson is down somewhere
- 15:08around about 88 or 9 and has been playing
- 15:10really well. So yeah. Any of those
- 15:13may be worth looking at. So what did I
- 15:16do? Well, my strategy lately has been.
- 15:20Avoid the high-priced players. Start of
- 15:22the year when I wasn't doing so well, I'd
- 15:24go for my two or three high-priced
- 15:26players that I wanted to lock in.
- 15:29And it didn't work so well, so I've been
- 15:31rejigging that. Now I go back and I look
- 15:34for. Those.
- 15:377 to 1011 K guys.
- 15:40Who maybe don't go off for big games
- 15:43ever, but they get you.
- 15:4510 to 15 points pretty consistently.
- 15:49And that if you can team them up with
- 15:52a couple, with the right choices of the
- 15:54high price, it works. So here's my team,
- 15:57I'll list it and then I'll come back and
- 16:00talk a little bit more about why defence
- 16:02Edmonton Elk. Quarterback and captain
- 16:05Chad Kelly of the Argonauts.
- 16:08Running back Smith from Toronto
- 16:11and Horvath from the Lions.
- 16:13Wide receivers Singer from Winnipeg
- 16:16and Philpott from Montreal. And
- 16:19the flex is Dell Duncan Bugsby DDB
- 16:22out of Saskatchewan. Bye. Well I would
- 16:24have preferred the Toronto defence. I
- 16:27ended up with 2.5 K leftover to
- 16:29use. And they still
- 16:32were a little too expensive for me. Once
- 16:34I'd put the rest of my team together I
- 16:37was point 2K short of them, so I went.
- 16:40With the elk who were two point 5K
- 16:43less but I think are by far the.
- 16:46Best second choice and maybe we'll
- 16:48outscore Toronto. We'll see. Kelly yeah,
- 16:50you might throw a couple interceptions
- 16:52but against Ottawa he's probably going
- 16:54off for four, maybe 500 yards, who knows
- 16:56and three or four touchdowns. So I think
- 16:58that's good. He'll may even run for some
- 17:01yardage. I think he's a good choice
- 17:03there. The running backs well like I
- 17:05said, nobody did well last week and
- 17:07somebody might break out and do fantastic
- 17:09this week but trying to guess who is kind
- 17:12of a a mugs game hit and miss so.
- 17:15It went cheaper price where I could with
- 17:17Smith he's getting. More carries. Jones
- 17:19is also in there as another rookie, but
- 17:21he gets less carries. Smith. Scored well
- 17:24enough last week because he got a
- 17:27touchdown and there's a good chance he
- 17:29may run one in from short yardage. For
- 17:31the Argos, they are not as committed to
- 17:34the the quarterback keeper on on short
- 17:36yardage and then Horvath. As I said,
- 17:38waiting to see what Buck Pierce schemes
- 17:40up for him. At 13 K he's expensive but
- 17:43just about any starting running back is
- 17:45going to be that pricey and all he needs
- 17:48to do is get. One
- 17:51short yardage touchdown and he'll
- 17:52probably outscore a lot of the running
- 17:54backs in the games, so I'm going to go
- 17:57with him that way. Singer, like I said
- 18:00earlier, cheap and he just if he's close
- 18:02to the game he had last week, he'll be
- 18:04moved in. Can't remember if it's in or
- 18:06out. He's still playing slot back to the
- 18:08field side, but Demske back. So he's
- 18:09either one closer to the quarterback or
- 18:11one further away. Either way, the way he
- 18:13played last week, I think he got to have
- 18:15him. Philpott with Montreal, he's the
- 18:18most consistent. If you're going to spend
- 18:2015K on a wide receiver. He doesn't have
- 18:23bad games generally, so you'll get
- 18:25something out of him and then Dell,
- 18:27Duncan, Busby again. Winnipeg may try to
- 18:30lock him down. If they do, it'll open up
- 18:32Keyshawn Johnson. He shuns a lot more
- 18:35expensive and I don't think Minibake's
- 18:36going to let him beat them, so I think
- 18:38DDB will still get a lot of targets.
- 18:42That's it Dems, my picks. As I say every
- 18:45week, if you choose to use any of them,
- 18:47do so at your peril. I am back to seven
- 18:50and seven. I'm 6th in the league scoring,
- 18:53but I'm still 9th in the standing. So
- 18:55trying to claw back into them their
- 18:57playoffs. I hope
- 19:00you have a great weekend of football. I
- 19:03don't know if you're going to be one of
- 19:05those folks that. Just watch as
- 19:08the couple of games that really involve
- 19:09your teams are the ones that you think
- 19:12are going to be the best, or if you'll be
- 19:14one of those folks that will record it
- 19:17and then watch them all over Saturday,
- 19:18Sunday, maybe into Monday. Or if you're
- 19:21going to be like me and say chapped ***
- 19:24cheeks be damned, I'm sitting down to 12
- 19:26hours of football. Easier for me 'cause
- 19:28I'm in BC, so it's 9:50. It's not like
- 19:30being in Toronto where you'd be watching
- 19:32from 1:00 in the afternoon to 1:00 at
- 19:34night. Or even worse than Maritimes. But
- 19:36anyway, regardless of how you consume it,
- 19:38I hope you enjoy it. I hope you've got
- 19:41some. I hope we all enjoy some great
- 19:43football this weekend. I hope you have a
- 19:45great week. Not just football, but life.
- 19:47And we'll see next week to
- 19:50talk about how things went till
- 19:53then. Old man signing off.