Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Markets, Real Estate, And Drones
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney alongside
- 0:04Speaker 1: my co host Matt Miller. Every business day we bring
- 0:06Speaker 1: you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts, along
- 0:11Speaker 1: with essential market moving news. Find the Bloomberg Markets podcast
- 0:15Speaker 1: called Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to podcasts, and
- 0:18Speaker 1: at Bloomberg dot com slash podcast. Well, our next guest
- 0:22Speaker 1: is I'm gonna call the All Big ten team. Undergraduate
- 0:25Speaker 1: degree from University of Wisconsin and then an MBA from Indiana,
- 0:29Speaker 1: Greg Han. He's the chief ce IO of Winthrop Capital Management. Greg,
- 0:33Speaker 1: we kind of got a FED yesterday that kind of
- 0:36Speaker 1: threw some I guess some uncertainty into this market. Is
- 0:39Speaker 1: talking about maybe being a little bit more hawkish. What
- 0:42Speaker 1: did you take away from yesterday's trading and then today's
- 0:44Speaker 1: seemingly kind of rebound here on a risk on Look,
- 0:47Speaker 1: what are your thoughts? Good old days? We're going back
- 0:50Speaker 1: to the good old days because the Fed, the FED
- 0:53Speaker 1: needs to get in front of inflation. So I think
- 0:55Speaker 1: the posturing that we're hearing now is one that UM
- 0:58Speaker 1: represents UM more of the committee, the committee's views, and
- 1:02Speaker 1: there's a little bit more hawkish um in reminding investors
- 1:06Speaker 1: that hey, we we don't have to move in twenty
- 1:07Speaker 1: five basiness point increments UM. But there's been a reticence,
- 1:11Speaker 1: especially with the labor challenges that we're going through last year,
- 1:14Speaker 1: to actually message that two investors. We heard a very
- 1:16Speaker 1: clear message from the Fed yesterday. We're going to take
- 1:19Speaker 1: the steps necessary that we have to to uh to
- 1:22Speaker 1: to move retired, to control inflation. In in Paul, They're
- 1:25Speaker 1: gonna they're going to implode the economy to do it.
- 1:28Speaker 1: That's basically what the messages that were. If we have
- 1:30Speaker 1: to push the economy into a recession, we'll do it.
- 1:34Speaker 1: That was the message we took away. We were just
- 1:36Speaker 1: talking with our chief rate strategy, our Jersey, who's um,
- 1:40Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure we will have a recession, he said.
- 1:42Speaker 1: The question is just what kind of recession are we
- 1:44Speaker 1: looking at? In three what's your out what's your outlook? Yeah, yeah,
- 1:48Speaker 1: we've shifted. You know. It's funny because we plan. We
- 1:51Speaker 1: we lay these big plans out at the beginning of
- 1:52Speaker 1: the year, here's our investment themes. And sure enough we
- 1:55Speaker 1: get to March and Wisconsin is not in the sweet
- 1:57Speaker 1: sixteen and I got it, so I gotta change that.
- 1:59Speaker 1: We've got to change our outlook on the economy. Uh,
- 2:01Speaker 1: it's it's it's it's it's a whole brutal. But that's
- 2:05Speaker 1: what That's what investing is. You just have to shift,
- 2:07Speaker 1: you do the next right thing. You can't just stick
- 2:09Speaker 1: to your plan and say, Okay, I gotta I'm gonna
- 2:11Speaker 1: just die on the hill on this. We've we've got
- 2:13Speaker 1: to be flexible at move um and we saw that
- 2:16Speaker 1: with Amicron last year. Um it we are. We We
- 2:19Speaker 1: thought that we'd see this resurgence and growth, but the
- 2:22Speaker 1: variant really put muted any economic growth that we were expecting.
- 2:27Speaker 1: We thought it would get pushed into this year, but
- 2:29Speaker 1: the Russian invasion of Ukraine is going to provide serious
- 2:34Speaker 1: dislocation for Europe. So we're going to see inflation, We're
- 2:37Speaker 1: gonna see a slowdown in Europe. It's going to impact
- 2:38Speaker 1: the United States. The real issue that we're trying to
- 2:42Speaker 1: navigate now is what we've we've dealt with globalization for
- 2:46Speaker 1: over three decades. We're seeing we think we're moving back
- 2:49Speaker 1: to the period where we have trading block block countries,
- 2:52Speaker 1: where you've got trading arrangements between block countries and the
- 2:55Speaker 1: w t O is almost neutered if we if major
- 2:58Speaker 1: countries have establish UM privileged trading relationships, so that that
- 3:04Speaker 1: may be one of the consequences of the last four
- 3:06Speaker 1: years of trade issues with China and now with with
- 3:10Speaker 1: what we're doing with russ all right, So with that backdrop, Greg,
- 3:14Speaker 1: what's an investor to do when this rising interest rate
- 3:17Speaker 1: and inflation environment? Where do you go? Hold on? So
- 3:21Speaker 1: this is this is this is because you have to
- 3:23Speaker 1: just be patient and hold on. We've had We've got
- 3:26Speaker 1: to remind it. Look, we've had three great years in
- 3:28Speaker 1: the sp average returns an SP of over the last
- 3:32Speaker 1: three years. We're giving some of it back cashes and
- 3:35Speaker 1: an asset class. So we actually are allocated to cash
- 3:38Speaker 1: just to just to be transitional. UM. These are near
- 3:41Speaker 1: term issues. Yes, cash is not keeping up with inflation.
- 3:45Speaker 1: We get that, we know that, but it's right now,
- 3:47Speaker 1: it's not meant to it's it's there to preserve capital.
- 3:50Speaker 1: At the end of the day, this is a stock
- 3:52Speaker 1: pickers market, so we want to sure that we're in
- 3:54Speaker 1: good companies that have good revenue drivers. And UM fixed
- 3:58Speaker 1: income is getting a lot more interesting with two and
- 4:01Speaker 1: you know twenty on the tenure that that starts to
- 4:05Speaker 1: make a lot of sense. Now, um, whether they actually
- 4:08Speaker 1: push whether the FET actually does push it higher. Yeah,
- 4:14Speaker 1: I mean, what do you think about that? That? Uh?
- 4:17Speaker 1: Right now we're looking at two thirty seven fifty two
- 4:20Speaker 1: if you can believe it, just because it continues to soar,
- 4:23Speaker 1: and that's true really across the curve. How high do
- 4:27Speaker 1: we get on the tenure? So we I mean we
- 4:31Speaker 1: we uh, we thought two would be a buffer just
- 4:35Speaker 1: just to get us to this point. I we don't
- 4:39Speaker 1: see it going over three percent. The short end is
- 4:42Speaker 1: going to go higher. But I think that the posturing
- 4:44Speaker 1: the economy will break. And then if if I don't
- 4:47Speaker 1: think the Fed's really going to risk that, um there
- 4:50Speaker 1: to really to We think the mistakes that the FED
- 4:53Speaker 1: is going to do is they'll stop it doing just
- 4:55Speaker 1: the next right thing, which was the pattern in the
- 4:57Speaker 1: nineteen seventies with the Federal Reserve really postponed really Curtailian inflation.
- 5:02Speaker 1: It was only going far enough that it had to
- 5:04Speaker 1: to get control for that moment and it just kept
- 5:08Speaker 1: building up in the system. We think the same thing
- 5:10Speaker 1: is going to happen this time. Is the fed's not
- 5:12Speaker 1: going to do enough because we will it will be
- 5:16Speaker 1: politically unpopular. And who buys the tenure here? When you
- 5:19Speaker 1: get more for buying threes, fives and sevens. You know
- 5:26Speaker 1: who says I want to seven and at ten when
- 5:28Speaker 1: you can get two four at seven. Doesn't make any sense? Well,
- 5:32Speaker 1: the sad, the sad answer to that is that a
- 5:35Speaker 1: lot of four oh one case and index funds are
- 5:37Speaker 1: are our peg to the to the aggregate index, which
- 5:41Speaker 1: is required to buy the tenure. So I knew before
- 5:44Speaker 1: I asked the question, but I am sorry, no, no,
- 5:46Speaker 1: I get it. Yeah, it just seems um if you
- 5:50Speaker 1: break it down to the most elementary terms, it doesn't
- 5:53Speaker 1: make a lot of sense. But yeah, all right, Greg,
- 5:56Speaker 1: we appreciate you coming on here, Greg han Cee, I
- 5:58Speaker 1: O Winthrop cap All Management giving us his thoughts on
- 6:01Speaker 1: the market. And again, seems like a consensus is kind
- 6:04Speaker 1: of building here for some type of recessionary environment. That's
- 6:10Speaker 1: kind of new, I mean in Atlanta, Wilson, certainly since
- 6:13Speaker 1: Jerome Powell went out with Constant Hunter yesterday and said,
- 6:17Speaker 1: you know, the buck stops here. By the way, we
- 6:19Speaker 1: should wish Gregg and Wisconsin best of luck for next year.
- 6:22Speaker 1: We should yeah, okay, there's a basketball tournament every year. Okay, good, alright,
- 6:26Speaker 1: the duke invitation when I call it. You know, I
- 6:33Speaker 1: got my uh my last car that I had to
- 6:36Speaker 1: sell because I was moving back here and you can't
- 6:39Speaker 1: um import German cars from into the US. I made
- 6:43Speaker 1: twenty five percent. I drove it for two years, I
- 6:46Speaker 1: put thirty thousand miles on it, and I made profit.
- 6:50Speaker 1: Nice when I sold it. He's good for you. It's
- 6:52Speaker 1: the only time I've ever made money on a vehicle.
- 6:55Speaker 1: Car trader. All right, let's see you can put some
- 6:57Speaker 1: money in the stock market today. You do pretty well.
- 6:59Speaker 1: The SMPS up one percent and as DAGs up. Robert Teeter,
- 7:02Speaker 1: head of Investment Policy and Strategy Group of Silver Cress
- 7:05Speaker 1: Asset Management, joins us. Robert, I'm not sure if I
- 7:08Speaker 1: should go into the used car business or stick with
- 7:11Speaker 1: my stock portfolio. What do you tell on your clients, Well,
- 7:14Speaker 1: both have been pretty compelling over the over the past
- 7:17Speaker 1: year or so. That's that on the on the grain
- 7:19Speaker 1: spreader and the US autos are pretty interesting. But I
- 7:22Speaker 1: do think some of the youth thouto sales are slowing
- 7:25Speaker 1: down a little bit, so I'd say stick with stocks.
- 7:27Speaker 1: This has been a pretty challenging environment. But we do
- 7:29Speaker 1: think there's a strong undercurrent of earnings growth that's likely
- 7:32Speaker 1: to lead the way towards gains over the next year
- 7:34Speaker 1: or two. But is that I mean, with double digit
- 7:38Speaker 1: inflation surely on the way um and a FED that
- 7:43Speaker 1: is now ready to hike fifty basis points at multiple meetings,
- 7:48Speaker 1: are you not concerned that this economic growth is going
- 7:52Speaker 1: to slow to a halt. Well, I think that's that's
- 7:56Speaker 1: been part of the challenge that markets have been working
- 7:58Speaker 1: through here with this choppiness of late, which has been
- 8:00Speaker 1: that there is a deceleration in growth. But I'm not
- 8:04Speaker 1: in the camp of of recession. I do think there's
- 8:06Speaker 1: strong underlying growth to come, partly driven by COVID recovery
- 8:09Speaker 1: and jobs recovery, and so I do think that will continue.
- 8:12Speaker 1: And while you will get a bit of the the
- 8:14Speaker 1: energy cost tax on consumers that might slow the top
- 8:17Speaker 1: line rate of growth a little bit, there is still
- 8:20Speaker 1: strong earnings growth and companies have been navigating this economy
- 8:23Speaker 1: very well to deliver on those earnings in the in
- 8:25Speaker 1: the face of a lot of challenges in the past years.
- 8:27Speaker 1: My concern is just this, Robert, that we have a
- 8:31Speaker 1: federal reserve um. Now, I don't want to use the
- 8:34Speaker 1: term hell bent, but I can't think of a less
- 8:37Speaker 1: aggressive than would go for that one. Hell bent on
- 8:41Speaker 1: slowing demand at the same time, we're about to see
- 8:44Speaker 1: a bounce back in production and then inventories. Right, Yeah,
- 8:50Speaker 1: I do think that's right. I think that some of
- 8:52Speaker 1: the comments by pal I think have been incorporated or
- 8:55Speaker 1: or evaluated in a in a fairly optimistic way, and
- 8:58Speaker 1: that's what we're seeing in terms of the the green
- 9:00Speaker 1: on the screen today because he has become and communicated
- 9:03Speaker 1: and appropriately serious message against inflation. And so I think
- 9:07Speaker 1: that that burst of activity that we had from from
- 9:09Speaker 1: post COVID has led to a lot of the inflation.
- 9:12Speaker 1: I think he's committed to fighting that now. But I
- 9:15Speaker 1: do think that part of the outcome of him being
- 9:17Speaker 1: a bit stronger is that you won't see inflation expectations
- 9:20Speaker 1: in the outer years continue to rise, and that I
- 9:22Speaker 1: think will be positive for investors and for valuations. So, Robert,
- 9:26Speaker 1: you mentioned profitability earnings a couple of times. How concerned
- 9:30Speaker 1: argue about inflation pressuring profit margins in corporate America. Yeah,
- 9:36Speaker 1: I do think that's the that's the really important question,
- 9:38Speaker 1: and I think in some areas it will pressure a bit. Um.
- 9:41Speaker 1: We've been of the mind that this market has been
- 9:43Speaker 1: one where you need to be very highly selective. Uh.
- 9:46Speaker 1: It lends itself very well, we think to stock selection
- 9:48Speaker 1: because different companies are are having different degrees of success
- 9:52Speaker 1: in managing through those supply chain problems and labor cost issues.
- 9:55Speaker 1: By and large, when we've looked at the Russell one thousand,
- 9:57Speaker 1: overall margins have been very strong, improving somewhat, but it's
- 10:01Speaker 1: not a uniform picture beneath the surface, and so we
- 10:04Speaker 1: do think it's important to focus your opportunities on where
- 10:07Speaker 1: companies are managing to the problems and delivering on earnings. Yeah.
- 10:11Speaker 1: And like we've been seeing today, if they deal with
- 10:13Speaker 1: the supply chain issues, well they are rewarded. Um. Who
- 10:17Speaker 1: do you think is best positioned? Yeah, Well, we think
- 10:21Speaker 1: that the technology sector, which is seen consistently strong earnings
- 10:25Speaker 1: and actually seen estimates go up a bit at the
- 10:27Speaker 1: beginning of this year. UM, is one area. I do
- 10:29Speaker 1: think there are some segments in consumer, even though consumer
- 10:32Speaker 1: earning estimates have come down a bit, there's still pretty
- 10:34Speaker 1: strong consumer demand in some areas, and then I think
- 10:37Speaker 1: a few of the cyclical areas might still have a
- 10:39Speaker 1: few innings left of growth. So we think it's important
- 10:41Speaker 1: to be diversified here and again really focus on which
- 10:44Speaker 1: companies are getting the job done at the micro level.
- 10:46Speaker 1: And I think that's really the theme here. Macro has
- 10:48Speaker 1: been dominating, and we think it's going to shift back
- 10:50Speaker 1: to micro micro. UM. When I think growth, I guess
- 10:54Speaker 1: I've just been conditioned over the last ten or twenty
- 10:57Speaker 1: years to think tech but cantect reform in a rising
- 11:01Speaker 1: interest rate environment? I think it can. I think the
- 11:04Speaker 1: classic wisdom, like you say, is rates higher is not
- 11:07Speaker 1: necessarily good for multiples, and I think that's true. Um. However,
- 11:10Speaker 1: we have to consider the starting point as well, so
- 11:12Speaker 1: rates are still pretty low. Pre COVID we were around
- 11:15Speaker 1: two percent. Two thousand eighteen, we were around three percent.
- 11:18Speaker 1: We're in the mid twos now. We think that could
- 11:20Speaker 1: drift a little bit higher. UM. I think multiples can
- 11:22Speaker 1: handle that as long as we have this runway for
- 11:24Speaker 1: growth in front of us. In terms of outlook for earnings,
- 11:27Speaker 1: and again, earnings estimates have been going up in some
- 11:30Speaker 1: some sectors and so we think that will help support
- 11:31Speaker 1: multiple So also alright, so um, in terms of fixed income,
- 11:37Speaker 1: what do you say just stay away? Well, we stay
- 11:39Speaker 1: stay conservative. So not a lot of duration, so not
- 11:42Speaker 1: a lot of interest rate risk. Be very careful on
- 11:44Speaker 1: the credit selection side. It's not an environment to be
- 11:47Speaker 1: scraping for a few extra basis points here and there.
- 11:49Speaker 1: Use fixed income for what it's meant to be safe
- 11:52Speaker 1: and secure a part of your portfolio that if you
- 11:54Speaker 1: hold it to maturity, it delivers at par and helps
- 11:56Speaker 1: protect you against some of the chop inequities. All Right, Robert,
- 11:59Speaker 1: thank you so much for joining us. I really appreciate
- 12:01Speaker 1: your perspective there, Robert Teeter, he's head of Investment Policy
- 12:05Speaker 1: and Strategy Group at Silver Crest Asset Management. Kind of
- 12:12Speaker 1: up and down Lexington Avenue here in midtown, a lot
- 12:14Speaker 1: of empty stores, big stores, big box stores, smaller stores,
- 12:18Speaker 1: and really gets you thinking about not just in New
- 12:20Speaker 1: York City, but just kind of across the United States,
- 12:23Speaker 1: how this commercial and industrial real estate markets gonna play
- 12:27Speaker 1: out here. Fortunately, have an expert here you can walk
- 12:29Speaker 1: us through with John Macy's, the CEO of I r
- 12:32Speaker 1: G Industrial. John love to get your just your thirty
- 12:35Speaker 1: thousand foot overview of how the last two years have
- 12:39Speaker 1: impacted the commercial industrial real estate space here in the US. Sure,
- 12:45Speaker 1: the last two years on the industrial space has been
- 12:48Speaker 1: pretty spectacular. Rates have risen virtually every market in the country.
- 12:53Speaker 1: Some of the major markets are up thirty even thirty
- 12:58Speaker 1: most even through the smaller more minor markets, and industrial
- 13:01Speaker 1: are up about So although we're seeing inflation affecting us,
- 13:07Speaker 1: it's primarily in being able to rehab buildings that we
- 13:11Speaker 1: bought or new construction where it's more expensive to build
- 13:16Speaker 1: as well, it's taking longer. Particularly one issue we face
- 13:20Speaker 1: is we get tenants that are ready to move into
- 13:23Speaker 1: our buildings, but we can't deliver the building because some
- 13:26Speaker 1: of our delays due to supply constraints are six months
- 13:30Speaker 1: even nine months and everyone standing on the sidelines waiting
- 13:34Speaker 1: for the materials to come in so we can fix
- 13:36Speaker 1: them up. Otherwise, rental rates are up significantly, and there
- 13:41Speaker 1: there still is a large difference between office space and
- 13:46Speaker 1: industrial space. I mean, we could talk about office space
- 13:49Speaker 1: for you know, extensively, but we're primarily in the industrial sector.
- 13:54Speaker 1: So how do you differentiate those two. Yeah, office space
- 13:58Speaker 1: are primarily for people who are service providers or other
- 14:02Speaker 1: office people who actually go to an office and have
- 14:05Speaker 1: office space primarily in either in the major cities or
- 14:09Speaker 1: suburban office where industrial space is big, large spaces. Trucking, manufacturing, distribution,
- 14:18Speaker 1: e commerce rates are usually a lot cheaper for industrial
- 14:22Speaker 1: space than they are for office. There's fewer jobs, um,
- 14:27Speaker 1: and it's more for storage or for manufacturing. Big difference
- 14:30Speaker 1: between the two. John, is there industrial I mean, is
- 14:33Speaker 1: there a geographical impact on your business? Are you seeing
- 14:38Speaker 1: greater growth and everybody seems like everybody's going down to
- 14:40Speaker 1: Texas and Florida? Is that what you're seeing demand for
- 14:42Speaker 1: industrial space? Or is industrial space pretty much across the board?
- 14:47Speaker 1: I'm going to say industrial spaces across the board. However,
- 14:50Speaker 1: there are certain markets that are significantly stronger than others.
- 14:54Speaker 1: And I'd have to say the greater Seattle area, San Francisco,
- 14:58Speaker 1: Bay area, Lost Angeles, and the Inland Empire and then
- 15:02Speaker 1: probably central Jersey right outside of New York or the
- 15:06Speaker 1: Rights industrial And I see all those trucks there are
- 15:08Speaker 1: millions of them, prime trucks, and these warehouses right along
- 15:11Speaker 1: the must have a huge amount of pull there. Yeah,
- 15:16Speaker 1: so it's interesting, John, I mean is this Does you
- 15:20Speaker 1: know Amazon come to you and say I need a
- 15:22Speaker 1: warehouse in Central Jersey? Is that how it works? Amazon
- 15:26Speaker 1: does wanted to the things. They either buy the land
- 15:28Speaker 1: and build their own or they go find a great
- 15:31Speaker 1: location and they work a deal with a developer to
- 15:33Speaker 1: build their their brand new, state of the art warehouse.
- 15:37Speaker 1: And we've done both. We've sold some land to them
- 15:40Speaker 1: that they've built on, and we've also um uh at
- 15:46Speaker 1: least some of our land that we built for them.
- 15:48Speaker 1: But most of what they want is the best, brand new,
- 15:51Speaker 1: best location, the best, and they're willing to pay for it.
- 15:55Speaker 1: But there's a lot of other people out there besides Amazon.
- 15:58Speaker 1: There's a lot of on shoring. We're manufacturing is coming back,
- 16:02Speaker 1: so a lot of our properties, particularly in the Midwest
- 16:05Speaker 1: in Ohio, Indiana, Illinois and Michigan area. I mean, a
- 16:10Speaker 1: lot of manufacturing going on that's been really really stable
- 16:14Speaker 1: for us. So I and I wonder if you see,
- 16:18Speaker 1: you know, in commercial in office space. Um I was
- 16:21Speaker 1: reading this morning on the Bloomberg that it used to
- 16:23Speaker 1: be Manhattan had eleven percent of all of the national
- 16:27Speaker 1: office square footage, which is just massive. If you think
- 16:30Speaker 1: about it. But that's not going to be the same
- 16:32Speaker 1: going forward as the concern. You know, as people um
- 16:35Speaker 1: gravitate more well away from the urban centers for for
- 16:39Speaker 1: office work into the suburbs. Do you see that kind
- 16:43Speaker 1: of shift with industrial space as well. No, not really.
- 16:48Speaker 1: I mean what we are seeing though, is that there's
- 16:50Speaker 1: a greater demand for the better locations. Before people were
- 16:54Speaker 1: willing to drive an extra half hour hour outside of
- 16:57Speaker 1: the major urban area. Uh. Consider during the truck expenses
- 17:01Speaker 1: of driving the trucks and gas was not a big deal.
- 17:04Speaker 1: Now it is a bigger deal. Therefore, they're willing to
- 17:07Speaker 1: pay more money and higher rents in order to be
- 17:10Speaker 1: closer to the urban inner areas. It's through what's commonly
- 17:14Speaker 1: referred to his last mile. So, John, interest rates are
- 17:17Speaker 1: going up, maybe pretty dramatically. How does that impact your business?
- 17:21Speaker 1: It certainly does. Interest rates going up. I mean, our
- 17:24Speaker 1: cost to capital is a critical element of what we do. Um,
- 17:28Speaker 1: we know interest rates are going up. Matter of fact,
- 17:30Speaker 1: the yield curve is flattened a bit, which is never
- 17:33Speaker 1: great for the economy. But generally, if you have a
- 17:36Speaker 1: good quality building, two percent three percent interest rates are
- 17:41Speaker 1: traditionally very very low rates, we should be able to
- 17:44Speaker 1: make it through even as as rates increase. But what
- 17:47Speaker 1: also happens is as interest rates increase, cap rates often increase,
- 17:52Speaker 1: and when a capitalization rate increases, the value of the
- 17:56Speaker 1: property declines. So it's it's cyclical. Have been through about
- 18:00Speaker 1: four or five major cycles. Hopefully we're not having another
- 18:04Speaker 1: one right now. Interest rates is definitely a factor in
- 18:07Speaker 1: our business. Now on the other side is inflation goes up,
- 18:12Speaker 1: um cost the goods goes up, rents go up, so
- 18:15Speaker 1: you just have to hope that the two balance out
- 18:17Speaker 1: each other. Right, Hey, John, thanks so much for joining us.
- 18:20Speaker 1: Really appreciate it. John May, CEO of I r G Industrial.
- 18:28Speaker 1: I want to get to our next guest, Valerie Iakovenko Uh,
- 18:32Speaker 1: founder and CEO of Drone you A based in Ukraine. Valerie,
- 18:36Speaker 1: thank you so much for taking the time UH to
- 18:39Speaker 1: call in and share some time with us talk to
- 18:42Speaker 1: us about your company Drone you A, what is it
- 18:45Speaker 1: and how has your company been impacted by the last
- 18:48Speaker 1: month with the invasion of Ukraine by Russia. Let's are
- 18:52Speaker 1: to be with you today. Um and actually is a
- 18:55Speaker 1: drowning company. Is the technological company, the robotics company that
- 19:00Speaker 1: was supposed to work only in industrial spheres, using drones
- 19:04Speaker 1: and robots to help our manufacturing possibilities, to be smarter,
- 19:09Speaker 1: more efficient, to grow more food on Ukrainian fields, to
- 19:13Speaker 1: get better yields, to provide more safer work experience for
- 19:18Speaker 1: any industrial employee. But when the work started, almost everything changed.
- 19:26Speaker 1: Before it was we were like collaborating with officials with
- 19:30Speaker 1: Minister of Defense, with different police, UH departments, etcetera. It
- 19:35Speaker 1: was a part of our business. But right now it's
- 19:38Speaker 1: multiplied several I think, I think hundreds times since all
- 19:42Speaker 1: our tension. And this is about not only us, this
- 19:45Speaker 1: is about every Ukrainian person. So everybody may be clear.
- 19:50Speaker 1: You make drones that were typically mostly recreational or industrial.
- 19:56Speaker 1: You were working a little bit with m police, but
- 19:59Speaker 1: none military, Harry, and now you've been drawn in to
- 20:03Speaker 1: the fight to try and beef up Ukrainian intelligence. This
- 20:07Speaker 1: is correct, and this is about all all companies and
- 20:12Speaker 1: all specialists on Ukrainian market. UH. Since we need intelligence,
- 20:16Speaker 1: see needs, since we need to find enemy troops, everybody
- 20:21Speaker 1: is joining forces to help with intel, to file with
- 20:24Speaker 1: to help with surveillance, finding enemy troops, find an enemy tanks,
- 20:28Speaker 1: finding there were sons of Suborteurs group all around Ukraine.
- 20:33Speaker 1: This is not about only frontline in Ukraine or some
- 20:36Speaker 1: special regions. This is about everywhere. Drones are right now
- 20:39Speaker 1: as working as a tool uh to provide intelligence to
- 20:45Speaker 1: our Minister of Defense and to defend our country. So
- 20:50Speaker 1: Valley give us a sense of the drone force in
- 20:53Speaker 1: Ukraine right now. Does Ukraine have enough drones or does
- 20:57Speaker 1: it need more? And where would you get them? First
- 21:01Speaker 1: of all, you have to understand that there are two
- 21:03Speaker 1: types of drones that are being used right now in Ukraine.
- 21:06Speaker 1: The first one is small hobby like looking like drones
- 21:10Speaker 1: that you can purchase actually in almost every r sistore
- 21:13Speaker 1: and they are useful. You're useful to provide information for
- 21:17Speaker 1: the military and defensive military operations in Ukraine. But and
- 21:22Speaker 1: there are a lot of them, like thousands of drones
- 21:24Speaker 1: are working right now for the Ministry of Defense purposes
- 21:28Speaker 1: to provide intelligence. And the second part of drones is
- 21:31Speaker 1: like military drones that was designed to provide strikes from
- 21:37Speaker 1: the sky not only ice, but also some kind of
- 21:40Speaker 1: power to make an action against Russian military troops that
- 21:45Speaker 1: are invading Russia. Ukrainian peaceful cities. So basically the second
- 21:49Speaker 1: part is mostly well well known by barracts. The Turkish
- 21:54Speaker 1: drones that are being supplied to Ukraine, and there are
- 21:59Speaker 1: a lot of them, but there are not enough to
- 22:03Speaker 1: cover all necessity of Ukrainian defense. We need more drones,
- 22:08Speaker 1: all kinds of drones and surveillance and hope be like, yes,
- 22:12Speaker 1: we need them. We are in lack of termal imagery
- 22:16Speaker 1: cameras and termal imagery drones to help our defenders and
- 22:22Speaker 1: during the night. But of course we need more intelligent
- 22:25Speaker 1: weapons in Ukraine to provide defense and strikes to the
- 22:31Speaker 1: troops that are stayed here or are taking us. Basically,
- 22:35Speaker 1: how value, how is the war going right now? How
- 22:39Speaker 1: is the defense effort shaping up? How have the Russian aggressors?
- 22:44Speaker 1: How far have they progressed? Firs fall uh all, you
- 22:50Speaker 1: know that all ideas of Russian from Russian side was
- 22:54Speaker 1: to make a blitz creek to conquer Ukraine in just
- 22:57Speaker 1: days for several hours. But there is almost the month
- 23:00Speaker 1: during start after the start of the war and Ukrainians
- 23:05Speaker 1: are not going anywhere. But it will defend our own country.
- 23:09Speaker 1: We will defend our land and no matter what is happening,
- 23:14Speaker 1: we will stay on our land and defend. Right now,
- 23:18Speaker 1: Russia is in fronting in country in extremely high um
- 23:23Speaker 1: like defense potentials from Ukrainian soldiers and even Ukrainian citizens
- 23:28Speaker 1: since nobody wants Russian peace as they called it on
- 23:32Speaker 1: Ukrainian land. So uh, there is a defense. But unfortunately
- 23:37Speaker 1: there are no safe places in Ukraine no matter which
- 23:40Speaker 1: region you are staying. Uh. Rockets are coming all over Ukraine,
- 23:46Speaker 1: in every city in every region, since we don't have
- 23:51Speaker 1: like a close sky upon Ukraine, so there are no
- 23:55Speaker 1: safe houses, no safe cities. You have. We here every
- 24:00Speaker 1: day at least three times the sirens that are asking
- 24:05Speaker 1: us to go underground because the strike is coming on.
- 24:07Speaker 1: And this is happening everywhere on all teratory of Ukraine.
- 24:11Speaker 1: If we are going down to to to to to
- 24:15Speaker 1: defend against possible miss missile strikes from Russia to Ukraine.
- 24:21Speaker 1: About ground forces of Russia, well there is always bottles,
- 24:26Speaker 1: but intensity of it has lowered. But we have really
- 24:32Speaker 1: high risk areas such is varrieable that our archive and
- 24:36Speaker 1: those cities are being suffered from the strikes from the
- 24:41Speaker 1: Russian side, that it's actually destroying the city almost to
- 24:44Speaker 1: the ground. Well, we are afraid. What what what? What's
- 24:47Speaker 1: the feeling in Ukraine about how this may progress? This
- 24:50Speaker 1: it's going to be a siege type of situation. Are
- 24:54Speaker 1: you guys preparing for the long term? What's the feeling
- 24:56Speaker 1: within Ukraine? Uh? First of all all you have to
- 25:00Speaker 1: understand that every Ukrainian things that this work is one
- 25:05Speaker 1: right now, we we won this world. We didn't we
- 25:08Speaker 1: we didn't didn't die it, we didn't gone anywhere. We
- 25:12Speaker 1: understand that right now we are just burging the most uh,
- 25:16Speaker 1: the better conditions from Russia side, unfortunately, because they just
- 25:21Speaker 1: have to leave and leave Ukrainian territories to Ukraine. But
- 25:25Speaker 1: unfortunately the Russia doesn't have the possibility to do this.
- 25:30Speaker 1: I think that this work will will come over since
- 25:35Speaker 1: the Russia as empire will self destruct. We we have
- 25:40Speaker 1: showed to the world that Russia is not power so
- 25:44Speaker 1: powerful it was they was like pretending to be uh,
- 25:49Speaker 1: and Russians from inside they started to see that actually uh,
- 25:54Speaker 1: the aggressor they not Ukraine, that we are just defended defended.
- 25:59Speaker 1: Now the more Christian freedom and this is not a
- 26:02Speaker 1: war between Darsia and Ukraine. This is a war between
- 26:05Speaker 1: civilized war the Euros, Russia A thank you very much
- 26:10Speaker 1: forgiving us your time. We really appreciate it. I wish
- 26:13Speaker 1: we had some more time at Vallee Covenko. Thanks for
- 26:16Speaker 1: listening to the Bloomberg Markets podcast. You can subscribe and
- 26:20Speaker 1: listen to interviews of Apple Podcasts or whatever podcast platform
- 26:24Speaker 1: you prefer. I'm Matt Miller. I'm on Twitter at Matt
- 26:27Speaker 1: Miller three. On Fall Sweeney, I'm on Twitter at pt
- 26:31Speaker 1: Sweeney Before the podcast. You can always catch us worldwide
- 26:34Speaker 1: at Bloomberg Radio