Latest / INSIGHT TODAY / 'This is a BANKRUPT ideology' National security expert
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Welcome back to America now for something completely different. As
- 0:04Speaker 1: they used to say on Monty Python. I love that show.
- 0:07Speaker 1: Our dear friend Robert Greenway. He's not with the senior
- 0:11Speaker 1: vice president the American Global Strategies and former National Security
- 0:15Speaker 1: Council Senior Director Prince barchitect of the Abraham Accords, and
- 0:20Speaker 1: really a sharp guy in my friend Robert, the strait
- 0:24Speaker 1: of Horn Mooz, nuclear weapons, this and so forth. You know,
- 0:28Speaker 1: I have a question for you. I've read this book.
- 0:31Speaker 1: It's not an easy read, Islamic Government, written by the
- 0:35Speaker 1: Iolakomany right before he came back in the revolution to Iran.
- 0:42Speaker 1: How many people do you think in government have read
- 0:44Speaker 1: this book. I don't think anybody's read this book. From
- 0:46Speaker 1: what I'm listening to, this man believes God has put
- 0:51Speaker 1: him on a mission. This man believes that they must
- 0:54Speaker 1: conquer the world. This man makes it clear that Iran
- 0:58Speaker 1: is nothing but a launching point. And this man makes
- 1:02Speaker 1: it clear that he hates the United States more than
- 1:05Speaker 1: any other country in the face Europe because of our
- 1:08Speaker 1: success as a Western power. And he makes it clear
- 1:11Speaker 1: he's not going to make any deals. And I don't
- 1:13Speaker 1: think his successors are going to make any deals that
- 1:15Speaker 1: are going to hold unless they want them to hold
- 1:18Speaker 1: for a short period of time. As a matter of tactic,
- 1:21Speaker 1: What do you make of all this?
- 1:23Speaker 2: Always good to be with you, Mark, and you're right
- 1:25Speaker 2: to read our adversary's viewpoints in literature. It's striking how
- 1:28Speaker 2: often they are clear in their goals and objectives and
- 1:32Speaker 2: how often they're discounted. To answer your direct question, I
- 1:35Speaker 2: suspect very few are even aware, let alone familiar with
- 1:38Speaker 2: the content of his thoughts and the structure of our
- 1:41Speaker 2: adversary's government system if there's any consolation in it, and
- 1:44Speaker 2: it's small but significant, very few, I think in the
- 1:47Speaker 2: Iranian system are familiar with it, and those that are
- 1:49Speaker 2: are fairly confident. It's a bankrupt ideology. It had very
- 1:52Speaker 2: little support and purchase ultimately among clerics, and that's what
- 1:55Speaker 2: it's about the rule of clerics, the supremacy of jurisprudence
- 1:59Speaker 2: over the rest of the form of government, and the
- 2:01Speaker 2: theocracy in its ultimate form and manifestation. But very few
- 2:05Speaker 2: and around now have support for this bankrupt ieology, and
- 2:09Speaker 2: the government itself has very little credibility, and that ultimately
- 2:12Speaker 2: will probably lead to the collapse of the regime. It's
- 2:14Speaker 2: just difficult to predict when and what specific circumstances.
- 2:18Speaker 1: The collapse of the regime. Are we trying to collapse
- 2:22Speaker 1: the regime?
- 2:23Speaker 2: I don't think the president's express intent is to bring
- 2:25Speaker 2: about collapse, but I think his goal is to put
- 2:28Speaker 2: them in a position in which they're no longer able
- 2:30Speaker 2: to threaten our interest our vital interests, nor those of
- 2:32Speaker 2: our partners and allies, including freedom of navigation and the
- 2:35Speaker 2: stability of global energy markets. And that was consistent in
- 2:38Speaker 2: the first administration. So I think that he is content
- 2:42Speaker 2: with ensuring they no longer have the means and the opportunity,
- 2:45Speaker 2: recognizing they'll always have the motive in the end. I
- 2:48Speaker 2: don't think he seeks to push them to the point
- 2:51Speaker 2: of collapse and regime change, but ultimately I think that
- 2:54Speaker 2: train is in motion, and I suspect that they may
- 2:57Speaker 2: not survive the transition in the next two years.
- 3:00Speaker 1: Now, my question to you is this, if that's not
- 3:04Speaker 1: our goal, but you think that may happen anyway in
- 3:07Speaker 1: the next two years, if you were in charge, would
- 3:11Speaker 1: you arm the Iranian people? I mean, that's the Reagan
- 3:15Speaker 1: doctor and it had an enormously positive impact for the
- 3:19Speaker 1: free world in our country. What would you do? You
- 3:21Speaker 1: would just do what we're doing and then cut a
- 3:23Speaker 1: deal in the Strait and nukes and get out and
- 3:26Speaker 1: assume that they'll collapse. What would you do?
- 3:29Speaker 2: I think it makes sense to confront the regime in
- 3:31Speaker 2: Tehran with as many dilemmas as possible. The goal should
- 3:34Speaker 2: be to deny them the material capacity to threaten US,
- 3:37Speaker 2: to make sure that they no longer a missile program,
- 3:40Speaker 2: the umbrella of which provided them the ability to develop
- 3:42Speaker 2: a nuclear program, and both of which of course intersect
- 3:46Speaker 2: at intercontinental ballistic missiles. They should also be denied the
- 3:49Speaker 2: ability to leverage their surrogates and proxies like Isbella or
- 3:52Speaker 2: the Huthis in Yemen or the Hostel Shabi in Iraq.
- 3:56Speaker 2: But ultimately, I think the dilemma of arming Iranian factions
- 3:59Speaker 2: that are opposed to the government is logical, and in
- 4:03Speaker 2: the end of the day, will probably be required to
- 4:05Speaker 2: present the government in Tehran with an irresistible force that
- 4:10Speaker 2: which they cannot reconcile. Now, I think that that is
- 4:13Speaker 2: a difficult proposition. The President's been reluctant to do it,
- 4:16Speaker 2: but I think he's entertained the idea, I would counsel
- 4:20Speaker 2: that it merits the consideration, and I would think that
- 4:23Speaker 2: it's actually a very easy thing to do, and I
- 4:25Speaker 2: think we could also mitigate the associated risk that many
- 4:27Speaker 2: are concerned with.
- 4:28Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I know you think. I think you're right.
- 4:30Speaker 1: I mean, we've done it before, and we were up
- 4:34Speaker 1: against the Soviet Union, with all due respect to others
- 4:37Speaker 1: out there, that was a tougher, tougher enemy than this enemy.
- 4:41Speaker 1: People need to remember how powerful that military was, how
- 4:45Speaker 1: long that Soviet Union was in existence, the resources that
- 4:49Speaker 1: had had, the satellites that it had, and the Reagan
- 4:54Speaker 1: doctrine was victory victory, not deton victory. And you're right,
- 4:59Speaker 1: it didn't happen immediately, just like this may not happen immediately.
- 5:04Speaker 1: But there are buttons. Again, you're right, in my view,
- 5:06Speaker 1: there are buttons you can push to start the process.
- 5:09Speaker 1: But one of them is arming the people who are resisting,
- 5:13Speaker 1: who want to rise up, who want to overthrow. I mean,
- 5:15Speaker 1: tens of thousands of them were murdered when they were
- 5:18Speaker 1: just out there with their fists and so forth, and
- 5:20Speaker 1: so on. We'll be right back.
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