Latest / Masters in Business / An Interview With Arthur Samberg: Masters in Business (Audio)
Transcript
- 0:03Speaker 1: This is Masters in Business with Barry Ridholds on Bloomberg Radio.
- 0:08Speaker 1: This week on our Masters in Business podcast, I actually
- 0:12Speaker 1: have a really special guest. I know I said that
- 0:15Speaker 1: every week and you guys make fun of me, but
- 0:17Speaker 1: this is a really special guest. His name is arts Hamburg.
- 0:22Speaker 1: He is a legend amongst both hedge funds and venture
- 0:27Speaker 1: capital investors. Uh. He has a phenomenal track record. When
- 0:31Speaker 1: he began his hedge fund was one of less than
- 0:35Speaker 1: a hundred funds that were in existence, and he briefly
- 0:39Speaker 1: he tells the story how he gets a call from
- 0:41Speaker 1: the Wolf Street Journal to find out that his hedge
- 0:44Speaker 1: funds is apparently George Soros had retired and um Julian
- 0:50Speaker 1: Robertson had retired, and suddenly he's running the biggest hedge
- 0:53Speaker 1: fund in the world at the time. And not not
- 0:56Speaker 1: that that was his designer is focus, but it just
- 0:59Speaker 1: kind of happened. He's a fascinating guy. His his literally
- 1:03Speaker 1: a rocket scientist, an aeronautical engineer who used to work
- 1:07Speaker 1: on on missiles and satellites and things like that before
- 1:10Speaker 1: he moved to Wall Street. He tells some of those
- 1:12Speaker 1: stories and they're quite fascinating. Our conversation about venture capital
- 1:17Speaker 1: investing in the areas he's looking into is really quite amazing.
- 1:23Speaker 1: And you know, you guys by now know, I'm not
- 1:26Speaker 1: afraid to talk. Most of the time during this conversation,
- 1:30Speaker 1: we're just sitting I'm just lobbing questions and listening UM
- 1:34Speaker 1: in rapt attentions as to what he said. It wasn't
- 1:37Speaker 1: until later in the podcast I actually come out of
- 1:40Speaker 1: my shell. But UM, the elephant in the room is
- 1:44Speaker 1: you know, it's public knowledge. Uh, there was an SEC investigation,
- 1:49Speaker 1: it was started, it finished, it reopened again. Ultimately he
- 1:54Speaker 1: ended up settling without admitting or denying. UM, paid a
- 1:58Speaker 1: twenty eight million dollar five I think it is, and
- 2:01Speaker 1: and as the SEC tends to do, had him sign
- 2:04Speaker 1: a non disclosure agreement or or something to that effect.
- 2:08Speaker 1: So we really couldn't get into that in great detail. UM,
- 2:12Speaker 1: but I did bring it up, and he did respond,
- 2:15Speaker 1: I thought, in a rather forthright way, as much as
- 2:19Speaker 1: he's allowed to say. He said, UM, really interesting guy,
- 2:24Speaker 1: fascinating background, and some of the stories he tells are
- 2:28Speaker 1: they're just amazing. So sit back and brace yourself for
- 2:33Speaker 1: our couple of hours with Art Samberg. This is Masters
- 2:41Speaker 1: in Business with Barry Ridholts on Bloomberg Radio. This week
- 2:45Speaker 1: on Masters in Business, I have a very special guest.
- 2:48Speaker 1: His name is Art Samberg, and he's been running various
- 2:52Speaker 1: hedge funds and venture capital funds for a good couple
- 2:55Speaker 1: of decades, posting fairly spectacular returns. I'm only gonna have
- 3:00Speaker 1: a short version of your CV because it will take
- 3:03Speaker 1: up the whole segment. Otherwise launched a hedge fund. Uh,
- 3:07Speaker 1: it was Samberg, Dawson, Samberg, not Dawson and the originally
- 3:11Speaker 1: back in eighties six, back when there was fifty hedge
- 3:15Speaker 1: funds something. That's the number I made up, but it's
- 3:17Speaker 1: under a hundred. It was a small number of hedge funds.
- 3:20Speaker 1: Put it returns over the life of his funds of
- 3:23Speaker 1: almost And the interesting thing about Mr Sandberg doesn't come
- 3:28Speaker 1: from the traditional business economic background. Undergraduate bachelors of science
- 3:35Speaker 1: and aeronautics and astronautics from m I T and then
- 3:38Speaker 1: a master's degree in those subjects from Stanford, So really
- 3:42Speaker 1: you're a rocket science you were rocket science no longer
- 3:45Speaker 1: I am, and then you end up getting your NBA
- 3:48Speaker 1: from Columbia. We'll talk a little bit about some of
- 3:50Speaker 1: your classmates at Columbia. There's some really interesting stories there. Uh.
- 3:55Speaker 1: You currently are the chairman of the m I T
- 3:58Speaker 1: I'm sorry sits the board of advisors of the m
- 4:01Speaker 1: I T Energy and UM Initiative, and you were chairman
- 4:05Speaker 1: of the m I T Investment Management Company. I sit
- 4:09Speaker 1: on the executive committee UM, and I'm very very involved
- 4:13Speaker 1: in the school. There's so many other things and so
- 4:15Speaker 1: many other titles you have. You're very active in philanthropy
- 4:18Speaker 1: and a variety of other things. We'll get into that
- 4:20Speaker 1: as the show goes on. Let me just start by saying,
- 4:23Speaker 1: welcome to bloom Buck. It's great to be here. Thank you, Verry.
- 4:26Speaker 1: So first I have to ask you were at Lockheed
- 4:32Speaker 1: Missile and Space Company in San Francisco, You come to
- 4:35Speaker 1: New York, you get your NBA from Colombia, and then
- 4:38Speaker 1: you end up working as a security analyst at Kidder Peabody.
- 4:42Speaker 1: How do you transition from literally rocket scientists to financial analyst. UM,
- 4:48Speaker 1: you gotta follow your passion. You've got to follow your
- 4:50Speaker 1: competitive advantage. And UM I quickly found out that I
- 4:54Speaker 1: could solve the equations, but I had no idea what
- 4:56Speaker 1: was really going on. UM. I worked in missilante aitude
- 5:00Speaker 1: control UM. So these were defined. So we were the
- 5:05Speaker 1: US launches rockets, UM. Satellites come off of those. I
- 5:09Speaker 1: looked down on Russia back then, UM, and they have
- 5:12Speaker 1: infrared sensors and they find out where, uh, the Russians
- 5:16Speaker 1: are launching rockets, and there's a lot of orbital mechanics.
- 5:20Speaker 1: And I could solid equations, but did I really have
- 5:23Speaker 1: any clue as to what was actually going on? I
- 5:25Speaker 1: quickly found out that I did not. So you go
- 5:27Speaker 1: to kid A Peabody, you're covering aerospace and and those sorts.
- 5:31Speaker 1: It's so interesting how I made the transition. I I
- 5:34Speaker 1: wasn't going to go to graduate school, but Locke would
- 5:37Speaker 1: pay for it, so I said, sure, you're gonna pay
- 5:39Speaker 1: for it, I'll do it. So I went to Stanford, UH.
- 5:41Speaker 1: And it was during the day, and on the way
- 5:42Speaker 1: back I would stop off at a brokerage office. And
- 5:44Speaker 1: it was the time when comp Compsat went public. That's
- 5:48Speaker 1: something I know something about the sties. I got out
- 5:51Speaker 1: of m I T and sixty two and I was
- 5:54Speaker 1: working as an engineer from sixty two sixty five. Someplace
- 5:57Speaker 1: in that time period, comps At law as the company
- 6:00Speaker 1: goes public. Uh, and I'm fascinating. It's like, my goodness,
- 6:04Speaker 1: all the stuff that I know, I can apply it
- 6:06Speaker 1: to I can real money. Um, as opposed to supposed
- 6:10Speaker 1: you're working my way up the engineering ladder where I
- 6:13Speaker 1: had no illusion that I would ever be great. That
- 6:16Speaker 1: was a good middle class job. But you're never going
- 6:18Speaker 1: to My dad was an electrician. UM, so you were
- 6:23Speaker 1: making more money than your dad when you're so, then
- 6:27Speaker 1: how did you go from there to Columbia? Um? Because
- 6:30Speaker 1: my wife needed to get a job teaching school in
- 6:35Speaker 1: New York any place, and the only place I knew
- 6:37Speaker 1: for sure you could get one was back in New
- 6:39Speaker 1: York because I people. So you go to Columbia and
- 6:44Speaker 1: this is a rumor, and you have to tell me
- 6:46Speaker 1: if this is true. Used to car pool to Columbia
- 6:49Speaker 1: with two guys named Mario Ga Belly and Lee Cooperman.
- 6:52Speaker 1: It's no rumor, it's the actually truth. That's a that's
- 6:55Speaker 1: a lot of intellectual firepower. Learned more in the car
- 6:58Speaker 1: pool than I did at school. Don't tell, don't tell
- 7:02Speaker 1: the school. I said that I cod share the board.
- 7:04Speaker 1: By the way, the school that you're you're dissing right now.
- 7:08Speaker 1: You made the biggest donation in their history to their
- 7:12Speaker 1: to their graduate program. It's been exceeded by a couple
- 7:16Speaker 1: of other guys now, but people, it was a large no.
- 7:19Speaker 1: I I My my success in life is UM is
- 7:24Speaker 1: taking UM a decent expertise in technology and combining with
- 7:29Speaker 1: finance and trying to apply those two things to help
- 7:32Speaker 1: companies aggregate capital um and grow and create jobs. And
- 7:36Speaker 1: so I'm one of those guys who believes in all
- 7:39Speaker 1: of that good stuff? Are there many people who don't
- 7:41Speaker 1: believe a lot of people who don't. I think people
- 7:44Speaker 1: believe it, they just get offended by some of the
- 7:46Speaker 1: gross excesses that occasionally erupt. I think they're also jealous
- 7:52Speaker 1: UM there's there's possible and possibly that. So so one
- 7:57Speaker 1: of the things we've had Lee Cooperman on, I know
- 7:59Speaker 1: you guys are friendly. One of the things that Lee
- 8:02Speaker 1: talked about was how he developed his deep value framework
- 8:08Speaker 1: from Colombia. What was your experience like? UM? My experience
- 8:12Speaker 1: was I was the antithesis of deep value. M I
- 8:16Speaker 1: remember Mario Lee and I, Uh, well, Mario and I
- 8:21Speaker 1: took a course from Roger Murray, who was the guy
- 8:24Speaker 1: reinstituted the value investing stuff at Columbia. He got he
- 8:28Speaker 1: got one grade higher than I did because it was
- 8:30Speaker 1: analysis of a company where it turned out that the
- 8:32Speaker 1: really key factor was the old man who found it
- 8:34Speaker 1: was going to die and then value would be created,
- 8:37Speaker 1: which Mario was fantastic at. I thought that was disgusting.
- 8:41Speaker 1: I mean, I really am interested in people who were
- 8:43Speaker 1: alive and doing things. You care about the technology you
- 8:46Speaker 1: have the physics. I care about solving the world's problems
- 8:51Speaker 1: and getting rich while doing it, because I think the
- 8:54Speaker 1: two actually do work together well. Many people who have
- 8:57Speaker 1: created solutions to pernicious problems have not only helped society
- 9:02Speaker 1: but created a tremendous amount of wealth. I think that's
- 9:04Speaker 1: the americanay, and I think it's phenomenal. You're listening to
- 9:07Speaker 1: Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio. We're speaking with Art Sandberg.
- 9:11Speaker 1: He is the founder of Peaquad Capital Management and now
- 9:15Speaker 1: he's running Hawks Financial venture capital and Hawks is a
- 9:21Speaker 1: umbrella family office venture capital and stuff. But we do
- 9:25Speaker 1: have a fun though that my older son is now
- 9:27Speaker 1: the managing partner. We call it a Katia Woods uh
- 9:30Speaker 1: and it's increasingly showing up in the holding of some
- 9:33Speaker 1: very interesting companies. So that's that's fascinating. Let's talk about UM.
- 9:39Speaker 1: We mentioned earlier less than a hundred hedge funds when
- 9:42Speaker 1: you launched, and and the fund returned a rather smart
- 9:48Speaker 1: by the way, that's very similar to Lee Cooperman's returns seventent.
- 9:53Speaker 1: Lee is a great friend. Mine is better. I think
- 9:56Speaker 1: you're about half a percent well, And I will say,
- 9:59Speaker 1: because you know, I believe that numbers are numbers, and
- 10:02Speaker 1: you're full with numbers. I was, you know, I did
- 10:04Speaker 1: go to M I T. But my first year I
- 10:06Speaker 1: was down. You were down about you were to adjust
- 10:11Speaker 1: it like most people have first years when they were
- 10:16Speaker 1: and then the money pours in, and then depending on
- 10:19Speaker 1: you came in, you might not have even made money
- 10:21Speaker 1: with one of these guys with a great record. The
- 10:24Speaker 1: not true here. The dollar adjusted returns, not the time
- 10:28Speaker 1: weighted returns for a lot of big funds are awful
- 10:32Speaker 1: because they were putting up returns with twenty million dollars.
- 10:36Speaker 1: Then they're at forty five billion and they lose a third,
- 10:39Speaker 1: So net net, over time there are a dollar loser.
- 10:42Speaker 1: But percentage wise, UM on a time weighted basis, I've
- 10:46Speaker 1: never had the chance to say this before, but that
- 10:49Speaker 1: is absolutely not the case of QUI so you with
- 10:53Speaker 1: down And one of your quotes that I really like
- 10:57Speaker 1: was you learn more from your disappointments then you do
- 11:00Speaker 1: from your successes. Success feeds on success, and people are
- 11:06Speaker 1: there to tell you how wonderful you are. People don't
- 11:09Speaker 1: really unless money attracts. Money is used to and I
- 11:14Speaker 1: never understood it until a few years ago, and and
- 11:17Speaker 1: and and if you if you do that for a
- 11:19Speaker 1: long enough period of time, my belief, um, clearly my
- 11:23Speaker 1: belief is that people then want to start to tell
- 11:25Speaker 1: your down. They either want to continue to build you
- 11:27Speaker 1: up or tell you down, and there become a high
- 11:30Speaker 1: profile target. So, um, you're not going to hear a
- 11:33Speaker 1: lot of things you believe about what you're doing wrong
- 11:36Speaker 1: when you're doing right. Um, but you are doing things wrong.
- 11:40Speaker 1: And and then if you just go into a shell
- 11:43Speaker 1: and you don't realize and self analyze and you know,
- 11:47Speaker 1: really look carefully at what you did and why it failed, um,
- 11:51Speaker 1: you will not do well. So after I was down,
- 11:53Speaker 1: because that was the crash of eight seven, and it
- 11:56Speaker 1: was you had launched what Yes, so you did worse
- 12:01Speaker 1: than the crash. Uh. It was one day the market
- 12:06Speaker 1: was up almost and ended up returning for the year.
- 12:11Speaker 1: That was a big, big down draft, which it was
- 12:13Speaker 1: brutal UM. And I remember having because I I when
- 12:17Speaker 1: I started the fund it was in small companies that
- 12:20Speaker 1: were overlooked that could become big companies. Those are exactly
- 12:24Speaker 1: the kind of illiquid positions got creamed and so I
- 12:28Speaker 1: ended up having Assuming that I was going to get redemptions,
- 12:31Speaker 1: I had a call companies and say, would you buy
- 12:33Speaker 1: my stock? Um? That is, if anybody who knows anything
- 12:36Speaker 1: about anything, that is not a good way to UH
- 12:39Speaker 1: to execute a cell program. But there were no other buyers,
- 12:42Speaker 1: so I got smoked UM and I so I was
- 12:46Speaker 1: up three percent for my stub period in eighty six
- 12:49Speaker 1: and I was down six I can't remember percent in
- 12:53Speaker 1: eighty seven, but then it came roaring back. So what
- 12:56Speaker 1: was what was the subsequent couple of years? So in
- 12:58Speaker 1: other words, you put up eighteen almost eighteen percent a
- 13:02Speaker 1: year despite starting from that. So if you were to
- 13:05Speaker 1: just do the simple math, it would take it up
- 13:08Speaker 1: probably closer if you backed out that over UM the
- 13:13Speaker 1: next few years we're up twenty up seventy five it's
- 13:18Speaker 1: just you know, crazy numbers right in the late eighties
- 13:21Speaker 1: up seventies, starting in back in eighty nine, UM, and
- 13:27Speaker 1: then and then I can imagine were just insane. What
- 13:33Speaker 1: sort of numbers were you doing those? Yes, you know.
- 13:38Speaker 1: But one of the things that did Pequa was to
- 13:41Speaker 1: realize that because because I was sort of the first
- 13:44Speaker 1: guy to really specialized in technology investing as as a
- 13:48Speaker 1: hedge fund. Really yeah, without a doubt, and I sector funds,
- 13:53Speaker 1: and I had I had a great partner, Dan Benton,
- 13:57Speaker 1: who who then took over the technology she stuff, because
- 14:00Speaker 1: I thought I had brought her background in the whole
- 14:03Speaker 1: business and I can run the business and everything else.
- 14:05Speaker 1: And he had a hundred percent year. I had a
- 14:07Speaker 1: healthcare fund that was up that time period. UM, we
- 14:12Speaker 1: started an energy fund UM. So we had sector funds,
- 14:15Speaker 1: and I devised a way for me to manage increasing
- 14:18Speaker 1: amounts of money by using those talents and bringing him
- 14:21Speaker 1: into the fund while I'm still doing trying to do
- 14:23Speaker 1: research myself. In the early days of the fund, someone
- 14:27Speaker 1: had written and I don't remember where I'm quoting this from,
- 14:31Speaker 1: that it was over fifteen billion dollars and kept growing
- 14:35Speaker 1: and at the time that made it the biggest hedge
- 14:37Speaker 1: fund in the world. Is that true? You wake up
- 14:40Speaker 1: and and you wake up to unexpected news every once
- 14:43Speaker 1: in a while, and that's happened to me more than
- 14:44Speaker 1: once in my life. But the unexpected news in this
- 14:47Speaker 1: case was in the spring of two thousand. UM, we
- 14:52Speaker 1: had a PR firm, and the PR firm calls and says, Um,
- 14:55Speaker 1: the Wall Street Journal, UM is going to do a story,
- 14:59Speaker 1: uh on hedge funds now that George Soros and Julian
- 15:04Speaker 1: Robertson have decided to close down to the outside investors.
- 15:08Speaker 1: And they have determined that you were the largest hedge
- 15:10Speaker 1: funds in the world and clients at that point, sir
- 15:13Speaker 1: and and and they will do the article, UM with
- 15:17Speaker 1: or without your input. UM, and we suggest you probably
- 15:20Speaker 1: should tell you're in the part of the story. I
- 15:22Speaker 1: don't think anybody really, I mean, people on Wall Street
- 15:25Speaker 1: knew who peak what was But I I don't like publicity.
- 15:28Speaker 1: I like to just live my life, do my thing,
- 15:31Speaker 1: give back. I believe I do give back. UM. And
- 15:35Speaker 1: I'm not out for self and grand grandizement. And uh
- 15:39Speaker 1: So we were unknown and then all of a sudden,
- 15:41Speaker 1: on a Monday morning, or Tuesday. Bang, there it was,
- 15:45Speaker 1: and my life changed really in what ways? No, nothing positive.
- 15:51Speaker 1: So hence the low profile is the better way to go.
- 15:54Speaker 1: I've tried to maintain that ever since. And as you know, Barry,
- 15:57Speaker 1: that was one of my reluctance is about doing this.
- 15:59Speaker 1: I do know and and for listeners, I've been chasing
- 16:02Speaker 1: Art down for the better part of a year and
- 16:05Speaker 1: Um after our conversation with Lee Cooperman, Lee eventually convinced you, oh,
- 16:10Speaker 1: this guy isn't that bad. You should come to so
- 16:13Speaker 1: so far, so good. You're listening to Masters in Business
- 16:16Speaker 1: on Bloomberg Radio. My guest today is Art Sandberg. He
- 16:20Speaker 1: is a former rocket scientist who became an analyst, hedge
- 16:25Speaker 1: fund manager, and venture capitalist. Let's talk a little bit
- 16:28Speaker 1: about your methodology, because we've already identified you're not a
- 16:32Speaker 1: deep value investor like your friends Lee and Mario Um,
- 16:37Speaker 1: Lee Cooperman and Mario Gavelli. What is your methodology when
- 16:41Speaker 1: you're looking at either a public stock that you're thinking
- 16:44Speaker 1: about buying or a private company that you're thinking about
- 16:48Speaker 1: investing in. UM, it sort of starts from the same
- 16:54Speaker 1: It starts from the same basis, which is what kind
- 16:57Speaker 1: of change is possible. What kind of change can you
- 17:01Speaker 1: find that is being implemented by smart people? UM. It
- 17:05Speaker 1: becomes more difficult obviously as UM a trend goes on
- 17:09Speaker 1: and as you become larger in size, you can't you
- 17:11Speaker 1: really can't establish those positions. UM. But initially my my
- 17:16Speaker 1: my fund was set up to invest in market caps
- 17:18Speaker 1: if you can believe this in this day and age.
- 17:20Speaker 1: But we're talking thirty years ago now of market caps
- 17:23Speaker 1: under under two hundred million dollars, uh, YadA YadA ya.
- 17:26Speaker 1: And then of course it changed thirty years ago into
- 17:29Speaker 1: two hundred million dollars today. That's still thousands of companies,
- 17:34Speaker 1: but they trade by appointment. There's not a lot of
- 17:37Speaker 1: liquidity of it, which is the only kind of things
- 17:40Speaker 1: that owned my personal account right now. And I won't
- 17:42Speaker 1: talk about any of those. But I'm back to back
- 17:47Speaker 1: to being able to do what I first did when
- 17:49Speaker 1: I UM, when you started the business, UM, you know, UH,
- 17:53Speaker 1: creating alpha through that cycle UM becomes difficult. UM. And
- 17:58Speaker 1: and so that approach that I described, UM, you have
- 18:02Speaker 1: to evolve into a master of markets, as it were,
- 18:06Speaker 1: to be able to go short and know how to
- 18:08Speaker 1: use derivatives appropriately match. You know the cost of doing
- 18:12Speaker 1: that to um the potential upside, and that's become increasingly
- 18:17Speaker 1: difficult for practitioners these days. And the results quite honestly
- 18:21Speaker 1: have been pretty pretty mediocre. When we look at the
- 18:25Speaker 1: small cap there are guys like David Booth of Dimensional Funds.
- 18:28Speaker 1: You've created a very nice business focusing on the small
- 18:33Speaker 1: cap um advantage. The fact that you actually see out
- 18:37Speaker 1: performance from smaller caps UM versus the big well followed.
- 18:43Speaker 1: There's an inefficiency amongst small caps that leads to I
- 18:46Speaker 1: think there's growing inefficiency UM because we all know what's
- 18:51Speaker 1: happened to employment in the brokerage industry, all know how
- 18:53Speaker 1: many companies are followed that's declining all the time. The
- 18:57Speaker 1: economics aren't there with the regulation um, they're burdens on
- 19:01Speaker 1: the company's plus the financial companies to follow them UM.
- 19:04Speaker 1: So the value is definitely there. The problem is that
- 19:07Speaker 1: nobody knows when you're gonna get paid for that value.
- 19:09Speaker 1: If David has managed to harvest some of these, more
- 19:12Speaker 1: power to them. But some of the guys now Dimensional Funds,
- 19:18Speaker 1: maybe they buy a position to everything, don't they they
- 19:22Speaker 1: have a quantitative model. They end up holding these things forever.
- 19:26Speaker 1: I wouldn't say everything they run through a number of screens.
- 19:28Speaker 1: Oh no, I'm not but detegrating what they do. Basically,
- 19:31Speaker 1: it's very different than the model I'm talking about. For sure,
- 19:35Speaker 1: I'm trying to identify winners. Um and they're in my experience,
- 19:39Speaker 1: like there aren't that many winners. So you mentioned earlier
- 19:43Speaker 1: you're running your own assets as opposed to when you
- 19:46Speaker 1: were running other people's money. How does that universe difference?
- 19:50Speaker 1: What's what's it like running your own money versus what
- 19:52Speaker 1: you have to deal with when you have outside of this.
- 19:54Speaker 1: It's very simple. You don't have to report, Okay, I
- 19:57Speaker 1: do have to report to uh I have to son,
- 20:00Speaker 1: so I do it with um and I have a
- 20:02Speaker 1: daughter who runs our family foundation. She and my wife.
- 20:05Speaker 1: Um So, in our family, the males make the moneys,
- 20:08Speaker 1: and the females or social conscience and and and and
- 20:12Speaker 1: help us give it back. Um So, my boss is
- 20:15Speaker 1: really the women in the Sandburry clan. Okay. They expect
- 20:19Speaker 1: that I will always perform, I will perform well, and
- 20:21Speaker 1: we will do great, great deeds for the world. Um So,
- 20:25Speaker 1: you still like have other other investors to to answer to.
- 20:29Speaker 1: But I I can deal with that because they are
- 20:31Speaker 1: in my family. So it's a little it's a little easier.
- 20:34Speaker 1: It's so easier. So we were talking about the increased
- 20:37Speaker 1: regulatory environment and how things have changed from when you
- 20:41Speaker 1: launched thirty years ago. Could you launch a fund today?
- 20:44Speaker 1: How what let's say, hypothetically you're right out of business
- 20:47Speaker 1: school today, what would it be like launching a fund
- 20:50Speaker 1: in this environment? Well, I guess in some ways it's easy.
- 20:53Speaker 1: Well talking about today today, UM, I don't really know
- 20:58Speaker 1: because I haven't been then involved or involved at all.
- 21:01Speaker 1: But um, at the peak of my success, it was
- 21:05Speaker 1: simple for anybody to raise a fund. I mean, everybody
- 21:07Speaker 1: was looking for the next great manager and they throw
- 21:09Speaker 1: money at him with fat return you know, return profiles
- 21:13Speaker 1: for for the manager. Um. I think that welcome has
- 21:16Speaker 1: been worn out. You know, that welcome has been worn out.
- 21:20Speaker 1: So now I think, if you don't have a nest egg, um,
- 21:24Speaker 1: you're not gonna make it. So you better have made
- 21:26Speaker 1: some money um before and put it at risk in
- 21:30Speaker 1: doing what you're doing. I certainly did that back when,
- 21:34Speaker 1: because if you're down, you can't really pay your bills,
- 21:38Speaker 1: so you better you better have something to live on
- 21:40Speaker 1: and then decide whether you really want to take the
- 21:42Speaker 1: risk for your family and everything. Um going forward. Um,
- 21:46Speaker 1: I think you went through a whole generation of people
- 21:49Speaker 1: who didn't have that risk. They just we're having money
- 21:52Speaker 1: thrown at them. Uh. And now there's a sorting out
- 21:55Speaker 1: process going on. So I think it's it's much more
- 21:57Speaker 1: difficult right now to sort of fund You're listening a
- 22:00Speaker 1: Master's in Business on Bloomberg Radio. My guest this week
- 22:03Speaker 1: is Art Sandberg, probably best known for pe Quad Management,
- 22:07Speaker 1: although he has been a well regarded venture capitalist and
- 22:12Speaker 1: philanthropist over the years. Let's talk about running a business.
- 22:16Speaker 1: What it's like to run an investment management business. I
- 22:21Speaker 1: some time ago read a speech you had given and
- 22:23Speaker 1: you had talked about how challenging it is to find
- 22:28Speaker 1: and hire the best people. M what why? Why? How
- 22:33Speaker 1: significant is that and why is that such a challenge
- 22:37Speaker 1: to an investment firm. Um, it's a challenge because um, uh,
- 22:44Speaker 1: there are a lot of smart people out there. UM.
- 22:47Speaker 1: So if you meet somebody and you talk to him, UM,
- 22:51Speaker 1: you know you're not gonna think everybody's smart, but you're
- 22:53Speaker 1: gonna think a lot of people are smart. And then
- 22:55Speaker 1: trying to distill down those who appear to be smart
- 22:58Speaker 1: into those who are gonna be really a fair to
- 23:00Speaker 1: be managing money, who are going to be um easy
- 23:03Speaker 1: to live with, because you have to live with these people, UM,
- 23:06Speaker 1: who aren't the kind of guys who become megalomaniacs. And
- 23:10Speaker 1: I think that all the success is due to their
- 23:12Speaker 1: efforts and not because of the team's effort. Very very difficult,
- 23:16Speaker 1: very difficult. How how soon after you make a key
- 23:19Speaker 1: hire do you usually know if you're right or wrong? Um, well,
- 23:23Speaker 1: I won't. I won't do anything that the key higher
- 23:26Speaker 1: um tells me to do on the first recommendation. Um.
- 23:29Speaker 1: I always waiting to see how that works out. Not
- 23:31Speaker 1: because I don't believe in it, but I believe it's
- 23:34Speaker 1: a it's a it's a far better learning example to
- 23:37Speaker 1: pick that one apart about what went wright what went wrong? Um,
- 23:40Speaker 1: so objectively with no money at risk, and and and
- 23:45Speaker 1: and then and then you you progress from there. But um,
- 23:50Speaker 1: the great, the great fortune I had when I started
- 23:53Speaker 1: peak was, UM, I hit a hot streak of hiring
- 23:56Speaker 1: and UM, you know you like to think it's all
- 23:58Speaker 1: because of yourself, but you know I brought in Dan
- 24:01Speaker 1: Benton I brought in Mark Bach, I brought in Peter Dartley,
- 24:04Speaker 1: I brought in Church and Deel I brought it. The
- 24:06Speaker 1: first four hires that I made were spectacular, and then
- 24:11Speaker 1: it gets harder because they hire people and you hire
- 24:14Speaker 1: other people, and all of a sudden, there's a lot
- 24:16Speaker 1: of people, and all of a sudden you're getting bigger,
- 24:18Speaker 1: and all of a sudden you have back office issues,
- 24:20Speaker 1: and all of a sudden, every client wants to talk
- 24:22Speaker 1: to you, and it's just very, very difficult to maintain
- 24:26Speaker 1: your focus. But those are those are good problems. Those
- 24:29Speaker 1: are success. They're great problems. I'd rather have those problems
- 24:33Speaker 1: and not have them. But they are problems, right, Well,
- 24:35Speaker 1: they're better problems than why is the fund doing so poorly?
- 24:38Speaker 1: Why have five of you employees laughed? Why you know
- 24:40Speaker 1: those are bad problems? Yeah, well that's when you get
- 24:42Speaker 1: into the point where so much money is coming into
- 24:44Speaker 1: the consultant's controlled they as they should. I mean, they
- 24:47Speaker 1: have a fiduciary responsibility, but do they I'm not sure
- 24:50Speaker 1: if consultants have a fiduciary response. Um, the consultants don't.
- 24:54Speaker 1: But the boards in hospitals, the boards that educational institutions
- 24:59Speaker 1: whatever they do, and they need the cover of the consultants.
- 25:03Speaker 1: Um uh, not covered is gonna sound worse than it
- 25:08Speaker 1: that I intended. They need the plausible, uh, somebody to
- 25:12Speaker 1: point a finger at when things go wrong. They also
- 25:14Speaker 1: need somebody who's gonna do it full time. I mean
- 25:17Speaker 1: usually the people who are on these committees are very
- 25:20Speaker 1: very busy time. It's not a full time, part time.
- 25:23Speaker 1: They've got very active careers that they're very good at,
- 25:26Speaker 1: and they have to delegate to somebody. So the infrastructure
- 25:30Speaker 1: builds up. Anything that is successful creates either regulators, consultants,
- 25:36Speaker 1: an infrastructure around that activity. That. Um, there's a challenge
- 25:41Speaker 1: to people who are really say dragged on future returns
- 25:45Speaker 1: and operations. It's inevitable. There's no way around that. I
- 25:49Speaker 1: didn't know it's inevitable. I just inevitable, okay. Um. One
- 25:56Speaker 1: of the themes that we've had in the show I'm
- 25:58Speaker 1: Gonna Change Gears on You has been the role of luck,
- 26:01Speaker 1: whether it's in business or investing or even careers. Lee
- 26:05Speaker 1: talked about this, Clivastness talked about this a number of people.
- 26:09Speaker 1: Bill Gross talked about this. What is the role of
- 26:13Speaker 1: luck in in building a firm and making investments. How
- 26:17Speaker 1: does it affect people's professional careers. I'm sure it's a
- 26:22Speaker 1: major Uh, it's it's a major causal effect. But if
- 26:27Speaker 1: you think about it, um, that's the biggest mistake you
- 26:30Speaker 1: can make. I mean I never thought about, boy, am
- 26:33Speaker 1: I lucky? I mean after I had achieved the success,
- 26:37Speaker 1: perhaps I thought that that was lucky. But you know, not, not,
- 26:40Speaker 1: not while I was doing it. While you're doing it,
- 26:42Speaker 1: what are you focused on? Your focus on your core principles?
- 26:45Speaker 1: You know? What? What what is it that you bring
- 26:47Speaker 1: the table as different than other people? How do you, um,
- 26:51Speaker 1: how do you build an organization around you that it
- 26:55Speaker 1: amplifies that that competitive advantage? Um? And stay you know,
- 27:00Speaker 1: and and continue to learn and and and and and
- 27:03Speaker 1: learn from your setbacks all the things we talked about before.
- 27:07Speaker 1: But to think that I don't really believe it was
- 27:10Speaker 1: because of luck. I think it was because I was
- 27:12Speaker 1: I was, I was, I was driven. Um I did
- 27:16Speaker 1: I have setbacks? You better have setbacks. But UM, I
- 27:20Speaker 1: viewed those of setbacks and and things to overcome, not
- 27:23Speaker 1: not like someday I'm gonna get lucky. So I'm gonna
- 27:26Speaker 1: keep keep doing this, so you really have more of
- 27:28Speaker 1: an engineers approach, which is, here's the formula, we're gonna
- 27:31Speaker 1: plug and jug and ultimately you come out with the
- 27:33Speaker 1: conclusion on the other end. So we have the pope
- 27:37Speaker 1: in town. That makes it appropriate to talk a little
- 27:41Speaker 1: bit about charity and giving back. We've we've talked about that, right.
- 27:45Speaker 1: You have a number of philanthropic causes, organizations, you have
- 27:50Speaker 1: your foundation. Let's let's talk a little bit about about that.
- 27:54Speaker 1: First question is what are your philanthropic goals? Um, I
- 28:00Speaker 1: don't know what the goals are. You know, to to
- 28:02Speaker 1: create a better world yet day Yeah yah, but um,
- 28:05Speaker 1: but a lot of this is formed by by by
- 28:07Speaker 1: your life experience. So my life experiences that my grandfather
- 28:10Speaker 1: came over from Russian Poland UM one one was a tailor.
- 28:15Speaker 1: UM my dad, who was very bright guy, was the
- 28:18Speaker 1: oldest five. His father lost his job in the depression
- 28:22Speaker 1: and he ended up becoming an electrician because he had
- 28:24Speaker 1: a support the family. But we you know, it was
- 28:27Speaker 1: it was it was a strong family and my parents
- 28:29Speaker 1: that everything he could to help me get along. And
- 28:31Speaker 1: so I got into m I t um which is
- 28:34Speaker 1: the ultimate in a meritocracy. Um, you you you you,
- 28:38Speaker 1: you do the work, you do well, you don't do
- 28:40Speaker 1: the work. You know. It's I think it's a great institution.
- 28:43Speaker 1: I think I wish, I wish America reflected more more
- 28:46Speaker 1: of its core values. But I realized that, you know,
- 28:49Speaker 1: I got I got to go there and and and
- 28:52Speaker 1: all that it was. It was sort of somewhat random,
- 28:54Speaker 1: um um. And there are a lot of people born
- 28:57Speaker 1: in this world who have the same talents that I had,
- 29:01Speaker 1: who are never gonna have that chance. And I got
- 29:03Speaker 1: to write that. I can't. I can't. I can't. I
- 29:06Speaker 1: can't make the world perfect and create equality across the
- 29:11Speaker 1: board for everybody. But but if I can affect the
- 29:13Speaker 1: lives of a number of kids who don't have the
- 29:17Speaker 1: opportunity I had because of just the way that you know,
- 29:20Speaker 1: the their their family circumstances are, um, I want to.
- 29:23Speaker 1: I want to make that difference. So how do you
- 29:25Speaker 1: express that in terms of of in terms of philanthropy,
- 29:30Speaker 1: what do you do with that? We We we do
- 29:32Speaker 1: that um by supporting um lots of start up ventured
- 29:38Speaker 1: you know, philanthropies that are in the area of education, healthcare,
- 29:44Speaker 1: I could name names. Is the Summit Health leads. Um,
- 29:48Speaker 1: we were instrumental in getting the two of those started there.
- 29:51Speaker 1: They're they're highly respected, UM, and they're My daughter who
- 29:56Speaker 1: runs our foundation, will be annoyed at me if I
- 29:58Speaker 1: forget all of them. UM, I'll so you know, I'm
- 30:01Speaker 1: Jewish and UH believe um, you know, believe in the
- 30:05Speaker 1: Jewish people. And so we were original investors in UM
- 30:09Speaker 1: Birthright Israel, as was your friendly uh Lee Lee Lee
- 30:15Speaker 1: was as an investor in birth Right is Heal. We
- 30:18Speaker 1: were one of the fourteen founding families UM uh and
- 30:22Speaker 1: and and and a number of other things. So it's
- 30:25Speaker 1: um those dual things, you know, giving back to your heritage,
- 30:28Speaker 1: giving back to people who don't have the opportunities you had,
- 30:32Speaker 1: but certainly have the ability that you had. Um. How
- 30:35Speaker 1: does that manifesto itself in terms of scholarships or getting
- 30:39Speaker 1: kids who might not otherwise get to a place like
- 30:43Speaker 1: m I t to that sort of school. I am
- 30:45Speaker 1: told by the school, and I can't say this is
- 30:48Speaker 1: true that that the scholarships I've given Um, I've given
- 30:51Speaker 1: the largest amount of money in scholarships to m I
- 30:53Speaker 1: t Um. I think that's true. My wife is very
- 30:57Speaker 1: involved with west Chester Community College and UH, we're big
- 31:02Speaker 1: supporters in Westchester Community College UM, UH Columbia Business School,
- 31:07Speaker 1: which I co chair with with Henry Cravis. UM. We've
- 31:10Speaker 1: got a major campaign going right now to UH build
- 31:14Speaker 1: a new business school up in the Manhattanville campus. UM.
- 31:18Speaker 1: And I did a matching UM grant um for fellowships
- 31:27Speaker 1: at UH UM at at Columbia UM. So it's it's
- 31:31Speaker 1: it's it's not it's not per se about buildings. It's
- 31:34Speaker 1: about you know, giving to the kids, giving to the professors.
- 31:39Speaker 1: We have a program at UH Columbia Presbyterian New York
- 31:43Speaker 1: Presbyterian UM where we have a thing called the Samburg
- 31:46Speaker 1: Scholars and Pediatrics enabled them to hire a whole bunch
- 31:50Speaker 1: more research people and fill in some gaps in there.
- 31:53Speaker 1: And so the emphasis is on young people and health UM.
- 31:58Speaker 1: And it's a it's a pretty well thought out thing.
- 31:59Speaker 1: My my my wife and I UH and our three
- 32:02Speaker 1: kids are on the board. UM. We uh, you know,
- 32:06Speaker 1: we take it very very seriously. My goal, you know,
- 32:09Speaker 1: is to take care of my family. But if I
- 32:11Speaker 1: die with out a penny to my name, UM, that
- 32:14Speaker 1: would be just that would be ideal. Trying to figure
- 32:17Speaker 1: out how you manage that is uh, not the easiest
- 32:20Speaker 1: thing in the world. But so if someone wanted to
- 32:22Speaker 1: find out more about UM the charities and philanthropies you support,
- 32:26Speaker 1: is there a place they could go online to look
- 32:28Speaker 1: at that or is this all UM various meetings and
- 32:32Speaker 1: committees and what have you. UM we have a website
- 32:35Speaker 1: for the sand Rick Family Foundation, which we don't ever
- 32:38Speaker 1: talk about the first time I've ever mentioned it. That
- 32:41Speaker 1: does not include UM schools that we went to and stuff.
- 32:45Speaker 1: So everybody is responsible for their own alma mater. So
- 32:48Speaker 1: it does talk to the kind of social things we
- 32:52Speaker 1: are trying to do. We as a word of caution,
- 32:54Speaker 1: we do not accept incoming inquiries inquiries We only we
- 32:59Speaker 1: we do our reach, which can we go out and
- 33:01Speaker 1: selectively pick what we want to do. We've been speaking
- 33:04Speaker 1: with Art Samberg of Pequod Capital and the Samberg Family Foundation.
- 33:08Speaker 1: If you enjoy these conversations, be sure and check out
- 33:12Speaker 1: the rest of our chat. You can find that on
- 33:14Speaker 1: Bloomberg dot com, SoundCloud and Apple iTunes. Check out my
- 33:18Speaker 1: column on Bloomberg View. Uh. Follow me on Twitter at Ridolts.
- 33:22Speaker 1: I'm Barry Rihults. You've been listening to Masters in Business
- 33:26Speaker 1: on Bloomberg Radio. Okay, welcome back to the podcast. Half Now,
- 33:31Speaker 1: I don't have to worry about time that by the way,
- 33:33Speaker 1: that's really annoying having like I have three minutes, one minute,
- 33:37Speaker 1: thirty seconds, so he's in the back of it's it's
- 33:39Speaker 1: such a distraction. So a couple of things I didn't
- 33:43Speaker 1: get to during the broadcast portion. Let's let's take up
- 33:46Speaker 1: some some loose questions and then we'll we'll focus on
- 33:50Speaker 1: some of my favorite questions to ask during the segment.
- 33:53Speaker 1: So I see a name like pea Quat, which is
- 33:56Speaker 1: an Indian triumbe obviously, how did you come up with
- 33:59Speaker 1: a name peaquat capital for that? Well, in hindsight, I
- 34:03Speaker 1: wish I hadn't because distinctive it stands out that was
- 34:08Speaker 1: and it was a literate of Peaqua partners and it
- 34:10Speaker 1: sounded good, it felt good. Um, I had no idea
- 34:13Speaker 1: the Peakuad Indians we're going to get a gaming license.
- 34:15Speaker 1: And I remember getting letters from European investors about eight
- 34:19Speaker 1: ten years into the life of the fund saying are
- 34:22Speaker 1: you affiliated with that gambling tribe? No. I was at
- 34:25Speaker 1: three fifty four Peak what avenue in south Ford today?
- 34:29Speaker 1: Out and it sounded alliterate of it meant nothing. I
- 34:31Speaker 1: didn't want anything that suggested, you know, did you predate
- 34:34Speaker 1: the casinos? And yeah, absolutely, yeah, absolutely didn't come after you,
- 34:39Speaker 1: did they They called me and I said, well, just
- 34:42Speaker 1: check the incorporation papers. It was three four Peak what
- 34:45Speaker 1: Avenue and that was it. That was it and it works.
- 34:47Speaker 1: So now you know Hawks, which is my family office.
- 34:50Speaker 1: I live on a street by the name of Hawks.
- 34:53Speaker 1: UM Katia Woods or our family venture fund. We live
- 34:57Speaker 1: on a Katia Woods Road and uh, north Port, Michigan, UM,
- 35:01Speaker 1: which is where I spent my summer. So so you're
- 35:04Speaker 1: you're in New York three quarters of the year and
- 35:06Speaker 1: you're half the year and you're there a quarter a
- 35:09Speaker 1: quarter of the time in Michigan. Yeah. Yeah, so you're
- 35:12Speaker 1: they're just over the summer, over the summer beat. Oh
- 35:15Speaker 1: that's awesome. We we lived down the beach from Mario Batali,
- 35:20Speaker 1: who was a big champion of that area. Um, New
- 35:23Speaker 1: Yorkers don't Italian tour it ends up in Northport, Michigan,
- 35:29Speaker 1: which is on the tip of a peninsula jetting into
- 35:31Speaker 1: Lake Michigan. It's a beautiful, beautiful area. Um. If you're in.
- 35:35Speaker 1: If you're in New Yorker, you go to the Hampton's,
- 35:37Speaker 1: except if you're me, you go to Michigan. It's bizarre.
- 35:40Speaker 1: Mario Batali, the chef for the Okay So, but he's
- 35:45Speaker 1: not from the is he from that part now? But
- 35:47Speaker 1: his his wife went to University of Michigan and was
- 35:49Speaker 1: friendly with with a gal who grew up on that peninsula.
- 35:52Speaker 1: And that's and that's where you are right over. And
- 35:56Speaker 1: because I do venture capital now and I don't know
- 35:59Speaker 1: have to be I don't have to have morning meetings,
- 36:02Speaker 1: I don't have to all of the paraphernalia about running
- 36:05Speaker 1: a fund um. I can do everything, you know, electronically,
- 36:09Speaker 1: take plane trips to where I have to go. How
- 36:11Speaker 1: often are you on the West coast California? Eight times
- 36:16Speaker 1: a year? So we were just in the beginning of
- 36:18Speaker 1: this year. I was in Seattle for a week actually
- 36:22Speaker 1: um c F A events. I interviewed Howard Marks at
- 36:27Speaker 1: at UM in Seattle, and then we spent a week
- 36:29Speaker 1: in Seattle. Seattle is on fire. It's absolutely a city booming.
- 36:34Speaker 1: And we just got back a few months ago from
- 36:36Speaker 1: a week in San Francisco. It was a conference in
- 36:38Speaker 1: Napa and then a week in sanci. San Francisco is
- 36:41Speaker 1: on fire. It's San Francisco has been on fire ever
- 36:44Speaker 1: since I got out of school in sixty two. Well,
- 36:46Speaker 1: it waxes in Waynes but you know, post financial crisis,
- 36:50Speaker 1: it was a little tamped down for a year or
- 36:53Speaker 1: two and it's just been booming. Ceccality is part of
- 36:58Speaker 1: part of the human condition. So how do you But
- 37:01Speaker 1: it's also true in Denver we have we started up
- 37:04Speaker 1: a real estate development from Denver. Denver is another also
- 37:07Speaker 1: booming booming. How much of that is related to the
- 37:10Speaker 1: legal marijuana in Denver and how much of it is Well,
- 37:12Speaker 1: I'll tell you. The best investment has not been art
- 37:15Speaker 1: has not been. It has been buying up old warehouses
- 37:19Speaker 1: in Denver because that's where they that's where they store
- 37:23Speaker 1: the marijuana they grow it. They're also they need they
- 37:27Speaker 1: need they have big warehouses, but they're big new and
- 37:30Speaker 1: they need electricity, and they need they need artificial light.
- 37:34Speaker 1: But just the crumby old, hundred year old small warehouse
- 37:37Speaker 1: just to store I missed it. I missed that play. Yeah,
- 37:42Speaker 1: but I know it's true. So you're doing a lot
- 37:46Speaker 1: of venture capital wise, how do you deal with the
- 37:49Speaker 1: supposed valuation issues these days, all these billion dollar unicorns
- 37:54Speaker 1: where I hope that I get into a unicorn. So
- 37:59Speaker 1: what sort of stuff do you like to to look
- 38:01Speaker 1: at as a as a VC. Yeah, it's it's consistent
- 38:04Speaker 1: with with my background. My my older son who I
- 38:07Speaker 1: worked with, ran business strategy of people soft. He knows
- 38:11Speaker 1: software far better than I do. Um, I'm better at
- 38:14Speaker 1: the you know, the physical sciences. Um. We're involved with
- 38:18Speaker 1: the fusion company that I really can't talk much about,
- 38:21Speaker 1: but people should should should read read the newspapers and
- 38:25Speaker 1: fusion in terms of energy generation. Yes, thorium, I hope.
- 38:31Speaker 1: Why don't we have thorium reactors? You have a physics?
- 38:33Speaker 1: Because we have, we have we have a better approach
- 38:35Speaker 1: really yea, because thorium is supposedly and now my physics
- 38:40Speaker 1: is thirty years rusty, but supposedly better than uranium, better
- 38:45Speaker 1: than plutonium, no waste issues. Tonium is highly radioactive. I
- 38:50Speaker 1: can't remember how radioactive storium is. I looked at it
- 38:53Speaker 1: a while ago. Well, what we're trying to do is
- 38:56Speaker 1: fuse hydrogen and boron, and I won't bore everybody that
- 39:00Speaker 1: that results in three helium Adams energy and it's completely
- 39:04Speaker 1: not completely, but largely into tronic and you can actually
- 39:08Speaker 1: know part neutrons, high energy particles leaving correct and and
- 39:13Speaker 1: therefore UM you can build a commercial reactor unlike what's
- 39:17Speaker 1: the waste product? Like, Uh, there's very little waste really,
- 39:20Speaker 1: so you're not left with there is waste and we've
- 39:22Speaker 1: got to take care of Is it radioactive waste? No? No, no,
- 39:26Speaker 1: no no, it's non radioactive waste product out of a fusion.
- 39:30Speaker 1: It's a major, major project. And you said you're trying
- 39:33Speaker 1: to change the world. You really no, No, I am
- 39:35Speaker 1: trying to change the world. Plus, I were invested in
- 39:38Speaker 1: a and the solar company that uses UM three D
- 39:43Speaker 1: bristols and it's a major breakthrough. Uh. And we're going
- 39:48Speaker 1: through the last phases of we've seen technology on solar.
- 39:51Speaker 1: I just had this conversation with someone not too long
- 39:53Speaker 1: ago on solar. All of the gains that we've seen
- 39:57Speaker 1: have been so agonizing over thirty years. It's a substantial series,
- 40:03Speaker 1: but they've been really incremental and evolutionary. This is not
- 40:07Speaker 1: you're talking about a revolutionary talking about When I first
- 40:09Speaker 1: met these guys, they were growing three million nana um
- 40:13Speaker 1: nickel nano fibers on a substrate per square inch. Doing
- 40:17Speaker 1: a flat panel, you're doing three dimensional panel where the
- 40:21Speaker 1: photons come in and spiral down the bristles, so you're
- 40:24Speaker 1: capturing a lot more of the energy that ends three
- 40:26Speaker 1: times this magnitude break. Photons stay in the structure three
- 40:31Speaker 1: times as long as if they were to just reflect
- 40:32Speaker 1: off of a plane surface. Um. So they stay in
- 40:36Speaker 1: and the and the efficiency goes up. It's hard to do,
- 40:39Speaker 1: but we're almost there. How much more expensive of these
- 40:42Speaker 1: panels than traditional Sure, we're now making them on glass panels.
- 40:48Speaker 1: I'll give you the answer to that in the first
- 40:49Speaker 1: quarter next year. All right, but none of these are open.
- 40:53Speaker 1: This is your now, this is this is you know,
- 40:56Speaker 1: I don't believe in share. This is risk uh um.
- 40:59Speaker 1: But should just stay tuned and some really interesting things,
- 41:04Speaker 1: really interesting things coming along. And that's two of a
- 41:08Speaker 1: number of others. So we do software companies. When you
- 41:11Speaker 1: when you were running Peaquat, there was a lot of
- 41:14Speaker 1: oil energy, natural gas LEAs, things like that. So energy
- 41:19Speaker 1: has been an an interest of yours for a long time. Yeah,
- 41:23Speaker 1: I had I had a bunch of sector funds as
- 41:25Speaker 1: I mentioned, but they were in telecom, they were in technology,
- 41:28Speaker 1: they were in healthcare, small cap indessing. The one exception
- 41:32Speaker 1: was early on was an energy because I went you know,
- 41:36Speaker 1: if you if you lived in the seventies, you went
- 41:37Speaker 1: through the oil embargo. I remember as a kid trying
- 41:41Speaker 1: to get a gas can filled up to mow the lawn,
- 41:44Speaker 1: and I would get the question, you know, what, what
- 41:47Speaker 1: is your license plate even or on and have a
- 41:51Speaker 1: gas can? Well, I don't have a license, so all right,
- 41:56Speaker 1: they should have let the grass grow and give it
- 41:58Speaker 1: to me. I mean, I was the adult with little kids.
- 42:00Speaker 1: I needed it. I had a mo that's hey, listen.
- 42:02Speaker 1: I had earned a living, so delivered papers. Same here
- 42:09Speaker 1: I hated. Delivering papers was a terrible tal my. I
- 42:13Speaker 1: was so I had. I had a bunch of friends
- 42:15Speaker 1: and to two of them head routes. The one the
- 42:17Speaker 1: one key guy who I bought a route with, ended
- 42:19Speaker 1: up being a sheet metal worker. He took a fifty
- 42:22Speaker 1: paper route which we split in half, and he got
- 42:25Speaker 1: it up to a hundred a hundred customers. Mine dwindled
- 42:28Speaker 1: down to ten because I would sit on the curb
- 42:31Speaker 1: and read the newspaper first, and he just took the
- 42:33Speaker 1: papers and delivered them. So, you know, the best part
- 42:36Speaker 1: about delivering newspapers was Sunday morning, me and a few
- 42:39Speaker 1: friends who all had routes would go to the diner
- 42:42Speaker 1: and have breakfast at nine o'clock. That was the highlight.
- 42:45Speaker 1: I didn't do that that would have been successful. That
- 42:48Speaker 1: was the best part of it. Um. So it sounds
- 42:51Speaker 1: energy is really in energy is really interesting that, you know.
- 42:55Speaker 1: It is my belief that you know, in thirty years
- 42:58Speaker 1: all they're all producing countries in the world will be
- 43:00Speaker 1: bankrupt meaningless, basically back to managing that sitting on a
- 43:06Speaker 1: bunch of sand and rocks. Um. You know, I hope
- 43:10Speaker 1: to I hope to help you want to accelerates. Not
- 43:14Speaker 1: just not not because I have anything against them, It's
- 43:16Speaker 1: just that it's absurd that burning fossil fuels, the burning
- 43:19Speaker 1: fossil fuels, they're not really sharing the wealth with the
- 43:22Speaker 1: people of their country. When you look at all the
- 43:25Speaker 1: problems we've had in the Middle East, I can't help
- 43:27Speaker 1: but think if there wasn't oil there and we weren't
- 43:30Speaker 1: so dependent on it, people wouldn't really care. We wouldn't
- 43:33Speaker 1: have had it could be true. I come at it
- 43:35Speaker 1: just from a pure you know, how can myself, How
- 43:38Speaker 1: can I help solve the world's problem, which is making
- 43:41Speaker 1: energy plentiful and cheap? Goes along? There's no doubt. I mean,
- 43:44Speaker 1: you know, I don't even want to get involved in
- 43:47Speaker 1: the climate debate. Um, I am what debate of it?
- 43:51Speaker 1: You know? Is carbon human generator or whenever? And I
- 43:56Speaker 1: hear that this just came up at a dinner the
- 43:58Speaker 1: other day. I always tell people, if you don't think
- 44:00Speaker 1: you can affect your environment, park your car in your garage,
- 44:04Speaker 1: leav the engine running, shut the door, and spend an
- 44:06Speaker 1: hour or to that. I'd rather spend my time figuring
- 44:08Speaker 1: out how to solve the problem rather than debate the issue.
- 44:11Speaker 1: I don't want to either. I just say, park in
- 44:14Speaker 1: the car with the park of the garage, with the
- 44:15Speaker 1: engine running, and we'll see how little you can affect
- 44:18Speaker 1: you there there, that is an argument, um. But I
- 44:22Speaker 1: don't get involved in stuff like that. I get involved
- 44:24Speaker 1: in what is the problem, What is the solution? Can
- 44:27Speaker 1: I affect the solution in a positive way? And that's
- 44:30Speaker 1: an engineering approach? So what other from it? What other
- 44:34Speaker 1: issues lend themselves to an engineering solution that you can
- 44:39Speaker 1: do venture investing with UM. I don't know if it's
- 44:43Speaker 1: a problem or what, but UM we we we bought
- 44:45Speaker 1: up the UM we bought up all the patents from
- 44:49Speaker 1: A T and T in holographics. UM So yeah, storage,
- 44:55Speaker 1: you know, data storage is growing a year UM and
- 45:00Speaker 1: will continue to grow with those kind of absurd rates
- 45:02Speaker 1: for quite some time. UM and UM So I'm involved
- 45:06Speaker 1: in in some flash memory companies. I'm involved in UH
- 45:10Speaker 1: some new algorithms to to to try and make servers
- 45:14Speaker 1: much more efficient there and I don't want to name name.
- 45:17Speaker 1: So there's a hardware approach and a software approach and
- 45:21Speaker 1: we're involved in both. And and what you really need
- 45:23Speaker 1: is you need vast amounts of data UM on warm
- 45:29Speaker 1: what's called warm storage storage. So you know, hot storage
- 45:35Speaker 1: is our disk drives. UM and to some degree, flash
- 45:39Speaker 1: memory and cold storage are tapes, which are you know,
- 45:43Speaker 1: they just run sequentially. It's not random access. It's ancient technology,
- 45:48Speaker 1: or it's it's ancient, but it's you know, on a
- 45:50Speaker 1: cost effective basis that still makes sense. But you really
- 45:53Speaker 1: want something that was that is nearer than tape UM
- 45:57Speaker 1: which which will burn out in five to ten years,
- 45:59Speaker 1: can have the longer storage life. UM. I mean, our
- 46:02Speaker 1: government goes out and has all these drones that are
- 46:04Speaker 1: taking pictures of all kinds of stuff god knows what, UM,
- 46:07Speaker 1: and they can't even they can't analyze half of it
- 46:09Speaker 1: because they there's no way to process it all. And
- 46:13Speaker 1: also as you get into genomics and other things, we
- 46:16Speaker 1: are just spitting out data. So if you could use
- 46:18Speaker 1: holographic memories which would last for for fifty years um
- 46:23Speaker 1: uh and uh down to the right price points um
- 46:28Speaker 1: at any rate. So we're trying to develop that that
- 46:31Speaker 1: is not that is not an area where we can
- 46:33Speaker 1: go out and talk to a venture capitalists and get
- 46:35Speaker 1: them to you know, go alongside you. UM just won't
- 46:39Speaker 1: do it because it's that that area has been death
- 46:42Speaker 1: to many many start ups. For my for for for
- 46:46Speaker 1: for our family purposes, we can take that risk. UM.
- 46:50Speaker 1: It might take a little longer, we can take that risk.
- 46:52Speaker 1: So we're trying to solve that problem. We're involved in
- 46:55Speaker 1: medical devices and and some some medical uh um, some
- 47:00Speaker 1: interesting companies. You were on the board of a New
- 47:03Speaker 1: York genomics UM center before we get to that, because
- 47:06Speaker 1: that's an area I find absolutely fascinating. Would love to
- 47:09Speaker 1: talk about you're buying these patents up from a T
- 47:12Speaker 1: and T. Well, it wasn't from a T and T.
- 47:15Speaker 1: There was a there were two venture groups that that
- 47:18Speaker 1: did that. Uh. What year did these patents? Well, these
- 47:22Speaker 1: are these were done in the nineties and um they
- 47:25Speaker 1: were expired at this point or there enough because you
- 47:28Speaker 1: keep refreshing them, there's enough. We keep improving the basic
- 47:31Speaker 1: UM stuff. So we own all the patents. We we
- 47:35Speaker 1: we have two patents uh covering both the way you
- 47:39Speaker 1: store it and the media you need to produce it.
- 47:43Speaker 1: UM and uh to venture firms trying to put part
- 47:48Speaker 1: a hundred million dollars into trying to develop this UM
- 47:51Speaker 1: and they were getting and we bought. We bought the
- 47:54Speaker 1: asset at but hopefully there's a value of plate right
- 47:59Speaker 1: if you were if well, anything you buy at a
- 48:01Speaker 1: bankruptcy is usually well there's another one that we're involved
- 48:04Speaker 1: with which we did help somebody buy a bankruptcy, which
- 48:07Speaker 1: is clear, which is at the airports. What is what
- 48:11Speaker 1: is clear clear is the a biometric screening technique at
- 48:19Speaker 1: airports too. And now they're starting to be in court
- 48:22Speaker 1: with the Yankees just um uh started using at the
- 48:25Speaker 1: San Francisco at the stadium at the stadium. So when
- 48:28Speaker 1: I I assume that everybody else, although they don't assume
- 48:35Speaker 1: everybody uses t S A pre so they can whisk
- 48:38Speaker 1: through the airport and then when you come back, there's
- 48:40Speaker 1: global entry. Will you bypass all the customs and beautiful? Right?
- 48:45Speaker 1: So you you take your passport and then you take
- 48:48Speaker 1: your hands and you put that on a machine and
- 48:50Speaker 1: you're done in thirty seconds. What is clear due relative
- 48:54Speaker 1: to that sort of Clear does the same thing, um
- 48:57Speaker 1: but biometric biometrics and checks it against the giant database
- 49:01Speaker 1: to make sure you're not a Yeah. And so the
- 49:06Speaker 1: Yankees are using this, and the San Francisco Giants are
- 49:08Speaker 1: using this, and uh increasingly airports are using it. It's
- 49:14Speaker 1: it's a company that went bankrupt. Um technology but dead
- 49:19Speaker 1: business model and that that was in some ways of
- 49:24Speaker 1: value play. But but but the value of play based
- 49:28Speaker 1: around superior technology of the bad go to market implementation. UM.
- 49:33Speaker 1: So we're involved that. UM tons of things. These are
- 49:37Speaker 1: really fascinating venture stuff. What what other areas intrigue you
- 49:41Speaker 1: from a venture perspective? Um. So there's alternative energy, there's software.
- 49:47Speaker 1: There's one company in Boston, UH that we're involved with that.
- 49:53Speaker 1: Uh UM. I'm watching the wheel spin and fig watching
- 50:00Speaker 1: you try and figure out what you can and can't
- 50:02Speaker 1: say what what subject does the technology cover? Well. The
- 50:06Speaker 1: problem that companies like Hewlett Packard or Samsung or a
- 50:10Speaker 1: bunch of them have is that the real money in
- 50:14Speaker 1: in smartphones and devices these days are in the apps UM.
- 50:19Speaker 1: And there are two app platforms, one of course is
- 50:23Speaker 1: apples iOS UM uh iOS and and the other is UM.
- 50:31Speaker 1: You know, the Android system UM. So if you look
- 50:34Speaker 1: were to come out with a new product and not
- 50:35Speaker 1: support those apps UM, people won't buy it. So some
- 50:41Speaker 1: some products have been introduced that are technically wonderful products,
- 50:46Speaker 1: but they don't service the market as it is configured today.
- 50:49Speaker 1: If you if you were able to UM, if you
- 50:53Speaker 1: were able to solve that problem for manufacturers UM amplify
- 50:58Speaker 1: their software or appify. They're there prom and you can emulate.
- 51:04Speaker 1: You can emulate those things. But when you emulate, you
- 51:07Speaker 1: have another microprocess. It's slow, it's inefficient, it just isn't competitive.
- 51:12Speaker 1: If you can do it and what's called native mode
- 51:15Speaker 1: using the application control layer, UM, you can I'm looking
- 51:20Speaker 1: to see if the word applify is taken because I
- 51:22Speaker 1: want to. I think that's a word that I you know,
- 51:25Speaker 1: it's all it's all yours, Telly rate. There's a company
- 51:28Speaker 1: in Boston that has done that. Um, Samsung is UH incorporating,
- 51:32Speaker 1: It's UH and it's ties and z one phone which
- 51:35Speaker 1: is introduced into India. And the future looks pretty bright.
- 51:39Speaker 1: So there are software applications that are that are that
- 51:42Speaker 1: are interesting because they solve problems. They solve problems. Yeah,
- 51:47Speaker 1: I like solving problems. So what else? Um? Oh, I
- 51:51Speaker 1: see why I keep speaking of problems. I keep searching
- 51:53Speaker 1: for this and I keep coming up with an Amazon
- 51:56Speaker 1: Applify create the simplest Mac possible, Mac from a show.
- 52:00Speaker 1: So somebody else already has the sorry the word apifi.
- 52:04Speaker 1: And then there's appify Android apps on Google play at
- 52:08Speaker 1: appify on Twitter. So all right, I thought it was
- 52:11Speaker 1: a good ours has a different name. I want to
- 52:13Speaker 1: even mention, Okay, don't mention. So you don't want to
- 52:16Speaker 1: run an emulation because you're reading a whole another layer
- 52:18Speaker 1: of software. It slows down, more buggy, more complicated. So
- 52:22Speaker 1: but you make it need to do it. If you
- 52:24Speaker 1: can do it off of the application control layer, it's
- 52:28Speaker 1: completely legit and it's very hard to do. It's very
- 52:31Speaker 1: hard to do. So this is a software solution to
- 52:34Speaker 1: a programming problem. All right, what are the areas intrigue
- 52:38Speaker 1: you in terms of ventures? Right, young guys out of
- 52:41Speaker 1: M I T who have come up with an active
- 52:43Speaker 1: shock absorber system active shock absorber cars for bicycles or
- 52:49Speaker 1: four cars, cars and maybe truck camps. But but right
- 52:55Speaker 1: now the emphasis is on cars, um and it's it's truly.
- 53:00Speaker 1: So the trick there is to get it to a
- 53:02Speaker 1: low enough cost and put it in automobiles. There are
- 53:05Speaker 1: many there there, there, there there there. There are systems
- 53:08Speaker 1: today which use hydra fluids and the hydraulic that that's
- 53:15Speaker 1: pretty old school though. That's old school, and it's very
- 53:18Speaker 1: expensive for a wheel. If you can get it down
- 53:20Speaker 1: with a simple system, um, so that it would you know,
- 53:23Speaker 1: sell for under two thousand dollars per automobile. Um, there's
- 53:27Speaker 1: a vast market. And these guys, these guys, I think,
- 53:31Speaker 1: have the solution to that. So so I'm on the
- 53:34Speaker 1: board of that one. Yeah, that's interesting. So this, you know,
- 53:37Speaker 1: there's great stuff out there. So I am not one
- 53:40Speaker 1: of these people who believe, oh my god, the world
- 53:42Speaker 1: has a million problems. Let's stick our head in the ground.
- 53:45Speaker 1: Unless it does have a million problems, but it's got
- 53:47Speaker 1: two million solutions. That is, we go to this venture.
- 53:50Speaker 1: It's really early stage. An angel conference in San Diego.
- 53:54Speaker 1: I can't go every year on my head explodes. I
- 53:56Speaker 1: go every other year and you cannot come out of
- 54:00Speaker 1: and it's college kids and stuff. You cannot go through
- 54:04Speaker 1: an event like that. Well, they've told me. They've told
- 54:07Speaker 1: me of an M I T. That um that in
- 54:09Speaker 1: the generation or two ago, probably too, the every age
- 54:13Speaker 1: of an M I. T. Graduate who started a company
- 54:15Speaker 1: was forty two years old. And now, yeah, I find
- 54:20Speaker 1: you can't go to one of those events and leave
- 54:23Speaker 1: and not be optimistic about the future, no matter how
- 54:26Speaker 1: terrible things are. It's like we're pikers. These kids are
- 54:30Speaker 1: going to solve all these is that that is what
- 54:33Speaker 1: keeps me going. It's amazing. I was at I think
- 54:37Speaker 1: I've told this story before. I was at a wedding
- 54:38Speaker 1: in Virginia or maybe it's a bar Mitz, but it
- 54:40Speaker 1: was a family member and the was it the no, no,
- 54:45Speaker 1: it was a wedding because it was the grooms groomsmen,
- 54:50Speaker 1: a couple of kids out of I think it was
- 54:52Speaker 1: U v a UM down in Richmond, and they one
- 54:57Speaker 1: of them had an iPhone. Okay, that had built into it.
- 55:01Speaker 1: This sounds idiotic, but it was genius. Had built into
- 55:04Speaker 1: it a bottle opener, like built into the things take
- 55:08Speaker 1: your phone and and just pop a bottle. And I said, oh,
- 55:11Speaker 1: that's hilarious. You know how you guys gonna make that?
- 55:13Speaker 1: And they look at me like I have two heads, dude.
- 55:16Speaker 1: We're doing twenty thousand units a month we have manufactured
- 55:19Speaker 1: in China. These guys are twenty, they're in college. We're
- 55:23Speaker 1: selling units. What do you charge with this fourteen? What
- 55:27Speaker 1: does it cost you? I don't know? Eight seven shipping
- 55:30Speaker 1: is more so when you see kids like that in
- 55:33Speaker 1: college who was so I don't I don't understand the
- 55:38Speaker 1: consistent pessimism from people about the world is terrible, America
- 55:42Speaker 1: is terrible. You you meet some of these kids, that
- 55:45Speaker 1: changes present. The people can't really relate to this kind
- 55:49Speaker 1: of stuff, really don't like it, and therefore draw their
- 55:52Speaker 1: own conclusions. They're not based on anything factual. I mean.
- 55:56Speaker 1: The problem the problem with all of this, of course,
- 55:59Speaker 1: is the is the income divide between the people who
- 56:01Speaker 1: can do what you've just described and the people I've
- 56:03Speaker 1: been describing, UM and to help. Yeah, there there is
- 56:09Speaker 1: there is a huge there is a huge problem developing.
- 56:12Speaker 1: UM well in terms of in terms of income inequality
- 56:16Speaker 1: or in terms of opportunity inequality. Maybe well it's both. Um.
- 56:22Speaker 1: Some people will never be able to participate in this
- 56:24Speaker 1: new world UM given advantages. They just not tech savvy.
- 56:28Speaker 1: They lack the skill set for that or the interest,
- 56:31Speaker 1: or they might have the interest, but they're not gonna
- 56:35Speaker 1: be able to implement. And I, you know, I believe
- 56:37Speaker 1: that everybody should given a given a chance to so
- 56:41Speaker 1: I will spend as much money as I can to
- 56:43Speaker 1: to to try and help that. But you know, you know,
- 56:47Speaker 1: there are a lot of people in this world and
- 56:49Speaker 1: not everybody can can start these things. So you know
- 56:52Speaker 1: that there are real social policy issues about how do
- 56:56Speaker 1: you how do you fix that? I'm not a social scientist,
- 56:59Speaker 1: so I don't know, UM, but I don't know. One
- 57:03Speaker 1: of the reasons that that we have emphasized things like
- 57:07Speaker 1: fusion energy, solar things like that are because that they
- 57:12Speaker 1: saved they address the basic problem, which is that unless
- 57:17Speaker 1: you have cheap electricity or a number of other things
- 57:21Speaker 1: you don't grow world income. And if you don't grow
- 57:23Speaker 1: world income, everybody fights over the pie. And if everybody
- 57:26Speaker 1: fights over the pie, you're gonna have a terrible, a
- 57:30Speaker 1: terrible world system. UM. So I want to help people
- 57:34Speaker 1: grow the pie. I would like to help in some
- 57:37Speaker 1: of this carbon stuff if I can. UM, I'd like
- 57:40Speaker 1: to give part of the money back. I would like
- 57:43Speaker 1: to keep some of it um to uh, to give
- 57:45Speaker 1: everybody the opportunity to participate in that. It is then
- 57:48Speaker 1: up to government to figure out the rest of it.
- 57:51Speaker 1: And I see absolutely no movement towards coming up with
- 57:55Speaker 1: any logical solutions to that. Well, but that's along the
- 57:58Speaker 1: government discussion. That's easy. That's long arc and eventually government,
- 58:03Speaker 1: well what I mean by easy is over the next
- 58:05Speaker 1: ten or twenty years. My guess is that government in competence, incompetency,
- 58:11Speaker 1: especially partisan incompetency, collapses under its own weight, and eventually,
- 58:17Speaker 1: eventually we're replaced with I don't think the Republican and
- 58:21Speaker 1: the Democratic Party are infinite in lifespan and here forever.
- 58:27Speaker 1: I think these parties are slowly losing, slowly losing um membership,
- 58:34Speaker 1: and you're gonna end up with more and more people
- 58:37Speaker 1: as independents, and that's how you end up with somebody
- 58:40Speaker 1: like Donald Trump, who really are hard to define by
- 58:44Speaker 1: traditional party politics. Not not a coincidence that what's going
- 58:51Speaker 1: on today in the Republican party, the appeal is the
- 58:54Speaker 1: guy who's the least associated with with the party, And
- 58:59Speaker 1: the same thing is happening on the Democratic side. The
- 59:02Speaker 1: Bernie Sanders is not a traditional Democrat, and suddenly there's
- 59:06Speaker 1: all this So you have Trump and Sanders. The appeal
- 59:10Speaker 1: isn't what they're specific politics are. The appeal is that
- 59:16Speaker 1: they're not traditional partisan players. I agree, and I agree
- 59:21Speaker 1: with your conclusion. So I hopefully hope it happens as
- 59:23Speaker 1: you go through that process or fragment. It's very painful. Yeah,
- 59:27Speaker 1: that that's gonna So now let me let's talk a
- 59:30Speaker 1: little politics and and let me force you to stop
- 59:33Speaker 1: dancing around the carbon issue. You'll never you'll never be
- 59:36Speaker 1: able to force me to stop. So global warming real,
- 59:41Speaker 1: I have no idea. Get out of here. Come on,
- 59:44Speaker 1: how can you say that Because you're a physicist, you're
- 59:46Speaker 1: investing in film strategy, you're an engineer, you have a
- 59:50Speaker 1: ton of physics, you understand the scientific process, you know
- 59:54Speaker 1: when of scientists say something, you don't think that Bible
- 1:00:00Speaker 1: warming is a genuine climate change. I think the fact
- 1:00:05Speaker 1: that there's so much carbon diox on the atmosphere is
- 1:00:07Speaker 1: a really really bad thing. How did it get there?
- 1:00:09Speaker 1: How did it get their sun spot? I don't know.
- 1:00:13Speaker 1: I don't carbon probably okay, alright, But I don't know
- 1:00:17Speaker 1: if it's solely because of that. I I I know
- 1:00:20Speaker 1: nothing is solely because of anything. I have friends who
- 1:00:22Speaker 1: are on either side of this one, and I read
- 1:00:25Speaker 1: it all, and I sit on this m I T
- 1:00:27Speaker 1: Energy Initiative Board UM. At m I T. They have
- 1:00:30Speaker 1: this guy, Richard Lindson, who is a world acclaimed UM
- 1:00:34Speaker 1: climate scientist who doesn't believe it. UM. There are many
- 1:00:37Speaker 1: others like he's a he's a very responsible guy, UM,
- 1:00:43Speaker 1: and they're responsible on the other side. I don't know.
- 1:00:46Speaker 1: I mean, there are plenty of people arguing that you
- 1:00:48Speaker 1: know that that matter. All I know is I think
- 1:00:51Speaker 1: that I can support you guys who have a solution
- 1:00:55Speaker 1: to it. I'd rather waste my brain cycles and energy
- 1:00:58Speaker 1: and money on that rather than the debate. The argument
- 1:01:02Speaker 1: is just wasted energy. Anyway, You're never got People aren't
- 1:01:05Speaker 1: gonna convince each other. By the way, when I say
- 1:01:08Speaker 1: I think, when I say I think that burning carbon
- 1:01:12Speaker 1: and eating red meat for that matter, contribute to global warming,
- 1:01:16Speaker 1: I'm not saying that you shouldn't burn carbon and you
- 1:01:19Speaker 1: shouldn't eat red meat. I have too many cars and boats.
- 1:01:21Speaker 1: I eat lots of red meat. So I'm not I'm
- 1:01:24Speaker 1: not let No, I'm fine. I'm not lecturing people, Hey,
- 1:01:27Speaker 1: change your life. But I think it's hypocritical for people
- 1:01:31Speaker 1: who know better to say, oh, just because we have
- 1:01:34Speaker 1: a cold company and we fund signed research that says
- 1:01:37Speaker 1: this has no impact. I'm not. I object to the
- 1:01:41Speaker 1: hypocrisy of that. I'm not telling people change your life. Hey,
- 1:01:45Speaker 1: you're affecting the world. Let's accept it and move on.
- 1:01:47Speaker 1: I like your solution, which is to try and come
- 1:01:50Speaker 1: up with a solution rather than digress into the debate too.
- 1:01:53Speaker 1: It's all too complicated, and you're never, as you said,
- 1:01:56Speaker 1: you will never change people's minds about this because it's
- 1:02:00Speaker 1: become a religious fight. Not know, five million people a
- 1:02:05Speaker 1: year die from burning wood. I mean, so, what do
- 1:02:08Speaker 1: you mean in terms of the or or what we
- 1:02:13Speaker 1: see every winter where people take a carosene heat or
- 1:02:16Speaker 1: in the fumes. You know, a joke about the garage,
- 1:02:19Speaker 1: but learning stuff releases all sorts of noxious fun. That's terrific.
- 1:02:23Speaker 1: It's terrific. And so you know, um, the people who
- 1:02:28Speaker 1: believe that you should you know, like like so the
- 1:02:31Speaker 1: Union of Concerned Scientists which was born about thirty years
- 1:02:35Speaker 1: ago and opposial nuclear weapons, right well, an opposition to
- 1:02:40Speaker 1: nuclear weapons, but also you know nuclear power plants because
- 1:02:43Speaker 1: they were sort of hand in hand. Um. They just
- 1:02:47Speaker 1: about two months ago reversed their position and said, you know,
- 1:02:51Speaker 1: nuclear energy is the solution because there's no there's no
- 1:02:56Speaker 1: carbon dioxide. So you know, if you live long enough,
- 1:02:59Speaker 1: you watch all these convoluting everything comes around. Um and uh,
- 1:03:05Speaker 1: you know, it depends on what the priority is and
- 1:03:08Speaker 1: what the new religious zeal is. UM. So advanced nuclear
- 1:03:14Speaker 1: is legitimately back on the table, thank god, and much
- 1:03:19Speaker 1: lower radioactive waste product. And no, that's the traditional way
- 1:03:24Speaker 1: of doing it. Um and and and so we actually
- 1:03:28Speaker 1: another company we helped get started is a nuclear remediation
- 1:03:32Speaker 1: It's called Curion ku r I. And what do they do.
- 1:03:35Speaker 1: They they they try and vitrify the the waste product
- 1:03:41Speaker 1: from nuclear fission plants. And um, that enables you to
- 1:03:47Speaker 1: bury it in the store. It We're not all the
- 1:03:49Speaker 1: way there yet, but in the process, we we we
- 1:03:52Speaker 1: we developed a media that will enable to take caes
- 1:03:55Speaker 1: the amount of water and um that radioactive very negative
- 1:03:59Speaker 1: and and we came a huge problem with Fukujima. Uh
- 1:04:03Speaker 1: so we as a small startup company were the only
- 1:04:06Speaker 1: ones who were able to get into Fukushima and help.
- 1:04:08Speaker 1: Really and so something that was going to be like
- 1:04:11Speaker 1: you know, growing very slowly at first, just grew in size.
- 1:04:15Speaker 1: So we've added other capabilities and uh it's fascinating. So
- 1:04:19Speaker 1: curium like with a K like madame k you are
- 1:04:21Speaker 1: io n C. And so this removes radioactive season um
- 1:04:26Speaker 1: from water in order to clean up that's the big
- 1:04:30Speaker 1: problem right now. It's not that people are dying and
- 1:04:33Speaker 1: all that kind of no, but you you have potentially
- 1:04:36Speaker 1: dangerous water. You can't put it into and you can't
- 1:04:39Speaker 1: stop it. Water finds its own level and it's really
- 1:04:42Speaker 1: a problem. But we, you know, we have been helping
- 1:04:45Speaker 1: them fix that problem. And this company is removing radioactive
- 1:04:49Speaker 1: season um from water in Japan today today has been
- 1:04:53Speaker 1: for three years now. Really, wow, that's fast. It was
- 1:04:56Speaker 1: a startup that was met him. You know, three people
- 1:04:59Speaker 1: back in and now what's going on there? That's a
- 1:05:02Speaker 1: good question. Um, you're an investor in this company, and
- 1:05:08Speaker 1: how is it growing? Is it home run? What's the
- 1:05:13Speaker 1: exit strategy for a company like that? Um, that's a
- 1:05:16Speaker 1: good question. I'll tell you next time we talk. Okay,
- 1:05:19Speaker 1: well we'll we'll, We'll have to we'll have to revisit
- 1:05:21Speaker 1: that any other VC stuff that's interesting before we move on.
- 1:05:25Speaker 1: Probably probably I probably said I've said too much, and
- 1:05:29Speaker 1: I've probably caused too many eyes to glaze. All right, No, no,
- 1:05:32Speaker 1: I well I can't tell you about other eyes, but
- 1:05:34Speaker 1: I glazing over. But I find this sort of stuff,
- 1:05:37Speaker 1: this stuff fascinating. There's a show on the Science Channel.
- 1:05:41Speaker 1: So my background was applied mathematics and physics until my
- 1:05:46Speaker 1: senior year in college. And I figured out that if
- 1:05:48Speaker 1: I switched to polyscien philosophy, I can drink beer and
- 1:05:52Speaker 1: chase girls and not have double labs for three times
- 1:05:56Speaker 1: a week. And so I have enough physics and math
- 1:05:59Speaker 1: to be dangerous to my my My, my best friend
- 1:06:01Speaker 1: uh as an undergraduate, was a brilliant guy who ended
- 1:06:04Speaker 1: up being chairman of the Biomedical Engineering department at Hopkins
- 1:06:06Speaker 1: for seventeen years. What worlding now and uh? And he
- 1:06:09Speaker 1: helped me get through. You truly helped me get through UH.
- 1:06:12Speaker 1: And whenever I would say I was really a very
- 1:06:15Speaker 1: mediocre student in M I T he'd say, oh no,
- 1:06:18Speaker 1: but when you know later on, when you started taking
- 1:06:20Speaker 1: religion and political science, you can help me. You really,
- 1:06:23Speaker 1: you really knocked the ball out of the park. And
- 1:06:26Speaker 1: I said, I don't think. I don't think that's what
- 1:06:28Speaker 1: M I T is. All that comparative religious studies in
- 1:06:32Speaker 1: M I not. It was a great It was a great.
- 1:06:34Speaker 1: Houston Smith was a professor. He was he was world
- 1:06:37Speaker 1: now and I mean I has got great but you know,
- 1:06:41Speaker 1: but that was not but it was it was you know.
- 1:06:44Speaker 1: But but but I learned so much from going there
- 1:06:47Speaker 1: about applying yourself, overcoming obstacles. It's not an easy place,
- 1:06:52Speaker 1: but no, no, it's a very competitive place, very competitive,
- 1:06:55Speaker 1: which I think is a great preparation for life, to
- 1:06:58Speaker 1: say the least. What I was gonna mentioned, there's a
- 1:07:01Speaker 1: show on the Science Channel called How the Universe Works,
- 1:07:05Speaker 1: and essentially it's really complex astrophysics with great digital graphics.
- 1:07:13Speaker 1: So I don't know if that's what the inside of
- 1:07:17Speaker 1: a neutron star looks like. But okay, that's close enough.
- 1:07:20Speaker 1: It's a little more scientific than industrial light and magic shows.
- 1:07:24Speaker 1: You on Star Wars, you know that stuff is is fascinating. So,
- 1:07:28Speaker 1: speaking of of saying too much, let's talk a little
- 1:07:31Speaker 1: bit about Um, the SEC, and I know this is
- 1:07:35Speaker 1: a an area I want to tread lightly. Let me
- 1:07:39Speaker 1: let me bring up another guest. I had Mark Cuban
- 1:07:42Speaker 1: on some time ago, and well, let's let's let's talk
- 1:07:48Speaker 1: about that a little bit. But Mark went off on
- 1:07:51Speaker 1: an absolute jihad about the SEC and he talked about
- 1:07:57Speaker 1: how they're miss misfocused, misguided on fair. He went off
- 1:08:02Speaker 1: and after the conversation was like, are you sure you
- 1:08:04Speaker 1: want to say this? He's like, no, we just won
- 1:08:06Speaker 1: in court. We're done with them. They they you know,
- 1:08:09Speaker 1: they had to put their tail between their legs and
- 1:08:10Speaker 1: walk away. Um, you had a not especially pleasant experience
- 1:08:15Speaker 1: with the SEC. What do you think about what Mark
- 1:08:18Speaker 1: had to say? Um? I know Mark, before Mark made
- 1:08:23Speaker 1: his first fortune, we worked together on a private investment
- 1:08:26Speaker 1: I made. UM. He's a very smart guy. He's obviously
- 1:08:28Speaker 1: where you're outspoken guy, very colorful guy. Um, he was
- 1:08:32Speaker 1: managing his own personal money. He didn't have the responsibility
- 1:08:35Speaker 1: of managing money for you know, for fiduciaries and have
- 1:08:40Speaker 1: a lot of employees and everything. So I obviously I'm
- 1:08:43Speaker 1: gonna approach this in a far different way. I did not.
- 1:08:46Speaker 1: He has to be less circumspect than than you must,
- 1:08:48Speaker 1: for sure. And um I I did one of those
- 1:08:53Speaker 1: settlement things with the SEC neither admitting nor denying guilt.
- 1:08:57Speaker 1: Um uh. And that was that was that was after
- 1:09:02Speaker 1: the case was reopened. People well, like I think they
- 1:09:08Speaker 1: walked in and three or O four and it didn't
- 1:09:11Speaker 1: get resolved until O nine. It was resolved once where
- 1:09:14Speaker 1: they they dropped it and and there was a congressional
- 1:09:18Speaker 1: hearing and they actually made their notes available their their
- 1:09:22Speaker 1: closing document, which is an internal thing. And I'm told
- 1:09:24Speaker 1: by the lawyer's this first time ever. And then it
- 1:09:26Speaker 1: got reopened and and and it sort of got reopened
- 1:09:29Speaker 1: right when Nate Off happened. So you can you can
- 1:09:32Speaker 1: come you can go to you can come to your
- 1:09:34Speaker 1: own conclusions. Is to you know, what what what was
- 1:09:37Speaker 1: going on? Um the case had to do with Microsoft,
- 1:09:40Speaker 1: which is the most um widely followed company in the world.
- 1:09:45Speaker 1: Um and uh. You know, there's really not much to
- 1:09:50Speaker 1: say about it other than what I said at the time,
- 1:09:52Speaker 1: which is, UM, this is too distracting, And that actually
- 1:09:58Speaker 1: was a factual statement. It was stremely distracting. There were
- 1:10:01Speaker 1: many things I thought I could do with my life.
- 1:10:03Speaker 1: I was sixty eight years old. To fight from that
- 1:10:06Speaker 1: point I would have taken another three to five years.
- 1:10:09Speaker 1: And so if I had one who's going to give money,
- 1:10:11Speaker 1: a hedge fund guy who's in his early seventies, it
- 1:10:14Speaker 1: was just it was a ludicrous battle to fight, um
- 1:10:18Speaker 1: and uh and and I thought, how more interesting things
- 1:10:22Speaker 1: to do with my life. And it sounds like you
- 1:10:23Speaker 1: certainly have been focusing on a lot. I'm very happy
- 1:10:26Speaker 1: about the decision I made. It. It's nothing you like
- 1:10:28Speaker 1: to go to your grave with you know UM and
- 1:10:31Speaker 1: have your grandkids google UM and find out you know
- 1:10:36Speaker 1: UM about But UM. I was convinced at the time
- 1:10:40Speaker 1: it was the right decision, and I'm convinced still convinced.
- 1:10:43Speaker 1: And it sounds like you have not, um lost a
- 1:10:47Speaker 1: step in terms of what you're focusing on after that.
- 1:10:50Speaker 1: Success in life is just keep moving forward, moving forward,
- 1:10:54Speaker 1: moving forward, like a shark. If you stop swimming. It's well.
- 1:10:57Speaker 1: I client for my fifty ninth birthday, I claimed coleman
- 1:11:01Speaker 1: Jaro and really yeah, and the locals have this expression pole,
- 1:11:05Speaker 1: which means slow, slow, slow, slow, one foot in front
- 1:11:09Speaker 1: of the other and keep moving forward. Count So you're
- 1:11:15Speaker 1: still in the upper upper reaches of that. There's still elevation,
- 1:11:21Speaker 1: sickness and terrible way weather. I know Everest is twenty
- 1:11:25Speaker 1: six something. That's supposed that's a technical claim, right, people,
- 1:11:29Speaker 1: Supposedly the last five thousand feet of that are are
- 1:11:33Speaker 1: hallucinating and what's terrible? Yeah, no, I didn't want to
- 1:11:36Speaker 1: be miserable, but this, this was this was not quite miserable.
- 1:11:40Speaker 1: But how long did it take to this is news
- 1:11:42Speaker 1: to me. By the way, this doesn't show up in
- 1:11:44Speaker 1: any of our research about you. Um, how long did
- 1:11:47Speaker 1: it take to get to the top of how long
- 1:11:50Speaker 1: there are? We prepped for six months? But really that's amazing. Yeah,
- 1:11:56Speaker 1: it wasn't strenuous prepping, but it was trapping. But there
- 1:12:00Speaker 1: are two days ago. You can go and I've forgotten
- 1:12:01Speaker 1: the names of the trails. You can go straight up
- 1:12:03Speaker 1: the spine of the mountain. You can loop around, you
- 1:12:06Speaker 1: can Yeah, which way did you the ladder because at
- 1:12:11Speaker 1: nine I wanted to acclimate as slowly as possible. How
- 1:12:14Speaker 1: long did it take to get to the top three days?
- 1:12:16Speaker 1: Three days and then back down? Well that's the interesting thing.
- 1:12:19Speaker 1: But the last day you wake up at ten eleven
- 1:12:22Speaker 1: at night. I can't remember exactly when, because you want
- 1:12:24Speaker 1: to walk up the glacial rain while it's frozen so
- 1:12:27Speaker 1: you don't slide back. You get to the peak at
- 1:12:30Speaker 1: six thirty in the morning when the sun's just spectacular
- 1:12:34Speaker 1: you then you go back down to the camp that
- 1:12:37Speaker 1: you just straight down or it's you have a hard
- 1:12:41Speaker 1: time lifting your legs at this point, I mean, the
- 1:12:44Speaker 1: quads are just a um and uh. So you stop
- 1:12:47Speaker 1: at fifteen thousand feet where you were the night before,
- 1:12:49Speaker 1: you sleep for two hours, and then you go down
- 1:12:51Speaker 1: to twelve or ten I can't remember, just to acclimate
- 1:12:54Speaker 1: the pressure, to get it all over with um and
- 1:12:59Speaker 1: and uh. It's an exhilaration to believe you can do that.
- 1:13:04Speaker 1: You're looking down on the clouds. It's uh, you know.
- 1:13:07Speaker 1: But being being a hedge fun guy, I of course
- 1:13:09Speaker 1: had my satellite phone and at the top of the
- 1:13:11Speaker 1: mountain I had a call in to get quotes you
- 1:13:14Speaker 1: were trading. From the top of it. I didn't. I
- 1:13:16Speaker 1: didn't trust my judgment off but but I certainly wanted
- 1:13:19Speaker 1: to be in touch. Well, you had enough of your
- 1:13:21Speaker 1: wits about you to know that you were not to
- 1:13:23Speaker 1: be trust trust. I had a friend who once went
- 1:13:26Speaker 1: to Africa for two weeks, came back and the crash
- 1:13:29Speaker 1: of eighty seven had occurred, and he knew nothing about
- 1:13:32Speaker 1: it during the whole really, and that that memory stayed
- 1:13:35Speaker 1: with me. It's like, you cannot you cannot do what
- 1:13:37Speaker 1: I do and be removed from the world for the
- 1:13:41Speaker 1: missed the You know. My one of my favorite eighty
- 1:13:45Speaker 1: seven stories is David Rosenberg's first day of work. He
- 1:13:49Speaker 1: had been a government economist and he went to work
- 1:13:51Speaker 1: for not Mary Lynch. Was the job before that? His
- 1:13:54Speaker 1: first day in the job was nice. Was the black Monday?
- 1:13:57Speaker 1: Is that right? Yeah? That was the first day. You
- 1:13:59Speaker 1: guys talked about autism by five. So this guy is
- 1:14:02Speaker 1: running a hedge fund. He goes to Africa in he
- 1:14:05Speaker 1: he didn't have a hedge funt. He's running money. He
- 1:14:09Speaker 1: goes in October and he comes back and what the
- 1:14:12Speaker 1: hell happen? And he calls from the airport and I
- 1:14:13Speaker 1: Robi and they tell him and where the markets are
- 1:14:16Speaker 1: and don't don't joke with me, right, this is too serious.
- 1:14:21Speaker 1: This is where things are. Yeah, the flash crash in
- 1:14:25Speaker 1: two thousand ten, I took off from I think it
- 1:14:28Speaker 1: was Dallas at like nine in the morning, New York time,
- 1:14:32Speaker 1: and this was there was no WiFi on the flight
- 1:14:35Speaker 1: because it was a short flight, and I land in
- 1:14:38Speaker 1: maybe a Chicago and land in in uh Laguardi, and
- 1:14:41Speaker 1: it was what the hell happened? Is? Wait, we're down
- 1:14:44Speaker 1: a thousand points and now we're only down what like
- 1:14:48Speaker 1: I'm like, soun's wrong with I called somebody, Son's wrong
- 1:14:50Speaker 1: my phone? It's shown, No, you don't stand It was
- 1:14:52Speaker 1: two thirty two three. Just just absolutely insane. All right.
- 1:14:57Speaker 1: So let's um, let's get to some of my favorite questions.
- 1:15:00Speaker 1: I know you, Um, you have to have other places
- 1:15:04Speaker 1: to go, that's right. UM. So who are your early mentors?
- 1:15:10Speaker 1: Who who really uh put the love of investing and
- 1:15:14Speaker 1: and both technology venture investing and asset management into you? Um?
- 1:15:20Speaker 1: Good question. UM, I mean we're talking to ancient history now. UM.
- 1:15:27Speaker 1: I got out of Columbia and UH interviewed around and
- 1:15:30Speaker 1: I interviewed a Kidder. So what you mentioned was the
- 1:15:33Speaker 1: first job. There was a guy at Kidder at the time,
- 1:15:35Speaker 1: Tom Folder, who was an M I. T. Graand UM,
- 1:15:39Speaker 1: who was director of research. He had hired about six
- 1:15:42Speaker 1: months earlier, guy Bob Johnson to follow computers M I T.
- 1:15:46Speaker 1: Harvard Business School. Uh. And he hired me and we
- 1:15:49Speaker 1: formed the first sort of group group. Um. It was
- 1:15:53Speaker 1: unheard of back in sixty seven, sixty sixty nine. UM.
- 1:15:57Speaker 1: And that that that was a kick. So you know,
- 1:16:00Speaker 1: if I had gotten you recruited to follow the energy industry,
- 1:16:05Speaker 1: I probably would have become a deep value energy buyers.
- 1:16:08Speaker 1: I don't know, but I got in with these guys
- 1:16:09Speaker 1: who who had a similar mindset, similar approach um. Uh.
- 1:16:15Speaker 1: And so I would say that that that influenced me.
- 1:16:17Speaker 1: And then I, uh, I've always worked for a smaller firm.
- 1:16:21Speaker 1: You are what you are. So you know, my first
- 1:16:23Speaker 1: job out of college was Lockheed, which not exactly a
- 1:16:26Speaker 1: small phone, exactly a small firm. Then then then I
- 1:16:29Speaker 1: go down to Wall Street, uh, and I joined Kidder,
- 1:16:31Speaker 1: which was a substantial firm at that time. And Kidder
- 1:16:34Speaker 1: eventually became whatever or Dean Winder. No, No, didn't didn't
- 1:16:40Speaker 1: buy it. I don't remember. I think Gee bought it
- 1:16:43Speaker 1: and then hold it UM. But it disappeared. It was
- 1:16:46Speaker 1: a great firm, but it disappeared. UM. I went from
- 1:16:49Speaker 1: kidder uh to a small a small firm by the
- 1:16:52Speaker 1: name of Lombard by Tallis Pagan, Ducy and Nelson, which
- 1:16:55Speaker 1: doesn't appear in any of bio stuff any longer. Was
- 1:16:57Speaker 1: there for for all of one year, and the wise
- 1:17:00Speaker 1: peg were was starting up a complete startup. That's a
- 1:17:03Speaker 1: that's now a decent sized farm. They sold out to
- 1:17:07Speaker 1: a Dutch bank, but um, I was the first. I
- 1:17:10Speaker 1: was the first higher after the partners opened the doors.
- 1:17:14Speaker 1: UM stay there for fifteen years, managed firm capital, had
- 1:17:17Speaker 1: a pretty good record UM for five years, and went
- 1:17:20Speaker 1: out and started the funds. So the investing part of
- 1:17:23Speaker 1: it was, you know, a combination of my first job
- 1:17:27Speaker 1: and then the venture experience at weiss Peck and managing money.
- 1:17:32Speaker 1: And I learned a lot about money management and cycles
- 1:17:34Speaker 1: and money management, and I learned a lot UM and
- 1:17:38Speaker 1: I learned a lot by managing partners Capital and anybody
- 1:17:41Speaker 1: standing out at WISPEC as all my uh. I don't
- 1:17:46Speaker 1: know if you'd say mentor but but influence influence. So
- 1:17:49Speaker 1: Byron Ween was and and Byron has been an investor,
- 1:17:53Speaker 1: and I was an investor when I had funds. UM
- 1:17:56Speaker 1: from the very beginning we had offices next to each other.
- 1:18:00Speaker 1: Um eventually came to work for Peaquad as the chief
- 1:18:03Speaker 1: strategist when he left Morgan Stanley's now with of course
- 1:18:06Speaker 1: at Blackstone UM. So Byron was one of them. There's
- 1:18:10Speaker 1: unfortunately a fellow just passed away. But then Mickey Straus,
- 1:18:13Speaker 1: who who I worked with there, So it was really
- 1:18:16Speaker 1: more my colleagues than it was you know, and and
- 1:18:19Speaker 1: sometimes you learn as much from colleagues as you do
- 1:18:22Speaker 1: from Biman was on the show. He's now in his
- 1:18:26Speaker 1: early eight he still maintains a relentless travel schedule. I
- 1:18:32Speaker 1: think he's crazy. He flies to China all the time.
- 1:18:34Speaker 1: He's like, I know people my age and younger who
- 1:18:38Speaker 1: are like, oh, I can't travel that much. He's on
- 1:18:40Speaker 1: the road a week or two a month. Like he's
- 1:18:43Speaker 1: twenty six right out of school. I don't think he's
- 1:18:46Speaker 1: like twenty six out of school, but he's uh but yeah, no,
- 1:18:49Speaker 1: he's he's an amazing He's a warrior. He's a warrior.
- 1:18:52Speaker 1: He's eighty's something. He's a warrior. There's another guy who
- 1:18:56Speaker 1: just loves what he does and nothing's going to stop him.
- 1:18:59Speaker 1: And we're stiver close. I'm gonna ask about a book
- 1:19:03Speaker 1: that I suspect you've read, and if you haven't, I'm
- 1:19:05Speaker 1: going to recommend it. James Glicks The Information not the
- 1:19:10Speaker 1: History of Information and Theory and and that put that
- 1:19:14Speaker 1: right on the top of your list because you read
- 1:19:16Speaker 1: enough interesting, eclectic stuff about both history and science. This
- 1:19:21Speaker 1: he's a brilliant writer. He's done the book Chaos about
- 1:19:25Speaker 1: chaos theory. That's him and this book is this should
- 1:19:30Speaker 1: have won the Pulitz or if it didn't, it may have.
- 1:19:33Speaker 1: Just a brilliant If you like that sort of stuff,
- 1:19:37Speaker 1: suspect you do, you're gonna you're gonna find that that fascinating.
- 1:19:40Speaker 1: So so let's talk a little bit about what's changed
- 1:19:44Speaker 1: during in the industry over the course of your career.
- 1:19:47Speaker 1: What do you think, whether it's venture capital or traditional investing,
- 1:19:52Speaker 1: everything everything, what's what's the more? When you know I
- 1:19:56Speaker 1: came down to Wall Street in seven and um, you
- 1:20:01Speaker 1: know there was the Lost generation. Nobody came down to
- 1:20:03Speaker 1: Wall Street in the thirties, forties to two people started.
- 1:20:08Speaker 1: You know, so is that luck or is that I followed?
- 1:20:11Speaker 1: What what what I thought my passion was. I don't know.
- 1:20:14Speaker 1: I mean, I guess there's an element of luck to it.
- 1:20:16Speaker 1: But so I got there at the beginning of the cycle,
- 1:20:19Speaker 1: beginning of the bear market. It was also the beginning
- 1:20:22Speaker 1: of market. Yeah. So there was a bear market, as
- 1:20:25Speaker 1: you know, from seventies seventy one to eighty three. Um.
- 1:20:30Speaker 1: And uh, the time period I like to use is
- 1:20:33Speaker 1: the Dow kissed the thousand in nineteen sixty eight. It
- 1:20:36Speaker 1: did not eclipse that in nineteen sixty six until eighty two.
- 1:20:43Speaker 1: So it's a full sixteen years and those are my
- 1:20:45Speaker 1: formative years. So now you know, you come in, the
- 1:20:48Speaker 1: FED keeps interustrates at zero assets getting fled to go
- 1:20:52Speaker 1: up though, doesn't it. But a lot of people come
- 1:20:55Speaker 1: in and you know what one of my mentor there
- 1:20:58Speaker 1: was a mentor um that I forgot to mention, but said,
- 1:21:02Speaker 1: you know, I had the expression, which others have had,
- 1:21:04Speaker 1: don't confuse brains with the market. Um. I really believe that.
- 1:21:08Speaker 1: But you know so, um, but back then, UM, you
- 1:21:12Speaker 1: didn't just come into the market, and you know, the
- 1:21:15Speaker 1: averages went up because the government decided they should go
- 1:21:17Speaker 1: up or whatever is going on right now. Um, back
- 1:21:20Speaker 1: then you had fifteen years of nothing and you had
- 1:21:23Speaker 1: to survive. And that's that's nominal in real inflation, it
- 1:21:27Speaker 1: was a big loser. Inflation was high, of course, so
- 1:21:31Speaker 1: you know, um that that was my baptism. Um, well,
- 1:21:35Speaker 1: what was it like in the early seventies? What what sucked?
- 1:21:38Speaker 1: It sucked? That's that's an understatement. Obviously, the bond side
- 1:21:43Speaker 1: was paying huge, yes, huge again nominal yields. But on
- 1:21:48Speaker 1: the equity side, who's buying stocks? There weren't that many.
- 1:21:53Speaker 1: But you know, and that was all I did. I mean,
- 1:21:55Speaker 1: you know, I've never met a bond I like, um,
- 1:22:00Speaker 1: which is not true, but um, but you can put
- 1:22:04Speaker 1: well if I haven't, you know, I knew the play.
- 1:22:06Speaker 1: You know, when the rates were up, you know, at
- 1:22:09Speaker 1: the end of that period, and you know, we've had
- 1:22:12Speaker 1: the biggest bond bullmarket ever from two to You could
- 1:22:18Speaker 1: have bought zero coupons and paid no interest and made
- 1:22:21Speaker 1: a fortune, but um, you know, but I didn't do that,
- 1:22:24Speaker 1: So I stuck with the stock thing. Um, And you
- 1:22:27Speaker 1: know that that's worked out. It's worked out enormously well.
- 1:22:31Speaker 1: But it also means that I was a late bloomer
- 1:22:34Speaker 1: because you know, I put in seventeen years before I
- 1:22:38Speaker 1: started getting really paid back for credit ship. I paid
- 1:22:41Speaker 1: my dues. But I did it. When I did it,
- 1:22:43Speaker 1: I did it because I loved it. And now I
- 1:22:45Speaker 1: think people come in because they think you're gonna get rich. Well,
- 1:22:49Speaker 1: that's always the wrong way to yeah, right, If you're
- 1:22:52Speaker 1: doing it for the money, then everything that's not putting
- 1:22:55Speaker 1: money in your pocket is a misery. Right. If you're
- 1:22:57Speaker 1: doing it because you love it, Well, I'm not making money,
- 1:22:59Speaker 1: but I'm having fun. So you know, I like, I
- 1:23:01Speaker 1: like I like obviously I like engineering enough, you know,
- 1:23:04Speaker 1: but I like the discipline of it, in the logic
- 1:23:07Speaker 1: of it. Um. But when you added to that the
- 1:23:10Speaker 1: market and the uncertainty and the ability to try and
- 1:23:12Speaker 1: outcuss other people along with data, um, that became really exciting. Um.
- 1:23:20Speaker 1: It wasn't. It wasn't because I you know, my dad
- 1:23:22Speaker 1: wasn't eluctrician, and I wanted to become a billionaire or something,
- 1:23:25Speaker 1: and there was a farthest thing from my mind. It
- 1:23:29Speaker 1: was just it just happened. It happened, truly, just happened
- 1:23:33Speaker 1: one of the one of those things. So maybe you
- 1:23:35Speaker 1: said before, I don't really think about a lot about luck.
- 1:23:38Speaker 1: How much of what happened was just serendipitous word. Yeah, No,
- 1:23:44Speaker 1: that that I agree with. All right, So you're slicing
- 1:23:47Speaker 1: the luck factor a little more right place, right time,
- 1:23:52Speaker 1: and no doubt. Okay, So so there's an element of
- 1:23:54Speaker 1: luck to that. True. No, that part is luck, I agree.
- 1:23:57Speaker 1: But individual things I did or whatever, and that was
- 1:24:01Speaker 1: a combination I believe I created that. That's a combination
- 1:24:05Speaker 1: of smarts and hard work and an application. So. Um,
- 1:24:10Speaker 1: so we know lots and lots of stuff has changed
- 1:24:13Speaker 1: in the past. What are some of the next shifts
- 1:24:16Speaker 1: that you see in these industries? From your vantage point
- 1:24:20Speaker 1: looking at technology and looking at the rate of change
- 1:24:24Speaker 1: which just seems to keep accelerating. Yeah, I think you're
- 1:24:27Speaker 1: in this fascinating Um. I mean one of the reasons
- 1:24:30Speaker 1: I drifted to venture capital is because um um uh
- 1:24:36Speaker 1: markets of the economy is is matured. Um we have right,
- 1:24:42Speaker 1: so we have huge amounts of social security UM, pension funds,
- 1:24:48Speaker 1: UH savings plans, uh iras four O one foundations, trust
- 1:24:55Speaker 1: and and anybody is that we're just a washing liquidity
- 1:24:58Speaker 1: um and so it's got a go someplace. So um,
- 1:25:02Speaker 1: it needs a big engine solution to how do you
- 1:25:06Speaker 1: intelligently manage all these assets plus corporations um uh In
- 1:25:11Speaker 1: the US at least, um. The one good thing about
- 1:25:14Speaker 1: activism and all the other stuff is it's formed forced
- 1:25:17Speaker 1: productivity that keep increasing in the United States, which has
- 1:25:20Speaker 1: not been happening in the rest of the world. Even
- 1:25:22Speaker 1: though the measures of productivity in the US or are
- 1:25:25Speaker 1: softer than a lot of people say that problem or
- 1:25:29Speaker 1: do we still have good productivity? Yet? I think we
- 1:25:32Speaker 1: have good productivity. I think the economy is changing rapidly.
- 1:25:35Speaker 1: And the productivity in the areas that generate growth, I
- 1:25:39Speaker 1: think the productivity is good. And then and then in
- 1:25:41Speaker 1: the areas that don't produce growth, capital is being returned um.
- 1:25:45Speaker 1: So so the capital part is more productive. So there
- 1:25:50Speaker 1: where washing liquidity um and uh. There's no worldwide, there's
- 1:25:55Speaker 1: not a lot of growth in the US. The growth
- 1:25:57Speaker 1: is obviously much slower than it used to be. So
- 1:26:00Speaker 1: somebody has to manage all of that money. And you're
- 1:26:03Speaker 1: not going to manage it by giving it to a
- 1:26:04Speaker 1: guy like May back thirty years ago, who's going to
- 1:26:07Speaker 1: buy market capps under two hundred millions? So you know,
- 1:26:10Speaker 1: you go to you know, Ray Dally has got a
- 1:26:13Speaker 1: you know, a great engine, and other people have great engines.
- 1:26:16Speaker 1: So you go to these algorithmic kind of things that
- 1:26:19Speaker 1: that are more formulaic than than what I ever used
- 1:26:23Speaker 1: to do. UM. So you know, when you say what's
- 1:26:26Speaker 1: going to go on in the future, I think that
- 1:26:29Speaker 1: those trends are going to continue. I think this this,
- 1:26:33Speaker 1: this UM, this innovation that we're seeing is um is
- 1:26:37Speaker 1: there's no stopping it. And Ure's notion. And what does
- 1:26:43Speaker 1: that mean in terms of of US growth, the change
- 1:26:48Speaker 1: of technology and for the rest of the world economy. UM.
- 1:26:53Speaker 1: I think it means, UM, don't bet against it. Well,
- 1:26:57Speaker 1: for sure, you don't bet against it, and you should
- 1:26:58Speaker 1: bet with it. And they're gonna be superior returns for
- 1:27:02Speaker 1: people who fully understand it. UM. Right now, it's uh,
- 1:27:06Speaker 1: the jealous or the envy factors has worked in and
- 1:27:09Speaker 1: so you're seeing all these comments on the unicorns and
- 1:27:12Speaker 1: all that kind of stuff. You know, tem per cent
- 1:27:16Speaker 1: of the unicorns will work, but they'll be monster companies
- 1:27:19Speaker 1: and and and I think that's the wrong focus. These trends.
- 1:27:23Speaker 1: There is no there, there there, there's there's no changing
- 1:27:27Speaker 1: these trends. Um so that the amount of accority in
- 1:27:30Speaker 1: the system is going to continue increase, the amount of
- 1:27:32Speaker 1: growth is gonna diminish. The growth is gonna shift from
- 1:27:35Speaker 1: old ways of doing things in new ways of doing things. Uh.
- 1:27:38Speaker 1: And there's huge opportunities for me um in what I
- 1:27:41Speaker 1: now do. God knows if there would be any opportunities
- 1:27:44Speaker 1: and what I used to do. Okay, so we're running
- 1:27:47Speaker 1: out of time. Let me get to the last two questions.
- 1:27:49Speaker 1: These are my my favorite questions. First, what sort of
- 1:27:53Speaker 1: advice would you give to a millennial or a college
- 1:27:55Speaker 1: graduate today if they were interested in going into either
- 1:27:59Speaker 1: at some management or a venture capital Get a job, really, yeah,
- 1:28:06Speaker 1: just just find some related job and get some get
- 1:28:10Speaker 1: a job in an industry. I would not come into
- 1:28:13Speaker 1: this industry fresh out. I didn't. I went and work
- 1:28:16Speaker 1: in the aerospace industry for three years. So get some
- 1:28:18Speaker 1: other sort of experience and then use that. And then
- 1:28:22Speaker 1: last question, what do you know about the world of
- 1:28:25Speaker 1: investing today that you wish you knew when you began
- 1:28:29Speaker 1: forty years ago? Oh? Well, that's I knew nothing forty
- 1:28:35Speaker 1: years ago. I mean I was, you know, was I was.
- 1:28:38Speaker 1: I was a wet behind the years, ex college student
- 1:28:42Speaker 1: aeronautical engineer, gotten a car pool with Cavelly and Cooperman,
- 1:28:47Speaker 1: got fascinated by markets, which I had been a little
- 1:28:50Speaker 1: bit interested in before, but I didn't know diad lely. Um,
- 1:28:54Speaker 1: so everything everything you know today? Everything all right? Thank
- 1:28:58Speaker 1: you so much for being so interest with your time.
- 1:29:01Speaker 1: This has really been a fascinating conversation, UM, and I
- 1:29:05Speaker 1: really appreciate UM you're spending so much time with I
- 1:29:08Speaker 1: appreciate the opportunity to tell the story. You've been listening
- 1:29:11Speaker 1: to Masters in Business. I want to thank our our
- 1:29:14Speaker 1: engineer Can, my producer Charlie, and my head of research
- 1:29:19Speaker 1: Mike bat Nick. If you enjoy this conversation, look up
- 1:29:23Speaker 1: an Inch or down an Inch on iTunes and you
- 1:29:25Speaker 1: could see the other sixty such conversations we've had. Be
- 1:29:30Speaker 1: sure and check out my daily column on Bloomberg View
- 1:29:33Speaker 1: dot com or The Big Picture at Dholtz dot com.
- 1:29:36Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter at rid Holts. I'm Barry Hults.
- 1:29:41Speaker 1: You've been listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio