Latest / Toadstool Sports / Brewers/Rangers MLB + WNBA Best Bets Wednesday 9/10/25

Transcript

Brewers/Rangers MLB + WNBA Best Bets Wednesday 9/10/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you above that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: never seen anything like this.
• 0:21
  Speaker 2: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: good day at all.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: Own four that have not had a good season. Man
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new pink.
• 0:38
  Speaker 2: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat man, I
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: don't know what is going on with the bruins arch hape?
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I don't
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: know what day is anymore. I don't even know what
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: could possibly have, Back with you, I always am until
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: I die at least oh and two yesterday and yesterday
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: did not go well for me. Own five the worst
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: month that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to even tell you about this
• 1:14
  Speaker 2: anymore slump series.
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: The slump discontinues, The slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: other than potentially end it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 2: What's up, everybody, it's towed back with you better off dead? Wednesday,
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: September tenth. I'm wearing my shirt that makes me look naked.
• 1:40
  Speaker 2: So enjoy that one and two on the show yesterday,
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: and not happy about this a one and four run
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: over the last two days after We're pretty hot. I
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: guess we need football to come back into action again,
• 1:51
  Speaker 2: although I highly doubt that I'm gonna give out a
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: play on the Thursday night game, although I will talk
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: about it there. It's Thursday college football as well, which
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: is not totally interesting to me either.
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: Yesterday started off nice.
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: We got the over on the Washington Miami baseball game
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: that was right on the edge there, though it was
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: at eight runs. I think in about the seventh inning
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: it was seven to one.
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: Whichever team. I don't remember which team.
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: Won Washington, I guess I don't even know. I'll look
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: in a minute, but whichever team was up seven to one,
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: and I'm like, all right, just score one more run,
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: which did happen, but it wound up being some outpouring
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: of runs because I know the final wound up being
• 2:32
  Speaker 2: seven to five.
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: So it probably was Washington.
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: Who was bullpen gave it up because there will been sucks,
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: but maybe I'm wrong about that, but whatever, we did
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: get there with that one. It was actually it landed
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: on nine actually like going into the final ending, I think,
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: so it was like you're kind of free rolling at
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: that point, although I really didn't want to push on that.
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: It was sitting. I think.
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: It was eight to one, I think going into the
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: I don't know it was seven to two, yeah, seven
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: to two, because it wound up sen to five. It
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: was seven to two going into the ninth inning, so
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: I'm like, let's get another run here, man, because I
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: don't want to push, although at that point you at
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: least know you're not gonna lose. Milwaukee Texas was a
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: roller coaster man that under h The starting pitching wasn't
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: as good as I thought that it would be, and
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: it was five to three I think in like the
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: fifth inning, so you're like this game this is over,
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: Like this is over literally because you know, one more
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: run is gonna put that thing over, and then they
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: had to tease us for the rest of the game.
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: They literally didn't score another run, so like almost all
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: the runs are scored in the fifth inning. I think
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: at that point all but one of the runs was
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: scored in the fifth inning. Fifth inning was yeah, seven
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: of the eight runs that it came home in that
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: specific inning. All the other innings were scoreless. Then they
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: go scoreless for the rest of the game into the
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: ninth inning and it's still five to three. I'm like,
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: just end the game now, but no, uh, Milwaukee gets
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: one more run in the top of the ninth and
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: that puts it over at the last possible moment, because
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: you know the detectic, Like all they have to do
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: is get through that half inning, right because Texas is
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: winning and they're at home. So as long as they
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: get through that top half of the ninth not allowing
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: any runs, it's over. They don't bat in the ninth inning,
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: so I'm like, holy shit, this is actually gonna hit
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: and then no, Milwaukee gets a run in the ninth inning,
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: just great, and then San Diego that was, yeah, that
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: was not great. I apologize. I'm just I'm pretty surprised man,
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: that San Diego couldn't score off of well, not necessarily
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: La Tel, but especially off the Cincinnati bullpen that Cincinnati
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: brought like one guy up I think, to join the mix,
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: but the other relievers they use were pitching multiple days
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: in a row. So I was like, this is gonna
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: be like a really really tired Red's bullpen. So I'm
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: pissed about it. Man, Curtis, what's up man? Thanks for
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: hanging out. I'm gonna give about two plays today. They're
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: both baseball, they're both totals, they're both unders. I mean,
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: you know me, that's it's gonna be the way that
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: it is. WNBA talk about that really quickly. I'm kind
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: of angry actually that I didn't actually give out La
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: as a play yesterday, because you if you watch my show,
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: I told you La was the best mean in the
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: w NBA yesterday and they won outright, and they still
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: failed to make the playoffs because Seattle just got by
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: Golden State.
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: So the playoff structure, not the entire structure.
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: But the teams that are gonna make the playoffs that
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: set as Seattle is now in and La is out officially,
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: So basically, if Seattle won last night, they were gonna
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: get in. So it was like a control your own
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: destiny situation, which I kind of failed to account for
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: that when I talked about that game. Because teams that
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: are in like in that spot like that control your
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: own destiny. The pressure actually kind of tends to be
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: more on the on that team, whereas La they couldn't
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: control their own destiny. Right. It was like, even if
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: they win, they need Seattle to lose, So that actually
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: takes the pressure off of you because you just go
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: out and play because it's out of your hands at
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: that point. That's what we talk about it like the
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: in the final week of the NFL.
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: Basically you get situations like that.
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: But anyway, lad win and fail to make the playoffs
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: at the same time. But I should have given that
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: out as a play. Atlanta at Connecticut is the only
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: game here in the WNBA tonight. Atlanta can still advance
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: their seeding. I believe they're fighting for I think they're
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: still in the running for the number two seed in
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: the playoffs. Connecticut is out of it obviously, but if
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: you want Atlanta, you have to lay a huge price
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: on the road, and they did just beat Connecticut at
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: home by twenty five points.
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: They might not take them totally serious.
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: I mean, they beat them twice actually in the last
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: four games, including in this arena on the road, they
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: beat them by seventeen or whatever.
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: That is. Atlanta's won five games in a row.
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: But again, I kind of doubt that they actually take
• 6:42
  Speaker 2: this Connecticut team completely seriously after beating them that many times.
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: Connecticut will be the team that has the adjustments to
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: make it the very least, and this is their last
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: game Atlanta will play in the playoffs. Connecticut, they're not
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: gonna play again. This is their last game of the season.
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: They're not making the playoffs. So Connecticut has a reason
• 7:01
  Speaker 2: to kind of show up and play and go all
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: out in this game, right Whereas Atlanta has more stuff
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: to play for beyond this because they're going to the playoffs,
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: So lean to Connecticut in this game. Atlanta is down
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: from fourteen to thirteen. Huge line sixty tickets, eighty eight
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: percent of cash on it land. I don't agree with
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: that cash percentage. I would agree with the line move
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: dropping on them. I think Connecticut is the only way
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: to play that game. If you really need if you
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: really want to play that game Connecticut plus the points.
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: Major League Baseball.
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: I'm going to talk about, Well, the first game, as
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: you can see, is one of my plays. You already
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: know what it is, but I'm gonna leave that for
• 7:40
  Speaker 2: the best bets. I always forget to show the breakdown graphic,
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: but we're calling this the breakdown segment. My Boston Red
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: Sox at the A's. And when I handicapped that game yesterday,
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: I didn't realize that dust And May was about to
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: go on the injured list.
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: Dustin May is, he's on the shitty list.
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: Basically, that was one of the worst trades that the
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: Red Sox have ever made. Dude, like they traded away Tibbs,
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: I believe was a talented outfielder, oh that they got
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: in the Dever's trade, and because the Red Sox do
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: have a lot of young outfielders. But now Roman Anthony
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: has heard, of course, and he looks like the real
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: deal the next guy, and I don't even know if
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: he's coming back. Red Sox traded TIBs away, they get
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: May May is an absolute turd, and now he's probably
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: not gonna pitch for the rest of the season. The
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: Red Sox won't have him next year, So way to
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: go Craig Bresla in that fucking trade. It was an
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: extremely high time preference trade and it did not work
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: out at all.
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, the Red Sox are not gonna win the
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: World Series this year. Man.
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: They got this young core, you know, they're building around it.
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: But the good thing about the Red Sox yesterday they
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: won the game, but they got a really good performance
• 8:50
  Speaker 2: from Connolly Early, who is the next guy he got
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: called up man. He I think made his way through
• 8:58
  Speaker 2: the miners pretty quickly, just like Payton totally and Early
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: he might be better than totally, dude, because he came up
• 9:04
  Speaker 2: and he had to pitch in this really really horrendous
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: park for pitchers at the A's Triple A Stadium that
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: they play him, and Early dominated.
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: They let him go five innings, I think, but he
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: had eleven strikeouts.
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: He was just absolutely whiffing guys. He was blowing them away. Man.
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: So he's a tall left hander.
• 9:23
  Speaker 2: He looks like the real dem Man and everybody was
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: there was this picture I quote tweeted with Peyton Toley
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: was in the dugout next to Early, either between innings
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: or after he was done pitching, and the two of
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: them next to each other juxtapos is so funny. People
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: are like, Peyton Totley is Connolly Early's father or whatever.
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: Peyton Toley looks like he's like twenty years older than
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: Connolly Early, and Early is actually older than Totally by
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: like several months.
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: It's pretty hilarious.
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: Totally, it's the stash man. It makes him look really
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: old and Early looks really fucking young. But he might
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: be good man, So I am excited about that.
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah, true.
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: Caitlin Clark, I mean they kept pushing her timetable back.
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: It's like, dude, she's not coming back. The WNBA is
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: not gonna enjoy the fact that she's not coming back.
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: Indiana is in the playoffs and they're not gonna have
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: Clark or Cunningham for it. Red Sox today, well, actually
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: I should point out the bullpen usage here. The Red
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: Sox had the better bullpen. A's bullpen is not very good.
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: They actually used more of their bullpen yesterday as well,
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: so the Red Sox bullpen is in somewhat better shape. Actually,
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: let me check my audio real quick too, because I
• 10:33
  Speaker 2: forgot to do that. But Curtis, apparently you're listening to me,
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: so that's a good sign, I guess, but I usually
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: checked just my mic level on the live stream just
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: to make sure because I'm a professional.
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: Here, man, let me see here, I don't know what
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: this is even doing YouTube is just being a pain
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: in the ass right now. I apologize one second. Yeah,
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: all right, we got it anyway, all right, So yeah
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: we're stuck on the bullpen used to screen here, Oh
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: thank you, sir.
• 11:06
  Speaker 2: So the A's have the better offense out of these
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: two teams, though the Red Sox offense is solid, although.
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: They're missing some guys. They got some injuries.
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: Peyton Totley, our man is pitching for the Red Sox today,
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: had a pretty solid debut and then he did not
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: pitch Well's last time out, So his numbers don't look
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: good now because he got all jacked up in that
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: last start.
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: Seven point five.
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: Six ERA one point six 't eight whip although he's
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: definitely better than those numbers would suggest. But he had
• 11:32
  Speaker 2: a bad game at Arizona. I mean, that's a really
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: difficult lineup to face, but it wasn't a good start.
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: So what are we gonna get out of him here.
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: I don't know, because he's facing another good line up here.
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: He did well in his first out and he gets
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: a really weak pirate lineup. Actually didn't allow any runs
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: in that game until the sixth inning when he maybe
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: started to tire out a little bit and the bullpen
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: actually came in and allowed the runs to score. But
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: they got charged to him because he let them get
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: a base. Arizona, though they are a good offense, A's
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: are a good offense, and both of those are hitter
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: friendly parks. So even though totally has not been seen
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: before by the A's, I'm not convinced that he's gonna
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: come out there and pitch well. I mean, I wouldn't
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: be shocked if he does. He's a good pitcher, but
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: I'm worried about this pitching in this environment.
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: Man against this team, I think it's a wait and
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: see approach.
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: And then the A's have a rookie pitching as well,
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: Mason Barnett, who I mentioned his last time out that
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: I thought his original starter Gunning pushed back, but I
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: don't think that's actually true.
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: I think ESPN is just fucked up.
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: I think ESPN, for some reason just doesn't have any
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: of his stats listed here, but if you go to
• 12:38
  Speaker 2: his overview, it looks like he did pitch twice so
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: and he didn't do well. If this is what his
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: numbers were, he gave up five earned runs and four
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: earned runs in his first couple of starts, going four
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: and five innings, respectively, although he did have eight strikeouts
• 12:52
  Speaker 2: last time on against the Angels, if all this is accurate,
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: but five walks, so I'm not convinced that he's gonna
• 12:59
  Speaker 2: do well either, even though both starting pitchers are unfamiliar
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: to the opposing lineups, which usually is a little bit
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: of an advantage. Looking at the scouting on these guys totally,
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: I think is the guy that has, you.
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: Know, the better stuff.
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: But the Red Sox are re minus one twenty five
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: road favorite. They're public seventy five percent of tickets only
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: sixty eight percent of the cash on them, So it
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: looks like the Red Sox are a public road favorite,
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: which I don't love, although they were public yesterday too,
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: but still market Reid looks like it's on the a's side.
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't want to touch it.
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: Eighty percent of tickets on the over and fifty seen
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the under, although the total
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: went up a little bit to ten and to have
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: juice to the over.
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I agree with.
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: This under here either, man. I mean, it's really difficult
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: to predict what's gonna happen. I think there's a wide
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: range of results you can get from both of these
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: starters here because they're both unknown, and they both have
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: some indicators that they're good, but they both have some
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: indicators that they're not good.
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: So this game it's a complete stay away, man. I mean,
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: you could see what.
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: The market read is telling you, but other than that,
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: I can't really I don't really strongly disagree with the market.
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: I just don't really have a suggestion on how to
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: play that game. Arizona at San Francisco. San Francisco has
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: won the first two games of this series. They're on
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: the verge of a sweep, so Arizona might show up
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: with a little bit extra motivation afore the sweep. San
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: Francisco plays the Dodgers next, which they may consider to
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: be a bigger series. Although San Francisco they're kind of
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: playing like they still think they can make the playoffs.
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: They've been fairly hot recently. They're technically not eliminated, although
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: I don't think they're gonna make the playoffs, but they're
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: playing like they're still in and Arizona sold off at
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: the trade deadline they know they're not in it anymore.
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: San Francisco does have the better bullpend here, but they
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: used four relief pitchers yesterday and Arizona only used one.
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: So Arizona's bullpen is more rested coming into this game,
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: even though they're a bad bullpen. But that kind of
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: makes the bullpen advantage of San Francisco would normally have
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: not be as strong here. Arizona has the way better offense,
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: Cisco's offense not very good. Pitching matchup doesn't really look
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: good for either side. At Eduardo Rodriguez for the d
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: Backs five point two two ERA, one point six whip
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: on the season. He just again he's a guy who
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: hasn't really been able to bounce back from having Tommy
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: John surgeries and whatever. He's been a little bit better
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: on the road five point one seven Roady Ira and
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: this is a pitcher friendly park. He was good in
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: his last two outings against the Dodgers and the Red Sox.
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: Potent lineups and he held them to one earned run
• 15:29
  Speaker 2: combined across twelve innings, shutting out the Dodgers in along
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: one run to the Red Sox, but he walked a
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: ton of guys. He had an eight to six strike
• 15:38
  Speaker 2: a walk ratio with that span, so I'm not entirely
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: ready to say, oh, e rod is just like pitching well,
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: all of a sudden, his strikeout rate wasn't really that high.
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: Numbers against the Dodgers are not terrific, and fifty at
• 15:49
  Speaker 2: bats fifteen to five strike a walk ratios all right,
• 15:52
  Speaker 2: but two sixty average eight twenty seven ops.
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: So he's not great against him.
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: But the Giants are basically going with a bullpen game
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: because they have Carson Seymour listed as their starter four
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: point two five ERA one point three to five whip.
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: He's worse at home to five point two seventy r
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: at home.
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: Not a good sign.
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: Maybe it's not a bullpen game, though, because Seymour did
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: actually go five innings last time out, so looks think
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: they kind of ramped up his pitch, kind of let
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: him go start his work line. He only allowed one
• 16:20
  Speaker 2: and run to Saint Louis, which is an alright sign,
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: But Saint Louis very bad lineup.
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: We know Arizona's lineup is a lot better.
• 16:28
  Speaker 2: Arizona only has six at bats against, so whether they
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: are two for six with a home run from McCann
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: h three point thirty three average, one thousand and one
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: sixty seven ops, no strikeouts, no walks. I don't love
• 16:40
  Speaker 2: either starting pitcher in this game, though, man, I mean,
• 16:43
  Speaker 2: I could definitely see the argument for the over. Arizona's
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: bullpen's not good. Don't really trust either starting pitcher.
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 16:49
  Speaker 2: San Francisco's bullpen's not that rested. Uh, So that would
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: probably be the way I would look in this game.
• 16:54
  Speaker 2: We don't really see any market percentages that help yet.
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: On the side, fifty two percent takes fifty percent of
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: the cash on Arizona, with San Francisco up for one
• 17:03
  Speaker 2: thirteen to minus one to eighteen.
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: Kind of difficult to read the market on that one too.
• 17:10
  Speaker 2: Looks like maybe some of the money coming in a
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: little bit on Arizona, maybe because the bullpen rest scenario
• 17:14
  Speaker 2: is kind of negating San Francisco's bullpen edge a little bit.
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: Minnesota at Anaheim Anaheim, these teams they both had opposing
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: blowouts basically. So Minnesota won twelve to three the first
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: game of the series. Anaheim bounced back with a twelve
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: to two win last night. These teams don't have good bullpens,
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: so the bullpens are definitely pretty fadable. Although they didn't
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: use a ton of relief arms yesterday, neither team did.
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: Anaheim as the better of the two offenses, and as
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: far as the starting pitching, he's concerned Taj Bradley's pitches
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: from Minnesota. They picked him up basically off the scrap
• 17:51
  Speaker 2: heat from Tampa Bay. I mean, he's showing signs that
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: maybe he will turn into something. I mean, he's still
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: pretty young. His season hasn't been very good. Four point
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: nine two ERA, one point three to one whip, although
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: granted he was pitching in that bad Tampa Bay Stadium,
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: which is the Yankee spring training stadium.
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: It's very hitter friendly.
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: He's been better on the road this year four point
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: five YRA on the road. He's made three starts since
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: being acquired by Minnesota. He got lit up in his
• 18:18
  Speaker 2: first start by the White Sox, which is a very
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: bad sign, but then he held San Diego to one run,
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: and then his most recent start he bounced back a
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: little bit against the White Sox and at least held
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: him to four earned runs, which is still not great
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: against a bad lineup like that, but had seven strikeouts
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: one walk in that one, so he has improved to
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: some extent off of that first outing, so he's not
• 18:40
  Speaker 2: doing that badly right now. With the Twins, an, I'm
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: only as three hitters, I've ever seen it before, and
• 18:45
  Speaker 2: they're only two for six off in lifetime with one
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: strike gun and no walks. But Anaheim has some guys
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: who are dealing with injuries, man, so they've had a
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: couple of guys who are out, which aren't the guys
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: that are listed here. They have a couple of hitters
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: who have been out, and oh Adele, even though he's
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: listed as active here, he's been out two with vertigo,
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: which makes absolutely no sense.
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: Maybe he's watching the Alfred Hitchcock film. I have no
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: idea decent film, by the way, decent mind fuck of
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: the film that one is.
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: I watched it recently. Actually, I went into I.
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: Had a Hitchcock phase for a little while when the
• 19:22
  Speaker 2: movies are all on Netflix, well some of them were,
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: but anyway, weird that Adele has vertigo.
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: It doesn't make sense.
• 19:28
  Speaker 2: Jose Soriano's pitching for Anaheim here not great on the season,
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: four point h seventy ra's alright, one point three to
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: seven whip is too high, puts too many guys on base.
• 19:39
  Speaker 2: He's really bad at home five point ninety r at
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: home for whatever reason. Last time out he got jacked
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: at home. Jacked up, I should say by the A's.
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: I had five walks, four strikeouts in two and a
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: third innings and allowed eight earned runs.
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: Just ridiculously bad. Although three of the prior four starts
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: he'd pitched shutouts of two of those three were on
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: the road.
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: It's difficult to figure out what you're gonna get out
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: of sore Islo Man because he obviously has a capability
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: to give you a good start against anybody. I mean
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: that home shutout was actually against the Dodgers. He could
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: come on and do well. I mean, Minnesota is not
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: a very good lineup. They have fifteen at bats against them,
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: which is not a lot. Three hits, no extra base hits,
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: five to one start, a walk, raight stio. It's a
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: two hundred average four fifty ops. So you may actually
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: pitch well here, Soriano, But I don't know how we
• 20:31
  Speaker 2: could trust either one of these starters. Man, Anaheim has
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: seventy eight percent to take us ninety two percent of
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: the cash in the market. They dropped for minus one
• 20:39
  Speaker 2: thirty five to minus one twenty eight on the money line. Man,
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't I don't even know if I
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: would have a lean in this game either, to be honest,
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: I just don't know what we're gonna get out of
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: these pitchers here. The money appears to be coming in
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: on the under, even though it went up a little
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: bit to nine. It looks like maybe professionals wanted to
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: just push that number up a little bit to the
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: nine to then take the under nine at a better price.
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: I don't know, eighty one percent of tickets on the
• 21:05
  Speaker 2: over fifty one percent of the couch on the under.
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: I would have trust an under with these two bullpens,
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: though the bullpens are bad. If you wanted to go under,
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: you would have to do it in the first five
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: in my opinion, and.
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: I think it's risky.
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: I mean, it is possible both starting pitchers do well
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: in this one, but I think it is risky. Speaking
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: of well Wells is pitching for Baltimore. That's gonna be
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: my other play Pirates and Orioles, so I'll save that
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: for the end. Kansas City at Cleveland. Cleveland has won
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: the first two games of this series by a combined
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: score of twelve to two. This Royal offense is really
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: struggling again, even though Cleveland is actually the worst of
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: the two offenses. Cleveland not a good offense. Neither of
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: these teams are. The bullpens are generally pretty good. Cleveland's
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: bullpen's a little bit better. Cleveland's won five games in
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: a row, though, mean they've overtaken Kansas City. Kansas City
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: on the verge of pretty much being out of it.
• 21:59
  Speaker 2: Man in Cleveland, I think they pretty much know they're
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: out of it, and they're.
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: Ahead of Kansas City, which is crazy. This is a
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: four game series.
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: This is not the last game of the series yet,
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: so Kansas City is not technically trying to avoid the
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: sweep yet, although obviously if they win today they will
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: avoid the sweep. As far as the bullpens, Cleveland has
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: the bullpen edge. They only use one relief pitcher yesterday,
• 22:22
  Speaker 2: Kansas City only used two, so the bullpends are in
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: alright shape after yesterday. Sorry, pitching is very difficult to
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: figure out though. Kansas City has got Johnathan Bowling listed
• 22:31
  Speaker 2: as a starter, but he's a relief pitcher. He has
• 22:34
  Speaker 2: good numbers, but I'm pretty sure he's gonna be an opener.
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: I think he's only gonna go one to two innings here.
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: Three point five to seventy RA and one point one
• 22:41
  Speaker 2: to three whip solid numbers, although he's worse on the
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: road five point one to one Roadie Ray. Again, you
• 22:46
  Speaker 2: look at all of his outings this year, they're all
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: like one inning, two innings, most of them fewer than
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: two innings. Did throw three innings one time against the Mets,
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: so again, I think anywhere from one to two innings
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: I think is what to expect from him here. So
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: not a whole lot. Cleveland actually hits him well eleven
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: at bats, not a lot of at bats, but four
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: to one strike a walk ratio that's fine for him,
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: but three sixty four batting average, oneenty three twenty six ops,
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: so Cleveland limited sample size. They do hit him well,
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: though again they're probably not gonna see a whole lot
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: of them in this game. But then you're gonna have
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: to deal with the Kansas City bullpen game for the
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: rest of the game.
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: I know the bullpen's fairly good.
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: Cleveland's lineup is still fairly weak, but I wouldn't want
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: to bank on the Kansas City bullpen.
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: Game being great.
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: Man and Logan Allen has pitching for Cleveland, and I'm
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: not a fan of his either. Really, I mean not
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: great numbers this year four point four to six ERA,
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: one point four to four.
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: Whip is really bad.
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: Can't put that many guys on base Man. He is
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: a little bit better at home four point zero five
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: home ERA.
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: He was okay over his last two starts.
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: Giving up four and three earned runs in six and
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: five inning outings against Seattle and Tampa Bay. Still walked
• 23:58
  Speaker 2: too many guys. He had a nine to five strike
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: a walk ratio. He was working a nine to five man,
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: which is where he's gonna be if he keeps pitching
• 24:05
  Speaker 2: like this against the Royals.
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: Even though the lineup is good, he.
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: Doesn't do well against him in a fifty six at
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: bat sample size, so it's a decent size sample three
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: to ninety three batting average one thousand and sixty seven ops,
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: so he doesn't really do well against them.
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: I'm leaning towards an over in this game, even though
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: these bullpens, even though these bullpens are decent and nan.
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: Hitting is not very good on either side. I know
• 24:30
  Speaker 2: both games actually have gone over in the series, or
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: no one game went over the other one didn't win.
• 24:34
  Speaker 2: Am I saying one game of the two went over
• 24:37
  Speaker 2: and it was all Cleveland's doing? But I think that
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: might be the right way to look here. The toll
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: did go up a little bit from eight to eight
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: juice to the over, and always see the percentages on it.
• 24:47
  Speaker 2: But yeah, that's probably the way I would go in
• 24:49
  Speaker 2: Kansas City. I mean, their bullpen's gonna be out there
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: for the entirety of the game and it might not
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: go terribly well for them. Cleveland's got a little bit
• 24:57
  Speaker 2: of the money down from minus one away to minus
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: one oh five fifty six tickets on sixty six percent
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: of the cash. I don't know which one of these
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: is the least trustworthy, to be honest, a Kansas City
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: bullpen game or Logan al And I'm honestly not sure.
• 25:10
  Speaker 2: So I don't even know if I agree with the
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: Cleveland side there. Man, I might even slightly disagree with it,
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: but yeah, I'm not gonna touch that game. Washington at Miami.
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: We got the over right in this one yesterday. Both
• 25:22
  Speaker 2: games have got over in the series. Washington was the
• 25:26
  Speaker 2: team that was winning yesterday, which is what I thought.
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: They've won both games of the series. I don't know
• 25:31
  Speaker 2: if this is a three or four game series. Let
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: me look, it's a four game series. So they play
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: again tomorrow and Washington doesn't even really have anything to look.
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: Ahead to either. They only have Pittsburgh up next.
• 25:40
  Speaker 2: So Washington, they're taking this series seriously, man, because they
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: are behind Miami and Washington really has nothing left to
• 25:47
  Speaker 2: play for. I mean, neither of these teams does. They're
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: both out of it. But which, by the way, is
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: also the kids with Minnesota and I'm which I forgot
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: to mention and Red Sox I forgot to mention the
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: motivation the Dsucks is still playing to try to win
• 26:01
  Speaker 2: their division and or to make a wildcard spot in
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: the A's know that they're out of it. But anyway,
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: back to this game, Washington Miami. I mean, neither of
• 26:11
  Speaker 2: these bullpens are very good. Miami's is not great. There's
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: been a lot of usage over the last few days too,
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: although not specifically yesterday. Both bullpens have seen a lot
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: of usage recently again, although again not a ton yesterday.
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: Washington's bullpen is quite bad though, so I.
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: Think the bullpens you could definitely still fade the bullpens here.
• 26:30
  Speaker 2: Jake Irvin is pitching for Washington. He hasn't been good
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: this year five point seven to one ERA, one point
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: four to four whip. He's been even worse on the
• 26:38
  Speaker 2: road six point one to nine. Roady ra got lit
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: up in his last start by the Cubs for seven
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: or in runs and three and a third innings, four walks,
• 26:46
  Speaker 2: two strikeouts. He's given up four more runs in four
• 26:51
  Speaker 2: of his last five starts, and the one that he
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: didn't he only lasted two and a third.
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: So he's been awful recently. He's in terrible for him.
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: Had an eight point seven to eighty RA in r
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: I guy sixteen to twelve strike a walk ratio there,
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: and then it got even worse with that Cubs start
• 27:04
  Speaker 2: to start September.
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: He's not pitching well.
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: The only saving grace for him here is that Miami's
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: never seen him except for Joey Weimer the Wymar Republic.
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: Or is it Weimer. I don't know Weiener. I have
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: no idea.
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: He's oz for two off Irvin, But the rest of
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: Miami has never seen him before, So maybe a little
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: bit of an advantage for Irvin more than he normally
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: would have because shockingly a team in their division, in
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: his division, has never actually faced him before, which is
• 27:32
  Speaker 2: bizarre to me. But again, Irvin has been so bad
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: recently that I don't even know that it's gonna take
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: Miami that much to adjust to him. So I would
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: not trust Irvin. Juri Perez is pitching for Miami. You
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: know if you watch my show that I do like him.
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: I think he's a really good pitcher. He's been pretty
• 27:51
  Speaker 2: bad in his last couple out He's though, he's been
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: really bad. His ERA is up to four point sixty six,
• 27:57
  Speaker 2: very unfortunate. His whip is still good at one point one.
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: He's still a good pitcher man. He is good at
• 28:02
  Speaker 2: home two point two five year, right at home this year.
• 28:04
  Speaker 2: Last two outings though against the Mets only two and
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: a third innings is what he lasted and gave up
• 28:10
  Speaker 2: five runs. Didn't bounce back and last down against these
• 28:14
  Speaker 2: Washington Nationals on the road, though both of these were
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: on the road. He gave up seven and runs of
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: four innings. Obviously, he has the capability to bounce back,
• 28:25
  Speaker 2: but he's not in good form and Washington just saw him,
• 28:28
  Speaker 2: so Washington might have a little bit of an edge
• 28:30
  Speaker 2: just because they just saw him.
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: His numbers generally are not that bad against Washington except
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: for the power hitting numbers.
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: He has forty four at bats against the sixty two
• 28:40
  Speaker 2: strike a walk ratio, two to fifty batting average, eight
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: h five ohps. Because he's allowed three home runs to them,
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: and obviously that means Washington has seen him aside from
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: just that one recent outing. But I don't know if Perezley, Yeah,
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: I don't know what we're gonna get on him, man,
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: because he's in bad recent form.
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: Washington did just see him.
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: I would probably need to do an over in this
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: one too, even though that's what I said in every
• 29:04
  Speaker 2: game in the series so far. We just got bad
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: pitching going on here for the most apart made even
• 29:08
  Speaker 2: though generally I like Perez, but he just doesn't seem
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: like you can really trust him right now. Miami dropped
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: for minus one sixty to minus one fifty two, seventy
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: four percent of tickets eighty eight percent of the cash
• 29:20
  Speaker 2: coming in on Miami though, so the cash percentage is
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: on them. Total looks like it went up a little
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: bit from May to eight and a half, with ninety
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets on the over but ninety seven
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the over. So it might
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: be public and professionals all joining each other on the over.
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: A little bit of an over orgy there, I don't know.
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: Again, not gonna be one that I actually want to
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: get involved in though, because Perez could come back and
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: have a good start at any point. So yeah, difficult
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: to predict. Mets at Philadelphia. Philadelphia has won both games
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: of the series so far, so it looks like they
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: are taking revenge a bit seriously because they did lose
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: at They got swept at the Mets not that long ago,
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: so Philly they could start.
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: Coasting at this point, though.
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: Man, because they are nine games ahead of the Mets
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: in their division, they're probably not going to catch the Brewers,
• 30:10
  Speaker 2: although it is certainly possible.
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: Obviously.
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: They're actually only only three and a half games behind
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: the Brewers, so they could actually catch the Brewers so
• 30:18
  Speaker 2: maybe that's why they're still playing because they could get
• 30:20
  Speaker 2: home field throughout the playoffs.
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: Mets have a little bit more to play.
• 30:25
  Speaker 2: For it, though, because they're still fighting to make sure
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: they make a wildcard spot. Although both teams I believe
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: are going to show up here motivated, Mets maybe a
• 30:33
  Speaker 2: little bit extra motivation after losing the first two games of.
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: The series as well.
• 30:37
  Speaker 2: Philly has the worst of the two bullpens, although they
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: actually have been a little bit rested at least their
• 30:45
  Speaker 2: bullpen's a bit rested here.
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: Mets pretty well rested as well.
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: They only use Hagen Men yesterday in long relief out
• 30:54
  Speaker 2: of the bullpens, so both bullpens in decent shape here.
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: I think the Mets do have the better of the
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: two bullpens. By the way, I should have mentioned Washington Miami.
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: Miami does have the better offense of the two, just
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: to throw that out there, and the better bullpen just
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: because Washington is just so bad. Mets had the better
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: of these two bullpens. The Mets offense had actually been
• 31:12
  Speaker 2: better than Philadelphia's really coming.
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: Into this series.
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: The Mets actually had overtaken them in team hitting stats.
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: Mets are actually fourth overall in ops on the season.
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: Philly right behind them though at six, so both offenses
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: are good. Clay Holmes is pitching for the Mets. I
• 31:29
  Speaker 2: do think he's the lesser of the two pitchers.
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: He's got a three point six to one ERA, which
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: is good, but one point three to three whip indicates
• 31:35
  Speaker 2: that his ERA should probably be higher. He's putting guys
• 31:38
  Speaker 2: on base. He is a little bit better on the
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: road three point three to nine road ERA wasn't good
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: last time out, which was on the road against Detroit.
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: He only lasted four and two thirds touring runs allowed
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: not terrible, but three walks to six strikeouts.
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: He's struggling a little bit.
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: Man. His strikeout walk ratio hasn't been good over the
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: past like month plus, even though he was not allowing
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: that many runs. That's kind of what you get out
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: of homes man. I mean, he allowed two or fewer
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: earned runs in all but one start, but he wasn't
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: going that deep into some of these games.
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: Still had a four point three two.
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: ERA in August streke a walk ratio wasn't good in
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: August twenty to ten. I don't think he's totally trustworthy
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: against Philly. His numbers are not great. It's only a
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: twenty five at bat sample size though, so they haven't
• 32:20
  Speaker 2: seen a ton of them. Seven to two strike a
• 32:22
  Speaker 2: walk ratio, two eighty average allowed, seven to seventy three
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: oh ps, so Philly has been able to hit him decently.
• 32:29
  Speaker 2: Philly has the better of the two starters going, Christopher
• 32:32
  Speaker 2: Sanchez having a really good season two point six ERA,
• 32:35
  Speaker 2: one point one two whip. One question you gotta have
• 32:38
  Speaker 2: is is he gonna start wearing down because he's still
• 32:40
  Speaker 2: pretty young, so like how many innings is he used
• 32:43
  Speaker 2: to pitching in a season, but he hasn't reached that
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: threshold yet. Last season he had thrown five more innings
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: than he has so far this year, So somebody to
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: keep an eye on. But he's probably gonna still be
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: good coming into this game here. He does have a
• 32:56
  Speaker 2: two point two eight ERA at home, which is good,
• 33:00
  Speaker 2: really good. Over his last two starts against Atlanta and Miami.
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: Not great offense has when he went seven innings and
• 33:05
  Speaker 2: each of them won are and run a lot in
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: each of them, a thirteen to one strike a walk ratio,
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: a nice bounce back after he did poorly in the
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: prior start, but that was against the Mets. He gave
• 33:14
  Speaker 2: up six earned runs to the Mets in five and
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: a third, three walks, eight hits, four strikeouts, so the
• 33:19
  Speaker 2: Mets were able to hit Sanchez. Overall, his numbers are
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: better than that against the Mets, though, and one hundred
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: and thirty three at bats forty one to eleven strike
• 33:28
  Speaker 2: a walk ratio that's pretty good two forty eight average
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: allowed six ninety seven ops. So even though the Mets
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: did just hit him pretty well, his numbers are actually
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: pretty good against the Mets generally. So I do think
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: Sanchez does have the upper hand here. If I was
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: gonna go with Philly, I think you would have to
• 33:44
  Speaker 2: do it in the first five innings, man, because I
• 33:46
  Speaker 2: really wouldn't want to deal with their bullpen. Eighty one
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets, ninety seven percent of the cash on Philly,
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: they're up for minus one sixty minus one sixty three.
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: Though the oddsmakers no like Sanchez.
• 33:57
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean there's a lot of value, there's really
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: solid starters. The oddsmakers are definitely charging you for that,
• 34:03
  Speaker 2: and maybe they're charging you a bit too much, although
• 34:06
  Speaker 2: I still could see this being Philly in the first
• 34:09
  Speaker 2: five innings on like a minus half run line.
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: Detroit at the Yankees.
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: The Yankees got blasted yesterday twelve to two, which I'm
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: not sad about, but I was actually not totally wrong
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: when I said that I leaned to the Yankees yesterday
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: with just the starting pitching matchup in the first five
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: and the game was actually tied.
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: I think the Yankees were.
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: Actually winning early in the game if I recall correct,
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: and I think it was tied two to two at
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: the end of the fifth, and then the Yankees yankeed
• 34:37
  Speaker 2: again and their bullpen was terrible. They definitely have the
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: worst of the two bullpens here. Yankees have the better offense.
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: Both teams are pretty solid offensively, but Detroit's advantages the bullpen,
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: and they only was one relief pitcher, and it was
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: Chris Paddock, who has been in the starting rotation for
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: a little while and in Minnesota starting rotation for a
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: lot of the season, so not really a loss not
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: having him available in this game. The Yankees used four
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: of their leave pitchers, so there is a pretty big
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: boatpen edge again on the side of Detroit here. Starting
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: pitching looks like the Yankees do have the edge there.
• 35:10
  Speaker 2: Jack Flaherty is pitching for Detroit. Not great numbers this
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: year four point eight five ERA, one point three whip.
• 35:17
  Speaker 2: He's been worse on the road to five point six
• 35:19
  Speaker 2: four ERA. I don't think you can really trust him, man.
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: Two of his last three outings have been terrible, giving
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: up four more in runs than those two twelve earned
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: runs allowed in fact and nine and a third across
• 35:31
  Speaker 2: those two. Had one good start in between the two
• 35:34
  Speaker 2: against Kansas City, but the starts where he got lit
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: up were by Kansas City and the White Sox. I mean,
• 35:39
  Speaker 2: those are pretty putrid offenses, and now he's facing one
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: of the best offenses in baseball.
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: Good luck to him on that.
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: His numbers against the Yankees are actually not as bad
• 35:48
  Speaker 2: as you would think, though, in ninety seven at bets
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: thirty five to six strike a walker ra show two
• 35:53
  Speaker 2: forty seven average allowed seven to seventy six obs is
• 35:56
  Speaker 2: a little bit high because he has a lot of
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: five home runs to the Yankees to five different batters.
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: Although generally he actually doesn't pitch that badly against the Yankees,
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: he did pitch. I believe he pitched against the Yankees
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: in the World Series last year because Flaherty was on
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: the Dodgers. Interesting, there could be a little bit of
• 36:12
  Speaker 2: maybe a revenge scenario for the Yankees here. They're probably
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: not gonna be thinking that much about it, though, I mean,
• 36:18
  Speaker 2: both of these teams are fighting.
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: Yankees have a little bit more.
• 36:21
  Speaker 2: To play for because they're still behind in the Al
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: East behind Toronto. Detroit might have the ability to coast
• 36:28
  Speaker 2: a little bit more just because they're leading their division
• 36:30
  Speaker 2: by a lot, but they're also fighting for like potentially
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: home field throughout the playoffs. So there are some reasons
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: for both teams to show up here. And of course,
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: I mean it's Tigers Yankees. I mean, I don't even
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: think you really need any extra motivation there. It's a
• 36:45
  Speaker 2: big series two classic teams, basically teams that have a
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: lot of name recognition. Carlos Redone pitching for the Yankees here.
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: He's had a pretty good season three point one two ERA,
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: one point seven whip good at home two point eight
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: to six homey ram.
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: Good in his last few starts.
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: He's actually allowed two or fewer on runs in five
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: straight starts now and the Yankees won all of them,
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: and he won the.
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: Last actually six straight starts excusally.
• 37:14
  Speaker 2: The Yankees won all of them, and he's picked up
• 37:18
  Speaker 2: a win in the last five, so he's on the surface,
• 37:22
  Speaker 2: it looks like he's pitching well. But you gotta dial
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: it back a little bit, I would say, because I
• 37:27
  Speaker 2: think he's getting maybe a little bit lucky. Although he
• 37:29
  Speaker 2: hasn't allowed many hits, so he's been pretty unhittable, but
• 37:32
  Speaker 2: he's walking way too many guys, dude.
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: Over that spanning is a thirty three to twenty two
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: strike up walk ratio. That's pretty bad.
• 37:41
  Speaker 2: Like that is too many walks, So at some point
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: some of that has to catch up to him. Man,
• 37:46
  Speaker 2: Like you're gonna put that many guys on base via
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: the walk, you can't continue to get away with along
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: that few runs. Detroit, it actually has pretty solid numbers
• 37:54
  Speaker 2: against him offensively, sixty five at bats, twenty four to
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: four strike a walk ratio again is actually unredon Like actually,
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: if you look at what he's been doing recently, that's
• 38:03
  Speaker 2: actually good command right there. But Detroit actually has a
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: two ninety two average against him, an eight to ten ops.
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: So maybe redone will finally get hit for once, maybe,
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: because again that's been his thing. He hasn't really been
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: very hittable at all recently, but it looks like Detroit
• 38:21
  Speaker 2: might be able to do that. So I actually do
• 38:23
  Speaker 2: agree with the over in this game, and that's where
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: we see the market indicating the market public is fifty
• 38:28
  Speaker 2: eight percent of the tickets on the under makes no
• 38:30
  Speaker 2: sense to me because you would think the public would
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: see Tigers Yankees and only want to go over, especially
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: with pictures that aren't exactly elite names. Totals just kind
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: of stayed around eight and a half. I do agree
• 38:43
  Speaker 2: with the over, though, seventy four percent of the cash
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: coming in on the over, I think you could see
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: both starters struggle a little bit, and then the Yankees
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: bullpend definitely untrustworthy. Detroit's bullpen is fine, but if Flowerdy
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: gets knocked around, they got to go to the bullpen early.
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: So I do I do agree with the over here.
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: Yankees down for minus one sixty five to minus one
• 39:03
  Speaker 2: sixty on the money line, eighty seven percent takes eighty
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: eight percent of the cash on the Yankees. Yankees are
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: a public side. I find it more difficult to figure
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: out what's going on with the side here, man, because
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: Redon obviously is He's the better pitcher over Flaherty.
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: On the season and even right now, even with all of.
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: His walks, but it's still difficult to figure it out
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: Man matchup wise, actually Flaherty as a slightly better specific
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: matchup numbers though, so again, I think over would be
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: the way to look there.
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: Houston at Toronto.
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: Good thing I did not wind up giving out Houston
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: as a player, though it would have basically probably debatably
• 39:37
  Speaker 2: still been the right way to play that game Houston.
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: I still leaned that way. Houston at an underdog price yesterday.
• 39:43
  Speaker 2: I mean, they took the game into extra innings, man,
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: Houston had the lead early in the game. It wound
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: up being a ten inning game. Houston, like they appear
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: that they were the right side there. Although Toronto's really
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: good at home there whatever that is, twenty two above
• 39:56
  Speaker 2: five hundred home in the win column at the very least,
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: Detroit now at five excuse Houston now at five hundred
• 40:04
  Speaker 2: on the road. Both these teams have something to play
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: for me. They're both trying to hang on to their divisions.
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: They're both in pretty close divisional races. Toronto's bullpen hasn't
• 40:13
  Speaker 2: been that good as of late, but they didn't use
• 40:15
  Speaker 2: anybody on Monday. They did use five relief pitchers yesterday,
• 40:18
  Speaker 2: but it was somewhat light usage.
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: You could imagine some of those guys might be available again.
• 40:22
  Speaker 2: But Toronto's bullpen has been pretty bad recently, so Houston
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: has a better bullpen.
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: But Houston used a lot of relief pitchers yesterday. They
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: use six.
• 40:30
  Speaker 2: They didn't Actually, I think both teams just didn't play
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: on Monday, because neither team used any relievers on Monday.
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: I think they're both off on Monday.
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: But Houston's bullpen was more used yesterday, so that kind
• 40:40
  Speaker 2: of negates their bullpen advantage a little bit coming into
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: this one.
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: Toronto has the better offense.
• 40:44
  Speaker 2: Toronto's offense has really become one of the top offenses
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: in baseball for a while now. Houston could still hit decently.
• 40:53
  Speaker 2: Houston's got George Kastans on them onn today. We don't
• 40:56
  Speaker 2: really have great starters on either side of the hill today.
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: Jason All Alexander aka George Costanza for Houston here four
• 41:03
  Speaker 2: point six to eighty RA one point three to nine whip.
• 41:06
  Speaker 2: Those numbers are between him being with the A's and
• 41:09
  Speaker 2: with Houston. He might have been with somebody else too,
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: I don't even remember. He's been decent on the road
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: three point nine to four road ERA, some of the
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: numbers making him worse at home because he was pitching
• 41:20
  Speaker 2: in the A's stadium. Though Alexander's been pretty solid, I
• 41:24
  Speaker 2: mean for a while for Houston. They picked him up
• 41:26
  Speaker 2: in June, and he's actually only allowed more than two
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: in runs three times, and he's allowed more than three
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: earn runs only once and it was against the A's,
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: his former team, although it wasn't home, but it was
• 41:39
  Speaker 2: right after he had faced the A's for the first
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: time since being away from them. He actually pitched decently
• 41:45
  Speaker 2: twice against the Yankees, including his most recent start, to
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: give up three earned runs at five innings, six strikeouts,
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: two walks. His team wound up getting the win late
• 41:54
  Speaker 2: in the game and that one six hits a lot.
• 41:56
  Speaker 2: He wasn't terrible in that outing. So Alexander's actually been
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: okay for use and believe it or not, Toronto has
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: not really faced him much. They only have two guys
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: who've ever seen him. Only one guy has any hits
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: off and which is our show.
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: But he is two for.
• 42:09
  Speaker 2: Three with the home run off him. Overall, the team's
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: two for five off and one strikeout, no walks, not
• 42:15
  Speaker 2: a whole lot to take away from that. It's a
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: small sample size, so Alexander might have a little bit
• 42:19
  Speaker 2: of an edge, and that Toronto's not really familiar with him,
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: so maybe George won't be getting upset in this one.
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: Jose Barrios, who was scheduled.
• 42:29
  Speaker 2: Initially to pitch yesterday, and that was when I was
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: gonna jump on the Houston side yesterday. It was part
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: of it was because I was gonna fade Barrios and
• 42:36
  Speaker 2: he got pushed back to today. I's having an okay
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: season overall, but he has been less good recently. Four
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: point two ERA, one point two to nine whip on
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: the season. That's still a whip that's too high. I
• 42:48
  Speaker 2: would say he's not as good at home. Four point
• 42:50
  Speaker 2: five ERA at home. His last outing was was rough.
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: It was rough, guys. I only went two winnings at Cincinnati.
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: I know it's a hitter friendly park. Gave up a
• 42:59
  Speaker 2: lot of unearned runs, four unearned runs and two earned runs,
• 43:02
  Speaker 2: but he just couldn't get out of that start. Two strikeouts,
• 43:05
  Speaker 2: two walks, two starts prior to that he got lit
• 43:08
  Speaker 2: up by Texas for six earned runs on ten hits
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: in four and third innings. He did have a good
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: start between the two against Miami with eight strikeouts, no walks,
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: touring runs a lot, but he's been struggling a bit
• 43:19
  Speaker 2: man four point six four ERA overall in August. So
• 43:22
  Speaker 2: the eighteen to five strike a walk ratio is alright,
• 43:25
  Speaker 2: but I don't totally trust Barrios right now. Those numbers
• 43:28
  Speaker 2: are fairly good against Houston one hundred and nine at bats,
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: although seventeen to eleven strike out walk ratio is a concern.
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: His command numbers are not good.
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: Against Houston, but he has held him a two twenty
• 43:39
  Speaker 2: nine averages six to seventy six oh ps. I was
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: still gonna fade him yesterday with Luis Garcia on the
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: Mount of Garcia did pitch pretty well. I'm pretty sure
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: I think he is good. Jason Alexander is a bit
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: more of a question mark.
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: We don't know what we're gonna get out of that guy.
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: Houston with their bullpend being pretty used up. Toronto's bullpen
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: very very questionable. Both starters a little bit questionable. I
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: think I would lean to an over in this game too,
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: eighty three percent of tickets, nine to nine percent of
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: the cash on the over. I mean it almost looks
• 44:11
  Speaker 2: too easy again, just like the Tigers Yankees game.
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: I mean, Astros, Blue Jays. Everybody's gonna think over.
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: I mean, people are gonna look and not really have
• 44:20
  Speaker 2: a lot of faith in either starting pitcher here. So
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: it allos looks too easy, but it might be the
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: right approach in this game. Total at nine is fairly high,
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: so the oddsmakers are expecting runs in this game. Toronto
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: up for minus one thirty five to take seventy nine
• 44:35
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on them. So the money coming
• 44:37
  Speaker 2: into Toronto and backing Barrios against Alexander, I'm not quite
• 44:42
  Speaker 2: sure about that, although again I worry about Houston's bullpen
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: being very used right now and having some injuries to
• 44:48
  Speaker 2: deal with. The Toronto's bullpen definitely Worriesome as well though.
• 44:55
  Speaker 2: Cubs at Braves, uh, these teams have split the first
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: two games of the series, with the losing team scoring
• 45:00
  Speaker 2: one run in each game. Cubs have the better offense,
• 45:04
  Speaker 2: Cubs have the better bullpen. Cubs used three relief pitchers,
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: not a whole lot of bullpen usage from the Cubs
• 45:11
  Speaker 2: recently Atlanta not a ton either really, so both bullpens
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: are decently rested here. Jameson tie On will be coming
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: back for the Cubs here again.
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: He was injured again. He's been injured twice this year.
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: When he's been healthy, he's been alright this year four
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: point one five ERA and one point eight WHIP. Worse
• 45:30
  Speaker 2: on the road though, five point six Roady I Ray,
• 45:32
  Speaker 2: so he's not that good on the road. He was
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: injured between late June and then he came back in
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: mid August, and he made two starts, picked up wins
• 45:40
  Speaker 2: in both of them when at least five innings in
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: both of them, he have a one eared run apiece
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: and had a seven to one strike a walk ratio,
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: So he was pretty good in those outings. Won against Milwaukee,
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: so a pretty good offense there, and won against a
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: mediocre Anaheim offense.
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: So Tin was back.
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: I mean, he looked pretty good in those games, and
• 45:57
  Speaker 2: then he got hurt again. So I don't know what
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: injury is this time. It doesn't mean he's used to
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: coming back though. I mean, he's a veteran, he's in
• 46:04
  Speaker 2: his thirties. He's used to coming back and pitching. He's
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: on a team that's in the middle of a playoff hunt,
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: so playoff race, so obviously Cubs have something to play
• 46:13
  Speaker 2: for here, trying to at least make a wild card spot.
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: Here Atlanta knows that they're out of it, although Atlanta
• 46:18
  Speaker 2: will still show up for a series against the Cubs
• 46:21
  Speaker 2: like this tye On against the Braves, his numbers are okay.
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: In sixty nine at bats, thirteen to six strike a
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: walk ratio isn't that great? Two thirty two average allowed
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: as low seven eighty six ops.
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: Is a little bit high.
• 46:33
  Speaker 2: He's a lot five home runs to them, including two
• 46:36
  Speaker 2: from Olsen, who is fourth raid off him.
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: So do with that information what you will.
• 46:41
  Speaker 2: If you want to go with the player prop, I
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: recommend hits plus runs plus RBIs with hitters that do
• 46:46
  Speaker 2: well against particular pitchers. Tye On, Yeah, I mean, difficult
• 46:51
  Speaker 2: to gauge what he's gonna do. He's not terrible, though,
• 46:53
  Speaker 2: but he's going up against Chris Sale who when he's healthy,
• 46:56
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's still like a Cy Young caliber pitcher.
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: His numbers this year are.
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: Good two point three eighty RA, one point one whip
• 47:04
  Speaker 2: even though he's up at the age of thirty six
• 47:06
  Speaker 2: now two point zero five Homi ra I believe he
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: might have won the cy Young last year or two
• 47:11
  Speaker 2: where he was close to it at least Chris Sale
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: he was injured. He was also injured. Both these pitchers
• 47:17
  Speaker 2: actually were injured from mid to late June into mid
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: to light to August basically, so they both had similar
• 47:23
  Speaker 2: trajectories in a way. This season, Sail though, I mean
• 47:27
  Speaker 2: he really didn't have any like roadbumps at all. He's
• 47:30
  Speaker 2: allowed no more than two earned runs in any out
• 47:32
  Speaker 2: and going all the way back into April, so pretty
• 47:36
  Speaker 2: much the entire season, he's allowed two or fewer runs
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: in every outing, and he's allowed one or fewer going
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: all the way back into mid May. So yeah, I
• 47:44
  Speaker 2: mean Sale has been spot on. He's faced almost exclusively
• 47:49
  Speaker 2: good offenses that entire time too. Since that time he
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: faced the Red Sox San Diego, Philly, Arizona, Milwaukee, the
• 47:57
  Speaker 2: Mets Philly again and Seattle, so faced like no weak
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: offenses in there too.
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: That is a good sign. Sale is definitely pitching well man.
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: And since he came back from injury, he allowed one
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: and run in each start when at least six innings
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: and each started hadding eighteen to one strike a walk ratio.
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: That was at Philly and at home against Seattle, dominating
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: those teams. His numbers are actually not good against the Cubs,
• 48:20
  Speaker 2: though they only have six hitters who faced him, though
• 48:23
  Speaker 2: sixty three at bats sixteen to eight strike a walk
• 48:26
  Speaker 2: ratio is not very good three zero two batting average
• 48:28
  Speaker 2: allowed eight to seventy two o ps. But I would
• 48:32
  Speaker 2: dial it back a little bit because Santana, Uh, the
• 48:36
  Speaker 2: veteran now who's probably about to retire, and excellent guitar player.
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: He has forty seven of those at bats against Sale,
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: two of the three home runs, seven of the eight walks.
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: So you might have to dial it back a little bit, man,
• 48:49
  Speaker 2: because half of the lineup is basically Gonne nothing against Sales.
• 48:53
  Speaker 2: So I don't really I'm not saying Sale is gonna
• 48:56
  Speaker 2: do badly in this game. Even those overall numbers don't
• 48:58
  Speaker 2: look good against the Cubs. It's mostly because Santana. Although
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: Turner looks like he has good numbers against him too,
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: And I believe they have Turner and Tucker now right
• 49:07
  Speaker 2: but I believe Tucker is injured right now. But Turner
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: is three for six with the other home run against it.
• 49:12
  Speaker 2: But still I think Sale will actually probably do well.
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: In this game.
• 49:19
  Speaker 2: Money's coming in on the under, and I don't really
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: disagree with that. I mean, the bullpens are decently rested.
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: I think both starters could do pretty well in this game.
• 49:27
  Speaker 2: They've been pitching pretty decently as of late. Total again
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: total not again, because I didn't say you have flip
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: from eight juice to the over to eight juice to
• 49:36
  Speaker 2: the under. Tickets eighty one percent of the cash in
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: the under. So money is coming in on the under,
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: and it's somewhat coming in on Atlanta. They're up for
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: minus one sixty minus one seventy, so you're paying eight
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: sale tax. Whenever Sale is pitching, man, you know the
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: oddsmakers are going to charge you a little bit extra
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: for it. Seventy five percent takes ninety four percent of
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: the cash on Atlanta, though professional money seems to come
• 49:59
  Speaker 2: in on Atlant every single time because Atlanta is better
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: than the record makes them look, which is true. But
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: this game, I think the under is probably the way
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: to look Tampa and the White Sox. This game is
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: almost impossible to figure out.
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: Well.
• 50:14
  Speaker 2: I have a way of maybe approaching this game, though,
• 50:16
  Speaker 2: the White Sox return off from a road trip lost
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: five to four to Tampa yesterday, and again, I say
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: when a team returns off for a road trip could
• 50:24
  Speaker 2: be a distracted spot, and sometimes you do better the
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: next time out, Like if you do poorly that first game,
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: a lot of times you do bounce back. So it's
• 50:30
  Speaker 2: kind of a bounce back spot for the White Sox here,
• 50:33
  Speaker 2: at least situationally. But Tampa has the better offense, Tampa
• 50:37
  Speaker 2: has the better bullpen. White Sox used four relief pitchers yesterday,
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: but again they didn't play a Monday so and neither
• 50:45
  Speaker 2: to Tampa. So both teams used a similar amount of
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: relief pitchers yesterday, but it didn't really use them that heavily,
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: which is gonna be good, I guess for both teams,
• 50:54
  Speaker 2: because it looks like both teams might have bullpend games. Here,
• 50:56
  Speaker 2: we might have competing bullpend games. Tampa looks like they're
• 51:00
  Speaker 2: definitely going with a bullpen game. Is they have Griffin
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: Jacks listed as their starter. It sounds like his name
• 51:07
  Speaker 2: sounds like a serial him. Mom, hand me that box
• 51:09
  Speaker 2: of Griffin Jacks, please, it's got the a Griffin. It's
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: actually it's family guys Cereal, the Griffin Jacks. Yeah, there
• 51:18
  Speaker 2: you go, man, that should actually be a thing. He's
• 51:22
  Speaker 2: a relief pitcher man, so I don't know if it
• 51:23
  Speaker 2: makes sense to really dive into his numbers, but he's
• 51:25
  Speaker 2: got a four point eight one ERA one point three
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: to eight whip on the season. He's a little bit
• 51:30
  Speaker 2: better on the road though, four point.
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: One to eight ROADI ra him.
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: Had an opener last time out, I think against Cleveland
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: on two days rest, and he went one inning.
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: Again.
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: He's on three days rest here or whatever. He'll probably
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: pitch one inning again here at most too. But it
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: looks like based on what he's done this year, he
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: really hasn't even gone more than one inning, like at all.
• 51:50
  Speaker 2: So I think you're gonna get exactly one inning out
• 51:52
  Speaker 2: of Jacks here and then they'll turn it over to
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: the bullpen. His numbers are actually bad against the White
• 51:57
  Speaker 2: Sox in twenty six at bats average and nine to
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: forty six oh ps, although five to one strike a
• 52:03
  Speaker 2: walk ratio. But he looks pretty untrustworthy hearing the White
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: Sox have not decided on a pitcher, which might mean
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: it's gonna be a bullpen game, or they might call
• 52:12
  Speaker 2: somebody up from the miners.
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 52:15
  Speaker 2: So if the White Sox do go with a bullpen game,
• 52:17
  Speaker 2: I think this might be an over type of game.
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: Even though Tampa's bullpen isn't that bad, the rest of
• 52:22
  Speaker 2: the situation looks like an over and again, Tampa's bullpen
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: is gonna have to pitch the whole game, so me
• 52:28
  Speaker 2: being old school, not like in the bullpen games, that
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: might make sense. But if the White Sox are bringing
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: up some like prospect who might be a good starter,
• 52:35
  Speaker 2: then I think you actually might have an argument to
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: lean towards the White Sox as a home underdog if
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: they decide to do that. So you gotta have to
• 52:44
  Speaker 2: wait and see what's gonna happen in that game. Cincinnati
• 52:48
  Speaker 2: at San Diego. We took the loss on yesterday's game.
• 52:50
  Speaker 2: Here the team's to split the first two games of
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: the series. Cincinnati is basically fighting for their playoff lives
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: at this point because it looks like they're about to
• 52:57
  Speaker 2: be out of it. San Diego trying to go on
• 53:00
  Speaker 2: to a wildcard spot and potentially trying to win their division.
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: Uh, San Diego has the better of the two bullpens.
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: They used a bit of it yesterday.
• 53:08
  Speaker 2: San Diego seems to always use more of their bullpen
• 53:11
  Speaker 2: than they should. I don't know what's going on with
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: their manager, but that's just kind of the way that
• 53:14
  Speaker 2: they do it for whatever reason. Cincinnati has a similar
• 53:18
  Speaker 2: bullpen usage over the last couple of days. And remember
• 53:20
  Speaker 2: the game before yesterday went into I believe it went
• 53:23
  Speaker 2: into extra innings, so there was extra bullpen usage there.
• 53:27
  Speaker 2: But you gotta give San Diego the bullpen edge. I
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: do think Cincinnati still has a better offense, so that
• 53:32
  Speaker 2: we can look, yeah, it's a very slight advantage. Though
• 53:35
  Speaker 2: by point oh one they're ahead of San Diego in ops,
• 53:39
  Speaker 2: so they're almost about the same.
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: They're both mediocre offenses.
• 53:43
  Speaker 2: Interesting pitching matchup with Andrew Abbott pitching for Cincinnati.
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: He's been good this year two.
• 53:47
  Speaker 2: Point eight eight ERA, one point one five whip. He's
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: been worse on the road though, three point four to
• 53:54
  Speaker 2: one ERA, which is interesting because he pitches in a
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: hitter friendly stadium at home. This is a pitcher friend
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: in the park here, but he's worse on the road.
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: One thing about Abbot that you have to worry about
• 54:04
  Speaker 2: is is he gonna wear down because he's now five
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: and two thirds innings above the highest amount of innings
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: that he's pitched ever, which was last year he won
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: one hundred and thirty eight innings.
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: He's over that this year.
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: So with a young guy like Abbot, you might have
• 54:19
  Speaker 2: to worry about him wearing down a little bit here man,
• 54:22
  Speaker 2: And he hasn't been good as of late. His last
• 54:24
  Speaker 2: three starts were all pretty bad. He give up six
• 54:27
  Speaker 2: ironed runs and five earn runs in two of the three,
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: failing to go five innings in either of them against
• 54:32
  Speaker 2: good offenses Arizona and the Mets, with the Arizona game
• 54:35
  Speaker 2: being on the road but not a good sign. And
• 54:38
  Speaker 2: then in the other game held Saint Louis's turning runs
• 54:41
  Speaker 2: in five innings, but they've been a bad offense for
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: a while now, and he still walked four guys in
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: that outing. So Abbot a little bit worrisome right now.
• 54:49
  Speaker 2: He's kind of it looks like he is starting to
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: get a little bit tired out here and wear down
• 54:53
  Speaker 2: a bit. His numbers are pretty good against San Diego
• 54:55
  Speaker 2: in fifty two at bats, eleven to two, strike a walk,
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: race Yo two thirty one average allowed six oh five ohps,
• 55:01
  Speaker 2: but I would worry about him again as we come,
• 55:04
  Speaker 2: uh towards the end of the season. Here, he's going
• 55:07
  Speaker 2: up against Nick Pavetta, who is definitely more used to
• 55:09
  Speaker 2: pitching a whole season like this, and he's been injured
• 55:12
  Speaker 2: a little bit, so he has uh Actually he's still
• 55:15
  Speaker 2: thrown more innings though. Uh So he's been unleashed pretty much.
• 55:19
  Speaker 2: He's still throwing more innings, but he's used to it.
• 55:21
  Speaker 2: Paveta is having a good season two point eight five
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: v R point nine six WHIP. He's been good at
• 55:26
  Speaker 2: home two point three to nine home ERA, pretty good. Recently,
• 55:30
  Speaker 2: he's allowed one uh two or fewer earned runs excuse
• 55:33
  Speaker 2: me in five straight outings. Uh yeah, is that what
• 55:36
  Speaker 2: it is? Yeah, five straight outings. So he's been on
• 55:39
  Speaker 2: top of it. He's been good. Had a two point
• 55:41
  Speaker 2: nine to five VRRA in August thirty six to ten
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: strike a walk ratio one start this month, but was
• 55:47
  Speaker 2: at Course Field, which is not an.
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: Easy place to pitch.
• 55:50
  Speaker 2: Five to two strike a walk ratio now and two
• 55:52
  Speaker 2: runs allowed in six innings seven hits allowed.
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: Pretty solid outing there too. Against the Reds.
• 55:57
  Speaker 2: He has good numbers, uh, sixty at fourteen to five
• 56:01
  Speaker 2: strike a walk ratio isn't that good, but one to
• 56:03
  Speaker 2: eighty three average allowed five forty six o ps.
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: So Paveta, I think he does.
• 56:08
  Speaker 2: Have an edge in this game with Abbot, you gotta
• 56:10
  Speaker 2: worry about him wearing down a little bit.
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 56:13
  Speaker 2: San Diego is a public side though, sixty eight percent
• 56:15
  Speaker 2: of tickets and cash and they're down forty minus one forty.
• 56:19
  Speaker 2: Even though I do slightly lean to San Diego in
• 56:21
  Speaker 2: this one, it looks like the market is kind of
• 56:24
  Speaker 2: disagreeing with that, and the total actually went up from
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: seven and a half juice to the under seven and
• 56:29
  Speaker 2: a half sixty two percent of tickets and seventy six
• 56:31
  Speaker 2: percent of cash on the over.
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: I don't think I would really agree with that.
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: I mean, the pitching matchup does look like it should
• 56:39
  Speaker 2: be an under at least early in the game, except again,
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: I worry about Abbot, which is why I think the
• 56:45
  Speaker 2: stronger way to go is to lean to San Diego
• 56:47
  Speaker 2: in this game on the money line and then include
• 56:49
  Speaker 2: their bullpen advantage too. But the bullpens, I think you
• 56:54
  Speaker 2: do have to worry about the bullpen rest situation if
• 56:56
  Speaker 2: you want to go under in this game.
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: Maybe only do it for five innings if you can
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: get the four. But you gotta worry about Abbott as well,
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: as he might be wearing down.
• 57:05
  Speaker 2: It's a difficult call on that one. Saint Louis at Seattle.
• 57:09
  Speaker 2: Seattle is still trying.
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: To win their division.
• 57:10
  Speaker 2: They're only one game back of Houston, and they're trying
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: to make a wildcard spot as well.
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: Seattle's won four games in a row.
• 57:17
  Speaker 2: They've won the first two games in this series, so
• 57:19
  Speaker 2: Seattle playing pretty well right now. They started a divisional
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: series tomorrow, but it's against Anaheim, so I don't know
• 57:25
  Speaker 2: that that really sets up for a look ahead spot
• 57:28
  Speaker 2: because Anaheim has been pretty bad. So I don't know
• 57:31
  Speaker 2: that Seattle is really gonna be looking ahead here, although
• 57:33
  Speaker 2: they might take Saint Louis lightly after beating them twice.
• 57:36
  Speaker 2: Both teams have pretty good bullpens. Saint Louis I used
• 57:39
  Speaker 2: four relief pitchers yesterday, pretty light usage up from a
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: couple of them. Seattle used five, although not really heavy usage.
• 57:46
  Speaker 2: So the bullpens are all right coming into this game.
• 57:49
  Speaker 2: Seattle has the better offense pretty significantly at this point.
• 57:53
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis has been really bad for a while now. Offensively,
• 57:57
  Speaker 2: starting pitching is interesting. Michael mcgrievous pitching Saint Louis. He's
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: a young guy, but I don't think he's wearing down yet.
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: He hasn't thrown that many innings at all yet this
• 58:05
  Speaker 2: year seventy three. He has a four point six eighty
• 58:08
  Speaker 2: RA one point two to six whip kind of indicates
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: in his the RA maybe should be a little bit better.
• 58:13
  Speaker 2: He is way better on the road two point seven
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: road y RA so and this is a picture friendly park,
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: so he might do better here. He wasn't good in
• 58:21
  Speaker 2: his last outing against San Francisco, though not a very
• 58:23
  Speaker 2: good offense, allowed six earned runs there. That was at home,
• 58:26
  Speaker 2: though he is better on the road. Like I said,
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: his better starts recently have also been the road once.
• 58:33
  Speaker 2: He was actually okay in August three point five RA
• 58:36
  Speaker 2: twenty one to six strike a walk ratio. It's not
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: gonna come in and blow a lot of guys away,
• 58:40
  Speaker 2: but he wasn't putting a ton of guys on base.
• 58:42
  Speaker 2: He was pretty effective, and Seattle's never seen him before,
• 58:45
  Speaker 2: so he might have a little bit of an extra
• 58:46
  Speaker 2: advantage there because Seattle has never faced him before, so
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: they have to kind of figure him out on the fly.
• 58:52
  Speaker 2: Logan Gilbert is definitely the better of the two pitchers here.
• 58:55
  Speaker 2: He's he and Wu were Seattle's two best pitchers. He's
• 58:59
  Speaker 2: got a three point one point zero two whip just
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: like all Seattle's pitchers. He's better at home two point
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: one to five homy Ra. He's really good at home,
• 59:08
  Speaker 2: significantly better at home. He's been good for a while now.
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: Man. Since the beginning of August.
• 59:13
  Speaker 2: He's only had one start where he allowed more than
• 59:15
  Speaker 2: three on runs, although he got lit up, but it
• 59:17
  Speaker 2: was at Philadelphia. He's at home here against a much
• 59:21
  Speaker 2: much weaker lineup, so I expect him to do a
• 59:23
  Speaker 2: lot better here. Again, he's been pretty much on point.
• 59:26
  Speaker 2: He had a thirty nine to eight strike a walk
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: ratio in August despite the four point six ERA. That
• 59:31
  Speaker 2: strike a walk ratio is good, and then he had
• 59:33
  Speaker 2: a seven to one strike at walk ratio in his
• 59:35
  Speaker 2: last outing against Atlanta to kick off September, although he
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: got no run support and the team still lost the
• 59:40
  Speaker 2: game against Seattle.
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: Excuse me. Against Saint Louis STL. Against Seattle, UH Saint Louis,
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: he only has sixteen at bats against them, eight strikeouts,
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: one walk. One of the two hits was a home run.
• 59:55
  Speaker 2: From Pis but even so one twenty five batting average
• 59:59
  Speaker 2: allowed five point fifty one ops, so Gilbert has pretty
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 2: much dominated them. Uh so, Seattle appears to be the
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: right side in this game, but you have to pay
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: a big price down for min shoot twenty min shoot twelve,
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 2: sixty percent of tickets seventy one percent of cash coming
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 2: in at Seattle. I wouldn't really disagree with trying to
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: go Seattle on the run line here, but a little
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: bit worries in that it might be a low scoring
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: game because the total is down to seven and a half,
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 2: although we have fifty percent of tickets on the under
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: eighty percent of the cash.
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: On the over. I wouldn't really disagree with an under
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: in this game.
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 2: I think both starting pitchers could do okay here, and
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 2: the bullpends are all right, so I do think an
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 2: under might actually be the better way to look at
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 2: this game, although I worry a little bit about McGreevy here.
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: Nate, what's up man?
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out, So I mean, we'll see what
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: happens in that game, man, But again, just to get
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 2: all the information out there, and then Colorado at the Dodgers.
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 2: The Dodgers in that one three in a row. They
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 2: have won the first two games in this series. They
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 2: have a day off tomorrow and then they face San Francisco,
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 2: so they might look ahead to that.
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: I mean, San Francisco has been pretty hot recently.
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: San Francisco's not too far back in the division, so
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 2: it's possible LA takes Colorado a little bit lightly coming
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 2: into this one. But LA, I mean, they obviously have
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 2: the way better offense. They're particularly good at home. Colorado's
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: offense particularly bad on the road. Both bullpens are not
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: very good, but Colorado's worse. Colorado has used more of
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: their bullpen recently, although not really yesterday. Starting pitching Kyle
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 2: Freeland is pitching for Colorado. He's not their worst pitcher.
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: He's got a five point one ERA one point four
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 2: or five whip, so his whip is definitely pretty bad,
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 2: though his ERA is not good either. Obviously, he's better
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 2: on the road though away from course field four point
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 2: five six ERA on.
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: The road, so he's more serviceable on the road.
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 2: Aside from a weird outing where he didn't record an
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: out and he allowed to earn runs to San Francisco.
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: He's been all right over his last few starts if
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 2: you take that one out. He's allowed three or fewer
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 2: earned runs in all but one actual start against Pittsburgh,
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 2: which again Pittsburgh very bad lineup, so very weird that
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 2: that happened. I did face the Dodgers on August eighteenth,
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 2: but he only lasted four innings in that one. He
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 2: only allowed to in runs though, had five strikeouts one walk,
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 2: so it wasn't really that bad in that outing.
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: He's coming off his best doubting of the season. I
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: assume an eight inning, two hit shutout efficient too, only
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: eighty eight pitches, so he didn't get overworked in that
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: start either. So I don't think he's gonna come.
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 2: Into this game, you know, with his arm blown out
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: or anything like that, because he didn't throw that many
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: pitches in that outing. He had ten strikeouts, no walks,
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 2: decent sign that maybe he's in decent form here. He
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 2: hasn't walked anybody since I was twenty third, So there
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 2: is that three straight appearance as although one of them
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 2: was that really short one where he was terrible.
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: His numbers against the Dodgers are mediocre. Basically.
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 2: In one hundred ninety six at bats, forty six to
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 2: fifteen strike a walk ratio isn't exactly that good. Two
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 2: sixty batting average allowed seven eighty seven ops is a
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 2: bit high because he has allowed nine home runs to
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 2: them a piece from Mookie Betts and Shoe Otani. Bets
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 2: has a bad average against him, though Otani is six
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: for eight off him, though with two of them runs.
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 2: Sotani does light him up. But Freeland might not be
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 2: as bad as you would expect.
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 2: He is gonna have to face Blake Snell, though, who
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 2: is a solid pitcher three point one to nine ERA here,
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 2: although one point four to nine whip is definitely too high.
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: Snell he gets a lot of strikeouts typically, but he
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: also is wild. He walks too many guys, so he's
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 2: really got to get that under control. He's been good
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: at home this year, though one point seven to eight
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 2: ERA at home, he hasn't pitched that much this year.
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 2: He's actually allowed three or fewer earned runs in every
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 2: outing except his most recent one, which was at Pittsburgh.
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 2: He didn't do well, give up five earned runs in
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 2: five innings, had three walks, nine hits out, put a
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: ton of guys on base, had over a two whip
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 2: in that outing, which is ridiculous, and six six strikeouts
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 2: as well. But wasn't a good star for him. But
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: he might bounce back here. I mean Colorado, they're very
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 2: weak offensively on the road. He's pretty much dominated them.
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: In thirty one career at bats, they have four hits
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 2: off them, though two of them are home runs from
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 2: Arcia and Tovar, but they only have four hits in
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 2: general Offen and in thirty one at bats, twenty one
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: strikeouts and two walks, so that is a ridiculous strikeout percentage.
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 2: Snell has struck out like two thirds of these guys,
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 2: and they're at bats against him, which is ridiculous. One
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 2: twenty nine average allowed to them, five sixty nine ops,
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 2: so Snell essentially has dominated them. Dodgers, who obviously have
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 2: to play a huge price. Though they're down for minus
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 2: three thirty minus three nineteen ninety one percent of tickets,
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 2: ninety six percent of cash. I don't think they're playable.
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 2: The money's coming in on the over sixty one percent
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 2: of tickets, ninety seven percent of cash in the over
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 2: total sitting at eight and a half. I mean, the
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 2: argument for that would definitely include the bullpens, because the
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 2: bullpens are not very good. I could see these started
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 2: pitchers do both not doing too badly here though, so
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 2: that's kind of the crux of the matter. I might
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 2: even slightly leaning towards an under in the first five
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 2: in this game, although it seems a little bit dangerous
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 2: to do that, so I think it's just I mean,
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 2: it's a game that's really difficult to figure out. I
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 2: think it's basically got to be a stay away. And
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 2: that is the last game on the board except for
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 2: the two games I haven't talked about yet that are.
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: Gonna be the best bets. Let's go. Let's do it.
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 2: First, one up as you can see him going right
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 2: back to the well, and I'm gonna go Brewers Rangers under.
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 2: The total this time it's seven and a half. The
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 2: money looked at it was disagreeing with me earlier, which
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 2: I don't love. But yeah, we have fifty four percent
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 2: of tickets on the under in this one and seventy
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: two percent of the cash on the over. I don't
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 2: know what that is about, but the total got heavily
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 2: juiced on the seven and a half, so you might
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: not be able to get the seven and a half anymore.
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: You might even go under seven. Seven is the key number.
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 2: I mean, I would not go under six and a
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: half obviously, but seven, I think is okay to do that.
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 2: I mean, that's the key number because you have to
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 2: break the three to three time. But obviously I like
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching matchup here. You gotta worry about Milwaukee's
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 2: bullpen a little bit, but they're pretty rested. They didn't
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 2: play on Monday at all. These three relief pitchers yesterday,
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: they're better relief pitchers at this point, are still pretty
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 2: much available, except Eric FEddi is not one of them.
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 2: Oh man, I don't want to see his name again.
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 2: Oh boy, don't bring him in please Texas. They're bullpen's
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 2: a little bit more used, so I worry about that
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 2: a little bit. These five relief pitchers yesterday, but maybe
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 2: some of them light enough that they could use them again.
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 2: Here they kind of stagger their bullpen usage. They have
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 2: a solid bullpen, though, so I mean, I don't think
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 2: you can really go under in the first five of
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 2: the three and a half of though I guess if
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 2: you wanted to, you could, but I prefer just kind
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 2: of going full game with this. I mean, you do
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 2: still have two top eleven bullpens here at the very least,
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 2: even I know Milwaukee's dealing with some bullpen injuries here,
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 2: I'll say what I said yesterday, and I know it
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 2: didn't work out yesterday, but Texas offense is weak, their
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 2: bottom five offense. So that helps with the fact that
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee's bullpen isn't the ratus. And then Milwaukee their offense
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 2: is good, but they're just cracking the top ten right now.
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: I know they're a little bit better on the road.
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 2: But also you have to deal with the fact that
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 2: Texas Texas has good pitching and Texas they don't allow
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 2: a lot of runs at home.
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: Man, this is gonna be an afternoon game. By the way, Texas.
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 2: Even including this outing, or even including this recent run
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 2: here where they did allow a ton of runs in
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 2: that one game that really caught me by surprise with
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 2: a and that was an under loss as well. Let's
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 2: get some underwins for once, man, come on, let's get
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 2: some underwear or two. But Texas coming into that Houston series,
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 2: at the very least, Texas had held their opponents at
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 2: home to three or fewer earned runs in seventy percent
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 2: of their home games, So I mean that's a trend
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 2: that seems to be mostly continuing. I mean, they're not
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 2: allowing a whole lot of runs here, so we'll keep
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 2: that in mind, even though I know Milwaukee is a
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 2: little bit better on the road.
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee has scored four runs total in.
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 2: This entire series, and a lot of this has to
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 2: do with this during pitching matter of course, I think
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 2: this is a pitching dual type of game.
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 2: Freddy Peralta is pitching from Milwaukee. He is still one
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 2: of their best pitchers. Really nice season for him, two
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 2: point five ERA, one point oh seven whip. I know
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: he's not as good on the road three point three
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 2: six ERA on the road, but still good numbers, so
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 2: I'm not too concerned by that. He's pitching really well
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 2: right now. Man, he hasn't allowed to run since August fifth.
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 2: He's got five straight appearances without allowing a run, even
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 2: though his team lost those two of those games because
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 2: they can't hit. But that's what we want in this game.
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 2: We want him to pitch well and we want his
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 2: team to not be able to hit. I know he's
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 2: been walking too many guys. Peralta is a little bit wild,
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 2: but he's in almost untouchable.
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: He's not allowing hits.
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 2: In the month of August, he had a point three
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 2: to two ERA twenty eight innings pitch. He only gave
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 2: up eleven hits thirty four to twelve string A walk
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 2: races again.
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: The walks kind of a concern.
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 2: His last outing against Philly five innings, two and runs,
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 2: no hits nowhere and runs of course, eight strikeouts, three walks.
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 2: I mean he's faced some good lineups over the stretch, Cubs, Toronto, Philly,
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 2: and he's pitching well.
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's just on point right now. Up against Texas,
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 2: I mean this is a very picture friendly park. Texas
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: not a strong lineup, but they haven't hit him well
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 2: in the past thirty five at bats, I think only
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 2: have one extra base hit, which is a home run
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 2: from Berger.
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: But he's got nineteen strikeouts and six walks.
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 2: Four of the walks are all from Peterson, Jock Peterson,
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 2: the jockstrap, Jock Peterson. That is such a terrible name, dude,
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 2: Jock penis Son. But Paralda, Yeah, he's pretty much dominated
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 2: on me. He has more than half of the at bats
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 2: that Texas has had against him have resulted in a strikeout.
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 2: Not as crazy as the Snell versus Colorado ratio, but
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 2: still crazy. Paral does held Texas to a two twenty
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 2: nine average at six to fifty six ops. So he
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 2: has done well against Milwaukee. Nate Ukuleles singers, Yeah, I
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 2: mean that's true. I could do that a toad playing ukulele.
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: Maybe, I don't know.
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 2: Merril Kelly is pitching for Texas. He was a good
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 2: acquisition for them at the trade deadline. He's been pretty solid.
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 2: Three point one six the RA one point zero four
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 2: women he's at He's in an environment now where it's
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 2: a much more pitching front the park than what he
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 2: was doing in Arizona, and he's got good pitching coaches
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: on this team. He's been almost the same home and
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 2: away this year. Doesn't even matter really either with either team.
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 2: Doesn't really matter either, but with Texas he's been really good.
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 2: He's a lot more than two hour runs only twice
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 2: in seven and out.
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: He hasn't a lot more than.
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 2: Four and runs in any of them, which was a
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 2: game against Philadelphia, a good offense. I know this is
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 2: gonna be a good offense too, but it's a good
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 2: sign that he pitched well at.
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: The A's stadium.
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 2: He did alright, that's a good lineup and a tough
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: park to pitch in. And then he did well last
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 2: time out against Houston as well. Uh, so he is
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 2: pitching well. He had a three point three to one
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 2: e RA in August, all with Texas twenty eight to
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 2: eight strike a walk ratio, and then he followed that
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 2: up with a seven inning, one run performance against Houston
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: with seven strikeouts, one walk, and five hits allowed.
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: So he's pitching well.
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 2: His numbers against the Brewers are really good as well,
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 2: and forty seven at bats he's only allowed one extra
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 2: RaSE hit, which is a triple from Yelich, who is
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 2: only two for twenty off him. They have a one
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 2: to twenty eight average, three eighty two oh ps and
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 2: nineteen to five strike a walk ratio against him.
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: So Kelly has really good numbers as well in this matchup.
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: So we are gonna go under here. Milwaukee is up
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: for mis on twenty twenty.
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 2: The money line here on twenty eight excuse me, sixty
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 2: eight percent to take a seventy three percent of the
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: cash on Milwaukee, so the money seems to be coming
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 2: in on Milwaukee a little bit. Although they are a
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 2: road public favorite, which I don't really love. Kelly actually
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 2: has the somewhat better matchup numbers and slightly the better
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 2: of the home roads. Rode splits basically, So it's interesting.
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 2: But yeah, under is going to be the play in
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 2: that one, and then the other play is also an
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 2: under in Pirates Baltimore, and at least in this game,
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 2: we're looking at two pretty weak offenses in this one.
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 2: I told you I liked to the under yesterday, and
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: that did happen. It was a low scoring game yesterday,
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 2: three to two. I know we're keeping the bullpens in.
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 2: I don't love the bullpens, but they're.
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: Not terrible looking at the team's bullpens here. Where are
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: we at here? Baltimore?
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean Baltimore is bottom ten. I mean it
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 2: does worry me a little bit. Pittsburgh's better than that.
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 2: They're kind of mid tier. But the rest I mean
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh only used a couple of their guys yesterday for
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 2: like fewer than ten pitches. They might be able to
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 2: use these guys again, and they had none of their
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 2: pictures pitched on Monday. Baltimore was also off on Monday,
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 2: so the rest scenarrea isn't terrible for these bullpens. But again,
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 2: it's also a situation where you get the key number
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 2: going under the seven and a half here on the
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 2: full game rather than trying to go under three and
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 2: a half early in the game, So hopefully it works out.
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: Hopefully. The part of it is also the hope is
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: the starting pitchers get you a bit deeper into the
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: game too, like through the sixth thenning basically, so you
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: get you don't have to worry about the bullpens for
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: a little additional time there. So hopefully that's gonna be
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: the case here.
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 2: And it is at least September call ups here as well,
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 2: and at least the offenses are not good. So even
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: though Baltimore's bullpen isn't good, you got to kind of
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 2: weigh that against the fact that Pittsburgh's offense is the
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 2: absolute worst in baseball ops wise, and Baltimore's is. I mean,
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 2: they're not horrible, but they're mid tier. This is all
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 2: about the starting pitching matchup, but a lot of it
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 2: is Paul Skin's is pitching for Pittsburgh. His ERA is
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 2: back down below two, which is insane over the course
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 2: of a long season. One point nine to eighty ra
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 2: point nine to four whip.
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: You do have to worry that.
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 2: Maybe he'll wear down at some point because this is
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 2: the most pitches. He's the most innings pitch that he's
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 2: ever thrown, but hasn't really shown signs of it yet. Yes,
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 2: he is slightly worse on the road two point four
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 2: to three ERA, still really good, but he doesn't appear
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 2: to be wearing down from what I can see right now. Man,
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 2: he's allowed one or run combined over his last three outings,
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 2: picked up a win, and all of them. Pittsburgh has
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 2: won his last four outings in won all of those.
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 2: He had two shutouts against Colorado and then most recently
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: against the Dodgers, allowing only five hits over those two
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 2: starts in thirteen innings. Pitched with fifteen strikeouts in one
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 2: walk over that span, and then he also allowed one
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 2: on and run in six innings against the Red Sox
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 2: in Fenway, six strikeouts, one walk, seven hits, so he
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 2: pitched really well against some difficult lineups there.
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: Over this recent stretch.
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 2: Pitched well against Toronto to start before the Colorado one two,
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 2: and then Red Sox and Dodgers. He's on point, he
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 2: doesn't look like he's wearing down to me, and Baltimore
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 2: has basically never seen him before, so Skeens has an
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 2: extra advantage there. Baltimore, only Alex Jackson has ever faced
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 2: it before. He's zero for three with two strikeouts, so
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 2: we'll roll with Skeens in this one. I know they're
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 2: limiting skeins pitch count a little bit, but he's generally
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 2: going about six innings, which is pretty solid, so we'll
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 2: go with that. And then Tyler Wells is pitching for Baltimore.
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 2: I think this part of the handicaps a bit under
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 2: the raid man Wells he's a huge dude and he's
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 2: a solid pitcher. He's six eight to sixty. He's a
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 2: giant an f FORLM. He's got a three point sixty
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 2: RA and one whip so far this season, although he's
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 2: barely pitched. But he's only made one appearance here. But
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 2: that's why you got to go look at what has
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 2: he done in the past. Last season, his numbers didn't
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 2: look good, but he had a shortened season. He only
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 2: made three starts last year, and he got injured almost
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 2: right away and didn't come back, so he is coming
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 2: back from injury. But he looked good in his first start, man,
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 2: so that's what we're gonna go with here. His numbers
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 2: have been pretty good over the course of his career. No, No,
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 2: his ERA is over four, which is not terrific, but
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 2: his whip is one point oh four and he has
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 2: a really solid three point six strikeout to walk ratio
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 2: on his career, so that is solid. So I think
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 2: he's a solid pitcher man. His one start this year
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 2: so far, it was at a pitcher of friendly park
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 2: I know in San Diego, held him to tour and
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 2: runs at five in his four strikeouts, no walks, and
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 2: gave it five hits, so his command was on point.
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 2: Didn't walk anybody. That's a good sign man. So I
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 2: think Wells will do well here against Pittsburgh. They only
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 2: have sixteen at bats against some three strikeouts, one walk,
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 2: two fifty average seven ninety four ohps. That's higher than
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 2: I would like to see, but I mean it's such
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 2: a small sample size. It really almost entirely that comes
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 2: from the fact that Bart has one home runoff and
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 2: that bar I don't know. I was trying to figure
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 2: out a Simpson's reference here. I can't quite one isn't
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 2: really coming to me right now. I was thinking of
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 2: sideshow Bob going, But that's all I can think about
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 2: right now.
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: Bort, Come on, Bort, who names their kid Bord? Are
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: you talking to me? No?
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 2: My son is also named Bort. Come along, Bort, oh Man,
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 2: are you talking to my son? Whatever it was when
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 2: they go to Itchy and Scratchy land Man. But yeah,
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 2: I do think Wells will do well here against He
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 2: gets a pretty decent draw here against a bad lineup,
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 2: So we are gonna go under in this one as well.
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 2: Money in this one looks like it is agreeing with
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 2: It's sixty eight percent of tickets, ninety four percent of
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 2: the cash on the under. It's down from seven and
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 2: a half to seven and a half juice to the under,
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 2: so I would go up to about minus one twenty
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 2: on the under seven and a half here, and under
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 2: seven is about the same.
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: I love atlant seven.
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 2: Obviously a push instead of getting the win, which is
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 2: not great, but it's not the worst thing. Pittsburgh went
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 2: up for minus one thirty five to minus one forty
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 2: eight on the money line. But I think you're paying
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 2: too much of a price just because it's Paul's schemes. Man,
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 2: kind of ignoring the fact that Pittsburgh isn't that good otherwise,
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 2: even though they do have the better bullpend as well.
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 2: Seventy eight percent of tickets on Pittsburgh fifty five percent
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 2: of the cash can be in a Baltimore. So that
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 2: gives me some more faith in this underplay that it
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 2: looks like the professionals do think wells will do well here,
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 2: So I like that.
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: So that's gonna do it. Man.
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 2: The two plays today are under seven and a half
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 2: in Brewers Rangers and under seven and a half Pirates Orioles.
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 2: Let's get it done, get some wins, Tortua Joe, what's up?
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: Man? That's true? Well, thank you man, Yeah, that is
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: true of the I want Tower Gang back. Man. It
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: is a Wednesday today, isn't it. Tomorrow's nine to eleven.
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 2: We'd normally have a nine to eleven special for Tower
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 2: Gang as well. Yeah, man, I'm not happy about it,
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 2: but I appreciate the kind words.
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 2: Thanks for checking out checking out this show. I know
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 2: this show isn't as funny, but hopefully you guys enjoy
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 2: it anyway. That's gonna do it for me today, man,
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 2: Learn to toe on Twitter, learn to tone on Instagram,
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 2: better off dead, I mean, like subscribe to the channel
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 2: of course on YouTube review On audio, my audio numbers
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 2: are going up a little bit on the football weekend,
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 2: so at least there's that. I want more numbers though,
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 2: because that's monetized. So it does help if you just
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 2: go listen to my audio. There are ads in there,
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 2: and you got to go through the ads, I know,
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 2: but that's all monetized and it's free for you to
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 2: listen at least, so put it on in the background, man,
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 2: and help me out on the audio there on Apple
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 2: and Spotify. And then we got and yeah, we can
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 2: get the YouTube monetized if we get like one hundred
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 2: and seventy more subscrib or whatever.
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: So I want to do that too.
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 2: Covered in Yuke is my YUK channel, which has fewer
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 2: subscribers right now, but I've been cranking out more. Yuke
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 2: Covers did a new one yesterday which was I did
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 2: Bullet with butterfly Wings. Actually I don't think it turned
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 2: out that well, I mean, it wasn't that easy to
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 2: do some of the chord changes in there, and like.
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: The bridge, but I tried to make it work.
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 2: People seem to like it. I mean, it's my dumb ukulele,
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 2: So that one's got to go up covered in yuke
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 2: on YouTube and then Patreon dot com. Slash learned to
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 2: toad where there are is bonus yuke content, but I
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 2: know I have to keep the Spotify feed up to date,
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 2: so a lot of stuff to do.
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 1: Thanks everybody, I have a good day. Happy Wednesday.
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 2: No more Tower Gang Wednesday, very sadly for now at least,
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 2: and peace out. Thanks guys for hanging out.