Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 4195 Things Just Got REALLY BAD for the Democrats!!!

Transcript

Ep. 4195 Things Just Got REALLY BAD for the Democrats!!! · Turley Talks

• 0:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
• 0:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: Dr. Steve Turley, join me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
• 0:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is Turley Talks.
• 0:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: something dramatically changed the moment the calendar flipped to October.
• 0:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: The lying legacy media's narrative about the midterms has officially collapsed and they themselves are admitting it.
• 0:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: They can't hide it anymore.
• 0:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: Deep blue states.
• 0:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: are suddenly becoming very competitive, battleground voters are sending an unmistakable message and the first early voting numbers are even more alarming than the polls.
• 0:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: Stick them in a very end to this video because we're about to see precisely why the blue wave they promised is beginning to look more like a red reckoning and the numbers coming in could now turn the Democrats worse nightmare in a reality.
• 1:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: Hey gang, it's me, Dr. Steve, your pageant professor here to help you keep sane amidst all the insanity with breaking news and analysis.
• 1:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: You're not going to get anywhere else to make sure to smack that bell and subscribe button and also a huge shout out to each and every one of you because we did it.
• 1:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: Our brand new channel, Turley Clips, just cross 50,000 subscribers and that's all because of you.
• 1:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: That channel gives you quick summaries and the very best moments from our main video.
• 1:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: So if you haven't joined us there yet, click the link, subscribe, and let's carry this momentum towards the next 50,000.
• 1:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: All right.
• 1:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: So here we are, the first day of October, five weeks until the midterms and we are beginning to see.
• 1:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: a very noticeable, a very definite shift in the polling out there.
• 1:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: September's the last chance that the lying legacy media and their polling cohorts have to manufacture a narrative for an inevitable blue way.
• 2:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: They do this every single election cycle.
• 2:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: These are the ones who were telling us in September that Kamala was going to win in a landslide.
• 2:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: They deliberately try to fabricate a false narrative.
• 2:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: The Democrats are going to sweep the upcoming election.
• 2:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: They do it with polling that studies show consistently benefit and overrepresent only one side of the political aisle.
• 2:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: It happens every single year.
• 2:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: Then we hit October and the polling has no choice but to start generally speaking, to start to be honest, less they lose any shred of credibility going into November precisely because and you can write this down, the November results.
• 2:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: always move to the right of the September polls.
• 2:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: You should put that down.
• 2:54
  [SPEAKER_01]: Right.
• 2:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: That is a maximum in your mirror as it were.
• 2:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: The November results always move to the right.
• 3:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: of the September polls.
• 3:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: The September polls are fabrications.
• 3:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: November is real deal.
• 3:07
  [SPEAKER_01]: And the numbers always, always, always, always shift to the right.
• 3:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: And even CNN is admitting it.
• 3:15
  [SPEAKER_00]: And it's the same exact story.
• 3:16
  [SPEAKER_00]: Look at this.
• 3:17
  [SPEAKER_00]: The GOP performs the September polls in the major 2018 statewide races by six points in Iowa.
• 3:23
  [SPEAKER_00]: six points in Ohio and eight points in Michigan.
• 3:26
  [SPEAKER_00]: The bottom line is this.
• 3:28
  [SPEAKER_00]: Over the last few cycles, whether it be 2018, 2016, 2020, 2024, Republicans and have outperform their September polls by at least five points in all these three states where Democrats right now are ahead, but not by a wide enough margin where by a Republicans outperform their September polls, again, it can become very, very interesting.
• 3:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: So that's exactly what we're seeing.
• 3:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: We're seeing all of these polls now starting to move in the opposite direction so that the polling outlets can maintain some semblance of credibility heading into November.
• 4:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: So look at what we got as of October 1st.
• 4:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: In Maine, Republican incumbent Susan Collins is running away with it.
• 4:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: She's now in the lead over the fledgling Democrat Troy Jackson.
• 4:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: I guess they should have kept Plattener in.
• 4:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: Keep in mind, in the last senatorial election for columns back in 2020, she didn't lead a single poll.
• 4:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: And that's not an exaggeration.
• 4:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: Take a look for yourself.
• 4:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: She, in September or October, she did not lead in a single, put not one.
• 4:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: She was supposedly behind by anywhere from four to 12 points.
• 4:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: She ended up winning by nearly nine.
• 4:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is what Harry Anton of CNN is saying.
• 4:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: And in fairness, Maine is a very, very hard state to pull.
• 4:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: But if Republicans outperform in November,
• 4:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're fraudulent, fabricated, september polling like they always do.
• 4:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: Even these cooked leads that the legacy media is manufactured for the Democrats, they're not enough.
• 5:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: And in contrast to 2020, Collins is already leading.
• 5:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: In New Hampshire, Republican John Sinunu is now neck and neck with Democrat Chris Pappas in Michigan, a state that is not voted for Republican Senator in 30 years since Spencer Abraham in 1994 and during the Gingrich Revolution, Mike Davis is neck and neck with the Democrat Socialist Abdul El Siyad.
• 5:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: In Minnesota, freaking deep blue Tim walls, Ilhan Omar infested Minnesota, Republican Michelle to FOIA is neck and neck with the Democrat Peggy Flanagan.
• 5:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: I mean, it's insane and even Oregon.
• 5:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: Ultra blue Oregon Republican Christine Drazon is beating the ultra-leftist Tina Kotech in their governor's race.
• 5:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: Kotech has the lowest approval rating of any governor in the nation.
• 5:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: She's an absolute disaster and this is but the latest poll to show the Republican in the lead.
• 6:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: There've been a whole series of polls showing Drazon up two, three, and four points over Kotech.
• 6:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: So what's the
• 6:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: When you combine Oregon with the neck and neck pulling and New Hampshire, Michigan, Minnesota, what's the big takeaway from that?
• 6:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: The big takeaway is simple.
• 6:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is not a blue wave year that's forming here.
• 6:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: There's no way around that.
• 6:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: Whatever's happening in these blue staples, whatever will end up happening in these blue staples, whatever it is, it is emphatically not a blue wave.
• 6:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: There is no way you can have the Republican either tied or even ahead of the Democrat and otherwise reliable blue states and be seeing the makings of a blue wave at the same time.
• 6:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: So that's why you're beginning to see all this crazy talk about Taloreco taking Texas fading away.
• 7:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: Taloreco has been reduced to fundraising in Hollywood and LA because he's burned through all his money and the Democrat establishment ain't given him a dime.
• 7:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: Because they know he simply doesn't have a chance.
• 7:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: And they're not giving him a dime precisely because of what we're seeing with these blue state polls.
• 7:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: The more honest ones.
• 7:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: They know that if the Republican is neck and neck with the Democrat, and then otherwise reliable blue state, there is no way Talorico is going to come anywhere near winning in Texas.
• 7:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: Texas is not going to vote to the left of Oregon or Minnesota.
• 7:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: There's simply no known universe where that can even remotely happen.
• 7:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: We're getting some other very interesting data.
• 7:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: Take a look at this.
• 7:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: Here's another sign of what's going on.
• 7:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: Among more than 24,000 swing voters across eight battleground states, this is according to New York Post.
• 7:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: The GOP actually holds a narrow advantage on the issue of affordability.
• 8:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: Yes, you heard that right, 44% said Republicans were more likely to bring costs down as compared with 39% for Democrats.
• 8:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's significant because other national polls, of course, have generally given Democrats the edge on the cost of living, but that was September.
• 8:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: What appears to be so key here is, again, as these poles increasingly tightened begin to reflect reality, they're going to reflect the inevitability of our deeply polarized age.
• 8:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: In other words, we're beyond the age of persuasion.
• 8:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: Where voters can be persuaded on issues that they hadn't considered before and can be convinced to vote one way as over and against another way.
• 8:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: For this party versus that, but those days are over.
• 8:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: Election analysts are in wide agreement that the electorate is radically polarized and as such gas prices aren't enough to break that.
• 9:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: The pain at the pump, which, by the way, is about to go down.
• 9:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: The pain at the pump isn't enough to get a Republican leaning independent to vote for what he sees as the Communist Party.
• 9:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: Take a look at this, 76% of men let that hit you, nearly 8 in 10 men despise the Democrats.
• 9:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: That, my friends, is called polarization.
• 9:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's the political reality we're living in now.
• 9:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: Pain at the pump ain't enough to get these 76% of men to vote for Democrat.
• 9:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: It ain't happening.
• 9:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: But that's nothing.
• 9:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's not just the polling.
• 9:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's October and so that means we're getting early voting results coming in.
• 9:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: And let's just say if you thought the polls were bad for the Democrats, you ain't seen nothing yet.
• 10:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now luckily, there is a solution that helps to see what's being emphasized, ignored or spun.
• 10:07
  [SPEAKER_01]: Ground news pulls headlines from over 50,000 news sources and makes it easier to understand what's actually happening.
• 10:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: You can see the political bias of each outlet in sites like reliability and outlet ownership.
• 10:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: and how coverage breaks down across the spectrum.
• 10:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's why over a million people of download and ground news.
• 10:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: See it for yourself at Ground.News slash Steve.
• 10:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: You know, my favorite feature is called the Blind Spot feed.
• 10:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: It shows you which stories are blowing up on one side of the aisle.
• 10:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: But,
• 10:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: barely mentioned if not ignored on the other, it's the clearest way to see media bias in action.
• 10:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: So for example, here's a story barely getting any traction on the left, it's about Louisiana Center John Kennedy introducing a bill that would require all AI developers to build a kill switch.
• 10:54
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now the left wing media seems completely oblivious to these AI developments, and of course the right has its own blind spots as well, but now you'll know.
• 11:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: With every story, Ground News shows you the entire spectrum of who's reporting from left, right and center, how reliable it sources, who owns each outlet.
• 11:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's everything the corporate press doesn't want you to see right now.
• 11:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: You can get 40% off the vantage plan that gives you unlimited access to all the features that I personally use for about $5 a month, just visit Ground.News slash Steve, click the link in the description or scan the QR code that's Ground.News slash Steve.
• 11:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: Alright, so when it comes to mail-in ballots, we've been talking a lot about the state of Ohio.
• 11:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: And the reason why Ohio is so important here is, well, first because it is very, very clean, clear, early vote data.
• 11:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: But secondly, most importantly, Ohio is served historically as a bell-weather state, meaning what happens in Ohio's predictive
• 11:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: of what happens in a number of other states.
• 12:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: So for example, if Ohio votes for the Republican by say 10 points, we could be pretty confident that Iowa will vote for the Republican by 12.
• 12:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: Because Iowa is pretty consistently voted to the right of Ohio by a couple of points.
• 12:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: And if Iowa votes for the Republican by 12,
• 12:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: Then we can be pretty confident that Alaska will vote for the Republican by at least 12, because they tend to vote a pointer to the right of Iowa.
• 12:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: And if Alaska's voting at least 12 for the Republican, then we can be pretty confident that Texas is going to vote at least 12 for the Republicans and Texas tends to vote to the right of Alaska.
• 12:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: So that's the bell weather significance of Ohio.
• 12:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: is frankly devastating for the Democrats.
• 12:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: So back in 2022 midterms and the 2024 presidential election, Democrats went until election day with the exact same vote margins vote advantage.
• 13:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: It was roughly a 70 to 30 early vote advantage over the Republicans.
• 13:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now keep in mind,
• 13:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: despite that very formidable advantage.
• 13:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: The Democrats went on to lose both elections.
• 13:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: They lost 2022 by six points.
• 13:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: They lost 2024 by four.
• 13:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: And that's because Republicans overwhelmed election day historically Democrats tend to vote early.
• 13:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: Republicans tend to vote on election day.
• 13:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: And so.
• 13:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: If that's the case, then for 2026, just five weeks, Democrats would need to amass something like a 75, 25 advantage going into November for the midterms, if they even hope to carry Ohio.
• 13:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: According to vote hub, as we speak,
• 13:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: The current early vote data is showing the Democrats at best.
• 13:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is a model.
• 13:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: So this is what they're projecting based on what we're already saying.
• 14:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is what they're projecting for say November 2nd.
• 14:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: The Democrats at best are only going to get about 59% of the early vote.
• 14:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: And that's just half of the Republicans are poised to get 40%.
• 14:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, there is no way, again, if history is, if past is precedent, there is no way a Democrat is going to win statewide office with a collapse in the early vote margins like that.
• 14:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: I mean, literally no way.
• 14:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: And we've got another way of corroborating that again, we like to use cross evidence here in on this channel.
• 14:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: I mentioned the bell weather significant of higher, but what's a fascinating is that Ohio itself has a bell weather county.
• 14:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's called portage county.
• 14:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: He who wins Portage County, historically almost always wins the state.
• 14:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: Portage voted for Ohio's winning gubernatorial candidate in every election since 1990.
• 15:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: And it's back the statewide Senate winner in each election since 2016.
• 15:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: In fact, it was almost dead on.
• 15:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: in the 2022 Sanitorial Race with JD Vance.
• 15:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: Vance, one portage county by 6.7 points.
• 15:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: He won Ohio by 6.1 points.
• 15:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: So the question is, of course, who's winning portage right now, right?
• 15:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: We were told this is a red wave.
• 15:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'm sorry we told, we're told this is blue wave.
• 15:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's inevitable to blue wave.
• 15:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: Democrats are going to crush Republicans.
• 15:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: Ah, they're going to lose by 13, 14, 15 points.
• 15:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: Who's winning?
• 15:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: Who's winning?
• 15:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: We got the polling and here it is.
• 15:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is a Senate race.
• 15:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's the Republican John Houston by five.
• 15:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: The Republican is winning by five all as the early vote data coming in shows that the leads they had in 2022 and 2024 are collapsing.
• 15:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: So all of this is to say that it already appears at the election narratives for October are going to be very, very different than they were in September.
• 16:07
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, of course, I will always, again, we're dealing with the future here.
• 16:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: So I have to,
• 16:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: Qualify everything I'm saying here.
• 16:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is no time to get complacent.
• 16:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: There were no guarantees.
• 16:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is certainly no time to get giddy.
• 16:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: We've got to do every giddy.
• 16:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: I don't know you before.
• 16:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: I thought that.
• 16:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: There we got to do absolutely everything we possibly can to get Republicans over the finish line.
• 16:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: We got to get out to vote.
• 16:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: You got to get your friends to vote.
• 16:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: Your loved ones to vote.
• 16:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: Get it all out there.
• 16:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: No question.
• 16:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: But that said, it does appear.
• 16:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: that the electoral wins are indeed shifting all across the country.
• 16:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: And now it's our job to make sure that the Democrat worst nightmare on November 3rd comes true.
• 17:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: What I just shared with you barely scratches the surface.
• 17:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: I put together a free mini ebook that goes deeper into everything we just talked about.
• 17:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: The collapse of the globalist order, the rise of a new civilization rooted in faith, family and freedom.
• 17:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: And what it means for your family right now, it is completely free.
• 17:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: grab your copy and get the full picture because once you understand what is actually happening in this moment you cannot unsee it.
• 17:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: Come back again tomorrow for another episode celebrating the rise of a new conservative age.