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NFL Week 3 Best Bets · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four, I have
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with wookends the slump
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've reached a
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat Man,
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the bruins
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: arch hape? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. But I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die at
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not go
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: well for me. Own five the worst month that I've
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: know what to even tell you about this anymore. The slump, yes,
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: the slump discontinuous, The slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody?
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: It's towed back with you better off dead? NFL Week three.
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: I don't know what else to say about this. Man.
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: I got my awesome shirt on right now, you can.
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: You can read it. It's very related to my intro
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: here on Nate. What's up? Man? What happened with Oklahoma?
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: I know that in my pick them games that I'm
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: in Auburn plus the six and a half. I don't
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: know what the fuck happened in that game. I think
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: it was another bullshit game, right? Oh? Yeah, great? It
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: was a safety at the very end of the game. Right,
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: so Oklahoma had no business covering that? Yeah, I guess,
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: thanks for reminding me. It wasn't one of my plays.
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: At least this time. It was a close game. It
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: looks like statistically losing a cover on a safety, though,
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, that is that is some bullshit. Yeah, but
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: what what did Auburn take the safety intentionally, like what
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: even was it. I didn't see the end of that game.
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I didn't have an on seems like
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: some real bullshit though, And that pisses me off because
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: I had Auburn, uh with the six and a half number,
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: so wound up being a seven point yeah final lass
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: score there. I had Auburn and just in like the
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: ESPN pick thems, they weren't in my pick six like
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: money pool pick seven whatever and have them. Although I
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: only went four and three in those, but I mean
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: if you grind in those in your upmost weeks, I
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: mean they go all right. Like obviously all my picks
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: today were in those games as well, and then I
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: had a few extra ones. We did well today, by
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: the way, we had a five and two day. We
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: were only two and two in college football, and I
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: think we still want up ahead in college football because
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: both we had two outright underdog money line cashes, so
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: I think that actually put us up in college football.
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: And then I went three and ohero in baseball. So
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: in college football we had on Miami Ohio was total bullshit.
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: And I don't know if you saw that Miami Ohio
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: was winning that game by multiple scores almost the entire way,
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: and then they wound up losing right at the end
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: by three points. I ain't the only time they were
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: not covering that game was the final score. Of course,
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: I did mention with a two and a half. I
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: didn't love the fact that the numbers two and a half.
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: I still thought it was a great play, though. I
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: thought they were gonna win the game outright. I love
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: that setup with the inverted by scenario. I mean, you
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: can go watch my analysis of it if you want.
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: But Miami, ohigh, they were out to a fourteen nothing
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: lead right away. They were winning by fourteen by ten
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: throughout the entire game. I'm like, all right, this is
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: gonna win. And then meanwhile, at the same time, Memphis
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: started out decent. I think they're winning outright, ten to seven.
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: At the beginning of the game, we had them plus seven,
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: and then all of a sudden, they're down twenty eight
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: to ten. They give up twenty one unanswered points, and
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: I'm like, okay, well, we're gonna go one to one
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: in these two, which we did. But it was the
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: exact opposite the games that I thought it was gonna be.
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: Is Miami Ohio wound up being the loss right at
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: the end, losing by a half point, losing by three,
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: and then Memphis one outright, so that was one of
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: the big ones. Memphis with a huge comeback and then
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: they win the game outright by one point at the end,
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: So we got that done. Kennesaw State, that was one
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: with less drama. That was a winner. I mean, they
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: were winning outright. I think the whole game. They wound
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: up winning outright. So we got that cover and outright
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: underdog win. And then Florida did not get there. Florida,
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: I mean, they definitely got outplayed statistically. Although I told
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: you that other defense was gonna hold them in the game.
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: They needed to score more on offense obviously. I mean
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: I thought they would be able to score against Miami's
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: defense a bit. The game was low scoring, which is
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: what you want when you have an underdog, and it
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: was thirteen to seven with four minutes left in the game.
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: Florida was was within six points with four minutes left,
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: and yeah, I mean Miami got into a field goal race,
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: so you knew they were gonna kick a field goal
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: and then it's like, okay, Florida's got to drive. Now
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: they're down two scores of Florida. If they drove and
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: they kicked a field goal to get one score on
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: the board, then they would at least win the game.
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: But I think they turned it over and then Miami
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: scored again and then that was the end of it.
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: I don't know what exactly happened there, but the game
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: was a lot closer than the final looked. At least
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: the score was way closer in the final minutes, so
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: that pissed me off. Baseball was pretty good, though, I
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: mean basically no sweat on either of the first five
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: under A's Pittsburgh and Toronto Kansas City both. I think
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: both games went under full game as well, but the
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: first fives went over and then the Red Sox made
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: me sweat a little bit. They had the lead in
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: the game. It looked like it was gonna be over.
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: Like it looked like the game was gonna be over.
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: I should say the Red Sox were up one nothing
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: really early. Then it was one to one for a while.
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: They took a three to one lead. I think get
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: to the seventh and maybe even the eighth inning, whatever
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: it was, so I'm thinking, all right, Red Sox, they
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: have their better relievers available, they should get this done.
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: Tampa tied the game three to three, excuse me, and
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: then luckily for us, the Red Sox, I'll put up
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: three runs I believe, in the top of the ninth
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: inning to push it to six to three and get
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: that win and get out of there with the win.
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: So we got that win. Let's talk at NFL, man.
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: So it was a good day overall. The five and two.
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: I'll take that, and a little bit of extra bonus
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: with the money line cashes in football. Not bad. Oh wait,
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: best bets? What am I doing? No, we're not doing
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: best bets. We're doing the breakdown. We've got three NFL plays, man,
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk about the rest of these games here.
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: We're gonna run through the entire NFL card because that's
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: what we do here. Nate, thanks for hanging out. You're
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: the only one right now. Hopefully we get some more
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: people late night, degenerate out. They're showing the Oklahoma win
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: right now, just to rub it in my face on
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: ESPN right now, they're just showing the ending to the game.
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: So that's great. The game I have on over there
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: right now, I think is the Colorado game, which, by
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: the way, Colorado was one of my Survivor picks. I'm
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: in a money college football survivor pool where it works
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: the same way as NFL. You just have to make
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: two picks every week in sent a one. So my
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: picks this week were I'm alive obviously Colorado is one
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: of my two, and I think I in Mississippi State
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: is the other one, which they already won coloradoss I
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: was up twenty one to three, so they just need
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: to win the game outright. It's just obviously you can't
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: pick the same team again. But I look at the
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: upcoming schedules, man, like the rest of the year, I'm like, yeah,
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: this is the spot to use Colorado and whatever. So
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: even though I didn't necessarily like them recover the spread,
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: I'm like, yeah, all right, hopefully they'll win the game outright.
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: We could talk about Survivor in NFL, too, so I
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: don't know. We'll say, Charles, what's up, man, thanks for
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: hanging out. Let's get into it, man, Charles, you didn't
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: miss anything yet. Let's go in order of the board
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: like I usually do. I also have the look ahead
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: lines up here from so the look head lines. I
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: always use the look aheadlines in the NFL is a
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: bit of a gauge. Basically, this is what was the
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: line before last week's games were played, so you can
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: kind of gauge like, how did the line move? So
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: like Bills were a ten and a half point favorite
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: before last week's games were played, and then they went
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: into Thursday night actually up to about a twelve point favorite,
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: So the line did move a little bit, and you
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: want to kind of check that, like was there a
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: reason for that line to move that much? And in
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: that case, I would say there wasn't. And the Dolphins
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: did get the cover rights, I did say I lean
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: that way, even though I thought it was gonna be
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: a lower scoring game. But the Dolphins did cover. So
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: Colts Titans. Colts are up from two to four and
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: a half here, man, which to me, that seems like
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: too much of a move on the Colts. To be honest, man,
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: I don't see a whole like I don't see much
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: of a reason for that, Like I don't think there's
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: really any huge injury. I think Tennessee it looks like
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: Sweat might not play. He's one of their better deep
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: some players. They got them from the Eagles. But that's
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: not going to move the line multiple points like that
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: just for one defensive end or whatever being out. So
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: I think this line is a little bit of a
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: I think it moved too much. Colts are a two
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: point favorite on the look at, so actually I think
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: we're seeing just like last week. I think the opening
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: number in some of these cases was the Lookhet. This
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: is up to four and a half. We do see
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: sixty nine percent of tickets on the Colts, eighty percent
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the Colts, though some money's coming
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: in on the Colts. I don't really think I can
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: agree with the Colts here. The Colts are my team,
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: of course, well not of course, because I am from Boston,
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: but I turn coated on the Patriots because I didn't
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: like Belichick or Brady. I was a Peyton manning Van,
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: so I latched onto the Colts. Colts are off to
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: a two and zero kind of a surprise start, but
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: because of that is the case, and now they're facing
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: their first road game of the season. Tennessee really hasn't
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: shown anything yet. I get that, but to me, I mean,
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: I think it just kind of looks too easy to
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: take the Colts, so I understand the money is coming
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: in on them, it looks like for now at least,
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: but they're a public road favor here, man, so I
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: would lean to the home underdog. Home underdogs have not
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: done that well generally in the NFL recently, but I
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: believe in the first like several weeks of the season,
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: home underdogs actually do do pretty well in recent history,
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: which is gonna bode well for a couple of my
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: place today, I think, because I think I have at
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: least two of them Arcade, what's up, man, thanks for
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: hanging out, So I do lean to Tennessee in this
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: one plus the points man. And also one thing to
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: be aware of is that own two teams straight up,
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: they actually cover at a pretty good rate in Week
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: three as well. I don't have the number in front
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: of me, but that is the case. And I think
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: it becomes even better when it's a two and oh
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: team against an OH and two team, because it's like
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: you're almost never gonna get value on that two and
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: oh team when they're playing an O and two team,
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: because who's gonna want to play the oh and two team? Right?
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: And people are just kind of overreacting to a small
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: sample size early in the season, so I do think
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: Tennessee is the right side. And by the way, in
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: this division, the underdog covered eleven of the twelve games
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: last year, so that's something to consider. The underdogs. We're
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: hitting at a ridiculous rate, just in the divisional games
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: in the AFC South last year. Although I think there
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: is one trend that goes against Tennessee or I think
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: they haven't covered what is it, I forget what it
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: is exactly. I think India has covered like a bunch
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: of games in a row against them. I think maybe
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: eight in a row, so that's that seems wrong to me,
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: But I heard somebody say that stat so you might
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: have double check that one. Indy. Now, I could see
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: this going both ways with Indy though, because they beat
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: Denver last week, and for people who didn't see that,
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: it came down to, like the final, it came down
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: to a field goal at the end of the game.
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: The Indie won on a field goal, but they actually
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: rekicked the field goal because Denver got called for leverage
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: and the initial field goal attempt was a miss, and
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: then leverage got called and then that moved the field
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: goal closer and then India kicked the field goal to win.
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: People were saying it was not the correct call leverage,
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: because leverage means the defense. It's illegal to have a
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: defender get on top of another defender to try to
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: get more leverage to try to block a kick, which
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: I don't really think Denver did. I mean, I think
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: it was kind of a BS call, And I am
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: saying that as a fan of the Colts, and I
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: had the Colts and pick them last week, so I
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: could see that going both ways because it was a
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: dramatic win for Indye against a Denver team that did
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: beat them last year during the regular season. But Indy's
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: probably hearing all week like, oh, Indye deserved to lose
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: that game. They shouldn't have won that game. When a
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: team wins on like a BS call like that, it
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: can kind of motivate that team going to the next
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: week to some extent because they're just hearing all week like, oh,
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: that team shouldn't have won. So maybe that will motivate
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: Indy a little bit potentially, But it is still the
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: first road game that could be a little bit difficult,
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: although it's less difficult when it's a division game. I mean,
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: they play at Tennessee every year, so that they have
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: to kind of dial it back on how difficult that
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: is a little bit. But value wise, I think the
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: value is with taking the points of Tennessee and that
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: one not gonna be a play for me, though Falcons
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: Panthers will be a play for me, So I'll give
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: that out at the end of the show. You probably
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: already know what it is. Raiders at the Washington Redskins.
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: This is a weird matchup. I mean, it's one of
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: those inner conference matches. These teams don't play each other
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: very often, so a lot of times the home team
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: is kind of the way you want to look in
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: games like this. I talk about this like the out
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: of conference road games matter the least on a team
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: schedule because the in conference records are what the tiebreakers
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: come down to. So sometimes you do want to look
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: to that out of conference home team. Now we have
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: an interesting scenario in this game where Washington is gonna
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: be without Jaye Daniels in this game. So that's why
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: the line, which initially was five and a half, I
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: think it might have actually been six and a half
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: on the look at actually it was six. It looks
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: like it dropped to three, and that's because Jane Daniels
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: is out. Fifty tickets, sixty seven percent of the cash
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: on Washington. Now, though Washington they do have extra time off.
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: We saw them on Thursday night and they didn't look
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: very good. They got shut down by green Bay, and
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: they actually got shut down worse than it looks like
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: on the scoreboard because they actually scored like a garbage
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: time touchdown at the end to make it look a
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: little bit closer than it was. So I was right
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: about green Bay in that one, but coming off kind
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: of an ugly game like that, even though it was
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: a big game, extra time off. I think the extra
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: time off will help Washington here in this one. But
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: because Jaydon Daniels is out, I actually like Washington even
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: more because Jade Daniels is out, because I think you
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: get value. So I explained this. I feel like I
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: have to explain, like talk about this every week almost
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: In the NFL, it's the injured player theory. So when
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: a star player for a team goes down, that only
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: in the first game without that player, the team knows
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: they have to step up their game without him, so
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: the team plays a little bit extra hard for that reason,
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: but also you get line value, so the line usually
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: overreacts and moves too much. I know, like two and
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: a half three point line move actually doesn't seem like
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: that much of an overreaction. You think that with Jadon
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: Daniels the line would actually move a little bit more
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: than that. But you are on the key number three now,
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: so laying three, I think I would lean that way
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: with Washington. I don't think it's gonna be a huge downgrade,
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: to be honest, from Jane Daniels to Marcus Mariota, who
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: I know he hasn't been that good in the NFL,
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: but I think this is a decent system for him.
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: He played a little bit last year in the system too,
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: Jade and Daniels I think was injured a little bit
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: last year. So Marioda does know the system. He's gotten
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: into games of the system. But this is a system
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: that kind of revolves around like having a dual threat quarterback. Essentially,
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: Mariota is one, so I think he can go. You
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: can get in there and sub in fairly well there
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: and the Raiders are actually on a short week, so
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: they kind of really draw the short end here. They
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: had a big divisional game on Monday night, and I
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: thought it was a great spot for the Raiders and
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: they just could not get any offense together there. That
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: was a big game for them against the Chargers, and
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: now in a short week they have to go to
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: an unfamiliar venue. So yeah, I would lean to Washington
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: in this game. I'm actually almost convincing by something to
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: play play Washington in this one. I think Washington is
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: the right side in that game, even though I don't
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: think Washington is as good as they were last year
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: or as good as people even necessarily think Packers versus
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: the clowns, the Cleveland Browns, I'm gonna give give out
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: a play on that at the end of the show too.
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: Still in the one PM slate here Bengals Vikings. This
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: is one of the weirdest games on the slate, man,
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: and this is one of those out of conference road
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: games for the Bengals. So I kind of start the
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: handicap by saying, Okay, that means maybe I want to
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: look towards the Vikings here. The way this sets up
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: is kind of ridiculous. We do see the Vikings up
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: from one and a half to three here, and the
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: line has moved, So the opener I think was Vikings.
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: Maybe yep, it was. I thought it was one. It
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: was one and a half. It looks like they're according
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: to CBS. But the reason for the line movies because
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: actually both teams in this case have an in your quarterback,
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: so you have to really try to figure out what
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: that's going to mean for this handicap here the Vikings,
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: the odds makers are basically telling you they think that
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: the drop off in the Bengals quarterback, which is Joe
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: Burrow being replaced by Jake Browning, the odds makers are
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: actually telling you, based on this move, that they think
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: that's more of a significant a significant drop off than
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: JJ McCarthy dropping down to Carson Wentz. And I agree
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: with the with the odds makers in that assessment. So
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: I think that line move was actually about what it
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: should have done. I think it was about accurate. So
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: I actually do lean to the Vikings in this game,
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: which I'll explain further in a second, But at three,
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: I'm not really so sure I'd really want to lay
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: that though the three, Like if it was below three,
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: maybe i'd definitely be considering it as one of my
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: plays tickets are on the Vikings fifty percent of the
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: cash on the Bengals though, so looks the money's coming
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: in of the Bengals for some reason. I wouldn't really
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: think that the public would be off of the Bengals
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: here because the Bengals looked a lot better last week.
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: So Joe Borrow went down. He's got turf toe and
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: somehow turf toe and he's gonna be out for three months.
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: It doesn't make any sense. Joe Borrow never stays healthy.
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: I mean, the Bengals are two to zero, so I
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: don't understand how they're not public here, Like I know
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: the public they know that Joe Burrow's out, but Jake
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: Browning led them to a win last week. They were
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: on the verge of losing that game. Man Jacksonville, I
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: said that I lead to Jacksonville in the game last week,
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: and they were covering literally wired to Wirre in that game.
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: And the only time that Jacksonville was not covering the
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: plus three and a half was literally the final score
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: when Cincinnati kicked the extra point on that final field goal,
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: I believe, and that was it. Jacksonville was covering the
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: entire game otherwise, so people I think saw that game though,
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: and they think, oh my god, like Jake Brown, and
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: he did well in that game. He led them to
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: that comeback win. He looks good. He's got a hot girlfriend.
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: If you saw wearing the span Dex out there, you know.
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: So I'm actually pretty shocked that the public isn't really
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: on Cincinnati. I would think that they would be. I
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: think this is a difficult spot for Cincinnati that they
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: are going out on the road. Yes, it is an
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: injured player spot, so they are gonna have that factor
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: in this game where they're gonna get up for it
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: because they know it's Joe the first game that Joe
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: Borrow is actually out to start the game, so they
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: know they're gonna have to step it up for that game.
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: But they do have a pretty big game against Denver
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: up next, going a mile high. That's gonna be kind
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: of a repeat of one of those crucial games late
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: in the season last year. That game went into overtime
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: last year and Cincinnati won the game to stay live
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: in the playoff race last year because Cincinnati they needed
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: that game just a little bit more at that point.
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: So it's gonna be more of a revenge spot for
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: Denver if it's revenge at all, if they really care,
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: But it's still a bigger game. It's a bigger conference game,
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: and Minnesota's just really not looked good so far. So
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: for me, I mean, I think Cincinnati could kind of
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: overlook Minnesota. Hear Man, and I think that Browning is
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: not quite as good as he looked last week. Yes,
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: he has a lot of experience, and Joe Burrow can't
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: seem to stay health so yeah, Browning does have experience
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: in this system, so that's good. In Minnesota. I think
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: they're kind of a plug and play offense, to which
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: I said coming into Week one, I thought that it
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: didn't even really matter who their quarterback was going to
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: be in that game. I thought they would win anyway.
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: And JJ McCarthy did lead them to a comeback in
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: that game, so he looked okay, but then he was
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: just kind of overhyped and then he was awful in
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: the game against Atlanta, and I guess he got hurt
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: at some point, so he is hurt now coming into this.
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: But Minnesota is gonna be going with Carson wentz Man
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: and cart That might actually be an upgrade, to be honest,
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: JJ McCarthy. He looked so bad against Atlanta and everybody
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: saw that game because that was Sunday Night last week.
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: Which is why I'm even more surprised that the public
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: is not on Cincinnati here, because why would they want
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: to be on the Vikings at all? After they only
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: scored six points against Atlanta and they looked terrible on
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: Sunday Night on national TV and everybody saw that game.
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: I don't get it. So yes, Minnesota, they're on a
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: little bit of a short week because they played on
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: Sunday night, But a lot of times when a team
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: looks so bad on primetime like that, you want to
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: look towards that team in the next game. I think
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: that's gonna be the case with Minnesota. And I actually
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: think Carson Wentz might be an upgrade, even though I
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: know he's not that good, but he has a lot
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: of NFL experience. He did lead that Philly team to
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: the playoffs at least that year before he got hurt,
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: and then everybody remembers Nick Foles won the Super Bowl
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: with them. He came in basically from out of nowhere
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: and won the Super Bowl against the Patriots. But Carson
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: Wentz played like a majority of that season. Man, I
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: think Wentz he can get into the system and he
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: can play well. And Minnesota has a much much better defense.
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati's defense is still a total liability. So you're playing Minnesota,
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: you're on the team with the better defense at the
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: very least. You know me, I like defense better than offense,
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: although I prefer getting points or having a shorter line
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: on that with the Vikings. But I personally would still
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: lean to the Vikings in that one with the injured players.
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: About both teams are in it, so both teams know
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: they have to step up their game for the backup quarterback.
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: But again I think the Vikings might have a little
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: bit more of that factor as well there because they
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: looked so bad in that game. So we will the Vikings. Yeah,
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: they're gay, they have that whatever, like male cheerleader male.
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: I don't even know if he slashed she even is male.
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know the fruit ball. Well. The other thing
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: I will say about this game before I move on
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: is that the Vikings have the way better coach. Kevin
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: O'Connell is way better than Zach Taylor. Is that his
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: name for the Bengals. I don't think Taylor's a very
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: good coach at all, So I think the Vikings have
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: a coaching mismatch in that game as well, So I'm
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: gonna lean that way in that one. Rams Eagles. This
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: is close to being a play for me. I was
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: considering a play on the Rams here. Man. The Eagles
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: do now for four and a half to three fifty
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: six per tickets, fifty nine percent of the cash on
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: the Eagles. For now, the cash is coming in on
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: the Eagles. But the line did drop a little bit.
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: The look ahead on this was Eagles four and a half,
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: so look ahead the line did drop a little bit
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: from that, but it's not really a significant drop, I
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: would say. I think maybe some of that was just
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: money coming in on the Rams after the line opened
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: at the same number. Philadelphia's just looked good so far, man.
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, everybody knows who they are. They're the Super
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: Bowl champs. They beat Dallas in Week one in primetime,
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: big divisional win there. Dallas with Dak Prescott back, put
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: up a fight. Philly still won and the game was
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: lightning delayed, so they had to play later. Then Philly
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: had to face Kansas City on the road at Arrowhead
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl rematch with Kansas City looking for revenge.
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: I thought Kansas City was actually going to get the
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: revenge if Philadelphia still won the game. Now they're coming
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: up of that and they get to play the Rams,
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: and the Rams are going to be the team looking
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: for revenge here in this one. I know Philly staved
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: off one team that was looking for revenge, but the
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: Rams are looking for revenge too. Man, it's playoff revenge again.
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: It's the only type of revenge that really matters that much,
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: or one of the only types. You definitely remember who
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: ended your season last year, Man, and the Rams. They
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: went into Philadelphia last year and Philadelphia knocked them out
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: of the playoffs. And I had Philadelphia in that game.
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: I think Philadelphia was about a minus five and a
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: half point favorite in that game or something like that.
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: I think they didn't cover. They won and didn't cover.
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: I think if I remember correct, I think they maybe
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: they pushed even it was like really close to the number.
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: The Rams definitely could have potentially won that game. Like
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: Saquon Barkley broke a couple of huge runs in that
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: game that really helped Philly out. I think the Rams
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: are gonna show up for this, man, I know the
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: line is lower than it was in that game, So like,
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: why is that the case? Why are the Eagles, like,
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: you know, basically three and a half point favorite in
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: this game instead of like five, five and half where
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: they were in the playoffs last year? Well, the Eagles
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: lost a lot of their defensive players. Man, they have
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: mostly the same offense this year, but I think their
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: offense is gonna actually take a little bit of a
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: step back to I think they a little bit. They
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: overperformed a little bit last year, but their defense lost
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: like half. They lost like half of their defensive personnel,
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: like I mentioned Sweat, but they also lost Gardner, Johnson
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: and Slay. So this Eagles defense I don't think is
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: going to be as good as last year. So I
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: think the Rams can actually take advantage. Their offense did
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: actually break out a little bit last week in a
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: get A game where I gave out Tennessee in that game,
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: and Tennessee was in that game, and then the Rams
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: just kind of exploded late and ran away with it,
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: unfortunately for me. But yes, it is a second straight
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: road game for the Rams, so it's a little bit
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: of a difficult spot for them. I don't know if
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: they went home. Would they go home like between these
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: two games though, where they have to go to Tennessee
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: and they have to go east, or do you think
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: they practice. I don't know. I'd have to look that up.
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: Hopefully they practice somewhere out on the road, because I
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: wouldn't want the Rams really if they went back home
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: and now they have a fly across country again. Hopefully
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: they practice at some other facility closer to the East
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: coast here man and people will say, you know, it's
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: these West coast teams going east whatever to play a game.
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: It's early with their biological clock. But I always say
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: that that is a little bit overstated. Again, I think
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: the worst biological clock spot is always an East Coast
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: team going out west to play a late game because
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: they have to play really late when they're like fatigued
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: basically at the end of the day. So I think
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: that's worse. So yes, I do like the Rams here.
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: I think the revenge kind of puts it a little
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: bit over the top. It's not a play for me,
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: but leaning to the Rams there, Colorado's up twenty eight
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: to three now, so I think I will survive and
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: survivor Steelers Patriots. Steelers at Patriots. The Steelers are up
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: from one to one and a half. You're fifty two
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: percent tickets, fifty six percent of the cash on the Steelers,
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: money coming in on the Steelers here. I believe the
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: Patriots went in to Pittsburgh and beat Pittsburgh last yearn
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: though the Patriots only four wins last year. I think
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: they beat the Steelers in Pittsburgh last year, if I'm
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: not mistaken. I think the Steelers made some mistakes in
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: that game, so it could be a little bit of
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: revenge for the Steelers, But I don't know if you
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: really care that much about revenge for some mid season
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: game against some team that maybe you don't really have
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: that much focus on the Steelers. They've looked fairly good
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: so far in that they put up a lot of
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: offense so far. Aaron Rodgers was really good in the
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: first game against the Jets. He wasn't as good against Seattle, though.
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: I think Seattle actually does have a pretty solid defense,
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: maybe a little bit underrated, so Rodgers. I think he
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: was in a letdown spot though, because apparently that Jets
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: game meant a lot more to him than I thought
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: it did. Beating his former team now Pittsburgh going out
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: on the road again after a loss. Sometimes it's a
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: good thing to go out on the roading and after
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: a loss because he kind of just forget what happened
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: at home. But I'm not quite sure that I love
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh here, man. Pittsburgh actually is not one in New
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: England since like I think two thousand and eight something
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: like that, which might have been the Matt Was that
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: the Matt Castle year or something I don't remember, but
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh they do not do well in New England historically,
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: so that's something to keep in mind. The Patriots, they
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: might be on a little bit of an improvement trajectories.
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: They didn't look very good in Week one at home.
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: They haven't won a game at home yet, so I
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna want to get this game. Man. They
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: did go down on the road and beat Miami on
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: the oh. There's just somewhat impressive, even though I know
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: Miami doesn't look good at all, so people aren't gonna
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: put that much weighted to that. But Patriots. Still, it's
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: a fairly difficult road divisional game to go down and
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: do that in the heat maybe which you're not totally
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: used to all the Yeah. I mean, I don't know
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: how hot it really was there. But this is a
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: hard handicap for me, man, because there just isn't that
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: much of a situation to look for. To me, I
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: just think the Steelers are a little bit of a
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: public road favorite here, although I know I see more
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: of the money coming in on them. This is gonna
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: be one of the ones where I might flip flop
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: on this, as I say on the show, like I
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: do the market read here, and then as far as
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: like picking it, I have to pick every game and
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: like pick coms and whatever, So if I don't have
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: like a particularly strong opinion on a particular game, my
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: opinion actually might wind up changing right before the game
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: or whatever based on what I see like the late
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: market movement to This might be one of those games, man.
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: Right now, it's difficult because I initially did lean to
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: the Patriots. I think I still do, but now it
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: looks like the money might be coming in on the Steelers.
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: I've heard some professionals like the steel this one. I
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: just don't or like the Patriots. Excuse me, like the
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: Patriots in that one. I just don't have a strong
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: gauge on that game at all. Jets Buccaneers will be
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: my last play, so I'm gonna give that out at
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: the end of the show as well. Texas Jaguars to
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: finish off the one PM, so all my players are
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: gonna be in the one pm slate, not doing any
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: prime time this time. Texas Jaguars will get another So
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: the AFC seuth are actually all the teams in the
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: AFC South are playing each other this week. The Jags
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: are down from one and a half point favorite to
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: a one point favorite. But it looks like the Texans
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: are very public seventy eight percent of tickets, only seventy
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: four percent of cash. So this is one of those
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: types of things where I tell you, man, when you
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: have a public road underdog like that, it looks like
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: less of the cash is on them. I tend to
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: want to look towards that home favorite, so I would
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: lean to the Jaguars in this game because of that.
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: Houston's also on a short week, but both teams are
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: kind of off, like pretty difficult losses to be honest.
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: But Houston is on the short week, so I think
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: that makes it a little bit worse for them. Houston
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: coming up the really difficult loss right at the end
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: at Tampa Bay. That was a pretty, i would say,
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: heartbreaking loss, even though I know it's not like they
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: have like a rivalry or anything like that, Houston against
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay. But still it was a big Monday night game.
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: Houston probably should have won the game. I gave out
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: Houston as a lean in that one on my show,
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: and they fell just short right at the end. Their
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: defense just gave up a one of the only touchdown
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: drives for Tampa all game. Houston gave it up right
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: at the end. Really difficult. Now they're gonna go on
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: the road here to face the Jaguars. The Jags I
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: think are a bit improved this year, and people may
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: not realize that yet. People probably just won't care that much. Oh,
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville beat Carolina. People won't really be impressed by that.
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: But I'm impressed by what Jacksonville did last week. Man,
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: they basically should have beaten the Bengals last week. So
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: with Trevor Lawrence healthy and out there, this Jacksonville team
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: is way different than what you saw without him last year.
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: And I think they're a somewhat balanced team. Man, it's
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: not too bad, you know, and it's gonna be uh
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: Liam Cohen, their coach. I don't know how good he
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: is yet, but I believe Cohen was actually the offensive
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: coordinator for Tampa last year, so Baker Mayfield actually doesn't
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: have that much continuity there with the coordinator. I think
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: he's had a different coordinator every single year. Just a
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: tidbit there on Tampa Bay, which I'll be talking about
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay later in the show. But yeah, I mean,
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: I don't really have too much of a situation I'll
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: read on this other than the fact that both teams
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: are coming off heartbreaking losses. They lost right at the end,
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: but Houston's is more fresh in mind because it was
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: on a big primetime game in Monday night, So I
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: think Jacksonville may be the right side in that one.
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: Houston's gonna have to go outdoor, so I don't know
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: if that's gonna affect them a bit or not. I
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: did point out last year at some point that c. J.
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: Stroud hasn't quite hasn't been quite as good in outdoor games,
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: although I think he does worse when it's like cold
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: or like bad weather and stuff like that, which is
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: kind of weird. Because I think he did play at
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: Ohio State. But in college, you don't really play late
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: enough into the winter that it really starts getting cold.
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: So but of course that's not gonna be the case
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: he had in Jacksonville early in the season. That's not
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: gonna be a problem. But they are gonna be outdoors
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: going into the four pm slates. We have another big
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: divisional game between the Broncos and the Chargers four pm Eastern. Here,
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: Chargers basically just sitting at a three point favorite. As
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: far as the look ahead in this one, I don't
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: know if it was that much. It probably wasn't that
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: much of a difference. Where was it? Where was it?
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: Chargers were actually one and a half, So the Chargers
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: are actually up to three, So that is a little
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: bit of a difference. It went up to a key
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: number three. The Chargers of the hype right now. Man,
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: they got sixty three percent tickets, only sixty percent of
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: the cash. So I think I'm gonna lean to the
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: Broncos in this game. Even though I came into the
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: season saying that I thought the Chargers had a pretty
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: solid chance to win this division. I thought the Broncos
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: might actually come in behind both the Chargers and the Chiefs.
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: I thought the Broncos might have that little like sophomore
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: slump with Bonnicks potentially there, because a lot of times
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: when these works quarterbacks take the league by surprise, the
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: league kind of figures them out a little bit. In
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: year two, I thought that might be the case. But
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: in this particular matchup, the money is kind of saying
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: to look towards the Denver Broncos, and I may agree
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: with that, even though I know it is in LA,
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: but LA, I mean, they don't really have them. The
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: Chargers don't have a huge home field advantage in this stadium. Man,
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: it seems like they just don't get a great crowd
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: there for whatever reason. Maybe it'll get better as they
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: continue to get better, though generally, I do think the
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: Chargers will do better out of the two teams this year.
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: But I just don't love the spot. The Chargers are
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: coming up Monday night, so it's a short week for
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: them too. They had to win a Monday Night in
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: a divisional game. They had to come back for Brazil
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: the prior week, so it's not really an easy spot
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: for them. They are coming back home, but they're having
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: to play three straight divisional games, including two isolated primetime games,
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: and they beat both teams, Kansas City and the Raiders.
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: The hype is on them, Man, it's a short week.
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: At some point they're gonna have to like lack effort
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: a little bit in some game. And I know this
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: is a big game still in the division, but I
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: think it's a more difficult spot for the Chargers here, man.
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: And I saw like on this TV behind me here,
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: I saw like some NFL shows, like show on ESPN
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: earlier this week where they were discussing are the Chargers
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: the favorite to win the AFC? So it's like everybody's
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: overreacting what they've seen so far, Like, yeah, the Chargers
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: are good. Yeah, I think they have a good chance
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: to win this division. Yeah, they definitely should make the playoffs.
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: But we have two weeks. Man, you're talking about the
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: Chargers winning the entire AFC already, Like, let's hold your
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: horses a little bit here. It's still only horrid bus
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: second year, I think, you know, which should be an
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: improvement for the first year. But the Chargers, they're just
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: way too hype for my liking right now. Man, in Denver,
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: probably gonna be a little bit pissed about the way
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: they lost that game, although I don't know if basically
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: hearing everybody saying, oh, they should have won that game,
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: they should have won that game. If that's gonna maybe
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: kind of like give them two much over confidence or whatever,
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: too much confidence coming into this one. We'll see. And
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: Broncos did lose green Law. He can never stay healthy.
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: He was never healthy seemingly with the forty nine ers.
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: Now I guess he's not healthy with the Broncos. So
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: the Broncos did lose him, but they still have a
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: solid deep beense man, so I think it's probably gonna
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: be a bit of a low scoring game, would be
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: my opinion. I mean, the oddsmakers are kind of saying
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: that total did go up a little bit from forty
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: three and a half to forty five and have but
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: fifty seven percent of tickets only fifty five percent of
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: the cash on the over, So the money seems maybe
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: like it's coming back in on the under in this one. Chargers,
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: you know, they play a slow possession style game. Broncos
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: have a solid deep bense, so I definitely could see
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: it being a bit of a low scoring game there,
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: which does help the underdogs case a little bit. If
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: that is the case Denver, I mean, they are still
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: coming off a game where they're probably gonna be a
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: little bit piss having played Indi although they do have
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: to go to the Pacific coast here, but it's not
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: a late night game at least in Denver. You know,
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: they're traveling through a couple of different time zones here
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: having last played in Indiana, So maybe a little bit
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: difficult that second straight road game sometimes a little bit
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: more difficult, But I think I still need to Denver
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: in that game. Not a play for me, though Saint Seahawks.
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: Seahawks are one of the most public teams of the week.
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: They're down a little bit from seven a half to seven.
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: As a home favorite, I think I'm probably gonna have
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: to go with the Seahawks and survivor or just hope
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: that they win, because you gotta look at future value, man,
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: and the Seahawks basically don't have any future value because
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: I don't think that they're that good and they don't
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: really have any survivor where the games left all season.
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: So I think from that perspective, I think you kind
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: of have to play the Seahawks in survivor in my
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: opinion here and hold off on some of the better teams.
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: Like I didn't play the Bills on Thursday. I'm saving
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: them because it's you gotta be low time preference man,
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: and think about the future value. You can't just be like, oh,
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna play the big favorite every week. I mean,
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: that'll last year for a little while, but it won't.
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: We need these like big pools. But I might have
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: to use the Seahawks here and just hope that they
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: get the job done because I'm not sure that they're
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: gonna cover this number. I think, of course they can
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: win without covering, but it might get a little iffy.
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: It's a low total. It's up to forty one and
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: a half money a little bit coming into the over though,
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: seventy seven percent of tickets eighty three percent of the
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: cash coming in the over. I don't know if that's
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: gonna be the case, man. Because the Seahawks, uh, their
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: offense hasn't looked very impressive. Sam Donald. You know me,
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: I'm not a huge Sam Donald fan. I think last
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: year is kind of a flash in the pan. I
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: think it had more to do with the O'Connell system.
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: H Donald. I mean, I know the Seahawks put up
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: a bunch of points last week against the Steelers, but
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: the Steelers defense doesn't look very good so far. The
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: Saints Stephens isn't that good either, So maybe Donald'll do
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: okay year, but I still don't think the Seahawks are
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: really a very good offense. The Seahawks have some injuries here.
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: It looks like Smith Nijigba is a game time decision,
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: so I don't know if he's gonna play, and Sharbonnay
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: is out, so I don't know who else they have
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: it running back, but he's not playing in this game,
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: so that's gonna be a little bit It's gonna be
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: a little bit more difficult for the Seahawks to get
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: their offense going. Saints' offense is miserable though, so I mean,
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: I could see this game be pretty low scoring the
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: Saints going with us Spencer Rattler still. The one thing
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: about Rattler is they don't put him in a position
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: where they're not asking him to do too much, so
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: they're not putting him in like risky positions. He actually
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: I don't think he's turned the ball over yet. So
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: the Saints have not turned the ball over very much yet,
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: so at least there's that, even though they're own two
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: and I talked about that already though. By the way,
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: the O and two teams tend to be good to
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: cover the spread, man, so that's something something to consider there.
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: I know the Texans are owing too though, and I
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: just kind of said that I leaned against them, But
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: the only two teams they do tend to cover the
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: spread more often than not, and I think it's better
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: when they're a big underdog. Usually they are an underdog.
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: So yeah, Saints, at least with Rattler, he's not out
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: there making mistakes right now, so there is that. So
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: he does that, but he makes a lot of just
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: like short throws, man, it's a lot of dink and
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: from the Saints' office, So it could be could be
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: a real ugly game there, man. As far as the side,
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: the Seahawks, eighty nine percent of tickets, ninety one percent
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: of the cashley are very public allthough looks like a
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: little bit more of the cash coming into them. I'm
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: not sure that's gonna be the case when the game
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: kicks off. Seahawks have Kenneth Walker the third, that's right,
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: So he's an experienced running backs. This shouldn't be that
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: much much of a downgrade than really he used to
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: be their starter, So that's probably not a huge downgrade
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: really from Charbonney. Yeah, as far as the scheduling spot here,
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: it's a little bit difficult for the Seahawks. They did
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: have a big win over Aaron Rodgers, maybe they'll consider
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: that to be a big win. And after this game
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: they have to turn around and play at Arizona divisional
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: matchup on Thursday night, and Arizona's two and zero right now,
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: so it's a bit of a look ahead spot for Seattle.
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: They might not totally pay attention to New Orleans with
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: this big divisional matchup up next man, and they have
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: to turn around and do that in three days basically
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: four days. So not really the greatest spot for Seattle
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: as far as that since there. New Orleans is playing
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: their first road game of the season, though, and that's
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: not that easy either, and they're coming up a pretty
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: big game as well where they hang in that game
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: against San Francisco, And I mean, usually you're gonna get
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: up for a game against San Francisco it's a big game,
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: and they are still the forty nine ers, even though
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: I know it was without Brock Purdy and whatever New
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: Orleans close game there. So having to play some pretty
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: tough games all in a row here though, So it's
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: not exactly the easiest spot for them either. I would
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: still slightly take in the points with the Saints overall them.
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: The line has hit that key number seven at least,
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: or the Seahawks look ahead. It was six and a
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: half and now it's sevens. You are getting the key
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: number there at least if you want to take the
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: underdog Dallas at Chicago. Is that the next game up? Yes,
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: it is. Dallas has flipped from one to that point dog,
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: I guess to one point favorite. They're very public though,
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: or fairly public, seventy nine percent of tickets, eighty percent
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them for now. But I think
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: I actually lead to the payers this game. Nobody's gonna
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: want to take the Bears here. Man. You know me
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: as a contrarian, I'm not gonna want to play it.
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: But I don't think the spot is great for Dallas.
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: They're coming off two big divisional games against Philly primetime,
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: where they played pretty close, and they had that lightning
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: delay thing, very weird, and then they played that barn
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: burner last week against the Giants. Man, it was a
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: big game. They got to win the divisional win. You
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: could say maybe they should be embarrassed because they almost
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: lost to the Giants. Maybe they should be, but that's
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: still a big divisional win in a hard fought game. Man.
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: Now they can go to Chicago. And what do they
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: have next next week in primetime? I think on Sunday
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: night they have the Michael Parsons Bowl. They got to
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: play green Bay. Dallas has to go up against Michael Parsons.
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: So they traded away to green Bay right before the
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: season started. Everybody's gonna talk about that. That's a big
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: game in primetime. So it's a little bit of a
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot for Dallas here and Dallas, I mean last week, man,
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: they made Russell Wilson look like a god. I mean,
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: Russe wil looked like he was done, Like he's totally washed.
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: He's looked awful. And Dallas's defense, at least their past
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: defense was so bad that Russell Wilson got like threw
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: over four hundred yards against them and totally lit them up,
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: and whereas the previous week, I was like, just bring
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: Jackson Dard out there, and I'm still saying that. I
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: still don't think Russell Wilson is even good at this
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: point at all. I think that's just more how bad
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: Dallas's defense is. So y I killing Williams. I don't
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: think he's good. I really don't. I mean I've made
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: that a point on the show. I don't think he's good.
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: I think he's a bust. But he gets to go
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: up against one of the weaker pass defenses here, man,
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: so he might be able to do something against this
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: Dallas defense that really is not good. The Bears defense
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: hasn't been good either, though, so this is more about
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: the spot. I don't think it's a bad spot for Dallas.
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: The Bears. I mean, they got lit up last week
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: bad by Detroit. Detroit got a lot of yards against them.
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: Chicago did have a couple turnovers in that game as well,
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: but it wasn't all turnovers that led to that. Chicago
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: they're one of those O and two teams And what
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: did I just say, Oh and two? Baby want to
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: look to play on those two teams for the most part,
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: and they just got that was embarrassing, man, getting blown
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: out like that against Detroit. But you know Detroit hearing
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: how bad they were against green Bay the week before that, Oh, Detroit,
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: Jared goth they can't play without Ben without they can't
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: play yeah without Ben Johnson there. So I was I
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: was kind of saying the same thing to some extent,
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: Like I thought the Bears would put up a better
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: performance in that game. Man, Was I wrong? I thought
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: the Bears deepense would be a lot better. So yeah,
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: I mean the Bears, it's embarrassing, man. So you know
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: they're going to be using this week to shore some
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: things up, man, and do better this time. And they
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: are getting to face a one dimensional Dallas offense this time.
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: Though Dallas could certainly throw the ball, they can't really
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: run it. We'll see what happens in this game. Man.
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: It's a very high total. I think it's the highest
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: total of the week. So people are talking about this total.
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: It's gone all the way up from forty six to
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: now fifty forty seven, fifty one or key numbers on total.
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: So it's gone right through that forty seven all the
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: way up to fifty and now we see eighty eight
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets are on the over. The public is
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: gonna want the over. I mean, of course they are.
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: They just saw the Bears just gave up fifty two
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: points last week. You know, a high scoring game on
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: both sides, seventy something points scored. I think both of
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: these teams games we had seventy something points scored, right, Dallas,
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: what was the scorer in that one? Yeah, both both
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: teams were involved in seventy plus point games last week.
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: So nobody in their right mind is gonna want to
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: play an under in this game. The total went way
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: up to only seventy four percent of the cash on
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: the over, though, So I'm insane and I'm a contrarian.
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: So even though I kind of see the arguments to
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: the over here as well, obviously, because you got two,
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: I mean you got a passing offense that's good on
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: the Cowboys side of bad passing defense there Bears defense,
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: it doesn't look good either. It doesn't It could be
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: an over. But the contrarian in me says no. It
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: says that the team the games were so high scoring
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: last week that I think in I think it might
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: be an under. I know it sounds crazy, but if
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: it's an under I think that does help the Bears,
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: because the Bears are not gonna be able to win
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: this in a shootout. Man, you cannot compete with the
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: Cowboys passing attack with Caleb Williams. You can't enter it
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: to a shootout when that's what your offense is, right.
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: You have to slow the Cowboys down somehow, so the
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: Bears they're gonna try to establish the run. I would
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: have to imagine to try to slow this game down.
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: And the only way they can win this game is
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: really to keep the Cowboys offense off the field for
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: big parts of the game. I would imagine that the
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: Bears should be able to, I think, do some damage
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: against this Cowboys defense. So lean to the Bears. Cowboys.
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: David Clowney, I thought I didn't even know he was
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: still around at all. You like the Bears, Charles, all right?
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: Not many people do. And I don't mean you know,
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: big hairy gay men. I mean I mean the Chicago
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: Bears football team, although maybe some of them are both,
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Then we get to the final game
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: in the four PM slate here Cardinal forty nine ers,
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: another divisional game. Forty nine ers up from one to
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: two here one and a half to two forty nine
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: ers feels like they should be more of a favorite
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: than this fifty three percent to take a seventy three
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming in the forty nine ers,
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: So the money is coming into the forty nine ers.
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: I have a hard time at this game, man, because
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: the reason why the forty nine ers are only two
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: point favorite is because brock Purdy is still out. Like,
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: I think if he was playing, this line would move
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: up to like four and a half five, I would imagine.
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: Let me see what was the look ahead on this
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: The lookout was two and a half, but I think
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: the look ahead was still accounting for brock Purdy being out.
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: I don't think he's back yet. He's doubtful, I think,
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: as far as it is right now, I don't know
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: what his injury is. But it looks like you're gonna
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: get more mac Jones for the forty nine ers here
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: now the forty nine ers, I mean, they do have
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: other talent on their offense, of course, so I think
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: Kittle might still be out too. So some'th going to
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: look into you there. I don't know if he's playing
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: in this game or not. Forty nine Ers did win
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: without these guys last week against the Saints, though. I
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: mean the Saints could be the worst team in the
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: NFL potentially, but are sitting at two and oh so
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: are the Cardinals. It's a big game for both teams.
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: The Cardinals, they seem to like never get over the
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: hump man. They do tend to play the forty nine
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: ers pretty tough, but usually the forty nine ers are
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: big favorite against them, and this time they're not. I
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, maybe the forty nine ers playing with
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a chip on their shoulder because
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: the line is so low. But when it's a second
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: game without your starting quarterback right like I talked about
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: last week, would have been the injured player spot for
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: the forty nine ers, which I mentioned last week. So
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: that was their first game without Brock Perdy. Sometimes when
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: that happens, that you step up your game for that game,
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: you take a step back in the second game. That
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: second game, you actually want to look to fade that
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: team in the second game with the players still injured.
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: So that is coming into play here in this game.
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: So the money is saying the forty nine Ers looks
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: like a pretty significant cash disparity there with the forty
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: nine ers. I'm not totally sure that I see that.
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: I mean, again, it's a big game for both teams,
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: so it's not like one team is going to be
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: distracted or whatever. Arizona, to their resume, maybe is a
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: little bit less impressive so far. I mean, neither team
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: has played very good teams so far. Both teams have
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: beaten New Orleans, so that's not totally impressive. But Arizona
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: last week, I know, they had a big lead. They
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: were my survivor last week. They had a big lead
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: in this game twenty seven to three against Carolina, and
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: they almost blew it at the end. But they actually
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: got outgained by Carolina in this one. Man, if you
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: go look, yeah, they got out gained three p fifty
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: two to two ninety three. So that's a little bit
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: of a red flag that Arizona at home got out
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: gained by the Panthers by that much. So maybe not
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: quite all is right with the Cardinals here, man. On
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: the forty nine Ers played the most difficult opponent that
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: either team has faced so far. As ridiculous as that sounds,
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: that Seattle and the forty nine ers were able to
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: handle their business in that game at least, although they
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: were definitely helped out by some mistakes and Sam Darnold
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: kind of crashed into his own offensive line and have
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: fumbled the football when Seattle was about to potentially win
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: the game at the end of that game with a
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: score in forty nine or territory forty nine ers. The
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: other thing they do have going for them is this
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: is their home opener. They haven't played at home yet,
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: so that's maybe that's part of the reason why they're
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: taking some money here. The home opener is usually a
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: pretty motivated spot. They don't have a big game up next.
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: Arizona does have to turn around and play Seattle in
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: a couple of days, but they're not going to overlook
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: the forty nine ers, so it doesn't really matter that
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: Arizona does have that Thursday night game coming out. It's
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: gonna be a difficult spot for Arizona, to be honest,
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: after the San Francisco game, having to turn around and
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: play again after this big game. I might look to
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: fade Arizona next on Thursday, but for now, yeah, I
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: guess I'll slightly lean at the market here to the
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: forty nine ers, but I really don't love it. I
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: don't have a good gauge in that game at all.
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: The Sunday night game is Chiefs Giants. I know, doesn't
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: sound like a very enticing matchup. Really, both teams are
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: owing to How about that man, the Chiefs are owing to.
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: I told you, I like they're under a season win
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: to a little. I said, Chiefs under, forty nine ers
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: over and although the forty nine ers are dealing with
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: injuries right now, so I matter have to be worried
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: about that, and I said Redskins under. So we'll see
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: what happens with those season win totals. Those are my
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: top three that I gave out on the season win
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: total special Chiefs are rowing too, but there's still a
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: six point favor here, so the books have no respect
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: for the Giants at all. Chiefs are down from six
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: and a half to six here, but eighty percent tickets
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: eighty eight percent of the cash coming in, so it
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: looks like the money is kind of actually coming in
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: and the Chiefs, even though they're also public, maybe the
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: professional money somewhat kind of agreeing with the Chiefs here.
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: I mean usually primetime, I mean the classic thing to
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: do in primetime. You want to go with the home underdog, right,
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: But that was the thing for years and years and years,
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: primetime home underdog, The home underdog, you know, steps up
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: their game. For the public's always on the favorite. The
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: home underdog steps up their game. They're being undervalued, but
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: the books have adjusted for that. They know that that's
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: the case. The books are not giving you live value
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: that much on the home underdog anymore. In cases like this,
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: maybe in this game, maybe you still are getting a
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: little bit alive out here because it is still the Chiefs.
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: It's still Patrick Mahomes. Man, this is a difficult handicap
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: man for me. You gotta think the Chiefs are gonna
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: be pissed. But they're coming off two big games. They
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: had to play in Brazil against the Chargers, lost that game.
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: Then they had Super Bowl revenge last week and they
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: failed to get it done against Philly. Worthy is still out,
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: which is great because he's on my fantasy team. Fuck you,
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey. I do have Rashie Rice, though, so I
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: mean I might just maybe I should just cut Worthy
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: at this point, man. I mean, I don't even know.
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: I don't know if he's coming back before that, it
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: was a dislocated shoulder. I think it was a labrum
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: tier I thought is what it was. And he was like,
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: now I'll just play with like my arm in a sling.
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: I'm like, how the fuck can you do that as
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: a wide receiver, Like, you're not gonna be able to
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: catch any throws. You're gonna be an obvious decoy. It
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: doesn't make any sense anyway. The Chiefs are coming off
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: a bit game, They're banged up on offense. Yeah, they
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: are coming up that big game against Phillies, Super Bowl revenge.
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: Couldn't get it done. Now this is also their first
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: road game and they're having to go to a place
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: they don't usually play. It's one of those out of
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: conference road games. Man. And who do they play next?
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: The Baltimore Ravens, one of the top teams in the AFC.
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: So that's a big game up next. So it's a
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: little bit iffy, man. It's an iffy spot in the
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: schedule here. And if the Chiefs weren't zero two, I'd
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: probably be like, yeah, I mean, this is a major sandwich,
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: but I'd probably give up a play in the Giants
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: to be honest. But a couple of hesitations. The Chiefs
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: kind of need to show up and win, But the
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: public is gonna be saying that too. The public's gonna
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: be saying, there's no way the Chiefs can start this
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: series this season zero to three, right, There's no way
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: that could possibly happen. So the public is gonna be
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: saying that. I probably still need to the Giants slightly
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: in this one, but the Giants are coming up a
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: big game of their own. Man. They did play two
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: big divisional games already too, and they had that barn burner,
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: like I said, against Dallas, back and forth, they almost
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: beat Dallas, crazy game. This is a big game as well.
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: I understand Chiefs coming in into your place Sunday night.
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: You're not gonna overlook them. But still a little bit
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: of a difficult spot for the Giants. But it is
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: also their home opener, so things are gonna be a
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: little bit crazier there. But you know, Russell Wilson is
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: not gonna do what he did last week against Dallas.
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: I mean, bad, bad pass defense. Kansas City's defense is
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: a lot better than Dallas, so there's no way Russell
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: Wilson's gonna return to looking like an old like terrible quarterback. Again,
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: I would have to imagine in this game, but I
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: don't think either team is gonna be able to put
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: up a lot of points here. Man, the total UH
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: should be low. It's fairly low at forty four and
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: a half. It's gone up a little bit, seventy six
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on the over eighty four percent of
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: the cash in the over. I kind of see it
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: being an ugly game though. Man and the Chiefs they
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: don't have a lot of weapons on offense right now.
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: They're banged up on offense. Both defenses are the better
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: units here. Both teams have better defenses than offenses. So
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: I don't really see that. I think in under maybe
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: it's worth a look there. And if it's low scoring,
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: it means the points are worth more. So I would
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: probably still fade the public there and lead to the Giants.
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: But I really don't love it. Travis Kelcey proposed the
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: script writers. Yeah, they're figuring out what to do, right,
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: so what is this now? Travis Kelcey is like the
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: I mean, what is he now? If the Chiefs have
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: a bad season this year, it's like the it turns
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: into like a tragedy like a Romeo and Juliet situation.
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man. And then Monday night we have
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: Lions Ravens a pretty big matchup on Monday Night. It
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: is a and NFC versus AFC matchup, so an out
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: of conference game here, out of conference road game for
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: the Lions. Now and this is actually the highest total
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: of the week. This one's up from fifty and a
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: half to fifty two and a half. And it makes sense.
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: I mean, the Lions are Ravens. They're probably the two
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: best offenses in the NFL. I mean they're crazy good,
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: especially the Ravens. The Ravens offense is insane. Ravens are
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: probably the best team in the NFL. They're power rated
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: as the best team in the NFL by the power
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: ratings of the odds makers are using it. A lot
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: of the handicappers use Ravens. I thought they were the
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: best team last year. I thought they should have won
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: that game against Buffalo. Uh. The defense needs a little
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: bit of work, though maybe on both these teams. The
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: Ravens defense has looked a little bit holy. And I
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: don't mean like god like, I mean they have holes
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: in their defense. Then they got to shore up a
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: bit man, because you always think of the Ravens as
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: like this, like punishing defense, right, like it was with
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: like Ray Ray Lewis back in the old day, the
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: old days there when they won that Super Bowl with
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: that elite defense they had in like two thousand or whatever.
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: But that's not the case anymore. The Ravens are crazy
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: offense team. Now. They should be good on both sides
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: of the ball, but their offense is better than their defense.
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: Would I play it over in this game? Though probably not.
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: That's up through that key number of fifty one to
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: fifty and a half ninety tickets, ninety four percent of
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: the cash people saw the Ravens put up forty plus
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: boys in two games already and then put up a
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: fifty something last week, So everybody's gonna play the over here.
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: So it looks like it's a contrarian move to play
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: the under in this one, and it might happen. I mean,
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: it's a playoff style of game here, right, and that
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: might be what happens in this game, although it is
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: a situation where the teams aren't that familiar with each other,
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: so maybe the defenses won't be able to game plan
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: as well, but still, I mean, yeah, I mean I
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: would probably lean to an under in this one too.
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: Is as insane as it sounds. Now, my first instinct
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: on the side was, oh, you have two really good
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: teams and the Ravens are six and a half way favorite,
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: which looks really, really high, right, So I was thinking
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: that means you want to lay the points of the Ravens.
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: I was expecting the Lions to be one of those
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: public underdogs where we have two good teams and the
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: line just looks to the public perception, it just looks
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: too high, and they come in on the underdog. I
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: thought that was gonna happen here, and it is not.
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: Sixty two percent of tickets are on the Ravens and
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: only fifty three percent of the cash, so the public
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: they want the Ravens. For whatever reason. Both these teams
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: are one. Everybody knows both these teams are good. So
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: I guess for now at least, I mean, I'll talk
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: about it again on Monday, but for now, I guess
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: I have to lead to Detroit. But man, it doesn't
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: seem that great. Both teams are coming off blowout wins
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: against the fearor Division opponents. So that's not really it's
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: not an advantage one way or the other. But I
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: thought Detroit having to go to an unfamiliar venue in Baltimore,
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: I was kind of thinking the spot was a little
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: bit better for Baltimore. So I don't know, man, We'll
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: see what the market does. But sometimes when I don't
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: have a good gauge on the game, I'll lean towards, uh,
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: just what the market is saying. It looks like the
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: Ravens have a couple of guys ruled out, possibly on
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: their defense. I don't even know van Ney is one
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: of them, and Matt Abookie I don't even know who
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: that is. But Ravens look like they have a couple
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: of injuries to deal with there. Yeah, I mean that's
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: a difficult game to handicap to them, man, So we'll
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: see what happens. I'm still surprised the Ravens of the
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: public side, though usually you get a public underdog when
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: it's a setup like that. Let's go to best bets, man,
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: we were ready for this. You guys are gonna hate
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: every single one of these, which I always say, and
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: I know we were bad last week. I think we
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: were owned three, right, It was kind of bullshit, to
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: be honest. NFL has not started off good. I know.
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: I think was it Owen three last week? Was it
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: really was a one and two? I don't even remember.
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: I think it was own three. It was just brutal, man,
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: fucking brutal. I think on one and five to start
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: the NFL season, just brutal. We gotta get a going, men,
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: So let's let's play some oh and two underdogs. How
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: about that? I think all three of these are own
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: two underdogs. You're gonna absolutely hate them. Think about the
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: ugliest underdogs that are on the board. You know what
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: games these are already. Literally it's gonna be the three
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: ugliest underdogs I think on the entire board. And the
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: first one is, of course, the Cleveland Browns plus seven
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: and a half. That's what we're going with. They're at home.
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: It's a home underdog with the Cleveland Browns. Man, this
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: is a fade of the Packers. They're very public. They're
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: up from seven to seven and a half. Eighty eight
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, eighty eight percent of the cash. Public
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: is only gonna want to play the Packers. They've seen
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: what they've done so far. They've looked awesome, but I
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: think this is a spot where the Packers might just
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: look right past the Browns and the total is really low,
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: down from forty three to forty one. I think it's
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: the lowest total on the entire board. Seventy one percent
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the over in this one, So
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: the public just thinking, oh, the Packers could score Jordan
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: love whatever. I'm not going to agree with that fifty
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the under. I agree with
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: the under as well, but the totals dropped a little bit.
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be an ugly game, man. Both
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: teams can play pretty solid deep manse man, and the
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: Browns offense is certainly not good, although I think it
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: gets into this lower scoring game. Of course, that's a
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: big spread to be laying as a road team, man,
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: especially with a total dis low. Every point is worth
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: more man in a case like that, So I think
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: we're getting a lot of value here if you look
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: at the look aheadline. Actually I thought it was a
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: little bit less than that. It was about the same
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: as Packers seven. But let's see what are the Packers
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: done so far? Man? I mean, people have seen what
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: they've done so far, They've looked excellent so far. They've
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: won two big already against Detroit, huge divisional game. They
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: lost both games to Detroit last year they beat them.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: That was a big win for them against Detroit Man
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: and then they followed it up beating Washing Dude. You know,
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: this upstart team was really good. Made the playoffs last year,
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: made it further in the playoffs than green Bay did
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: last year. And that was on a Thursday night, So
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: everybody saw that. And now I know green Bay has
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: extra time off to prepare for this game. But when
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: you're winning like this and you're doing really well, you're
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: coming off a big win like that, what do you
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: do during that extra time off, like to prepare, Like,
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: what do you have to change? You don't have anything
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: to change, So I don't think that's that helpful having
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: the extra time off. I they can kind of disrupt
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: your momentum a little bit. They have to go on
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: the road for the first time this season. It's an
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: out of conference game, which I always keep saying that
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: type of spot on the schedule is the spot that
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: means the lease to you, and it's the least familiar
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: to you. You don't go to Cleveland very often if you're
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: Green Bay. And again, what do they have up next?
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: The Michael Parsons Bowl. Michael Parrison's gonna They're gonna have
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: to face Dallas, so that is a big game after this.
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: So again I think they might look right past the
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: Browns here and the Browns they're still looking for a
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: win at home. They did play well against Cincinnati and
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: we won. The Browns deepfense showed up, and last week
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: they were playing well for a while last week before
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: the game kind of just got totally out of hand.
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, the game was twenty to ten going into
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: the fourth quarter, so they lost forty one to seventeen.
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: But the game just totally unraveled. There was a punt
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: return touchdown at the end of the game, you know,
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, it was just the game totally unraveled for Cleveland.
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: It was close up until then. I gave out Cleveland
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: as a lean. I thought it was a decent lean.
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: It was one of my pick fives last week too.
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: It wasn't one of my plays, but it was brutal
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: last week for me. Man. But that game was a
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: lot It was actually a lot closer on the score,
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: butther than the final score. Wound up being and if
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: we look at the yardage, Cleveland outgained Baltimore in the game. Dude.
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: They held Baltimore to two hundred and forty two total yards.
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: Cleveland was minus two in offense. Nobody would ever think
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: that a team that lost forty one to seventeen actually
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: won the yardage battle, won the first down yardage and
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: at the time of possession edge. So I think Cleveland
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: to cover that number was absolutely the right lean in
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: that game. Man. It's just ridiculous what happened in that game.
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: So Cleveland's defense was actually not bad. In that game.
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: The defense was not the problem. So this Cleveland defense,
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: they're not that bad. I think they can hold up here. Man.
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: So you get what I think is gonna be a
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: defensive game here, two pretty strong defenses. Yeah, I think
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: we're gonna go with it. We don't know who Cleveland's
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: a quarterback is gonna because Joe Flacco hasn't really been
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: getting it done. Is he gonna It looks like he's
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: gonna start the game. I guess still he hasn't been good.
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: But Cleveland's rushing attack has been okay with Judkins is
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: now they're number one Sampson's been in the mix a lot,
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: been doing pretty well forward. I mean, they have some
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: decent offensive talent there. Still. Dylan Gabriel came into the
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: game late in the game. He did throw a touchdown
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: late in the game. It was a garbage time. Maybe
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: he'll see some action in this game. I mean, we'll
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: see what happens with that. It was still will be lacko.
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: But I don't think it matters which quarterback starts for
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: Cleveland here. Man, It's not gonna affect the line very much.
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: It's not really gonna matter. Ugly, ugly underdogs. Man, that's
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: the name of the game. We're going with the Browns.
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: Next up, we're gonna go with the New York Jets
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: plus six and a half. I know we're not. I
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: don't think we're gonna get the seven on this I
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: don't think it was ever out there, But this is
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: the game that was the biggest look ahead disparity. The
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: look I had on this game was where we looking Buccaneers?
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: Where are It was Buccaneers minus five and now we're
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: six and a half. Maybe it wasn't the largest disparity,
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: but I think from preseason, I think it was I
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: think before the season started, I think the Buccaneers were
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: only two and a half way favorite of this game.
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: Now they're up to six and a half. We do
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: see eighty five percent of tickets eighty seven percent of
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: the cash coming in on them, so the money slightly
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: looks like it's on Tampa for now, but I doubt
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: that's gonna be the case come game time. It's possible
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: that some professional betters are even actually just tossing a
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: little bit of money on the Bucks just to try
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: to maybe get that key number seven. There's no reason
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: to play it now. I mean, if you want to
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: wait until tomorrow and see if you get the seven,
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: you could do that, because obviously the seven is the
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: key number. You want to get those seven if you can.
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: And again if the if the line winds up moving
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: to six, that's not really a big deal. Six to
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: six and a half is not that much of a difference.
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: But I'm gonna recommend a playing the Jets. I think
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: this is a bad spot for the Buccaneers. The Buccaneers
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: has some injuries to deal with. Two men I think
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: three of their offensive linemen are out. They're missing three
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: of their wide receivers, Baker Mayfield, I think is actually
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: playing injured. So there is a lot going on here
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: with Tampa that isn't that great that the public might
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: be just totally unaware of it. Tampa's coming off two
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: big wins so far. Yes, this is gonna be their
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: home opener. I get it. They played two games on
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: the road, but these are big games. They started the
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: season with a divisional game against Atlanta and then they
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: followed it up playing Monday night against Houston, So they're
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: on a short week here, haven't played a Monday night
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: after a divisional game, and they should have lost both games. Man,
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: they were losing both of these games in the final
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: minutes of the game. They wound up pulling a win
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: out of their ass in both games. They easily could
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: have lost both games. Atlanta outgained them, I think fairly
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: significantly in the first game two, which I gave out
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: Atlanta as a leen. It wasn't one of my players.
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: I'd be pissed. Atlanta outgained in by almost one hundred
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: yards in that game, so Atlanta probably should have won
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: that one. And then last week, I don't know what
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: the the deal was. Let me see Tampa Bay last
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: week against Houston. But Houston's also a pretty good deep bet,
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: so sometimes you play good deep bets like that, you're
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: gonna be a little bit beat up coming into the
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: next game as well. In this game, let me see
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: what happened. Tampa probably did win the ardebound this one.
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: They did. They won the orange battle this one, but
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: they were still losing the game right at the end,
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: although they did win the statistical matchup in that game.
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: But still quick turnaround time. They got to play the Jets,
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: and then who do they play next? By the way,
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: they played the Philadelphia Eagles, they returning Super Bowl champs
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: the following week, So I think it's a big look.
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: I had the man as well, so I think it's
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 1: a bit of a sandwich spot. You're coming off a
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: short week, playing in prime time, and then you got
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: the Eagles up next. I don't think they're gonna pay
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: that much attention to a Jets team that's zero and two,
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: that really hasn't looked that good. Although the Jets did
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: play well in that first game against Pittsburgh, they outgained them,
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: they had the lead most of that game, they blew
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: it right at the end. That was one of my plays,
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: my only winning play I think so far, and the
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: Jets almost blew that cover. They wound up not winning
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: out right. And then the Jets just got handled by
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: Buffalo last week and that was another one of my plays.
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: So I'm on the Jets all three. Holy shit, this
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: is like last year all over again, where the Jets
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: kept losing for me, although actually this year they're one
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: and zero. They're one and one for me this year.
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: But we'll see. I've played the Jets both weeks. I'm
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: playing them three weeks in a row. How about that.
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: I just think that there's value to be had there.
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: And the Jets. Remember what happened in this game. Man,
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: Justin Fields went down with a concussion in that game.
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: He's not gonna play now in this game. So it's
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: an injured player spot for the Jets as well. So
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: we have not only is a sandwich spot for Tampa Bay,
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: but it's an player spot on the side of the Jets.
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: And you know, I keep saying, when you're star quarter
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: or well at least your starting quarterback, I don't know
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: if he's a star. When he goes down, the team
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: usually gets up and gets ready to go. Man, they
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: usually usually get a little bit of live value because
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: of it, and the team usually focuses and does better.
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: So yeah, maybe because of the Justin Field's injury, maybe
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: that's part of the reason why the line moved a
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: little bit on Tampa Bay. But I just don't think
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: there's not much of a downgrade there. Man. Other Jets
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: backup quarterback is Tyrod Taylor. He's gonna be the starter
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: in this game. So yes, the injured player theory is
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: in effect here. The team will still play better for him.
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: We're getting a little bit of extra live value because
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: of him. I'm not even sure that Taylor is really
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: a downgrade man Justin Fields. I don't think he's that bad.
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: He could do some things with his legs or whatever.
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: But sokn Tyrod Taylor. You know, he's a little bit
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: older now. Taylor has been around for a long time.
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: It's a very experienced quarterback. He's been on multiple different teams.
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: And I don't know what else to say, man, but
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: Taylor's as a quarterback, it seems like whenever he goes
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: in there, he's always a backup somewhere, and he always
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: gets in because everybody's always getting injured. He always gets in.
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: He tends to surprise, at least in that first game
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: the team. Just a lot of these opponents just don't
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: game plan correctly for him that first time. They don't
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: know what to expect out of him. So I think
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: the Jets are gonna maybe be able to take Tampa
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: Bay by a little bit of surprise because of that.
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: And we also have a pretty low total in this
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: game too, and a lot of money coming in on
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: the under extet from forty four and a half to
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: forty three, seventy and a half percent of tickets on
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: the over, seventy two percent of the cash on the under.
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: And again you're getting a lot of points with an
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: underdog here in a game that's supposed to be low
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: scoring with money coming in on the under. So I
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: like that too because it means there's more value in
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: playing the underdog there. So I told you guys, you're
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: gonna hate all this. I'm kept getting crickets in the chat.
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: You know, it is what it is. This is what
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: you want to do the man in the NFL. It's
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: how you find value. And then another ugly underdog to
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: finish it off. How about the Carolina pant there's plus five.
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: This is again see Atlanta Falcons. I know the Falcons
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: went in and beat the Panthers. I think I gave
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: out the Panthers as a play in this matchup at
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: Carolina last year and the Falcons handled them. But I
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: think this is a spot to do it. Man. The
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: Falcons are up from two and a half to four
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: and a half here, So the line has moved on
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: the Falcons, and I don't think there's any justification for that,
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: to be honest. The look at it in this one
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: was the two and a half, so I think that
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: was the look at There are no real injuries to
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: be aware of here they would cause that line to
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: move like that, Like, why has it moved like that
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: just based on what we've seen these teams do so far?
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, you're definitely getting value on the Panthers, man,
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: So the line has moved unjustifiably. There's no reason for it.
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: Eighty percent of ticket, sixty nine percent of the cash
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: on the Falcons. They are really public with less of
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: the cash. And again, the only reason the line has
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: moved like that, I think is because of just what
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: we've seen out of these teams in the first two weeks,
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: especially because Carolina doesn't look good Atlanta, Yes, they shouldn't
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: want against Tampa Bay in Week one, they played well
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: and then people saw them play well again Sunday night
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: in primetime. But that was a big game, remember, Man, Atlanta.
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: That was the That was the College Football Championship revenge
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: game for Michael Pennix. That was Pennix against JJ McCarthy.
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: And I know McCarthy went out of the game with
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: an injury, but that was a huge win for Michael Penix. Man,
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: so big win for Atlanta was on primetime. Everybody saw
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: Atlanta do that. They looked pretty good in primetime. The
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: public is gonna only want the Falcons in this game.
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: As it's a shortened week. It's a little bit of
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot for the Falcons, and they do have
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: a bigger game up next as well against Washington. Who
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: is gonna draw your focus more, I think because it's
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: you know, Jaydon Daniels, assuming he's gonna come back next week.
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: That's a much bigger game as well. Man Atlanta has
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: pretty much owned the series with with Carolina recently, I think,
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: so they might overlook Carolina quite a bit in this game.
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: Man Carolina has not really given anybody much hope of
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: doing anything so far. But the Jacksonville game, I mean
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: that just the game unraveled. Carolina had a lot of
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: turnovers in the game, so that was part of the
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: reason why they lost like that. Last week they actually
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: played better, as I showed you against Arizona. They actually
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: outgained Arizona and they did not cave in when they
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: were losing twenty seven to three. They came all the
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: way back and almost won the game. So that was
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: a big improvement over their Week one game. So Carolina
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: is trending in the right direction and this is a
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: big game for them, bigger than it is for Atlanta.
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: This is the home opener for Carolina too, ma'am, and
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: I silly Carolina. At least their offense is improving with
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: all this young talent that they have on the offense.
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: Their defense is a problem for sure, but the offense
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: I think is ready to go. This total is actually
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: fairly low as well, at forty four seventy tickets eighty
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: eight percent of cash on the over, though, I mean,
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: I could definitely see some arguments for an over in
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: this one, because the Panthers defense is really not good
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: and their offense might be able to put up some
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: points in this one, but I just like the side
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: man and Atlanta, by the way, they did just fire
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: or cut yungwaikup for not talking about Charlie Kirk or
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: that just he hasn't been good. He hasn't been a
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: good kicker, man, He's He basically blew the potential tie
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: at the end of that first week game where Atlanta
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: again they had the lead against Tampa Bay really late
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: in the game, Tampa Bay scored to take the lead back,
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: and then Atlanta quickly drove into field goal range again
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: in a dome and Coopho's been good for them for
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: years at this point blew that it was a forty
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: four yard field goal, makeable field goal and a dome
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: try to tie the game. He blew it. And then
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: he I guess must have not kicked well last week either,
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: because they got rid of him. So apparently the new
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: kicker is Romo. I don't know who the hell that is.
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 1: It's Tony Romo, No, I have no idea who it is.
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: But the Falcons will see if their kicker might struggle
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: a little bit. Is that's something to just be aware of.
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: I guess that maybe Atlanta's kicking situation might have some
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: issues potentially, we'll see, but that's gonna do it. Man.
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: That's the entire board there. Once again, the plays are
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: the ugliest plays imaginable. So enjoy the Cleveland Browns plus
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: seven and a half, the New York Jets plus six
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: and a half, and Carolina Panthers plus five. Don't you
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: love it? Like? Like John Gruden says, do you like it?
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: Or do you love it? And that's what we're going with.
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: A thanker, Charles, you're betting on the Jets. Let's hope
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: for it, man, I hope it happens. I think the
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: Jets might be the strongest of the three actually because
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 1: it has that extra injured player component to it. The
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: kicker is a pretty solid job, man, Like you don't
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: you basically don't get I mean you don't get hit,
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: uh and you don't have to be used that much,
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: but you do have pressure on you when the moment
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: is right, you got pressure on you. Read heart. It
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: is our resident Tampa Bay fan. He doesn't like this play,
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: but hey man, Tampa can win and not cover, right,
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: so you could get that. Although I don't want Tampa
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: to win because I don't like them. That's why he
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: hates me for that. But I'm gonna roof for the
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: Jets all the way baby looks every week, I'm gonna
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: root for the Jets. How about that once again? If
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: if it happens, it happens. Man, we'll see what happens.
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: There's there's the shirt for you. Man, take this shots,
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: but we'll get the screen shots later. The video will
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: be up. You'll take that. Uh, see the Jets what
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: you want? You want? My biceps they're weak, man, I
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: don't have much of a by step. I can't do
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: shit with my biceps. The left one's even worse. Probably,
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: I don't know, not much going on with that. I
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: can't really flex either. I gotta use the weights behind
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: me even more. I'm using them a little bit. That's
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: gonna do it, man. Hopefully we get some wins here.
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: Learn to tone on Twitter, of course, learn to tone
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: on Instagram. Late night again, not as late as last
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: last night. The college football show goes forever. The NFL
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: one's easier to do. Yeah, better off dead of course here,
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: Like subscribe to the channel. Tell everybody about it. Hopefully
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: people like it. I know it's very long winded. I
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: want to get some wins. Today was a good day, man,
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 1: run a nice little run the last few days. So
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: let's keep it going and uh yeah, winning at least
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: three of the last four days at this point. We
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: won today was a pretty substantial win. Five and two.
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: So and it should have been better than that. Fucking Miami, Ohio, man,
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: and even Florida could have could have come through. It
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: could have been a seven and zero sweep of the board.
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: It was not that far off from being that. But yeah,
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: better off dead. Also, on the audio, you can review,
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: give me a good review as I'm belching of course
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: because of this coffee wrecking my digestive system. Go you know,
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: give me a good review on Apple, Spotify, whatever, both
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: and those are monetized to anybody listening over there. It helps,
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: so pass that around. Covered in Yuke my ukulele project
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: on YouTube. Check that out as well, patroon dot com
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: learn to Tone and there's bonus yuke content over there.
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: So more protein. I do eat, like high percentage of
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: my diet is protein. I eat mean and eggs, man,
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: That's what I do. Had a lot today too, Panthers
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: browns and Jets. That's right, It's how you got to
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: attack the NFL. Man, It's never too long. Will thank you?
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: What do you mean Florida sucked? Florida was within six
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: points with four minutes left in that game. They were
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: down thirteen to seven with four minutes left. They I mean,
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say they should have covered, but they
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: definitely could have covered in that game. It was I
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: told you their defense would at least hold Miami's offense
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: down a bit. Like if you told me Miami was
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: gonna score twenty six in the game where that Miami
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: was gonna have thirteen points with four minutes left in
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: the game, then hell yeah, Florida plus seven and a half.
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: I mean, I didn't expect Florida to just not even
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: get on the board like at all. Basically, that was
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: not what I expected. Let's get some NFL wins, man.
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: I'll see you guys tomorrow because I gotta get MLB.
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: We gotta talk about Major League Baseball in the morning.
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: We have WNBA playoffs rezooming tomorrow. WNBA was off today,
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: but they are gonna be playoffs, playoffs, the semi finals.
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: I believe tomorrow we're already down to just the final four.
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: I think in the WNBA it's real quick man, so
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: we'll see if I can find any angles there. East
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: for now