Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 3910 China PANICS as Iranian Regime CRUMBLES!!!
Transcript
- 0:00[SPEAKER_00]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
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- 0:18[SPEAKER_00]: This is Turley Talks.
- 0:21[SPEAKER_00]: Beijing has been playing a very long game.
- 0:25[SPEAKER_00]: For decades, they've been buying Iranian oil on the cheap, redesigning a Middle East in their image, watching America bleed itself dry and endless wars that literally went nowhere and quietly assuming that one day they would inherit the world.
- 0:42[SPEAKER_00]: Well, Operation Epic Fury just blew that plan to pieces, because right now, the Iranian regime is crumbling under a blockade.
- 0:52[SPEAKER_00]: Beijing is watching 40 to 50% of its oil supply get cut off at the straight-of-war moves, and the United States just quietly walk through the other door.
- 1:03[SPEAKER_00]: signing a major defense cooperation partnership with Indonesia that puts American eyes and assets directly on the straight of Malaka Beijing's single most important choke point.
- 1:17[SPEAKER_00]: Stick them to the very end of this video because we're about to get a masterclass on what 4D chess really looks like on the world stage and the geopolitical checkmate that Beijing never saw coming.
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- 1:51[SPEAKER_00]: The Iranian regime is collapsing.
- 1:54[SPEAKER_00]: The US Naval Blockade is literally squeezing what's left of Iranian forces like a bower constrictor.
- 2:01[SPEAKER_00]: Now keep in mind, this is a regime that was already dying.
- 2:04[SPEAKER_00]: before the first American bomb fell, Iran's real their currency had already lost 60% of its value before Operation Epic Fury even began.
- 2:15[SPEAKER_00]: Food inflation had surged to 105% year over year.
- 2:20[SPEAKER_00]: An employment was running at 30% to 40%
- 2:24[SPEAKER_00]: in real terms.
- 2:25[SPEAKER_00]: The regime had already issued its largest ever-currency denomination, a 10 million real note.
- 2:33[SPEAKER_00]: Just a month after putting a 5 million real note into circulation, because the money is so aesthetically worthless.
- 2:41[SPEAKER_00]: The IMF, the International Monetary Fund, estimated that inflation would stay above 40% throughout the entire year of 2026.
- 2:50[SPEAKER_00]: And again, this is before a single American beat to took off from Diego Garcia.
- 2:56[SPEAKER_00]: Now on top of that disaster, add the war, add Iranian factories, energy facilities, bridges, railways, all completely destroyed.
- 3:07[SPEAKER_00]: The petrochemical sector is running at maybe half capacity.
- 3:12[SPEAKER_00]: The regime is cut off internet access for 47 straight days, their own ministry of telecommunications admitted.
- 3:18[SPEAKER_00]: This is costing the economy upwards of $40,000,000 a day, tax revenue, which is 43% of government income has collapsed, and now the blockade of the Persian Gulf.
- 3:32[SPEAKER_00]: uh... remember the Persian Gulf accounts for ninety percent of Iran's trade the u.s. navy's closed it in the first twenty four hours of that blockade now the single-runny associated ship passed the lifeline has been completely cut off remember Iran deceived itself into thinking that closing the straight-of-war moves was their nuclear option they thought it was their ace in the whole right their last card
- 3:57[SPEAKER_00]: they played it, and then Trump saw their hand and raised them infinity, US naval forces officially and effectively blockaded Iran.
- 4:07[SPEAKER_00]: We blockaded their blockade.
- 4:09[SPEAKER_00]: The Gulf accounts for over 90% of Iran's trade, Saudi Arabia's overland east-to-west pipelines that are fully operational extending through the Red Sea.
- 4:20[SPEAKER_00]: So the Gulf states have diversified their economies.
- 4:26[SPEAKER_00]: Iran has none of those alternatives.
- 4:30[SPEAKER_00]: So the regime played its supposed nuclear option, and they lost it backfired spectacularly on themselves.
- 4:37[SPEAKER_00]: Every day they get weaker as we get to monsterably stronger.
- 4:41[SPEAKER_00]: And again, the calculus here is simple.
- 4:43[SPEAKER_00]: Sustain the blockade long enough.
- 4:46[SPEAKER_00]: that the regime simply cannot pay the IRGC or the Bazaish, the law enforcement forces, no paycheck for two weeks, three weeks, and those forces stepped down.
- 4:58[SPEAKER_00]: The regime remembers built its legitimacy largely through patronage and bribes.
- 5:03[SPEAKER_00]: And once the money dries up, loyalty to the regime dries up as well.
- 5:09[SPEAKER_00]: Once the money dries up, soldiers to fact, they strike, they go home, and as history shown time and time and time again, the moment the army decides, it's going to lay down its weapons, it's not going to fire the government falls.
- 5:23[SPEAKER_00]: The regime only has about 10 to 15% domestic support remaining.
- 5:28[SPEAKER_00]: Its leaders have not been seen in public since the war began.
- 5:31[SPEAKER_00]: They're just simply too terrified of the same precision strikes that took out their nuclear program.
- 5:36[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, this is not a regime winning a war.
- 5:40[SPEAKER_00]: This is a regime trying to literally survive the week.
- 5:45[SPEAKER_00]: So, enter China.
- 5:49[SPEAKER_00]: Beijing has been watching all this very carefully, and they are petrified.
- 5:55[SPEAKER_00]: I'm gonna take a look at this.
- 5:57[SPEAKER_00]: This just came out today.
- 5:59[SPEAKER_00]: China's export growth collapsed to just 2.5% in March.
- 6:04[SPEAKER_00]: That's down from a 22% surge in January and February.
- 6:10[SPEAKER_00]: That is a catastrophic deceleration.
- 6:14[SPEAKER_00]: Gasoline prices in China have already jumped to 11% since the war began.
- 6:18[SPEAKER_00]: That price surge is now hitting tens of millions of jobs, particularly in China's chemical and refining industries.
- 6:25[SPEAKER_00]: Remember China gets roughly 45-50% of its imported crude oil through the state of Hormuz, Iran alone.
- 6:33[SPEAKER_00]: was supplying about 11% of China's total oil imports and the US blockade is structured brilliantly.
- 6:41[SPEAKER_00]: It doesn't just stop ships going to Iranian ports.
- 6:44[SPEAKER_00]: It stops any ship that's paid a transit toll to Iran while passing through the straight.
- 6:50[SPEAKER_00]: So in a fact, China's Persian Gulf oil supply is being completely choked off or at least severely limited.
- 6:59[SPEAKER_00]: So Beijing accused Washington being irresponsible and dangerous and reckless, a couple of Chinese ships tried to test the blockade, they turned around.
- 7:11[SPEAKER_00]: Now, China does have significant strategic reserves, just over a billion barrels and storage, which buys them, yeah, a couple of month, three, four months of breathing room, but as heritage foundation senior fellow Steve V8 puts it, China is frankly being forced to choose for the first time.
- 7:28[SPEAKER_00]: For years, they've played both sides.
- 7:30[SPEAKER_00]: They got American oil, and they got Iranian oil, but now they can't.
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- 9:13[SPEAKER_00]: Here's the master stroke that most people are missing entirely.
- 9:17[SPEAKER_00]: While the world was watching horror moves,
- 9:20[SPEAKER_00]: the Trump administration quietly walked through another door.
- 9:24[SPEAKER_00]: On April 13th, Secretary of Defense Pete Higgs has signed a major defense cooperation partnership with Indonesia.
- 9:32[SPEAKER_00]: The deal includes expanded joint training deployed sensors integrated American surveillance technology, joint special forces training, and co-development of next-generation maritime and sub-service autonomous systems.
- 9:46[SPEAKER_00]: And what does all of this look at?
- 9:48[SPEAKER_00]: The straight-a-malak is a narrow sea lane between the Malay Peninsula and Sumatra connecting the Indian Ocean with the South China Sea, and approximately 23 million barrels of oil pass through it every single day.
- 10:01[SPEAKER_00]: Now, that's 29% of all global sea-born oil trade, and nearly half of those shipments go where?
- 10:11[SPEAKER_00]: You guessed it, to China.
- 10:13[SPEAKER_00]: So now, do you understand what just happened here?
- 10:16[SPEAKER_00]: At Hormuz, we've cut off China's Persian Gulf oil supply.
- 10:22[SPEAKER_00]: At Malaka, we now have sensors, surveillance technology, joint forces, and overflight access that effectively put to American eyes and assets on China's other great energy lifeline Malaka.
- 10:35[SPEAKER_00]: This is what Checkmate looks like in geopolitics.
- 10:38[SPEAKER_00]: It doesn't happen with one dramatic stroke.
- 10:41[SPEAKER_00]: It happens quietly, methodically, piece by piece until one morning, Xi Jinping wakes up and realizes that the board has been completely rearranged under American control while he was busy threatening Taiwan.
- 10:55[SPEAKER_00]: And Beijing knows it.
- 10:58[SPEAKER_00]: The Iran War is exposed to China is simultaneously immensely dependent on the U.S. market for its export-led growth model and immensely dependent on imported energy that transits waterways the United States now effectively controls.
- 11:18[SPEAKER_00]: The reserves that thought gave it room to maneuver on Taiwan, they're all being used up to
- 11:25[SPEAKER_00]: The Iran relationship that gave a cheap oil and a strategic partner that regimes gone, it's crumbling.
- 11:32[SPEAKER_00]: And the geopolitical posture trying to spend 20 years building in the Middle East presenting itself as the peacemaker, the alternative to American hegemony, just got humiliated.
- 11:44[SPEAKER_00]: Because when it mattered, Beijing did nothing.
- 11:54[SPEAKER_00]: has undeniably handed the United States a strategic position in the Indo-Pacific that we could not have purchased at any price, two choke points, one on each side of China's energy supply chain, a crumbling rival regime, a panic Beijing being forced to choose sides for the first time, and an Iranian people Trump told directly when we're
- 12:25[SPEAKER_00]: The golden age that you made happen in November of 2024 is playing four dimensional chests that is changing the world right before our very eyes for generations to come.
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