Latest / Energy Empire / How My Retired EV Ended Up Powering Homes in Ukraine
Transcript
- 0:00My daughter, she texted me and she says she says, Papa, what is
- 0:03Georgia doing in Ukraine? So I'm like, what are you
- 0:05talking about? And she reminds me our old car,
- 0:08we named it, we named it Georgia.
- 0:10And it turns out she just got a notification a year after my
- 0:13cars accident and and presumed death that Georgia is now
- 0:19charging in Ukraine. So she sends me the the link and
- 0:23I go up, I go on the on the app and there it is in this rural
- 0:27town in in western Ukraine near the near the Polish border.
- 0:36Hello, my name is Jagger Shah and I'm a clean energy
- 0:40entrepreneur. And I'm Jamie Nolan, a clean
- 0:42energy communications consultant.
- 0:44And this is Energy Empire. Today, I guess we're going to
- 0:49try to figure out the whole EV thing.
- 0:52Like, it just feels like everyone has been dumping on
- 0:56electric vehicles since the new administration came in, right?
- 1:00We cancelled the EV tax credits and, you know, like the big auto
- 1:04companies are transitioning some of their EV battery
- 1:07manufacturing facilities to making grid batteries.
- 1:10And so, you know, I feel like there's still a whole bunch of
- 1:14momentum behind EVs. And we caught an interesting
- 1:18story from my good friend Philippe Dunsky.
- 1:22And so it would be really good to hear from him around, you
- 1:25know, his thoughts in this area. I feel like there is so much to
- 1:29unpack when it comes to EVs and this is our first EV specific
- 1:33episode after we we previously spoke to our friend Adam
- 1:37Browning about electric freight, which was really cool.
- 1:41This guest is more about like traditional EVs.
- 1:44He has a really cool and unexpected story around his old
- 1:49Tesla and what happened to it after it was totaled.
- 1:52I it was really unexpected. So I think that it will be a
- 1:55really, really fun for our listeners to think about some
- 1:59different, a different future prospect for how we could
- 2:03consider second lives for our V EVs after they leave our
- 2:07driveways. Yeah, no, I'm a, as you know,
- 2:10I've been thinking about this for a long time, so it'll be
- 2:13really good to talk to Philippe about his point of view.
- 2:16He's the top, you know, consultant in Canada to help
- 2:19utilities with change management and figuring out how to get a
- 2:23lot of these new technologies really into the hand of
- 2:25consumers. And so it'll be good to see his
- 2:27point of view. This episode is supported by S2G
- 2:37Investments. If you've been listening to me,
- 2:39you know that I'm done talking about R&D.
- 2:43We have the technology. The real question is can we
- 2:46deploy it at scale? When I joined Sanjeev Krishnan
- 2:50on the S2G podcast, we skipped the hype and talked about what
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- 3:21and start with my episode on energy affordability.
- 3:31Philippe, how are you? Very well.
- 3:33How are you Jigger? Good.
- 3:35Where are you today? I'm in my hometown, Montreal,
- 3:39just about an hour north of New York State.
- 3:41While you and I have known each other for a long time, I'm
- 3:44helping you out on some projects here and there.
- 3:48But we called you because you have the craziest story.
- 3:56Do you want to go through it with us?
- 3:57Yeah, sure, sure. I can tell you about it.
- 4:00So. So I posted a story because so,
- 4:04so a little a little bit of background, right?
- 4:072016 I decided to, to get an EV, you know, lead by example.
- 4:13And the only ones available then were were Tesla Model SI got
- 4:16Tesla Model S had it for eight years was great.
- 4:20And then last year my, my ex had a freak accident and car was
- 4:26totaled. Everyone's fine, car was
- 4:28totaled, insurance paid off, everything's good, car is gone.
- 4:33I went and got, you know, a new, a new Tesla Model Y this time.
- 4:38So, so I've been, I've been driving my, my car for about a
- 4:41year. And then over Christmas this
- 4:44year, my daughter who's 18, she, she drives my car.
- 4:48She texts me and she says, she says, Papa, what is Georgia
- 4:52doing in Ukraine? So I'm like, what are you
- 4:54talking about? And and she reminds me, our old
- 4:57car, We we named it, we named it Georgia.
- 5:00And yeah, after the after the Ray Charles.
- 5:03Georgia on my mind. OK, OK.
- 5:04Lots of Georgia's. So it turns out anyone who has a
- 5:07Tesla knows this. If you have an app and on the
- 5:09app you can see where the where the car is.
- 5:11And it turns out she just got a notification a year after my
- 5:15car's accident and, and presumed death, that Georgia is now
- 5:20charging in Ukraine. And, and so she sends me the,
- 5:26the link and I go up and I go on the on the app.
- 5:28And there it is like I see exactly where it is exactly the
- 5:32lot that it's in, you know, in this, in this rural town in, in
- 5:38western Ukraine near the, near the Polish border.
- 5:40It's. Wild.
- 5:41So what did you do from there? Did you track her down?
- 5:45I I did my best tracker down yeah, and and kind of understand
- 5:48what what happened like there's no way of knowing, you know,
- 5:50100% certainty, but but it seems not likelihood.
- 5:53What happened was that someone realized that all right, that
- 5:57like the carcass of the car might be totaled, but there's a
- 6:00really valuable battery in there and and they salvage it and
- 6:04somehow it made its way over to Ukraine.
- 6:06I'm guessing that's, you know, it's wartime and, and this is
- 6:10what happens in wartime, right? Suddenly the stuff that you took
- 6:14for granted before that you didn't care about, suddenly, you
- 6:17know, you're looking for every possible resource and this is a
- 6:19resource. So it was salvage and and
- 6:23someone managed to take the battery and repurpose it and in
- 6:28all likelihood being repurposed for, you know, for electricity,
- 6:32for for homes, maybe business. But, you know, something like
- 6:36that, which in Ukraine, especially in wartime right now,
- 6:40especially as I'm sure you know, you know, Russia is, is bombing
- 6:45in particular electricity infrastructure in Ukraine.
- 6:49And so it's just constant series of blackouts in a country where,
- 6:54yeah, it's a winter country and a third of the population heats
- 6:57with electricity. This is, you know, this serious
- 6:59stuff. So you know, my old car now is
- 7:04is presumably keep the people warm in the winter, keeping the
- 7:08lights on as well. So you did a newsletter post on
- 7:12this. And I'm just, I'm I'm hoping
- 7:15that it's going to be one of those like missed connections or
- 7:19like a dog with a chip. Like are the the owners of
- 7:22Georgia? Please stand up.
- 7:23Like come forward. I have a feeling that the that
- 7:27the that the owners in Georgia have more pressing things on
- 7:32their mind right now. So I, I say, I said the owners
- 7:35in Georgia orders in Ukraine would have more pressing things
- 7:39on their mind right now. So I, I haven't managed to
- 7:41connect with them yet, but, but I can still see exactly where it
- 7:45is. I still, you know, I pick up my
- 7:47phone and I can look at it anytime.
- 7:49See the current charge state of of of the old batteries at 54%
- 7:53right now. Awesome.
- 7:55So how often do they charge the battery?
- 7:59It seems to be like every, I don't know, maybe every week or
- 8:02so, something like that. So have you ever?
- 8:05Have you like concocted a story in your mind?
- 8:08Right. So you're like, all right, like
- 8:10they're charging every week. It goes from 100%, say a charge
- 8:14down to like. Or do they actually only only
- 8:17charge it to like 80 or 90%? I mean, I, I'm not following it
- 8:21like, you know, day by day, hour by hour.
- 8:23So I don't, I don't know what they're doing with it, but, but
- 8:26I'm just assuming that, you know, it's, it's doing what
- 8:29backup battery does best, which is just sit there and do nothing
- 8:32until you need it. And then, and once in a while
- 8:35you need it. You know, I in Ukraine, you
- 8:39know, that there's this constant, constant bombing of,
- 8:42of the electricity infrastructure.
- 8:44And you know, it's, it turns out that when they bomb, you know,
- 8:48kind of local transformer stations, on average takes
- 8:52Ukraine something like 2 days to, to fix it all and get, get
- 8:57the power back up. And you know, it's, it's an
- 8:59average of really widespread, right, but something like 2 days
- 9:02on average. So it's two days without heat
- 9:04for the third of the country that heats with electricity in
- 9:08the dead of winter. This stuff like I did, you know,
- 9:11quick back the envelope calculations and you know, it's,
- 9:14it's probably providing enough heat easily for a home for two
- 9:19days, depending on how they heat, if they heat with heat
- 9:22pumps, you know, it could be, it could be 6 to 8 days for for
- 9:26that same home. So you know, this'll, this'll
- 9:29get them through a lot of those bombardments, terror tactics.
- 9:34Yeah, it's a large battery, right?
- 9:36I mean, so this is 90 kilowatt hours would be like 7 power
- 9:39walls on somebody's house, right?
- 9:42Means most people have like one or two power walls.
- 9:44And so it's it's a lot of power. It is, it is indeed.
- 9:48And it's a lot of power, it's a lot of value.
- 9:50And you know, it would be, it would be serving no purpose.
- 9:54So I'm really glad to know that's that's serving still
- 9:58alive, kind of resurrected. So Georgia is on your mind.
- 10:03Sorry, I punted. Georgia was and and so, you
- 10:09know, I'm just curious how you and your daughter think about
- 10:12this now, right. I mean, like, you know, folks
- 10:14have talked about how you can back up an entire house with a
- 10:18car, right? Ford, I think, had that in a
- 10:20Super Bowl ad a few years ago for their F-150 Lightning,
- 10:24right? Like, I mean, have you thought
- 10:26more about this use case and you know, sort of some of those
- 10:31details? Yeah, for sure.
- 10:33I mean, I mean, like, I'll be honest with you.
- 10:35Like I, I would love to say, you know, the story is this happened
- 10:38in a light bulb went off. And you know, the truth is, you
- 10:42know, I've been working on this, my firm has been working on
- 10:44this, you know, for the longest time now, like nearing on 10
- 10:48years, we've been working on what we call AV to G vehicle to
- 10:51grid or, or vehicle grid integration.
- 10:54You know, I have like we have about 70 people in our, in our
- 10:57team and I have a, a clean mobility practice area.
- 11:02So, you know, that stuff was already on my mind.
- 11:04Probably what led me to to, to have an idea of what we might,
- 11:08what might have happened to the battery here.
- 11:10But yeah, it's it, it's a huge opportunity.
- 11:13And you know, like I said before, it's sort of thing that
- 11:16maybe a wartime country is going to, is going to put just that
- 11:20extra effort to, to get that value right now.
- 11:25And, you know, hopefully we're just a few years behind.
- 11:29So, Jigger, when the UK war started, it seemed like kind of
- 11:32there was the story in Washington was like LNGLNG,
- 11:38that's going to be what's going to save us.
- 11:39And I know that when we were at LPO, you called Bill McKibben
- 11:45and you asked him to personally get an article written pushing
- 11:50the white, the White House towards LNG and heat pumps.
- 11:54What was the resistance like inside the White House?
- 11:59Well, you know, like, I mean, it's one of those things where
- 12:03as Philippe was suggesting, we've been working on these
- 12:05solutions for 15 years, right? Like, it's not like this is new
- 12:09stuff, whether it's insulation in homes or whether it's heat
- 12:12pumps or whether it's, you know, like energy efficient
- 12:15appliances, right? And so when, when the war in
- 12:20Ukraine broke out, everyone at the National Security Council
- 12:24was only talking about LNG. And I was like, what the hell?
- 12:27Like, what about all these other solutions that we've been
- 12:30working on? Can't we scale this stuff up?
- 12:33And they were like, oh, Jigger, you're so cute.
- 12:35Like that. Like is such a great idea, but
- 12:38like, we're never going to work on it.
- 12:40And so it was pretty obvious that like going through normal
- 12:43channels wasn't going to work. And so I was like, they need to
- 12:47like, hear this from a news publication and like, they need
- 12:51to hear outside pressure. So I called up Bill, who I've
- 12:54known for years and said, hey, you know, like this is what's
- 12:57happening, Like, you know, what do you want to do about it?
- 13:01And he's like, well, let's write an article about how much, how
- 13:03big this could become. And I remember I was taking my
- 13:06son skiing at Whitetail with all the other dads and 'cause he was
- 13:13like, I forgot like 5 and, and he hates skiing.
- 13:18So it was like a hot mess. And and so try to like, you
- 13:23know, juggle with with Bill and figure that out.
- 13:26And then the article came out and it was fascinating because
- 13:32our good friend Michael Librecht came out swinging and was like,
- 13:36like, Europe doesn't need your stinking heat pumps from the
- 13:39United States. We can make our own heat pumps.
- 13:41We don't need to have them exported to Europe.
- 13:45And but lo and behold. Europe.
- 13:49Took it up in a big way. That mean they installed so many
- 13:51heat pumps that they actually did need to import heat pumps
- 13:54from the United States because they didn't have enough
- 13:56production domestically. And they did, you know, end up
- 14:00reducing total natural gas consumption from Russia by like
- 14:0445 to 50% just through energy efficiency and heat pumps.
- 14:08And you know, like, obviously people turn down their
- 14:11thermostat in the winter to like 66 instead of keeping it at 70.
- 14:15And some of that as well. So some of that was behavioral,
- 14:18but it was super important in in the response to losing Russian
- 14:23gas. I mean, part of what's on my
- 14:25mind is it does seem like Europe was this, you know, Canary in
- 14:30the coal mine for all of us, right?
- 14:32Like they had to think about this in a way that frankly was
- 14:35very sophisticated. They had 27, they have 27 member
- 14:39countries which speak different languages.
- 14:42They had to convince them all that this was actually a plan
- 14:46that they should pursue, right? Not not just importing USLNG,
- 14:50but also demand response and electrification.
- 14:53And some of these other things. I'm trying to understand like
- 14:57how you think about it with your experience base, right?
- 15:00Because now we're sitting in the, you know, like Iran crisis,
- 15:04right, Straits of Hormuz crisis. And I'm just trying to think of
- 15:08like, what the lessons are of Europe's efforts, like on the
- 15:13Ukraine crisis and like, you know, like what, where, you
- 15:17know, do those lessons like go into your doubling of your
- 15:22demand, you know, reduction goals in, you know, Ontario?
- 15:27Like it does to degree. I'll tell you the real lesson
- 15:30that comes to my mind is funny because I remember again, when I
- 15:32started in this, it was like, let's say 199091, something like
- 15:36that. And the previous oil crises were
- 15:40not that far behind us, right? And so when I started out, you
- 15:44know, part of the conversation was energy security, and it was
- 15:48valuing the energy Security benefits that come from energy
- 15:53efficiency, from demand management.
- 15:55This is, you know, 35 years ago, right?
- 15:57And I remember I was new to it and think to myself, yeah,
- 16:00energy security. I don't know.
- 16:01It doesn't feel like I'm not really seeing the tangible
- 16:04benefit. OK, now I am right.
- 16:07So, so now we have an opportunity where this this this
- 16:10kind of awakening of one of the streams of benefits that come
- 16:14from, you know, better demand management and energy
- 16:17efficiency, which is national security.
- 16:20I think that's going to factor back into the conversation in a
- 16:25way that it hasn't over the past, you know, two to three
- 16:28decades. So that's like that's one aspect
- 16:30to it. But but that aside, that's kind
- 16:33of the conceptual on the, you know, the economic framework.
- 16:36But that aside, I think what Europe has shown us here is just
- 16:41a reminder that, yeah, there are all these, you know, $20 bills
- 16:46lying on the ground. There are all these
- 16:48opportunities that we always somehow convince ourselves are
- 16:52not real, they're not tangible. Can't really count on them.
- 16:57But actually you can if you, if it matters enough and you
- 17:01organize enough to get at them. That that being said, it's a lot
- 17:05easier when you're when your prices are actually through the
- 17:08roof because because you know, you guys been cut off and, and
- 17:13you're in the midst of war. So, you know, the context is a
- 17:16lot, a lot different. But but I think this reminder is
- 17:20going to help help a lot from a policy perspective to bring this
- 17:24back to the fore. So Jigger, you've talked a lot
- 17:26about how energy efficiency ended up replacing roughly 55%
- 17:31of Europe's Russian gas volume and LNG, it made-up the
- 17:35remaining 45%. And that's almost the exact
- 17:39inverse of the way that this story has been covered largely
- 17:42in mainstream media. So why does that demand Side
- 17:46Story keep getting buried? Well, I mean, you know, I'd,
- 17:51well, I'd love your opinion since you're the expert here,
- 17:54but you know, I just, my sense is that it feels very weak,
- 17:58right? LNG feels more masculine.
- 18:00It feels like the like the, you know, robust way of solving
- 18:05something. You know, Germany signed a
- 18:07contract with, with, you know, an American LNG provider, the
- 18:11LNG provider, you know, race to, you know, build their LNG export
- 18:16terminal in record time. You know, Germany magically
- 18:20figured out how to build an LNG import terminal in eight months.
- 18:23And look how awesome we are, right?
- 18:26And like, I just feel like it's an easier, like, visual than,
- 18:32you know, millions of households turning down their thermostat,
- 18:37millions of households, you know, hiring someone to do
- 18:40insulation in their homes, replacing windows, installing
- 18:44heat pumps, doing all of the necessary things to make their
- 18:48bills go down, right? To make their energy a smaller
- 18:52percentage of their overall household budget.
- 18:55I feel like that narrative is constantly couched in sacrifice
- 19:02instead of in sort of a robust response to a crisis.
- 19:05It's. Funny because because you would
- 19:07think that you would think that instead of the sacrifice
- 19:09narrative, the efficiency narrative, the product, the
- 19:12productivity narrative would, would somehow win.
- 19:15But but I, I'm with you on this. There's something that's just,
- 19:19it doesn't feel tangible, right? You can't like you can't touch
- 19:22it. You can't, you can't cut a
- 19:24ribbon, right? Or, you know, politician can't
- 19:27cut a ribbon and, and you know, I, I don't say that to, to be
- 19:31known politicians, but you know, that they need to make big
- 19:34announcements. And you know, you make a big
- 19:36announcement around a plant. You don't make her big
- 19:39announcement around, you know, 10,000 solar panels being
- 19:44distributed on, on roofs around a city or province or state.
- 19:49So it, it's a lot harder. It's, it's just, it's like
- 19:52diffusion versus concentration. The big infrastructure stuff is,
- 19:57is concentrated and and the stuff that we're talking about
- 20:01here is diffuse and it doesn't play as well for sure.
- 20:04That's been the story for as long as I've been in this.
- 20:07Set us straight, Jamie, What do you think?
- 20:09Well, also when people are turning their thermostats down,
- 20:12nobody's making money. You know, I think it has to do
- 20:15with capitalism and spending. And so people cutting their
- 20:19energy use is just not as sexy in our capitalist economy as
- 20:24people buying more natural gas, whether that be, you know,
- 20:28American imported LNG or Russian gas out of the pipeline.
- 20:32So yeah, I mean I will say energy efficiency is like long
- 20:37aligned in our sector. I mean, in a deal we, you know,
- 20:41it was the Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy,
- 20:44but we all know the focus was on the renewable energy part of
- 20:47that acronym. So much respect to folks who
- 20:50have been like fighting the good fight and trying to raise the
- 20:53profile of energy efficiency for a long time.
- 20:56I do think that now, you know, as we're talking about ideas
- 21:00like grid utilization, it's kind of like efficiency, but we've
- 21:05rebranded it. Maybe we just need to try new
- 21:07language to talk about some of these things.
- 21:10But yeah, I think that energy efficiency was an unsung hero in
- 21:14Ukraine's energy story in the face of of of war.
- 21:20And I know, I know that the folks over there is still
- 21:24dealing with significant long term power outages.
- 21:28And a lot of those quote UN quote energy efficiency moments
- 21:31are maybe not even chosen by them.
- 21:34They're just have no choice but to cut their power use.
- 21:37So anyway, our part goes out to them and I hope that the story
- 21:41of the sacrifice that they have made in order to cut their
- 21:45energy use and reduce their reliance on Russian gases, I
- 21:48hope that story gets told. And by the way, like if I can,
- 21:53if I can add, I mean, I think that Ukraine is, it's a great
- 21:56example of, you know, we don't want that to be the reason,
- 22:00right? We don't want to have to, you
- 22:02know, have to, you know, put on sweaters and, and cut our usage
- 22:06and sacrifice. And that's one of the reasons
- 22:08why we want to use heat pumps more and get more efficient
- 22:13appliances and insulate our homes and businesses better,
- 22:17right? So that we're being more
- 22:18productive and, and can actually squeeze more juice out of the,
- 22:22the fruit that we have and not need to then, you know, go into
- 22:27sacrifice mode for whatever reason, be it be it war or just,
- 22:31or just not enough resources. Well, Jamie wears a sweater just
- 22:35because she runs cold. I'm always.
- 22:37Told I'm always told. I do have to say though, because
- 22:40I have an electric heat pump in the powers half of my house, my
- 22:44top floor of my house, and I have rooftop solar panels And so
- 22:48my power bills are usually negligible.
- 22:50And so it, it still feels like a big luxury when I'm like, I'm
- 22:54freezing, I'm going to treat myself and turn the thermostat
- 22:57up 2° because I know that I've got that solar on my roof.
- 23:00So I feel good about that. But I hear you.
- 23:02But I, I mean, I love energy efficiency.
- 23:04I obviously I'm all bought in over here.
- 23:06I've got the EV in the driveway and the the panels on the roof,
- 23:10the extra insulation, the the you know, you name it, I've done
- 23:13it. All right.
- 23:14Let's go back to the $20 bills sitting on the ground.
- 23:18I think you and I both know that they're not actually sitting on
- 23:20the ground and they require a tremendous amount of work to
- 23:25pick up. You know, I think the, you know,
- 23:28when you think about applying this to batteries, you know, we
- 23:33spent a lot of time with Redwood Materials when we were at the
- 23:36loan programs office because they were doing big things and
- 23:39still doing big things in terms of recycling EV batteries.
- 23:42Most recently though, they realized that most of the
- 23:44battery packs that they were receiving to be recycled were
- 23:49actually in good condition. And so they've actually, I think
- 23:53they built a power plant in 20 days for Crusoe to run a data
- 24:00center off of, which I thought was fascinating.
- 24:03And so, you know, like, so they've started an entire
- 24:06division now to get more out of the battery packs that they are
- 24:12receiving instead of actually mechanically recycling them.
- 24:16They're, you know, giving them longer life.
- 24:20It does feel like, it does feel like that is also found money,
- 24:26like folks are figuring out how to reuse and repurpose these
- 24:31sort of 90 kWh battery packs. Is that your sense, Philippe?
- 24:35It's, it's starting right? Like honestly, the, the
- 24:39repurposing stuff is, it's the kind of thing where where, yeah,
- 24:45it's obvious, right, dude? Like it's, it could be obvious
- 24:47to all of us at a really high level.
- 24:49And, and then you get down to the nitty gritty and it gets a
- 24:52bit complicated as as it always does.
- 24:56So, you know, my understanding of the repurposing stuff and,
- 24:59and again, I'm on this, you know, I'm not the expert.
- 25:02Like I got, I got my team who, you know, who know this stuff
- 25:06inside and out. They're all over this stuff.
- 25:09And my understanding is that repurposing is it's got to
- 25:13happen eventually because eventually, you know, with the
- 25:16numbers of EVs on the road and just natural rates of attrition,
- 25:21like you're literally looking at 10s of billions of dollars in
- 25:24value annually, annually from from all these, all these, you
- 25:29know, not end like batteries, but end like vehicles and their
- 25:32batteries. But getting at that is really
- 25:35complicated, partly because you have different chemistries,
- 25:39partly because you have different battery designs,
- 25:42partly because it's really hard to take all of that and separate
- 25:47them right now. Because right now we don't
- 25:49actually like they're not labeled right.
- 25:52And we don't have a process for easily like really rapidly in
- 25:57automated way testing the battery health of each of the
- 26:01cells or each of the modules. So that stuff is all to be
- 26:06developed. You know, right now you can do
- 26:09it manually, but you know, so sure, you know, Redwood, we'll
- 26:12do that for Crusoe, you know, on a as a one off basis.
- 26:17But ultimately we need to get to a place where we have this
- 26:21pretty much automated. And I think that's a ways away.
- 26:25And quite frankly, I think it's a ways away because, you know,
- 26:28we're just at the beginning, like there aren't that many end
- 26:32of life EVs yet, right? It's still probably 5-10 years,
- 26:3615 years down the road before we talk about really big scale, but
- 26:41that'll happen for sure in in the meantime, you know, the
- 26:45vehicle grid integration to me is the, is the nearer term
- 26:49opportunity, the nearer term $20 bills.
- 26:52So let's talk more about that because beyond emergency backup,
- 26:56this year, Tesla unlocked the cyber truck, which can now
- 27:00backup your home. And they promise that the rest
- 27:02of their cars will be able to do that by the end of the year,
- 27:05which seems pretty incredible. What do you think that change
- 27:08will mean for the industry? Well, let me just add more
- 27:11context to that just because I think I think people have a hard
- 27:14time wrapping their brain around this.
- 27:16If you look at the residential solar industry in the United
- 27:19States, they add solar to like 5 to 600,000 homes a year, right?
- 27:26We're selling over 1,000,000 electric vehicles per year,
- 27:31right? And so like when you think about
- 27:34like it is at a scale that's larger than the residential
- 27:38solar industry is putting solar on rooftops every single year,
- 27:41right? And so like, I think this is
- 27:43like such a huge thing. And on top of that, 15% of
- 27:48American households actually buy backup power for their house,
- 27:52whether it's batteries or, you know, a gas engine or diesel
- 27:55engine or whatever, right? So it's clearly on people's
- 27:59minds that they want resiliency and they want to ride through
- 28:03any electrical disruptions, right?
- 28:05So like, it does feel like a product that American consumers
- 28:09want. I want it.
- 28:12I mean, I know when I, when I got my, my EV charger installed,
- 28:17which by the way, I had that installed four years or five
- 28:21years before I got my EV because I knew that my next vehicle
- 28:25would be an EV. I wanted a bidirectional
- 28:28charger, but they didn't sell them in the southern states.
- 28:31It wasn't even a product that was available to me that when I
- 28:34asked, they were like what they were like, this is not
- 28:37Australia. We don't have that product
- 28:39available. I'm ready.
- 28:40Like I want to be an early adopter.
- 28:42So please let me use my, I do not have battery backup for my
- 28:46solar array and nor do I have a generator.
- 28:49So I would love to use my the EV that mostly sits in my driveway
- 28:53to back up my house and severe weather.
- 28:56Yeah, yeah, it's, I mean it is, it is this huge opportunity,
- 29:01right. Like we funny, we did, we've
- 29:04done do deal on, on, on bidirectional charging companies
- 29:08and absolutely, you know, the enormous opportunity we've
- 29:12actually done, we've, we've run the numbers for, for a few
- 29:15provinces here, you know, looking at what kind of
- 29:17potential this, this actually is.
- 29:20Like give you an example. My, my home province, we looked
- 29:23at it, we looked at the question was, you know, what does it,
- 29:26what does it look like by 2035? And this isn't just like the
- 29:29theoretical, you know, the sum total of all the capacity of
- 29:32the, of the batteries out there. It's really, you know, how much
- 29:34of it can you actually count on as a utility to get, you know,
- 29:40when you need it from, from those EV drivers, EV owners, it
- 29:46came out to about 3000 megawatts by 2035, right?
- 29:51That's like a, it's like a 3000 MW peaking plant that'll be
- 29:57available already, you know, already paid for, not the whole
- 30:01thing obviously, but the, the basic battery infrastructure
- 30:04paid for by, by customers. That's more capacity than all
- 30:09four reactors that OPG is building at Darlington using the
- 30:14G Hitachi 300 MW nuclear reactor, right?
- 30:17So, so it's a lot of capacity and my sense is those reactors
- 30:21probably aren't going to be outlined by 2035.
- 30:25Yeah, I'm, I'm not going to, I'm not going to speculate on that
- 30:28one, but but yeah, it's, I mean like like you, you talk about
- 30:32any, any 3000 MW, you know, peaker plant.
- 30:35I mean, it's, you know, there isn't 1, of course it's, you
- 30:37know, 6500 MW peaker plants. It's, it's huge.
- 30:41And this is, this is in 10 years and it just keeps growing and
- 30:43growing, growing as, you know, as more and more EVs come on,
- 30:48come on the road. So the potential is there.
- 30:51Absolutely. And that said, there are some
- 30:54real challenges, again, you know.
- 30:56And what are those challenges like?
- 30:58I mean, I, you know, because I, because my sense is I feel like
- 31:02those challenges are more cultural in nature within the
- 31:05utility than it is like, you know, technical at this point.
- 31:11Yeah, yeah, it's, it's definitely not technical.
- 31:13It's like we, we've kind of gotten past the past, the
- 31:17technical challenges. Now we're into the world of its
- 31:20coordination. That's the problem.
- 31:22It's not a technical problem, it's a coordination problem.
- 31:25So, you know, ultimately, if you look at if you, if you look at
- 31:29what's going on now you've got automakers are waiting for
- 31:36customer demand before investing the additional dollars to make,
- 31:40you know, to make this, to make the whole, the whole integration
- 31:44work because it does require additional dollars.
- 31:46Tech is there no problem, but requires additional dollars.
- 31:49So automakers waiting for customers to demand it.
- 31:51Customers are not demanding it because more often than not,
- 31:55they can't really extract the value through utility rates
- 31:58because the rates weren't built to enable that.
- 32:02And, and those utility rates aren't really exposing the value
- 32:05because no one's really pushing that.
- 32:07So you have this kind of chicken and egg situation in terms of
- 32:12demand supply. So like that's, that's one part
- 32:15of it. The other part, it's not so much
- 32:18technical. Again, it's, it's a coordination
- 32:21one. If I look at what we've been
- 32:25doing for the past 10 years, right, we've been working with
- 32:28clients on their pilots, technical pilots, you know,
- 32:32demonstration pilots, some, some, you know, slightly larger
- 32:36pilots. Everyone's doing their own
- 32:37little thing. And and that's on the utility
- 32:41side and on the automaker side, they're looking at different,
- 32:46they're developing different standards, right?
- 32:47So everyone has different standards.
- 32:49It's like with the like with the chargers, right?
- 32:52We wasted 10 years, you know, debating between between the
- 32:57Chadimo and CCS and, you know, now we're finally seeming to
- 33:01land on on Tesla's knacks. So that's a good thing for the
- 33:06chargers. We need to do the same thing on
- 33:09the BI directional side, which we which we don't have now.
- 33:13So everyone has got, you know, different standards.
- 33:18They're not going to be or that they're not currently planning
- 33:21on being interoperable. You know, Jamie, you mentioned,
- 33:26you mentioned Tesla and when you look at the fine print of
- 33:29Tesla's announcements, really what they've said is the Model Y
- 33:35will offer this as of the end of the year, but they'll only offer
- 33:40it if you already have a Powerwall, a Tesla Powerwall,
- 33:44and they'll only offer it with their own chargers and they'll
- 33:47only offer it with their within their own ecosystem, right?
- 33:49So this is going to be like the classic, you know, everyone
- 33:51wants to build their Moat and, and keep, you know, own the
- 33:55customer and keep them within, within the ecosystem.
- 33:58But if that's happening and then if I want to change my car,
- 34:04suddenly I need to change, you know, $10,000 of additional
- 34:08equipment, like that's going to be a real break on the system.
- 34:11So there is a, there's this really big coordination problem
- 34:15that ultimately, you know, it's, it's partly a policy problem and
- 34:21partly policy makers can address this and it's partly an industry
- 34:24problem. And we're actually, you know,
- 34:28one of the things once in a while we, we can't be a little,
- 34:32we get a little proactive and try to make stuff happen.
- 34:35And we're now convening utilities across Canada at
- 34:40least, and automakers to sit down and figure out how can we
- 34:44make this happen in a way that's standardized and interoperable.
- 34:48So we won't. We don't waste another 10 years
- 34:50trying to figure it out. So let's just like, you know,
- 34:56try to figure out what's holding us back, right?
- 34:58I mean, in the United States, there's an entire conversation
- 35:01right now politically happening around affordability, right?
- 35:05People are just all over whether data centers are raising rates
- 35:08and also their stuff, right? And when you look at the math,
- 35:11what it says is, is that power generation is actually cheaper
- 35:15today than it was in 2010. Transmission is basically gone
- 35:20up by the level of inflation, right?
- 35:22So not like a big rise up, but distribution is where things
- 35:28have really gone haywire, right? Because the utilities believe
- 35:32that they have to let you, the consumer do whatever you want,
- 35:37right? And they have to upgrade all the
- 35:40substations and, and wires to make sure that you can do
- 35:43whatever you want, right? And, and largely it's as an EV
- 35:46problem, right? And what you find is when 5
- 35:48people on your block get an EV, they spend $50,000,000 to
- 35:51upgrade the circuits, right? And heat pumps.
- 35:54And heat pumps, right? And you have the ability to
- 35:56actually just say, well, they just need to be coordinated so
- 35:59they're not all all on at the same time.
- 36:02And we can get more out of the grid that we've already paid
- 36:04for, right? But that's a cultural problem,
- 36:08right? It's, it's, again, it's, it's
- 36:11like it's, you're right, it's not a technological problem,
- 36:13it's a coordination problem, right.
- 36:15So, so it's a great example. One of the things that we did
- 36:20about a year ago, very similar to the thing I was just talking
- 36:24about for, for vehicle to grid is we, we created something
- 36:28called the Consortium for Power efficiency.
- 36:30And, and the idea there is pulling together all sorts of
- 36:33different utilities and industry, like contractor
- 36:37industry to say, all right, when contractors go to a home, if
- 36:41they're, if they're, if they're being brought in because, you
- 36:43know, you want to install a heat pump or you have an EV or you
- 36:46want to go electric on, on whatever it is.
- 36:49The first answer cannot always be OK.
- 36:52You need to upgrade your panel and then the utility has to
- 36:55upgrade everything else, you know, behind it.
- 36:57No, it's, it's, you got splitters, you got, you know,
- 36:59small energy management systems that can easily go in, save
- 37:03people money, but they're just not being done.
- 37:06They're just, it's not like the rule of thumb the contractors
- 37:08have. So that's, that's a bit of an
- 37:11industry that we need to, need to transform, a bit of practice
- 37:14that we need to transform, but it's absolutely doable.
- 37:16We're working on it right now with I think we have something
- 37:19like 8 or 9 utilities together, you know, pulling the resources
- 37:25on that so we can solve that. We can solve it on the on the on
- 37:28the panel side and we can solve it on the on the vehicle and
- 37:32grid integration side. But we need to bring these
- 37:35players together. I.
- 37:36Don't know. I feel like we're doing this all
- 37:38wrong. I feel like we should just give
- 37:40people free stuff. I mean, am I wrong?
- 37:43I'd be like, in the United States, I'd say.
- 37:45I think last year we spent $178 billion on wires, right?
- 37:51Mostly just like upgrading stuff that didn't need to be upgraded,
- 37:55right? I was like, if you're going to
- 37:56spend $178 billion on crap, why don't you just give people free
- 37:59stuff? Why don't you just give them
- 38:02like a new service panel and, you know, with a battery
- 38:06integrated in it from span or like, you know, give them a by,
- 38:10you know, directional charger from like wall box or Hypervolt,
- 38:14right? Why don't you just give them
- 38:15stuff and then say in exchange for giving you this stuff, you
- 38:19have to let us, you know, use your battery in your EV when
- 38:23it's plugged in up to like 10% of the capacity and we'll like
- 38:28manage the grid more efficiently with it.
- 38:30I just feel like the level of imagination is so low that I
- 38:34just can't help but hate the utility.
- 38:38Utility executives, you heard it here first, but.
- 38:40You know what I mean? Like I just think that like,
- 38:42they would rather like, you know, like cry on my shoulder
- 38:47and tell me why they need to upgrade my substation for $50
- 38:50million. And like when I said, well, why
- 38:53don't you just give me a piece of equipment that's $10,000 that
- 38:57I can put in my garage that gives you access to my EV.
- 38:59They're like, I don't know, we need a workshop with Dunsky.
- 39:04We need to like have 8 utilities come together around a table and
- 39:08work together for two years and figure out standards.
- 39:12We know how to like fleece you with $50 million upgrades, but
- 39:16giving you $10,000 of free stuff.
- 39:17I don't, I don't know, like we're going to need a, we're
- 39:19going to need a meeting for that.
- 39:21I'm, I'm going to completely disagree with you on this.
- 39:25And, and partly because, you know, those executives you're
- 39:28talking about, like I'm working with them and often times, and
- 39:32I'm, I'm not saying that to defend because, because they pay
- 39:34me, I'm saying that that to defend them because often times
- 39:37they're coming to me and saying like, we want to get this stuff
- 39:40into people's homes, right? But so what's like, what is it
- 39:43that's stopping that from happening?
- 39:45And in the example that you were just giving there, like the
- 39:48thing that's stopping them is the contractors who are coming
- 39:51to their home and who are saying, all right, before you
- 39:54get the CV or before you put in this heat pump, I need to
- 39:57upgrade your panel. And that's going to cost you,
- 39:59you know, whatever, whatever, thousands of dollars.
- 40:02And then the customer's not doing it and the utility is not
- 40:04there. Like they're not part of the
- 40:06equation. No one's even, and no one's
- 40:08asked them. Yeah, but I mean, seriously, who
- 40:10thinks like, you know, who could bail me out of this jam?
- 40:13The utility. I should call the 1800 number
- 40:16and be on hold for 47 minutes to see whether the utility is going
- 40:20to solve this problem. I'm just saying that like, you
- 40:23know, like for all of the warm feelings I have for the
- 40:27reliability and dependability of my utility, I don't view them as
- 40:30a customer service organization. Yeah.
- 40:33I mean, you know, that's, that's I think like my experience is
- 40:37that depends on the utility. And you know, there are there
- 40:40are utilities out there that have been monopolies for way too
- 40:43long and you know, kind of never lost or never had that customer
- 40:47service touch. There are others that that are
- 40:50working like working like dogs to, to get it and to keep it and
- 40:53to service their their customers.
- 40:56But it's not as simple as just saying it, right?
- 40:59Because they're working in this vast ecosystem with piles of
- 41:03players that they don't control and piles of decisions that are
- 41:07never even coming to them that they're not even aware of.
- 41:10And they need to influence those decisions and those actors also
- 41:15to be, you know, to be all rowing in the same direction.
- 41:18And if they're not like utilities, not not like all
- 41:22powerful, you know, all powerful God out there, they can't
- 41:26control what, what the contractor says.
- 41:30Sure. I mean, it feels solvable.
- 41:32First of all, if you can name it, it can and you can define it
- 41:35so clearly what you did beautifully, fully, it feels
- 41:38like something that can be resolved.
- 41:40And you know, I do think that utilities are, you know, my
- 41:46perception is that they are quite married to doing things in
- 41:49a very traditional manner. And so it's a lot more feasible
- 41:53and attractive for them to update a substation that it is
- 41:57for them to launch some type of new demand response.
- 42:01Very customer focused program where they insert themselves in
- 42:05the process of people getting smart panels or carrier is about
- 42:09to introduce an H FAC system with a battery, which sounds so
- 42:13rad. And that's like next to my wish
- 42:15list. But you know, I think we just
- 42:18invite them to embrace this innovation.
- 42:21I mean, these solutions are here and yet they're they're still
- 42:25just does seem to be an emphasis on continuing to deploy these
- 42:29very traditional technologies to try and tackle these very modern
- 42:34issues. I think it might be like a self
- 42:37selection bias thing right? But I can say many, most of of
- 42:44my clients are, are not that like they're desperate for
- 42:48demand savings. They're desperate for demand
- 42:50savings because they can't even get authorization to build, to
- 42:54build the substations that need to be built, right?
- 42:57And so they're, they're desperately, desperately worried
- 42:59about reliability and about the lights going out.
- 43:01That being said, and now I'm not sure if this is part of the part
- 43:05of the factor, but you know, we, we work both in Canada and the
- 43:10US. One of the differences between
- 43:13them is on the Canadian side more, not all, but more of the
- 43:16utilities are, are government owned, state owned.
- 43:20So they're nonprofit and that might influence a bit of a
- 43:25difference of you. But honestly, I think it's more
- 43:28cultural and I'm not seeing that bias as much that you're talking
- 43:32about that I used to see, right? Like, you know, 2530 years ago
- 43:36it was always just, you know, whatever is CapEx, I want it and
- 43:39whatever's, you know, demand side, I don't, I'm not seeing
- 43:43that as much anymore. Like I, I can't tell you how
- 43:46many calls I I get from from executives or like how can I get
- 43:50more of this demand side stuff? So we're telling that the the
- 43:54the elder millennials are coming to save the day like we have
- 43:57saved so many other industries with, with our approach.
- 44:02That's what you're saying. That's what I'm hearing or what
- 44:04I'm choosing to take away from that belief.
- 44:07My goodness, elder millennials, my goodness, Gen.
- 44:11X is always overlooked. That's all I have to say.
- 44:14But like, all right, so final question.
- 44:18So if you've got a million EVs a year being sold, right, that's
- 44:21roughly 100,000 MW hours worth of battery capacity in those
- 44:26EVs. Predict a year for me where you
- 44:30think that that capacity will be thought of as a resource by the
- 44:35utility instead of, you know, sort of another load to be
- 44:40managed. I think, I think within the next
- 44:44five years you're going to see a big chunk of the utilities, you
- 44:49know, the more forward-looking ones.
- 44:51Seriously, seriously looking at that as a resource within the
- 44:56next 5. But you know, like, you know how
- 44:58it is, right? You got, you know, a kind of
- 45:00chunk of the most forward-looking utilities and
- 45:03then you got the ones that follow afterwards.
- 45:05And so those might be more in the, you know, the five to 10
- 45:08rate, 10 year range. But yeah, you can't ignore this
- 45:11stuff. I mean, you know when, when
- 45:13you've got in my home province, we expect to have about 2
- 45:17million EVs on the road in five years from now.
- 45:21You can't ignore 2,000,000 mobile batteries that are unused
- 45:2795% of the time of every day. Well said, well said.
- 45:33Well, Philippe Dunsky, after 35 years of service, 19 years at
- 45:40your firm with an 18 year old daughter who is so smart that
- 45:45you guys tracked down a an old, an old EV in Ukraine.
- 45:51Thank you for being on the show. It's it's just so great to get
- 45:55your wisdom well. Thanks so much for having me, I
- 45:58really appreciate it. Well, Jamie, my goodness, we
- 46:08covered a lot of ground. I mean, who would have thought
- 46:12that that Tesla was still connected to the app?
- 46:15Although I guess I'm not surprised the the star link is
- 46:20like is going over Ukraine and collecting all this data from
- 46:24that old Tesla. But my goodness, like the
- 46:28Ukrainian people are just so creative and inventive.
- 46:31So creative. I have to admit that I was
- 46:34really hoping that that story was going to go in the direction
- 46:37of like, a quest where he and his daughter went to Ukraine to
- 46:41like, track down Georgia and find out, like, what small
- 46:45village she was powering and all the children she was helping to
- 46:48feed. Like, I still think, Philippe,
- 46:50you should do it. Like, you should hire a film
- 46:52crew and go and track down Georgia.
- 46:55I think it would be great. We would love to put it on our
- 46:58feed. Like, think about it, think
- 47:00about it. You know who we should pitch Is
- 47:02our friend from Semaphore, right?
- 47:05Isn't Tim in Kiev? Yes, amazing energy reporter Tim
- 47:10McDonnell is lives in Kiev and his wife is a war correspondent.
- 47:15So I do think about them. It is does make it a little bit
- 47:18more personal. I mean, obviously he's a he's a
- 47:21professional colleague of mine, but just knowing someone there
- 47:24makes it seem more real. But hey, Tim, let us know if you
- 47:28want to go and locate Georgia. I feel like it could be a really
- 47:31cool story. Oh my goodness, look at that.
- 47:35We're just making connections all over the place.
- 47:37You know I see an Oscar in your future in.
- 47:41My future. Well, you're going to have to be
- 47:43part of it, of course. I mean, you know.
- 47:45Like, I mean, I, I, the storytelling is in my vein, so I
- 47:49can't help but take it that way. I wanted a dramatization of the
- 47:53story. Like I think that's what I was
- 47:55going for. Philippe very much so a straight
- 47:58shooter. But it's kind of like the
- 48:00dynamic with my husband where when he's telling a story, I'll
- 48:04periodically jump in to make it more exciting.
- 48:07Yeah, I think, I think had we got his daughter on it would
- 48:10have like been like instant talk videos ready for ready for
- 48:15posting. Well, look, I think I found it
- 48:19interesting that the electric utilities are almost there but
- 48:24not quite there. I think Philippe had talked
- 48:26about a five year window for this stuff to really get
- 48:29integrated. I think that's far too long.
- 48:32I mean as you know, our friend of poor, that weave grid is
- 48:35already fully integrating EV capacity into, you know, the
- 48:39grids here at Baltimore Gas and Electric, at Pepco, at DTE and
- 48:43in Detroit Edison. And so I think the US utilities
- 48:46are already fully integrating EVs into their grid management
- 48:51plans for distribution circuits. I mean, I hope that's the case.
- 48:55I will say in 2022 when I had my my EV charger installed in my
- 49:00driveway like a two way charger was not that wasn't even on the
- 49:05market as I mentioned in our interview with Philippe.
- 49:07But I'm ready for Dominion Virginia power to reach out to
- 49:11me to upgrade. But I am very happy to upgrade
- 49:14my charger in exchange for giving you access to my EV
- 49:17battery, please. But I don't know what on the
- 49:20grounds are those are those, you know, programs really rolling
- 49:26well I. Mean I already get a $10
- 49:28discount on my bill every month for, you know, charging my EV
- 49:33when the grid has more capacity and you know like the next stage
- 49:37of the drive Act is supposed to get implemented next next year.
- 49:42And so that's going to give me even more incentives to, you
- 49:46know, allow the utility to charge my car when it needs the
- 49:50load, right? And so, so I mean, I think that
- 49:54I think we're heading in that direction.
- 49:55But I, I think the bigger thing is, you know, this is as you and
- 49:59I know, right? I mean, this is all about grid
- 50:02utilization, right? Like our distribution grid costs
- 50:05have doubled and figuring out how to charge all this stuff
- 50:09when there's excess capacity reduces electricity bills for
- 50:12everybody. Absolutely.
- 50:14I mean, it's just common sense. But you know, this is this is
- 50:18very common across our very fractured utility landscape in
- 50:23the United States. When you have 2500 different
- 50:26utility service territories, all of these things roll out very
- 50:29unevenly. And so that's why even though
- 50:31you live in Maryland, I live in Virginia.
- 50:34We're not, we don't, I don't have access to a program like
- 50:36that in Virginia. So I really do hope that belief
- 50:40is right and that utilities or at least some of them are really
- 50:43chomping at the bit to try and integrate more of these types of
- 50:46programs. I know, of course, Virginia just
- 50:49passed the first in the nation grid utilization bill and
- 50:54Dominion supported that bill, at least they didn't oppose it.
- 51:00So, you know, hopefully we're going to see additional programs
- 51:03like this roll out nationwide. Well, kudos to our friends are
- 51:08now Paul and then Kyle Winslow, who played, you know, critical
- 51:12roles there. Yes, and also our friends at the
- 51:15utilized coalition, which they're finally public.
- 51:19They announced that coalition this week and they also were
- 51:21behind the scenes kind of helping to make that a reality.
- 51:24So really excited to see how that program rolls out.
- 51:27And I think Governor Spanberger should be signing that
- 51:30legislation here in a couple of weeks.
- 51:32Yay. All right, well, with that,
- 51:35thank you so much everyone for sticking around.
- 51:39This episode was a lot of fun and really want to thank Simon
- 51:44and our team that is making us look good on a pretty regular
- 51:48basis. And then, you know, obviously,
- 51:52please let people know that you love the podcast by giving us
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