Latest / Matt Lewis Can't Lose
Vivek Ramaswamy’s Scummy Ad, JD Vance’s Defense Of It, and The Potential Backlash
On this week’s podcast, Chris Cillizza and I discuss:
— The possibility of a 2006/1994/2010-style disaster for Republicans, with Democrats potentially gaining 5–9 Senate seats.
— Polling reality check: Races remain stubbornly close (mostly 1–4 points) despite the expanding Senate map.
— Fake polls and market manipulation: The Wedgewood Polling scandal, its claimed impact on Mallory McMorrow’s Michigan Senate primary exit, inclusion in aggregators, and how single polls can move prediction markets (Kalshi, Polymarket, etc.).
— Speaker Mike Johnson is confidently declaring the polls to be wrong…
The skinny
The skinny isn't ready yet — notes appear once the transcript is processed.