Latest / The SPY Trader / Dow Hits Records as AI Trade Cools
Transcript
- 0:00Hello everyone and welcome back to another episode of the Spy Trader podcast !
- 0:05I am your host , Sunny Shares , and I am so glad you could join me today for our afternoon market checkin .
- 0:11It is currently 2:30 pm on Thursday , July 2nd , 2026 , here on the Pacific coast .
- 0:19We are heading into a holidayshortened week with the markets closed tomorrow for Independence Day , but the action on Wall Street is anything but quiet .
- 0:29It has been a day of two very different stories depending on where you look in your portfolio .
- 0:34We are seeing a significant divergence today .
- 0:37On one hand , the Dow Jones Industrial Average is celebrating , hitting a brandnew record high of 52,900.07 , up over one percent .
- 0:49On the other hand , the techheavy Nasdaq100 , or the QQQ , is having a rough go of it , dropping about one point six percent as the massive artificial intelligence trade we have seen all year finally starts to cool off .
- 1:05Meanwhile , the S&P 500 , which we track through the SPY , is sitting virtually flat at 7,483 .
- 1:14It is a strange day when seventy percent of stocks are up , but the big tech names are heavy enough to keep the broad index from moving higher .
- 1:22Taking a look at the sectors , the winners are clearly the banks and the builders .
- 1:27Financials , which you can track through the XLF , and Industrials , the XLI , are leading the pack .
- 1:33It looks like investors are rotating into value and looking for stability .
- 1:38However , the technology sector , the XLK , is dragging its feet .
- 1:43Semiconductor favorites like Nvidia and AMD are pulling back after an incredible first half of the year .
- 1:50We are also seeing Real Estate , via the VNQ , take a hit because treasury yields are climbing again .
- 1:57On the news front , there is a bit of a chill in the AI space .
- 2:01Meta Platforms announced a plan to sell access to its massive AI computing power , which has people worried about an AI capacity glut .
- 2:11This sent shockwaves through companies that build the infrastructure , like Micron and AMD .
- 2:17But it is not all bad news for tech fans !
- 2:20Rivian , the electric vehicle maker , is a huge bright spot today .
- 2:25Their stock jumped over eight percent after they beat their delivery targets and raised their outlook for the rest of the year .
- 2:32We also saw some great strength in cybersecurity with companies like Tenable and Qualys as businesses keep spending big to defend against AIdriven threats .
- 2:42Now , why is this all happening ?
- 2:44Well , the economy is sending some mixed signals .
- 2:47The June Jobs Report just came out , and it was a bit of a letdown .
- 2:51We only added fiftyseven thousand jobs , which is way below the one hundred and fifteen thousand that experts were expecting .
- 2:59Normally , a weak jobs report might make the Federal Reserve want to cut interest rates , but the new Fed Chair , Kevin Warsh , is sticking to his guns .
- 3:09He is focused on the fact that inflation is still sticky at nearly three and a half percent .
- 3:15Because of this , the market is actually starting to bet on a rate hike as soon as September .
- 3:20This has pushed the 10year Treasury yield up to four point four nine percent , which acts like a ceiling for those highgrowth tech stocks .
- 3:28So , what should we be doing with our money ?
- 3:31First , it might be time for a strategic sector rotation .
- 3:36If you have had big gains in tech , consider moving some of that into the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund , or XLF .
- 3:44Big banks like JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs often do well when interest rates stay higher for longer .
- 3:50Second , let's talk about defense .
- 3:53Gold is up today to over four thousand dollars an ounce .
- 3:57Using the SPDR Gold Shares , or GLD , is a classic way to hedge against inflation and global uncertainty .
- 4:05For those of you who still want to play the AI theme , try to be picky .
- 4:09Instead of broad tech , look at the physical infrastructure needed to run AI , like power and cooling .
- 4:15The iShares U.S.
- 4:16Infrastructure ETF , IFRA , or a stock like Vertiv , which specializes in data center cooling , are interesting options right now .
- 4:25Finally , for your cash and bonds , keep it short .
- 4:28I would recommend the iShares zero to three month Treasury Bond ETF , known as SGOV .
- 4:35As long as Chair Warsh is talking about rate hikes , longterm bonds are risky , but these shortterm funds offer a nice , safe yield .
- 4:45That is all for today's update .
- 4:47I hope you all have a wonderful and safe Independence Day weekend with your friends and family .
- 4:53This is Sunny Shares from Spy Trader , signing off !