Latest / The Front / Luke Skywalker vs Barnaby Joyce: the Nats’ new hope
Transcript
- 0:03Speaker 1: From the Australian. Here's what's on the front. I'm Claire Harvey.
- 0:06Speaker 1: It's Thursday March twelve, twenty twenty six. A huge blow
- 0:13Speaker 1: to the Royal Commission into Anti Semitism and Social Cohesion.
- 0:17Speaker 1: Respected former Spyboss Dennis Richardson has quit the Commission, where
- 0:21Speaker 1: he was supposed to be investigating the role of security
- 0:24Speaker 1: and police agencies. He's the forty five year old Luke
- 0:29Speaker 1: Skywalker to Barnaby Joyce's Anakin. Matt Canavan is the National
- 0:34Speaker 1: Party's new federal leader. At his first job is to
- 0:37Speaker 1: try and destroy his old boss and his new party.
- 0:40Speaker 1: One Nation Today National editor Dennis Shanahan on the immense
- 0:45Speaker 1: task facing Matt Canavan. Dennis Shanahan is The Australian's National editor. Now, Dennis,
- 0:54Speaker 1: I've got to admit I'm kind of disappointed that the
- 0:55Speaker 1: National Party has dumped David Little Proud as their leader
- 0:59Speaker 1: because I was living for your regular savagings of David
- 1:03Speaker 1: Little Proud. You called him stupid back in January. What's
- 1:06Speaker 1: David Little Proud ever done to you?
- 1:08Speaker 2: Well, nothing really, and I've got nothing against him personally,
- 1:11Speaker 2: but I think as a National Party leader, David Little
- 1:14Speaker 2: Proud left a lot to be desired, and after his
- 1:17Speaker 2: resignation and his declaration that he was the greatest National
- 1:23Speaker 2: Party leader since the famous John black Jack McEwan, I
- 1:28Speaker 2: don't think there's.
- 1:28Speaker 3: Been a leader since Blackjack that's achieved what I've done.
- 1:32Speaker 3: But it takes its toll, and you just youve got
- 1:34Speaker 3: to say when it's time. So I've got a record
- 1:39Speaker 3: that I've put next to any leader.
- 1:42Speaker 2: It sort of settled in my mind that I think
- 1:45Speaker 2: he had very high opinion of himself and one which
- 1:49Speaker 2: was probably undeserved. I mean, suggesting that his career had
- 1:54Speaker 2: been better and more influential than people like Doug Anthony,
- 1:59Speaker 2: John Anderson, Tim Fisher who introduced the gun laws. It
- 2:03Speaker 2: just seemed to me that David Little Proud was talking
- 2:07Speaker 2: up his book as he was departing as National Party leader.
- 2:12Speaker 3: But I'm buggaed, I'm buggreed.
- 2:14Speaker 2: I'll have enough. Well, good luck to him, but I
- 2:18Speaker 2: think that it was better if he had just set
- 2:20Speaker 2: back and allowed people to make judgments on his leadership
- 2:25Speaker 2: rather than making declarations which really didn't stand up.
- 2:30Speaker 1: I just want to read you something you wrote about
- 2:32Speaker 1: him back in January. This is after he said that
- 2:34Speaker 1: he couldn't work with the then Liberal leader Susan Lee.
- 2:37Speaker 1: In the face of an onslaught, Little Prowd put a
- 2:39Speaker 1: gun to his political head and declared one more step
- 2:42Speaker 1: and stupid gets it well. Stupid got it.
- 2:47Speaker 2: Well. Indeed, look it was part of David Little Proud's problem.
- 2:53Speaker 2: He's renowned for having a bad temper. He was also
- 2:57Speaker 2: saying that he couldn't work with Susan Lee, and he
- 3:01Speaker 2: was trying to throw his weight around, but he didn't
- 3:03Speaker 2: have the weight to throw around. He was doing things
- 3:08Speaker 2: and the Prime Minister on Wednesday said in Parliament that
- 3:12Speaker 2: the Coalition had picked particular days, the day of National
- 3:16Speaker 2: Mourning for the Bondai victims, to announce various internal changes,
- 3:21Speaker 2: leadership challenges and coalition splits, so that just as the
- 3:26Speaker 2: Prime Minister was under pressure, particularly on the Bondai massacre
- 3:30Speaker 2: Royal Commission, the Coalition delivered, and more often than not
- 3:35Speaker 2: it was David Little Proud who delivered the distraction, the deflection,
- 3:40Speaker 2: and as a result, while the Coalition should have been
- 3:45Speaker 2: hammering the Prime Minister, it all became about them. Now.
- 3:49Speaker 2: One point here is that from October through to the
- 3:52Speaker 2: latest newspol survey, Anthony Albanese's personal satisfaction level as Prime
- 3:58Speaker 2: Minister hasped seven percentage points from forty seven to forty
- 4:04Speaker 2: That is a very big drop. And yet during that
- 4:08Speaker 2: period the coalition was imploding. We had two divorces, we
- 4:12Speaker 2: had a leadership change and now another leadership change. And
- 4:16Speaker 2: so could you imagine what the Labor Party's standing would
- 4:20Speaker 2: have been had the Liberals and the Nationals been able
- 4:24Speaker 2: to get their act together and put pressure on the
- 4:27Speaker 2: Prime minister at a time of great economic challenge. So
- 4:32Speaker 2: my complaint and why I was saying that the arguments
- 4:36Speaker 2: and the threats David Little Proud were putting up were
- 4:39Speaker 2: self destructive, was because they were actually helping Anthony Alberanesi
- 4:46Speaker 2: get out of jail.
- 4:56Speaker 1: The new leader who the Nationals have elected is Matt Cadava,
- 5:00Speaker 1: and he's forty five years old, an economist. He previously
- 5:03Speaker 1: worked for KPMG, and then he really became a political
- 5:06Speaker 1: protege of Barnaby Joyce, who of course has now left
- 5:09Speaker 1: the Nationals to go to one nation. Does that mean
- 5:12Speaker 1: now on the right we have the master and the
- 5:15Speaker 1: apprentice kind of battling it out for regional Australia.
- 5:19Speaker 2: Well, there's a certain sort of loop skywalker element involved,
- 5:23Speaker 2: but look, I think that Barnaby Joyce has moved on
- 5:27Speaker 2: to One Nation. Matt Canavan previously said that essentially that
- 5:32Speaker 2: was the end of their relationship, and Matt Canavan has
- 5:37Speaker 2: built a political career well beyond his time with Barnaby Joyce.
- 5:43Speaker 2: They were friends, they worked together, they even were bunk
- 5:46Speaker 2: buddies at one stage. So what's actually happening now is
- 5:51Speaker 2: that we are seeing Matt Canavan facing the real threat
- 5:57Speaker 2: to the National Party, the immediate threat to the National Party,
- 6:00Speaker 2: and that is the growth of One Nation. Matt Canavan's
- 6:04Speaker 2: job as the new leader of the National Party is
- 6:08Speaker 2: to immediately take on One Nation, to draw back all
- 6:13Speaker 2: of those Coalition supporters, largely Nationals, who have gone to
- 6:19Speaker 2: One Nation. In the polling, One Nation's outpolling the Coalition
- 6:24Speaker 2: on primary vote and not far short of Labor. So
- 6:27Speaker 2: one Nation and the people who are saying they're going
- 6:30Speaker 2: to support One Nation need to be drawn back to
- 6:33Speaker 2: the Nationals. That is Matt Canavan's first and prime objective.
- 6:40Speaker 2: So I think that for the moment what we'll see
- 6:44Speaker 2: is more Canavan versus Barnaby Joyce than Canavan versus Anthony Alberaneesi.
- 6:51Speaker 4: We need to have more Australian farming, more Australian manufacturing,
- 6:55Speaker 4: more Australian jobs. We need to have more Australian everything.
- 6:58Speaker 4: We need to manifest a hyper of Australia here. We
- 7:00Speaker 4: need to go hyper Australia for our country. We need
- 7:03Speaker 4: more Astralian babies, we need we need more Australian humor,
- 7:08Speaker 4: more Australian jokes. We need more Austraian barbecues, sometimes often
- 7:11Speaker 4: fueled by fossil fuels. We need more Australian everything.
- 7:19Speaker 1: We're seeing country people go through a difficult time. The
- 7:22Speaker 1: Iran War means that there are massive diesel shortages, the
- 7:26Speaker 1: price of fuel is going up. There's a huge amount
- 7:28Speaker 1: of uncertainty. Of course, they're also dealing with the cost
- 7:30Speaker 1: of living pressures that everyone else is dealing with. Another
- 7:33Speaker 1: of the issues though, that's driving them to one nation
- 7:36Speaker 1: is immigration, Dennis. Right now, in Australia, we're all feeling
- 7:39Speaker 1: pretty good about ourselves because we've got six new Uranian refugees.
- 7:44Speaker 1: How does Matt Canavan turn the Nationals to be the
- 7:47Speaker 1: kind of party that country people can believe in on
- 7:50Speaker 1: an issue like immigration, which is really delicate and difficult
- 7:54Speaker 1: for the Coalition as a whole to step their way through.
- 7:58Speaker 2: Well, I think Matt Canavan's first press conference was very
- 8:01Speaker 2: indicative of where he intends to go. What he has
- 8:04Speaker 2: to do is appeal to one nation supporters or people
- 8:08Speaker 2: who say they are one nation supporters, not attack them,
- 8:12Speaker 2: as Angus Taylor has said. He doesn't intend to treat
- 8:16Speaker 2: these people with disrespect, and I think Matt Canavan's correct
- 8:20Speaker 2: in that the other thing he has to do is
- 8:23Speaker 2: not adopt one nation policies. And in his first press conference,
- 8:29Speaker 2: Matt Canavan made the point about high immigration, saying it's
- 8:34Speaker 2: too high, and that of course has been the clarion
- 8:38Speaker 2: call from One Nation. But in that Matt Canavan made
- 8:43Speaker 2: a point, and a very valid point. Given your point
- 8:47Speaker 2: about the lionesses from Iran who have been granted asylum
- 8:51Speaker 2: in Australia, Matt Canavan said, look, I don't agree with
- 8:57Speaker 2: what Pauline Hansen has said about peace, people who shouldn't
- 9:01Speaker 2: be allowed into the country, or people who aren't good Australians.
- 9:05Speaker 2: This was Matt Canavan saying, yes, immigration is too high,
- 9:10Speaker 2: which Angus Taylor was to and we will do something
- 9:14Speaker 2: about it because it's affecting housing and other things. But
- 9:18Speaker 2: we will not adopt the rhetoric of Pauline Hanson. And
- 9:23Speaker 2: given that those Lionesses are Muslims, it's quite an interesting
- 9:28Speaker 2: point for Matt Canavan to make on this day of asylum.
- 9:34Speaker 2: Given to those soccer players.
- 9:40Speaker 1: Coming up the poison chalice, Matt Canavan now has to
- 9:44Speaker 1: drink while I've got to you. This weekend, the Australians
- 9:49Speaker 1: throwing open the website and app for new readers. Everything
- 9:53Speaker 1: including our archive of groundbreaking journalism, features and podcasts, is
- 9:58Speaker 1: free for new visitors. A look at the Australian dot
- 10:01Speaker 1: com dot au March fourteen and fifteen. We'll be back
- 10:05Speaker 1: after the break. He's got a real test coming up
- 10:21Speaker 1: pretty shortly. On the ninth of May. There'll be a
- 10:23Speaker 1: by election in the seat of Parah, which is vacated
- 10:25Speaker 1: by Susan Lee leaving politics after she lost the Liberal leadership.
- 10:29Speaker 1: The Nationals are running in that seat, Dennis, even though
- 10:32Speaker 1: over the years traditionally there have been lots of occasions
- 10:35Speaker 1: when the Liberals and Nationals don't run against each other
- 10:37Speaker 1: for fear of splitting the vote. One Nation, of course
- 10:40Speaker 1: is also running and so are the Teals. Is the
- 10:43Speaker 1: risk here that the right wing vote essentially is completely
- 10:46Speaker 1: split and this seat goes to the Teals.
- 10:48Speaker 2: The polling has been appalling for the Nationals. They are
- 10:52Speaker 2: facing at this moment the humiliation of finishing not only
- 10:58Speaker 2: behind the Teals, One Nation and the Liberals and only
- 11:04Speaker 2: just above the Greens at the very bottom of the
- 11:08Speaker 2: Pharaoh pole. Now, I think what we have seen with
- 11:13Speaker 2: Matt Canavan's ascension to the leader of the Nationals is
- 11:17Speaker 2: a big chance for the Nationals to demonstrate that they
- 11:22Speaker 2: are back in the field. They'll have to compete and
- 11:25Speaker 2: compete seriously, but hope that the exchange of preferences between
- 11:31Speaker 2: the Liberals and the Nationals will actually help both of
- 11:34Speaker 2: them finish ahead of One Nation. If Matt Canavan can
- 11:39Speaker 2: take over the campaign in Pharah, and he's demonstrated already
- 11:44Speaker 2: he has an ability to cut through concisely with common
- 11:49Speaker 2: sense and saying the sort of things that appeal to
- 11:52Speaker 2: people who support the One Nation, then he will lift,
- 11:56Speaker 2: certainly lift the level of National support from what it
- 11:59Speaker 2: is at the moment. It may still be a big
- 12:02Speaker 2: challenge for him, but it was clear though, of finishing
- 12:06Speaker 2: on a hiding to nothing. So anything at all that
- 12:12Speaker 2: Matt Canavan can do will be seen as a bonus
- 12:15Speaker 2: for the Nationals and a first step back in this
- 12:19Speaker 2: fight against One Nation, because it's also a test for
- 12:23Speaker 2: one Nation. They are talking up their book big time
- 12:27Speaker 2: in Pharah. This is where they hope to get more
- 12:30Speaker 2: than one MP in the lower House, Barnaby Joyce, who
- 12:34Speaker 2: was elected as a National So this is a big
- 12:37Speaker 2: test for one Nation and if Matt Canavan can just
- 12:41Speaker 2: clip their wings a little, even if the Teals win
- 12:45Speaker 2: and the Liberals lose what is a Liberal seat, then
- 12:49Speaker 2: he will have achieved a bit of a breakthrough from
- 12:53Speaker 2: his early days as leader of the Nationals. It's a
- 12:57Speaker 2: poison chalice that Susan Lee left Angus Taylor, It's a
- 13:03Speaker 2: poison chalice that David Little Proud has left Matt Canavan.
- 13:08Speaker 2: But they have no choice but to put it to
- 13:11Speaker 2: the lips and hope for the best.
- 13:13Speaker 1: You're a famously hard marker of all sides, Dennis. Do
- 13:16Speaker 1: you feel something more optimistic about politics with someone like
- 13:20Speaker 1: Matt Canavan in charge of the Nationals regardless of who
- 13:23Speaker 1: people support. That we might have an opposition who can
- 13:26Speaker 1: actually bring it to labor and be a proper opposition.
- 13:29Speaker 2: Now, well, this has been my hope all along, and
- 13:32Speaker 2: that I was critical of Susan Lee. I've been critical
- 13:35Speaker 2: of Antony Albanesi, but I was critical of Susan Lee
- 13:38Speaker 2: because I felt she was in a parliamentary fashion letting
- 13:43Speaker 2: down democracy and the supporters of the coalition. She was
- 13:48Speaker 2: not doing her best to call Anthony Alberanesi and Jim Chalmers,
- 13:52Speaker 2: who really should be, you know, have their feet put
- 13:56Speaker 2: to the fire. There is one problem for Matt can
- 14:00Speaker 2: He's in the Senate, so that Matt Canavan, unlike Angus Taylor,
- 14:06Speaker 2: can't come face to face with Antony Albernasi, with Jim
- 14:11Speaker 2: Chalmers and Chris Bowen his great antithesis. So this is
- 14:16Speaker 2: a structural problem for the National Party for Matt Canavan,
- 14:21Speaker 2: and one which if they start to decide that they
- 14:25Speaker 2: might have a chance of winning the next election, will
- 14:28Speaker 2: have to be solved by him coming to the lower House.
- 14:32Speaker 2: It's unconventional but acceptable to have a leader in the Senate.
- 14:38Speaker 2: It's not workable to have a deputy Prime Minister, which
- 14:42Speaker 2: is what the National Party leader is in coalition in government.
- 14:47Speaker 2: This is a structural problem Matt Canavan will have to address,
- 14:52Speaker 2: but it's one that's well down the track and he's
- 14:55Speaker 2: got a few more hurdles before he gets to that point.
- 14:59Speaker 1: I'll say, Dennis, thank you very much, Thank you, Claire.
- 15:08Speaker 1: Dennis Shanahan is The Australian's National editor and his work
- 15:11Speaker 1: is always unmissable. Check it out at the Australian dot
- 15:15Speaker 1: com dot au.