Latest / CattleUSA Daily / 160: The Weather Forecast That Could Shape Your Fall Plans with Gary Lezak
Transcript
- 0:00Welcome back to another episode of the Cattle USA Daily Podcast.
- 0:03Today we were welcoming back Gary Lezak with the Weather 2020
- 0:06team onto the podcast. Gary is covering everything that
- 0:09is happening in the weather this week as we go into fall and
- 0:13prepare for. Gosh, actually this episode is
- 0:16going live on Monday. Happy first day of fall,
- 0:19everyone. This is the official first day
- 0:22of fall. So Gary's breaking all of that
- 0:24down for us today and what we can expect as the new LRC sets
- 0:29up and everything that goes along with that.
- 0:31Before we hop into this episode with Gary, if you guys could
- 0:33take a second to like subscribe, rate and review this podcast, we
- 0:36would really appreciate it here at the team.
- 0:38And without further ado, let's hop into this episode with Gary.
- 0:44Welcome to the Cattle USA Daily Podcast, your go to source for
- 0:48the latest livestock markets, industry insights and the
- 0:51updates shaping agriculture today.
- 0:53I'm your host Lauren Moylan, a passionate advocate for
- 0:56agriculture, here to keep you informed and connected.
- 0:59Now let's dive into today's episode.
- 1:08Gary, welcome back to the podcast.
- 1:11How how's life, How how's everything?
- 1:14You're in Kansas City this weekend.
- 1:16I wish we had better news about the Chiefs game from this
- 1:20weekend that you went to go see, but how's life otherwise?
- 1:25You know, in this in this segment, we're going to talk
- 1:28about one minute of the Chiefs. We're going to talk about a lot
- 1:33about the weather. We're going to talk about me
- 1:35almost meeting Terry Bradshaw and we're going to talk about
- 1:39anything else that you decided is dimmable today.
- 1:42So, but perfect. Let's start with Tory Bradshaw.
- 1:45All right? I want to hear it.
- 1:47I was in Kansas City for 5-6 days and it was blush and green
- 1:51last time I was there. It's like starting to turn
- 1:53brown. But hey, the seasons are
- 1:55changing and we'll talk about that in a second.
- 1:57But I stayed at the hotel at Loews Hotel, nice hotel in
- 2:01Kansas City, probably the nicest hotel there.
- 2:04And that happened to be the Eagles Hotel.
- 2:07So Saquon Barkley was there and all the all the Eagles players,
- 2:12I think a lot of them stayed there.
- 2:13And I knew that the Fox announcing team was there too.
- 2:18So I thought at 7:00 in the morning the game day, because I
- 2:23knew at Power and Light in Kansas City, they were going to
- 2:25have a whole show and Tom Brady was going to be there and and
- 2:29etcetera. And, and they're going to do a
- 2:31whole 2 hours live from Power and Light.
- 2:34And it went well. I saw it on TVI didn't walk over
- 2:37there, but my strategy was at 7:00 in the morning, that's a
- 2:4010. I'll bet you I can bump into one
- 2:43of them. And Terry Bradshaw was the one I
- 2:45wanted to bump into for some reason and just say hi.
- 2:49And so I come down the elevator. I had stayed on the 3rd floor
- 2:54and I come down the elevator. I get out of the elevator and
- 2:57about the exact same time out of another elevator comes Terry
- 3:01Bradshaw. This lady that was with him, I'm
- 3:05not sure who she was. And this man who looked like it
- 3:08could be a bodyguard, I'm not sure.
- 3:10And you know, he's every bit of 78 years old.
- 3:13He's walking into the lobby and I'm like 5 feet from it.
- 3:18And I was like, oh, my gosh, that is Terry Bradshaw.
- 3:19Let me say hi. So I go and there's no one else
- 3:22in the lobby. It's not like there's paparazzi
- 3:24everywhere. Like the day before.
- 3:26It was crazy, you know, and I get within like 3 feet of him
- 3:30between me and the bodyguard and Terry and he's heading towards
- 3:33the exit to go to breakfast somewhere I think.
- 3:36And all I said was Terry. That's all I said 1 Terry and
- 3:42the bodyguard and I'm like 3 feet.
- 3:44We're like like right here. And the bodyguard guy goes dope,
- 3:48Jason. I didn't say another word.
- 3:50The bodyguard just in a nice way, he says don't.
- 3:54And I'm like, I'm like this. I sort of waved.
- 3:57I didn't even say Terry again bye.
- 4:00And then I put it on my social media that that happened and
- 4:02everything. And Terry Brencher was out of
- 4:04that show, and he did a great job that day.
- 4:06And my fans are like, Terry's the one who didn't get to meet
- 4:10me. It's his loss, not my loss.
- 4:14So maybe it made me feel better. It is it?
- 4:18Absolutely. I in Kansas City, I'm A
- 4:21Celebrity and I would never do that to somebody on purpose.
- 4:26I wouldn't if, if, if you know, granted, you know, it's in a
- 4:31lobby. I know there probably is
- 4:33paparazzi problems and weird things that happen to lobby.
- 4:36So you just want to focus and get to your car.
- 4:39But just one me, one me standing there and I got dissed by Terry
- 4:44Bradshaw, so he didn't even look at me.
- 4:47So. Darn it, darn it, darn it, darn
- 4:51it. Well, hey, it's his loss, like
- 4:53the fans said. That's my Terry Bradshaw and
- 4:55then, and then, then the Chiefs, you know, they, they lost, you
- 5:01know, I, I finally got to watch the game yesterday again and,
- 5:05and it was, it was really honestly, I think it's not as
- 5:09bad as everyone thinks. However, they have to win
- 5:13because if they lose to the Giants this week, there's a lot
- 5:16of pressure. Then they then they have
- 5:18Baltimore at home and they could go O and four and that's not a
- 5:22season loss. But it's like there's the IT
- 5:26would be a symptom of more problems.
- 5:28But I watched, I watched the game.
- 5:30I'm sure a lot of people did. I watched it after I I was there
- 5:34and I was in the crowd and when Kelsey dropped that pass and
- 5:37then the ball was intercepted, we lost an opportunity to take a
- 5:4117 to 14 lead and the crowd would have been so loud.
- 5:45We lost. We got that stolen from us.
- 5:47But hey, it's on to the next game.
- 5:50They got to win. I think that they're they may,
- 5:53maybe they could put it together.
- 5:54It'll shock everyone if they do. Yes, I they, I agree that they
- 5:59need to put it together. They can put it together.
- 6:01I believe in us. We have a great team.
- 6:04They just are struggling right now so.
- 6:08Well, they they lack the Kareem Hunt and Pacheco are not good
- 6:13running back combination. They they probably have the
- 6:15third string guy and a fourth string guy.
- 6:17They should probably come in honestly, because maybe one of
- 6:20them is better because they're they're not effective.
- 6:22So that's one area. And then we don't have Devante
- 6:25Smith and Asia Brown, RT Huggins and a Jamar's Chase.
- 6:28We don't have that receiver combination.
- 6:30And that's my sports take of the day.
- 6:32I. Love it.
- 6:33Well, what's your weather take of the day, Gary?
- 6:35We are. It's very exciting time.
- 6:38Next week when we meet it will be fall.
- 6:40Fall begins on Monday. So September 22nd is the first
- 6:45day of fall. As we've talked about in the
- 6:46past, you might have heard of meteorological fall.
- 6:50For all these farmers out there and those interested in an AG, I
- 6:53think you all know fall doesn't begin to September 22nd or does
- 6:56not begin September 1st like meteorologist will try to tell
- 6:59you, which is absolutely insane. That's absolutely ridiculous.
- 7:03So so if all begins on Monday, that's the day the sunsets at
- 7:07the North Pole, there's 1 sunset a year and we talk about it,
- 7:10we'll probably talk about another 100 times.
- 7:11We got to get in our head because it's one of those facts
- 7:14that people don't realize. The sunsets at the North Pole
- 7:18once a year on the day of the optimal equinox.
- 7:21I'm not there to prove it, but I guarantee it happens.
- 7:24And then the spring equinox as soon as we get this, the spring
- 7:29on first day of spring, March 21st, 22nd, whatever that is, is
- 7:32set a rise at the North Pole. But it's really amazing when the
- 7:35sunsets at the North Pole, the LRC, which is developing right
- 7:38now before our eyes, the cycling will depend and we're about to
- 7:41experience for the next year ahead will accelerate and start
- 7:44impacting us. And, and it really is about 12
- 7:48days later because it goes twilight at your house tonight
- 7:51for about 45 minutes and it gets dark and the North Pole is
- 7:54twilight for 12 days. So this year that'll be October
- 7:574th, maybe a day earlier, October 4th, 5th, 6th.
- 8:00That's when the LRC will truly begin and the new weather pair
- 8:03will begin. I can show you that we are still
- 8:05in the same pattern now that has happened since it's set up last
- 8:09October. And it's frustrating because
- 8:11some plot spots are not getting rain and other spots are parts
- 8:14of Kansas from Manhattan northwestward got hit today with
- 8:18heavy rain and thunderstorms and but Kansas City keeps getting
- 8:22messed and most of Missouri keeps getting missed.
- 8:25This is going to change. We have two phases of the
- 8:27weather pattern and we're going to go into the wet phase of the
- 8:30weather pattern before the new pattern sets up.
- 8:33So I am expecting and predicting and we have been on this podcast
- 8:37from the beginning since January and February, March we talked
- 8:41and and especially during the summer, we talked about how it's
- 8:44going to end on the wet part of the pattern.
- 8:46So Kansas, Nebraska, Iowa, Missouri will likely get wet.
- 8:50Illinois and Indiana will likely get wet as harvest is going on.
- 8:54Might not be good, but the next two to three weeks increasing
- 8:58chances of thunderstorms as the new weather pattern sets up.
- 9:01Such an exciting time around here.
- 9:04It is so exciting. Like we have so many things to
- 9:07talk about. So many like we're talking about
- 9:09the current weather pattern and then we're talking about
- 9:11everything that's going to be setting up and preparing for
- 9:14that. It's it's an exhilarating time.
- 9:16And, and since we've been working together, we haven't
- 9:18taken you through a pattern setting up.
- 9:21It's going to be fascinating. I'll tell you what I see.
- 9:24And the first two weeks of the pattern will be October 5th to
- 9:27October 20th. Halloween will be about 3 1/2
- 9:30weeks in. By Halloween, we will fully be
- 9:32in the new weather pattern and I'll show you some storm systems
- 9:36that are developing. And right here we will take you
- 9:39through what that will mean, what we see in the initial part
- 9:42of the pattern for you, for you the farmer out there, what will
- 9:48it mean for for next planting season?
- 9:51October and November provides a lot of clues.
- 9:55So right now we're still a little better.
- 9:57I want to share my screen real quick and take you through
- 10:00something interesting. Those of you that can see the
- 10:03screen we have, hold on just a second.
- 10:08There we go. This is from our Weather 2020
- 10:13website. It's called the Weather 2020
- 10:16Vision Dashboard. The Weather Vision Dashboard,
- 10:19and this is for Iowa. I picked Iowa.
- 10:24Every one of you should have this tool.
- 10:27We have special deals right here as as Lauren will tell you
- 10:30about, but this shows October 1st to October 31st.
- 10:38So we have the month of October and this black line is the
- 10:42average line. Every day that goes above that
- 10:45line is a a better chance of rain day.
- 10:47So October 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th, better chances of rain.
- 10:51October 9th, 10th, 11th, very good chances of rain.
- 10:54But the problem is this is about when the new LRC sets up low
- 10:58temperature forecast. This red line is the frost line.
- 11:02So looking at Iowa, it shows that frost or freeze is possible
- 11:07maybe by as early as October 25th, but more likely right
- 11:10October 28th or 29th. And then what you can do with
- 11:14this? Let's go into Kansas.
- 11:16All you do is in. Remember you can all do this
- 11:19yourself. You put in Kansas and then you
- 11:22click, it's now calculating the state of Kansas and it shows
- 11:28that it's really wet. October 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th,
- 11:316th, 7th, 8th. So before the new RC sets up, we
- 11:35have about an 8 day stretch at the end of October and the last
- 11:398 days of September. So it's about a 1520 day stretch
- 11:42where there's some good chances of rain and then it shows it
- 11:44dries out around October 21st. So that's one way to use it.
- 11:48And it also shows the first frost or freeze around October
- 11:5225th or 26th. But you can go down to your
- 11:54county. Let's go into Washington County.
- 11:58What, what county is is, is Manhattan in Manhattan?
- 12:04Is Riley County. So I'll put Washington and Riley
- 12:07County and you push apply. And so here's the forecast for
- 12:12Washington and Riley County and you can see it's got chances of
- 12:15rain, not as good overall of Kansas, but it's got a good
- 12:18chance around October 3rd, 4th and it shows the 1st it's about
- 12:23it shows 34 to 33° by as early as October 26th in those
- 12:28counties. Then pin up here.
- 12:31Here's Washington County, 2.7 inches of rain forecast in
- 12:36October. In Riley County, 2.8 inches of
- 12:39rain. And what is that?
- 12:40That is 110%. So a little bit above average
- 12:43rainfall in the forecast for October.
- 12:45High temperatures 8.8 for the average high and the low 46.7.
- 12:52And then you can click on this other tab up here.
- 12:54No. And precipitation extras.
- 12:57Let's see what it does for snow for Washington and Riley County.
- 13:02It doesn't have snow in October yet, but it does show that 1.1
- 13:09inches of snow may fall in Washington County by the end of
- 13:13the month. Does that .6 to 1.1 inches of
- 13:16snow? Isn't that cool that?
- 13:18Is so cool. And so, yeah, you, you just pick
- 13:22your, your state, your county. This is how the Weather 2020
- 13:26vision dashboard works. So so.
- 13:32Fun. Yeah, fascinating.
- 13:33Any questions? I don't have any questions.
- 13:36That's really stinking cool, though.
- 13:37Yeah. Yeah, I don't.
- 13:39I'm not ready for the frost that's coming, I can tell you
- 13:43that. But did you see that being ready
- 13:47is good, but do you see how this tool the farmer could use to
- 13:52like really be ready? So and remember you can go all
- 13:56the way, it goes a year ahead. So we can take a look at the
- 13:58forecast all the way to next September on there and.
- 14:03Like, I think about the ranchers in our population, it's like,
- 14:07OK, so we're going into fall calving.
- 14:11For some people, they're starting to calve right now.
- 14:13For some people, fall calving isn't even a thought until
- 14:16November. Just kind of depends on where
- 14:18you're at. And so if you have the potential
- 14:20possibility of calving in the middle of a snowstorm, this is
- 14:23going to help you prepare like, OK, I know I'm calving in the
- 14:26middle of November. What's the weather going to be
- 14:28like that week? That way you can prepare now.
- 14:31Like, all right, do I need to get get my calf huts ready and
- 14:35get maybe some extra crew members here or things like
- 14:38that? That is really just going to
- 14:40help you. Like you said, Gary, just
- 14:41prepare. Right.
- 14:43So yeah, exactly. I mean all the uses that are out
- 14:46there, but it's just a cool tool.
- 14:49It's fun to do and and it's getting better.
- 14:52The technology that that powers it is the LRC itself and we have
- 14:57a patent pending model and it is, it's pretty cool.
- 15:03It is really, really cool. Well, what else is what else is
- 15:06happening in the weather this week or just the rest of the
- 15:09month? We're already halfway through
- 15:11September, which is crazy. I I can't believe we're halfway
- 15:15through September, personally. I mean, you got to stop it.
- 15:20But yes, the exciting thing that's happening is the pattern
- 15:24is about to change. But in the next 10 days, the jet
- 15:27stream is going to get stronger and stronger.
- 15:29And all of a sudden we're in the part of the pattern where
- 15:31there's supposed to be a storm in the West and it really dives
- 15:35in there. So in about 10-12 days there may
- 15:38be a really strong storm in the West.
- 15:40It will lead to a chance of severe thunderstorms in the Corn
- 15:44Belt and agriculture regions, maybe some large hail and some
- 15:47damaging winds. Something to think about as
- 15:50harvest is underway and hopefully got too much rain.
- 15:53But that's going to be developing and moving in and
- 15:56there's going to be snow in the mountains.
- 15:57So the Rockies and the Wasatch rage of Utah, maybe even some of
- 16:03the the West Coast states could have their first snow in the
- 16:05mountains and high elevations. So that's going to be happening.
- 16:08So yeah, a lot happening. It's very exciting.
- 16:11It's. Very exciting.
- 16:13Didn't you guys already have your first snow in the mountains
- 16:15in? Colorado, I was in Kansas City
- 16:17so but yeah, with at Eisenhower tunnel it snowed so I, I
- 16:22probably would have driven up there to see it, but it was just
- 16:26a slushy mess, nothing more than 1/2 inch.
- 16:29So I, I don't, I might have missed my first snow up there,
- 16:33but I'm going to the next one. I'll get video and pictures for
- 16:38us. So exciting.
- 16:39Probably next week. Are you going to be out on the
- 16:42ski slopes again this winter or are you going to?
- 16:45Try. I'm going to save my hamstrings,
- 16:47but if I do, I'm embarrassed to say I'm going to go on the Bunny
- 16:51slope. The greens.
- 16:52I don't. Blame you.
- 16:53I don't blame you one bit. That's where I'd be.
- 16:56I'll be on the Bunny slopes with you.
- 16:57It's it's, they have greens higher up and you have to get
- 17:01off those chair lifts. And last year I did slightly get
- 17:04injured when I got off the chair lift and I don't like that
- 17:07remember that. So I'd rather stay on Loveland
- 17:12Pass, Skiri up over here and go on the lower greens.
- 17:17And it's embarrassing in some respects, but there's no one
- 17:19watching me. I'm I'll enjoy it and if it's
- 17:22snowing on my end, it's I got good last year or on the green I
- 17:28can do the first time down took me 510 minutes to come down the
- 17:33second or third. By the 10th time I was on that
- 17:36slope in in 45 seconds, I went straight down.
- 17:39So it's really but I don't. I just like taking in the
- 17:42scenery. That's so fun.
- 17:44And honestly, after injuring your hamstring earlier this year
- 17:48and then your shoulder a couple months ago that you're still
- 17:50recovering from, you need a few months, Gary, where you are not
- 17:54injured and you're not in PT. Well, I'm still in PT with my
- 17:58shoulder. It's not 100%.
- 17:59We're getting there, no? Love that.
- 18:06Awesome awesome. Well, is there anything else
- 18:07that we need to hit on? This.
- 18:09Not today, not today, just I hope everyone's great.
- 18:12Let's celebrate next week on the first week of fall.
- 18:15Fall begins on Monday. I forget what the exact time is,
- 18:19but that should not matter. Just the fall begins on Monday,
- 18:23and that's when the sun sets at the North Pole.
- 18:26Wonderful, wonderful. Well, hey, after this podcast, I
- 18:29think I might just have to go get my fall decor out and start
- 18:32qualifying my home because I mean, I've got all of it.
- 18:36It's it's time to go. And hey, we're only a week away,
- 18:39so it's a little bit more appropriate than maybe my
- 18:42Christmas decor coming out on November 1st.
- 18:46I am that person. I am that person.
- 18:47So I have to start my fall decor now.
- 18:50That way I can have my fall decor out for at least a month
- 18:54and then fall decor goes away and November 1st comes around
- 18:57and the. Holidays of you might as well do
- 19:00it November 1st. I like that tradition about
- 19:02November 1st because then you get 2 full months to enjoy it.
- 19:06Because some people, they wait till December 22nd to put their
- 19:10stuff up, they're up for five days and then they leave it up
- 19:14until after January. It's so stupid.
- 19:16January 1st comes around and that puppy is coming down.
- 19:20Honestly, December 26th comes around and I'm ready.
- 19:24Like I'm like, OK, I'm done. I'm ready to have my clean,
- 19:26empty house again. I'm done with all the Christmas
- 19:29decor. And I also hold the sentiment of
- 19:32people are like, well, what about Thanksgiving?
- 19:33OK, Christmas is a season. Thanksgiving is a day like
- 19:38Thanksgiving maybe 2 days if you want to count Black Friday as
- 19:42part of Thanksgiving. But yeah, no.
- 19:45Yeah. Thanksgiving.
- 19:46My Christmas tree is up for Thanksgiving.
- 19:48Thanksgiving is always tough because I don't like to eat that
- 19:52much food, so it's like. Yeah, yeah.
- 19:57I have issues with portion control.
- 19:59And so we go to like these big Thanksgiving things and I'm
- 20:01like, I like give myself a portion of everything.
- 20:07And I'm like, I need to make little Dimes on my plate of
- 20:11everything if I want to have everything I don't need.
- 20:13And then I don't eat it all. I give the rest of my plate to
- 20:16my husband. And I'm like, here you go.
- 20:18I got an idea for me. I have an idea for you.
- 20:21What? Sourdough Dimes, Little little
- 20:24sourdough, little blossoms under plate.
- 20:27A little sourdough dough. That could be, really.
- 20:30Cute. Anyway, you can get 10 of them.
- 20:32You want them, but they can be just Laurens specialties
- 20:35sourdough Dimes. Oh my gosh, I love it.
- 20:39I did make my 4 loaves of sourdough last night.
- 20:42I was. Up until the night.
- 20:43Last night finishing up my sourdough for the month because
- 20:46we've gotten it down to a point where we're like about once a
- 20:49month is all the time I have to make this sourdough anymore and
- 20:52so I got my starter out of the fridge the other day and brought
- 20:56it back to life. It was on the verge of death,
- 20:58but. Yeah, the whole world's like,
- 20:59worried that you're going to start sending sourdough, like
- 21:02fruitcake out to everybody. I can promise you that will not
- 21:06be happening. I really.
- 21:07Have time to make my own sourdough, let alone sourdough
- 21:10fruitcakes for everyone. Oh my gosh, yeah, it's the
- 21:16Christmas vacation all over again.
- 21:19Where the Is it Christmas vacation with the fruitcake or
- 21:22is that a different one? I think it's Christmas.
- 21:25OK, anyhow, yeah, the fruitcake comes out and God forbid no one
- 21:29eat that, no one eat that. So something.
- 21:32Can be gay. Some of them can be, some of
- 21:36them are not all righty, all righty.
- 21:40Well, enough about my Christmas decor and obsession and fall
- 21:44decor and all of the things that I'm going to be doing after this
- 21:47podcast. Gary, thank you for your time.
- 21:49As always. We appreciate the knowledge and
- 21:52it was so fun being able to see the inside of the dashboard
- 21:54today and break all of that down with you.
- 21:57To all of our listeners, if you enjoyed today's episode, make
- 22:00sure you check out those show notes down below.
- 22:02I've got Gary, every single one of Gary's links that you can
- 22:05possibly imagine down there. We have the link to his ex.
- 22:08His Facebook is he doesn't have TikTok.
- 22:11Gary needs to get TikTok. I have.
- 22:12TikTok link is yeah, Gary leaves that.
- 22:17Okay, I'm gonna go find Gary on TikTok and I'm gonna link
- 22:20Garry's tik. T.O.K yeah, yeah, you get to see
- 22:22the reunion like. I failed.
- 22:24Oh my God. Why you can see the reunion of
- 22:27me and the dogs so. Oh my gosh.
- 22:29OK, well, I will be linking Gary's TikTok down below.
- 22:32But then on a larger note, we've got Gary's sub stack down below.
- 22:36And then we also have the exclusive link with Weather 2020
- 22:41and Cal USA where you can get that vision dashboard that we
- 22:44saw today at an exclusive discount down below.
- 22:47So make sure you check that out. And then make sure you check out
- 22:49Gary's sub stack link as well, where every single week he is
- 22:52hitting your inboxes with some really great information on what
- 22:56is happening in the weather, breaking things down and
- 22:58everything there. So make sure you go check out
- 23:00those show notes. And as always, we hope you have
- 23:03a blessed rest of your week and we will see you all tomorrow on
- 23:06another episode. Have a good one y'all.