Latest / The Dawghouse Fantasy Football / S8 EP468 - HODOR!!!!!
Transcript
- 0:33Speaker 1: Oh, dear. What a terrible Thursday night game.
- 0:39Speaker 2: Jacksonville at Baltimore after Baltimore loses both Lamar Jackson and
- 0:46Speaker 2: Tyler Huntley for the year.
- 0:47Speaker 1: So what do.
- 0:48Speaker 2: We expect out of this game? Not a whole hell
- 0:51Speaker 2: of a lot from the Baltimore side. But as the
- 0:56Speaker 2: title says, Hodor. And if you know that, you know
- 1:01Speaker 2: that means.
- 1:02Speaker 1: Hold the door.
- 1:03Speaker 2: So Jacksonville, Baltimore, Baltimore completely depleted, uh, going against a really, really, uh,
- 1:12Speaker 2: really good defense in Jacksonville and, and a really good offense,
- 1:17Speaker 2: just Liam Cohen offense. But, uh, Jacksonville favored by nine
- 1:22Speaker 2: and a half remains to be seen.
- 1:24Speaker 1: If you really want to take the over on.
- 1:26Speaker 2: The nine and a half, um, you're probably not getting
- 1:30Speaker 2: a very good, uh, line on just the taking Jacksonville
- 1:37Speaker 2: to win, but sure as heck I'm going to put
- 1:42Speaker 2: all my points for confidence pool on Jacksonville this week,
- 1:45Speaker 2: so not going to really worry about that. 39.5 is
- 1:48Speaker 2: the over-under. This game is not a defensive battle. Well,
- 1:57Speaker 2: it is kind of from one part of it, but
- 1:59Speaker 2: it's you know, I don't see Jacksonville absolutely destroying, destroying
- 2:07Speaker 2: Baltimore to the point where 39 and a half points
- 2:10Speaker 2: is really going to happen. I mean, we're talking that
- 2:15Speaker 2: even like 29, like 29 to 10 would get you, uh,
- 2:20Speaker 2: actually 30 to 10 would get you over that 39
- 2:23Speaker 2: and a half. And I don't, I don't see that happening. Um,
- 2:29Speaker 2: I'm looking at probably, you're probably looking at 24-7, something
- 2:35Speaker 2: like that, 24-3. But there are some injury things that
- 2:40Speaker 2: we need to talk about for this game, and it's
- 2:41Speaker 2: going to be important not only for DFS, but for
- 2:46Speaker 2: your seasonal teams as well. First and foremost, we're going
- 2:50Speaker 2: to start with the Jacksonville side here. I'm going to
- 2:52Speaker 2: pull up the spreadsheet for everyone. Let me get my
- 2:55Speaker 2: stupid face out of here so it It fully puts
- 2:59Speaker 2: it up. But Trevor Lawrence, if you're starting Trevor Lawrence
- 3:03Speaker 2: in the season, you might as well just go ahead
- 3:05Speaker 2: and just start him and just.
- 3:07Speaker 1: Deal with it. The points hunter can get a touchdown
- 3:11Speaker 1: rushing the ball as well.
- 3:14Speaker 2: So he is definitely in play here. Basial Tootin is questionable.
- 3:21Speaker 2: Ankle issue.
- 3:23Speaker 1: A couple other things.
- 3:25Speaker 2: So we are trying to basically figure out if he's
- 3:29Speaker 2: playing or not. If he's not playing, hopefully maybe you
- 3:33Speaker 2: have Chris Rodriguez to fill in there. If you do
- 3:36Speaker 2: have Chris Rodriguez to fill in there, remember to put
- 3:38Speaker 2: him in your running back spot and on.
- 3:39Speaker 1: The flex spot for that.
- 3:43Speaker 2: But if Bashel Tootin is playing, it's a game-time decision.
- 3:50Speaker 2: So if he's playing, we're playing Bashel Tootin.
- 3:54Speaker 1: No matter what.
- 3:55Speaker 2: But if Tootin' is out, we look at Chris Rodriguez,
- 3:59Speaker 2: get a heavier workload. I do expect a little bit
- 4:04Speaker 2: of a split with LaQuin Allen. I would expect that
- 4:09Speaker 2: split in there. But for the most part, Chris Rodriguez
- 4:15Speaker 2: would be in your lineup for both DFS and Seasonal.
- 4:20Speaker 2: LaQuin Allen may be taking a shot in Seasonal. or
- 4:23Speaker 2: not seasonal, but on DFS. Amir Abdullah, I'm just kind
- 4:27Speaker 2: of staying away from. I like LaQuinn Allen a little
- 4:30Speaker 2: bit more. This would be a game that you would
- 4:33Speaker 2: want to try out, LaQuinn Allen versus Amir Abdullah, in
- 4:36Speaker 2: my opinion. Get him some touches, get him some successful
- 4:40Speaker 2: things going on there. Baltimore's pretty decent against the run,
- 4:43Speaker 2: but again, you're looking at a lot of time of
- 4:46Speaker 2: possession for the Jacksonville Jaguars offense to be on the field, right?
- 4:53Speaker 2: Defense is obviously in play. You're starting that defense in seasonal.
- 4:58Speaker 2: You're starting that defense in DFS. It's going to be.
- 5:01Speaker 1: Very, very popular.
- 5:03Speaker 2: In terms of the wide receivers, Parker Washington, Jacoby Myers,
- 5:06Speaker 2: and Brian Thomas Jr., Parker Washington maybe is a start,
- 5:15Speaker 2: but he's not one of my favorites. Certainly if you
- 5:19Speaker 2: have three guys ahead of him, I would sit Parker Washington.
- 5:24Speaker 2: I wouldn't even play him in this game. Jacoby Myers
- 5:25Speaker 2: hasn't been doing anything. Brian Thomas, maybe he's good for
- 5:29Speaker 2: a touchdown, but are you really going to try that
- 5:31Speaker 2: on Thursday? I'd rather attack Sunday from the Sunday morning
- 5:36Speaker 2: game on if I'm in that situation. Tight end-wise, Brenton
- 5:42Speaker 2: Strange is actually in a decent spot with Malachi Starks
- 5:48Speaker 2: at safety in coverage there. There's also a pretty decent
- 5:54Speaker 2: value across the board on all three sites for DFS.
- 5:58Speaker 1: Again, Brenton Strange probably.
- 5:59Speaker 2: Not starting in seasonal unless I don't have a better option. Otherwise,
- 6:07Speaker 2: we'll just go ahead and skip ahead. Cam Little, if
- 6:10Speaker 2: you're looking for a kicker, Jacksonville's offense could stall out.
- 6:15Speaker 2: Be plenty of space for Cam Little to work his
- 6:21Speaker 2: magic and I wouldn't even be surprised if they took
- 6:24Speaker 2: a shot at a longer field goal for him based
- 6:30Speaker 2: on the fact not really scared of the Baltimore offense
- 6:33Speaker 2: so if you do the longer field goal the you
- 6:36Speaker 2: know plus 60 type field goal on there you're fully
- 6:40Speaker 2: reliant that your defense is going to hold them you
- 6:44Speaker 2: know to a field goal or worse uh Joe Faggiano,
- 6:52Speaker 2: we're not playing him. Keaton Slovis is going to be
- 6:56Speaker 2: his backup for this game. You might also see Austin
- 7:00Speaker 2: Reed activated as the emergency quarterback.
- 7:03Speaker 1: Knows the offense here.
- 7:05Speaker 2: You will notice within here, Jacoby Brissett, he was traded
- 7:08Speaker 2: from Arizona to the Baltimore Ravens. But he will not play.
- 7:13Speaker 1: In this game. He will start after this game. So.
- 7:17Speaker 2: With Jacoby Brissett there, I think we're a little bit
- 7:20Speaker 2: happier about our Derrick Henry shares.
- 7:22Speaker 1: We're a lot happier about our Zay Flowers shares.
- 7:25Speaker 2: This is really good for those two players. So now,
- 7:29Speaker 2: you know, definitely if you held, you didn't freak out
- 7:33Speaker 2: and tried to trade either or, you know, even if
- 7:40Speaker 2: you did trade out, but you got a better trade out,
- 7:43Speaker 2: but you got, you know, better options out of it, great.
- 7:47Speaker 2: but Zay Flowers is back, you know, to be in
- 7:50Speaker 2: a borderline, probably wide receiver one, two.
- 7:56Speaker 1: Henry, you know, high-end RB2, low-end RB1.
- 8:01Speaker 2: Flowers, this is going to be really good because we
- 8:03Speaker 2: know that Jacoby Brissett really targets, you know, one or
- 8:06Speaker 2: two players in there. We see it with Trey McBride
- 8:10Speaker 2: and Michael Wilson in Arizona. So, Good, good, good news for,
- 8:16Speaker 2: especially for Zay Flowers on there. From the Baltimore side,
- 8:21Speaker 2: you know, what do you want to do? Derrick Henry,
- 8:23Speaker 2: you know, he's great. He's going to cost you a lot.
- 8:26Speaker 2: This is a really good defense. A lot of people
- 8:30Speaker 2: aren't expecting anything out of Derrick Henry. If you're doing,
- 8:33Speaker 2: if you just want to take a shot, you know,
- 8:36Speaker 2: something that nobody's going to really want to play, it's
- 8:39Speaker 2: probably Derrick Henry.
- 8:40Speaker 1: Yeah. try to hold that ball.
- 8:45Speaker 2: Try to keep it out of Jacksonville's offense's hands on
- 8:49Speaker 2: that front. Zay Flowers, probably not going to be very
- 8:54Speaker 2: highly owned on there, but does have a great matchup
- 8:56Speaker 2: against Jordan Lewis in the slot.
- 8:59Speaker 1: He is in play.
- 9:00Speaker 2: They've had a partial week with the rookie quarterback and
- 9:06Speaker 2: working with the offense and working with starters primarily.
- 9:10Speaker 1: So a guy like Zay Flowers would be in play.
- 9:13Speaker 1: I don't hate Jacoby.
- 9:16Speaker 2: Lane, but I'm not going to play him. I might
- 9:19Speaker 2: pick up Jacoby Lane in the seasonal, though, if he
- 9:23Speaker 2: is on the waiver wire, if somebody freaked out. As
- 9:25Speaker 2: far as the tight ends are concerned, I'm not playing
- 9:27Speaker 2: Mark Andrews. Matt Hibner is interesting to me, but Josh
- 9:33Speaker 2: Cuevas is probably the guy, if you're looking for a
- 9:36Speaker 2: real value-type punt guy to– put in there and be
- 9:44Speaker 2: able to expand your lineup. I should also mention that
- 9:50Speaker 2: Adam Randall is questionable to come off the injured reserve
- 9:54Speaker 2: for this game, so watch that too. If this game
- 9:57Speaker 2: gets kind of out of hand, maybe we get a
- 9:59Speaker 2: little bit of rancor. action at the end, but I
- 10:02Speaker 2: still don't know if I'm going to start him in DFS.
- 10:05Speaker 2: As far as the kicker is concerned, and this is
- 10:06Speaker 2: big for DFS, this is big if you have a
- 10:08Speaker 2: kicker league, right? So Tyler Loop went on IR, groin injury.
- 10:14Speaker 2: They have Jake Moody on the team. Moody is in play.
- 10:18Speaker 2: kicker value for showdown slate, but you know, kind of
- 10:23Speaker 2: tread lightly on there. So that's the big thing though.
- 10:29Speaker 2: The big, the big thing was the Jacoby Brissett news
- 10:31Speaker 2: yesterday getting traded to the Baltimore Ravens and really kind
- 10:38Speaker 2: of saving Zay Flowers and Derrick Henry in the process.
- 10:41Speaker 2: So all things good, all things good there. In terms
- 10:47Speaker 2: of the, spreadsheet, DFS spreadsheet. I'm going to continue to
- 10:51Speaker 2: work that. I'm going to go live on TikTok at
- 10:59Speaker 2: about 11. Continue to work on the spreadsheet. Hopefully have
- 11:03Speaker 2: first run out tonight. Probably after game time on there.
- 11:10Speaker 1: Try to get the run.
- 11:11Speaker 2: I know there's a lot of injury issues going on
- 11:14Speaker 2: that we need to work through. Especially with Seattle, we
- 11:17Speaker 2: get Drew Locke Probably having Drew Locke instead of Sam
- 11:20Speaker 2: Darnold on there and, you know, just.
- 11:24Speaker 1: A multitude of various other stuff.
- 11:27Speaker 2: So at the very least, at the very least, you know,
- 11:32Speaker 2: we'll have ourselves prepared for the weekend. I do want
- 11:35Speaker 2: to go through the spreadsheet again tomorrow on Friday and
- 11:41Speaker 2: go through the games and kind of get a pre-player
- 11:43Speaker 2: set up for the week 9 slate. So that's what
- 11:47Speaker 2: I'm currently working on. This video is going to be
- 11:50Speaker 2: extra frigging short because there's not really much to talk
- 11:54Speaker 2: about when it comes to the Jacksonville-Baltimore game.
- 11:57Speaker 1: So it is what it is.
- 12:00Speaker 2: Like I said, 11 a.m.
- 12:03Speaker 1: My time, central time, so about 45 minutes.
- 12:07Speaker 2: Going to hop on TikTok if you want to hop
- 12:09Speaker 2: in there, ask any questions or whatsoever what you have.
- 12:13Speaker 1: It's actually been a pretty fun time in there. A
- 12:15Speaker 1: lot of people coming.
- 12:15Speaker 2: In and a lot of trade freakouts and all that
- 12:19Speaker 2: type of stuff. But good folks over there having a
- 12:22Speaker 2: lot of fun. So that, as they say, is that
- 12:27Speaker 2: shortest episode I think I've ever had. Episode 468. The
- 12:33Speaker 2: Hodor celebration episode. But any which way. I will, if
- 12:42Speaker 2: I don't see you in the TikTok chat, I will
- 12:45Speaker 2: definitely see you tomorrow on Friday.
- 12:49Speaker 1: Peace out. That's one week now.