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MUST SEE Updates Ahead of HUGE CFB Games | Tennessee Texas | UF Ole Miss | UGA OU | USC Oregon · College Football Addiction: A Show About All Things College Football

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: But, like, that is a place where they're going to
• 0:04
  Speaker 1: feel good coming into this matchup anyways because of all
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: the reasons you just explained. And sort of it feels
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: like they've kind of built this roster back up a
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: little bit from 22 and 23, and now we're here.
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: And I just am very curious, how does Texas respond
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: from a play-calling standpoint if Tennessee does get an early
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: lead in this game? does Texas stay committed to the run?
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: Cause they need to. And I think if you look
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: at this Tennessee defense to this point in the year,
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: their rush success rate allowed has not been great. They're, they're,
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: they're allowing, you know, 50% of plays against the run
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: to stay on schedule or, or ahead of schedule.
• 0:48
  Speaker 2: And that's not what you want in this game.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: I think, you know, if you're Texas is like, you
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: do not want to get over here and let's let arch, uh,
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: throw the ball 40 times.
• 0:59
  Speaker 2: Like he did at Florida last year.
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: I do think that that might be where this kind
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: of breaks down in favor of Texas. Texas' defense has
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: been pretty balanced in terms of allowing things.
• 1:14
  Speaker 2: They've been good against the run and the pass for
• 1:16
  Speaker 2: the most part.
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: I just think that this game will probably come down
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: to does Tennessee have the ability to to hit a
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: couple of explosive plays and flip the field.
• 1:30
  Speaker 2: If they're not going to get.
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: Turnovers or get the ball in some way off of
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: special teams in Texas' side of the field, is there
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: a world where Brandon can hit two of these shots,
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: one in each half? Can he hit Mike Matthews and
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: turn this thing around?
• 1:51
  Speaker 2: And I think it's possible.
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: He can certainly make those throws. but how, how Hypo
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: manages all this with Deshaun Bishop. And the other thing
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: about this game too, is both these teams have played
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: at less than 25 seconds or right at 25 seconds
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: per play so far this year. So like this is
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: going to be a lot of possessions for a college
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: football game in the year 2026 with the clock rules
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: and the first downs that we have now. And I'm very,
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: very curious what that looks like. Cause again, Tennessee's also
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: had the ability to have this explosive rush, right? Like
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: they've been really good on the ground. And I know
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: that the ground keeps the clock running, but with the
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: pace they play at, I saw this against Georgia last year.
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: Like if they can script this game out well and
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: use their run game the way that they want to
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: against Texas front, then you're going to get to the
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: fourth quarter and Texas is going to be tired.
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: And so is Tennessee.
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: And, Who kind of manages their drives early, not just
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: to score points, but to rack up some of those
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: body blows.
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: Is going to be something to monitor as this game
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: goes on.
• 2:59
  Speaker 3: Derek Owings. I don't know how many times we're going
• 3:02
  Speaker 3: to talk about a strength and conditioning coach, but Derek
• 3:04
  Speaker 3: Owings took over strength and conditioning there from Indiana. And
• 3:07
  Speaker 3: if it is a fourth quarter game, you know, obviously
• 3:09
  Speaker 3: he has not been there for a super extended period
• 3:12
  Speaker 3: of time. But how does that maybe factor in if
• 3:14
  Speaker 3: some of those body blows start to hit? Um, three
• 3:17
  Speaker 3: and a half points for, I'm sorry, five and a
• 3:19
  Speaker 3: half points for Texas in this. I think that's too many.
• 3:21
  Speaker 3: I think Tennessee covers this spread. And, uh, I don't
• 3:26
  Speaker 3: know if I've told you this or not, but I'm
• 3:27
  Speaker 3: going to the game in Knoxville. I'm not putting on,
• 3:29
  Speaker 3: I'm not putting on either shade of orange, uh, because
• 3:32
  Speaker 3: I am, uh, vehemently opposed to that. But, uh, I
• 3:35
  Speaker 3: will be at this game. I don't know if I'm
• 3:37
  Speaker 3: just trying to will it to, to happen or not,
• 3:39
  Speaker 3: but I will take the volunteers with the upset. I'm
• 3:41
  Speaker 3: tired of going chalk every single week. I think the
• 3:43
  Speaker 3: conditions are there and prime for an upset. I think
• 3:46
  Speaker 3: Texas is the better team. I think Tennessee just needs
• 3:49
  Speaker 3: to be the better team for like 35 minutes on
• 3:51
  Speaker 3: a Saturday. And I think they find a way to
• 3:53
  Speaker 3: get it done. So give me the Vols on the
• 3:55
  Speaker 3: money line. What you got?
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: I am very much in the same boat of thinking
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: that you are. I do like Tennessee to cover the spread.
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: I think this game comes down to a field goal,
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: special teams, something like that. And in that scenario, I
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: really want to pick Texas in this spot.
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: I want to pick Arsh. I want to pick the experience.
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: But I don't know, man.
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: Maybe there's something a little cosmic here. We've had a
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: lot of really good analytical analysis.
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: In this preview. I'm going to go off the rails here.
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: But I don't know.
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: Maybe there's a little cosmic Manning thing at play here.
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: But I do just have a feeling about Tennessee in
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: this football game.
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: That I can't shake.
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: And I keep trying to shake it with Faison Brandon's
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: inexperience and Tennessee's rush success rate allowed. So I'm going
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: to follow the formula and the recipe and say, like,
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: Texas wins this game by three and it turns into
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: kind of a shootout and this total goes over of 57.
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: And that's what I'm going to say. But I do
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: think that.
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: We're one– one arch decision or one shanked pun or
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: one thing away from this fall in Tennessee's way.
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: So I very much think that upset conditions are ripe
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: on Saturday.
• 5:28
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree with you. This was a really good
• 5:31
  Speaker 3: analytical breakdown. My head says Texas, but I'm going 100%
• 5:36
  Speaker 3: vibes play here. My head's wrong a lot, so maybe
• 5:40
  Speaker 3: that's a good way to look at things. Hey, don't
• 5:43
  Speaker 3: agree that hard.
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: But I'm talking about me personally. I was thinking about
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: my wife when you said that.
• 5:51
  Speaker 3: But yeah, complete vibes play. Shout out Dolly Barton. So
• 5:55
  Speaker 3: I'll get right back to chatting with Graham. But first,
• 5:57
  Speaker 3: I want to tell you about our friends over at PrizePix.
• 5:59
  Speaker 3: All new users who play a $ 5 lineup there and
• 6:01
  Speaker 3: win get $ 150 in lineups instantly if they use code HMA.
• 6:06
  Speaker 3: I am taking the more on Jaden Ball's rushing touchdowns,
• 6:09
  Speaker 3: and I'm taking the more on Trinidad Chambliss' passing touchdowns.
• 6:12
  Speaker 3: They're both 1.5. I feel really good about Trinidad. I
• 6:15
  Speaker 3: know it'll be work for Jaden to get two on
• 6:17
  Speaker 3: the ground, but I think he gets it done. Go
• 6:19
  Speaker 3: set a lineup just like that. Appreciate our friends over
• 6:22
  Speaker 3: at PrizePix. Again, use the code HMA. Now back to
• 6:25
  Speaker 3: the clip. Florida and Ole Miss in the swamp. Florida
• 6:30
  Speaker 3: coming off a big win at Auburn. Ole Miss coming
• 6:33
  Speaker 3: off a huge win against Lane. I think there's opportunity
• 6:36
  Speaker 3: for both of these teams to have a little bit
• 6:38
  Speaker 3: of an emotional letdown after huge wins last week. I
• 6:41
  Speaker 3: think that possibility exists much more for Ole Miss than
• 6:45
  Speaker 3: it does for Florida. But I do think it exists
• 6:47
  Speaker 3: on both sides. You can see how much that win
• 6:49
  Speaker 3: really meant to the program, how much it meant to
• 6:50
  Speaker 3: John Summerall, how much it meant to Aaron Filo, who
• 6:52
  Speaker 3: I thought played really, really well in that game. Obviously,
• 6:55
  Speaker 3: Jaden Ball is a freak. And then Trinidad Chambliss may
• 6:58
  Speaker 3: be the best player in college football right now. So
• 7:00
  Speaker 3: it is just as good as that Tennessee-Texas matchup is,
• 7:04
  Speaker 3: this one's really good too. Florida's not the 21st best
• 7:06
  Speaker 3: team in the country. I think they've proven that they're
• 7:08
  Speaker 3: better than that through their first three games. I don't
• 7:12
  Speaker 3: think Ole Miss is the fourth best team. Resume-wise, they
• 7:14
  Speaker 3: should probably be one or two. This is a great matchup, too,
• 7:17
  Speaker 3: just like we've got in the noon game. The 3.30
• 7:20
  Speaker 3: one's really good. This is presented by PrizePix. What's your
• 7:23
  Speaker 3: big picture thought here for Florida Ole Miss?
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: This line really threw me for a loop when it
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: came out on Sunday. I mean, I just was like,
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: I wasn't expecting Florida to be an eight-point dog at home.
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: I wasn't expecting them to be a big underdog.
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: Or anything like that, but I was certainly not expecting
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: them to be favored by over.
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: A field goal at this point. I think sitting at
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: three and a half right now.
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: And Hey, I I've been on record all off season
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: is thinking summer all good hire, especially cause he went
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: and got Buster Faulkner and I'm a big believer in
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: Buster Faulkner. I think letting him handpick his quarterback and
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: Aaron Philo was a good decision.
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: Like I'm all for it. I'm on board with it, but.
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: I am very curious, especially after Auburn was able to
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: have a lot of offensive success against Florida when Baylor
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: was able to really kind of stymie Auburn a good
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: bit in that game, how Florida is favored by over
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: a field goal in this game with what we know
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: about Trinidad Chambliss and his ability to just make things
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: happen offensively.
• 8:40
  Speaker 3: I wonder a little bit about each team's ability to
• 8:45
  Speaker 3: exploit what the other one struggles with. I just got
• 8:49
  Speaker 3: off a show and talked about this a little bit,
• 8:50
  Speaker 3: so I want to get your take. I won't rehearse
• 8:52
  Speaker 3: my whole take again, but Ole Miss gives up a
• 8:56
  Speaker 3: lot of broken tackles, and having Jaden Ball in the
• 8:59
  Speaker 3: backfield on the other side should scare the crap out
• 9:01
  Speaker 3: of them. I think Florida can be exploited in certain
• 9:03
  Speaker 3: places defensively if pressure doesn't get home, and having Trinidad
• 9:07
  Speaker 3: on the other side Should scare the crap out of them.
• 9:09
  Speaker 3: So it's good on good, I think, or good on
• 9:12
  Speaker 3: maybe potential weaknesses, maybe the better way to say it.
• 9:15
  Speaker 3: Both these offenses, I mean, I like the over here, too,
• 9:17
  Speaker 3: just for what it's worth. Now Vegas knows that, and
• 9:20
  Speaker 3: they've jacked it way up. But both of these offenses
• 9:23
  Speaker 3: could have absolute field days. Florida's offense really did a
• 9:28
  Speaker 3: good job against Auburn for large portions of that game.
• 9:32
  Speaker 3: Florida's defense did a good job against Auburn's offense. I
• 9:35
  Speaker 3: think Ole Miss' defense did a good job against LSU's
• 9:38
  Speaker 3: for large portions of the game. Whichever defense shows up,
• 9:41
  Speaker 3: because I have no doubts that Jaden Ball is going
• 9:43
  Speaker 3: to do his thing. I have no doubts that Vernell
• 9:45
  Speaker 3: Brown and really even Aaron Filo and this offense are
• 9:48
  Speaker 3: going to do their thing. And then the same thing
• 9:49
  Speaker 3: on Ole Miss' side. They might be one-dimensional if Lacey
• 9:52
  Speaker 3: doesn't play, but that's a pretty good dimension to have
• 9:55
  Speaker 3: is Trinidad calling the shots. Whichever defense can get a
• 9:59
  Speaker 3: few more stops, a stop or two more, is probably
• 10:02
  Speaker 3: the one that I would ride with in this game.
• 10:05
  Speaker 3: I think that's an interesting dynamic, is just two powerhouse-type
• 10:09
  Speaker 3: offenses are going to be really fun. The Golding versus
• 10:12
  Speaker 3: Faulkner matchup is a lot of fun. This game has
• 10:16
  Speaker 3: so much in it that I'm going to be sprinting
• 10:19
  Speaker 3: out of Neyland stadium to try and get to the
• 10:21
  Speaker 3: iPad and watch this while I sit in traffic in Knoxville.
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: No, for sure.
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: And I look at, so I look at the Ole
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: Miss for the Ole Miss offense versus Florida's defense.
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: And I mean, Florida's defense, like if you look.
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: At some of the radar charts and just they're, They're ugly, right?
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: Like they do not cover a big spread on the
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: radar chart. They really struggle with that. Like they give
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: up a lot of short third down distances. They give
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: up a really high success rate on third downs. I mean,
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: they're allowing 58.1% third and fourth down success rate.
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: That's 125th nationally.
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: 5.8 yards is the average third down distance against them.
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: That's 122nd.
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: Their EPA per rush allowed is 126th. I mean, like
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: they have really not been good. And the Florida offense
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: is the exact opposite of that. But when you talk
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: about that matchup, like whose defense has a better shot
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: of getting stops, I really feel like the answer is
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: the Ole Miss defense against the Florida offense. Like I
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: really think what we saw from Will Echols against LSU
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: on Saturday night. Like Ole Miss has some guys in
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: their back end. Like, Joan El Aguero was a five-star recruit,
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: and he's a tweener, didn't quite work out at Georgia, like,
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: not quite a safety, not quite a linebacker-type player. But
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: he's the type of guy that can close some space
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: out and, like, had a pick against Tennessee last year
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: in Knoxville that was big on a deep ball. Like,
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: there's players like that on this Ole Miss defense that
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: I know about at this point on all three levels.
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure who those guys are yet. on the
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: Florida defense. Doesn't mean they're not there, but I don't
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: know who they are yet. And that kind of inclines
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: me to, to again, come back to being very confused
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: about this number.
• 12:22
  Speaker 3: Yeah. Are, is there a way for either you talk
• 12:26
  Speaker 3: about Ole Miss, you know, struggling with broken tackles and
• 12:29
  Speaker 3: talk about where Florida is at defensively too. Is there
• 12:32
  Speaker 3: any way to slow down a Jaden Baugh or a
• 12:34
  Speaker 3: Trinidad Chambliss for either team? Or is it like you
• 12:36
  Speaker 3: may just let them live with what they do and
• 12:38
  Speaker 3: try and shut down everybody else type of thing? Or
• 12:40
  Speaker 3: what is the, what is the method of attack there?
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, you're not going to like, I don't think
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: Ole Miss is going to slow Jaden Baugh in the
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: sense of shutting him down because he's, he's too good
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: for that. But I do think there's, there's logic in
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: if you're, Florida saying, okay, I'm going to, I'm going
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: to make Trinidad beat me.
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: Right.
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: Like I'm not going to, I'm not going to live
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: sort of in no man's land. And on the same,
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: on the other side of the ball, I think there's
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: logic in saying like, I want to make Aaron Philo
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: beat me. Right. Like I, I'm not going to try
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: and load up and put eight men in the box
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: all day against Jaden ball and let Aaron Philo get
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: man coverage all over the place with this set of receivers.
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: Like that's not the recipe if you're Ole Miss in
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: my opinion.
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: I think you've got to vary your defensive looks and
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: you've got to be flexible to what's happening in front
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: of you and adjust in real time truthfully of sort of,
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: you know, admitting maybe, hey, like this is the hot guy.
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: And we need to shade things this way.
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: But I think you can really get yourself in trouble
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: sometimes when you try to treat everyone like an equal
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: threat on an offense and you end up just, just
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: kind of running out of ways to, to.
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: Spread your men around.
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: I don't know that either of these teams is going
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: to be able to like take one thing away from
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: the other.
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: I think at the end of the day, the question
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: is more just functionally, how do I get stops? Right.
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: And whatever that scouting is, maybe it's, Hey, like.
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: Philo, Philo's, Numbers drop when he's in the red zone.
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: That's just an example.
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: But that needs to be the thought train, I think,
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: from these defensive staffs is, situationally, where do I have
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: an advantage? And once I get into that situation, how
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: do I maximize that advantage?
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: Because you don't have an advantage in open grass between
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: the 20s. You just don't. And you need to find ways.
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: I think field goals versus touchdowns is going to be
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: a huge plot in this game.
• 14:59
  Speaker 3: Advantage coaching-wise, when you look at Golding and Faulkner, that's
• 15:05
  Speaker 3: a fun one. We got Golding and Weiss last week.
• 15:08
  Speaker 3: This is another fun one. It's very different, but it's fun.
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: I think that there's an advantage when it comes to
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: Pete Golding as a head coach versus John Summerall as
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: a head coach in terms of experience, in terms of
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: playing in big games. But I would give Buster Faulkner
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: an advantage over P. Golding when it comes to offensive
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: scheme versus defensive scheme.
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: For sure.
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: Buster has been around this league. He was at Georgia
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: when Golding was at Alabama. He was at Georgia with
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: Todd Mocken. He's seen a lot. He's seen a lot
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: in the SEC and really adjacent. I know he was
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: at Georgia Tech, but He was an hour down the
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: road from Athens and sort of in the heart of
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: the SEC while being at Georgia Tech. And I think
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: he's very well connected to this league and knows the
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: ins and outs of it.
• 16:12
  Speaker 3: The spread did surprise me. I think it opened up
• 16:16
  Speaker 3: closer to a point and a half and then has
• 16:17
  Speaker 3: moved because of the Lacey uncertainty, the best I can tell.
• 16:22
  Speaker 3: So three and a half now. I think this game
• 16:26
  Speaker 3: truly could go either way. I like the points when
• 16:31
  Speaker 3: you've got Trinidad Chambliss. I think this is an incredibly
• 16:34
  Speaker 3: close game. I love that hook. And if Vegas is
• 16:36
  Speaker 3: setting a trap for me, then I am jumping into
• 16:39
  Speaker 3: it headfirst. I love the value in getting Trinidad Chambliss
• 16:43
  Speaker 3: plus money against a team that, yes, just beat Auburn.
• 16:46
  Speaker 3: And I'm really high on Florida. I think they're a
• 16:48
  Speaker 3: top 15-ish team in this country as far as resume-wise,
• 16:52
  Speaker 3: like what they've shown so far. I think they're ranked
• 16:54
  Speaker 3: too low right now in the AP poll. So I
• 16:56
  Speaker 3: am high on Florida. I really like Trinidad Chambliss with
• 17:01
  Speaker 3: plus money. I also really, I think they've got the
• 17:05
  Speaker 3: best two wins in the country. I don't even know
• 17:07
  Speaker 3: how you would debate that. Beating Louisville, who knocked off
• 17:09
  Speaker 3: SMU last week, we talked about that game, and then
• 17:11
  Speaker 3: beating LSU the way that they did. I think they
• 17:14
  Speaker 3: go get another ranked win this weekend. I think there's
• 17:16
  Speaker 3: good value in the plus money on the money line
• 17:19
  Speaker 3: and to take the three and a half points. So
• 17:22
  Speaker 3: I'll probably take both. to cover myself if they don't
• 17:25
  Speaker 3: get the win, but I think this is an incredibly
• 17:27
  Speaker 3: close game. Would not surprise me at all if Florida won,
• 17:30
  Speaker 3: but I'm going to take Ole Miss here. Ole Miss
• 17:32
  Speaker 3: has kind of shown that they can be one-dimensional if needed.
• 17:36
  Speaker 3: Lacey goes out and Trinidad just puts him on his back. Now,
• 17:38
  Speaker 3: I don't think that works for 12 weeks, but I
• 17:40
  Speaker 3: think it can work one more time. The Swamp is
• 17:42
  Speaker 3: an insane place to play, and it changes games just
• 17:46
  Speaker 3: like Neyland does. We talked about that. We saw what
• 17:49
  Speaker 3: happened with Texas. We saw what happened with a Really
• 17:51
  Speaker 3: good Ole Miss team that came in here in 2016.
• 17:53
  Speaker 3: We saw what happened with Auburn in 2019 when they
• 17:56
  Speaker 3: were top five. This happens often. But all that said,
• 17:59
  Speaker 3: I'm going to ride with Ole Miss here.
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: See, what I read out of this spread, I.
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: Do think that Vegas is telling you that they like
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: Florida more than some people may have expected coming into
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: the season. But I also think that they're telling you
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: they didn't really buy the hype on LSU. Didn't really
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: buy the hype on, on, on Ole Miss after that win. Like,
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: I think they're telling you that they think Ole Miss
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: is a really good team, but maybe not an elite
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: team on the like national title tier. And logically that
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: makes sense to me just in terms of how their
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: roster is constructed.
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: And all of those things.
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: I don't know that I'd, ever drank the Kool-Aid on LSU,
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: even after they beat Clemson.
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: But I do struggle.
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: Like you're telling me we're already here with Aaron Philo
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: after just a couple starts. Like we're already in the
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: spot of, of Aaron Philo against Trinidad Chambliss and Philo is,
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: is the guy, right? Like he's, he's the favorite in
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: that matchup.
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: I struggle with it.
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: I think Florida is more complete. Offensively, Florida is more
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: complete with Jaden Ball. I'm just not picking against... I
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: made a personal vow to not pick against Trinidad Chambliss
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: in any situation, especially one that I think could be
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: a close game late in the fourth quarter until he
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: gives me a reason to readdress that. And so on
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: general principle, I am taking that three and a half
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: from Ole Miss and I'm rushing to the bank with it.
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: And I'm going to take Ole Miss outright to win
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: this game. But I do think there's a world where
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: we wake up on Sunday and we're talking about Florida
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: a little bit differently. Because I do think the emotional–
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: hangover from that LSU game could be very real. I
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: also think, though, that Pete Golding has an advantage in
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: that he was around Ole Miss in 2024 when they
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: won the big game against Georgia and then went to
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: Florida and flushed their playoff hopes.
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: And I think that he can use that maybe to
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: his favor.
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: I know Trinidad wasn't there, but there's guys that are
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: left over from that roster and that can kind of
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: help him refocus his team. So I think Ole Miss,
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: but close, close.
• 20:39
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that's a good point. And then also
• 20:41
  Speaker 3: last year, with all the distraction and all the emotion
• 20:43
  Speaker 3: that went into last year, I don't think they lost
• 20:47
  Speaker 3: to Miami after beating Georgia because of an emotional hangover.
• 20:49
  Speaker 3: I think Miami was just a little bit better. They
• 20:52
  Speaker 3: did a good job navigating the lane situation. We talked
• 20:56
  Speaker 3: about this last week. I don't so much buy into
• 20:58
  Speaker 3: the whole, oh, off-field stuff that's going on. Emotional hangovers
• 21:01
  Speaker 3: are very real, but Ole Miss has kind of shown
• 21:04
  Speaker 3: you over the last few years they do a good
• 21:05
  Speaker 3: job of navigating that. I'm right there with you, though. Florida,
• 21:08
  Speaker 3: wins this game, and I think there's a great chance
• 21:09
  Speaker 3: they're 6-0 to start this season. They play at Missouri next,
• 21:12
  Speaker 3: and I think they'll play South Carolina after that. I
• 21:14
  Speaker 3: actually think they're going to win both those games no
• 21:16
  Speaker 3: matter what happens here tonight, or not tonight, but this weekend.
• 21:20
  Speaker 3: So I'm taking Ole Miss, just kind of the same
• 21:23
  Speaker 3: reason as you, Trinidad believer, but it won't shock me
• 21:26
  Speaker 3: at all if Florida is able to win this game.
• 21:29
  Speaker 3: So it'll be a fun one. On to Athens, where
• 21:33
  Speaker 3: Georgia welcomes in an Oklahoma team that could not be
• 21:36
  Speaker 3: more different offensively and defensively. Just one of the best
• 21:39
  Speaker 3: defenses you'll find, one of the worst offenses you'll find
• 21:42
  Speaker 3: right now as far as their current level of play.
• 21:45
  Speaker 3: This is presented by PrizePix. You cover Georgia very closely
• 21:48
  Speaker 3: and do a great job with them. But on the
• 21:51
  Speaker 3: Oklahoma side, I don't know that there's many teams you
• 21:55
  Speaker 3: would want to go play when your offense is struggling defensively.
• 21:59
  Speaker 3: in this sec, but I certainly know that Kirby smarts
• 22:01
  Speaker 3: defense wouldn't be one of them. And so that, that
• 22:04
  Speaker 3: feels like a complete buzzsaw to me. If Georgia can
• 22:08
  Speaker 3: take care of business, but what are your thoughts or
• 22:10
  Speaker 3: are there any, is there any hope for Oklahoma this weekend?
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: Oh, there's hope for sure. Yeah.
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: I mean that, look, I think that Brent Venables is
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: a good coach. I think that we saw Oklahoma in
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: a spot last year at one point where their, their
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: back was kind of against the wall.
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: And they closed the season very strong. They came back.
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: They beat Alabama on the road when a lot of
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: people sort of had some of these similar labels around
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: their offense and feeling like, oh, Mateer sucks and they
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: can't do anything but hope to hit explosive plays with
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: Isaiah Cetania. That feels kind of like what people are
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: saying this week as well, and we saw them turn
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: that around by in part having some some big plays.
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: Defensively and, and turning, you know, turning Alabama over.
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: So I think when you've got a defense as good
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: as Oklahoma's defense, you always have a chance because it's
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: a high floor that can keep you in a game.
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: And it's never too late to figure something out offensively. The,
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: the mature quote about like using the crowd to realize
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: the guy was open. That would scare me a lot.
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: If I'm an Oklahoma fan, like that's a, that's a
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: pretty wild, admission. I'm not saying those things don't happen.
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: I just was kind of stunned that we got that
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: into the public domain.
• 23:34
  Speaker 3: Certain things happen. Certain things are just supposed to be unsaid.
• 23:37
  Speaker 3: That's the point. Don't say that. When you look at
• 23:42
  Speaker 3: this game, Georgia against Arkansas, we didn't do an Arkansas
• 23:46
  Speaker 3: preview because the spread was so big and obviously we'll
• 23:49
  Speaker 3: save Georgia for Some of their bigger matchups like this
• 23:51
  Speaker 3: one and others that will happen this year, the Florida
• 23:53
  Speaker 3: game and the Bama game. But Georgia, offensively, against a
• 23:58
  Speaker 3: really good Oklahoma defense. An Oklahoma defense that knows they
• 24:01
  Speaker 3: need to go basically do what they did against Michigan
• 24:03
  Speaker 3: and not have that big turnover at the end. They
• 24:05
  Speaker 3: need to hold them down. Now, they're playing an offense
• 24:07
  Speaker 3: that's much better than Michigan's offense was. But Oklahoma knows
• 24:10
  Speaker 3: what they need to do to go out and compete
• 24:12
  Speaker 3: in this game. They understand they're a two-touchdown dog in
• 24:14
  Speaker 3: this thing. Georgia's plan of attack... against an Oklahoma defense that,
• 24:19
  Speaker 3: though losing David Stone this week, which absolutely sucks, still
• 24:23
  Speaker 3: a really good front and a really good defense for
• 24:26
  Speaker 3: Brett Venables. Are you thinking that Georgia plays this, not conservatively,
• 24:31
  Speaker 3: but almost like Oklahoma's not going to take a lot
• 24:35
  Speaker 3: of risks and make Oklahoma prove that they can convert
• 24:39
  Speaker 3: before we really go crazy with this? Conservatively is the
• 24:42
  Speaker 3: wrong word. But is it kind of a, hey, we're
• 24:46
  Speaker 3: not going to make the mistakes that let them stick
• 24:48
  Speaker 3: around when they'll probably just do it themselves?
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: I am very curious what the approach is.
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: I don't think we've seen Georgia really open the playbook
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: yet offensively.
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: I mean, they went and just sat on the ball
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: at Arkansas. They ran the ball.
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: On 23 of their first 29 snaps, which got them
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: to halftime up 21-3.
• 25:09
  Speaker 2: And then they came out, went on like a.
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: Six-minute drive, turned Arkansas over three plays later, scored a touchdown,
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: three and outed them, and then hit a 61-yard bomb
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: to make it 38-3 and send everybody to the bench
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: with like 12 and a half minutes to go.
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: So I.
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: Think that this Georgia offense, the way that it is
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: being talked about nationally is kind of picking up the
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: baton from last year, where there's sort of this assumption
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: that They're maybe not that explosive. And Gunnar Stockton is
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: mid or whatever, you know, people want to say. And
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: I just think that people will be a little bit
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: surprised as this season goes on. I do think this
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: is a much more dynamic offense. I think this is
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: a different version of Gunnar Stockton than what we've seen so.
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: Far in his career. I think he has evolved as
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: a passer just in terms of he is not looking
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: to run the football anymore.
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: On passing downs anymore. He can still do it if
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: he needs to. He had a 60-yard rush last week
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: on a design run. But he is much more disciplined
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: in terms of keeping his eyes downfield and trying to
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: create explosives when things start breaking down. And it's like,
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: to me, that version of Gunnar Stockton is one that
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: Georgia could go very, very far with when you look
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: at what they've got on defense. So I think this
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: Georgia offense– It's tough to answer your question directly. I'm
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: not sure that running the ball into the teeth of
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: a really good Oklahoma front over and over is a
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: ton more safe.
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: I don't think you want.
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: To let Oklahoma hang around with Isaiah Cetania on the
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: other side. I just think that he's a guy who
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: can go 70 if you make a leverage mistake. which
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: Georgia's made a couple of this year, to be frank,
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: at the safety position. And I'm just not sure that
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: that's how you want to play this. And that will
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: be very fascinating to watch because I think that sometimes
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: there is a tendency, for lack of a better term,
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: with Kirby to feel good about his defense in a
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: game and really want to try and protect that defense.
• 27:35
  Speaker 2: And that would not be smart, in my opinion.
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: His rhetoric has been different throughout this off season and
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: really throughout the early season, like last week post game,
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: he was asked, was your team as physical as you
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: want them to be? And he was like, yeah, at times,
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: but that's not the only thing, right? Like I've seen
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: teams that are really explosive that aren't physical at all.
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: And it's just, he's thinking in those terms more than
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: I've ever seen him. Like this might be sort of
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: his Saban Kiffin moment, if that makes sense, where we're
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: seeing him, say, okay, I've got– yes, I want to
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: be able to run the ball and I want to
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: be able to do a lot of things that Georgia's
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: offense was able to do well last year.
• 28:19
  Speaker 2: But at the end of the day.
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: I've got to be able to have some easy points
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: and some easy yards that flip things. And I think
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: they'll look for explosive plays early. I think they'll try
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: and take advantage of an aggressive defense being aggressive and
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: try to find a way to kind of hit that
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: and get some things going.
• 28:41
  Speaker 3: Georgia defensively up against Oklahoma, an offense that has not
• 28:45
  Speaker 3: shown a lot this year outside of, I guess, the
• 28:47
  Speaker 3: UTEP game, which I don't know how much you read
• 28:50
  Speaker 3: into that or don't read into that because Michigan also
• 28:52
  Speaker 3: put a crap ton of points up on them for
• 28:54
  Speaker 3: the first time this year. But Georgia defensively, is it
• 28:59
  Speaker 3: truly about, like, you know, just not letting guys like
• 29:04
  Speaker 3: Satanga beat you? Like, is it a lot of too high? Like,
• 29:07
  Speaker 3: are they trying to get out? I mean, material... under
• 29:09
  Speaker 3: pressure hasn't been great. Just thoughts around like the way
• 29:12
  Speaker 3: they'll approach this game from that perspective when you do
• 29:14
  Speaker 3: know that it's an offense that's very much struggling.
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think there's, it certainly is. The Satania
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: storyline is a huge one. I think the Georgia run
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: defense is really salty. It was fourth nationally last year.
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: They returned pretty, you know, all but a couple of
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: guys up front. They, they are doing all the things
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: you want to see them do in terms of defending
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: the run early in the season. Not just that they
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: are stopping those plays, but just the way that they
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: play their edges and.
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: The way that everybody gets to the football.
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: It would surprise me a lot if Oklahoma came in
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: and just ripped off six yards per carry or something
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: like that.
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: I don't see that happening.
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: It becomes a question of You get Mateer into third
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: and long. Do you want to play him soft or
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: do you want to play him aggressively? I haven't seen
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: this Georgia pass rush really impress me yet in terms
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: of its front four. I think that their inside linebackers
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: are awesome when they use them in pressure packages. But
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: those inside linebackers are also great athletes. And I think
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: that if you look at Mateer right now, the thing
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: he might be most comfortable doing is throwing to Rocky Pierce.
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: that tight end of theirs. And they, they probably need
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: to do that in this game. Cause I just don't
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: know that Satania is the type of guy who material
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: is going to hit like nine times or something for
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: third down conversions or, or just like small chunk plays.
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: Like he's the one where you got to hit the
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: big wheel and, and hope that it busts. So I
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: just think that Georgia needs to not be conservative on
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: how they play Oklahoma and third down, obviously, but I
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: do think that it would be a mistake to just
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: assume material is going to not be able to hit
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: somebody in man to man coverage. I think that you're
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: talking about a quarterback who has expressed very openly that,
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: that he's not seeing the field right now. And I
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: think that goes back to all the things we were
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: just talking about with that Tennessee, Texas matchup, right? Where,
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: You want to vary your looks and you want to
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: drop a defensive line out. You want to find ways
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: to give him something different post-snap than what he reads pre-snap.
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: I think if Georgia does that, they will freeze him
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: on a lot of his first reads. That could help
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: his pass rush. It also could help him throw an
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: interception or two. I think Georgia will have plenty of
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: scheme in this game. I don't think they'll go one
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: way or the other, but I do expect Georgia's linebackers.
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: Like if you're wondering what they're doing on third downs, it'll,
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: it'll be fun to watch.
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: Where's Chris Cole.
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: Is he on the edge or is he lined up
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: over the tight end and the slot or somewhere like that?
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: And then where's Justin Williams, who is, has been very,
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: very good for them on, on blitz packages so far
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: this year had should have had two sacks last.
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: Week against Arkansas on like six or seven pass rush snaps.
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: So, uh, They'll have different things to show material, but
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: the time that they use them. The question for Oklahoma
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: in this game is, can you catch Georgia being a
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: little too aggressive once or twice and get someone loose
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: in man coverage for the big play that flips the
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: field and gets you points? And then hope your defense
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: can force a couple turnovers. That, to me, feels like
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: the game.
• 32:46
  Speaker 3: Huge number in this one. 14 points. It is in Athens. Again,
• 32:51
  Speaker 3: a lot of that has to do with how Oklahoma's
• 32:53
  Speaker 3: offense has looked. A lot of it has to do
• 32:54
  Speaker 3: with Oklahoma not really impressing last week. I expect Oklahoma
• 33:01
  Speaker 3: to play better. I just don't know if they can
• 33:02
  Speaker 3: get enough going offensively. Like, if you told me that
• 33:05
  Speaker 3: Georgia got to 28, I might feel good about this
• 33:08
  Speaker 3: spread there. And that's kind of where I'm at. Now,
• 33:12
  Speaker 3: if it is more of a rock fight, they're able
• 33:14
  Speaker 3: to do some things nicely defensively. Like, maybe that keeps
• 33:17
  Speaker 3: them around. I just I need to see it. I
• 33:22
  Speaker 3: am having a tough time believing that this game is ultra,
• 33:25
  Speaker 3: ultra competitive late in the fourth quarter. And I could
• 33:32
  Speaker 3: see Oklahoma covering, but I need to see it before
• 33:34
  Speaker 3: I'll say it. So I'll take UGA minus 14 in
• 33:37
  Speaker 3: this one. If it's a grinded out, lower scoring game
• 33:43
  Speaker 3: that Georgia wins... 21-13 and they don't cover the spread,
• 33:47
  Speaker 3: but it's never really in doubt. Kirby will be fine.
• 33:50
  Speaker 3: He wants to win games. I like Georgia to cover here.
• 33:56
  Speaker 3: I don't think that's too Homer-ish. I'm not just trying
• 33:58
  Speaker 3: to be nice to you. I've taken both upsets so far.
• 34:01
  Speaker 3: I guess I'll take one favorite on the points today.
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: I feel like this is a game that Georgia has
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: a pretty good shot at controlling. The David Stone news
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: is huge to me. It's But, I mean, the other
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: side of it is, like, Georgia did have Nate Frazier
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: go out of the game last Saturday at Arkansas.
• 34:22
  Speaker 2: He appears to be fine in the big picture.
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: But he's been playing at a really high level to
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: start the season, like, running over dudes legitimately. Like, as
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: physical of a running back as I've seen in a
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: Georgia uniform in a while. If that injury that he
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: had at Arkansas slows him, like, 25%, I do think
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: that changes the calculus a little bit for Georgia's ability
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: to run the football.
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: I still think they'll be able to run.
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: The football, but I just kind of feel like that
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: this could be a game that Georgia controls and wins,
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: but like Oklahoma backdoors it somehow and covers the spread.
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: The 14 feels like a lot. I think this is
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: a really good Georgia team. That's going to like be
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: back in a level of compete for a national title
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: from I know they've made the playoff the last two years,
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: but I think that this team has a higher ceiling than,
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: than any of the ones that we've seen since 2023.
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: So I'm, I'm picking Georgia to win, but I do
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: have a feeling that Oklahoma is gonna rally the troops
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: and that they're going to come in and that they're
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: going to play well and that they will, you know, have,
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: have some new stuff to show to Georgia in this
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: game and they will hit a player too. And, I
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: think this stays close through the first half, and I
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: think that Georgia wins and kind of pulls away and
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: wins by 10, but I'm not in the camp of
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: Georgia's going to go in and blow Oklahoma out in
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: this football game.
• 36:04
  Speaker 3: Let's finish up with Oregon and USC. It's really a
• 36:08
  Speaker 3: disservice that this game is not happening at 10.30 p.m.
• 36:11
  Speaker 3: Eastern time, a little Pac-12 after dark. But it is
• 36:14
  Speaker 3: a Big Ten night game, I guess. Not really after dark,
• 36:18
  Speaker 3: super late. But it won't be dark out there. It'll
• 36:21
  Speaker 3: be dark for us here on the East Coast, God's Coast.
• 36:23
  Speaker 3: But Oregon, USC, both these teams I think desperately need this.
• 36:28
  Speaker 3: And it is presented by PrizePix. But Oregon loses this
• 36:32
  Speaker 3: and I think they're done. Certainly I don't know that
• 36:36
  Speaker 3: they'd be statistically done. They'd go win the Big Ten
• 36:39
  Speaker 3: and be fine. But Your questions around them winning the
• 36:43
  Speaker 3: Big Ten would certainly be at an all-time high. USC,
• 36:46
  Speaker 3: kind of the same metric. If they lose this, they're
• 36:49
  Speaker 3: not out of it by any means, but they do
• 36:51
  Speaker 3: have road trips to Indiana and Happy Valley. They have
• 36:53
  Speaker 3: to play Ohio State at home. And it's almost like, man,
• 36:56
  Speaker 3: if you can't get Oregon right now when they're clearly
• 36:59
  Speaker 3: vulnerable and they've clearly got issues, if you can't get
• 37:02
  Speaker 3: them now, who are you going to get and win ever?
• 37:05
  Speaker 3: So I think this game is of massive importance for
• 37:07
  Speaker 3: both teams. probably slightly more important for Oregon because they
• 37:10
  Speaker 3: do already have the loss. Um, but man, USC didn't
• 37:13
  Speaker 3: look great last week, certainly defensively, uh, against Rutgers. Um, what, yeah,
• 37:22
  Speaker 3: let's just roll with a big picture thought here on
• 37:24
  Speaker 3: this one before we get started.
• 37:27
  Speaker 2: I mean, can anybody stop the other team? That's my
• 37:29
  Speaker 2: big picture thought like USC just gave up. What was it?
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: 35 or 42 to Rutgers in that game.
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: Uh, in a game that they had a hundred yard
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: pick six, they gave up 35 points to Rutgers. That
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: game was 42, 35 USC and Rutgers, you know, goes
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: off for 35 points after they had a whole drive
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: where they drove all the way down the field and
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: didn't score.
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: Like that's an insane.
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: I mean, the total yards in that game were four
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: 61 to Southern Cal and four 60 to Rutgers.
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: Like, It was bad.
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: It was a Rutgers team that we saw, you know,
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: get whipped in week one by you.
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 38:14
  Speaker 3: And then lose to the ACC's worst in Boston college
• 38:16
  Speaker 3: the very next week. Correct. So, yeah, not a good
• 38:20
  Speaker 3: Rutgers team. This isn't like Greg Shiano part one when
• 38:24
  Speaker 3: they were decent.
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: Yeah. You let Dylan Lonergan go for.
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: 18 and 36 and two tutties.
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: That's not terrible. I mean, they, they picked them off twice.
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: But the thing that should worry you if you're a
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: USC fan is they still can't stop the run. They
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: cannot stop the run. And Oregon will run the football
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: in this game. And I just think that there was
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: this early season conversation that was happening of, oh, Gary
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: Patterson is exactly what Lincoln Riley has always needed, and
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: he's going to bring.
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: This edge to USC's defense and blah, blah, blah.
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: And it's like, no, I mean, they're still USC and
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: he's still Lincoln Riley and they're soft. Like they're soft
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: on defense. They've always been soft on defense. That's just
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: who he is. That's the program that he runs. And
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: until proven otherwise, that's who he's going to be in
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: my eyes. My position on USC throughout this year is
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: kind of been, Hey, lots of great young talent that probably,
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: has a shot to maybe like really compete for a
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: national title in 2027, but 2026 might be about, can
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: you ruin the season for a couple other teams, not
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: go and have your own run to glory. And that
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: Rutgers game, made me feel like that's probably more likely
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: what we see.
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: They don't play well on the road, but they ain't
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: going on the road this week.
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: They're bringing Oregon to Los Angeles, and I do think
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: that they will probably have a shot to get a
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: big crowd in there at 4-0 against Oregon. I know
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: that Oregon's not– the luster's off Oregon a little bit
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: after that Oklahoma State game, but you would have to
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: think anyone that's a real USC fan– and understands this
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: rivalry would, would be excited for this game in LA.
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: So I, I do think that they'll have a good
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: crowd and I think that they'll be fired up for
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: this matchup.
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: And I think that they have a.
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: Shot to play better defensively than they did last week
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: without all the travel across country.
• 40:38
  Speaker 3: Oregon. Last time we saw them, they put about 4
• 40:40
  Speaker 3: billion points up on a essentially high school team. Um,
• 40:45
  Speaker 3: So I don't know how much we really learned there.
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: That was a joke, dude.
• 40:47
  Speaker 3: Yeah, we learned that the offense can get rolling against
• 40:50
  Speaker 3: a really bad team. But the last time that we
• 40:52
  Speaker 3: saw them against anybody with a pulse was that Oklahoma
• 40:55
  Speaker 3: State game. And so I kind of wonder the same
• 40:57
  Speaker 3: thing for them. And I wonder if this just ends
• 40:59
  Speaker 3: up becoming like a massive shootout. We've looked at a
• 41:01
  Speaker 3: lot of games this week that we think will be
• 41:04
  Speaker 3: kind of high scoring. But is this kind of a man?
• 41:07
  Speaker 3: Maiava is going to get his and more is going
• 41:09
  Speaker 3: to get his. And one of them is probably going
• 41:11
  Speaker 3: to make a mistake or two, too many. And that's
• 41:13
  Speaker 3: the way it goes down. Like, do you have, do
• 41:14
  Speaker 3: you have a lot of confidence in Oregon's defense either?
• 41:16
  Speaker 2: Uh, no, I don't.
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, I have more confidence in Oregon's defense than
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: I do USC's defense.
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: Oregon has shown the.
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: Ability to, you know, I will say both these defenses
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: have created a decent amount of havoc this year. And
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: I think that's the interesting piece of it is on
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: a down to down basis. USC's defense is still what
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: we've come to expect. Um, but they are playing a
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: style that is kind of high risk, high reward.
• 41:45
  Speaker 2: And leads to things like a hundred yard pick six. Right.
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: And I think that that is the story of this
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: game is like, who can maintain that throttle on offense and,
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: and play at that wide open base that they want
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: to play at in terms of scoring the points without
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: making that mistake. And who's going to be stupid enough
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: to cross that line from, brave and reckless. Coming into
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: the season, I would have been like, oh, it will
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: definitely be Jaden Maiava that makes a big mistake here.
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: I'm not sure about that right now.
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure that Dante Moore doesn't make a big
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: mistake in this game just as much as I think
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: Maiava is capable of it. I look at the Oregon defense.
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: They do some nice things in terms of.
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: Kind of like they've.
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: Not gotten totally killed in the passing game. Their secondary
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: has been okay at times in certain respects. So can
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: USC run the ball, right? And can Oregon get– can
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: like Bear Alexander and some of these guys on the
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: Oregon front, are they ready to play this year yet?
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: Or are they just kind of.
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: Taking a pass on 2026 and cashing the NIL checks?
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: I think that's the question.
• 43:06
  Speaker 3: What's the biggest difference in this game to you?
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know that there is a huge difference between
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: these two teams right now. Honestly, I think they're both
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: good offense, bad defense. They're both former Pac-12 schools, but
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: they've got kind of a former Big 12.
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: Vibe to them at the moment, honestly.
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: I think that Oregon's got more high-end talent in places
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: defensively that You need it like up front, but I
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: think that USC just recruited a bunch of it.
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: And so if.
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: You're already kind of bad on offense as, as USC is,
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: I'm sorry, if you're bad on defense as USC is,
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: why not throw some of these young guys out there
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: who are super talented and let them go? I'll say
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: this though, like from a sustained drives standpoint, in terms
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: of if someone's ahead fourth quarter, and they need to
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: go and kill the clock. I think USC has the
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: capability to do more in terms of their offense looks very,
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: very comfortable right now, whether it's throwing the ball, running
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: the ball, throwing downfield, running screen game.
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: They can do a little bit of everything.
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: I think they're very well-rounded offensively, and Dante Moore has
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: not looked that comfortable.
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: So I think maybe the biggest.
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: Difference between these two teams, I know that Oregon just
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: blew out Portland State, but I think USC has cause
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: to feel like they're in rhythm coming into this game
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: and that being in rhythm counts for a lot offensively
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: and once you're in it, it can be hard to
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: knock a team out of it.
• 44:55
  Speaker 3: This spread shows Oregon minus two and a half on
• 44:59
  Speaker 3: the road at USC obviously two West Coast teams, so
• 45:03
  Speaker 3: you do travel down south, but you're not having to
• 45:05
  Speaker 3: go Across time zones, maybe if you're a USC fan
• 45:08
  Speaker 3: and you're going class all the way full, you're hoping
• 45:10
  Speaker 3: that it was just the time zone coming to Eastern
• 45:12
  Speaker 3: time that messed you up last week.
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: Maybe it was.
• 45:16
  Speaker 3: Which is a real thing, but also it was still
• 45:19
  Speaker 3: Rutgers too.
• 45:20
  Speaker 2: That's true.
• 45:23
  Speaker 3: I really don't know in this one. I'll tell you
• 45:25
  Speaker 3: the truth. I think I just have a little bit
• 45:27
  Speaker 3: more confidence in Oregon's defense to get a couple more stops.
• 45:31
  Speaker 3: But I do think that if either team plays with
• 45:33
  Speaker 3: the lead, that certainly favors... well, it would favor USC
• 45:37
  Speaker 3: a lot, but if it's back and forth, I can
• 45:40
  Speaker 3: see Oregon's defense making one more stop than I can USC's.
• 45:44
  Speaker 3: I think this is a close game. I think it's
• 45:45
  Speaker 3: a good game. I think I like Oregon with the points.
• 45:49
  Speaker 3: I'll say high scoring, 34-31. I don't know, something in
• 45:54
  Speaker 3: that range. It's a really pretty score. It's probably not
• 45:56
  Speaker 3: going to be that pretty, but something like that. I
• 45:58
  Speaker 3: think Oregon wins close. If this game got away from
• 46:01
  Speaker 3: either team, I would probably lean Oregon too in thinking
• 46:05
  Speaker 3: that they got a little bit more done. Their defense
• 46:07
  Speaker 3: got a couple more stops, but I'll go with the
• 46:09
  Speaker 3: ducks here. Very little confidence, just making a pick because
• 46:13
  Speaker 3: we're making picks.
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean, there was a reason why Oregon was
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: a national title favorite or the national title favorite.
• 46:23
  Speaker 2: For a lot of people. It is a young season.
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: We watched Notre Dame lose Northern Illinois and go on
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: and play in a national title game just a couple
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: of years ago.
• 46:33
  Speaker 2: Right?
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: Like, There's a lot that can happen over the course
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: of a college football season.
• 46:38
  Speaker 2: I question the coordinator hires that Dan Lanning made.
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: I think that his former boss, Kirby Smart, made a
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: similar mistake at one point in his career on the
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: internal promotion chain and had to go and fix it
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: and hire Todd Monken. That's going to be the evolution
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: for Dan this offseason. Before all that, there is a
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: season of football to play. I And with you, if
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: you look at the Oregon front, with you, Uyunglele, and
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: Bear Alexander, they've got more guys that I think can
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: make that big play.
• 47:12
  Speaker 2: Where they get the strip sack and turn the opponent over.
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: But I am very curious, what is the consistency of
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: performance going to be?
• 47:23
  Speaker 2: How will they show up? I don't think that Dan
• 47:26
  Speaker 2: Lanning is in.
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: The elite coaching tier yet, but I do think he's
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: a really, really, really good coach. I think that I
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: trust him to get his team off the mat more
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: than I trust Lincoln Riley. I think Lincoln Riley has
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: given us pretty much a decade now sample size of
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: exactly who he is.
• 47:47
  Speaker 2: He's the type of team that is going.
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: To give up 42 points to Rutgers and get into
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: shootouts that they shouldn't get into and then probably.
• 47:55
  Speaker 2: Come really close in a game like this.
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: But not quite get over the hump. That's, that's the,
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: the USC way lately. So until proven otherwise, and maybe
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: this young talent helps improve.
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: Otherwise I'm on the Oregon train, Oregon minus three.
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: Feels like one of those lines that like, if you
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: do believe in all those things that I just said,
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: if you do believe in Dan landing versus Lincoln Riley,
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: if you do believe in sort of this Oregon roster,
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: just coming together and getting like re-engaged in this season
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: properly with a.
• 48:28
  Speaker 2: A potential top five overall pick at quarterback.
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: This would be a really nice spot because I don't
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: think anybody coming into the season thought you'd be able
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: to bet Oregon at a field goal favorite against USC.
• 48:41
  Speaker 3: Should be a fun one. A lot of good stuff
• 48:43
  Speaker 3: this weekend. Hey guys, make sure you are subscribed to
• 48:47
  Speaker 3: college football addiction. Make sure you're subscribed where we saw
• 48:49
  Speaker 3: this to dog central as well. Graham does a good job,
• 48:53
  Speaker 3: not only with UGA, but a lot of good stuff
• 48:55
  Speaker 3: over there on their site. We will continue to do
• 48:58
  Speaker 3: this week after week where we go into deep dives
• 49:01
  Speaker 3: for three or four or five of the biggest games
• 49:03
  Speaker 3: of the week. Today we did Tennessee, Texas. We did
• 49:06
  Speaker 3: Ole Miss, Florida, USC, Oregon, and then that last one.
• 49:10
  Speaker 3: Why is it slipping my mind now what we did
• 49:13
  Speaker 3: on that last one? Georgia, Oklahoma. Yeah, Georgia, Oklahoma. I
• 49:16
  Speaker 3: just talked about Dog Central. So some big stuff going
• 49:18
  Speaker 3: on this weekend. We've got another good week. next week
• 49:20
  Speaker 3: coming up, so make sure you are subscribed. Graham, thanks
• 49:22
  Speaker 3: for hanging out, bud.
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: Absolutely. Thanks for having me, TJ.