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NCAAB + NBA + NHL + NFL Best Bets Sunday 11/16/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you above that I just
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses,
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four that have
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with wickends slump that
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: I'm on. The slump continues, I've reached a new peak. Actually,
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: I'm going to burn my Bruins hat. Man, I don't
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: know what is going on with the Bruins. March Hape,
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: March ninth. I think who even knows? Man, I don't
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: know what data is anymore. But I don't even know
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: what data is anymore. Man, back with you after the
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: worst day that I could possibly have, Back with you
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: as I always am until I die at least oh
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this. I don't know what to
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: even tell you about this anymore. Slump, slump, discontinuous, the
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: know what I should do at this point, other than
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: potentially end it all. What's up, orbody, it's sowed back
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: with you better off dead? I mean toad seel sports.
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: I'm never gonna stop doing that. Sunday, November sixteenth, Thanks
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: guys for hanging out. Hanging out last night for the
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: NFL show. I still think my turn my game down
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: a little bit here. Actually, even though I know you
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: guys think my mike is always too low, I'm listening
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: to it right now and I'm like, no, I think
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: this is a little bit better in my opinion, but
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: maybe I should listen to the audience. I feel like,
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I'm no sleep. I did my video
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: for the Europe game that's already happening and probably gonna
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: be a loser on Washington. So that was one of
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: my NFL plays. I will reiterate the rest of my
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: NFL plays at the end of the show. We got
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: to get into this, man, because I have a lot
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: of college basketball players today, probably more than I've ever
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: had on a Sunday before. I just can't stop myself.
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: Hopefully college basketball continues to do all right, and then
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna give about to NBA plays. I got nothing
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: in hockey today, which I did miss one of the
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: hockey games, so we'll talk about that shortly. I forgot
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: that one of the games was an early start time
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: because it's in Sweden, so I'm pretty sick of all
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: that bs, all this Europe bs. But whatever, Jeff Free,
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: what's up? Man? Thanks for hanging out. If you go
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: back and watch the NFL show I talked about yesterday,
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: where we're depending on what number you got in that
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: UC Irvine game, it was an eight four and one
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: day or an eight five, eight and five day. I
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: mean it was a winning day, so I'll take it.
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: All right. Let's get into today college basketball. I mean,
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna try to get through this as quickly as
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: I can, as I usually say, which is never fast.
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: But lots going on in college basketball here. The college
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: basketball slate does start at noon first, actually, yeah, read
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: at noon. I'm gonna have a play, So let's let's
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: just get to it. Best bets we're already doing it.
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: It's the best bets segment already. Whatever, we're gonna lay
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: the points with UNBC. With Maryland Baltimore County here against Wagner,
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: I mean unb C. These are two bad teams, although
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: UNBC is still the better of these two teams obviously,
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: as you can ce based on the line. But I
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: think this is a spot to fade Wagner. I know
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: it might look easy to do because they're own three.
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: They are battle tested to a decent extent because they
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: played VCUS Seaton Hall and Fordham. But Wagner played Seaton
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: Hall to within seven points and then they turned around.
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: All these games are on the road, by the way,
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: and then they turned around and they played Fordham to
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: within two points. And those are big games because the
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: Seaton Hall win is a big East team and Wagner
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: played pretty well against them. Seton Hall though they're down
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: the last two years and they're notorious for playing really slow,
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: low paid, like slope paced, low scoring games. Then Wagner
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: turned around and this was actually a big game for
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: them at Fordham because Wagner is in Staten Island, Fordham
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: is in the Bronx. So I think Wagner does consider
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: this to be like a little brother big brother situation.
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: Fordham was a twelve and a half point favorite in
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: this game, and Wagner came fairly close to winning this game.
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: This game was within reach. Wagner was winning for the
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: first half. They lost the lead, they retook it later
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: in the game, and they were still within I mean
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: it was a tied game with a few minutes left,
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: and then they were still within one or two possessions
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: all the way down the stretch, and they actually tied
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: it again in the final minute and fell just short.
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: So after Wagner did that, I think they're going to
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: be in a hangover spot. They now have to go
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: down to UNBC, to Maryland Baltimore County, And of course,
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: the one time that Wagner has played this far south
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: at all was at VCU, and they got destroyed by
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: VCU by twenty nine of the VCU is obviously a
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: lot better than UNBC, but still Wagner has not done
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: well when they've been away from New York, New Jersey.
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: Those were big games for them. They do have Georgetown
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: up next as well, so they play another Big East team.
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: That's a potential look ahead for Wagner as well, because
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: that's one of their remaining big conference games on the schedule,
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: they might not be totally focused for this game. And
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: Wagner also likes to play slow, UNBC does not. UNBC
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: likes to play fast, so that might be a problem
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: if you look at the tempos for these teams that
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: they've played. Fordham is a very slow paced team. Seaton
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: Hall is a very slow paced team, so those played
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: right into Wagner's hands. Basically, VCU plays fast this year
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: and VCU destroyed them. So the only fast paced team
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: that Wagner's faced this year, they got run out of
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: the building. They played well against these slow based teams.
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: Now they have to play another fast paced team. It's
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: all pretty much adding up for UNBC in this one man.
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: And it's a fourth straight road game for Wagner as well.
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: They haven't even played at home yet and UNBC. I
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: thought they were in a bad spot in their last game.
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: I gave out a lean I think on the show
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: on Morgan State didn't give it out as a play,
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: but Morgan State was able to cover that number against
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: UNBC because UNBC played tough against Dayton at Dayton. Of course,
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: Dayton is also a slow paced team, but Dayton is
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: much much better than Wagner and UNBC. That was a
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: big game for them, falling just short by six points.
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: I thought UNBC would be in a bit of a
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: hangover spot after that, playing on the road. Now they've
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: had a bunch of days off, they're back home. You
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: could argue maybe it's a little bit of a look
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: ahead to George Washington next, because that's a Baltimore, Washington
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: area big brother, little brother situation. But I don't really
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: think so. After UNBC knows that they didn't play well
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: against Morgan State, I think they're gonna show up. It's
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: a really bad spot for Wagner. So we're gonna lay
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: it with UNBC in this one. No real indicators on
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: the in the market here. You Although the total has
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: gone down, which I don't love to see. It's a
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: low total, so I don't love, you know, I don't
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: necessarily love that we're laying a favorite with a low total,
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: but it is still basketball, and it's only a seven
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: point number there, so that's not horrible. But yeah, I
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: like it. Dirty sock, what sab Thanks for hanging out? Uh? Yeah,
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: Jeffrey had a winning day yesterday. Nice. The Washington Commander's
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: the Redskins. Baby. They better get this done, man. Yeah,
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: hopefully they get it done. I also decided to play
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: Mariota and Fantasy over Mahomes because Mahomes is up against
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: Denver's defense. It's the only time where I'm probably not
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: gonna play Mahomes. I still have Mariota from the Mahomes
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: bye week last week. He's actually been decent and this
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: Miami defense is terrible, so I decided to just go
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: with Mariota. I think it was a close call because
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: Mahomes has been really good this year, but that's what
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: I did. Hopefully it's not gonna screw me my main
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: fantasy league. But I am eight and two, so whatever,
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: all right. I forgot to mention yesterday, So we have
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: Wright State Kent State here. There are a bunch of
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: games being played in Sulfur Springs, West Virginia, which is
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: some early season tournament. The Greenbrier tip Off has multiple
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: different divisions. I forgot to mention this yesterday because I
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: don't think I talked about any of the games yesterday.
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: This game both these teams that they did play yesterday.
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: Right State destroyed Radford in this Tournament yesterday. The Radford
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: maybe somewhat of a mediocre team, although I think that
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: was an upset for Right State. Yeah, Right State pulled
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: out a six and a half point upset in that one,
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: so Right State might be up against it here against
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: a Kent State team that's considerably better than Radford. Kent
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: State is one of the better teams in the MAC.
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: Kent State barely got by a pretty weak Cleveland State
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: team yesterday, and Cleveland State, you got to think they
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: got up for that game against Kent State because that's
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: an Ohio rivalry sort of there. Cleveland State probably considers
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: themselves to be a little brother to Kent State in Ohio.
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: Although I think Right State is actually in Pittsburgh. I
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: think I was gonna say I think they're in Ohio too. No,
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: I think they're actually in Pittsburgh. But whatever, I think
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: Kent State. The fact that they only beat Cleveland State
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: by seven as eleven and a half point five favorites
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: yesterday and didn't do particularly well in that game, I
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: think Kent State does turn it around after that. They
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: didn't look that good yesterday. Right State looked too good
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: against Radford, so I would lean to laying it with
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: Kent State in this one throughout from three and a
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: half to four seventy five percent of the tickets eighty
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: four percent of the cash on them. That's not a
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: play for me, but that is a lean in that
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: one stacks. What's up? Thanks for hanging out all right?
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame in Ohio State interesting at twelve thirty pm
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: here in Fox Sports one. Apparently those Sulfur Springs games
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: aren't even televised, so that you might be able to
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: find streams for those, Probably you can. Ohio State is
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: definitely the better of these two teams. These two teams
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: have not really been tested yet. Notre Dames had a
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: very easy schedule so far, and Ohio State has had
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: a pretty easy schedule as well. I believe a little
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: bit stronger than Notre Dames has been Notre Dame. I mean,
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: they're not very good in basketball right now. Although interesting,
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: Ohio State is only an eight point favorite here. Ohio State,
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: They're not like this up rational on team right now though,
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: third team that's probably gonna be in the mix to
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: make the tournament this year. I would say they were
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: kind of in that mix last year and they fell short.
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: But I think Ohio State will be a little bit
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: better than that this year. I would lean to laying
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: it with Ohio State here. I think they are the
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: better team. They're up from eight to eight with juice here,
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: fifty percent of the cash on them, fifty nine percent
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on Notre Dame. Yeah, I would lay
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: it with Ohio State if I was gonna play it.
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: It is the first true road game for Notre Dame
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: as well, so that's not gonna be easy. Although you
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: figure they will get up for a game against Ohio State,
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: but Ohio State is still the better team right now.
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: It's not gonna be easy for them. So that's my
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: quick opinion on that. Hampton and holy Cross, my wooster
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: boys from Holy Cross playing in Providence, so this is
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: not a true home game for holy Cross. They're playing
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: at the Beats at Dolla Center, which is I don't know.
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: Is that where the Providence Wins play. I don't know.
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: I'm not even sure the Brewins minor league team there,
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: I don't even know. But Hampton not a good team.
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: Holy Cross also not a good team. Hampton is already
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: in Providence because they did just play at Brown, which
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: actually this This is actually Brown's home stadium, I think
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: the Pizzatola because so Hampton has an advantage here because
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: they did just play at Brown, so they're gonna be
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: used to this arena from playing there already. They do
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: play Boston College next though, so they could be a
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: little bit of a look ahead. And they did beat
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: Brown in that game, so they actually I was gonna
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: say they pulled off an upset, although it was a
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: minor upset in the College Hill Classic, because I think Brown,
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're just not really that good. This is
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: also part of the College Hill Classic, so yes, this
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: is hosted by Brown, So my mistake there. Holy Cross
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: in their last game they were actually they have not
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: played in this tournament yet and they're actually coming back
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: from they played in Providence and it's on November three,
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: and then since then they've been into Utah against BYU
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: and Utah. Now they're coming back home or not home,
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: they're coming back to Providence. The play of this so
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: the travel spot is kind of weird for holy Cross.
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: So I see advantages going both ways in this game,
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: which is why I don't want to play it. You
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: could argue holy Cross is not as bad as their
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: own three record looks because they face three big conference
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: teams to start the season, all on the road, so
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: they've had a difficult schedule so far. So them at
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: own three versus Hampton at two and two isn't exactly
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: what it looks like by just looking at the records.
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: Hampton is still the better team. They're down from five
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: to four and a half here. I mean, I'm not
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: looking to play the holy Cross side here though, though
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: I do think Hampton could be looking ahead to BC
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: like I said, but Hampton is now, you know, familiarized
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: with this venue, and the travel spot for holy Cross
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: is a little bit weird, so I don't love it.
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: South Florida at Kansas State, I would lean to Kansas
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: State here. South Florida just put up one hundred points.
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: They put up almost one hundred points in all three games.
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: But their two wins are against Florida A and M
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: and Coppin State, so those are not impressive victories, even
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: though they did blow them out. Both teams, those are
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: both they're not impressive opponents. And South Florida did lose
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: at home to George Washington. Although Georgia Washington, I think
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be one of the better A ten teams.
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: But that's still not good really for South Florida losing
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: that game at home or no, that wasn't at home,
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: never mind that was a neutral site in Uncasville, Connecticut
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: at Mohegan Sun that was a neutral site game, so
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: my mistake, and South Florida I think was a small
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: favorite there. Now South Florida is facing their first true
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: road game at Kennesaw and after this they do have
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: to face Oklahoma State vcu Utah State, so they have
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: bigger games coming up after this. Although I know Oklahoma
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: State's been down, but they are still a big twelve
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: teams So first true road game not easy. Plus Florida
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: might start looking ahead a little bit. I like Kennisau
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: State on them. Maybe the fact that they're three to zero,
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: maybe South Florida will take them a little bit more seriously.
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: Knnessas State also beat Florida A and M, although didn't
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: beat them by as much of a margin as South
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: Florida did. Kennisaw's other two wins are both against non
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: Division one teams, so they haven't really done anything yet,
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: but I think they're a decent team in the Conference
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: USA right now. This program has gotten fairly decent over
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: the last few years when they were in the A SUN,
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: I believe, and now they're up in the CUSA. So
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: they moved up. Moved up for a reason because they've
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: been playing pretty well at the same time that their
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: football team has been improving as well, and moved up
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: to FPS Kennesaw. Yeah, they moved up in a conference
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: in basketball. They were already D one in basketball as well,
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: but they moved up conferences. I think they're gonna show up.
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: I mean, South Florida is gonna be one of their
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: bigger opponents that they faced this year. I think you're
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: probably getting too many points. He Kennesaw is definitely a
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: decent team. South Florida is up to a seven point favorite,
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: sixty four percent of tickets only sixty one percent of
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: the casual on them. It's a high total in this
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: game though, because they think both teams actually like to
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: push the pace and play fast. But I would look
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: to take the points with Kennesaw in that one that
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: is down in Georgia for that one, which is where
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: Kennesaw is. Next time, I'm gonna give out a play
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: here and this is man, I know I'm playing on
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: some real ugly teams, and I know this is one
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: of them, but I think there's a reason to do
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: it here. We're gonna take Central Arkansas plus the eight
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: and a half here against Samford. This is all about
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: the spot man Samford. Yeah, I know they faced some
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: more difficult schedules so far. There's still one of the
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: decent teams in the SOACON. But they just took Arkansas
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: to the limit. Dude. They played two overtime games this week,
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: although one of them they had to go to overtime
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: to beat Texas Southern, which is not that impressive. Although
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: Texas Southern is at least one of the better swack teams.
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: I do think Sanford is a bit down this year,
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: but they went to Arkansas, man and Arkansas twenty first
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: in the country. It's John Calipari their sec. We know
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: Arkansas is a pretty solid team they made the Sweet
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: sixteen last year, and Samford is twenty four and a
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: half point favorites. They gave Arkansas all they could handle
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: in this game. Man, Samford basically took Arkansas almost to
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: the limit in this game. If you look at the
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: game flow, it wasn't quite that close. I mean it
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: was a little bit out of reach. Arkansas was up
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: double digits later in the game after Sanford was within
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: one possession in the middle of the second half, but
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: Sanford did not go away, and they cut it back
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: to single digits. They were back to within six points
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: in the final minutes. They're actually back within two possessions
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: in the final minute, and then they wound up only
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: losing by four. So Samford did not go away. That
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: was a huge game for them. They fell just short.
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: Now they get Central Arkansas, third straight road game. I
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: don't know if they're gonna be able to get back
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: up off the mat man and get up for a
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: bad Central Arkansas team. I don't really see it. They
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: do a Florida Gulf Coast up next. I don't know
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: if that's really a look ahead, but Gulf Coast is
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: at least a better team than Central Arkansas. And people
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: are gonna look at this and say, well, wait a minute,
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: Sanford just almost beat Arkansas, and I think that was
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: at Arkansas, and Central Arkansas just went to Arkansas Tuesday
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: and lost by almost forty points, so obviously Sanford's gonna
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: blow out Central Arkansas here, right, And then you look
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: at the line only being eight and a half. It
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: looks so easy to lay the points with Sanford when
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: they have this common opponent, Arkansas, and you know, Sanford
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: did like thirty something points better in that game than
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: Central Arkansas did, so yeah, it looks like Sanford should
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: blow them out here. So there's something weird about this
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: line here. Man. Sanford is not as good this year
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: as they have been in the last couple of years.
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: Central Arkansas their two losses so far against North Carolina
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: and Arkansas, both on the road, so they got blown out.
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: But you can't really blame them for losing those two games.
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: I mean that was obviously expected and they were thirty
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: five and a half point underdogs against Arkansas, so that
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: would indicate that Sanford is about eleven or so points
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: better based on that number than Central Arkansas. Though this
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: is at home for Central Arkansas, so eight and a
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: half seems like, you know, the line is probably about
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: right based on those based on the games that they
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: played against Arkansas. But this is all about the spot.
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: You can actually get nine and a half now, so
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: maybe I should actually change it some money. Looks like
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: it's come in early on Samford, but I think Central
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: Arkansas is the right play here. You'll be able to
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: get plus nine nine and a half. I'll edit it
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: in the description if that's the number now, so we'll
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: go with that one as well. What Sanford owned to ATS? Well, yeah,
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: I guess the other games are against Division two teams. Yeah,
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: I mean, well, wait a minute, what Sanford's not owned
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: to ATS? They obviously covered against Arkansas? What. I don't
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: know what you're talking about. They probably covered against Tulane.
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: Oh no, they didn't. They were seven and a half
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: point underdogs. They lost by fifteen thirteen. Excuse me. I
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: thought they might have covered that one too. Maybe you
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: mean Sanford is a favorite, Yeah, Sanford is a favorite.
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: Is owned two if that's what you mean. They didn't
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: cover against South Carolina State or Texas Southern, I believe,
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: Oh no, they did. They covered. They were two and
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: a half against Texas Southern on the closing line at least,
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: so I think they're like one and one on the
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: closing line. But whatever, they haven't been. They have not
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: been good as a favorite though, So that is a
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: good point. All right. Loyola Maryland at Fairfield. Just because
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: I was kind of talking about these teams. Fairfield just
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: escaped against stone Hill the other day, so they almost
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: lost to you know, my Massachusetts guys, stone Hill. There,
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: Fairfield got taken to the limit, taken to overtime a
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: six and a half point favorites by stone Hill. So
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: that's gonna make Stonehill look pretty decent. Well, it's gonna
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: make Fairfield look not that good, excuse me. And Loyal
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: and Maryland just covered against stone Hill, which that was
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: a lean I gave out on the show yesterday. They
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: only won by eleven, but they did cover. I think
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: they were like a seven point favorite. Whatever. It was,
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: so Loyal and Maryland they looked like the better team
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: because they both had this common opponent. But Loyol and
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: Maryland played yesterday and they looked better against stone Hill,
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: whereas Fairfield played two days ago and almost lost to
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: stone Hill. So it's gonna look pretty easy to want
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: to take Fairfield, you know, you want to take Loyal
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: and Maryland excuse me in this game. These games were
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: all at Fairfield's gym, by the way, so Fairfield is
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: the home team. But I wouldn't do it. I would
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: probably lean towards Fairfield in this one because they're the
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: team that looked worse. They are still at home. Although
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: it is weird though that both teams are a six
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite against stone Hill, So even
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: though it was at Fairfield's gym, it was like, well,
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: why did Fairfield not get like home court advantage, because
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: based on those lines both being the same, that would
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: actually be the os makers telling you that if you
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: subtract Fairfield's home field home court advantage, they would actually
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: be telling you that Loyal and Maryland is actually the
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: better team. But now this line has come out like
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: the teams are basically even, Fairfield up from three to
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: three and a half. So I actually think this line
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: is a little bit too high, and maybe the odds
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: makers are adjusting for that zigzag, but just based on
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: the fact that they were both the same size favorite
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: in the same gym against stone Hill, that doesn't make
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: sense to me exactly. So this line, to me, it
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: seems like this line should be closer to a pick them,
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: and then in that case, obviously I would lean to
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: Fairfield there because they look bad. I still kind of
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: lean that way, but the number just doesn't look right
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: to me, if that all makes sense, So I'm gonna
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: stay away from that. Yeah, that's all right, dude, I do.
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: I don't know anything. Like in the morning, I'm all
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: like messed up. I don't even know what I'm doing.
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: I can't even think straight, so I don't know. I
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: don't even sleep. Next up, here's another play for you.
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: We're gonna fade Wake Forest. We're gonna take UMass Lowell
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: plus twenty eight and a half. Oh yeah, this is
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: gonna be fun U mass Lowell. These guys suck. And
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: I know Wake Forest does. I believe like to push
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: the pace, so I know this is gonna be a
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: pace in collision Wake Forest. But and I know Kent
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: Palm as Wake Forest is a very very uh yeah,
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: unlucky team so far, so that means they're actually underperforming.
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: So those are types of teams that I don't usually
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: like to fade. Although U mass Lowell actually does play
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: faster this year, so I don't think they'll be that
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: thrown off by that tempo. But U mass Lowell is
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: actually even lower in Ken Palm's luck index, So both
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: these teams have been really unlucky so far. According to
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: Kent Palm, UMass Lowell has been horrific defensively. But this
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: is all about the spot man, this is all about
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: fading wake Forest. Wake Forest. They just took Michigan, number
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: six in the country, to the absolute limit. Man. They
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: took them to overtime. It's fifteen, yeah, fifteen and a
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: half point underdogs. Huge performance from wake Forest. Michigan had
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: a lot of turnovers. Kind of unlikely that for a
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: home team to lose the turnover battle like that, seventeen turnovers.
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: That was something that factored into that game. Wake Forest
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: did shoot terribly though, and still almost won the game,
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: which worries me a little, but Michigan was terrible from
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: three point range sixteen percent. I still think Michigan came
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: into this game not really taking wake Forest that seriously.
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: But Wake Forest they went all out. Man. This game
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: was in Detroit, Michigans as well, so this is actually
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: a semi home game from Michigan in Detroit, so you know,
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: Michigan's fans showed up for this and Michigan had a
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: huge lead in the game too. Michigan was winning by
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: double digits throughout the middle of the game, and wake
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: Forest came all the way back, took the lead by
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: seven late in the game. Blew that lead and went
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: into overtime, then they fell just short. That was such
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: a good performance from Wake forest Man against one of
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: the top teams in the country. Now they got to
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: come around, They got to come back home, fly South
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: and play U Mass Lowell and then up next in
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: four days they got Texas Tech. So this is a
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot for Wake forest Man, and I think they're
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: gonna be just totally fatigued after that. I don't know
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: how they get back up off the mat after that
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: Michigan game, and you're asking them now to cover a
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: massive spread and to be that focused against this pretty
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: bad UMass Lowell team. I don't see it happening a
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: U Mass Lowl. They've been really bad so far. Of
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: course they hadn't expected loss to you condall that they
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: got absolutely embarrassed in that game, losing that game by
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: what is that sixty three? Is that what they lot
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: that game? But that's ridiculous against the Yukon team, and
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: I think it is known for playing slow under Dan
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: Hurley too. That I mean, that's almost an inexcusable loss
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: just because of what the score was. Then they lost
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: at home to New Haven coming off of that New
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: Haven as a ten point underdog beat UMass low in Lowell.
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: Horrible performance from UMass Lowell. Then UMass Lowell had to
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: go on the road to Columbia and they were thirteen
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: and a half underdogs in this one, so they weren't
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: expected to cover this one. They basically lost by exactly
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: the spread. They lost by fourteen, so they had a
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: more expected outcome there. I think they're gonna get up
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: for this game, though, man, because they get to play
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: an ACC team here. It's a game that is against
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: the team that's not It's probably not gonna be able
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: to blow them out as much as a Yukon did.
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: Yukon does play slow, by the way, so I think
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: Yukon just kind of ground UMass Lowell down U mess Lowell.
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: That threw UMass Lowell's offense completely out, even though I
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: know U Mass lowl does not play well offensively, so
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: they're one of those teams that's speeds the game up.
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: It doesn't shoot well, which I don't love that combo
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: at all, but I think the fact that wake Forest
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: plays fast, which is more of what UMass Lowell wants
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: to do right now versus what Yukon does slow in
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: the game down. I think this will actually be a
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: better matchup for them, and they're catching Wake Forest in
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: a much better spot. I know this is the first
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: time UMass Lowell's gonna be outside of the Northeast, so
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: that does make it a little bit difficult, but they're
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: road tested at least. Man, they did have to go
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: to Yukon, so and that game that game was actually
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: in heart for though that wasn't actually at Yukon's arena,
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: so it wasn't a true road game, so I guess
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: scratch that a little bit. But the Columbia game is
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: a true road game at least, so they're not totally untested.
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: Let's just say you're getting a huge number here in
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: this one that I think is too It's actually thirty
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: one now, but sixty seven percent of tickets around Wake
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: Forest ninety six percent of the cash coming back on
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: UMass loll. So I'm gonna look at these numbers afterwards.
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: Probably I'm gonna adjust them in the discription. But this one,
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: I just entered it into the banners into the banners
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: here just so I knew what I was gonna talk about.
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: But yeah, the money is looking like it's coming back
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: on you, mass low That line is getting really out
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: of control. I think they look worse than they actually
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: are right now, especially because of that loss to New Haven,
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: who's new to Division one this year as well. So yeah,
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: U mass Lowell, they're aside there. Hold on, I'm rearranging
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: the order of these, man. College basketball takes forever to
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: talk about. There's so many games, all right. Next up,
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: I'm just gonna talk about another one of my plays here,
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: and it's gonna be you Mass minus the points. So
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: I know I have to go offshore to do these, man,
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: if I actually want to bet these. Because of the
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: stupid law in Massachusetts, you can't bet games involving U
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: Mass involving Massachusetts schools, so both of these games do.
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: But I'm gonna tell you to lay the points with
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: you Mass here against Central Connecticut, Central Connecticut, they just
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: went into BC and they pulled off an upset. Man
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: that was a huge win for Central Connecticut. Going in
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: here BC seventeen and a half point favorites, and Central
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: Connecticut beat them outright, and they were losing the whole
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: game too. It looked like the game was over. BC
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: looked like they were gonna start pulling away. They're up
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: ten in the second half, but they just couldn't get margin.
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: They let Connecticut Central Connecticut just creep back into the
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: game and then wound up losing the game outright. That's
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: a big win for a team like Central Connecticut, man,
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: because they beat the team that's still considered to be
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: like the biggest New England school I think, except for
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: Ukon obviously, but BC that's a big deal, man. It's
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: like they're the big boys in Massachusetts. Still huge win
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: for Central Connecticut. Now they gotta play U mass and
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: up next they do have Rutgers, who was a big
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: ten team, so I think they might maybe overlook this
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: a ten U mass team who was kind of a
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: mediocre A ten team and look ahead to Rutgers. The
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: good news here, though, is that UMass is better at
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: basketball than they are football, because that football team in
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: Division one is just an absolute disaster. But their basketball
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: team isn't too bad. So I think we have a
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: letdown spot for Central Connecticut. Now they're having to playing
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: U Mass who, by the way, UMass likes to play fast.
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: So ken Bum has U Masses the seventeenth tempo in
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: the nation and they actually play okay defense, so they're
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: kind of like a mini Saint John's. As far as
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: stylistically what they do, ken Bum has a pretty low
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: in his luck index two, so they should be a
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: little bit better than they actually are right now. As
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: far as their record. According to him, they faced a
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: really weak schedule, but Central Connecticut is also a weak team.
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: Oh and by the way, who's the only fast paced
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: team at Central Connecticut played so far this year? Yeah,
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: that was Quinnipiac. And look what Quinnipiac did to them.
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: Quinnipiac beat them seventy one to forty nine. And U
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: Mass is better than Quinnipiac. So that doesn't bode well
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: for Central Connecticut. The fact that when they play this
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: fast tempo team, they just got run out of the building,
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: even though it was a low scoring game on both sides. Yeah,
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: I think that looks bad for them. Stylistically, it looks
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: like it's gonna be bad for them. U Mass is
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: slightly better than Quinnepiac. I don't know if ken Bom. Yeah,
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: ken Bomb has them significantly better than Quinnepiac actually, so
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: I like that too. It's basically a sandwich spot for
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: Central Connecticut. As well for U Mass. Again, they just
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: haven't really been tested so far. If they did lose
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: to Marshall in their first game, Marshall isn't that bad.
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: Although U Mass was the favorite. Marshall's a decent Sun
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: Belt team, so I'm not gonna really knock them for
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: that loss. Then they won as expected against two worse
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: teams than them at home. They're staying at home, so
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: there's no travel here for UMass. I know Central Connecticut
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: is only traveling within Massachusetts right now too, but I
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: like it. I like how it sets up for U Mass.
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: They got a little bit of momentum here, not overconfident
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: because they've only beaten Albany and Lemoine. So yes, I
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: know Central Connecticut is more battle just because they face BC,
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: but BC is not that good. U Mass is worse
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: than BC according to the oddsmakers here, of course. But
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: and yeah, I mean they're an A ten team, not
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: an ACC team. But still lay the points with you Mass.
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: In my opinion in that one, that's a play for me,
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: and U Mass is sitting around a ten and a
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: half eleven point favorite. Still don't really see the percentages
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: on that one, all right, A Radford and Cleveland State.
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: This is an interesting one. This is in that salt
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: for springs, Greenbrier, what is it Greenbriers? That what it is?
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: Whatever that tournament is. This is the other side of
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: those matchups. I just talked to her, right. I think
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: both teams played yesterday, so both teams don't have rest,
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: but they're playing in the same arena. Cleveland State played
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: really well against Kent State as an underdog and only
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: lost to them by seven, so that looks pretty good.
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: And Cleveland State it was a high scoring game, so
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: that makes Cleveland State look pretty good. Whereas Radford got
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: absolutely embarrassed by Wright State ninety to fifty nine. So
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: nobody's gonna want Radford after this. And Radford was actually
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: the favorite in that game. And then if you turn
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: around and look at the line in this game, Radford
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: is actually a favorite here up from five to nine.
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: So the money has come in very strongly in Radford already.
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: So this is not one of my plays, but you've
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: kind of missed the boat on laying the points with
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: Radford here. I mean, if you want to use them
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: in like a money line parlay or something, you could
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: do that. Because I do agree with this line move
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: on Radford. It's just that I would have wanted to
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: lay like seven or less, probably because seven is a
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: key number. Up at nine. It's getting a little bit ridiculous,
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: But it looks ridiculous anyway, because how could Radford, who
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: lost ninety two to fifty nine to Write State, how
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: could they be a favorite of this magnitude. Well, Wright
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: State shot fifty one percent from the field sixty five
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: percent from three point range in the game, although they
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: did dominate the rebound battle, so that is one concern.
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: But Radford shot thirty six percent from from the field
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: twenty four percent from three. This is one of the
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: biggest outlier shooting games that I've probably ever seen. And again, meanwhile,
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: Cleveland State looked a lot better, losing one hundred and
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: two to ninety five to a Kent State team that
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: people I think no is like a pretty good MAC team, which,
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: by the way, Cleveland State may have stepped up their game,
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: I guess because I didn't realize it's one of their
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: former coaches died, although I don't know how much of
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: an impact that really had on them, but they did
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: step up their game. I think Cleveland State's gonna look
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: worse than this game in Radford is gonna look a
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: lot better after how bad they looked in that other game,
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: So I do agree with the Radford side. The big
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: game of the day is number one Houston and number
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: twenty two Auburn, And this was my predicted championship matchup
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: in my bracket last year. Unfortunately for me, I had
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: Auburn beating Houston in the championship and I almost had
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: Houston winning the championship, and I think they should have
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: when it came down to it. Houston had that game
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: one man against Florida. I'm still a little bit pissed
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: about it. But Auburn, obviously they taking a step down
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: this year. Houston pretty much has not Houston, dude. They
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: like they'll lose like a couple of their best players
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: each year, but they have players that are right there
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: on the wings that are playing anyway with those better players,
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: and then they just get elevated up to the starters.
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: Houston's got a really really solid program going on there
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: with transition, Like they don't do as much with the
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: transfers and the nil though they use it a little bit,
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: but they build from within and it works really well.
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: For them. Auburn is in more of a rebuild here,
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: so Houston early season, I think they're the better team,
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: but right now they're the better team in general too.
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: I do expect Auburn to be taking a step back
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: this year, also first season without Bruce Pearl, though his
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: son is their coach now, but definitely more continuity with Houston.
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: They're number one in the country according to the rankings,
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: and I actually think they probably are the number one
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: team like power ratings wise. Ken Bum does actually concur
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: with that, although his rankings have been shifting all over
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: the place. As you know, we need the dust to
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: settle a little bit. As far as ken Bomb is concerned,
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: Auburn's still good. This game is a semi home game
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: for Auburn. This is on ESPN at three pm Eastern.
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: It's in Birmingham, Alabama, so it's a semi home game
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: for Auburn. I kind of still like Houston though, man,
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, neither team has really had like a test
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: yet as far as their opponents. They faced weak opponents
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: and though of course Auburn had that pretty bad looking
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: game in the rope and are against Bethune Cookman having
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: to go into overtime. Our boys Bethune Cookman, who gave
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: us a covery yesterday, and they've actually given us three
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: winners because we went against Bethune Cookman on the show
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: after they almost beat Auburn because I thought they were
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: in a huge hangover spot, and I think we played
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: Auburn as well in a bounce back off. Then all
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: three of our games involving Bethune Cookman were winners, so
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: I'm happy about that still though this is a game
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: where both teams are gonna show up, But I just
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: think Houston is the better team here, So that is
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: the way that I would lean. The money is agreeing
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: with it. Houston up from six to eight sixty eight
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: percent and tickets seventy eight percent of the cash on them.
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: Of course, seven is a key number, and it has
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: gone through that key number, so I think this is
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: an actual legit line move because of that, although it
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: doesn't mean you've lost some value on Houston. Expected to
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: be a low scoring game down at one hundred and
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: thirty nine for the total here one hundred and thirty
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: nine and a half. Houston, we know they play egregiously slow.
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: That's just what they do. They play a ridiculously slow tempo.
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: Auburn plays a little bit faster than that, so Auburn
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: might try to speed them up a little bit, So
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: that is maybe a slight concern there. And again Houston,
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: the fact that they play slow pace like that, it's
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: sometimes it's difficult to lay points with them. I know
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: you're not laying too many points with them here, but
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: I'll lean that way. But that's certainly not gonna be
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: one that's on my card. You're gonna go with an
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: under in this one? Oh, Houston is gonna Oh, You're like,
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: I'm hoisting the unders, hoist the flag of the under,
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: and I don't I don't know if I would disagree
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: with an under in this game. I think under is
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: probably correlated to Houston covering because it would be their
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: pace of game, even though that does sound a little
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: bit weird because they're also a favorite, But yeah, I
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: mean that makes sense. Houston's gone under in all their games.
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: Auburn's gone over because yeah, they've faced weak opponents, so
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: both of the both of those teams have controlled the
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: pace of the game in their first three games, and
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: Auburn wants to play a little bit faster. Houston wants
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: to play way slow, so that does make sense. So
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: there is gonna be this is a pace in collision,
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: and it's like, well, which one is gonna win out
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: based on the total being this low, the oddsmakers almost
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: seemed to be saying Houston's gonna be able to control
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: the pace here. Two, it's not at Auburn's home arena either,
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: all right, Presbyterian and Sacramento State, Man, I want to
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: get this video done though. A Presbyterian's coming off playing
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: South Carolina. Though it wasn't a close game, but that
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: was their first loss, is their opener. They're not a
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: very good team, but Presbyterian, that was a big game
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: for them, at least emotionally. I think they stepped up
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: for that game because I think Presbyterian, I'm pretty sure
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: is in South Carolina if I'm not mistaken. The Blue
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: Hose one of the most ridiculous team names. We are
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: the Presbyterian Panties, guys. But now they're having to go
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: to the Pacific time zone randomly to play Sacramento State,
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: and then after this they play Cal and UCLA while
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: they're out there. So if they're gonna overlook one of
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: these games, I think it's gonna be this one against
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: the Big Sky team when they have an ACC team
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: and a Big ten team coming up after this, and
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: they're coming off playing an SEC team. So this looks
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: pretty bad to me for Presbyterian. For Sacramento State, they're
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: obviously just staying in the state of California here, where
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: they've been for the entire season so far. They did
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: just lose to UC Davis though, which is a game
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: where I think they did get up for this game,
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: and they played tough. They covered by a half point
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: on the close on the closing number, they didn't win
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: the game. They're coming back home here. They do have
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: UCLA up next so and they play cal after that,
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: So debatably it's a look ahead for Sacramento State as well. Here.
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: Maybe Sacramento State doesn't focus on Presbyterian. I think the
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: spot is worse for Presbyterian though, just having to go
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: to the Pacific time zone just looks very very odd.
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: Sacramento State is already up from a four and a
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: half point favorite to a seven point favorites, so the
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: money seems to agree with my assessment of that one
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: where I would lean to Sacramento State, but I can
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: kind of see arguments against both teams. So whatever will
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: what's up man grinding a college essay? Oh thank you sir?
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: So you wait, you're applying to college, are you that
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: young man? Yeah, I'll give you the motivation will involve
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: a toad lore here. So my college essay, I would say,
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: have fun with it. So that's what I do with
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: my college essay. I made it funny because and I
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: made it like something different, like you want to you
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: want to differentiate yourself, right, Like these colleges, they're gonna
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: get the same essay from like everybody. It's gonna be
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: some bs, you know, like some standard thing. Like people
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: are just gonna go online and be like, what should
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: I write for my college essay? Because everybody's inn NPC
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: now right, and they're gonna, you know, obviously they're gonna
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: talk about their achievements probably and whatever and talk about
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: how they want to be at this school and whatever.
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: I didn't do any of that. I wrote mine about
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: how how it is to live life as a short king,
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: like that's that. That is what my college essay was about.
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: My college essay was about being short and the mindset
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: that you're in and what your life is like because
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: you're short. So that's what I wrote mine about. I
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: actually enjoyed writing it because it was basically it was comedy.
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: It was like funny, and I think that actually separated
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: me from the pack. I only applied to I think
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: four or five schools whatever, I believe I got accepted
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: to all of them. One of them, one of them
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: was UMass Amherst, though U mass Amherst was just giving
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: me a free ride anyway, although I think I had
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: to give them my essay anyway, as like A think.
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: I think even though they were gonna give me a
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: free ride if I went there, I think they I,
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: you know, it's a formality or whatever. I think I
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: still had to go through the application process anyway, and whatever,
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: I wounded up not going there anyway. But yeah, I
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: don't know, is that enough motivation? Have fun? Baby? Just
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: do it. Make it, make it fun and don't make
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: it a chore, you know what I mean? How old
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: was I on to decide in my major or career?
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: I mean when I was young. When I was young,
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: I was really into like tall buildings, So I wanted
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: to be an architect for a while for whatever, I mean,
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: for that reason, I guess that was kind of my thing.
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: And then I don't know, I started using computers at
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: a very young age too though, and I was just
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: good at it, and it just it just fit like
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: the way that I think, Like I am a logical thinker,
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: even though, like even though I adhere to like Austrian economics,
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: which is much more of a behavioral science, and the
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: stuff that I do with handicapping is much more behavioral
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: as well, which seems weird, but you know, my mind
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: was definitely geared more towards like math science computers. So
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: I mean, once I started like building websites at a
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: young age, I was like, oh, I like coding whatever.
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: Like some of the classes that I took were pretty fun,
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: like outside of school and throughout like my school curriculum,
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: like all right, this is what I'm gonna do. Basically,
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: once I was like, I think, while I was in
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: high school is when I really kind of just decided
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: on it. I was like, I'm gonna take the computer
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: science curriculum here, We're gonna do that, and then I'm
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: gonna go to college for it. You know. Part of
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: it was that I was also pretty good at it,
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: so and then you know that is what happened, and
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: then you start doing it as a career and then
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: like eighteen plus years later, you feel like you have
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: no soul anymore because of the It's not because of
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: the coding either, it's because of the corporate environment. Like
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: I like doing the coding one. I've worked for three
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: different companies in that space. They're all in completely different
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: industries too, and one of them was really really fun.
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: My second company was a ton of fun, but they
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: wasted a ton of money and the company went under
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: because of it. That company was super fun, Like I
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: would have stayed there, So it was kind of unfortunate
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: what happened there. They might have wound up firing me anyway, though,
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: because of my belief system and back when I was
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: at that company, politics didn't infiltrate every aspect of daily life.
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: Imagine what that was like. That was the case up
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: until Trump came onto the scene. So the reaction to
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: Trump caused it to happen. Man, yes, sir, all right,
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: let's get let's finish this stuff out here. Lynden went
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: in Alabama, A and M. This is some tournament that's
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: going on in Huntsville, Alabama, which is where Alabama A
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: and I pointed this out the other day. Alabama A
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: and M is a three and a half point favorite
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: in this one. I just don't really have anything to
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: say about it. I just kind of like to point
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: out where these like neutral site games are these tournament games,
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: although Forma A and M that's there actually their home
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: arena UNLV in Memphis. This is on ESPN. I'm gonna
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: give out a play on this so you get a
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: TV game from me here. I actually think the spot
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: is bad for Memphis. So we're gonna take UNLV plus
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: the ten in this one. And you know me with
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: my Memphis hatred, this game's already down to nine and
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: a half. I think that's still probably fine. I mean,
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: ten is not a key number in basketball, really, I
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: mean it's much more key in football. This is expected
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: to be a high scoring game. I think both teams
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: kind of like to run, but the running rebels against Memphis.
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: But I'm still gonna do it. Yeah, UNLV has a
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: fast tempo style. Ken Bond, by the way, his unlv
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: A is the unluckiest team in the entire nation, I
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: think at this point. Yeah, three hundred and sixty five
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: So that is crazy, dude. We found a spot where
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: I like the team that's the unluckiest team in the
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: entire nation according to Kemp Bump. So he's saying that
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: UNLV should be better than this one to two record
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: that they have right now. He has them almost cracking
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: his top one hundred in the rankings, where he does
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: have Memphis in the fifties. But I think the perception
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: of Memphis is that they're better than that, and Memphis
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: just they continually were overrated, man, so I always find
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: myself going against them, and this spot is not good.
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: I mean, Memphis just went to ole Miss. I think
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: these two teams do play every year, but this is
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: a big game none the less, They're facing an SEC
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: team Ole Miss. They made a nice run of the
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: tournament last year. They're Chris Beard coach team. They're probably
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: pretty good again this year. Ole Miss was a nine
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: and a half point ten point favorite in this game,
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: and Memphis played pretty close in the game. They only
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: lost by six. Memphis did not go away even though
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: they were losing for basically the whole game. They just
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: stayed close the whole way and they were within a
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: couple of possessions late in the game, huge game from
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: Memphis that they fell short. I know Ole Miss did
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: shoot completely out of their minds in this game though,
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: and Memphis shot kind of ordinarily in the game. So yes,
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: this was an outlier shooting game for Old Miss. So
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: that does kind of indicate that Memphis was a little
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: bit better in the game. But still, I think the
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: mindset after they went to Ole Miss and stepped up
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: for that game, had a huge game there. Coming off
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: of that, I think they might be in a bit
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: of a hangover spot. They got to play this UNLV
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: team that's only a Mountain West team. Maybe Memphis doesn't
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: take them serious, although I think Memphis does play UNLV
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: every year as well. What happened in this game last year.
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: Let me see, I think I actually had a loss
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: on this game last year, which is not good. Memphis
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: won at UNLV last year. I'm pretty sure I faded
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: Memphis in that game last year and I lost on
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: that play. I'm pretty sure that I gave out way
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: back in the day last year, if I remember correctly,
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: So Memphis actually won at UNLV. So this is actually
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: road revenge from last year for because this is like,
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: for some reason, I think they play every year, so
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: UNLV might remember that, so that might motivate UNLV a
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: little bit more. And Memphis has to play Perdue next
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: on Thursday. Man, that's a huge game. Memphis got to
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: play number two Perdue, which I think is actually also
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: an accurate ranking. Purdue is right up there amongst the
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: best teams in the entire country, so I think this
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: is pretty much a sandwich spot for Memphis here. My
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: only concern is that UNLV is going on the road
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: for the first time, so usually I don't like to
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: play a team facing their first true road game, but
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: I think UNLV does make this trip every other year,
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: so I think that does mitigate it a little bit.
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: It's not in an early start time either, it's at
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: five PMS. That will kind of help a Pacific Coast
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: team adjust to the time zone a little bit more
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: easily because it's it'll be an afternoon game by their
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: time as well, so that's fine. And also UNLV they're
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: coming off of a loss as ten and a half
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: point favorites at home to Montana, so I think they're
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: in a bounce back. Spoti or Dude, that was an
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: ugly loss that was part of the reason why I
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: wanted to fade Montana the other night against Cal Paulam.
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: This is a bad game for UNLV. Man losing is
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: a favorite like this. Montana had a pretty good shooting
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: game in the game. Although yes, UNLV, you know they
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: statistically like some of the more predictable statistics like rebounds,
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: they weren't good. But I just I don't know, man,
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: maybe they were looking ahead. I just they just didn't
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: have a good game. But I think they're gonna bounce
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: back here. I think that I might actually be a
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: good thing then that they get to leave campus, because
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: it's almost like in the other sports sometimes when things
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: aren't going well at home, you know, I like to
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: play teams when they go out on the road for
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: the first time. In this case, you know, you're not
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: at home, but you could still be on campus and
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: having to listen to everything where they're talking about how
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: bad your basketball team is and whatever while you're on campus.
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: So it could be good to maybe just get out
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: of there, and then that still removes some of the distractions.
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: So I think that might still be a good thing.
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: And UNLV law they're opener to Tennessee Martin too, as
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: sixteen and a half point favorites, So I think people
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: are really not gonna want UNLV in this game. A
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: public's gonna be all on Memphis in this one because
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: partially because of this, I think, and the public might
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: actually play this game because it is on ESPN and
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: it's between two teams where people recognize the names. But yeah,
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: I think the public's gonna want to jump on Memphis
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: Penny hard Away, they know the name, they remember when
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: Memphis was really good with cal Parry and whatever. I'm
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: not gonna do it though, obviously, as you see, I
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: think ken Baum having UNLV the unluckiest team in the country.
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: I just showed you why two home losses is huge favorites,
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: which seem like outliers to me. So we're gonna do it.
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: Take the points with UNLV Buffalo Wild Wings. Can you
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: ask them to put it on? You might be able
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: to ask them, because dude, they have so many TVs.
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: I think you can just ask them to put that
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: game on one TV and they'll do it. God damn it, dude,
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: I don't even want to know right now. I do
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: not want to. Dude, that's so bad for everything, Like
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: I need Mariota to put up points for my fantasy team,
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: and I need Washington to actually fucking do something. I mean,
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: come on, man, I thought that game was gonna be
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: high scoring because both defenses are awful. I hate these
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: europe games, dude, these I shouldn't have given him the playout.
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: I mean, that was my weakest of the four plays.
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: Larry Johnson, Grandmama, what are we talking about? Why are we? Oh?
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: Did he go to Memphis? Maybe he did. I don't.
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: I don't remember where he went to college. I was
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: a little bit too young. I just remember him on
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: the Hornets, all right. And then as far as these
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: other games, we'll give out the rest of the plays here.
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: I think I only have one other play No, I
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: have two. Oh my god. We're gonna take Mount Saint
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: Mary's plus twenty five and a half against Cincinnati. This
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: is a sandwich spot as well. This is in the evening,
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: Like Cincinnati just beat Dayton, and I talked about how
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: big of a game that is for these two teams
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: because or basically they're like, uh, cross state rivals, if
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: you want to call it that. It's it was in
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: the the Twiamen Stokes Classic. But this is a big game.
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: I think these teams play every year. Big win for
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati beating Dayton. These two teams do not like each other.
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: It's a geographic rivalry in Ohio rivalry. Look at Dayton
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: in this game, though, Cincinnati lost the turnover battle twenty
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: four to thirteen, and yes, they won the rebound battle.
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: So those things actually concern me with fading Cincinnati because
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: the fact that they lost the turnover battle is so bad.
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: That's an outlier and that's not gonna happen again. But
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: Dayton shot thirty two percent from the field in this
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: game and eight percent from three point range. Yeah, that's
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: not a misprint, not a typo eight percent from three. Like,
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: do you think any team is gonna shoot eight percent
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: from three the entirety of the rest of the season,
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: except for maybe, like some really bad team it's up
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: against a really really good team is just gonna completely
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: overwhelm them. I don't think so. I mean, that was
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: a major outlier. This Dayton team. They're not good at shooting,
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: and Cincinnati, yeah, I mean they're they're like an attempt
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: to Trump assassin, that's how bad they are at shooting.
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati was forty seven percent from three, which is kind
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: of an outlier too. That was high. So that's a
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: big game. And coming up next, Cincinnati has Louisville, so
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: that when that factory to my Louisville fade yesterday which
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: did win, Cincinnati might be looking ahead to Louisville as well. Man,
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: So this is a sandwich spot. That also means I
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: think it's a spot where Cincinnati, even though they do
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: like to speed the game up, I think they might
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: just not go all out in this one. Cincinnati does
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: play a fast temple. They're pretty lucky in ken Bump's
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: luck Index though at ninety first, even though he has
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: the second most efficient deepense right now. So Cincinnati almost
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: like a Saint John's where they play really fast and
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: they play really good deepfense. So they do like to
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: press you and whatever, but they might not want to
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: do that in this game because they know Mount Saint
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: Mary's is not that good. Mount Saint Mary's they're a
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: slow paced team as well. They're very bad offensively, so
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: that does warring me a little bit. Uh, there is
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: the pacing contrast here, but I just don't really think
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati is that much of an incentive to do it. Man,
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: Like when you have a big game coming up against
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: Louisville and you just played a game against Dayton, you
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: might not just want to go all out. You might
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: not go at your full pace, which has been my
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: handicap those last couple of games with Illinois and yesterday
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: with Louisville. So those teams like to play fast as well,
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: and I think there's just no reason to play at
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: an extreme fast pace here when you know you're probably
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: gonna be able to win the game anyway. So I
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: think that's also the case here. They might just want
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: to try to get in and get out of this
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: game easy win. Taking a lot of points here with
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: this one, seventy five percent to take it, seventy eight
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Cincinnati. But they are going
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: to be public, you know, for as to the extent
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: that a basketball team and a game that probably nobody's
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: paying attention to can be public. They're still sitting in
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: about a twenty five and a half point favorite here.
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: Not a whole lot else to say about this. Mount
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's did just get their first win, so I
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: think that's good too. They lost to West Virginia on
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: the road. I mean, you're not gonna blame them for that.
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: Only by sixteen or the West Virginia plays ugly slow
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: basketball now, but it's still West Virginia. I mean, they
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: were obviously the much better team and expected to win
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: that game. Kind of a bad loss at home for
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: Mount Saint Mary's against buck Nell. Bucknell, as we saw
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: when I faded them with Howstro, they're not good. But
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: Mount Saint Mary's had a nice bounce back beating Saint Francis.
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: I know Saint Francis is not good Saint Francis PA,
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: but there's no more Saint Francis, New York. But I
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: think what that win will do is it won't make
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: Mount Saint Mary's over confident, and what it will do
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: is just give them some confidence because that was a
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: road game, they were able to get the win, and
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: now they are not winless on the season, and they
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: can carry that momentum forward. I think they'll show up
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: for a game at Cincinnati. They'll want to play well,
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: So we're gonna do that one. Mount Saint Mary's plus
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: the points. You don't like fading Cincinnati and basketball, I mean, yeah,
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: for me, it's it's all dependent on the spot. Of course,
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: Uh in football, same thing, all dependent on the spot.
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: There have been spots where I'd like them. There have
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: been spots where I do not like them, all right,
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: and then the last play is gonna be a fade
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: of Purdue. So we're gonna fade a slow paced team
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: this time. We're gonna take the nineteen and a half
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: with Akron. I actually think Akron is pretty good. They're
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: one of the better MAC teams this year, man. So
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: that's why this, even though Purdue is one of the
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: top teams in the country, you can actually get twenty
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: and a half on this now on fifty two percent
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: of the tickets run Purdue, fifty eight percent of the
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: cash coming back on Akron. Though. But even though Purdue
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: is one of the best teams in the country, Akron,
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: they're I think they're being pretty underrated right now, man.
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: I think they're a bit under the radar. I think
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: they might be the team to they might be the
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: team to beat in the MAC this year. Let's just
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: put it that way. Akron Macron getting some maction there,
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: because if Purdue is only favored by this much, I mean,
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are telling you they do have a lot
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: of respect for Akron because Purdue is really good totals
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: at one hundred and sixty and a half, which seems
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: pretty high for a Purdue game. Because Purdue, even though
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: they shoot very efficiently, they do play slow. So this
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: might indicate that maybe Akron might actually be able to
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: get their pace involved in this game because Akron does
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: like to play fast. So that's kind of the one
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: concern I have here is that Akron plays fast. Purdue,
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: of course, likes to play slow. Like I said, Purdue
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: hasn't been that great on deep bets this year, though
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: they've been excellent offensively as far as efficiency is concerned,
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: like scoring on a high percent of their possessions. But
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: they've been lucky to forty first in luck for Purdue.
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: But I also think Purdue is in a major let
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: down here. I think they might they well. First of all,
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: if they're able to slow this game down. That also
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: helps with an underdog covering a big spread because it
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: means they're gonna be fewer points scored in the games.
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: That kind of just leaves the door open for the
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: underdog to cover. But I gave up Purdue on the show,
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: and that was a winner for us in their last game.
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: They went into Alabama and beat Alabama. That's a huge win. Man.
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: Now they're coming back home, and you gotta think coming
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: back to campus, you gotta think everybody's really really pumping
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: them up, really really high on Purdue basketball right now
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: after that massive win over Alabama. Now they're coming back
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: home and they got to play Akron. I mean whatever,
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: they're gonna think it's easy. And then up after this,
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: they do have Memphis, like I said, and I think
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: that's a bigger game. Memphis is much bigger name basketball
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: than Akron at least. But primarily I do think this
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: is all letdown spottl though I do think it is
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: a sandwich spot as well. And Akron again, I think
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: this team's flying under the radar even though they're three
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: and oh, I don't think Purdue is gonna take them seriously.
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: But they beat JMU by double digits. Jam You is
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: not that bad of a team. And Akron pummeled Princeton,
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: and Princeton has been one of the better IVY teams
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: in recent years. Akron obliterated that team by like almost
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: forty points. So this Akron team, I think they're good, man.
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: And then they beat some non Division One team by
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: a huge margin as well. Yeah, this is the first
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: true road game. It's only going to Indiana, though, you
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: know they're gonna get up for this game against Purdue though. Yeah,
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: I still like it. Even though it is their first
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: true road game. I think the spot is worse for Purdue.
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: It's not like a weird geographic spot. Like I said,
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: They're only going from Ohio to Indiana. So I think
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: it's fine. I like it. I like Akron to come
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: within that number and that is the final play for
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: college basketball, and then we do have Miami and Florida
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: is then ESPN Night game at eight thirty. Of course,
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: Florida is the better of these two teams, There's no
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: doubt about that. Florida has been pretty battle tested as
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: they face Arizona and Florida State, although they did lose
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: to Arizona all the way out in Vegas though, and
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: Arizona had a home a tingent there. Florida's coming off
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: a win over Florida State, which I could see this
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: game going both ways because Florida State was Florida was
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: a seventeen and a half point favorite over Florida State.
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: Here in Florida State took them to the absolute limit,
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: and Florida won the game by two. But I could
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: see that going both ways. I mean, you could argue that, well,
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: Florida should have won by way more because they were
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: a huge favorite, and when you have a huge favorite
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: coming off a bad performance like that, they usually play
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: better the next game. I agree with that argument, But
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: this was also a huge game for both teams to
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: big Florida rivalry, So in that respect, you could argue
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: that it's it could be a little bit of a
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: hangover as well. Miami, I don't think they're I mean,
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: I don't I don't even want to know. I don't
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: know which of these teams is better right now. Between
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: Miami and Florida State. They've both fallen down a bit.
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: I think Miami is the better of the teams, though. Yeah,
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: Miami's in the fifties and Ken pom right now. Florida
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: State's in the seventies. So both teams are down right now.
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: But Miami is considered to be the better team. Miami's
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: three and zero, but they really have been tested yet.
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: They got us a win against Bethune Cookman, and they've
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: just won easily against three opponents so far, three week opponents,
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: so not much to really see there. This is gonna
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: be their first game where they're stepping up a class
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: playing Florida. This is actually a neutral site game in Jacksonville,
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: although I believe Jacksonville is a bit closer to Gainesville
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: than it is to Miami because Miami is way down south.
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: So there's probably gonna be bigger be a bigger University
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: of Florida contingent at this game, so they'll have more
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: of a home crowd in this one. Florida will Florida
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: is much more battle tested. I'm gonna lean towards Florida
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: bouncing back after not doing well as a big favorite
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: against Florida State. So I would probably lay it with
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: Florida here. They're a ten point favorable, though the money
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: may be slightly indicating on Miami sixty five percent to
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: take it sixty eight percent of the cash on Miami here,
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: but Florida is the better team. I expect them to
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: play better this time. I think I think they will
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: win and cover. If you have forced me to give
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: an opinion on that game, So that's that. Let's go
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: to NHL, where I know I already missed one of
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: the NHL starts here, and I would have given up
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh as a lean, although I don't think I would
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: have made it a play. This is, of course, the
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: second Sweden game between Nashville and Pittsburgh. I apologize for
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: not talking about this last night because I forgot it
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: was a nine am East Coast start time. Pittsburgh went
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: up from minus one twenty to minus one twenty nine
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: on this one. Seventy four percent of tickets ninety seven
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash, so the money came in on Pittsburgh.
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: They're gonna win the game. I mean, they're up three
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: to nothing right now. Nashville won the first game in Sweden,
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: so this was a bit of a zigzag spot where
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: they're playing in the same venue. You gotta think Pittsburgh
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: a little bit more motivated to try to even the
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: you know, the Sweden series here because I think it's
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: just two games, so you don't want to go zero
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: to two in those games. But if you look at
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: the stats, Nashville actually did dominate Pittsburgh statistically in that game,
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: even though the only one I think in overtime we're
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: in a shootout. Nashville again, they underperformed again because they
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: dominated Pittsburgh statistically in that first game and still barely once.
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: That would have given me a little bit of pause
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: on this, although I still would have leaned Pittsburgh in
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: the zigzag because again Pittsburgh the team coming off the loss,
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: same opponent, same venue. They're the team that would have
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: had the adjustments to make. I don't think I would
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: have made it a play though. Tarkanian, Oh yeah, tark
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: at unlv H. Where's he at now? I don't know,
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: but yeah, I remember him. Yeah, Purdue was one and
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: two ats and the only one that they covered was
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: the winner for us on the show. Hell yeah, yeah.
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: I mean Purdue has just been a little bit overvalued
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: in the market because they're ranked really high. That's kind
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: of expected. I would say, Oh, come on, man, dude,
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: I'm getting so sick. Thank you, sir. I don't even
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: want to know. To be honest, I can't stomach it.
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: I honestly cannot stomach it. Jeffrey, Like, that's why I
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: don't have the game on right now. I just have
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: ESPN on over here. I don't want to I don't
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: even want to see what's happening when I have like
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: any stock in it. Even though I didn't even actually
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: put money on this, I gave it out as a play.
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: You know, right now, as I'm pointed out on my show,
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: my money's not liquid right now. So I actually stopped
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: actually putting money on these things, which I'm mad about,
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: because I've been winning over the last couple of months.
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: I've been really quite good, so i'd be up a
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: lot of money if I was, I should be doing it.
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: But dude, even when I just like put my name
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: on the thing, and that's like the stock that I
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: have in it whenever, and it's a pick and this
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: one is in my money pick five too, so I
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: did add Washington to that, of course, because it's one
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: of my plays. So it's in my pick five, which
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: when I get to the NFL, I'll tell you which
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: one is my fifth, because obviously my four plays are
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: gonna be in my pick five. But I well, i'll
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: tell you right now. It's Jacksonville was the team that
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: I added. That's my fifth play in the in my
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: pick five. I don't think I'm gonna change it. Maybe
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: I'll swap it up, but I don't think so. Yes,
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: it does help to watch, but in a way. I
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: think it hurts as well, because people like the eye
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: tests can fool you. Your eyes can fool you. Like
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: what you see is not necessarily what you think you see,
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: if that makes sense. Like if a team looks good,
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: they're probably not as good as that, and if a
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: team looks really bad, they're probably not as bad as that.
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: So Jacksonville, Yeah, it's not one of my plays, but
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: I do like them in the game today. I don't
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 1: think I'm gonna switch that one out as my fifth
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: money pool play, but it's not one of my plays.
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean, I just, dude, I can't stomach it.
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: I have anxiety. I just can't do it, Like I
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: have high blood pressure. I'm on blood pressure meds, which
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: is probably partially what led to my stroke as well.
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: I get too much anxiety from watching the games, Like,
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: I can't do it. Man. I just like to relax
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: and just keep my mind off and watch something else
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: and then once everything's done, I'll go back and watch
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: highlights later or so. Yeah, although I know the highlights
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: don't tell everything. All right, hockey, we got Vancouver and
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay. I'm not gonna give out a hockey play today.
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: I just don't like any of these games enough. But
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay probably in a letdown spot and on a
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: back to back, they were a winner for US yesterday.
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: They got a huge playoff revenge win against Florida because
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: Florida is a team and knock them out of the
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: playoffs last year. So that was a big part of
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: that handicap. Yesterday. I liked Tampa Bay to show up
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: in that one. They did. They got a huge win.
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: Now you're probably looking at Joe Hanson or Joe Hanson
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: being back in net here for jo Hanson, that's it.
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: That's what I That's what I yelled during the nineties
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: when I when I when I heard mbop come on
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: the radio, Tampa Bay, I think it is a bit
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: of a letdown spot here, man. And they do face
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: New Jersey and then Edmonton and Washington coming up next,
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: so it does actually look like a sandwich, and it's
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: a back to back. So I don't like Tampa Bay
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: in the spot. So starting out the handicap looks like
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: it should be a fade of them, but I don't
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: think I could quite get there with it, because Vancouver
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: did just take a really good Carolina team to the
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: limit and lose an overtime. They might wind up with
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: Demco back in net hero though actually he might be hurt.
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: Still hold on, let me see, Yeah, he's on IR.
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: So actually, I don't know what's gonna happen with Vancouver,
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: and Man, if they have to go to a backup goalie,
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be the first time they don't go with
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: Demco or Lankan, and so I'm worried about that. Man.
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: Now you could look at that starting goalie page that
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: I like to look at because I don't know. Man,
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: if it's gonna be some goalie making his first start
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: of the season for Vancouver, I don't love that. And
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: I don't love the fact that they took Carolina to
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: the limit, and I don't love that they play Florida tomorrow,
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: so they might look ahead to that because Florida there's
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: still the back to back returning champs. Man, so I
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: can't get there with it. If I was gonna do
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: this game, I would actually probably go with an over,
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: one of those overs that I just say, yeah, go
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: with the over, because both teams were in a bad spot,
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: thinking that their deep meensill just lapse a little bit.
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: And you're gonna be getting probably I think you might
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: be getting both second string goalies in this game too,
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: So I think that's a good that's a factor to
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: look for as far as an over is concerned as well.
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: The total is pretty high, although it did flip to
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: six and a half juice to the under, but I
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: think that's the way that I would go. And Tampa
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: Bay is taking the money seventy six percent to take
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: as ninety four percent of the cash up to minus
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: one seventy I don't really have a thought on that though,
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean, I think it would be over
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: for me in that game, and it might be over
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: for me if I if I did that and I
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: got it wrong. Vegas is that Minnesota. Vegas playing a
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: lot of overtime games. Man. They did get a win yesterday,
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: so they're on a back to back, which does worry
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: me though, three games in four days, all in different cities,
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: back to back, traveling from Saint Louis to Minnesota. That
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: worries me a little bit. But the win yesterday also
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: is good because it broke a loss streak for Vegas.
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: So when you're on a losing streak, it's good to
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: end that losing momentum with a win man, so I
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: could see that win actually maybe propelling them forward. You're
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: gonna get lind Bum in net. Lind Bum he's been
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: a bomb. I mean, they've lost the last four starts
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: of his. They've lost every start of his this season actually,
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: so he's probably in net today. So that's probably not
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: a good thing for Vegas that he's probably gonna be
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: their goalie here from Minnesota. I think Minnesota could be
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: in a letdown spot here too, though they played yesterday too,
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: although they're staying at home, but they had a nice
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: bounce back after an ugly loss to San Jose. They
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: beat Anaheim yesterday with Walstett and net. Walstett has actually
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: played three of their last four games, so I don't
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: know if he's becoming their like main goalie now or what.
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: On a back to back, you're probably getting gust Ofson
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: back in net year and they've lost his last two games.
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: Although Gusson is he has been their primary goalie for
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: a long time. So I'm not sure that that's terrible
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: from Minnesota, but I just don't think I could do
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: it off of that Anaheim win man. That was a
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: big win for them, although I know Vegas is a
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: big game too, so I don't think they're gonna overlook Vegas.
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: The money is indicating on Vegas for now, down for
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: minus won twenty five to minus one twenty two here
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: fifty four percent of the cash on them though, and
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: fifty four percent of tickets on Minnesota. I know we
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: talk about on Minnesota is overrated, but I might lean
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: towards Minnesota as the home dog here man because they're
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: staying at home before yesterday they had multiple days off,
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: so they're the more rested team. Uh less, they're the
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: more rested team, less travel for them, and if Vegas
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: is using a goalie for the first time this season,
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: I don't like that either, So slightly for me to Minnesota,
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: Jeffrey like the Rangers really, even though they're on the road.
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 1: Rangers at Detroit or Excuselee, Detroit at the Rangers, my mistake,
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: Detroit at the Rangers. Looking at the money here, I
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: believe the money is agreeing with you on the Rangers.
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: If I can actually even bring up Firefox right now,
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: the Rangers down for minus one forty eight to minus
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: one forty three, though sixty percent of the tickets, ninety
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Rangers. Money looks like
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: it's coming in on the Rangers. But I would lean
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: to Detroit in this game for a couple of reasons. Detroit,
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 1: they're coming up an overtime lost to Buffalo. I know
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: it is a back to back, and it's a third
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: game in four days. That's a little bit worrisome. They
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: are having to travel with no time off here, They're
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: going from Detroit to New York. A little bit worrisome,
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: although I think it is a bounced back spot and
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: a way for them because look at the spot they
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: were in in that game against Buffalo. They've just been
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: mighty excuse me, Anaheim. They're just being Anaheim the game
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: before that, which is a big win, and they faced
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: this bad Buffalo team and they had the Rangers coming
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: up the next day, so I think it was a
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: bit of a sandwich spot there. I think they might
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: have more focused on the Rangers here. Losing to Buffalo's
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: pretty ugly. They've been alternating Talban and Gibson. I mean,
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: Talbot's gonna be back in net here, and they've won
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: three of his last four starts, so they haven't exactly
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: been bad with Talvin and Net, so I think I'm
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: fine with that. Now you got the Rangers here. The
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: Rangers also played yesterday, as you know, because that was
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: a win for us, and they're traveling home from Columbus.
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: They went into a shootout, I know, getting an escape
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: against Columbus. That might motivate them a little bit too.
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: Shastkin played a bunch of games. Because this is a
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: back to back, it's gonna be quick in net, I'm
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: pretty sure here. Although the Rangers they're three and one
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: with quick in net, so that's a good thing. However,
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: every one of the wins with quick in Net has
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: been on the road. We know the deal with the Rangers, man,
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: they win on the road and they never win at home.
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's that's the handicap here. Other than the
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: fact that you know, both teams are on the back
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: to back whatever, they're both having similar travel here. Rangers
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: are coming back home though, and the Rangers do have
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: Vegas and Colorado coming up next. And for Detroit, yeah,
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: Detroit's a winning team. But the Rangers did just go
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: into Detroit and beat them, and that was one of
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: the quick games. Yes, a quick well against them, but
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: still you remember, I think I gave out the Rangers
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: in that game because the Rangers are coming up that
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: lost to Carolina, they had multiple days off. I think
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: it was a bad spot for Detroit. Let me see,
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: Detroit had just lost to Vegas and they were returning
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: over from a road trips. That was a really bad
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: spot for Detroit. They were losing, they had lost one
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: to nothing to Vegas, a close loss, and returning over
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: from a road trip. So I think I did give
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: out the Rangers in that one. It was a distraction spot.
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: Plus the Rangers are terrible at home, so I'm pretty
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: sure I did. Oh no, Plus the Rangers are good
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: on the road, excuse me. So I think I did
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: give out the Rangers in that game. But now that
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: sets up a quick revenge spot, which is a good
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: early season handicap in hockey with the team that just
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: lost at home and in this case pretty badly four
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: to one against the Ranger team that's been very, very
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: very good on the road though, and that was a
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: horrible spot again for Detroit, so you can see why
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 1: that happened. Usually that team early in the season, they
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: do bounce back and play well at home. So I
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: expect that to be the case. The Rangers are no. Actually,
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: in this case, they're playing on the road. Have to
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: see why do I keep saying they're playing at home? No,
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: they're playing on the road here, but it is this
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: is a road revenge angle this time. The home revenge
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: angle is actually a little bit stronger in early NHL,
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: but still the road revenge angle quick road revenge, I think,
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: is still strong. And once again, the Rangers are pathetic
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: at home. They have one win at home either one
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: six and one at home, and they've been shut out
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: five times at home. Like, yes, they beat Nashville at home,
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: but come on, Nashville, they suck. We're watching them right now.
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: That Nashville team, they have a lot of like they're
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: just bad, dude. I don't know what else to say.
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: So I'm still not convinced that the Rangers have fixed
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: all their home issues here. I would definitely go with
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: Detroit in this game. That's close to a play for me.
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: I'm considering it, to be honest, I'm gonna I'm not
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: gonna do it, but readA is a bit against it.
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: But I like Detroit in that game for sure, getting
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: them at a pretty decent underdog price too Detroit as problems. Yeah,
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: well they're they're only they're like four and three on
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: the road or something like that, or four and four
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: on the road. They're not They're not one, six and
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: one in any capacity like the Rangers are at home.
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: And then we have Islanders at Colorado. This is a
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: pretty bad spot for the Islanders. Man. I'm just shocked
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: that they keep winning these games. They're on a ridiculous
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: run where they beat the Rangers, although of course that
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: was at Madison Square Garden, where the Rangers can't win
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: unless they're playing Nashville. Big game for New York though
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 1: for the Islanders, beating the Rangers and embarrassing them five nothing,
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: huge win. They came off that and they beat New Jersey,
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: their other territorial rival, in overtime on the road. Huge win.
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: Then they had to go out to the Pacific Coast
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: and I'm thinking, there's no way the Islanders are gonna
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: beat Vegas. They did in overtime. Then I'm thinking back
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: to back. They have no rest. They're not gonna beat
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: Utah in the next game after those huge wins in
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: a row. No, and they have Colorado up next. There's
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 1: no way. Yeah, they did again. They beat Utah in overtime.
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: Something's got to run out here, man. I know the
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: Islanders they'll still get up for a game against Colorado
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: because Colorado is really good. But you're looking now at
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: the Islanders winning four straight big games in a row,
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: the last three all overtime. They're playing a third game
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: in four days, all in different cities, two straight games
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: in high elevation, those games all being an overtime. Man.
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think they're gonna win this game Colorado.
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: They're just staying home. They've had multiple days off, although
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: you could argue that multiple days off is bad for
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: Colorado because they're on a five game win streak and
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: you don't really want to stop your winning momentum. But
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: they're just kind of coasting right now at home, and
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 1: maybe they will actually pay attention to the Islanders because
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: Colorado has had some time off and the Islanders have
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: been really, really hot, so Colorado probably won't overlook them.
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: I would lean to Colorado in this game. The problem
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: is how you play Colorado when they're up from two
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: fifty know minus two sixty here, minus two fifty to
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: minus two sixty. I don't know. Man, seventy eight percent
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: of take is ninety three percent of the cash coming
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: of Colorado. Is the money is agreeing with Colorado? Uh,
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: seeing what the price is here? I mean you could
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: go with Colorado puck line maybe like you're asking them
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 1: to win by margin. Though if you do that, let
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: me see what's the line look like on that. You
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: could go with Colorado in regulation too. Puck line is
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: probably actually what I would do with Colorado. You can
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: get them at minus one and a half goals at
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: like minus one ozh five, so it basically turns into
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: a spread bet. But that is pretty crazy, like asking
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: a hockey team to win my two goals. I don't
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 1: love doing that, so I'm passing on it. But I
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: like Colorado. I see no way that the Islanders win
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: this game, to be honest, a value play. I mean,
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: the line looks hot on Colorado. It probably is a
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: little bit too high, but the spot is awful. Like,
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: I don't think there's any way the Islanders win this game.
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: I think it finally runs out for them. But if
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play a hockey game, it would be
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: the Red Wings on the money line there. I do
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: like the Red Wings and then NBA. Man, this show,
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: I don't know, Man, this show very very tiring, especially
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: when I'm coming off doing the night show. We have
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: Clippers at my boss's. Celtics Celtics are up from four
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: to five and a half, so some money is coming
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: on the Celtics in this afternoon game. Nine percent of
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: the tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash on the Celtics.
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: The Clippers did finally end their lost streak though, so
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: that's a good thing for the Clippers, the fact that
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: they at least ended that horrible run that they were on,
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: and of course they did it against Dallas, who's really
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: been struggling, and it took two overtimes to do it,
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: but the Clippers finally ended that losing momentum. I actually
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: do think that's kind of a positive propelling them forward.
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think they'll pay attention to the Celtics here.
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: Celtics still a team. There's still a name team, a
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: team that's going to draw your focus. Celtics have had
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: a lot of time off though they came home on
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: Wednesday and that was the last time they played. They
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: blew out Memphis, But having all these days off and
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: only having Brooklyn up next. The Celtics probably will show
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: up for this game as well, So I mean, I'll
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: slightly agree with the market here and agree with the
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: more rested, better team and the Celtics laying the points here,
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 1: but I don't want to do it obviously. I don't
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: really have a strong thing here today. You like the
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: Kings and the Wizards today, Thank you, Jeffrey. The Wizards,
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: I mean, that game is something I don't want to
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: I don't want to go anywhere near that game. I
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: want to be in a different country than where that
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: game is being played. The Kings Spurs handicap is very
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: difficult as well, which we'll talk about right now. Thanks
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: for hanging out, Jeffrey, hopefully. Yeah, check out the rest
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: of the show later and you'll see my breakdown on
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: these games, which I don't have a play on these games.
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: I just can't really, I can't quite figure them out.
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: The Kings have lost five games in a row. They're
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: coming up a big game against Minnesota, though, so this
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: does worry me, even though Minnesota on their stupid Neon
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: Green whatever. This is the NBA Cup thing. Although I
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: actually like this court more than the rest of them.
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: Because I like me On Green, so I actually liked
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: this one better than the rest. So I think I
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 1: actually might get one of these Neon Green Timberwolves jerseys,
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 1: one of those cheap Chinese wholesale ones that I can get.
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: But you remember Sacramento, I had them in this game
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: to cover the spread. I had them at plus twelve.
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: They're a twelve point dog in this game, and they
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: had chances. Man, they should have covered. I mean, they
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: had chances to maybe win the game. Sacramento was winning
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: this game in the third quarter. Game was still they
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 1: were still winning actually late in the third quarter. The
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: game was tied in the fourth quarter, and then somehow
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: everything fell apart and they wound up not even covering
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: as Sacramento went completely silent for a period of over
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 1: four minutes. They didn't score any points in the crucial
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 1: part of the game. And that's the only reason why
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: they didn't cover. Like, I didn't care that they lost
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: the game really as far as that play was concerned.
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 1: But they absolutely should have covered that game. I can't
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: believe they didn't. And now Sacramento's coming up putting in
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: a good effort against Minnesota. They almost took them into
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: the wire. So I do worry about Sacramento coming off
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: a game like that. They do have Okay c up
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: next to although I don't think they're gonna overlook San
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: Antonio really or overlook anybody. But I think it's a
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: difficult spot coming off that huge effort against Minnesota. I
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: don't think it's a good spot for the Spurs either,
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: but they are staying at home, but they're coming off
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: back to back games against Golden State and they are
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: the other loss that I had on Friday where I
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 1: think San Antonio should have won this game in the
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: zig zag spot. I mean, look at the San Antonio
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: had the high percentage to win this game throughout the
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: late portions of this game. I mean it got to
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 1: a point where they're ninety something percent to win with
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: not that much time left. They're winning by eight late
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 1: in the game, and they somehow lost the game. I
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: don't even know what happened in this game, man. I
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: think they were winning one hundred to ninety two and
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: then they lost the game. Yeah, just ridiculous. Yeah, they're
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: winning one hundred and ninety two with five minutes left
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: basically in the game, blew that lead. They still took
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: the lead back. They're winning the game late, looked like
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: they might get into a spot where they're gonna have
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: the lead and get intentionally fouled, winning by three in
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: the final minute and a half, and then they still
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 1: lose the game. That's brutal. I mean, it's still a
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: game you get up for too against the Warriors, probably
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: not really gonna get up against Sacramento. I mean, both
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 1: these teams are in bad spots. I can't do it now.
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: The money is saying the Spurs, even though they dropped
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: from eight and a half to eight with juice though
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: so not really much of a move there. Sixty five
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets are on the Kings. I mean
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: the public being on the Kings doesn't make sense to me.
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: I doubt that they are. But seventy one percent of
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Spurs. The money is saying Spurs.
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, I do think the Kings performance in their
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: last game is a little bit more fatiguing. Let's say,
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: with the way that the way that that game played out,
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: and they're having to travel whereas the Spurs aren't, So
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: I would probably slightly lean to the Spurs myself in
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: that game, But I don't like it at all. Yeah,
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think an over might make sense in
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: that game, and then the money's coming back into the
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: under now since the total went all the way up
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: to two thirty nine and a half. But with both
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 1: teams coming off pretty tiring games, I could definitely see
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: that being an over type of game. Even though you
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 1: do have tired legs. That might affect you're shooting a
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 1: little bit, but I think it affects the deep mense
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: even more. Brooklyn at Washington, I basically got nothing in
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: this game. I mean Brooklyn, they played pretty tough. They
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: gave us a cover that wasn't only win on Friday,
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 1: they played tough against Orlando, so that is something. I mean,
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 1: they were double digit underdogs in this game, and they
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: played tough and actually had chances to win the game.
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 1: Brooklyn was winning the game in the final minutes of
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: the game and fell short, So I would agree. I
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: probably do agree with Jeffrey on this one that Brooklyn's
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 1: coming off a big performance there. Now they gonna face
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: Washington and coming up nextually do a Boston. So coming
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: off a big performance like that against Orlando with Boston
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: up nexus, it still look like a spot where maybe
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: they got caught. One of these one and eleven teams
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: has gotta win. I just don't know if I can
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: get there with Washington either, because they're coming back from Houston.
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: By the way, I like the Washington is a guy
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 1: named Sar alex Sa. I don't, I don't. I can't
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: do the Indian accent. Very excuse me, Sad, what are
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: you doing? I can't really, I can't really do it. Man.
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: That makes me sound like Dracula or something. I don't know,
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: but whatever, Sars, it's a ridiculous name to have here.
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna get nuked for bad accents. But anyway, Washington
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 1: did just go to Detroit and play them into overtime
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: and then they did lose more they did losing a
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 1: blowout at Houston last time. But they are still returning
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: home from a road trip where they've been gone for
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: almost a week. So for Washington, it is possible they
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: don't really focus on this game either, and they might
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: look ahead to Minnesota, even though I know when you're
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: one and eleven you should focus on everybody and then
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 1: that extra days off, but it is still return home spotted.
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 1: I know it's a short road trip, so it's not
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: as bad as if you were on a long road trip.
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: I'll agree with Washington still, but I don't love it
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: for a play. Wizard's down from three and a half
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 1: to three, eighty four percent of the tickets and eighty
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 1: seven percent of the cash on them should just call
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: them the bullets. Still. It is hilarious that they were
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 1: no longer the bullets already when the shooting guards fiasco
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: happened between Arenas and Crittendon. Orlando at Houston will be
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: a play for me, So let's just get these out
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: of the way. We're gonna take the points of Orlando
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: against Houston here. Orlando, like I said, they're coming off
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: that bad game against CNN where they almost lost the game,
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: and I think they were overlooking Brooklyn. I mean, if
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 1: you saw my handicap on that, I gave out Brooklyn
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: as a play because Orlando they had just won in
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: New York that was a huge win for them over
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 1: the Knicks as an underdog. I thought it was a
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: big letdown spot and with Houston and Golden State coming
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: up after that, I thought they were going to completely
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: look past Brooklyn, and pretty much they did. And now
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: I think they realize that. So now after that, I
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: think it's good for them to just get out of
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: their focus on a basketball game, and I think they
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: will bring focus here. This Orlando team, I mean, they
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 1: got a lot of talent on the seamen, and their
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 1: guys are back. I'm pretty sure. So. I mean they
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: were injured during the playoffs last year. But oh, actually
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: these guys are both out. Never mind, So they're without
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: bun Chero and Wagner in this one. But I'm still
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 1: gonna do it because that means it's an injured player spot.
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: So I think the Rockets are going to overlook Orlando
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 1: here man, or actually, let me see. Actually, don't want
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: to pull this one off the board. Hold on because
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 1: wait a minute, bun Chero was out for that game
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: against Brooklyn. I think, oh crap, hang on, what about Wagner?
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: Hold on, let me see. So, I mean we have
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: some weird injured player spots going on in this game. Man,
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 1: hang on for Wagner. Let me see e Wait, what
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: what am I looking at here? Wait? Is he not?
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: Oh no, that's Mo Wagner. Never mind, So it's only
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: Bnchero that's out. I was dude, the Wagners that throws
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: me off. Yeah, Franz Wagner, I think is the better Wagner,
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: so he's still playing. But yeah, Butnchero, it will be
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: his second game out. But I'm still gonna do this.
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, I just think the setup is good situationally.
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: I mean Orlando coming off overlooking Brooklyn in that game. Yes,
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 1: that was their first game without Bonchero's you would have
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: expected them to play better because it was the injured
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 1: player spot, which I didn't even realize when I made
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: that handicap. But maybe this is the game where they'll
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: actually focus more knowing that he's out and they're kind
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: of used to playing without him because I think he
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 1: was hurt during the their playoff run last year as well,
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 1: which didn't go very far. Uh, Houston, they gotta be
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: feeling real good about themselves because they just smoked Portland
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: one hundred and forty to one hundred and sixteen. They
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 1: put up over one hundred and twenty points in three
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: games in a row. This Houston team is looking really good,
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: and they do have Cleveland up next, so I think
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 1: it's a little bit a little bit sandwichy here where
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna look too good off that win
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: over Portland and they gotta face Cleveland on ESPN on Wednesday.
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 1: That's a massive game, monster game. And then they do
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: have Denver up after that, which is also a huge game.
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: So money's coming in on the Rockets slightly. It looks
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: like right now sixty two percent of tickets on the Magic,
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: fifty percent of the cash on the Rockets. But I
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: like the situational set up except for the Bunchero being
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 1: in his second game out. But maybe we'll see a
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: delayed injured player theory spot because I just think the
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: Magic really really took Brooklyn lightly and they won't do
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: that with the Rockets. Here. For the situational set up,
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 1: I do like Orlando plus the points there Golden State
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: at New Orleans. Golden State's coming up, nice wins over
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 1: San Antonio. They have Orlando up next after they have
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: to go to New Orleans, so I think they might
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 1: overlook New Orleans for New Orleans. You got to see
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: if Zion Williams in his back, because if it is,
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: if he if he is, then it would be an
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: injured player reverse injured player spot, where of course if
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 1: Williamson comes back, you're gonna get less value on New
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 1: Orleans and they might actually have to like work him
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: back in, so it might be a little bit difficult
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 1: for New Orleans. New Orleans is staying at home though,
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 1: so it's not a terrible spot for them where I
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: think they will show up because there are two win teams,
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: so they basically have to show up in every game.
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: Golden State coming off those big wins over San Antonio,
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: and they got Orlando up next, So I would lean
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 1: to the Pelicans in this one. Money seems to agree
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 1: ninety two percent of the tickets around the Warriors, uh
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: fifty of the cash coming back on the Pelicans. So
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 1: the money is saying the Pelicans. If it's a if
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: Zion is coming back, I like it a little bit
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: less though, because it might be kind of like a
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: chemistry thing trying to work him back in Portland at Dallas.
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, Portland is coming off getting smoked in that
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 1: game by Houston. They probably want to get one of
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 1: Gonna They're probably gonna want to get one of these
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 1: two Texas games. And they're also one and three on
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: the road trip, so they're probably gonna show up for
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: this game try to salvage the road trip for Dallas.
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: Dallas just lost in double overtime to the Clippers. Coming
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 1: off that they do have Minnesota New York up next,
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: I think the spot does actually set up a little
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: bit better for Portland here. As far as the personnel
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 1: for Dallas, you got to see if Anthony Davis is
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: coming back or not because he didn't play. He and
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 1: Washington and Lively, I think we're all still out. No
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 1: Lively came back when you only played four minutes off
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 1: the bench. But yeah, Washington Ad, they both missed the
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 1: last game, so you got to watch this injury report.
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: They both are expected to play, maybe come back in
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: this game. So if Ad, especially if he comes back
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: in this game, that's gonna make it a reverse injured
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: player spot for Dallas as well, because their best player
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 1: will come back, so might take their foot off the
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: gas a little bit if he does. Although based on
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 1: this line, it's looking like he might not be back
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: because the Blazers are up from a three and a
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: half to a four point favorite, eighty eight percent of
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 1: the tickets, ninety one percent of the cash on them.
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 1: I don't disagree with the Portland side there, but it's
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: not something I want to do. Atlanta at Phoenix. Atlanta
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 1: coming in on a nice role. They're beating a bunch
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: of teams on this road trip. Here, a couple of
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 1: days off, maybe they finally get caught at the end
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: of the road trip here though, because they've won four
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 1: games in a row three on this road trip, a
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 1: couple of days off might hurt their momentum a little bit,
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: even though it will give them some rest. Now they
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: have Phoenix to finish the road trip, and they are
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: gonna have to come home and play Detroit, which is
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 1: a pretty big game the way Detroit has been playing recently,
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: So maybe Atlanta does get caught in the final game
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: of the road trip Phoenix, though they had won five
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: in a row and they also have the same amount
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 1: of rest, so they've had rest as well, which might
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: hurt they're momentum as well, but they're staying at home.
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: They've beaten mostly bad teams over this stretch, so nothing
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 1: to really see with the fact that the Sons have
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: won against bad teams, so I think the spot sets
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: up a little bit better for the Suns. But the
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 1: money's coming in on the Hawks up from one to one.
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 1: With juice as a road favor, here eighty nine percent
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: of tickets on the Suns sixty six percent of the
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: cash coming in Atlanta though, so the money's actually coming
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: in on Atlanta. Looking at the injury report for this one,
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 1: Trey Young is still out for Atlanta, so I don't
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 1: really understand. I don't quite understand the line here. Looks
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 1: like Grayson Allen and Jalen Green both out for the
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: Suns here though Green, I mean, he's the guy that
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: just he hasn't really played much for them this year.
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: He was the key part of the Durant trade for them,
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 1: but he just hasn't really been healthy. So I don't
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 1: know if that's a huge factor as far as the
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: line moving around game to game or as far as
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 1: the team having like chemistry shifts game to game. But
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 1: I don't want to touch that game. I will give
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 1: out a play in this final game here, though, which
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: is going to be Utah plus the points. I'm going
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 1: back to Utah. I don't want the spot here for
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 1: the Bulls. Really, the Bulls are on the road. I
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: know they've lost four games in a row and they've
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 1: lost to good teams, but also they played tough opponents
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 1: here Man Milwaukee Cleveland, and they played Cleveland within six
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: both those games on the road on a back to back,
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 1: the only one game one day off, and they came
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: back home and played San Antonio tough. Then they went
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 1: back out on the road a couple of days after
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 1: that and they played Detroit. That was a big game too,
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: where Detroit got or yeah, Detroit got a little bit
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 1: of revenge against the Bulls in that one. That was
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: a player I gave out Detroit and that was that
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: was for the Bulls. That was the reverse injured player
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 1: spot there. I think we're giddy. I think Giddy came
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 1: back in the game, but Cunningham was definitely out for Detroit.
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: Let me see, did Giddy come back in this game
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 1: or did he not? No, he actually didn't. That's even
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: better than because they think Giddy is gonna come back
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 1: in this game. So this is this is a reverse
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: injured player spot now for the Bulls. If Giddy is
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: coming back here, he's a game time decision. Let's see
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 1: he's probable. So there we go. Man, So this becomes
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 1: a reverse injured player spot here for for Chicago. So
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 1: I like it even more so that means Chicago's gonna
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 1: be a little bit more overvalued because their star player
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: is coming back, and that means they might, you know,
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 1: get they might ease up a little bit as far
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 1: as their intensity. Uh. Plus they also have to play
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: Denver tomorrow, so this does look like kind of a
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot because they were in that game against Detroit too.
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 1: They played pretty well against Detroit in that game. It
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 1: was close for a while until Detroit pulled away at
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 1: the end. So this looks like a sandwich spot. They're
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 1: having to go from Detroit into elevation. I know, having
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: a bunch of time off should kill they're losing momentum
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 1: at least, and maybe help them out a little bit.
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 1: But looking ahead to Denver, man in the fact that
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 1: Gidey is coming back here, which might throw their chemistry
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 1: off a little bit and whatever. I like Utah in
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 1: this one. In Utah, they've been all right even without Kessler.
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, they've had some moments where they've played alright.
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 1: I mean they played competitively on Monday against Minnesota and
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: then they won in a ridiculous blowout against Indiana. But
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 1: now they're coming off of a loss to Atlanta. Now
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 1: they've had multiple days off too, so they're gonna be
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: a pretty rested team as well, and they're staying at home,
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: so the spot to me sets up better for them,
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: even though they do have La coming up next. I
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna overlook Chicago. Utah blow five hundred team,
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 1: probably not really gonna overlook anybody coming off a double
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: digit loss to Atlanta without Trey Young pretty ugly, so
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: the spot to me sets up better for Utah. Bulls
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 1: are very public, ninety percent of tickets, only fifty two
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them. The money seems to
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: be agreeing with me on this one. Bowls up from
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 1: four and a half to five. Yeah, I would take
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: the points with Utah and that one. That would be
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 1: my final play. Once again, all the plays today, Washington
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: Redskins plus the two and a half. It never hit three,
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 1: But I don't know what's going on in the game,
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 1: and I don't want to know, so hopefully we do
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 1: get a win on that. We do have the Titans
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 1: plus the six Giants plus seven Dallas minus three and
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 1: a half will be tomorrow though, so might be able
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: to get three on that. We'll see. Don't know if
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 1: you get seven and a half on the Giants or not.
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: But college basketball UNBC minus the points, Central Arkansas plus
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 1: the points you mass, Lowell plus the points you mass
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 1: minus the points, UNLV plus the points, Mount Saint Mary's
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 1: plus the points, and Akron plus the wins. It's unbelievable
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 1: how many of these situations I like, but I like
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 1: all of them. And then an NBA Orlando, which I'm
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 1: a little bit hesitant now about that one, knowing that
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: it's Bancheerro's second game out, but I still like how
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 1: it sets up. And Utah plus the points, and that's
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: going to be the card today. Man. I know it's big.
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 1: I think it's thirteen plays on a Sunday usually is
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 1: not something that we have. But crazy college basketball. Let's
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 1: get it done. Oh and I forgot, let's do the
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 1: final market read in the NFL real quick. Here. Washington's
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: winning right now, Hey, come on, man, get me some
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: Mariota points too. I don't want to celebrate, though, but
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 1: the market Reeds still wound up on Washington in that game.
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: Just so you know, you can see the cash percentage
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 1: being less on the Dolphins market Reid still looks like
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 1: more of the cash or less of it is on
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 1: the Packers. I should say more of the actual money
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 1: on the Giants, so we'll agree with that one. You
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 1: might be able to get seven and a half on it.
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 1: Now it looks like it is seven with juice, so
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 1: obviously I would do that if you haven't played it yet.
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 1: The market Reid is saying to take the Buccaneer years
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 1: against the Bills, But I just don't agree with that
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 1: one man, So I don't know. That might be the
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 1: one where I disagree with the market here. I might
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: still stick with the Bills in my picks. Marrita is
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 1: still saying Begals. I do agree with that. Margarita is
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: still saying Tennessee. Obviously I agree with that, never gonna
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 1: hit seven. Though Margerita is still saying the Vikings. I
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 1: do agree with that for now as well. The market
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: Rita is still saying the Panthers. I'll give an agreement
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: on that as well. Margita is still saying the Jags.
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 1: Agree on that, is still saying on the Rams. I
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: agree on that as well, still saying the Cardinals. I
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 1: also agree on that, still saying the Browns. I also
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 1: agree with that, still saying the Chiefs, who are all
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: the way up to four and a half. I agree
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 1: with that, but I just don't think I would want
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 1: to lay that many points with them. But generally I
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 1: do still agree with that one on the Chiefs, and
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 1: then in the night game, the market Rita is still
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 1: saying the Eagles, which I also agree with. The Monday
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 1: still saying Cowboys for now, so I agree with all
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 1: the market reads except for the Buffalo games. So that's
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. Learn it ton on Twitter, learn it
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: tone on Instagram, like, subscribe to the channel here, give
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 1: me some good comments, listen and give me a good
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: review on audio on Spotify and Apple. That helps me
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 1: out as well. Thanks guys, I appreciate it all. Covering
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: in you because my juke channel on YouTube, so you
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 1: can check out my yuke cover content. It's also on
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 1: Twitter and Patreon, dot com, slash learn to toad and
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 1: throw me some support. I know I'm having been keeping
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 1: that up to date there with the yuke covers. My
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: voice has been bad though, so I've only really done
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: a couple recently, so I'll get it up to date again.
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Let's get some wins today. Thank
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 1: you guys, and peace for now.