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NFL Week 5 Best Bets | MLB Playoff Preview | BIG Money Moves | Mailbag! · Best Betting Show Ever

0:00
Speaker 1: A ton of college football right in front of us.
0:03
Speaker 1: Games tonight games tomorrow is Slate of NFL on Sunday.
0:08
Speaker 1: We're going to tell you how to make money. That's
0:11
Speaker 1: what the show is about. How do you bet these
0:14
Speaker 1: games so your bank account can increase. Welcome everyone to
0:17
Speaker 1: the best betting show ever. I'm Lawrence Presman, co hosts
0:21
Speaker 1: Joe Rnarii Art de Caesar joining us and still a
0:26
Speaker 1: bit upset over the game last night, guys, I got
0:29
Speaker 1: to tell you full disclosure. I had the Rams on
0:32
Speaker 1: a money line parlayed, and then I had the Rams
0:36
Speaker 1: under forty seven. That extra mispoint cost me both games,
0:43
Speaker 1: and I did not sleep as well as I should have.
0:47
Speaker 1: But it happens. Art, how much money did you guys
0:50
Speaker 1: make on last night's game? Because, mother of God, was
0:55
Speaker 1: everybody wrong.
0:58
Speaker 2: Everybody was wrong, and you know, just because show you.
1:01
Speaker 2: I think we all said it kind of on the show.
1:03
Speaker 2: The number got so out of whack you almost had
1:05
Speaker 2: to kind of look at the Niners at that point. Obviously,
1:08
Speaker 2: the Rams are gonna kill everyone's moneyline. Parlays, people who tease,
1:11
Speaker 2: the people who tease the early Survivors stuff. I mean,
1:14
Speaker 2: the RAMS was just a big kick and that you
1:16
Speaker 2: know what for a lot of people last night.
1:19
Speaker 1: Yeah, and Joe, what does that say about the Baltimore
1:21
Speaker 1: Houston game? We having the same similar kind of overreaction.
1:26
Speaker 1: I mean, there are pros in Baltimore.
1:29
Speaker 3: These guys all make you know, paychecks the same. So
1:32
Speaker 3: it's you know, tread carefully here, because I think we
1:36
Speaker 3: were all reminded again last night, Art there are no
1:39
Speaker 3: sure things in the NFL here, so tread carefully.
1:43
Speaker 1: Yeah, and we we sort of spoke about this during
1:47
Speaker 1: the week Art whereas like which money line, which big
1:53
Speaker 1: favorite is going to lose this week? Sunday hasn't come
1:57
Speaker 1: and we found it already. I'm thinking there's still another
2:01
Speaker 1: to go, Art, which one would you pick? Yeah, I mean.
2:10
Speaker 2: Yeah, I could see New England hanging tough in that game.
2:14
Speaker 2: I mean, Buffalo has been a little underwhelming. And yeah,
2:19
Speaker 2: I'll say this, I don't think it's the Lions. I
2:24
Speaker 2: can't trust the Bengals. You know, the Bengals are just
2:27
Speaker 2: that that is a bad football team. I don't know.
2:31
Speaker 2: I've told you. You know, we did see sharp money
2:33
Speaker 2: on the Raiders at plus seven from two separate people
2:36
Speaker 2: that we respect. You know I could the cult trip
2:39
Speaker 2: up here. Hard to back Gino on the road, but
2:43
Speaker 2: it has been kind of one way as far as
2:45
Speaker 2: the Raider cult.
2:46
Speaker 3: Money.
2:48
Speaker 1: That's interesting. Let's talk about money and where it is going.
2:52
Speaker 1: We're going to start with NFL and get to our
2:55
Speaker 1: college football. So Cowboys, Jets, Vikings, Dolphins and Panthers. Where's
3:04
Speaker 1: the money going on all these games? All right?
3:07
Speaker 2: Well, you look at the Cowboys two and a half
3:08
Speaker 2: point road favorite against the Jets, who are in the
3:11
Speaker 2: group of you know, three or four of the worst
3:13
Speaker 2: you know teams in the league. And Dallas, even though
3:15
Speaker 2: they didn't win last week. I think a lot of
3:17
Speaker 2: people are gonna be very happy to bet Dallas. That
3:20
Speaker 2: look aheadline was minus one and a half. Dallas gonna
3:23
Speaker 2: be very popular with the public this week. They always are,
3:27
Speaker 2: but they will especially be this week. Totals got up
3:30
Speaker 2: from forty six and a half to forty eight, so
3:32
Speaker 2: keep that in mind. And that was really just us
3:35
Speaker 2: moving with the market. Nothing really sharp on that. Vikings Browns.
3:39
Speaker 2: This game is in London. Obviously, Browns make the switch,
3:42
Speaker 2: which we had talked earlier in the week. One of
3:44
Speaker 2: the Browns gonna make the quarterback switch, they go to
3:46
Speaker 2: the rookie. Vikings are three and a half point favorite
3:50
Speaker 2: in the game. Browns defense is good enough. What do
3:53
Speaker 2: they get out of the rookie? You've seen the total
3:55
Speaker 2: go down from thirty eight to thirty six. That was sharp,
3:59
Speaker 2: and then Dolphins and Panthers. Dolphins we had as a
4:04
Speaker 2: slight dog in the game. We opened Carolina one, took
4:07
Speaker 2: shirt money on Miami at one. It's now flipped to
4:11
Speaker 2: Miami minus one. In Carolina. Total's also gone down from
4:16
Speaker 2: forty five and a half to forty four and a half.
4:19
Speaker 3: Oh god, Miami is a favorite on the road there.
4:23
Speaker 3: I can't think of anything worse to have to watch
4:26
Speaker 3: this weekend art, for sure, But what do we think
4:29
Speaker 3: We still haven't had that one weekend where oh, you
4:33
Speaker 3: don't think Tennessee's gonna win a game? Ah, you don't
4:36
Speaker 3: think Carolina is gonna win a game. Ah, you didn't
4:38
Speaker 3: think the forty nine ers are gonna win? Like it
4:40
Speaker 3: feels like we're being set up here in week five. Well,
4:43
Speaker 3: I'm worried there could be there could be a lot
4:46
Speaker 3: of people out of the survivor pool art when it's
4:50
Speaker 3: all said and done.
4:51
Speaker 2: This week absolutely, even another mom when you talk about
4:54
Speaker 2: you know, people are gonna bet Arizona. Oh, I mean Arizona.
4:58
Speaker 2: They're gonna be big on Arizona at that seven seven
5:00
Speaker 2: and a half, they'll be probably popular and Tea and
5:03
Speaker 2: Survivor too, because when are he ever gonna use Arizona.
5:06
Speaker 2: So you're right, this is one of those weeks where
5:08
Speaker 2: it could really blow up.
5:11
Speaker 1: I luckily have already used Arizona and they're behind me.
5:17
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with Buffalo as my Survivor pick for
5:20
Speaker 1: this week. I charted out the whole year. If everything
5:24
Speaker 1: stays the way it is, this is what I'm gonna do.
5:26
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna stick to my chart. Buffalo is this
5:30
Speaker 1: week survivor against New England. Will there be better spots
5:34
Speaker 1: to take Buffalo? Yeah, but I don't know if there's
5:38
Speaker 1: gonna be much better spots. They are still at home.
5:41
Speaker 1: It is a primetime game, and you know Josh Allen
5:44
Speaker 1: loves beating up on this New England team. So that
5:48
Speaker 1: was that's my survivor pick. Let's turn our attention to
5:52
Speaker 1: some college football. We have six games, five games going tonight.
5:57
Speaker 1: I'm actually in play on two of them. Clients art.
6:03
Speaker 1: Where's the money going for tonight's college football games? And
6:08
Speaker 1: you take the same type of bets tonight as you
6:10
Speaker 1: will tomorrow, is like way more bets tomorrow per game.
6:15
Speaker 2: Oh way more bet, way more bets. And honestly, these
6:18
Speaker 2: are ugly games. I mean, this is no Florida State
6:21
Speaker 2: Virginia tonight. I mean, really, I'm only going to hit
6:23
Speaker 2: on two out of the five. Charlotte goes to South Florida.
6:27
Speaker 2: South Florida is now a four touchdown favorite twenty eight,
6:31
Speaker 2: but we saw people lay twenty seven and twenty seven
6:34
Speaker 2: and a half. That's what's moved us to the twenty eight.
6:36
Speaker 2: There West Virginia at BYU. West Virginia's quarterback is gonna play,
6:41
Speaker 2: so that kind of you know, it was early BYU money,
6:44
Speaker 2: then there was West Virginia money. We've kind of been
6:46
Speaker 2: bouncing back and forth between nineteen and nineteen and a half.
6:49
Speaker 2: Even saw a twenty pop this morning. We have not
6:52
Speaker 2: gotten there yet. We'll need West Virginia in the game
6:55
Speaker 2: and a game that we haven't touched on all week
6:58
Speaker 2: for Saturday, but we seem pretty good movement here. Boise
7:01
Speaker 2: goes to Notre Dame. Notre Dame now three touchdown favorite
7:05
Speaker 2: minus twenty one at home Sharp Slade seventeen and a
7:08
Speaker 2: half and nineteen and a half in that game. So
7:11
Speaker 2: Boise will be a big need for us on Saturday.
7:14
Speaker 3: All right, I got it. We talked about it earlier
7:16
Speaker 3: in the week over at the Westgate. You guys don't
7:19
Speaker 3: release those team totals still right around today. So the
7:23
Speaker 3: team total of the week is Kent States. We saw
7:26
Speaker 3: what two and a half? Three, three and a half?
7:29
Speaker 3: Where did the Westgate land opening up the team total
7:32
Speaker 3: for Kent State versus o U two.
7:35
Speaker 2: And a half?
7:36
Speaker 3: Oh?
7:38
Speaker 1: What mat You're gonna take that? So gross?
7:42
Speaker 2: You know present, It's funny. We've talked about this before,
7:46
Speaker 2: not a ton. It's those markets are you know even two?
7:51
Speaker 2: We try to now put up some first quarters in
7:53
Speaker 2: college football. Those in team totals. Really, I'll say this,
7:58
Speaker 2: they rarely see any like Paul like general public action.
8:02
Speaker 2: That never happens. Anyone who's normally coming in and betting
8:05
Speaker 2: a team total or a first quarter is usually someone
8:09
Speaker 2: we indicate as a sharp player, or they could be
8:12
Speaker 2: looking for middles, they could just be looking for a number.
8:15
Speaker 2: There's just so many factors that go into when they
8:18
Speaker 2: bet those smaller markets.
8:20
Speaker 1: All right, let's look at some baseball. I mean, obviously
8:24
Speaker 1: you don't set the schedule. I am baffled at why
8:28
Speaker 1: the Yankees and the Blue Jays are playing against each other.
8:31
Speaker 1: This is See one and two. Basically, I don't understand.
8:37
Speaker 1: But whatever it is, what it is, We've beat up
8:41
Speaker 1: on them all year. So bring them on series prices.
8:46
Speaker 1: Anything we need to know about any big bets you've taken.
8:50
Speaker 2: Absolutely, we'll go through all four of them real quick.
8:52
Speaker 2: The one that really hasn't moved at all is Brewers,
8:56
Speaker 2: a slight favorite minus one fifteen against the Cubs. Mentioned
9:00
Speaker 2: yesterday that Dodger number. We opened minus one twenty against
9:03
Speaker 2: the Phillies. We're now up to a dollar twenty five
9:06
Speaker 2: on the Dodgers. Seattle's been the big move for us.
9:09
Speaker 2: We open minus one sixty five. We're now up to
9:12
Speaker 2: a dollar eighty on Seattle. Against Detroit Yankees, we open
9:16
Speaker 2: minus one forty five, we're now minus one fifty on
9:19
Speaker 2: That really just moved with the market on that Seattle.
9:22
Speaker 2: We saw a little bit of action come in there.
9:25
Speaker 2: But I think obviously that Dodger Philly series and that
9:29
Speaker 2: Yankee Blue Jay series. Those will be the two that
9:32
Speaker 2: attract the most betting action Seattle. Now, the fact that
9:36
Speaker 2: it's approaching two dollars, approaching a dollar ninety, I think
9:40
Speaker 2: you'll see some buyback on Detroit because it's just a
9:43
Speaker 2: big number, and people want to take a dog in
9:45
Speaker 2: a short series, especially with the chance of Schooble getting
9:49
Speaker 2: two starts. They'll pitch game two and if there's a
9:51
Speaker 2: game five, you'll know he'll come back on short rets
9:54
Speaker 2: and pitch that type of game.
9:57
Speaker 3: All right, I got an asktard though. It's I saw
10:00
Speaker 3: the numbers this morning. So the team that has the
10:03
Speaker 3: best record of Major League Baseball is the fourth choice
10:07
Speaker 3: to win the National League pennant? Is that what your
10:09
Speaker 3: numbers show as well?
10:12
Speaker 2: Yeah, and you know it's well, well, you know how
10:16
Speaker 2: you know how it goes everyone. Yeah, well that's the thing.
10:20
Speaker 2: And nobody has bet Milwaukee all year. And you know,
10:23
Speaker 2: a team like that, who had the run they had,
10:25
Speaker 2: we can normally get killed on a team like that
10:28
Speaker 2: if we weren't quick enough to adjust the numbers throughout
10:30
Speaker 2: the season. But nobody bet the Brewers because it's the Brewers,
10:33
Speaker 2: the Dodger, Philly kind of series. They have penciled in
10:36
Speaker 2: the winner of that going to the World Series. And
10:39
Speaker 2: the Cubs are the Cubs. They always see money because
10:41
Speaker 2: they're the Cubs. So yeah, the Brewers are the forgotten
10:44
Speaker 2: team in the NL.
10:46
Speaker 3: All right.
10:47
Speaker 1: The Caesar joining us, guys, hit that like button please
10:49
Speaker 1: if you don't mind, also make sure to comment. A
10:53
Speaker 1: word of the day is subscribe. There you go. The
10:58
Speaker 1: word of the day is subscribe. Uh, subscribe to our channel, Joe.
11:03
Speaker 1: Everybody loves your reactions all the time.
11:05
Speaker 3: Just you know, my raction is based upon your planning
11:08
Speaker 3: for this show, the way you you think the word
11:13
Speaker 3: of the day, the way it's the way you pre
11:15
Speaker 3: planned the start.
11:19
Speaker 1: Yes, you know, you know the old saying for every
11:22
Speaker 1: hour on air is three hours of prep. And then
11:26
Speaker 1: there's my saying for every hour on air, there's three
11:29
Speaker 1: hours of nap time. Yes, show, we get into the
11:35
Speaker 1: parlay of the day, which is an f L. I
11:39
Speaker 1: just want to make mention that, uh, your fearless, hard
11:44
Speaker 1: working leader, mister Trump, uh did sign an executive order
11:52
Speaker 1: to call the Department of Defense the Department of War.
11:57
Speaker 1: So this Canadian was right.
11:59
Speaker 3: You're not right. You're not right. It's still the Department
12:04
Speaker 3: of Defense because his executive order doesn't mean squat unless
12:09
Speaker 3: Congress votes on it to legally change.
12:12
Speaker 1: They're having a knap right now.
12:13
Speaker 3: Well that's my push. So as of right now, Pres,
12:16
Speaker 3: it is still the Department of Defense.
12:20
Speaker 1: One of our listeners does point out, Joe that you
12:24
Speaker 1: remind them that your dating profiles should be an orangutang.
12:31
Speaker 3: Yeah, I got no problem with that, Pres, I got
12:36
Speaker 3: no problem with that. Yes, listen, I've dated a few
12:39
Speaker 3: orangutangs in my day, so not proud of it, but
12:42
Speaker 3: there is you know that's Jaegermeister is a very dangerous alcohol.
12:48
Speaker 3: I will say that.
12:49
Speaker 1: Yes, well said okay, Art, I know you got a rod.
12:53
Speaker 1: You got a busy freaking weekend ahead of you. It's
12:56
Speaker 1: time for our NFL parlay of the day. I'll go first.
13:00
Speaker 1: I'm gonna play the over in the Dallas New York
13:05
Speaker 1: Jets game, and I will explain why in the press
13:08
Speaker 1: NFL Best Bets section that is leg one over in
13:11
Speaker 1: the Dallas New York Jets game, and that number is
13:16
Speaker 1: forty seven and a half.
13:18
Speaker 2: All right, I'm gonna take Denver plus three and a half.
13:23
Speaker 2: I think the way Philly has performed all year, and
13:26
Speaker 2: I know it's a short week for Denver. Philly's just
13:29
Speaker 2: been out gain. It's just I don't know. There's just
13:31
Speaker 2: something about this Philly team where I think they can
13:33
Speaker 2: get tripped up. I like the three and a half.
13:35
Speaker 2: Give me Denver.
13:37
Speaker 3: You guys are brutal here, all right. I'm gonna go Seattle,
13:42
Speaker 3: and I'm gonna lay it with them. I think Seattle
13:46
Speaker 3: at home. I think it's the big ass spot here
13:49
Speaker 3: for Tampa to go across the country. I though Baker's
13:51
Speaker 3: been great as an underdog with Tampa. I think Seattle
13:55
Speaker 3: in post is their will in this one. So I'll
13:57
Speaker 3: lay the three and a half the press.
13:59
Speaker 1: There, we know, and that is art to Caesar's time
14:03
Speaker 1: for this week. Thanks brother, lots of love. I hope
14:07
Speaker 1: you win every bet except for the bets me, Joe
14:10
Speaker 1: and our clients. Make correct marsh this, Caesar, everyone, Joe
14:15
Speaker 1: ran Ai. I'm running out of golf days, dude. I'm
14:17
Speaker 1: going today, I'm going tomorrow, and I think that might
14:20
Speaker 1: be the end of golf for the summer. What do
14:26
Speaker 1: we gotta do, dude, We gotta promote. So you've got
14:29
Speaker 1: a five percent play up for Sunday. I've got a
14:32
Speaker 1: five percent play up tomorrow in college football. It's a total.
14:35
Speaker 1: I'm seven and two in those. I also have two
14:39
Speaker 1: college football plays going tonight. What do you got going
14:43
Speaker 1: with the clients this weekend?
14:45
Speaker 3: Yeah? I got also a two pack right now, as
14:47
Speaker 3: you can see on the screen there for twenty nine dollars.
14:50
Speaker 3: You can go get them both here for a little
14:53
Speaker 3: Friday night lights action. I love both of those plays.
14:56
Speaker 3: And then I'm locked and loaded with four college up
15:00
Speaker 3: all plays tomorrow. And like you said, got that five
15:03
Speaker 3: percent ready to go in the NFL, the first one
15:06
Speaker 3: of the season for Sunday.
15:08
Speaker 1: I got it. I don't even know what it is, dude,
15:10
Speaker 1: I should go look you no, I should stay.
15:14
Speaker 3: You should stay possible.
15:18
Speaker 1: Okay, Okay, what am I gonna do with my circa picks? Joe,
15:23
Speaker 1: let's do that live on air together. Okay. So I
15:26
Speaker 1: need five circa picks? So Minnesota is going to be one,
15:31
Speaker 1: Baltimore is going to be two. So I've got too
15:34
Speaker 1: locked in. Where do we go from here? I need
15:40
Speaker 1: three more, and I just I can't come up with
15:44
Speaker 1: ship bro.
15:46
Speaker 3: It's not a great NFL.
15:48
Speaker 1: The other three are just range of guesses.
15:51
Speaker 3: It's not a good card at all. I would say, though,
15:55
Speaker 3: pres I wouldn't be up. I don't know where are
15:57
Speaker 3: we at right now. With Minnesota tomorrow three and a half.
16:03
Speaker 1: I'm hoping it goes down to three and I can.
16:05
Speaker 1: I will release the three to my clients. But I mean,
16:10
Speaker 1: even if minus three and a half, Joe, it might
16:13
Speaker 1: be my favorite side of the week. So you know,
16:18
Speaker 1: I can't. I can't get there on Miami Carolina game.
16:21
Speaker 1: Dallas Jets is horrific. Vegas in Indianapolis. I mean maybe
16:27
Speaker 1: the seven there with with Vegas might be one of
16:29
Speaker 1: the three. I will not play against Philadelphia no matter what.
16:33
Speaker 1: I don't know. You what, Yes, I have no affinity
16:38
Speaker 1: towards the team. I just won't play against them.
16:43
Speaker 3: I could.
16:44
Speaker 1: I could take the Giants, Joe. A lot of people
16:46
Speaker 1: are leaning on New Orleans. We saw what happened last
16:50
Speaker 1: night when a lot of people like one side. I
16:53
Speaker 1: could take the Giants. Maybe his number three Seattle worries me.
16:59
Speaker 1: I don't like the whole I don't know, dude. Maybe
17:03
Speaker 1: Washington with Alt out, maybe Jacksonville.
17:07
Speaker 3: No McLaren in that game either. I don't like Washington. Plus,
17:12
Speaker 3: I don't like Daniels. He hasn't look great. You can
17:15
Speaker 3: look great the first two games anyway, So and how
17:18
Speaker 3: is that neat exactly? How mold is he going to be?
17:21
Speaker 3: So I don't know. I still think the chargers at
17:24
Speaker 3: home are there probably right side there. Two and a half.
17:26
Speaker 3: If you can get two and a half.
17:27
Speaker 1: I think I think if I can get two and
17:29
Speaker 1: a half, that's probably gonna be at four. All you
17:31
Speaker 1: guys who buy my plays, I do put my circle
17:34
Speaker 1: bets in there so you'll find out which five I'm
17:37
Speaker 1: going with. But right now I am absolutely struggling to
17:42
Speaker 1: come up with five ats bets white price.
17:45
Speaker 3: Wait, let go ahead, guys, drop it in the comments
17:48
Speaker 3: session we had about the dating profiles. Tell the press
17:52
Speaker 3: what is five best bets should be here in the
17:55
Speaker 3: circle and let's see. Uh, let's see if you guys
17:57
Speaker 3: are on the same page.
17:58
Speaker 1: Yeah, and we're starting a new quarter at the circa
18:02
Speaker 1: three hundred grand up. Last win last quarter seventeen and
18:07
Speaker 1: three was the record that won that. So let's start
18:11
Speaker 1: with a nice five and zero. Let's you know what, guys,
18:14
Speaker 1: I'll do. We're going with many and we're going with Baltimore.
18:17
Speaker 1: The rest of the three, I'll do a consensus of
18:20
Speaker 1: what you guys put up, because I'm just gonna guess anyway.
18:24
Speaker 1: So let's do it together, Joe, we got the four
18:28
Speaker 1: more segments. They're all on the clock two minutes each.
18:31
Speaker 1: My NFL Best Bets, Your NFL best bets. You're gonna
18:35
Speaker 1: run down tomorrow's baseball action, and we're gonna look at
18:39
Speaker 1: the mail bag at the end of the show. I
18:42
Speaker 1: told you survivor, that's Buffalo. We're all gonna help with
18:45
Speaker 1: the circa. Other than that, queue the clock and let's
18:48
Speaker 1: get to our NFL Best bets two minutes too. NFL bets,
18:53
Speaker 1: let's get to it. Philadelphia hosting Denver, and I'm going
18:56
Speaker 1: to look to take over the total in this game.
18:59
Speaker 1: It's forty three and a half. And this is one
19:01
Speaker 1: of my favorite totals on the board. And let's bottom
19:03
Speaker 1: line this. Firstly, this Denver team twenty eight, twenty, twenty eight,
19:08
Speaker 1: and twenty they've put up twenty or more points in
19:11
Speaker 1: all four games. They scored four touchdowns last week. Now,
19:16
Speaker 1: from a defensive perspective, I understand that everybody thinks they're
19:19
Speaker 1: really good. They allowed the Chargers to put up twenty
19:22
Speaker 1: three on them. They allowed Indianapolis to put up twenty
19:25
Speaker 1: nine on them. And let's be honest, who the hell
19:28
Speaker 1: is going to stop this Philadelphia Eagles offense. They put
19:31
Speaker 1: up thirty one last week, thirty three the week before,
19:35
Speaker 1: they put up twenty on Kansas City, twenty four on Dallas.
19:38
Speaker 1: You go back to last year, they had a fifty
19:41
Speaker 1: five one week. This team regularly put forties on board.
19:47
Speaker 1: This is a very, very low total. Both of these
19:50
Speaker 1: teams are also although running the ball a lot, are
19:53
Speaker 1: long bombing it all over the field. Bo Nicks will
19:56
Speaker 1: throw it thirty forty yards five times a game. Well, Jalen,
20:01
Speaker 1: I think this game gets into the low fifties. Take
20:04
Speaker 1: over the total in the Philly Denver game. I like
20:07
Speaker 1: the over again in the Indianapolis Vegas game. In the
20:11
Speaker 1: bottom line here is Vegas has no secondary in Indianapolis
20:15
Speaker 1: is gonna air the ball out all over the field.
20:17
Speaker 1: They just put up twenty on LA. That was phony.
20:20
Speaker 1: They had twenty seven. Technically, if brain Cramp wide receiver
20:24
Speaker 1: held the ball, they put up forty one on Tennessee
20:27
Speaker 1: twenty nine on the vaunted vaunted Denver defense. And thirty
20:32
Speaker 1: three on Miami. We know Indianapolis is going to put
20:35
Speaker 1: up points and Vegas they're gonna have no choice but
20:38
Speaker 1: to keep keep pace. They put up twenty four on Chicago,
20:42
Speaker 1: twenty four on Washington. I think both teams get us
20:46
Speaker 1: into the mid twenties. I think this game also goes
20:49
Speaker 1: into the low fifties. Take over the total in both
20:53
Speaker 1: the Philly game and the Indianapolis game.
20:56
Speaker 3: Joan Airey, all right, prays good stuff there, A right,
20:59
Speaker 3: these are odd, but let's go here. Let's start with
21:02
Speaker 3: the early game again across the pond in Europe, with
21:05
Speaker 3: the Vikings taking on the Browns. And to me, the
21:09
Speaker 3: numbers don't lie in history tells us a little something
21:12
Speaker 3: about this situation here, a situation in which Minnesota has
21:16
Speaker 3: now been there for two weeks, and they chose actually
21:22
Speaker 3: to be there for two weeks. They volunteered themselves to
21:25
Speaker 3: go back to back in Europe. Why Because history tells
21:28
Speaker 3: us that those teams that adjust their body clocks to
21:32
Speaker 3: that time zone there and stay there do a pretty
21:34
Speaker 3: good job, especially coming off a loss the first go
21:38
Speaker 3: around there. So I think Minnesota and Carson Wentz are
21:42
Speaker 3: better off having already played there and stayed there. And
21:45
Speaker 3: then you've got a rookie quarterback in Dylan Gabriel starting,
21:49
Speaker 3: And we all know rookie quarterbacks have been profitable to
21:53
Speaker 3: back somewhat when they are in a home environment. They
21:57
Speaker 3: are not profitable to back in or neutral site games
22:02
Speaker 3: one twenty one two against the number forty six percent
22:06
Speaker 3: over the years. Here, the bottom line to me is,
22:10
Speaker 3: I think they're gonna make the adjustments necessary. Uh. I
22:13
Speaker 3: think you're gonna watch them get the ball out of
22:16
Speaker 3: Carson Wentz's hands early and often.
22:18
Speaker 2: Uh.
22:19
Speaker 3: I like Minnesota to get it done in that game.
22:22
Speaker 3: And I like the over in the Raiders and Indie game.
22:26
Speaker 1: Uh.
22:27
Speaker 3: That secondary of Vegas is awful. I think Danny Dimes
22:31
Speaker 3: and Shane stike In will have more than enough opportunities
22:34
Speaker 3: to go over the top and score plenty enough points.
22:36
Speaker 3: And I think the Raiders also are gonna have a
22:40
Speaker 3: pretty good time throwing the ball around. Hopefully enough he'll
22:43
Speaker 3: be able, Gino will figure it out that who's wearing
22:46
Speaker 3: a Colt uniform and who's actually on his team press.
22:49
Speaker 3: But I do think that we're gonna get some points
22:51
Speaker 3: in this game in the Dome. I'm looking at the
22:54
Speaker 3: over forty seven forty seven and a half between the
22:58
Speaker 3: Raiders and the Colts.
23:00
Speaker 1: There we go, we both like the same pick. I
23:03
Speaker 1: guess they should all bet.
23:04
Speaker 3: It under that's correct. I am with you, Joel.
23:09
Speaker 1: Mlb rundown brother. Before you get into the actual games,
23:14
Speaker 1: the Jay is going to win this series?
23:17
Speaker 3: No, no, but well listen, we do have some nice
23:20
Speaker 3: parting guests for you and the U and the rest
23:22
Speaker 3: of the Toronto. The Toronto Blue Jays have about as
23:25
Speaker 3: good a shot of winning this as the Maple Leaves
23:28
Speaker 3: have of winning a Stanley Cup. How's that work? Not
23:32
Speaker 3: about right?
23:33
Speaker 1: Okay? We've won eleven okay, and one most winning franchise
23:38
Speaker 1: of all time.
23:39
Speaker 3: So who was the prime minister when that last happened?
23:42
Speaker 3: Present you guys?
23:44
Speaker 1: Florida Panthers won the Florida Panthers Trophy is in history
23:49
Speaker 1: as well?
23:50
Speaker 3: History is history?
23:51
Speaker 1: Joe.
23:51
Speaker 3: Yeah, No, I know, I do, I know, I know
23:54
Speaker 3: it should be a great Yeah.
23:57
Speaker 1: Can we bet an eyebrow?
23:58
Speaker 3: And eyebrow Joe? And nobody wants your eyebrow? All right,
24:01
Speaker 3: let's go here. We got a couple of series here.
24:03
Speaker 3: I think that are gonna be a whole lot of
24:05
Speaker 3: fun to watch. We'll start, of course, with that Yankee
24:09
Speaker 3: series against Toronto, and listen, Pres, it's Toronto owned them
24:14
Speaker 3: this year. Sort of eight and five, I think, is
24:17
Speaker 3: what the series total was this season. The pitching matchup
24:22
Speaker 3: Game one doesn't exactly favor the Yankees. Looks like they're
24:25
Speaker 3: gonna have to go with Will Warren up against whoever
24:29
Speaker 3: Toronto wants to throw. At that point, there probably beaber,
24:32
Speaker 3: I'm thinking. But then it'll get interesting because the Yankees
24:35
Speaker 3: will be able to restart with Freed Rodan and everyone's
24:39
Speaker 3: new favorite pitcher, Kim Schlittler. Schlittler, Okay, Pres, say that quickly.
24:44
Speaker 3: I told you learn this kid's name. He is an
24:47
Speaker 3: absolute stud. I do think this goes six games, but
24:51
Speaker 3: ultimately I think the Yankees get it done in that one.
24:55
Speaker 3: We talked art earlier about the Brewers and the Cubs.
24:59
Speaker 3: You know the Cubs. Actually we won the season series
25:02
Speaker 3: against the Milwaukee Brewers. But I don't know, call me crazy.
25:07
Speaker 3: A team that does not shoot itself in the foot,
25:09
Speaker 3: which is the Milwaukee Brewers. They do all the little
25:13
Speaker 3: things right. To me, this is a very dangerous team
25:16
Speaker 3: in a long series. Because they won't. They'll take the
25:19
Speaker 3: extra pitch, they'll move the runner over. They got healthy
25:22
Speaker 3: in the bullpen again. I think the most value on
25:25
Speaker 3: a board is backing Milwaukee, not just in this series,
25:28
Speaker 3: but to represent the National League, the Dodgers in Phillies.
25:32
Speaker 3: I think the Phillies are gonna miss Zach Wheeler. I
25:35
Speaker 3: think that's gonna be a problem. Everybody is betting the Dodgers.
25:39
Speaker 3: I would look to back Philly at home though in
25:42
Speaker 3: this series. I think they'll you'll find some value in
25:45
Speaker 3: that one. And Seattle should have no problem dismissing Detroit,
25:49
Speaker 3: who was just fortunate enough to finally have an ending
25:53
Speaker 3: in which they can score enough runs to actually win
25:55
Speaker 3: a game against the Guardians. I think they're in for
25:58
Speaker 3: a router waken here. I think Seattle has the easiest path.
26:01
Speaker 3: I think they get it done in five friends in
26:04
Speaker 3: that series.
26:05
Speaker 1: There we go. Yeah, Seattle does have the easiest path
26:09
Speaker 1: because for some reason, the Yankees are playing the Blue Jays.
26:14
Speaker 3: Yep, anyway, yep, sorry, anyway, Joe.
26:19
Speaker 1: Let's get to the mailbag section of the show, and brother,
26:23
Speaker 1: we had a listener yesterday, Blake P Person, Congratulations counterintuitive
26:32
Speaker 1: betting usually wins. He writes, he took san fran on
26:36
Speaker 1: the alternate line at minus two and a half. That's
26:40
Speaker 1: what we want to hear, Blake, well done, Brock, very nice. Yes,
26:47
Speaker 1: another gentleman took a teaser, seven point teaser and had
26:51
Speaker 1: the rams in that teaser. So obviously it lost. But
26:55
Speaker 1: the reason I wanted to mention that teaser, Joe, is
26:57
Speaker 1: that in his seventh point teaser he was able to
27:00
Speaker 1: bring Detroit from ten to three. Oh, Austin Gun, Oh,
27:06
Speaker 1: Austin Gun, do not do that again, my brother. That
27:10
Speaker 1: is that that mistake is so high level. I probably
27:16
Speaker 1: would slap you if we were next to each other.
27:18
Speaker 1: It would be like a love slap, you know, like
27:21
Speaker 1: one of those like tough love bam across the face. Firstly,
27:28
Speaker 1: you didn't get it through two key numbers. That's the
27:32
Speaker 1: one mistake. But Joe, the biggest mistake is that teasers
27:39
Speaker 1: don't push correct. They lose on ties. You cannot have
27:46
Speaker 1: a team at minus three and a taser take the
27:51
Speaker 1: extra half and make it a seven and a half pointer. So, Austin,
27:55
Speaker 1: I wanted to signal that out and I know you
27:58
Speaker 1: lost already. The other thing is he took Dallas to
28:00
Speaker 1: four and a half, which is another major mistake when
28:06
Speaker 1: betting teasers. You can never cross zero. If you cross
28:11
Speaker 1: zero in a teaser, you're giving up a point a
28:15
Speaker 1: seven team. A seven point teaser when you cross zero
28:19
Speaker 1: is a six point teaser. Let's not give the books
28:22
Speaker 1: any extra help, Joe, anything else before we call it
28:25
Speaker 1: it in.
28:26
Speaker 3: You're taking you somewhat positive ev bets and you're making
28:30
Speaker 3: them negative, and that is never good in the long run.
28:32
Speaker 3: You might get lucky and win one here or there,
28:35
Speaker 3: but to think that you're going to get rich by
28:37
Speaker 3: going with that, you are sadly mistaken. I know math
28:41
Speaker 3: is hard, but that math doesn't work in your favor.
28:44
Speaker 1: Yeah, and we're trying to help you, guys. So tough love,
28:48
Speaker 1: that's what it is.
28:49
Speaker 3: Yep.
28:50
Speaker 1: And speaking of that, lots of love everyone, Let's all
28:52
Speaker 1: have a monster weekend. See you got hey, Sunday end zone.
28:57
Speaker 1: We have sixteen thousand people watching the live stream. Make
29:02
Speaker 1: sure to tune in Sunday one pm Eastern. We're gonna
29:05
Speaker 1: watch the show together. Other than that, see you guys
29:08
Speaker 1: on Monday. Lots of love,