Latest / SILVER / GOLD / $UFD Meme Coin Investing & Global Economics / **Silver and Gold Investors** BIG Changes YOU Must Know - (precious metals news price update)
Transcript
- 0:01Hey guys, welcome to the live stream.
- 0:02Welcome to the basement, $4000 gold.
- 0:05We're going to talk about that in one second.
- 0:07A big brokerage house is calling for just that $4000 gold.
- 0:11Where do you think that'll put the silver price?
- 0:14We've got another analyst we're going to talk about here in a
- 0:16few days that's talking about $184 silver.
- 0:21Unbelievable developments, but we got other major stories to
- 0:25cover. 1st, I want to say thank you for joining me here in the
- 0:28basement. It's a big deal.
- 0:30When you come down here. I want you to feel like you're
- 0:32in a little home away from home, a little refuge from all the
- 0:36craziness that's out there in the world.
- 0:38This is not possible without you.
- 0:40Please subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up and
- 0:43leave a comment in the comment section.
- 0:45If you don't agree with me, that's a OK Trust me, read
- 0:49through the comments. There's plenty of there's a
- 0:51diverse opinion about where we're heading in precious
- 0:54metals. I had my opinion, You have yours
- 0:57and we can all learn from each other.
- 0:58But let's talk about the biggest story of the week.
- 1:01President Donald Trump comes out with a game changer earlier this
- 1:07week, actually yesterday there's President Trump has now opened
- 1:13the door, open the door for four O 1K retirement plans to invest
- 1:20in private equity, equity, crypto and real estate.
- 1:24OK, so millions of Americans now with trillions of dollars in
- 1:29four O 1K plans are going to be open to investing in a much more
- 1:33risky side of the of the investment world.
- 1:37Couple thoughts on this. I want to get your opinion and
- 1:40see what you think about this as well.
- 1:43Hold on one second here. We're having some technical
- 1:46issues. Hopefully you guys can see me
- 1:49and hear me this morning. Hello Rios, hello Mark Pierce,
- 1:52hello GAIL. Hold on here trying to get this
- 1:55worked out. OK couple big things about this
- 1:58four O 1K money being able to go into crypto, real estate and
- 2:01private equity. Number one, it shows that people
- 2:04want to get away from the US dollar.
- 2:07The real value of the dollar is going down, which we know if we
- 2:11decide to price the value of our silver and gold to use the
- 2:15dollar as the unit of measure will only mean that the price
- 2:18that in dollars of gold and silver will continue to go up.
- 2:22But the big question is come on Donald Trump, when are you going
- 2:26to let people like fully invest their four O 1 KS into physical
- 2:32gold and silver that they can hold on themselves?
- 2:35I know a lot of stackers out there would like the idea of
- 2:38being able to self custody. They're silver and gold, but
- 2:42still hold it under that four O 1K umbrella.
- 2:46I wouldn't rule anything out. We'll see where that goes.
- 2:49We're going to keep a close eye on that.
- 2:51Certainly we are in a period of change.
- 2:53Do you feel it? I mean, it is becoming blatantly
- 2:56obvious to me that we are in a period of change financially in
- 3:01the world like no other in history.
- 3:03And maybe that's why Fidelity is calling for $4000 gold.
- 3:08Let's go look at that and I want you to think about what does
- 3:11that mean where I'll ask you the question, do we hit an all time
- 3:15high in the silver price when we hit $4000 gold?
- 3:20I'll go out on a limb and say yes, absolutely.
- 3:24I think that's what's going to happen.
- 3:26Once we get that 4K level in gold, silver will get to a new
- 3:30nominal all time high, somewhere above $50 per oz.
- 3:34But let's go see what the people with Fidelity are saying.
- 3:36It's very interesting and we got a lot more to talk about,
- 3:39including some focus on silver as well.
- 3:44But we saw this yesterday. Here we go.
- 3:48OK, all right, this came from Fidelity.
- 3:52I apologize, guys. You know how technology can be.
- 3:56We're having some tech issues. But you should be looking at a
- 3:58metals and miners article and go back and check.
- 4:02Yes, you are OK. And it says right there,
- 4:04Fidelity gold price could hit $4000 by year end.
- 4:09There's a little confusion here. I never want to mislead anybody.
- 4:12I'm not sure if this is the big Fidelity that me and most people
- 4:17our age have accounts with here in the United States or a
- 4:19different one, or the Canadian arm of it.
- 4:22You can decide for yourself. But it says right here gold
- 4:25prices are heading towards 4K per oz by the end of this year.
- 4:30As the Federal Reserve by the end of the year begins to cut,
- 4:34rates in the US dollar continues its decline, according to a
- 4:38Canadian investment in a Canadian investment firm,
- 4:41Fidelity. In an interview with Bloomberg
- 4:43on Tuesday, fund manager Ian Sampson said the firm is still
- 4:47bullish on the precious metal, with some cross asset portfolios
- 4:51recently increasing holdings after prices ease from the all
- 4:55time high of 3500 back in April. The rationale for that was that
- 5:00we saw a clear path to a more dovish Federal Reserve, Sampson
- 5:05said, adding that some funds had as much as doubled their 5%
- 5:09allocation over the past year. We're going to go out in a
- 5:12minute here and look at the Fed Watch tool and see what we can
- 5:16expect for the next Fed meeting and our old friend Jerome Powell
- 5:20in just 40 days. But let's also revisit a little
- 5:23further down in this article, Goldman Sachs, because the
- 5:26bullish outlook for gold mirrors that of Goldman Sachs, which has
- 5:30made the case in recent quarters for an eventual rally to as much
- 5:34as $4000 per oz. OK, now they're talking about
- 5:39cutting rates. Let's look at this big story
- 5:42that came out this week. The Bank of England is now
- 5:46cutting interest rates. And guys, why is that important?
- 5:49We're not going to read much more in this, but that is
- 5:53important because believe it or not, those Brits are friends in
- 5:57Great Britain, home of the LBMA, the London Million Market
- 6:02Association. They still have major sway when
- 6:06it comes to the world monetary policy.
- 6:09The Brits are quite wealthy. That's the reality.
- 6:12And the other important thing, the other reason why we we want
- 6:15to pay attention to that is that these world central banks do not
- 6:19operate in a vacuum. So as more and more world
- 6:23central banks are cutting rates, the next to come will be our old
- 6:26friend Jerome Powell in the United States Federal Reserve.
- 6:30Let's go ahead and take a look in an update here.
- 6:32We're live on Friday morning, the 8th of August, 8/8 of 2025
- 6:40sooner it'll be 8/8/2020 8:00 and then we'll really be great.
- 6:44But let's take a look at CNBC and get an update on the gold
- 6:48and silver price. I think we were down a little
- 6:50bit earlier today. Here we go.
- 6:54Let me make sure I'm sharing the screen, which I'm not.
- 6:58You have to look. Watch me struggle.
- 7:01Here we go. OK, And gold.
- 7:04We want the gold price. Come on, CNBC.
- 7:07Oh, OK, we're up. Wow, I didn't realize that.
- 7:11So in the futures market, gold's up 36 an ounce, silver up almost
- 7:17$0.22 per oz. I apologize, I wasn't sharing
- 7:21the right screen with you guys there.
- 7:23Now next I am going to share this screen.
- 7:25We're going to go out and look at what the Feds got going.
- 7:27So in 40 days, you can see it right over here, lower right
- 7:30side. We will get the next Federal
- 7:33Reserve decision on interest rates, monetary policy.
- 7:37But what we want to look at, it's a little further down here.
- 7:43There we go. OK, so 89%, there's the current
- 7:47rate in the middle, middle top tells us 4.25 to 4.5 and right
- 7:52now the market is pricing in an 89%.
- 7:57Make that smaller for your viewing pleasure.
- 8:00There we go. That should work.
- 8:06Sorry, I didn't have that ready. 89% chance that we are going to
- 8:11see a rate cut here. Just so you guys who don't know
- 8:16how to read this, this is the current rate right?
- 8:194.25 to 4.5. We have an 89% chance that rate.
- 8:25Hold on here, it's a live stream, bear with me.
- 8:31There we go. That rates are going to get cut
- 8:34by 1/4 of a .10% chance over here.
- 8:38As you can see that rates are going to remain exactly the
- 8:42same. So we're going to keep a close
- 8:44eye on that. That will be again, very, very
- 8:48good for the price of gold and silver.
- 8:51And we had some interesting news this week from UBS, the big
- 8:55Swiss banker, again, this time talking about gold, reiterating
- 9:00a $3500 price target in the near term for gold.
- 9:04What's interesting are the reasons why they said that.
- 9:07Now again, this is UBS. This is the big Swiss bank,
- 9:11right? Remember secret Swiss bank
- 9:13accounts? The Swiss are known for their
- 9:15money management skills. They are bullish on gold.
- 9:18But most importantly, most interesting are the reasons why.
- 9:23And they listed these a weaker dollar, a weaker U.S. economy
- 9:28and a weaker job market and higher, higher odds of the
- 9:32Federal Reserve rate cut. It's coming, guys.
- 9:35Be ready. But what UBS said about silver
- 9:38is even more interesting. We talked about this in a
- 9:41previous live stream, but you guys have overwhelmed me to kind
- 9:47of dive into this one a little bit more because UBS also said,
- 9:54OK, silver price outlook. UBS updates its price target.
- 10:04I got this all highlighted for you.
- 10:06Their UBS stretch raise their forecast for the silver price to
- 10:09$42.00 per oz across all tenors through June of 2026, so 10
- 10:15months from now, citing stronger investment demand and a recovery
- 10:19in industrial activity. With these new forecasts, we
- 10:29reiterate our preference to stay long silver and view price
- 10:32pullbacks as buying opportunity. That was from Dominic Schneider
- 10:35and Wayne Gordon, they wrote in a note.
- 10:38Silver exchange traded fund inflows remain solid, bringing
- 10:41total known holdings to around 786 million oz.
- 10:45Regional trends and retail demand show strength in India
- 10:49and a recovery in Europe. However, conversely, which I
- 10:54think means oppositely, the US market has faced head with
- 10:57retail demand estimated to have fallen by at least 30% year to
- 11:03date, the strategist noted. OK, that is important guys,
- 11:07because just if the United States, if the United States
- 11:12investment demand for silver goes back to normal, all we want
- 11:17is for it to go back to normal. Hold on here, boy.
- 11:21Sorry guys, my computer is acting crazy.
- 11:25Here we go. Hold on now we're back up.
- 11:28I apologize. We just wanted to go back to
- 11:31normal and we will have a massive influx of new money into
- 11:38the into the silver markets. Sorry, though, we're going off
- 11:42the rails a little bit this morning Stream yard and my
- 11:45Internet is acting up. Also silver is that there's a
- 11:53supportive backdrop with dollar diversification, but also silver
- 11:58is in its 5th consecutive year of annual deficit estimated at
- 12:01118 million oz for 2025. This brings the cumulative
- 12:07cumulative shortfall since 2021 to around almost 800 million oz,
- 12:13reinforcing the positive price outlook.
- 12:17OK, why is that important? That's important for us to
- 12:21remember because hold on one second.
- 12:30OK, I'm back. I apologize for the technical
- 12:32issues. This is live streaming.
- 12:34Yeah. We're hitting the important
- 12:35points though, aren't we, Dusters?
- 12:37By the way, don't forget, if you like watching me struggle on
- 12:40live streams and you like hanging out in the basement
- 12:42knowing that I'm a real human, please feel free to subscribe to
- 12:46the channel. That would be greatly
- 12:48appreciated. I think we got some I think we
- 12:52got some slow down. Hopefully you can hear me.
- 12:55What's important to realize about the silver deficit in the
- 12:58silver situation, those quite simply this OK, there's only so
- 13:02much silver above ground period. And as we move forward, OK, year
- 13:09by year by year is that we're taking more silver out of the
- 13:12above ground stockpiles. Eventually it runs out.
- 13:16Eventually there's no more a grandma silverware to be melted
- 13:20down. There's no more silver that's
- 13:22available. And that's when the only thing
- 13:24that will fix that situation will be the what will be a
- 13:30higher price. Next up, let's talk about the
- 13:33fact that the silver and gold paper markets.
- 13:37I'd like to try to share my screen, but I think we are
- 13:40having some pretty nasty issues right now with technology.
- 13:47I'm going to try anyhow. This came from Arcadia
- 13:50Economics, our good friend Chris Marcus and I think we're up
- 13:59almost. Yep, there we are.
- 14:01OK, we've got still in the paper markets a very, very Barry.
- 14:10There's arcade economic sub stack gold and silver bank COMEX
- 14:14short positions remain near all time highs.
- 14:17Let's go down here and take a look.
- 14:21As you might imagine given the current price levels, the short
- 14:25position held by the banks in both gold and silver markets
- 14:28remain near the extreme end. The current level for both
- 14:32metals is slightly off the all time highs and I would imagine
- 14:37that would remain the case again this Friday, which will be today
- 14:41when we get the latest top report.
- 14:43So the the short position in the paper markets for both gold and
- 14:47silver are near all time highs. This is gold.
- 14:51As you can see he's he's circled that in red where you can see
- 14:55the near record all time highs on the gold short position.
- 14:59And then here is silver from the cop report again near looks like
- 15:04I guess if we go back a number of years, I think this went back
- 15:07to is that June? No, I looked here earlier back
- 15:11to 2007, but again, we are at or near a record all time highs in
- 15:16the short position in the silver market as well.
- 15:20Let's do a quick check of the here we are.
- 15:23I think we're back now. Sorry guys, we have been having
- 15:26some some streaming issues this morning, but let's go take a
- 15:31look at the silver price over in China.
- 15:34This comes from our friend the Oriental Ghost and is showing us
- 15:39in no uncertain terms. Come on, there we go.
- 15:48This is the Shanghai Gold Exchange, OK, The Chinese
- 15:52market, the physical market for silver and gold in China.
- 15:56And when we look at silver, which is AG on the chart on the
- 16:01SGE, the Shanghai Gold Exchange, which is again pretty much their
- 16:05physical market, right, we are at a price of $40 per oz.
- 16:11What if we go back to, let's go back to CNBC here for a second,
- 16:17see if we get this to pull up. Yeah, silver in the United
- 16:22States in the futures market, $38.54, probably a bit less in
- 16:28the spot market. So guys, the the physical price
- 16:32of silver in China, which we all know is where the the current
- 16:38price setting mechanism is moving, continues to be
- 16:42significantly higher than what we have in the United States.
- 16:46It's absolutely crazy. On top of that, there are so
- 16:51many fundamental factors driving the silver price forward.
- 16:54I'm going to talk about one of them next.
- 16:57But before I do that, I do want to say thank you to 1st Mint for
- 17:00sponsoring the gold and silver content There a silver mint
- 17:04located in Las Vegas, NV owned by First Majestic Silver.
- 17:09First Majestic Silver mines the silver in Mexico, sends it to
- 17:13Las Vegas where it's minted into world class silver bullion
- 17:17products. You can check them out at First
- 17:20mint.com. They have all original pieces,
- 17:23great customer service, free shipping on orders over $199 and
- 17:28there's a discount code you can use VIPRB.
- 17:32But another factor that you don't hear a lot of people
- 17:35talking about with silver is the actual production of silver
- 17:39coming out of the mines has been going down, down, down, OK.
- 17:44We're seeing that in Mexico. We're seeing that on a worldwide
- 17:47basis. At the same time, when demand
- 17:50for silver continues to go up, we are getting set up for an
- 17:53absolute perfect, perfect storm and the silver market is so
- 17:59small. Wait till you see this.
- 18:01This was an excellent piece that I saw that I wanted to share
- 18:04with you that just demonstrates how unbelievably undervalued.
- 18:11Hold on here. Where did it go?
- 18:14Hold on one second, guys. I'm going to let you look at the
- 18:17Shanghai Gold Exchange while I go back and pull up.
- 18:22Here it is. No.
- 18:24Darn it. Where did that?
- 18:25Where did that go? I think this is it.
- 18:29Yep, here it is. Comparing.
- 18:31This is incredible, an incredible fact about our friend
- 18:34silver. We're waiting.
- 18:46We're going to wait. We're patient.
- 18:48We're silver and gold investors. We've been patient for years.
- 18:52It's almost here, guys. I won't sing for you or anything
- 18:55like that. Come on.
- 18:56Pull up. There it is from Horna Honza
- 19:00Serenade. One Amazon.
- 19:02OK, the company Amazon. One Amazon is worth more than
- 19:06the entire global silver market. OK, here it's a look at this.
- 19:11OK, silver. He says 2.1 trillion.
- 19:14Humanity has mined all the silver on Earth over thousands
- 19:18of years, and yet its total value doesn't even exceed that
- 19:22of of a single U.S. company that ships boxes most people throw
- 19:27away within six months. And still some insist silver is
- 19:32a bubble. Here we go.
- 19:35All the silver ever mine is worth 2.1 trillion, and one
- 19:40Amazon is worth 2.3 trillion. And this was from a few days
- 19:43ago. So with knowing how the stock
- 19:45market's been going, it's probably even more exaggerated
- 19:50at this point. Let's look at another crazy fact
- 19:54that we have when we compare the gold price.
- 19:56This shows how gold has performed since 1999 comes from
- 20:02our friend Make Gold Great Again.
- 20:05He says almost nobody on the planet Earth realizes that
- 20:08stocks are down 60% versus gold since 1999.
- 20:14And the way he's presenting this?
- 20:17Is simply this the Dow to gold ratio?
- 20:20So how many, how many ounces of gold does it take to buy one
- 20:24unit of the Dow was at its top in 1999, right?
- 20:29Almost 45 ounces of gold to get one unit of the Dow.
- 20:32Today we are at 17.77 and that appears to be going down.
- 20:38He's got a target of .5. But basically when you compare
- 20:43the value of the Dow versus the value of gold, we've had a major
- 20:48significant decrease since 1999. It's going to be interesting.
- 20:53It feels like we are continuing down what it what, what is a, a
- 20:57very supportive path for the precious metals, for the value
- 21:02of the precious metals. We know it's worked for
- 21:05thousands of years. It's likely to continue working.
- 21:09Thanks for joining me. Thanks for being part of the
- 21:11basement. Don't forget to subscribe.
- 21:13Leave a comment in the comment section.
- 21:15You don't have to be nice. That's how we learn is from each
- 21:19other. But I want you to have a great
- 21:21day. Take care of yourself guys, OK?
- 21:23And I will see you soon.