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NFL Week 7 Best Bets · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you above that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: browins hack Man, I don't know what is going on
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins arch Haape? Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: who even knows? Man, I don't know what day is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I can possibly have,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: go well for me. Own five the worst month that
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the Slump series, The slump discontinuous, The slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: I should do at this point, other than potentially end
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: it all. What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you.
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: This is better Off Dead NFL Week seven edition. We'll
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: talk about what happened today tomorrow morning. I'm pissed. I
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: don't really feel like getting into it right now. It
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: was a winning day, but I'm fucking pissed about multiple
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: of these fucking games. I'm pissed about the extra picks
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: that I threw into my pick six pick seven. In
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: college football, I'm still alive and survivor, so there is
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: that in college. I'll probably not be alive in NFL
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: anymore or in real life after this. My camera won't
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: fucking focus, Like, what the fuck is going on here? Man?
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: Fucking focus focus on my ugly face, you bitch. All right,
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: let's fucking go, impure hunter. What's up, man, Good to
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: see you. Thanks for reposting. Man. I'm on YouTube as well.
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: You can watch me on YouTube too. This is gonna
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: be the NFL show. But yes, we did have a
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: four and three day on the show today. My extra
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: throw in at the end just because it was No
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: King's Day. I'm like, fuck you, you don't tell me what
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: to do. We're gonna fucking have a play on the Kings.
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: And then they fucking erase a three to zero deficit,
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: tie it at three three, get our hopes up, send
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: it to overtime. So it's like, okay, we have actually
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: the right side here as an underdog here, and now
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: they just lose like a minute and a half into overtime.
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: Fuck you, fuck all that. So I would have been
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: two and o in hockey, but instead I go two
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: and one because I couldn't help myself. Whatever two and
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: two in college football is. College football hasn't been great
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: over the last couple of weeks or just kind of
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: breaking even ish, although we went three and two this week,
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: actually because I had the winner last night in Louisville,
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: so I guess there was that at least, yeah, we
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: have that in our back pocket. At least, let's talk
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: about this NFL slate. Man, I'm gonna have three NFL plays.
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: I had difficulty even getting it to three to be honest, like,
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: I have one play that I really like a lot.
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: The other two were maybe a little bit less so,
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: but I'm gonna do it anywhere. We're gonna have three plays.
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: I think they're all solid ish enough for plays. I
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: guess maybe I'm just not restraining myself. I gotta break
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: my own arm, like, stop betting these games. What the
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: fuck are you doing? Man? Yeah, And they're all gonna
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: be in the Sunday Slate. I'm not gonna do anything
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: with the two Monday night games, but obviously I'll talk
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: about them and then i'll talk about them again Monday morning.
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: We're gonna do the final market read tomorrow on the
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: show tomorrow, Very Small Board on Sunday Tomorrow, So we'll
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: talk about a few hockey games or whatever the hell's
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: going on tomorrow. Baseball I think is maybe back in
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: action with the ALCS. I assume it's probably going on.
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: So that's what we're talking about tomorrow. And I'll rant
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: about the college football horseshit that happened. Fuck you, Syracuse,
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: is what I have to say about that. And I
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: think probably the other was the other game that I
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: had a bullshit loser to. I don't even remember it
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: might have been. I don't even remember what it was.
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: I don't even want to remember. Fuck it. Let's talk
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: about the NFL here, man and I did bring up
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: the look ahead lines again. The summary of this overly
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: plasticized woman here. Whatever the hell this woman is, Melanie
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: Collins talking up talking to us about football. You think
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna listen to a woman, especially when it looks
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: like that about football? Hell, no, I'm not gonna do that.
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: First game up is Rams Jaguars. We have to call
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: them the Jaguars because this is in London and the
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: Jaguars are the London team here. Rams are a three
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: point favorite. They're up to three with juice. It looks
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: like the ticket percentages on Jacksonville, which or Londonville, which
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: I don't really understand, fifty four percent of tickets on them,
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: fifty five percent of the cash coming on on the Rams.
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have a slight disagreement with that. I don't
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: like the Rams in the spot. I actually lean to
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: the Jaguars here. The look ahead line is three and
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: a half, but I don't think that's really I don't
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: think that makes much of a difference. Other Rams are
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: gonna be without Pooka and Akua, which shouldn't really affect
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: the line that much, although of course he is their
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: best wide receiver so it will affect the game play
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: a little bit here. But looking at the spot, I
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: just think that the spot is probably a little bit
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: better for the Jaguars here. La. They're coming off a
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: win over the Ravens. I mean, say what you will.
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: I know, it's the Ravens without Lamar Jackson. The Ravens
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: just totally sliding right now, just an injury plagued Baltimore team.
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: But it's still the Baltimore Ravens. It's still a pretty
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: good win for LA. On the road there, now they
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: gotta travel to London, so it's a second straight game
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: away from home here, a lot of travel. They had
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: to travel from West coast to East coast and now
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: they have to go across the Atlantic Ocean. I don't
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: love the spot for the Rams here, man. I think
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: the other thing about this is the Jags are more
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: used to this travel spot because the Jags are the
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: de facto London teams, so they play here every year,
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: and sometimes they play two weeks in a row in London,
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: so They're used to this. They know what although I
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: know they haven't done it under their new coach, Liam Cohen,
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: but a lot of their players are still there that
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: have done this. So the Jaguars are much more used
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: to this. And what did the Jaguars do. They flew
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: out on Monday, so immediately after they lost their game
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: on Sunday, just pack their bags they go. So I
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: think that's actually a positive because it seems to me
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: like if you determine, like when the teams get over
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: there to London, the teams that get there earlier, they
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: adjust to the time zone, and they have like many days,
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: they get, like an entire week to be adjusting to
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: that time zone, and then by the time Sunday comes
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: around their adjusted to it. Those teams tend to play
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: a lot better than the teams that go over there late.
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: Hint hint. That would be the Rams here, because the
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: Rams actually did not fly out until Friday, so Jacksonville
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: was in London already I think by Monday night, and
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: the Rams, who are not used to doing this, they're like, nah,
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: let's just go over there on Friday. So I think
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: that's another edge to Jacksonville here. So I think the
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: travel edged with Jacksonville with a familiarity of it, the
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: fact they're going to be more adjusted to the times
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: at this point, it's an advantage to Jacksonville. I know
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: the better coaches on the side of the rams with McVeigh,
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: I just don't care. I think the better spot, the
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: better set up here is for Jacksonville for all those reasons.
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: And Jacksonville did just lose last week. I know sometimes
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: when you lose a win streak, losing a game will
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: hang you over a little bit. But Jacksonville was in
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: a bad spot last week. Man I talked about that
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: they were on a short week. They had that big
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: win on Monday night, which was one of my plays
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: on the show against the Kansas City Chiefs. Looked like
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: we're gonna lose that game right near the end. Is
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: look like they were gonna fail to cover by a
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: half point right near the end, and Trevor Lawrence did
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: his version of stumblebum if you want to call it
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: that the Ben Johnson offensive play that he was running
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: with the Detroit Lions, except it was not planned and
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: Lawrence actually fell down, wasn't touched, got up, got into
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: the end zone. One of the craziest winning touchdowns you'll
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: ever see. Coming off that huge win, Jacksonville was not
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: in a good spot. They were in a letdown spot.
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: They lost to this Seattle team. That's really surprising everyone. Man.
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I may have to reassess Sam
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: Darnold here, who I've always said was a bust. Maybe
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: you put him in a good system. Maybe he's better.
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: I mean it seems that way, although he's still caved
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: under the pressure of the big game last year. We
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: will see if that remains the case. But we're not
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: talking about Seattle yet here. We're talking about the Jags.
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: They had an awful offensive performance in that game, lost
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: twenty to twelve. I think it's gonna be good for
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: them after that game. Just get the fuck up, which
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: is what they did right away. And I think maybe
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: they were even looking ahead to the London game a
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: little bit. Man. I think maybe it was a little
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: bit of a sandwich spot, so not just a letdown spot,
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: but looking ahead to having to go to London here,
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: which is you know, it's at least kind of a
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: It's one of those isolated games that gets like national
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: TV attention for the people that are actually up at
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: nine thirty in the morning Eastern time, worth six thirty
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: in the morning Pacific time, so good luck for other
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: RAMS fans there. I want to watch this shitty game,
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: but in the Pacific coast time isn't that great. I'm
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: gonna lean to Jacksonville and that one. They'll plus the
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: points this board this week. I don't like the board
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: very much. Man. I'm just telling you right now, there
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: are some games that I've really struggled because I give
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: out an opinion on the side on every game here,
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: which hopefully can help people with their pick them pools.
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: I'm doing really well in my pick them pool, just
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: picking every single game. I should just bet every single game,
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: and I'd be winning. Man. It's doing better than my
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: actual plays and way better than my pick five entry,
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: which ridiculous. So I have those additional like cuts, like
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: those last cuts that don't make my actual plays, because
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: I think my plays are actually winning, but those last
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: cuts they've been bad. I don't get it. And then
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: my overall plays, my overall picks are just winning. So
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, But this week I've struggled to
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: tell you that. Now you're gonna know what my strongest
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: opinions are though, because I'll tell you there are certain
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: games where, even if I'm not gonna give it out
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: as a play, it's pretty unlikely I'm gonna change my
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: opinion on a couple of these other games. So I
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: will point those out if I can. But I mean,
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, I might second guess myself here going through this,
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: but we will say blonde Laura Loomer, Yeah that. I
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: don't know who that woman is, Melanie Collins, but she's
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: she's probably a Zionist as well, just like Laura Lomer.
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: All Right, we get into the the actual Sunday slate
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: one PM. I'm gonna go based on the board again.
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: I went based on the schedule last week. I'm gonna
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: do it based on the betting order here, Raiders Chiefs
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: at one pm, the Chiefs from ten and a half
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: to twelve. So the Chiefs getting the respect from the
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: market again, or maybe the Raiders getting disrespect here. But
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs all of a sudden look like their offense
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: is starting to click here is it? And I'm not
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: really entirely sure about that. I mean, Mahomes has been
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: really good, which is good for me because I have
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: him on my fantasy team in my main league. He
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: got Xavier Worthy back and then Rashie Rice is coming
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: back this week. I don't know how involved Rice is
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: gonna be. Rice was suspended for the first six games
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: or whatever because he drove drunk in over one hundred
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: miles an hour and caused a six car pile up.
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: And the only reason he's probably not in jail is well,
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: one because he's in the NFL, but two because he
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: didn't kill anybody. So I think that's probably the reason
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: why he's on my fantasy team. By the way, I
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: love those fantasy players that caused six car pile ups
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: by driving drunk, you know, basically the speed of light.
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: It's fucking awesome, man, That's what I do. Charles, what's
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: up man? Thanks for hanging out. But yeah, the Chiefs,
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, their offense has been better recently. I don't
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: know if Rice is going to be like totally up
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: to speed ye though, although he's been allowed to practice
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: since I think week three or four. That's just what
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: the rule is, so he's not like coming in totally cold.
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: And I mean he's been in this system for a while,
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: so it probably won't take him that long to ramp up.
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: I just don't know how much they're gonna use him
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: in this game. Seventy three percent of tickets, seventy seven
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Chiefs, it seems like
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: a large spread to be lame man. Total's right, kind
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: of in the mid level of totals here, forty five,
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: forty five and a half whatever. Not a high total,
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: not a low total. But the Chiefs they don't cover
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: my margin that often, man, I mean last year they
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: really didn't. They had a lot of one score wins.
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: You're asking a lot of the Chiefs to win by
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: margin like this. It's just not something that they tend
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: to do that often. And against the Raiders they actually
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: really struggled to do so too. They've had a lot
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: of really close calls against the Raiders recently, and I
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: think have beaten them a couple of times recently too.
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: So the Raiders, no matter how bad they are, they
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: seem to just step it up against the Chiefs every
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: time they played them. And the Chiefs are coming off
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: a really big win on Monday night that was a
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: statement win at bouncing back from that, or Sunday night,
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: excuse me, a statement win after losing a Monday Night
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: to the Jaguars. Sunday night, they beat the Detroit Lions
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: thirty to seventeen. Chiefs got some benefit of some calls
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: in that game. I did lean to the Chiefs in
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: that game. I think they probably would have won the
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: game anyway, but they did get a lot of a
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: lot of calls that went their way in that game too.
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: But that's a big win over Detroit. Man. And then
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: there was like a scrum at the end of the
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: game where I don't remember who the player was, but
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: I don't even remember exactly what. I think Mahomes went
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: to shake somebody's hand on Detroit and whoever the Detroit
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: player was refused to do so, and then Juju smith
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: Schuster took issue with that and was like, what the fuck, man,
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: why are you not shaking his hand? And then the
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: dude punched smith Schuster, and then smith Schuster kind of
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: went back at them, and then it was like this
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: pile up out. But it was insane, man, That's what
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: happened at the end of the game. However you want
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: to look at it. It was a big win on primetime,
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: emotional game. And now the Chiefs come off of that,
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: and they play this awful Raiders team that's in last
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: place in their division yet again. And then they do
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: have somewhat of a bigger game up next against Washington,
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: which is gonna be at least with Jayden and Daniels back.
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: And by the way, that's another primetime game. I think
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: that's another Monday night game. So the Chiefs. Look at
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: what the Chiefs have done so far. Man. They played
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: in Brazil against the Chargers, huge divisional game, you know,
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: out of country game. That was an isolated game that
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: everybody watched on I think a Friday night or something.
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: Then they played the Super Bowl rematch against the Philadelphia Eagles.
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: Then they had a Sunday night game against the Giants.
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: I know the Giants sucked, but it's still a primetime game.
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: Then they had a huge game over Baltimore, which was
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: still against Baltimore. They beat Baltimore which was still Baltimore
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: with Lamar Jackson until he got hurt in that game.
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: Then they played a Monday night game against Jacksonville, and
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: then they played a Sunday night game against Detroit. So
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: there's like no letup in the schedule. Man. This is
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: like the led up spot here, So I don't think
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: it's a great spot for Kansas City. I mean, I
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: was looking at the market and seeing the money kind
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: of coming in at Kansas City, and it seemed like
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: like the public sentiment was kind of maybe thinking that
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: the line maybe a little bit too big with the
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: Chiefs at this point. But I'm second guessing that just
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: based on the spot, I would not lay the points
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: of the Chiefs here. And then again, they have that
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: primetime game up after that against Washington, then they face Buffalo, Denver,
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: the Colts, Dallas. I mean, every one of these games
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: is bigger than this Raiders one. I mean, this is like,
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: this is the flat spot in the Kansas City schedule here.
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: And say what you will about the Raiders, but they're
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: probably gonna show up for this game at least. And
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: the Raiders finally got a win after not having one
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: six week one they were able to win. I know
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: it was against the Tennessee Titans. They suck, They're probably
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: the worst team in football, but at least that gives
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: the Raiders a little bit of confidence and some I
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: think momentum coming into this one. So I'm gonna lean
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: to taking the points of the Raiders in this game,
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: not gonna have not gonna be a play for me.
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: We'll just put it that way. But yeah, I'll slightly
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: lean to the Raiders and that one. But it's definitely
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: not a strong opinion roid Rage. It wasn't like one
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: of the big dudes though. It was like, I forget
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: who it was actually on Detroit. You'd have to go
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: look it up. It wasn't like one of their like
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: linemen or anything like that. I don't think it was
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: like the super Jack dude, Nate, what's up man? Thanks
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: for hanging out. Yeah, d Jasser, Toad and Crux. You've
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: still not figured out my my Italian last name, which
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: is not my actual last name, but the Italian name
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: that got carried through on my my mom's mom's side.
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: All right, this is still taking too long. I'm only
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: talk about two fucking games. Damn Dolphins, Browns. How about
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: this game? This is a great game. Also at one
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: pm Eastern the total the totals down from forty one
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: to thirty five and a half. Sounds like it's gonna
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: be an amazing game here. Dolphins, I mean, their offense
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: is just struggling. They lost Tyreek Hill this I mean,
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: Tua doesn't look good anymore. This Dolphins offense is just shit.
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: Sounds like maybe eight chan once out of there. Mike
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: McDaniel probably gonna get fired bad, bad times for the Dolphins. Uh, Cleveland,
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: at the very least, you can say Cleveland has a
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: pretty solid defense. They got rid of Joe Flacco, and
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: all of a sudden, Joe Flacco looks pretty good with
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: the Cincinnati Bengals. I mean, he's got a lot, like
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: a decent amount of talent on that Cincinnati offense around him,
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: which the Browns don't have. But the Browns they're struggling offensively.
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: So that's why this total is this low. And the
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: money is coming on the under. Though, if you want
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: the under at this point, I don't think you could
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: really do it. I mean, if you've got forty one,
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: good for you, because that was a key number and
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: you got the best of it. But at this point
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: I don't think you could play the under. But the
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: money has come in that way. Browns are two and
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite Browns. When are they ever a favorite? Man?
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: Going up towards three here on the line, fifty five
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: percent ticket, seventy three percent of the cash on the Browns.
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: The money's coming in on the Browns. Oh and by
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: the way, let's sey I forgot to talk about the
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: look ahead line. The Chiefs were ten and a half,
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: by the way, in the look ahead. So the fact
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: which you can see here too, I think the look
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: ahead is kind of the opener and a lot of
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: these cases here, but the factor up to twelve means
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: that that move was basically just based off last week.
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: Last week's results too, so you're getting a little bit
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: extra value at the Raiders based on that. The look
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: ahead line is what the line was before last week's
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: games were played, so you can kind of gauge, like
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: what the overreaction was this week, So that line moved.
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: The Browns line was the same two and a half.
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: But I actually leaned to the Browns in this one.
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: They got seventy three percent of the catch. The Browns
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: are actually getting the money here, and I lean that
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: way basically because the Browns have a big defensive edge
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: in this game. They clearly have the better defense here.
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: Miami's coming up a tough game too. Man. Miami played
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: really well actually against the Chargers, or they played well
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: enough that they had the lead late in that game,
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: and then they had like a heartbreaking loss right at
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: the end. They scored with forty six seconds left. They're
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: actually down by thirteen in the fourth quarter, and they
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: scored twice in the final eight minutes, including with forty
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: six seconds left to take the lead over the Chargers,
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: and then they still lost the game on a field
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: goal right at the end by Dick Or the kicker.
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: Miami got dicked in that game and they wound up
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: losing the game. Just absolutely brutal. They could have had
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: like a decent statement win. Miami did also have three
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: turnovers in the game. They got outgained in the game,
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: so it should have been kind of an easier win
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: ish for the Chargers. Although I liked Miami to cover
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: that spread and that one they did that was one
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: of my leans. Didn't give it out as a play.
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: But the fact that Miami's coming off that brutal loss,
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: now they have to go on the road up to Cleveland. Miami,
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: by the way, they haven't been good on the road.
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: They lost thirty three to eight to Indianapolis, thirty one
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: to twenty one to Buffalo on Thursday night, lost Carolina
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: on the road, their own three on the road. I
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: lost by only three to Carolina, but it's still not good.
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: Now they're going up to Cleveland and we're starting to
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: get into fall weather man, so this is maybe gonna
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: be a little bit cooler. Well, it's gonna be rainy
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: at least. I guess it's gonna be sixty five, which
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: kind of surprises me because it's been like forties and
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: fifties up here in Boston recently. But still sixty five rain.
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: Not the greatest of weather, I don't think for this
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: Miami team. Cleveland, on the other hand, they're coming off
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: getting trounced by Pittsburgh, and I know I liked Cleveland
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: last week. It was one of my plays, even though
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: they were coming back from London. I just thought that
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh had that big look ahead spot to Cincinnati coming up.
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: Didn't like the spot for Pittsburgh. Didn't like the fact
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: they went into Thereby on a really good note but
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: didn't happen for us. Cleveland's offense is terrible, Dyan Gabriel terrible,
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: but I think they could do something against this Miami defense. Man.
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're stepping down in class here Minnesota's defense.
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: They faced a couple of weeks ago is much better
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: than Miami's. It's not even close. Pittsburgh's defense hasn't been great,
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: but they're still better than Miami's. So Cleveland may actually
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: be able to just do just enough to get this
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: win here, and the fact they're coming off a blowout loss,
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna maybe fix some things during the
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: week and maybe they look a little bit worse than
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: maybe they really are right now. I know they got
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: to get Dylan Gabriel up to speed and maybe he
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: won't even actually be that good. But Miami's office doesn't
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: look that good either, So I think it's gonna be
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: an ugly, low scoring game. It'll be a defensive game,
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: which I think does actually favor Cleveland. That's the way
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: that I would look Dolphins coming up that brutal loss,
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I think that's the way to go. It's Mussolini, Yes,
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: you're correct, actually, which plays into my fascism. Toe to
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: scene and that's closed as well. Bonaparte, that's Bonaparte day, Bonaparte,
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: that's not Italian. He's the dick kicker. Yeah, the bees
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: will not play well in the cold ring. Who the
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: fuck are the bees? The Cleveland Browns the other I
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: don't know what we're talking about right now. You don't
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: think the Browns will play well in the rain? I
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: don't know what we're what we're alluding to there? Next
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: up New England at Tennessee, Patriots at Titans. Patriots are
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: very public side now they're laying seven on the road.
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: The look ahead on this was where are we at?
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: Was six? So the Patriots. The line's gone up a
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: little bit. I mean, seven is a key number here,
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: and it's seven even money right now on the Patriots.
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: You'll probably be able to get the full seven at
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: minus one ten on the Titans, if you really want
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: to do it, I would lean that way. I do
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: lean to the Titans here, but I do have some
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: reservations about it, which, of course, some of it is
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: that the Titans suck, but of course that's being built
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: into the line. Patriots, I think they're getting a little
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: bit too much respect, basically since they beat Buffalo. I
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: think they're getting a little bit too much respect. Eighty
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: four percent of tickets, seventy nine percent of the cash
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: public all over the Patriots now. But some of it is,
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: I mean, some of it is that the Patriots have
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: looked good with Drake May over the last few games.
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: Some of it is that the titan are just probably
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: the worst team in football. So all of that has
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: to do with why the public is on the New
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: England side. I think it's too many points though New England.
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: I mean, of course I went against them last week.
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: I loved New Orleans last week, and New Orleans didn't
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: get it done for us. They played competitively still and
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: only lost by six. I thought it was a major
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: letdown spot for New England. After New England, they basically
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: looked too good against Carolina, which was a win for us.
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: On the show, I had a New England in that
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: game against Carolina on the show and they blew them out,
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: but the score was a bit misleading. Carolina, I think
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: had some turnovers in the game. It wasn't a huge
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: yard a judge for New England in that one. And
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: then New England had that huge win over Buffalo, of
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: course on the road in primetime. Everybody saw it. But
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: really that's the Patriots only good win. I mean, who
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: else did they beat? They beat Miami at New Orleans
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: and Carolina. I mean, those are not impressive wins. Otherwise,
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: those are some of the worst teams in football, though
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: I know Carolina is decent ish I guess at three
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: and three, but those are still not very impressive wins,
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: and they caught Carolina in a bad spot off of
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: that blowout of Atlanta, which was also one of my
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: wins on the show. So I'll tune my own horn
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: when I can, but I'll admit my losses too. New
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: England did deserve to win against Pittsburgh, though they had
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: a huge turnover disadvantage in that game that costs in
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: that game. They should have won against Pittsburgh, So I
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: mean that is at least one indicator that New England
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: actually did have a good game against a decent team
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: at Pittsburgh. But still, I think at some point there's
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: got to be a letdown. I thought that it was
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: gonna be last week. It wasn't really. Now they're playing
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: a third road game in three weeks. That's not a
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: good spot either. That's kind of rare in the NFL
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: to have to play three road games over the course
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: of three straight weeks. I don't think that's great. Vrabel
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: will get up for it, though, because of course he
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: got fired by Tennessee, even though he was a good
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: coach for Tennessee and the Tennessee has been awful since
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: his firing, So Forrabel might be a little bit pissed.
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: So yeah, he's probably gonna be a little bit motivated.
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: So if the Patriots do happen to have the lead,
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: he's probably not not going to take his foot off
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: the gas. So that's kind of the one issue I
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: might have with Tennessee here. Other than that I would
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: lean that way. I still do lean that way to Tennessee.
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: It's just certainly it's not going to be a play
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: for me. Tennessee coming off another embarrassing loss, just an
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: ugly loss to the Raiders, which by the way, that
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: was their third road game in a row. Or they
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: had to go to Houston, Arizona and then Vegas is
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: going out west there, so it wasn't the greatest spot.
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: I didn't like Tennessee in that spot after they got
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: that ridiculous upset win bullshit win basically over Arizona, although
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: my leen was correct, and that one of my leen
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: was correct in the in the Vegas one too, But
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: coming back home, I do think Tennessee will at least
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: come out and show something in this game. I mean
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: they will probably be motivated to try to beat Vrabel
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: as well, to try to prove that, hey, this was like,
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: this is the right move to try to beat this
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: is the right move to get rid of vray Ball,
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: though I think clearly it was not. But I think
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: Tennessee will at least somewhat be motivated to try to
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: beat him. So I think that motivation does go both ways.
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: It's it's a pretty ugly game. It's an ugly lean,
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: but I would take the points to Tennessee if I
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: was going to play it. Oh brown Skin, Yeah, well,
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: I mean I don't know about that, man, because like
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: India has a lot of monsoons, man, So I don't know.
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: Saints Bears is gonna be one of my plays that
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: barely made the cut for me. It was my last
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: addition to my card. I'll leave that for the end.
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: For the best bets Eagles Vikings, this is a very
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: difficult game for me to figure out. The Eagles look
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: like they're still public, seventy one percent of tickets, only
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: seventy percent of the cash on them. Down from a
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: two and a half point favorite to a one and
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: app point favorite. So the osmakers are respecting the Eagles
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: enough that they're favoring them on the road. Part of
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: it is because the Vikings have quarterback issues. I don't
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: even think we know who their quarterback is going to
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: be here, Wentz has been filling in for JJ McCarthy.
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: I believe the Vikings are coming out of a bye,
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: if I'm not mistaken by the way. The two buys
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: this week are Buffalo and Baltimore. Just so you know,
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: Minnesota and Houston I believe had byes last week, So yeah,
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: Minnesota is coming out of a bye. They went into
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: the bye with a win in London. They actually played
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: in Dublin and in London, so this is They haven't
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: played in the US since September twenty first, which is ridiculous,
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: but it might be a little bit of a better
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: spot for Minnesota for that reason. Man, I'm not gonna
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: say they went into the buy in a good note
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: necessarily because when you go into the buy in a
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: good note, I think that that buye disrupts your momentum
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: and it's bad. But I think this bye is actually
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: helpful to them. Even though they won their last game
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: in London against Cleveland. They had the advantage there because
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: they were only going from Dublin to London going into
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: that game, and the Vikings played in London last year
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: or two, and they had the better coach in fucking
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: Kevin O'Connell, which, by the way, I forgot to mention Cleveland.
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: Did Cleveland fire their coach or did they not? Like
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: I saw I thought as somebody tweeted out that they
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: fired Steffans Gear or whatever his zam is, maybe they
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: didn't do that. I don't know. Somebody can let me
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: know if they actually did. But if they did, that
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: would be a fired coach spot where when the team
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: fires their coach, I do like to look towards that team,
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: but I already do lean to Cleveland. If it was
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: a fire coach spot, would I give it out as
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: a play, No, probably not, But I'm just kind of
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: interested in knowing that just because that would be a
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: little bit of a stronger play on Cleveland if they did,
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: because the team usually gets a little bit of a
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: spark when they fire their coach. But anyway, back to Minnesota,
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: I think the buye will help them returning back home.
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: It was kind of an ugly game against Cleveland Man,
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: so they didn't exactly go into the buy in a
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: great note, they got an extra week to prepare for
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: the Super Bowl champ Philadelphia. I almost said the Philadelphia
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: Phillies the Philadelphia Eagles for Philly, let's call them Philly.
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: So at Minnesota, you know they're gonna get up for
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: this game at the very least Philadelphia. Of course, they
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: did not have a bye last week. They took a loss, though,
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: and they do have some time off because they played
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: on Thursday, so they have a kind of a mini buy,
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: I guess if you want to call it that. And
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: they didn't play well either, so they do have some
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: extra time off to prepare for this too. So I
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: think that extra time off is somewhat helpful for Philadelphia
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: because that was kind of an ugly loss. Or they
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: were a favorite against the New York Giants. Jackson dart
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: are really Scatterboo looked really good in that game for
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: the Giants. I leaned to the Giants in that one.
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: We had that one right on the show as a
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: lean with my Thursday night dominance continuing, which by the way,
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: I did wind up picking Cincinnati. I hes I was
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: going back and forth on that game, man. So I
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: know I was leaning to Pittsburgh that morning, but the
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: final market read I went with Cincinnati. So I got
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: yet another Thursday night game. Right, I'm seven and zero
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: on the Thursday night spreads, which is ridiculous. But anyway,
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia ugly loss. They had two losses in a row
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: as favorites to Denver and the Giants. Now they do
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: have extra time off here, so that is going to
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: be helpful to them too. So I think both teams
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: are gonna kind of show up for this game focused.
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: It's just that, I mean, it looks like the anti
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: public read here would be to play the Vikings and
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: fade the Eagles here. Man. I mean, it's it's difficult.
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think it's a decent spot for the
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: Eagles to bounce back from that ugly loss, though. But
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: the Eagles really they have not been anywhere near as
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: good as last year. Man. Their offense has been struggling.
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: I mean, it looks like they're wide receivers are just
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: kind of I don't know, there's something kind of wrong
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: with aj Brown. It looks like to me, Hurts hasn't
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: been very good. Barkley has been way down this year.
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: Don't know what's going on with that Eagles offense. And
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: they lost a lot of their defensive personnel from last
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: year too. All that's kind of a problem. So yeah,
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: this game is really difficult for me to read. I mean,
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: the if we, you know, just kind of default to
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: going with the market read because there's no real like
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: situation to really latch onto in this game. You would
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: have to, I guess, take the vikings plus the points.
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: But I mean, my initial kind of thought on this
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: was that I actually kind of leaned to Philly. Though
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: that was kind of my initial reaction on this game.
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: Maybe I don't still lean that way. It's gonna be difficult.
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: We got to figure out who the hell Minnesota. Like,
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: who's Minnesota starting at quarterback? Do we know? Let me
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: say J. J. McCarthy is questionable, So I think we
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: don't really know yet. I think if McCarthy is back,
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: I would say you've got to lean to the Eagles
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: that McCarthy comes back, because I think he's actually worse
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: than Wentz and it'll become that like kind of reverse
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: injured player spot when your injured quarterback comes back. There's
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: kind of a chemistry shift the team has to get
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: used to him being back in there. Sometimes the team
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: almost like takes their foot off the gas a little bit, thinking, hey,
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: we don't need to play as hard with our starter
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: back in here, even though maybe they think that they
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: need to play hard because McCarthy hasn't been good. But
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: if McCarthy's in there, I would almost switch my opinion
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: to the Eagles. Man. I think if Wentz stays in there,
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: maybe Minnesota makes more sense. Wins is just a more
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: experienced guy. Man. I think he's probably better than McCarthy
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: right now. So very very difficult game to figure that out.
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: The ugly players, well, I'm gonna give out some ugly
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: plays too, at least one. But the ugliest games here
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: are not These are not on my card. These are
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: just my leans. But I'm gonna make these picks in
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: like my overall pick them where I have to pick
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: every single game a barely pun. Yes, the Vikings, I
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: don't know if do they still have that male trans
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: d trans cheerleader. Whoever the hell that blade blaze, whoever
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: the hell that person is person? I don't know, man,
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: The Vikings, Yeah, I mean they're a pretty gay organization,
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: though generally I mean, they're they're called the Purple people eaters,
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: or they used to be, So what do you expect?
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: And they've never won a Super Bowl. I look ahead
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: on that game, By the way, it was Eagles minus three,
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: so it's a little bit shifted towards the Vikings now,
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: so almost like there's maybe even a little bit of
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: value on the Eagles at this point. But it's possible
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: that the line moved a little bit because of the
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: quarterback uncertainty, And maybe would the line actually move towards
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: the Vikings if it was McCarthy coming back, would it? Really?
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Man to me, I think the the
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: odsmakers actually realized that Wentz is better, but maybe I'm
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: wrong about that. Next up is Panthers Jets. I disagree
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: with the market in this one. The Panthers flipped from
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: two and a half to minus flip from plus two
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: and a half to minus one, I should say, so
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: they went from a two and a half dog to
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: one point favor here, So the look ahead was probably
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: the two and a half dog. Let me see. Yeah,
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: the Jets are minus two and a half on the
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: look ahead, but that was the look ahead. So this
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: opener the opener might not have been actually where the
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: line opened this week because it was two and a
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: half before last week, so it might have actually moved.
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: It might have actually moved towards the Panthers based on
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: the results last week, which is what I think happened,
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: because the Panthers had a big win last week and
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: the Jets continued to be ass So I could see
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: that being the case, and I think with the look
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: ahead being Jets two and a half and then the
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: line move based on what happened last week. As far
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: as the market percentages, though, we do see fifty nine
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Carolina with fifty two percent
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on the Jets. There's no way that
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: I buy that though. Do you really think the own
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: six Jets are a public ish side against a three
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: and three Carolina team that just beat the Dallas Cowboys.
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: I don't think so. I think Carolina's got to be
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: the public team here. I mean, the public is only
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: gonna think that the Panthers is gonna win this game.
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: There's no way they're gonna play this Jets team. The
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: one drawback for the Jets is they're returning from London,
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: and I know, I still went with the Browns last
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: week on the return from London, and one of my
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: plays this week is gonna be on a team returning
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: from London, So I guess I should just you know,
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I guess I should go to hell
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: for that. Maybe maybe I should lose all these bets
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: that I'm giving out on those But I still like
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: the play that I'm gonna give out that's on that team.
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: I like it a lot. It's my favorite play of
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: the week for the Jets. I mean, there were bad
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: team that's returning on from London, though, and they played well.
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: The Jets were one of my plays last week. It
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: was the only London play I've given out this year,
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: and they covered pretty easily against Denver, despite the fact
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: that Justin Fields had negative ten passing yards in the game,
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: which that included sacks. It wasn't all backwards throws, but
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: I think he had like I think his actual completions
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: were like forty yards worth or something, but he got
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: sacked so many times. I think he got sacked maybe
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: like seven times. That led it to a negative ten
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: passing yardage total. Absolutely ridiculous. But the Jets, they played
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: Denver tough man, and that's a physical opponent Denver. So
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: it's not the easiest spot for the Jets for sure.
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: They're coming back from London after facing a punishing defense
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: and actually coming close in a game where they were
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: seven and a half point underdogs. So yeah, I don't
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: love the Jets in the spot. I mean, that could
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: be maybe the reason why the market is coming in
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: on the Carolina side. But for Carolina, their own three
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: on the road, they lost at Jacksonville, at Arizona, and
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: at New England. Jacksonville, New England playing pretty well though
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: Arizona not. But Carolina they haven't been good on the road.
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: Their only wins are against Miami, who is ass Atlanta
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: in a very bad spot for Atlanta, which is why
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: I gave out Carolina in that game. And it was
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: a misleading final result to Atlanta outgained Carolina in that game,
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: which you wouldn't know it by the fact that Atlanta
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: lost thirty to nothing, but Atlanta had a bunch of
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: turnovers in the game. Yeah, Carolina got really helped out
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: in that game. And then Carolina had maybe their only
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: kind of legitimate win last week against Dallas with Rico Dowdell.
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: He's on my fantasy team. He's been really good against
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: these bad defenses in Miami. In Dallas are the Jets
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: of bad defense? I don't know. I mean they shouldn't be.
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, they've been a really good defense over the
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: last few years. Aaron Glenn in there doesn't seem to
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: be a very good coach. Also, I don't know. The
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: Jets haven't been excellent defensively this year, but they're still
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: they got to be better offensively the Miami. In Dallas, though,
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: you would have to think, uh so Carolina, they're having
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: to go on the road where they haven't been good.
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: They just beat Dallas, which was really a statement win.
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: And last time they had a statement win against Atlanta,
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: they went on the road and they got blasted by
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: New England. And that was, of course a game that
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: I gave out on New England. Like I said, it
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: was a terrible spot for Carolina. At this time, I'm
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: a little bit hesitant to want to fake Carolina off
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: of the that win over Dallas, but I do still
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: kind of lean that way. I don't buy that the
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: public is actually playing the Jets here in Carolina. Does
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: face the Bills next, which is a somewhat bigger opponent to,
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: and then Green Bay after that. So I'm gonna slightly
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: lean to the Jets. I mean this one, I'm kind
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: of hesitating on it, to be honest, because the Jets
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: don't seem like they're in a very good spot either.
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: To me. This total is just, man, it's ugly, down
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: from forty five to forty one, sixty percent of tickets
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: on the over, only fifty two percent of cash on
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: the over, money coming in strongly on the under. Here,
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be an ugly game, but I
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: think if it's an ugly, low scoring game, I actually
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: think that helps the Jets because the Panthers are a
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: bad defense. They're more of an offensive team. So I
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: think if it's a lower scoring, ugly game, I think
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: that plays into the style that the Jets want to play.
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: So it's just absolutely, I mean, it's it's an ugly
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: game for sure. Yeah, Blade, is it Blade or Blaze?
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: I don't even remember oh Blade being foreshadowing? Yeah, that,
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: oh man, that that is a good one. I think
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: his name is actually Blaze, but maybe that's also foreshadowing
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: if they use fire to accomplish their goals. You don't
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: watch the Vikings games? Are you a Vikings fan? Charles,
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: I don't even know. I don't know who your team is.
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: Next up we have We're in the four pm slate.
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: Now we got Wait, did I skip anything? What did
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: I do? I feel like I don't know. I felt
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: like I skipped something, and maybe I didn't. We got
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: my Indianapolis against the LA Chargers. Man, Colts, I think
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: are overperforming a bit. Man. The Chargers are up from
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: a one and after a two point favorite public taking
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: the Colts. They're kind of a public underdog here. Fifty
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: nine percent of tickets, only fifty six percent of the
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: cash on the Colts. And you know I warned you
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: about public underdogs. When the public likes a team that's
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: not even favored, you want to look to that team
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: that's the favorite. You're not having to lay too much
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: on the Chargers here. I'm gonna lean to the Chargers
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: in this game. This one. I don't think I'm gonna
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: change my opinion on this one. Chargers opened well the
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: look ahead I mean was one and a half. So
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: it's basically it hasn't really moved based on what happened
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: last week. I just think the Chargers, after not playing
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: that well the last few weeks, are under the radar.
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: They lost to the Giants. That was a horrible spot though.
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: I gave up the Giants as a play in that
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: game and Jackson Jackson darts first, start Jackson start, darts
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: start fart. Did you see the Jackson fart? By the way,
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: some Old Miss, not some I think a Georgia fan,
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: I mean against Ole Miss. A Georgia fan had a
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: Jackson fart sign. I'm like, dude, you realize he's in
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: the NFL now, right, He's not the quarterback for Ole
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: Miss anymore. I don't know, but it was on college
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: game day. I think it was the Georgia. It must
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: have been the Georgia Old Miss game. I tweeted it out.
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: But yeah, the Chargers after they started the season beating
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs in Brazil, huge win, beating the Raiders on
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: Monday night, and then beating Denver a huge divisional game
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: there too, three straight divisional games. It was a horrible
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: spot for them having to go to the East Coast
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: face a dart offense that had they had no game
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: film on. So I led to the Giants in that one.
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: We got that win, even though the Chargers made some
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: turnovers there too. Thought the Chargers were gonna maybe bounce
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: back in their return home, and they were looking to
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: do so. They were about to go up seventeen to
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: nothing in that game against Washington, and they turned it
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: over deep in Washington territory and then never scored again
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: and lost the game. Just pretty bad loss, really just
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: kind of brutal. I thought they had a much better
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: shot to win that game, so the public kind of
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: off of them a little bit. Olthough the public was
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: on them last week because they were playing Miami and
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: Miami sucks, and of course the Chargers had to go
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: back to the East Coast where they struggled. I thought
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: Miami would cover that and had a decent shot to
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: win outright, which was the case. Miami almost caught them.
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: Chargers got the win. But when you're the better team
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: like the Chargers and you're coming off a game where
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: it was an escape basically against a bad team, I
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: think you're gonna use that week to focus. Man. I
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: think they might have been even looking ahead to the
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: Colts because the Colts have been playing well this year,
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: so bad spot for the Chargers. They almost got caught.
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna show up with a lot of
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: focus this week. And by the way, they're playing with
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: this new Charger power yellow alternate uniform. You like that shit,
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: I kind of like it. And this isn't a joke.
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: I think that when a team is playing with a
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: uniform that looks good, I think they play better. I'm
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: not joking. Like it's like when you dress like really
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: nice in like a suit, like I feel like shit
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: based on how I dress. Obviously, plays I get on
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be a horrible episode of Better Off Dead,
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: just like all of them because I'm always dressed like shit.
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: These are gonna be horrible plays, you know what I mean.
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: But I'm serious though, when a team plays, when a
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: team has a really nice looking uniform, they get like
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: more like swager, more confidence, they play a little bit better.
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: So I'm serious that I think that is a little
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: bit of It's a small fan I'm not gonna like
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: weigh that that heavily, but I think it is a
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: small factor for the Chargers here. And it looks like
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: the Lions are where and they're all black, by the way,
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: so that's gonna be I like that I actually like
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: the Lion's black uniforms. A lot of people don't like them.
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: It's a black helmet with the I think with the
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: blue lion, or no, it's a I think it's a
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: Is it a blue? I think it's a blue helmet
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: with a black lion and the rest of the uniform
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: is all black. I actually think it's cool looking, So
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Maybe I'm in the minority on that one.
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: This Charger's uniform looks good though. I like the powder blue,
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: but I like this yellow too. It's flashy, man, so
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: no joke. I think it's a bounce back they get
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: to come back home here. Uh Indy on the other hand,
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: and I know Indy's also coming off of an escape,
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: which is why I don't really want to play this game.
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: Arizona was one of my plays last week, and Arizona
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: got us to cover there. Behind Jacoby Brissett baby in
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: the bounce back spot for Arizona and in the injured
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: player spot for Arizona last week, I thought they would
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: step up their game behind Jacoby Brissett. Brissette wasn't just
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: a game manager either. He actually played well in this game.
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: This Colts defense. I don't know. They looked a little
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: bit vulnerable in that game. I know they've been playing well,
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: but like, who have the Colts beaten? Look at their wins.
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: Miami Denver is their best win and they won on
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: a leverage call at the end of the game, which
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: was kind of bs. They beat Tennessee, we know they're horrible.
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: They beat the Raiders, they suck, and they beat Arizona
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: with a backup quarterback not good either, and they arguably
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: should have had the win against the Rams even though
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: they got outgained by the Rams. I'm still pissed about
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: a loss that I had with a play on the show.
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: On this show here, I gave out the Colts plus
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: three and a half in that game. Absolutely should have
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: covered that. The way that game ended was bullshit. That
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: would have been their best win of the season. Yeah,
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: they still play competitively, but that was a game where
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: they went out to the Pacific Coast and that was
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: their worst performance of the season. Now they're going back
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: out to the Pacific Coast again. I don't love it.
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: I would lean to the Chargers. It looks like Ward
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: is out with a concussion for the Colts too. I
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: don't know how much of an effect that's really gonna be,
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: but he's one of their cornerbacks, he's one of their
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: better secondary players, so that is obviously a bit of
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: a blow to the Colts as well. It's not gonna
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: affect the line that much, but not good at least
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: for the Colts. It would be worse if they were
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: playing a primetime game. I talk about that where these
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: more easterly teams and they have to go out to
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: the West Pacific coast and they have to play a
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: game it's really really late by their biological clock. That's
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: like the worst for them, which is that's gonna factor
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: into one of my plays this week, by the way,
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: not this one. This was only a four h five
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: pm Eastern one, so it's not gonna be a ridiculously
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: late game. But I still I think it's not a
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: good spot for the Colts really, even though it's again
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: kind of a bounce back spot ish off of that
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: close call against Arizona, But I just think LA the
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: spot sets up better for the Chargers. I'm not even
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: convinced that the Colts are the better team, by the way,
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: and the oddsmakers are actually telling you the Colts are
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: the better team right now. By lining the Chargers only
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: at two, I mean that's I don't know. I mean,
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: do you give the Chargers more than two for home
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: field though their home field advantage isn't that strong. But
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: if you think that it's two, then the books are
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: basically saying the Colts and the Chargers are even as
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: far as like what their power ratings are. But I
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: kind of disagree with that. I actually think the Chargers
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: are still the slightly better team. The Chargers are more
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: battle tested for sure, as I pointed out the weak
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: schedule that India has had so far, Chargers have faced
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs, beat them. They beat Denver. Although both teams
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: beat Denver, I know, they face the Raiders Giants. They suck,
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: Miami sucks. Washington's also better, so Chargers face some more
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: difficult schedule. I'm harping on the game too much, but
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: we're going with We're going with the lean with the
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: Chargers in that when it's not a pick for me,
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: though not a play for me. Uh, your your team
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: is the Panthers. That is that is brutal Jackson fart
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: darts Yeah, I don't know, is he shooting darts out?
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: Of his butthole. I mean, I don't know, cool looking
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: uniform boost morale, that is correct, and an ugly uniform
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: like the uh the Arizona Cardinals tortilla uniform. What the
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: fuck is that thing? I think that like negates like
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: it lowers your morale. Ab I think that when you
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: look stupid in a stupid looking uniform, I actually think
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: it makes you play more stupid, play stupidly. So I
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: think that's actually a real thing. Yeah, the psychology of
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: looking good, feeling good, max out the drip riz. Yeah,
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: this is the it's a it's a riz spot, a
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: rizzed up spot for the for the Chargers. There no bias,
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: man because I root for the Colts because I lashed
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: onto Peyton Manning. When I hated Belichick and Brady, I
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: went away from the Patriots and the Patriots were I
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: rooted for all the Boston teams. I still root for
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: all the Boston teams. You guys probably know my story.
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: I rooted for the Patriots in the Parcels Bledsoe, Curtis
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: Martin Era. I love that team. Loved those guys. Lost
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: the Super Bowl to Brett Farvv. Back in the nineties,
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: I was pissed, didn't like Brett farvv and then the
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: Patriots betrayed me basically, and they got Belichick and Brady,
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: and I was like, this Belichick guy, the way that
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: he screwed over the Jets to come over here, I
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: was like, this guy is a schmuck, he's evil, he
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: sucked with the Browns. Fuck that guy. I still don't
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: think he's a good coach. I think Brady was the
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: reason why he won as many games as he won.
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: His coach didn't like Brady either. I just think he's
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: a total douchebag. So I just started hating the Patriots.
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: Fuck him. But now I'm, you know, starting to swing
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: back in the other direction, you know, just I don't know.
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: I like this Drake may character. I like Mike Vrabel
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: as well. I just hate Josh McDaniels. Get rid of
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: that fucker, and then I'll be fully on board. But
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: I'm somewhat back on the Patriot train slightly. What other
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: games we're gonna talk about here, I mean, I'm talking
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: about every game. Giants Broncos is gonna be one of
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: my plays. It's going against the market. Read. I don't
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: even give a fuck. I think it's the strongest play
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: of the week. Washington. I'm still calling them the Redskins, man,
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: fucking commanders. Change your fucking name, dude, football team was
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: a better name. At least football team is hilarious. It's
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: basically like, what's the most inoffensive name that we could
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: think of? Oh, the football team Commanders. You can call
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: them the Commies because that is what they are. Fucking
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: DC team and they're called this militaristic bullshit. Go back
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: to the Redskins, man. Redskins Cowboys used to be a
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: huge rivalry. I mean, this is still a big divisional rivalry.
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: It's just it doesn't have that weight behind behind it
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: that it did when it was Redskins Cowboys, when the
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: Redskins were good in the nineties too. I remember that
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: as a kid, Redskins with fucking uh mo was aren't
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: Monk there? And whoever the hell else they had there?
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: Uh I forget, but yeah, the Redskins were good back then.
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: All right. But the Cowboys here flip from a two
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: point dog to a one point favorite in this game,
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: and I agree with this. I would lean to the
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: Cowboys in this game. Fifty ticket sixty six percent of
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Cowboys. So the money looks like
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: it is coming in on the Cowboys. Uh. The opener,
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: the look Ahead, I mean was Washington two and a half,
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: And usually I don't want to necessarily fade the look
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: ahead because the look ahead had Washington favored. But I
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: think this is some of this. I think is actual
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: money moving the line, because it's actually not that much
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: of a move to go through zero, Like if you're
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: between the three is like three is a key number,
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: but anything from like two to one to the other
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: side one too, Like the the books will move those
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: like pretty quickly. Like those numbers are they don't matter
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: as much. They matter more now with like two point
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: conversions and all that other bullshit going on, so they
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: do matter more than they used to, but they still
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: don't matter as much as the number of three obviously,
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: And I'm old school, so I still see like three
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: is key, seven is key. Washington. They're on a short week.
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: They played on Monday night, and yes they did lose
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: on Monday night to the Bears, but it was kind
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: of a big matchup, man. I mean it's Caleb Williams
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: against Jaydon Daniels, the two you know, the top two
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: quarterback draft picks from last year. Battling again. It was
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: a revenge spot for Caleb Williams. I gave up other
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: Bears as a lean on my show. Of course, we
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: got that one right on Monday Night. Big game though.
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: So even though, yeah, Washington was favored, and sometimes you'll say, well,
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: when a team is favored, they'll bounce back from that
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: because they'll use the you know, the week to focus
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: and yeah, they're gonna focus on Dallas. But it's a
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: short week. It's another road game. They're actually playing three
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: road games in four weeks. I think. I don't think
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: they did not have a bye yet, right, No, other
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: by doesn't come into week twelve, So they're playing a
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: lot of road games. Man. This is gonna be their
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: fourth road game since September eleventh. Oh god, nine to eleven.
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: They played on the road on Thursday night, and I
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: got that one right too. Hey, not one of my
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: plays though, But yeah, now they're playing a third road
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: game in four weeks. Where look at this travel they've
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: had to do. They went down to Atlanta and then
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: they had to go to the Pacific Coast to face LA.
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: They came back to Washington from Monday Night. Now in
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: a short week, they got to go to Dallas, and
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: they got Kansas City up next in a primetime game
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: that's gonna be Monday Night against Kansas City. Yeah, I
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: think it's a bad spot. It's they're in kind of
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: a Monday Night sandwich here, which is weird to say
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: when they're facing the Dallas Cowboys. I mean, you're usually
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: gonna focus on the Dallas Cowboys, but the Cowboys have
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: been the lesser of these two teams, you know, over
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: the last year or so. Obviously, even though Dallas actually
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: did pull off an upset I think at Washington last year,
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: I think Dallas pulled off an upset, and then Washington
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: beat Dallas in Dallas in what I think the last
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: week of the season maybe last year, where I think
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: Washington didn't even need to win the game, and they
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: still did something like that. But Dallas, they're coming out
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: of an embarrassing loss man to Carolina, There's no doubt
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: about it. They were playing their third road game in
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: four weeks, by the way, where they had to go
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: to Chicago, came back home, played that Barnburner Sunday night
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: game tie against Green Bay. Then they had to go
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: back out to the East Coast face The Jets thought
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: that was a terrible spot, but they still did well
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: in that game down to Carolina played them, And now
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: they're coming back home. So the fact that they're back home,
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: I think is actually gonna be more helpful to them.
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: So their travel is kind of like over at least
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: for now. So I think they're kind of bad travel
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: spot was somewhat last week, I would say, even though
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: they probably did stay on the East Coast, I would
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: imagine between those two games, but I think it sets
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: up better for Dallas. They're gonna want to try to
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: re establish themselves as the better team over Washington in
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: this division. I'm gonna lean to Dallas in this game.
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: Not gonna be a play for me, but it's I
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: don't think I'm gonna change my opinion on that one.
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: So I think some of my stronger opinions this week
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: are Dallas Chargers in games that I don't have a
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: play on, at least I should say Dallas the Chargers. Really,
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: it's kind of those two, Like these other opinions I
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: gave it are not I would not say they're as
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: strong as those two. All right, what else we got here.
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna take a look some more of the chat here.
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: What's up, guys. Brady carried the team. Yeah, and he
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: was really good as an old man in Tampa too.
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: He was surrounded by a pretty good cast though, both
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: in New England and in Tampa. Because when he first
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: started in New England, they were winning all these close games. Man.
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: Of course, you know the tough rule that all that bullshit.
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: The Patriots won so many close games on bad calls
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: and on opponent mistakes. It was ridiculous. So at first
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: it wasn't really Brady. It was kind of like the
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: Patriots defense. They had a really menacing defense coming out
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: of that, like Parcels era, because that's kind of what
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: he was all about. Then it kind of became more yeah,
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: Brady taking over. I had some like really good seasons
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: there and then with Tampa. I think it was more
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: back to like he had a good team with Tampa,
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: but too though he had good receivers there, a good
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: defense there with Tampa. Good coach Arians I think is
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: actually better than Parcels Where is Arians now? I didn't
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: even know. Is he's still around your redskins? Guy? Yes?
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: I call them the Redskins. I refuse to go into
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: the I refuse to dabble and woke. Fuck that shit,
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: the colonizers. That makes them sound way too based the Blackhawks,
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: they were able to keep their mascot because it's if
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: you're literally the name of a Native American tribe, you
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: get to keep it, basically like the Florida State Seminoles
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: and the Chicago Blackhawks. Which are they named after the
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: Blackhawk tribe or the chief Blackhawk? I don't know, I forget,
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: but when it's like a specific name, it's like they
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: have some like agreement with that specific tribe or like
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: their ancestors or whatever, where they're allowed to like keep
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: the name. I think is what's going on. I'm pretty
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: sure I think that's why that's the case. It's ridiculous,
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: and the Chiefs and the Braves, by the way, have
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: been able to ke there. Oh oh, they do the
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: Tomahawk chop, which I think they did steal from Florida State,
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: though I think it was originally a Florida State thing,
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: and as a BC guy, I don't want to admit that.
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: And by the way, I have a Florida State game
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: on behind me right now. They were losing to Stanford
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: last I saw, which they're still losing. It's the third
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: quarter that down thirteen to ten. It was thirteen to three.
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: I hope Stanford wins. Man. To be honest, Siffer's got
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: Frank right. They got Andrew Luck in their in their
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: front office, like, let's go baby, they got my old
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: Colts dudes. Yeah, man. And I can't stand Florida State.
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: I can't stand Castellano's just a total dick with the
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: way that he left BC. I would love to see
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: Florida State just start collapsing. Oh man, it would be awesome.
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: But I already do love the fact that they're collapsing.
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: They're not gonna make the playoff or anything this year.
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: They already have three conference losses, I'm pretty sure, including
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: our correct bet that we gave out on the show
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: on Virginia. That was an awesome one. That was fun,
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: fun as fuck. Tomahawk chop. I like a tomawk chop,
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: you know, as far as the tomahawk steak, that type
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: of chop, the tomahawk cut, baby, that's what I raise
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: it up in the restaurant and go o oh before
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: I eat it, you know, That's what I like to
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: do a cigar store Indian. We actually had. There's one
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: in Boston, dude, so right near it's but it's like
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: across the street from the the Boston Common, basically on
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: Boylston Street. It's around the corner from Boyleston. I think
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: it's on Charles Street. I want is it Charles? I
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: think it's on Charles Right around the corner from Boylston.
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: There's a there's an old tobacco shop right there and
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: they have a cigar store Indian on the outside. I
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: don't know how how did they get away with it?
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: I don't know. It's awesome, dude, It's all it's like
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: wooden and it's one of those It's yeah, it's what
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: you think. We'll talk about Sidefeld now as well, because
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: there's a Sidefeld gar store Indian one as well. It's
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: like that Indian correct bats Yeah, yeah, Well, the Columbus
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: statue got fucking desecrated by the fucking leftist mob assholes
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: in uh Boston. Uh? Did they rename the They might
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: have renamed the park too. The Columbus statue was in
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: Christopher Columbus Park, which is in kind of like the
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: like this, the the Boston Harbor area, the Habba Kid,
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: it's it's in that Harbor area. I know exactly where
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: it is. There's a good old what the fuck is
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: it called Joe Joe's American Barn Grill right there for
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: you know, not not some not Boston specific food there,
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: I don't think, but Joe's American Barn Grill kind of
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: like that place. They have good bread, They got some
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: decent food there. There's one of those right near Christopher
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: Columbus Park, which is now I don't know what the
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: fuck that park is called now. They also took down
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: an Abraham Lincoln's statue by the way in uh Lincoln
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: Square in Boston, which is actually really oose to the
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: cigar store Indian that you could see them both. They're
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: visible from each other. They're like hundreds of feet away
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: from each other. Basically, there was an Abe Lincoln statue
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: that I think actually had a slave shining his shoes,
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: and people were like, oh, we can't have that, so
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: they so they got rid of the Lincoln statue and
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: there's literally just nothing there now, and I think it's
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: still called Lincoln Square, but the statue is just not there.
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: It was base. I actually don't think they should have
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: removed any of the statues. Man, I mean, it's all
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: it's all history. Although I'll be more inclined to have
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: that statue removed than a Columbus one. But yeah, I
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: don't want to get my channel nuked here. Man, we're
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: supposed to be talking about sports. We have one more
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: game here before we get to the night games and
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: then my best bets. Yeah, I'm not a fan of
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: Lincoln either, obviously one on one of the worst man
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: he was. Yeah, he was cracking down a free speech
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: in a massive way against people that spoke out against
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: the war. The war is not what you're told it was.
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: Don't want to get my channel nuked, Like I said,
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: all right, Packers Cardinals. Packers up from five and a
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: half to seven here on this line look ahead was
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: the five and a half. So based on the number,
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: it does look like maybe you're getting a little bit
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: of value on the Cardinals, But I don't know, man. Yes,
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: the Packers are public seventy eight percent of tickets, only
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: seventy three percent of the cash. My initial instinct on
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: this game was to lean to the Packers because if
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: you look at what happened last week, the Packers. They
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: played Cincinnati, and they played a pretty lackluster game against
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati against the Joe Flaco Cincinnati in his first game.
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: Green Bay only beat them twenty seven to eighteen. So
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: it was kind of just a game where I think
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: they just kind of went through the motions. And now
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: I was thinking, oh, well, now green Bay is gonna
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: kind of bounce back from that. Green Bay they don't
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: actually have a third road game in four weeks here
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: because they did have a bye I think after that
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: Dallas game, So that was kind of a question mark
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: coming into the game against Cincinnati. It was like, well,
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: did they go into the buy in a good note
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: or a bad note. I considered it to be kind
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: of a bad note because they should have beaten Dallas
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: as far as the fact that green Bay was at
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: least favored in that game, although I liked Dallas to
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: cover that one, which they did, so I thought that
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: that would be considered to be kind of a bad
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: note to go into the buy on because they were
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: the favorite against Dallas. They came out and they maybe
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: could have covered the number against Cincinnati, but they didn't.
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: So now I'm thinking, oh, well, maybe off of that
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: kind of weak performance against Cincinnati. Maybe green Bay is
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: in a bounce back spot, but I'm starting to maybe
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: disagree with that a little bit. That was my first reaction,
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: just knowing what these teams did this week. And then
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: of course Arizona they played pretty well against Indianapolis. They
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: almost beat my colts on the road as a big underdogs.
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: Arizona coming off a big performance as an underdog and
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: now coming back home. That's a difficult spot. When a
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: team plays really well as an underdog that and they
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: almost pull off the upset and fall short. Sometimes it's
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: gonna be a hangover spot and they don't do well
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: in the next game either. But now I'm kind of thinking,
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean Arizona, I mean green Bay
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: is a pretty good team. Arizona, if they can, they'll
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: still probably get up for the game against green Bay,
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: like they'll be focused. It's more about after that Indie game.
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: Is Arizona gonna be like fatigued after that? That's the question.
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: But green Bay, if you start looking at what their
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: schedule looks like, they got a big game up next, man,
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: I believe this is a Sunday night game next week,
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: and look who they're playing Aaron Rodgers and the Pittsburgh
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: Steelers in Pittsburgh. So it's gonna be Green Bay versus
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: versus Aaron Rodgers for the first time. I'm pretty sure
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: because Aaron Rodgers of course went to the Jets and
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: he was hurt the first season, and then he played
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: for the Jets last year, and I believe you can
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: correct me if I'm wrong, but I believe the Jets
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: did not play the Packers last year. So I'm pretty
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: sure this is the first time that Rogers faces the Packers.
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: That's gonna be a big game man green Bay against
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers, So it is potentially a look ahead. And
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: now the other issues that we got going on here.
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: Josh Jacobs is questionable illness and a calf injury, so
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: that's something to consider with green Bell, though I think
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: if he doesn't go, I don't really worry about that
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: that much because NFL running backs are really like kind
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: of plug and play. I know Jacobs is a high
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: tier running back, like he's very good, but I think
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: it's not gonna be a huge downgrade to whoever the
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: replacement is for him, because rushing attacks, they just kind
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: of they have a lot of continuity, let's put it
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: that way. But the bigger deal for this is this.
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: The Packers had a five hour plane delay trying to
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: get out to trying to get out to Arizona here.
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: That is not good. That could definitely affect a team, man,
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: because you want to say on your schedule, you want
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: to get out, you want to get out to where
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: you're going, you know at the time that you expect
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: to be there. You get there, you gotta start practicing whatever.
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: So that's going to affect I think their pre operation
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: here a little bit. That's not great. So there is
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: a little bit of an issue there with the Packers
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 1: as far as that plane delay. So all these things
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: to keep in mind. I'm gonna kind of go against
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: my first instinct on this one. I'll slightly lean to
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: take in the points with the Cardinals, but obviously I
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: don't feel strongly about it. So yeah, Sunday night, I'm
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: gonna have a play on Falcons versus forty nine Ers.
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: We can talk about Monday night, even though we will
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: talk about Monday Night on Monday morning as well, but
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna have it play on the Monday night game.
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: Southern Pride the South shall rise again. Crazy game Green
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: Bay against against Pittsburgh. You mean, yeah, the tickets for
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: that game in the nosebleeds are like at least three
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: hundred bucks in like the worst seats in the house,
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: So like three hundred bucks for that game. It's insane.
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: Green They shouldn't have let it go. I don't agree
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: with that. Jordan Love is good. I'm an Aaron Rodgers fan.
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think it made sense. I mean, the
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: way that it was going, it was just like Rogers
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: was in the same situation that Five was in when
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: Rogers came in, So Rogers knew what it was like
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: from that New Quarterbacks perspective. Like if you watch Aaron
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: Rodgers Netflix documentary, he talks about it, it makes sense.
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: I mean, I like Rogers. That documentary made me like
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: him a bit more too. He's an interesting dude. But
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: I think he didn't want to do what Five did
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: to him. Really, I kind of just delay like that start,
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: So it was kind of a mutual thing. Man. The
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: team was gonna move on from him anyway, though, I think.
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: But yeah, Taylor Swift, no, she's she's gonna be at
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs game probably or whatever on Monday. Night. I
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: hate these Monday night double headers, dude. This one's actually
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: a double header with one game at seven pm Eastern
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: in one game at ten pm Eastern. I don't like
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: this at all. It makes Monday night way less special.
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: They got to stop fucking doing this. This is the
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: first year that they've done this every fucking week, where
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: like several years since they started doing this, it was like, Okay,
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: they have like Week one whatever, they have a couple
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: of Monday night games and then it goes back to
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: one Monday night game. Now it's like every goddamn week,
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: and all the weeks up until this week, it's been
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: two games being played basically at the same time. What
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: the fuck is that? Dude? When you play on Monday Night,
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: it's supposed to be something special, right, Like you're supposed
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: to be the like it's the like the premier matchup
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: that week basically, right, you get that primetime slot that's
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: your thing. Now there are two it makes it less special.
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: I think it's bullshit. I don't know if it means
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: the teams are gonna be like less like consider the
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: game to be less important because of this. Now, I mean,
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: I don't know, how do you handicap that because usually
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: when there's one Monday night game, you usually go into
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: it saying both of the teams are gonna get up
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: for this because it's a big primetime game. Do you
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: still say that? I mean, I guess yes, but I
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: don't know. The first game is Tampa Bay at Detroit.
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: Detroit's gone up from four and a half point favorite
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: to a six point favorite. I really thought Tampa Bay
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 1: would be a public side here, like when you see
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: these games where it's two teams that are considered to
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: both be good teams. Everybody likes both their offenses. Usually,
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: I think if the public sees a Lion that's a
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: little bit too big, they usually start leaning towards the underdog.
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: It looks like they're not in this case. Seventy percent
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: of tickets, only fifty eight percent of the cash on
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: the Lions, so the public looks like they're coming in
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: on the Lions. Seems a little bit odd to me, man,
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: I would have thought that the public would be on
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: the five and one Tampa Bay team here. Tampa Bay
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: had another good win last time against US. They had
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: a good win against San Francisco. I should say San
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: Francisco is still. I mean, they've been a very competitive
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: team this year despite all the injuries that they have,
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: tons of injuries there. San Francisco had some chances to
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: maybe win that game too, and they wound up fading
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: at the end. The final score was actually a little
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: bit misleading, I think, which tends to happen with Tampa Bay.
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: By the way, Tampa Bay, they've won multiple games that
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: I think they should have lost, so you can kind
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: of tell which way I'm kind of leaning. In this game.
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: San Francisco actually outgained Tampa Bay in this game, but
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: they were minus two in turnovers. It's kind of the
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: reason why they lost the game. I think San Francisco
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: at least should have covered this game and they did not,
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: so Tampa kind of got away with that with that
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: win a little bit there, and it was closer towards
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: the end of the game too. It was Tampa. Let
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: me see what was the I want to see the Yeah,
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: here the breakdown here. Yeah, it was an eight point
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: game very late in the game, and then Tampa kicked
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: a field goal in the final two minutes to make
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: it an eleven point game instead of eight, and it
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: was a one point game. Yeah, it was a one
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: point game late in the third quarter as well, or
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: somewhat late in the third quarter as well. But Tampa
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: Bay finally had a game where they weren't losing in
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: the final minutes of the game, which has been my
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: knock on Tampa Bay. Here matters, and I think Tampa
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: Bay's record is a little bit misleading because Tampa Bay
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: they got outgained in the first game of the season
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: by Atlanta. They were losing in the final minute of
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: that game and they won, pulled it out of their ass.
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: They were losing in the final minute again against Houston
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: and won. They were losing in the final minute after
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: blowing a big lead against the Jets in a game
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: that we had I believe, yeah on my show. We
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: had the Jets in that one and the Jets did
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: cover the spread, so we got to win on that one.
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: But the Jets made a big comeback and actually took
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: the lead in that game in the final minute, and
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay still won. They became the first team ever
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: to be losing in the first three weeks in the
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: final minute and win all three of those games. Then
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: Tampa made a huge comeback against Philadelphia. They were getting
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: blown out in that game against Philadelphia. Then they had
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: that barn burner against Seattle. Seattle had kind of a
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: banged up secondary, and Tampa was losing in the final
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: like two toh eight or something of that game too.
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: So the first four wins that Tampa Bay had, they
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: were losing every single one of those games in the
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: final like two minutes basically, So those games were basically
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: coin flips, and they went four to zero in those games.
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: They could have gone like two and two in those
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: games quite easily. So I think the record is a
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: little bit misleading. I think the game last week was
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: a little bit misleading too. Yeah, they're gonna step it
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: up for Detroit. I mean, obviously it's the Detroit Lions.
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: It's a big game. I think did Detroit knock Tampa
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: out of the playoffs the most recent time they had
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: a big game? I forget. I don't even remember, man,
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: it seems like they always have like big games here.
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: I know Tampa actually beat Detroit in Detroit last year
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: in Week two, that's right, I forgot about that. That
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: was the revenge game because Detroit had eliminated Tampa Bay
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: from the playoffs the year before that. Yeah, That's what happened,
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: and then Tampa Bay went in and they got revenge
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: in Week two against Detroit last year. So I think
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: it's now revenge for Detroit again because Tampa Bay beat
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: them in this place last year. So you know, Detroit's
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: gonna be focused. And I think Detroit's gonna be additionally
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: focused because they lost that Sunday night game to the Chiefs,
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: and they lost ugly. I know it was a big game,
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: but when you don't look good in primetime like Detroit
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: did not, I think you do bounce back after that. Yeah,
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: I know it. It's a bit of a I mean
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: it's a shorter week, I guess for Detroit just because
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: they happen to play a Sunday night game where Tampa
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: played during the day on Sunday. But still I don't
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: think that really matters that much. It's a primetime game,
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: it's back at home. I actually like the Lions of
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: this game. I would go against what the cash percentage
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: is saying right now. The money is I think has
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: actually kind of come in on the Lions here. Man,
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: I don't really because I don't think this is this
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: is a false move on the Lions to be honest
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: of the line. The move up from four and a
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: half to six here, if you want the Lions, you
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: got to get it at below seven, though at the
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: very least would have been a lot better. Four and
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: a half though well, although the fives are dead numbers though,
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 1: so if you can get six, I mean, I think
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: that's still all right. If you want to lay the
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: points of the Lions here, that is probably the way
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: that I would lean. Again, I think the Buccaneers they're
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: a little bit overrated right now, which the Lions of
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: the Lions makers are telling you that I almost said
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: Lions makers. The Lions makers or the odds makers are
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: telling you that because they're lining the Lions is a
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: pretty significant home favorite here, more than just what their
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: home field is. So the osiks are telling you the
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: Lions are the better team. So that's something to consider
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: as well. And I think this, yeah, again, the spot
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: I think actually sets up a little bit better for
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 1: the Lions. So I think it was a legit move
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: going up from four and a half to seven. When
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: the line comes up four and a half, I don't
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: think you see the betters come in and try to
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: like pound that all the way up to seven, just
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: because their actual move is going to be to try
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: to take Tampa plus seven. I don't think you usually
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: see that. I think you usually see that if it's
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: really close or closer to that key number, like if
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: it opened six, then I could see maybe a false
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: move trying to get it to seven. But with four
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: and a half being the opener, I don't think so.
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: I think it was a legit move. So I actually
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: like the Lions in that game. Don't know if I'm
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: gonna change my opinion on that one. Better than overseas games, Yeah, yeah,
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: that's true. The overseas games are just chaos, very hard
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: to predict. And then we do Texan Seahawks in the
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: lakam Oh. By the way, Buccaneers lines very high total
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: here for an NFL game, down from fifty three and
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: a half to fifty two and a half. I mean,
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: you got two good offenses year. Buccaneers have a lot
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: of injuries on their offense, so I don't know if
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: Bucky Irving is coming back at running back. I don't
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: know what's going on with him. It looks like Mike
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: Evans is actually coming back in this game for the Buccaneers.
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: I don't know how close he's gonna be to one
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: hundred percent or anything, but it seems like he is
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: coming back in this game. Godwin has hurt again, so
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: a very banged up Buccaneers wide receiver corp. They might
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: get Evans back at least, but they also lost what
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: the hell is their rookie the name of their rookie
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: that they have, he's hurt too. I'm pretty sure the
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: guy that Gronk can't pronounce his name aga boo boo.
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: I think it's what Gronk called him. I can't. I
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: can't remember his name now, but yeah, he's he's hurt
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: too for the Buccaneers. So I've pronounced his name correctly
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: on the show before. I just forget what the fuck
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: his name even is whatever, But yeah, I believe he's
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: hurt as well. So Tampa does have some injuries there.
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: I do think the Lions are actually the better of
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: the two teams, like I said, but as far as
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: the total ninety percent of the tickets and only sixty
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: four percent of the cash on the over, the money's
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: actually coming in towards the under in this game, Like
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: maybe you think it's gonna be more of like a
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: playoff atmosphere, but I don't think I would want to
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: do it, to be honest, the public does always play
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 1: overs in these in these games like this, these primetime games,
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: so usually you don't get value playing it over because
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: the oddsbreakers. No, the public's gonna come in on the over,
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: so they have to skew the line towards the over.
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: But in this game, when you do have two offenses,
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: that could definitely do things. So I don't know, man,
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: I don't think I would. I wouldn't necessarily disagree with
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: an under, but I wouldn't want to be holding an
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: under ticket in that game. And then Houston and Seattle
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: much lower total in this one now for forty two
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: to forty one, fifty eight percent of tickets on the over,
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: eighty six percent of the cash on the under money
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 1: coming in on the under. Here, this one I could
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: see being pretty low scoring. I don't know if the
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: Seahawks defense is healthier, because I know they've had some
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: inj on their defense over the last couple of weeks.
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: We know the Houston's defense is good and their past
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: defense is good, which can maybe potentially counter this Seahawks
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: offensive attack. Because the Seahawks have mostly had to throw
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: the ball because I believe Charbone has been hurt at
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: running back. He might be back now. But the Seahawks,
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: I think their offense has really been more of a
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: passing attack. And I still don't know if I totally
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: trust Sam Darnold. Man. I know he's been good, like
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: he looked bad early in his career with the Jets
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: with Carolina, but you know, I mean, is he actually good?
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: I still don't know. He had a pretty good season
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: last year with the Vikings. I thought it was more
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: that the system was good. Maybe the Seahawks system is
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: good too. I don't know he's playing well. Seahawks are
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: off from two and a half to three. Here sixty
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: six percent taket seventy six percent of cash on the Seahawks.
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in on the Seahawks here. Don't
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: know if I totally agree with that either. Seahawks obviously
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: going to be the public side. I mean, they've been
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: rolling right now. They've won four the last five games,
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: but I don't know if their wins are necessarily totally impressive.
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: They beat Pittsburgh in a game on the road where
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh I think had a decent amount of turnovers there,
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: beat New Orleans. I mean, not that impressive to beat
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: New Orleans. They beat Arizona on the road. We know
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: Arizona is not that good. And they beat Jacksonville last
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: week in a bad spot. So still don't necessarily think
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: the Seahawks are as good as the record would indicate.
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: They are coming back home here off a decent win
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: over Jacksonville, but again they caught Jacksonville in a very
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: bad spot. Seahawks do have Washington up next, so maybe
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: potentially a look ahead. They do have a bye actually
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: in then Washington, but I don't know, man, I think
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: Houston might be a little bit under the radar right now,
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: just because Houston is still a pretty good defensive team,
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: and I think their defense might be able to hold
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: Seattle and check. Houston is coming out of a bye,
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: so they did have last week off, so they have
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: an extra week to get out to the Pacific coast
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: and repair for this. But they are going up to
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: the Pacific coast, so again it's a more East really team.
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: Houston's a Central time zone team having to go to
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 1: the Pacific coast, and sometimes that can fuck with your
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: biological clock. They have to play a ten pm Eastern games.
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: That thing is gonna end one like one am Eastern
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: or somewhere around there, which is gonna be still midnight.
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: Houston simes that is fairly difficult. So I don't really
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: want to play Houston here. And the fact they went
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: into the buy in a good note. They won their
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 1: first two games. They beat Tennessee, I mean whatever, and
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: then and that was my Survivor picked that week. I
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: have to pick a Survivor team this week too, I
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: don't know who it's gonna be. And then Houston beat Baltimore.
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: I mean it was Baltimore without Lamar Jackson, but it
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: is still the Ravens, and Houston absolutely annihilated them in Baltimore.
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: And that's how they went into the buy. So I
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: consider that to be going into the buying a good note.
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: And when a team goes into a buying a good note,
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: they can't really work on fixing things because you don't
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: have anything to fix. So I do worry about that
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: aspect of it. That I don't think the buye came
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: in a good time for Houston. That it's a little
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: bit of an issue, though it might help them with
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: maybe the time zone shift that if they can get
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: out there. I don't know if they went out there
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: earlier this week or not. If they were smart they
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: should have done that, I don't know if they did though.
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna lean slightly to Houston in this game though,
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: just because they still do have that extra rest at
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: the very least, and I think they're the anti public
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: side here getting points here. They are the better of
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: the two defenses in my opinion, getting points, and they're
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: an ugly offense, so the public is not gonna want
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: them at all. So I would lean to taking the
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: points with Houston there against what I think might be
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: a little bit of an overrated Seattle team at this point.
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: That Seattle is also having to travel back from the
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: East Coast at the very least though, because they just
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: went to Jacksonville and they don't have a week off
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: to make that travel back, So they're shifting across time
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 1: zones as well here at the very least, So slightly
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: into Houston in that one. All right, that was the breakdown.
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: I forgot to do the graphic, as I always do.
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: I always forget who Let's go to the best bets here, man,
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: It's time let's do it. It's gonna still be ugly,
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: maybe not as ugly as you want. But first of one,
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: not we're gonna go with the New Orleans Saints plus
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: four and a half. I know we lost on the
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: Saints last week, but they still played pretty competitively in
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: that game. They definitely had chances to cover that spread,
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: maybe even chances to win that game against the Patriots.
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: Saints have been playing competitively all season. Man. The only
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: game where they got blown out was at Seattle, and
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: even in that game was misleading if you look at
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: the stats in that game, the Saints statistically actually matched
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: Seattle pretty well in that game. So the Saints, even
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 1: though they're not a good team, they've been just playing
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: with a lot of effort, man, which you like. That's
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: what you like when you have an underdog here, man,
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: just a team that's gonna come in and give you
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: effort every single week. And that's what they've been doing.
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: I mean, besides the Seattle lost, look at their losses.
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: They lost by seven to five one against the Giants,
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: and then they lost by six against New England. So their
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: other losses are all by one score. And that's what
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: we want here. We want them to come with them
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: one square. I know it's a little bit less than
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: that it's four and a half, but yeah, I think
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: it's a good spot. I mean, they're coming up another
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: loss going out on the road. I think it's a
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: fine spot for them to continue giving you effort. Like.
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's necessarily a bad spot or anything
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: like that for the Saints. I just think it's a
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: spot that is kind of whatever. By the way, I
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: forgot to mention the look ahead. The look at it
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: on the Lions was four and a half, which is
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: where it opened. It's gotten drilled up to six, I
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: think with actual money, and the Seahawks open at two
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: and a half and now they're sitting at three and
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: a half. So I think the line maybe moved a
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 1: little bit too much on the Seahawks, is kind of
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: what my read is on that. And the forty nine ers.
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: By the way, well, I haven't talked about the forty
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: nine ers yet, so hang on, I'll hold off on
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: that one. Hold on, I'm jumping the gun on that.
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: Bears in this game against the Saints were a six
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: point favorite on the look ahead. If you look at
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: what they are now, they're actually down to four now,
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: so you might have to take four instead of four
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: and a half. I don't think the six was out
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: there for a long period of time. I think it
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: was mostly five five and a half, and those numbers
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 1: are dead numbers, so the books will just move it
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: to the four pretty easily. If you can get four
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: and a half, obviously that's better than four, but I
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: would take either one. I think it's fine here. The
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: total's not that high at forty five and a half,
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: so you're not really looking at a game that's like
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: potentially going to be like so high scoring that it's like, oh,
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: you don't want to take the underdog necessarily because the
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: offense is going to just score so much here. I
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: don't think that's really going to be the case here,
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: and I think it's a bad spot for the Bears.
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: Fifty nine percent of tickets, only fifty five percent of
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Bears, So the public is on
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: the Bears now after the Bears have won three games
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: in a row. But I want to fade the Bears here. Man.
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: The Bears, look at what they've done throughout those games.
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 1: They beat Dallas, huge win, but Dallas was in a
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: bad spot in that game in my opinion, which I
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: leaned to the Bears. In that one, Dallas had beaten
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: the Giants, although that was a Russell Wilson Giants team,
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: but still was a big divisional game, and I think
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: was just a barn burner. It either went into overtime
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: or it went right to the wire, and Dallas had
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: that big Michael Parsons Bowl up next against Green Bay.
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: So it was a bad spot for Dallas having to
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: go to Chicago there, and then Chicago won a game
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: at Vegas the following week, which I don't think they
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: had any business winning this game. Man, the Bears got
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: completely outplayed by the Raiders in this one. Three fifty
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: seven to two seventy one was the yardage edge for
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: the Raiders in the game, and the Raiders were minus
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: three in turnovers with four turnovers in the game. That's
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: why they lost. And it still took a late score
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: from the Bears and a block field goal at the
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: end of the game by the Bears to actually win
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: that game. So the Bears should have lost that game.
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: Then they had their buy and then they came out
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: of the buy and what did we just see? They
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: beat Jayden Daniels on Monday Night. Man, that was a
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: huge win for the Bears. Like I said, that was
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: Caleb Williams against Jade Daniels, the big matchup between the
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: two top quarterbacks from the draft last year, and it
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: was revenge for Caleb Williams because he lost the game
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: last year on a hail Mary at the very end
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: of the game by Jadon Daniels in Washington in that game,
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: which I liked because I gave a Washington as a
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: play on the show in that one last year, and
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: it was because Chicago had a defender who was taunting
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: the Washington fans and didn't cover his man and left
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: him wide open. Absolutely ridiculous. But the Bears got their
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: revenge for that. They atoned for their sins. That was
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: a huge win for them on Monday Night. Now they're
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: coming off of that and they have a short week
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: and they played in the New Orleans Saints. I mean,
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: come on, man, I don't think it's a good spot
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: at all of the Bears. And they do have the
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: Baltimore Ravens up next, and I know, I know it's
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: the Ravens, and the Ravens have all these injuries, but
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: it might be Lamar Jackson back in that game. Man,
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: we don't really know. Could possibly be Jackson back remains
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: to be seen. But that's still a big game, man.
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: I think against the Baltimore Ravens, the Ravens are still
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: I think kind of this looming giant there. I think
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: there's still if Lamar Jackson comes back. I think the
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: Ravens are still a very formidable team. So yeah, I
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: think this is a flat spot for the Bears for sure,
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: let down spot for sure. Short week, coming off the
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 1: Monday night game. The later of the two Monday night
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: games as well, We'll be on the New Orleans side
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: in that one that is the first play. Next up,
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: we're gonna be on the one where I said I'm
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: going against the market read Denver Broncos minus seven. We're
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: gonna do it, even though the market is disagreeing with it.
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 1: I think because the Broncos are coming back from London,
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: it's down from eight to seven and a half. Here,
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: the Broncos were eight on the look ahead. So the
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: fact that it's been like around seven all week, you know,
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think you're getting a little bit of
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: value on the Broncos. I still saw sevens out there, man,
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: but you have to pay like around minus one fourteen,
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 1: minus one fifteen to four. I would still do that
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: instead of laying the seven and a half. And I
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 1: think you could do that right now. If you can
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: find seven at minus one ten, of course, do that instead.
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: And I would wait, actually right now if you don't
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 1: see that, because I think you'll at worst you'll be
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: able to get a seven with like maybe a little
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 1: bit of extra juice on it if you want the
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 1: Broncos here. But I think the Broncos are the best
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: play of the week. Man. Again, weight around. If you
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: don't see the seven right now, wait around. I would
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: lay it probably even up to maybe even minus one
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 1: twenty maybe minus one fifteen is where our cap it
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 1: on the minus seven, and then if it gets to
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: be more expensive than that for the minus seven, maybe
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: even lay the seven and a half. I know it's
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: a key number, but I think this is a horrible
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: spot for the Giants. I know it's a really low total,
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: and I don't love laying points with a low total
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: at forty and a half year, but the money's coming
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: in a little bit on the over, so I don't know,
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: but I think the Giants are really going to struggle
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 1: to score in this game. Sixty six percent of tickets,
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: only fifty three percent of the cash on Denver, so
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: the money is coming in against me against Denver. I
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: know Denver's are turning over from London, and I know
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: that's a trip that they're not used to making, but
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: I just don't care that much. Like I said with
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: Cleveland last week, and I know Cleveland did not get
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 1: there for us, but I'm gonna talk about it again
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: with both Denver and the Jets. Here. Teams usually have
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: a buye when they come back from London. They usually
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 1: get that following week off, but teams are allowed to
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: request that the NFL give them a buy at a
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: different point in the season. They could say, Hey, NFL,
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: we actually want to just come back and play again,
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 1: and we'll take the buy somewhere else because we think
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: it's better for us if we do that. And when
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 1: teams do that, they actually tend to play well in
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 1: that week. You would think the opposite, but it's not
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: the case. For whatever reason. I think it's because they
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: explicitly requested to play. And I think that's still what
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 1: happened with these teams they asked to play that week.
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: That means they're going to show up for that game.
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: And I think Denver is going to show up not
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: only for that reason, but because they looked like ass
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: in London and they barely beat this oh to six
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 1: New York Jets team and we got to win on
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 1: that It was a cover for the Jets. I thought
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 1: it was a bad spot for Denver man because Denver
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: was not used to going to London. They had just
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: beating the Philadelphia Eagles, the returning Super Bowl champs. Huge
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: win for Denver to beat Philly on the road. There
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: was their legitimate win of the season. So I thought
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: it was a major letdown spot for Denver there against
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: the Jets. They didn't cover. They won, They won really ugly,
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: and I think that's the team you want to look
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 1: to play on. And I'm kind of surprised the public
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: is actually on Denver. I don't buy that the public
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: is actually even on Denver here, because why would you
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: want to lay seven with a team that looked so
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: bad last week and that win against the Jets up
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 1: against this upstart Giants team that scored like thirty something
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: points in their last game with Jackson Dart and scatted
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 1: with there nobody, no public better is actually gonna be
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: laying Denver seven here. I would not think so for that.
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think. Yeah, I just don't think
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: these percentages are even accurate. To be honest, I think
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: the spot's really really I think it's slightly advantageous to
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: Denver despite the return home spot, but I think it's
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 1: really bad for the Giants, which I'm gonna talk about
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: in a minute. So I'm gonna suck it up and
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: do it Denver. By the way, in the Bonnicks era,
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 1: Denver has been really good as a favorite too. I
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: believe there eleven and one is a favorite, and their
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: only loss was this one at Indie where they only
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: lost it because of that leverage call. And last year
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: I believe they covered every single game as a favorite,
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 1: or maybe they didn't cover one game, maybe they were favored.
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: This year, I know it's been different. They didn't cover
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 1: against Tennessee, but they only missed by one. They were
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: technically a favorite against Indian didn't cover, but I would
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 1: kind of write that off because they were just a
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: one point favorite or something on the road there. So
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: I don't count that they beat Cincinnati and covered in
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: that one as a favorite. And then yes, I know
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 1: they didn't cover as a favorite in London against the Jets,
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: but it was in London in a bad spot. I
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: don't care about that. Denver in the Knicks era has
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: actually been good at beating up on lesser teams as
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: a favorite, which we did see them do that last
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: time out in a spot like this against Cincinnati at home.
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: I know that was against Jake Browning that Cincinnati team
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: really bad, but Denver has been good in that role.
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 1: So I think we're gonna get a better Denver performance here.
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: They're two and zero at home here so far as well,
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: they've won by at least eight and both their home
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: games so far. And for the Giants, I know, I
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: like Jackson dart I know him on records saying I
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: think he's very much legit. I think he's the next
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: like star quarterback in my opinion. I know the Giants
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 1: are two to one with him, but I think he
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: got to dial it back a little bit on dart Man.
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: He's been kind of a game manager since he's been
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 1: in there. He's not putting up huge totals. I know
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: Skataboom has looked really good as well, kind of just
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: a crazy runner where he just runs, you know, he
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 1: just gets really physical and just doesn't care about his body. Fine, cool,
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 1: but everybody saw that, and now I think everybody just
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: kind of thinks that the Giants are kind of legitimized
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: now because what did they just do last Thursday? They
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: beat Philadelphia in primetime on Thursday night and they beat
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 1: them thirty four to seventeen, not only a divisional rival,
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 1: but the returning Super Bowl champs who really have owned
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: the Giants over the last few years. That was a
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: monster win for the Giants. So I think it's a
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 1: major letdown spot. And I know they have extra rest
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: here coming up the Thursday game, but I think the
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: extra rest is not helpful when you're basking in that
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: win like that. I think you spend the time reading
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: your press clippings or but that's the old school way.
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: There're you know, probably no physical newspapers anymore, unfortunately, because
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: I liked them. But you're you know, reading what the
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: media saying, listening to what the media is saying about
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: your basking in that win. Now you're gonna go to
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: Mile High to Denver and Jackson Dart didn't do that
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: well in his first road game against New Orleans. They
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 1: didn't win the game. They started out good, but they
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: blew the game. They lost the game. They made mistakes.
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: I had New Orleans as a play on my show
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 1: in that game, by the way, because I thought it
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: was a bit of a letdown spot for the Giants.
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: But also the Giants had a quick turnaround to Philadelphia
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 1: coming up after that. So I've been able to gauge
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 1: the Giants correctly in all of the Dark games so far.
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: Let's continue doing it, man. I give it a play
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 1: on the first two. I was correct with my lean
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: on the third one. Let's give out a play again
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: on the Dark game, and let's get it right, man.
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: How about that? They gotta go to Mile High now.
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: But not only that, but who do the Giants have
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: to play next? Oh? Yeah, they have to play the
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia Eagles again next. I don't know if I've seen
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: a spot like this in a long time, man, where
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 1: you have a game sandwiched in between the same divisional opponent.
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: It doesn't happen very often, and that's what the Giants
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 1: are up against. It is a Philadelphia cheese steak sandwich
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: that they're in. Man, I'm gonna fucking eat this cheese steak.
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna, yeah, this is a massive cheese steak. I'm
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: gonna gobble it up. And this isn't one of those
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 1: shitty cheese steaks with the cheese whiz that you get
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 1: from Pats or Genos. Hopefully I'm not offending any Philly
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 1: people there, but I mean they must know what's up.
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 1: Those are not the best cheese steaks, all right. If
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 1: you go to one of those places, yeah, fine, get
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: the cheese whizz because that's how they That's how they
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: make it at those places with the better, the better
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: cheese steak joints. They make it with the fucking the
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: Cooper sharp cheddar or whatever it is. Man, that's really
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: what you want on the I think those like Seeded
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: Rolls are way fucking better too. I forget the names.
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 1: There are a few plays this is a way, but
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: I think John's roast Beef is one of the best.
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 1: And then what the fuck is that other one that's
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: considered to be the best. I think it's actually like
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 1: an Italian place, but they have like an elite cheese
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: steak there. That's what this cheese steak is. Except for
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: the fact that Denver is returning home from London, which
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 1: is a little bit of a little bit of an issue,
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: but whatever, We're still gonna go with it here with Denver.
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: I think it's a horrible spot for the Giants. And
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: also Denver is getting green Law back in this game.
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 1: By the way, dra Greenlaw, they're big linebacker pick up
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: from the forty nine Ers. Recuse to never be healthy.
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 1: I don't think he's played yet this season, and he's
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 1: coming back, So that's gonna stack Denver's already good defense.
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 1: Denver has a really good defense, and this will be
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: the most difficult defense that Jackson Dart has had to
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: face so far. Man face the Chargers, they're an alright defense.
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: The Saints they're not good. I mean, they're better than
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 1: you think they are defensively, but they're not that good.
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: And then Philly they're not what they were last year.
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: Man again, they lost a lot of their good defensive
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: players from last year. They're not a great defense this year.
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: This Denver defense is one of the top defenses in
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: the NFL, and this young Giants offense is gonna have
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: to go into high elevation and try to beat that
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 1: defense that's not easy. And Denver probably as a coaching
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: edge with Sean Payton too, which I think will help
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: out too. The only caveat I will point out is
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: that Dart is from Utah originally, so Dart is used
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 1: to playing in high elevation because that's where he played
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 1: in high school and whatever. So Dart did play in
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: the state of Utah and that's where he's originally from
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: and where he grew up, which does mean that he'll
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: probably actually have some hometown fans making the trip out
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: to Denver from Utah for this game. So yeah, that
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 1: will be a little bit of a factor a quarterback
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: when they first get into the NFL and they get
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 1: that kind of home hometown game. Basically, I think that
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: is what this is kind of for Dart here. The
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 1: quarterback does want to show something and play well, so
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 1: that is a factor in this game as well. But
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: I just think the spot is just way too bad
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: for the Giants here, So Denver is a play for me.
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: I know it sounded like there were a lot of
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: caveats there, but I put out all the information man,
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 1: just so you know, like I said, I don't think
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: the board is very strong this week, unfortunately. And then
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: my final play is in the Sunday Night and we're
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 1: gonna know with the San Francisco forty nine ers minus
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: one and a half. I like this one too, or
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 1: I should say I like fading at the Atlanta Falcons
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 1: in this spot. And I've been good with the Falcons
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: games too. Man, I had it right when I faded
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: the Falcons against Carolina. We can bring up the s schedule.
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 1: I guess yeah. With the Falcons, I wasn't right with
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 1: them in Week one. It wasn't a play for me,
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 1: but they should have won against Tampa Bay. My lean
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: was correct in their game against Minnesota. I gave out
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 1: a play on Carolina against the Falcons. I thought it
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 1: was a bad spot with the Falcons coming up that
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 1: huge Sunday Night win over Minnesota in the Pennix versus
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: McCarthy rematch of the College Playoff College Championship game, even
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 1: though McCarthy did get hurt in the game, but that
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 1: was a bad for Atlanta, and then they had Jayden
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 1: Daniels coming up next. They got blanked by Carolina in
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 1: a game where they actually played better than the score looked,
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 1: so I jumped right back in and I gave out
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 1: Atlanta as a play. In the following week against Washington.
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 1: We got that one right, So my two plays are correct.
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: And then I leaned it to Atlanta last week against
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: Buffalo and we got that one correct as well. So
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: my leads have been correct the last four weeks against Atlanta,
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 1: and two of them have been plays for me where
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 1: we went two and oh, so we're gonna go back
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 1: to an Atlanta game, We're gonna give out a play
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: on the forty nine ers here. I think this is
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 1: a bad spot for Atlanta, man, they're coming off, but
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 1: I think it's kind of a legitimizing win for them
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 1: this season. A huge primetime win. I think that was
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: Pennix's first actual prime or no, his first primetime win
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 1: was the Sunday night went against Minnesota, my mistake, but
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 1: this was like, this is his first home primetime win
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 1: against Buffalo. Huge game, huge win against Josh Allen Pennix
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 1: against that win, I mean, that's crazy, man. And now
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 1: they to come off that and on kind of a
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 1: short week because that was that was a Monday night game,
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: actually not a Sunday night. That was a Monday night game.
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 1: So they're on a short week off of that huge win,
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 1: letdown spot, they have to go to the Pacific Coast,
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 1: which Pennix is not used to doing that, man, even
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 1: though I know he played at Washington, so yeah, he
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: used to play on the Pacific Coast. But since he's
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 1: been in the NFL, I don't even I don't even
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: know if he's played a road game on the Pacific
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 1: Coast yet. And Pennix has not been good on the road.
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 1: His only road win so far in his career, I believe,
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: is that one against Minnesota. Although I know he did
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: play well on the road at Washington last year in
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 1: a game because I know because I gave out Atlanta
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 1: in that game and lost because they failed to even
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: cover as an underdog in overtime. I don't want to
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 1: remember that game. But Pennix is still not as good
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: on the road. Man. He's still young, he's still learning.
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: He's got to go to a real hostile environment here
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 1: in San Francisco and play a night game at San
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 1: Francisco here, man, on a short week, and you know
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: I talk about it, I'm gonna say it again. Night
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: primetime games for an East Coast team going to the
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 1: Pacific Coast, the game's gonna end like close to midnight.
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 1: Maybe their biological clock time that's not good. It's hard
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 1: for them to adjust to that. You get fatigued at
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: the end of the day, so I think it's bad
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 1: for their biological clock. For San Francisco, I think the
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 1: spot sets up better for them. Man, they're traveling back
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 1: to the Pacific Coast from the East as well, I know,
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: but they took a loss in a game that they
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 1: played a little bit better in than the score looks,
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 1: like I said, against Tampa Bay. Coming back home, it's
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 1: a big primetime game for them at home. I think
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 1: it's kind of a get right spot for San Francisco.
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 1: So I like how it sets up for San Francisco.
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: They haven't played at home since back against Jacksonville, back
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: before they had that Thursday night game against the Rams,
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 1: and I think they got caught in kind of a
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: divisional sandwich, man, because San Francisco had won a divisional
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: game against Arizona before we realized that Arizona sucks again,
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: and then they had that game against Jacksonville that didn't
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: really seem to matter as much to San Francisco because
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 1: they had to turn around on Thursday and play the
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 1: Rams after that, which was a much bigger games. So
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: I think they got caught against Jacksonville. But that was
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 1: their last home game, so I think the fact that
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: that was what they did last at home, that's gonna
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 1: motivate them a little bit more too, coming back home.
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 1: Want to redeem themselves a little bit from that bad performance.
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 1: Forty nine Ers are getting kittled back as well, so
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 1: he's been out since I think the very beginning of
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: the season. So he's an elite tight end and that's
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: gonna of course help the forty nine ers offense. The
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 1: forty nine ers have had some offensive injuries, man, and
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 1: they're still playing well despite the injuries. They're four and
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 1: two even though they've been injured on both sides of
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 1: the bomb and they lost Bosa on defense. They've been
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 1: without Kittle, they've been without half of their wide receivers
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 1: with Jennings being hurt and Pearsall being hurt. Didn't get
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 1: shot again, but he's being he's been hurt, which is
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 1: at least that's preferable. Obviously. I don't know, if I
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 1: don't know what the situation is with Jennings and pearsall
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 1: by the way, if they're coming back or not. But
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: San Francisco has still been kind of like they've been
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 1: winning games even without all that. And the rushing attack
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 1: hasn't even been good, even though I think McCaffrey is healthy.
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 1: For some reason, the rushing attack just hasn't been that good.
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 1: Don't know why. But they're passing attack despite all the injuries.
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 1: And of course I forgot to mention the injury to
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 1: Brock Purdy, who I don't think Purdy is actually that
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 1: good though. Man, I think he's kind of a mediocre quarterback.
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 1: They've actually been good with their passing attack even without
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 1: Brock Purty, with mac Jones and there, mac Jones has
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 1: actually been better than Brock Purdy. And yes, we do
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 1: have to look and see is mac Jones gonna be
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: their quarterback here in this game? Again, where's the injury
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 1: report here? Let me see. Uh oh boy, it looks
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 1: like he's not listening. Oh shit, he's not listed on
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 1: the injury report. Hang on, No, he's out all right. Good.
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 1: That's good because I think mac Jones has been playing
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 1: better than Rock Purty. And if Purdy was coming back
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: it would be the reverse injured player spot for San Francisco.
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 1: When you get your starting quarterback back, you know, the
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 1: team can kind of take a step back a little bit.
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 1: You have to get used to him being back in there,
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. So like the chemistry could
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 1: be a bit of an issue. So I like this
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 1: better that they're gonna have continuity with Mac Jones still
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 1: in there. So that's good. We're gonna have Mac Jones
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 1: out there. It looks like Piersoll is out, but Jennings
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 1: is back, so that's good at least for their receiving
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: core as well. And of course I Yuk, who's probably
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 1: their best wider sire. He's been out and he's still out,
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 1: so that's another injury they've been dealing with. San Francisco's
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 1: still been going through it and doing it. Man. I
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 1: like that. I like the fact that Mac Jones is
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 1: still out there. And I never thought I would say that,
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 1: but Jones, I think he can get the job done here, man,
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: even though the falcons past defense has actually been okay,
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 1: but I still think Jones can get it done here.
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: As far as the look ahead on this, we had
• 1:39:42
  Speaker 1: forty nine ers at minus four and a half on
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 1: the look Ahead, but that might have been with brock Purdy,
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 1: like maybe they thought brock Perdy was gonna play. But
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 1: still with the fact that this line is down to
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 1: minus one and a half here, it's definitely three and
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 1: a half to two. Now, I guess on the forty
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 1: nine ers, I think you are getting some extra value
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 1: on the forty nine ers though for whatever reas that.
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 1: Maybe I think it was just because of the brock Purty,
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 1: the fact that he's they thought he was coming back
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 1: and he's not coming back. But is he that much
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: of a drop off, Like should he be like a
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 1: three whatever point drop off to mac Jones? I actually
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 1: don't think so. Forty nine ers have been pretty good
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 1: with mac Jones, so we're gonna go with it. Forty
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 1: nine ers. Fifty six percent tickets are on the Falcons.
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 1: Everybody saw the Falcons pull off that upset on Monday end.
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 1: Now they're going from an anti public favorite. I talk
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: about this too. The Falcons were an anti public favorite
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 1: last week, or excuse the Falcons are an anti public underdog.
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: Excuse me. They were an anti public underdog last week,
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 1: and they're going to a situation where now they're a
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 1: public team, although they're a public underdog here. It would
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 1: be crazier if they're a public favorite, which they're not.
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 1: But still, when the public shifts sides like that one
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 1: week to the other, you want to fade that sentiment
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 1: more often than not. Fifty six percent tickets on the Falcons,
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 1: fifty five percent of the cash on the Niners. Yeah,
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: we'll go with the Niners here in this one, man,
• 1:40:57
  Speaker 1: I think it's a bad spot for Atlanta. That what
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 1: we're gonna do, and that is gonna do it for
• 1:41:04
  Speaker 1: those for those plays here, man. The three plays this
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 1: week one more time are the New Orleans Saints at
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: plus four and a half the Denver Broncos at minus seven,
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 1: which hopefully you can get the seven again like it's
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 1: been seven most of the week. I should have mentioned
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 1: that during the week on one of my shows, just say, hey,
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 1: get on this and then I'll do the analysis on
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 1: Saturday night whatever, and uh, San Francisco minus one and
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 1: a half, or you're basically just asking them to win
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 1: the game. Or if you find a money line price,
• 1:41:34
  Speaker 1: that's good, you could do that too. I think we're
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 1: good on those. Yeah, Denver, like I said, find the
• 1:41:40
  Speaker 1: best price that you can on that. I don't know
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 1: if you can still find a seven. Right before I
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 1: did the show, I found a minus seven at minus
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 1: one fourteen out there at one of the books though,
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 1: So I'm still counting it at minus seven because I
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 1: saw the minus seven with I think minus one fourteen
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 1: at minus one fifteen and a couple of different books
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 1: that are out there. So that's what we're tracking it
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 1: at right now. That's gonna to do it, man, keep
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 1: up the streak. What streak? I mean, I had another
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 1: winning day today, so at least there was that. I mean,
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 1: I've had I think only two or three losing days
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 1: over the last like three weeks. At least there's that.
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 1: But football has kind of been mediocre the last couple
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 1: of weeks after we were really hot a few weeks
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 1: ago for a couple of weeks. But yeah, I'm trying
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 1: to win here, man, I'm trying to give out winners. Obviously,
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 1: who shot pieris? Think you know the answer to that?
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 1: It was prior to last season. Take a guess it
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 1: was on the streets of San Francisco. That's gonna do it.
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 1: I'll learn it on on Twitter and learn it on
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 1: on Instagram. I can check me out those places like
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel here. All that helps out. Man,
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 1: Interacting here helps out. I'm on the audio platform Spotify
• 1:42:46
  Speaker 1: and Apple. You can check me out there if you
• 1:42:49
  Speaker 1: listen on there. That helps me out. Reviews definitely helped
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 1: me out as well. It's pump these numbers up, baby,
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 1: as I keep saying, and covered in you because my
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 1: yuke channel on you to. But the yuke cover's going
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 1: up there. I gotta get those up to date, as
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 1: I keep saying. I feel like I always say that,
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 1: but it's true. I'm a busy man, man, gotta keep
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 1: those up. And I'm not making any money either, so
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 1: my yeah, I'm doing something wrong in life right now. Yeah,
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 1: so I gotta start just betting professionally. Man. I think
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 1: that's that's that's that's the answer at this point, right,
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 1: I don't know, but yeah, covernuke and then patreon dot com,
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 1: learn to toad you can throw me as some support
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 1: there and you get some bonus stuff. You get a
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 1: Spotify yuke feed and prioritize requests that nobody has taken
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 1: advantage of yet. Stanford's up seven with three minutes left. Oh, boy,
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know who has the ball right Florida State
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 1: has the ball right now, though they might be able
• 1:43:46
  Speaker 1: to tie it and send it into overtime. I don't know,
• 1:43:49
  Speaker 1: but I'll root for Stanford just because I don't like FSU.
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Thank you, sir, Charles, thank you, Impure,
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 1: thank you. I was just YouTube. No Native, of course,
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 1: was in the chat too, Nate. Thanks guys. It was
• 1:44:04
  Speaker 1: just you three guys and a lot of chat, a
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 1: lot of chatter though I appreciate it. Man. If I
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 1: missed anybody, I apologize. Peace out, guys. We'll be back
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 1: in the morning. We'll talk about the ALCS game that
• 1:44:14
  Speaker 1: I think is probably been played tomorrow, and there's probably
• 1:44:17
  Speaker 1: some small hockey board tomorrow, so we'll talk about it.
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 1: Peace for now, man,