Latest / Wildlands Podcast — National Parks, Public Lands & Survival / #008 - Field Skills: Flash Floods | Reading Water, Weather & Slot Canyons
Transcript
- 0:10Picture where you are standing. You are two miles
- 0:13into the narrows, somewhere around Wall Street.
- 0:16The walls rise a thousand feet above you on both
- 0:19sides, so close in places you could almost touch
- 0:21both at once. The water is cold and clear around
- 0:25your ankles. The light coming down that narrow
- 0:27slot is unlike anything you have seen before,
- 0:30soft, diffuse, bouncing off sandstone in shades
- 0:33of orange and gold. You are having one of the
- 0:38best days you have had outdoors in your life.
- 0:42And seven miles upstream, on a plateau you cannot
- 0:45see and would not think to look at, a thunderstorm
- 0:48just dropped an inch and a half of rain in 40
- 0:50minutes onto ground that is baked clay. That
- 0:53water has nowhere to go except down. It is in
- 0:55a gully now, then a wash, then the Virgin River.
- 1:00And it is moving toward you. You have maybe 15
- 1:05minutes. This is Wildlands. I'm Sean. Know the
- 1:11land before you reach it. Field skills flash
- 1:14floods. Flash floods kill more people in the
- 1:18United States in an average year than lightning,
- 1:20tornadoes, or hurricanes, not combined each one
- 1:24individually. That number stops people cold every
- 1:28time I say it, and it should, because we do not
- 1:30talk about flash floods the way we talk about
- 1:33tornadoes. There is no dramatic radar footage
- 1:36on the evening news every spring. They happen
- 1:39fast, in remote places, and the people caught
- 1:42in them often had no warning at all. That is
- 1:45the problem we are solving today. I have spent
- 1:47a lot of time in canyon country. The army put
- 1:50me in some demanding terrain, and I have done
- 1:53my share of slot canyons since. What gets people
- 1:56into trouble out here is not bad luck. It is
- 1:59a gap in how they understand the system. Once
- 2:02you understand it, this is a manageable risk.
- 2:05Not zero, but manageable. So let's build that
- 2:09understanding from the ground up. Start with
- 2:13why the desert makes this so much more dangerous
- 2:15than anywhere else. In most landscapes, when
- 2:18rain falls, a meaningful percentage of it soaks
- 2:21into the ground. The soil absorbs it. The runoff
- 2:24is gradual. In the desert southwest in summer,
- 2:27the soil is baked hard, especially after a long,
- 2:30dry stretch. It absorbs almost nothing. Rain
- 2:34hits it and runs off immediately. Not some of
- 2:36it. Most of it. Now put that runoff into a landscape
- 2:42that is nothing but slopes and gullies and washes
- 2:44funneling toward canyon systems. Every drop that
- 2:47falls on 20 or 30 or 50 square miles of plateau
- 2:50is being channeled toward the same low point.
- 2:53Gully feeds a wash, wash feeds a canyon. And
- 2:56because water runs faster when it is deeper,
- 2:59less friction relative to its volume, the leading
- 3:02edge builds into a wave. Then that wave hits
- 3:04a slot canyon, and the walls take away any room
- 3:07it had to spread. It goes up instead. Water levels
- 3:10in a slot can rise 10 feet in seconds. The flood
- 3:13carries rocks and logs and everything the watershed
- 3:16has been holding onto for months. It does not
- 3:19announce itself. In 1997, 11 people were killed
- 3:23in Lower Antelope Canyon in Arizona. The storm
- 3:27that killed them dropped its rain seven miles
- 3:30upstream. At the canyon itself, the sky was clear.
- 3:34The lone survivor was a guide who had swift water
- 3:37training and recognized what the sound meant
- 3:39before the water arrived. Seven miles away, clear
- 3:43skies overhead, eleven people gone in minutes.
- 3:47That is the thing everything else in this episode
- 3:50hangs on. The weather at your location is almost
- 3:53irrelevant. What matters is the weather across
- 3:57the entire watershed above you, and that watershed
- 4:00can cover an enormous area. In some canyon systems
- 4:04in southern Utah, the drainage area feeding the
- 4:07lower canyon stretches 50 miles or more. You
- 4:10are not just checking if it is going to rain
- 4:12where you are standing. You are checking an entire
- 4:15region. This gets dramatically worse during monsoon
- 4:19season, which runs roughly July through September
- 4:22across the southwest. Most people have no idea
- 4:25the desert has a monsoon. What happens is this.
- 4:28Moisture flows up from the Gulf of Mexico. The
- 4:31air gets humid by desert standards, and every
- 4:34afternoon massive thunderstorms build over the
- 4:37higher terrain. They are predictable in their
- 4:39general timing. Mid -afternoon is when the instability
- 4:42peaks and deeply unpredictable in exactly where
- 4:45they hit. I have watched these storms build from
- 4:48a ridgeline. They go from nothing to a full -column
- 4:52thunderhead in under an hour. The anvil spreads
- 4:55at 60 ,000 feet. The storm overdevelops, and
- 4:59then it collapses, and all that water falls at
- 5:02once over a small area onto ground that will
- 5:05not absorb it. The Army trained me to read weather,
- 5:09and what that training really teaches you is
- 5:11that you cannot negotiate with the environment.
- 5:13You can read it, you can plan around it, you
- 5:15can respect it. You cannot argue with it once
- 5:18the water is moving. The skill is not surviving
- 5:21a flash flood. The skill is never being in one.
- 5:26So... Here is how you actually manage this. Starting
- 5:30before you leave, check the weather, but check
- 5:33it correctly. A weather app showing your pin
- 5:36in Springdale is not enough. You need to look
- 5:38at the forecast for the entire watershed above
- 5:41your canyon. For the Narrows specifically, that
- 5:45means the high plateaus north and east of Zion,
- 5:47not just the canyon floor. The National Weather
- 5:50Service site lets you click around a map and
- 5:52pull forecasts for specific grid points across
- 5:55a region. Spend 10 minutes with it. Look at the
- 5:58whole picture, not just your destination. Know
- 6:02what you are looking for. A flash flood watch
- 6:05means conditions are favorable for flooding to
- 6:08develop. Respect it. Think carefully about entering
- 6:11a canyon. A flash flood warning means flooding
- 6:15is either happening or imminent. Do not enter.
- 6:19Full stop, and if you are already in, get out.
- 6:22Zion posts a flash flood potential rating on
- 6:25the park's current conditions page. Check it
- 6:27the morning of. If it is elevated, the Narrows
- 6:30is not on the agenda. This is not a judgment
- 6:33call you make standing at the trailhead, looking
- 6:35at blue sky. You make it the night before, with
- 6:38the forecast in front of you, before you have
- 6:40driven two hours and invested a day. If there
- 6:43is any meaningful storm potential anywhere in
- 6:45the watershed, not just overhead, anywhere above
- 6:48you build in your margin. The conservative call
- 6:51in a slot canyon is almost always the right call.
- 6:54The canyon will be there another day. That is
- 6:58the perspective the place itself gives you when
- 7:00you stand in it. It has been there for millions
- 7:02of years. It will wait. What happens if you are
- 7:07already inside and the situation changes? The
- 7:12sound comes first. A low roar that does not quite
- 7:16fit the canyon. Not wind, not thunder, something
- 7:19lower and more continuous. You feel it as much
- 7:23as hear it, a vibration in the walls and in your
- 7:26chest. If you hear that and you are in a slot,
- 7:30you move immediately. Not in a minute, not after
- 7:32you check something. You move toward high ground
- 7:35right now. The water is the next signal. If you
- 7:38are waiting and the water goes from clear to
- 7:40brown and murky, picking up silt and debris that
- 7:42is upstream runoff entering the system. The flood
- 7:45may be minutes behind it. Know where the high
- 7:48points are before you need them. Slots have ledges,
- 7:52alcoves, carved benches in the walls. Before
- 7:56you enter any canyon, you are looking for these
- 7:58on the way in. Every quarter mile, you identify
- 8:02you're out. That habit from the Army, know your
- 8:04way out before you commit to the terrain, applies
- 8:06in a slot canyon as directly as it does anywhere
- 8:09I have been. Some people describe a distinct
- 8:13smell arriving ahead of the water, earthy, organic,
- 8:18the debris of a watershed suddenly disturbed.
- 8:20I have read enough accounts from people who survived
- 8:23to take that seriously, even if I would not rely
- 8:27on it as a primary warning. The smell, the sound,
- 8:30the watercolor, these are all the canyon trying
- 8:33to tell you something. Listen, if you are caught
- 8:36and the water is already rising, go up, not out.
- 8:40you are not outrunning a flash flood downstream.
- 8:43The water moves faster than you do and carries
- 8:46debris that would stop you. Get as high as you
- 8:48can as fast as you can, hold on, and let it pass.
- 8:52They rise fast and they drop fast. The initial
- 8:56surge is your critical window. After the wave,
- 8:59the risk is high water and continued debris,
- 9:01but the worst of it is usually over in minutes.
- 9:05Let me talk about the decision -making side.
- 9:08Because this is where I see the most failure.
- 9:10People rationalize. It is a human thing, not
- 9:13a character flaw, but in a slot canyon it can
- 9:15be fatal. I have watched smart people talk themselves
- 9:19into bad decisions because they really wanted
- 9:22to do the thing they drove four hours to do.
- 9:24The investment. The planning. The group expecting
- 9:27a great day. The sky looking okay from where
- 9:30they are standing. None of that changes the physics.
- 9:35The canyon does not care about the drive from
- 9:37Las Vegas. If the forecast shows meaningful storm
- 9:40potential in the watershed, the right call is
- 9:42to do something else that day. Go to the east
- 9:45side of the park, hike observation point. Come
- 9:48back to the Narrows tomorrow when the forecast
- 9:50is clean. The Narrows on a good day is one of
- 9:53the more remarkable hikes in this country. I
- 9:56mean that, and it is not worth betting your life
- 9:59that the storm is going to miss the drainage
- 10:02above you. The other thing I see is the group
- 10:05dynamic problem. You are with people, everyone
- 10:08has made the trip, and nobody wants to be the
- 10:10voice that says, maybe we should not do this.
- 10:13I have had to be that voice. It is uncomfortable
- 10:16for about 10 minutes. In the other scenario,
- 10:19where nobody says it, you end up in the canyon
- 10:22when the water changes color. One person willing
- 10:24to say, let's think about this, is worth more
- 10:27than a full group nodding toward a slot canyon
- 10:29with a bad forecast. Trust that instinct. Say
- 10:33the thing. Practical rules to close with. Check
- 10:39the weather for the whole watershed, not just
- 10:41your location. Know the difference between a
- 10:43flash flood watch and a warning and act accordingly.
- 10:46Start early. The afternoon thunderstorm window
- 10:48in the southwest is roughly noon to six, so mornings
- 10:52are your safest window. Before you enter any
- 10:55canyon, identify high ground every quarter mile.
- 10:58If the water changes color or you hear a sound
- 11:01that does not fit, move immediately, not in a
- 11:03minute, now. And if someone in your group says
- 11:06they are uncomfortable, listen to them. They
- 11:09may be reading something the rest of you are
- 11:11rationalizing away. This applies beyond the narrows.
- 11:15Any slot canyon, any desert wash, any narrow
- 11:19drainage in the southwest during monsoon season
- 11:21carries this risk. The skill transfers once you
- 11:25understand how a watershed works and what to
- 11:28watch for. you carry that knowledge everywhere
- 11:31the terrain demands it. Next episode is Yellowstone
- 11:35Part 1, The History. The supervolcano underneath
- 11:39it, the Nez Perce and Shoshone homeland that
- 11:42came first, the U .S., Army as the park's first
- 11:45rangers, and the near extinction and recovery
- 11:48of the American bison. It is a long, extraordinary
- 11:51story, and I have been looking forward to it
- 11:54since we started this show. Noah links, the Zion
- 11:57flash flood potential page, and a watershed reference
- 12:00map for the Narrows drainage are all at wildlandsnews
- 12:03.com. I'm Sean Spanauer. This has been Wildlands.
- 12:10Know the land before you reach it. See you Thursday.