Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Revenge Of The Sharps in NFL Week 13

Transcript

Revenge Of The Sharps in NFL Week 13 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:09
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Action Network.
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: I am Shad Millman and I am going to be
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: joined by professional better, my bestest, bestest friend in the world,
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: Simon Hunter, and I will tell you everybody this week
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: if I can be serious and intimate for a moment.
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: This week, we got a lesson in what it means
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: to be an insider. And I don't mean Adam Schefter insider.
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: I mean a Simon Hunter insider. I mean, honest to God,
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: what I mean is when you talk about betting with
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: your friends and when you're sitting on the couch, you know,
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: zooming with your buddies. These days, you want someone who
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: is in side the bedding industry, who knows what's going on,
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: who can explain why lines are moving, where money is
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: coming from, and where the edges have been the entire week.
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: That's honestly, that's the whole reason we launched the Action Network,
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: Like we just believe there's a market for this kind
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: of stuff, and Simon Hunter is that kind of insider.
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: And I'm going to get to that because the story
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: this past week in the NFL was about the Saints
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: Broncos game, and on Saturday, afternoon, all this news leaking
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: out about all three of the Broncos quarterbacks being ineligible
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: to play all of them right, So the line for
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: this game. They didn't cancel the game because God knows,
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: the NFL just wants to get the freak through December
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: and get into some kind of playoff bubble. So the
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: line for this game has been Saints minus five and
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: a half. When they reposted after the Broncos had no quarterbacks,
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: it was fifteen and a half. Here's the good news
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: for the good guys, meaning Simon and I, we are
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: the good guys in this scenario. Simon had a hunch,
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: maybe he had a little bit more. In our list
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: of five picks for the Draft Kings Pro Football pick
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: Um National Championship Contest that we are in, Simon on
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: Wednesday afternoon included the Saints at minus five and a
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: half in our picks. So if we wanted to keep it,
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: it was locked. We could change it if we want
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: to change it, but as of Wednesday afternoon, it was locked.
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: Sunday morning. We'll get to Simon in a second, but
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: I want people to understand this because this is the
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: payoff for the whole story on Sunday morning, Simon and
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: I are texting about our picks, as we always do.
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: I asked him how we ended up with Saints minus
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: five and a half, which we had not had a
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: long conversation about his comment. His comment, and this is
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: where Simon is going to explain himself. I started hearing
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: things on Wednesday. Simon, welcome to your podcast. Please explain yourself,
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: Hey Chad, uh yeah, buddy. Um. People might get upset
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: about it, because I get it, man, of these people
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: that talk like they're pros aren't pros. I get it.
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: People want this to be fake. They don't want me
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: to be good at this, they don't want us winning.
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: But yeah, man, I know people who know, people who
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: have trusted opinions, who give out trusted facts. People kept
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: asking us why we like New England this week because
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: I had a guy who gave me a word that
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: Kyler Murray's got a bump shoulder and they're not giving
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: out the info that his shoulder isn't right. What do
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: we see in that game? We saw Kyler Murray didn't
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: look right. New England didn't play a good game. We covered,
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: we won, We cash tickets the Broncos one was interesting.
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: He hit me up. It might have been Wednesday morning,
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: and it was like, uh, getting worried that the Broncos
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: have some COVID, that the Baltimore's COVID's worst sence getting
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: let on, and that shockingly, he said that the what
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: was it might have been, um, the forty Niners had
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: some COVID stuff. So I already bet At this time,
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: I already had bet Pittsburgh and the Saints, and I
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: had already bet the forty Niners. So I was I
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: got ship. Now I gotta buy out of the forty Niners,
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: and then I gotta put some more on Pittsburgh and
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: the Saints here and no work. I think the next yeah,
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: like the next day they might have canceled that Pittsburgh game,
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: or maybe it was Wednesday night they canceled it. So
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: I was like, all right, good call him that. And
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: then out of nowhere that schef their bomb of all
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: three qvs being sat for the Broncos, and I immediately
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: called up Bob, who was like the guy to gave
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: me input, and I was like, how did this dude? No,
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: that's insanity. I'm obviously all tested negative. It was only
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: one guy who came in the building and tested positive.
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: But exactly I don't know. I didn't know that the
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: QBS had it on Wednesday. I'm just going off these dudes,
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: who this is what they do. They network, they have connections,
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: and like, if I can get that little bit of
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: info and I trust these guys. Yeah, he was wrong
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: about the forty niners. They had no COVID issues. They dominated.
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: Like when it came Sunday and I saw they had
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: no COVID issues, I was cool with back in the
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: forty niners is gonna bet in their money line and
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: bet in the number again. But it's one of those
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: where these people are real. They're like, I know people
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: think it's all a myth, but it's these dudes are
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: locked in. They know people, and like I'm not I'm
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: not old enough to question these guys. Where like, I
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: respect these guys so highly that if they give me
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: these opinions, I have to trust these opinions. I can't.
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: I won't ever go back. I'm saying, well, what do
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: you know, it's Wednesday? How do you know this? It's
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: all right. This guy is giving me opinion. He's let
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: me do whatever I want with it. Either play it
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: or you don't, so it was a good day. Well
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: sign and listen. You are for real and that is
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: why people listen to this podcast. That's why credit self
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: at the end of the day, because I had a
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: hunch when you reached out to me summer of two
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: thousand nineteen to say, hey, let's chat, and then I
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: could tell you were for real and you've been on
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: the podcast ever since, so I somehow I should get
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: credit for this. But honestly, like, this is serious info.
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: This is serious insider info that impacts betting markets, and honestly,
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: folks like this is often how it's done. It's what
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: we're trying to translate, Like there are people trading in
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: this space. Okay, it is, it is. It is a
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: financial market. There are instruments that get that. We're information
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: is key and that is how markets move, and that's
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: how advantages are found. When we discussed these games, it
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: is not just based on hunches or projections, but actual knowledge.
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: Simon hunters professional and that's why he's joining us in
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: the pod every week and why we're empered into the
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: DraftKings Pro Football pick Up National Championship. So before we
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: get to the recap, before we do that. I do
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: want to remind people that we are bringing back the
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: cash fuel phrase that pays contest. From now through the
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: end of the season. We are giving a lucky listener
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: one dollars for every game we win each week. Boy,
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: someone's getting four hundred large this week, and we are
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: giving an equal amount to the charity of that winner's
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: choice to be eligible. Go review the podcast using the
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: phrase and appropriately the phrase is Simon says bet like
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: an insider, and if we like it and we randomly
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: choose it, you will win the money. Here's the beauty. Also,
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: if you want to keep up with what we are doing,
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: I'm begging you every pick we make. It's all available
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: in the Action Network app. It's free, it's award winning.
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: Go downloaded. Follow Simon Hunter in the app. Every single
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: pick we are making in the DraftKings contest, you can
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: follow there. You can see that this week we went
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: four and one. We boldly on when on Thursday morning
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: we boldly picked the Texans and then we were feeling
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: pretty good about the Texans. And I believe Simon, you
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: and I texted about four o'clock in the afternoon on
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: Thursday before the Washington Dallas game that we were gonna
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: lock in Dallas at two and a half Washington at
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: plus two and a half. So we won. We were
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: two and oh going into the weekend. You locked in
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: the Saints for us. The other two games were a
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: messive emotion on Sunday morning, you wanted the Paths, I didn't.
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: But because I trust you in your info, I I
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: went with it. You wanted the Panthers, I did not.
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: I wanted the Giants, you did not. You gave it
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: to me almost out of sympathy. That was a bummer.
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: The Panthers were the last team out. I take responsibility
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: for our loan loss. I heard about it on Twitter,
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: you know, when you told people to blame me. I
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: especially like the comment, uh, someone's at me, go drink
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: some more cucumber water your jackass. That was amazing. Yeah,
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: that was nice. Right, Here's what I don't get. Here's
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: what I don't get. On Tuesday, we loved Minnesota and
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: we loved Arizona. Fine, we change. We changed out of
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: those because a variety of reasons, which Panthers I think
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: you have to explain to me a little bit. Arizona
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: get Cayler Murray issues Why did we change out of
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: Minnesota into Carolina? Why did you decide to like them? Uh,
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: it was honestly all about what happened during the week.
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: Teddy came back, so I regally thought it was gonna
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: be the backup playing in Minnesota, and I was like, well,
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: we're getting great value here. This is a backup QB
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: going on the road playing Minnesota. And then it came
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: out that Teddy was starting. And then the next day
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: it came out that Adam Feeling had COVID. So right
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: there we're talking about two major pieces. Adam Feeling has
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: been unbelievable this year for the Vikings, and Teddy is
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: just a solid quarterback who doesn't he doesn't trying to
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: do too much, so he's not going to hurt you
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: in the long run as that kild that kild p J.
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: Walker you had heard us if he was playing for Carolina.
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: So the Carolina and the contest, we were getting four
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: and a half, and with Teddy in there, I headed
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: a grade at three, so I thought we were getting
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: good value getting the four and a half um the Giants,
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: when I hated just because I had already bet against
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: it and I was trying to be too cute, like
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: I really wanted to fight you on it, but my
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: mind I had the number at six. It was sitting
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: at five and a half in the competition. I bet
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: the other side at six and a half, So I said,
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: you know what, this game could easily land on six
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: and I'll feel like a genius. So that was definitely
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: on me. I shouldn't have let you do because I
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: knew it was stinky. I think like reveloped. I was
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: like ninety eight percent of the money was on the spread,
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: and um, that was actually what was so funny. It's
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: like I got up, I don't even know, maybe it
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: was like three or four in the morning, Sunday morning,
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: and did all my bets and I twot it out.
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: It might have been like six thirty a list of
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: six teams that were all old teams favorites, catching over
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: eighty percent of the money at seventy percent of the money.
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: I forgot which it was, and I just said, it's
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: a great week to ride it with the books. It's
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: gonna be a good weekend here. And basically those plays
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: went six and out and this is one of these
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: weeks where I'm gonna go to the sports book Sunday morning,
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: and it's gonna be me and three other guys. It's
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: gonna be dead. The public just got slaughtered. And as
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: a pro, these are the weeks, this is what we
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: do where it's it's rare you're gonna get six to
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: seven road favorites getting all that money on them. It
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: was really a perfect storm. I've just lined up just right.
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: The public was due for an absolute meltdown of a week,
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: and I likely, just like you, we'll talk about the
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: time you take the emotion out of it and you
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: bet these ugly teams, and this is a week where
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: it really paid dividends where I get it. People are
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: coming on like people messaging me how bad the Eagles are,
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: how bad any of these other teams are. I know,
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: I see how bad these teams are. That's what I
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: talked about. You you play the numbers, It's it's all
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: it is. I'm playing numbers. Are trying to play value
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: and find out where the numbers are. So in that
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: Eagles game, I had it at three. That game ended
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: at six, but if Doug Peterson had just kicked a
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: field goal. He went for it on fourth and two
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: on their side, and he threw up a pick Carson
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: Wentz that game would have landed three. I would have
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: felt like a genius because that's the exact number I
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: projected that game for US. Three. So when these things
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: are happening as the season goes on, that's that's how
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: I know to trust my system. Like we had a
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: down week a couple of weeks ago where or maybe
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: his last week one, one and four, and I was like,
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: all right, I could freak out over adjust and go
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: against what I believe in, or I could just keep
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: trusting myself and see how it goes. I'm sure enough. Yeah, man,
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: it was. It was such a good weekend that I
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: think I told you last night I couldn't fall a
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: sleep to one I am and my alarm went off
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: at three thirty to get up and start working again
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: for this week. And it's just like, oh god, I
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: feel like such a good week. You want to rest
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: near Laurels. But it's like, this is what I love.
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: It's it's a new challenge this week of trying to
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: win again. So that's that's the most fun about this job.
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: And like the life I live, it's every week it's
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: a new challenge that you're trying to overcome. So we're
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: back at it again, buddy, with some ugly lines. This week,
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: we are back at it. And by the way, that
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: tweet that you sent about the six uh, the six
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: road favorites and the money they were getting for some reason,
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: that didn't pop into my feet until like late Sunday.
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: If I had seen it early Sunday, I might not
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: have gone on the Giants. And like, I gotta say that,
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: I've made so many amateur mistakes this season. I feel
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: like I've lost my principles. And I used to add
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: a very sort of specific way what that I would
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: bet I look for short home underdogs. I would look
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: for games in which the public is over invested on
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: a road favorite, and like those would be sort of
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: the guiding lights for me. And I feel like this
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: year I am walking away from those making bad decisions.
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: I look for games where I felt like there was
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: a Bilow cell high situation. The Niners rams this week
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: was a perfect example. Why didn't we stay on that one?
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: Like we we had agreed on Thursday on Thanksgiving, like
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: we had agreed, we we liked the Niners and we
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: liked Atlanta. And then on Sunday, I know you were
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: afraid about Julio Jones being out for the for the Falcons,
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: but like, why don't we stick with the Niners. I
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: feel disgusted that we just sort of walked away from that. Yeah,
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: and it's usually my fault because I'm what I'm trying
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: to always do is just get the best of the
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: number in the contest, even sometimes if I don't love
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: the play, like I had a ton of money in Atlanta,
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: but the fact that Vegas was two and a half,
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: it made me think about it goes, well, I love
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: Atlantic because it's three three and a half. At two
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: and a half, it kind of makes you want to
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: take Vegas. And that's how they get you get us
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: in these competitions. They give us these lines, like everyone
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: in the world was taking, uh, the Rams because it
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: was six and a half instead of like I liked
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: it at seven, it was six and a half, so
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: a lot of people in contest took So we just
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: stayed away from the four nines. But yeah, it's it's
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: like you said, we overthink stuff because it comes today morning.
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: I go, well, am I being too smart here taking
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: these lines and doing these things in the competition because
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: the fort the New England when you hated you you Saturday,
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: you were just like, I hate, I hate, no, I
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: do not want to do it, and I said you,
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: I hated too. But the guys in the desert love it.
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: So I gotta trust these guys because this is what
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: they do. If if, if they're giving me good info,
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: we gotta trust it. So that was a brutal sweat.
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: But like the fact that we had two wins going
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: to the weekend, I was so confident we're going five
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: and now I really really believed in it. So it's
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: things a little for in one. But like I said,
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: we're back in the top fifty and we're only four
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: out of being in the top ten. So I gotta
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: just drink some good weeks everybody, and we're gonna be
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: back in that big money we are. You're right, we
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: are back in the top fifty on the year. On
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: the year, we are thirty four and twenty six for
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: a winning percentage of fifty six point seven percent. Again,
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: follow all of our picks by following Simon Hunter in
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: the Action Network Gap. Look look like you win it
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: a near fifty clip. You are making serious dollars. That's
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: all I can say that is a professional, that that
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: is better than professional. And we've had a lot of questions.
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, I won't get it to all the different
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: ones I get, but the biggest one to keep getting
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: his money management. Um, listen, people people do units. I
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: don't really bet that way. Uh, but if you are
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: doing units, like you start the year with thousand dollars,
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: you're breaking that up into a hundred units whatever you're doing. Yeah. Um,
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: I'm not a chaser, but if I have a down
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: week like we did last week, this week, I go
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: a lot bigger. And it's it's basically one of those
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: that you have to believe in yourself and you can't
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: just bet the same line the same amount of money
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: every week. You're just gonna be spinning your tires and mud.
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: It's so hard to get up money if you're just
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: consistently better in the same number. So there's people out
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: there if you have a down week, or if I've
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: a down week. I mean, I wouldn't do it personally
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: for yourself, but like I know that it's gonna work
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: it out for me. You start up in your beds
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: after down weeks. So people ask when when I really
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: start upping the money earlier year. It's probably usually Week
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: four or five. That's when, like I'm confident, like I
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: have a read on the season, I'll start up in
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: the money. But for people out there, you can't be
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: bet in the same exact dollar in a game you're
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: doing week one as you're doing a week thirteen. You
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: need to start trying to build an actual bank row.
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: You can't just be winning for that weekend. You need
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: to start trying to helping the money. So my advice people,
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: if you got smacked around this week, you don't listen
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: to the show or you don't follow us on Twitter
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: and you had a bad week, Yeah, don't go crazy
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: this week. And because I'm obviously coming off a great week,
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: so I should just by the numbers, have it down week.
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: But I've loved these lines again this week, so we're
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: gonna dive into it year. But it's another week. I'm
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: just seeing so much crazy value. All right, let's row.
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: There is no Thursday night game this week. There is
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: a Steelers Ravens game. Do we wanna talk about that
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: for a second. Just take the Steelers. It's a huge armory.
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: It's up the plus ten. The Ravens. But if they
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: have no Lamar, if they don't have JK. Dobbins, if
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: they know'an Mark Andrews, what are the Ravens having offense?
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: R G three r G three is terrible. So Steelers
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: are gonna be mad. They're mad about all this being
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: moved around them, affecting their season being affected. But I
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: still think they're gonna play the game. These players want
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: the paycheck and we need them to play it because
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: I was looking last week, we hit our over for
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh sports. Sports aren't gonna let you catch that
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: tick until sixteen games or all sixteen games are played.
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: And if this game is forfeited, even though the Steelers
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: gotta win, that voids the over ticket. So someone with
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: a vested interest in the Pittsburgh Steelers having over nine
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: and a half wins, I I really need this game
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: to be played. So taking the Steelers around, taking the
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: first half, and it's just one of those games where
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: I feel bad for Ravens fans and the players on
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: the Ravens. But this is a business. Teams are playing
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: games without quarterbacks. They're gonna get this game done. So
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be played, and we are in business brother
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: Jaguars kind of Vikings Minnesota Vikings? Are they eight and
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: a half nine and a half depending on the book.
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: My instinct on this game bets and money both coming
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: in on the Vikings. The Vikings did not look good.
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: They were missing feeling. I was very high on this
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: team going into the Cowboys game. Less high on this
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: team now. I felt like losing that game, that was
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: a big deal for them to stay away from me,
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: staying away, Yeah, I'll stay away with you. Um. Jaguars
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: have been covering really well here lately. They've been just
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: been backdoor king stay backdoor everyone, and and this is
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: where it runs out. I'll take Minnesota this week. I
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: hate that it's such a high number, and I hate
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: backing Kirk Cousins, but the Jags that they they've they've
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: played really well down the stretch here, but it has
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: to catch up them here and the Vikings they're due
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: for a big win. So I don't love it. We're
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: definitely up on the competition, but I'll take the Vikings here.
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: I'd be remiss if I didn't say, uh, we will
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: have on the show our Hornet's Nest, which was the Falcons,
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: which we won our big balls better the week, which
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: was the Eagles, which we won, and you'll have your
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: survivor pick because we're out of our survivor pool together,
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: so you'll have your survivor pick to discuss it. So
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: heartbroken by that. It's so easy. We like, we couldn't
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: if we were still going, man, we would have taken
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: the Saints last week and we'll talk about coming up.
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: But we had saved the Chiefs just for this week,
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: and I saved them from my competition for this week.
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: So I'm heartbroken. I'm heartbroken we're not in anymore because
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: it's back to back easy weeks like late in the
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: season like this, it's so rare. You're heartbroken. You're heartbroken.
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: I wanted a million to buddy. All Right, the Browns
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: are visiting the Titans. This is a really interesting game.
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: Money and bets coming in on the Titans right now.
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: They are. It opened it three and a half, it's
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: now at five and a half. DraftKings hasn't his five
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorites. WHOA that? That's you know what? What?
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: Hold on? Hold on? Are we walking into a hornet's
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: nest right now? No? We're not, do you do you
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: want to do you want to take the Titans? No,
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: I don't. I don't want to. I honestly don't want
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: to take either side. I'm gonna end up betting the Titans. Um,
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: But yeah, the Browns can easily cover this number as
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: a dog against a terrible Titan secondary. But I'm not
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: putting money on Baker. Watching that Jags game last week,
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: he missed guys open in the end zone. Yeah, you
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: might have a good play here and there, but I'm
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: sure I can't do it with Baker, So I'll take
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: the Titans. But yeah's I'm not putting this in the competition.
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: Well why do you say, like you're like, by the way,
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: you don't have to bet it. You don't have to
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: bet every game. I like bet every game because I
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: play a system that's giving me number of values on
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: each game. So yeah, maybe this game, I'm only gonna
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: put five on it. But right, you don't have to
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: bet every game. But I'm a better that I do
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: bet every game because I only have sixteen weeks or
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: seventeen weeks out a year to make a lot of money.
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: So I don't judge you if you if you do basketball, baseball,
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: that stuff. Of course, pick three games a night and
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: like pick your spots. But with NFL, I picked my
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: spots for there's games I'm gonna load up on, or
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: there's first half bets I load up on compared to
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: the total game or spread. But I like to play
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: every game. It's just fun having action on every game
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: because a lot of times like system will cash games.
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: I don't believe at all in but I bet it
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: just because it's saying there's good value there, and it's
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: just like, that's why I do it. Because computers are
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: smarter than humans. So I'm with you. You don't have
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: the better every game, but I like having action on
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: every game. They may be smarter, but they don't have
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: feelings like you and me. You know what I'm saying,
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: what's your number? What is your what is your what
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: is your Your? Cold Steel machine has the number for
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: the Titans and the Browns three and a half of
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: the Browns, so I thought like plus three and a
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: half would be a good value in the Browns. And
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: the fact that it is five and a half that's
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: what's making me think I probably should take the Titans here,
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: because maybe I'm not reading this right that it's shot
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: up this much because that's they don't move that number
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: for the public. They're moving that because the sharps are
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: hitting it. So obviously a sharp group has gotta read
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: on this Titans match up, and they're they're they're playing this.
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: This is this is a big number for two teams
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: that are both I mean, I don't know if the
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: Browns are eight and three or seven or three, but
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: they're they're playing well this year, so it's an interesting
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: game for sure. They're eight and three. The Lions are
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: visiting the Bears. Boy, this Bears team is just an embarrassment.
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: I always love, you know, on a national game where
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: they will always put up some kind of Deshaun Watson
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes stat and this week when the Bears were
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: playing the Packers, it was how Deshaun Watson and Patrick
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: Mahomes are now one and two in lifetime QB rating
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: in the history of the NFL with a minimum of
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: past attempts. They have passed Aaron Rodgers, who was number one.
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: So we got Mitched Trubiskie throwing interceptions as if he
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: just don't care, and then too historically great quarterbacks who
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: were drafted after him I remind everybody the Bears traded
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: up one spot to draft Mitch Robinsky. You can't make
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: it up. And he literally played for one year at
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: college the UNC Wow Momes was tearing it up for
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: two years and Watson titles national titles against Nick Saban.
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm I'm excited for the Browns fanans because
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: guess what, they're just gonna burn it all down, Like
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: at least you guys aren't gonna go ten and six,
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: make the playoffs with Nick Foles and just be spinning
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: your tires on a team that you're never gonna win
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: anything with. So yeah, but you know what, here's what's
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: gonna happen. The Bears have won five games, as my
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: fourteen year old son points out, uh, Mitch Robinski is
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: three and oh now three and one as a starter,
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: but um this season, but they they're still gonna sneak
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: in like another win or two maybe. So they're gonna
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: end up six and ten, seven and nine and get
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: a middle of the first round pick if they're lucky,
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: which they won't even know what to do with. They'll
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: probably draft another fucking tight end and then we'll go
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: out and in a tight end so at least they'll
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: have four tight ends on the roster to go with
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: cold Commit and Jimmy Graham. They won't have anybody who
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: can throw to him, they won't have anybody who can
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: protect the quarterback, they won't have anybody who can run
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: the ball. But at least they'll have a fifth round
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: receiver from Tulane they're excited about, and eight fucking tight
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: ends on the roster and like, you know, that'll be Chad. Whatever.
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: What's your take on this game? Uh? So this is
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: classic spot. Yeah, everyone's gonna be bet in Detroit because
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: the coach and jam just got fired. They should light
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: a fire under everyone's ass. The Bears suck. We all
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: know the Bear suck. No one's gonna betting the Bears
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: this week. So the fact that it's down to NINEUS three,
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: I'll be betting the Bears. And it's not enjoyable. But
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: with the lines of the Kenny Galady is still out,
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: the running backs still out with Swift, how can you
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: back the lines here? Stafford just looks hopeless with the
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: weapons around them. So I don't love it, it's painful
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: to do it, but I'll take the Bears minus three. Yeah,
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: I mean, look, I agree with you. I don't know
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: if this is a contest game yet. I think we
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: gotta see where else we land if we find five
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: that we like better. And to be honest, um, the
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: next game up, which is the Raiders at the Jets
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: and the Jets plus seven and a half. Call me crazy,
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: Call me crazy, I could see this being the game
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: the Jets win. You're crazy, okay? Uh yeah? Taking the
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: Raiders after getting blown out, they got embarrassed back to
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: back road games. Usually a team after they get blown
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: in the first road game, they'll go and play the
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: second one a lot. Well, I don't know it's say tougher,
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: but they just laid down in that game. I felt
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: like every time they showed the Raiders they were fumbling
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: to Atlanta. So the Jets are just a bad team.
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: They're doing it again. Last week they hung the Jets
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: seven and a half. And it kind of sucked me
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: in against because I thought two was playing. So I
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: was like, okay, that's a good number against a rookie
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: on the road. Here it wasn't a good number. It's it.
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: It's magic play and he smacked the Jets around. Fits
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: magic magic, magic, I'm seeing tons of film put up
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: with Sam Donald doing exactly what Carson went stead last night,
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: not seeing open open receivers downfield, like glaringly open receivers
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: streaking downfield, so high number seven and a half. I
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: know what they're trying to do. They're trying to scare
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: him off the Raiders. But I'll take the Raiders this week. No, yeah, wow,
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: I know I didn't see that. I saw this and thought,
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: of course, he's going to take the Jets. You don't
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: take the freaking Raiders as seven and a half point
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: favorites on the road. That's absurd. They're not good enough
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: to be seven and a favorites on the road. But
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: you know what, I'll tell you what. I'm looking at
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: the number right now. I'm looking at the percentages, and
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: it's true. The money, which is usually profession my money
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: is on the Raiders, right I think. I think their thing,
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: the same thing as me is. They're they're trying to
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: mess with their heads. Give us a seven and a
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: half because everything you said it's true, Home Dog seven
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: and a half. That's a great number to take the Jets.
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: But I got this progray to nine and a half.
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: So as long as the stays under ten, I'm happy
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: to take the Raiders here. We don't have any games
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: that we like so far, except for the Bears. We
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: have not walked into the hornets nest. We have not
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: found a big Ball's bet of the week. Saints on
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: the road at the Falcons three point favorites. That's what
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: the Saints are at DraftKings sharp money coming in in Atlanta.
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: This dropped from three and a half to three. You
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: got the bets coming in on the Saints and the
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: money coming in on the Falcons. Line this line, buddy, dud, Dude, dude,
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: you know what I'm feeling right now? This this feels
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: like a hornet's nest. Do you want this to be
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: the one you want to take? The Falcons? I don't know.
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: I just want to take the Saints simply just because
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: we won so big on the Falcons last week. Like
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: I hate who's the we? Who's the we that won?
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: I ended up not betting the Falcons because you were
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: afraid of Julio Jones, so we didn't put him in
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: the pool. So if you want on the Falcons, then
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: you one on the Falcons. We we did not win anything.
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: We lost because I said let's take the Giants because
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: you didn't want to take the Falcons. So there's no
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: we here, bestie. I was speaking to the fans. Thank
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: you chat. The fans are more humble and smarter than you,
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: and they listen to my advice. So on Twitter, I
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: gave out, uh, those six players, and one of those
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: six places Atlanta, and I give out Atlanta's money line.
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: So the only person to blame is blame yourself. You're
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: so busy Sunday mornings running around literally, do you It's
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: like taking two the way. Let's see what the Sharp's
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: doing this morning. Let's let you hop on real quick,
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: see what the Simon is doing. Chad's too busy. Shows
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: a company listen on Sunday mornings. As as I've mentioned,
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: we right now have a show called Convinced Me that
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: is on Sunday mornings at eleven o'clock at Action Network
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: h Q eleven a m Easter. You guys are actually
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: giving out winners. It's me, It's it's Shawn Corner. Chris
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: Raybond and Matthew Friedman will try to convince me in
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: three different segments. The prop I should take, the side
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: I should take and the total I should take, and
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: they are crushing it. And the show, by the way,
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: like I can't even say how big it's getting over
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: the last three weeks, Like it is no joke. Of
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: the Twitter specific shows that are from really big media companies,
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: this one is beating all of them. I can't even
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: It's not even exaggeration, like it just is. And so
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: they keep giving me these winners, and yet somehow I
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: keep convincing myself to take Like they'll have like two
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: or three losers every week out of the nine picks,
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: I keep picking the losers. Just pick whatever Shawn gives.
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: You mean that dude's unreal with his props, He's amazing.
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: I hate props because I'm like, how can you project
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: out how a player is gonna be used in the
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: specific game? Like, how do you know their scheme? Dude,
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: he's so good man. I've been betting his prop bets
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: this year. He's money. They're all amazed, the Corner Freeman, Raybond,
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: They're all amazing. Anyway, So you're saying you're taking the
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: Saints here, But is that a contest play? I kind
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: of wanted to be because I just I don't know.
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: I like, I like the Saints a lot that it's
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: minus three, even though, like you said, it scaring a
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: little bit of the the sharp's coming on the Falcons. But
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: I've backed the Falcons week one week and I back
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: and getting the flying week, and they just let me
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: down the flying week. So I'm gonna ride that train
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: and take the Saints to you, all right. I'm putting
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: it on the list. We'll see if we can find
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: it anything better. Bengals Dolphins. Dolphins are a living point
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: favorites at home. I don't know, man, I have to
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: take the Bengals, but yeah, it sucks. Um, I don't know.
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: It's just a situational play. A home dog this big.
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: I had this line at eight. Not a home dog,
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: it's it's Bengals at Miami. Oh oh wow. So I
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: had this written down as Bengals at home. Um, still
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: a big number. But I guess, yeah, you take Miami
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: just because they're at home. Bengals covered last week. That
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: was the first game of the new QB. That New
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: QB really didn't do much, but that did feel like
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: like that did feel like that's the game when you
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: take the Bengals. Clearly we didn't and we I mean,
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: I but like the bloom is off the rose, you
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: go back down in Miami and you get the snot
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: beating out of you. Yeah, Like I would have loved
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: this for the Bengals, ipose Miami back to back road games,
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: But like you just said, the fact that Miami's home,
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: I'll have to go like redo because I put the
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: same my system as if they're on the road. Um,
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: I'm get said it would it would take three points away.
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: So yeah, this is probably a good number with Miami
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: as long as it stays under twelve. But I hate
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: putting in this big of a number in our competition.
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: But of all the games we're looking at right now,
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: this is this is a pretty good one that fits
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: me at home with that defense against the Bengals. Well,
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: here's something else to think about, Simon. We still need
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: to use one more by right, it could be could
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: be a bye week. I mean that's I told you,
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: That's that's the call you're gonna have to make because
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: you're gonna come to me Sunday morning. And you know
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: the deal, buddy, I'm I'm always firing away. I'm always
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: confident comes Sunday. So like we don't love these games
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: right now, but come Sunday, like I'm gonna have reads
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: on a lot of these games. I'm really gonna love
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: them so and stuff to say right now. But yeah,
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: if Chad wants to pull the card and said, no,
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: we're doing it, we'll use the bye week. Listen. Sure,
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: as sure as the sun will rise somewhere around the world,
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: Simon will text me on Sunday morning, I love our picks,
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: brother always. All right, well, let's put a pin in
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: this one then, Colts minus three visiting the Houston Texans.
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: A lot of money coming on the Colts. And this
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: does feel like a Bilow Cell high right, like the
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: Colts looking great on Thanksgiving, Deshaun Watson feeling great. You
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: got the Colts getting beat up at home in a
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: spot that that looked like they were right for getting
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: beat up. So of course you're gonna play the Colts
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: like in a Division game on the road. We've got
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: Frank Rack against Romeo Cornell, right, and that Colts when
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: I liked it earlier in the week, and then all
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: of the COVID stuff came with, the injuries came out.
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: They were just missing too many starters. And now that
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: Texans have Wolf Fuller going out for p d S
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: and they're losing a guy in their secondary for p
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: d S. So Texans, I was a great win by
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: then with Thanksgiving, happy form culture just got smacked around
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: at home. Now going on the road, it's it is
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: brutal back and rivers. But like you just said, the
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: coaching matchups so glaring here with Romo Carmel and minus
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: three with the Colts. I'll take it. I know it's
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: gonna be the public side of the public one sometimes,
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: so I would like to put this one in the
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: minus three. I agree with you, agree with you. We
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: have not walked into the Hornets nest. We have not
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: had our big balls better the week, but we are
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: walking into the late game window with a doozy Rams
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: three point favorites against the Cardinals. The early line, the
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: look aheadline on this Cardinals minus one. Now it's Rams
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: minus three with money and bets coming in on the Rams.
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: Is this are we? Is it? It's the big balls
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: bet of the week? Is it? Because because I felt
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: like it was, I had a feeling, Yeah, you have
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: to take this one. This is a little word somewhere
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: like I got word on Friday or Saturday, that Kyler
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: shoulder still wasn't right. I was gonna have to keep
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: on checking in on that, because if he can't throw
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: it downfield, this Cardinal's offense is no good. They're just
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: gonna stack the line and keep everything in tight, just
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: like New England did. Were New engl wouldn't let him
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: get outside, the wouldn't let him scramble. And the Rams
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: are just one of these teams. They're hard to get
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: a read on. Their defense can play so well some weeks,
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: other weeks they take off golf. He is so hot
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: and cold, and he's been a turnover machine of late.
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: So like you just said, the public is coming all
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: over the Rams, and people are gonna leave the Cardinals
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: dead from now. They've lost two in a row, um
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: both by three, So my mind, we're getting plus three
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: a hum dog divisional happy to take the Cardinals here
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: in the big balls better the week makes all the
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: sense in the world. Everything that I talked about in
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: the beginning, where like I look for short home dogs,
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: I look for teams that are have a lack of
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: luster in terms of public perception, Teams where the preponderance
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: of the bets meaning the public is coming in on
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: the favorite, like the Cardinals are in the middle of
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: that sweet spot right now. Uh, big balls better the week,
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinals. I want to put the I want to
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: put the bets in this week just for that one,
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: just because of that one. Yea, I love it so much. Uh.
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: The New York Giants are now ten point underdogs on
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: the road at Seattle. Like, look, Daniel Jones not playing that.
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: You can't really you can't bet on this game. Yeah,
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: I don't know what the read is like, this will
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: be one of those I'll just tease. I'll just tease
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: Seattle down like rare game. I probably one in the
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: bed is straight. Um, have no faith in the Giant
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: without Daniel Jones. Even though he has been great, he
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: still is better than Colt McCoy. Col McCoy came in
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: that game and was just a knee bit. It was
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: That's why I like people say NFL is fixed. That
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: felt like such a fixed game where he comes in.
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: I think they are up six, so we're coming at
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: this point, they go down, they kick that field, going
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: to go all right that this BET's dead. They're definitely
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: gonna go down the field now, and score touchdown ps P.
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: I called the the end zone and they cover that number.
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: So Giants, I'm with you. You can't really bet them,
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: but I'm gonna take the seattle and I'll just tease
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: him down, so we'll stay away from this number. There
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: is something about Colton McCoy that I do love. Many
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: many years ago, when I was at ESPN, the magazine UH,
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: I was a senior editor and I was given an
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: assignment by our editor in chief to reimagine what the
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: front of the book, that's what you called like the
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: first twenty pages of the magazine looked like, right, and
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: so me and another editor UH when this sort of
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: complete and total boon doggle, like this is a this
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: is what used to happen in the magazine world when
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: there was real money and publishing. And we went in
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: this boondoggle and just found like creative people are people
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: we wanted to talk to and said, we're reimagining what
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: the magazine looks like. Can we spend twenty minutes with
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: you and get your take on how you consume media,
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: what's interesting to use. We met with like improv comedy troops,
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: and we met with high scale advertising agencies and we
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: also went to Austin and sat with Colton McCoy and
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: another player whose name I forgot, and Colton McCoy, like
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: at the time, was the superstar, you know, myth making quarterback,
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: and he was just a great guy. He was just
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: lovely and gave us all this insight into how athletes
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: think because we were thinking did we want to turn
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: part of it over to athletes? And he was amazing.
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: Ever since then, I have rooted for Colton McCoy and UM,
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: I also feel like, just from a betting point of view,
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: there are times when you get that veteran quarterback in
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: the second week, they've had a chance to prep, and
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: there are sort of the um the expectations are lower.
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: So I might not hate betting on the Giants here,
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: but it doesn't make me comfortable. But I don't hate
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: it as much as you do. Yeah, it's just too scary,
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: and I'm with you and when I when you whenever
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: we said Cole McCoy, I just think of Texas like
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: that was such a unique error. Were not that everyone's
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: not locked in the college football like where you were
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: used to, but like he was there for all four
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: years after Vince Young and he was still a great
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: I mean it wasn't great like Bench Young was great,
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: but he was a great quarterback in the sense that
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: people remember his name, like you just said. And it's
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: been over ten years and still in the league, so exactly,
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: he's gonna get the full week of reps. That's why
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: I also don't trust this number. It's too scary to
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: take at the time. All Right, we still haven't walked
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: into the Hornet's Nest. You haven't talked about your survivor.
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: But meanwhile, we got the uh, we got the Eagles,
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: who are just dreadful trash. There's no way the Hornets
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: Nest is gonna be betting the Eagles at plus nine
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: against the Packers in Green Bay in a late afternoon game.
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: There is no way. This team is just terrible, Like
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: they are awful. They're awful, But no, it's not a
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: Hornet's Nests game that's coming up. Love it, Love the Eagles.
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: You are disgusting, But it's just too big of a number.
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: Green Bay is not a good defense. I know they
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: have guys back in the secondary. Eagles are terrible. I'm
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: shocked as many people are even betting on the Eagles um,
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: but yeah, it's a big number. Uh, not gonna make
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: anyone pick the Eagles out. That's why I'm not gonna
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: make it any more unique bets because this is one
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: of those I'm just gonna take by myself and just
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: crying the corner. I have to take this number. It's
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: too big. It should be seven, it's nine. Happy to
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: take the nine. This is disgusting. You are a disgusting
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: human being. You. It's like, I can't not believe you
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: would do this after what you did to yourself last night.
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: I saw you on the the Eagles money line and
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: the Eagles to cover at six, Like you deserve any
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: misery you get if you're gonna it's it's sick name,
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: but yeah, it's uh yeah. Meanwhile, people like people keep
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: saying you're betting Eagles just because you're a fan. I
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: bet against the Eagles constantly. That's not it. We're just
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: an awful team this year, so we're getting a lot
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: of value on our lines. That's why I keep betting
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: the Eagles. Let me remind people right now, this is
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: why we're heading into a bye week right now. The
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: teams that we would like that we like Bears minus
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: three Saints minus three, Miami minus eleven, um Cards plus three,
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: Eagles plus nine and a half Colts minus three. These
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: teams are all in various ways can make you sick.
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: That sounds like a fun weekend to me. Chat, I
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: don't know. I don't know what you're talking about. That's
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: a fun weekend. I'm like, I might not even watch
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: football this weekend. That's how disgusting get all looks. It
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: might be the first weekend where I say to my wife,
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: I don't have to work on Sunday after we do,
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: convince me. At eleven o'clock on at Action Network, HQ,
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: Patriots visiting the Chargers. Boy, if the Chargers can't find
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: ways to to sneak a loss out of a win
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: as far as the battles are concerned, that was something
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: this past weekend. Well, the worst worst display of coaching
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: you'll ever see. If you you just watch the replay
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: of the final minute. There's plenty people that tweeted out
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: the full video. Awful, awful, awful coaching. And this is
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: easy our Whnet's Nest game of the week walking into
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: the Hornets Nest. I'm walking to a fucking hornets nest.
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: All right now, be my companion. Newland Patriots just alone
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: in the coaching mismatch. This game should have been Patriots
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: minus three. I know Cam is not good and he
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: didn't play well at all. It saw hilarious that it's
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: the first time in like thirty years that too in
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: the same week two quarterbacks through f under a hundred
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: yards and one. It was Cam Newton and tysom Hill.
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: So back again fading the Chargers. I get why people
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: might be taking them here, because they got a good quarterback.
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: You can throw the ball around, but you gotta think
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: Belichick scheming up against a rookie with just a great
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: secondary that Neyone still has. Its The only good thing
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: on their team is that secondary. I gotta take New
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: England here. I know the lines moved down, it's down
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: to minus one in some books. Still like the value
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: on New England. So I'm happy to take this one
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: and put in our competition. Oh my god, I can't.
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: Like I was sick enough watching the Paths and like
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: just wanted to curse you so much that we that
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: we were on the paths against the Cardinals in that
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: game and in that when he kicked God, when he
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: kicked that field goal. I don't know if I can
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: go through it again. Ken is really bad, bad bad.
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: I think you might be hurt, Like who knows his
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: body is just breaking down. But this is more of
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: a bet on Belichick than it is on Camp. All right,
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: Sunday Night, Broncos Chiefs. Broncos are fourteen point underdogs. I
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: will never bet the Broncos in this spot. Give me
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs minus twenty. Yeah, this is a pro game. Like, uh,
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: I'll probably have to end up taking the Broncos, but
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna do it just because it's true Lock.
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: I'm done done putting money on Drew Lock. We've said
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: that that's good for him. Against that Miami that was amazing.
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: But Chiefs Chiefs, Chiefs minus fourteen. Maybe they'll let him
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: back dorm because we saw the Chiefs in Stampa Bay.
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: They simply stopped trying like they weren't going to run
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: it up on them. They could do that here, but
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: it's the visional game. I like the Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes.
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: If you just go through his career, he's owned the Broncos,
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: especially at covering big numbers. So I'm with that. We
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: can take the Chiefs Uh, this next game is really interesting.
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: It's the it's the first Monday night game. There's two
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: Monday Night Ers. Washington at Pittsburgh. Washington is a ten
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: point dog. This is a pro is Joe's game right now,
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: And before I even looked at the odds and percentages
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: and again, get everything I'm talking about. You can see
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: what I'm seeing. Uh, go to Action network dot com
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: download the Action Network gap. Washington is a ten point
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: underdog of the bets coming in on Pittsburgh, of the
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: money coming in on Washington. I like Washington here. I
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: think they might be the best defensive line the Steelers
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: have faced. And and that offensive line for the Steelers
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: at times this year has has struggled and Ben has
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: looked like he's in trouble a couple of times. So
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: I like Washington in this spot. Me too, and pure
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: value bet. I'll take Washington's money line here. The fact
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: that Pittsburgh explaining an early divisional game against the Ravens,
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: we don't even know it's gonna go. Well, we're gonna
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: assume it's gonna be a battle, and they're gonna beat
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: the crap out of each other. That's what these two
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: teams do, so we know are it is going to
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: defeat it in that season. Just feels like such a
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: letdown game in between spot where they won't get up
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: for the game. How do you not take Washington here?
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: Like we already hate ourselves for doing it, because obviously
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh unbelievable in Washington's and the worst division of football.
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: But like you just said, that's a big number for
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: a team coming in a short week, So happy to
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: take Washington with with that number. Also, also, the market
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: has not adjusted to Alex Smith professional football quarterback. Your
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: guy p F QB. That's what I call. He's just
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: a professional. He that's just what he is. He knows
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: how to play quarterback in the National Football League. This
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: is a bank roll game for me. Oh no, is
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: there really dude? It's Alex Smith. Please please don't do it.
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: Give me Alex Smith plus ten. I don't mind the
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: money line either. Uh yeah, it's good value. It's totally
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: good value. The Bills are two and a half point
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: favorites at the Niners on Monday Night. I like the
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: Liners here. This feels like such a sharp game. I
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: hate that they moved like everything's going to California. They're
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: making these guys go play in the Arizona. Don't like that,
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: Like it's they got their own life's going on now
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: they can't be around their family. I'm not a fan
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: of this whole situation with them, But how do we
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: not fade the Bills after that win? Big win at home?
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: Now coming on the road usually a let down spot.
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: And I know it's scared that the forty niners just
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: had that amazing win. But what we saw in the
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: game was they just played good team defense. And what
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: we know about the Bills is they can get sloppy
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: with the ball and Josh Allen can try to make
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: play sometimes I just aren't there. So in the game
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: that should get schemed up that it's a good number.
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: With the forty nine, I think you can wait on
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: this number and let the public keep coming in on
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: the Bills. You might be able to get San fran
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: or the forty I should say up to uh plus
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: three and a half, so we can wait on that one.
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: Hopefully by the time they locked the numbers in, this
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: is a three and a half. Yeah, I agree with you.
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: I feel like, um, the Bills are a team that
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: can beat teams that make mistakes, but the Niners are
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: not a mistake prone team. They're just not Like they're
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: so well coached that and and the things they rely
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: on are so steeped in the fundamentals. They're not gimmicky. Um,
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: it's it's amazingly impressive that this is a five and
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: six team crazy season given the injuries they've had. Uh,
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: like the with the Bills, They're they're gonna be my
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: favorite teams. You're going to playoffs that on any given
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: Sunday if everything's clicking right, especially with their D line,
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: that they just need their defense struck because I really
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: do think any given game, Josh Allen can have a
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: special game, and they're one of these teams I want
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: it's all put together right. They can make a run.
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: They can they like people don't think they can match
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: up against the Chiefs on paper. They have certain weapons
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: on defense that could shut down the Chiefs. But right
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: now they're just not playing good and their defense just
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: had like that was their best game of the year
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: by far against the Chargers. And maybe I'm reading it
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: wrong and maybe they have gotten it right and they're
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: gonna play the Niners like really well, But to me,
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: this is uh. This just screams of a joke, a
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: pro versus Joe's game, and the public will just love
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: this Bills and numb, especially the fact that's under the
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: three and they're gonna come in on and so I
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: have to take the four Niners here. Producer and Buffalo
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: Bills fan in Western New York native Matt Mitchell Uh
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: has weighed in that the Buffalo Bills have not won
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: on Monday Night Football since Oh my god, that's insane. Yeah, yeah,
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: So I guess I just locked it in for us,
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: and I guess we gotta put the alright, so right
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: now if we don't take a bye this week, these
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: are the games that we like, and I think we
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: have found a decent number of games that we can
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: start to feel good about. We'll be choosing, will be
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: choosing zing from Saints minus three, Miami minus eleven, Colts
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: minus three, Cards plus three, Eagles plus nine and a half,
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: Pats minus one, Washington plus ten Niners plus two and
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: a half. There are three games on this list that
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: left Washington Niners. I really like the car Cards one.
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: That's what's scaring me so much. It feels like such
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: a glaring game that really stands out there. That's I mean,
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: I know it's our big balls by the week or
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: it just that is a funky line. Um, So yeah,
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: we can get into the survivor here. This is another week,
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: some big numbers and some teams that most people haven't used. So,
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: like I said, I've been saving the Chiefs just like
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: I was for us. Perfect week to use them here
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: against Denby if you already somehow us the Chiefs, I mean,
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: it's it's it's one of these weeks where it's you
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: gotta get a little weird with it, like Minnesota at
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: home against the Aguars. Of course I want to tell
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: people to take that, but it's someone that got knocked
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: out on Minnesota. That's it's scary. It is scary back
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: in Kirk. So from my I guess the second one
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: I put in his Minnesota and if you hadn't used
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: him yet, it's not terrible. Green Bay against the Eagles.
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: Eagles are not a good team there. They're a team
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: that can cover maybe on these back doors, but they're
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: not a team you can really trust to beat these
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: teams outright. So I don't hate the green Bay play either.
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: If you haven't used them yet, so my favorite one
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: is the Chief's second favorite to Minnesota. And then if
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: you have to green back, I hope you keep winning.
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: I only want good things for you. Yeah, it's not
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: a million, I wouldn't get paid out like what we're
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: on the pace for, but it's still be a nice
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: little pay there if we can make this final. People, listen,
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: we still got a shot to win a million in
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: this contest. We got a shot. There's this one guy.
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: It was just been money. Like I've been tracking his picks.
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: I saw him making a little run. He started the
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: year terribly. I think he started the year I would
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: have been two and eight, and every week he goes
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: four and one. Like i'ven't been his own. I haven't
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: been his picks because the steed has been so good. Um,
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: he was sharp. Last week he rode with us, he
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: took He end up taking Houston like we did, end
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: up taking Washington like we did. He did the Saints,
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: and then he took a really dumb pick and taking Cleveland.
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: He took them, so he lost that one, and then
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: obviously he covered on the books. So this guy is
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: pretty damn sharp. He's gonna be tough to chance because
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: the guy we talked about earlier in the season, he's
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: fallen off completely. Like the guy joked about every week
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: he was just fading the Cowboys and the Jets. Yeah,
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: he's he's like, he's back down the twenties now. So
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: the dudes ahead of us there for real, it's gonna
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: be tough to catch them. But if we just keep
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: stringing these weeks alonger, I really do think we can
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: get back in the top ten and make some serious coin.
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: We're going for a buddy, but we still gotta find
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: it buy we need one. We gotta find one. We
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: gotta find one, all right. Uh. As we have been
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: doing every single week, we asked fans to rate and
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: review the podcast. Those who did and used the winning
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: phrase in their review were eligible to win up to
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: five hundred dollars. And this week you're winning four hundred dollars. Uh.
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: And we did have so many reviews. Matt Mitchell will
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: send me like choices for reviews that I then ultimately select. Uh.
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: And he's, like I said, we have so many good ones.
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: He goes, yeah, we had so many reviews this week.
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: So that's all amazing. Thank you for all that and
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: we will reveal the winner in a second reminder that
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: we are doing another phrase that pays, so let's see,
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: the winner will win one for every win Simon and
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: I have in this week's contest, we will match that
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: number with a donation to the winner's favorite charity. Go
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: rate and review the podcast using the phrase Simon says,
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: bet like an insider, and we will randomly choose the
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: winner to get that cash. The winner and very well,
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: by the way, last week's winner, Uh Daniel uh for
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: go for four win the cash he chose it was
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: only a hundred bucks. Unfortunately, because I went wonder for
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: he chose to have his money donated to Black Lives
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: Matter and that he would instead take a hoodie and
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: Actual Network coodie um. The winner of this week's contest
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: is Ron with two ends Hollywood Burner with two ends
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: Hollywood Burner. I I feel like that's like fake, but
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: please reach out to Matt dot Mitchell at Action Network
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: four Action Network dot com Matt dot Mitchell at Action
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: Network dot com for your prize. Here is Ron's review
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: five stars from Ron Hollywood Burner. Don't get emotional, Simon
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: test don't get emotional, but These guys are so likable
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: and so much fun to spend these Sesson Session sections with,
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: and they give winners. Simon says, don't get emotional, but
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: I'm going the other way on this one. I'm all
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: in on my the favorite podcast emotionally invested Attachment. It
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: was written in a much more lovely way than it
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: was read. That was a struggle, really was. I won't
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: judge though I can't read either, so that was pretty
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: That was good by my standards. Amazing, amazing review. All
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: the reviews are amazing. We appreciate them so much. Um
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: Please don't be offended if we don't choose you, but
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: that was fantastic. Keep reviewing people. We every week we're
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: choosing a new one. So every week and write a
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: new one, we might pick you. That's totally true. By
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: the way, just because you ventured once doesn't mean you're
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: not eligible every single week. Four hundred dollars to Ron
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: Hollywood Burner. This has been the favorite podcast from the
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: Action Network. I am Chad Millman, he is Simon Hunter.
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: Download from Apple, podcast from Spotify wherever you get your
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: podcasts until next week. Love