Latest / Disguised Coverage / Breaking Down the Buffalo Bills 2024 Run Game | DC
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- 0:00It's thirty eight. All bills can win In here, Wake puts it down,
- 0:03the kick is on the way and dock m the bell good one?
- 0:07How the hell that one home? How one? They were a party one
- 0:14not party way? Incredible? Why not combat by my bell? Jacksonville's perfect
- 0:21record on the line right here, quick kicking, look excited? Touchdown Kyle
- 0:43Williams touchdound amazing, unbelievable. They puttied william Who's hats to full back and
- 0:56he scores a touchdown. It's wealthier to face tackle. What's good? Folks,
- 1:17Family, Friends, loved ones, Enemies, friend of Mees, Wizards
- 1:19which is Muggles Mudblood's People of Middle Earth to another episode of disguised coverage.
- 1:23The only show that gives you an equal amount of blueberries in each muffin and
- 1:27is presented by the best pizza in Buffalo, New York, and that is
- 1:30One Pipe Pizza. You can find the online menu in the episode show notes,
- 1:34whether here on YouTube or whichever podcasting Apple platform you are listening to this
- 1:38show on. I'm your host, Anthony Polaska. Find me on Twitter at
- 1:41pro Underscore Underscore ant that's pro two underscores a n T in tonight's episode of
- 1:47Disguised Coverage. I am piggybacking a bit on last week's episode of Disguised Coverage,
- 1:55one of my favorite episodes I've ever done. Had JP Acosta on from
- 1:57sp Nation, and we went into detail, a lot of detail. It
- 2:01was a two hour episode, which isn't unheard of for this show, but
- 2:05with a guest for the entirety of the episode, it kind of is so
- 2:08huge. Shout out to JP again. But JP and I dove into how
- 2:14the Buffalo Bills twenty twenty four offense can adapt and evolve, and in that
- 2:17episode last week, we really went into who the Bills were last year,
- 2:23the changes that the offense has undergone this offseason, what that means for twenty
- 2:30twenty four, and then putting all of that within or against the backdrop of
- 2:35current league wide trends offensively and defensively. And it was a great conversation,
- 2:42and I wanted to piggyback off of some of that for this episode and really
- 2:45just focusing and really just focused, I should say, on the run game
- 2:49aspect of it. We talked about it a bit last week, but I
- 2:51wanted to dive into some more pieces because there are some things that I wanted
- 2:54to hit, some things I wanted to wrap up, some loose ends to
- 2:58tie together. This episode will focus on. So again, we're going to
- 3:01dive into a bunch of pieces from the Bills twenty twenty three run game,
- 3:05from a metrics perspective and from a schematic x's and o's perspective, put that
- 3:08together with what we've seen from this offseason, and then put that against the
- 3:13backdrop again of league wide trends changes, how the Bills fit into that positively
- 3:19and or negatively, What teams to look for or glean information from in terms
- 3:24of roster construction and on field execution and design that could potentially give us some
- 3:30breadcrumbs or clues in terms of what the Bills will look like this year.
- 3:32So that is going to be focused for this episode. And oh man,
- 3:38two minutes and twenty eight seconds day, and I flubbed my first word already.
- 3:40Man, I'm disappointed in myself. And as always for those tuning in
- 3:46live to this episode, questions, thoughts, comments, concerns, beliefs,
- 3:50philosophies, ideologies, maxims, whatever have you thrown up into the live chat.
- 3:53As we go along, I try to bring up anything and everything I
- 3:57can. Super chats of course get priority because I respect a monetary donation,
- 4:00but also because the color tracks my eyes and pulls me away from my notes.
- 4:04So again, anything he got throwed up into the chat, I'll bring
- 4:08it up as we go forward. I like to make the show as engaging
- 4:10as possible. Appreciate Steve coming in early, dropping a like on the show
- 4:14before we even went live. Appreciate you, Steve Cammory, regular viewer,
- 4:17Regular viewer saying I need more muffins where the blueberries are evenly distributed. I
- 4:21will Bruce Nolan posted something on Twitter, I think last week or maybe the
- 4:26week before, where he got a blueberry muffin and the blueberry distribution was not
- 4:30equal, and he sent me a picture of it in Tagman and I was
- 4:34pretty happy with that. What's up? Rj RG saying, hey, everyone,
- 4:39hoping James Cook can learn how to not drop every important touchdown catch he
- 4:44gets thrown. He traditionally has not been a dropper of the football. I
- 4:48think in actually not even I think I know because I did a show earlier
- 4:51today with Joe Marino his career drop rated Georgia. I think was like one
- 4:58five percent. His highest individual season was five point nine percent, and he
- 5:01literally had one drop that season. Again, drop percentages obviously from an overall
- 5:09volume and target standpoint, so the five point nine percent seems even worse than
- 5:14just the overall volume, which is just one drop versus how much he was
- 5:15targeted and throwing the ball. But yeah, I think a lot of the
- 5:18drops, these issues with James Cook really does center around the notion of they
- 5:24weren't just like, oh, he dropped, you know, one pass on
- 5:27a first down in a game that didn't really matter. It's always like he
- 5:30dropped this touchdown, he dropped this touchdown, he dropped this this ball in
- 5:33this high leverage situation in a game that really mattered. I think the Eagles
- 5:38one is still the biggest one. Yeah, and his artist says, yeah,
- 5:41James Cook only drops important catches for some reason. He's made some big
- 5:44ones too, some catches that have really mattered. But yeah, it's it's
- 5:47it's something that I'm not I'm not overly concerned about because I don't think having
- 5:55the drops or the drop seas is something that's really indicative of who he is
- 6:00as a player. Again, who knows, maybe it's in his head now
- 6:01and we'll see what happens going forward. But yeah, I'm not too worried
- 6:06about it. I think it'll be fine going down the road. But I
- 6:11know it's something that a lot of people are latching onto. A chief comes
- 6:15in and says Ray Davis receiving back season, Man, this is an aspect
- 6:17of Ray Davis's game. Eric and I talked about it last week in the
- 6:19film room. Oh, I don't want to actually, and I think it
- 6:24might be my favorite part of Ray Davis's game. It's an aspect that I
- 6:26think is really underrated, just what he can do out of the backfield in
- 6:30terms of the screen game, in terms of releasing out of the backfield when
- 6:32he doesn't have to be part of the protection scheme, and even just running
- 6:36routes like running rail routes up the sideline. His feel for leverage and space
- 6:40and coverage I think is better than advertised when it comes to his game.
- 6:46I do think he's a guy you can put on the field and you're not
- 6:48necessarily tipping your hand in terms of whether it's going to be a run or
- 6:51a pass, which is something I really like. I forget all these k
- 6:55Moore's saying the Miami drop didn't end up mattering. I forgot James Cook dropped
- 6:59the pass against Miami. Honestly, the only two I really remember are the
- 7:02I know he had more than what I'm about to say, but I only
- 7:04really remember the Philly one, and which I guess technically did matter, but
- 7:10it was super early on in the game, so who knows. I remember
- 7:13the Philly one and I remember the Dallas one, and you say that,
- 7:16yeah, neither did Dallas. I guess Casey either he dropped one against Case.
- 7:20I don't. I remember the touchdown up the seam against Case. I
- 7:24guess yeah. All these drops I don't really. I think it doesn't.
- 7:27They don't register in my mind because I'm not too overly concerned. And the
- 7:30one that really mattered the most was the Philly one because they lost that game.
- 7:33But even that one, again, he shouldn't have dropped the ball.
- 7:38But I'm not raking over the Cols for the Philly game because that happened.
- 7:41What happened like first drive, definitely the first quarter, but I think it
- 7:44was like the first drive against Philly, and there was so much left to
- 7:47go with that drive. Oh nice, nice, drop by the chat k
- 7:51Moore is saying the KC playoff game, it was the drive of the secure
- 7:54touchdown I think, and then Chief coming in saying he dropped the one versus
- 7:56case but a play later we scored. Oh yeah ya yah yah yeah,
- 7:59good oh, well done, well done man, that stupid Casey game.
- 8:05Oh Kansas City in the playoffs. Good times, good times. Yeah.
- 8:07So we'll see what happens with James Cook this year. Obviously he's gonna be
- 8:11a focal point in this run game. I want to start out with some
- 8:15basic we change the banner and brand here bringing down the Buffaloes twenty twenty four
- 8:18one game. I wanted to start out with some basic run stats for the
- 8:20Buffalo Bills from an advanced mestrics perspective. I don't want to make it too
- 8:24you know where I'm just reading off a ton of numbers, but there are
- 8:26some that I think are extremely relevant to this conversation and again frame just how
- 8:33good this Bill's run game was last year in terms of individual play and in
- 8:41terms of just what they were able to do schematically. Now, another part
- 8:46of this conversation, which is something we've talked about on the show, is
- 8:50that the offensive line is going to be changing. While that is going to
- 8:54be changing has changed. You know, Mitch MOR's going, Connor mcgovernn no
- 8:58longer being at left guard, and it looks like a going to be at
- 9:00center Edwards at left guard. We'll see what happens and how that, you
- 9:03know, really changes things. But this, this run game last year was
- 9:09strong in a way that I didn't necessarily anticipate, just from an efficiency standpoint,
- 9:16a volume standpoint, and kind of no matter how you looked at it,
- 9:22they go ahead, whatever metric you want to pull or grab. They
- 9:26really functioned in a lot of way successfully. So overall, the Bills run
- 9:30game was sixth in DVA. They were second in EPA per attempt. They
- 9:35were fifth in e EPA per attempt when you move QB scrambles. They were
- 9:39seventh in EPA per attempt for just running back carries only. And then if
- 9:43you want to focus on Josh Allen what he does in the run game overall,
- 9:48he was third in EPA per attempt for quarterbacks amongst twenty nine qbs with
- 9:50at least thirty attempts. He was second in EPA per attempt for qbs when
- 9:56you remove scrambles amongst forty one qbs or at least ten at ten. And
- 10:00then this is an interesting when he was fifteenth in EPA per attempt for quarterbacks
- 10:05when it's just scrambles amongst thirty four qualifying qbs or the least ten attempts.
- 10:11I knew it wasn't great last year from a scrambling perspective, but really interesting
- 10:15when you put Allen's numbers within that run game conversation again, third overall and
- 10:20EPA per attempt for qbs, second in EPA per attempt on non scrambles,
- 10:24and then fifteenth in EPA per attempt just on scrambles. And especially with how
- 10:28much man coverage the Bill saw last year, which was the most in the
- 10:33league. That's usually a recipe for Josh Allen taking off and making defenses pay
- 10:39for going man coverage. You're turning your back to Josh Allen. You are
- 10:41watching receivers and tight ends and running backs and you're going downfield with them,
- 10:46and Allen breaks contained and takes off. We didn't see that a ton last
- 10:48year, at least from an EPA per attempt perspective, but he got more
- 10:52done in the design run game. I think that's going to be a factor
- 10:54this year. We talked about it on last week's episode. That plus one
- 10:58that he offers in the run game. It's it's a really nice piece that
- 11:05he adds there, and some of the numbers speak to that, and also
- 11:09some numbers that speak to the Bills run game that I wanted to pull up
- 11:13as I scroll through my notes. We talked him again, talked about a
- 11:18bit last week the changing nature of the Bills run game, going from a
- 11:20zone based team maybe who mixed in gap from time to time and really haven't
- 11:26almost close to a fifty to fifty split. They had a forty six percent
- 11:28gap run usage rate last year, which was third in the league. If
- 11:33you focus on just the Joe Brady weeks, which was from a regular season
- 11:35standpoint, from Week eleven through Week eighteen, the Bills were at a forty
- 11:41seven percent usage rate, which was also third. I expect that to stay
- 11:46pretty consistent, that gap versus zone scheme being near fifty to fifty for the
- 11:50Bills, one because they can block that way. And even again, now
- 11:54say, like we talked about, we remove Mitch Morse at center, we
- 11:58seemingly, you know, take this with a grain of salt, because camp
- 12:01can change things and preseason can change things. But you take Connor McGovern,
- 12:05you put him from left guard into center, you put David Edwards Is,
- 12:07you know, into left guard from being that sixth offensive lineman, things change
- 12:09a little bit. I do think this offensive line can still get it done.
- 12:13From his zone perspective, I don't think zone's going away. I think
- 12:16they're going to continue to run, especially with like week side mid zone.
- 12:20I think they'll be able to continue to lean into that. But I do
- 12:22think their bread and butter will be in those duo runs, those vertical displacement
- 12:26downhill at your type of runs. They'll run some pin and pull, They'll
- 12:30run some QB bash, you know, some GT counter guard tackle counter within
- 12:35that as well, and then you're going to see a play that we've talked
- 12:37about a million times on the show and in the film room, and I've
- 12:39talked about it on Twitter, that tackle rap play. It's called dart.
- 12:45You know, where Dean Dawkins is pulling or Spencer Brown is pulling. And
- 12:48the way they can dress that up with Josh Allen keeps it where it's a
- 12:50run fake, where he gives it to James Cook that gap aspect is not
- 12:54going away. And again, gap runs versus zone runs. I think everyone
- 12:58kind of knows what a zone run is if you don't feel free to put
- 13:01it up into the chat when we talk about it. But those gap runs
- 13:03are counter your pin and pull your power, tackle wrap dart duo. Even
- 13:11though it kind of looks like inside zone, it's not slightly different. That's
- 13:15considered a gap run as well. And again the whole nature of it in
- 13:18difference really is zone runs. There's no defined hole for the running back.
- 13:22It's kind of like a choose your own adventure. Everybody's You'll say, you're
- 13:24going wide zone to the right or outside zone, whatever have you. Every
- 13:28all the linemen are stepping in conjunction with each other, ideally at the same
- 13:33time and same pace, all to that right side. The running back gets
- 13:37the ball and just flows like water, picks whatever hole or lane or alley
- 13:41that develops, and he goes from there. A bit of a choose your
- 13:43own adventure. A gap scheme run has more of literally a designed gap or
- 13:46hole that you are running to. It's hey, this play is going to
- 13:50get run between the right side guard and tackle. Hey, this play is
- 13:54running an a hole between the center, right side guard and the center like
- 13:58that's where you're going right. So that type of stuff, and that's main
- 14:03difference between gap and zone. I do think, and again, like we
- 14:05talked about last week, as teams built themselves defensively to stop wide zone runs,
- 14:13to get lighter, to get faster, to be able to play the
- 14:16pass, to get after the quarterback, we've seen less you know, three
- 14:20linebacker sets, and we've seen less big, heavy interior defensive linemen. We
- 14:24teams have gotten lighter upfront with the idea of penetrating and being able to pressure
- 14:28the quarterback from the interior. They've replaced you know, three down linebacker sets
- 14:31with nickel defenses and dime defenses, or you know, if you want to
- 14:35get heavy on defense, you go with more of a big nickel type of
- 14:39scenario where it's maybe a safety that's in there or a bigger body slot defender.
- 14:43At the end of the day, defenses have swung that pendulum back in
- 14:48their favor by limiting explosives for the opponent and being able to put a cap
- 14:52on offenses. And so offenses are starting to swing things back in their favor
- 14:56by running right at those smaller, faster, lighter, pass based or pass
- 15:03oriented defenses in terms of how things have been built, and so again,
- 15:07gap scheme runs usually attack that. And when you take that gap scheme conversation
- 15:13again Bill's forty six percent gap run rate in twenty twenty three, and then
- 15:16you take a look just at James Cook second most gap scheme runs amongst running
- 15:22backs in twenty twenty three. Again makes sense with how much duo and tackle
- 15:26wrap they ran. Add In Ray Davis Ray Davis one hundred and twenty seven
- 15:30gap runs in twenty twenty three versus sixty seven zone and like we showed in
- 15:33the film room last week with myself and Eric, he does have an affinity
- 15:39for those gap runs. He's not horrible in zone, but he looks significantly
- 15:41better when it comes to those gap scheme runs. How he adjusts his track,
- 15:46how he paces himself, how he sets his blocks up, the vision
- 15:50that he has it pairs really nice with a gap scheme and then his size
- 15:52and frame I think also, you know, helps speak to that in terms
- 15:56of get him downhill, get him north and south, allow him to break
- 16:00arm tackles and go through shoulders and stuff like that, and then you have
- 16:02Ty Johnson more gap to zone runs as well last year, and he's got
- 16:07a high enough floor as an RB three or RB two that you can factor
- 16:11him in in a variety of ways into different and a bunch of different pieces.
- 16:14Again, I do not think zone runs go away, but I think
- 16:17that near fifty to fifty split continues and the major ones we continue to see
- 16:22are duo dart and then from his zone perspective, those mid zone runs,
- 16:26particularly weakside mid zone. If you want to see what a good week side
- 16:30mid zone run looks like if you're a Bills fan, go back to that
- 16:33Bill's Chargers game from the night before Christmas Eve this past season. They ran
- 16:40it a ton. They are sending Trent Surfield in jet motion and whatever side
- 16:45he's going to, they're running it back the other side on that week side.
- 16:49So go take a peek at that. It's basically literally just put more
- 16:52bodies on the front side of the play where the strong side is and then
- 16:56run in away from the tight end and away from the numbers, and they're
- 16:57going weekside mid zone. And it worked well for the Bills in that game.
- 17:03That's a nice aspect that they have. I still think they're going to
- 17:04have that pivot, even with the changes in the offensive line. I am
- 17:08a little concerned just because, again, like I've talked about on the show,
- 17:11and I talked about last week, like the Bills finally had consistency and
- 17:18a consistency from an above average quality play perspective last year, and their offensive
- 17:23line in pass protection, with their run blocking, the ability to have diversity
- 17:29to go gap and zone in a variety of ways, and then they didn't
- 17:33blow up the offensive line. But you do have two out of the five
- 17:37up front having significant changes. And again, I know Connor McGovern was a
- 17:40starter on this line last year, but going from left guard to center is
- 17:41a big change, and then Edwards is just a new body in there in
- 17:45general, but I would expect that near fifty to fifty split to stay consistent.
- 17:52I think the Bills are going to be one of the leaders in those
- 17:55gap scheme type of runs. But again, pairing that with the larger Ski
- 18:00conversation league wide, you are starting to see that more and more teams are
- 18:03going away from those zone runs. Again, I'm gonna say this a whole
- 18:07bunch because this episode is kind of a connector piece or follow a piece to
- 18:14tie up the loose ends. For last week's episode, But like we'd like
- 18:15myself and JP talked about Sean McVay kind of that huge proponent of those wide
- 18:21zone runs. Even last year, you look at what the Rams were doing
- 18:25from a run perspective, and the Rams again zone team, specifically wide zone
- 18:33outside zone. Sean McVay really leaning into that. The Rams last year had
- 18:36a forty two percent gap run rate, which was the sixth highest in the
- 18:40NFL. Even teams that are known predominantly for being heavy zone teams, they're
- 18:45starting to get closer and closer to a fifty to fifty split, and this
- 18:48is symptomatic of the league at large. Again, defenses built themselves to limit
- 18:53those outside plays. They got smaller, they got faster. You have different
- 18:59fronts like the tight front that Brandon Staley instituted with the Rams his last year's
- 19:03defensive coordinator there, and then tried to institute when he was the Chargers head
- 19:07coach these past several seasons. All of these defenses in personnel groupings, all
- 19:11with the idea of from a run perspective and from a run fit perspective,
- 19:15all with the idea of stringing out, lengthening these plays, not allowing these
- 19:22zone runs to kind of push that outside and then get up upfield north and
- 19:26south quickly in between the tackles. The whole idea was trying to string everything
- 19:30out, lengthen everything, and allow your second and third level defenders to get
- 19:33there. So offenses were like, okay, cool, you want to get
- 19:37lighter, you want to get faster. You want to stop us from kind
- 19:40of pressing those outside those outside corners and getting around the edge and getting north
- 19:44and south. Okay, we're just gonna run right at you with your smaller
- 19:47base fronts. Defensive tackles have gotten more into the three hundred and three hundred
- 19:51and five pound range, so offensive linemen on the interior of starting to get
- 19:55have started to get bigger. You're getting more people movers on the interior.
- 20:00More let's run right at a defense. Oh cool, you want to live
- 20:03in a nickel defense. You don't want to have three linebackers on the field.
- 20:06One of your main starters is going to be your nickel corner. Cool,
- 20:10can he function in the run that This is also going to put a
- 20:12premium on guys like Tarren Johnson and Mike Hilton and even Kenny Moore to a
- 20:18degree, who are able to function as pass defenders in the nickel spot in
- 20:22the slot, but also as legitimate run defenders in that slot spot as well,
- 20:26because teams are going to attack that. You know, if we're going
- 20:29to go two or three tight ends on the field, are you going to
- 20:32stay in nickel? Do you have a tight end who or I'm sorry,
- 20:34do you have a nickel corner who can handle a tight end blocking him?
- 20:37Or if we're a bigger bodied wide receiver team, do you have a wide
- 20:41receiver or I'm sorry, do you have a nickel corner that can stand up
- 20:45to a bigger bodied wide receiver. If a team puts Keon Coleman, I'm
- 20:48just using him an example because we're talking about the Bills. If a team
- 20:51has a key on Coleman body type, do you have a nickel corner that
- 20:55can bang with him? In terms of run defense and fitting the run?
- 20:57So all these questions the defenses are going to have to ask. Oh,
- 21:03let's see some questions starting to come through. Let me grab some of them.
- 21:08Chief says, really weird question. But what's been more productive tackles pulling
- 21:12or guards pulling. It really depends on team traditionally get Traditionally, it's a
- 21:18little bit of both. It's easier usually for guards to pull. If you're
- 21:22talking about the Bills, it's been tackles pulling, and it's just because the
- 21:26athleticism of Dion Dawkins and the athleticism of Spencer Brown. You want those guys
- 21:30on the move. And I think when especially too, if you look back
- 21:33last year on the Bills, McGovern isn't He's not a horrible athlete, but
- 21:41being fleet of foot isn't his biggest like, especially in in juxtaposition with Mitch
- 21:45Morse, like you can move mcgovernor get him on the move, but that's
- 21:48not necessarily, you know, his biggest strength. Whereas you look at Dean
- 21:52Dawkins, you look at Spencer Brown, especially Spencer Brown, those are dudes
- 21:56who are athletic, who can move and who are physical at the same time,
- 22:00those are dudes you want to pull. So it's really just leaning into
- 22:02your skill set when it comes to how you've built your offensive line. But
- 22:04if we're talking Bills specific, they've been very, very very productive pulling their
- 22:10tackles on those tackle rap plays in those dark plays, Steve says, this
- 22:14is a good question from Steve. Steve says, will mcgovernor be able to
- 22:15pull like Morse or are we going to see mostly the tackles pulling. I
- 22:19think it's still going to be the tackles pulling. I think they're going to
- 22:22lean into that tackle wrap that dark concept again. If you want to know
- 22:26what that is, go watch the Dallas Cowboys game. The Bills ran this,
- 22:30oh boy, I would literally say probably like twenty five thirty times,
- 22:33So they just kept spamming it and running it left and running it right,
- 22:36and running it left and running it right. In Dallas. I mean,
- 22:37kudros are the Bills. But I'm still so mad at Dallas for that game
- 22:41for just not adjusting in any way, shape or form. But I would
- 22:45expect to see the tackles pulling, even from a pin and poll perspective,
- 22:48and what they would do with Mitch Morse. Again, Morse's legitimately one of
- 22:56the best movement centers in all of football. So anybody you put it center
- 23:02to replace Mitch Morse is probably not going to be as good of a mover
- 23:06in space as he is. So I just wanted to put that out there.
- 23:08This isn't like a horrible knock on McGovern, but he's not gonna be
- 23:11able to move like Mitch Morse, because again, Mitch Morse is one of
- 23:15the best in that aspect and in that vacuum. So I do think he's
- 23:19good enough to get the job done in some ways. But I don't think
- 23:22the Bills are going to lean into those movement pieces with McGovern like they would
- 23:26with Mitch Morse. It's not necessarily a like for like replacement. They're similar
- 23:29in terms of overall size and overall frame, and even I think with how
- 23:33McGovern kind of shepherd's people, he's more of an escort or shepherd shepherder of
- 23:38I don't know if that's a word of people and dudes upfront, than he
- 23:42is like a true people mover, and he anchors better than Mitch Morse.
- 23:45But I don't think he's gonna be able to move like Morse. I would
- 23:48still expect to see them lean into if they're going with poles, you'll see
- 23:52some guard tackle stuff where they're pull both dudes or maybe the pull. You
- 23:55know McGovern from time to time with Dawkins or with Brown or their poll torrents
- 23:59and see something like that. But if we're talking from a volume perspective,
- 24:03and even probably from an effectiveness standpoint, I would expect to see the tackles
- 24:07continuing to do a lot of the you know, the heavy pulling type of
- 24:11work. I appreciate Linda with the Harry Potter reference here, saying, Achio
- 24:15super Bowl ring. I like that very much. If you don't get that
- 24:18reference, google it. But akio just means like it's a spell to bring
- 24:22something here. It's a Harry Potter reference. I like it, like it
- 24:25a lot, like it a lot. Cocoma saying does mcgovernent moving to center
- 24:29and Edwards at guard's change? At Edwards at guard change the best fit running
- 24:33scheme. I spoke about it a little, I think before this comment came
- 24:37in, But I think it just helps them lean into more gap stuff.
- 24:42I think it's just more vertical displacement, more people moving ability, just because
- 24:47you don't necessarily have that athleticism that a Mitch Morse gives you. And Torrance
- 24:52isn't a bad mover, but his strength isn't being flee to foot and out
- 24:56there moving in space. So I think this offensive line while it does have
- 25:00two very athletic bookends in terms of Dawkins and Brown. I think having more
- 25:06gap scheme overall just fits this offensive line with how it currently looks, this
- 25:11you know version of it. But I'm still expecting to see like a fifty
- 25:15to fifty ratio just because zone runs are still kind of king in the NFL,
- 25:19maybe, and they're king because they are usually simpler to run. It's
- 25:26very rules based. It can work against a variety of fronts, even if
- 25:29the defense shifts or whatever they have going on. It's very is there a
- 25:32guy in your gap? If there is, do this, If there's not
- 25:34a guy in your gap, do that. It's very rules based, simplistic,
- 25:37and it's easy to get everybody on the same page in addition to some
- 25:41other things in terms of how you install it. But there's a lot of
- 25:44adaptability and versatility with it. So I don't think zone runs are going away.
- 25:48I do expect to see close to a fifty to fifty ratio overall for
- 25:52the Bills, and maybe you'll even see gap over take zone, but that
- 25:56would still be a lot, I think, especially when you actor and stuff
- 26:00like qb sneaks and things and how those get graded and tracked by different sites
- 26:03that that aggregate all this data and parse it out. But I do think
- 26:07the best fits for this run scheme are going to be duo in that tackle
- 26:11wrap stuff. Lonnie saying, who's the best blocking receiver on the roster.
- 26:18He hasn't played it down in the NFL. I kind of want to lean
- 26:22key on Coleman. MVS isn't bad. MC Collins is good. Curtis Samuel
- 26:27is not bad. Actually, I know Joe Brady said today that Curtis Samuel
- 26:30I either call him like the best blocker, best receiving blocker on the roster,
- 26:33or just talked about how good of a blocker he is. Samuel isn't
- 26:38bad either. Shakir got better last year. I kind of want to lean
- 26:42key on Coleman here, though. Oh Steve coming in saying Samuel's a great
- 26:45run blocker. I believe Coleman will be very solid as well. Williams says,
- 26:48do you think they start running behind Torrance more since he is that bigger
- 26:53body type. I'm very excited for year two Osirius Torrance, And yeah,
- 26:57I wonder how he facted in. Just he from a people moving standpoint,
- 27:04Torrance and Spencer Brown on that right side of the line. Man, they
- 27:08just create so much displacement when I when I say displacement for those who don't
- 27:11know, displacement is literally just like taking a defender and moving them out of
- 27:17their spot, like literally displacing. And just what they can do in driving
- 27:21defensive tackles off the ball or defensive ends off the ball and climbing to the
- 27:26second level the way they can cave in an entire side of the ball horizontally
- 27:30and or displace people vertically and create movement to allow running backs to get to
- 27:36the second level or get cleaned through the line. Yeah, I do expect
- 27:40that. I think Torrance is going to be a real boom when it comes
- 27:44to the run game. I am trying to run. I mean, if
- 27:45we're looking at a strength overall in terms of like what side would you rather
- 27:51run behind? I would rather run to the right behind Ocyrus Torrents and Spencer
- 27:53Brown every single day. Spencer Brown, for all his struggles that he's had
- 27:59in pass protection this far in his career, he's really always been a solid
- 28:03run blocker just because of how athletic he is and because of how physical he
- 28:07is, and yeah, whether that means it's him on the move, or
- 28:11it's running to his side and he's base blocking, or you know, executing
- 28:14a double team and climbing to the second level. I so, yeah,
- 28:17I would run behind Torrance more this year, especially when you talk about that
- 28:22whole pairing on that right side of Torrance and Brown. That's that's a very
- 28:25strong piece. Mm hmm. Ralph Wilson is saying, mors just getting blown
- 28:30back into the path of the pulling tackles. In the second half of the
- 28:33season, mcgovernent brings them half of the center. Yeah, he's just a
- 28:34better anchor in past pro And I think overall, like you're trying to limit
- 28:38some of that knock back. I think a move from Morse to McGovern is
- 28:44a move to try and secure more of the depth of the pocket and prevent
- 28:47that type of leakage or knock back from the pass pro perspective or even from
- 28:51a run perspective as well. Claude saying, is the eventual plan SVPG at
- 28:57center and moving mcgovernent back to gar You think McGovern at center is a permanent
- 29:02thing. So I got two thoughts on that one and one comes from an
- 29:06interview. Connor McGovern did an interview before the draft talking about how at the
- 29:12end of you know, season meetings or kind of wrapping things up in the
- 29:15season interviews, however you want to verbalize it, like he was spoken to
- 29:18about or maybe it was some point before Morse got released, he had been
- 29:22spoken to about moving to center. So it was something that was already on
- 29:27his radar that he believed it was going, that he believed was going to
- 29:32happen. Now, he didn't know when Mitch Morse was going to go or
- 29:34how and he was surprised that, you know, Morse was cut and kind
- 29:40of how things went down, But it was already put on his radar in
- 29:42terms of moving to center, so I could easily see it being a permanent
- 29:48thing. I think Cedric van pram Oh I never get it right on the
- 29:52first try, and that's why I'm just I'm just sticking to SVPG. I'm
- 29:56not and I'm not even gonna ad the s. I'm just doing VPG for
- 29:57Van Pray Granger. That's it. So I think the drafting of VPG was
- 30:02just a value move because he was there. I do think he has a
- 30:04chance to start, and the reason I say that is just because he's got
- 30:07a multitude of paths to starting. He could either just ball out at center
- 30:12and it makes them think, man, wow, he's really playing great.
- 30:15Let's move McGovern back to left guard, where we know he excels and where
- 30:19we know he's a known quantity there. Or McGovern could be doing really bad
- 30:25at center, and they're like, you know what, this isn't working out,
- 30:27Let's get him back to left guard. Vpg's playing fine and we can
- 30:30put him at center. Or maybe David Edwards just isn't cutting it at left
- 30:34guard, and they say, you know what, let's get mcgovernn back to
- 30:37left guard because VPG is playing better at center than Edwards is at left guard,
- 30:41and let's do that. So I do think there's several avenues and paths
- 30:45to playing time for VPG, But just based on the timeline and that interview
- 30:49with Connor McGovern, I could see it being a permanent thing. I don't
- 30:53think they draft, and again maybe the thought changes because you don't know who's
- 30:57going to be there. But I don't think they're hesitant to have Connor McGovern
- 31:03be their long term answer at starter. I do think they will put the
- 31:06best five out there, regardless of what it is. So again, if
- 31:10VPG just balls out in camp and at the preseason, or Edwards is slipping
- 31:14up a bit, or McGovern isn't looking good at center like they had hoped
- 31:17and they want to move them back to left guard, they I don't think
- 31:18they'll hesitate to change things, but I don't think they're putting McGovern. I
- 31:23don't think their move for McGovern at center was reactionary because they had to release
- 31:27Mitch Morson. They had to figure it out. I think this was somewhat
- 31:30planned, so I don't want to say permanent thing, but I don't think
- 31:34they're wary of keeping McGovern at center for for the rest of his contract,
- 31:38for like the foreseeable future. If VPG balls out and beats them, cool,
- 31:42But I think they're comfortable with McGovern being at center. Mmmmmm. Joey
- 31:52coming in and saying, we won't know until mandatory practices come and everyone's there
- 31:56practicing. Van Prayan Granger makes a move for position, yeah, we'll see
- 32:00what happens. I like VPG. Eric and I are doing a breakdown of
- 32:02him in the film room tomorrow live at five pm Eastern, So feel free
- 32:07to check that out. I do like him. I didn't think he would
- 32:08be there in the fifth round, so I think that's good value. I
- 32:13think that's a good pick. I'm excited to see what happens with him because
- 32:15I did like his tape at Georgia. I saw a ton of games during
- 32:19the season and then obviously watched his tape going into the draft process watch more
- 32:22of it once he got drafted. So I do like him, but it'll
- 32:27be interesting to see again because it's you basically have three dudes on the interior
- 32:30there between center and left guard, and it's just going to see whoever the
- 32:34best two work out is where the best two go. But I like that
- 32:37piece. So I mentioned some of the data pieces earlier again EPA, per
- 32:43attempt, DBOA, all that kind of stuff. Another aspect that I wanted
- 32:45to talk about was the hit at line percentage for the Bills running backs last
- 32:52year. This data is per Sports Info solution. So again, this is
- 32:55just the percentage of runs. This is literally what it is. The percentage
- 32:59of run where the running back gets hit at the line of scrimmage. Actually,
- 33:04I have that for all positions right now, so let me filter just
- 33:07four running backs, So this is just percentage of runs where running backs are
- 33:12hit at the line of scrimmage. The Bills had the second lowest hit at
- 33:16the line of scrimmage percentage on running back runs last year at thirty three point
- 33:21three percent. The only team that had a lower rate was the Eagles at
- 33:23thirty two point three percent number three, So it was the Eagles had the
- 33:28lowest at thirty two point three, the Bills that had the second lowest at
- 33:30thirty three point three, and then the Lions were third at thirty six point
- 33:36four. And if anyone knows anything about the Eagles offensive line and the Lions
- 33:38offensive line, those are two of the best offensive lines in football from a
- 33:44coaching standpoint, but also from a player standpoint. So the fact that the
- 33:46Bills are sandwiched between those teams, you aren't in very good company if you're
- 33:52the Bills offensive line last year from a run perspective. And then when you
- 33:54pair it with you know, football outsiders or I guess what is it FTN
- 33:58Fantasy's data. Now when you look at like adjusted line stats and all these
- 34:01pieces, however you slice it. And this isn't to take anything away from
- 34:05the running backs, but the Bills offensive line was consistently creating displacement in space
- 34:09for running backs last year. Again, that number percentage there with thirty three
- 34:14point three percent hit at the line of scrimmage. That means the Bills running
- 34:19backs were only getting hit at the line on roughly one third of their carries
- 34:22last year. That is a very very very strong number. Another piece,
- 34:25when you talk about stuff percentage, stuff percentage is the percentage of runs where
- 34:32a running back gained zero or fewer yards. I'm not just a running back,
- 34:36but anybody gained zero or fewer yards. The Bills had the lowest stuff
- 34:39percentage in the league last year at twelve point nine percent, so again ahead
- 34:44of everybody in the Eagles, another great offensive line, they had the second
- 34:46lowest. They were at fourteen point two percent, so a one point three
- 34:50percentage point difference, which is a decent jump there. Again, especially from
- 34:54like an overall talent standpoint, who they have on that roster from the U
- 35:00for the Eagles versus the Bills. So no matter how you sliced it last
- 35:02year, whether it was running back metrics or Josh Allen metrics or overall carries
- 35:07or you know, stats that speak more to the line of scrimmage, like
- 35:12hit at the line percentage and stuff percentage and all this kind of stuff.
- 35:15Bill's had a really strong run game last year. I don't see or anticipate
- 35:19that going anywhere. I do think this run game is going to be important
- 35:23because I think the passing identity of this offense is going to have to be
- 35:28kind of massaged out and felt out a little bit. I think we know
- 35:30what we have in Dalton Kinkaid, not that he's hit his ceiling or anything,
- 35:34but we know the type of player he can be. I think he'll
- 35:36continue to ascend and have a very good year this year. I think Kohalil
- 35:39Shakir should see another uptick in his game. We know what Curtis Samuel can
- 35:44be. And then it's like, Okay, where does Kean Coleman fit?
- 35:47Where does Mac Collins fit? Where does Dawson Knox fit? Where does MVS
- 35:51fit? Is it another receiver that's fitting in there somewhere? Is it Shorter?
- 35:54Is it Claypool? Is it Shavers? Isabella? Is a kJ Hamler?
- 36:00How much do the running backs get used in the past game, so
- 36:01on and so forth? But I think we do have known quantities in the
- 36:08past game and what they're going to be, and it's not the sexiest thing
- 36:12on paper. Like I talked about last week, there are schematic ways in
- 36:15which this pass game can work, but I think a lot of them tie
- 36:16into the run game, tying into marrying the run in the past, making
- 36:22your play action passes look just like your regular runs, try and confuse the
- 36:27defense, suck in second and third level defenders. I think the run is
- 36:30going to be very important just for grinding out yards because it is successful for
- 36:34the Bills. I think the Bills are capable of grinding out like on average
- 36:37on the year, like four to six yards per attempt. Last year,
- 36:43for again, just for running back carries only, they were eighth in the
- 36:45league at four point four yards per attempt. I think that type of success
- 36:50can continue, and I think it needs to continue because I think you need
- 36:53to again build that pass game around your run game, like we talked about
- 36:58last week, from a formation perspective, personnel perspective, alignment perspective, all
- 37:02of this kind of stuff, And I got some questions coming through Ralph says
- 37:08being told this is per Eric Wood's podcast. Apparently, Ralph said being told
- 37:13McGovern when recruiting him during free agency that he would play center Dallas draft didn't
- 37:16play the position, but injuries change it. Yeah, he did have some
- 37:20center experience coming into Dallas. And okay, so maybe that's the nugget there
- 37:23that McGovern was told that he would play center. So we got one year
- 37:28at left guard and we'll see. So again, this is like, this
- 37:31wasn't just and I think this is it goes into what I was saying earlier,
- 37:35like McGovern moving to center wasn't because they were like, oh man,
- 37:38we got rid of Morse. We got to figure out what to do now
- 37:40mcgovernor, you're going to center. This is something they were comfortable with from
- 37:43the get go. McGovern was spoken to about it, so he kind of
- 37:45knew what was going to happen. But again, VPG could ball out and
- 37:50that could move McGovern back, So let's not throw that out there. But
- 37:52this isn't like a reactionary move to Morse going. They are comfortable with McGovern
- 37:58there at center. By Williams saying that Cocoa Munk saying do you think Josh
- 38:04plays more under center? Has been him or the oc that dragged their feet
- 38:07on it. Oh, and pistol could be a great fit. Don't get
- 38:09me started on pistol. I want more pistol. I think every team should
- 38:13run more pistol. It's literally a perfect marriage and blend of shotgun stuff and
- 38:16under center stuff. It gives the running back of downfield track and the opportunity
- 38:21to get going vertically, and it also gives the quarterback the opportunity to hide
- 38:25the football, turn his back to the defense, and do some creative things
- 38:28with play action. I would love more pistol in this offense. I pretty
- 38:31much every year, probably like end of September to mid October, I usually
- 38:35tweet something along those lines. Is basically in Evergreen tweet every year I would
- 38:39like more pistol. I don't know if it's been Allen or the offensive cording
- 38:45of this drag their feet on the under center play action stuff, I do
- 38:49think. I do think Allen will play more under center this year, just
- 38:52because I think it pairs well with what Alsim anticipated in expecting from the Bills
- 38:58offense. I just think again, like I talk about that, you're gonna
- 39:00see more condensed formations and you're gonna see an emphasis on running the football.
- 39:02I think that pairs well with more of an under center game. I think
- 39:06you will continue to see that element present in this offense, and I think
- 39:10that's kind of how they're going to operate. So again, maybe I don't
- 39:14think it's gonna be like a fifteen percentage point increase, but I think overall
- 39:17you'll see a higher volume of snaps with Allen under center. And from a
- 39:21percentage standpoint, I feel like, actually, let me see what they were
- 39:24last year, the Buffalo Bills. They had a seventy three percent shotgun rate
- 39:31last year, so they were under center on twenty seven percent of plays.
- 39:36I think, I know you didn't ask this, but I kind of want
- 39:39to play this game. I could see there being like a five to six
- 39:45percentage point swing, maybe even bigger. But again, last year they had
- 39:47a seventy three percent shotgun rate. I think this year it's gonna be mid
- 39:52sixties. I'm thinking like sixty five to sixty seven maybe in terms of shotgun
- 39:58percentage. So I do expect there to be more of an under center element,
- 40:01and I think that under center element will also be paired with more of
- 40:06a play action piece. Sorry Jay says right here, Actually they have to
- 40:09run more play action this year. They are great when they do play Most
- 40:13teams, most quarterbacks, all of their passing metrics from a raw perspective advanced
- 40:16perspective, usually go up when they have play action. So just from like
- 40:22a general perspective, that's true, and then for Allen especially it's even more
- 40:25true. I don't know what it is, but when he just has play
- 40:30action again under center, play action specifically, I don't know if it just
- 40:34gets him into a better rhythm physically, but you watch him drop and his
- 40:37feet, his shoulders, his eyes, his arm motion, everything is upright
- 40:40and nice. I think it just it almost makes you think of like a
- 40:44hitter, the way like they get into a box and they have a certain
- 40:46routine to get themselves comfortable before they hit and they swing. I think Alan
- 40:51is like that with play action stuff, Like there's just something about that action
- 40:54that gets him comfortable. It gets him in tune, it gets him in
- 40:58rhythm, and usually lead to good throws, whether it's underneath or knee intermediate
- 41:02or explosive ones downfield. So again, most quarterbacks do better with play action,
- 41:07Allen especially from like a mechanic standpoint, And then on top of that,
- 41:13I think the Bills run game and having a good run game will help
- 41:15the play action game even further. And I also think the play action game
- 41:19will be a way that the Bills will use that as a means to kind
- 41:22of generate explosives with this passing offense. So I think that's what we're going
- 41:29to see a little bit. And again speaking to that, like I talked
- 41:34about the Bills run game metrics and all these pieces, and I want to
- 41:37tie that with an element that I talked about briefly last week, and it's
- 41:40good offenses and good rushing attacks using heavier personnel in some form or fashion to
- 41:46their benefit to focus on these mismatch creators. That's what I think the nature
- 41:52and essence of this Bill's offense is going to be. They're not the sexiest
- 41:55on paper. I think there's a lot of questions for this Bill's offense a
- 42:00line perspective, but more so from the pass catchers and supporting cast perspective.
- 42:04Is I'm confident Daln kink But I think that's still the question, like is
- 42:07Kincaid going to elevate to be a true number one? Does Shakir take another
- 42:12jump? Is Curtis Samuel as advertised or maybe a little better or maybe a
- 42:15little worse. What do you get from every other receiver? Again, the
- 42:19Key Coleman's, the Mac Collins, the MBS, Claypool Shorter shavers as a
- 42:24bella handler. Like, there's questions from a past catching perspective, and there's
- 42:31a mismatch element though still present because of the size that the Bills have when
- 42:37you pair their tight end room with their wide receiver. That's why I think
- 42:38you're going to get more heavier personnel groupings from the Bills. That's why I
- 42:42think you're going to get more condensed formations, alignments and aspects of this team
- 42:47where you can lean into the dual threat of both your tight ends and your
- 42:52wide receivers. Kinkaid we know what he is as a pass catcher, and
- 42:55he's functional as a run blocker, and he's willing in that way, and
- 43:00he can wash out and crush nickel corners, safeties. He can crack down
- 43:05on linebackers and move some edges a little bit. Again, he wasn't perfect
- 43:07last year. He has to get better, but because he's willing and because
- 43:10of his size and frame, he is functional there. Dawson Knox has gotten
- 43:15better each year as a blocker. We know what he can be as a
- 43:16pass catcher. And then you've got these dudes like Keon Coleman and Mac Collins
- 43:21who we don't want know what Keon Coleman is going to be in the NFL
- 43:23because he hasn't taken a snap yet, and we know Mac Collins is limited
- 43:29as a receiver, but big bodied, good blocker, willing blocker, similar
- 43:32aspect for Keon Coleman. MBS is a field stretcher but also can be used
- 43:37as a power slot and a blocker. And then Kurtis Samuel is in a
- 43:40slouch as a blocker as well. Even Shakir can get some blocking done.
- 43:44I think what you are going to gain. You're going to have is these
- 43:47pieces that are not the sexiest on paper and may not rack up a ton
- 43:52of stats, but they've got all this versatility and all this usage from a
- 43:54run and pass perspective, and teams that are finding cess on offense and are
- 44:00finding success running the ball on offense, a lot of them are doing it
- 44:04by leaning into those mismatch creators that they have within their rosters on offense.
- 44:09So I wanted to break down several of the best teams when it came to
- 44:14running the ball last year in EPA per attempt and some of the pieces they
- 44:16lean into first an EPA per attempt for again, this is just for running
- 44:21back carries only. I removed quarterback carries from it because that's a that's a
- 44:23whole nother animal. And then because again they have to remove scrambles and it
- 44:28becomes a larger convoluted question and piece. But the Miami Dolphins were first an
- 44:32EPA per attempt last year for running back carries. They had a forty two
- 44:37twenty one personnel rate, so that's two running backs, one tight end.
- 44:42The reason they have that is because they have kind of no disrespect but like
- 44:45a knockoff version of what Kyle Shanahan has in San Francisco and Kyle Uscheck.
- 44:52The Dolphins had that with alec Engle. I did a piece last year on
- 44:55that first game against Miami going into it in terms of scouting the Dolphins,
- 45:00wherever alec Ingold goes, wherever alec Ingold goes, that's a tough one to
- 45:05say. Usually the ball follows passing. Running a lot of pieces I think
- 45:10going into like that first game against Miami in Week three or whatever. It
- 45:14was like the first couple of games that Miami had had going into it,
- 45:17like seventy percent of their plays like the ball followed alec Ingold wherever he went,
- 45:23but they leaned into him. He's a good blocker, he's athletic,
- 45:27he can get up the field, he can work underneath. He can function
- 45:30as a blocker and as a pass catcher. And again he's got athleticism to
- 45:32kind of stretch the field, be a mismatch as a blocker against nickel corners
- 45:37or safeties or outside corners. He's a mismatch against a linebacker in terms of
- 45:40coverage or safeties in terms of coverage. So Miami leaning into that piece.
- 45:45And also for Miami, they also had a nine percent twelve personnel usage rate
- 45:52last year, So fifty one of the Dolphins plays last year came in either
- 45:55twenty one or twelve personnel. The Detroit Lions second in EPA per attempt last
- 46:01year on the ground, and when you look at them, they were an
- 46:04eleven personnel team last year, so one running back, one tight end,
- 46:07three wide receivers, sixty four percent eleven personnel usage rate last year. But
- 46:13like I mentioned, last week. Their top two receivers in terms of snap
- 46:16right after I'm on Ross Saint Brown, Josh Reynolds and Donovan People's Jones,
- 46:21bigger bodied wide receivers who allow you to stay in eleven personnel because you don't
- 46:28have to bring another tight end onto the field because you've got these bigger body
- 46:30wide receivers that allow you to stay in again eleven personnel. So the defense
- 46:36is can be like, crap, there's three wide receivers on the field.
- 46:37We got to be in nickel because we have to respect their ability as pass
- 46:42catchers and as receivers. But then the Lions can be like, cool,
- 46:45you're staying in nickel. We can also run the ball with these guys because
- 46:47they're functional run blockers in addition to being actually wide receivers and pass catchers.
- 46:52Arizona Cardinals third in EPA per attempt last year for running back carries twelve percent
- 47:00thirteen personnel usage rate, so one running back, three tight ends. That
- 47:02was the most in the league last year, and they also had a twenty
- 47:07one percent twelve personnel rate which was seventeen so kind of middle tier. But
- 47:12long story short, thirty three percent of their plays came with either two or
- 47:15three tight ends on the field, again trying to create mismatches and running the
- 47:17ball successfully with it. The forty nine ers fourth in EPA per attempt last
- 47:22year for running back carries, and like we talked about last week, thirty
- 47:25six percent twenty one personnel usage rate, eleven personnel or I'm sorry, eleven
- 47:30percent twenty two percent usage rate. So just off of that, forty seven
- 47:35percent of their snaps last year came with two running backs on the field.
- 47:37And the reason are two backs on the field, The reason they have that
- 47:42and do that is because well Christian McCaffrey, but again, Kyle Yuscheck,
- 47:45Because Kyle us Check is this tremendous mismatch creator tool that is probably the least
- 47:51talked about aspect of the San Francisco forty nine ers. I know, there's
- 47:55Debo and there's Ayuk, and there's Kittle, and there's Shanahan, and there's
- 48:00Purdy, and there's Christian McCaffrey. Kyle Yuschek has really to straw the stirs
- 48:06of that drink there, and Kyle Shanahan has talked about in the interviews.
- 48:07It was one of the priority pieces he made when getting in there. His
- 48:12versatility is a true like run blocking full back. But then what he also
- 48:15is as a pass catcher. They can line them up on why, they
- 48:19can put him in motion, they can put him in the slot, they
- 48:21can send him on a rail route up the field. He is a mismatch
- 48:23as a blocker versus any defensive back. He's a good blocker against like true
- 48:30thumping, run down defending linebackers, but then he's also a mismatch in the
- 48:36pass against linebackers. So like linebackers can't cover him, defensive backs can't fit
- 48:40the run against him. So what do you do? And that's why the
- 48:44forty nine ers again, forty seven percent of their plays last year came with
- 48:47two backs on the field. Sixty percent of their snaps came with either two
- 48:51tight ends or two backs on the field. They only had a thirty nine
- 48:53percent eleven personnel usage rate, which was thirty first in the league last year.
- 48:58The Ravens were fifth last year in terms of EPA per attempt. Their
- 49:01offense is a bit of a unicorn, but twenty six percent twenty one personnel
- 49:07usage rate third highest last year. Ten percent twenty personnel USA drate highest in
- 49:13the league last year twelve percent twelve personnel usage rate last year, so forty
- 49:19eight percent of their snaps came with either two tight ends or two running backs
- 49:22on the field last year. The Los Angeles Rams six in EPA per attempt
- 49:28last year for running back carries. This is really where the discussion starts to
- 49:30get fun for the Rams in terms of what they do. They had a
- 49:35ninety five a ninety five percent eleven personnel usage rate last year, and that's
- 49:42fun when pairing it with their gap scheme runs right, So ninety five percent
- 49:45eleven personnel rate last year, so ninety five percent of the time they've got
- 49:50three receivers on the field, one running back, one tight end. The
- 49:53reason they're able to do that and b six in EPA per attempt for running
- 49:58back carries is because of Cooper Cup and because of Pooka Nicole and even to
- 50:01to Adwell, who's a smaller, vertical speed based jitterbug kind of guy.
- 50:06He was a willing blocker last year. When you go back and you watch
- 50:08on tape, But the Rams and the Rams have been doing this seemingly for
- 50:14forever under Sean McVay. Before it was Cup and Pooka. It was Cup
- 50:16and Robert Woods. They've got these receivers who are plus matchups as pass catchers,
- 50:22but they're also effective blockers. You're watching Pooka drive down or dig out
- 50:28safeties and linebackers and wash down defensive ends and cracking on guys. Cup can
- 50:31do the same thing Robert Woods was doing that before. They're responsible for their
- 50:36gaps they're closing. They'll they won't even just washed down or climb regularly.
- 50:39They'll insert like almost like a tight end between a guard and a tackle and
- 50:44fit up on a linebacker in the hole and be kind of like a lead
- 50:46blocker while they're already attached to the line. Again, speaking to all those
- 50:52pieces, and then the reason I mentioned the top six is because the Bills
- 50:55were seventh in EPA per attempt for running back carry, so I wanted to
- 50:58mention what the top six were doing. It's it's an aspect that they're starting
- 51:04to lean into more and more because it's not just enough, to which it
- 51:07never has been. It's not just enough to have like great players. It's
- 51:09always you've got to have some schematic adjustment, right, or some schematic advantage,
- 51:13and the schematic advantage that a lot of the top offenses are leaning into
- 51:17is personnel groupings that allow you to get to more of the menu from a
- 51:22run and pass perspective without having to change your personnel. So the easiest way
- 51:28to think of it is literally think of like a menu or a dinner menu,
- 51:30and instead of having to turn the page to see more of the menu,
- 51:35there's more of the menu already listed on that current page that you're on.
- 51:37That's what teams are trying to get to. So the Niners with their
- 51:42you know, twenty one personnel, and you think about what it's twenty one
- 51:45personnel, Okay, cool. So they've got McCaffrey and use Check and Kittle.
- 51:50So that's you know what your three guys right there brock Purty makes for.
- 51:53Then you've got your offensive lineman, which makes nine, and then you've
- 51:58got Ayuk and you've got Debo, guys that can literally go anywhere when you're
- 52:01talking again, eleven on that entire side of the ball, but not including
- 52:05the five offensive lineman. Your six past catching elible guys are George Kittle,
- 52:12Kyle Ustchek, Christian McCaffrey, Deebo, Samuel and Brandon Ayuk and those guys
- 52:17can get used in any way, shape or form. Right. You can
- 52:21put Deebo in the backfield if you want and give them the ball. You
- 52:22could start anybody out in the backfield in motion amount wide. George Kittle is
- 52:25a plus matchup as a rum blocker, but he's also a good pass catching
- 52:30tight end. We talked about us check McCaffrey as a runner, as a
- 52:32receiver. All of these again mismatch creation pizzas pieces Miami for as much as
- 52:38it was Hill and Watta was banged up last year, but they're not this
- 52:43team that lived in eleven personnel. Forty two percent of the time they had
- 52:46two backs on the field, and it was you know, Moster and alec
- 52:50Ingold or eight Chan and alec Ingle. Fifty one percent of their plays came
- 52:54either with two backs on the field or two tight ends on the field,
- 52:58So they were more of a heavier personnel team. Again, McDaniel comes from
- 53:01that. Shannahan Tree makes sense. But then we talked about the Lions with
- 53:06eleven, the Cardinals with thirteen. We talked about the Niners, talked about
- 53:09the Ravens, talked about the Rams. It's just having personnel groupings that allow
- 53:14you to get to more of the menu without having to turn the page,
- 53:16and to turn the page equivalent is changing your personnel. Right, So if
- 53:21you turn the page to go from the entrees to the dessert, that's the
- 53:25equivalent of Okay, let's get our full back out of there, and let's
- 53:29put another receiver out there. Let's go from twenty one personnel to eleven personnel
- 53:35because we want to pass the football. The Niners don't really have to do
- 53:37that. They can stay in twenty one because Kyle Yuschek is a competent pass
- 53:40catcher. Now if you factor that in with the Bills, they can stay
- 53:45in twelve personnel because they can run the ball out of twelve with Kincaid and
- 53:49Knox. They can also pass the ball out of twelve with Kincaid and Knocks.
- 53:53Their eleven personnel rates is also what I'm excited to see, because you
- 53:58can be an eleven and your eleven can be Keyon Coleman, Curtis, Samuel,
- 54:04and maccollins, and you've got three good run blockers two plus run blockers,
- 54:07but then you also have to respect them as pass catchers. And then
- 54:10your running back can be James Cook so he can run the ball, or
- 54:15maybe I don't know, you shift before the snap, or you motion them
- 54:16out and it becomes more of a pass catching piece. Right, there's again
- 54:22more of the menu you can get to without having to change your personnel.
- 54:24I think that's what the Bills offense is going to look like more of this
- 54:28year. And then you take those matchup creators or those matchup advantages that you
- 54:32potentially have, and you pair them formationally and from an alignment perspective, and
- 54:37I am going to expect to see more condensed formations very much. McVeigh Sean
- 54:43McVay esque Los Angeles Rams esque, where you're an eleven personnel and you can
- 54:49just get vertical on a team from a run game perspective and mash them and
- 54:52just blow them off the ball, because you know what your three wide receivers
- 54:57again are, Curtis, Samuel, maccollins and Keyon Coleman. Maybe you motion
- 55:01on it right before the snap, you fast motion Curtis Samuel out wide,
- 55:06or you put them on jet motion and run them across the formation and get
- 55:08a little indicator and then you run due out or you run zone somehow,
- 55:13or you know, split zone or whatever you want to do, and you
- 55:15bring a tight end back across, or you motion Samuel and then bring them
- 55:17back on a little return motion. Like you can get really creative in terms
- 55:21of identifying defenses, putting them into a bind, and you can get to
- 55:24both the run and the pass without having to change your personnel too much.
- 55:30I think that's really where the Bills run game is going in this year in
- 55:32terms of mismatch creators, in terms of mismatch identifiers and exployers. That's really
- 55:38what they have. They're not going to be. I don't think they're a
- 55:42pass catching group of just straight up walking buckets. They don't for asgain as
- 55:46much maligned as he was or is. They don't have Stefan Diggs anymore.
- 55:51They don't have a guy that you know can win down in and down out.
- 55:53They have to get a little creative with alignment, and I think you
- 55:57have to put defenses into a bind from a schematic structural perspective, and I
- 56:00think that's where again this offense leads so more condensed formations, more running right
- 56:08at teams and using combinations of twelve and eleven personnel. That's really why I
- 56:13think the Bills are going to live. I think the Bills are going to
- 56:15be in either twelve personnel, so one running back, two tight ends,
- 56:19or eleven personnel one running back, one tight end, three wide receivers.
- 56:23But the formations that they run their plays out of both twelve and eleven I
- 56:29think are going to look very similar because you've got this combination of pass catchers
- 56:34and blockers in your wide receiver room, and you're tight end grouping that allow
- 56:37you to run eleven personnel out of more traditional twelve personnel formations and alignments.
- 56:46And then you can run twelve personnel out of more spread or traditional eleven personnel
- 56:52formations or alignments. That's where I think the Bills offense leans into this year.
- 56:55Having Actually, that's a really good way to put it. Thomas puts
- 56:58it as like eleven and a half per That's basically what it is. That's
- 57:01I think that's such a great way to put it on Mad and myself and
- 57:04I didn't think of it. That's great. I need to bookmark this and
- 57:06take a picture of it so I don't forget about it and I can reference
- 57:08it and give you credit during the season. That's basically what it is like
- 57:13there eleven and twelve personnel groupings are going to play similar to each other,
- 57:19and so they're eleven personnel groupings, especially when they put the bigger body wide
- 57:22receivers out there, really can function more of like an eleven and a half
- 57:27personnel and again you can get to more of your spread passing attack type of
- 57:30offense. You can get condensed and go with more power looks and the like
- 57:34we talked about last week. When you go with those condensed formations, when
- 57:37you bring guys towards the line of scrimmage or attach them to the line of
- 57:40scrimmage, you're able to access more of the run game menu as well because
- 57:44you're adding gaps to your line because you're adding more bodies to or around that
- 57:50line of scrimmage. So now you can get to everything on the menu.
- 57:52Can go crack toss, you can go weak side zone, you can go
- 57:58strong side zone, you go inside zone, can go duo, you can
- 58:00go power, you can go counter, you can do really anything and everything
- 58:04you want. The full complement is there because of how many bodies you have
- 58:07close to or attached to the line of scrimmage. And that's where the bills
- 58:12are gonna be. They're going to live in that eleven and a half personnel,
- 58:15which is how Again, Now, maybe they go smaller with their eleven
- 58:17at times, right, maybe it's MBS, Curtis Samuel and Colo secure and
- 58:22that's more of a true eleven personnel type of grouping. Right, But when
- 58:27they go with those bigger bodied receivers, and again we'll see who makes the
- 58:30roster from the receiver perspective. But when they go with Coleman and Hollands and
- 58:35MBS or Coleman and Hollands and Curtis Samuel and Hell, then even if Dalton
- 58:42Kinkaid is the one tight end in that regard, you can go true spread
- 58:45with that if you want to. And you can put key On Coleman and
- 58:49Matt Collins in your slot and have like two power slots who are good run
- 58:52blockers. You can put Dalton kin Kid out wide, or you can line
- 58:55up trips to one side and if Dalton kin k on the backside is the
- 59:00the X by himself and then make the defense go, Okay, how are
- 59:02you covering Dalan Kin Kate? Are you doing it with a corner? Are
- 59:06you doing it with a safety? Are you doing it with a linebacker.
- 59:07Cool, are you tipping your hand that it's man coverage? Here? There's
- 59:10all these domino effects and questions that the defense has to answer that they either
- 59:16don't want to answer or might not have an answer to. And that's where
- 59:21I think the Bills find success this year. That's where I think the Bills
- 59:22live and again, and that's where I think they have to this. JP
- 59:27said it on last week's episode, and it was a tremendous way to phrase
- 59:30it. This offense this year is a bet on Joe Brady and Josh Allen
- 59:35because you've got mismatch greators, you've got mismatched potential in pieces within that lineup.
- 59:42It's going to be on Joe Brady to push the right buttons and pull
- 59:45the right levers at the right time, and it's going to be on Allen
- 59:47to distribute the ball effectively, process what's going on, have his pre snap
- 59:52and post snap cues and reads accurate, timely, and clean, and then
- 59:57have his mechanics tied in with that as well. Well. But this run
- 1:00:00game, again, I think this run game is going to be tremendously,
- 1:00:04tremendously, tremendously important to this offense. I'm not gonna say it's the not
- 1:00:08going to be the foundation of the offense, because I think Josh Allen is
- 1:00:10the low hanging fruit foundation of this offense. But I think the run game
- 1:00:16is going to be tremendously important this year. I think we're going to see
- 1:00:19more of a Josh Allen run game as well. From a design standpoint,
- 1:00:23using him, I mean, he's a mismatch creator in and of himself,
- 1:00:27but using Allen in terms of a plus one in that run game and getting
- 1:00:30a defenses that way, I think this run game is going to be a
- 1:00:35heavy focal point in this offense, and then using that to get defenses out
- 1:00:42of these coverage structures that they've been getting into the past several years, using
- 1:00:47it to put defenses into a buying from a personnel standpoint, and then using
- 1:00:52whatever they don't do against them. Cool, you want to stay in nickel
- 1:00:59personnel against our twelve personnel. Cool, We're going to run the ball right
- 1:01:00at you. Okay. Cool, Now you want to match it with a
- 1:01:02big nickel or a third linebacker. Cool, We're going to pass the ball
- 1:01:06because we don't think that dude that you brought in can cover Dawson Knox or
- 1:01:09Dalon Kinkaid. And then the same conversation for eleven or eleven and a half
- 1:01:13personnel. As Thomas said, right, if you sit there and you want
- 1:01:16to match that eleven personnel with the bigger bodied wide receivers and you want to
- 1:01:20match it with nickel, cool, do you have that nickel corner who can
- 1:01:23mash with Keyon Coleman if we put him in the slot and he blocks them?
- 1:01:28Like, oh you don't, okay? Cool? So now now what
- 1:01:30do you do? Because that eleven personnel grouping can be a threat from a
- 1:01:34pass perspective, so you probably have to stay in nickel or dime. But
- 1:01:37then that's that puts the onus on your defensive back grouping because you need to
- 1:01:42have dudes that can mash and fit the run against those bigger, bodied,
- 1:01:44physical receivers and all of this. I say all of this to say where
- 1:01:50I think they're going. But in order to really take advantage of all of
- 1:01:53this, right these mismatch creators, they have to be viable in both the
- 1:01:58pass on the run. In order for Dalton k Dalton kin k to be
- 1:02:01this true mismatch creator, he can be a mismatch creator as a receiver,
- 1:02:06right, because of his size and frame and athleticism, Like do you cover
- 1:02:08him with a corner? Do you cover him with a linebacker, a safety?
- 1:02:12Can you you know? So on and so forth. But to really
- 1:02:14unlock him and take advantage of his skill set, having him being able to
- 1:02:19function as a run blocker and pass catcher is truly unlocking him. And I
- 1:02:23think that's a similar conversation for Keyon Coleman. I think that's a similar conversation
- 1:02:28for Matt Collins, like MBS and even Dawson Knos like having these bigger bodied
- 1:02:31guys, it's not just about oh, well they can match dudes in the
- 1:02:35run, because if they're gonna come on the field and they're not a threat
- 1:02:38to catch the football, they're not a threat as a pass catcher, then
- 1:02:44you don't have to worry about them in the past game. Then you can
- 1:02:45go to heavier personnel groupings defensively, or you can sell out versus the run
- 1:02:50because you're like, I don't care, like that dude is not a threat
- 1:02:52as a pass catcher, will be fine, and then vice versa. Right,
- 1:02:54if they're only a threat as a pass catcher and you're like, oh,
- 1:02:58they're not a threat as a blocker. We can stay in Nickel and
- 1:03:00our slock corner can run right through Dalton Kink's chest or run right through Keyan
- 1:03:05Coleman. We're gonna be fine. You need those guys to function in both
- 1:03:08the run and the past to truly take advantage of all of this, all
- 1:03:14of these further options that are placed on the menu, right, because the
- 1:03:19whole idea of why teams have to turn the page and switch personnel groupings is
- 1:03:22because all right, we want to be able to run the football. Let's
- 1:03:25going to fall back out there, or let's get another tight end out there.
- 1:03:29Oh we want to be able to throw the football, Let's get another
- 1:03:30receiver out there. Being able to put defenses into true bind and being able
- 1:03:36to access more of the menu without having to turn the page means you've got
- 1:03:39personnel groupings that you can just stay in and you can run the ball or
- 1:03:44pass the ball and be equally effective or viable in either or or both.
- 1:03:49Like that's what it is, and I think that's where the true advantage of
- 1:03:52this offense lies this year. Like, if it's really clicking, it's just
- 1:03:54because you're able to put defenses into a bind schematically with the matchup pieces and
- 1:03:59who you have where it's again, oh man, they're in twelve. Oh
- 1:04:03they can run the ball out of this and they can pass out of it.
- 1:04:05What are we going to do? And again with the type of twelve
- 1:04:09and eleven personnel packages that the Bills can have this year, you can be
- 1:04:14tight condensed power type, heavy type formations and alignments and do it out of
- 1:04:19eleven personnel, or you can be in twelve personnel and be aligned in more
- 1:04:24of a spread passing option because of what Knox and k can both do as
- 1:04:29pass catchers. So there's a lot of real fun, potential schematic advantages that
- 1:04:33Brady and this offense can potentially create. Let me go to Sophias Has.
- 1:04:41All these giant pass catchers are gonna be so much fun to watch. I
- 1:04:44can't wait for the season already. Yeah, I'm excited to see where it
- 1:04:45goes. I'm nervous. And again, it's a departure, right Like they're
- 1:04:50the type of guys that Allen has won with. I'm gonna continue to say
- 1:04:54this all off season, like the Cole Beasley's and the Stefon Diggs is of
- 1:04:57the world. These true separators aren't necessarily prevalent across this roster. They've gone
- 1:05:02into a different direction with the different direction with these bigger bodied, schematic mismatch
- 1:05:08matchup creation, matchup advantage takers that they have in terms of auxiliary and support
- 1:05:14pieces on this offense, which isn't bad. It just requires a different direction
- 1:05:17for them to go in. And I think pairing that type of size and
- 1:05:21athleticism and frame that they have in the tight end and wide receiver room,
- 1:05:27pairing it with a strong power run game allows you to unlock more of the
- 1:05:32passing game as well and put defenses into a true mine. That's gonna be
- 1:05:36really fun. Ralph says, how about a two back set than splitting cookout
- 1:05:40in motion? Of course, running out of it a little. Also,
- 1:05:42they did it a bit last year, right Ty Johnson and James Cook and
- 1:05:45those pony personnel looks. Pony personnel is when your two backs on the field
- 1:05:49are actually two running backs. Which is why I clarified earlier with Yus Check
- 1:05:54and McCaffrey when I said, you know, twenty one personnel because you've got
- 1:05:56two running backs. Technically, Kyle used Check as fullbacks of twenty one personnel
- 1:06:00is just two backs. But when you've got that pony personnel, Yeah,
- 1:06:02maybe it's James Cook and Ty Johnson. Maybe it's James Cook and Ray Davis.
- 1:06:06Could be Ty Johnson and Ray Davis. Yeah, maybe you've got Davis
- 1:06:10and Cook both from the backfield. You motion Cook, you split him out
- 1:06:14wide, or you put Cook in the slot and you have Ray Davis stay
- 1:06:15in to pass protect, you know, and you can get You can get
- 1:06:18really creative with a lot of these pieces. And I think that's also what
- 1:06:23I think the Bills need to do. They have to get creative with their
- 1:06:25formations, with their alignments, with motion, with play, action, with
- 1:06:29personnel. Like I just don't think. I don't think they have like anybody
- 1:06:33who's a walking bucket. Really. I think Kencaid can be that and has
- 1:06:36shown some good flashes of it. But they don't really have an iso ball
- 1:06:42dude, or use a basketball reference here. They don't have anybody who are
- 1:06:45like, all right, cool, just clear it out, let him take
- 1:06:46this guy one on one. We got it. You've got to have some
- 1:06:50good off ball movement, you've got to have a good screen game, no
- 1:06:53pun intended. I think there's there's a lot of options for this offense,
- 1:06:59but it's it's gonna start with the schematics and the bones and the structure of
- 1:07:02it and how it all gets stressed up because of you know, some of
- 1:07:06the parts and how it all has to go through there s I'm saying Alan's
- 1:07:11gonna have much more responsibility with checks in my opinion, I wonder and to
- 1:07:16be because if you pair it with these personnel groupings and motion and stuff,
- 1:07:20you have the opportunity to identify defensive coverage is pre snap and then yeah,
- 1:07:26does you know do they motion someone out or do they shift? And Alan
- 1:07:29reads what's happening and he knows it's man coverage and they had his zone coverage
- 1:07:31play call, so he checks to a man beater or vice versa. Or
- 1:07:39is Brady just scheming things up to a point where Alan doesn't really need a
- 1:07:43check where it's schemed up and he knows the play is going to the running
- 1:07:45back out of the backfield, But if the defense comes out and presents this
- 1:07:49way or does this, that means that running back is going to get taken
- 1:07:53away. So he's going to a second or third option right away because he
- 1:07:56kind of knows everything from a pre snap recognition process because of how the play
- 1:08:00is designed and schemed. So it's gonna be fun. It could be fun.
- 1:08:05I think this is for me, Thomas saying wing preference, drums are
- 1:08:09flats. I'm a drums kind of guy. Flats are fine. I just
- 1:08:13think you get more Maybe I could be wrong on this too. I just
- 1:08:15think you get more meat on the drum. You get that big like chunk.
- 1:08:18It's also easier to rip off and just like dip into the blue cheese,
- 1:08:21or you can leave it on the wing and dip in the blue cheese
- 1:08:24and then like I'm a drums guy, I am a drums guy. David
- 1:08:30coming insane. Alan is going to run through the progression early in this season
- 1:08:33until these wide receivers learn where they need to be. Yeah, I do
- 1:08:36think there's gonna be some growing pains for this offense. I don't know how
- 1:08:41much Keyak Coleman's going to factor in. I'm hoping some of the familiarity that
- 1:08:45Samuel has with Joe Brady allows him to kind of hit the ground running a
- 1:08:48little bit. And even just from all of that, I do think this
- 1:08:51offense on the year. I think it's gonna function through Dalton Kincaid. From
- 1:08:55a past perspective, I think James Cook is going to be heavily, heavily,
- 1:08:58heavily involved as both a runner and as a receiver. But I think
- 1:09:01early on, in terms of guys who touch the ball that are not Josh
- 1:09:05Allen, I think it's going to rely on Dalton Kinkaid, Khalil Shakir,
- 1:09:11and James Cook, not necessarily in that order, but I think those are
- 1:09:14going to be your three heavy lifters to kind of give Alan support. And
- 1:09:17then maybe you get some gadget stuff from Curtis Samuel. Maybe they line them
- 1:09:20up in the backfield and run you know, a Texas route out of the
- 1:09:23backfield, or you know, hand them off the ball, or do some
- 1:09:26jet motion or some orbit stuff to kind of get him the ball and some
- 1:09:29different looks, or run some screens to keyon Coleman. But I do think
- 1:09:31as everybody gets acclimated to one another, gets adjusted to being in this Joe
- 1:09:36Brady system and really starts to see, we really start to see how the
- 1:09:42piece is all fit. Once the bullets go live and everything starts flying,
- 1:09:45I do think Alan's going to lean on the known quantities that he's got so
- 1:09:49far, which again is Kincage, Shakir and James Cook. But again,
- 1:09:56yeah, that's the large crux of it. I just look for look them
- 1:10:00to be in twelve personnel but be able to run, you know, spread
- 1:10:02and pass stuff out of it. In addition to having both tight ends attached
- 1:10:05to the line of scrimmage and running power run stuff. When they're in eleven
- 1:10:09personnel, they could be in spread and you know, run those type of
- 1:10:12concepts. Or they can have the receivers tight to the line or attached to
- 1:10:15the line and run more power stuff and get downhill just with the size and
- 1:10:21frame and athleticism and ability to catch the football and block in the run game.
- 1:10:27For a lot of these wide receivers and the tight ends in this Bills
- 1:10:30grouping, they have the option to again access more of the menu without having
- 1:10:33to turn the page in either personnel grouping. And I think that's where they
- 1:10:36start, and then you start with the run game from there to make defenses
- 1:10:42respect it, to make them come out of those coverage structures, to make
- 1:10:45them have to make a decision from a personnel standpoint, and then you can
- 1:10:49kind of use those answers against them and make them wrong even when they're right.
- 1:10:55And that's gonna be really fun conversation as we continue to have going forward
- 1:10:59this year and hope fully once we are in the season. Yeah, Sale
- 1:11:02says it offense will be like a box of chocolates this year. Nice.
- 1:11:05Yeah, so it'll be. It'll be a good time. Want to show
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- 1:12:11freeze a half sheet and send it. I think that's the thing. It's
- 1:12:15probably gonna cost way too much, but it's probably worth it because they're delicious.
- 1:12:19I just always think back to I don't remember how she does it,
- 1:12:24but in Fools Rush, in the movie with Selmahayak and Matthew Perry where they're
- 1:12:29in Vegas. He loves Gray Gray Grace Papaya the hot dog spot in New
- 1:12:33York, and she gets him some brought in from New York to Vegas for
- 1:12:40his birthday and they eat them while like sitting in the Grand Canny. Granted
- 1:12:43that's a movie, but that was like the mid nineties. I feel like
- 1:12:45it's possible, Like they're just gonna have to fly to you somehow, it's
- 1:12:48gonna cost a lot. Man, it was one hundred and three in Arizona.
- 1:12:53I can't do that kind of heat. I I'll melt. And even
- 1:12:56if it's a dry heat, like it would always say like oh, in
- 1:12:59Houston or Dallas or you know, in Arizona, New Mexico, it's more
- 1:13:01of a dry heat. It's not humid like Florida. It's still hot.
- 1:13:04Man, Like if I open up the oven, it's not human in that
- 1:13:08oven, but the heat is real, and that crushes me. I think
- 1:13:11you should legitimately though, like I'm gonna actually ask the next time I go
- 1:13:14in there, kind of as a joke, but kind of what to see.
- 1:13:17I think you should call and ask for Yeah, Thomas's go for Iteah,
- 1:13:19I kind of want to see what happens. I'm gonna ask the next
- 1:13:21time I go in there and be like, hey, if I just want
- 1:13:24to know what the process would be like if they ever encountered the head,
- 1:13:27or if they have an answer like yeah, we could freeze it and send
- 1:13:30it FedEx like FedEx air. We could send this pizza, but it'll cost
- 1:13:34a pretty penny. But we'll see what happens. Oh, moving back to
- 1:13:38the seven one sixth soon. Good luck in your move. I hate moving.
- 1:13:41Let alone go in like cross country essentially, so good luck with that
- 1:13:45in God's speed at that, I wish you the best. Moving stresses me
- 1:13:47out like absolutely crazy again. Let alone a move of moving from New York
- 1:13:53City back to Buffalo, and vice versa, from Buffalo to New York City
- 1:13:56and the New York City back here stress the hell out of me. I
- 1:13:59can't imagine going into Arizona, from Arizona to Buffalo or from Buffalo Arizona,
- 1:14:02which I'm guessing is what you did when you're saying moving back to the seven
- 1:14:05second. Not to stretch you out at you further, but yeah, that
- 1:14:08stresses me. I'm just thinking of it. But yeah, call one pie,
- 1:14:11see what they can do. I'm gonna throw the ban and this is
- 1:14:12tootles, folks. I know this may seem shocking and crazy only an hour
- 1:14:15and thirteen in, but we are David says moving is easier than one hundred
- 1:14:20and three degree tempts. I feel you on that one man. That heat
- 1:14:24is just absolutely real. I know this is a bit a bit of a
- 1:14:27shorter episode of the Skuy's covered especially compared to last week's where we went two
- 1:14:30hours, and we've done a lot of these marathon pieces, but yeah,
- 1:14:33a little bit of a shorter one today. I've got a lot of moving
- 1:14:38parts and pieces going on and things out there, So a little bit of
- 1:14:43a shorter episode tonight. But I hope you folks enjoyed this episode. If
- 1:14:45you have not already, please please please and thank you drop a like on
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- 1:15:39your enemies about the show and try and make them watch it instead. Oh
- 1:15:45this is this is a good comment, Braff, who says sounds like the
- 1:15:47pile be cooked by the time it gets to you, Thomas, Oh,
- 1:15:53they will to David, and David says it'll warm up in the ups truck
- 1:15:56on the way here. I like that. That's very good, well done,
- 1:15:59well done. I appreciate you, folks. Tune into the Cover one
- 1:16:01filming with myself, Eric with myself and Eric Turner tomorrow live five pm Eastern,
- 1:16:06where we are going to be breaking down mister Cedric Van praying Granger.
- 1:16:11See, I can only say it if I really slow it down and focus
- 1:16:13on it. It's rough, But yeah, we'll be breaking down mister SVPG
- 1:16:15in the film room tomorrow tomorrow. Skill set, traits, strengths, areas
- 1:16:20of opportunities, projection, all that kind of stuff until next week Live next
- 1:16:27Tuesday, nine pm Eastern for another episode of Disguised Coverage. I don't do
- 1:16:30it for us here on this show. In this episode, I appreciate all
- 1:16:33the kind words and everything coming through. I don't like to pull I say
- 1:16:38it all the time, but just in case you don't know, I don't
- 1:16:39like to pull up comments and positive stuff for myself, especially when I'm solo,
- 1:16:44because I feel like it's corny, Like there's not a producer in the
- 1:16:45back who's like clicking on it. Like I'm clicking on positive stuff for myself
- 1:16:49about myself to put on the show, which seems kind of corny. But
- 1:16:53I see all the kind words coming through in the chat, and I sincerely
- 1:16:56appreciate all of them. So that'll do it for us here in this episode
- 1:16:59of Disguised Cover. Please drop likes, Please rate and review and subscribe,
- 1:17:02Tell your family and friends and loved ones all that kind of stuff. Hope
- 1:17:06you I am in check for likes now. I really don't like to do
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- 1:17:13their own. I appreciate you, folks, godspeed. I hope you and
- 1:17:15your family and friends and loved ones are all doing well and staying safe.
- 1:17:18Be kind of one another, take care of one another. I will see
- 1:17:20you next Tuesday, nine pm Eastern for another episode of Disguised Coverage, and
- 1:17:25or Tomorrow Night Live Wednesday May twenty nine, five pm Eastern for another episode
- 1:17:30of the Cover One Film Room. So until either of those, I will
- 1:17:33see you. When I see you, godspeed, and as always go Bills,