Latest / INSPIRE STORY / #082_ STORY INSPIRE: The World Is on the Brink of World War III — Here’s Why
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: In 2024, you made three predictions that have come perfectly true.
- 0:05Speaker 1: Like Trump would start a war with Iran. And you've
- 0:07Speaker 1: made a series of new predictions.
- 0:09Speaker 2: Yes, and I'll explain each prediction one by one. Okay,
- 0:11Speaker 2: so first, I predict that Trump will get a third term.
- 0:14Speaker 1: But isn't this constitutionally illegal?
- 0:16Speaker 2: It's not. The president now has emergency war powers. And
- 0:19Speaker 2: so he can actually delay the election. My second prediction
- 0:22Speaker 2: is Iran is not a forever war and the United
- 0:24Speaker 2: States will institute a national draft. Meaning that if you're
- 0:26Speaker 2: between 18 and 24 in America and you're male, you'll
- 0:29Speaker 2: be automatically put into the draft system. And they just
- 0:32Speaker 2: passed a law that says that starting December, you will
- 0:34Speaker 2: be automatically registered.
- 0:35Speaker 1: Which means you're obliged to go and fight.
- 0:38Speaker 2: Exactly. Next, the world will move towards an AI surveillance state.
- 0:42Speaker 2: So if you do online, it's being recorded to figure
- 0:45Speaker 2: out how to control you. And then this is the
- 0:47Speaker 2: most controversial prediction. This is pretty bad. And I'll explain why.
- 0:51Speaker 2: And also, I will tell you why this war can
- 0:53Speaker 2: only lead to World War III. Why there's a very
- 0:55Speaker 2: strong possibility that the American empire will collapse. And also,
- 0:58Speaker 2: I'll show you what the Russians will do and how
- 1:01Speaker 2: the private bankers are controlling you.
- 1:03Speaker 1: I'm not owned by anybody.
- 1:04Speaker 2: That's what you think.
- 1:05Speaker 1: So let's talk about that. This is super interesting to me.
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- 1:59Speaker 1: the show. Professor Dien. There's so much going on in
- 2:10Speaker 1: the world at the moment that it's quite confusing for
- 2:13Speaker 1: an ordinary person like me. And you've blown up across
- 2:16Speaker 1: the internet because you've been able to demystify all of
- 2:19Speaker 1: this craziness. But also because in 2024, you made three
- 2:25Speaker 1: predictions that have come perfectly true. Some might say, unfortunately.
- 2:31Speaker 2: Unfortunately, yes.
- 2:32Speaker 1: What were those three predictions?
- 2:34Speaker 2: My first prediction was that Trump would win in November 2024.
- 2:39Speaker 2: Second prediction is that he would start a war against Iran.
- 2:44Speaker 2: And the third prediction is that the United States would
- 2:47Speaker 2: lose this war. And in losing this war, this would
- 2:50Speaker 2: radically reshape the geopolitical landscape.
- 2:53Speaker 1: How did you know that Trump would start a war
- 2:56Speaker 1: with Iran?
- 2:57Speaker 2: The simple answer is this. The United States having invaded
- 3:02Speaker 2: Iran because it has no choice in the matter. If
- 3:06Speaker 2: it were not to invade Iran, it would lose its empire.
- 3:10Speaker 2: Its empire is based purely on the US dollar, the petrodollar,
- 3:15Speaker 2: which is a Ponzi scheme. If it did not invade Iran,
- 3:19Speaker 2: then people would choose not to trade with it anymore.
- 3:23Speaker 2: People would choose to not buy US treasuries. For the
- 3:27Speaker 2: longest time, this system worked fine. But then in February 2022,
- 3:36Speaker 2: Russia invaded Ukraine. That was not the issue. The issue
- 3:40Speaker 2: was the American response. The American response was to sanction
- 3:46Speaker 2: Russia and remove Russia from the swift global payment system.
- 3:51Speaker 2: It also ordered the Europeans to freeze over $ 200 billion
- 3:58Speaker 2: in Russian assets. And there's a problem. These very basis
- 4:03Speaker 2: for having the U.S. dollar as the global reserve currency,
- 4:07Speaker 2: is that it would remain politically neutral. The Americans guaranteed seamless,
- 4:16Speaker 2: politically neutral international exchange. So if this trend continues, right,
- 4:24Speaker 2: if you don't do anything about Russia, Russia would take
- 4:26Speaker 2: over Ukraine. And Russia then would build an alliance with
- 4:32Speaker 2: China and Iran. If you look at these three countries
- 4:36Speaker 2: on a map, Russia, China, and Iran, this is the
- 4:39Speaker 2: entire Asian continent. And then what they can do is this.
- 4:44Speaker 2: They can say, okay, the United States is a bully.
- 4:49Speaker 2: They force us to play by the rules. They get
- 4:52Speaker 2: very angry if we don't play by the rules. So
- 4:55Speaker 2: let's not play with the United States anymore. Let's just
- 4:58Speaker 2: trade amongst ourselves. And then what they can do is
- 5:02Speaker 2: they can build a Eurasian railway system connecting Russia, Iran,
- 5:08Speaker 2: and China together. And then what this would do is
- 5:13Speaker 2: negate American sea power because it's American ships that patrol
- 5:18Speaker 2: and protect the oceans. And then what happened is the world, Europe,
- 5:26Speaker 2: Middle East, Africa, India, East Asia, would look at the
- 5:30Speaker 2: trading bloc and think to themselves, wow, These guys, the Russians, Iranians,
- 5:37Speaker 2: and Chinese, they use gold as their medium of exchange.
- 5:44Speaker 2: Gold is valuable. The Americans, on the other hand, use
- 5:49Speaker 2: US dollars as the medium of exchange, which is not valuable.
- 5:54Speaker 2: So am I better off with the American system or
- 5:57Speaker 2: this new BRICS system?
- 6:00Speaker 1: What's BRICS?
- 6:01Speaker 2: It's an acronym. It stands for Brazil... Russia, India, South Africa, China.
- 6:08Speaker 1: So am I right in thinking, because Iran, Russia, and
- 6:11Speaker 1: China were colluding, it threatened US dominance, which is driven
- 6:15Speaker 1: by the world using the dollar as the primary currency
- 6:20Speaker 1: for trading?
- 6:21Speaker 2: That's correct.
- 6:21Speaker 1: Okay. So they felt they needed to invade because then
- 6:24Speaker 1: they can control more of the Middle East?
- 6:26Speaker 3: Right.
- 6:26Speaker 2: So by attacking Iran, certain things happen. The first thing
- 6:31Speaker 2: that happened is that China is now cut off from
- 6:38Speaker 2: Middle East energy. China receives anywhere between 50 to 60%
- 6:44Speaker 2: of its energy needs from the Middle East, not just Iran,
- 6:48Speaker 2: but also Qatar and Saudi Arabia. A lot of people
- 6:52Speaker 2: say that China today, it's reliant on renewables, solar, wind,
- 6:57Speaker 2: and that's true to a certain extent. But remember that China,
- 7:00Speaker 2: it is an industrial powerhouse. So it needs energy from everywhere,
- 7:04Speaker 2: and everyone. So the fact that China is losing all
- 7:10Speaker 2: this energy from the Middle East presents China with a
- 7:13Speaker 2: long-term strategic vulnerability. That's the first thing that happens. Second
- 7:19Speaker 2: thing that happens is that Europe is in a lot
- 7:22Speaker 2: of trouble. Because remember, because of Russia's invasion of Ukraine,
- 7:27Speaker 2: Russian energy was sanctioned. And so Europe relied more on
- 7:33Speaker 2: on the Middle East for its energy needs, especially Qatar.
- 7:37Speaker 2: And now Europe has lost all of this oil. And
- 7:41Speaker 2: then you have Japan and South Korea, these two powerful
- 7:46Speaker 2: East Asian economies are also reliant on the Middle East
- 7:50Speaker 2: for its energy. So another question is, if you're not
- 7:54Speaker 2: getting your energy from the Middle East, where can you
- 7:56Speaker 2: get your energy from? And there's only two answers, either
- 8:00Speaker 2: Russia or the United States. Russia is at war and
- 8:05Speaker 2: what's happening is the Ukrainian drones are attacking Russian oil
- 8:09Speaker 2: refineries and export hubs. So the world in the short
- 8:16Speaker 2: term has no choice but to look to America for
- 8:20Speaker 2: its energy needs. And what did Trump do recently? He
- 8:25Speaker 2: took over Venezuela, which has the world's greatest oil reserves.
- 8:31Speaker 2: He's threatening Canada. He's threatening Greenland, Mexico, Colombia. If Trump
- 8:37Speaker 2: controls the entire Western hemisphere, the entire world has to
- 8:43Speaker 2: beg Trump for energy and resources. And this saves both
- 8:48Speaker 2: the US dollar as well as the American empire.
- 8:53Speaker 1: So as part of your prediction in 2024, I believe
- 8:57Speaker 1: it was, you said that the US would lose this war. Right.
- 9:00Speaker 3: Why?
- 9:01Speaker 1: Did you predict that the US will lose this war
- 9:04Speaker 1: with Iran?
- 9:05Speaker 2: Because the American society does not have the political will,
- 9:11Speaker 2: does not have the manufacturing capacity, does not have the
- 9:16Speaker 2: risk tolerance to fight this war in Iran. Basically, America
- 9:21Speaker 2: wants to fight this war as cheaply, as easily, and
- 9:25Speaker 2: as quickly as possible, right? So Trump really fought that.
- 9:31Speaker 2: You know, if I sent my airplanes to strike Tehran
- 9:35Speaker 2: and kill the Atatollah, they would just surrender. That was
- 9:38Speaker 2: like literally his plan going into this war. He paid
- 9:42Speaker 2: no attention to the culture. He paid no attention to
- 9:47Speaker 2: the history of the Iranian people. He had absolutely no
- 9:49Speaker 2: respect for the nation. And when you do that, when
- 9:54Speaker 2: you disrespect your opponent, when you underestimate your opponent, when
- 9:57Speaker 2: you yourself are not willing to commit to the fight, you're.
- 10:00Speaker 1: Going to lose. So is Iran's game just to draw
- 10:05Speaker 1: this out as long as they possibly can? How are they,
- 10:09Speaker 1: you know, because he's taken out the leaders. And do
- 10:11Speaker 1: you also think that Trump thought that if I just
- 10:12Speaker 1: bomb the leader, then everything will sort of regenerate itself
- 10:16Speaker 1: and we'll be fine? What was the sort of fundamental misunderstanding?
- 10:20Speaker 2: There's a lot of confusion as to how this war started.
- 10:24Speaker 2: Even today, no one actually knows how this war started.
- 10:29Speaker 2: But I think that Trump, given his personality, he was
- 10:33Speaker 2: convinced that if he killed the leadership of Iran, then
- 10:40Speaker 2: they would have no choice but to surrender. And his
- 10:43Speaker 2: proof of concept was, of course, on January 3rd of
- 10:47Speaker 2: this year, Delta Force went into Venezuela, kidnapped Maduro, and
- 10:53Speaker 2: they completely surrendered. So in Trump's mind, he wanted to
- 10:56Speaker 2: replay the Venezuela scenario.
- 11:01Speaker 1: And he didn't realize that Iran is fundamentally different from Venezuela.
- 11:06Speaker 2: The short answer is he is a reality TV star.
- 11:10Speaker 2: He thinks in terms of optics. He doesn't think in
- 11:12Speaker 2: terms of geopolitical strategy. The long answer is that The
- 11:17Speaker 2: American military has become a corrupt and insular institution that
- 11:24Speaker 2: is trying to generate as much congressional funding as possible
- 11:28Speaker 2: in order to fund the military-industrial complex.
- 11:31Speaker 1: Did he think that he was going to bomb Iran,
- 11:34Speaker 1: the people would rise up, they would elect a new government,
- 11:38Speaker 1: and that would be that, and then he could control Iran?
- 11:41Speaker 2: That's exactly what he thought. So what I want to
- 11:44Speaker 2: do now is go to the map. Okay. All right.
- 11:47Speaker 1: Go ahead.
- 11:47Speaker 2: And show you what he got wrong. Okay. All right.
- 11:50Speaker 2: So this is a map of the Middle East. And
- 11:55Speaker 2: the first thing to notice about this map is the topography.
- 12:01Speaker 1: What does that mean?
- 12:02Speaker 2: How many mountains you have. So what's really interesting is
- 12:07Speaker 2: that the topography between Iraq and Iran are completely different.
- 12:15Speaker 2: And this is important because in 2003, the Americans invaded
- 12:20Speaker 2: Iraq and they won the war in about two weeks.
- 12:24Speaker 2: And the reason why they won the war is the
- 12:26Speaker 2: Americans practiced something called shock and awe.
- 12:30Speaker 3: And the idea of shock and awe is that it
- 12:38Speaker 3: is a military strategy that believes that if you cut
- 12:42Speaker 3: off the head of the snake, the snake will die,
- 12:45Speaker 3: the decapitation strike.
- 12:47Speaker 2: And so what they did was they went into Baghdad,
- 12:53Speaker 2: seized Baghdad, and the regime collapsed and the war was over.
- 13:03Speaker 2: And they were able to do this because of the topography.
- 13:07Speaker 2: If you look at a map of Iraq, It's all flat,
- 13:11Speaker 2: it's all desert. Meaning that you can just fly in
- 13:15Speaker 2: your planes, cut off the head of a snake, and
- 13:21Speaker 2: the war is over. There's actually no way you can
- 13:24Speaker 2: defend against airstrikes because you're entirely a desert. Now, let's
- 13:33Speaker 2: go to, let's look at the topography of Iran. And Iran,
- 13:39Speaker 2: it's all mountainous. In fact, you can make the argument
- 13:43Speaker 2: that Iran is a fortress. And so the first thing
- 13:53Speaker 2: is that Iran can choose to fight a war of attrition.
- 14:00Speaker 1: What's a war of attrition?
- 14:02Speaker 2: A war of attrition is a game of uncle. What's that? Right,
- 14:06Speaker 2: a game of uncle is where we don't have enough
- 14:10Speaker 2: power to destroy each other. So what we're trying to
- 14:13Speaker 2: do is we try to create pain points, leverage points
- 14:18Speaker 2: to force you to submit, to cry uncle, right? So
- 14:23Speaker 2: because Iran is too large and has 92 million people,
- 14:29Speaker 2: it's impossible for the Americans and Israelis to destroy Iran
- 14:33Speaker 2: So what you're trying to do instead is bomb enough
- 14:37Speaker 2: targets so that they recognize that resistance is futile and surrender.
- 14:45Speaker 2: That's the extent of the strategy. But again, the problem
- 14:48Speaker 2: with this is that one, Iran is much too big.
- 14:53Speaker 2: Number two is that it is a mountain fortress, which
- 14:57Speaker 2: means that you can hide your weapons and your military
- 15:01Speaker 2: inside mountains. which allows you to conduct a guerrilla warfare
- 15:07Speaker 2: strategy against your opponent. And this is exactly what Iran
- 15:12Speaker 2: is doing right now, where their underground missile bases are
- 15:15Speaker 2: hidden inside the mountains, and then they're able to strike
- 15:20Speaker 2: targets throughout the Middle East. Primarily American bases, but also
- 15:27Speaker 2: energy installations that are key to the American petrodollar system.
- 15:32Speaker 2: And so it's a game of UNCODE, where the Americans
- 15:34Speaker 2: are trying to create as much damage as possible in
- 15:38Speaker 2: the Iranian nation. And Iran, in response, is trying to
- 15:42Speaker 2: destroy as much of the global economy as possible to
- 15:46Speaker 2: force the world to pressure America to call the war off.
- 15:50Speaker 2: So that's the situation we are facing right now. Second
- 15:53Speaker 2: thing that Trump got wrong is how vulnerable the global
- 15:58Speaker 2: economy is. Because the Iranians control something called the Sharia Hormuzh.
- 16:04Speaker 2: And as you can see on this map, the Strait
- 16:07Speaker 2: of Hormuz, it's a very, very narrow piece of land.
- 16:14Speaker 2: It's only about 33 kilometers across. You can actually swim
- 16:18Speaker 2: across the Strait of Hormuz. And why this is important
- 16:22Speaker 2: is the GCC exports 20% of the world's energy to
- 16:31Speaker 2: the Gulf Cooperative Council. So the Gulf Corporate Council are
- 16:35Speaker 2: certain nations in the Middle East that align politically. So
- 16:40Speaker 2: they include Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Oman, Iran, Kuwait.
- 16:48Speaker 2: They've been exporting energy, but not just energy, but also
- 16:54Speaker 2: a lot of byproducts of energy production, including fertilizer, to
- 16:58Speaker 2: the world, primarily East Asia and India. In return, they've
- 17:05Speaker 2: been getting food back. So most people don't appreciate this,
- 17:12Speaker 2: but the GCC actually imports 89% of its food needs.
- 17:17Speaker 2: And the reason why is that they've become so rich
- 17:20Speaker 2: these past few decades that the populations have blown up.
- 17:26Speaker 2: And as a result, they have to feed their population,
- 17:30Speaker 2: but they don't have agricultural resources. They also don't have
- 17:34Speaker 2: water resources. And so they have two major vulnerabilities, which
- 17:39Speaker 2: is food and water. And they have a lot of
- 17:41Speaker 2: desalination plants around the area. And so- What's a desalination plant?
- 17:47Speaker 1: Okay.
- 17:48Speaker 2: So a desalination plant takes salt water from the seas
- 17:53Speaker 2: and then through an electrochemical process, turns it into portable
- 17:57Speaker 2: water that people can use for drinking purposes and for
- 18:03Speaker 2: agricultural purposes. So as you can see, the entire area,
- 18:09Speaker 2: it is extremely vulnerable to drone and missile attacks from Iran.
- 18:15Speaker 2: So that's the second thing that Iran has done, which
- 18:17Speaker 2: Trump did not expect. He didn't expect that the Iranians
- 18:20Speaker 2: would close off the Strait of Hormuz. And how they
- 18:25Speaker 2: managed to close off the ship that moves was just
- 18:28Speaker 2: by threatening to attack any ships that wanted to cross it.
- 18:33Speaker 2: The reason why is that these ships depend on maritime
- 18:38Speaker 2: insurance in order to operate. But if there's a risk,
- 18:41Speaker 2: a very high risk of being destroyed, then you will
- 18:46Speaker 2: not get insurance. So it's not that the Iranians have
- 18:49Speaker 2: said to these ships, you can't cross. It's just that
- 18:51Speaker 2: the insurers refuse to allow these ships to cross because
- 18:55Speaker 2: it's too dangerous.
- 18:56Speaker 1: And Trump didn't, you think they'd consider this before they
- 18:59Speaker 1: started bombing Iran, that Iran would have some leverage in
- 19:03Speaker 1: shutting down such a critical piece of water for, you know,
- 19:09Speaker 1: shipping fertilizer, energy, et cetera. You think that they would
- 19:12Speaker 1: have known this?
- 19:13Speaker 2: Right. So that's what a lot of people say. that
- 19:16Speaker 2: Trump's stupid, that Trump is hotheaded, that he was misled
- 19:21Speaker 2: by the Israelis. And there's good evidence to support this.
- 19:26Speaker 2: But I want to show you something. It's called the
- 19:30Speaker 2: National Defense Strategy. All right? And so this is a
- 19:35Speaker 2: document that was published by the Department of War. And
- 19:39Speaker 2: in it, it explains what the American strategy to maintain
- 19:46Speaker 2: global dominance is. And in the introduction what it says
- 19:51Speaker 2: is that for too long, America has been bullied by
- 19:56Speaker 2: the world. America is a nation that protects the world.
- 20:02Speaker 2: Yet Europe, East Asia takes advantage of American generosity. The
- 20:09Speaker 2: Europeans don't pay for their defense. And so they put
- 20:13Speaker 2: all this money into welfare, into their pension system. The
- 20:17Speaker 2: Chinese have been giving America a bad trade deal. The
- 20:23Speaker 2: Chinese steal American technology and then use it to make
- 20:27Speaker 2: products that they sell back to the Americans. So the
- 20:31Speaker 2: Americans have been getting a really bad deal for decades.
- 20:36Speaker 2: And President Donald Trump He's going to change that by
- 20:40Speaker 2: doing four things, right? The National Defense Strategy calls for
- 20:44Speaker 2: a four-point program to put America first. The first thing
- 20:51Speaker 2: that America's going to do is going to secure the
- 20:57Speaker 2: Western Hemisphere. Why? Because the Western Hemisphere belongs to the
- 21:02Speaker 2: United States.
- 21:03Speaker 1: When you say the Western Hemisphere, what do you mean?
- 21:05Speaker 1: What region is that? Is that Canada as well?
- 21:08Speaker 2: So if you look at a map, we can divide
- 21:11Speaker 2: the map into the Eastern Hemisphere and the Western Hemisphere.
- 21:16Speaker 1: Okay, so everything over here.
- 21:17Speaker 2: Everything, including Greenland, including Canada, including Mexico, every part of
- 21:24Speaker 2: this area belongs to the United States. Therefore, you cannot
- 21:29Speaker 2: trade with any of these countries without American permission, without
- 21:35Speaker 2: paying a tribute to the Americans. And this is why
- 21:40Speaker 2: that the Americans have parked one third of their naval
- 21:44Speaker 2: assets in the Caribbean today. It's to tell the Chinese
- 21:50Speaker 2: and the Russians, back off. You want to come here,
- 21:53Speaker 2: you either pay a tribute or you'll be attacked. Okay,
- 21:59Speaker 2: that's a first point. of this strategy. The Western Hemisphere
- 22:04Speaker 2: belongs to America. Something that they call the Don't Roll Doctrine,
- 22:09Speaker 2: which is Trump's corollary to the Monroe Doctrine. And so
- 22:12Speaker 2: that's point one. Point two is that America wants to
- 22:19Speaker 2: reimagine its relationship with its allies. Basically, NATO needs to
- 22:27Speaker 2: pay for its own defense. NATO needs to go fight Russia,
- 22:32Speaker 2: and Ukraine. America will provide support. It'll provide weapons and financing.
- 22:38Speaker 2: But NATO needs to do more work. And in East Asia,
- 22:43Speaker 2: South Korea and Japan need to do a better job
- 22:48Speaker 2: of keeping China in check. Okay, that's point two. Point
- 22:53Speaker 2: three is specific to China. And the idea is the
- 22:58Speaker 2: United States does not want to destroy China The United
- 23:01Speaker 2: States does not want to humiliate China, but China needs
- 23:05Speaker 2: to be put in its place. China needs to respect
- 23:09Speaker 2: the power and the reach of the United States. And
- 23:14Speaker 2: how the United States is going to do this is
- 23:17Speaker 2: by strangling China economically, right? So if you look at
- 23:22Speaker 2: a map of China, most of its trade goes through
- 23:27Speaker 2: something called the Strait of Malacca. And the Strait of
- 23:30Speaker 2: Malacca is the most important maritime chokepoint in the world.
- 23:34Speaker 2: All America has to do is park naval carriers inside
- 23:39Speaker 2: the Strait of Malacca, and China will lose 90% of
- 23:43Speaker 2: its energy exports.
- 23:44Speaker 1: But if they parked them there, China would still go through, no?
- 23:48Speaker 2: No, because you have to go through the Strait of Malacca.
- 23:50Speaker 2: So America has something called the First Island Chain. The
- 23:54Speaker 2: First Island Chain prevents China from reaching the Pacific Ocean.
- 23:59Speaker 2: The first island chain includes South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, the Philippines,
- 24:04Speaker 2: and Malaysia. That blocks China from reaching out into the Pacific.
- 24:09Speaker 2: So in order for it to access trade, it has
- 24:12Speaker 2: to go through the share of Malacca. And through the
- 24:14Speaker 2: share of Malacca, it can access India, Africa, and the
- 24:20Speaker 2: Middle East. And so by positioning naval carriers there, inside
- 24:28Speaker 2: the state of Malacca, it creates a blockade and China
- 24:32Speaker 2: would have to pay a toll in order to access
- 24:35Speaker 2: the state of Malacca.
- 24:37Speaker 1: And the fourth one?
- 24:38Speaker 2: And the fourth one is to rejuvenate, reinvigorate America's defense
- 24:47Speaker 2: manufacturing sector.
- 24:49Speaker 1: So supercharge the U.S. defense industrial base.
- 24:51Speaker 2: That's exactly correct. Yes.
- 24:53Speaker 1: All right.
- 24:53Speaker 2: So what this means is that the Pentagon is a
- 24:57Speaker 2: few weeks ago, went to Detroit and talked to Ford
- 25:01Speaker 2: and General Motors and said, you know what, because of
- 25:03Speaker 2: this war in Iran, we might need you to stop
- 25:05Speaker 2: making cars and start making more munitions and drones.
- 25:10Speaker 1: How do you know they said that? They published it?
- 25:12Speaker 2: They published it, yes. Really? Yes.
- 25:14Speaker 1: So the United States went to Forbes and GM and said,
- 25:17Speaker 1: we might need you to start making weapons with your factories.
- 25:19Speaker 2: Yes, and they're happy doing this because the product margins
- 25:21Speaker 2: are much greater for weapons than for cars. This is
- 25:25Speaker 2: the Pentagon, so you can charge them as much as
- 25:27Speaker 2: you want, and they'll pay for it. Whereas you make cars,
- 25:31Speaker 2: it's for the consumer market, and they may not buy
- 25:33Speaker 2: your cars, right? So if you're like Ford or General Motors,
- 25:37Speaker 2: the best deal in the world is to go make
- 25:41Speaker 2: weapons for the Pentagon to fight these wars in the
- 25:44Speaker 2: Middle East that can go on for forever. So we're
- 25:47Speaker 2: in a situation where, okay, look, if you read the news,
- 25:50Speaker 2: if you talk to a lot of people, Trump's an idiot.
- 25:54Speaker 2: And this war in Iran makes no sense at all.
- 25:58Speaker 2: But then if you just read the National Defense Strategy
- 26:02Speaker 2: that is on the Department of War website, and anyone
- 26:05Speaker 2: can go there and download it for free and read
- 26:07Speaker 2: it themselves, it's a very clear roadmap of what America
- 26:11Speaker 2: needs to do in order to maintain imperial hegemony. And
- 26:15Speaker 2: so let's just summarize the major points. The first major
- 26:18Speaker 2: point is to maintain control over the Western Hemisphere and
- 26:24Speaker 2: create a fortress America.
- 26:26Speaker 1: Which is why he invaded Venezuela and he says he's
- 26:28Speaker 1: going to invade Cuba.
- 26:30Speaker 2: Exactly.
- 26:30Speaker 1: And also Greenland.
- 26:32Speaker 2: Look at all the countries that he's named over the
- 26:34Speaker 2: past year. Greenland, Canada, Mexico, Venezuela, Cuba, Colombia, Nicaragua, Honduras.
- 26:43Speaker 2: It's all... the Western Hemisphere, right? And they're all together.
- 26:49Speaker 2: Second point is to create divided rule all around the world.
- 26:53Speaker 2: So imagine a situation where in Europe, NATO fights Russia
- 26:58Speaker 2: in Ukraine. In East Asia, China fights South Korea and Japan.
- 27:05Speaker 2: In the Middle East, Iran fights the GCC allied with Israel.
- 27:11Speaker 2: What does America do? America can now sell everyone weapons
- 27:15Speaker 2: and resources and finance it. This will be back to
- 27:20Speaker 2: World War II.
- 27:21Speaker 1: But it makes them weaker as well, generally.
- 27:23Speaker 2: That's the point. Yeah. Right? And then what would happen
- 27:26Speaker 2: is that $ 40 trillion that America has in debt, it
- 27:30Speaker 2: would disappear because it would be absorbed by the world. Right?
- 27:34Speaker 2: So you can say, look, Trump's an idiot. But if
- 27:38Speaker 2: you actually look at a map and how... America wants
- 27:42Speaker 2: this world map to play out, it makes perfect sense.
- 27:47Speaker 1: So the war is going well for Trump?
- 27:51Speaker 2: The war is going very well for Trump. Really?
- 27:53Speaker 1: Yes. But you said in your prediction that he would
- 27:56Speaker 1: lose the war.
- 27:57Speaker 3: Right.
- 27:57Speaker 1: What's your definition of lose the war?
- 28:00Speaker 2: Losing the war means that America would send ground troops.
- 28:04Speaker 2: Iran would survive this ground invasion. And this would be
- 28:10Speaker 2: so politically damaging that chaos breaks out in the United
- 28:15Speaker 2: States and the US ground invasion is forced to retreat
- 28:21Speaker 2: and the United States is forced to retreat from the
- 28:24Speaker 2: Middle East.
- 28:25Speaker 1: And you still think that's going to happen?
- 28:26Speaker 2: I still think that's going to happen.
- 28:27Speaker 1: So you think the United States is going to put
- 28:28Speaker 1: ground troops in, Iran are going to resist, and then
- 28:31Speaker 1: chaos is going to break out in the United States?
- 28:33Speaker 2: Yes. So let me explain to you why ground troops
- 28:36Speaker 2: has to be sent.
- 28:37Speaker 1: Okay.
- 28:37Speaker 2: All right. Okay. So in phase one of this war,
- 28:42Speaker 2: which started February 28th, which lasted for about six weeks,
- 28:46Speaker 2: the intention was to decapitate the regime. And you do
- 28:50Speaker 2: that by striking Tehran. And you do that by striking
- 28:54Speaker 2: the military bases and installations throughout Iran. It's what the
- 28:59Speaker 2: Americans call sharpen all. And the point is to force
- 29:04Speaker 2: the Iranians to call UNCO. But that's not what happened.
- 29:07Speaker 1: To give up.
- 29:08Speaker 2: To give up, basically. Because what the Iranians did was
- 29:11Speaker 2: they responded by attacking U.S. bases throughout the GCC. They
- 29:18Speaker 2: closed off the Strait of Hormuz and they rallied their people.
- 29:28Speaker 2: So rather than surrender, the Iranians basically doubled down. That's
- 29:33Speaker 2: phase two of the war. Now we've gone to phase
- 29:36Speaker 2: three of the war where Trump Perspective. that decapitation does
- 29:41Speaker 2: not work. And so what Trump's going to do is
- 29:46Speaker 2: he's going to impose a naval blockade on Iran's naval blockade, right?
- 29:54Speaker 2: And so the question then is, if Trump understands that
- 29:58Speaker 2: decapitation does not work, Then using game theory.
- 30:02Speaker 1: What's game theory?
- 30:03Speaker 2: Game theory is the belief that all the world is
- 30:09Speaker 2: governed by rules and incentives. And once you understand the
- 30:13Speaker 2: rules and incentives, you can predict how people behave. These
- 30:19Speaker 2: people will always behave according to their best interests. So
- 30:24Speaker 2: in geopolitics, the nation states are individual players. And each
- 30:31Speaker 2: nation state is trying to use its resources and its
- 30:37Speaker 2: advantages in order to pressure other nation states to obey it. Okay? So,
- 30:45Speaker 2: Trump recognizes that the Iranians have closed off their circle
- 30:48Speaker 2: of moves, but not only that, but the Iranians have
- 30:51Speaker 2: also used their circle of moves to finance the war,
- 30:54Speaker 2: meaning that now they're forcing ships to pay a toll
- 30:58Speaker 2: of $ 2 million. in order to cross it. And so
- 31:02Speaker 2: this is a huge advantage for the Iranians. And so
- 31:04Speaker 2: Trump has said, no, I'm going to blockade your blockade,
- 31:09Speaker 2: negating Iran's advantage over the Strait of Hormuz. So we
- 31:13Speaker 2: think about it, again, using game theory, I want to
- 31:15Speaker 2: discuss what the Americans will do in order to force
- 31:20Speaker 2: the Iranians to capitulate. So I would say there's a
- 31:24Speaker 2: three point strategy. The first strategy is economic strangulation. You
- 31:32Speaker 2: basically destroy the state's capacity to finance the war. And
- 31:36Speaker 2: there are two ways that Iran is financing the war
- 31:39Speaker 2: so far. The first is using oil exports, right? 90%
- 31:44Speaker 2: of Iran's oil goes to China. And this is Karg Island.
- 31:52Speaker 2: This little spot here is Karg Island. And this is
- 31:54Speaker 2: where Iran.
- 31:57Speaker 2: Will export 90% of its oil overseas. That's the first mechanism.
- 32:02Speaker 2: Second mechanism is a strategy that moves, where the rains
- 32:05Speaker 2: now can collect tolls, right? So what you have to
- 32:10Speaker 2: do is you have to eliminate both of these finance mechanisms.
- 32:15Speaker 2: You can close off both when they block it, okay?
- 32:18Speaker 2: So that's strategy one. Strategy two is you need to
- 32:27Speaker 2: create as much chaos within Iran as possible. You want
- 32:32Speaker 2: to turn this fortress into a prison. And the way
- 32:36Speaker 2: you do that is by storing up ethnic tensions in
- 32:40Speaker 2: the country. So if you look at an ethnic map
- 32:45Speaker 2: of Iran, what you will discover is that the Persian
- 32:49Speaker 2: people are primarily in this area, in the middle of
- 32:53Speaker 2: the country. But if you go to the borderlands, okay,
- 32:58Speaker 2: the border areas, it's primarily ethnic minorities. And there are
- 33:02Speaker 2: two ethnic minorities in the country that have always been
- 33:06Speaker 2: problematic for the government. The first problematic people are called
- 33:11Speaker 2: Bullocks here.
- 33:13Speaker 4: In Southeast Iran by the Pakistani border.
- 33:22Speaker 2: They have a history of insurgency against the government. Second
- 33:27Speaker 2: people that have been problematic are the Kurds, who are
- 33:31Speaker 2: primarily in the northwest of the country. So if you
- 33:39Speaker 2: are the U.S. government, if you are the military, your
- 33:43Speaker 2: strategy is to establish forward operating bases in these areas.
- 33:50Speaker 2: A forward operating base is a spearhead of the military,
- 33:56Speaker 2: where you insert ground troops to hold an area in
- 34:00Speaker 2: order to resupply, in order to push further into the territory.
- 34:05Speaker 1: Okay, so a forward operating base would be the US
- 34:08Speaker 1: putting troops into the northwest and the southeast, and then
- 34:15Speaker 1: using that as a way to move forward into Iran?
- 34:18Speaker 2: No, you don't want to move forward into Iran because
- 34:21Speaker 2: it's too large. You don't have enough forces to move
- 34:24Speaker 2: into Iran. What you want to do is this. You
- 34:27Speaker 2: want to establish fort operating bases in these areas in
- 34:30Speaker 2: order to arm and train ethnic insurgents that you can
- 34:37Speaker 2: also finance as well. And you do this because you
- 34:42Speaker 2: want to turn them into cannon fodder. You have to
- 34:45Speaker 2: force a response from the Iranian military. So if they
- 34:48Speaker 2: come in with the army in order to quell these rebellions,
- 34:55Speaker 2: that's great because now you can use your air power
- 34:58Speaker 2: to decimate the Iranian military. Your problem right now is
- 35:02Speaker 2: the Iranian military is hiding inside mountains. And so you
- 35:06Speaker 2: want to force them out in the open. And so
- 35:08Speaker 2: you want to create as many points of tension in
- 35:11Speaker 2: the country as possible to force the Iranian military to respond, right?
- 35:17Speaker 2: Does that make sense?
- 35:17Speaker 1: Okay.
- 35:19Speaker 2: And now your third strategy is to strangle the capital, Tehran.
- 35:26Speaker 2: And that's where the political elite are. Well, it's sort
- 35:30Speaker 2: of 10 million people. And the way you strangle Tehran
- 35:34Speaker 2: is you deny them three things. You deny them water, electricity,
- 35:40Speaker 2: and food. So you attack power plants. You attack reservoirs.
- 35:47Speaker 2: You attack railways that bring food into the capital. And
- 35:54Speaker 2: when you do that, these 10 million people in Iran
- 35:59Speaker 2: will now oppose the government and demand a political settlement
- 36:03Speaker 2: because they need food, water, and electricity to survive.
- 36:08Speaker 1: Is there a government?
- 36:10Speaker 2: Right now, this debate as to the true extent of
- 36:15Speaker 2: leadership in Iran.
- 36:17Speaker 1: Because Trump's recent interviews, he's claiming that the leadership in
- 36:22Speaker 1: Iran are fighting themselves, but then he's also saying in
- 36:24Speaker 1: other interviews that they don't even know who they're dealing with. Exactly.
- 36:29Speaker 2: Iran has a very unusual political system in that it's
- 36:34Speaker 2: a theocracy. It's a religious government. It's run by clerics
- 36:38Speaker 2: called the mullahs, in theory. And then there's a parallel system,
- 36:42Speaker 2: a state apparatus, that actually takes care of day-to-day bureaucracy,
- 36:47Speaker 2: and that's secular. The Mullahs control the morality of the country.
- 36:52Speaker 2: They also control foreign affairs. So basically, this is important
- 36:57Speaker 2: because Iran has two parallel military structures. You have the military,
- 37:04Speaker 2: but you also have The IRGC. The IRGC are only
- 37:10Speaker 2: loyal to the Mullahs.
- 37:11Speaker 1: Which is the religious part.
- 37:13Speaker 2: Exactly. All right. So you have this divide in the
- 37:16Speaker 2: country where the IRGC... see this as a religious war,
- 37:21Speaker 2: as a crusade to kill the great Satan, and they
- 37:24Speaker 2: want to fight to the death.
- 37:25Speaker 1: And the great Satan is?
- 37:26Speaker 2: The great Satan is the American Empire.
- 37:29Speaker 1: Okay.
- 37:29Speaker 2: Which is the source of the misery that Iran has
- 37:33Speaker 2: been suffering for the past few decades. And they already see,
- 37:36Speaker 2: not only do they see... America has a great Satan,
- 37:40Speaker 2: but they also see this as a global conflict because
- 37:43Speaker 2: they have proxies that support their beliefs, including here in Lebanon, Hezbollah,
- 37:49Speaker 2: including here in Yemen, the Houthis, and of course in Palestine, Hamas.
- 37:56Speaker 2: And before, Syria was also part of their axis of resistance,
- 38:01Speaker 2: but Syria has been toppled by the Americans and the Israelis.
- 38:05Speaker 2: So the IRGC sees this as a religious crusade that
- 38:09Speaker 2: is global in nature. The political leadership in Tehran sees
- 38:13Speaker 2: it completely different. They see this as a conflict primarily
- 38:17Speaker 2: between America and Iran, and they want to reach a
- 38:20Speaker 2: political settlement as soon as possible. And so, in other words,
- 38:25Speaker 2: these ceasefire negotiations, it's really all for show. Because at
- 38:31Speaker 2: the end of the day, even if the Americans gave
- 38:33Speaker 2: the Iranians everything they wanted, The IRGC still controls the battlefield,
- 38:41Speaker 2: and they would not surrender or seek peace terms lightly.
- 38:47Speaker 2: Another problem in this situation is the IRGC practices something
- 38:51Speaker 2: called the Mosaic Strategy. Mosaic. The idea of the Mosaic
- 38:56Speaker 2: Strategy is, okay, you know the Americans, the most effective
- 39:01Speaker 2: military ever in human history. You know that they practice
- 39:04Speaker 2: shock and awe, decapitation. So how do you respond to that?
- 39:08Speaker 2: You respond to that using decentralization. 31 provinces in the
- 39:13Speaker 2: country with their own command and control that is localized.
- 39:17Speaker 1: So basically they have 31 different armies that have their
- 39:20Speaker 1: own leadership.
- 39:21Speaker 2: That's correct. Okay. And when you do this, it's a
- 39:23Speaker 2: fight to the finish.
- 39:24Speaker 1: Why did they do that?
- 39:26Speaker 2: They did it because the Americans possess the most sophisticated
- 39:31Speaker 2: surveillance technology in the world, meaning they can easily identify
- 39:36Speaker 2: the leadership and they can easily track you down and
- 39:40Speaker 2: kill you. So the only way around that is to
- 39:42Speaker 2: decentralize the leadership and spread it around the country so
- 39:47Speaker 2: that the Americans cannot kill everyone.
- 39:49Speaker 1: How does the central government orchestrate 31 different armies in Iran?
- 39:53Speaker 1: How does it get a message out to them? I
- 39:55Speaker 1: heard Peter Hegseth make a comment in one of the
- 39:58Speaker 1: interviews saying that it takes some time for the pigeons
- 40:01Speaker 1: to get out to the armies. And what he was
- 40:04Speaker 1: saying basically is that when the ceasefire was called and
- 40:08Speaker 1: there were still some missiles flying, he was basically saying
- 40:10Speaker 1: that's just because it takes a long time to tell
- 40:12Speaker 1: the 31 different armies to stop.
- 40:14Speaker 2: The reality is that given the Mosaic strategy, there's actually
- 40:18Speaker 2: no way to coordinate these 31 different military operations. Because
- 40:26Speaker 2: the Mosaic strategy was meant to fight to the very end.
- 40:31Speaker 2: You do not stop until you completely control the Middle
- 40:34Speaker 2: East and the Americans have been forced out of the
- 40:37Speaker 2: Middle East and Israel has been humbled.
- 40:42Speaker 1: Okay.
- 40:43Speaker 2: So let's go into the specifics of what the Mosaic
- 40:45Speaker 2: strategy is. The idea is that they have an eschatology.
- 40:51Speaker 2: So an eschatology is an understanding of how the world
- 40:55Speaker 2: should be and how we move towards this world. And
- 41:02Speaker 2: for the Iranians, their eschatology is that Iran, in order
- 41:07Speaker 2: to reach its true potential, needs to be master of
- 41:12Speaker 2: the Muslim world. It needs to displace Saudi Arabia because
- 41:16Speaker 2: Saudi Arabia is too aligned the United States, which is
- 41:19Speaker 2: the great Satan. Mecca and Medina are under the influence
- 41:24Speaker 2: of the great Satan, because why are there US military
- 41:28Speaker 2: bases in Saudi Arabia? So this war, from their perspective,
- 41:35Speaker 2: it's a great opportunity to overthrow the corrupt leadership of
- 41:39Speaker 2: Saudi Arabia, but not only Saudi Arabia, but the entire GCC,
- 41:42Speaker 2: overthrow the corrupt governments of the entire Muslim world, and
- 41:47Speaker 2: install governments that put God, Allah, first.
- 41:54Speaker 1: So they're not going to quit Iran?
- 41:57Speaker 2: This war, once it starts, can only lead to World
- 42:02Speaker 2: War III.
- 42:03Speaker 1: That's a strong statement to make. As a probability, what
- 42:07Speaker 1: probability would you assign to that claim?
- 42:09Speaker 2: I would put it pretty high, anywhere between 80% to
- 42:12Speaker 2: 90% probability.
- 42:14Speaker 1: So that's certainty?
- 42:16Speaker 2: Basically certainty, yes.
- 42:17Speaker 1: Explain to me how that happens.
- 42:19Speaker 2: Okay. So we need to step back and appreciate that
- 42:26Speaker 2: there's a global dynamic going on.
- 42:27Speaker 1: Mm-hmm. Okay?
- 42:29Speaker 2: And we need to appreciate the grand strategy of the
- 42:32Speaker 2: different players involved. Mm-hmm.
- 42:34Speaker 3: All right.
- 42:34Speaker 2: So what I'm going to do is this. I'm going
- 42:39Speaker 2: to explain to you how each nation sees itself in
- 42:45Speaker 2: the world. Mm-hmm. Okay. And to do that, I'm going
- 42:48Speaker 2: to use a chess set. Okay. Okay. All right. This
- 42:51Speaker 2: is the key. This is a political system of the
- 42:56Speaker 2: United States, which is democracy. And there are certain strengths
- 43:00Speaker 2: and weaknesses to a democracy. Democracy is vibrant. It's creative.
- 43:05Speaker 2: It's flexible. But its ultimate weakness is polarization, where today it's,
- 43:13Speaker 2: There are different political factions refusing to get along, and
- 43:15Speaker 2: this may bring up the Civil War, okay? So the
- 43:18Speaker 2: way you defeat the United States is not to conquer it.
- 43:22Speaker 2: You can never conquer the United States. The way to
- 43:24Speaker 2: defeat the United States is to force it into a
- 43:27Speaker 2: civil war, which then kills the king.
- 43:30Speaker 1: To get its people to rise up against the leadership.
- 43:33Speaker 2: No, you want the Democrats and the Republicans to form
- 43:36Speaker 2: different factions and fight a civil war.
- 43:38Speaker 1: Okay.
- 43:39Speaker 2: You want to create so much political polarization, the different
- 43:41Speaker 2: elite factions... take up arms against each other, okay? So
- 43:45Speaker 2: this is the political system, okay? Democracy. Now let's look
- 43:49Speaker 2: at the queen. What's the queen? The queen is what
- 43:52Speaker 2: I refer to as the grand strategy of the United States.
- 43:57Speaker 2: How the United States can maintain its control over the
- 44:00Speaker 2: entire world. And the grand strategy, it's already outlined in
- 44:03Speaker 2: the national defense strategy, right? Let's create fortress America and
- 44:08Speaker 2: then create chaos for the entire world so that we
- 44:12Speaker 2: can sell everyone weapons and resources. That's a grand strategy. Now,
- 44:18Speaker 2: once you have a grand strategy, you need to implement
- 44:21Speaker 2: this grand strategy. So you need attack vectors. The attack
- 44:25Speaker 2: vectors are the rook, the bishop, and the knight. So
- 44:31Speaker 2: let's go over the three major attack vectors of the
- 44:33Speaker 2: United States. They are, first of all, America's technological supremacy.
- 44:39Speaker 1: So these are basically the tools that they use to
- 44:41Speaker 1: attack others.
- 44:42Speaker 2: Exactly. In order to achieve their grand strategy.
- 44:44Speaker 1: All right.
- 44:44Speaker 2: So aero supremacy, right?
- 44:46Speaker 1: Which is the planes and stuff like that.
- 44:49Speaker 2: Then you have the US dollar, right? Because the US
- 44:54Speaker 2: dollar allows you to finance everything. And everyone wants the
- 45:01Speaker 2: US dollar, okay? So that is the second attack vector.
- 45:06Speaker 2: The third attack vector is propaganda. Meaning the United States
- 45:09Speaker 2: controls the world's most powerful media, including New York Times, CNN.
- 45:14Speaker 2: And as such, they can control the narrative of the world. Okay?
- 45:18Speaker 2: So these are the three major attack vectors. Now, they
- 45:22Speaker 2: use the pawns. Now, pawns are weapons that they can
- 45:26Speaker 2: sacrifice in order to achieve their grand strategy. And in
- 45:30Speaker 2: the case of the United States, the pawn are the allies. Meaning,
- 45:36Speaker 2: I hate to say this, but the UK, Europe, South Korea,
- 45:47Speaker 2: and Japan, okay? And also the entire Western hemisphere. This
- 45:54Speaker 2: is the Americans, okay? The people who are most opposed
- 46:00Speaker 2: to this grand strategy of Americans are the Russians. So
- 46:03Speaker 2: let's go over the Russian system. In the Russian system,
- 46:09Speaker 2: The king, the political system, it's an autocracy. And an autocracy,
- 46:13Speaker 2: it's good because it allows for coronation. It allows for decisiveness.
- 46:18Speaker 2: It allows for resolve.
- 46:22Speaker 1: Long-term thinking.
- 46:23Speaker 2: Exactly, right? That's Putin. What's bad is if this guy dies,
- 46:31Speaker 2: there's a secession crisis, right? So basically, once you topple
- 46:36Speaker 2: the autocrat, then the system itself breaks down. So that's
- 46:41Speaker 2: the Russian system. For the Russians, a great strategy is
- 46:45Speaker 2: something called the Third Rome Strategy.
- 46:48Speaker 1: The Third Rome Strategy.
- 46:49Speaker 2: Yes. So the people in Russia believe that they are
- 46:53Speaker 2: the true successors to the Roman Empire. And previously, there
- 46:57Speaker 2: were two Roms. There was the First Rome, then it
- 47:00Speaker 2: moved to Constantinople, and Moscow is destined to be the
- 47:06Speaker 2: Third Rome. And what makes Moscow Interesting is that it
- 47:11Speaker 2: wants to unite the entire Christian world under its leadership.
- 47:18Speaker 2: The main philosopher for the Third Rome Strategy is Alexander Dugin,
- 47:22Speaker 2: who in 1997 wrote a book called Foundation of Geopolitics.
- 47:26Speaker 2: And what he said was this. What he said that
- 47:28Speaker 2: if Russia is to defeat the Americans, it needs to
- 47:30Speaker 2: build alliances throughout Eurasia in order to negate American sea
- 47:35Speaker 2: power and Arab supremacy. All right? So what are the
- 47:39Speaker 2: attack vectors for Russia? The first attack vector, the size
- 47:46Speaker 2: of the country makes it almost invincible. So think about
- 47:50Speaker 2: World War II, Operation Barbarossa. The Germans went into Russia
- 47:54Speaker 2: with six, seven million men, and it didn't get very far.
- 47:57Speaker 2: So the terrain is very important. The geography is very important.
- 48:02Speaker 2: Then you have the Orthodox religion, which is meant... to
- 48:07Speaker 2: galvanize believers into supporting Russia. The third attack vector is artillery.
- 48:15Speaker 2: So Russia has the best land army in the world.
- 48:19Speaker 2: And we're seeing that play out in Ukraine where a
- 48:23Speaker 2: combination of Russian artillery and drones, it's devastating the Ukrainian
- 48:27Speaker 2: military in Ukraine. The pawns for Russia are its soldiers.
- 48:33Speaker 2: So Russia is able to sustain many, many casualties in
- 48:40Speaker 2: his military. If you actually go and interview Russian soldiers,
- 48:45Speaker 2: they are probably the bravest soldiers in the world. They
- 48:48Speaker 2: are literally not afraid to die for what they believe in, okay?
- 48:52Speaker 2: So this is the Russian third-world strategy. You can see
- 48:56Speaker 2: how it conflicts with the Americans, okay? Now we go
- 49:01Speaker 2: to the Israelis. Jerusalem, the capital, It's a mixed system,
- 49:06Speaker 2: meaning it's both democracy as well as a theocracy. And
- 49:11Speaker 2: it's good in that the Israelis are very creative, but
- 49:16Speaker 2: the fundamental weakness is the division within society, where Tel
- 49:20Speaker 2: Aviv and Jerusalem don't get along. So that is the
- 49:25Speaker 2: political system of Israel. The grand strategy of Israel is
- 49:30Speaker 2: called the Greater Israel Project. So the Israelis believe that
- 49:34Speaker 2: the entire Middle East belongs to them, from the Nile
- 49:38Speaker 2: to the Euphrates. because that's what it says in the Bible.
- 49:41Speaker 2: This is what God, Yahweh, promised Abraham. So their intention
- 49:47Speaker 2: is to conquer the entire Middle East, including Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Lebanon,
- 49:54Speaker 2: even parts of Turkey. Now, let's look at the attack
- 49:59Speaker 2: vectors for the Israelis. The first attack vector is Mossad.
- 50:09Speaker 2: Mossad is the most powerful intelligence agency in the world
- 50:15Speaker 2: in that it is able to infiltrate and undermine different
- 50:20Speaker 2: political systems.
- 50:21Speaker 1: And Mossad, for anyone that doesn't know, is their secret service.
- 50:24Speaker 2: Basically, yes.
- 50:25Speaker 1: Their spy system.
- 50:26Speaker 2: Second attack vector for the Israelis is the Jewish diaspora
- 50:33Speaker 2: because Jews do business everywhere around the world. And Jewish
- 50:38Speaker 2: businessmen work very closely with Mossad. And as such, they
- 50:43Speaker 2: have influence in a lot of places that they shouldn't have.
- 50:47Speaker 2: And the third attack vector is the Bible. Why? Because
- 50:54Speaker 2: if you're a Christian, and there are many Christians who
- 50:56Speaker 2: believe this, you believe that the Jews are God's chosen people.
- 51:02Speaker 2: So if you look at what's happening in the Middle East,
- 51:06Speaker 2: all this conflict between Israel and Palestine, a lot of
- 51:09Speaker 2: this conflict is being supported politically in the United States
- 51:13Speaker 2: by a group of people called Christian Zionists. And these
- 51:16Speaker 2: are Christians. They're not Jews. They're Christians who believe that
- 51:21Speaker 2: Israel should achieve the greater Israel project because this is
- 51:25Speaker 2: part of God's plan. And the pawns for the Israelis
- 51:30Speaker 2: are basically everyone else, okay? So a lot of the
- 51:36Speaker 2: hardware underpinning The global IT infrastructure is being controlled by
- 51:42Speaker 2: the Israelis. So now we go to the fourth player
- 51:47Speaker 2: in this great game, and that's Iran. So Iran, it
- 51:51Speaker 2: is a theocracy. People are not afraid to die for
- 51:54Speaker 2: what they believe in in Iran. But the weakness is
- 51:57Speaker 2: that it can alienate the majority of the population because
- 52:00Speaker 2: only a minority are religious zealots in Iran. Most people
- 52:06Speaker 2: just want to live a decent life So if they
- 52:09Speaker 2: feel that these Mullahs, the IRGC, are a threat to
- 52:15Speaker 2: their peace and prosperity, then they might rise up against
- 52:17Speaker 2: the Mullahs.
- 52:18Speaker 1: Which is what we've seen over the years, right?
- 52:20Speaker 2: Exactly. So this is the political system of the Iranians.
- 52:24Speaker 2: Their grand strategy is to unite the Muslim world under leadership.
- 52:29Speaker 2: They have three attack vectors, okay? The first attack vector
- 52:34Speaker 2: are their proxies. Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis. Another attack
- 52:40Speaker 2: vector is their asymmetrical warfare, meaning using drones and missiles
- 52:47Speaker 2: to create as much economic damage as possible. And the
- 52:50Speaker 2: third attack vector is their geography or their topography. They
- 52:56Speaker 2: are a fortress, so it's almost impossible to invade them.
- 53:01Speaker 2: So that's their Shia militiamen, these religious zealots who are
- 53:05Speaker 2: not afraid to die. Essentially, they're all many of them
- 53:09Speaker 2: could be suicide bombers. And so for them, this is
- 53:13Speaker 2: a religious war. So now we're seeing how this entire
- 53:18Speaker 2: battlefield unfolds across the world. So I've mapped out the
- 53:23Speaker 2: grand strategy of these different nation states who will be
- 53:27Speaker 2: involved in World War III. Let's look at our present situation.
- 53:32Speaker 2: So what we have so far is that the Russians
- 53:36Speaker 2: occupied with their army in Ukraine. This is where their infantry,
- 53:42Speaker 2: their artillery is based. At the same time, Russia has
- 53:46Speaker 2: something called the shuttle fleet. And these are about a
- 53:49Speaker 2: thousand tankers that evade sanctions around the world. And this
- 53:55Speaker 2: is essentially their navy. America is the most powerful military
- 54:01Speaker 2: in the world. They have the most sophisticated air supremacy,
- 54:06Speaker 2: as well as control over the sea lanes. And it
- 54:08Speaker 2: tries not to use infantry because that creates civilian casualties
- 54:13Speaker 2: and that pisses everyone off in America. The Israelis are
- 54:18Speaker 2: essentially a mercenary army aligned with the American empire, doing
- 54:23Speaker 2: a bidding of the American empire. It's fighting against Lebanon
- 54:29Speaker 2: as well as Iran. The Iranians, they don't have much
- 54:33Speaker 2: of an air force. but they use a lot of
- 54:36Speaker 2: drones to threaten. So this is where we are so far.
- 54:41Speaker 2: According to the grand strategy, we can predict how they
- 54:45Speaker 2: will make their moves over the next few months or
- 54:48Speaker 2: next few years. America doesn't really care about this war
- 54:53Speaker 2: in Iran because what America wants to do is force
- 54:57Speaker 2: the entire world to become dependent on American weapons and resources.
- 55:04Speaker 2: And you do that in two ways. The first is
- 55:06Speaker 2: you control the strategic choke points of the world. And
- 55:12Speaker 2: they include the state of Hormuz. But you also want
- 55:15Speaker 2: to control the state of Malacca, or over here, because
- 55:19Speaker 2: that blocks off East Asia. You also want to control
- 55:22Speaker 2: the Panama Canal. You also want to control Greenland. You
- 55:25Speaker 2: also want to control the state of Gibraltar. You can
- 55:27Speaker 2: see the American Navy expanding outwards and occupying all these
- 55:31Speaker 2: maritime choke points. At the same time, you want to
- 55:35Speaker 2: use your technological supremacy, your aerial supremacy, your drones, to
- 55:39Speaker 2: destroy the world's critical energy infrastructure. Already, we're seeing oil
- 55:45Speaker 2: refineries being destroyed throughout the world.
- 55:48Speaker 1: Oil refineries.
- 55:49Speaker 2: Oil refineries, yes. So you, as America, you're trying to
- 55:53Speaker 2: deplete the world's energy inventory so they're forced to beg
- 55:58Speaker 2: you to supply energy. And once this market is created,
- 56:04Speaker 2: then you can build infrastructure for Venezuela. You can take
- 56:08Speaker 2: over Canada. You can control Mexico. You can take over Greenland, okay?
- 56:13Speaker 2: The Russians have no choice but to respond because if
- 56:19Speaker 2: the Americans are controlling the strategic control points, your shadow
- 56:23Speaker 2: fleet is rendered redundant, useless. So how do you ship
- 56:31Speaker 2: your oil to around the world. Well, you have two options.
- 56:36Speaker 2: I'm just going to build railways to unite the Eurasian continent, okay?
- 56:40Speaker 2: And I'll transport my oil using pipelines and railways. The
- 56:44Speaker 2: problem with that is now that you're vulnerable to American
- 56:48Speaker 2: aero supremacy, drone attacks. So you have no choice but
- 56:53Speaker 2: to arm your shuttle fleet. And now what's going to
- 56:57Speaker 2: happen is this continental oceans between Russian shuttle fleet fleet
- 57:04Speaker 2: tankers that are trying to transport oil around the world,
- 57:07Speaker 2: and these American destroyers who are trying to capture or
- 57:12Speaker 2: destroy these shuttle tankers. Now, the advantage that Russia has
- 57:18Speaker 2: is that America doesn't have that much naval assets anymore.
- 57:22Speaker 2: It used to, but not anymore. The other thing is
- 57:25Speaker 2: that the world really needs energy. So you can imagine
- 57:28Speaker 2: China financing the militarization of the Russian shuttle fleet.
- 57:34Speaker 1: Why would the US try and stop Russian boats?
- 57:39Speaker 2: Because in this global outlook, there are two nations that
- 57:45Speaker 2: could provide weapons and resources to the rest of the world.
- 57:50Speaker 2: They are Russia and they are America. So if America
- 57:53Speaker 2: has become dominant, it needs to blockade Russia. And when
- 57:56Speaker 2: you do that, it's by seizing their shuttle fleet.
- 58:00Speaker 1: But if that happened, that would be an act of war.
- 58:02Speaker 2: But it's already happening.
- 58:03Speaker 1: Really?
- 58:04Speaker 2: Yes, it's already happening.
- 58:05Speaker 1: Where?
- 58:06Speaker 2: Iranian tankers have been seized by the Americans and tankers
- 58:12Speaker 2: are being seized in the Caribbean as well by the
- 58:15Speaker 2: American Navy.
- 58:16Speaker 1: Whose tankers?
- 58:18Speaker 2: I believe they are Russian tankers.
- 58:21Speaker 1: Yes, the United States has indeed been seizing tankers linked
- 58:24Speaker 1: to Russia. A major escalation occurred earlier this year on
- 58:27Speaker 1: January the 7th, 2026, when the US military and Coast
- 58:29Speaker 1: Guard intercepted two sanctioned Shadow Fleet oil tankers While one
- 58:34Speaker 1: was seized directly in the Caribbean, the other involved a
- 58:37Speaker 1: dramatic chase that started in the Caribbean and ended in
- 58:40Speaker 1: the North Atlantic. US forces captured this sanctioned tanker during
- 58:45Speaker 1: a pre-dawn raid directly in the Caribbean Sea. The US
- 58:48Speaker 1: military described it as a stateless sanctioned dark fleet vessel
- 58:53Speaker 1: which was engaged in illicit activities. These seizures are part
- 58:58Speaker 1: of Operation Southern Spear, a strict enforcement of the US
- 59:02Speaker 1: embargo on Venezuelan oil exports. Both vessels were targeted for
- 59:06Speaker 1: violating U.S. sanctions by transporting illicit crude oil linked to Venezuela,
- 59:11Speaker 1: as well as Iran and Hezbollah.
- 59:14Speaker 2: And as you point out, this is an act of war.
- 59:16Speaker 1: So those were ships that didn't have a country linked
- 59:20Speaker 1: to them directly.
- 59:21Speaker 2: That's why they're called shuttle fleet tankers.
- 59:22Speaker 1: Okay.
- 59:23Speaker 2: Yes. But they're essentially Russian.
- 59:25Speaker 1: But they were essentially shipping oil outside of the United
- 59:28Speaker 1: States that the United States wouldn't control. Is that kind
- 59:31Speaker 1: of- That is correct, yes. Okay.
- 59:32Speaker 2: Yes.
- 59:33Speaker 1: So- So the US said, listen, this is our oil,
- 59:35Speaker 1: get lost.
- 59:36Speaker 2: That is correct, yes. Right? So what the United States
- 59:39Speaker 2: is doing, it's slowly expanding its global reach. And the
- 59:42Speaker 2: way it's doing that is by setting treaties with nations
- 59:45Speaker 2: that are part of these choke points. So the Strait
- 59:47Speaker 2: of Malacca, which the United States has signed a military
- 59:50Speaker 2: cooperation agreement with Indonesia. And with the Strait of Gibraltar-
- 59:54Speaker 2: the Americans have signed an agreement now with Morocco, right?
- 59:57Speaker 2: So they are looking for the legal framework and justification
- 1:00:00Speaker 2: to control the world's choke points, which would bring them
- 1:00:04Speaker 2: directly in conflict with the Russian shadow fleet.
- 1:00:06Speaker 1: So at some point, you think the way that the
- 1:00:08Speaker 1: war starts is the U.S. Navy attacks a Russian boat.
- 1:00:16Speaker 2: So I personally believe that this would be a drawn-out
- 1:00:19Speaker 2: process that, and there's no real concrete flashpoint. Because not
- 1:00:24Speaker 2: only are Russian shadow fleet tankers being seized, but remember,
- 1:00:31Speaker 2: Russian Orway foundries are being destroyed by Ukrainian drones. The
- 1:00:34Speaker 2: Russians believe that it is NATO that is responsible for
- 1:00:37Speaker 2: the sabotage.
- 1:00:38Speaker 1: So what do you think the catalyst moment is when
- 1:00:42Speaker 1: this all kicks off?
- 1:00:43Speaker 2: I think we're already in the catalyst moment. I think
- 1:00:45Speaker 2: we're already in World War III. Because this conflict, it's
- 1:00:49Speaker 2: going to expand outwards. into a global conflict. And there's
- 1:00:53Speaker 2: nothing anyone can do to stop this, right? Because again,
- 1:00:56Speaker 2: you have these different competing visions of how the world
- 1:00:58Speaker 2: should work. And the Russians and Americans are already at
- 1:01:01Speaker 2: conflict with each other. So the next step will be
- 1:01:06Speaker 2: the Russians come into this war on the side of
- 1:01:09Speaker 2: the Iranians.
- 1:01:10Speaker 1: You think that's going to happen?
- 1:01:10Speaker 2: I think that's going to happen. Because according to Russian
- 1:01:13Speaker 2: grand strategy, you have no choice but to save the Iranians.
- 1:01:16Speaker 2: because you're trying to promote this view that the world
- 1:01:20Speaker 2: is split between the spiritual and the material. The Americans
- 1:01:23Speaker 2: are the Antichrist. The Americans support individual hedonism, whereas we Russians,
- 1:01:30Speaker 2: we believe in humanity. We believe in goodness. We believe
- 1:01:33Speaker 2: in community, right? So if that is your argument, if
- 1:01:37Speaker 2: that's your grand strategy, then you have a moral obligation,
- 1:01:39Speaker 2: a moral imperative to help the Iranians in their time
- 1:01:42Speaker 2: of need. And in fact, Prime Minister Arachi of Iran
- 1:01:47Speaker 2: has recently visited Putin in Moscow. Putin personally received him
- 1:01:53Speaker 2: and said to Arachi, we, the Russian people, admire your determination,
- 1:01:58Speaker 2: your resolve against the Americans. And I think that is
- 1:02:02Speaker 2: a sign that Putin has entered the chat and that
- 1:02:07Speaker 2: the Russians will start to help the Iranians as this
- 1:02:11Speaker 2: war progresses. So let's go back to this map, okay?
- 1:02:14Speaker 1: Okay.
- 1:02:14Speaker 2: And the Americans have a three-pronged strategy to strangle Iran.
- 1:02:24Speaker 2: The first is to use ground forces to establish foreign
- 1:02:27Speaker 2: operating bases to incite ethnic violence in the country. The
- 1:02:32Speaker 2: second is to block officers who move and cut off
- 1:02:36Speaker 2: Iranian financing. The third is to strangle Iran and cause
- 1:02:40Speaker 2: the people to rise up against the government, okay? So
- 1:02:45Speaker 2: if things stay as they are now, America wins easily.
- 1:02:52Speaker 2: But if Russia were to enter the war on behalf
- 1:02:55Speaker 2: of the Iranians, the first thing that Russia would do
- 1:02:58Speaker 2: is provide Tehran with reinforcement from the Caspian Sea, right?
- 1:03:04Speaker 2: Because the Americans want to knock out Tehran's capacity to
- 1:03:07Speaker 2: provide food, water, and electricity to its people. But from
- 1:03:12Speaker 2: the Kassadin Sea, the Russians can support the Iranians. But
- 1:03:16Speaker 2: not only that, and this is much more important, if
- 1:03:18Speaker 2: the Russians were to come in, they could also bring
- 1:03:20Speaker 2: the Chinese into the war on behalf of the Iranians.
- 1:03:23Speaker 2: And the Chinese could use the Belt and Road Initiative,
- 1:03:26Speaker 2: basically the railway system, to reinforce Tehran from the east.
- 1:03:33Speaker 2: So now you can no longer strangle Tehran because the
- 1:03:36Speaker 2: Russians or the Chinese are reinforcing Tehran. Then what the
- 1:03:40Speaker 2: Russians could do is provide financing to the Iranians. Basically,
- 1:03:45Speaker 2: the Chinese and the Russians can say to Iranians, don't
- 1:03:49Speaker 2: worry about financing. We will give you enough financing for
- 1:03:54Speaker 2: you to continue this war for as long as you want.
- 1:03:56Speaker 2: And we'll use our resources as collateral for this financing.
- 1:04:01Speaker 2: And the third thing, and this is actually the most important,
- 1:04:04Speaker 2: is that Russia could put Iran... under its nuclear umbrella.
- 1:04:11Speaker 2: And this would negate the use of tactical nuclear weapons.
- 1:04:15Speaker 2: The Israelis and the Americans, if they really felt under pressure,
- 1:04:19Speaker 2: if they were really put in a corner, they could
- 1:04:22Speaker 2: always choose to use tactical nuclear weapons. If the Russians
- 1:04:25Speaker 2: were involved, that negates that option, right? So if the
- 1:04:30Speaker 2: Russians get involved in this war, they bring in the Chinese,
- 1:04:33Speaker 2: they provide the resources and the financing to continue this
- 1:04:36Speaker 2: war for as long as it takes. Right? And now
- 1:04:42Speaker 2: the Americans need to expand this war all over the
- 1:04:45Speaker 2: world to try now to topple the government in Russia
- 1:04:50Speaker 2: because the Russians are the main backers of the Iranians.
- 1:04:56Speaker 1: And you're predicting that Russia will get involved here?
- 1:04:59Speaker 2: According to the grand strategy of Russia, the Russians have
- 1:05:03Speaker 2: no choice but to get involved because what will happen
- 1:05:07Speaker 2: is that if you look at this map, If Iran
- 1:05:10Speaker 2: were to be conquered by the Americans or the Israelis,
- 1:05:12Speaker 2: the entire sovereign flank of the Russians are now exposed
- 1:05:19Speaker 2: to possible attack. And that's something that the Russians would
- 1:05:23Speaker 2: never allow to happen.
- 1:05:25Speaker 1: The sovereign flank, so this from underneath.
- 1:05:28Speaker 2: Basically, right? But not only that, but the Americans already
- 1:05:32Speaker 2: have close relations with Azerbaijan. And they already have bases
- 1:05:37Speaker 2: in Turkmenistan as well as Uzbekistan, right? So you can
- 1:05:39Speaker 2: see how once the Americans can strike this area, they
- 1:05:43Speaker 2: can now attack Russia from the south. But what's most
- 1:05:46Speaker 2: important is the issue of global trade, where the counter
- 1:05:52Speaker 2: to America's naval blockade is by creating a Eurasian trade
- 1:05:56Speaker 2: bloc that involves Iran, Russia, and China. If you look
- 1:06:00Speaker 2: at Russia's north-south corridor, right? If you look at China's,
- 1:06:05Speaker 2: if you look at Russia's north-south corner, it runs through Iran.
- 1:06:09Speaker 2: If Russia wants to access the Middle East, as well
- 1:06:11Speaker 2: as Africa, it has to go through Iran. Look at
- 1:06:13Speaker 2: China's Belt and Road Initiative. It goes through Iran as well.
- 1:06:17Speaker 2: So by taking out Iran, you've blockaded both Russia and China.
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- 1:08:24Speaker 1: when do you think this is going to happen? If
- 1:08:25Speaker 1: you were to give me a timeline of events you
- 1:08:27Speaker 1: think are going to occur, what timeline do you think
- 1:08:29Speaker 1: you're operating under? I guess one of the factors here
- 1:08:31Speaker 1: is that Trump only has, what, three years left in power. So,
- 1:08:36Speaker 1: you know, he's presumably going to leave power at some
- 1:08:41Speaker 1: point soon. So if you're Iran, you might just want
- 1:08:43Speaker 1: to play it out and hope that there's a different
- 1:08:45Speaker 1: leadership in place by 2030. The political leadership.
- 1:08:50Speaker 2: In Iran believe that they can wait Trump out. So
- 1:08:54Speaker 2: they're waiting for the midterms because they believe that in November,
- 1:08:57Speaker 2: the Democrats will win the midterms. and then they will
- 1:09:00Speaker 2: impeach Trump and basically constrain his capacity to fight wars.
- 1:09:06Speaker 2: And worst case scenario, Trump will be gone in 2020,
- 1:09:11Speaker 2: as you point out. There's certain problems with this. The
- 1:09:14Speaker 2: first major problem is the national defense strategy, which we
- 1:09:18Speaker 2: looked at previously. The national defense strategy, it is a
- 1:09:21Speaker 2: long-term strategic framework for how America can control the world.
- 1:09:28Speaker 2: And so one possibility is that Trump is just creating
- 1:09:32Speaker 2: enough chaos for America to transition. When the Democrats come
- 1:09:36Speaker 2: to power, if they come to power, they will institutionalize
- 1:09:40Speaker 2: this strategy. And we know this as a possibility because
- 1:09:44Speaker 2: in Trump's first term, He changed America's strategy around the world.
- 1:09:50Speaker 2: And then when Biden came into power, he then institutionalized
- 1:09:54Speaker 2: the strategy via the China, right? So it was Trump
- 1:09:59Speaker 2: who launched this terror war against China. And then Biden
- 1:10:03Speaker 2: comes in power, he institutionalizes it, right? So I think
- 1:10:07Speaker 2: World War III, it's a much more long-term war of attrition.
- 1:10:12Speaker 2: And I don't think that this war will end anytime soon.
- 1:10:20Speaker 1: You've made a series of new predictions. You've made eight
- 1:10:23Speaker 1: new predictions.
- 1:10:24Speaker 2: Okay.
- 1:10:25Speaker 1: I have them in this box here. Okay. I'll let
- 1:10:28Speaker 1: you reveal what those predictions are.
- 1:10:31Speaker 2: Okay. This is one prediction. Okay. Okay. So this is
- 1:10:42Speaker 2: the most controversial prediction, okay? I predict that there will
- 1:10:45Speaker 2: be a US Civil War and Trump will get a
- 1:10:47Speaker 2: third term.
- 1:10:48Speaker 1: You think Trump will get a third term? Isn't that
- 1:10:51Speaker 1: constitutionally illegal?
- 1:10:53Speaker 2: There are things that are unconventional and immoral and wrong
- 1:11:00Speaker 2: and evil and dangerous. And there are certain things that
- 1:11:03Speaker 2: are illegal. Trump getting a third term is not illegal.
- 1:11:11Speaker 2: So let me explain the loophole. What Trump could do
- 1:11:15Speaker 2: is this. There are two possibilities. The first possibility is
- 1:11:20Speaker 2: in 2028, he has his son, Don Jr., run as
- 1:11:23Speaker 2: a president, and he runs as the vice president. And
- 1:11:28Speaker 2: then when Don Jr. wins, if he wins, then Don Jr.
- 1:11:33Speaker 2: could abdicate, and Trump would be the president. And in
- 1:11:38Speaker 2: the Constitution, if you read the Constitution very carefully, it
- 1:11:41Speaker 2: doesn't actually prohibit people from doing that. It's not been
- 1:11:45Speaker 2: done in the past. And like no sane person with
- 1:11:50Speaker 2: any morality would do this. But that doesn't stop Trump
- 1:11:55Speaker 2: from doing this, okay? That's one possibility. Another possibility is
- 1:11:58Speaker 2: that by 2028, America is at war with everyone. There's
- 1:12:05Speaker 2: a national draft. The president now has emergency war powers.
- 1:12:10Speaker 2: And so he can actually suspend the constitution and delay
- 1:12:14Speaker 2: the election, which is what Zelensky did in Ukraine. So
- 1:12:17Speaker 2: these are two different possibilities. But I think that given
- 1:12:23Speaker 2: Trump's track record, given his personality, I think he very
- 1:12:29Speaker 2: much wants a third term. And I think that he
- 1:12:33Speaker 2: will do everything possible to get a third term.
- 1:12:38Speaker 1: He would turn 83 years old in the same year
- 1:12:42Speaker 1: that he finishes his second term.
- 1:12:45Speaker 2: This is a man who... eats McDonald's hamburgers every day.
- 1:12:53Speaker 2: He doesn't really work out. Yet, on the campaign trail,
- 1:12:58Speaker 2: he's able to go to two rallies a day. And
- 1:13:03Speaker 2: in each rally, just 50,000 people. And he will talk
- 1:13:06Speaker 2: on and on and on. Then, at night, when he
- 1:13:12Speaker 2: should be sleeping, he's either on Truth Social, tweeting about
- 1:13:17Speaker 2: the world, or he's calling out reporters and telling him
- 1:13:20Speaker 2: or her some confidential information that he really shouldn't be
- 1:13:23Speaker 2: discussing with the media. This is a man who is
- 1:13:28Speaker 2: addicted to attention. This is a man who loves the spotlight.
- 1:13:35Speaker 2: He's lived all his life in the spotlight. For him,
- 1:13:38Speaker 2: death is to be ignored. So given his personality, He
- 1:13:46Speaker 2: would rather die in office than live peacefully somewhere else.
- 1:13:52Speaker 1: And of those two strategies that you named, where he
- 1:13:54Speaker 1: puts his son in and then becomes president that way,
- 1:13:57Speaker 1: or there's a war breaks out, so he says he
- 1:14:01Speaker 1: has to stay in office. Of those two strategies, which
- 1:14:03Speaker 1: one do you think he's more likely to deploy?
- 1:14:05Speaker 2: I actually think that given his narcissism, he would prefer
- 1:14:09Speaker 2: the first strategy.
- 1:14:11Speaker 1: His putting his son in?
- 1:14:12Speaker 2: Because that shows himself in the world that America loves him.
- 1:14:18Speaker 1: Okay. And it could also be J.D. Vance or someone else, right?
- 1:14:21Speaker 1: It doesn't have to be his son necessarily.
- 1:14:22Speaker 2: Trump does not trust anyone. Trump has never had a
- 1:14:26Speaker 2: part of J. In fact, everyone that's really worked for
- 1:14:28Speaker 2: Trump has been kind of screwed over by him.
- 1:14:31Speaker 1: Do you not think that if his son decided to
- 1:14:34Speaker 1: run and then announced that the vice president was his dad,
- 1:14:38Speaker 1: do you not think that there would be such a
- 1:14:42Speaker 1: huge backlash in the United States that his son wouldn't win?
- 1:14:46Speaker 2: Well, I think there's a possibility that they figure out
- 1:14:50Speaker 2: how to cheat in 2028.
- 1:14:51Speaker 1: Oh, as in actually cheat the election? Right. At the
- 1:14:56Speaker 1: poll booth. Right.
- 1:14:57Speaker 2: So let's go into Trump's mind. All right. His psychology.
- 1:15:01Speaker 2: In his mind, he won in 2020. The people voted
- 1:15:08Speaker 2: for him. But the Democrats stole the election with mail-in
- 1:15:13Speaker 2: ballots and by rigging the election machines. In his mind,
- 1:15:18Speaker 2: he literally believes that. So in his mind, he believes
- 1:15:21Speaker 2: that this is actually his third term and the people
- 1:15:26Speaker 2: and the government, they owe him a second term, which
- 1:15:30Speaker 2: is what he wants now. He wants compensation for having
- 1:15:35Speaker 2: the election stolen from him in 2020.
- 1:15:38Speaker 1: I find it really implausible to think that Trump would
- 1:15:42Speaker 1: run for a third.
- 1:15:43Speaker 2: Term So again, this is a prediction and it is
- 1:15:48Speaker 2: a test of the validity of my theoretical framework.
- 1:15:54Speaker 1: I was looking at some of the constitutions and the laws,
- 1:15:58Speaker 1: and it says that this 22nd amendment explicitly states, no
- 1:16:02Speaker 1: person shall be elected to the office of the president
- 1:16:04Speaker 1: more than twice. Some theorists have tried to argue that
- 1:16:07Speaker 1: since the amendment says elected, a person might be able
- 1:16:10Speaker 1: to serve a third term if they were appointed to
- 1:16:12Speaker 1: succeed to the role. if they were appointed or succeeded
- 1:16:16Speaker 1: to the role, e.g. by being vice president first. Legal
- 1:16:21Speaker 1: scholars and the judicial community almost universally reject this. The
- 1:16:25Speaker 1: 12th Amendment requires that anyone serving as vice president must
- 1:16:29Speaker 1: be eligible to be president. Since a two-term president is
- 1:16:33Speaker 1: ineligible to be elected again, they are legally barred from
- 1:16:36Speaker 1: being vice president.
- 1:16:38Speaker 2: So the point is, there's nothing explicit in the Constitution
- 1:16:43Speaker 2: that bars someone from having a third term. And there's
- 1:16:47Speaker 2: debate in the legal community about the spirit of the
- 1:16:52Speaker 2: 22nd Amendment.
- 1:16:54Speaker 1: It would go to the Supreme Court, right?
- 1:16:55Speaker 2: And the Supreme Court is controlled right now by the conservatives.
- 1:16:58Speaker 2: Trump appointed three of the nine justices, and there's a
- 1:17:02Speaker 2: possibility he gets a fourth later in the year. So
- 1:17:06Speaker 2: it's entirely up to Supreme Court whether or not he
- 1:17:08Speaker 2: can run. And again, there's something explicit in the Constitution
- 1:17:12Speaker 2: that forbids him from running. As a vice president.
- 1:17:16Speaker 1: Okay. What's your next prediction?
- 1:17:19Speaker 2: My second prediction is there will be a grand bargain
- 1:17:22Speaker 2: between the United States and China.
- 1:17:23Speaker 1: What does that mean?
- 1:17:25Speaker 2: It means that people expect that the United States and
- 1:17:29Speaker 2: China will go to war at some point over Taiwan.
- 1:17:34Speaker 2: A lot of people expect that China wants to challenge
- 1:17:37Speaker 2: American hegemony and replace America as the global superpower. But China...
- 1:17:44Speaker 2: does not want to do that. China's probably happy with
- 1:17:49Speaker 2: America being the world's hegemon because you have to invest
- 1:17:52Speaker 2: so much of your resources into fighting these wars that
- 1:17:56Speaker 2: back up your nation. China doesn't want to fight these wars.
- 1:18:01Speaker 2: So what China is going to do is try to
- 1:18:04Speaker 2: triangulate between Russia and the United States. This is what
- 1:18:08Speaker 2: happened during the Cold War when China was not actually
- 1:18:11Speaker 2: on the side of the Soviet Union. China was part
- 1:18:14Speaker 2: of the non-aligned community. And that's what China is going
- 1:18:19Speaker 2: to strive for in World War III, where China may
- 1:18:22Speaker 2: help out Iran, may provide financing for Russia, but it's
- 1:18:26Speaker 2: also going to strike deals with the United States as well.
- 1:18:29Speaker 2: So I think that Trump and President Xi are supposed
- 1:18:34Speaker 2: to meet at least three times, possibly four times this year,
- 1:18:39Speaker 2: only this year. The first will be in Beijing. And
- 1:18:44Speaker 2: I think that they will start a process in which
- 1:18:47Speaker 2: China and America come to an arrangement. that benefits both economically.
- 1:18:53Speaker 2: What does America want? America wants China to continue to
- 1:18:57Speaker 2: buy U.S. treasuries in order to finance the American debt.
- 1:19:01Speaker 2: What does China want? China wants energy resources from the
- 1:19:06Speaker 2: Western Hemisphere, and it wants to access the American market.
- 1:19:11Speaker 2: So there's no reason why China and America cannot come
- 1:19:15Speaker 2: to an arrangement that benefits both. And Trump is very
- 1:19:19Speaker 2: much a transactional character.
- 1:19:21Speaker 1: And what will that mean for the world?
- 1:19:24Speaker 2: It means that China is not really part of World
- 1:19:27Speaker 2: War III in a meaningful way.
- 1:19:30Speaker 1: Okay. So they're going to do a deal. They'll continue
- 1:19:31Speaker 1: to work together as friends.
- 1:19:33Speaker 2: China will be friends with both Russia and the United
- 1:19:36Speaker 2: States as Russia and the United States fight each other.
- 1:19:38Speaker 1: Okay. What's your next prediction?
- 1:19:43Speaker 2: Iran is another forever war and the United States will
- 1:19:46Speaker 2: institute a national draft.
- 1:19:48Speaker 1: Iran is another forever war and the United States will
- 1:19:50Speaker 1: institute a national draft. So you think Iran as a
- 1:19:55Speaker 1: war is going to tumble on for decades and that
- 1:19:57Speaker 1: the US are going to draft people, which means you're
- 1:20:01Speaker 1: obliged to go and fight.
- 1:20:03Speaker 2: Exactly.
- 1:20:04Speaker 1: Okay.
- 1:20:04Speaker 2: So the logic is this. America doesn't really care if
- 1:20:10Speaker 2: Iran is a feeder or not. That's not really part
- 1:20:14Speaker 2: of the American grand strategy. Iran right now, it's a
- 1:20:17Speaker 2: perfect pretext for America to expand outwards and establish maritime
- 1:20:22Speaker 2: choke points around the world and to force the world
- 1:20:27Speaker 2: to buy American energy. So this war in Iran benefits
- 1:20:32Speaker 2: America tremendously. So why not have it go on for
- 1:20:35Speaker 2: a long, long time? In order to make sure this
- 1:20:39Speaker 2: war goes on for a long time, you need ground troops.
- 1:20:44Speaker 2: And you need a lot of ground troops. And that's
- 1:20:46Speaker 2: why you need a national draft.
- 1:20:49Speaker 1: So what would a national draft look like in the
- 1:20:50Speaker 1: United States? Everyone between the age of 18 and 25
- 1:20:53Speaker 1: has to sign up to the army.
- 1:20:54Speaker 2: Right. So most people don't appreciate this, but America has
- 1:20:57Speaker 2: always had a draft. But for the longest time, it
- 1:21:00Speaker 2: didn't really care whether or not you actually signed up
- 1:21:03Speaker 2: for the draft. And starting in December... Participation in the
- 1:21:06Speaker 2: draft will be automatic, meaning that if you're between 18
- 1:21:09Speaker 2: and 24 in America and you're male, you'll be automatically
- 1:21:13Speaker 2: put into the draft system.
- 1:21:15Speaker 1: From when?
- 1:21:15Speaker 2: I think from December.
- 1:21:17Speaker 1: This year?
- 1:21:18Speaker 2: Yes, that is correct, yes.
- 1:21:19Speaker 1: So between the age of 18 and 25, you think.
- 1:21:21Speaker 1: And what does that really mean? I've not really experienced
- 1:21:23Speaker 1: that in my lifetime. So it means that if you're
- 1:21:25Speaker 1: between the age of 18 and 24, either gender?
- 1:21:28Speaker 2: No, male.
- 1:21:29Speaker 1: Male, then you have to sign up for the army.
- 1:21:32Speaker 2: Okay. No, you're already put into a draft. Oh, you're already.
- 1:21:36Speaker 1: Okay, but you might be called upon.
- 1:21:37Speaker 2: That's right. It's a lottery system.
- 1:21:39Speaker 1: Okay.
- 1:21:39Speaker 2: Right. And this created a lot of backlash during the
- 1:21:43Speaker 2: Vietnam era. And so they sort of toned it down.
- 1:21:47Speaker 2: But starting December, they just passed a law that says
- 1:21:50Speaker 2: that starting December, you will be unactively registered for war.
- 1:21:55Speaker 1: They've passed a law?
- 1:21:56Speaker 2: Yes, they have. Well, in theory, Congress first needs to
- 1:22:00Speaker 2: declare war.
- 1:22:01Speaker 1: Okay, fine.
- 1:22:01Speaker 2: Right? That's a first step. And Congress has not actually
- 1:22:04Speaker 2: declared war yet. Okay.
- 1:22:06Speaker 1: So you think there'll be a draft and you think
- 1:22:08Speaker 1: this war in Iran is going to trickle on for...
- 1:22:10Speaker 1: A long time. How long? 10, 20 years? Like Afghanistan?
- 1:22:15Speaker 2: I don't see it stopping.
- 1:22:17Speaker 1: Okay.
- 1:22:17Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 1:22:18Speaker 1: What's next in your prediction box?
- 1:22:20Speaker 2: Okay.
- 1:22:23Speaker 1: Okay.
- 1:22:23Speaker 2: This is pretty bad. The world will move towards an
- 1:22:26Speaker 2: AI civilian state.
- 1:22:27Speaker 1: I feel like that's already happening. I think it's pretty obvious.
- 1:22:31Speaker 1: What does that mean in reality for the average person?
- 1:22:33Speaker 1: Because we're seeing some of these big companies like OpenAI
- 1:22:37Speaker 1: and Anthropical sort of signing up to government military surveillance projects.
- 1:22:43Speaker 1: What does that mean for the average person?
- 1:22:45Speaker 3: Right.
- 1:22:45Speaker 2: So for the average person, it means two things. It
- 1:22:47Speaker 2: means digital ID and digital currency.
- 1:22:49Speaker 1: Okay.
- 1:22:50Speaker 2: So what that will allow is for the government to
- 1:22:52Speaker 2: basically monitor everything you do online and control all financial transactions.
- 1:22:57Speaker 2: It can basically program your bank account So like you
- 1:23:01Speaker 2: can't buy cigarettes or you can't buy drugs. And this
- 1:23:06Speaker 2: will allow the government to basically categorize everyone and put
- 1:23:11Speaker 2: everyone into a certain database to monitor that person. And
- 1:23:15Speaker 2: once you're able to categorize everyone, then you are able
- 1:23:21Speaker 2: to use AI to predict their behavior.
- 1:23:23Speaker 1: Isn't this what goes on in some parts of the world?
- 1:23:25Speaker 2: This is what goes on in China. And that's how
- 1:23:28Speaker 2: I know about this.
- 1:23:30Speaker 1: How does it work in China?
- 1:23:31Speaker 2: Well, in China, we all have digital ID. If you
- 1:23:34Speaker 2: want to access anything in China, you need your digital ID.
- 1:23:39Speaker 2: So if you want to open a bank account, you
- 1:23:41Speaker 2: have to use a digital ID. If you want to
- 1:23:44Speaker 2: use any e-payments, you have to use digital ID. If
- 1:23:47Speaker 2: you want to use a phone, you have to use
- 1:23:50Speaker 2: digital ID, okay? So everyone's part of this national database.
- 1:23:54Speaker 2: And then what this allows government to do is basically...
- 1:23:59Speaker 2: monitor everything you do. Because basically, depending on how you
- 1:24:03Speaker 2: buy things, I can then extrapolate to figure out your behavior.
- 1:24:09Speaker 2: And then I can figure out your thinking, right? And
- 1:24:12Speaker 2: then I can create incentives in order to guide and
- 1:24:17Speaker 2: control your behavior.
- 1:24:19Speaker 1: So in China, can they see everything that you do?
- 1:24:22Speaker 2: Yes, they can.
- 1:24:23Speaker 1: Messages you send.
- 1:24:24Speaker 2: Everything.
- 1:24:25Speaker 1: Payments you make. Everything.
- 1:24:27Speaker 2: Everything. Everything you do online is being recorded and it's
- 1:24:33Speaker 2: being inputted into the database to figure out who you are,
- 1:24:40Speaker 2: what you want, and how to control you. And they
- 1:24:43Speaker 2: think this is progress, by the way. This is progress
- 1:24:47Speaker 2: because I'm making you a better person, right? I'm helping
- 1:24:51Speaker 2: you achieve your dream. I'm helping you lose weight. I'm
- 1:24:54Speaker 2: helping you avoid drugs. I'm helping you work harder.
- 1:24:59Speaker 1: Won't you be in trouble if you talk against this system?
- 1:25:03Speaker 2: Well, me personally. Okay. So I operate in a gray
- 1:25:07Speaker 2: area where I do not interact with the Chinese internet.
- 1:25:11Speaker 2: So everything I do is in English. It's meant for
- 1:25:14Speaker 2: consumption in the Western world. And I don't talk to
- 1:25:19Speaker 2: Chinese reporters. I don't talk to Chinese social media. I
- 1:25:22Speaker 2: have no Chinese media presence. And I am not at
- 1:25:26Speaker 2: all influential online. And I prefer that way because if
- 1:25:30Speaker 2: I ever became famous in China, then they would obviously
- 1:25:35Speaker 2: want to control me in order to better influence other people.
- 1:25:41Speaker 2: What's your next prediction? Israel will achieve the greater Israel project.
- 1:25:47Speaker 1: So you think Israel are going to conquer the Middle East?
- 1:25:51Speaker 2: Israel has essentially already conquered the Middle East. The only
- 1:25:55Speaker 2: force in their way right now is America. So once
- 1:25:58Speaker 2: America leaves the Middle East, which I expect to happen,
- 1:26:03Speaker 2: then Israel will absorb Sancom, which is the central command,
- 1:26:08Speaker 2: the American military bases in the Middle East, and they
- 1:26:11Speaker 2: will achieve the greater Israel project. There's no other power
- 1:26:15Speaker 2: in the Middle East that can withstand the might and
- 1:26:17Speaker 2: power of Israel.
- 1:26:20Speaker 1: And do you have a timeline for this?
- 1:26:22Speaker 2: The moment America quits this war against Iran, the moment
- 1:26:26Speaker 2: that America leaves the Middle East, Israel will achieve the
- 1:26:30Speaker 2: greater Israel project. And what's really interesting right now is
- 1:26:34Speaker 2: that Israel is trying to drag this war out for
- 1:26:36Speaker 2: as long as possible because they see this war as
- 1:26:40Speaker 2: a way to destroy all its major enemies in the
- 1:26:45Speaker 2: Middle East. You know, the Israelis have already said this.
- 1:26:49Speaker 2: After Iran, Turkey is next. Turkey is next. This war
- 1:26:53Speaker 2: is already destroying Saudi Arabia and the GCC, right? So
- 1:26:58Speaker 2: the last opponent is Turkey. Once Turkey is brought into
- 1:27:02Speaker 2: this war, then Israel will cheat the Greater Israel Project.
- 1:27:08Speaker 1: And the Greater Israel Project covers all of this region
- 1:27:11Speaker 1: here from Turkey, Egypt, Yemen, Oman.
- 1:27:14Speaker 2: So... The Greater Israel Project is like this, okay? So
- 1:27:18Speaker 2: it goes from the Nile in Egypt to the Euphrates
- 1:27:22Speaker 2: in Iraq. And it covers part of Turkey, of Syria,
- 1:27:26Speaker 2: of Lebanon, of Jordan, and parts of Saudi Arabia, which
- 1:27:30Speaker 2: also includes Mecca and Medina.
- 1:27:32Speaker 1: What is your next prediction?
- 1:27:35Speaker 2: NATO and Russia will fight for Odessa. Odessa?
- 1:27:38Speaker 1: What's Odessa?
- 1:27:39Speaker 2: Okay. So if you look at the Ukraine front lines,
- 1:27:44Speaker 2: Right now, Russia is preoccupied in trying to control the Donbass,
- 1:27:50Speaker 2: which is basically eastern Ukraine. Why Russia is doing this
- 1:27:54Speaker 2: is that eastern Ukraine has historically been part of Russia. Therefore,
- 1:27:58Speaker 2: most people there speak Russian or are ethnically Russian. The
- 1:28:03Speaker 2: Donbass is also the agricultural and industrial heartland of Ukraine.
- 1:28:08Speaker 2: So if... Russia were to control Eastern Ukraine. It doesn't
- 1:28:13Speaker 2: really need Western Ukraine. And then Western Ukraine would basically
- 1:28:16Speaker 2: become a rump state. It'd be useless. So the last
- 1:28:19Speaker 2: piece to this puzzle would be Odessa, which sits on
- 1:28:24Speaker 2: the Black Sea. The reason why you want Odessa is
- 1:28:27Speaker 2: that it's the major port. And once you control Odessa,
- 1:28:33Speaker 2: you basically block off Ukraine from the Black Sea. You
- 1:28:36Speaker 2: have complete control over the Black Sea.
- 1:28:39Speaker 1: Is that the Black Sea?
- 1:28:39Speaker 2: This is the Black Sea, and this is Odessa right here, yes.
- 1:28:42Speaker 1: Okay, so you're saying that Russia will take Odessa?
- 1:28:46Speaker 2: That's correct.
- 1:28:47Speaker 1: Okay, so they'll control the Black Sea.
- 1:28:49Speaker 2: That's right. But NATO recognizes that if Odessa falls to
- 1:28:53Speaker 2: the Russians, the war is over. And Russia will have
- 1:28:56Speaker 2: achieved all its major strategic objectives.
- 1:28:59Speaker 1: When is the war over?
- 1:29:00Speaker 2: Because Russia doesn't want to continue on after Odessa.
- 1:29:04Speaker 1: It doesn't need the rest of Ukraine. What does it
- 1:29:08Speaker 1: get from taking Odessa?
- 1:29:09Speaker 2: Once it takes Odessa, control of one third of the
- 1:29:14Speaker 2: world's carbohydrates. If Russia willed it, Africa would starve to death.
- 1:29:22Speaker 2: The Middle East would starve.
- 1:29:24Speaker 1: Why?
- 1:29:25Speaker 2: Because Russia and Ukraine export a lot of grain to
- 1:29:28Speaker 2: these places. These places are not food independent. They rely
- 1:29:33Speaker 2: on fertilizer. They rely on food imports.
- 1:29:36Speaker 1: Okay. And Russia's using the Black Sea here to export.
- 1:29:41Speaker 2: Exactly. Okay.
- 1:29:42Speaker 1: What is your next prediction?
- 1:29:43Speaker 2: This is the last one. Please be good.
- 1:29:47Speaker 3: Okay.
- 1:29:49Speaker 2: I was hoping for an optimistic one, but East Asia
- 1:29:52Speaker 2: breaks out into conflict. Okay.
- 1:29:54Speaker 1: What do you mean by that?
- 1:29:55Speaker 2: Okay. So we've talked a lot about the Middle East.
- 1:29:59Speaker 2: And we've talked briefly about Europe, okay? So now let's
- 1:30:01Speaker 2: go into East Asia. And I think there are three
- 1:30:07Speaker 2: major sources of friction and conflict in East Asia. And
- 1:30:13Speaker 2: these could be potentially major flashpoints. The first flashpoint is,
- 1:30:19Speaker 2: of course, over Taiwan. Because China believes that Taiwan is
- 1:30:25Speaker 2: part of its And so it wants to take over Taiwan.
- 1:30:33Speaker 2: The problem with this is that recently, Prime Minister Takeuchi
- 1:30:38Speaker 2: of Japan has said that Taiwan is core to Japanese
- 1:30:44Speaker 2: strategic interests. And what she means by this is that
- 1:30:48Speaker 2: Japan has no resources. It's a manufacturing power that depends
- 1:30:54Speaker 2: on resources from overseas. If China were to take over Taiwan,
- 1:30:59Speaker 2: it can now block Japan from accessing the Strait of Malacca.
- 1:31:03Speaker 2: And that is a possibility Japan cannot permit. So Japan
- 1:31:08Speaker 2: would fight to ensure that Taiwan and China were never
- 1:31:14Speaker 2: to unify.
- 1:31:17Speaker 1: Would they actually? Because China is so strong, right? Can
- 1:31:20Speaker 1: they just knock Japan straight out?
- 1:31:22Speaker 2: Japan has no choice but to fight. Because again, if
- 1:31:27Speaker 2: China and Taiwan were to unify peacefully, Japan would be
- 1:31:31Speaker 2: cut off from the entirety of Southeast Asia. And Japan
- 1:31:37Speaker 2: relies on Southeast Asia historically for resources.
- 1:31:42Speaker 1: Why would it be cut off from Southeast Asia? Can't
- 1:31:43Speaker 1: it just go down here through the Philippines?
- 1:31:48Speaker 2: There's a lot of resources around the South China Sea.
- 1:31:52Speaker 1: Okay.
- 1:31:52Speaker 2: Oil, minerals, all that. Yeah. So if China and Taiwan
- 1:32:00Speaker 2: were to unify, basically Japan would feel a bit threatened.
- 1:32:08Speaker 1: And your prediction is that there will be some kind
- 1:32:09Speaker 1: of conflict in this region?
- 1:32:11Speaker 2: Yes. So that's the first flashpoint, okay? Taiwan. There's another flashpoint,
- 1:32:15Speaker 2: which is the state of Malacca, right? Because again, America
- 1:32:18Speaker 2: wants to control the state of Malacca, but China recognizes
- 1:32:21Speaker 2: that the state of Malacca is key to its economic survival.
- 1:32:25Speaker 2: And so there's a lot of conflict over the Strait
- 1:32:28Speaker 2: of Malacca. That's flashpoint number two. The third flashpoint, which
- 1:32:32Speaker 2: I think will be the most surprising, but actually will
- 1:32:34Speaker 2: be the most pressing, is North Korea. So let's just
- 1:32:40Speaker 2: use game theory. We are the leader, supreme leader of
- 1:32:44Speaker 2: North Korea. It is a dictatorship. Everyone worships me. It's
- 1:32:50Speaker 2: a color personality, but we're poor. And the rest of
- 1:32:54Speaker 2: the world is in conflict, right? Europe is fighting with Russia.
- 1:32:59Speaker 2: The Middle East is in flames. America's distracted trying to
- 1:33:02Speaker 2: control the world to the best of its ability. Japan
- 1:33:06Speaker 2: and China are fighting over the South China Sea. If
- 1:33:09Speaker 2: you're in North Korea, now is the best opportunity to
- 1:33:15Speaker 2: create as much havoc in the world as possible. There's
- 1:33:19Speaker 2: absolutely nothing anyone can do to stop you. You are
- 1:33:24Speaker 2: the brawler in high school that no one pays attention
- 1:33:28Speaker 2: to because all the big boys are fighting each other.
- 1:33:30Speaker 2: You can come in and dominate the school now.
- 1:33:33Speaker 1: Who would they be dominating?
- 1:33:35Speaker 2: They could dominate South Korea because if you just look
- 1:33:38Speaker 2: at a population map of South Korea, most of the
- 1:33:43Speaker 2: South Korean population is located in Seoul. And Seoul is
- 1:33:47Speaker 2: about 20 minutes artillery from North Korea. So in 20 minutes,
- 1:33:53Speaker 2: North Korea could bring artillery onto Seoul and basically they
- 1:33:56Speaker 2: flatten the entire city. Why wouldn't you extort the South Koreans?
- 1:34:01Speaker 1: Because the South Koreans are going to shoot back.
- 1:34:04Speaker 2: With what?
- 1:34:05Speaker 1: Do they not have military?
- 1:34:06Speaker 2: They're being protected by the Americans right now. And the
- 1:34:07Speaker 2: Americans are busy transporting artillery and weapon systems, including the
- 1:34:12Speaker 2: FAD system, over to the Middle East. It's called FAD. T-H-A-A-D.
- 1:34:19Speaker 2: It used to be in South Korea to protect against
- 1:34:21Speaker 2: North Korea. And now it's over in the Middle East.
- 1:34:27Speaker 2: So Americans are catalyzing both South Korea and Japan in
- 1:34:30Speaker 2: order to maintain this war in the Middle East. Now's
- 1:34:35Speaker 2: the time. Why not? It's free money. It's like taking
- 1:34:38Speaker 2: candy from a baby.
- 1:34:40Speaker 1: But South Korea have their own military now.
- 1:34:43Speaker 2: How do you defend against artillery strikes?
- 1:34:47Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 1:34:48Speaker 2: You don't?
- 1:34:50Speaker 1: But they would fire back, right? They'd get themselves into
- 1:34:53Speaker 1: a pretty ugly war. South Korea have a big military.
- 1:34:56Speaker 2: Well, my people are poor. They're not afraid to die.
- 1:34:59Speaker 2: In fact, I've sent thousands of them to go to
- 1:35:02Speaker 2: Ukraine to fight for the Russians. And they fight to
- 1:35:06Speaker 2: the death because they're poor. And they don't fight to
- 1:35:09Speaker 2: the death. If they're allowed to be taken prisoner, I'll
- 1:35:11Speaker 2: kill their families back at home. South Koreans are rich.
- 1:35:18Speaker 2: They are a used democracy. They're using individual rights. So
- 1:35:22Speaker 2: if I threaten to blow your city up, you're telling
- 1:35:25Speaker 2: me you won't bribe me not to do so? Isn't
- 1:35:28Speaker 2: the fastest, quickest way is to bribe me not to
- 1:35:31Speaker 2: cause trouble for you?
- 1:35:33Speaker 1: Okay, so you think they're going to bribe them?
- 1:35:34Speaker 2: Extortion. This is extortion. I don't need to destroy South Korea.
- 1:35:39Speaker 2: All I need to do is basically threaten the South
- 1:35:41Speaker 2: Koreans and they'll just bribe me not to do anything.
- 1:35:46Speaker 2: So what does all of.
- 1:35:47Speaker 1: This stuff mean for the average person? You know, people
- 1:35:50Speaker 1: listening right now, they're just normal people. A lot of them,
- 1:35:53Speaker 1: not all of them, but a lot of them are
- 1:35:54Speaker 1: just normal people getting on with their lives and they
- 1:35:55Speaker 1: care about their families, their jobs, their futures. What message
- 1:36:00Speaker 1: have you got for them?
- 1:36:02Speaker 2: In this new world, we will need leaders. We will
- 1:36:06Speaker 2: need average people who are able to bring hope to
- 1:36:13Speaker 2: people around them, who are able to tell their neighbors,
- 1:36:18Speaker 2: their friends, We have to come together as a community
- 1:36:22Speaker 2: and become a family if we are to survive. That's
- 1:36:28Speaker 2: what the world needs in the future. It will need
- 1:36:32Speaker 2: entrepreneurial leaders. It will need visionaries. It will need prophets.
- 1:36:38Speaker 2: Those who will most thrive are those who make an
- 1:36:41Speaker 2: effort to reach out, knock on the door of your
- 1:36:46Speaker 2: neighbors and say, listen, there's a blackout. And there's probably
- 1:36:51Speaker 2: no water. But don't fear. Because if we come together
- 1:36:57Speaker 2: as a community, if we go and knock on everyone's doors,
- 1:37:01Speaker 2: then everyone in this apartment building, and there might be
- 1:37:02Speaker 2: a hundred of us, if we just sit down and
- 1:37:05Speaker 2: have a meeting and just discuss what's happening, one of
- 1:37:11Speaker 2: us will come up with a solution. And one of
- 1:37:14Speaker 2: us will help everyone else figure out how to find
- 1:37:19Speaker 2: water or how to build a better society. And we
- 1:37:22Speaker 2: know this because historically, this has always been true. When
- 1:37:25Speaker 2: empires collapse, infrastructure collapses.
- 1:37:28Speaker 1: Which empire do you think is collapsing? The United States empire?
- 1:37:32Speaker 2: The United States empire is collapsing, yes.
- 1:37:36Speaker 1: And who is taking its place?
- 1:37:38Speaker 2: No one can take the place of the American empire.
- 1:37:40Speaker 2: So we live in a unipolar moment. And the closest
- 1:37:43Speaker 2: historical analogy to today is something called the Bronze Age Collapse.
- 1:37:48Speaker 1: The Bronze Age.
- 1:37:49Speaker 2: The Bronze Age Collapse. And this happened about over 3,000
- 1:37:54Speaker 2: years ago. And what happened during the Bronze Age Collapse
- 1:37:58Speaker 2: is that you have these established kingdoms throughout the Middle
- 1:38:04Speaker 2: East and Europe. You have Mycenaean Greece. You had the
- 1:38:08Speaker 2: Hittite Empire in Anatolia, which is present-day Turkey. You had
- 1:38:13Speaker 2: the Mesopotamian Empire. You had the Egyptians. And one by one,
- 1:38:19Speaker 2: they collapse. The reason why was that a perfect storm
- 1:38:22Speaker 2: of calamities came at the same time. There were earthquakes.
- 1:38:25Speaker 2: There were famines. There was a climate crisis. There were wars.
- 1:38:28Speaker 2: There were civil wars. There were revolutions. And so you
- 1:38:30Speaker 2: had this massive surge of refugees called the Sea Peoples
- 1:38:34Speaker 2: flowing from North and West Europe and sweeping the entire,
- 1:38:41Speaker 2: sweeping food to the entire Middle East. And the reason
- 1:38:45Speaker 2: why is they were hungry. They didn't have any food
- 1:38:48Speaker 2: to eat. So they organized into groups you know, these
- 1:38:51Speaker 2: large pirate armies and they overwhelmed entire civilizations. And so
- 1:38:57Speaker 2: we will see a very similar dynamic play out in
- 1:39:01Speaker 2: the world where in the future, our concern won't be wars.
- 1:39:09Speaker 2: Our concern will be these millions of refugees who want
- 1:39:12Speaker 2: to flood into our societies because they're hungry. And they're
- 1:39:18Speaker 2: going to come from Africa They're going to come from
- 1:39:21Speaker 2: the Middle East. They'll probably come from South America as well.
- 1:39:26Speaker 2: So I saw your show with Steve Keen, by the way.
- 1:39:28Speaker 2: Steve Keen. It was a great show, right? And he
- 1:39:31Speaker 2: talked about this, where, look, the world depends on fertilizer.
- 1:39:36Speaker 2: And there's 8 billion people in the world. And without fertilizers,
- 1:39:39Speaker 2: the world can only sustain, at most, 2 billion people. Well,
- 1:39:45Speaker 2: what are the 6 billion people going to do? Just
- 1:39:47Speaker 2: starve to death? No, they're going to migrate. And they're
- 1:39:50Speaker 2: going to want food. And it's going to create a
- 1:39:53Speaker 2: huge global crisis throughout the world.
- 1:39:55Speaker 1: I mean, one might argue that with the rise of
- 1:39:59Speaker 1: things like AI and robotics, the cost of production is
- 1:40:01Speaker 1: going to drop and there's going to be more, you know,
- 1:40:03Speaker 1: Elon talks about the age of abundance and all these
- 1:40:06Speaker 1: kinds of things.
- 1:40:07Speaker 2: But you have to grow food out of the ground.
- 1:40:10Speaker 2: And you are using fertiliser to maximise the land's capacity
- 1:40:15Speaker 2: to grow food. So you don't have fertiliser You can
- 1:40:18Speaker 2: have as many robots as you want. They don't have
- 1:40:20Speaker 2: to eat food. We have to eat food.
- 1:40:23Speaker 1: So what is your, you talked about hopefulness.
- 1:40:26Speaker 3: Right.
- 1:40:26Speaker 1: Are you hopeful?
- 1:40:28Speaker 2: I'm very hopeful.
- 1:40:29Speaker 1: What are you hopeful for?
- 1:40:33Speaker 2: I believe that humans are first and foremost creative and resilient.
- 1:40:38Speaker 2: And our abilities have become dormant because we've become too complacent.
- 1:40:43Speaker 2: Western lifestyle have made us extremely lazy and fat. But
- 1:40:52Speaker 2: the moment we're presented with a crisis, the moment that
- 1:40:56Speaker 2: we find our families in danger, we're able to come
- 1:41:00Speaker 2: together as a people and come up with all this
- 1:41:03Speaker 2: tremendous imagination in order to make a better society.
- 1:41:08Speaker 1: Make sure you keep what I'm about to say to yourself.
- 1:41:10Speaker 1: I'm inviting 10,000 of you to come even deeper into
- 1:41:13Speaker 1: the diary of a CEO. Welcome to my inner circle.
- 1:41:16Speaker 1: This is a brand new private community that I'm launching
- 1:41:19Speaker 1: to the world. We have so many incredible things that
- 1:41:21Speaker 1: happen that you are never shown. We have the briefs
- 1:41:25Speaker 1: that are on my iPad when I'm recording the conversation.
- 1:41:27Speaker 1: We have clips we've never released. We have behind the
- 1:41:29Speaker 1: scenes conversations with the guests and also the episodes that
- 1:41:32Speaker 1: we've never, ever released. And so much more. In the circle,
- 1:41:37Speaker 1: you'll have direct access to me. You can tell us
- 1:41:39Speaker 1: what you want this show to be, who you want
- 1:41:41Speaker 1: us to interview, and the types of conversations you would
- 1:41:43Speaker 1: love us to have. But remember, for now, we're only
- 1:41:47Speaker 1: inviting the first 10,000 people that join before it closes.
- 1:41:50Speaker 1: So if you want to join our private closed community,
- 1:41:52Speaker 1: head to the link in the description below or go
- 1:41:54Speaker 1: to doaccircle.com. I will speak to you then. Professor, what's
- 1:42:01Speaker 1: the most important thing we haven't talked about that we
- 1:42:03Speaker 1: should have talked about?
- 1:42:06Speaker 2: So let's talk about the nature of reality. To explain
- 1:42:09Speaker 2: the nature of reality, I'm going to explain Plato's Allegro
- 1:42:14Speaker 2: of the Cave, which he talked about in his book,
- 1:42:16Speaker 2: The Republic. Right, exactly.
- 1:42:19Speaker 1: This book.
- 1:42:19Speaker 2: Yes, The Republic, okay? One of the masterpieces of Greek
- 1:42:22Speaker 2: civilization as well as Western civilization. All right, so this
- 1:42:25Speaker 2: is how Plato explains the nature of reality. And so
- 1:42:31Speaker 2: he uses a metaphor called the cave. So I want
- 1:42:34Speaker 2: you to imagine a dark, cavern that is huge. And
- 1:42:40Speaker 2: in this cavern, there are hundreds of people lined up together.
- 1:42:49Speaker 2: And they're all sitting in a row. And this goes
- 1:42:52Speaker 2: on for, you know, miles and miles, just thousands of people.
- 1:42:57Speaker 2: And they are chained to the ground. And their necks
- 1:43:01Speaker 2: are shackled. So they can't actually move. And all they
- 1:43:04Speaker 2: can do is stare in front of them and a
- 1:43:07Speaker 2: giant wall that's empty. Now, behind these people, and again,
- 1:43:16Speaker 2: they can't see behind them, right? It's a great fire.
- 1:43:21Speaker 2: Alongside this fire are people, okay? We don't know who
- 1:43:25Speaker 2: they are. They'll never explain who these people are. They
- 1:43:28Speaker 2: take puppets and they project these puppets off the fire
- 1:43:33Speaker 2: onto the wall. And when people see these shadows, they
- 1:43:45Speaker 2: think that this is reality. And as such, they begin
- 1:43:50Speaker 2: to create narratives to explain this reality. They create language.
- 1:43:56Speaker 2: They give shadows names. They explain where these shadows come from.
- 1:43:59Speaker 2: They create religion. Then these people decide to specialize. So
- 1:44:04Speaker 2: some people who are priests, who explain this new religion,
- 1:44:08Speaker 2: There's some people who are poets that talk about the
- 1:44:11Speaker 2: beauty of the shadows. And then you have teachers who
- 1:44:16Speaker 2: teach about the shadows to children. And then over time,
- 1:44:22Speaker 2: what happens is that these people fall in love with
- 1:44:30Speaker 2: this reality so that they are addicted to it. So
- 1:44:34Speaker 2: if anyone comes on and says, hey guys, why don't
- 1:44:36Speaker 2: you look behind me? and see it's all just a farce.
- 1:44:41Speaker 2: These people will be so angry that they kill this person.
- 1:44:46Speaker 2: So I'm not sure if you've ever watched a Korean drama.
- 1:44:49Speaker 2: Have you watched a Korean TV drama?
- 1:44:51Speaker 1: Not really.
- 1:44:53Speaker 2: So unfortunately, I have. And these things go on for
- 1:44:56Speaker 2: like thousands of hours. And for the first 10 hours,
- 1:45:00Speaker 2: you're disgusted by the plot because it makes no sense.
- 1:45:06Speaker 2: but by the 20th hour, you can't stop watching it.
- 1:45:12Speaker 2: The same situation here where it's a silly television drama,
- 1:45:16Speaker 2: it's all fake, but once people watch too much of it,
- 1:45:20Speaker 2: they want it to be true. And that's the nature
- 1:45:24Speaker 2: of reality that we live in. So certain things to
- 1:45:27Speaker 2: remember is that what creates this reality are not the
- 1:45:34Speaker 2: people in charge, What creates this reality is our imagination. Okay.
- 1:45:40Speaker 2: So the first thing to appreciate is that everything is
- 1:45:44Speaker 2: a hallucination. And this is something that North scientists have confirmed.
- 1:45:48Speaker 2: So what we're going to do is we're going to
- 1:45:50Speaker 2: take Plato's Alley to the Cave, the framework, and then
- 1:45:53Speaker 2: apply it to our reality to understand how it's created.
- 1:45:56Speaker 1: Okay.
- 1:45:57Speaker 2: So in the first layer, you need a power, a
- 1:46:03Speaker 2: force to put people in change, right? And this is
- 1:46:08Speaker 2: what we call the military-industrial complex of America, as well
- 1:46:12Speaker 2: as the empire. So going back to this example, it's
- 1:46:16Speaker 2: the layer that puts the people into change. But now
- 1:46:20Speaker 2: the second step is you need people to create the reality,
- 1:46:24Speaker 2: to direct people's attention, to create the game. And these
- 1:46:28Speaker 2: people are the financial elite, the bank of international settlements
- 1:46:32Speaker 2: based in Basel. So what do they do? These people
- 1:46:37Speaker 2: are the ones who set the exchange currency rates. And
- 1:46:40Speaker 2: they also allow for seamless financial transactions. The SWIFT system, basically.
- 1:46:47Speaker 2: Then Wall Street and the City of London were the financiers.
- 1:46:54Speaker 2: And then you have the Federal Reserve. The Federal Reserve system.
- 1:46:57Speaker 2: Because the Federal Reserve are the people who print money.
- 1:46:59Speaker 3: Okay.
- 1:47:03Speaker 2: Now, Once you create the rules of the game, you
- 1:47:06Speaker 2: need to create the game itself, which is the global economy. Right?
- 1:47:11Speaker 2: Global economy. And obviously, this is a pretty vast system
- 1:47:17Speaker 2: that encompasses everything, okay? Now, you have to explain to
- 1:47:21Speaker 2: people how the global economy works. You cannot tell people, oh, really,
- 1:47:26Speaker 2: there are these secret people working behind the scenes that
- 1:47:29Speaker 2: are projecting shadows onto a wall. So what you do
- 1:47:32Speaker 2: is you create multilateral organizations that pretend to control the
- 1:47:38Speaker 2: global economy. And they are the World Bank, the United Nations, WTO.
- 1:47:43Speaker 2: You make people believe that this is all being controlled
- 1:47:47Speaker 2: impartially for our benefit. Now, you have to convince people
- 1:47:54Speaker 2: that this system is legitimate. That when you're actually seeing
- 1:47:58Speaker 2: the shadows on the wall, they're real. And that's why
- 1:48:01Speaker 2: you need The media, that's why you need culture, such
- 1:48:06Speaker 2: as Hollywood, movies, basically. And you need education, school system, okay?
- 1:48:12Speaker 2: These are the people who are all prisoners, who have
- 1:48:15Speaker 2: become leaders of the prisoners and who are helping them
- 1:48:20Speaker 2: understand the shadows on the wall.
- 1:48:22Speaker 1: So am I in the media? Yes, you are. Am I? Yes.
- 1:48:25Speaker 1: So what am I doing? Am I one of the
- 1:48:27Speaker 1: people in the fire controlling the narrative? Is that what?
- 1:48:30Speaker 2: Yes, yes.
- 1:48:31Speaker 1: But I'm not owned by anybody.
- 1:48:34Speaker 2: That's what you think. Oh, really?
- 1:48:36Speaker 3: Yes.
- 1:48:36Speaker 1: Who am I owned by?
- 1:48:38Speaker 2: Ultimately, it's the people who control the fire that are
- 1:48:41Speaker 2: in charge, right? So ultimately, it's these people, the second layer,
- 1:48:45Speaker 2: the game masters, the financial elite that control everything.
- 1:48:49Speaker 1: And the financial elite, again, are like the World Bank,
- 1:48:51Speaker 1: you said?
- 1:48:52Speaker 2: No, no. The financial elite are these private bankers.
- 1:48:56Speaker 1: Okay, so are the private bankers controlling me? Because you
- 1:48:59Speaker 1: said I was in the media.
- 1:49:00Speaker 2: Do you want to make money?
- 1:49:01Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 1:49:02Speaker 2: Then they're controlling you.
- 1:49:03Speaker 1: Okay.
- 1:49:03Speaker 2: Right.
- 1:49:05Speaker 1: How are they controlling me?
- 1:49:06Speaker 2: Because they control the creation of money. And so now
- 1:49:11Speaker 2: that you have the media, the schools, and the cultural
- 1:49:16Speaker 2: systems helping people understand the shadows on the wall, these
- 1:49:20Speaker 2: shadows now become internalized. And they dictate the values and
- 1:49:27Speaker 2: norms of people, what they believe to be good and bad.
- 1:49:30Speaker 2: They dictate habits and customs, how you live your life.
- 1:49:34Speaker 2: And they dictate the legal system, who's punished for what.
- 1:49:39Speaker 2: And this becomes the top edifice. And what's amazing about
- 1:49:43Speaker 2: the system.
- 1:49:45Speaker 4: Is that in our minds, we believe that the system is,
- 1:49:50Speaker 4: first of all, the complete opposite, where the foundation is
- 1:49:55Speaker 4: actually the laws, the habits.
- 1:49:58Speaker 2: And the values. When in fact, in reality, these are
- 1:50:03Speaker 2: just figments of our imagination. That's point one. Point two
- 1:50:07Speaker 2: is that this is a very, very delicate structure. So
- 1:50:11Speaker 2: if anyone doesn't cooperate, okay, then this edifice collapses. It's
- 1:50:16Speaker 2: because it's a very, very delicate system, okay? And the
- 1:50:19Speaker 2: third thing, and this is most important to understand the
- 1:50:21Speaker 2: world that we live in, as the system becomes much
- 1:50:24Speaker 2: more wobbly, meaning that young people don't really believe in
- 1:50:28Speaker 2: the shadows anymore. Young people go up and says, hmm,
- 1:50:31Speaker 2: are these shadows really real? They don't feel real to me.
- 1:50:34Speaker 2: The system... needs to become much more authoritarian. It needs
- 1:50:39Speaker 2: to force people to believe what they refuse to believe.
- 1:50:43Speaker 2: Because everyone in the system is incentivized to ensure this
- 1:50:48Speaker 2: edifice is stable.
- 1:50:50Speaker 1: Do you think this is somewhat linked to what's going
- 1:50:52Speaker 1: on with independent media?
- 1:50:54Speaker 2: Exactly.
- 1:50:55Speaker 1: Because independent media are asking a lot of questions about
- 1:50:57Speaker 1: the way society functions.
- 1:50:59Speaker 2: Exactly. And that's why we're seeing governments becoming very worried
- 1:51:04Speaker 2: about independent media. Because if you have people in the
- 1:51:08Speaker 2: population saying, these shadows are fake, this creates a ripple effect.
- 1:51:12Speaker 2: It causes people to start questioning the shadows on the wall.
- 1:51:16Speaker 2: You can't have that. So that's why it's important to
- 1:51:19Speaker 2: have censorship. That's why it's important to de-platform people. That's
- 1:51:22Speaker 2: why you have woke politics, DEI. It's an enforcement mechanism.
- 1:51:28Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, it is pretty hard. It's not easy
- 1:51:30Speaker 1: being an independent podcaster if you have a big platform
- 1:51:34Speaker 1: because- not always the most loved by the mainstream media.
- 1:51:38Speaker 2: And they'll figure out how to eventually.
- 1:51:40Speaker 1: But i think that's i think that's very human actually
- 1:51:42Speaker 1: i think i think the incentives are quite understandable from
- 1:51:45Speaker 1: a human perspective look.
- 1:51:47Speaker 2: If you look at the system no one's really in
- 1:51:49Speaker 2: charge and no one's a villain they just grow up
- 1:51:54Speaker 2: in the system and everyone's protecting their incentives exactly that's
- 1:51:57Speaker 2: kind of what i mean i'm like yeah human nature
- 1:51:59Speaker 2: is to protect one's incentives and You know, the media
- 1:52:02Speaker 2: didn't like Mark Zuckerberg and Facebook because 80% of 70,
- 1:52:06Speaker 2: 80% of ad revenue went to Google and Facebook.
- 1:52:08Speaker 1: So they had a bit of a war. So I
- 1:52:09Speaker 1: kind of get it. People are trying to protect what's
- 1:52:11Speaker 1: theirs and disruption causes people to, I guess, panic a
- 1:52:15Speaker 1: little bit, but it makes sense.
- 1:52:17Speaker 2: But the problem is that over time, more and more
- 1:52:23Speaker 2: young people are going to grow up and say, I
- 1:52:25Speaker 2: don't see shadows. I'm pretty sure we're being lied to.
- 1:52:30Speaker 2: In which case, This person has an opportunity to overhaul
- 1:52:34Speaker 2: the system and create a new system. And this is
- 1:52:38Speaker 2: why AI is important.
- 1:52:42Speaker 1: But we currently believe this one. We currently believe in
- 1:52:45Speaker 1: this structure. It's really difficult, I think, for the average
- 1:52:47Speaker 1: person listening now to accept the fact that they have
- 1:52:50Speaker 1: believed a bunch of fundamental ideas and stories that everything
- 1:52:55Speaker 1: they care about is sat upon. But I mean, you only,
- 1:52:58Speaker 1: if you've read the book Sapiens and understood that humans
- 1:53:00Speaker 1: got here because we've had a remarkable ability to believe
- 1:53:02Speaker 1: in stories that maybe the orangutan could not believe, it
- 1:53:05Speaker 1: couldn't believe in money and governments and religions and all
- 1:53:09Speaker 1: these kinds of things. It makes perfect sense that, yeah,
- 1:53:11Speaker 1: there's really foundational stories where you are accepting and that's
- 1:53:14Speaker 1: what's brought us here today. That's what keeps me from
- 1:53:17Speaker 1: running out on the street without my clothes on or
- 1:53:19Speaker 1: doing other illicit activities is I'm held in place by
- 1:53:22Speaker 1: a set of stories, um, that I've accepted, and they
- 1:53:25Speaker 1: are stacked one upon the other to make me believe
- 1:53:28Speaker 1: that everything I'm seeing and accepting is valid. But, you know,
- 1:53:33Speaker 1: I guess the question becomes, am I okay with this reality?
- 1:53:37Speaker 2: And what's stopping us from creating our own reality that
- 1:53:39Speaker 2: benefits everyone?
- 1:53:41Speaker 1: Is that possible?
- 1:53:43Speaker 2: Well, in theory, it's possible. But as you point out,
- 1:53:46Speaker 2: there are certain people who are happy with the system
- 1:53:50Speaker 2: and want to maintain the system. And that's why we're
- 1:53:54Speaker 2: going to wars around the world. Because it's not just
- 1:53:56Speaker 2: a war between different nation states. It's also a war
- 1:54:01Speaker 2: for the fundamental nature of reality. You have the bankers
- 1:54:05Speaker 2: versus the tech bros, right? That's what we're seeing in
- 1:54:09Speaker 2: the world right now. Where for the longest time, Wall
- 1:54:14Speaker 2: Street has controlled America. But now with the Trump revolution,
- 1:54:17Speaker 2: you have Palantir. You have people like Larry Ellison, Peter Thiel.
- 1:54:23Speaker 2: a certain ultimate, who want to create Operation Stargate, which
- 1:54:27Speaker 2: gives them complete control over people's imagination.
- 1:54:32Speaker 1: You can knock it over now.
- 1:54:33Speaker 2: Okay. And that thing will come down eventually because that
- 1:54:41Speaker 2: is just the fundamental fact of human history. Everything, no
- 1:54:46Speaker 2: matter how stable it seems in the beginning, it all
- 1:54:48Speaker 2: comes crashing down eventually.
- 1:54:51Speaker 1: Eventually.
- 1:54:52Speaker 2: Eventually.
- 1:54:53Speaker 1: Cyclically.
- 1:54:55Speaker 2: Yes.
- 1:54:56Speaker 1: Ray Dalio talks about the cycles through history and how
- 1:55:00Speaker 1: sort of predictable they are and how frequent they are.
- 1:55:02Speaker 1: Is there a frequency to the rise and fall of these,
- 1:55:06Speaker 1: I guess, perceived realities or empires as he calls it?
- 1:55:10Speaker 2: Yeah. So they say empires last around 200 years. And
- 1:55:14Speaker 2: so we are now in the twilight of the American empire.
- 1:55:18Speaker 2: And what we know is that when empires decline, It's
- 1:55:21Speaker 2: always for the same reasons. And it's always because of
- 1:55:27Speaker 2: too much debt, too much corruption, too much inequality. And
- 1:55:32Speaker 2: we're seeing that in America today. And the other thing
- 1:55:34Speaker 2: that we know is you can't actually stop the decline
- 1:55:38Speaker 2: of empires. So Oswald Spengler, who is a German theoretician,
- 1:55:44Speaker 2: he argues that we are human beings and we have
- 1:55:48Speaker 2: natural life cycles because we're organisms. Well, societies are the
- 1:55:52Speaker 2: same way, where empires, they will be born, they'll rise,
- 1:55:57Speaker 2: they'll die. And it's a good thing because that's what
- 1:56:01Speaker 2: allows for constant human innovation.
- 1:56:04Speaker 1: Do you think that will happen in my lifetime? I'm
- 1:56:05Speaker 1: 30 years old, 33 years old.
- 1:56:07Speaker 2: It may happen in everyone's lifetime. It may happen in
- 1:56:10Speaker 2: the next five to 10 years. We are seeing... Do you.
- 1:56:13Speaker 1: Think that's going to happen in the next five or
- 1:56:15Speaker 1: 10 years?
- 1:56:15Speaker 2: I think there's a very strong possibility that the American
- 1:56:18Speaker 2: empire will collapse in the next five to 10 years.
- 1:56:20Speaker 2: Because it is overstretched, it's in too much debt, and
- 1:56:24Speaker 2: it is really angering the entire world. It's basically unifying
- 1:56:27Speaker 2: the entire world against it right now.
- 1:56:29Speaker 1: And if that is to be the case, what would
- 1:56:31Speaker 1: you give me as advice as a 33-year-old? What actions
- 1:56:34Speaker 1: should I be thinking about taking now, based on what
- 1:56:37Speaker 1: you know about history, to make sure that it's not
- 1:56:40Speaker 1: too bad for myself? I guess I'm asking this question
- 1:56:43Speaker 1: in light of you predicting that there might be a
- 1:56:46Speaker 1: collapse of the Western or the American empire. And in
- 1:56:51Speaker 1: such a scenario, I was wondering what it would look
- 1:56:53Speaker 1: like to be an American. And is there a solution
- 1:56:57Speaker 1: or a course of behavior one should take in such
- 1:56:59Speaker 1: a scenario? But I guess that's the key question, which
- 1:57:02Speaker 1: is if the U.S. empire does collapse, how does American
- 1:57:05Speaker 1: life change or Western life change?
- 1:57:07Speaker 2: Okay. So one theory that's very important to understand is
- 1:57:12Speaker 2: something called hermetic philosophy. And hermetic philosophy is what underpins
- 1:57:18Speaker 2: Plato's Aligo of the Cave. Mm-hmm. And Aramaic philosophy comes
- 1:57:21Speaker 2: from Egypt. And it has certain principles, but its main
- 1:57:26Speaker 2: principle is that reality is energy. It's vibrations. Okay? So
- 1:57:31Speaker 2: we think of it as material, but material is a
- 1:57:34Speaker 2: consequence of energy. Right? So what this means is that
- 1:57:40Speaker 2: reality is consciousness itself. So our thoughts are what's real.
- 1:57:48Speaker 2: Our bodies are... just vehicles to express to experience the
- 1:57:53Speaker 2: world around us but they're not real when we die
- 1:57:55Speaker 2: our souls return to the source and we come back
- 1:57:59Speaker 2: again and we're here permanently in order to experience things
- 1:58:02Speaker 2: we cannot experience in the spiritual world because in the
- 1:58:05Speaker 2: spiritual world, it's not material. So what's really important is
- 1:58:11Speaker 2: to appreciate that every one of us is part of
- 1:58:15Speaker 2: the source. And so if we think about the totality
- 1:58:20Speaker 2: of things, we can only become despondent. We can only
- 1:58:23Speaker 2: give up hope. But if we think about how individually
- 1:58:28Speaker 2: we can become a better person, and how we can
- 1:58:31Speaker 2: impact the people around us, then that becomes reflected onto
- 1:58:38Speaker 2: the reality itself, because we're just part of God itself, right?
- 1:58:42Speaker 2: So the idea is as above, so below, as below,
- 1:58:47Speaker 2: so above, meaning that we are each and every one
- 1:58:49Speaker 2: of us fractals of God. So if we choose to
- 1:58:52Speaker 2: be a good person, this... makes the world a better place.
- 1:58:57Speaker 2: If you choose to be a bad person, it also
- 1:58:59Speaker 2: makes the world a worse place. So it's not really
- 1:59:01Speaker 2: about how can I stop these wars from happening, because
- 1:59:04Speaker 2: you cannot. It's not really about where can I put
- 1:59:07Speaker 2: my money to generate more income, because that's not going
- 1:59:09Speaker 2: to happen. It's really about how do I live my
- 1:59:15Speaker 2: life to the fullest? How do I become a much
- 1:59:18Speaker 2: more creative individual that brings goodness to the people around me.
- 1:59:23Speaker 2: If you do that, you're changing the world every day
- 1:59:28Speaker 2: for the better.
- 1:59:33Speaker 1: That's a nice message. That's a very nice message.
- 1:59:37Speaker 2: And I agree.
- 1:59:38Speaker 1: It's really interesting. I've spoken to a couple of physicists
- 1:59:40Speaker 1: now who say similar things about consciousness, and it really
- 1:59:43Speaker 1: has stuck with me. A lot of things people say,
- 1:59:46Speaker 1: sometimes because I learned so much doing this that I
- 1:59:49Speaker 1: forget them, but this idea that, um, that we're all
- 1:59:52Speaker 1: part of the same consciousness and that I think someone
- 1:59:54Speaker 1: said to me, a physicist said to me that, um,
- 1:59:57Speaker 1: it's almost like consciousness divided into lots of little pieces
- 2:00:02Speaker 1: so that it could experience the world or view the world.
- 2:00:05Speaker 1: And I found that to be a really compelling idea. Weirdly,
- 2:00:07Speaker 1: I was thinking about this the other day, I was
- 2:00:09Speaker 1: in a European country and I was, I was driving
- 2:00:12Speaker 1: in a taxi and I looked out the window and
- 2:00:13Speaker 1: you had all of these like tourists just stood at
- 2:00:16Speaker 1: the edge of the water, all just like looking up
- 2:00:18Speaker 1: and looking around. And I just, for a second, thought
- 2:00:20Speaker 1: of them as like little pieces of consciousness exploring the world.
- 2:00:24Speaker 1: Because they were like looking up and looking around and
- 2:00:25Speaker 1: looking at mountains and looking at the ocean and looking
- 2:00:27Speaker 1: at the floor. And it dawned on me for a
- 2:00:29Speaker 1: second that that might just be consciousness is manifestation for
- 2:00:34Speaker 1: sort of, I guess, exploration. Which is a really interesting idea.
- 2:00:38Speaker 1: I don't necessarily know what it means, but it does
- 2:00:40Speaker 1: create a lot of empathy.
- 2:00:41Speaker 2: So one area that you might want to explore is
- 2:00:43Speaker 2: the Kabbalah.
- 2:00:44Speaker 1: So what's this Kabbalah thing?
- 2:00:47Speaker 2: It's what they call the Tree of Life. And in
- 2:00:49Speaker 2: the Tree of Life, it's what I'm trying to say
- 2:00:52Speaker 2: is that it's a certain dynamic in the world that
- 2:00:54Speaker 2: governs all human affairs. And this dynamic is thesis, antithesis, synthesis.
- 2:01:00Speaker 2: So God is the will to bestow, creates Adam-Kamon, who
- 2:01:05Speaker 2: is the will to receive. Adam-Kamon has to abandon God,
- 2:01:09Speaker 2: thus destroying the world. But eventually, because the world is destroyed,
- 2:01:13Speaker 2: Adam-Kamon and his descendants, us, recognize the following of our
- 2:01:17Speaker 2: ways and beg God for forgiveness, and this will redeem
- 2:01:21Speaker 2: the world, repair the world. And if you think about it, okay,
- 2:01:25Speaker 2: this is what underpins a lot of actions that is
- 2:01:31Speaker 2: happening in the Middle East, where the Israelis are doing
- 2:01:34Speaker 2: what they're doing, which is trying to force the hand
- 2:01:38Speaker 2: of God. Meaning that, okay, if Israel is committing all
- 2:01:43Speaker 2: these atrocities in the Middle East, it's putting all these wars,
- 2:01:47Speaker 2: eventually the world will have to punish the Israelis, right?
- 2:01:52Speaker 2: There'll be war between the world and Israel. And Israel
- 2:01:55Speaker 2: will be humbled. But once Israel is humbled, everyone in
- 2:02:01Speaker 2: Israel will recognize the folly of his or her arrogance, hubris,
- 2:02:08Speaker 2: and then will beg God for forgiveness. And what's that
- 2:02:12Speaker 2: moment when it happens? When all people in Israel, at
- 2:02:15Speaker 2: the same time, beg God for deliverance and for forgiveness,
- 2:02:20Speaker 2: the world will end and we'll return to paradise. That's
- 2:02:25Speaker 2: literally what they believe.
- 2:02:26Speaker 3: Fascinating.
- 2:02:32Speaker 1: We're going to have to stop there, Professor.
- 2:02:34Speaker 2: Okay.
- 2:02:35Speaker 1: We have a closing tradition where the last guest leaves
- 2:02:36Speaker 1: a question for the next guest, not knowing who they're
- 2:02:38Speaker 1: leaving it for. And the question left for you is,
- 2:02:41Speaker 1: who will you miss the most and why?
- 2:02:44Speaker 2: Well, I... will miss my wife the most because I
- 2:02:50Speaker 2: met my wife about 10 years ago and this was
- 2:02:53Speaker 2: a time in my life when I had hit rock bottom.
- 2:02:59Speaker 2: I went to Yale and so I have a very
- 2:03:03Speaker 2: elevated sense of myself and my abilities. And so I
- 2:03:05Speaker 2: went into the world thinking that I would conquer it.
- 2:03:09Speaker 2: And after decades of failure, I basically became very depressed Failure? Yes,
- 2:03:18Speaker 2: meaning I didn't have a job, meaning I didn't have
- 2:03:20Speaker 2: much income, meaning I didn't have much hope in my life.
- 2:03:25Speaker 2: And so I was working as a teacher, and then
- 2:03:27Speaker 2: through a mutual acquaintance, I met my wife. And I
- 2:03:32Speaker 2: think that it was because I became so depressed that
- 2:03:37Speaker 2: my heart, I begged for relief. I begged God, even
- 2:03:43Speaker 2: though I don't believe in God. for salvation and redemption.
- 2:03:47Speaker 2: And my wife came as an angel. And what she
- 2:03:51Speaker 2: did that no one else did before was she loved
- 2:03:55Speaker 2: me unconditionally. She was kind to me. She told me
- 2:04:02Speaker 2: to believe in myself. And she proved it by making
- 2:04:07Speaker 2: the ultimate sacrifice and having a child with me. It's
- 2:04:10Speaker 2: one thing for someone to say, I believe in you,
- 2:04:13Speaker 2: I love you. But it's another thing to have a
- 2:04:16Speaker 2: child with that person. And so that changed me totally.
- 2:04:22Speaker 2: And I said to myself, I can't despair anymore. I
- 2:04:25Speaker 2: have to work hard. I have to provide for my family.
- 2:04:31Speaker 2: And at this time, I was thinking that maybe I
- 2:04:33Speaker 2: could help certain students go to Yale. Like, you know,
- 2:04:39Speaker 2: in China, consulting is a huge business where if you
- 2:04:42Speaker 2: help package a kid you get to the Yale, you
- 2:04:44Speaker 2: get about a million dollars. That's a lot of money, right?
- 2:04:47Speaker 2: And she told me, you can't do that. You have
- 2:04:49Speaker 2: to be true to yourself and you have to be
- 2:04:51Speaker 2: true to our son. Set a good example for him.
- 2:04:55Speaker 2: And so what happened was that I got a job
- 2:04:59Speaker 2: as a high school teacher and then I started to
- 2:05:02Speaker 2: make these YouTube videos and then it blew up online.
- 2:05:06Speaker 2: And this was not something that we expected. It wasn't
- 2:05:09Speaker 2: something that we planned for. It just happened organically. So
- 2:05:14Speaker 2: It was my wife, just by saying, I love you
- 2:05:18Speaker 2: to me. And I knew it to be true because
- 2:05:20Speaker 2: we had a child together. We started a family together.
- 2:05:22Speaker 2: By loving me unconditionally, by being kind to me, it
- 2:05:24Speaker 2: changed me forever. And that's what empowered me to want
- 2:05:29Speaker 2: to share myself with other people as well. And so
- 2:05:32Speaker 2: I don't know how I will ever thank my wife.
- 2:05:34Speaker 2: I'm forever grateful for her. And before I didn't really
- 2:05:40Speaker 2: mind leaving this world, But I don't want to leave
- 2:05:42Speaker 2: this world anymore because I don't want to separate from her.
- 2:05:46Speaker 1: Could you have expected that you'd have the success you've
- 2:05:49Speaker 1: had online? You've got almost two and a half million
- 2:05:51Speaker 1: subscribers on YouTube alone, getting millions and millions and millions
- 2:05:56Speaker 1: of views on your videos. I mean, some of your
- 2:05:58Speaker 1: videos have almost 10 million views on various channels that
- 2:06:01Speaker 1: you've been on. You've only made 146 of these videos
- 2:06:05Speaker 1: and your channel has grown immensely. Could you have imagined that?
- 2:06:12Speaker 1: I did. You did imagine?
- 2:06:13Speaker 2: Yes.
- 2:06:13Speaker 1: You thought it would go like this?
- 2:06:15Speaker 2: Not this big, but I imagine, you know, I would
- 2:06:20Speaker 2: find people who believe in what I was doing and
- 2:06:23Speaker 2: who would be inspired by what I was doing. And
- 2:06:26Speaker 2: I knew this because when I met my wife and
- 2:06:29Speaker 2: I fell in love for the first time, and we
- 2:06:31Speaker 2: loved each other unconditionally, my imagination started to open up.
- 2:06:39Speaker 2: I could see and feel things differently. that were not
- 2:06:41Speaker 2: available to me before. And it was as though I
- 2:06:46Speaker 2: became much more connected to the source. I became much
- 2:06:49Speaker 2: more connected to the universe. And the universe was giving
- 2:06:52Speaker 2: me insights as to how to proceed. And so I
- 2:06:58Speaker 2: had one day an inspiration. Let me start our YouTube
- 2:07:01Speaker 2: channel and let me make stupid predictions and see where
- 2:07:03Speaker 2: it goes. Because if I'm right, then I'll be pretty famous.
- 2:07:10Speaker 2: If I'm wrong, then I'm an idiot. But what gave
- 2:07:13Speaker 2: me the courage to imagine all this was, again, the
- 2:07:17Speaker 2: love of my wife. So that's why I say kindness
- 2:07:22Speaker 2: and love. So I did imagine this, but not to
- 2:07:28Speaker 2: the extent that my YouTube channel has blown up.
- 2:07:33Speaker 1: You've only been doing it about a year. I don't
- 2:07:36Speaker 1: think I've ever seen someone get two and a half
- 2:07:37Speaker 1: million subscribers in a year, especially making a geopolitics and
- 2:07:42Speaker 1: uh it's mainly geopolitics isn't it and history videos in
- 2:07:47Speaker 1: a year that's crazy.
- 2:07:49Speaker 2: But i will tell you this it has not changed
- 2:07:52Speaker 2: me because being with my wife having a family i
- 2:07:59Speaker 2: know my mission is to share myself with others. So
- 2:08:03Speaker 2: I could easily create a media education company like Jordan
- 2:08:09Speaker 2: Peterson and start my own university. I don't want to
- 2:08:13Speaker 2: do that. I want to share myself with others. I
- 2:08:18Speaker 2: want to constantly learn. I want to constantly ask questions.
- 2:08:21Speaker 2: I want to be open-minded. I want to be brave
- 2:08:24Speaker 2: for my wife and my family. And so, yes, I
- 2:08:29Speaker 2: did succeed. And I thank the universe for letting me succeed.
- 2:08:33Speaker 2: And I thank most of all the fact that I
- 2:08:36Speaker 2: succeeded at an age and at a time when I
- 2:08:40Speaker 2: can focus on a mission and ignore the fame, the wealth,
- 2:08:45Speaker 2: the status.
- 2:08:47Speaker 1: Are you happy?
- 2:08:49Speaker 2: I'm very happy with my family because it's my wife
- 2:08:52Speaker 2: and my children who bring me tremendous happiness in the world.
- 2:08:56Speaker 2: The YouTube channel, if they close it down tomorrow, and
- 2:09:00Speaker 2: they might, I wouldn't be at all unhappy because I
- 2:09:05Speaker 2: could just go and create more videos. What matters is
- 2:09:10Speaker 2: a source of my creativity, which is the love I
- 2:09:13Speaker 2: have for my family.
- 2:09:15Speaker 1: That is beautiful. Really beautiful. I mean, it's, it's really
- 2:09:19Speaker 1: self-evident the value you're giving to people because the amount
- 2:09:22Speaker 1: of people that showed up in my comment section and
- 2:09:25Speaker 1: demanded that you come here was staggering. In fact, that's
- 2:09:27Speaker 1: actually how I learned about you was I just saw
- 2:09:30Speaker 1: your name so much in the comment section. So I
- 2:09:32Speaker 1: was like, here's this guy. And I went on YouTube
- 2:09:34Speaker 1: and looked around and then I found these videos and
- 2:09:36Speaker 1: I got served them because I'd clicked on them. And
- 2:09:38Speaker 1: then I got, went down the rabbit hole.
- 2:09:40Speaker 2: Just to warn you, I am a polarizing figure. So
- 2:09:44Speaker 2: some people really love me, but some people also really,
- 2:09:47Speaker 2: really hate me.
- 2:09:48Speaker 1: It doesn't matter. Listen, I have, I sit here with
- 2:09:50Speaker 1: people really regardless of, uh, of, of that stuff. And
- 2:09:54Speaker 1: I think that's important and quite rare. So I'll, you know,
- 2:09:56Speaker 1: I've sat with Kamala Harris or Ivanka Trump or Gavin
- 2:09:59Speaker 1: Newsom or Michelle Obama, you know, and for me, it's
- 2:10:02Speaker 1: really about the pursuit of truth rather than being captured
- 2:10:05Speaker 1: too much by, you know, all the blocks that we
- 2:10:08Speaker 1: have on the table. So, um, Thank you for doing
- 2:10:11Speaker 1: what you do because you're demystifying and you're giving a
- 2:10:14Speaker 1: perspective to the world. And I think one of the
- 2:10:15Speaker 1: things you do that really has compelled people is you're
- 2:10:18Speaker 1: able to break things down in visual ways that allow
- 2:10:23Speaker 1: people like me who aren't the best when it comes
- 2:10:26Speaker 1: to books and textbooks and weren't necessarily very good in
- 2:10:30Speaker 1: school to understand concepts in a simpler way and really
- 2:10:33Speaker 1: to bring them to life in ways that make them
- 2:10:35Speaker 1: actionable and relevant to our lives. And so long may
- 2:10:38Speaker 1: you carry on doing that.
- 2:10:39Speaker 2: And that's a central message that I hope people understand.
- 2:10:42Speaker 2: Everyone has capacity to learn the truth for himself or herself.
- 2:10:48Speaker 2: It's only a question of desire and will.
- 2:10:50Speaker 1: Thank you.
- 2:10:51Speaker 2: Thank you.
- 2:10:52Speaker 1: YouTube have this new crazy algorithm where they know exactly
- 2:10:54Speaker 1: what video you would like to watch next based on
- 2:10:57Speaker 1: AI and all of your viewing behavior. And the algorithm
- 2:11:00Speaker 1: says that this video is the perfect video for you.
- 2:11:04Speaker 1: It's different for everybody looking right now. Check this video out.
- 2:11:07Speaker 1: I bet you, you might love it.