Latest / Combat Veteran News / Lukashenko APOLOGIES to Ukraine!! Begs Them Not To Strike!!
Transcript
- 0:00You ever meet someone who does the right
- 0:01things for the wrong reasons? I once had
- 0:04a friend who started working out, eating
- 0:06right, even saving his money because he
- 0:09thought the Illuminati wanted him to be
- 0:11weak and poor. Well, at least he got
- 0:14there. Now, this is seems to be the case
- 0:16for Bellarus who is started to have a
- 0:20real about faced in terms of their
- 0:22narrative, including seeing Luc Shenko,
- 0:24I swear to God this is true, apologize
- 0:26to Zalinsky for his past comments. But
- 0:29it's not because Lucenko is suddenly a
- 0:31great guy. Let's talk about this one. So
- 0:35Lucenko, this is a real headline by the
- 0:37way guys. Lucenko has apologized to
- 0:40Zalinsky and admitted that Bellarus is
- 0:42very vulnerable militarily and tells
- 0:45Keev to calm down. In an interview with
- 0:47Al Arabia, uh, a news a legitimate news
- 0:50network, Bellar Russian President
- 0:52Alexander Lucenko said drawing Bellarus
- 0:54into the Russo Ukrainian war would be
- 0:55unacceptable. And he actually apologized
- 0:58to Ukrainian President Womdeor Zalinski.
- 1:00In the interview, an alabia reporter
- 1:02said that Lucenko was asked to comment
- 1:04on statements by Ukrainian officials and
- 1:06military figures about the threat of a
- 1:07Russian offensive from Bellarussian
- 1:08territory. And Lucenko said both he and
- 1:11Putin consider drawing Bellarus into the
- 1:12war absolutely unacceptable.
- 1:15Interesting.
- 1:17That's absolutely not what he was saying
- 1:18just a few years ago. Drawing Bellarus
- 1:20into the war, he said, would do more
- 1:22harm than good. Uh yeah, for Bellarus.
- 1:25And he literally admitted that that
- 1:27Barus is very vulnerable militarily.
- 1:29Quote, "Because everything in Barus is
- 1:31in plain sight of the Ukrainian
- 1:32military. We understand perfectly well
- 1:34that our main critical infrastructure
- 1:35facilities, produ production, and
- 1:37logistics would come under attack." He
- 1:39said, "Ukraine has absolutely nothing to
- 1:41fear from Bellarus." Lucenko
- 1:42acknowledged he may have gone overboard
- 1:44in his earlier remarks about Zinsky and
- 1:47he made the remarks in response to
- 1:48statements and threats from Ukraine. He
- 1:51says, quote, "If Zalinsky took offense,
- 1:53I apologize to him for those words."
- 1:55Lucas Anenko said, quote, "Maybe it
- 1:57wasn't necessary to say them given that
- 1:59he is, after all, fighting a war. Maybe
- 2:01I didn't need to speak about it so
- 2:02harshly. But on the other hand, he
- 2:03should understand we often say what goes
- 2:05around comes around." He said,
- 2:06"Sullinsky needed to be more careful and
- 2:08cautious to calm down and stop provoking
- 2:10Bellarussians." Now, this is interesting
- 2:13for a bunch of reasons and it's
- 2:17fascinating that Bellarus has done this
- 2:20bizarre about face and my first thought
- 2:22is that he's trying to protect something
- 2:24because well, he's Lucenko. He's has a
- 2:27track record of looking out for number
- 2:29one. And when Putin is the big dog in
- 2:32the park, Lucenko is of course rolls
- 2:35over and plays dead for Putin. But when
- 2:38it increasingly looks like Ukraine is
- 2:40the big dog in the park, Lucenko
- 2:41survives by again being the right
- 2:43person's lap dog. Now, so on one hand,
- 2:46this may simply be a signal Vladimir
- 2:47Putin's weakness. And I think there's
- 2:49some validity to that. But I suspect
- 2:52that when he says things like Bellarus
- 2:54is very vulnerable militarily,
- 2:57one I think that's true given that well
- 3:01Russia is the primary patron of the
- 3:03Bellar Russian military and frankly
- 3:06Russia could stand to well invest a
- 3:08little more in its own military even
- 3:11though it's already spending 45% of its
- 3:13annual tax revenues on military
- 3:15spending.
- 3:17But I think the deeper story is that
- 3:19Bellarus serves a valuable function for
- 3:21the Russian military. First the simple
- 3:23reason that it is not subject to
- 3:25Ukrainian drone strikes. And I think
- 3:27Lucenko in his sort of ham-handed way
- 3:30might be trying to facilitate that. You
- 3:32see, he acknowledges. He says, "Listen,
- 3:35our production and logistics facilities
- 3:37operate in Bellarus, and you would
- 3:39totally attack them."
- 3:42Well, if those production facilities,
- 3:44hear me out. Let's say they made drones
- 3:46for the Bellarussian military or maybe
- 3:49for another neighboring military.
- 3:53Because Lucenko is intentionally
- 3:55incredibly non-combative with Keefe, it
- 3:58actually would serve Russian interests
- 4:00to be able to move production, even key
- 4:02headquarters facilities into Bellarus.
- 4:05And Lucenko, if he were to be attacked,
- 4:08he would say, well, oh, this is an
- 4:09unprovoked assault. Sure, maybe he's
- 4:13allowed Russia to produce drones or or
- 4:15operate army headquarters out of
- 4:16Bellarus away from Ukrainian drones.
- 4:19That would be a tremendous of tremendous
- 4:21benefit to the Russian military
- 4:24operation. It would also presumably for
- 4:26Vladimir Putin reduce somewhat the
- 4:28number of targets that Ukraine could
- 4:29strike within Russia itself, which is
- 4:32beneficial because well, Russian air
- 4:34defenses are stretched pretty thin. And
- 4:37so I think my first theory is that that
- 4:40is the strategy going on here. I don't
- 4:42think it's because Lucenko is suddenly
- 4:44making a westward pivot.
- 4:46But we're going to talk about some other
- 4:48well, we're going to say much weirder
- 4:50beliefs that Lucenko is pushing. But
- 4:52before I do that, one of the reasons
- 4:53that I can make these videos that and be
- 4:56so openly critical of authoritarian
- 4:59figures is because you guys have my
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- 5:24This entirely owned by me. I've been
- 5:26booted off Patreon uh mysteriously. Uh,
- 5:30so again, thanks to all you guys that do
- 5:32support me wherever I go. Um, now here's
- 5:34what I wanted to point out. Luc Shenko
- 5:37in that same interview had some we'll
- 5:39call them interesting takes uh in
- 5:43including he claimed I swear to God this
- 5:44is direct quotes that the quote Jewish
- 5:47lobby prevented Russia from securing a
- 5:49swift victory in Ukraine. Now, this is
- 5:52some red alert [ __ ] because the notion
- 5:56that
- 5:57Jews
- 6:00form a subset of your country who are
- 6:03less patriotic and have want to destroy
- 6:06the country is well
- 6:10a familiar narrative because a very bad
- 6:13dictator in the 1930s also started to
- 6:15shape that narrative and it was the
- 6:16precursor to some pretty gnarly stuff.
- 6:20Now, literally this describes them as
- 6:22anti-semitic remarks and they are right.
- 6:25He said
- 6:28Lucenko argued that it was the quote
- 6:31Jewish lobby unquote prevented Russia
- 6:33from securing his victory in Ukraine.
- 6:35What he said, quote, "Everyone
- 6:36understood that it would end in a quick
- 6:38Russian victory mainly because the
- 6:39Russians were already in Kev." This is
- 6:41untrue. The Russians never made it to
- 6:43Kev. quote and certain statesmen and
- 6:46forces asked Putin to stop withdraw
- 6:48troops from Keev and sign a peace
- 6:50agreement. Now obviously this is a lie.
- 6:52Russian troops were pushed back from
- 6:54Keefe. There was no peace agreement.
- 6:57Lucenko then claimed that Putin agreed
- 6:58to withdraw because he wanted peace but
- 6:59was misled. Quote, "Not for the first
- 7:01time. Those forces cheated. It was the
- 7:03Vatican and surprisingly the Jewish
- 7:05lobby. The Israelis. Huh? The Vatican,
- 7:07the Jewish lobby, and the Israelis. They
- 7:10declared on Zolinsk's behalf, "That's
- 7:12it. We're going for peace. We agree."
- 7:13and others did too.
- 7:16Now,
- 7:18this Lucenko claims that the Russians
- 7:21would have totally continued their
- 7:22offensive in Kev. No one else would have
- 7:24remained there. The war has dragged on.
- 7:26It's now in its fifth year and no one
- 7:27has achieved their goals. So, this is
- 7:30interesting because this seems like one,
- 7:33it's just an anti-semitic trope that is
- 7:35pretty has a history of doing some
- 7:37pretty dangerous stuff. The idea that
- 7:39there's a certain religion that aren't
- 7:41real countrymen that aren't really loyal
- 7:43is is pretty toxic, right? And it's
- 7:46really different from saying, "Hey, if
- 7:49you want to have a secular state, that
- 7:52state can get criticized, right? Uh
- 7:55again, the Vatican is technically a real
- 7:57state, but it has no state functions.
- 8:00It's only nominally independent. So you
- 8:03can't criticize, you can still actually
- 8:05criticize the Vatican and still be
- 8:07Catholic. Like criticizing the Vatican
- 8:09is not intrinsically anti-atholic. Like
- 8:11guys, try to pass a [ __ ] audit, but
- 8:14the
- 8:16you can criticize the state of Israel's
- 8:17policies without going into this [ __ ]
- 8:21Again, if he has evidence for it, he
- 8:23should roll it out. I'm always open
- 8:25evidence. If you can show me that a
- 8:26secret MSAD operation told Putin that he
- 8:30was going to lose in Kev one, he should
- 8:33probably give those MSAD agents an
- 8:35award. They probably saved Russia from
- 8:38an even worse military disaster.
- 8:41Uh point this out, right? Because here's
- 8:44here's and second, you may also note
- 8:47that uh the Russians never quite made it
- 8:50to Kev.
- 8:52Knocked on the door but got pushed on
- 8:54back. So
- 8:56again, this is just pure
- 8:59this is actual anti-semitic hogwash. And
- 9:04the
- 9:07yeah, quote, the Israeli lobby in the
- 9:09US, the Jewish lobby is very strong.
- 9:10They are rich and powerful people with
- 9:12influence.
- 9:14Again, these are two different things.
- 9:16Israel is a country. Judaism is a
- 9:18religion. Right? I know Israel claims to
- 9:21be the hard the the flag bearer of
- 9:24Judaism, but that but Iran claims to be
- 9:26the flag bearer of Islam and we know
- 9:27that's kind of also hogwash. I like I
- 9:31like this word hogwash because it won't
- 9:32get me demonetized. Um what's also kind
- 9:35of wild is that he suddenly is like ah
- 9:38they've already earned themselves the
- 9:40worst possible reputation in the world
- 9:41after bombing Gaza.
- 9:44He asked derisively quote what holocaust
- 9:46are the Israelis talking about? Oh my
- 9:47god. When they themselves have killed so
- 9:49many people, first and foremost, women
- 9:50and children. Oh my god. We're were
- 9:53spinning to Holocaust denial. Then
- 9:55claimed Israel was planning to build a
- 9:56resort on human bones, alluding to plans
- 9:58to develop the Gaza Strip. And in that
- 10:00instance, he's actually just confused
- 10:02because it wasn't the Israelis that were
- 10:05planning on doing that. It was actually
- 10:06um Jared Kushner and the Trump
- 10:09administration. Um so again he somehow
- 10:12manages to be both wrong anti-semitic
- 10:16um some Holocaust denial. Uh
- 10:21then adds the Armenians are a smart
- 10:23people. They after all do not have even
- 10:25one Jew in their country. Jesus.
- 10:27Incredible stuff guys. So again the
- 10:31question is not does Lucenko know
- 10:33better. He probably does. But the
- 10:35question is why? Why is he making this
- 10:38bizarre pivot in all these different
- 10:40weird directions?
- 10:42And I think on one hand you have the you
- 10:46have the standard sort of acts of
- 10:47authoritarianism like there's no doubt
- 10:49that Iran's allies in the world are
- 10:50other authoritarians including Bellarus
- 10:53but notably Russia under Vladimir Putin
- 10:55and China under Xihinping right and that
- 11:00is so it's logical then that Iran's
- 11:02enemies are going to get denigrated by
- 11:05someone like Lucenko sure but Putin
- 11:07doesn't push these narratives to the
- 11:09same extent in part because literally
- 11:13there's a an area of Russia, a state uh
- 11:16called the Jewish Autonomous Zone.
- 11:19So I I think this is more about Lucenko
- 11:23trying to rip one, he's trying to make a
- 11:28really standard level of cope. And it's
- 11:30fascinating because it admits
- 11:33that a loss in this war in Ukraine is
- 11:35coming for Russia because he's already
- 11:38rolling out a tried andrue uh lie to to
- 11:42explain the loss. Remember uh that
- 11:45dictator in 1930s Germany had to explain
- 11:49the loss of World War I. It wasn't
- 11:51because Germany was the aggressor state.
- 11:54It wasn't because the military that
- 11:56controlled Germany at the time um
- 11:58basically were wararmongering
- 12:00psychopaths. It was because of a secret
- 12:03group that betrayed the country. And
- 12:06this was actually valuable for two
- 12:09reasons. First, it provided a an enemy
- 12:12uh that the country could unite against.
- 12:14Obviously,
- 12:16uniting against a religious group like
- 12:17this was disastrous. one of the, you
- 12:20know, it led to the Holocaust, which
- 12:22Lucas Shenko says didn't happen, but it
- 12:24did. I want to be clear, don't give me a
- 12:26community note that [ __ ] happened, but
- 12:29also
- 12:31I think it serves to avoid
- 12:34accountability
- 12:36because it means that somehow Putin was
- 12:38like not in charge of the country, that
- 12:41somehow the institutions of the country
- 12:43haven't failed. It in fact it magically
- 12:46wipes away all failures, prevents any
- 12:48kind of meaningful self-examination of
- 12:50the country because when you you blame
- 12:53someone else for your failings, what you
- 12:54never have to do is change your own
- 12:56behavior. Your own behavior was perfect.
- 12:58You never have to look in the mirror.
- 13:00And I think that's what Lucenko is
- 13:01really doing here. He's preparing the
- 13:03information space for a loss. He's
- 13:05making sure he's positioned in a way
- 13:07that that mitigates the downsides to him
- 13:10and Bellarus. and he's spinning this
- 13:13narrative that the loss wasn't really a
- 13:15loss. It was actually someone else's
- 13:17fault. It also helps to cleave uh
- 13:24it helps cleave this axis of
- 13:25authoritarians where the Chinese,
- 13:28Russians, North Koreans uh uh Iranians
- 13:31of the world continue to live in their
- 13:34information bubble and the West with its
- 13:37like hey the Holocaust really happened
- 13:39uh narrative is
- 13:43is uh gets to sit around on its side.
- 13:45And remember, this is also an extremely
- 13:47divisive topic in the west, but it's
- 13:50notable that in almost all survey data,
- 13:53in almost no western country, Holocaust
- 13:55denial is like virtually non-existent.
- 13:58Um, so again,
- 14:02I think that's the real narrative here.
- 14:04But one of the things that also is
- 14:06pretty interesting is that uh the
- 14:08Kremlin has also denied that it has ever
- 14:12spoken to Zalinsky even though
- 14:14reportedly at sidelines the G7 summit.
- 14:16There was reportedly an offer for Putin
- 14:18and Zalinsky to meet briefly. Now these
- 14:21sidelines are often times informal
- 14:22meetings that are meant as kind of uh uh
- 14:25structured handshake encounters. Now the
- 14:27appeal of course at the G7 is that G7 is
- 14:30seen as a really neutral uh um summit uh
- 14:35because it's France, United States,
- 14:37Germany, Japan, Italy and Canada. Now
- 14:40the G7 of course is not neutral from
- 14:44Putin's perspective in part because
- 14:47the
- 14:49countries are almost all they're kind of
- 14:53western developed democracies.
- 14:55They ex it excludes Russia who used to
- 14:57be a member used to be called the G8 and
- 14:59Russia got kicked out when they annexed
- 15:00Crimea because they're like listen
- 15:01you're not playing by the rules but also
- 15:04it excludes China because China's not a
- 15:07democracy.
- 15:08And so to Russia they say listen you
- 15:11guys kicked us out. We're not going to
- 15:12have the first meeting between us and
- 15:14Zinsky at this forum. Um, but I think
- 15:17it's interesting nonetheless because it
- 15:21reflects that the that Putin still wants
- 15:25to project strength and he doesn't want
- 15:27to do that in any way that reflects any
- 15:29kind of of of of weakness. Putin claimed
- 15:32that Zinsky had asked for a personal
- 15:33meeting through a Russian businessman
- 15:34several weeks before publishing the open
- 15:36letter. It later emerged that
- 15:37businessman was actually Roman
- 15:39Abramovich. uh noted because he's a
- 15:42Russian oligarch who owns I think
- 15:43Chelsea, the football team.
- 15:46Really interesting stuff, but it means
- 15:48that they're serious. Ukraine is like,
- 15:49"Listen, we're seriously think we're
- 15:50winning and we're still willing to to
- 15:52deal with you. But remember, we have the
- 15:54opposite problem, just like Ukraine was
- 15:57let Ukraine, by the way, has been
- 15:58willing to sit down with Russia
- 16:00throughout the conflict. They have
- 16:02repeatedly, Zalinsky has gone repeatedly
- 16:04to US sponsored peace talks. Uh Putin
- 16:06has repeatedly curved them, denied them,
- 16:08lied about them, um done everything in
- 16:10his power to avoid actually attending.
- 16:12The only thing Putin attended was uh the
- 16:15ass kick kissing he got from President
- 16:17Trump. And in exchange for that ass
- 16:19kissing, he gave up literally nothing.
- 16:21He just got um he just got glazed by
- 16:24President Trump in a way that was pretty
- 16:26embarrassing.
- 16:28But I say all that to be like listen you
- 16:29have to understand that Putin the weaker
- 16:32he gets the more he has to project
- 16:34strength because if you have real
- 16:37strength you actually don't need that
- 16:38much projection. It's like being
- 16:42existing while 6'4 350 pounds is is a
- 16:46sufficient projection of strength. And
- 16:48we all know the guy who's 5'4,130 who
- 16:51needs steroids and a loud mouth and and
- 16:57[ __ ] whatever else he's got going on
- 16:59is insufferable attitude to project the
- 17:02same strength that the big guy does
- 17:04through just sort of sitting minding his
- 17:06own business.
- 17:08And that's the position. Vladimir Putin
- 17:11is increasingly finding himself looking
- 17:13like that 5'4 dude in the tight shirt
- 17:15and the fake tan screaming about how
- 17:17dare you disrespect him. Well, the
- 17:20answer is it's cuz you're not actually
- 17:22the big man we think you are. You're a
- 17:25developing country with a large arsenal
- 17:27of rusting nukes. Anyway, guys, thanks a
- 17:30lot. I'll keep you posted. See you. Oh,
- 17:31wait, wait, wait, wait, wait, wait.
- 17:32Thanks to the colonel members,
- 17:34Christine, GMAT, Dan, Al, Don, James, B,
- 17:36Treatum, C, as well as all the tenative
- 17:38folks. We appreciate you. See you.