Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 270 - 5/2/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 270 - 5/2/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello, and welcome to episode 270 of the All Systems Go Sports
0:25
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:28
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
0:37
Happy Friday. Our work week is coming to an
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end. The weekend is upon us.
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There's a lot going on in the sports betting market and of
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course we're excited to do what we always do talk data-driven,
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sharp contrarian bets, placing wages with our head and not our
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heart. So I do have for you guys today,
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finishing up the week strong, hopefully a three pack of plays.
0:58
Most are all favorites and actually they're all favorites
1:01
and little or you know some of these lines a little bit pricey.
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I was looking to squeeze out maybe an NBA bet.
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I was looking at this obviously big game here between the
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Rockets and the Warriors, but nothing really caught my eye.
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I did see that line move a little bit to the Warriors.
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That total did tick up a little bit and I was looking at
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Winnipeg, Saint Louis and hockey.
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I was actually kicking myself because yesterday I did notice a
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big move on the Avalanche in a big move on the Edmonton Oilers.
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The ABS went from like -180 to -195 and Edmonton went from like
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-135 to -165. Of course, I didn't play either
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in both 1, so sometimes that happens, but I didn't want to
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force anything today that didn't check off all of our boxes.
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So with that being said, a three pack of plays for you guys.
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I do want to mention, of course, we don't have pod podcasts on
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the weekend, but that's OK. If you're looking for some
1:48
insights, some best bets, you can always read the sharp
1:51
reports that I write. I'll tweet them out as I do
1:53
every single day. Typically, you know, late
1:56
morning, early afternoon. You can find that on my Twitter
1:59
page at Josh under score insights and then as always, if
2:02
you throw A5 $5.00 bill in the tip jar, you'll get those all
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systems go best bet picks on the Juice Reel app.
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So even on the weekend here, I'll have you covered with MLB
2:12
for Saturday and Sunday again, game write ups and then official
2:15
best bets on Juice Reel. Now, looking back toward
2:18
yesterday, guys, I got to say it was a fantastic birthday.
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I had a great day. A lot of you guys reached out to
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me. I'm 38 years old, I can't
2:25
believe it, old as dirt at this point.
2:27
But either way, I had a lot of great, great, great comments and
2:30
great birthday wishes. So I want to thank you all for
2:33
reaching out. It really meant a lot to me.
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Unfortunately couldn't produce a winning day.
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Bit frustrating in the betting market. 1 and 2 -. 1.2 units we
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had did have a great hit with the Tigers.
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They're actually down 4 to 2 going kind of late deep into the
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game, but their bats absolutely exploded.
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Spencer, Spencer Torkelson, if you remember, he was a first
2:53
round over first overall pick a few years ago, hit a home run.
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They end up winning that game. That was it, 3:50.
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And we got some great CLVI had had one of my buddies tweet me
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and say, oh, you know, getting steamed here on the Tigers.
3:07
Well, yeah, they went from -130 all the way up to -150 after we
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had the pods. That was good to see.
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The one that was really frustrating though, the two
3:15
losers were obviously the Red Sox and the the Philadelphia
3:20
Phillies. But in particular that Red Sox
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game, as Peter Griffin would say, really grind my gears
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because the Red Sox were up to nothing going into the 7th
3:28
inning. They give up a Homer to Dalton
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VAR show to make it 2 to one. Bottom of the eighth, Justin
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Slayton comes in for the Red Sox, wasting a great start from
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Tanner Houck gives up a three run home run to Vladimir Grero.
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Junior. Sox lose 4 to 2.
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So that was that was a bit of a frustrating game because you
3:44
felt pretty good about that one winning 2.
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Nothing going deep into the 7th, but the Red Sox bowl plan sadly
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blew it for us. So either way, guys, we're going
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to see if we can get right back on the horse and produce a
3:54
winning day today. As always, a three pack.
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Let's try to go 2 and 1 eke out a winning day as we steam into
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the weekend. So that being said, without
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further ado, we got a massive slate here in Major League
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Baseball. Let's start talking some
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data-driven sharp plays with a bunch of good system matches.
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So first one on the board for me.
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Let's look at a early evening first pitch, 6:10 PM Eastern
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Time between the Washington Nationals and the Cincinnati Red
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Legs. Now let's talk a line movement.
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Obviously the pitching match up and I'll give you my play for
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this one. So this is the opening game of a
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three-game series between the Nats and the Reds.
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We have the Nationals 14 and 18 drop two or three against the
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Phillies, but unfortunately they avoided the sweep, at least for
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us or guys like me who were on on the Phillies yesterday.
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They beat the Phills 4 to 2 cast as a + 150 row dog.
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Similarly, the Reds 17 and 15, they lost two of three against
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the Cardinals. Same thing though avoided the
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sweep by winning 9 to 1 and yesterday's series finale as a
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plus one O 5 home dog. So pitching match up here for
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tonight, we have the Nats going with the lefty Mitchell Parker.
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He's three and one of the 2.65 ERA.
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Meanwhile, the Reds are going to go with their ready ace Hunter
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Green. He's three and two of the 2.7 O
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ERA. So what do we see across the
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mark in this one? Well, nothing but steam toward
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Pete Rose and the Reds. As always, Pete Rose sat on
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attack. Pete Rose, if you, if I, what is
5:16
it? IKYKY, If you know, you know.
5:19
But anyway, we had this game open with Cincinnati around a -,
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165 -, 170 home favorite, the Nats around a + 145 row dog, and
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it's been nothing but movement toward the Reds.
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Reds have now been steamed up to -180 some shops even as high as
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-185 or -190. So pretty clear here that a lot
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of big money is pouring in on the Reds.
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Yes, this is a bit of an expensive price I was able to
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get since the -180 little bit earlier today.
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I believe -185 is now your best number.
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But as always, perfect example. We talked about it yesterday.
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This the importance of betting to risk, not betting to win.
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Like we talked about how if you had played the Philadelphia
5:57
Phillies with me last night, they were like -180 -, 175
6:01
somewhere around there. If you had bet to win, that mean
6:04
you, that means you risked 1.8 units or 1.75 units on Philly,
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they lose the game. If you had bet to win, you lost
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1.75 units or 1.8 units. This is the reason why we bet
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to, to risk not win, because we lost on Philly, which stinks,
6:20
but we only lost one unit. That's why you always want to
6:23
risk one unit. Just as we talked about on
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yesterday's pod. That's a perfect example of how
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betting to risk not win will save you a bunch of lost units
6:31
if you are laying a minus number.
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But anyway, back to this match up here for today.
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Washington, Cincinnati, aside from the steam on the Reds, we
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have some pretty good bet splits as well.
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In Cincinnati at DraftKings, they're getting 82% of money
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line bets, 84% of money line dollars.
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Out at Circa in Vegas, the Reds are getting 71% of money line
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bets and a whopping 94% of money line dollars.
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So you know, I always like it when we have with both books,
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DraftKings and Circa showing a nice low bets higher dollar
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split tells me the bigger wagers here are in their favor as well
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as that line movement also going towards Cincinnati.
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Now let's get to some betting systems.
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I have a nine spot 9 betting systems lighting up here in
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Cincinnati. I'll give you some of the best
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ones. Home favorites this year like
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the Reds in this spot, two O 1 and one O 965 percent 7% ROI.
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Home favorites -150 or more, 96 and 4071 percent, 6% ROI.
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Home favorites with a winning record. 110 and 5268 percent, 9%
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ROI. Home favorites off a win with a
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winning record. So variation, some of these
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systems, combining them, that system is now 82 and 3371
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percent, 15% ROI when both teams are coming off a win, which is
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the case here. Take the favorite 24 and 11 this
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season, 69% with a 14% ROI. Cincinnati, by the way, has that
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classic non division favorite value.
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So the lack of familiarity benefiting quote UN quote the
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better team was expected to win. The Reds also have an edge at
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the plate. Hopefully their bats can get to
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Parker. The Reds are hitting 249.
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They've scored 163 runs. Nats are only hitting 238,
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scoring 135 runs. Now, Green, remember he was a
8:13
top pick and was kind of like struggling a bit his first
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couple years, but last last year and this year he's really,
8:19
really been great, kind of showing why he was such a highly
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touted prospect. But he has a 1.42 ERA at home
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this year and three start. So he's been good at that little
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bandbox, Great American ballpark.
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By the way, the Nats, they're only hitting 211 on the road
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this year. That's 28th in baseball, one of
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the worst in MLB. So we got big steam on Cincy
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even though it was kind of a big price, it only keeps getting
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bigger. On the one hand that's not good
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because you got to lay more juice, but on the other hand,
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that's kind of a good thing because it tells me even though
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that line's getting a bit more expensive, sharps continue to
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hit the red legs. Lastly, little a little cherry
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on top of this ice cream cone, we have a 13% sharp mush edge in
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favor of Cincinnati at Juice Reel.
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So all the betters who have downloaded Juice Reel and synced
9:02
up their sports books, 13% majority of the winning betters
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are going Cincy as opposed to the profit division betters.
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As we like to say. You don't want to say losing
9:11
betters because betting is hard. You don't want to rub it in.
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But the better betters here on the juicer lap are going Cincy
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and that's where I want to be. So I laid -180 with the Reds
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again, shop around. I believe -185 is your best
9:23
price at this point. Another early matchup, let's go
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to Pittsburgh. San Diego Padres visiting the
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Pittsburgh Pirates, 6:40 PM Eastern Time, first pitch.
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Let's set the stage for this one.
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So this is the opening game of three-game set.
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We have the Padres coming in 19 and 11 on the year.
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Just swept A brief 2 game series against the G Men.
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They won yesterday's series finale or Wednesday's series
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finale. That's important.
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Going to get to that in a second.
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Five to three as a -, 145 home favorite.
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On the other hand, we got the Pirates.
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Buckos are only 12 and 20 on the year.
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They've dropped two or three against the Cubs in their last
9:55
series. Lost yesterday's series finale 8
9:58
to 3 as a -, 125 home favorite. So pitch match up for this one.
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We got the pods going with Dylan Cease, the righty.
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He's one and two with a 5.97 ERA this year.
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Meanwhile, the Pirates are going to go with the righty, Mitch
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Keller. He's one and two with a 3.97
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ERA. So what have you seen across the
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market? Well, just like we talked steam
10:17
toward the Reds, we got steam toward the fathers in this one.
10:20
Give me the dads like the Padres.
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Padres open this game around a -. 135 Rd. favorite.
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We've now seen the pods get steamed up to -155 you should
10:30
still be able to get a -, 155, but I do see a couple books
10:34
inching toward -160 So good steam no let up in favor of the
10:37
dads Bet splits look good on the Padres.
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At DraftKings, 84% of money line bets, 87% of money line dollars
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are in their favor. Out in Vegas at Circa, pods are
10:49
getting 87% of money line bets, 99% of money line dollars.
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So both books are showing that similar low bets, higher dollar,
10:56
sharp split in favor of the pods.
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Now pods have 4 system matches for me, two best ones are
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favorites with line movement in their direction.
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That's 199 and one 1364 percent, 5% ROI this year.
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Favorites who made the playoffs the previous year, 150 and 8464
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percent, 4% ROI. But you remember, or if you
11:17
notice this little subtlety I dropped at you, I said how the
11:21
San Diego Padres won yesterday's series finale against the
11:24
Giants. Then I corrected myself and
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said, no, it was Wednesday's series finale.
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So this provides a little bit of a schedule advantage for San
11:31
Diego because the Padres have a rest advantage.
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They were off yesterday. Their last game was Wednesday,
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whereas the Pirates played the Cubbies yesterday.
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So in situations like this, when you have a rested favorite who's
11:43
coming off a day off, those teams are 52 and 22 this year,
11:47
70% with a 14% ROI. So basically, you know, it's a
11:51
it's a chalk sport. That's why we talk a lot of
11:54
favorites and not as many dogs. But also when you're a chalk
11:58
favorite and you're rested, especially a grinding long, long
12:01
season like baseball, that can be a big benefit.
12:04
So these teams are winning basically 7 out of 10 times.
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Padres also have that correlative betting favorite low
12:09
total. Told him this one is about 7 1/2
12:12
or 8. So in that situation, we have a
12:15
fair amount of expected run scored more likely to come from
12:18
quote UN quote that better team. Hopefully we get a good start
12:21
out of CC hasn't been great this year.
12:23
Hopefully the bats of San Diego can get to Pittsburgh, but in
12:26
particular San Diego big edge in the bullpen.
12:28
If we got to sweat this one and it's, you know, tight or close
12:31
late, hopefully the Padres bullpen can shut the door and
12:34
hopefully the the Padres if they need it can get to the Buckos
12:37
bullpen because San Diego has a team ERA in the bullpen of 1.77.
12:41
That's the best pen and Major League Baseball Pittsburgh's pen
12:45
is a four point O 9 ERA, so one of the worst.
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Lastly, we have a 11% sharp mush edge in favor of San Diego on
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the Juice Reel app. So we got a sharp mush edge, we
12:56
got good steam, we got good bet splits, bunch of system matches
13:00
as well as a good rest. First tired advantage.
13:03
I'm going with the dads here. Let's go fathers.
13:05
I got them at -155 last bite of the night.
13:09
If it ain't broke, don't fix it. Let's go right back to LA and
13:13
sweat the Tigers. 9:38 PM Eastern Time, first pitch, the
13:16
Tigers visiting the Angels. Now we saw the Tigers, who are
13:20
now 20 and 12, win the series opener for us last night. 3:50
13:25
Again, bats got going late, which was nice.
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They took care of business as a -, 150 Rd. favorite.
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So rematch tonight. Tigers are going to go with the
13:32
lefty ace Tarek School. He's three and two with a 2.34
13:37
ERA and the Angels who are 12 and 18.
13:39
Remember, they started well and I've really struggled.
13:41
They're going to go with the ready.
13:42
Jose Soriano 2 and 44.5 OERA. What do we see across the
13:47
market? Will we talk Steam on the red,
13:50
steam on the the dads, steam on the Tigers here.
13:54
Tigers open this game as low as a -, 165 home favorite.
13:58
We've now seen the Tigers get steamed up to -185 some shops
14:02
even -190 so we're seeing continued movement.
14:05
No let up. I always like it when there's
14:07
consistent movement with no buyback.
14:08
Tells me that even though the line might be getting worse or
14:11
more expensive, whichever way you want to look at it, it's
14:14
still moving because bets are still coming in respected wagers
14:17
pushing that number. So aside from the big line
14:20
movement on Detroit, we have good bet splits on the Tigers.
14:24
They are getting 86% of money line bets, 99% of money line
14:28
dollars out at Circa. So tells me we got a big wave of
14:32
wise guy money out in Vegas at a book that again welcomes smart
14:36
money and doesn't reject it. So good low bets higher dollars
14:39
there. Bunch of system matches I have 4
14:41
lit up on on Detroit. Here we have favorites with line
14:45
movement in their direction. 64 percent, 5% ROI this year.
14:49
Non division favorites with steam $0.10 or more, 63% this
14:53
season, 4% ROI. Favorites who made the playoffs
14:56
the previous season, 150 and 8464 percent, 4% ROI.
15:01
We have some correlative betting value as well.
15:03
This is a very low total of 7 1/2 and it's just to the under.
15:06
So let's just say, you know, 4 to 4, nothing 3 three to one
15:09
game. I don't doesn't matter to me.
15:12
I would lean under here just cuz it's such a juiced up under.
15:16
But that is a good correlative spot for the Tigers, especially
15:19
when you see the line getting juiced toward the under or
15:21
moving toward the under and the line also moving toward the
15:24
favorite. So it's usually a good
15:25
correlative betting sign in favor of the favorite winning a
15:28
low scoring game. Now it's going to be nice and
15:31
exciting to sweat Scooble. Obviously he won the Cy Young
15:34
last year. I was actually thinking about
15:35
should I place a bet on Scooble? Cy Young?
15:37
Right now, he's plus 230. He's just a little bit more of a
15:41
favorite than Garrett Crochet, who's been good with the Red Sox
15:44
as well. I think Crochet is like plus
15:46
270. I ended up not playing it, but
15:48
it kind of intrigued me. Detroit, aside from Scooble on
15:52
the bump, does have an advantage with the bats.
15:54
They're hitting 248. They scored 155 runs, LA is only
15:58
hitting 215 and they've only scored 110 runs.
16:01
Tigers have the better pen ERA of 2.69 that's 4th best in
16:05
baseball. And the angels we saw it last
16:07
night. Their pen gave it up a ton late
16:09
in that game. 5.99 ERA out of the bullpen, second worst in
16:13
baseball. Lastly, the Angels going up
16:16
against lefties only hitting two O 4.
16:18
That's 27th in baseball, one of the worst.
16:21
So it's a big price, but it's checking off all the boxes.
16:24
We got Good bet splits, sharp steam, tons of system matches
16:28
here. I'm going to sweat Tarek Scubble
16:30
in in the Tigers here. I got the tigers -185 You might
16:34
still be able to get a -, 185 at Bet MGM.
16:36
But again, grab it as soon as you can because this thing is
16:40
maybe inching even closer to -200 So Reds, Padres, Tigers,
16:45
Bettris not bet to win. Let's try to go 2 in one eek out
16:48
a winning day. That is always the goal.
16:51
So with that being said, episode 270 of the ASG pod now in the
16:55
books, as always, this the part of the pod where we wrap things
16:58
up. And I start first by saying
17:00
thank you. Thank you for taking the time
17:02
out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
17:05
the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven breakdowns
17:07
with me. Means a ton to me to be able to
17:10
be able to host the pod, but really kind of create the
17:13
gambling community and have you guys like DM me, tweet me, talk
17:16
about games or, you know, questions about system matches.
17:19
I can, I can tell that you know, we're kind of kind of spreading
17:22
the gospel here when it comes to data-driven betting, making bets
17:25
with your head and not our heart.
17:26
So I'm very proud of that. But if you do enjoy the pod, if
17:30
you're listening to my voice, if you value the insights, win,
17:33
lose or draw, you're interested in kind of what I'm telling you.
17:36
And again, this is not opinion, it's all based on data.
17:39
Then could you do me a solid, could you give this podcast a
17:42
five star review on Spotify or iTunes?
17:45
Would go a long way to helping us to continue to grow the pod.
17:48
If there's a rate in review and you want to leave a nice comment
17:51
in the review section, that also be very much appreciated.
17:54
If you want to recommend the pod to a friend, word of mouth is
17:57
always great. And if there's an option, a
17:59
button that says follow, click that follow button.
18:02
That way you'll get alerted as soon as it drops.
18:04
Each day you'll get a little little pop up notification on
18:06
your phone. Hopefully you can get right in
18:09
there and maybe get a good number before it moves too much.
18:12
Next, if you enjoy this style of betting breakdown, data-driven
18:16
sharp contrarian betting, placing bets with our head and
18:18
not our heart or making those bets with our head by really
18:22
focusing on what the betting market is telling us.
18:24
Interpreting the line movement, the bet splits the system
18:27
matches. Taking a contrarian approach.
18:30
This style of betting has appealed to you, you've it's
18:33
piqued your interest. You want to learn more about
18:34
data-driven betting or you have someone in your life who could
18:37
use a little tip or two in terms of bankroll management or
18:40
reading line movement, or taking a contrarian approach, then you
18:44
know what I would highly recommend?
18:45
I'd highly recommend going to Amazon.com and typing in the
18:49
Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
18:51
That's my first baby, first book I ever wrote.
18:53
It's got everything I've learned in the industry.
18:55
How lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line
18:58
movement, how to locate sharp action, how to place a bet in
19:00
person or online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up
19:03
a bankroll management plan, chapters on all the major
19:06
sports. It's all in there.
19:08
The everything guide to sports betting.
19:10
Next, while you're at it, you should then check out on
19:13
Amazon.com, my second book that comes out this fall.
19:17
It's called the NFL sharp betting playbook.
19:19
And actually I had my my copy editor reach out to me today
19:23
about the the jacket, the sleeve.
19:26
So I had to pick out a, a photo of me.
19:28
I had to kind of write a a quick breakdown in synopsis little
19:32
bio. So it's it's getting real.
19:34
It's it's coming here, guys, I'm very excited about it.
19:36
But if you want to make my publisher triumph books very
19:40
happy and you want to make me happy, let me know you
19:42
appreciate the pod and help help support the team.
19:45
Then if you wanted to pre-order a copy of the NFL sharp betting
19:49
playbook, that would really make my day.
19:51
But if you want to pick up the everything guide to sports
19:53
betting or the NFL sharp betting playbook, you're going to grab
19:56
them on Amazon. You're going to bring them to
19:57
the sports book. I'll sign them for you.
19:59
I'll buy you a beer. Or ginger ale.
20:01
We'll get some nachos together and we'll sweat some games.
20:03
How's that sound? Sounds pretty good to me on a
20:05
Friday night. Next, if you haven't downloaded
20:09
Rhythm or Juice Reel yet, what are you doing?
20:11
Go to the App Store, download Rhythm.
20:14
Fantastic for their AI backed models and predictions for game
20:17
bets and player props. I was actually texting my buddy
20:19
James Santor. He was telling me that they're
20:21
working on even more updates and improvements to Rhythm.
20:24
So can't wait to see what James and the team has in store.
20:28
But then also Juice Reel where you can again put a $5.00 bill
20:33
in the tip jar, $4.99 a week. You can sign up to get those all
20:36
systems go best bet picks. Of course you sync up your
20:39
sports books to Juice Reel. I have all my books synced up.
20:43
When I place a bet, which is a podcast play, it goes right to
20:45
Juice Reel. If you follow for $4.99 a week,
20:49
boom, you'll you'll get those plays as soon as I bet them,
20:52
they'll go right to the profile page and you can tail, you can
20:55
fade, you can do whatever you want.
20:57
But if you want to support the team, that's really a great way
21:00
to to make me happy by signing up for those best bet picks and
21:03
make the juice real team happy. But it's not just the all
21:06
systems go best bets. You can also get the robo
21:08
Jackson best bet picks, the sharp motion indicators, the
21:11
arbitrage plays. Shop for the best line futures.
21:13
That's how I quickly saw the prices of crochet and and school
21:18
tells you which book is offering the best price.
21:20
And then, of course, again, sync up your books and get a running
21:23
report card of your action to keep you honest and figure out,
21:26
you know, what sports you're better at, what sports you're
21:28
worse at. It's really incredibly important
21:31
to know your strengths and weaknesses.
21:33
You can lean on your strengths and kind of, you know, limit or
21:35
tweak your work on your, your, your weaknesses, but that's all
21:39
available to you in the Juice Reel app.
21:41
So download rhythm, download Juice Reel, give him a five star
21:44
view in the App Store. Next, if you're betting on
21:48
sports, you got to have a live odds page.
21:50
I say it all the time, but I say it all the time not to annoy
21:52
you, but because it's true. And we have so many new people,
21:55
you know, betting sports for the first time.
21:57
We're nearly at 40 legalized states.
21:59
People want to bet and they just think, hey, like, you know, let
22:02
me let me, you know, Google or go to ESPN.com, look at the
22:05
game, figure out what I want to bet, go bet it at my one book.
22:09
Again, I can't blame people that do that because they just don't
22:12
know the intricacies of sports betting.
22:14
But that's not the way you want to do it.
22:16
You want to have a live odds page that gives you every game
22:18
on the board that day from all the major sports you first got
22:21
to know, OK, I want to bet today, what are my options?
22:24
You got to know all the games listed there, the start times.
22:27
Then of course you got to know all the lines.
22:29
What are the line open at? How did it move?
22:32
What are the current prices? How can I shop for the best
22:34
number? Again, saving $0.05 of juice on
22:37
a baseball bat may not seem like a big deal, but if we're going
22:40
to make hundreds of baseball bats this year, that $0.05 you
22:43
can save really stacks up. You don't need me to tell you
22:46
how important it is getting an extra half point on a total or a
22:48
spread, but there are a lot of live odds pages out there.
22:51
But I got to tell you the best one is odds logic.
22:54
I've partnered with odds logic because I really believe in
22:57
them. I tested them out myself before
22:59
I even talked to them and I really enjoyed it because it's a
23:03
clean, crisp interface. It updates in real time.
23:06
The numbers light up as soon as they change.
23:08
But what I really like is that they give you the most amount of
23:11
sports books to to put on your page.
23:13
And you have big ones, market setting ones like Pinnacle and
23:16
and Circa, as well as obviously your Fanduel's, DraftKings bet,
23:19
MGM, Caesars, ESPN bet, all those as well.
23:23
You can also pull up the line history, excuse me, so you can
23:27
see all the nuances and the moves in between.
23:30
And if you want to give it a shot, whether you don't have a
23:32
live odds page or you have 1:00 and it's free, but it's delayed
23:36
and you don't have any good books on it and it's coming from
23:38
who knows where. Red flag with a live odds page
23:41
is always if they give you a bet split or a number, where the
23:44
heck is that coming from? Is it an illegal offshore book?
23:47
Is it a combination of books? You need to know?
23:49
It's very important. So if you don't have a live odds
23:52
page or you have one and it's expensive, or you have one it's
23:55
free and you want to increase your, you know, your, your,
23:58
your, I don't know your, your stack game, your data game, the
24:01
note. You know what you should do.
24:03
You should give Odds Logic a shot.
24:04
Go to thislinkoddslogic.com/josh 123.
24:10
That's Odds logic.com/josh 123. Make sure you have the slash
24:14
Josh 123 at the end, because if you click that specific link,
24:18
you'll get a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first month.
24:21
It's usually 99 bucks a month. I know it's you know, it's not
24:24
nothing, but a lot of live odds pages are like, you know, 305
24:28
hundred 600 bucks a month. So it's a it's a great value
24:31
play in my opinion, But that about does it for today's pod
24:35
episode 270, my first podcast as a 38 year old man, time flies.
24:40
I was I was joking with my buddies.
24:42
I feel like it was yesterday. We were 17 years old playing
24:45
baseball together at Mount Greylock High School, you know,
24:48
going to parties on the weekend, talking about where we're going
24:51
to go to college. And here I am, you know,
24:53
literally like 20 years later, you know what?
24:56
My neighbor, actually, I have a fantastic neighbor.
24:58
I love him. His name is Bob.
25:00
He's like 85 years old, but he's just a great dude.
25:03
And he, he said happy birthday, Josh.
25:06
And he was like, you know what someone told me that really
25:08
stuck with me. He said the days and the weeks
25:12
feel like they take forever, but the months and the years fly by
25:16
and I was like, ain't that the truth, my friend?
25:19
So hey, what? Lucky to lucky to work in an
25:22
industry I love and lucky and thankful for you guys for tuning
25:26
into the pod as always. But with that being said, wrap
25:29
it up with our final two points of emphasis.
25:33
One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
25:36
River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
25:38
Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, down in Connecticut, at the Encore in
25:41
Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino R.E.M.
25:43
GM Springfield or the Nash in my neck of the woods around
25:46
Nashville, New Hampshire. Or, of course, out in the desert
25:48
where the true grinders get down.
25:50
Where Billy Walter sends his number runners.
25:52
Where the lowest juice possible is found at the South Point.
25:54
Sweat and sharp contrarian plays.
25:56
Jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
25:58
When you catch a big ticket at Circa, wherever it may be,
26:00
you're going to walk up to me. Show me a nice Tigers ticket
26:03
from last night. Whatever you do, don't show me a
26:06
Red Sox ticket. Blowing another lead.
26:08
You're killing my wind total, man.
26:09
Come on, Red Sox. But anyway, guys, first one's on
26:12
me, next one's on you will post about the book.
26:14
Such sharp contrarian plays all night long as always, guys 1 and
26:18
2, two and one, O and three, three and O previous night
26:21
should never, you know, talk us into a bet or talk us out of a
26:24
bet. We just got to continue to grind
26:26
whether we had a great night, awful night, somewhere in the
26:29
middle. We just got to stick to the
26:31
blueprint, stick to the model. Bet games that check off our
26:33
boxes, bet games with our head and not our heart.
26:36
And you guys know by now, or maybe you don't.
26:38
Maybe you're new to the pod. That's OK too.
26:40
But the blueprint, which never changes, we got to stick with
26:43
and keep grinding it because it's all about the long term
26:45
forest amongst the trees. Marathon, not the Sprint.
26:48
But we can find games that fit our model against the public
26:51
with the house, with the pros flat bet, avoid parlays, get
26:54
that CLV. If we can do that, we're going
26:57
to be successful sports betters. So have a great Friday
27:00
everybody, have an even better weekend.
27:03
If you need any insights or tips or got any questions over this
27:07
weekend, you can always shoot me a direct message on Twitter at
27:10
Josh under score insights. But remember I will have my
27:13
sharp report Saturday and Sunday probably around 10:00 AM and you
27:16
can get those best bet picks for the weekend.
27:18
If I had any other place from the Juice Real app.
27:21
But good luck everybody. I will see you back on Monday.
27:24
That'll be episode 271 of the All systems Go sports betting
27:28
podcast powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
27:31
great weekend.