Latest / The Curve / The Fifa World Cup has a new rule. It's called pay your child support.
Transcript
- 0:00Coming up in today's episode, it is the 10-year anniversary of Brexit.
- 0:05What did this decision do to the UK, to economies really around the world?
- 0:11It is such an important reminder how intertwined politics, money and the whole economy is.
- 0:17The biggest IPO ever, SpaceX, is not doing too well.
- 0:21I didn't invest, it's a humble brag.
- 0:24We break down why it's not doing well and also we reveal some shocking news that came out.
- 0:29the day before it went public.
- 0:31There are 130,000, mostly men,
- 0:35who are going to be showing up to the FIFA World Cup
- 0:37and refused entry.
- 0:39Why?
- 0:40It all comes down to financial abuse
- 0:43and not paying child support.
- 0:44We're going to talk about the story
- 0:45and why it's such an important signal
- 0:49that people need to start stepping in
- 0:51and making sure that people actually pay child support.
- 0:54Welcome to The Curve Weekly,
- 0:56where we read the finance news so that you don't have to.
- 0:58I'm Vic Harris, a finance professional who's had a career making money for other people.
- 1:02And I'm Sophie Hallwright, ex-TV radio producer,
- 1:05who was really sick and tired of not understanding the economy, so we started this podcast.
- 1:09But before we dive into today's headlines, here's a word from our sponsor.
- 1:18This episode of The Curve Weekly is made possible thanks to Pathfinder KiwiSaver Plan,
- 1:22helping you invest alongside your values.
- 1:24We're really excited to bring you the ethical hotline where you can ask all your tricky ethical questions.
- 1:29Each month, Pathfinder will answer the most interesting, popular, or polarizing question.
- 1:33To submit yours, follow the link in the podcast show notes.
- 1:36Pathfinder Asset Management Limited is the issuer of the Pathfinder KiwiSaver plan.
- 1:40A product disclosure statement is available at pathfinder.kiwi.
- 1:44This is probably quite out of touch to complain about the heat when I know a lot of our audience are based in the southern hemisphere.
- 1:50When it's the middle of winter
- 1:52I know and we're like
- 1:53It's so hot, bloody heatwave
- 1:55No, I woke up three times to have a cold shower
- 1:57In the middle of the night
- 1:58So I couldn't sleep
- 1:59It was so hot in my house
- 2:01I've got an alarm clock next to my bed
- 2:02And it was 32 degrees
- 2:04It's crazy
- 2:05I'm also sick of complaining about it
- 2:07Sorry, okay, let's swiftly move on
- 2:09But you know, Brits just love complaining about the weather
- 2:12I saw this meme
- 2:14Which we're going to get into in a second actually
- 2:15But it was like
- 2:16When the Prime Minister resigns
- 2:18But all people talk about is the weather
- 2:20yeah it's like sorry so true but i've been practicing like i'm freezing i'm really cold
- 2:26oh i wish i had you know a blanket you're trying to tell yourself you're cold yeah and hoping that
- 2:31it would actually help you're gaslighting yourself yeah i'm gaslighting yeah you're
- 2:34literally gaslighting myself yeah like oh oh it's so funny i saw two people faint one in a pub yeah
- 2:41it's like oh my god because people are out drinking because it's sunny and you forget it's
- 2:45yeah I've booked a train to go to the country today because my house is absolutely unbelievable
- 2:51like it's actually unbearable because we've got several skylights so it's almost like being in a
- 2:56glass house like it's so boiling anyway I went to book my train and there was all these warning
- 3:02signs being like do not travel unless it's absolutely necessary there's so many people
- 3:06with compromised health if you're on a train and it was that hot and they didn't have air con
- 3:10dangerous i have been getting so many ubers because the aircon i did an uber to work this
- 3:16morning too dang dang dang oh we've found a financial angle for the weather obviously
- 3:21there's uber but you know it wouldn't be me if i wasn't thinking about the financial angle of
- 3:25this heat wave i was also seeing a lot of posts like cafes were like look we can't open tuesday
- 3:31wednesday thursday because we don't have aircon and so our staff you know it's not safe for our
- 3:35staff if london's over a certain heat then you know you don't have to go to school or work or
- 3:40like people have these like policies in place anyway and I was like gosh it must be disruptive
- 3:43so then I was like and hot days in the UK cost the economy 1.2 billion dollars a year and lost
- 3:52productivity like you can see why countries in Europe like Spain, Greece, Italy they have
- 3:58siestas I have been so struggling to function and concentrate and I'm just so irritable
- 4:07do not touch me do not it's so funny you say the irritable thing I was visiting a friend last
- 4:12weekend in Zurich I went down to the river I then went to meet her and one of her friends straight
- 4:17afterwards and I was walking in this heat like in such a foul mood yeah and I bumped into her
- 4:23not realizing she was that close like I hadn't mentally prepared to be socially acceptable or
- 4:28like god I was so hot and annoyed and I was like hi she's like are you okay and I was like yeah
- 4:33and then afterwards I was like I was so hot I was like an iPhone that was like overheating to the
- 4:38point of not being able to function I had to put me in a fridge put me in a fridge now to cool me
- 4:43down socially not okay it's just so outrageously hot yeah I've got my niece and nephew staying
- 4:47from New Zealand and so there's six of us in our two-bedroom house and I got flannels on them
- 4:54they're like auntie why don't you have a pool you know like just I love that you're called auntie
- 5:00it's so cute i know it's still it's stuck because they couldn't say vic but now i'm still wit it's
- 5:03way more fun yeah way more fun yeah aren't you wet everybody is is living and breathing this
- 5:07heat wave right now it's in europe it's like we're seeing so many more extreme weather events
- 5:12and yeah just like put on your little investing hat is there an opportunity here that we can
- 5:15invest in is this something that is going to be long term i will say i think most people will be
- 5:22relying on you for that yes i've been completely honest that's all right i'm happy to help business
- 5:28idea for anyone or what little portable air conditioning units the uk would absolutely
- 5:34suck them up even when i was in switzerland last weekend my friend was saying that someone told
- 5:39her to put a big bowl of ice in front of a fan or we did that last night did it work no the ice
- 5:43just melted in like two seconds yeah everyone's like your skin looks amazing i'm like it's just
- 5:49the juice.
- 5:49Because I'm sweaty.
- 5:53Perks of the heatwave.
- 5:54It actually did look
- 5:55amazing.
- 5:56I look quite good today.
- 5:57Thank you.
- 5:57Yeah, I know.
- 5:58It's so true.
- 5:58This is just like a natural body oil, but it's
- 6:01sweat.
- 6:01Oh my god, it's so funny.
- 6:03When we have more extreme weather
- 6:05events, there's such a need for
- 6:07energy consumption because you're either trying to
- 6:09cool down or heat up.
- 6:11Whereas when we're in the middle, you're kind
- 6:13of, you know, you're using an average amount
- 6:15of power or you're not having to do these extremes.
- 6:18like even just ice makers must be on 24 7 right now i went to get a coffee this morning that's
- 6:22so run out of ice i was like oh we'll see you later and in true brit style we have spoken for
- 6:28about 10 minutes on the weather we go off we go moving right along to some more exciting news or
- 6:35maybe more i don't know it hasn't really got as much attention to be honest as the heat wave this
- 6:40is important regardless where you are there's so many learnings in this yeah before you tune out
- 6:45and think politics, snooze fest, there is so much interconnection between politics and money,
- 6:53just in the same way where you may never have connected the dots between weather and the
- 6:57economy.
- 6:57There's so much we can learn from what's going on.
- 7:00So for anyone that has missed this,
- 7:01we'll give a quick overview of what's going on.
- 7:0310 years ago this month, the UK actually voted
- 7:07to leave the EU.
- 7:09So it was Brexit.
- 7:09I cannot believe that was a decade ago.
- 7:12I know.
- 7:12I remember sitting
- 7:13there when the results were coming through and I was like absolutely not this is I feel like when
- 7:17you're in an echo chamber of your own like community and friends that all kind of think
- 7:21the same way it's hard to think that think that there's people sometimes that can think such an
- 7:26extreme different way it's like when Trump got into power and you just look there at the situation
- 7:32thinking there's just an absolutely no way yeah and then you forget that you're so surrounded by
- 7:37people who think like you often wear similar clothes have similar lives like you do you
- 7:42gravitate towards people that are similar and that have have similar issues or like not as many
- 7:47issues you know things that don't frustrate them or they haven't been impacted and so yeah when
- 7:51brexit when the brexit vote came out yeah i mean everyone else was absolutely shocked but
- 7:56that's that was 10 years ago this month and the eve of the anniversary kia starmer the uk prime
- 8:04minister resigned which was kind of quite ironic so the uk will now have its seventh prime minister
- 8:10in 10 years that's so extreme so extreme if we compare that to new zealand we've had four in 10
- 8:16years and two of those have left like bowed out when they've been on top not being like the issue
- 8:22with the uk prime minister is pushed out by his own party because nobody wanted him there seven
- 8:27in 10 years how disruptive trying to bring about change for a country when the average 10 years
- 8:33like what one to two years not even not even that and let's link this to investing for a second so
- 8:39I would say the hill you will die on is invest in founder-led businesses you know this is something
- 8:44that you love and it's dying yeah she's like on this hill she's absolutely she was a great friend
- 8:50she really cared about investor-led businesses the the reason this is so connected to money and
- 8:55investments is if you think about the whole concept of having someone running a business
- 9:00that owns it, that founded it.
- 9:01They want to see long-term success.
- 9:03So they don't make quick wins.
- 9:04You're not going for instant things
- 9:06that make you look good in your role
- 9:08like you may if you're a CEO
- 9:09that didn't have any equity in a business.
- 9:11It's the same with politics
- 9:13because if you have seven people in power in 10 years,
- 9:16the stuff that you can bring in and change is so minute
- 9:20because you're so short-sighted
- 9:22in the decisions you're making for the country.
- 9:24And the UK is in a real debt-ridden,
- 9:29it's a it's a really such an issue if you have people in power that don't have the room and
- 9:34space to make difficult decisions to get the country to a new it's really problematic and
- 9:39the UK is in a bit of a dire situation you know since Brexit like there's there's so many stats
- 9:45I could get into in terms of you know how the UK has done versus the US and like it's it's pretty
- 9:49terrible if you think of the UK as a company you've got this company that's kind of lost its
- 9:54way.
- 9:54It used to be like the glitzy financial hub of the world.
- 9:58You know, you had a lot of overseas
- 9:59investors and companies sitting up here and it was really prosperous.
- 10:03And now that shine has gone
- 10:06away.
- 10:06It's got a lot of struggles economically.
- 10:08So you've got to find someone that wants to take
- 10:11that on and know they're going to piss off a lot of people because to bring about meaningful change,
- 10:17you do have to implement some tough things, whether it be higher taxes or tax cuts.
- 10:22That's
- 10:22the hardest part with all these prime ministers is they try to then the UK people or even the party
- 10:28themselves get pissed off and then they leave and it's it's a really hard cycle to get out of
- 10:36it's so complicated isn't it because it's like we look at the UK economy and we're like okay look
- 10:40it's not great right now I mean there was a time where it was absolutely the most thriving one of
- 10:46the most thriving economies in the world now it's really struggling and it all comes a lot of it
- 10:53comes back to Brexit like yes there was some increased taxes you know doing trade now with
- 10:58the with the European Union etc but it was more the fact that it created so much uncertainty for
- 11:04businesses that the businesses within the economy the UK economy weren't able to flourish and thrive
- 11:11and therefore hire people pay higher wages and that feeds back into the economy so when you
- 11:15create this disruption it trickles down and the same thing with this whole non-dom status which
- 11:24was it will just never not be funny to me I know but it essentially the UK was no longer attractive
- 11:31for overseas people to buy houses here or you know have houses overseas and I guess kind of
- 11:37spend money in the UK because they were now taxed and so say if I was like a wealthy person from
- 11:44Dubai and I was living here and then all of a sudden my tax rates gone up I'm moving my my
- 11:49fortune but as well as my family putting them in schools maybe in you know another country if you
- 11:53just change that tax back I'm not then moving back all of a sudden you know like those are big big
- 11:57changes and if you have that on I don't know hundreds of thousands of people or millions or
- 12:02billions of dollars like that doesn't just come back as you change the taxes again you know it
- 12:07takes a while even Portugal I mean they introduced some very favorable taxes for tech startups and
- 12:13this was like a long time ago and it's still now starting to filter through and people are like oh
- 12:19Portugal's actually a really great place to live and it's like feeding through this economy these
- 12:22things take time but I guess what I'm saying is 10 years on and the economy is in a I would say
- 12:28worse much worse position than beforehand even if you reverse that decision now it's not all of a
- 12:34sudden overnight whoever you get into power into politics and the and the policy they put in place
- 12:39can have huge ripple effects.
- 12:41The main reason for Brexit was immigration.
- 12:44And a lot of UK citizens were worried about too much immigration
- 12:48or too many immigrants coming into the UK.
- 12:49Interestingly now, the immigration has never been at a higher level
- 12:53than it was last year.
- 12:54What do you mean?
- 12:55So Brexit didn't solve that problem at all.
- 12:58Oh my gosh.
- 12:59So all of this palaver didn't even solve the issue at hand.
- 13:03Similarly to what we're seeing in the US,
- 13:05with people just get so up in arms about the idea of it's my country, it's my job, you're
- 13:11taking an opportunity.
- 13:12I just feel like it's such a classic and easy way for a politician to turn
- 13:18people on their side.
- 13:20They know that it's one of those things that irks people, so they use it to
- 13:23try and get people to vote for them.
- 13:25It's an easy blame.
- 13:26It's not immigration that's the issue.
- 13:30it's it could be solvable for so many other things but because this is an easy target and it's it's
- 13:36polarizing right it's it's it's horrible but it is what happens when economies are not doing well
- 13:43and people are frustrated you want to point the finger yeah let's talk about brexit 10 years on
- 13:49and what the uk actually looks like financially now brexit costs the uk between about six to
- 13:568% of GDP.
- 13:57That's not like a dramatic crash.
- 13:58It's over a 10-year period.
- 14:00So it's kind of been like
- 14:01this slow handbrake on growth.
- 14:05Before Brexit, the UK was one of the fastest growing economies in
- 14:10this G7, which is kind of the top seven economies in the world.
- 14:13Who's G7 then?
- 14:14It's Canada, France,
- 14:15Germany, Italy, Japan, UK, US.
- 14:18So it used to be kind of the top of this group and it's now
- 14:21dropped below the middle countries like France Canada they're all growing you know much faster
- 14:28than the UK which when you think of the UK I mean I still think of it as this yeah financial hub
- 14:35people walking around in gilets you know all of that me too I mean I still feel so excited about
- 14:41the UK and the potential over here but the the sentiment generally for most people in the UK
- 14:46is everyone's pretty disappointed and disheartened and feeling kind of sad about the state of the
- 14:51economy and the strength of the pound it's not great over here exactly yeah i mean i just think
- 14:57maybe new zealanders have this like exciting kind of glimmer in their eye like i'll go to london the
- 15:01big big bad london and make all this money i still have that sort of mindset and then you hear people
- 15:06be like oh i haven't got a job and i've been here for six months you know like it's used to come
- 15:10over here and earn so much and make a real killing financially and then go back to you know like you
- 15:16used to come here because it was so prosperous we also had covid in the middle of this we had
- 15:20COVID in the middle of Brexit, which has kind of stuffed up a whole lot of the stats.
- 15:24But since
- 15:24COVID, the UK has grown 5%.
- 15:28The US has grown about 15%.
- 15:32Even house prices, like house prices,
- 15:34they're roughly up about 30%.
- 15:37But in the US, they're up 80% since 2016.
- 15:39But if we look at
- 15:41the affordability, so this is like how much of your salary does it take to purchase a house?
- 15:46In the UK, house prices sit at around eight times your average earnings.
- 15:51And in London, that's about 10.
- 15:53So affordability is still absolutely terrible here in London.
- 15:56In Auckland, that's about 11 times.
- 15:57You have to have 11 times your salary to purchase a house.
- 16:00So if you own $100,000 or pounds.
- 16:02Oh my God.
- 16:04House prices sit at around 10 times that in London.
- 16:06Whoa, like that's so outrageous.
- 16:10And in Sydney, it's 14 times.
- 16:13I mean, holy, I'm not surprised.
- 16:16it would be so expensive to buy in Sydney.
- 16:18But what you get paid in Sydney is higher also.
- 16:22So the opportunity there is greater,
- 16:24even though it's still 14 times,
- 16:25so it is in relation to Europe.
- 16:26But you could say that about London too.
- 16:28Totally, yeah.
- 16:29I think the wages is the really depressing part
- 16:32since Brexit.
- 16:33So British workers have been literally living
- 16:36through a nearly two decade,
- 16:38so that's 20 years,
- 16:40so not even Brexit, even before that,
- 16:42stagnation, which means your wages
- 16:44have pretty much gone nowhere.
- 16:44Is that in 20 years it's happened over here?
- 16:47Yeah.
- 16:47Because you've got inflation and wages haven't really kept up with inflation.
- 16:51We've had this dramatic inflation.
- 16:53We had like 11% inflation a few years ago.
- 16:56Because wages haven't kept up, wages have stagnated essentially.
- 17:01So like if we had 3% inflation and we've probably had 3% wage growth.
- 17:07But doesn't that mean that you are keeping up with inflation?
- 17:09You're keeping up, but you're not doing any better.
- 17:11People may have had pay rises and thinking that they're, wow, I'm doing so much better, but actually they're not because it's just keeping up with inflation.
- 17:17Totally.
- 17:17Like you could have been on £40,000 two years ago and now you're on £50,000.
- 17:23You're like, woohoo.
- 17:24But if you actually look at that in relation to inflation, it's actually not a woohoo.
- 17:29If wages had kept growing at their pre-2008 level, so before global financial crisis, the average worker would be earning around £10,000 more than they would today.
- 17:38We are on average all about £11,000 worse off today than we were in 2008.
- 17:45I'd like to speak to my boss about a pound.
- 17:47Victoria Harris, I would like £10,000, £11,000 deposited into my bank account immediately.
- 17:52This is averages as well.
- 17:54You've got people earning heaps, you've got people earning not so much.
- 17:57Anyone listening to this, if you are not keeping up with inflation or above inflation, keep this in mind.
- 18:03There was one takeaway from this podcast.
- 18:05ask like please please please either be growing your savings at an inflation rate or higher or
- 18:10asking for a pay rise each year at inflation or higher like it just if you don't ask you don't
- 18:15get it is ridiculous okay ridiculous this also goes for anyone wherever you are this is not just
- 18:23in the uk inflation has been insane the last 10 years 20 years all over the world so if you are
- 18:30looking at your pay increases thinking stunning look at my little pay rise how exciting no no no
- 18:36no compare that to inflation and double your pay rise this is what frustrates me with some employers
- 18:41it's like oh we'll give you a four percent pay rise it's like no no that that's standard yep
- 18:46that's off to one side and it's like okay what about me as a person in terms of my performance
- 18:52you also then look at businesses that have tried to keep their prices steady because they're trying
- 18:57to not it's hard because like if we were to look at for example things that we sell we're not
- 19:02raising our prices in line with inflation because it's way too people would be like what on the one
- 19:08hand it's like I fully agree with you but I do think you need to also look at the context of
- 19:12what your workplace is like if you're in a big corporate kind of different I think you do need
- 19:16to be aware but I think if you are a business owner you need to factor in definitely if inflation
- 19:23goes to 10% what does that look like in our cost base but also there's other there's other nifty
- 19:28ways I remember we spoke to a friend the other day and he was like yeah when my team hits targets
- 19:34we give them a week's holiday yeah that was so cool on top and for them and for younger staff
- 19:39that's that's great yeah that's such a non-financial incentive that can help people if you can't pay a
- 19:47highest salary.
- 19:48We have two brilliant episodes that we did with Meggie Palmer from Pep Talker,
- 19:52and her whole premise is how to get a pay rise, the things that you need to do, what you should
- 19:56be thinking about all year round, et cetera.
- 19:58So we'll link those in the podcast show notes because
- 20:00she is amazing and it's really practical.
- 20:04So if you're listening to this and you're feeling
- 20:05pumped up and you're thinking, all right, fine, I need to pay more attention to this,
- 20:08but I actually don't really know where to start.
- 20:10Really, really good episodes.
- 20:12Coming up after the break, we're going to give an update on the biggest IPO
- 20:16in the history of the world.
- 20:17So traumatic.
- 20:18I know.
- 20:19Also, your arms crossed looking very serious.
- 20:22And also we've had a very, oh, it's sad,
- 20:26but it's also incredible story
- 20:27that surrounds the FIFA World Cup, child support.
- 20:31It's a whole thing.
- 20:32And we're going to get into that.
- 20:33But first, a word from today's sponsor.
- 20:35I invest so much more now,
- 20:37but I still don't feel great
- 20:40about profiting from companies that I don't believe in.
- 20:42You know, weapons.
- 20:43I just, I personally do not want to be making money from conflict.
- 20:46But what about weapons companies that supply like both sides of the conflict?
- 20:50Pretty confusing, right?
- 20:51I know, it's so confusing and I feel like I'm not alone in that.
- 20:55Yeah, I mean 80% of New Zealand investors don't want weapons in their KiwiSaver,
- 20:59yet Mindful Money reports that over $400 million is still invested in weapons manufacturers,
- 21:05which is why choosing the right provider matters,
- 21:07like Pathfinder KiwiSaver plan, which aims to avoid profiting from conflict.
- 21:11They've been recognized as weapons-free by Mindful Money and written loads of blogs on this topic,
- 21:17even covering their position on Gaza, which a lot of people have avoided.
- 21:19So if you want to check out our podcast show notes to learn more,
- 21:22and thanks so much to Pathfinder for making this episode of The Curve Weekly possible.
- 21:26Pathfinder Asset Management Limited is the issuer of the Pathfinder KiwiSaver plan.
- 21:30A product disclosure statement is available at pathfinder.kiwi.
- 21:34Oh, we've got some really exciting news.
- 21:37And I will say when I saw these headlines, I thought Victoria Harris is going to be absolutely
- 21:43thrilled with this.
- 21:44You're my biggest hype girl.
- 21:45I love it.
- 21:46I'm going to do an overview here.
- 21:47SpaceX is one of the biggest IPOs that's ever happened.
- 21:50Yes.
- 21:50It had a record like spike straight after it went public, which a lot of people weren't
- 21:56expecting.
- 21:57And one of the things that Vic has talked about for the last few weeks on this podcast
- 22:01is be aware that there is a lot of hype going on.
- 22:04There is a lot of hype.
- 22:06and yes, this may have initially done well.
- 22:08Does it mean it's going to stay there?
- 22:09We don't know.
- 22:10So Vic didn't buy the stock.
- 22:12So it was one of those weird things.
- 22:14We were talking about it quite a lot within the team
- 22:16and, you know, off mic and, you know,
- 22:18are you going to do it?
- 22:19What are your thoughts on it, Vic?
- 22:20You know, and the fact that you didn't buy it
- 22:21was quite interesting.
- 22:22Two reasons for that.
- 22:23Firstly, it's actually very hard to get stock at an IPO
- 22:27and particularly an IPO that's kind of the most hyped
- 22:31and talked about and the biggest.
- 22:32the second is I genuinely spent so much time looking at this and I was I just could not get
- 22:39comfortable with what it was priced at in terms of its earnings it's it's losing billions of dollars
- 22:46you know the shareholder structure there were so many things which I can dig into a second but
- 22:50that was I was like you know what no and if this does really well I can sit here and be like no I
- 22:56hand on heart stuck to my investing strategy which has been tried and true and hey if I miss out on
- 23:02something that does well that's life there's plenty more fish in the sea so Vic landed in
- 23:07Greece last week off she was on holiday and what did she see when she landed I landed and I saw
- 23:13that I was up 30% and I was like oh why did you stick to your investing strategy you get really
- 23:19like no because you know you get really defensive almost and when you're kind of deciding
- 23:26to invest in something it's like okay if this does go up and and does really well I had to
- 23:31get comfortable with that if it went down 30% or if it went up 30% you know how would I feel
- 23:37what would I do you know you kind of had a bit of a bit of a plan kind of interrogating yourself
- 23:42it's almost like it's almost like you analyze your own psyche in the different outcomes that
- 23:47could happen and what price would it get to before I buy before I actually start buying the stock
- 23:53what would need to change like you do do this and we used to do it back in my finance days you'd have
- 23:58devil's advocate so you'd pitch an idea and there would be someone's sole job to like rip it to
- 24:03shreds quite fun oh i'd love to be that person i think you'd be quite good at that person too
- 24:08how could i be wrong here is kind of what you're trying to think of the stock ipo'd 135 dollars it
- 24:13went up to about 200 it's now down to about 154 so it's down about 25 still well above its ipo
- 24:21price so people that bought an IPO were still doing very well Elon Musk still literally in there
- 24:26I think this is a really good reminder for me and anyone else that missed out it's like
- 24:30there is so many FOMO hype IPOs and if we look at the history of IPOs particularly ones that
- 24:38do well straight out the gates there is genuinely 99.9% of times a better opportunity to buy the
- 24:45stock at a lower price.
- 24:47There is a lot of hype and people do buy things that aren't based on
- 24:51fundamentals and the company is going to start reporting financial results.
- 24:55It could have a
- 24:56slip up, it could have something delayed.
- 24:58And because there is so much hype that could lead it
- 25:01to not do so well in terms of its share price.
- 25:05I don't know what's going to happen in the short
- 25:06term.
- 25:06I'm just, I'm glad I stuck true to my investing strategy.
- 25:09And yes, it's still up in
- 25:12terms of its IPO price but if it had gone down significantly and I hadn't stuck to my investing
- 25:18strategy I would feel 10 times worse if you'd bought SpaceX and it had gone up and then it
- 25:23had gone down or you bought it and it instantly plummeted how do you self-regulate because it's
- 25:29so emotional it's so hard because I would have had my head in a salt and vinegar bag of chips
- 25:34and eating the entire thing and then I would have moved on to the giant Haribos and eaten an entire
- 25:39a pack you know like I've been there I've definitely been there yeah it's okay what
- 25:44mistake did I make and how can I not do that again and I have done this many times bought
- 25:49IPOs at hype and not stuck to investing fundamentals and you know because everyone
- 25:54else is and I don't want to miss out and I've learned okay you did that once that's okay you
- 26:00make a mistake you learn from it do it twice no no no no no yeah yeah you need to learn and hey
- 26:07if you get things wrong and you will and anyone will that's investing you will get some investments
- 26:12wrong that's why we say diversify and invest in lots of different things as long as you learn from
- 26:16your mistakes that's okay like I had some absolute disasters to the point that I didn't even want to
- 26:21tell my boss because I was so petrified I think the calmness and the rationale just the pragmaticness
- 26:27of my boss was like oh okay this is okay as long as you learn and you write down your learnings and
- 26:33you don't or you try not to make that same mistake again if you make it again and again again and you
- 26:37try and hide it again and again again that's when it's like okay see you later you are not this is
- 26:42not for you yeah but you also know me as a person i'm very good at compartmentalizing yeah it's so
- 26:48scary sometimes no you're just you're really pragmatic you're really being logical and
- 26:53compartmentalizing emotion from sensible decisions what we should say before we wrap this up for
- 26:58anyone that also didn't invest in spacex is this is essentially an enormous marketing campaign
- 27:03to go public.
- 27:04There are PR strategies.
- 27:06There is so much involved in making sure that people feel
- 27:09FOMO.
- 27:10In the same way, I look at the Cannes Festival at the moment and there's all these
- 27:13creators there.
- 27:13And I'm all of a sudden like, why am I not at the Cannes Festival?
- 27:16Obviously,
- 27:17I need to be there next year.
- 27:18It's the same with an IPO.
- 27:20They are being strategic to make people
- 27:22feel like they need to jump on the bandwagon.
- 27:24Someone said to me, a CEO's main job is to sell
- 27:28the business.
- 27:29And I was like, no, they've got to manage team.
- 27:31They've got to, you know,
- 27:32and they're like, no, no, if you're a public company, all you want is your share price to go
- 27:36up.
- 27:36The way your share price goes up is profits growing.
- 27:39But a big part of that is also making
- 27:42it attractive in whatever way possible so that people buy it.
- 27:47So yes, an IPO is, it's like opening
- 27:50your flagship store.
- 27:51You want to get as many headlines, you want people talking about it,
- 27:54you want from all of that.
- 27:55So, so, so spot on.
- 27:57And continually selling it.
- 27:59You know, you want
- 27:59to update the market when there's positive things you want to release really good results I guess
- 28:04with SpaceX as well one thing worth mentioning and probably the reason it's fallen over the last
- 28:09kind of four or five days is people taking profits you know if you made a lot of money during
- 28:14you know the initial IPO you're like cool I'm gonna take some profit now but also the day before
- 28:20the IPO one of the biggest and most influential investment rating agencies the MSCI in the US
- 28:28handed SpaceX a triple C rating for its environmental, social and governance.
- 28:33What is triple C rating?
- 28:34It's like, it's the lowest of lowest of lowest rating that you can get.
- 28:37Like it's pretty bad.
- 28:39Wow.
- 28:39So a lot of responsible investing, sustainability, ESG funds, like they cannot own SpaceX.
- 28:46So even though you're coming out trying to sell your stock and sell your company,
- 28:51the fact that Elon Musk has 85% of the voting power,
- 28:55So you're effectively investing in a private company.
- 28:58You effectively have no say as a shareholder.
- 29:00This is kind of what made MSCI give.
- 29:03So it's not even really environmental.
- 29:05It's actually more focused on the G.
- 29:07So ESG, environmental, so like land.
- 29:11Climate, water, planet, all of that.
- 29:13Social, people.
- 29:15Yeah, do you look after your staff?
- 29:17Do you pay them right?
- 29:17All of that.
- 29:18And then G stands for governance, which is the idea of who is running the business.
- 29:21The idea of having a really not diversified governance structure, so one person having that much control, is not good.
- 29:29And also the directors on SpaceX are also on multiple other boards that Elon Musk is on.
- 29:36So everyone's like, it's not independent.
- 29:37You're not having a board.
- 29:39It's like there needs to be independent, but they're kind of in bed with Elon Musk.
- 29:42So everyone's like, it's not actually a truly independent board.
- 29:45There's so many things.
- 29:46it's almost like if you're investing in SpaceX, you need to realize you don't have the rights as
- 29:51a normal shareholder.
- 29:52You are kind of at the whim of whatever Elon Musk decides, essentially.
- 29:56This
- 29:56was not a good headline to come out the day before you IPO.
- 30:00And also, there's a lot of ESG ETFs that
- 30:05cannot own SpaceX.
- 30:06Oh, of course, they have to pull out.
- 30:07If you are an investor who has particular
- 30:10mandates or really strict rules around being an ethical fund or investing with a particular lens
- 30:16that's ethical it automatically discounts a lot of money that would otherwise have perhaps flown
- 30:21into that business if you own an ESG fund or ETF you won't be owning SpaceX anytime soon if you
- 30:28hold like a broad index fund like an SP500 SpaceX will be coming your way very soon if you're
- 30:33thinking about buying it directly just make sure you're aware you are buying a company that is
- 30:38losing billions of dollars a year trading at over a hundred times revenue and a CEO who controls
- 30:44nearly 90% of the votes.
- 30:46That's what you're dealing with.
- 30:47So just be aware.
- 30:48This is a really fun story.
- 30:50I know!
- 30:51I saw this and I thought,
- 30:53this is exactly why this podcast exists.
- 30:56Now, Argentina has just used the World Cup
- 30:59to do something that I would say anyone that has a child...
- 31:02I'm like, how has this not been done earlier?
- 31:04They handed the US a list of, was it 130,000?
- 31:08It's 130,000.
- 31:09Okay.
- 31:10Mostly dads who haven't paid child support
- 31:14and said block them from the stadiums.
- 31:16They're not allowed to go in.
- 31:17And the preface of this is if you can't afford to feed your kids,
- 31:21but you can afford a World Cup ticket, like what the hell?
- 31:25Absolutely, job on.
- 31:26Yeah.
- 31:26World Cup tickets are super expensive.
- 31:28And if you can afford a World Cup ticket and you can afford flights,
- 31:30why are you not paying child support?
- 31:32And I just think people are so passionate about the World Cup.
- 31:36It's a great way.
- 31:37Imagine if you had a ticket and you got to the entrance and you got denied
- 31:41because your name was on a register of 130,000 people.
- 31:44Wait, so they buy the ticket and then they get there
- 31:47and they're not allowed in.
- 31:48That's even better.
- 31:50I know.
- 31:50So it's not like they can't spend the money.
- 31:52They spend the money and they get there
- 31:54and they're shamed and not allowed to go in.
- 31:55And Argentina shared that list with US Homeland Security
- 31:58and the US has been separately revoking passports
- 32:03for Americans who owe over $100,000.
- 32:06Well, kind of absolute dirtbags owe $100,000
- 32:09in child support.
- 32:11That should be illegal.
- 32:12A hundred percent.
- 32:14This isn't a story about
- 32:15football.
- 32:15This is a story about who bears the financial cost when the system fails.
- 32:20It's been a personal issue of, you know, couples probably arguing of, you know, you pay me.
- 32:25No,
- 32:26I'm not paying you.
- 32:27And now it's become a system and being like, no, no, this is a
- 32:30economic issue.
- 32:31This is something we need to take control of and we will.
- 32:35And that's what Argentina
- 32:36in the US are doing, rather than being like, you guys sort it out.
- 32:39The financial burden then falls on majority women
- 32:42because 80% of custodial parents are mothers.
- 32:46I heard the Shameless Girls talk about this on the podcast.
- 32:48They said it should be illegal almost for a man to leave
- 32:52before a child is two years or they have to pay, you know,
- 32:55they were basically talking about the idea that financially,
- 32:58if someone has a baby and then they're on their own,
- 33:01it is unreal what that's going to be doing to them.
- 33:04But also, the man could just walk away and never pay child support.
- 33:08So to be able to think that this is slowly making its way into the actual financial system
- 33:13where it's not just a social nicety to pay child support.
- 33:17It's like you have to or you'll be publicly shamed.
- 33:19I think it's more, it should be set up like a KiwiSaver or like a superannuation or pension.
- 33:25If you're earning and it's on a register that you owe $100,000, that's like a debt.
- 33:30You have to start paying it off.
- 33:32That's such a bad idea.
- 33:32It's like a student loan.
- 33:33Oh my god.
- 33:34You get 3% of your salary or whatever it is that goes into paying this.
- 33:38Because the total child support that's owed in the US alone is $115 billion.
- 33:45From people that just refuse to pay.
- 33:47Yeah, people that refuse to pay.
- 33:48And in Australia, unpaid child support is now being framed as financial abuse because...
- 33:52It should be.
- 33:54If child support payments were paid in full in Australia,
- 33:5821% of children in single mother families would be lifted out of poverty.
- 34:02This whole FIFA World Cup and calling out the men that are not allowed to go, I mean, it's a signal of a much bigger issue.
- 34:10And it's also just highlighting the fact that this is actually, this is not something that you can get away with in a relationship setting.
- 34:18You're right, the idea of it being something that's almost registered, like how many kids do you have and are you separated?
- 34:23Cool, this is the minimum that you need to be paying off every month, week, etc.
- 34:27Hearing you say that, I'm like, why does that not even exist?
- 34:29And many women don't chase or follow up out of like fear or retaliation or anything like that.
- 34:36So to remove that.
- 34:36Or they don't want to be in comms at all with them.
- 34:39So to remove that and make it a system issue or a policy rather than an individual will sort it out issue just removes that fear, removes that drama.
- 34:49Oh, that's honestly genius.
- 34:50When we're talking about men and women in this situation, the reason we're saying, you know, men aren't the ones paying is because the 80% of custodial parents are mothers.
- 34:57So I just want to be clear.
- 34:58It's not like we're solely dads.
- 35:00There is probably mothers out there as well.
- 35:02And there's single fathers.
- 35:04And the mothers haven't been paying.
- 35:05It shouldn't be gendered anyway.
- 35:07It should be if you separate or you're the one to leave.
- 35:10It should be the same if you're in a same-sex female relationship.
- 35:13If you leave someone in a financial position where they're financially in charge of a child that you brought into the world too.
- 35:20Yes.
- 35:21It's not.
- 35:21Totally.
- 35:22Like, if you have a baby, you are financially responsible to look after that child in the world
- 35:28and ensure that it has the basic things that it needs to not live in poverty.
- 35:32You made a decision to purchase a World Cup ticket.
- 35:35You also made a decision to have a child.
- 35:38So, fork up.
- 35:40Just imagine being the person on the door.
- 35:43Oh, John Smith.
- 35:44No, sorry, you won't be coming in today.
- 35:46Imagine being on a date and being like, let's go to the World Cup.
- 35:48And then you get to the front and you're like, why can't you get in?
- 35:51oh I just owe a bit of transport oh my I actually feel I would pay to be the person with the list
- 35:58you can come in if you pay uh 120 000 right now yeah we've got the bank details if you want to
- 36:03transfer I mean we laugh but it is quite sad to be honest it is very sad I'm just glad that there's
- 36:09a massive sporting event that everyone is so passionate about that like can literally put
- 36:13rules like this in power and bring about change yeah pretty amazing so we have a community question
- 36:18from Miriam.
- 36:20She says, hi, ladies.
- 36:21Firstly, you do an amazing job.
- 36:23Thank you.
- 36:23I'm just going to
- 36:24continue to read all the nice stuff out.
- 36:25I'm not going to skip through that.
- 36:26The Curve Weekly is
- 36:27the highlight of my newsletter week.
- 36:29Oh, so she reads it.
- 36:30Cool.
- 36:30If you don't get this, you can get
- 36:32it via the link in the show notes if you don't get our newsletter.
- 36:35And the podcast makes my drives
- 36:37so much more interesting.
- 36:39Thanks for the confidence that you've given me to ask for more money.
- 36:41Oh,
- 36:42quite a timely, very relevant community question.
- 36:45And look elsewhere.
- 36:46I've just landed a new job
- 36:48with a 40k pay rise.
- 36:50Go Miriam!
- 36:51Sorry, this is amazing.
- 36:53The female leadership team looks incredible
- 36:54and I'm so excited.
- 36:56I was fine in my old job,
- 36:57but fine isn't really a long-term strategy.
- 37:00We did not make this up by the way.
- 37:02My question is,
- 37:03we can comfortably live off my old salary,
- 37:06so what's the best way to manage the extra income?
- 37:08This is a stunning question.
- 37:09More into shares,
- 37:10build a bigger cash buffer,
- 37:12both.
- 37:13I'm determined to not let the new lifestyle earnings creep in
- 37:15and just spend it,
- 37:17because honestly,
- 37:18How many pairs of shoes and activewear sets does one person need?
- 37:20Laughy face.
- 37:21I am obsessed with everything that's done with this message.
- 37:25That's amazing.
- 37:26Firstly, congratulations on the new job.
- 37:28Absolutely.
- 37:29The fact that you have recognized you're in a position where you're about to potentially drift into lifestyle create is so good.
- 37:37Having that awareness.
- 37:38Rather than doing it and then being like, oh my gosh.
- 37:41It's so much easier to nip it in the bud than try and revert back.
- 37:44I would like to say as someone who does not have as much money as I would like and if I am being
- 37:51completely honest if I had more I think it would bring me a little bit more happiness I would put
- 37:58a little bit of that into those things so for example for me if it was actually I really want
- 38:03to up my class pass because if I go to a class three times a week I'm I know I'm going to feel
- 38:08better be happier I would look at the parts of my life where I know that I'm not spending on which
- 38:14would bring me more happiness.
- 38:15I would add bits to that, not in a crazy way, not like I need
- 38:18to get five new pieces of jewelry or anything like that, but that's what I would do.
- 38:22And then I would be putting all the rest of it into investments.
- 38:25If you have enough of a cash
- 38:27buffer, for example, if you have three or six months of what you need, your essentials,
- 38:32and you feel really comfortable with that buffer, I wouldn't add more cash for the sake of it.
- 38:36If you look at what you have as your emergency fund, and it's perhaps slightly less than you
- 38:42would feel comfortable with then short build it up to a place that you would feel better about
- 38:46other than that if I didn't need the money for my you know immediate lifestyle and I had my buffer
- 38:52and I wasn't in debt I would be investing almost majority of what my pay rise was when I first
- 38:58read this my first reaction was like invest invest invest obviously but then I was like
- 39:04no just chill Vic just chill and it depends on what their goals are or what they what they want
- 39:10to achieve.
- 39:10Of course, if they've got some short-term ones, then maybe put it into more
- 39:13high yield or high returning investments.
- 39:16Say they want to go on a holiday or have a wedding
- 39:18or something that's, you know, or buy a house or something, then maybe put it in things like
- 39:23term deposits or high returning savings accounts, just because you don't, you kind of want to
- 39:28protect that money because the market goes up and down and you don't want the market at that point
- 39:32to have gone down and then you've kind of lost money.
- 39:35So you're worse off.
- 39:35So I think the steps
- 39:36here would be firstly, look at your spending and your lifestyle.
- 39:39Is there anything that would
- 39:40add more happiness or joy in a not over the top frivolous way there's more that you could actually
- 39:47put within your budget that would you think significantly improve your life and I would start
- 39:50with that I just wouldn't take it to the extreme don't add like money into your budget you're the
- 39:55lifestyle creep just because you're earning more money don't just chuck an extra yeah 200 in your
- 40:00travel fund or an extra 200 pounds or whatever it is into your beauty account just because now you
- 40:06have a pay rise I would say look at what you're spending and if you were to increase any of those
- 40:11areas would you be happier I personally think probably like simple answer this if she's if
- 40:16she's happy with her spending and her lifestyle at the moment put as much as you can into into
- 40:22into shares and investments if you've got an emergency fund as well and you're happy with that
- 40:27put as much as you can into investments if they're short term maybe a little bit into
- 40:31you know to cover those in a high yield savings account but the more that you can put into
- 40:34your investments, the better off you'll be long term.
- 40:36If you don't need the money for five years,
- 40:38you should put it all in investments.
- 40:41If anyone else has questions,
- 40:43either comment where you're listening,
- 40:44if you've got any comments or things that you want to share.
- 40:47We love reading those comments.
- 40:48It's so great.
- 40:49If you have a more personal question,
- 40:51you want to DM us, you can, or email.
- 40:52Actually, please can someone send a voice note to the hotline?
- 40:55I'm obsessed with the hotline.
- 40:56It's so fun to listen.
- 40:57Oh, Vic.
- 40:59Yes.
- 40:59Next week, an exciting week for the Curve podcast.
- 41:02What, what, what?
- 41:03there's going to be two of these episodes a week so we're going to two curve weekly so monday and
- 41:07wednesday if you want to find out what is going to be in those episodes or or what it's going to
- 41:12look like highly recommend following the show like following or subscribing wherever you listen so
- 41:17then you just get notified every time yes and other than that good luck out there in the in
- 41:23the heat anyone that's on the in the northern hemisphere hope people are not freezing their
- 41:27us off in um southern hamster new zealand um but have a great week thank you so much for listening
- 41:33to the curve weekly make sure you hit subscribe or follow wherever you're listening so you're
- 41:37always up to date with the latest finance and investing news and feel free to leave a comment
- 41:41to let us know what you thought about this episode because we would love your feedback
- 41:44we've got new curve weekly episodes for you to listen to every monday but until then
- 41:48listen to a raise in the curve these are our in-depth podcast episodes where we chat about
- 41:52all things money we're also around all week on socials if you're hungry for more curve content
- 41:56and all the links are in this podcast's show notes.
- 41:58We hope you have a great week
- 41:59and we'll catch you for the next episode
- 42:01of The Curve Weekly on Monday.
- 42:10Okay, quickly, The Curve was created to empower
- 42:13and educate you about investing,
- 42:14but we are not financial advisors.
- 42:16Our platform exists for educational purposes only
- 42:19and it doesn't provide personalized investing advice
- 42:21for your individual needs
- 42:22and should not be relied upon
- 42:23to make an investment or financial decision.
- 42:26and always remember to do your own research before making any investment or financial decision
- 42:30we're here for any knowledge and support you need but the final call is always yours
- 42:34and thanks for being here you got this yeah we know you got this