Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB Witching Hour | March 29, 2023 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

Transcript

MLB Witching Hour | March 29, 2023 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:04
Fall. System's going clear the lifting. What is going on? Shipping Nation
0:38
YouTube station. It's Friday, our first Friday MLB show of the season.
0:45
It's the same crew. We got the bookend crew here Mondays, Fridays me
0:49
and how much all season long to bring you the baseball winners. It was
0:54
a nice start last night to open a day yesterday afternoon, i should say
0:58
over here at the Ship of Crew Crushed. It had the double dong in
1:02
the core report there. That was nice to see when you got a nice
1:04
Chalckey offense overall, but you throw some of those lower owned guys in the
1:07
bottom of the order. Typical all season long, the bottom of the order
1:12
gets underplayed, and through that nice little double dong piece in there, it
1:18
was nice to see. That started up with a great day overall over here
1:22
at Shipping Nation to kick off opening day. But we got an eight game
1:25
slate here tonight. Friday Night does start at five point fifty pm Central time,
1:30
six fifty Eastern time, which is a little bit earlier than standard.
1:34
Typically we see that seven oh five start time. It is what fifteen minutes
1:38
earlier today, So make sure you do double check that because that Toronto tempo
1:45
game does lock at six fifty Eastern time there, but how much I'll bring
1:49
you in man, Happy Friday. What's going on, brother? How was
1:52
your opening day? What's up? Man? Yeah? Friday was good.
1:56
Week was good. Yeah, And I think I wonder if we're gonna do
1:59
that all along with that as early starts. I think some of those teams
2:01
are doing that to get more fans and maybe fann doing DraftKings adjust and we
2:07
start fifteen minutes lader the normal. But yeah, make sure you get those
2:10
locked and loaded. My Tennessee volunteers playing some basketball tonight. Braves are on
2:15
now and we want to give a special shout out to our guy, James
2:20
DJ seventy five. Man, if you haven't seen it, go check out
2:22
that video. He's going through some things right now. So we can certainly
2:24
appreciate all the love, all the positive energy over here at the nation.
2:30
But yeah, let's talk to these gay games and if you want to say
2:31
anything else, let's get rolling. Yeah, No, appreciate you bringing that
2:36
up. Yeah, prayers to James and his family and his whole crew.
2:38
It's been nothing but blessing since he's come over and we merged the communities into
2:45
to be what it is today, shipping nation overall, bringing all his stuff,
2:49
his team over there. So he posted an announcement on Twitter. If
2:53
you haven't checked it out, go to go over to his ex and just
2:57
give him some thoughts and prayers. Unfortunate news there, but just know,
3:01
James, if you're out there listening, you hear this on playback. We're
3:05
all in this together. We're all behind you, got you got the whole
3:08
team, the whole nation over here behind you. So unfortunate, sad news,
3:13
but it sounds like his spirits are in good place, which is great
3:15
to see, and he's going to continue to bring content to everyone here the
3:20
best he can do. So if you could say a quick prayer for him
3:23
and keep him in your thoughts and let's fight this together with him. A
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little promo off the top here obviously MLB season opening day was yesterday, Day
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It was during the heart of the MLB season. Our pitcher and hitter
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rankings continue to print money all last season, so that's a huge thing there.
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The Advanced Lineup Tool, which is basically one stop shot for everything you
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need to have success with MLB dfs, and we did bring the MLB only
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crush in every single sport. So use that promo code again MLB fifteen.
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But how much of how we're gonna run these shows is pitchers. We're gonna
4:49
start with pitchers. We're gonna go eight K and above today here, So
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you got Paveta. Right, you got Bobby Miller, Musgow, Meryl Kelly,
4:58
George Kurby, pretty loaded top tier here. From an ownership standpoint,
5:00
Kirby, Kelly Musgrove kind of gonna get the spread that I'll probably will get
5:05
a little bit of ownership here as well in that Picture's park out there in
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Seattle. But from your standpoint where you looking to to kind of start in
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this top tier here tonight from a pitcher standpoint, yeah, there's some there's
5:18
you know, three bona fide aces that I that I'm really gonna be focusing
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in on. Inn One, not not so much an ace, but a
5:24
guy that I like. Let's just start at the top. George Kirby really
5:28
like this matchup against against this Red Sox team. He's projected, you know,
5:33
the projector k that the line up is a projector k rate of almost
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twenty eight percent. You know, obviously off of last year. George Kirby
5:41
was absolutely dynamite last year. I mean, he's obviously ninety seven hundred for
5:45
a reason. I think he's I think he can easily pay that off.
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So give me some George Kirby really like him, and just moving down to
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the next one Merrill Kelly, you know, at home taking on this Rockies
5:56
team. Who I mean, you could have gone on any show last year
6:00
and picked whatever pitcher against that Rockies lineup. They were just that bad.
6:03
And they're not off to a good start, Neids. I don't know if
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you saw the game last night, but they are not off to a good
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start this year. And so I really like Merrill Kelly as well. And
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those guys are gonna be popular, right and obviously all of them those is
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gonna be you know, twenty plus, and the last one is Musgrove.
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Musgrove, that's gonna be my favorite of that bunch. Actually, I really
6:24
like Musgrove going against this Giants team's gonna be bad all season long. I
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was on the show yesterday, Nads. I don't know if you were listening,
6:30
but I was. I was pumping up you Darvish, and gee,
6:34
Risen was shitting all over me talking about how you Darviist was old and man
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he could only get you know, fifteen outs five innings, but he got
6:41
seven k's. I think Musgrove can do that and much more against this Giants
6:46
team, who I don't think is gonna be very good this season. And
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then lastly, I like Chris Bassett. Bassett Hound going into tropic cannafield in
6:54
Tampa Bay facing six righties and rities, don't give him problems. He actually
7:00
dominates right He's pretty good did last year anyway, only faced three lefties,
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got a great pitchers park. I like Tose Berrios yesterday. I like Chris
7:10
Bassett again today against six rities. I think he'll be lower owned, you
7:15
know, out of this bunch I'm seeing currently seeing right around eleven twelve percent
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on DraftKings. But give me those four for this top end. For me,
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yeah, no, excellent breakdown. I do differ a little bit from
7:27
you. I don't have any personal interest right now in in Bassett this range.
7:33
For me, I think my favorite overall picture of this group here it's
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gonna need Nick Pavetta here. I just like the matchup. I don't think
7:42
this Mariners team is going to be very good this this year. Pavetta overall,
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I mean, I think his salary is far too cheap at eighty one
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hundred. Here, I think the matchup is great, Like I said,
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I mean, I just think all things considered, there's expensive that we're going
8:00
to talk about, right Houston, the Dodgers, Arizona, the Yankees.
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Uh, you need to save some salary or not need to save some salary,
8:07
But eighty one hundred for thirty one k percentage last year from from mister
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Pavetta. Here now gets a lineup that has a lot of strikeouts throughout the
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middle of that right, A couple of scary bats right Julia Rodriguez Polanco,
8:24
but Mitch Garver Polanco, even cal Raleigh Hannager. These guys all strike out
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at twenty five plus percent rate. Josh Rojas is another strikeout bat down there
8:31
in the bottom. So I do like Paveta quite a bit at eighty one
8:35
hundred down at the bottom tier of that range. Up at the top,
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you can't go wrong with either of the three of Kirby, Kelly, and
8:41
Musgrove. I do agree with you. Musgrove is my favorite here. This
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This Giants team is just brutal. Here their their their expected lineup coming in
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tonight. Strikes out twenty eight percent last season to UH to right handed pitching
8:56
on the road this season. Now gets a tough match up here Musgrove strikeout
9:00
We're down a little bit over all last year, but with this lineup coming
9:03
in with the run support I think Musgrove is going to have as well.
9:05
He should be pitching pretty free out there, like the Padres bats a little
9:09
bit tonight. So like all four of those guys, I'm out on kind
9:13
of the rest of this tier. So Paveta probably my favorite, Musgrove my
9:16
second favorite. Then I'll go Maryle Kelly, and then Kirby number four.
9:20
Just being the most expensive guy, I get it. But I'm gonna side
9:24
with the other arm in that slate, and I don't mind pairing those two
9:28
together, to be honest, with Kirby and Cavetta and just locking up both
9:33
arms in that Boston Seattle game. Let's talk about the lower range. So
9:37
eight came a blow below. I want to throw out a couple of names.
9:41
Carlos Redon, does he return back? Does he does he have things
9:46
figured out? And then Logan Allen talk about him a little bit. And
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then we do have a guy making his first start here historically a relief pitcher,
9:56
bullpen arm a J Puck for Miami here he's gonna be making a start.
10:01
I'll talk about him a little bit, but give me your thoughts on
10:03
him. Massive, massive strikeout arm in a pretty good matchup here against the
10:07
pirates. Talk about him, talk about anyone else down here at eight king
10:11
to blow that you have interested. Yeah, there's really only one picture that
10:16
I'll be playing tonight in this range, and it's gonna be it's gonna be
10:20
a Logan Allen, you know, taking on this triple A ball club for
10:24
Oakland. Uh. They're not very good. And it's in a it's in
10:26
a pictures park. Uh, and they striking out, you know, striking
10:31
out over thirty percent of the time, you know, Uh, based off
10:33
last year's number. Little you know, projected lineup right at right at right
10:37
at thirty percent. So you take out Ruiz if he bats at the top
10:41
of the lineup. And I think this lineup's not very good. And I
10:43
like Alan in this ballpark. I think I think Puck is gonna be very
10:50
chalky tonight, you know, chalky than we have him. I think right
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now we have him right around ten percent. Uh, I'm gonna be I'm
10:54
gonna be fading him. I think we're gonna put an E on the end
10:56
of his name tonight and when it's all set in, done will be puking
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when he's done. Pitching, So uh, no AJ for me. I'll
11:03
let you talk him up though. No, We're we're going to be different
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there, So interested to hear your take on that. Yeah, it's just
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I mean the price point is too cheap for this guy right now. I'd
11:15
say probably middle of the season. If we have a bigger salary or a
11:18
sample on this guy, I think his price is going to be higher.
11:20
We don't know what his leasha is going to look like, right, Historically
11:24
a relief pitcher, but that's the nature of the beast. Right in the
11:28
start of the season, none of these pitchers are really secure in their innings,
11:31
right it's the second game, first game for some of these teams.
11:35
I mean, realistically, none of these pitchers are really set in stone to
11:37
kind of throw your your seven, your your six, seven, eight innings
11:41
like we see in the middle of the season and when these guys are more
11:45
stretched out, so that helps in his regard. But this guy, I
11:48
mean, I don't like spring training numbers too much, but this guy at
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a thirty plus percent swinging strike rate, a forty overall k rate in spring
11:58
training, I mean, he's a mass of strikeout arm here. I like
12:01
the Marlins bats a little bit as well. This Pirates team expect to line
12:05
up, especially on the back half. I mean, you got Tree Low
12:07
in there, Rowdy t Les, Michael A. Taylor all strikeout right around
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thirty percent or higher. Connor Joe twenty four percent strikeout rate last season to
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left handed pitching, Bryan Reynolds twenty five percent strikeout right to left handed pitching
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last year. I mean, seven K for this guy, even if he
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does give up a couple of runs, I think his strikeouts are going to
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be there. I love him. He's my favorite pitcher on the slate,
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all things considered, I'm gonna take the chance, so I know we do
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differ there. I have two teams on DraftKings, and he's currently in both
12:35
teams. I'll just be honest, I'm kind of pushing the chips in on
12:39
him, mixing him with one of the guys at the top. The Kirby's,
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the Kelly's, the Musgroves, and the Pavetas, and that's kind of
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the five pitchers that I'm realistically looking at on the slate. I get to
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get the reasoning for you go into Logan Allen Right, that Oakland team we've
12:52
been picking pitchers against them all last season. The lineup's kind of still the
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same, right, not very scary Cleveland. I don't mind Cleveland offense a
13:01
little bit as well, So I think Logan Allen is fine. But for
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me, I'm kind of just locking in and agent puck here and taking the
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taking the chance. So those are the five pictures for me. Go ahead
13:13
and give the people your your kind of five top five pitchers that you're looking
13:18
at here tonight, and then we'll go game by game for aighters. Yeah,
13:22
I'll go ahead and rank my pictures, and I'm with you. I
13:24
have five. My five very a little different here real quick. I see
13:28
some road on going, a chat going on in the chat. No road
13:31
on for me. Uh. I'm actually in on the on the Astros bats.
13:37
You can check out my core over at ship in nation dot com.
13:39
But no no road on for me. I'm with you, Sean vee Uh.
13:41
But let's talk about my favorite pictures. My favorite picture out of this
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group is going to be Musgrove really like this matchup that he has at home
13:50
against San fran thinks he think he can dominate that. George Kirby would come
13:54
in number two for me. Uh, once again like his matchup, like
13:58
his strikeout ups, and then Meryl Kelly would be three. The bass at
14:03
Hound would be four, and I really like I really like basket and then
14:07
five. He's down the list. For me, it's gonna be Logan Allen.
14:11
I'm only playing on FanDuel tonight, so obviously only need one picture.
14:15
But that's kind of how I'll rank the five pictures right there. Yeah,
14:18
no, excellent, I'm gonna rank mine. I'm gonna go Paveta Salary considered
14:22
number one. I'm gonna go AJ number two at seven, k there Musgrove
14:28
number three. I'll go maryle Kelly four, and then George Kirby at the
14:31
top. Number five is kind of how I'm ranking it. There, see
14:35
some talk rain in Oakland, so yeah, definitely monitor that. I don't
14:37
have any interest in either of those pictures in that game there. I do
14:41
like Cleveland offense smidge, so I'm not worried about that rain. But if
14:46
you are going in on Logan Allen, which seems like fifteen to twenty percent
14:50
of the field is going to play some Logan Allen, definitely monitor that weather.
14:54
It is an eight to forty game there, nine to forty Eastern time
14:56
game, So definitely pay attention to that if you are going there. Let's
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go game by game here. We're gonna start with Toronto and Tampa Bay here
15:07
in this one. Talk about this from a hitter standpoint. Tampa Bay Toronto
15:13
first game. I don't think the Blue Jays are the craziest team here.
15:16
Not one of my favorite stacks. I kind of pretty, uh pretty sentence
15:20
stone on where I'm going for bats, but I mean three point nine and
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plaid team total here for the Blue Jays, guaranteed ninth inning at bats and
15:28
then on the Rays the other side going up against Basses Hound. I know
15:30
you liked some some Bassett here. Bassett's had his struggles last season getting blown
15:35
up here and there. This raise has power light power littered throughout this lineup.
15:39
Any bats in this game stand out to you? First game of sleep,
15:46
Yeah, just looking at it, I mean, yeah, I agree
15:48
with you that this. I feel like this, This Blue Jays lineup is
15:52
always always dangerous for sure. Uh. Savale had a I guess decent season
15:58
last year. More of a round ball pitcher doesn't get beat up that bad.
16:03
I mean, my favorite, my favorite Jay obviously would be Vladimir.
16:07
You know, Batan in the two hole is what we have him projected at
16:11
right now. He has over a two hundred and twenty expected ice so he
16:14
would be my favorite one you know, one off piece will not be full
16:18
stack in this game. And then on the flip side, yeah, I
16:19
mean, I have no interest in in these raised bats. Uh, they
16:25
got they got. Like I said, six ridis in the confirmed lineup that
16:29
I'm looking at now, So no, thank you for me. I mean,
16:33
if I was going to do a one off, it would be Brandon
16:34
Lau, Brandon Lowe, Battan in that two hole, three eight at second
16:38
base. But yeah, will not be game stacking this and only have interest
16:42
in Vlad and Brandon both Baton in the two hole. Yeah. No,
16:48
excellent, excellent breakdown there. I don't mind some of these Toronto pieces really
16:52
not going in on this game, to be honest. I mean, obviously
16:55
he can play Vlad and he slay Dalton Varshaw. I think is a solid
16:57
mid tier value option thirty six hitting in that five spot tonight here. I
17:03
don't think he's the craziest play. But outside of that, I mean,
17:07
two decent real life pitchers here, first game of the slates. I don't
17:11
love it a ton. I mean, Savale last season did struggle a little
17:14
bit more to right handed batters, right striking out just twenty percent of righties
17:18
last season long and uh giving up low ground balls I mean thirty nine percent
17:22
ground ball rate to the right hand flyball rate up right around thirty percent as
17:26
well. So don't hate some of the righties if you're going to play them,
17:30
but not a team. I'm really kind of looking up the stack.
17:33
I think you can grab one offs and then on the race side of things,
17:36
I mean I don't love it, to be honest. I mean Brandon
17:41
Lao, Parades, Plasios, Jose Siri, those guys all had pretty good
17:45
ISO numbers last season against right handed pitching. Here Bassett struggled last year against
17:52
lefties. Lefties hit for two forty ice out and he struggled with thirty three
17:57
percent fly balls. So any he's lefties right, Brandon Lowe would probably be
18:02
my favorite. But some of these cheaper lefties down in the bottom of the
18:04
lineup I don't think are the craziest plays. It's just Palacios and low Is
18:10
be the only bats that I would really look at, but overall not a
18:12
game I'm looking to stack up here jumping the next one here Pittsburgh and Miami.
18:18
Martine Perez on the mound for the Pirates. AJ Puck on the mound
18:22
for Miami. I like AJ Puck, one of my favorite pitchers on the
18:26
entire slate. Here, no Pirates bats for me. But what are you
18:33
looking at here Miami and Pittsburgh. Yeah, only interest I have is fellow
18:41
Tennessee and Brian Reynolds went bomb yesterday against this against this same Marlin's team,
18:47
So give me some Brian Reynolds as a one off. I'm with you,
18:49
would be stacking these Pirates for sure, but you know they do have a
18:53
They do have a four over a four in plot run total, which I
18:57
like. They get twenty seven and outs, which I also like. You
19:00
get Brian Reynolds, who we think is gonna be batting in the two hole.
19:03
Uh, he's only thirty five hundred on Fandel, liking much more on
19:07
Fandel than DraftKings, So give me him as a one off. And then
19:11
I think you mentioned it earlier someone in the chat, did I think this
19:15
Marlin's team is a snacky a sneaky team to stack. They were on the
19:18
Winter yesterday in the UH in one of the contests that I was looking at
19:25
Jake Berger being my favorite, uh being my my favorite Marlin of the day,
19:29
and we didn't even talk about the contest. We're running over on x
19:32
nates if you want to talk about the home run contest. Jake Berger was
19:36
my home run call over on x H. So give me some Jake Berger,
19:40
give me some Josh Bell against his former mates. Uh So, yeah,
19:44
I would mind that. I wouldn't full stack this on DK. Maybe
19:47
maybe do like a like a three man on DK with Bell Burger and then
19:51
neither Daily Cruz or Arise. So yeah, that would be that would be
19:55
it, just a just a three man Marlin stack and Brian Reynolds as a
19:57
one off. Yeah. No, excellent, excellent breakdown there. I did
20:03
drop the link in the chat. You can click that that goes over to
20:06
our tweet. We're giving away a giveaway there to the first one who hits
20:11
a home run. One month MLB only package so you can get in behind
20:15
the paywall check out our premium MLB content. All you have to do is
20:19
like the tweet comments and just say who's going to hit the first home run.
20:26
I'm with you. I do like these Marlins quite a bit here tonight.
20:29
No Pirates bats for me. I'm not going not going to chase the
20:30
Brian Reynolds, especially a five K and DraftKings where I mainly play. Think
20:34
he's all right, all right on FanDuel over there. But again, none
20:37
of these Pirates bats for me. I like aj Puck a ton, but
20:41
these Marlins. I mean, I think one of the best two man mini
20:44
stacks in on the slate tonight is Josh Bell and Jake Berger. I love
20:48
Jake Berger anytime he's up against the lefty. He talked about it literally every
20:52
show last season, and many of those shows I called him as my dog
20:57
in the day right we try and give a home run call at the end
21:00
of the show A lot of times. It's typically when I mentioned Jake Berger
21:04
is against the lefty, he smashed his lefties. I like him a lot.
21:07
I like Josh Bell a lot. I think day La Cruz is a
21:11
solid option. Betton Court's down there is a cheap catcher at three K.
21:15
He had decent numbers last year against lefties. Overall, I think this Marlins
21:19
team prefer more is is kind of a mini stack two man, three man
21:22
stack than a full five man. I just don't know if they have the
21:25
upside, but they're still implying for four and a half team total here.
21:30
They're gonna be lower own than than the Yankees, I think, than the
21:33
Astros, then than the d Backs that we're gonna talk about, then the
21:36
Dodgers. So I don't mind these Marlins here. I prefer more as a
21:41
mini stack. Jake Berger my favorite bat, followed by Josh Bell here for
21:45
the Marlins. All right, let's talk about his next game here. I
21:48
saw some Rodin talk in the chat. Personally, I'm out on him.
21:53
Astros and New York Yankees here. Both teams applied to score over or right
22:00
around four and a half runs here in this game. This is the game
22:03
that a lot of people here are probably gonna be stacking up here expecting fireworks
22:07
in this one. And it's hard for me to ignore this spot both sides.
22:11
I have interest in both bats from this game here. Got Rodona on
22:15
the mound for the Yankees, obviously, Christin Xavier on the mound for the
22:19
Astros, which struggled a little bit last season. Talk about this one because
22:25
I do think this is an important game to talk about from a bats perspective.
22:27
What are your favorite bats in this one? Yeah, I'm with you.
22:33
I mean I think this game, you know, gets into the double
22:36
digits. I think we see Javier and rodin get I wouldn't say lit up,
22:41
but I do think they both scored, you know, five plus runs.
22:42
And I think we see numerous bombs in this game. I think we
22:45
can go up and down this game and stack a majority of the players.
22:51
I mean, obviously got Soto in there, you got Judge, you got
22:55
Rizzo, don't mind any of those guys, Stanton. I will not be
22:59
playing Alex for do Go. I do know that no Verdugo for me,
23:02
No Austin Wells for me, no John Birdie for me, kind of be
23:06
the three Yankees that I would not play. And then on the flip side,
23:08
I think, you know, just looking up and down this lineup for
23:12
the Astros, I think one through nine are in play tonight. So I
23:15
think you can, you know, go five man on the Astros, pick
23:18
off your three favorite players, uh, you know, get get Puck in
23:23
there, get Muskrove in there, and I think you're off to the races.
23:26
So I really like this game to night. I think one through nine
23:29
on the Astros probably my favorite, one of my favorite stacks of the night,
23:32
and that I don't mind a three man stack on the Yankee side.
23:37
Yeah, a little hurtful there. Seems like we're on opposite side of the
23:40
spectrum with some of our takes here tonight, which is great, a little
23:42
fun banter, but I'm gonna I mean, Austin Wellon is one of my
23:47
favorite players on the entire slate. I think Austin Wellis hits a bomb here
23:49
tonight. I mean, looking at last Sea's numbers, Christiana Xavier against lefties,
23:56
gave up thirty six percent fly ball rate, just a thirty percent ball
24:00
rate, struck out just nineteen percent of hitters. And Austin Wells is super
24:04
cheap at a catcher position with power and hit for thirty four percent flyball rate
24:10
last season too against right hand and pitching. I think Austin Wells hits a
24:14
bomb here tonight. He's one of my favorite catchers on the entire slate.
24:17
Thirty four hundred there down there. You can wrap him around to guys like
24:19
Juan Soto, Aaron Judge Glaber Torres. I don't mind Anthony Rizzo Stanton.
24:23
I like these Yankees quite a bit here. Austin Wells really like him here,
24:29
hitting down, projected to hit in that eight spot should be low owned
24:32
one off catcher with some power. Give me some Austin Wells. I think
24:34
he's he's going to hit a bomb here tonight. So I do like him
24:37
a little different than you there. And then on this Astros team, I
24:41
mean, I'm going right back to the well they're going to get ownership.
24:45
But it's just hard to ignore. I mean, you look at this lineup.
24:48
Everyone in this lineup outside of Jeremy Pagey last season had over twenty seven
24:52
percent flyball rate. Now face a pitcher in Carlos Radon, who I think
24:57
might be slightly improved this year, but I mean he had a forty percent
25:00
fly ball rate to both sides of the plate last season. Long now gets
25:03
one of the lowest strikeout teams in all of baseball, Houston at home here
25:10
with a lineup that just smashes fly balls. So obviously pretty much one through
25:15
nine are firmly in play. For me. The only guy who really don't
25:18
have a ton of interests is Jeremy Pinia for the Astros. The other guys
25:22
Chas McCormick, Bregman, Tucker, Myers, Diaz, I bray you if
25:26
he's in there. Jordan Oliver is a two V. I like them all.
25:30
Houston one of the best stacks of the slate. They're gonna get ownership
25:33
like they're one of the best stacks. But it is a good spot here.
25:37
I'm just gonna continue to stack against Rodin. I did it all season
25:40
last year pretty much, and um not gonna change here. So I do
25:42
love these Astros bats as well. So overall, that's kind of where I'm
25:48
at. We got my I got Myron in the chat. I Myron.
25:52
I initially thought you said that Verdigo is the double don King, and I
25:56
was gonna ask you about that, But he's a double play king. My
25:57
Man, Myron, my Man, Myron are on the same page as that.
26:02
No Verdugo for me. I don't know if that man can get the
26:03
ball ont of the infield anymore, believe it or not. But yet,
26:07
Alex Verdugo, man, he's a corpse of himself playing for the enemy now.
26:11
So I'm with you, Myron on that what's your take on Verdugo?
26:14
You got NeDi Verdugo? Are you gonna skip Verdugo and straight the Wells needs?
26:18
Yeah. Now, my favorite plays from from from the Yankees are are
26:22
Wells, Soto, and Aaron Judge. I know it's a hot take,
26:26
right saying Aaron Judge, I want Soto, but little eight two three stack
26:29
there a little rap around mini stack. I like that quite a bit.
26:33
Austin Wells salary considered, everything is my favorite bat from from the Yankees for
26:37
sure. No Verdugo for me, not gonna play any of him. I
26:41
don't think Anthony Vope at thirty eight hundred at the short stop position. I
26:45
mean, I think this is gonna be a breakout year for for Anthony Vope.
26:48
Little power speed combo there. So I do like him quite a bit.
26:52
Little if you want to do a little rap around stack with Vope,
26:55
Wells Labor, Soto, Judge, I don't think that's the craziest there.
26:59
So long long way of saying, pretty much, no iver Dougo for me
27:03
in that one. Let's jump to the next game here. It's gonna be
27:07
Boston and Seattle, Paveta on them on which one of my favorite pictures of
27:11
the entire slates. So for these Mariners really no interest here on the other
27:17
side, got the most expensive picture on the slate. I think this is
27:19
a picture's duel. Lowest total on the slate. I believe red Sox implied
27:23
just to score three runs. Mariners on the other side right around a little
27:26
over three and a half runs. No bats in this one really for me,
27:32
I don't. I don't think Jorge Polanco is a crazy one off against
27:34
a pitcher that's going to get some ownership in Paveta. But outside of that,
27:40
I mean, really no bats interest for me in terms of stacks or
27:42
mini stacks. Just Polanco in this one for me. But what are you
27:45
looking at? Yeah, same with you, Polanco or bust on the MS
27:51
and then you know Tristan Cassis or you know, always play Devers as a
27:55
one off, But yeah, that would just be like if I needed to
27:56
pivot late, you know, knew I was behind, So yeah, that
28:00
would kind of be where I go there, I know, except breakdown.
28:03
Yeah, yeah, I mean you can play Devers any slate. I prefer
28:07
to play Devers against Garrett Cole. That's one of my favorite matchups in in
28:11
Baseball. Devers just absolutely owns Garrett Cole But obviously, I mean, he's
28:15
one of the best third basemen, one of the best hitters in all of
28:18
baseball. You can play him any slate, But really, not a game
28:21
I'm looking to get to. Just one offs. Polaco, Devers, Cosas
28:25
I think are fine. But outside of that, not a game I'm looking
28:27
to get to. But this next one, I think is obviously a very
28:32
big game to talk about here, Colorado Arizona. Here, I'm kick it
28:37
over to you right away, talk about it. Arizona gonna be one of
28:40
the most popular stacks, but it is nice. It's kind of a unique
28:42
slate right where the Dodgers, the Yankees, the Astros, a lot of
28:47
these teams, the Padres, maybe even a little bit. A lot of
28:48
these teams are gonna get some ownerships, the ownership ship spread out here.
28:52
Arizona obviously nuked yesterday in that night slate sixteen runs through three innings was crazy.
29:00
And this Rockies team, I mean just brutal. They're starting pitching is
29:03
terrible. Their bullpen's not gonna be great here. And this Arizona team,
29:07
I think is gonna be a team we're gonna be playing a lot this season.
29:10
Talk about this one Colorado Arizona. Yeah, it should be. It
29:15
should be an interesting game. We should put like the Rockies, the Angels,
29:18
the A's just in their own division by themselves because they suck. They're
29:21
going to get beat up all season long. Uh, no business. But
29:25
in this game, it's always fun. You know. Going into this season,
29:27
you just see you know, weird names. You got my boy Jack
29:30
Jams, Jack Peterson, Batton for the d Backs. Now it's just weird
29:33
seeing these names. Orgeye Polaco as the Mariners. But uh, yeah,
29:37
no, no Rockies for me. Uh. I played a lot of Nolan
29:41
Jones last year, and I think I almost went bankrupt playing him, playing
29:45
him, and he had a couple of good games. But it'd be Nolan
29:47
Jones if anybody, uh, you know, should be bat in third.
29:51
Uh. But I'm not gonna pick on Meryl Kelly. You know, obviously
29:52
we talked about Meryl Kelly earlier in the show. We both like him a
29:56
lot. And I really think you can stack these d Backs up going up
30:00
against Cale Quantro, who is not a very good pitcher. Really one through
30:04
you went through nine for me on this d Backs team. I think it's
30:07
in play tonight. Obviously, Corbyn Carroll had a great year last year.
30:11
Jock Peterson coming over with all that power that he possesses, you know,
30:15
Christian Walker, Ketl Marte, pretty much anybody on this team one through nine
30:21
for the d Backs and only Nolan Jones for me on the other side as
30:23
on one off, Yeah, no excellent breakdown, No Rockies for me.
30:29
You can you can go bankrupt again this season with a fifty two hundred dollars
30:33
Nolan Jones. So I'll let you have that against Merrill Kelly. No for
30:37
me, go ahead and just I'll send you my venmill. You can just
30:40
venmoin meet your entry fees, and I'll I'll go out there and do the
30:42
same thing, and just watch watch three strikes go right down the middle against
30:47
MARYL. Kelly and get you a couple of k's there. Maybe I'll give
30:51
you even a little pat on the back or something a little bit more than
30:52
Nolan Jones will do for you here tonight. But on the d Backs side,
30:56
D Back's one of my favorite stacks, probably my top stat th'uring my
31:00
core report over at shipinnation dot com. If you want access to that,
31:03
use that promo code MB fifteen to check that out. But it's gonna start
31:08
with the lefties here, Corbyn, Carroll, kenl Marte, Jack Jams,
31:14
Jack Jams in that lineup, gonna be in the heart of that lineup.
31:18
He's one of my favorite plays. At just thirty nine hundred at DraftKings,
31:19
I think he's way too cheap. The addition of Euhenio Suarez helped this lineup
31:25
too. Alec Thomas one of my favorite value bats on the entire slate projected
31:29
hit eighth here. I played Alec Thomas a ton last season as a one
31:33
off. I love him, love the spot, a little bit of a
31:36
power speed combination guy, which much like the rest of this lineup here for
31:40
Arizona. Love all these guys one through nine firmly in play. They're gonna
31:45
get ownership. But again, just like yesterday, I mean the back half
31:48
of the lineup, Alec Thomas is gonna be under own. Suarez. If
31:51
he's hitting kind of in the middle to the back half, seventh, eighth,
31:55
whatever, I think he's gonna get a little bit lower owned. Anytime
31:59
you have a team like this, the back half of the lineup always goes
32:01
on their own. So give me Suarez, give me Alet Thomas, a
32:05
little wrap around to the top with guys like Corbyn, Carrol Marte, Jack
32:08
Jams in the middle. Love these d backs applied to score over five runs
32:13
here against a terrible call. Quantrell, who struggled against both sides of the
32:16
play, doesn't strike anyone out, struggle with power to the lefties. Give
32:21
me these d backs here, Love them. Not a hot take by any
32:23
means, but I gave you kind of where I'm looking to differentiate a little
32:28
bit, and it's those guys at the back half of the lineup. Let's
32:31
jump on the next one here, San Franz san Diego, I do have
32:35
interest in the padres here a little bit tonight. I think they get a
32:38
little bit overlooked with the Dodgers, with the Astros, with the Yankees,
32:43
with the d Backs and man, these top five hitters, I think are
32:47
firmly in play for me. I love these ritis here against the lefty and
32:52
Kyles Harrison, who struggles a little bit there. Talk about this one though,
32:57
Giants applied just to score three right around three and a half. Front
33:00
is going up against one of both of our favorite pitchers of the slate and
33:02
then talked with these Padres going up against Colin Harrison from from the Giants here
33:07
at Home played to score right around four and a half runts tonight. Yeah
33:12
real quick, while I'm going to it. I mean, I don't os,
33:15
I don't know the rest of your team, but I really I like
33:19
Xander Bogarts in a little bit of better match up in my opinion than Bashit.
33:22
But obviously I don't know. You know, if you had two hundred
33:24
more dollars to spend but right around the same same price. Uh yeah,
33:29
I like this Padres team tonight. I think they could pick on Harrison.
33:32
I just mentioned Bogarts really like him tonight. I think he's got a great
33:37
matchup. I mean, you don't need me to tell you that that that
33:39
Tatisa Machado are always good plays. I saw Kim, you know, batting
33:45
leadoff. We had a projected batting leadoff not a whole whole lot of power,
33:47
but a ton of stolen base upside. You know, he gets on,
33:52
he can get you know, get around and get in with those big
33:53
sticks coming back behind him, and then uh, you know, you don't
33:58
have to play a catcher on FanDuel. But if you're stacking this game up
34:00
Luis Campasano, we had him slated for the six hole right now. I
34:06
don't mind him at that position. And Jackson Merrill, uh, interested in
34:10
watching him ploy. You know, got this new kid coming up, got
34:14
a pretty good team to be on, so interested in watching him. Don't
34:16
have much interest in him from a DF standpoint yet, not tonight anyway,
34:21
but looking forward to watching him ploy. And I think the Padres roll tonight.
34:24
Musgrove my favorite pitcher. Padres offense I like a lot, so yeah,
34:30
I'm gonna load up on these on these padres. Yeah, no excellent
34:35
breakdown, no giants really for me. I mean Jorge Silire went off power
34:38
Unowland or a CONFORDO. I don't think is the craziest play. But not
34:42
trying to on any game slate pick one of my favorite pick pick against or
34:45
pick on excuse me, one of my favorite pictures in Joe Musgrove here,
34:49
So no real interest in that. But on the other side, I mean
34:52
these padres, I love them. I mean, looking at the numbers,
34:57
I think Kyle Harrison is is a good young pitcher. I think he is
35:00
going to be solid, but I mean last season he struggled with a little
35:02
bit power to righty's and fly balls. I mean last season he had thirty
35:07
eight percent fly ball rates to the right side of the plate. Right he's
35:09
hit opposing righties hit for two to eleven ISO. And you're looking at some
35:14
of the best ones hot Don Kim, Fernando Tatis, Xander Bogart's, Manny
35:17
Machado And you named it right, Luis Campusano. Here, those top five
35:22
hitters all had ISOs over two hundred last season against left handed pitching. I
35:27
love the spot here for especially those top five here, I mean from a
35:30
flyball rate has on Kim Campusano, Xander Machado, Tatist those top five all
35:37
had thirty right around twenty seven to thirty percent plus flyball rates again last year
35:42
against left handed pitching. So one through five. I loved the spot for
35:47
them. And then I don't mind Jerks and Profar down there in the seventh
35:52
spot. Switch hitter down there. Really really like these guys, these padres,
35:55
especially those top five hitters. I think they're gonna get slept on here
36:00
a little bit. They are expensive, but that's another pivot off the Astros
36:02
off, the Dodgers off some of those other teams here, and uh,
36:07
I think they could get to Kyle Harrison here tonight. Talk about we got
36:13
two games left in the slate, last one locking at the nine pm Eastern
36:17
time zone. Not a ton of interest on the Oakland side. I just
36:22
don't think I'm gonna be playing much of Oakland all season long here, but
36:24
Cleveland, oak Oakland. There is some weather in this game, so I'll
36:29
chat talking about it. I'm personally not worried about the weather because I'm not
36:32
playing any of these pitchers in this game. But Logan Allen, you did
36:36
definitely had some interest in him, So don't think you have any interest in
36:38
any of these athletic bats. But talk about Cleveland here, guaranteed anything at
36:43
bats. Not the greatest hitters park here. Don't hit for a ton of
36:45
power, but I mean just an eighteen percent lineup strikeout rate. These guys
36:50
can be pesky, they'll steal a little bases. They do have some power
36:52
bats in there, with guys like Jay ram Right, Josh Naylor, Loriano.
36:57
The addition of Loriano another decent power bat there. Revenge season right for
37:01
Raymond Loreano talking about these Guardians a little bit. I don't think they're the
37:06
craziest stack here tonight. I can't talk about an aze. I'm gonna take
37:10
this game. I'm gonna ex this game out. You got my boy Steven
37:15
Rich Homi Kwan Batton leadoff him Andez. I'm not playing these Guardians. I'm
37:20
definitely not playing the Triple A Athletics. Yeah, this game's a cross off
37:23
for me. You can't play them all, Nates, this is one I
37:25
won't be playing. Cross it off for me. Interested to hear your take
37:30
on the Guardians, if you're gonna stack them up or just go one off
37:32
with them? Yeah, I mean I talked about it a lot of last
37:37
year, right, I mean, Cleveland not a team that I want to
37:40
stack too much just because they lack power. Right, But in this spot
37:45
here, I mean, I don't think they're the craziest plays against ross strippling
37:50
here. I mean I think they're you're gonna need them to kind of play
37:53
little league baseball, right, manufacturer runs, but I mean doubles, triples,
37:58
stolen bases, Harbi's run scored, all that that leads up, right,
38:01
Yeah, maybe they don't have the home run power some of these other
38:05
teams and home runs, but it's definitely not one of my favorite stacks.
38:07
I don't think a five man stack Cleveland here tonight as well, But mini
38:12
stacks Jay Ram, Josh Naylor, Loriano bo Naylor forty one hundred at the
38:15
catcher position. I don't think it's crazy. So mini stacks for me,
38:20
Jay Ram, Naylor, Loriano bo Naylor. Kind of the middle of that
38:23
lineup is kind of where I'm looking. Will Brennan has has a little bit
38:28
of power. He's a value bat hitting in the middle of that lineup at
38:30
twenty eight hundred at the outfield position if you need a salary saver. So
38:35
not a sexy team by any means the Stack Cup, but they rank pretty
38:38
good in our stack rankings. Kind of for one of those contrarian right teams
38:43
to go with with. Basically seems like everyone's going with the Arizona's, the
38:49
Astros, the Yankees, and the Dodgers. I don't think they're crazy to
38:53
differentiate their playing some of these Guardians as a mini stack is just kind of
38:58
what I'm looking at. All. Right, Well, we got one game
39:01
left and it's Friday, ham we were on we were talking last year,
39:07
Friday Night Dodgers is a thing. I know, Hoop was a big,
39:08
big fan of the Friday Night Dodgers. Late nights. Go to bed,
39:14
right, Hoop said, goes in the sheets, wakes up to more cheese
39:15
in his pocket. Stacking up these Dodgers. I think it's another spot here
39:19
to stack up these Dodgers. I like them more as a ministat just due
39:22
to their salaries, due to their ownerships, everything like that. But I
39:25
mean, you got to talk about it, Will Smith price that just forty
39:29
five hundred. I mean, we were playing right around close to six k
39:31
last year for a lot of it for Will Smith. Now he's just forty
39:35
five hundred. Here definitely the top catcher on the slate in my opinion.
39:38
Here definitely gonna be one of the highest owned. And then hashtag always Mookie
39:42
right, Mookie bets sixty five hundred second base, Talk about these Dodgers,
39:46
talk about these Saint Louis Cardinals. Last game of the night, last game
39:49
of the slate, where you're going for bets. Yeah, let's start on
39:53
the on the Cardinals side. I don't mind this Cardinals team. You know,
39:58
Bobby Miller is a d He sent in real life pitcher. But I
40:01
think this Cardinals team, especially in the middle of the lineup, could be
40:04
dangerous, starting with Goldie who went yard yesterday's Paul Goldschmidt bat and second Nolan
40:09
Gorman. I like Aeronatto, perenial loss star Wilson Contreras. I think that
40:14
little two through five stack, especially on on FanDuel, that late night hammer.
40:19
I don't hate that. I don't think it's the worst one. And
40:22
then on the other side, I mean, goodness, gracious, I think
40:24
Hoop just likes it when the Dodgers play at home on Friday nights. He
40:28
just locks and load them in, goes to bed and wakes up one hundred
40:30
grand richer. I did just take a sneak peek at his coordinades, and
40:36
hey, he's getting jiggy with it with up my boy Will Smith. He's
40:37
got those Dodgers in there. Hoop may be onto something. You don't need
40:43
me to tell you that the Dodgers are a good play tonight. Yeah,
40:45
I'm with you. My favorite of the bunch is gonna be MOOKI. I
40:49
also agree with you too that it's tough to you know, five man stack
40:52
him and then gets and then get some good pictures in there as well.
40:57
Mookie's very good, good play. My second favorite play would be would be
41:02
Will Smith. And then the thing about those you know, Chris Taylor,
41:07
Outman and Hernandez. To me, they're so they're so tough to play because
41:10
if it gets close, you know, the manager is gonna, you know,
41:14
platoon those guys pinch hit them, so you know, you may get
41:16
two, possibly three at bats and they have to do the damage early on.
41:20
But yeah, it's always Mookie for sure. You can stack you know,
41:24
pretty much one through six in my opinion, maybe Chris Taylor at seven,
41:28
but it's gonna be tough, especially with those prices, which I think
41:31
they need. They need to raise those prices even higher, all of them
41:34
above six K. So yeah, I mean, obviously Dodgers are good.
41:39
You got some good price point, especially on Freddie Freeman and Will Smith are
41:43
gonna be popular, but uh give me, give me that two through five
41:45
on the Cardinals too, you know, to rival that some of these Dodgers
41:49
goes. Yeah, I think a unique way tonight to stack these Dodgers up
41:53
is obviously right. Everyone knows a spot here is to play the top end
41:59
bat right the expensive vets, because I think a lot of Dodger stacks are
42:02
going to throw in the Taylor's, the Kiki Hernandez, both of those two
42:06
guys are definitely gonna come in or come out of the game, at least
42:08
one of them for sure, likely when Alrighty comes in and out of that
42:12
pen. If these Dodgers do get to Thompson here to start the game,
42:16
James Outman, I think is a little bit safer lefty lefty, and then
42:20
obviously if they're bringing a righty out of the pen, I think he'll be
42:22
fine there. So really, Chris Taylor, Keiki Hernandez, I think they're
42:25
going to be chalky in five man Dodger stacks because they're thirty one hundred or
42:30
three k You wrap it around to the top to get those expensive mookies and
42:32
will Smith, Freeman and Otani. I think just finding the salary to spend
42:37
up towards the top of this lineup, avoiding those cheaper guys, all three
42:40
of them, I think might be a little bit of a different route to
42:45
go, and then maybe fill in with some cheap one offs right or some
42:49
of those lower owned Miami pieces or things like that maybe grabs some of those
42:53
value guys right those back half from other teams that we talked about already to
42:58
make it work. Or you go with like a Paveta in an aj puck
43:01
combination with the top end Badger or Dodgers' bats. I think is might be
43:06
a little interesting, but yeah, there's nothing really I can say bad.
43:08
My favorite two bats Will Smith Mookie bats by far Otani I think would be
43:13
my third one. Don't love the spot too much for Freddie Freeman, but
43:16
one of the best hitters in baseball lefty left. He not really worried about
43:20
that too much. The addition to TiO Ornandez hitting behind Will Smith another power
43:23
bat in there at four point nine K. I think he's obviously solid,
43:28
but nothing really bad I can say. I prefer the Dodgers more as a
43:30
mini stack than a five man stack. Is kind of how I'm going with
43:34
it. But nothing really bad I can say about them. On the other
43:37
end, I'm different than you. I think Bobby Miller is a pretty solid
43:40
pitcher. I think he's gonna be a good pitcher this year. I think
43:44
he's going to come into into his shoes here to this season. So outside
43:50
of a Nolan Gorman or a gold Smith Arnatto, right, I just I
43:53
don't want to get to that. I like many other spots, so I'm
43:57
not even gonna to play any of these cardinals as a mini. So we
44:00
differentially differentiate a little bit there. That's all eight games. We talked about
44:06
pitchers, we talked about stacks. You want to give the people a home
44:08
run call. I don't see any questions really in the other chat with the
44:12
people. What's going on? Man? We appreciate everyone tuning in. If
44:15
you guys haven't yet hit that button, hit that subscribe button helps us out
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some of that stuff out, but had much. I'll throw it over to
44:46
you man. Friday night. We're gonna bring these home run calls back again
44:51
like you and I did last season. What's your doing of the day,
44:54
I'll kick it over to you man. I'm going to give them a two
44:57
pat neede because I feel like my first one is just too easy. He's
45:00
a cheat code, always, always, always, always always Mookie Mookie Bets
45:06
going yard back to bad games. That's my cheat code. I'm gonna give
45:09
you that one on the house and then my, uh my home run call
45:15
of the day. I'm gonna go back to pick on Rodn going up against
45:20
the guy expected ice of over three hundred Chas McCormick vetting in the sixth hole
45:25
for these astros. Give me some Chas McCormick to take Rodn deep tonight,
45:30
all right, little uh little uh, I mean uh, A groundbreaking home
45:37
un called Mookie Bets. So at least you followed it up with a good
45:39
one and in Chas McCormick there, But I mean, no, no,
45:43
no, crazy right, I mean, Mookie Bets hits. It hits a
45:45
home run surprise surprise on opening day, right and he comes back. Here's
45:50
how much saying Mookie Bets is gonna hit another bomb tonight. Absolutely ground shattering
45:54
news there for for how much? But hey, Chas McCormick, a good
45:58
little call there. I talked about this guy a ton here. I'll give
46:01
the people too as well. On two of my favorites, one of my
46:05
favorite stacks, I'm gonna go with Jack Jams Jack Petterson here hitting in the
46:08
heart of that lineup five spot projected against Carl Clontrail thirty nine hundred, one
46:14
of my favorite mid tier value plays. I'm gonna call him a value plany
46:16
at thirty nine hundred, sub four k in the outfield is definitely a cheap
46:21
spot on DraftKings. So Jack Petterson is gonna be my first one and then
46:25
my other one. I talked about this guy a ton when I talked about
46:29
the Yankees. I like the Yankees as a mini stack. Here it's the
46:31
catcher. It's Austin Wells thirty four hundred. Here. I know we differentiate
46:37
there. You said you don't have any Wells, But I'm gonna go to
46:38
the well and collect all my money. When when Austin Wells hits a bottomb
46:44
over the fence here tonight. So Austin Wells, thirty four hundred, Jack
46:47
Petterson, Chas McCormick, Mookie Betts, the four home run calls from the
46:52
crew here on Friday. How much any closing remarks for the people before we
46:55
get on out of here. Now, we appreciate you tuning in about one
46:59
fifty you watching, certainly appreciate it. Naids and Now will be back on
47:02
Monday, just real quick, if you're not a member, I'll be doing
47:07
a slate plan on Saturday and Sunday, quick hit video on Sunday as well.
47:10
Looking forward to that, so make sure you're checking that out on YouTube
47:14
on Sunday, this good Easter Sunday, and then Naids and Now will be
47:17
back on Monday to give you guys more of the winners that we could talk
47:21
about. How Austin Wells would oh for four with four k's. Can't wait
47:24
for that. But good luck in your contest tonight, fellas. Yeah,
47:29
a little friendly banter always fun here. We got the bookend shows. No
47:31
live MLB shows on the weekends this year. Quick hits on Sunday just with
47:36
the early lock time church everything going on on Sunday. But our guy Hamdwich
47:39
hashtag always grinding. We'll have you covered with all the content over there.
47:44
We'll see you again on Monday. Good luck tonight in those contests. Stay
47:47
safe out there, have a good Easter. We'll see you guys on Monday.
47:51
Four handwich, I'm needs to five lead ship it the Fens their fathers
48:15
and see mother them