Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NFL Best Bets Saturday 1/3/26

Transcript

NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NFL Best Bets Saturday 1/3/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five.
• 0:15
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: never seen anything like this.
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: Man with the slump continuing.
• 0:24
  Speaker 2: Two straight losses, not a good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: Own four, I have not had a good season. Man,
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: with wookends slump that I'm on, and the slump continues,
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new pink. Actually, I'm going to burn
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: my browins hack Man, I don't know what is going
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: on with the Bruins archhape?
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: who even knows?
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: Man, I don't know what data is anymore. I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: could possibly have, back to you as I always am
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me. Own five.
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: The worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: years doing this. I don't know what to even tell
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: you about this anymore. To the Slump series, the Slump discontinues,
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: the Slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: other than potentially.
• 1:27
  Speaker 2: End it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with the toadsool sports.
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: It is Saturday, January third.
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: Uh. I appreciate everybody after hanging out last night and
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: degenerate late night, going up until about three am last
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: night talking about the college basketball sleep. College basketball is massive, dude,
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: so I appreciate that I gave up three plays. I
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: will reiterate them at the end of the show. You
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: can see the analysis on last night's show. You can
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: follow me on Instagram and I'll put the videos out there.
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: I put the first one out already, the early one,
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: the noon one. Today, there's no more college football. Usually
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: there's like one or two other bowls that kind of
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: trickle in, but they didn't really do that this year.
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: So we just got the playoffs left man for college
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: football and that's it. So it'll be interesting. It's more
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: chaotic than last year was, for sure, you.
• 2:25
  Speaker 3: Know, playoffs. Don't talk about playoffs. You kidding me? Playoffs?
• 2:31
  Speaker 3: I just hope we can win a game.
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: Another game. Yesterday we did have the one well winner
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: or push or however you guys did it. I know
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: a couple of people.
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: Lost on it.
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: I apologize, but Michigan State they won, but they excuse me,
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: they lost by exactly two, so they covered the two
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: and a half from me again.
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: It's I talked about it last night.
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: It's all about the importance of having so many books
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: you can find the best number wherever you're at. The
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: twos two and two and a half were definitely readily available, though,
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: like I checked the market, like right before the game started.
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: I was looking at the market. I'm like, oh, there's
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: still two and a half's out there right now. So
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know, but yes, the importance of getting the
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: best number. A little bit lucky on that one of
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: those was the style of game that I thought it
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: would be. Michigan State played close, low scoring game. They
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: never trailed by more than I think six in the
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: entire game. Wound up losing by two though, even though
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: they were winning by three down the stretch with a
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: couple of minutes left, so a little bit unfortunate that
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: they didn't hit on the money line, because if you
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: take a two and a half dog, they're pretty likely
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: to win outright if they're gonna cover or so. But whatever,
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: we move on, Charles. What's up man? Thanks for hanging
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: out yesterday. The board was I thought really weak yesterday.
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: Maybe I'm changing, Like how selective I'm being. I'm being
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: pretty selective here. I got the three college basketball places.
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: I'm skipping the entire hockey board today. I know there
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: are thirteen games, but I just don't. I don't see
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: anything that warrants being on my card man in hockey.
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: So i'll talk about it. I don't even know which
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: game I would consider to be the best lean in hockey,
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: to be honest, it's a bad hockey board.
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: And then we got NBA. I have one play in
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: the NBA, and.
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: I'll give out another one that I think is a
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: pretty strong lean, but not a play in the NBA.
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: And then we have I'm gonna give out an NFL.
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: Play as well.
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: So let's get into it, man. Yeah, we're skipping it. Unfortunately,
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: because I look at this board, I'm like, this has
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: got to be something that I like enough to put
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: on my card, right, but not really hockey. We have
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: hockey all day. Basically, we have after noon hockey going on.
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: Starting to get Noone on ESPN Pittsburgh and Detroit. Pittsburgh
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: just beat Detroit at home, so you could argue this
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: is a zigzag spot. So when usually when a team
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: doesn't do well in the first game and the team's
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: play each other again, the team that didn't do well
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: the first time will make some adjustments for the next game.
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: Although it's not like the first game here was a blowout.
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: It was a four to three overtime win for Pittsburgh,
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: so I don't really know if the zigzag applies that
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: significantly here. I've got to dig into the box whore
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: what exactly happened here? Well, Pittsburgh was winning two to nothing,
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: they blew the lead. They actually never trailed in the
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: entire game. Now, was there anything misleading about the result?
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: Not really? The statistics were pretty close, fairly even played games,
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: So I mean this has to be a game that
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: I pass. Although both teams should get up for this game,
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, both teams are doing all right this year,
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: so I don't see like Pittsburgh overlooking Detroit.
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: This next time or whatever.
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: I don't even know who does Pittsburgh play next. I
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna overlook Detroit here though. Oh right,
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: Columbus tomorrow, Yeah that's what I think.
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: I remember that.
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: Yeah, So anyway, Yeah, I think both teams will be
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: focused on this game. I'll slag to Detroit just the
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: very very mild zigzag approach here. Maybe Detroit will have
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: enough adjustments to make that they win the game they
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: just lost on the road. Maybe they can get it
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: done at home. Even up the home and home here
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: against Pittsburgh.
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: It split the want of split at one to one.
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: Split it not skip it eighty three percent of tickets,
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: ninety two percent of the cash on Detroit. So the
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: money someone seems to agree with it right now, though
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: they drop from minus one forty five to minus one
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: thirty five on the money line.
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: All right, we have Utah at New Jersey.
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: Utah is coming into this game after beating the Islanders
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: seven to two, and normally, normally I wouldn't loved playing
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: on a team that just won by five goals. But
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: I think Utah might be the right side here. I
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna overlook New Jersey.
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: And New Jersey did.
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: Just beat Utah in Utah December nineteenth, so maybe there's
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: some adjustments to make here. It's kind of one of
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: those quick road reversal revels angles. I'm not saying that
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: necessarily is gonna motivate the team more, but it might
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: mean that Utah is not gonna overlook New Jersey here
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: et ce, whereas New Jersey actually might overlook Utah as
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: New Jersey does have a bigger game on deck against
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: Carolina and then they play the Islanders. They played Carolina
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: tomorrow actually, and then the Islanders, so it is possible
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: that the New Jersey doesn't take Utah seriously here, which
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: is why I think Utah might be the play in
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: this game, if you're gonna play the game at all.
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: On New Jersey did just break a four game losing
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: streak of the win over Columbus, and normally I would
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: say that's gonna propel you forward and give you momentum.
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: They're actually returning over from a road triple that was
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: only a two game road trip. They've had numerous days off,
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: so yes, they are arrested, but I just to me,
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: it looks like they could easily look ahead to Carolina
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: in this one. And yes, I know, Utah probably not
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: as good as what they looked like in their last game,
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: and normally i'd want to fade a team that won
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: like that, but they played more recently two days ago
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: and that might help carry that momentum through into this one.
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: And Utah is staying in the same area. Basically, they're
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: just going from New York to New Jersey, so not
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: a huge travel spot whatsoever for Utah there, So I
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: think Utah.
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: Is the way to look in that game.
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: New Jersey's down from minus one forty to minus one
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: twenty on the money line, so the market is seemingly
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: agreeing with Utah. Sixty seven percent ticket sixty five percent
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: of the cash on New Jersey.
• 8:30
  Speaker 2: Buffalo at Columbus.
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: This might be the strongest opinion that I have in hockey,
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: and it is pretty simple that Buffalo is in a
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: letdown spot here in my opinion, although Buffalo's won now,
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: I don't know what this is ten games in a row.
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: Maybe they're on complete fire right now. Obviously, they just
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: won at Dallas four to one, which is crazy. They've
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: been off since Wednesday now, so I think having extra
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: time off might actually hurt them. It might stall out
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: their moments them a little bit, and they return home
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: after they play Columbus. Columbus is not exactly an opponent
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: that really you're gonna give your full attention to for
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: the most part, so I do see this being a
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: letdown spot for Buffalo. Unfortunately, they only play Vancouver next though,
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: so it's not really a huge look ahead or anything
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: like that. But after beating Dallas on the road four
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: to one, I think they aren't a bad spot here.
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: Buffalo is now for Columbus. Columbus just played a close
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: game against New Jersey. They've had a bunch of time
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: off as well. They haven't played since Wednesday, but that
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: might help them get over that New Jersey game. They
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: come out with some more focus here. Probably they want
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: to get a win at home. That's what I expect here.
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: I think Columbus is the right side in this game,
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: and this might be the one. If I was gonna
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: add anything to my card, I think it would probably
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: be this one. Buffalo down for minus one ten to
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: minus one tow eight on the money line, ninety percent
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: of the tickets and only sixty three percent of the
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: cash on the Buffalo side, so they're very pop. They're
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: on fire right now. This might be the spot where
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: they where that streak ends. Man and I have a
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: I've jumped in front of streaks and been able to
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: beat them before, like with Winnipeg last year.
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: So I don't know.
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: Should I add this to my car as one hockey
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: play here. I'm tempted because I was thinking this is
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: the one that I actually might like well enough to
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: do it. I'm considering it. I mean, the whole thing
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: is based on it being a huge letdown for Buffalo.
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: That's the whole thing in this one. Let me see
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: Columbus Levies. What does their home record look like? Eight
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: seven and three at home, Buffalo's nine to ninety two
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: on the roads, Buffalo mediocre on the road, you know.
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: And I'm trying to think of are there because the
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: Olympic rosters just came out, I'm trying to think of leagues.
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: Is there gonna be anything? Is that gonna cause any
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: sort of distraction, like for players that got named to
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: the Olympic team or whatever. But I don't know, I
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: don't know if that's gonna be the case or not.
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: You know, what can we get on Columbus here in
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: this one, because this seems to be like kind of
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: the cleanest handicap here. Let me see. Although I didn't
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: love the Columbus played a close game against New Jersey,
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: but with multiple days off, you gotta think they will.
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: Be able to do this. And I do like the
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: fact that.
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: Buffalo has been off for multiple days now, which might
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: hurt their momentum a little bit.
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: Let me see here, Buffalo, where are you?
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at there?
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean this looks pretty good. Everything.
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: It's all minus won ten, both sides, minus won ten,
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: totally across the board. I see it at every single book.
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: I've never seen anything like that, actually, looking at the
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: Massachusetts books.
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: At least it's minus one ten both sides at every
• 11:55
  Speaker 2: single book.
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: That's crazy. All right, let's do it.
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: Fine. One extra play here, Buffalo Saber or not Buffalo?
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: Holy shit, No, not Buffalo, Columbus, my mistake, Blue Jackets.
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: Oh hold on, I'm so out of it this morning. Man,
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: No sleep Columbus. I'm sorry. Fade Buffalo, Columbus, Blue Jackets,
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: money line. That is the play there in hockey? All right? Yeah,
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: the Olympics, I don't know if it really factors in
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: that much. But I don't, and it's not until next
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: month as well, and NHL will be off during that
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: period of time, and I don't really do any Olympic handicapping,
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: so it'll give me a little bit of a break.
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia at Edmonton. Here, Philadelphia, they're coming in off a
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: five to one loss to Calgary.
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: I told you Calgary is the right side in that game.
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: Philly got smoked in that game, and now they are
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: coming off of.
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: A huge break here.
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: There's staying in Alberta, so it should be a bound
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: backspot for Philadelphia here. Part of that handicap was they
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: were going to be looking ahead to Edmonton. Now with
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: a few days off to get over that disgusting loss,
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: I think they will show up for this game. I
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: think Edmonton will show up as well. Though. Edmonton's staying
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: at home and they just got wrecked by my Bruins.
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: Wo yeah, Bruins on the same day on Wednesday, so
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: Edmonton also has a lot of time off to overcome that.
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: So both teams are in a very similar spot. So
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: then it kind of comes down to what's the price?
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: Here is the price? Right? I need to get dude,
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: I should get some some prices right clips in here
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: or the happy Gilmore clip. The price is wrong, Bobby,
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: all right, but yes, it looks like the money is
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: coming out of Philadelphia.
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: For what it's worth.
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: Here, Edmonton's minus one seventy three favorite down for minus
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: one seventy five.
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: Normally, in a situation like this, I would.
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: Say, you want to be on the better team in
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: that bounce back scenario. But the money seems to be
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: indicating that maybe the price is too heavy on Edmonton.
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: Fifty six percent of tickets on them, seventy nine percent
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the flyers. So the money is
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: saying the flyers as far as the market read is concerned.
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: But it's a tough game to gauge. Man, Kyle, what's up?
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out, dude, I should get some I
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: should get some Kyle south Park clips as well. Why
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: what have they changed? The price is right. I watched
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: it up until like a few years I used to watch.
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: It all the time, Dude.
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: I watched it fairly regularly until like a few years ago.
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: I'm an expert at the price is right. Like, I
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: know every single game except for like whatever, really new
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: ones they had, and I know how to play every game.
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: I know how to game the game, like, yeah, I'm
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: a price is Right expert man for the most part,
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: although I know prices have probably increased since I last
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: watched the show and whatever. I mean, I don't think
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: Drew Carrey is like a bad host or whatever. I
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: think it was stupid. They got rid of the bikini
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: models though, like, no the chicks, the models can't have
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: bikinis on anymore, and they have to put like dude
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: models in there as well, Like come on, man, it's
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: so stupid, just de woke if I everything, bring back
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: the bikini babes, Bob's bikini babes, you know, like Drew Carrey.
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: I think he's fine. I used to watch the Drew
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: Carrey show, Drew Carrey. He was actually a really good
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: host of Whose Line Is it?
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: Anyway?
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: The new Whose Line is terrible Without Drew Carrey with
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: Aisha Tyler, She's totally unfunny, not funny at all. The
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: show completely tanked, even though Ryan Styles and Colin Mockery
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: and Wayne Brady were all still on it. I think
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: they're all funny, but this show is just totally tanked,
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: like just the hosting's not as good and just everybody
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: just has kind of a more woke mindset now. But
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: Drew was definitely a good host of whose line is
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: it anyway? Because he played really played like that straight
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: man type of character really well, where everybody would just
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: bully him and make fun of him all the time.
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: And I mean, I don't know, it just worked out
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: a lot better with Drew Carrier there. He just played
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: the host way better on that show. He was the
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: better on those shows. I think he's fine on The Prices, right.
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: I've watched a lot of it, almost no audience. Yeah,
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: it was probably during COVID with everybody being a bunch
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: of pussies. Dude, you don't like the male models. You
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: don't like how hot? Uh what's that? And the and
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: they have those guys shirtless pretty I'm pretty sure what
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: was the male model's name? I forget.
• 16:40
  Speaker 2: I used to I used to know all their names,
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: but I can't remember.
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: Oh whatever.
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: I was a fan of.
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: The the Latina chick that they had on over the
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: last decade or so, that model for The Prices, right,
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: what was her name?
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: Manuela was at her name?
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: She was my favorite? Sorry, I'm sorry. I'm not enough
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: for white supremacist.
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: All right. Montreal at Saint Louis.
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: I looked at this game and I was thinking I
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: was absolutely gonna be on Saint Louis in this game.
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: When I looked at Montreal's scheduling spot, I mean, look
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: at how bad this is.
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: Montreal.
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: They were on the road before Christmas, They've been on
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: the road since Christmas. They went to a shootout at
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay, they won an overtime at Florida, and then
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: they won at Carolina seven to five, and now they
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: play at Saint Louis, and then tomorrow they got to
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: play Dallas. So yeah, this this is an unbelievably bad spot. Obviously,
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: this is a huge Sandwich spot coming off those Monster games,
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: two Monster wins and then with a Monster opponent next,
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: I don't see them focusing on Saint Louis at all.
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: But then I looked at Saint Louis's schedule and I'm like, ah, really,
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: because Saint Louis just beat Vegas yesterday, so they're on
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: a back to back and they're come off a big win,
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: and I'm like, you gotta be kidding me, man, And yes,
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: they did have rest prior to yesterday. But there's this
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: whole goaltending thing going on at Saint Louis right now,
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: where Hawfer looks like he's kind of become the guy now,
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: and of course he's likely to not play now because
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: he played yesterday. So on the back to back, it's
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: probably gonna be Bennington and that has not gone well
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: at all, as they've lost his last three starts and
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: they've given up four six and seven goals in those starts,
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: or excuse mely they lost four. Excuse me. The other one
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: was a two to one OT loss to the Rangers,
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: who can't really score. But it's been bad for Bennington man,
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: and the fact that they're on a back to back,
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: although I know again they had rest prior to yesterday,
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: although really they actually only had a day off prior
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: to yesterday, so it wasn't really that much. So unfortunately,
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: I think I just have to stay away from this
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: one on the back to back, at least for them.
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: They're staying at home, but they are in a potential
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: letdown spot here, although I don't really think they're gonna
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: overlook Montreal because Montreal has been decent, So if you're
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: gonna play it, I think you still have to play
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis. Montreal is in a horrific spot, but Saint
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: Louis is just really not in a great spot here either.
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: They're in a negative spot in my opinion, So I'm
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: staying off of this. One eighty five percent of the
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: tickets around Montreal, they're up to minus one forty for
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty and eighty one percent of the cash
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: on Saint Louis. So the money is indicating on the
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis side, And yes, I still agree with it.
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay at San Jose. Tampa Bay they're.
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: Hot, obviously. I mean, they've been good most of the season.
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: They got Vasilevsky back, now he's likely to be back
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: in Net. I assume because Johansson played in the last
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: game on the back to back, they've won six games
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: in a row.
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: They just beat La. But now they're going to San Jose.
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: It is possible they overlook San Jose though, because this
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: is already a successful road trip for them. They've already
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: gone two and zero on the road trip. This is
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: the final game and now they after this, they come
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: back home and they play Colorado, so they may look
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: ahead to Colorado that is a massive game on deck,
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: so it is possible they don't fully focus here in
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: this game. But San Jose in their last game, they
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: wanted to shootout against Minnesota, so that was a huge
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: win for San Jose as well. They've had a bunch
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: of days off now, they've been offously it's Wednesday, and
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: they won three games in a row prior to that,
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: so I worry that that rest might hurt their momentum
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: a little bit. So I think it's another one. Gotta
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: just gotta just stay off of it. Although I don't know,
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: I tend to think that maybe the spot's a little
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: bit worse for Tampa here. But the money is coming
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: in on Tampa Bay. They're up for minus two hundred
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: to minus two eighteen or a monster favorite fifty six
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of the cash on them.
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: But I don't know. I think if you're gonna play
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay in here and you'd have to like lay
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: a puck line on it on the road, I mean,
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: that's seems kind of insane to me. Even though San
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: Jose does sometimes give up a lot of goals, I
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: don't think either team's in a good spot. But I
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: think taking the hefty underdog price at home might be
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: the way to look in that game with San Jose,
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: but obviously I don't want any part of that. Winnipeg
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: at Ottawa. I mean, I just do this as I
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: have to just go through my thought I mean, I
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: already went through my thought process when I'm showing you
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: guys what my process is here Winnipeg, I mean, they
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: have not been good, even with Hellibuck back. They've lost
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: eight games in a row. They did have Comray and
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: net in their last game and that didn't go well.
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: They lost six to five at Toronto. Now they're going
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: to Ottawa. Winnipeg can't afford to overlook anybody right now, man,
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: So I think they're just they're gonna show up in
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: pretty much every game right now to try to get
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: a win. They're not gonna look ahead to Vegas right now,
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: so I expect them to show up for Ottawa. Maybe
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: that's more in question because Ottawa just beat Washington, so
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: that was a nice win in for Ottawa. It did
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: break a three game losing streak. But you could argue
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: they're in a letdown spot here and they do play
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: Detroit next, and maybe that will attract more of their
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: focus because Detroit is a better team and they have
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: a good record this year. So it does look pretty
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: sandwichy here for Ottawa. So I would lean it to
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg in this game. The money seems to agree. Auto
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: is down for my just one forty five to minus
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: one twenty five on the money line, fifty six percent
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on them, ninety three percent of the
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: cash on Winnipeg. So the money is coming in on
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: the Winnipeg side here. You know, thinking about this one
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: a little bit more, I do like it, you know, like,
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: should we try to play streakbuster in both ways? Say?
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: Am I gonna add two hockey plays on the fly
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: when I thought I was gonna have none? I don't know, man,
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: I mean this one, I guess I have to stay away.
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: I mean, Winnipeg is playing a third game in four days,
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: all in different cities, so I don't love that. Actually,
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: a fourth game in six days all in different cities
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: as well, So that is a little bit of a
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: difficult scheduling spot rest spot there. So I'll stay off
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: of it. But I do lean Winnipeg in that game
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: for sure. Let me just make sure Columbus is not
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: I think they're not right. I already looked at this Columbus. Yeah,
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: they haven't played since Wednesday. See, we're fine with the
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: Columbus play all right? Where was I? We need a
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: bookmark here, man Garrett is rooting for the Panthers and
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: the tar Heels. Yes, if you watched my show last night,
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: you probably don't like what I had to say about
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: the North Carolina basketball game. And I don't think you're
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: gonna like what I have to say about the NFL
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: game either, although you might like what I have to
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: say about the other NFL game that matters for you,
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: which is tomorrow. So there's still hope for you. Big
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: day in the Carolinas. Yes, but as I said last night,
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: there's something really iffy going on with that line. Like
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: SMU is a favorite against North Carolina, and I always
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: talk about when you see an unranked favorite against a
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: ranked team, that definitely has to be on your like
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: short list, Like I try to find a situation to
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: back it up, because I don't just like blindly playing
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: something like that. But it is something to be to
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: be noticing, you know, like it is something you have
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: to take notice of and it is one of the
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: stronger looks in basketball. In basketball last year, it was
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: really really profitable actually to play on unranked favorites against
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: ranked underdogs because the odds makers are telling you the
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: rankings makers are off. And I showed you that with
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: ken BOM's rankings. He's got North Carolina or somewhere around
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: like twenty two, and yet they're like twelve in the
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: rankings because they're North Carolina, you know. And I'm not
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: saying North Carolina is bad. And I don't know what
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: SMU really even is at this point because they're not
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: really that good. But but yeah, I mean, in those situations,
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: you gotta know, I'm saying, in those situations, you want
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: to take the favorite because like, why is the unranked
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: team favorite over a ranked opponent, Like the oddsmakers are
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: telling you the rankings makers are full of shit and
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: they don't know what they're talking about. And the oddsmakers
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: are the ones that have tons of money at stake
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: in the game. So no, I'm saying SMU is the
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: side to lean to in that game because why would
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: they be a favorite against a ranked opponent? Like it
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: doesn't make any The line looks really really suspect like.
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: It looks so easy. They're basically like.
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: Begging you to take North Carolina and they know you're
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: they They absolutely know they're gonna get inundated with like
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: public bets on North Carolina with a line like that.
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: So so why is the book doing it.
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: I'm not betting it either, But I'm telling you, I'm
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: telling you, do not bet North Carolina. Do not do
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: not bet the underdog in a situation like that. That
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: is what I'm saying. I'm not saying that you should
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: bet the game. I'm not doing it because I don't
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: have I don't have a strong situation to back it up.
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: It's not on my card. But I'm saying that if
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play it, the only way that I
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: could play it would be SMU. Nope, I completely disagree.
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: What are you talking about? North Carolina beat Florida State
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: by double digits? What nobody's gonna care about that they
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: beat Florida State by basically what was expected? No, that
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: game was not an outlier of any sort. Nobody's putting
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: any weight into that game at all. I don't know
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: what you're talking about. Man. No, I disagree completely that
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: that game is completely meaningless as far as it's shifting
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: the line on this game. All right, we have Toronto
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: at the Islanders here. Toronto just beat Winnipeg. Like I said, six'.
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: Five they look pretty good in that. Win any high
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: scoring win tens to look pretty good for a team
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: they Beat New.
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: Jersey for nothing the game before.
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: That now they go to The, islanders a single road,
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: game very ollad, SPOT i would say For toronto, here
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: and then after this they have to play A, florida
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: the returning.
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: Champs so is.
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: It possible they overlook The islanders? Here? MAYBE i, mean
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: The islanders have a pretty good, record BUT i think
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: in this, spot maybe that is. Possible The islanders are
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: in a much better spot here because they got smoked
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: By utah at home in their return home from a
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: quick road trip. Here SO i think that The islanders
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: are in a better spot here in my opinion to
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: bounce back.
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: HERE i, mean any team that.
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: Loses like that at, home you're gonna see them come
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: out with a stronger effort in the next. Game SO
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: i think The islanders are the right side in this.
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: One but the money is completely disagreeing with that. One
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: this is really the first big time market disagreement with
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: me on the hockey board. Here it's not one of my, plays,
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: obviously but The islanders look like look like a public
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: home dog in this, game and OBVIOUSLY i don't love,
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: That like when you see a public dog like. This
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: by the, Way North carolina is gonna be a public,
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: underdog red flag you do not want to Play North.
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: Carolina.
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: Islanders seventy four percent of tickets and sixty three percent
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: of the cash on The, Islanders so they're a public
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: underdog at, home which seems a little bit wild to
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: me BECAUSE i actually in this, CASE i actually think
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: they're the right. Side but there's no way THAT i
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: would play. It toronto up from minus one oh seven
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: to minus one ten on the money. Line there reverse
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: line movement on that one.
• 28:25
  Speaker 2: Against the Public.
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: Islanders it looks like so a lot of market indicators
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: On toronto and that one Crazy chicago At. Washington chicago
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: just Beat dallas. Again, dude don't even don't even ask
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: me How dallas can't Beat. CHICAGO i.
• 28:44
  Speaker 2: Guess So chicago just Beat dallas.
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: Again of course last time they, did we Faded chicago
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: in the next game and they got obliterated seven to,
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: three SO i do think they're in a letdown spot,
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: Here but this time they're Facing, washington which is a better,
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: team so maybe they still show some folk. Here But
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: chicago does Play vegas, Next so if they're gonna overlook
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: any of these opponents in this three game, stretch it
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: would BE i would Say washington because they're the out
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: of conference opponent, here even though they are pretty. Good
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: washington is coming off a four to three loss At.
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: Ottawa they're coming back home from. That it was a
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: single game road, trip but they are playing a third
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: game in four, days a fourth game in six, days
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: fifth game in eight, days and they've been moving all
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: over the place as far as. Travels SO i don't
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: love the spot For washington here either travel, wise SO.
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: I gotta stay away from.
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: This washington is a massive favor, here BUT i think
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: if you play this, game you have to Play. Washington
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: in my, Opinion chicago is in a huge letdown. Spot
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: eighty six percent of, tickets ninety seven percent of the
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: cash on the, capitals they're down for minus two eighty
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: six to minus two eighty. Two it would be like
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: a puck line play On washington in this. One if
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: you were gonna play, it so you'd need them to
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: win by, margin WHICH i know in hockey sound a little,
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: dangerous BUT i could definitely See washington running away with
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: that one and winning that game by multiple. Goals the
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: huge game of the. DAY i here you, Go garrett
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: Is colorado At. Carolina here you might be more happy
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: about WHAT i have to say about this Game. COLORADO i,
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: mean it's not LIKE i really want to step in
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: front Of. Colorado though they've had a massive win. Streak,
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: again what else is? New they've won nine more games
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: in a. Row whatever this, is they're on. Fire obviously
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: they just Crush Saint. Louis who. Cares now they're starting
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: a road, trip and, yeah NORMALLY i, say you start
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: a road, trip you have. Momentum usually the momentum carries
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: and you focus on the first game of the road. Trip,
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: YEAH i think they will. FOCUS i, mean this is
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: a huge. Game carolina is probably the best team in
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: The Eastern. Conference But colorado has been off Since, Wednesday
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: AND i talk about. This when you have multiple days,
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: off it can disrupt your momentum when you're. Winning, man
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: the last thing you want when you're winning a seven
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: extended break now that this was that, long but they've
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: been off for a couple of days, here so maybe
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: that will hurt them a little bit coming into this.
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: Game For, carolina they just lost seven to five at,
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: home So carolina's actually lost the last.
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: Two games and they're staying at.
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: Home they lost, five won the game before that To,
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: pittsburgh SO i think they were in a much better
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: spot to bounce back. Here SO i would actually lean
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: To carolina in this. One the money the market's kind
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: of kind of difficult to read. Here colorado's definitely gonna
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: be a public. Side nobody's gonna want to step in
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: front Of. Colorado they're down for minus one forty to
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty three on the money, line so you're
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: getting a pretty decent underdog price With carolina. Here when
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: are you gonna Get carolina as a dog at? Home
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: very very, rare although, Yes colorado is very good seventy
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: three percent of, tickets ninety eight percent of the cash
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: On colorado for. Now BUT i think that if you're
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: Taking carolina, here you're fading the, public AND i think
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: it is the right situation side in that. Game so
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: that's the WAY i would do it IF i was gonna.
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: Play it would Be hurricanes money line in that, one
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: and we'll see if that streak gets busted as. Well
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be easier to Bust buffalo streak hopefully.
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: Though that's what we want to do.
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: Today nashville At, Calgary oh, GOD i do NOT i
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: don't like this. MATCHUP i don't like these. TEAMS i
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: just can't get a great gauge on. Them usually they're.
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: Just BOTH.
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: I just think they're both.
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: Bad oh.
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: Man nashville's coming off of four to one loss To,
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: seattle continuing the road trip, here but they do Have edmonton,
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: Next so are they gonna look?
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: AHEAD i don't.
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: KNOW i, mean after you lose four to, one you'll
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: probably show up focus in the next. Game So, Calgary
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: calgary's coming off Smoking philadelphia five to, one and they've
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: had multiple days off after racking up a three game win.
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: Streak SO i think the spot is worse For carolina
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: coming off a pretty nice, win a big, win and
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: having possibly a little bit of momentum stopping rest. Here
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: SO i do Think nashville is the right side in this.
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: Game Although calgary looks like they have sixty percent of
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: tickets seventy three percent of the cash on them right,
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: now maybe the market will kind of shift in this
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: case with the money with the Percentages calgary down from
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty seven of minus one eighteen on the
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: money line. There so there looks like there is some
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: reverse line movement against The flames in that. ONE i
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: have not, looked but, okay, yeah the, SITUATION i guess
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: that that trend doesn't apply now with the the unranked
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: favorite versus the ranked underdog. Them BUT i, MEAN i
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: think the line could have just moved because the public
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: is starting to get involved in the public is Hammering North.
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: Carolina SO i DON'T i don't think that that move
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: is all like sharp Money, LIKE i don't really think
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: it's a sharp move although the, public, WELL i don't,
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: know because the public doesn't really have the ability to
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: move college basketball lines to that. Degree usually it's JUST
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: nfl because you need a huge influx of public. Action we're,
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: Gonna i'm gonna do it WHEN i do the final market.
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: Read i'm gonna look at my college basketball games THAT i.
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: Have we're Gonna i'm gonna do a final market. Read
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: i'll look at that game as, well just to see
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: what the market looks. Like all, right we Have minnesota AT.
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: La minnesota just got the win Against anaheim. YESTERDAY i
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: BELIEVE i was correct about that. GAME i BELIEVE i
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: Said minnesota in that game not a. Play. Though Now
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: minnesota has no time. Off this is gonna be a
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: tough spot for them on a back to. Back third
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: game in four, days fourth game in six, days fifth
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: game in eight, days all of them in different, cities even,
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: though of Course anaheim TO la is a fairly quick
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: trip up the, highway but still it is technically a different,
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: city so it is a difficult spot for. Them nice
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: win Over anaheim. Yesterday, YEAH i don't really Love minnesota
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: in a spot like SO i THINK i would probably have.
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: To lean to The kings in this.
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: One The kings played On thursday and they lost To Tampa.
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: Bay they've lost two games in a, row but To
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: colorado And Tampa.
• 35:10
  Speaker 2: Bay those are good.
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: TEAMS la probably shows up focused With minnesota coming. In
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: they've been pretty good this, year SO i think the
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: spot is favorable to The. Kings SO i would Say
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: kings or leave the game. Alone, yeah In minnesota is
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: a dreaded public underdog here as The kings are, favored
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: ALTHOUGH i worry Because minnesota is actually really good on
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: the road and The kings are pretty awful at, home
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: As i've been pointing. Out BUT i think The kings
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: are the right side in this. Game seventy five percent
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: of the, ticket seventy percent of the cash On, minnesota
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: so they are a public road. Underdog so, yeah, AGAIN
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: i like playing anti public favorites a lot of the
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: time because you know you're getting a decent, team like
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: you're getting the, favorite and you're fading the public at
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: the same. Time so not a bad thing to do
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: in most. Cases that, ONE i don't feel strongly enough
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: about it to put it on my, card BUT i
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: would lean to The kings in that. One and then
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: we have My Boston bruins At. Vancouver The bruins did
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: just end a long lost, streak, man so, Finally so
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: a lot of times when a team ends a lost,
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: streak they'll be focused in the next, game but they
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: could be in a letdown spot because they.
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: Just Pulverize edmonton on the.
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: Road. Man that was a nice, win six to Two,
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: Bruins SO i worry that there might be a little
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: bit of a let down. Here they have had a
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: couple of days, off but it's not like they really
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: had any momentum to stop other than the fact that
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: they stopped their losing. MOMENTUM i just don't know how
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: focused they're going to be Against vancouver. Here should be
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: swaying back in net, AGAIN i would, imagine because they've
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: had multiple days off and he's their. Guy vancouver coming
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: in off a shootout loss To seattle, yesterday so they're
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: on a back to. Back they had two days off
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: prior to that, Though but, yes they are on a
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: back to. Back they are staying at home, Though BUT
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: i think the, SPOT i, MEAN i probably would have
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: to lean To vancouver just because they think it is
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot for The. Bruins bruins of the road favorite,
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: here so at least the osmakers are telling you The
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: bruins are better than an Awful canucks. Team, wait, yeah
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: we got it all, Baby we're gonna win The. Cup
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: oh my, god we want The? Cup chance, MAN i
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: misscoing To bruins playoff.
• 37:24
  Speaker 2: Games?
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: Playoffs What bruins up from minus one twenty two to
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty five on the money line in that?
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: One all, right it's going TO nba WHERE i am
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: gonna have one play in THE nba THAT i actually
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: like quite a. Bit we HAVE i don't know about
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: EIGHT nba games here to talk, about with one early
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: one at five Pm minnesota At, miami and this is
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: the one that almost made my.
• 37:46
  Speaker 2: CARD i Like.
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: Minnesota in this, Game minnesota just got smoked By atlanta
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: by twenty four points and they have been off Since wednesday,
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: now SO i think that's. Good minnesota's gonna come into
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: this thing with. Rest they're come have a really hideous.
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: Loss ALTHOUGH i have a little bit of concern With minnesota,
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: though because in that, game if you didn't see the,
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: Headlines Anthony edwards he got benched in the game because
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: the game was out of, hand so they they put
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: him on the bench in the fourth, quarter and he
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: didn't stay with his team. Mates he got up off
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: the bench with like seven minutes left in the game
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: because he assumed he wasn't gonna come back in the game,
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: whatever and he was all pissed off and being a,
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: bitch and he. Left he went back to the locker.
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: Room so very very weird move By Anthony. Edwards, Man
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: so things are not exactly great In minnesota right. Now,
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: however maybe that stuff is being, overstated AND i do
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: think that they are the right side in this. Game,
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: still that was a horrible, loss no doubt about. IT
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: i think they're gonna show up focus in this. One
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: they're playing against The, heat who have been. Okay it
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: looks like The heat will have out Of bio in this,
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: game even though he is questionable right. Now hero is
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: expected to not come back until the, game WHICH i
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: think is actually. Tomorrow miami's on a four game win.
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: Stream but look at what they just, did, man even Without.
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: Hero they just Beat, denver although Granted jokic went down
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: in the middle of that, game and then they Beat
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: detroit on the road in their last, game so it
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: looks like a letdown spot to me From miami. Here
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: SO i do worry, that, yes Maybe miami will still
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: show up for a game Against. Minnesota miami does have
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: one fewer day of rest Than minnesota, does by the,
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: way because they played On, thursday AND i believe wait
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: win Did minnesota last play the thirty first or the
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: first hang? On, yeah the thirty, First SO i, guess,
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: yeah we'll see what happens. THERE i gotta remember my
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: train of thought again. Here, Yeah miami still might show
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: up for a game Against. Minnesota that's the, Problem like
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: they're not really an opponent that you usually. Overlooked BUT
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: i do think the win Against detroit was bigger for,
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: sure beating the team that has the best record in your.
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: Conference you, know huge. Wins SO i Think minnesota is
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: the right side in this. Game and this almost is
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: on my. Card but the, MONEY i, mean the market
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: is doing weird. Things minnesota went up from a pick
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: them to to an a half point. FAVORITE i don't
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: know if that was Because hero looked like he was gonna.
• 40:12
  Speaker 2: Play and now he's.
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: NOT i don't know what the deal is, here but
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: sixty one percent of tickets fifty five percent of the
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: cash on the Tea. Wolves so it looks like after
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: the line got driven, up it looks like some of
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: the money is actually fading the Tea wolves. Here but
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: based on the situational analysis THAT i, do OR i
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: think if you play the, GAME i think it's got
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: to Be, Minnesota AND i almost put that on my.
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: Card Now philadelphia at The knicks, Here, yes, Sir, philadelphia
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: they're coming off Beat, Philadelphia they're coming off Beating dallas
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: here two days. Ago now they're traveling up From dallas
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: to The. Knicks they're not gonna overlook The. KNICKS i,
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: mean Beating dallas is kind of. Whatever you gotta. Think
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: philadelphia is going to show focus, here although the last
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: time they were here they, won so The knicks might
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: be playing with a little bit more of a chip
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: on their shoulder here after losing at home To philadelphia last.
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: Time The knicks might have the adjustments to make. Here
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: but both teams are gonna show up for this game.
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: In my.
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: Opinion of, course The knicks are on a back to back,
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: though so little bit of a difficult spot rest wise
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: for The knicks, here as they were playing three games
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: in the last four, days four games in six, days
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: and actually five games in eight, days and actually six
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: to ten going all the way back To, christmas and
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: seven in the last. Twelve they played a lot of games. Recently,
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: man This knicks, team because they played in THE Nba
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: cup all the way to the. Final they're getting in won,
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: IT i believe right, Right they're getting like no let up.
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: Here so actually that was before.
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: That never, mind The cup was before, That SO i
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: don't know this has been a jammed schedule for The, knicks,
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: man SO i worry about.
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: That although yesterday we were correct with The.
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: Hawks, yesterday The knicks were coming off that huge game
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: Against San. Antonio they just had a huge flat spot game, yesterday,
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: man SO i expect them to bounce back as. WELL
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: i think The knicks will show up in this, game
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: but they are on the.
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: Back to back, here so that is a little bit
• 42:08
  Speaker 2: of a.
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: Concern what does the market look, Like, well The knicks
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: are three and a half point favorite, now but the
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: money is indicating somewhat on The sixers seventy nine percent
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: of tickets on The knicks only seventy percent of the,
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: Cash so the money is somewhat saying to take the
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: points with The sixers. Here and of course you got
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: to see what, like are The knicks resting anybody or
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: anything like. THAT i don't think, so BECAUSE i think
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: they will try to show up and win this game
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: against a team that beat them here last. Time it
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: looks Like Karl Anthony towns is a game time decision
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: with an, illness so we don't know what's going on with.
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: HIM i think we already knew heart was. Out Mitchell
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: robinson game time decision as, well so we will see
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: and then embid on The sixers side is always a
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: game time decision to, ME i think both teams are
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: still gonna try to show up and win this, game,
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: though so it's a difficult. Handicap the money is saying
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: to take the points with The, sixers BUT i don't
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: have that much of an. Opinion. William what's up, man
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: thanks for hanging. Out good Morning atlanta At. Toronto here's
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: your best, bet, baby the one bet in THE.
• 43:10
  Speaker 3: Nba.
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: Here let's go for.
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: It we're gonna lay the points with The Toronto raptors
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: minus three and a half.
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: Here AND i know The raptors have.
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: Been iffy at, home but this is a spot THAT
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: i actually. Love The raptors are only ten and eight at.
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: HOME i Know atlanta has actually been probably better on the. Road,
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: yes they've been better on the.
• 43:32
  Speaker 2: Road than at.
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: Home they're eleven and eight on the, road so, YES
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: i worry about that, slightly That atlanta is a good
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: road team And toronto's a bad home. Team but in this,
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: SPOT i just think you have to Fade atlanta, here.
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: MAN i, mean as we already, Mentioned atlanta's coming off
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: smoking The knicks, yesterday so they're on a back to
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: back with, travel having to travel up From New york To.
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: Toronto you, know The knicks play like more of a
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: kind of physical. Style they play, Defense So atlanta going
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: to come off of that not gonna be. Easy that
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: was a huge win, too so this could be a
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: letdown spot against The toronto.
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: Team it's been pretty.
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: Mediocre and the game before, That atlanta Beat minnesota On.
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: Wednesday so they're playing a third game in four, days
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: all in different. Cities it's actually a fourth game in six,
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: days all in different cities because they were In Oklahoma
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: city On, monday and before that they were back at
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: home and they played two games in a. Row they
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: played back to backs coming out of The christmas, break
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: they Played Friday. Saturdays so they're actually playing what is.
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: This it's four games in six, days five games in eight,
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: days and six games in nine.
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: Days that's.
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: Crazy with the last WHATEVER i, said four of them
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: being in different. Cities really really difficult spot For atlanta,
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: here not just because of the letdown, spot but the
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: travel and lack of rest on top of. It this
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: is an insanely bad spot for The hawks now For.
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: Toronto it is a way better. SPOT i. Know they're
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: coming off a tough game Against, denver although that Was
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: denver Without. Jokic, remember AND i did say That denver
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: was the side to look at in that game injured
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: player theory. Spot denver showed. Up and now that was
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: a big game For, toronto no doubt about, it even Without.
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: Jokic it's always big when you play Against. Denver denver
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: is really good on the. Road toronto's not good at,
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: HOME i, know And atlanta is also good on the,
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: road LIKE i, said but they're Not. Denver of, course
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: Even denver Without JOKIC i think is a fairly formidable.
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: Opponent toronto took the loss by, three but they've had
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: a lot of days off to.
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: Rest.
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: Man their rest spot is so much better Than. Atlanta's
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: Here toronto hasn't played Since, wednesday so they're coming in
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: off a, loss staying at, home and they have nothing
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: really ahead to focus. On they Play atlanta twice, actually
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: and Then. Charlotte then they get The, celtics which they're
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: gonna be focused on The celtics, game but up until,
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: THEN i think this is the next game they're gonna
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: focus on. Here today AGAINST i almost said The falcons
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: against The, hawks that's what we're gonna go.
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: With we're gonna go with The Ronto.
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: Raptors they have fifty six percent to, ticket sixty percent
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: of the cash on. Them they're up from three to
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: three and a. Half it's not, football so the three
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: is a little.
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: Bit less key. Here so that's what we're gonna.
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: Do and we're gonna lay it with The raptors in
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: that one and hope that they're not The craptors in this.
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: Game The Drake, curse, DUDE i need to get The
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: Seefeld drake. CLIPS i can use it for when we're
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: talking About drake may or when we're talking About drake
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: the basketball.
• 46:27
  Speaker 2: Team, yeah and in.
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: This, case you're talking about the. RAPPER i ASSUME i
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: don't know what The Drake toronto curse, is but, Yeah,
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: drake he's got some sketchy stuff in his.
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: Background, Man charlotte At, chicago.
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: This is a weird. Game this game is a little
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: bit hard for me to figure out to wrap my mind.
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: Around charlotte's on a back to. Back charlotte played yesterday
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: At milwaukee and they almost. Won remember That's milwaukee With
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: giannis back. Now i'm pretty sure so unless he's heard.
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: Again So charlotte played pretty well in that game against
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: The milwaukee team that presumably was favored by a decent
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: amount in that. Game now they're on a back to,
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: back playing In. Chicago it's not a huge trip, though
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: a walk Into chicago very. Quick but they do Have
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma city up after. This don't really know exactly how
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: much focus they're gonna have In. Chicago, man it is
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: possible they're a little bit gassed after Taking milwaukee to
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: the limit and then With Oklahoma city. Next doesn't look
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: like a terrific spot For charlotte here to. Me back to,
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: back they're playing a third game in four days in different.
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: Cities actually a fourth game in six days as, well
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: though the first two of those are at Home. Chicago
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: they just Beat. Orlando that was a decent win For,
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: chicago that pulled them back into five hundred. Territory and
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: that was. Yesterday so they're on a back to. Back
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: they're playing a third game in four days and fourth
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: game in six, days.
• 47:49
  Speaker 2: But for, them all of those games are at, home
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: so they're at least staying at home.
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: Here you could Argue they're in a sandwich spot, though
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: because that was a big win Over, orlando who's probabrobably
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: going to be a playoff, team and they have up
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: almost definitely a playoff, team The celtics coming up, next
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: and Then detroit and Then, miami so all these games
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: are bigger than this game Against. Charlotte so both teams
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: are kind of in bad spots, here, Man SO i
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: can't do it. Again this game is trippy for. Me
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: the money is all Over charlotte for what it's. Worth
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: The bulls are up from one and a half to two,
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: here fifty nine percent of tickets on The, bulls eighty
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: four percent of the cash coming in on The hornets,
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: though so Market reid is definitely strongly indicating on The.
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: Hornets so you can you, know you have that information
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: to work with if you want for your own handicapping
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: purposes and. WHATEVER i don't have much of a reason
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: to disagree with the, market BUT i don't want any
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: part Of charlotte. EITHER i just don't want any part
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: of either. Team BUT i think both teams are in bad.
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: Spots LIKE i, said, so though we have A portland
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: At San, Antonio, portland they're coming off Beating New orleans
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: decent bounce back. Win that was, yesterday, though so they
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: are playing a third game in four, days they're playing
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: a fourth game in six, days all in different, cities
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: and actually.
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: A fifth game in seven.
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: Days the rare fifth game in seven days in THE
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: nba doesn't happen very. Often so even though they had
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: a nice bounce back win, yesterday it is a tough
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: spot For portland. Here man rest, wise they're gonna be
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: potentially a pretty tired team. Here San antonio just had
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: an easy win Against, indiana although they're actually traveling as,
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: well and they're on a back to, back but they're
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: playing a third game in four, days with one road
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: game in there Against, indiana the rest of the games at.
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: Home fourth game in six days for, Them SO i
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: think the spot is a little bit easier for The spurs,
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: here but the money looks like it's indicating on The,
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: blazers which is kind of, Crazy, like there's no WAY
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: i would want to take the points of The blazers
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: in a spot where they're playing a fifth game in seven,
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: days AND i just there's no WAY i could do.
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: It but that is probably gonna be factored into the
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: line a little. Bit the rest factor does get factor
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: into the line a. Bit The spurs are up from
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: seven and a half to. Eight here eighty six percent of,
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: tickets only sixty.
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: Two percent of the.
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: Cash so the money is saying to take the points
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: of The trailblazers money coming in against the public. HERE
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: i JUST i don't THINK i could do. It. Man
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: it was a nice bounce back. Wins they do a momentum.
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: Here and as far as like who the opponents, are,
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: YES i could see the argument That San antonio will Overlook,
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: portland SO i could definitely see that.
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: Argument but they only Have memphis up.
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: Next then they have The lakers and Then, boston Then,
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: minnesota Then, okce so those are the big games coming
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: up after The memphis.
• 50:46
  Speaker 2: Game SO i don't.
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: Know it's a complete stay away from. Me but there's
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: your market read on that. One in the situational analysis
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: or lack Thereof houston At dallas in a battle Of texas, teams,
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: Here hou Beat brooklyn the other night doesn't really. Matter
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: but they are having to travel From New york down
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: To dallas now with one day off in, between they
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: should be, Okay like in An, okay rest spot here
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: because they had a couple of days off prior to
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: The brooklyn. Game probably they'll show up to play Against
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: dallas because they actually lost the last time they were
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: here by thirteen, points so that was back On december.
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: Sixth houston might remember that it might have the adjustments
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: to make. Here SO i don't really see them Overlooking
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: dallas in this. One dallas coming into this game off
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: of losing To philadelphia at. Home they're staying at. Home
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: that was the first game back home from a road,
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: trip AND i talked about how when teams play poorly
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: in the first game back home from a road, trip
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: they do play better in the next.
• 51:43
  Speaker 2: Game, Obviously dallas is not going to Overlook houston.
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: Either so it's a game WHERE i think both teams
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: are gonna show. Up and then it's a matter of
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: what's the number in the. Game, well it's. Eight it's
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: going up a little bit to eight with juice and
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: the money seems to be indicating that the professional guys
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: seemed to be saying and they think The rockets are
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: favored too heavily in this. Game seventy six percent of,
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: tickets only sixty three percent of the cash on, Them
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: so the money is indicating to take the points of The.
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: MAVs get to stay away from me. Obviously utah at
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: The warriors, Here Jazz, Warriors utah At Golden. State utah
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: just took a loss IN. La now they're going up
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: To Northern california. Here they lost to The, clippers not The.
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: LAKERS i keep just SAYING La. Clippers so it's an
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: uglier loss to lose to The, clippers although they've been
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: playing well right, now which might be bad for The celtics,
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: today Which i'm gonna talk. About that is the last
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: game on the board. Here utah is not gonna Overlook Golden.
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: STATE i wouldn't imagine they should show up for this.
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: Game they're gonna be looking for a win of The
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: utah is not as good on the road as they
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: are at. Home Golden state just got smoked By Oklahoma
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: city yesterday, though So Golden state is on a back to.
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: Back but that was a return home. Spot and by the,
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: way there was one other return home spot we had
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: in a team's previous game THAT i forgot to. MENTION i,
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: APOLOGIZE i forget which team it, was BUT i would
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: point it out just because usually when a team returns
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: home and they get and they fall into that distracted,
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: spot they tend to bounce back and do better in
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: the next. Game So Golden state is in a positive
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: spot here except for the fact that they played. Yesterday
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: ALTHOUGH i think they did rest some guys, yesterday probably
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: especially once they were getting blown. OUT i would imagine
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: they just rested a ton of guys for the later
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: portion of that. Game so the rest situation For Golden
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: state shouldn't.
• 53:32
  Speaker 2: Be that bad. Here after, that they should bounce.
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: BACK i, mean even though It's oklahoma sitting in, there absolutely,
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: elite you still don't want to lose a game by
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: almost forty points on your home, floor. Man So Golden
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: state should be focused in this game as. Well so
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: both teams should be. Focused The warriors are twelve and
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: a half point, favorite and some of the money is
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: indicating on The jazz a little, bit seventy five percent of,
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety six percent of the cash coming into The.
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: Jazz more of a situation where, again it's just is
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: that line On Golden state too?
• 54:03
  Speaker 2: Big maybe it.
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: IS i, MEAN i don't think you're really getting much
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: line value playing The warriors. Here SO i don't necessarily
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: disagree with grabbing the points of The.
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: JAZZ i think both teams should show.
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: Up Golden state has played a lot of games recently, too,
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: though WHICH i forgot to point. Out they're playing a
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: third game in four days, now a fourth game and five,
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: days and actually they're playing a fifth game in seven
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: days as, Well so the dreaded fifth game in seven,
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: days with the first three of those all being on the.
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: Road so UNLESS i looked at that schedule, WRONG i
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: think that is the. CASE a lot of things to
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: keep in mind. There and then My celtics are at
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: The clippers. Here celtics coming in off two wins Against
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: utah And, sacramento not a huge. Deal The celtics have
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: already won the road. Trip they're three and one on
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: the road. Trip this is the final game of the road,
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: trip so it is possible they don't have full focus
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: in this. Game The, clippers on the other, hand are
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: on a roll right now and they probably will definitely
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: show up for The. Celtics clippers did just Beat utah as.
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: Well The clippers have been at home for a while
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: since the twenty. Eighth they've just been sitting at home
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: and they've won all these games at. Home both teams
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: actually just beat The kings In utah in the opposite,
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: order so both teams coming up beating the same. Opponents
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: so there's not a whole lot to see what the
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: common opponents, there although The clippers beat them by a bit.
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: More probably because The clippers are at, Home clippers will
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: show up for The. CELTICS i, mean that's just the
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: way that it. Is SO i think The clippers are
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: probably the way to look. Here but there's something going
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: on with The. Celtics might be resting players here because
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: The clippers were gonna be a four point dog and
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: now they're a one point, favorite so The celtics have
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: to Be they must be resting somebody. Here sixty percent
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: of tickets seventy nine percent of the cash on The,
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: clippers so the money indicating on The clippers looks very
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: weird to see The clippers is a one point. Favorite
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: it might be an overreaction to whatever The celtics are,
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: doing BUT i think it's Probably clippers or pass in this. Game,
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: UNFORTUNATELY i think The celtics may lose this, game and
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: it may be if they're resting. People they may be, saying,
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: well we just don't care as much about this, game
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: but you do have to worry ABOUT i, mean The
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: celtics are still a pretty deep rostery, man and a
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: lot of times when they don't play their, starters their
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: backups actually do quite. Well so that is somebody to
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: keep in mind with The, celtics like their backups actually
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: get excited to play and they're well, Coached so somebody
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: keep in mind. There we don't see anything on the
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: injury report as far as what The celtics are doing,
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: here SO i don't know if it's a. MYSTERY i
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: don't know If Joe missoula said anything out. THERE i
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: have no, idea but the way that the line moved like,
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: THIS i have to think that somebody's not playing for
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: The celtics. Here so that's WHAT i think might be
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: going on in that. Game all, right best part of the.
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: Show here we GO, nfl And i'm gonna have a
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: bet in THE nfl as well. Here so and it's
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: in the first game up And garrett is gonna be
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: pissed off at. ME abc AND espn have BOTH nfl
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: games today, networks so a lot of people will be
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: able to watch these games, man we're coming down the.
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: Stretch THE nfl flex these games Into saturday because both
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: games have major playoff, implications so of course we get
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: both of these games. Here first one up is at
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: four point thirty Pm. Eastern it is THE Nfc south
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: battle Between carolina And Tampa. Bay, Now i'm gonna say
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: that people think that looking at this, game like the
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: way that THE nfl scheduled, this they pretty much were
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: Gonna they were basically, saying this is gonna be for the, division,
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: Right like this is, like you, win you're in the.
• 57:38
  Speaker 2: Playoffs you, lose you're out of the.
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: Playoffs but that is not the case in this. Game
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: so one of these teams can win the game and
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: still not make the, playoff make the, playoffs and one
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: of these teams can lose and still make the. Playoffs
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: and you probably know which team that must, be because
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: obviously the team that can lose and still make the
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: playoffs has to be the team with the better, record
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: which Is. Carolina so that's going to factor into my
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: handicap in this. Game and, yes they're talking playoff.
• 58:12
  Speaker 3: Playoffs don't talk about, playoffs you kidding? Me? PLAYOFFS i
• 58:18
  Speaker 3: just hope we can win a game another, Game.
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: So it looked like this was going to be winner take,
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: all like the winner wins the, division the loser goes.
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: Home but that is not the, case and it's Because
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: atlanta beat The rams last week On Monday. Night So
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: atlanta winning throw a wrench into this whole. Thing because,
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: now if you look at the, standings you.
• 58:39
  Speaker 2: Might be, asking, well how is this the?
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: Case so the situation right, now looking at the the standings,
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: Here carolina is a one game lead Over Tampa. Bay
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: If Tampa bay wins this, game they'll pull into a
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: tie With, carolina will both be eight and. Nine so
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: then you have to go to tie, breakers right and,
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: yeah so it goes to, Tiebreakers and then it's, like,
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: well what is the?
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: Tiebreaker the tiebreaker.
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: If Tampa bay And carolina end up in a tie
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: And atlanta stays behind.
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: Them so for this to be.
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: The, Case atlanta would have to lose to The New
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: Orleans saints. Tomorrow so If atlanta's not in the, picture
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: the tie breaker is Just carolina Versus Tampa.
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: Bay then.
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: Hold, On i'm trying to get the scenario straight in
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: my mind, now then, yes uh, so then, Yes Tampa,
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: BAY i believe if that's the, case THEN i gotta,
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: NOW i gotta think about this BECAUSE i know what
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: the scenario is if If atlanta, WINS i know what.
• 59:45
  Speaker 2: THIS i know what the scenario. Is Now i'm.
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: Trying i'm trying to get the scenario straight in my mind, here,
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: MAN i apologize because the tie the tiebreaker scenario is,
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: very very weird in this in this, situation in this. Division,
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: Now i've believe If tampa And carolina are both, tied,
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: well first the tiebreaker is head to. Head but obviously
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: If tampa has won this game to you, know to
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: Tie carolina, up, well then.
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 2: Of course they're one on one against each.
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: Other so then it has to go to the next tie,
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: breaker and the next tie breaker is common. Opponents AND
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: i believe the common opponents SCENARIO i believe goes To Tampa.
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: Bay SO i believe if If Tampa bay And carolina
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: might have been a, tie they're head to head is
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: one and. ONE i believe they're common. OPPONENTS i Believe
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: Tampa bay has the better record against common, opponents even
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: though which seems weird BECAUSE.
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 2: I Think carolina Beat atlanta.
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: Twice but, yeah it's it's a really weird, scenario BUT
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: i believe that is the. Case so that's How so
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: that's How Tampa bay can get. In So Tampa bay
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: they need to. Win, well hold, ON i should have
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: started with the simplest. Scenario the simplest scenario is If carolina,
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: wins they, win they're. In so that's the simplest. Scenario
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: that is, straightforward very easy to. Comprehend carolina wins and they're,
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: in and they win the, division they're in the.
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: Playoffs that's very very. Straightforward.
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: Here, now If Tampa bay, wins LIKE i, said two
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: scenarios can. Happen If Tampa bay wins And atlanta loses
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: To New orleans, tomorrow So atlanta stays behind, them we
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: just have the tie Between tampa And. Carolina Tampa bay
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: wins the, division But tampa actually needs that to happen because,
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: whatever LIKE i, Said Tampa, BAY i guess their common
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: opponent record is, better so they win that tie. Breaker
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: they But Tampa bay actually needs that to happen because
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: If tampa wins this, Game carolina will still win the
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: division If atlanta beats The saints, tomorrow Because atlanta would
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: pull into a three way tie with. Them if that,
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: happens all be eight to. Nine this is a great.
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: Division it could be a three way tie of eight to.
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: Nine and if that, happens the tiebreaker is still head to,
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: head but it becomes a three way round robin head to.
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: Head so then it becomes who has the best record
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: out of all three of those teams against the other two.
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: Teams so With atlanta entering the, mix that Helps carolina
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: immensely Because carolina actually Beat atlanta both. Times so if
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: we wind up be in a three way tiebreaker, Scenario
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: carolina has those two extra wins as part of the.
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: Tiebreaker they Beat atlanta both, times So carolina would win the.
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: Division so, again If Tampa bay wins this game And
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: atlanta wins, Tomorrow carolina still wins the division by virtue
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: of the tiebreaker in the fact That carolina Beat atlanta,
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: twice even Though carolina would be.
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 2: One to one head to head Against Tampa.
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: Bay So carolina should be Sending atlanta some Late christmas
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: gifts or something like. That if that winds up, Happening
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: carolina should Love atlanta if that winds up. Happening now
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: DO i think DO i think that that's gonna. HAPPEN i,
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: ACTUALLY i actually do. NOT i actually think The saints
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: are gonna Beat. Atlanta but that's gonna happen, Tomorrow so
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: we don't need to worry about that right now now
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: for this. Game this comes down to WHAT i always
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: talk about in the final week of the. Seasons there
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: are a bunch of things you have to worry about
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: in the final week OF Nfl, tyson what's up, Man
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: thanks for hanging. OUT a lot of it is about,
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: motivation of, course, okay because a lot of teams are
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: gonna be resting starters. Whatever, obviously we don't have to
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: worry about that in these. Games these games become easier
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: handicaps because obviously every team is trying to. Win we're
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: gonna get motivation on every side in the two games, today,
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: obviously so we don't have to worry about teams that
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: have nothing to play for. Here but we're gonna be
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: worried about that on tomorrow's slate. Obviously so you're gonna
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: have teams with nothing to play, for And i'll talk
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: about it more tonight WHEN i talk about tomorrow's. Games
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: so usually you actually want to be on the teams
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: that have nothing to play for because they can just
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: go out and play. Loose and like if a team
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: is if this is literally their last game of the,
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: season they actually have motivation to show up because they
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 1: want to just go out on a good, note you
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: know WHAT i. Mean so that team that's not gonna
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: be in the, playoffs this is their last chance to.
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: Play so usually they play like loose because there's no
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: pressure on them and they actually want to show up
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: and win the, game whereas they might be facing a
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: team that has a lot of pressure on.
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 2: Them if they're facing a team that needs to.
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: Win for one reason or, another and that team that
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: needs to, win usually you're paying attacks for that, Team
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: so that's something to be aware. Of in the final.
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: Week you do tend to want to look towards the
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: teams that have nothing to play. For as crazy as that,
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: sounds that is what the deal is, now and that
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: doesn't factor. In like there are gonna be games where
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: there are teams that are in the playoffs but they're resting,
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: everybody and those teams actually tend to not do well at,
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: All like they tend.
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 2: To just completely roll.
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: Over, basically even though you think the backups like have
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: a reason to, play but whatever that team is basically
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to the. Playoffs so those teams actually usually do,
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: poorly and the public usually doesn't know what to do
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: because the line usually overreact, like, well the line, reacts
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: but it actually doesn't tend to. Overreact so you're gonna,
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: See i'll talk about it. Tonight you're gonna see a
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: couple of these lines look absolutely, insane and the public
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: is gonna misinterpret the. Line SO i actually think playing
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: on that side where it looks like there couldn't possibly
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: be any, VALUE i think is the correct side more
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: often than not in the final. Week so that's something, There,
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: Charlotte what do you, Mean, Charlotte charlotte in, Basketball, WELL
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: i still have to talk about this game and you
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: don't even know what side on one. Yet, now one
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: other THING i will point out THAT i should wait until.
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: Tonight but one other THING i will point out is
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: that when you have two teams that have nothing to play,
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: for you don't want to play an under typically in
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 1: those games either because those teams usually don't have reason
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: to go all out because they don't want to get,
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: hurt so they don't go all out on the defensive
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: side of, things you know WHAT i, mean becomes more
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: of like a scrimmage type of game where teams play
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: well on offense and they don't play as well. Defensively
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: so those types of GAMES i think are pretty much
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: over or passed for the most. Part but Although i'm
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: not that much of a totals. Guy now back to this,
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: Game carolina timpa, baby because this is the poster child
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: for one thing THAT i always talk about is when
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: it comes down to the final week of the, season
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: the other type of handicap that you have.
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 2: To be aware of is the team that controls their own.
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: Destiny you, Know i've been talking about this for a
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: few weeks, now AND i talk about it in college,
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: too versus a team that does not control their own
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: destiny and they need. Help and what DO i always
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: say about, That the team that controls their own destiny
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: tends to like just focus too much on that and
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: they tend to not play as well. Well and That's
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: carolina in this. Game if they win their in and
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: that tends to be like all that they think. About although,
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: YES i know in this, Case carolina is an, underdog
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: AND i think it is better to fade those teams
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: when their. Favorite But i'm still gonna Play Tampa bay
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: in this game, anyway because first of, ALL i, think,
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: yes that means That carolina is going to be in
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: that mindset where we win and we're, in and that
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: like it just becomes this thing that like kind of
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: boils to the surface and usually it results in like
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: a pressure. Bubble SO i don't like. That And carolina
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: also in the back of their minds there they still
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: got to be thinking there is a scenario where we
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: lose this game and we still get in based on
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: what it landed us. Tomorrow SO i don't like that For.
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: Carolina WHAT i do like is That Tampa bay is
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: in the other situation where they don't control their own.
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: Destiny if they, win they're still not necessarily gonna be.
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: In SO i think a team like that they can
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: play loose because they don't like they can't control their.
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: Destiny so it's, like we can go, out we can, play,
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: well we gotta win this, game, yeah but it's out
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: of our hands at that. Point so teams that are
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: in that situation tend to play a lot. Better SO
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: i Like Tampa bay for that, Reason but there are
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: also a lot of other things THAT i like About
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: Tampa bay in this, game and we're gonna do. IT
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: i was hoping the two and a half's would be out.
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: There this line is at like three even money right
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: now because the books are just kind of doing this
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: to us and not giving us the better of the
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: key number. Two they don't want you to Get tampa
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: two and a half, man which is kind of a
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: sign as well that the books the two and a
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: half was gone pretty quickly there On Tampa. BAY i
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: found a three at even. Money you could Do tampa
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: money line if you want. To, HERE i saw like minus,
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: one not a bad money line price For Tampa.
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 2: Bay to be.
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: Honest the money line is also a fine way to
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: look at this game in my. Opinion But i'm hoping
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: for a two and a half On Tampa. Bay here
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: get it under that key number. Three So i'm gonna
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: be watching because you're not gonna lose that. Much if
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: you wait around a lot little, bit you're probably still
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: gonna be able to lay just the three or get
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: a decent money line. Price, now the other thing that's
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: interesting about this is these two teams played two weeks, ago,
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: right so what has happened between then and. Now, well
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: not a whole, lot but what was the line in
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: that game When tampa was At? Carolina it Was Tampa
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: bay minus two and a half on the road At.
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: Carolina so how Could Tampa bay possibly be basically the
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: same favorite at? Home, like you're pretty clearly getting live
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: value On Tampa bay. Here, LIKE i, know THE nfl
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: home home field doesn't matter that. MUCH i Think Tampa
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: bay's home field is more Than carolinas. Is by the,
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: way even Though carolina did pretty decently at home this,
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: year you got to think that these teams probably in
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: a scenario like, this probably the home field is like
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: one and a half to two points, Probably so how
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: Could Tampa bay possibly be just two and a half
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: or three here when they were basically that on the
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: road two weeks ago At. Carolina it makes no, Sense
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: like this line should be like five five and a.
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: Half so you're absolutely getting line value On Tampa.
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 2: Bay and why is?
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: That it's Because tampa looked like ass again last. Week,
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: well they lost To carolina two weeks, ago but it
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: was a close, game And i'll talk about more of
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: that game more in a. Second but they lost At
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: miami last Week so that was a bad game For Tampa.
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: Bay and everybody's overreacting right now to the fact That
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: Tampa bay's lost four games in a. Row they've lost
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: seven out of. Eight and you remember early in the,
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: SEASON i was Saying Tampa bay was gonna, regress That
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: mayfield was gonna regress BECAUSE i don't actually think he's.
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: Great Tampa bay was winning a ton of close, games
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: SO i told you that they were gonna. Regress but
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: at this, POINT i think we're actually getting value on,
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 1: them whereas they Think Tampa bay was overvalued in the
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: middle of the. Season it's been like a tale of two,
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: seasons AND i think the Real Tampa bay will the
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: Real Tampa bay stand. UP i think the Real Tampa
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: bay exists somewhere in the middle of those. Two they're
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: not as good as they looked early in the. Season
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: they're not as bad as they've looked in this last half.
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: Season and that was A carolina sandwich they were in Against.
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: MIAMI i Liked miami to cover in that.
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: One.
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: Miami there's also not a lot of game film On. Quinn,
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: viewers you, know it was kind of a weird spot. There,
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: Yeah tampa didn't do well in that. Game But tampa's
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: been in every one of these, games. MAN i, mean
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: they had the possibility of winning all these. Games and
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: the last time they were at home was that loss
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: on primetime To. Atlanta SO i think they're gonna be
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: happy to return back home and avenge that. Loss if you,
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: remember they were winning that game by fourteen in the fourth. Quarter.
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: Man so it's not Like Tampa bay is having no
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: chance in these games or anything like. That like they've
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: been winning most of these, games and they were winning
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: a lot of the game Against carolina as, well though
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: the game was close the whole. Way but if you
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: look at what happened in this, Game tampa was actually
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: the better team in this. Game they, LED i, think
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: for more of the game Than carolina. Did but if
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: you look at the stat, Sheet Tampa bay Outgained carolina
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: by twenty one.
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 2: Yards they lost the turnover battle by.
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: One they had more so they were the less disciplined,
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: team but they had more first, downs they had way
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: more time of possession by nine. Minutes So Tampa bay
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: was actually the better team in this. Game. Man it
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: just so happened that they wound up losing the game
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: at the. End but, again the final score doesn't tell
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: you the whole story, here, man And Tampa bay was
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: a little bit better than it. Looked and then we
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: also have experience. Here which team is more? EXPERIENCE i,
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: mean come, on, man it's so, obvious it's not even.
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: Close like this is effectively a playoff game. Here which
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: quarterback would you rather have? Here a very Inexperienced Bryce
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: youngyear would you rather Have Baker? Mayfield even THOUGH i
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: KNOW i just SAID i don't think he's actually that good,
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: Whatever but come, on, MAN i, Mean Baker, mayfield he
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: has multiple playoff wins in his. Career he's the way
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: more EXPERIENCED. Qb Tampa bay has been here and done.
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: That and until further, NOTICE i don't see a reason
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: to Fade Tampa bay, here, Man, like until they actually
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: lose the, division there's still the team to beat in the, division,
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: Man and they're the team with. Experience they're the team
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: that's been here and done this, repeatedly so they're, very
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: very very used to doing, this Whereas carolina is. Not
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: carolina is still this, young upstart, team so they're not
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: used to being in a scenario like. This SO i
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: think the fact That Tampa bay has done it many times.
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: BEFORE i think that helps as. Well So Tampa bay
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: is the side in this. Game, Man that is my
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: play in this. One we're gonna see what the market
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: winds up looking. Like, Here panthers fifty five percent of,
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: tickets fifty six percent of the cash for, now we'll
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: see what. HAPPENS i think The panthers are gonna be
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: a square side in this, game, though because we'll ALSO
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: i forgot to look at what Is carolina done? Recently,
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: Well carolina lost To seattle last, week but the public's
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: not gonna weigh that game that. Heavily, Like, yeah, okay
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: they lost to a good Team, seattle nobody's really gonna
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: Knock carolina for.
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 2: That i'm not gonna knock them.
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: Either But carolina's just looked better Than Tampa bay, recently
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: just because they've won some games, recently including Against Tampa,
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: bay and they beat The rams not that long. Ago
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: so the public wants nothing to do With Tampa bay,
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: though because they've been so. Ugly, Man Tampa, bay they've
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: lost six of their last seven, games so no public
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: better is gonna want to lay points With Tampa bay.
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: Here BUT i actually think there's value in doing. It
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: that's what we're gonna. Do and, yes according to pregame,
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: here it looks like the look, ahead which was the
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: line prior to last week's, games was actually only three
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: and a. Half AND i think that would have actually
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: been slightly low as. Well but if you're gonna give
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: us a better number than that and give us the,
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: Hook i'm all for. It and the money looks like
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: it's slightly coming in on the under in this game as.
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: Well seventy seven percent of tickets on the, over seventy
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: six percent of the cash on the. OVER i know
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 1: the last time these two teams, played it landed right
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: around this. Number it landed forty three and the totals forty,
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: four and there were a lot of field goals in that.
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: Game BUT i know both defenses are not that. Good
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: BUT i could see this game being kind of a
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: it like a playoff, atmosphere and in a playoff, atmosphere
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: a lot of times the game starts out really low.
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: Scoring SO i don't hate the under in the. GAME
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: i think it makes maybe more sense to go under
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: in like the first half or something like, that like
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: kind of WHAT i do with Like Super bowls and
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: stuff like, that where the teams kind of feel each
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: other out a little bit early in the, game although
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: that tends to be more the case with teams that
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: don't know each other well though these teams do know each.
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: Other but then, again because these teams know each, other
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: that means they know how to defend each other's offense
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: is what the offenses are gonna, Do so that still
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: kind of lends itself a bit more towards an under
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: type of game. There SO i don't mind an under
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: in that, game BUT i Like Tampa bay in that.
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: Game and then the second game up Is seahawks forty nine,
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: ers which has somewhat fewer implications here because both teams
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: are already in the, playoffs so there is.
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 2: That so this is a.
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: Game about seeding at eight pm also ON abc AND.
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: Espn here now for this, GAME i, mean the line
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: looks really really. Bizarre where The seahawks prior to last week's,
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: GAMES i guess we're gonna be a one point. Dog
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: now they've moved to a two and a half point.
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: Favorite they were a one point favorite when this line came,
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: up but now they're two and a half and this
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: just looks really really, odd, Right, like how could The
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: seahawks be a favorite on the road against the forty
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: nine ers team that's looked really really hot. RECENTLY a
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: forty Nine ers team that's scoring all over the place
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: like a dude in a horrorhouse or. SOMETHING i don't,
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: know but the line looks very very, strange. MAN i,
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: mean the public is not gonna be on The seahawks
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: side in this game seeing The oh my, GOD i
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: get the forty Nine ers as an underdog at home
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: and they can score like, this sixty nine percent of,
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: ticket sixty nine percent of the cash on the forty Nine. Ers,
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: now if you liked The, SEAHAWKS i think you kind
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: of missed the boat because they were like a one point.
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: Favorite you could have like money lined to them or
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: something like. That and this line is headed towards, three
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: WHICH i really didn't expect it to get that. FAR i,
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: mean maybe there will be some take back on the
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: forty Nine ers because this line seems to be getting
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: a little. High ALTHOUGH i do agree with The seahawks
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: side in this, game BUT i do have concern about
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: it as. Well but first of, all, yes The seahawks
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: are the better defense, here and that is pretty much
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: the main reason why the public likes, offense which is
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 1: the forty Nine. Ers the forty nine ers defense is
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: actually not very good right, now even though they Have
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: Robert salad. THERE i, mean he's doing his, thing but
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: the forty nine ers just have an like an immensely
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: injury playing, defense like they're Without they've been without their
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: two best defensive players most of the, year so that
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: is a. Problem even, though, yes the forty Nine ers
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: have the better, offense and they have the quarterback who's
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: more experienced and has been better in big, games so,
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: yes Brock perty there are some advantages. There and that's
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: really the concern about The seahawks is the quarterback play.
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: Here that's the thing you really have to be worried
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: about with The seahawks here now getting the better, DEFENSE
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: i would much prefer doing it if they were an,
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: underdog Right like if The niners were a one point,
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: favorite it would be a lot more a tempting to
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 1: grab the one. Point with The seahawks here laying them
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: is a. Favorite as the better, DEFENSE i definitely worry about.
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: That like we need to see more out Of sam Donald.
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: Man that's kind of the issue, Here Sam, donald we
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: know what he's. Done he's turned into a pumpkin in
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: all these big games like The rams last year and
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: The lions last, year just absolutely made him look awful
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: in those big, games like it seems like he crumbles
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: under the. Pressure AND i know he had that big
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 1: win over The rams in a huge comeback the other,
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: Week BUT i don't know IF i Trust donald man
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: some of his other games recently have been bad, Too
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: like the second half of the, season he's actually been.
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 2: Pretty, bad like HIS qbr has.
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: BEEN i think below fifty for the majority of the
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: second half of the, season which is not. Good SO
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: i don't know IF i Trust donald Like purdy is
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: definitely the more TRUSTWORTHY, qb And purdy has been mister
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: clutch this. Year Like purdy, has the has like historically
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 1: good numbers on third down this, year which is. Crazy
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: but all that being, said, yes the public is gonna
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: Overvalue San francisco here BECAUSE i, mean look at what
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: they've done. Recently they put up thirty, seven forty, eight
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: and forty two points in the last three, games but
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: two of those were Against tennessee And. INDIANAPOLIS i, mean
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: those teams not terrific, defensively but then neither Of.
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 2: Chicago chicago was also bad.
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: Defensively but everybody saw that game where it was a track,
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: meet like both teams went up and down the. Field
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: San francisco looked awesome in winning that game because they
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: could just score all over the. Place so the public
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: is gonna be On San francisco after seeing, that and
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: they're just Ignoring, SEATTLE i think for the most, part
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: Because seattle just had that win Against carolina last. Week nobody.
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: Cares they didn't look good a couple weeks before that
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: barely Beating Phillip Rivers indianapolis team there In rivers Debut.
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: Indianapolis they showed up for that. Game they played well
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: defensively in that. Game so, yeah a lot of stuff
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: going on in this. GAME i THINK i leaned to
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: The seahawks in this. Game but, yeah, MAN i MEAN
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: i can't make it a.
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 2: PLAY i MEAN i.
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 1: CAN'T i still can't Trust Sam. DARNOLD i, mean we'll
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 1: see what happens in this. Game and, now the motivation,
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: HERE i think is the same on both sides, Though so,
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: basically whoever wins this game is gonna win the division
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: and be the one seed in the. Playoffs so that's
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: what's at stake. Here the winner gets the one, seed
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: the loser will fall to a. WILDCARD i believe if
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: The seahawks, lose they are guaranteed the five, seed so
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: the top wildcard the forty Nine, ERS i, believe could
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 1: either be the five or the, six depending on WHAT i,
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: forget which which is the other game that matters? There but,
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 1: YEAH i forget exactly what the scenario. Is but the
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: forty Nine ers could be either one of those right,
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 1: now five or the. Six but, again teams don't really
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: care about. Seeding but obviously both teams are motivating in
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 1: this game because they both want to win the. Division
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: so even THOUGH i don't think just changing your seeding
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: is a motivating, factor obviously in this, game winning the,
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: division having home field throughout is going to motivate these two.
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: Teams these two teams also don't like each other and
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: the forty Nine by the, way if they win and
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: they get the one, seed they never have to leave home,
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: again including the Super bowl if they actually make it.
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 2: There the forty Nine ers are hosting The.
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: San francisco is hosting The Super bowl this, year so
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: if the forty Nine ers win this, game they never leave,
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: again which is, insane but that is the. Case we
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: only had one other, TEAM i, think ever in my,
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: Recollection ever actually hosts The Super, bowl and that was
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: a weird scenario during THE covid. Years it Was Tampa
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: bay when they won against the forty nine. ERS i
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: believe it, was although that was Not Brock purty back,
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: then it Was Jimmy, garoppolo AND i, think, right AM
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: i wrong about?
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 3: THAT i don't.
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: Know, maybe, YEAH i think it Was jimmy G i don't,
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: KNOW i, forget but it was, no, no, no it Was
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: Tampa bay against The. Chiefs my, Mistake yeah it Was,
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: yeah what AM i? Saying it Was Brady, mahomes, Right?
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: Yeah AND i think MAYBE i don't, know Maybe i'm
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: remembering all of. It, well, yeah it couldn't have Been
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: Tampa it couldn't have Been Tampa bay against the forty
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: nine ers because they're BOTH. Nfc what AM i talking? About,
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: yeah it must have been The. Chiefs but that was,
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: Yeah Tom brady's Last Super bowl. Whatever but that game
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: was hilariously At Tampa. Bay AND i think it was
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: completely rigged as, well because it was DURING, Covid so
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: what better than to have the home, team you, know
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: than to have one of the teams that's hosting The
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: Super bowl beIN the Super?
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 2: Bowl you know WHAT i?
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: Mean it was, stupid but, Yes Tampa bay won that game.
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 2: Easily so if.
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: The forty nine ers hosts the Super, bowl it might
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: be a little bit of an edge to them playing at.
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: Home but we'll. See because of, course everybody travels to
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: the Super bowl, anyway, though so whoever their opponent is
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: will still have a lot of fans in the crowd. Regardless,
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: now the other thing that you do need to look
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 1: at in this game is these two teams played In
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 1: week one And San francisco won At. Seattle so, yes
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: technically it is one of those divisional road revenge angles
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: here WHERE i talk about when a team loses the
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: first divisional game at, home they'll be more motivated to
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 1: win the game on The BUT i think you can
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: just throw that out completely in this game because both
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: teams are gonna show up for this. Game, obviously this
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: is a different scenario with the number one seed at,
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 1: stake BUT i think what does matter is what happened
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: in this.
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 2: Game let's look at the box.
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: Score, Well San francisco actually dominated this, game even though
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: they only won seventeen to. Thirteen Brock purdy did play
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: in this. Game he was hurting like the middle of the,
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: season but he played. Here San francisco Outgained seattle three
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: eighty four to two thirty in the, game out first
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: down them twenty four to, fourteen and outpossessed them almost
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: thirty eight to twenty. TWO i, mean this was total
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: domination by the forty nine. Ers so that is a
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: concern if you do like The, seahawks that the forty
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: nine ers destroyed them in this, game even though The
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: seahawks did have a chance to win the game at the.
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: End and of Course Sam darnold pumpkined himself at the
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: end and turned it over although it was, YEAH i,
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 1: MEAN i think it was kind of his, fault even
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: though like one of his linemen kind of ran into
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 1: him and caused the. Fumble but. Whatever so hopefully that's
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 1: enough information on that. Game it's been a long show
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: here this, morning but that's gonna do, it. Man SO
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 1: i do lean To seattle on that, one AND i
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 1: Guess i'll talk about the total real quick in that,
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: game seventy eight percent of tickets on the, over fifty
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 1: seven percent of the cash on the. Over the total
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: is at a key number of forty seven and a.
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: Half.
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: HERE i like the under in this, game even THOUGH
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: i know these teams made a very low scoring game
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: In week, one but nobody's gonna remember. That basically what
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: everybody saw was the forty Nine ers just putting up
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: a shit ton of points three weeks in a. Row
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: so the public is only gonna play an over in this,
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 1: game AND i think it might be more of a.
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 2: Like slugfest to some.
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: EXTENT i think both teams might be running the football
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: in this game more than you would. Think and The
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 1: seahawks need to run the football because they want to
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: keep the forty nine ers potent offense off the. Field
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 1: so The seahawks are gonna need to be running the
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: football in this, game and they don't want to have
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 1: that much pressure On Sam. Donald so The seahawks definitely
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: will be, running and the forty Nine ers might be
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: doing it as. Well With christian McCaffrey there of, course
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 1: the forty Nine ers have the ability to run the
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: football as. Well and it's you, know it's a divisional
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: matchup where the teams know each other, well you, know
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: the whole. Deal they know how to defend each. Other
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 1: SO i think the under is actually a better play
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: in this game than in The Panthers buccaneers. Game but
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: we will see what. Happens that's gonna do. It thank
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: you guys for hanging out masters of their own. Domain
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 1: you have More seinfeld references, there like me At. Porkfest,
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: YEAH i mean defined scoring dirty. Sock what's up? Man,
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: yes good, Morning, yes thank you, Sir thank you. Everybody,
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: caro AND i apologize THAT i am leaning against two
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 1: of your. Teams oh, RIGHT i forgot the market. Read
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 1: let's go to the market read real quick once. Again
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 1: my plays, today by the, way basketball Are Wake forest
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: minus the, Points Boston college plus the, points And Long
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: Beach state moneyline or minus the, points depending what number
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: you actually find out.
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 2: There and then in hockey we.
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 1: Have THE, bjs The Blue jackets on the money, LINE
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: nba were laying the points of The, raptors AND nfl
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: we're gonna play on The Tampa Bay. Buccaneers i'm hoping
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: we get two and a half on that. Though but
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: those are the plays here, now as far as the market.
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: Read final market read in college basketball, here we're gonna
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: look at just my games real. Quick. Here by the,
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: WAY i, SAID i LIKED Nc state quite a bit as.
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: Well the money does seem to be indicating on, them
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 1: for what it's, worth a lot of my other leans
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: are kind of like the indicators seem to be right on,
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: Here Wake.
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 2: Forest they're up to five and a.
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 1: Half, yeah and they do have the money on, them
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: so that market read is looking pretty good for.
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 2: Me in that.
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 1: One For Boston, college, yep the money this looks like
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 1: a HOME i pros Versus joe's split coming into play
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 1: on that, One so that looks good as.
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 2: Well so, YEAH bc.
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: Is looking good Long. BEACH i apologize that they moved
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: a little bit up to, two BUT i think it's
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: still get a good number on that. One and we
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: don't see the percentages yet on that, game so not
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 1: a whole lot to read. Into and THEN i Promised
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: GARRETT i would look AT Smu North carolina here hang,
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 1: on so this market read is all OVER. Smu. Dude
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 1: North carolina looks like they were a two point, favorite
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: ALTHOUGH i SAW smu as a one point favorite last.
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 2: Night North carolina is a one point favorite.
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: Now but the, public LIKE i, said the public is
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 1: On North carolina at sixty seven percent of the, Tickets
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: they're a public. Side quite, obviously it looks way too
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: easy to play them fifty eight percent of tickets ON.
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: Smu LIKE i, SAID i LEAN smu in that. Game
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: that's the way that it. Is the market read is
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: indicating THAT i think the rankings makers are telling you
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: something that's not quite, accurate and the odds makers are
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: kind of telling you what you should think in this.
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 1: Game but, YES i worry THAT smu is not very
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: battle tested in that. GAME i talked about it last.
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 1: Night you can go see my analysis on that. Game
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: but IF i was gonna play, it, YES i would
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 1: lean TO smu in that. Game and it looks like
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 1: a lot of my opinions THAT i had last night
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 1: look like they're kind of panning out in the. Market
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: SO i guess take that for what it's. Worth BUT
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: i like to, tennesseee that's looking correct at the. Moment
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 1: what else.
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 2: DID i have there last?
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: Night some of these earlier, GAMES i, Said, villanova and
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: they're actually looking like they're getting the. Money kentucky in
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: The fate Of. Alabama seems like the money's agreeing with
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: me on that one. Too so, again you, know it's
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: we're trying to trying to be right and handicap all these.
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: Things you, know we're trying to get wins. Here that's
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 1: all we're trying to. Do that's gonna do, it, Man
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: i'll learn it tone On. Instagram thank, you. Sir hopefully
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: we win of, course thanks everybody for hanging. Out learn
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 1: A tone On. TWITTER i got subscriptions. There now learn
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 1: A tone On. Instagram you'll see my other videos come
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 1: out shortly for these games, here like subscribe and listen
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 1: to the show, here, man let's get more. Subscribers let's
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 1: or like subscribe REPLY i should, say let's get these
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: YouTube numbers pumped, up, man and then listen on.
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 2: Audio we're on.
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 1: Audio apple And spotify can give me good reviews there and.
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: Listen that helps me. Out covered in you because my
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 1: yuke channel on, YouTube you.
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 2: Can check that out as. Well want to build that
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 2: up as.
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 1: Well patroon dot com slash learn to toad you can
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: get bonus yut content AND i am on The loser,
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 1: cast so you can check that out as.
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 2: Well the comedy.
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: Podcast we do one to two shows a week nominating Losers,
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: baby so you can check that out as. Well AND
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 1: i will be on a great pilled tomorrow night With
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: jewels at, SOMEBODY i think around eight pm or So
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: eastern something like, that so be on the lookout for,
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 1: that And i'll be back tonight to do THE Nfl
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: week eighteen, show which is gonna be, crazy AND i
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: Think i'm probably gonna have two or three, plays to be,
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: honestly there are a few situations That i'm kind of, like,
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: yeah you, know makes, Sense so we'll. See hopefully we
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: can we can get. That, yeah hopefully we can get
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: some or wins in THE. Nfl here is WHAT i should,
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: say AND i KNOW i usually give out like teaser
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: plays and. Whatever and of, course With seattle being minus
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 1: two and a, half now you can you can Tease
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: Sar francisco up to plus eight and a half if
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: you want. To even THOUGH i kind of Think seattle's
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 1: gonna win the, GAME i don't know how likely it
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: is that the defensive team Like seattle's gonna win by
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 1: a huge margin like that on the, road probably not as.
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: Likely so Sarred cisco in a teaser might not be
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 1: a horrible, idea but there are a couple other teaser
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 1: legs THAT i like a lot better. Tomorrow so if
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 1: you have open ended, teasers you could throw one in
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 1: On San francisco for tonight and then tie it in with.
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 1: Tomorrow BUT i will tell you THAT i think The
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 1: Minnesota vikings make a great teaser if they're at seven
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: and a half, here if you can get them down
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: to one and a, HALF i love The Minnesota vikings
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 1: in a, Teaser and then it's just a matter of
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: what else do you kind of? Want maybe sits a
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: natty because they're in kind of a similar spot to The.
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 1: VIKINGS i think sits a. Natty teasing them down to
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: below field goal is worth maybe putting in a teaser as.
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 1: Well so, yeah those are WHAT i would. Do it's sus,
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: WELL i Know San francisco is a public, side but
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 1: LIKE i don't, Know, like how likely is it That
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 1: San francisco is gonna lose at home in this game
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: by eight eight and a half? POINTS i, MEAN i don't.
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: KNOW i think for a tea it's a long, teaser,
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: MAN i mean it's long. Teasers you can kind of
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 1: just do blindly and make money if you get them
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: right before game time when the market is at its
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 1: most fine, tune and you just fade, it go through
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: all the key numbers of seven and three basically, seven
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: four and three either up or, down and it's it's
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 1: it is a long term money maker if you could
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 1: pay like minus one twenty minus one twenty five or,
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: better but not so much at minus one thirty and
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: that is a two teams six point teaser is What
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 1: i'm talking. About but, YES i Mean San francisco wouldn't
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: be my favorite of the teaser legs really got The
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 1: minnesota would be in A cincinnati seems like not a
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: bad one. Either i'll mention it tonight as. Well probably
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 1: that's gonna do it for. Now, peace, Everybody Happy. Saturday