Latest / Toadstool Sports / Thursday BEST BETS | Rainouts | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 4/30/26

Transcript

Thursday BEST BETS | Rainouts | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 4/30/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses,
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four that have
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with wookends the slump
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've reached into pink. Actually,
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: I'm going to burn my broins hat man, I don't
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: know what is going on with the bruins archhape? Is
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: that what it is? I don't even know it's It's
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I don't
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: know what day it is anymore. I don't even know
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: what day it is anymore. Man, back with you after
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: the worst day that I could possibly have, Back with
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: you as I always am until I die, at least
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did not go
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: well for me. Own five. The worst month that I've
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: know what to even tell you about this anymore. To
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: the Slump series, the slump discontinues, the slump continues. Somebody
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: should do at this point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody's towed back with you with Toadstool Sports.
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: It is Thursday, April thirtieth, last day of my birth month.
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: Man one on one on the show yesterday because we
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: had a rain out in the Houston Baltimore game. We
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: have the same pitching matchup today though, so spoiler, we're
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: just gonna go with that same play again and that's
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: gonna be my only baseball play of the day, and
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: then I will have a hockey play and NBA play
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: today as well. Don't love the baseball board. A lot
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: of rainouts. We have two doubleheaders today, so got to
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: talk about all that. We did win with the under
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: easily and Yankees Rangers Nathany Vivaldi shut out performance from him.
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: He was back in form, which is what we needed
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: for that under to happen, and that is what happened.
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: Elmer for the Yankees was not great. I'm kind of
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: happy that the Yankees lost, just as a Yankee hater
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: slash Red Sox fan. But you know, the under was
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: a winner easily, so I'm happy about that. The Red
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: Sox are obviously fucked. Brian Bao is gonna have to
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: remain in the rotation as Sonny Gray is injured. And
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: now Garrett Crushet is injured, which I thought we already
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: knew because he obviously did not look right. Alex Kora, No,
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: he's not hurt at all. Yeah, Okay, obviously that was
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: not correct because he's on the d I'm gonna keep
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: calling it the DL. I don't care, man. Oh it's
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: we can't use that terminology anymore. It's ablest. Yeah whatever.
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: And then we lost with the Cleveland Calves. Thanks Calves, uh,
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: because the they won, but they didn't cover. They had
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: chances to cover at the end even though they were
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: losing the game by double digits in the third quarter.
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: Toronto shot sixty seven percent from the field in the
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: first half or something like that, and over fifty percent
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: from three. And we're talking about a Toronto team. It
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: is not a good offensive team. It was just such
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: an outlier. Dude, like come on, how can this keep happening? Like,
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: I don't think my plays are that bad, and we
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: keep getting hit by these ridiculous shooting performances from the
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: other teams. I'm really I'm more angry about it than
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: ever because, like all of my other leans were correct.
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: The Red Sox game went over. Although maybe that was
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a weaker play than the Toronto side,
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: was obviously the right call in that game. One extra
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: run had to get scored late in the game to
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: send it over, so it barely got over. But I
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: was right about the Braves, although they won on a walkoff,
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: so I had that correct. The Rockies won easily, so
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: that lean was correct. My NBA leans on the totals
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: the two overs in the Pistons game. In the Cavs
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: game bose both hit as well. My lean towards the
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: Houston Rockets that was a winner as well. So I'm pissed. Man.
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: It's like I just maybe I should just splash the board,
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: just put money on everything. I'm trying to be selective
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: and pick the right plays. Cleveland had a nine point lead.
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: They're right there on that number, although I know you
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: might have had to lay nine and a half or something.
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: They were right there on the number with four minutes
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: to go, They're up nine, they have all the momentum.
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: I'm like, all right, they're actually gonna do this. No, nope,
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: no they don't. They were also still winning by nine
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: in the final minute. But no, let's just fail. All right.
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: We got to talk about all these games today, man,
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: I'm try to run through these. Detroit at Atlanta's first up.
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: Atlanta's on the version of sweep, and you know I
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: talk about when teams are going for the sweep a
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: lot of times they will overlook that opponent because they
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: beat them. Although Atlanta did win against school Ball yesterday.
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: School Ball had the upper hand a little bit in
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: the game, but Atlanta was in the game and they
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: won on a Mattlesome walk off right at the end.
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: So it's a dramatic win. So maybe let down maybe
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: for Atlanta here. I don't know. They're not going to
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: really be looking ahead though. Of the Rockies, you would
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: not think, but Detroit might bring in a little bit
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: of extra effort here. One thing that I will say
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: is the American League sucks. It blows. The Yankees and
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay are like the only teams above a game
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: above five hundred, like more than a game above five
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: hundred in the AL. The AL is horrible. The National
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: League has dominated an inter league play so far, so
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: that is definitely something to keep in mind when we're
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: looking at these inter league games here. That's the way
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: that it is. The National League is the stronger league.
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: I think that will remain the case. As far as
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: the bullpen usage. Yesterday, Atlanta has the better bullpen. They
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: used two relief pitchers just and we know some of
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: the high leverage arms came in Detroit. Janssen their clothes
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: or blew it yesterday, so they did use him. They
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: used two relievers yesterday. The bullpens shape up such an
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: Atlanta is the better bullpen and the rest is similar.
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: So Atlanta's got the bullpen edge. They're one of the
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: top few bullpens in baseball. Detroit is in the bottom several.
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: So this is based on whip For the time being.
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: Detroit has had a decent offense. Atlanta has been hitting
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: really well as well. Both teams are in the top
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: six offensively over the course of the season. Right now,
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: Detroit might have the starting pitching edge here, but I
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, It's it's tough to figure this out.
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: From the Valdez is pitching for Detroit, and when I
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: just look at these names on the surface, I'm like, yeah,
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: I think Valdez is better than Elder, but right now
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: maybe he isn't. He's got a three point four to
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: one ERA one point three to one whip. That whip
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: is a little bit too high. He did walk five
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: guys in his last outing. Maybe he walked two five
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: guys afterwards. You know, just this guy's pretty fat. So
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: five eleven, two thirty's just pounding some burgers after a
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: loss like that. I don't know, man, Well, he was
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: in Cincinnati, so it might have been Skyline Chile from
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: or Skyline. But he's got a twenty four to fourteen
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: strike at walk ratio now, which is not good. The
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: walk number is bad. The strikeout rate is actually pretty
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: low for him, with thirty four to third innings pitch
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: only thirty one hits allowed. Though I'm not gonna say
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: he's been awful because he's allowed more than two urn
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: runs only once this season. But there's something a little
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: bit off about him right now. Against the Braves, his
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: numbers are fine, in one hundred and eleven at bats,
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: thirty to ten strike at walk ratio two forty three
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: batting average allowed, seven to thirty eight ohps allowed. It's
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: not good or bad really, so it's hard to gauge.
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: Bryce Elder is pitching for Atlanta. He's been surprisingly good
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: this season so far one point nine to five vra
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: point nine to seven whip. I expect regression out of him, though, Man,
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: he's not that great of a strikeout guy thirty one
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: strikeouts in thirty seven innings, but he's only allowed ten
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: walks twenty six hits, so his numbers are good. He's
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: allowed three or fewer earned runs in every outing, although
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: exactly three in the last two, but those are a
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: couple of his deeper outings as well. He's pitching pretty well, man,
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: I mean, there's no way around it, really. Even though
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: I don't think he's that good, his numbers have stunk
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: for the last couple of seasons. He might do okay here,
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: though Detroit only has twenty at bats against some only
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: six of their hitters have faced him. They only have
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: one extra base hit, which is a Torkulsin home run.
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: They have five strikeouts, no walks, against some one to
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: fifty batting average four fifty ops. You know, I think
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: Atlanta it does look like they have a little bit
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: of an edge there. If you want to look at
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: matchup numbers. Even current form, Atlanta minus won thirty three.
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: Of course, pregame still has not fixed their shit, so
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: we can't see the percentages and wager talk. Their odd
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: screen is completely down, So I'm I'm blind. I'm fucking
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: blind here, man, I don't know what to tell you.
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: I'm Stevie wondering this shit today. I would lean to
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: Atlanta on the money line in that game. Probably. I
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: suppose you could make some arguments for an under in
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: the game. I don't know if I love Detroit's bullpen,
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: but Atlanta's bullpen. You know, with the starting pitching, you
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: could make the argument both pitchers could duel here, so
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't necessarily disagree the totals at eight and a half.
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: But I don't know, man, Atlanta money line might cash
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: in this one, even though I do tend to like
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: the team trying to avoid the sweep. I don't know,
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: but obviously there are reasons why I don't want anything
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: to do with that game. Dirty sock what's up. Thanks
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: for hanging out. Next game, we'll talk about the doubleheaders.
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: Just these are the two doubleheader games Houston and Baltimore
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: and then San Francisco Philadelphia. I'm just gonna talk about
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: all four games in one swoop here or try to
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: first game Houston and Baltimore. ESPN says it's gonna be
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: McCullers against Bassett, but I can tell you it is not.
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: Based on what we see here. McCullers is actually gonna
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: pitch the second game against Brandon Young. So the pitching
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: matchup in game one is the same. This is one
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: where I would just make sure that you're doing starting
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: pitchers must start here because we are gonna make the
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: same play that I was gonna make yesterday between Houston
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: and Baltimore. It is the same pitching matchup. It is
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: Lambert against Bassett. Baltimore is a small favorite. The total
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: is somewhat high in the nine like the nine range,
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: although it has dropped a little bit. But if you
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: saw my show yesterday, you know what this play is already,
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: because we're just keeping the same play. It wound up
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: being a no play yesterday. Oh whoops? Was I not
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: sharing my screen? I apologize. Yeah, dude, I'm like so
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: messed up this morning, but yeah, hopefully you got all
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: that Valdez versus Elder. I'll show it real quick whatever,
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: just so you know I'm not lying. Man. Here are
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: the Valdez matchup numbers against the Braves, Bryce Elder against Detroit.
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: There you go, all right, anyway, this is going to
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: beat Lambert against Bassett. So ESPN does not have this correct.
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: We're gonna do Houston first five again, although I've only
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: found it at plus one hundred this time and not
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: plus one oh two, but whatever. Some of the books
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: didn't even have the number available yet. But anything in
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: that range I think is fine. Obviously, we're still gonna
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: exclude Houston's bullpen, even though the bullpen's arrested. Here, Houston's
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: bullpen is at a huge disadvantage. They're the worst bullpen
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: in Baseball era over six The whip is one point
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: six' eight. Horrible don't want any part of. It we're
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: going with the cernety Pitching. Baltimore their bullpen is, alright
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: there's sixth in. Whip their era is in the fours,
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: though but still obviously the better. Bullpen houston has hit
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: pretty Well. Baltimore, uh their offense hasn't been too bad
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: at tenth in. Ops houston remains one of the TOP
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: ops teams, Though so their offense is, good AND i
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna be able to hit Against bassett. Here
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: if you wanted to Go, houston you, know over their
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: team dote or something like, that you could do that.
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: Too if you can find a first five Inning houston
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: over their team, total that makes sense to. Me we're
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: looking To lambert. Here he is pitching in this. ONE
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: i handicapped it, yesterday So i'm gonna try to do it.
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: Quick but he's got a three point twenty SEVEN era
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: one point two to seven whip is a little bit.
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: High but he's only made two starts so, far and
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: his career was not off on the right foot With.
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: Colorado so, yeah there is the chance that maybe he's
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: not good and you, know his career really got. Delayed
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: he's twenty. Nine he's never really amounted to anything but
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: pitching In colorado, sucks. DUDE i, mean come, on like
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: you're trying to pitch a corps. FIELD i don't. KNOW
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: i mean that may have had some effect on his
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: numbers this, season so, far he's been all right enough
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: THAT i prefer him Over, bassett and he Faced Saint,
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: louis did give up four runs. There we got the
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: over correct in that game BECAUSE i didn't Trust. Lambert
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: but he had an eight to one strike a walk.
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: Ratio and, yes he did walk three guys Against, cleveland
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: but he shut them out for six. Innings he's got
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: sixteen k's and eleven, innings ten hits, allowed four. Walks
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: the walks are a little bit, high but he's striking guys,
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: out so he's fooling. Guys he's not that hit a.
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: BLEM i know he didn't face like the greatest offenses,
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: year But Saint louis has hit. Okay, Yeah baltimore's a
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: little bit better than those other, offenses but they haven't
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: seen much of. Him four their heroes have faced and
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: they're two for nine off. Him the only hits have
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: come From, alonso one extra base hit a triple. There
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: they have three, strikeouts one walk against, him two twenty
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: two average seven to forty four. Ohps but he's fairly
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: unfamiliar to. Them their numbers aren't really that good against,
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: him and we're Fading Chris. Bassett Here Man bassett has been.
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: Awful six point seventy FIVE ra two point zero six
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: whip AS i keep, SAYING i was raising the alarm
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: on this guy last year Because i'm, like this guy
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: is not as good as he. Looks he's not as
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: good as his era. Suggests he's in his later. Thirties
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: he throws all, fastballs like all different kinds of. Fastballs
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: major league hitters can hit that, shit even if you're
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: changing up your movement on them and. Whatever he's not, good,
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: dude even though he is better at. HOME i will
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: give you, that but it's not good. Enough this year
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: he has ten strikeouts in thirteen walks and thirty one
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: hits a lot in twenty one to third. Innings this is, ugly,
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: ugly ugly. STUFF i Know baltimore's won his last three,
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: outings but he got run support in. Those Maybe baltimore
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: realizes they got a hit behind him because he. Blows
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: but these numbers are just not something you could back at.
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: All And houston has been able to hit. Him in
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty five at. Bats we have a
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: big sample eighteen to thirteen strike a walk ratio to
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: eighty eight average allowed eight ninety. Nine. Ops these are bad.
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: Numbers so we're still gonna do WHAT i was gonna do. Yesterday.
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: Houston let, ME i gotta edit this because this is
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: now game, one just so we're not confused, Here houston
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: in game. One Actually i'll put it in parentheses because
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: that doesn't look. Good, houston first five innings money line
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: in game? One is the? Play is that? READABLE i don't.
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: KNOW i don't. Know, man hold, ON i hate, DUDE
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: i hate. Streaming there you, go that's a little bit more.
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: Readable the spacing was, wrong all, Right, houston first five,
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: Inning game. One make sure it's pictures. Listed must start
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: because there is still a chance they swap pictures. Here right,
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: now it is listed as the one THAT i Want
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: lambert Against. Bassett if it's anything, else will just not
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: play the. Game Mister, pinzy what's, Up? Kyle what's? Up
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: thanks for hanging out? Everybody all? Right the second game
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: of the, doubleheader that means is going to Be lance,
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: mccullors probably Against Brandon. Young lance mccullors has really struggled
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: this year six point seven to FIVE vra one point five,
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: Whip and how hilarious is it that he had one
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: dominant start to open the season against The Boston Red,
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: sox And houston has lost all the rest of his,
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: games and he's absolutely been terrible on all the other.
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: STARTS i feel bad because he used to be a good.
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: Pitcher he's not bouncing back from injury very. Well he
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: has some games that are, good but he's not trustworthy right.
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: Now twenty four to thirteen strike out walk ratio basically
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: one hit per inning in twenty five and a third.
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: Innings not much to like here for, mccullors numbers Against
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: baltimore are mediocre and twenty eight at bats nine to
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: five strike out walk ratio is not very. Good two
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: fifty average, fine ninety two ohps not. Great Taylor ward
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: is three for nine with the home run off of
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: a couple walks a couple of. Strikeouts not. Really, YEAH
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: i would not want anything to do with. McCullers he's
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: going up Against Brandon. Young if these pitching matchups do
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: stand here And firefox continues to be a piece of
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: shit with the split view the shit. View Brandon young
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: actually has good numbers so far this, year but it's
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: in a very limited. SAMPLE i, mean he's a, guy
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: he's twenty seven in his career hasn't really taken, off
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: even though he did have some. Upside there is still
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: a chance that he has like a decent, season you,
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: know something like. That but two point five to THREE,
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: era one point one to three whips so. Far but
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: it's only in two, starts and it was against The,
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: socks The White, sox and The Red. SOX i don't
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: know how impressive that really. Is these offenses are either
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: not good or not playing particularly, well and His Red
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: sox start was not totally. Impressive he has a seven
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: to three strikeout walk, ratio nine hits a lot in
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: ten and two thirds, innings didn't go that deep into the,
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: outings was pretty inefficient in The Red sox game with his.
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: PITCHES i don't, know, Man young is tough to figure
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: out his numbers Against. Houston they have five hitters who
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: have faced. Him twenty five at, bats four, strikeouts one,
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: walk two hundred average seven to ELEVEN, ops which is
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: far from. Convenient he's allowed two home runs to. Them
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: it's not a HORRIBLE, ops but it's not. GREAT i don't, know,
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: MAN i, mean this game is really anybody's. GUESTS i Think,
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: young you, know he's definitely a question, mark like he
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: could be, good he could. STINK i have no. IDEA
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: i don't want to try to. Guess mccullors could at
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: some point have a good, start just, randomly BUT i
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: don't trust, Him SO i Probably baltimore is the more
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: trustworthy team in that. Game they're, listed they're minus one
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: twenty seven right now in that that's game. TWO i,
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: suppose ohs IF i had to have an opinion on,
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: IT i GUESS i would lean To baltimore in that.
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: One maybe you Go baltimore over their team. Total that
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: makes a lot of. Sense the total in that game is.
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: Nine if you go over the team, total you're Taking
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: young's mystery out of the. Equation you're just going With
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: baltimore to hit mccollors and Hit houston's. Bullpen that makes
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: some sense to, me especially after there might be some
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: bullpen usage in the first. Game So baltimore over the
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: team total in the second game maybe makes some. Sense
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: next game up is we have a lot of afternoon
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: games because a lot of these teams have to travel.
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: Afterwards Saint louis At pittsburgh or so Sorry San francisco And.
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia the first game up is listed as the same
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: pitching matchup as, yesterday AND i believe it will, be
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: which is Loading web Against Christopher. Sanchez SO i did
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: handicap that game. Yesterday the total is. Low it's even
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: lower than it was. Yesterday it's at around seven because
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: this is expected to be a good pitching matchup between
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: two pretty strong. Starters bullpen's arena rested a little bit
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: because they didn't play yesterday And philly is a minus
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: won forty favorite in this. Game now the, bullpens Though
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: San francisco does have the better. Bullpen they're a top ten.
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: BULLPEN i think they're probably a little bit better than.
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: That philadelphia's bullpen has not been particularly. Good they are
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: where are they? AT i don't even know they are,
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: seventeenth so they're not horrible but not. Great San francisco
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: has the better. Bullpen philadelphia should have the better, offense
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: but they've really. Struggled they're still listed better than The
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: giants twenty seventh and twenty, ninth BUT i Think philadelphia's
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: offense is going to rise and has a much higher
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: ceiling than The giants offense. Does. NOW i handicapped this.
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: Yesterday Logan web his numbers are not really that good
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: so far this. Year four point eight SIX, era one
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: point three to eight. Whip but you kind of dig
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: into his, NUMBERS i, mean they're pretty similar to what
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: you usually get out of. Him he's allowed four or
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: fewer runs in every outing except the first one of
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: the season against The Yank he's so that's skewing his
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: numbers a little. Bit his walk number is a little bit.
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: High thirty two, strikeouts thirteen, walks thirty eight hits a
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: lot in thirty seven. Innings none of this is bad and,
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: really and at this point we know Who web. Is
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: he's usually a guy that will, grind go out, there
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: give you at least six innings basically every time. Out
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: he'll probably allow three or four. Runs usually his eray
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: is like in the high, THREES i, think and usually
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: a whip in the one. Twos he's. Steady his numbers
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: Against philadelphia are pretty good and sixty four at, bats
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: twenty one strikeouts and three. Walks that's a good ratio
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: one eighty eight batting average allowed five to thirty six.
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: Ops so it does look like a pretty good matchup
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: For web Against philly's. Offense sanchez For philly AS i
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: mentioned yesterday his numbers are weird right. Now his eray
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: is good two point nine to, four but his one
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: point six whip is very. Concerning he's allowed way too many.
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: Hits forty three to ten strikeout walk ratio in thirty
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: three to theirs. Innings that's not. Bad that's pretty much
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: what you get out Of. Sanchez very high strikeout. Rate
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: the walk rate's not that, bad but he's allowed forty four.
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: Hits so some combination of striking guys out but also
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: being too hittable very very. Strange it's kind of hard
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: to figure that out because usually strikeout guys are walking
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: too many guys more so than they were allowing too many. Hits,
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: Now sanchez has been good over the last couple of,
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: years SO i don't think that he's as bad as
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: his whip might make it suggest right. Now but he's
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: also not pitching as well as an era suggests so
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: far of the. Season he did Face San francisco, already
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: by the way back On april seventh In san fran
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: and he wasn't. Great he gave up eleven hits in that.
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: Game the other game where he gave a ton of
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: hits was the last outing against The. Cobs those were
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: his two weakest outings of the, Season SO i don't
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: know if that means Maybe San francisco is a little
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: bit more familiar with. Him they might hit him well
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: this time, Too it's, possible or he might pitch better
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: this time and figure SOMETHING o would after. That but
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: his numbers against The giants are actually not. Good in
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: eighty one at bats twenty three to, four strike a
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: walk ratio twenty excuse, me two ninety six batting average
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: a lot in seven to seventy four ohps not. Great
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: SO i Think webb does have some matchup edges, here
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: and The giants also have the better, bullpen and these
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: bullpens are now. RESTED i Like San francisco In game,
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: one just LIKE i said. Yesterday i'm not gonna make
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: it a, play BUT i would lean San francisco getting
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: them in a decent underdog, price OR i think they
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: might have the pitching edge throughout that, Game so that
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: is the way THAT i would lean. There the second
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: game in the doubleheader is going to, be, well it
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: says undecided, here BUT i believe it's gonna Be Adrian
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: hauser Against Andrew. Paynor howser And, painter or they're a. Team,
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: Dude howser builds the house in pain or paints. It,
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: yeah there you. Go they should be on the same.
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: Team but, no this is gonna be interesting again, though
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: because all these pitchers did just face these opponents, too Except. Logan,
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: webb by the, way actually did not Face philadelphia in
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: that last, series so he might have a little bit
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: of an extra advantage there Because philly did not see
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: him yet this. Year but then, Again webb has been
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: around for so. Long it's not like they're unfamiliar with.
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: Him you. Know where the unfamiliarity becomes no longer an
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: advantage is With Andrew, painter Which i'll talk about in a.
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: Minute BUT i Believe houser is gonna be the starter
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: here For, yeah it Says houser, here let's go with.
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: That we'll assume that is the, case that that's who
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: The giants are gonna start. Here houser hasn't been very
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: good this. Year he's been getting housed seven point three
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: SIX era one point seven to nine. Whip that's not.
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: Good he got blown up bad in his last start Against.
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: Miami maybe he bounces back from. THAT i Mean he's
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: not quite this bad he. Was he was at least
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: solid last, year SO i don't think he's this. Bad
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: maybe kind of getting used to his new. Environment but
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: he should be pitching better than this in the games
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: In San. Francisco and he did pitch In San francisco Against,
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: philly and he didn't do that well in the. Game
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: he gave up four and runs and six innings on nine,
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: hits three, strikeouts two. Walks, overall he has fourteen, strikeouts eight,
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: walks thirty eight hits a lot in twenty five and
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: two thirds. Innings, YEAH i, mean he's been way too
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: hittable this. Year that's not. Good San francisco's lost four
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: of his five. Outings that's all. Bad the one that
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: they won was an extra inning win where they scored
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: a lot of runs against a Bad washington pitching. Staff
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: howser Against philly has actually been alright. Though in seventy
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: four at bats two thirty average allowed seven h two o,
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: ps although again too many walks twenty to twelve strike
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: out walk, ratio but six of the walks Are, Schwerber
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: SO i think he just pitches around. Him Probably Andrew
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: painter will be going For, philadelphia and both of these
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: pitchers did just see these opposing. Hitters but For, PAINTER
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: i think that's an extra disadvantage Because painter had the
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: unfamiliarity edge the first time Facing San, francisco because he's
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: a young, guy, Dude he's he made his major league
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: debut this, season AND i think he does have some.
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: Upside he's got some good. Stuff he's a decent. Prospect
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: but the fact That San francisco has seen him and
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: he didn't even do well in that, outing even though
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: it was At San francisco pitcher friendly, park bad. Offense
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: he gave up four and runs on nine hits in four,
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: innings one, strikeout one. Walk that's not going to cut.
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: It so he might do better potentially this. Time but
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: now that The giants have seen, him The giants know
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: him a little bit better and they might be able
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: to hit him better this, time so he does not
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: have the unfamiliarity edge anymore. Here he hasn't been good
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: over the last few. Starts he had to Face arizona
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: and The braves twice, though so he has not had
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: it that. Easy those are pretty good, offenses so he you,
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: know maybe he gets a little bit of a reprieve
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: here facing The giants, again but he didn't do well
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: the last time against them. Seventeen they have a four
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: to seventy one average against, him one, strikeout one. Walk
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: LIKE i, said one thousand and forty seven, ops most
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: of the same guys are gonna be facing him again.
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: HERE i can't jump on the painter or bandwagon here right. Now. Man,
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: also his numbers on the season five point twenty FIVE,
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: r one point five whip that's not, good but a
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: twenty one to six strikeout walk ratio that is pretty.
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: Good so his command numbers are right on twenty four,
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: innings so the strike out rates not that. High thirty
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: hits allowed is really the. Problem he's been too, hittable
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: but his command numbers look. Good So i'm not gonna
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: Write Painter or off like he might actually. Pitch okay,
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: here it's a, mystery, man this. Game, yeah this game is,
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: very very hard to figure. OUT i don't really have
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: a good opinion on the game at. ALL i could
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: see it going. Over the total for some reason was
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: gonna be nine and a half and now it's. Seven,
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: LIKE i don't, know, Man like maybe a worst pitcher
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: was gonna be scheduled for this game out. Seven seven
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: seems low to me in this. ONE i know these
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: offenses haven't been, hitting but it's the second game of the.
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: Doubleheader the bullpens make it used in the first. Game,
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: again it's hard to handicap because you don't know what
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: the bullpens are gonna do in the first. Game BUT
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: i don't know how much we trust either of these
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: pitchers right. Now seven seems slightly, low even though when
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: the books throw up at, seven they're telling you this
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: is gonna be a low scoring. Game BUT i don't, know,
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: MAN i might lean over in that, game all. Right
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: Saint louis And. Pittsburgh pittsburgh is trying to avoid a
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: four game. SWEEP i think they've been a favorite in
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: every game in the series at, home and they're about
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: to get swept By Saint. Louis ALTHOUGH i don't think
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: they're gonna get. SWEPT i think they're gonna win this
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: game Because Paul skeens is. Pitching they couldn't get it
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: done yesterday they lost. Again now again these teams that
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: are trying to avoid the, sweep though they usually give you,
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: MOTIVATION i don't Think Saint louis is a good. TEAM
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: i am so sick of That firefox split screen. Shit
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: oh my, God Saint. LOUIS i don't know who they play,
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: next but you, know they've already won the, series so
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: it is possible they start looking ahead to The dodgers.
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: Next they played The dodgers starting tomorrow back at, home
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: so that might be a look. Ahead looking at the
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: bullpen usage, year which REMEMBER i didn't look at the
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: bullpens for those other teams that are in the doubleheaders
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: because they're all, rested they all didn't play. Yesterday pittsburgh
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: used four relief pitchers. Yesterday Saint louis does not have
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: a good. Bullpen they used four as. Well it looks
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: Like i'm gonna Get pittsburgh a little bit of a bullpen.
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: Edge they're not, great but they're at, well they're at,
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: twelfth that's not really too. Bad In, Whip Saint louis
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: is twenty third with an er over. Five pittsburgh does
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: have the better. Bullpen Saint louis is eleventh and hitting
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: Though pittsburgh nineteenth and. Ops BUT i still don't know
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: IF i totally buy This Saint louis offense. Here Saint
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: louis has our old pal From, boston The yank Hater Hunter.
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: DOBBINS i like this, guy, dude because his he has
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: some real animosity towards The, yankees WHICH i. Like The
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: Red sox got rid of him. Though last year he
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: had a four point one THREE era one point two
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: eight whip with The Red. Sox mediocre. Stuff he's not,
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: awful you, know he was mostly pitching in a starting.
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: ROLE i think he might have pitched out of the
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: bullpen a little bit as. Well but now he's on
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: a new. Team he's On Saint, louis and he hasn't
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: pitched yet this. YEAR i don't. KNOW i didn't look
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: at his minor league numbers BECAUSE i DECIDED i didn't
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: want to play this game. Anyway but he's unfamiliar To.
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Only mangham and O'Hearn have ever faced. Him they're
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: one for three off. Him mangham's single is the only.
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: Hit they have no, strikeouts no walks against. Him but
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: overall he might have a little bit of an unfamiliarity
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: edge against. Them he's he's a mediocre. Pitcher he doesn't
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: go in and like blow guys, away, though but he's steady.
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: Ish but of course he has to go up Against Paul,
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: skeens which is not an easy task to try to Outpitch. Skiings,
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: skeens even after his absolute blow up in the first
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: game of the, season he's got a two point four
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: EIGHTY ra and point seven two. Whip we get. It
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: he's elite thirty to seven strike out walk, ratio fourteen
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: hits allowed in twenty nine. Innings you, know not much
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: to say. Here He's Paul. Skan since that really bad opening,
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: start he's allowed one or zero earn runs in every other,
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: outing and The pirates have won four of his five
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: outings and the only one they lost was a game
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: where there was a rain delay in the middle of
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: it and they took him out when he was pitching
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: a shutout and then they lost an extra, innings so
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: that wasn't even his. Fault they should win this. Game
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: skeens Against Saint louis seventy at, bats nineteen, strikeouts two,
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: walks two twenty nine average five point thirty six. OPS i,
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: MEAN i have to Lead pittsburgh in this, game but it's,
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: like how do you play? Them Because skeens obviously are
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: paying way too much FOR. Sks minus two point fifteen
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: is the number. There you, KNOW i don't know IF
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: i see a way of doing it With pittsburgh, REALLY
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: i really don't. Know you could Go Saint louis under
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: their team. Total that probably makes some sense to just
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: go With skeens to hold them, down but then you
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: gotta worry about The pirates. Bullpen if you can find
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: a first five Inning Saint louis, under you could do,
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: that but you're really gonna Need scheans to do what
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: he's been doing and allow one run at most probably to.
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: Them another option is you could go under in the.
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: Game it's at seven and a half or seven right.
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: NOW i worry about the bullpens a, lot, though SO
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: i guess you could go first five innings under in this.
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: Game that's definitely an. Option you gotta worry a little
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: bit About. Dobbins don't know what he's gonna look like
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: in his first start of the season and having to
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: go up Against, schiens but he might be, excited right
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: oh my, God like you, KNOW i get to GET
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: i get to be back in the, majors AND i
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: get to face one of the best pitchers in. Baseball
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: that might get him excited to try to want to
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: pitch better and duel schemes here or so first five
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: under makes sense to. Me. HERE i Think pittsburgh is
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: gonna win the, game but you're really gonna charge way
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: too much for, It SO i don't, know. MAN i,
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: mean if you put it in a money line parlay or,
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: WHATEVER i guess you could do that if you want
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: to have something On pittsburgh there to win the. Game
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: colorado At. Cincinnati this is an Esp An unlimited, game
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: still in the. Afternoon most of the games are. AFTERNOON
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: i got this game right. Yesterday colorado won thirteen to. Two.
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: Yesterday sugano again didn't pitch too, bad And Brandon, Williamson
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: i'm pretty sure totally imploded in that. Game, cincinnati you
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: gotta think they're in bounced back mode. Here though these
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: teams will split the series so, far both teams should
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: show up. Here you, KNOW i Think cincinnati could be
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: in bounced back. MODE i, mean there's still the better
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: team Over, colorado even THOUGH i don't think they're as
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: good as the record. Indicates cincinnati used two relief pitchers.
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: Yesterday it was a game where it was so out
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: of control that you just basically you save your better,
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: relievers Although colorado kind of. DIDN'T i mean they Use Bernadino.
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: MAHIAHRGAN i MEAN i think those are some of their better.
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: Relievers bernardino Red socks should not have let him. Go,
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: YEAH i don't. Know Man So. COLORADO i think they
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: are at a little bit of a bullpend disadvantage. Here
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: although The reds have fallen off a, bit their bullpen
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: whip is pretty. Bad they're now, nineteenth even though their
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: bullpen erras still looks. Okay colorado's fourteenth mediocre. BULLPEN i
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: would say both bullpens are. Mediocre it's hard to say
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: which one is really. Better red's offense has not been that.
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: Good they're at twenty first right now in. Ops colorado
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: is up to ninth after yesterday's. EXPLOSION i think, Probably,
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: Yeah colorado is a little bit better, offensively And colorado
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: Is Michael lorenzen starting his overall numbers pretty bad five
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: point nine to SEVEN era one point eighty five. Whip
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: but he's a core you, know he's A rockies, pitcher
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: so you have to look at his own road, splits
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: WHICH i should start doing again for every picture we're
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: into a month into the, SEASON i start looking at
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: the splits because they mean. More he's got an eight
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: point five to sixty r in course, field but away
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: from course three point, six so he's obviously way better
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: outside of course field course. Field, again it's just a
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: lot of pitchers don't do well. There he's basically he's
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: a reasonable pitcher away from home at the very, least
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: and we're away from home here for, him although we're
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: in a hitter Friendly cincinnati, park but still probably better
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: for him the. Course he's got overall in nineteen to
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: six strike out walk, ratio which isn't that. Bad not
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: a lot of strikeouts, though in twenty eight and two thirds.
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: Innings but the problem is he's allowed forty seven, hits
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: which is way too many, hits you, know bordering on
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: almost allowing two per. Inning you can't do. That so
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: there are definitely some concerns here still With lorenz and
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: numbers Against cincinnati are not terrible and fifty three at,
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: bats twelve to three strike out walk, ratio two sixty
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: four batting average allowed six seventy six. OPS i don't
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: hate that he might actually pitch okay. Here Andrew abbot
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: is pitching for the REDS i think he's the better
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: of the two. Pitchers, like if you just look at his,
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: career his numbers over his career have been pretty solid
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: and way better than what we've seen so far this.
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: YEAR i don't know what's happening with him this. Year
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: six point five NINE, era one point seven to eight.
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: Whip you gotta think based on his career, numbers he
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: is going to improve off of. THAT i mean it's
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: hard not. To he's never really been a strikeout. Guy
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: but his walk number is very, concerning and his hit
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: number is also really. Concerning nineteen to thirteen strike out
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: walk ratio with thirty eight hits a lout in twenty
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: eight and two thirds. Innings that's not. Good you, know
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: you gotta worry about. Him he wasn't good in his
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: two of his last, really all three of his recent
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: outings have been. Bad he hasn't gone five innings in
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: any of, them multiple walks in every. Start, really just
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: throughout the month Of, april it's pretty much been the.
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: Case he had one really good, start and of course
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: it was against The Red sox to start the. Season
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: other than, that not not great numbers Against colorado are
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: pretty good, though in thirty nine at bats thirteen to,
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: four strike at walk ratio two h five batting, average
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: a lot six six eighty. Nine. Ops oh my. God
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: you know the total is pretty high, here it's at.
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: NINE i think that neither starting pitcher is as bad
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: as their overall. Numbers, look it's a high, total AND
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: i KNOW i always say that when the books put
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: a total out there that's that, high they're telling you
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: the game is gonna be high. Scoring you should go.
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: Over BUT i don't. KNOW i might lean under in this,
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: game maybe first five innings if you don't like the.
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: Bullpens so the bullpens aren't that. Bad you get the
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: key number in. Nine, Again lorenzen is definitely much better
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: away from. Home abbott is better than his numbers look so,
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: far and they both have decent matchup. Numbers SO i
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: could see this game going, under especially after offensive explode
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: in these. Games so. Far both of these games have
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: hit at least, Nine so you, know we might be
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: in store for a little bit of offensive regression, here
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: especially on the side Of. Colorado so, YEAH i probably
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: lean under in that, game even though Usually i'm gonna go.
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: Over a high total like, that But cincinnati's minus won
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: fifty nine on the money line down for minus one to.
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: Eighty it looks like some of the money is Hitting colorado.
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: There i'm not so sure about. THAT i probably still
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: do Prefer abbot generally Over. Lorenzen matchup numbers look fine
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: to me as. Well cincinnati trying to, avoid, well trying
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: to bounce, BACK i should say from yesterday's horrible, Performance
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: i'll probably slightly Lean Cincinnati washington at The. Mets kind
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: of similar here with these teams to split the series
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: so far in. Blowouts The mets one eight to nothing
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: in the first, game they lost fourteen to two. Yesterday
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: another correct lean for me. Yesterday how how AWESOME i
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: told you, GUYS i leaned first five Innings washington in
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: that game, yesterday and we were correct about. That David
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: peterson got absolutely destroyed in that. Game and by the,
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: WAY i forgot to Mention peterson had been skipped in
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: the ROTATION i think the last two times he came.
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: Up that's how bad he. Is SO i feel, vindicated
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: AND i know some of the other professional betters were in,
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: agreement were in agreement with me on that That peterson
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: was never anywhere near as good as his numbers. Looked
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: he's a train, wreck. Dude he's. Awful but, anyway one,
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: thing by the, WAY i also forgot to Mention philadelphia
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: fired their manager two games, ago SO i forgot to
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: mention THAT i should have mentioned that back the first.
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: Game they've only played one game with them they. HAVE
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: i believe their manager Is Don mattingly now they won
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: their only game under him so, Far SO i talk about.
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: THAT i talked about it with The Red. Sox when
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: a team fires their coach or, manager a lot of
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: times it sparks the team because they didn't like playing
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: for that. Manager they want to prove that they're not
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: the problem and that the manager or coach, was you
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: know WHAT i. Mean so they did play, well so
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: that's something that bump might, continue you know WHAT i.
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: Mean the spark For philadelphia may continue. Here BUT i
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: do still Like Logan webb in that first game. Instead
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: but just something of. Note philadelphia has a new manager,
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: There philly and The Red sox off to horrible starts
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: this year and wasting no time doing. That, anyway back
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: To washington and The mets, here as far as the
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: bullpen usage. Yesterday The mets used two basically long relief men,
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: yesterday so that's not really a. Concern their high leverage
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: arms will be, available though that includes the Atrocious Devin,
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: williams WHO i believe is still their. Closer. Whatever washington
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: they have a lousy. Bullpen they used three relief pitchers.
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: Yesterday not really anybody to noteworthy there. Either washington's bullpen.
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: Stinks the other twenty fourth And whip still have a
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: FIVE Ra mets have the better. Bullpen they're. FIFTEENTH i,
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: mean their era is over four, now so their bullpen
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: isn't exactly, great but it is slightly, better well more
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: than slightly, Better so The mets have the better bullpen for.
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: Sure the hitting has not been good for The. Mets
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: they're still at the very bottom in. Ops they have
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: a lot of injuries, though And soto has come, back
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: but they still have other. Injuries so you, know once
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: they get, HEALTHY i think you're gonna see their offense get.
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: Better but right now that is not the. Case washington's
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: offense has hit pretty well this. Season they're at. ELEVENTH
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: i don't expect them to be this. Good they've fallen
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: off a little, bit but they are the better offense right.
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: Now Miles micholis is pitching For, washington though this looks
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: like a huge piss, pissing huge pitching, mismatch huge pissing
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: missh mash, Uh Miles micholis is, terrible. Dude he's pitching For.
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: Washington eight point four to NINETY, ira one point eight
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: to four whip not anything to see, here sixteen to
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: ten strike a walk ratio and thirty three hits a
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: lout of twenty three and a third innings along with
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: seven home runs. Allowed did allow four and one outing
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: against The, dodgers though four home runs besides that outings he's.
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: Allowed after that, Outing he's allowed three or four earned
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: runs in every outing, since so you got to give
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: him credit for. That but he's going not deep into
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: any of. Them he hasn't made it past four innings
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: in any of, them so he's not. Trustworthy he's not pitching.
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: Well washington's bullpen's gonna probably come into this game pretty.
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: Early his numbers against The mets not good. Either sixty
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: eight at bats sixteen to one strike out walk ratio is,
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: good but a three zero nine batting average allowed eight
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: sixty three. Ops there's no way that you could Trust
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: eddie Of washington's pitching, here And Freddy peralta is pitching
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: for The. Mets he was The Milwaukee ace last year and,
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: man he's got a three point NINE era one point
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: two to one whip this. Season he's struggled a bit
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: with the, WALKS i, mean that is kind of his, thing.
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: Though thirty six strikeouts and thirty two and a third
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: innings that's. GOOD a lot of, strikeouts thirteen. Walks you,
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: know it's not, horrible but you'd like to see that
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: number lower than. That and twenty six hits, allowed that's pretty.
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: Low he hasn't been very hittable since his opening start Against.
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh has allowed three or four earned runs in every,
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: outing although The mets can't, score so they've lost four
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: of his last. Five not really his. Fault he's pitched
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: well enough to keep them in every one of those,
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: games so you, Know i'd probably be a little pissed
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: IF i was. Him his numbers against The nationals are
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: kind of weird at thirty five at, bats nine, strikeouts no,
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: walks but they have a three fourteen average often but
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: only six eighty six, ops AND i think the ops
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: is more indicative of what you're gonna get because he's
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: not allowing a lot of. Power hitting two extra base
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: hits doubles From abrams And Garcia, Junior peralta clearly is
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: a lot better Than. MIKOLAS i mean The. Mets you,
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: know The mets have to win this, game ALTHOUGH i
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: feel Like i've said that a lot of times where they.
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: Didn't but minus one ninety eight is kind of a
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: high priced delay on The mets, though and it's dropped
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: a little. BIT i THINK i would Go mets over
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: their team. Total, man the totals sitting at eight for
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: the full, GAME i think The mets team totals four
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: and a. HALF i know that's dicey because The mets
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: have only gone over that. Total that means you need
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: The mets to score five, runs AND i think they've
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: only done THAT i don't know twice in the last
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: eight games or something like, that but one of them
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: was in this. Series and if they're gonna do, it
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: this is the matchup for. It, man they Hit Mikelas
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: mikolas well in the. Past he's a terrible. Pitcher he's
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: probably not gonna last long and washing his bullpend is no,
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: better or so The mets should score runs. Here that's
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: the WAY i would probably play. It instead of trying
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: to pay a price on The mets or, WHATEVER i
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: would Go mets over their team. Total then you take
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: that kind of mystery Of peralta out of there. Too
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: you don't have to worry about him walking guys or
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: his three hundred all loud batting average To. Washington, Whatever
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: mets over their team total makes sense to me in that.
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: Game arizona is At. Milwaukee speaking Of Freddy, peralta these
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: teams have split the first two games in the. Series as,
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: well the losing team will only scored two runs in each.
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: Game this looks like a good starting pitching matchup on the,
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: surface But i'm not entirely so sure about that when
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: you look at the matchup. Numbers milwaukee used three relief pitchers,
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: Yesterday arizona used. Four and you, KNOW i do not
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: Like arizona's, bullpen even though there's still fourth in. Whip
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: they got almost a five bullpen yr. RING i don't like, it.
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: MAN i don't think their bullpen is. GOOD i really.
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: Don't brewers bullpen has not been great. Either the they're
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: at twenty second in, whip but THE era is below,
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: four so there are some Indicators milwaukee does have the
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: better of the two. Bullpens hitting, Wise arizona has been pretty.
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: Good they're seventh in, offense so we'll give them an offensive.
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: Vege The brewers have struggled at twenty, fifth but then
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: again they've been dealing with offensive injuries as. Well Michael
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: saraka pitching For. Arizona he's been good this. Season he's
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: a real mystery. Dude like last year he had some
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: really weird numbers where his numbers were good. OVERALL i
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: thought he had like really significant home roads splits last,
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: year BUT i guess. NOT i think at some point he.
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: Did he was really like he was good at, home
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: better at home than on the road last. Year and
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: he's on the road here. Now but The diamondbacks have
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: a hitter friendly, ballpark so he might not be mad
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: about pitching on the. Road but then, again look at
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: his splits this. Year he has a six point three
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: to five road Y, ra so he's been bad on
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: the road this. Year he just seems to be a home. Guy.
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: Man some guys are Like. Kakuchi that's just the way it.
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: Is soroka pitches a lot better at. Home two point
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: SIX era one point one one six whip, overall those
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: are good. Numbers he's only made one road, start, though
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: and it really wasn't that bad. Though he had ten,
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: strikeouts which matched his season high Against, philadelphia give up
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: four and, runs but he was kind of. Unlucky it
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: was on five hits, too SO i don't even think
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: that start was that. Bad SO i don't really Dislike
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: soraka coming into this. Game he's got a really nice
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: thirty four to seven strike out walk ratio on twenty
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: five hits allowed in twenty seven to two thirds. Innings
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: those numbers are all. Good, however his numbers against The
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: brewers are. Bad it's only a twenty at bat sample size,
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: though but four to four strike out walk, ratio four
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: hundred batting average, allowed nine to fifty. Ops those are
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: not great. Numbers so he might be fatable. Here Brandon
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: WOODRUFF i trust more Than soaka because he just says
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: more of a career showing you what he. Is he's
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: pitched pretty well again this year so far From milwaukee
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: three point seven to SEVEN era one point zero one.
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: Whip he's only had one start where he allowed more
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: than three on runs and it was against The Red, sox,
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: hilariously and The Red sox still didn't win that. Game,
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: overall he's got a twenty three to six strike out
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: walk razio in twenty eight and two thirds, innings twenty
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: three hits. Allowed you, know usually he is a better
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: strike up pitcher than, this but he's been pretty good
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: this season, man SO i think that might continue. Here
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: but his numbers Against arizona are kind of mediocre and
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: sixty three at bats twelve to six strike out walk
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: ratio to seventy batting, average a lot seven to seventy
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: eight ohps. Allowed This arizona lineup is one of the
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: ones that has had the ability to actually get To.
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: WOODROOF a bit total in this game is. LOW i
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: think it's expected to be at pitching. Duel it's at
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: seven and a. Half AND i did see like based
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: On Action, network it looked like money was coming in
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: on the under in this. Game you know the arguments for. It,
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: obviously we have two good starting pitchers. Here IF i
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: was gonna go under a probably go first five inning on, it,
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: though you, KNOW i don't really trust the. BULLPENS i
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: could definitely see this thing going full game over and
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: you could maybe potentially see at least one of these
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: pitchers not do as well as. EXPECTED i THINK i
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: kind of Lean milwaukee though in minus one. TWENTY i
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: think if it's just more trustworthy Than, soroka And soroka
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: is not good on the, Road so, YEAH i would
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: Leave milwaukee probably in that. Game Kids's city At sacramento
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: at The a's at The. Homeless The a's won the
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: game yesterday five to, choose so these teams have split
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: the series so, far and both games went under the.
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: Total so we have not seen an offensive explosion in this,
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: series even though it is a very hitter friendly ballpark.
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: Here will we finally see it over? HERE i don't,
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: know because coming into this, series The a's home games
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: were nine and one to the over and both games
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: in this series have gone under partially because The royals
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: don't have a good, offense but other than, that you'd
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: expect that these games would not have been this low.
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: Scoring although there have been some decent starting pitchers pitching
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: in this, WELL i don't know. REALLY i, Mean waka is,
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: decent BUT i don't. Know maybe besides, him not. REALLY
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: i don't. Know kids Of city used three relief pitchers.
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: Yesterday their bullpen's been surprisingly bad this. Year The a's used.
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: Two Kansas city's bullpen is second worst IN whip and
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: one of the worst eras, too so they're not trustworthy right.
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: Now The a's are not very good either in the
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: bullpen at twenty, first a bit better Than Kansas. City
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: he's surprisingly but still not very. Good both bullpens are
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: definitely something you could fade. Here The a's offense has
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: started to hit a. Bit they're at fourteenth in, offense royal.
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: Seventeenth both offenses have come a little bit alive, recently
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: BUT i think The a's do have the better offense.
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: Here Noah cameron pitching For Kansas. CITY i think he
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: tends to be a little bit better at. Home he
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: had a good, season LIKE i think it was his
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: first season in the. Majors last year he was pretty.
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: Solid this, year he struggled a. Bit five point one
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: to THREE, era one point five to TWO. Whip overall
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: those his numbers don't look that. Bad twenty three to
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: nine strike at walk race year it is a few
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: too many, walks thirty one hits a lot in twenty
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: six and a third innings is the biggest problem the
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: number hits. ALLOWED i don't think he's that, bad. Though
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: one of his two bad starts was against The yankees
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: on the, road so you can't really blame him for.
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: That he is a bit worse on the road, though
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: five point five to nine road. Ray so pitching in
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: The a's stadium might not be that. GREAT i don't
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: know if he pitched here last. Year he, Did actually
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: he wasn't. Great he pitched literally his last game of
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: the season last. Year he pitched in this, stadium and
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: he lasted four to two, thirds give up three on
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: runs on four, hits no home runs, allowed but he
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: walked four guys six, Strikeouts SO i don't. Know that's
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: not that. Great overall against The a's his numbers are
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: not that bad, though in twenty eight at bats nine
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: to five strikeout walk, ratio two fifty batting average allowed
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: and seven to twenty one. Ops that's not. HORRIBLE i,
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: mean there's a chance he does okay. Here Jeffrey springs
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: is pitching for The. A's his numbers look surprisingly. Good
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: three point seven to ninety, ray one point h one.
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: Whip but with The a's, stadium you gotta look and
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: see how bad is this guy in this. Stadium he's
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: definitely worse at home four point sixty seven. Homeyra this
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: stadium just ruins, pictures. Dude So springs has been really
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: impressive on the, road not so much at. Home his
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: worst start of the season was getting blown up by
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: The White sox at. Home his last two starts haven't
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: really been that. Good it's not great that he just
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: gave up four runs on the road To, texas who
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: are not a very strong, offense and that was a
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: picture friendly. Park although overall he's got a thirty one
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: to eleven strike up walk ratio in twenty five hits
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: allowed in thirty five and two thirds. Innings those numbers
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: aren't really that. BAD i don't, know, man but he
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: does struggle in this. Park numbers Against Kansas city twenty
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: three at, bats two, strikeouts no, walks three h four
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: average is definitely too, high but he's only allowed two
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: extra base hits doubles To Wit junior and Isbel they
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: only have a six to ninety six ops, often which
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: is not that, High so he might do okay. Here
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: it's a tough game to gauge. Man there are arguments
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: for the pitchers to both do. Well there are arguments
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: for them to not do. Well we could see some
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: regression or progression back to some sort of offense in this,
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: game especially against these. Bullpens total is high at nine
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: and a half for a, reason you, KNOW i, Mean
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: cameron's not as good on the, Road springs is not
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: as good in this. Stadium that combined with the. BULLPENS
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: i know the offenses aren't that, great BUT i think
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: Over navy is worth a look. Here it is nine
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: and a half juice to the over the AS i
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: keep Saying, OAKLAND i think The a's re minus one
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: twenty two on the money. LINE i don't really have
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: a strong opinion on the side. THOUGH i don't have
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: a strong opinion in general in that. Game and then
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: we only have one game left BECAUSE i already talked
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: about the, doubleheaders the only real night Games toronto At,
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: minnesota and this is a new. Series minnesota just lost
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: their series To. Seattle they're staying at, home so they
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: do have a little bit of a travel edge. Here
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: the fact that they're staying at, Home minnesota is three
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: relief pitchers. Yesterday the bullpen is not. Good toronto used
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: four yesterday though In toronto was traveling in from beating
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: The Red. Sox So toronto is coming off a big divisional,
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: series so could be a potential letdown for. Them but then,
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: again starting a road trip sometimes you are focused to
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: start the road, trip so maybe they will be in
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: a focused spot. HERE i don't. KNOW i Think toronto
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: does have the upper hand of the starting, pitching but
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: looking at the, bullpens LIKE i, Said minnesota's bullpen is.
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: Bad they're a bottom four bullpen right. Now whip over
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: one point five AND era over. Five that's all really.
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: Bad toronto's bullpen has been a bit. Better they're. Eleventh
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: they're not a terrific, bullpend but definitely better than minnesotaes hitting,
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: Wise minnesota's hit better Than toronto this. Year they're. FIFTEENTH
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: i don't know IF i totally buy, it Though toronto's
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: down at twenty. Third toronto's had some offensive. INJURIES i
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: think you could make the Argument toronto does have the
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: better bats in their, lineup though at least when their.
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: HEALTH i don't know if they are really that healthy right,
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: now Though Kevin goussman is pitching for The Blue. Jays
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: he's having a good. Season two point five to SEVEN
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: era point nine to four. WHIP i mean he is.
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: Good he's one of their best, starters if not their.
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: Best thirty eight to six strike out walk ratio very.
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: Good in thirty five innings. PITCHED i THINK i keep
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: saying at, BATS i mean, innings twenty seven hits. Allowed
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: all these numbers are. Good he's allowed three or fewer
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: earned runs in every, outing two or fewer in all but.
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: One toronto's won his last three. Games, yeah we know he's.
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: Good we get it Against. Minnesota of, COURSE espn does an,
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: update SO i have to change. It his numbers are
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: decent in eighty two at, bats twenty three, strikeouts eight,
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: walks a few too many, walks but, whatever two forty
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: four batting average alloted seven thirty eight. Ops it's a
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: little bit. High, really it's Because Josh bell does a
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: lot of damage here seven for twenty one with two
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: doubles in a home, run And Royce lewis five nine
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: with two of them. Runs other than, that not a
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: ton going on there against. Him BUT i think he
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: definitely has the ability to Pitch, okay, Here minnesota is
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: going with the Resurgent Bailey ober who actually has been
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: pitching pretty well again this. Year, dude he is a
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: very very streaky. Pitcher like he looks really good for
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: long stretches where his command numbers look really. Good, whatever
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: then he like completely drops off and has these miserable.
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: Stretches so it's, like what are you gonna get out of?
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: HIM i don't, know but overall his numbers are pretty
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: good this. Year three point nine to FOUR, era one
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: point one to six, whip twenty seven to eleven strikeout
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: walk race here is not, great but you know it's not.
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: Horrible twenty six hits a lot on thirty two. Innings that's.
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: Good he hasn't been that hitt a. Ble he's allowed
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: four or fewer runs in every. Outing he's gone at
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: least six innings in his last three. Outings he's pitching
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: all right right. Now going Against, toronto he does have
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: good numbers Against toronto in ninety four that's a huge.
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: Sample twenty seven of four strike a walk ratio one
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: ninety one, average allowed five sixty five. Ops so he
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: has good numbers Against. Toronto you, KNOW i have my
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: concerns With ober that he might fall apart at some.
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: POINT i Think goussman is the more trustworthy, pitcher Although
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: goussman has the lesser numbers. Here there are arguments That
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: toronto's in a good. Spot there are some arguments that
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: they're not in a good spot. HERE i think under
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: first five innings does make sense. HERE i think you
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: could get a pitching duel early on in this. Game
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: both pitchers look like they match. Up, OKAY i don't
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: like the. Bullpens so total for the full game is
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: at Eight toronto's minus one thirty, five for whatever that's.
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: Worth you do Get minnesota as a bit of an underdog,
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: here but they're definitely not the better. Team so Obviously
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: toronto's the better team with the better starter around the.
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: Mound but under first five innings makes some sense to
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: me in that. Game and that is it for. Baseball all,
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: Right we're gonna go to hockey in a. Minute there
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: are only two hockey. GAMES i will give out a
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: play in one of, them and THEN i have AN nba.
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: Play but you know, Me you probably already know what
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: MY nba play. Is i'll be back in one, second, alright.
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: Hockey first game up is hold, On i'm gonna close
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: some of these tabs. Here do we need those market
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: percentage numbers to come? Back? MAN i hate. This first
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: game up Is Dallas. Minnesota minnesota leads the series three
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: to two and the series goes back To. Minnesota these
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: games are ON, Tnt TRUE Tvhbo. MAX i KNOW i
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: Have dallas winning this series in my bracket and then
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: losing To. Colorado by the, Way, Colorado, carolina And philadelphia
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: now have all advanced, already so congratulations to those. TEAMS
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: i got all three of those correct in the, bracket
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: but two of them were pretty easy big. Favorites and THEN.
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: Nba the only teams that have advanced in THE, nba
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: by the way Are Oklahoma city and Sant, antio so
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: congratulations to those teams as. Well OBVIOUSLY i had those
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: correct in my. Bracket, Anyway Dallas, minnesota this has been
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: a tight series. Though. Man most of the games of
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: the series have been very hotly. Contested minnesota had one blowout.
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: WIN i thought it was, misleading AND i gave you
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: guys a winner On dallas In game. TWO i don't
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: Think i've given on another. Play i've been treading very
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: lightly in, hockey but to the tune of a three
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: to one and one, result which is better THAN i.
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: Think i'm five and six in THE nba, playoffs And
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: i'm better, Usually i'm really good in THE nba. PLAYOFFS
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: i THINK i feel like we're getting really screwed in
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: THE nba. Playoffs but, anyway both teams are gonna show up.
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: HERE i, mean you Got dallas as an underdog trying
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: to avoid. Elimination minnesota does not want to have to
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: go back To. Dallas BUT i could see the arguments
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: For dallas here, though because they're an underdog facing, elimination
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: so you know you're gonna get the effort out of.
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: Them And dallas's face situations like this, before they're the
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: more experienced. Team there wasn't really anything misleading About minnesota's
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: win in the last. Game this is not gonna be my.
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: Play by the, Way minnesota did have a three to
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: one lead in the. Game they put an empty netter
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: in at the. End the statistics were fairly, close but
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: they all were a little bit in favor Of. MINNESOTA
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: i THINK i still kind of Lean dallas, here Though
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: minnesota's minus won twenty three you, know having two shots
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: to win one, game like the urgency is clearly on
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: the side Of dallas and you're getting them as the.
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: Dog so you, know for, me that's kind of the
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: WAY i lean. Here BUT i KNOW i said the
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: opposite in The philly, Game, yes, SAID i just Thought
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: philly was the better team in this. SERIES i Think
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: dallas might be the slightly better team still though they
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: have more, experience LIKE i, said although you, Know Minnesota
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: wallstead has been Doing volstet has been doing well in
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: net for, them But ottingers not to be written off.
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: Either you, know the next game up will be WHERE
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: i have a play and we're getting a nice underdog
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: price here on. This So i'm just gonna, say, yeah
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: let's do it because you know me and we have
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: like some small. Outliers we're gonna Take anaheim to actually
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: win the series here Against, edmonton even THOUGH i because
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: if they win the games And i'll win the, series
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: because you, KNOW i Picked edmonton to win in my.
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: Bracket of, COURSE i Know edmonton is the more experienced.
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: TEAM i get. It But, edmonton they're just they have
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: some major. Issues. Man they're not good at. Goaltending they're
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: not good at. Defense they're an extremely vulnerable, team and
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: they just got back into the. Series they were down
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: three to. ONE i told you this would be a
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: very home centric, series by the, way Because anaheim Is
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: both teams are actually way better at home than on the,
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: road and only the home team has won every game
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: in the series Except game, two Where anaheim stole. One
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: on the. Road the home team has won every other
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: game in the. Series SO i like. That and if
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: we look at what the number, was you, know it
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: was about the. Same anaheim was a small underdog in
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: the last time they were at, home so it was
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: around the. Same SO i think the price is fine.
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: Here you, Know anaheim could certainly win this thing at.
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: Home they do not want to have to go back To.
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: Edmonton if we look at the previous, Game edmonton won
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: four to one at. Home they had the best game
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: of the. Series but if you look at the, Game
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: edmonton only had twenty. Shots, dude that doesn't really make
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: me that. Confident even though, yes they won a lot
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: of the faceoffs sixty two. Percent they were kind of
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: the better team in the, game and they had more,
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: hits but not by. Much they're usually not as physical
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: of a. Team anaheim had more. SHOTS i know some
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: of it was because they were, behind BUT i think
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: you just had kind of a goaltending outlier of a
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: game For anaheim. Here and maybe even on the other,
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: Side edmonton usually does not hold their opponent to one,
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: goal you know WHAT i, Mean SO i Expect edmonton
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: to obviously allot more. Goals if you wanted to Go
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: anaheim over their team total in this, game you could
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: definitely do that. Too they should bounce back from only
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: scoring one. Goal but we're gonna just go with them
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: to win as the dog here, man and that's. IT i,
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: mean they fell into a hole immediately in the game
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: and couldn't get out of, it and that was it
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: in that. Game you, Know edmonton has been, very very
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: sketchy in the. Series anaheim's looked like the better team
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: for most of the. SERIES i think it's gonna happen
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: here if you look at the home road. Splits LIKE i,
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: Said anaheim was very bad on the road this, year
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: below five. Hundred edmonton was a little bit above five
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: hundred at. Home but it flips in the opposite. Venue,
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: edmonton if you include their overtime, losses they were below
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: five hundred on the. Road anaheim was significantly better at
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: home than they were on the, road and you're getting
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: them as a dog here and they've won both home
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: games in the series so. Far we're gonna do. It
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: we're gonna go with The anaheim to get the job.
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: Done Man edmonton's sitting in around minus one. Thirty, again
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: we have a crazy total of seven, here you, KNOW i,
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: mean every game in the series except for the last,
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: ONE i think has gone over the total in this,
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: series or at least landed right on the. TOTAL i
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: don't really have a feel, for you, KNOW i could
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: see it going over, again just because the last game
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: was strangely low scoring on the side Of. Anaheim but
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: it could be a more intense game because it's a
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: three to two series late in the, series you, know
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: but the travel and you, know might kind of mess
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: with the defenses a little. Bit it's hard to. Gauge
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: it's hard to, gauge you, know defenses need to be
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: well rested to play. Better SO i don't. Know the
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: total In, Dallas minnesota is much lower by the way
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: of five and a. Half could definitely be an under
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: type of game. There, again it's a close, series or
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: both teams are going to be focused on. Defense, ANYWAY,
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: nba let's. Go first game UP i believe IS i
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: think IT'S Nix hawks is the first game? Up, yeah
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: series going back To atlanta after The knicks won and
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: a blowout In game five at. Home knicks very likely
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: to win this series at this, point but in this
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 1: game's ON, espn and so is the late, game with
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: the middle game The celtics game being On PEAK ack
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: AND Nbc. Network, now this was an outlier though The
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: knicks won the game by almost thirty. POINTS i Know
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: atlanta is not really known as a defensive, team but
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: you look at what happened in this. Game this is
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: not gonna be my, play but this was a bit
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: of an. Outlier The. Knicks atlanta actually outpossessed them in the,
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: game well sort. Of atlanta had more field goal attempts
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: in the, game but The knicks shot fifty seven percent
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: from the field forty two percent from. Three The knicks
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: don't really take as many, threes So atlanta's still hit.
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: More but that's not gonna happen, again. Dude there's gonna
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: be regression here on the side of The. Knicks they're
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: not gonna score one hundred and twenty six points. Again
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: they're not gonna shoot this well. Again And atlanta also
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: shot badly from the free throw line fifty nine. Percent
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: you know they're gonna shoot a little bit better than
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: that in this. Game and, also The knicks had two
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: times as many free throw. Attempts they were getting to
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: the line, constantly thirty four to. Seventeen you might think
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: the rests are gonna kind of swing it the other
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: way a little bit in this, game, man especially because
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: there is money involved. Too so maybe the league wants
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: these series to go. LONGER i don't, know BUT i
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: don't think you're gonna see that much of a free
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: throw disparity in favor of The, knicks especially on the.
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: Road the things that worry me though The knicks dominated
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: the rebound battle forty eight to twenty. Seven that does
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: warry me that The knicks were actually really dominant in the.
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: Paint so this is not gonna be my, play BUT
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: i am gonna lean to The hawks. Here there's still
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: an underdog at home looking to avoid, elimination and there
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: is still the Zig zag at play because they got
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: annihilated in the last. Game and The knicks should drop
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: a little, bit you, know as far as they're shooting is.
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: Concerned The knicks are at minus two and a. Half,
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: Here you're gonna get the biggest number you've gotten on
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: The hawks all series at. Home SO i kind of
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: liked that The hawks went one to one in the
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: home game so far in the. Series they got blown
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: out in one of, them but. Whatever the two regular season,
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: games The hawks only lost both of them by, THREE
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: i think to The knicks at, Home so getting them
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: at plus two and a half for, THREE i would
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: lean that. WAY i would lean to The hawks. There
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: totals at two. FOURTEEN i don't have a good gauge
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: on the, total but WHAT i will say is That
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: knicks under their team total makes some. SENSE i don't
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: know what the number, is, LIKE i just throw out
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: these team, totals and my gauge on the team totals
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: has actually been, good so MAYBE i should start playing.
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: Them never really been my thing. Though The knicks team
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: total is pretty low though it's at one oh eight
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: and a. Half but you, KNOW i, MEAN i THINK
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: i would probably lean. Under i'm worried that The hawks
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: deepfense isn't good enough though The. Knicks let me, see
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: they've gone over that total three out of the five
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: games in the. Series it looks like The knicks team
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: total has gone. OVER i mean SO i don't, know,
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: man but, yeah it looks like there could be some
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: offensive regression from The knicks in that. Game the next game.
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: Up you, know this is my Play Celtics. Philadelphia what
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: DO i always? Say celtics coming off an embarrassing loss
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: as a home double digit your? Favorite this has been
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: The Joe mazzula. Thing. Man they get sloppy at, home
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: they lose games at. Home they shouldn't. Lose they're the
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: way better. Team and then what do they. Do they
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: get way more focused after that, Happens they go out
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: on the road and they. Win we're gonna do it.
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: AGAIN i know we barely got there with the other
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: one when we did this in game, three but we're
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. Again The celtics did win a blowout
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: in the other road game this. Series they're two to
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: zero on the road in the. Series they covered the
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: lower numbers in the first, game covered every. Number in
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: the second, Game we're getting a lower number here to
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: at minus, six although that is Because Joel embiid is,
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: playing SO i believe the second game actually did go
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: off around six or five and a half When embiid came,
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: back so that is being factored into the. Number but
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: still this is a prime spot for The. Celtics, DUDE
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: i think the money initially is coming in on The.
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: CELTICS i would at least you gotta find at least
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: six or a most lay six and a half on,
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: this you know WHAT i. Mean don't lay more than
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: six and a. HALF i think you can find six
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: is readily out. There THOUGH i already played this this.
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: Morning this will be an actual bet for me as. Well,
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: again there are a lot of outliers. Here, mean The
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: celtics are obviously the better. Team they were a double
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: digit favorite at, home and they're winning most of this
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: game as. Well The celtics had a double digit lead
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: in the third quarter of the. Game they were winning
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: by eleven in the third, quarter and then they had
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: the worst fourth quarter you'll ever. See, like they were
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: down two early in the, fourth they were down three
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: a little bit into the, fourth and then they didn't
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: score for what is? That they missed like fourteen field
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: goal attempts in a. Row they gave up twelve unanswered
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: points and The celtics did not score for a span
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: of like five. Minutes you, know that's not gonna happen.
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: Again and, overall The celtics had a bad shooting. Performance
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: philly shot fifty percent from the. Field that's kind of
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: unlikely to happen again against a Good celtic. Defense celtics
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: only shot forty, percent which is a bit low for,
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: them twenty eight percent from. Three you, know The celtics
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: typically shoot like thirty eight percent from, Three so that's
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: gonna be a positive regression point for The. Celtics and
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: uh so they actually hit fewer threes Than philly in the.
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: Game don't think that's gonna happen. Again and The celtics
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: were sixty one percent from the free throw line in the,
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: game another point that should progress back to some sort of. Mean,
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: obviously NO nba team shoots that bad from the free throw.
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: Line The celtics are not a particularly bad free throw shooting, team,
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: obviously SO i think they're in fact actually fairly. Good
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: so that's gonna turn around as. Well uh The celtics
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: did win the rebound, battle though. Slightly, again they led
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: more of the. Game you, know they had so many
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: chances to win this. Game they had the worst fourth
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: quarter to'll ever, see, dude scoring eleven points in the
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: fourth quarter based you, know because of all the shit
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: THAT i already pointed, out this looks like another like
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: it's just so easy to do it at this, point,
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: man we better get it right because this is just
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: a thing The celtics do all the time in The Missoula.
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: Era they lose at, home have, horrible lackluster. Performances they
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: get very complacent coming off a blowout. Win then they
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: get punched in the, mouth and then what do they.
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: Do they bounce back and they have a good performance
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: in the next. Game that's WHAT i think is gonna.
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: HAPPEN i like The celtics here and we're gonna lay the.
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: Points you, know it's a prime. Spot, Basically i'm gonna
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: do it every, time. Dude it's been like basically in
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: the Entire Missoula, era every time The celtics lose as
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: a favorite at, Home i'm swinging back And i'm gonna
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: just play them in the next. Game that's what we're gonna.
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: Do especially on the. Road though The celtics have been
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: really good on the road in the playoffs in The Missoula,
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: era and just really good off a loss as. Well
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: and in non game twos they're also really good as.
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: Well AS i pointed out in That game, three The
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: celtics are like three and four straight up in game
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: twos in The Missoula, era and they're you, KNOW i
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: guess after they Won game three four and then Lost game,
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: five they're now twenty two and SIX i think in
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: non game twos in The Missoula. Era so there you.
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: Go and then the last game Is denver At, minnesota
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: And denver is now a five and a half point
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: actually six point road, favorite down from six and a
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: half because of all The minnesota. Injuries Anthony edwards is
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: not coming, Back Dante devencenzo and not coming Back. Minnesota
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: they're hurting right. Now. Man if they're gonna win this,
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: series though they have to do it, here they're the
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: underdog at. Home they do not want to have to
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: go back on the road and be a double digit.
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: Dog If denver is this, game they're going to win the.
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: Series that's just the way that it. Is denver won
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: the last game by double digits at. Home they, covered but.
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: BARELY i THINK i think they were eleven and a
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: half point favorites. Here if you look into the box score,
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: Here denver did shoot a little bit more than you'd.
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: Expect both teams shot, well, Though denver Fifty minnesota fifty one,
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: percent In minnesota forty three percent from. Three denver is
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: the more capable, offense, though especially With minnesota without their best.
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: Shooter you, know SO i don't think they're you, know
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: both teams had kind of outlier high shooting percentages, here
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: AND i think the regression could have been on both.
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: Sides But denver's been the better offense all. Year and while,
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: Yes minnesota is the better, deepfense you have to you,
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 1: Know Anthony edwards is a pretty good defender, too and
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: he's obviously out. Now uh, now there are some indicators
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: That minnesota should zig zag here, though because they did
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: win the rebound battle in the, game they have the better,
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: deepfense they're at. Home they basically have to win this.
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: Game you, know you're gonna get the urgency out of.
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: Them they're an underdog at. Home maybe the line's a
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: little bit too, big but it is also the second
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: game without their star. Players you, know or Without edwards
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: and De, vincenzo so the injured players spot came in
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: in the last, game and you KNOW i talk about
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: that a team will step up their level play that
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: first game without those star players within the game after,
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: that sometimes they take a step. Back SO i don't
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: want anything to do with this. Game though it's a
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: very very difficult game to figure. OUT i think an
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: under makes sense in this. Game and AGAIN i THINK
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: i was correct about the over ALTHOUGH i Said denver
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: team total over in the last, game And i'm pretty
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: sure that was. Correct but because both teams shot better
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: than you would think that they, should Even denver under
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: makes sense to me in this. Game The tewlves need
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: the game to be an under. Game they're gonna try
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: to win the. Game they cannot win in a shootout
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: against The, nuggets especially Without Anthony. Edwards if this game
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: is a high scoring, game then The Tee towls cannot
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: win that. Game so they need it to be a
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: lower scoring, game and they might be able to do
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: that at, home it's easier to slow the game. Down
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: the totals at two twenty five and a, Half i'm
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 1: gonna lean under in this. Game i'll slightly lean to
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: The Tea, wolves BUT i really don't love. That and
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: Then celtics seventy six. ERS i don't have a good
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: gauge on the. Total it's a two twelve and a.
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: HALF i don't really, see you, Know i'm the biggest
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: outlier is The celtics having that just absolutely cold fourth.
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: Quarter so as far as the, Totals celtics team total
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: over obviously is a way to play this game as.
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: Well The celtics should see some positive, regression you, know
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: from the free throw line and also just shooting in.
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: General so that's a way to play that game as,
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: well would be to go over The celtics team total
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: makes sense in that game as. Well and in that,
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: number let me see what are you getting on that
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: number BEFORE i get out of, here the number is
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: around one oh nine and a half on That Definitely
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: celtics obviously capable of doing, that especially if they're hitting.
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: Threes The celtics are just so high, variance. Dude you,
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: know all three games that they were, sorry two of
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: the three games that they, won they went over that
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: total and both games they lost they went way under.
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: It so you, know that's the way that it is
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: WHEN i am expecting an offensive bounce. Back but the
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: good thing about playing the spread in the game where
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: we did play them In game three is that they
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: actually wound up covering despite not having the greatest offensive
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: performance in that. Game so that was at least the
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: good thing about. That that's gonna do, it, MAN i
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: guess the other Thing i'll say about The celtics is
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: they're not as good as that year that won the.
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: Championship Man Drew holliday is a huge loss for. Them
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: perzingis maybe not as. MUCH i, mean he just wasn't
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 1: playing that much for The celtics when they made that.
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: Run he was injured a. Lot But Drew holliday is
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 1: a huge loss for The. Celtics they just don't really,
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: have you, know that like distribution, Guy like The celtics
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: was spreading the ball all over the place that year
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: and everybody was getting their, points know WHAT i? Mean
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: now this year it's like it's just The tatum And brown.
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: Show AND i don't know if that's. ENOUGH i don't like, it.
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: Man maybe it's enough to win The. EAST i, mean The,
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: celtics do you still have a very deep? Roster they're
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: well coached and they all play, hard BUT i don't
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: like What i'm. Seeing you, got like their third, guy
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: Like Derek, white is just not even factoring into the offense.
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: Anymore he's playing good defense and that is why they
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: have him out. There but, STILL i don't, know, MAN
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: i don't know IF i like. It and That White
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: holiday tandem was like the best defensive guard tandem in recent,
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: years so breaking that up kind of. Sucks But celtics
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 1: better just get it, done you, know in this, series
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: move on to the next. Series, yeah we'll see what.
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: Happens that's gonna do it once. Again the plays Are game,
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: One Houston astro's first five innings money. Line that's the
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: do it so that listed starting pitchers must. Start That's
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: lambert Against. Bassett we have The Anaheim ducks on the
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: money line and we have The celtics minus the. Points that's.
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: It learn it tone On, twitter learn it tone On.
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: Instagram you can subscribe On twitter as well if you
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: want to help me that, way like subscribe to the channel.
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: Here we gotta get more eyes on this, thing, man
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: tell everybody about. It i'll be back to, You Kentucky
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: derby probably. Tomorrow so check it, out you, know be
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: subscribed and then you'll get the notifications for. It we're
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: on Audio, Apple, spotify give me good, reviews listen over
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 1: there that helps out and on spreaker as, well all
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: the audio platforms we have covered in you because my
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: yuke channel on. YouTube you can check that, Out patreon dot,
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: com slash and learn the tone if you wanted to
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: support me that. Way Loser casts another fun episode that
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: this week WITH i forget the guy's name, already Squee,
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: ski whatever the hell his name? Is that guy he's
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: been clipping a lot of the stuff from the show
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: and putting it out On. Twitter so go give that
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: guy a follow his, PODCAST i don't, Know go check His.
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 1: Twitter you'll see what his podcast. Is he's gonna he's
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: got a pot as. Well uh but Loser cast you
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: can check that. Out and then the G Spot giants,
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: podcast which we'll be doing more content once the football season.
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: Starts but we'll see if we're gonna have a draft
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: recap show or. Not that's gonna do. It peace