Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / SRG's Flickinger Says Legal Strategy Erred on ODP-SPLS (Audio)
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- 0:03Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg
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- 0:09Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg Business Flash from Bloomberg World hand Quarters.
- 0:14Speaker 1: I'm Charlie Palot. What a difference a day makes. Stocks
- 0:17Speaker 1: tumbled from the biggest gain in two months today, Disappointing
- 0:20Speaker 1: numbers out of Disney and Macy's raised outs about the
- 0:23Speaker 1: strength of the American consumer. SMP five hundred index down
- 0:27Speaker 1: one percent, falling nineteen points. Nass Stack also down one percent,
- 0:31Speaker 1: dropping forty nine points down, Industrials down two hundred seventeen
- 0:36Speaker 1: a drop there of one point two percent. The ten
- 0:38Speaker 1: year up eight thirty seconds yield one point seven three percent,
- 0:42Speaker 1: Gold up fourteen dollars the ounce to twelve seventy eight,
- 0:45Speaker 1: gain of one point one percent, and crude up a
- 0:48Speaker 1: dollar forty two a barrel forty six oh eight. Again
- 0:51Speaker 1: there of three point two percent. I'm Charlie Pellotton. That's
- 0:55Speaker 1: a Bloomberg Business flash. You're listening to taking stock with
- 0:59Speaker 1: Catholic Days and Pim Fox on Bloomberg Radio. Is the
- 1:03Speaker 1: US consumer just running out of gas? Or are the
- 1:06Speaker 1: nation's biggest retailers just losing ground? To the biggest online
- 1:11Speaker 1: retailers like Amazon, Macy's, renewing concerns about the retail industry
- 1:17Speaker 1: leading to a stock route for many companies from Walmart
- 1:20Speaker 1: to Ross stores, the share price closing down to thirty
- 1:24Speaker 1: one dollars and change today. Joining us now to put
- 1:27Speaker 1: it all together is Bert Flickinger, Managing Director, Strategic Resource Group,
- 1:31Speaker 1: joining us in our New York studio. So, Bert, let's
- 1:34Speaker 1: just dive right into Macy's. Are they doing something wrong?
- 1:38Speaker 1: Are they? Or is it just the fact that the consumer,
- 1:42Speaker 1: no matter how how much you hit it right on
- 1:44Speaker 1: the bull's eye, just isn't spending right now, Kathleen, Macy's
- 1:49Speaker 1: is doing just about everything right. But to your point,
- 1:53Speaker 1: no matter how much the consumer would have saved in
- 1:55Speaker 1: gasoline over the last year, that still doesn't offset having
- 1:59Speaker 1: an essentially zero interest rates and bank accounts and load
- 2:04Speaker 1: and no interest rates. So consumer literally has to save
- 2:08Speaker 1: three to four percent more per year for retirement or
- 2:12Speaker 1: for weddings or whatever it is. So that comes directly
- 2:16Speaker 1: out of consumer spending, and Macy's and the others are
- 2:19Speaker 1: taking a tremendous toll. Is Shue and Charlie Pellett referenced Bert,
- 2:23Speaker 1: I want to get sort of an understanding of the
- 2:25Speaker 1: online commerce world because a Warren Buffett, chairman of Berkshire Hathaway,
- 2:30Speaker 1: at the April thirtieth annual meeting, this is what he
- 2:33Speaker 1: said about Amazon. He said, it's a big force that
- 2:35Speaker 1: will disrupt more businesses. Now, let's just concede that he
- 2:39Speaker 1: does own two percent of Walmart. But he said if
- 2:42Speaker 1: I owned a bunch of shopping malls or something like that,
- 2:45Speaker 1: I would be thinking plenty hard about what they looked
- 2:48Speaker 1: like ten or twenty years from now. You also said
- 2:51Speaker 1: they have a really Amazon has a real advantage because
- 2:54Speaker 1: it has intense focus on having hundreds of millions of
- 2:58Speaker 1: generally very be customers getting very quick delivery. That doesn't
- 3:04Speaker 1: sound like a ringing endorsement for a brick and mortar
- 3:06Speaker 1: store like Walmart. Definitely not for Walmart, not for Walmart
- 3:09Speaker 1: dot Com. And it's all of us forecast for Bloomberg
- 3:12Speaker 1: and two thousand seven, the retail recession that lasted the
- 3:15Speaker 1: balance of this this decade. We've also all forecast the
- 3:19Speaker 1: retail accelerating retail ice age. It's continuing now from nineteen
- 3:24Speaker 1: and Buffet's point, at the Berkshire Hathaway meeting. You'll have
- 3:28Speaker 1: a number of shopping centers filed for bankruptcy and liquidation, uh,
- 3:32Speaker 1: number of retailers, and they're gonna be catastrophic consequences for
- 3:37Speaker 1: the public sector because you'll you'll have public budgets impaired
- 3:40Speaker 1: without the sales tax ticking time bombs on pension plans.
- 3:45Speaker 1: Retail employees more people than any other industry, the layoffs
- 3:48Speaker 1: and the corresponding collateral consequences will ripple through the economy,
- 3:54Speaker 1: and it will be all the all the all the while,
- 3:57Speaker 1: fifty four million Americans are is on Prime subscribers, all
- 4:02Speaker 1: the while they're paying almost a hundred dollars a year,
- 4:04Speaker 1: all the while, all the while pim and increasing at
- 4:07Speaker 1: nearly a compounded growth rate in all the key areas
- 4:11Speaker 1: you referenced. So uh. And of course, you can't in
- 4:15Speaker 1: order to be be a successful mall operator, to be
- 4:19Speaker 1: in fact, to be a very successful store in one
- 4:22Speaker 1: of those malls, there has to be a lot of
- 4:23Speaker 1: stores around. You can't just be Macy's and a couple
- 4:25Speaker 1: of others. And you've also said that this is one
- 4:27Speaker 1: of the problems that there's some some other tenants some
- 4:31Speaker 1: of the retailers that are going down the tubes. And
- 4:33Speaker 1: that's another thing hurting companies like Macy's. Kathleen is you're
- 4:36Speaker 1: referencing Macy's problem is that neighborhood's going bad. So for example,
- 4:40Speaker 1: New Milford Mall outside of Pittsburgh, Simon Property Good owner
- 4:44Speaker 1: mall still filed for bankruptcy because their occupancy rate drafted
- 4:48Speaker 1: by about thirty percent when two key mall owners uh
- 4:52Speaker 1: uh mall retailers left. So Macy's is a co anchor,
- 4:55Speaker 1: just didn't have enough customer account to keep going. And
- 4:59Speaker 1: the number of inlines are closing. So it's you and
- 5:01Speaker 1: pen We have reported in Syriatum uh Sports Authority, Eastern
- 5:05Speaker 1: Mountain Sports Sports Shelle uh and and and so many
- 5:10Speaker 1: other category dominant and anchor retailers are closing that Macy's
- 5:15Speaker 1: can't carry them all by itself and is paying a
- 5:17Speaker 1: tremendous price even though they're doing well. In his Charlie
- 5:21Speaker 1: Pellet indicated Disney is really the leading indicator for us
- 5:24Speaker 1: in terms of the health of the consumer, and if
- 5:27Speaker 1: Disney can't turn the corner, they're real concerns about the
- 5:30Speaker 1: consumer and the economy in general. Steve Old who used
- 5:35Speaker 1: to be I believe the head of Office Depot. That's
- 5:39Speaker 1: why I'm mentioning him to you. He says, he's said
- 5:42Speaker 1: in the past that e commerce and smaller specialty shops
- 5:47Speaker 1: we're killing department stores. Is there anything that you see
- 5:52Speaker 1: that would make that statement untrue? Well, also also with
- 5:57Speaker 1: the president of Gallery Lafayette UM in Europe and worldwide,
- 6:02Speaker 1: department stores are dead because the shopper basis is going
- 6:07Speaker 1: in different directions. But it's also a lack of antitrust enforcements,
- 6:11Speaker 1: so with Amazon and sales taxes, but us also it's
- 6:14Speaker 1: a brilliance of Bezos. So for example, Bezos has invested
- 6:17Speaker 1: in five million distribution centers square footage just New York,
- 6:23Speaker 1: New Jersey, Philadelphia. A lot of its robotic sized, so
- 6:26Speaker 1: their cost to your point on Prime, they can get
- 6:28Speaker 1: the merchandise faster, So Staples doesn't get affirmed by Judge
- 6:33Speaker 1: Emmett's solvent that was that the merger's blocked. Was that
- 6:38Speaker 1: a mistake We got about thirty seconds left. Uh, it
- 6:41Speaker 1: probably was a mistake. But to pimps point, I can
- 6:44Speaker 1: order a cartridge from Amazon and Prime and get it
- 6:47Speaker 1: in nine hours. It takes help increase Amazon's dominance by
- 6:53Speaker 1: blocking this merger and Amazons less so. Uh, they should
- 6:57Speaker 1: have invoked a wild got chall should have invoked to
- 7:00Speaker 1: fill company doctrine for office depo office max. Uh, there's
- 7:04Speaker 1: some questions and for in my professional view on antitrust
- 7:06Speaker 1: representation for another day. Thank you very much. I think
- 7:11Speaker 1: the star the stores will be around a little at
- 7:14Speaker 1: least a little bit longer we can have that, uh conversation.
- 7:17Speaker 1: He'll be a real retail renaissance after the rationalizations starting
- 7:20Speaker 1: in all right, Well, we'll hope you're all around until then.
- 7:24Speaker 1: Bert Flicking Cherre, thank you very much, Managing Director, Strategic
- 7:28Speaker 1: Resource Group. Shares of Macy's today down, Shares of Amazon
- 7:34Speaker 1: today up one and a half percent. You're listening to
- 7:37Speaker 1: taking Stock and this is Bloomberg Radio coming up. Bloomberg
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