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Corporate Boards Meeting Challenges In New World · Bloomberg Intelligence

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, alongside
• 0:04
  Speaker 1: my co host Matt Miller. Every business day we bring
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts, along
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  Speaker 1: with essential market moving news. Find the Bloomberg Markets Podcast
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: on Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to podcasts, and
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: at Bloomberg dot com slash podcast. Well, over these last
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: fourteen months, everyone's lives have been disrupted to some degree,
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: some extraordinarily so. And that's true for corporate corporations as well.
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: And it's been fascinating to to kind of observe how
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  Speaker 1: different companies UH manage their way through the pandemic, how
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  Speaker 1: different boards of directors help their management teams navigate through
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  Speaker 1: these times. So it's a great time to speak for
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  Speaker 1: our next guest, Denbisa Moyo. She is a global economist economist.
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  Speaker 1: She currently serves on the boards of Chevron and three
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  Speaker 1: M and she has a new book out entitled How
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Boards Work and How They Can Work Better in a
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  Speaker 1: Chaotic World. Then, be said, thanks so much for joining
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  Speaker 1: us here. You know, we don't have much hindsight here
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  Speaker 1: because we're just at the very early stages of coming
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  Speaker 1: out on the other side of this pandemic. But in general,
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  Speaker 1: how do you think certain boards I guess reacted to
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  Speaker 1: and then maybe plan for strategically how to you know,
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  Speaker 1: evolve in this crazy world right now. Yeah. So the
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  Speaker 1: truth is a number of companies found themselves in a
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  Speaker 1: pretty stable and solid position, um, you know, to the
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  Speaker 1: extent that from the financial perspective of their balance sheet,
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  Speaker 1: from the operational perspective in terms of safety and just
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  Speaker 1: keeping the proverbial lights on, and then of course from
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  Speaker 1: the strategic aspect, so making sure that the business can
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  Speaker 1: survive through challenging times. There are a number of companies
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  Speaker 1: that actually did perfectly fine. Um. The bigger issue is,
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  Speaker 1: of course, there are a number of companies in the
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  Speaker 1: US about fourteen to fifteen percent of American corporations UM,
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  Speaker 1: that are incredibly vulnerable. They're known as zombie companies. By that,
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  Speaker 1: I mean that they don't have enough even interest sorry
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  Speaker 1: cats to cover the interest payment on their debt. And
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  Speaker 1: they were of course vulnerable from a balanchie perspective. Many
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  Speaker 1: companies struggled in terms of that switch from um sort
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  Speaker 1: of bricks and motor operations into being deployed UH is
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  Speaker 1: from the remotely UM, and of course the strategic questions remain.
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  Speaker 1: I'm wa seeing a lot of consolidation in the markets
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  Speaker 1: right now, but I do think that this this experience
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  Speaker 1: will separate the sort of what we used to say
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  Speaker 1: back in the day, demand from the boys. UM. So
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  Speaker 1: I think it has been quite a jarring experience of
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  Speaker 1: many companies. I guess E s G is, do we
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  Speaker 1: consider it the most important issue going forward for boards? Well, listen,
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  Speaker 1: it's become an existential crisis. M E. S G is
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  Speaker 1: part and parcel of how companies are thinking about themselves
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  Speaker 1: longer term, and obviously we're talking about environmental, social and
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  Speaker 1: governance issues. UM. You know, I think that the broader
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  Speaker 1: environment remains quite challenged in terms of economic growth beyond
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  Speaker 1: this year's rebound. How we thinking about technology, demographic ships, income, inequality,
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  Speaker 1: climate change, All these aspects are very much front and
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  Speaker 1: center of the minds of board members but also CEOs
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  Speaker 1: and and business leaders as they think about how to
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  Speaker 1: navigate not just the post COVID environment in the short term,
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  Speaker 1: but longer term, how it is we're going to run
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  Speaker 1: these businesses UM in the longer term and in a
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  Speaker 1: very challenged world. With China rising deglobalization, digitization, et cetera.
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  Speaker 1: I'm curious how a board, how a company like Chevron
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  Speaker 1: approaches that, because clearly Chevron's businesses fossil fuels. On the
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  Speaker 1: other hand, it's not like it would be it would
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  Speaker 1: be bad if they just everyone stopped making oil right
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  Speaker 1: all of a sudden. Their needs we need these products.
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  Speaker 1: So how does a company like Chevron approach E s G. Well,
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  Speaker 1: I think it's important to put this in context. Um,
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  Speaker 1: you know, they're on the one hand, there are people
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  Speaker 1: who are pushing very aggressively for defunding UH energy companies,
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  Speaker 1: and I think that there's a missed opportunity here because
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  Speaker 1: they tend to over overshadow, overlook the point that there
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  Speaker 1: are one point five billion people around the world who've
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  Speaker 1: got no access to energy in a cost effective and
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  Speaker 1: sustainable way, and it's just not reasonable for society to
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  Speaker 1: leave those people in energy poverty, given the broader macroeconomic risks.
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  Speaker 1: But just in terms of how the best companies and
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  Speaker 1: corporations are viewing the E s G agenda, it's not
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  Speaker 1: just about risk mitigation and thinking about greenhouse gas intensity
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  Speaker 1: and thinking about carbon intensity. All those things are critically important,
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  Speaker 1: but we also have to think about investing and looking
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  Speaker 1: at ways to continue to grow these businesses but also
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  Speaker 1: to grow the global economy and make sure that we
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  Speaker 1: continue to progress and in terms of human progress more generally. So,
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  Speaker 1: I think that whatever the issue is in terms of
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  Speaker 1: e s g. Not just climate change, but issues of
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  Speaker 1: worker advocacy, racial diversity of course, gender diversity as well. UM,
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  Speaker 1: couldn't turns around China's rise. Uh, you know, areas of obesity,
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  Speaker 1: voter rights, all of these things have to be looked
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  Speaker 1: at in a in a more sort of thoughtful and
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  Speaker 1: constructive and pragmatic way. And that's that's what I think
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  Speaker 1: the best corporations are doing. Basic based upon your experience, UM,
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  Speaker 1: what are your views of globalization? There was arguably since
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  Speaker 1: the end of World War to the world has become smaller,
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  Speaker 1: it's become a much more global market um over the
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  Speaker 1: last fifty years. But then under the prior administration, there
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  Speaker 1: was a move back to make America first on shoring
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  Speaker 1: some businesses. Um, how do you view as you sit
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  Speaker 1: on those boards of two global companies, how do you
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  Speaker 1: think about globalization? How does corporate America think about globalization? Well?
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  Speaker 1: Look that the textbooks are very clear theoretically globalization and
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  Speaker 1: by that I mean the movements of trade and in
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  Speaker 1: trade of goods of services UM. Capital flows, moving capital
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  Speaker 1: in what we traditionally call the carry trade, borrowing in
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  Speaker 1: places like London in New York at low interest rates,
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  Speaker 1: investing in high risk adjusted high return places like Brazil
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  Speaker 1: or South Africa. UM. You know, looking at the immigration,
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  Speaker 1: movement of people across borders, global standards, global cooperation, all
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  Speaker 1: these five elements of globalization. There is absolutely no doubt
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  Speaker 1: about it from historical evidence UM that these aspects, when
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  Speaker 1: they are at full function UM do contribute to broadening
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  Speaker 1: economic growth, the sort of expansion of the g d
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  Speaker 1: P PIE and human progress. That being said, we have
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  Speaker 1: to be aware and since this is the fact that
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  Speaker 1: there have been pockets of the population around the world
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  Speaker 1: UM that have been left behind UM. And that's where
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  Speaker 1: the schism and the challenges emerge for globalization. As we
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  Speaker 1: have seen, it's led to Brexit, it's led to the
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  Speaker 1: American America first type of policies. And my view is
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  Speaker 1: that from again to a very pragmatic since UM globalization
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  Speaker 1: should be pursued, but understanding that we need to make
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  Speaker 1: sure that everyone participating in this expansion, and that requires
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  Speaker 1: a little bit more temerity, but also thoughtfulness with respect
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  Speaker 1: to how we approach a globalization. It can't be full
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  Speaker 1: hog as we know it's in the textbook. But at
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  Speaker 1: the same time, I think we should not be pursuing
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  Speaker 1: a very aggressive progressive era. All right, Don Visa, thanks
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  Speaker 1: very much for joining us, Don Visa. That Moyo there.
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  Speaker 1: She is global economists currently serving on the boards of
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  Speaker 1: Chevron and three am great to get her views on
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  Speaker 1: these issues. Also, she's one of Time magazines one hundred
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  Speaker 1: most influential people in the world. This is Bloomberg. You
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  Speaker 1: got some economic data out today. US housing starts They
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  Speaker 1: felt by more than forecast in April, suggesting that supply
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  Speaker 1: chain constraints and rising material costs continue to hold builders back.
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  Speaker 1: Let's get some more color on the housing business and
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  Speaker 1: the construction business. We do that with Dr Jack Tchung
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  Speaker 1: ce Oh of James Hardy Industries. That is a publicly
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  Speaker 1: traded company. Uh. Dr Tron, thanks so much for joining
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  Speaker 1: us here. We've been hearing about supply chain shortages across
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  Speaker 1: a number of industries here. As the world's economies begin
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  Speaker 1: to ramp up talk to us about those supply chain
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  Speaker 1: challenges in the housing market. Good more and Paul, thank
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  Speaker 1: you for having me. UM. Yes, you certainly within the
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  Speaker 1: housing industry relative to new construction, is that we have
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  Speaker 1: experienced a really the shortage of lumber UM as well
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  Speaker 1: as the escalating prices in lumber UM. And then compounding
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  Speaker 1: the issue too is that there is anso a lack
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  Speaker 1: of labor skill, labor that that that really allowed the
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  Speaker 1: builders to to complete those new housing starts. UM. So
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  Speaker 1: that's really been an issue that as an industry, particularly
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  Speaker 1: a new construction UM that that have been played with
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  Speaker 1: during the past six months. So it's not about I mean,
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  Speaker 1: you want to build as much as as possible. UM.
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  Speaker 1: You want to get out there, get the land, you'll
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  Speaker 1: build on spec all no problem, right, because the demand
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  Speaker 1: is there. It's just that you don't have the stuff
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  Speaker 1: or the people that you need. UM. That's correct, Paul.
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  Speaker 1: I mean the the demand has been very strong UM.
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  Speaker 1: And you know, just just to give you a little perspective,
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  Speaker 1: I mean, UM, there is during the past decade, if
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  Speaker 1: if you look at the total new single family constructions
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  Speaker 1: UM in the in the US during the past decade,
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  Speaker 1: there is only about seven mill millions homes, the single
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  Speaker 1: family homes that were built. And and this was really
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  Speaker 1: compared to eleven million homes that would build every decade
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  Speaker 1: in the previous five decades UM. So certainly you know
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  Speaker 1: there is a there's a shortage of new single family
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  Speaker 1: homes in the US UM and what the what the
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  Speaker 1: trend that we see right now is really just, uh,
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  Speaker 1: the market is catching up the the demand is really strong,
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  Speaker 1: and then supply is really trying to catch up. You know.
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  Speaker 1: The one thing we've been hearing a lot about but
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  Speaker 1: I didn't think about it for the construction business is
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  Speaker 1: labor shortages. So talk to us about that. I mean,
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  Speaker 1: it's one thing for McDonald's or to be raising its
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  Speaker 1: minimum wage or Amazon to be raising its minimum wage
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  Speaker 1: to attract workers. But I always thought, you know, housing
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  Speaker 1: construction jobs were pretty good paying jobs. Talk to us
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  Speaker 1: about the labor aspect. Yeah, you know, it's a it
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  Speaker 1: is a is a good paying jobs. But you know,
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  Speaker 1: within construction because of all all the different type of
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  Speaker 1: uh um job that's going on, and you need someone
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  Speaker 1: to who have to feel the concrete, to phone the foundation,
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  Speaker 1: you need a skill that really do the roof, and
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  Speaker 1: the skills person that uh that really put the siding on,
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  Speaker 1: the skill person to put on the interior home, the
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  Speaker 1: electrician and so on. So so it's really you need
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  Speaker 1: to have different type of skill labor to recomplete the home. UM.
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  Speaker 1: So it's UM. You know, with the since the last
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  Speaker 1: bubble in UM in the housing crisis a decade ago, UM,
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  Speaker 1: the industry has lost a few of those labor. And
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  Speaker 1: then certainly during the past few years with the restriction
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  Speaker 1: on the immigration UM coming from from south of the country,
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  Speaker 1: we certainly saw a lack of that labor as well.
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  Speaker 1: So it's really a confluence of two factors that really
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  Speaker 1: affect the the new home construction in the US today,
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  Speaker 1: the lack of lumber and then also the lack of
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  Speaker 1: skill labor. But if you're able to get more for homes,
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: I guess you're able to then offer more pay And
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: would that help you attract more labor or is it
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  Speaker 1: are they just simply not there? UM? It's it certainly helps,
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  Speaker 1: but it's not gonna be able to attract enough labor
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  Speaker 1: to UM to complete homes. And it's certainly, like I
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  Speaker 1: mentioned before, with the lack of lumber it's also slowly
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  Speaker 1: down as well. But you know, how how we think
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  Speaker 1: about James Hardy is that you know a third of
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  Speaker 1: our business is really exposed to new construction, but the
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  Speaker 1: other two thirds really exposed to UH the renovation and
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  Speaker 1: UH and then UM market and and for that market
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  Speaker 1: is quite strong. UM. It is you know, with the
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: COVID condition that's happening right now, you see a lot
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  Speaker 1: more UM folks that stay at home and walk from
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  Speaker 1: home and so the really UM having a beauty, beautiful
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  Speaker 1: home and then extension of the home will be a
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  Speaker 1: key part of of of the growth in that sector. UM.
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  Speaker 1: And also with that sector as you renovate your home,
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  Speaker 1: the need for lumbers not as critical as it is
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  Speaker 1: in new obstruction. Alright, really interesting insight and it was
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  Speaker 1: great to get your take on what's going on the industry. Jack,
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: thanks so much for joining us. Dr Jack Drawing, the
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: CEO of James Hardy Industries, get overnight A David Deeds.
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: He's the managing principal and senior portfolio strategist at pe
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: Pack Private Wealth Management. They got about ten billion dollars
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: and assets under management. David, I guess the key question, UH,
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: from thirty five thousand feet is do you see rapid
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  Speaker 1: growth um in the reopening and is that accompanied by
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: you know, real temporary, real permanent inflation or is it
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: more of a transient inflation issue. Well, Matt, you put
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: your finger on the sixty dollar question. You know, at
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: this point no one really knows. I think we are
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: seeing rapid growth, notwithstanding the housing start report today with
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: its economy opening up, opening up as the pandemic wanes.
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  Speaker 1: We've got huge fiscal stimulus from UH various packages, and
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: there could be a an infrastructure bill on the way,
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: and of course we have record low interest rates. All
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: of that is a real tail wind behind the economy. Now,
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: last week we had two reports consumer prices producer prices,
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: which suggested much faster than expect inflation. But when you
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: do the deep dive, Matt, you see that those alone
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: don't answer your question because of what was driving the increase.
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: It was prices on used cars. It was prices on
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: car rentals and prices on hotel stays. You know, a
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: year ago those industries were left for dead under the lockdown.
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: Of course, now, for example, the use cars were up
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: ten percent, biggest since nineteen fifty three, But something tells
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: us that a year from now we're not going to
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: see another ten percent uh hike in used car prices.
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: We think it's a temporary thing. So who knows? You
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: know this is this is the question. You can't rule
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: either scenario completely out, Matt David. We're just finishing up
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: what has been a very strong earnings reporting season, and
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: a lot of folks are saying, boy, we certainly needed that,
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: we need more of it because this is an expensive market.
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: This is a market that maybe these needs to grow
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: into its multiple. How do you think about valuation here, Well,
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: evaluations are at the upper bounds of what we've historically seen,
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: close to twenty two times forward earnings UM, and when
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: you look at other metrics like price to sales, like
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: the value of the entire stock market relatives to the GDP,
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: we're off the charts. On the other hand, it's all
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: justifiable because of these low interest rates. But we also
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: have UM, as you pointed out, great corporate earnings growth,
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: and I think we're gonna see Q two going to
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: again have great earnings growth because of course, the comparisons
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: are gonna be versus the second quarter last year when
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: we're virtually on lockdown. But then you're gonna see still
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: positive but slowing earnings growth in the second half of
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: this year, and positive but again slower growth next year
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: in two thousand twenty two, And that's where the rubber
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: is going to hit the road. Will that earnings growth
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: continue to be sufficient to withstand these higher multiples? I
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: think of interest rates continued low? Yes, If not, it's
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: going to be a stock biggers market. That's the point.
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: I mean, this market is priced for a um, no
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: more lockdowns, right, a total and complete reopening and be
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: um no interest rate increases from the FED or really
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: even uh tapering until what the end of two Yeah,
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: you know, I think that's right, and so the way
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: we've been, you know the but the problem is, of course,
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: Matt is if not stocks, then what cryptospacs, money markets?
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: You know, there's no easy choices here. So I think
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: we're continuing to stay stay say, stay the course, but
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: perhaps to your PORTFOLI to those areas of the market
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: which have not done so well for the last ten years,
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: but with a rapidly expanding economy, with interest rates starting
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: to move up with a whiff of inflation, could do better.
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: Those are your cyclical names, your value names. Those may
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: be the best bets going forward. All right, Dan, I
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: know you're not not afraid to talk names here. Given
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: a backdrop that you see out there in terms of inflation,
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: in terms of rates. What are some of the names
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: you guys are doing some work on these days. Yeah. Absolutely,
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: So we like a name like all State. I mean,
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: you know, here's a company that about ten times s
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: eartings with a yield about two and a half percent,
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: so you're getting a full one percent more than that
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: ten year treasury. Uh. They've had better than expected claims
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: experience because of course no one was driving. But there's
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: no reason why that company can't continue to grow with
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: a prosperous economy. And of course they're only paying out
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: about twenty of their profits in the fourth dividends. That
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: they can crank that dividend up. It seems if someone said, well,
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: five years from now, you're gonna be better off of
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: the ten year treasure, you're gonna be better all in
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: a company like all State, All State looks good. Um. Uh.
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: You know, we also like a company like General Motors
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: because of course, you know, uh, to the extent that
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: the semiconductor, uh supply permits. They're just selling cars as
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: fast as they can make them. GM very low valuation.
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: They too, like Tesla of course moving to the e
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: V space, but they're not prices though. They're gonna be
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: a big TV player, but of course they will be ultimately.
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: So we think GM makes a lot of sense here.
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: I just got about thirty seconds. Still like Viacom CBS.
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: It's hot day for them today. Um, but you know
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: this is one this is one of the socks that
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: Bill Wang got burned on. Well yeah he did. I
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: mean the stock got up too close to a hundred.
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: Viacom quite astutely sold stock to institutional investors at eight five.
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: What were they thinking, Well, guess what is it better
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: buy now when it's in the low forties. And I
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: think the um appeal of the entertainment and media and
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: content stocks was underscored first of course with the Warner
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: Media and Discovery combination. And of course today we just
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: learned that Amazon is looking at the MGM studios for
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: their content and so forth. So it makes a lot
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: of sense. All right, David, thank you so much for
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: joining us. As always, we appreciate you, appreciate your thoughts
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: on the market and the names you're looking at. David
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: Deet's managing principle and senior portfolio strategists at Pepeck Private
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: Wealth Management, located in beautiful Bucolic Summit, New Jersey. This
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: is Bloomberg, all right. The news of the day, I
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: think is, you know, as it relates to Global Wall Street,
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: is what's going on at JP Morgan and putting two
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: of the contenders vying to succeed chief executive Jamie Diamond
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: in charge of its sprawling consumer banking operation. Let's get
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: some color on thatw We bring in Allison Williams. She's
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: a senior banks analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence. She's been following
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: this industry for decades, both on the by side in
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: the South side. She knows all the players here. So Alison,
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: thanks so much for joining us here. Um, Jamie Dimon
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: is not going anywhere soon, is he? But I guess
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: they're still trying to think about some succession plans. Is
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: that's what's going on here? Sure? So you know Jamie
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: Diamond's infamous line is every time someone asked him how
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: long he's going to stay on, he always says five
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: more years. And he says that every year. UM. So uh,
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: they'll be conferences in the coming weeks and we'll see
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: if he continues to say that. So the big news
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: really is, um, you know, obviously the promotion of the
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: two former CFOs to head the Consumer Bank. UM. You know,
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: I think because people have been watching, especially Marianne Um
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: Lake who was a longtime CFO. She was replaced by
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: jen Keepsack um more recently. UM, And so I think
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: you know, all eyes are on these two women to
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: see if one of them will become the contender. UM. However,
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: for the moment, Um Pinto is really the Soul six user.
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: So UM, just just to hopefully I'm being clear that UM,
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: Pinto and Smith were basically the co leaders of the bank.
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: Smith is retiring, which puts Pinto in the air apparent position.
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: But I think all eyes are on, um, the two
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: former CFOs who were promoted to have the Consumer Bank,
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: to see if one of those women will rise to
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: be the new CEO. So, just to recap, then we're
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: saying Pinto is the successor is the air apparent right now?
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: But we're watching Marianne Lake and Jennifer peep Sack in
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: case they want not Pinto office pedestal. Well, it depends, right,
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: So like, let's say that Diamonds stepped down tomorrow, Pinto
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: is obviously the air apparents. Um. You know, if you
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: went back a few years ago, UM, it would have
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: been Pinto or Smith. I think that, um, you know,
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: putting Marianne Late and Jen Peepsack in charge of the
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: Consumer Bank sort of puts them into a runoff, right. So, UM,
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: let's say, jaman so Jamie Diamond steps down tomorrow, Pinto's
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: in charge. We wait five more years, as Jamie always does.
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: Over the next couple of years, we would expect, um
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: that either Lake or peep Sack rises to be the
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: um leader of the Consumer Bank. Um, and then there's
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: sort of a runoff between that leader and Pinto Alison.
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: What does the market think about the tenure or the
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: or the I guess the future with Jamie Diamond. I mean,
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: obviously Jamie Diamond is is you know rock Star CEO
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: has delivered for shareholders? Um. I presume shareholders are extraordinarily
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: supportive of him. In theory, do they want him to
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: stay as long as he wants to and as long
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: as he continues to perform they do, UM, but I
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: think they also do recognize UM that there is a
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: very strong bench. I would say that, you know, all
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: three of the people that UM we discussed are very
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: well respected UM on Wall Street, UM, Pinto and Lake
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: perhaps a little bit better known because of UM they're
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: more forward facing walls over a longer period of time.
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: Is he the most beloved major Wall Street CEO? I mean,
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: the most revered. I don't know what what word to use,
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: but he's basically the man to watch on Wall Street? Right? Well, yeah,
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: he's the He's the only CEO commandaged through both of
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: the recent crisis, right, So, UM he managed to the
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: prior crisis. UM. You know, Lloyd Blankfine had had stucked
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: down and paved the way for Solomon, which was actually
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: a good transition period, right because when Solomon was in place,
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: and I think that's that's sort of what they wanted,
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: is to have the new Seaton in place when the
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: next crisis happened. So, and I would remind you that
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: actually in the beginning of this crisis, about a year ago,
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: Jamie Diamond was in the hospital at all and Pinto
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: and Smith we're actually running the bank as co CEOs
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: for a period of time. So um, you know now, uh,
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: Pinjo will be the one that has that experience going forward.
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: All right, Alice, thanks so much for joining us. Really
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: appreciated that you must be very busy today considering everything
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: that that we're up against. Alison Williams, Senior analyst for
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: Bloomberg Intelligence. Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg Markets podcast.
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: You can subscribe and listen to interviews with Apple Podcasts
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: or whatever podcast platform you prefer. I'm Matt Miller. I'm
• 24:34
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• 24:38
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• 24:41
  Speaker 1: can always catch us worldwide at Bloomberg Radio.