Latest / 3 Martini Lunch – Political Humor & Commentary / One Year Without Charlie Kirk: How His Absence Changed the Right
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Welcome to the Three Martini Lunch.
- 0:04Speaker 2: Grab a stool next to Greg Karambas of Radio America
- 0:07Speaker 2: and Jim Garrity of National Review.
- 0:10Speaker 1: Three Martini's coming up.
- 0:14Speaker 3: So glad you're with us for the Thursday edition of
- 0:16Speaker 3: the Three Martini Lunch. So much to get to today.
- 0:19Speaker 3: We should also let you know that tomorrow, of course,
- 0:20Speaker 3: is the 25th anniversary of the horrific 9-11 attacks. Barring
- 0:25Speaker 3: major intervening current news, Jim and I plan to spend
- 0:29Speaker 3: the entire episode on that tomorrow. So please join us
- 0:31Speaker 3: for that. But Jim, today is also, unfortunately, a very
- 0:35Speaker 3: somber anniversary, the one-year anniversary of the brutal murder assassination
- 0:40Speaker 3: of Charlie Kirk out at Utah Valley University last year
- 0:43Speaker 3: in public. So many of us saw the images on
- 0:46Speaker 3: social media and elsewhere that we wish were never in
- 0:49Speaker 3: our minds, but they're impossible to scrub out. And so
- 0:53Speaker 3: I think it's appropriate to think about the year that
- 0:56Speaker 3: we've seen since then. I think in a couple different ways,
- 0:59Speaker 3: it's been a really lousy year. It's been a lousy year, obviously,
- 1:03Speaker 3: for the Kirk family and for many of the folks
- 1:04Speaker 3: at TPUSA, not only dealing with the devastating loss of
- 1:08Speaker 3: Charlie Kirk, but also having to deal with the insanity,
- 1:11Speaker 3: the evil insanity of the likes of Candace Owens and
- 1:14Speaker 3: others constantly projecting that it was Israel, it was Erica,
- 1:18Speaker 3: it was TPUSA, it was an inside job, on and
- 1:21Speaker 3: on it goes, and just absolutely relentless and only she
- 1:24Speaker 3: cares and and all this garbage. I would also argue
- 1:26Speaker 3: that the right, you know, the right's never been all under,
- 1:30Speaker 3: you know, marching in lockstep, and that's probably a good thing.
- 1:33Speaker 3: It's a bigger tent than the Democrats, even though the
- 1:35Speaker 3: Democrats don't like to think that way. But I feel
- 1:38Speaker 3: like the party's more fractured without Charlie Kirk on scene
- 1:41Speaker 3: to kind of try to hold it together. Tucker Carlson's
- 1:43Speaker 3: gone much further off the rails in the last 12 months,
- 1:46Speaker 3: so have other people. And so the impact of this
- 1:50Speaker 3: is significant, the emotional impact that we had back then.
- 1:53Speaker 3: Significant understanding his role within the movement, I think, has
- 1:57Speaker 3: become a bigger deal. And not having him around to
- 2:00Speaker 3: kind of put out a lot of the fires has
- 2:02Speaker 3: been very noticeable.
- 2:03Speaker 1: You know, Greg, it is ironic and painful that we
- 2:08Speaker 1: have two back-to-back painful anniversaries. The 9-11 attacks do not
- 2:13Speaker 1: feel like they were 25 years ago, even though I
- 2:16Speaker 1: have some young adults around in my life who weren't
- 2:18Speaker 1: born then. But also this recognition that Charlie Kirk, that
- 2:22Speaker 1: feels like it was more than a year ago. That
- 2:24Speaker 1: feels like we've been living in the post-Charlie Kirk assassination
- 2:27Speaker 1: world for a much longer time than that. And I
- 2:30Speaker 1: concur with you. This has not been a good year.
- 2:33Speaker 1: And not everyone in the country is responsible for this,
- 2:38Speaker 1: but I do feel like our political culture has responded
- 2:41Speaker 1: to that horrific moment. never justifiable event in two intertwined
- 2:48Speaker 1: bad ways. One was obviously the reaction from the left. Thankfully,
- 2:52Speaker 1: it was not many Democratic office holders or people in
- 2:55Speaker 1: significant positions of responsibility. But one of the side effects
- 2:58Speaker 1: of living in an era of social media is that
- 2:59Speaker 1: anybody can jump online and instantly share their thoughts. And
- 3:03Speaker 1: there was this question of, do you want your kid
- 3:06Speaker 1: taught by a teacher who felt great hearing that Charlie
- 3:10Speaker 1: Kirk had been assassinated? Do you want your company... Should
- 3:14Speaker 1: your employer fire you? Does your company worry about damage
- 3:17Speaker 1: to its reputation if you went out there and metaphorically
- 3:21Speaker 1: danced on someone's grave? And I think that ideally this
- 3:24Speaker 1: should trigger some soul searching. I think one of the
- 3:27Speaker 1: things that's been really bothersome about this is that apparently
- 3:29Speaker 1: none of these people have anyone in their lives who
- 3:31Speaker 1: could say, what's wrong with you? No, even if you
- 3:35Speaker 1: hated the guy, even if you couldn't stand his politics...
- 3:38Speaker 1: Nobody deserves to die that way. Nobody deserves to be
- 3:40Speaker 1: murdered in cold blood with all the people who were
- 3:43Speaker 1: in that audience who were traumatized by the sight of that.
- 3:47Speaker 1: So then we have that, and then on the intertwining side,
- 3:49Speaker 1: the sheer number of folks on the right side of
- 3:51Speaker 1: the aisle, most notably Candace Owens, but she's not completely alone,
- 3:55Speaker 1: who have chosen to believe that this is the Rosetta
- 3:58Speaker 1: Stone for all conspiracies and that there's always some other country,
- 4:01Speaker 1: some other faction, the Jews, Israelis, the French, Brigitte Macron,
- 4:07Speaker 1: you name it. At some point, Candace Owens has claimed
- 4:09Speaker 1: that she was involved, this person, somebody was involved in it.
- 4:13Speaker 1: And thankfully, there are only folks on the right who've said,
- 4:15Speaker 1: this is ridiculous. This is asinine. There's no evidence for this.
- 4:19Speaker 1: There's a trial going on with the actual assassin. The
- 4:21Speaker 1: investigation itself got wrapped up pretty quick. This is not
- 4:24Speaker 1: the Zapruder film of the JFK assassination. This is all
- 4:27Speaker 1: pretty straightforward. But the bothersome thing, and look, it's a
- 4:31Speaker 1: free country. Watch whatever you want to watch. I know
- 4:33Speaker 1: people think my habits are weird. People are like, you
- 4:35Speaker 1: voluntarily watch Jet Games? But if you're voluntarily listening to
- 4:39Speaker 1: Candace Owens, and my friend Mickey did the back of
- 4:43Speaker 1: the envelope calculations on how many people are watching and
- 4:46Speaker 1: how much this has increased the payouts for Candace Owens,
- 4:50Speaker 1: it is really considerable. And I don't get why you'd
- 4:53Speaker 1: watch that. I don't see the appeal. I don't understand
- 4:56Speaker 1: why you'd want to hear... that Candace Owens basically throws
- 5:01Speaker 1: a dart at a map and says that country was
- 5:03Speaker 1: behind the assassination of Charlie Kirk. And it's just kind
- 5:05Speaker 1: of this, there's just something very disturbing about that. And again,
- 5:09Speaker 1: I doubt our audiences overlap very much, but in the
- 5:11Speaker 1: rare case that you are listening to Candace Owens and
- 5:14Speaker 1: you find that entertaining, rethink your decisions in life. Rethink
- 5:17Speaker 1: how you got to this point and reevaluate because there are,
- 5:21Speaker 1: really honestly, even watching the Jets isn't that painful. And
- 5:24Speaker 1: I just don't think that there's any reason to add
- 5:27Speaker 1: fuel to the fire of this. Are there folks in
- 5:30Speaker 1: our political leadership who are not great? I didn't love
- 5:33Speaker 1: it when, I thought it was an amazing moment when
- 5:35Speaker 1: Erica Kirk said that she forgave the assassin. Maybe on
- 5:38Speaker 1: some level I related to Donald Trump saying I don't
- 5:40Speaker 1: forgive my enemies. I don't know if I'd have the
- 5:42Speaker 1: strength to do that. I don't know if I have
- 5:44Speaker 1: the Christian forgiveness within me to forgive someone who killed
- 5:47Speaker 1: someone I love. But no, it's been a rough year
- 5:51Speaker 1: and his absence is felt in ways I don't think
- 5:53Speaker 1: we ever would have foreseen before. And I think that
- 5:56Speaker 1: the fractiousness of the left is one part that no
- 6:00Speaker 1: one could have replaced Charlie Kirk. But I also get
- 6:03Speaker 1: the feeling, Greg, there are not that many figures in
- 6:05Speaker 1: the conservative world who want to replace Charlie Kirk and
- 6:08Speaker 1: be that sort of bridge builder. And certainly, I think
- 6:11Speaker 1: there's a lot of understandable cynicism on the right about
- 6:15Speaker 1: what is the value of engaging with the left if
- 6:17Speaker 1: Charlie Kirk tried that and he got murdered for it.
- 6:19Speaker 3: I think some people have tried to become the next
- 6:22Speaker 3: Charlie Kirk. There's not going to be exactly another... Charlie Kirk,
- 6:25Speaker 3: and if it's... There was never.
- 6:26Speaker 1: Another Rush Limbaugh. There was never another Newt Gingrich or
- 6:29Speaker 1: Ronald Ritt. You can't be the next X. The only
- 6:32Speaker 1: thing you can be is the first U, and hopefully
- 6:35Speaker 1: that first U will be pretty good.
- 6:36Speaker 3: And like you said, there were disgusting comments last year.
- 6:38Speaker 3: There's disgusting comments this year. Hat tip to libs of
- 6:43Speaker 3: TikTok finding, and I think forwarded internal messages from California's
- 6:48Speaker 3: Claremont College's chats with things like, happy Kirkmas Eve, everyone.
- 6:53Speaker 3: Who wants to be my Kirkentine on the 10th? I'm
- 6:55Speaker 3: going on a Kirkiversary bender starting Thursday and even have
- 6:59Speaker 3: people talking about getting hickeys on their neck in the
- 7:02Speaker 3: same spot where he was shot. Jim, there's a big
- 7:04Speaker 3: chunk of this population that's not well.
- 7:07Speaker 1: No, and like, again, where are these people's families? Where
- 7:10Speaker 1: are these people's friends? Is it, you know, like, if
- 7:12Speaker 1: you found out that any of your friends or family
- 7:15Speaker 1: were talking about anyone, I'm trying to, you know, I
- 7:18Speaker 1: won't even do my usual Adam Gase joke here. I'm
- 7:20Speaker 1: trying to, you know, You and I really vehemently disagree
- 7:24Speaker 1: with Bernie Sanders. I don't want to see Bernie Sanders assassinated.
- 7:27Speaker 1: I hope he lives to be 100. Not that far away.
- 7:30Speaker 1: But nonetheless, I hope he lives a long and happy
- 7:32Speaker 1: life with his three homes as a socialist. I'll make
- 7:35Speaker 1: fun of him. And I prefer the voters of Vermont
- 7:39Speaker 1: did not return him. And I don't want him to
- 7:40Speaker 1: be this big influential voice of the Democratic Party. But
- 7:44Speaker 1: I don't want the person to suffer. There's a There's
- 7:48Speaker 1: sadistic impulses in people that I think has been revealed
- 7:52Speaker 1: by all this, which is deeply troubling. You should not
- 7:55Speaker 1: walk through life hoping to see misfortune happen to other people.
- 7:58Speaker 3: Again, thoughts certainly with Erica and the family and those
- 8:01Speaker 3: who knew him well, worked with him.
- 8:03Speaker 1: It's got to be a very, very tough day.
- 8:05Speaker 3: First anniversaries of losses, especially shocking losses, always are. And
- 8:09Speaker 3: so praying that that heals slowly over time and that
- 8:13Speaker 3: justice is done in that case.
- 8:16Speaker 1: All right.
- 8:16Speaker 3: Well, let's talk about making sure that you are okay.
- 8:20Speaker 3: And that makes it necessary to go to the doctor
- 8:23Speaker 3: once in a while, whether it's the annual checkup, maybe
- 8:25Speaker 3: seeing that specialist that your primary recommended. Maybe it's finding
- 8:28Speaker 3: a new doctor that you like better. For all that stuff,
- 8:31Speaker 3: go to ZocDoc. ZocDoc lets you search and compare local
- 8:34Speaker 3: in-network doctors. You can even find an appointment without having
- 8:38Speaker 3: to call anyone. Jim and I have both used ZocDoc.
- 8:40Speaker 1: We've had great results. I was going to say, if
- 8:42Speaker 1: you're the kind of person who procrastinates and doesn't want
- 8:44Speaker 1: to go to the doctor... ZocDoc will make your procrastination
- 8:48Speaker 1: much harder. You're going to not have nearly as many
- 8:51Speaker 1: excuses because you get to see actual appointment openings. You
- 8:54Speaker 1: can click to instantly book a visit. Appointments happen fast,
- 8:57Speaker 1: usually within 24 to 72 hours. And you can even
- 9:00Speaker 1: score same-day appointments sometimes.
- 9:02Speaker 3: Your health matters and taking care of yourself should not
- 9:04Speaker 3: be complicated. Find and book the right doctor with ZocDoc.
- 9:06Speaker 3: Head to ZocDoc.com slash 3ML to get started and check
- 9:10Speaker 3: that appointment off your to-do list. That's Z-O-C-D-O-C dot com
- 9:14Speaker 3: slash 3ML. All right, Jim, we're all going to die,
- 9:26Speaker 3: which is true, but most people don't think we're all
- 9:29Speaker 3: going to die in the next decade unless you work
- 9:33Speaker 3: in AI. And that is certainly the situation right now.
- 9:37Speaker 3: You write about it in the Jolt today. Axios has
- 9:40Speaker 3: reported on it, Fox News and others have reported on it, CNN.
- 9:43Speaker 3: Former anthropic AI... And that term still bugs me because
- 9:47Speaker 3: anthropic resorts to human. That's what the root of that
- 9:50Speaker 3: word is, is human. But anthropic AI researcher Jacob Coxon,
- 9:54Speaker 3: you write in the journal today, caused more than a
- 9:55Speaker 3: little bit of a stir when he posted on X
- 9:57Speaker 3: Tuesday evening, quote, I resigned from anthropology.
- 10:00Speaker 2: Today.
- 10:00Speaker 3: I spent the last three years doing pre-training research at
- 10:03Speaker 3: both open AI and anthropic. Neither company is acting responsibly.
- 10:07Speaker 3: They are racing straight to self-improving super intelligence and gambling
- 10:11Speaker 3: with our lives. The people building AI earnestly believe that
- 10:15Speaker 3: it could kill us all by the end of the decade.
- 10:17Speaker 3: This is not a marketing stunt. If anything, many executives
- 10:20Speaker 3: and senior researchers will couch their phrasing in the press
- 10:23Speaker 3: to sound sensible, but I hear the same people express
- 10:26Speaker 3: fear privately. No other human activity poses this level of danger.
- 10:32Speaker 3: And so another guy who was at Anthropic named Evan
- 10:36Speaker 3: Hubinger that you quote in the jolt today says, Jacob
- 10:39Speaker 3: is correct. We really do believe AI could kill all humans.
- 10:42Speaker 3: I personally think it is a greater than 10% chance
- 10:44Speaker 3: within the next decade. I believe Anthropic is trying its best,
- 10:47Speaker 3: but we do not have a plan to solve alignment
- 10:50Speaker 3: for superintelligence and are not clearly on track to. Now,
- 10:54Speaker 3: Coxon was on Fox News Channel with Brett Baer last
- 10:56Speaker 3: night saying, yes, it's a huge problem, but it's not unsolvable.
- 11:00Speaker 3: He says it's not like we think this is some
- 11:03Speaker 3: impossible thing. It's just we're racing so fast we haven't
- 11:05Speaker 3: got time to solve it correctly. We're not being careful
- 11:08Speaker 3: and everyone wants to be careful. So he's sounding the
- 11:10Speaker 3: alarm that we need to Put some guardrails on this
- 11:13Speaker 3: thing before it's too late and it sounds like it
- 11:14Speaker 3: might already be too late.
- 11:15Speaker 1: So, uh, Jim.
- 11:17Speaker 3: This seems like more concern than, you know, ending net
- 11:21Speaker 3: neutrality is going to kill us all or Republican tax
- 11:23Speaker 3: cuts are going to kill us all. But this is
- 11:26Speaker 3: probably overkill. But when the people who invent this stuff
- 11:29Speaker 3: have no way to control it, it does become pretty alarming.
- 11:32Speaker 1: Greg, if someone who really understood how things work came
- 11:36Speaker 1: to you and I and said, guys, I hate to
- 11:38Speaker 1: tell you this, but if you continue doing the Three
- 11:41Speaker 1: Martini Lynch podcast, there's a 10% chance it could destroy
- 11:44Speaker 1: human civilization. And kill every human being on the planet.
- 11:48Speaker 1: I think that's the end of the show. I think
- 11:50Speaker 1: we just, you know, it's not a great risk, but
- 11:53Speaker 1: is it worth it to do the podcast if, you know,
- 11:57Speaker 1: it's going to kill that many people? Thankfully, no one
- 11:59Speaker 1: has said that. And so we are going to continue
- 12:01Speaker 1: into perpetuity. So I try to walk through a lot
- 12:05Speaker 1: in this, you know, to not try not to use
- 12:06Speaker 1: one of my cliches, but there is a lot to
- 12:08Speaker 1: unpack here. And I will begin that Coxon, I'm sure
- 12:12Speaker 1: he's a bright guy. I don't know whether his message
- 12:15Speaker 1: is considered more credible or less credible by the fact
- 12:19Speaker 1: that he looks like he graduated from Hogwarts last week.
- 12:22Speaker 1: A very bizarre Harry Potter resemblance there. Look, anytime someone
- 12:28Speaker 1: from the AI industry comes out and says, wow, I'm
- 12:31Speaker 1: freaked out, I'm walking away from this. And his co-workers say, yeah,
- 12:35Speaker 1: but it's like 10%. That still does not, like, most
- 12:39Speaker 1: of us operate, like the Three More Teens at Lunch podcast,
- 12:42Speaker 1: there's really a 0.0 chance we're going to destroy the
- 12:45Speaker 1: universe just by doing this sort of thing. And I
- 12:48Speaker 1: also would note when people say, you know, there's a
- 12:50Speaker 1: 10% chance that our work might destroy all of humanity,
- 12:55Speaker 1: I notice they never quite elaborate how. They just kind
- 12:58Speaker 1: of basically say at some point the AI will break
- 13:01Speaker 1: out of containment, and it'll become self-aware, and everyone kind
- 13:05Speaker 1: of reverts to James Cameron movies. And the whole thing
- 13:09Speaker 1: out of this Terminator thing was, you know, and they
- 13:11Speaker 1: explain this in the second one, like, you know, the
- 13:13Speaker 1: Skynet is this great program, the Defense Department loves it,
- 13:17Speaker 1: hooks it up to everything in the Defense Department, including
- 13:20Speaker 1: the nuclear arsenal, and effectively gives Skynet the authority to
- 13:24Speaker 1: launch nuclear weapons. And that's, you know, it launches them
- 13:27Speaker 1: at Russia, because it wants Russia to destroy the U.S. government.
- 13:30Speaker 1: And then before you know it, you've got giant metal
- 13:32Speaker 1: skeletons walking across a devastated landscape. I think, as I've
- 13:37Speaker 1: looked through, not just from the thriller research, from other stuff,
- 13:39Speaker 1: there's a lot of ways that if AI decided to
- 13:42Speaker 1: mess with us, it could do so. In one of
- 13:45Speaker 1: the novels I wrote about quantum computing, and the day
- 13:48Speaker 1: somebody breaks through on this, you could make an argument
- 13:50Speaker 1: that basically all firewalls in all computer systems are hackable.
- 13:54Speaker 1: There's nothing safe anymore. That basically these things that we
- 13:57Speaker 1: think are utterly... suddenly become breakable fairly easily. Now, that's
- 14:02Speaker 1: really bad, Greg. I don't know if it ends with
- 14:05Speaker 1: the Statue of Liberty and the beach and intelligent apes
- 14:07Speaker 1: walking around. Like, you go from like, oh, that would
- 14:10Speaker 1: be really bad to that would be the end of
- 14:13Speaker 1: human civilization. I don't know if we necessarily get there. Now,
- 14:16Speaker 1: I also found an article in the Wall Street Journal
- 14:18Speaker 1: from early this summer. where basically people were using open
- 14:22Speaker 1: AI and basically saying, how can I create a really
- 14:24Speaker 1: devastating biological weapon? How can I create a strain of
- 14:27Speaker 1: measles that would infect those who already have vaccinations? AI
- 14:34Speaker 1: doesn't have to become self-aware to become really destructive. And
- 14:38Speaker 1: the idea of enabling people who are angry at the
- 14:41Speaker 1: world or who have malevolent intentions or something like, and
- 14:44Speaker 1: giving them ideas and giving them the knowledge that is
- 14:48Speaker 1: necessary to do something that is really devastating, that'd be
- 14:51Speaker 1: really bad. Honestly, we don't need the intelligent AI, self-aware AI.
- 14:56Speaker 1: That by itself is really bad as is. And the
- 15:00Speaker 1: other thing I kind of wonder about, and again, we
- 15:02Speaker 1: could talk about this for hours and hours and we
- 15:04Speaker 1: try not to make this podcast go too long. Greg,
- 15:07Speaker 1: how many times in your life have you said, except
- 15:09Speaker 1: terms and conditions, And it's like 40 pages of solid
- 15:12Speaker 1: text in, you know, six point font. And they could
- 15:16Speaker 1: have language in there. I have, you know, we reserve
- 15:18Speaker 1: all rights to your firstborn and you just got to
- 15:19Speaker 1: click OK because I want to use the app or
- 15:21Speaker 1: something like that. You know, we live in an era
- 15:24Speaker 1: with that in which God, we have no idea what
- 15:25Speaker 1: we're agreeing to, you know, giving a company or an
- 15:28Speaker 1: app access to our phone, to our computers, all that stuff.
- 15:31Speaker 1: We live in an era where our refrigerators are connected
- 15:33Speaker 1: to the internet. We live in an era where our
- 15:35Speaker 1: cars have computer systems. Like the idea of, oh, we've
- 15:39Speaker 1: created this AI program that can alter things. And it
- 15:43Speaker 1: might break out of its, it may not operate by
- 15:45Speaker 1: the rules we think it does. I found this fascinating
- 15:48Speaker 1: article by the Washington Post tech columnist who says, I
- 15:51Speaker 1: told the AI to find eggs that were cheap and
- 15:54Speaker 1: it ordered a dozen eggs for $ 31 and they arrived
- 15:57Speaker 1: at my house. And I realized that when I gave
- 15:59Speaker 1: it access to the supermarket app, I had forgotten it
- 16:02Speaker 1: had access to my credit card and it just bought
- 16:04Speaker 1: it by itself and it didn't bother to check with me. So,
- 16:08Speaker 1: I could see a lot of problems coming out of that.
- 16:12Speaker 1: The idea of we end up giving an AI access
- 16:15Speaker 1: to that. And this was not, you know, at no
- 16:19Speaker 1: point was the AI ordering eggs must destroy humanity, you know,
- 16:23Speaker 1: that sort of thing. It just was like, oh, I'm
- 16:25Speaker 1: going to help you. I'm going to spend $ 31 on
- 16:27Speaker 1: a dozen eggs because you have not told me that
- 16:30Speaker 1: is too much to pay By the way, fairly generous
- 16:33Speaker 1: tip from the AI. So, I know when they say
- 16:35Speaker 1: that AI is malevolent, I think it still takes care
- 16:37Speaker 1: of workers. So, good for that. But so, like, there
- 16:41Speaker 1: are real legitimate reasons to be concerned about AI. And
- 16:44Speaker 1: I would also note that as someone who uses, you know,
- 16:47Speaker 1: Microsoft Word to write the morning jolt, and we use
- 16:49Speaker 1: computers all the time, I don't love how AI is
- 16:52Speaker 1: getting shoved in my face by every app, everything that
- 16:55Speaker 1: I use. Google, right? You know, oh, we're not going
- 16:57Speaker 1: to give you links. We're just going to give you
- 16:58Speaker 1: the AI explanation. Don't worry, you know. Um, the inescapability
- 17:02Speaker 1: of AI, by the way, I think by all of this,
- 17:04Speaker 1: by the way, I think it's a driving factor in
- 17:06Speaker 1: the panic over data centers. Um, so look, there are
- 17:10Speaker 1: legitimate reasons to be concerned about. I've also heard people
- 17:13Speaker 1: kind of not as convinced that this guy, uh, Coxon
- 17:16Speaker 1: knows as much as he seems to, or as he
- 17:18Speaker 1: spent as much time there as he seems to. Um, I, again,
- 17:22Speaker 1: you know, don't, and the other thing, my closing note
- 17:24Speaker 1: in the morning jolt was Y2K.
- 17:25Speaker 2: Okay.
- 17:25Speaker 1: You know, you and I are of a certain age.
- 17:27Speaker 1: We remember that was a very big deal. And the U.S.
- 17:30Speaker 1: total spent like $ 100 billion updating the software for all
- 17:32Speaker 1: that stuff. So we've seen this sort of thing before
- 17:35Speaker 1: where people are like, this is a really terrible deal.
- 17:38Speaker 1: The world's going to end. I put up a link
- 17:39Speaker 1: to this fascinating video narrated by Leonard Nimoy, Spock, talking
- 17:44Speaker 1: about all the dangers of how the Y2K pug is
- 17:47Speaker 1: going to destroy your society and how you can help
- 17:50Speaker 1: your family prepare. And of course, you know, January 1st, 2000,
- 17:55Speaker 1: Life went on. It was not a disaster the way
- 17:58Speaker 1: the doomsday predictions were. So this is worth keeping an
- 18:01Speaker 1: eye on. I would not go into a panic over it.
- 18:04Speaker 1: I would not be digging a shelter in my backyard
- 18:07Speaker 1: or moving out to the middle of nowhere. But nobody
- 18:10Speaker 1: who gets involved in AI signs up to become a
- 18:14Speaker 1: participant and to build it because they don't like it.
- 18:17Speaker 1: Everybody gets into it because they like it and they
- 18:19Speaker 1: see all the wonderful possibilities of it. I don't think
- 18:21Speaker 1: there's a lot of pessimism in Silicon Valley. And as
- 18:23Speaker 1: a Jets fan, who is very pessimistic. I think pessimism
- 18:26Speaker 1: is always a good voice to have at the table.
- 18:27Speaker 1: A couple of thoughts here.
- 18:29Speaker 3: I'm sure at the time that Leonard Nimoy documentary was fascinating,
- 18:34Speaker 3: as he always used to say as Spock on Star Trek. Also,
- 18:37Speaker 3: I've talked to some IT people and they differ on
- 18:39Speaker 3: whether Y2K was a nothing burger or whether they had
- 18:42Speaker 3: enough time to prepare for it so it became a
- 18:44Speaker 3: nothing burger. So I don't know if there's a parallel
- 18:47Speaker 3: to AI there. Also, Jim, prominent political figure I almost
- 18:51Speaker 3: had the opportunity to interview who years ago wanted, I
- 18:54Speaker 3: guess it was probably three years ago, wanted to bring
- 18:57Speaker 3: the world together to put guardrails on AI, kind of
- 19:01Speaker 3: in a UN style. Michael Dukakis was trying to get
- 19:04Speaker 3: everybody on board to put the guardrails on that. I
- 19:07Speaker 3: ended up talking to his chief researcher who I couldn't
- 19:09Speaker 3: understand a word he said because English was not his
- 19:11Speaker 3: first language. So we didn't end up running the interview.
- 19:13Speaker 3: But Michael Dukakis was one of the first people concerned
- 19:17Speaker 3: about this thing getting out of control.
- 19:18Speaker 1: Well, you know, Greg, he's got the time to look
- 19:20Speaker 1: into that sort of thing. Yes, yes.
- 19:24Speaker 3: He's had lots of free time since 1990 when he
- 19:27Speaker 3: stopped being governor of Massachusetts and not being in the
- 19:30Speaker 3: White House.
- 19:31Speaker 1: All right.
- 19:31Speaker 3: Well, Let's talk about your future. Let's hope you have one.
- 19:35Speaker 3: I think you'll still have one. So it's still a
- 19:37Speaker 3: good idea to prepare for retirement. I don't think AI
- 19:40Speaker 3: is going to get you before then, but you need
- 19:41Speaker 3: to be ready for it either way. And you definitely
- 19:44Speaker 3: need to make sure that your portfolio is diversified and
- 19:47Speaker 3: you have the most secure retirement possible. And that includes
- 19:50Speaker 3: a chat with the good folks over at Noble Gold Investments.
- 19:53Speaker 3: They'll explain the precious metals, why that might be right
- 19:55Speaker 3: for you. You make the decision. One thing they do
- 19:58Speaker 3: want you to know, though, is that some of these
- 19:59Speaker 3: emerging industries, whether it's AI, whether it's data centers, on
- 20:02Speaker 3: and on it goes, silver is more and more critically important.
- 20:05Speaker 1: You know, Greg, if and when we live in a
- 20:07Speaker 1: Terminator-style apocalyptic landscape, Is your 401k going to be accessible?
- 20:13Speaker 1: Probably not. Is the green pieces of paper in your
- 20:15Speaker 1: wallet going to be accessible and worthwhile? Gold would probably
- 20:19Speaker 1: be worth it. But, you know, if you don't take
- 20:21Speaker 1: my word for it, you can always talk to the
- 20:22Speaker 1: good people at Noble Gold Investments. They're going to be
- 20:25Speaker 1: able to explain it and probably give you a sense
- 20:27Speaker 1: of like, look, even what if the world doesn't end?
- 20:30Speaker 1: Is gold going to be valuable? Everything is transparent. They're
- 20:32Speaker 1: not pushy. They're not high pressure. They see themselves as educators.
- 20:36Speaker 1: They want to explain exactly what you're going to buy
- 20:39Speaker 1: and why.
- 20:39Speaker 3: Own the metal the future depends on. Visit noblegoldinvestments.com slash 3ML.
- 20:44Speaker 3: That's noblegoldinvestments.com slash 3ML. Download the free investor kit. No pressure,
- 20:50Speaker 3: just the information. And for a limited time, when you
- 20:52Speaker 3: open a new qualified account, Noble Gold will send you
- 20:55Speaker 3: a free 1 10th ounce gold coin as a thank
- 20:57Speaker 3: you gift. Available for qualified gold IRA accounts and cash purchases.
- 21:01Speaker 3: That's noblegoldinvestments.com slash 3ML. All right, Jim, we'll also get
- 21:13Speaker 3: to the Republican midterm convention in our chaser. But it
- 21:17Speaker 3: did kick off yesterday in Dallas, as we said on
- 21:19Speaker 3: yesterday's three martini lunch. There were some entertaining moments, certainly
- 21:23Speaker 3: along the way. Former Jets kicker Jay Feeley passionately talking
- 21:26Speaker 3: about how we need to preserve our freedom. There was
- 21:29Speaker 3: also Brandon Gill, one of our favorite congressional interrogators, opening
- 21:32Speaker 3: with a land acknowledgement that this is the greatest country
- 21:35Speaker 3: on earth that has put forward some of the greatest
- 21:37Speaker 3: people the planet has ever known as a Also a
- 21:40Speaker 3: way to mock what the Democrats do is explain what
- 21:43Speaker 3: Indian tribe used to hold the land but never gives
- 21:45Speaker 3: it back. But anyway, President Trump.
- 21:48Speaker 1: Is speaking both days. He spoke last night.
- 21:50Speaker 3: So one of the things he promised is that if
- 21:53Speaker 3: the Republicans keep the House and Senate, there will be
- 21:57Speaker 3: checks for all adult citizens.
- 21:59Speaker 2: What we're doing is because we've done so well and
- 22:03Speaker 2: because our country is making so much money that Only
- 22:09Speaker 2: I can make this promise to you, and here is
- 22:12Speaker 2: my promise. If the Republicans win the House of Representatives
- 22:16Speaker 2: and the United States Senate, both of them, because of
- 22:20Speaker 2: our economic, tremendous economic success, like in history we've never
- 22:27Speaker 2: had anything like what's happening, but because of our tremendous
- 22:31Speaker 2: strength and success economically, I will issue a dividend to
- 22:36Speaker 2: every adult citizen in the United States of America for $ 5, 000.
- 22:42Speaker 3: So Brett Baier of Fox News was among those saying
- 22:46Speaker 3: last night. So you're basically telling people that they get $ 5, 000
- 22:51Speaker 3: if they reelect Republicans. That's going to be seen potentially
- 22:55Speaker 3: as a bribe. Others of us are saying, look, we've
- 22:58Speaker 3: done the checks. We've done the checks. We did it
- 23:00Speaker 3: during COVID. Biden did it again. Biden then jacked up
- 23:04Speaker 3: the spending by a trillion dollars in the stimulus. And
- 23:06Speaker 3: then we ended up with massive, massive inflation. We don't
- 23:10Speaker 3: need to go down this road again. We know exactly
- 23:12Speaker 3: what happens.
- 23:12Speaker 1: I was going to say, Greg, when you give everyone,
- 23:14Speaker 1: every adult in the country, a $ 5, 000 check, are you
- 23:17Speaker 1: increasing the money supply or are you decreasing? You are
- 23:20Speaker 1: increasing the money supply. Have you increased the supply of
- 23:23Speaker 1: goods and services? No, you have not. What does that do?
- 23:26Speaker 1: It makes the currency worth less. This is a formula
- 23:31Speaker 1: for inflation. What's been bedeviling this administration since they took over? Inflation.
- 23:35Speaker 1: Cost of living. It is the equivalent of pouring gasoline
- 23:39Speaker 1: onto a fire of the single biggest problem to most
- 23:41Speaker 1: American voters. But note, by the way, Greg, Trump said
- 23:45Speaker 1: this right after he said we can't elect the Democrats
- 23:47Speaker 1: because they'll enact socialism. Some of us see some irony there.
- 23:52Speaker 1: The other thing is, first of all, I mean, everything
- 23:54Speaker 1: he says from beginning to end is wrong. The tariff
- 23:58Speaker 1: revenue actually has not been off the charts. And in fact,
- 24:00Speaker 1: part of the reasons is because we have to pay
- 24:02Speaker 1: back the revenue after the Supreme Court ruled that some
- 24:06Speaker 1: of the tariffs were not constitutional. By the way, if
- 24:09Speaker 1: the tariff revenue is so terrific, could we get Congress
- 24:12Speaker 1: to pass any of them? We have done it. It's
- 24:14Speaker 1: all been enacted by executive order and all that stuff. Secondly,
- 24:16Speaker 1: Trump said the Democrats can't do this. Traditionally, the Democratic
- 24:21Speaker 1: Party was the more anti-free trade, more protectionist party. And
- 24:25Speaker 1: I noticed when you listen to Democrats complain about Trump
- 24:28Speaker 1: and his tariffs now, they do not sound like Milton Friedman.
- 24:32Speaker 1: They do not sound like they want. They very much
- 24:34Speaker 1: sound like, well, the Trump tariffs are bad because he's
- 24:39Speaker 1: doing them wrong. And I, you know, so in other words,
- 24:42Speaker 1: the idea of, oh, you know, this is only Republicans
- 24:45Speaker 1: could deliver something like this. But thirdly, so no, we
- 24:48Speaker 1: don't have this money. We have a $ 40 trillion debt.
- 24:50Speaker 1: That is what's driving up interest rates. That is what's
- 24:53Speaker 1: driving more and more of our budget is, you know,
- 24:56Speaker 1: the money that comes in has to be used to
- 24:57Speaker 1: pay down that debt. It's an astonishingly terrible idea. And
- 25:01Speaker 1: I'm just kind of baffled by... the notion that the
- 25:05Speaker 1: Republicans can beat the Democrats by sounding more like the Democrats,
- 25:09Speaker 1: that we're going to get into a bidding war, and
- 25:12Speaker 1: we're going to give away more, we're going to become
- 25:15Speaker 1: the free ice cream party, and then we're going to
- 25:18Speaker 1: run to victory and all that stuff. Because, oh, by
- 25:20Speaker 1: the way, let's assume this happens. Well, then you've got
- 25:23Speaker 1: to keep that promise, and we're talking about trillions of
- 25:25Speaker 1: dollars that we simply don't have, and there is not
- 25:28Speaker 1: coming in from tariffs. Oh, by the way, who pays
- 25:30Speaker 1: the tariffs? U.S. consumers, ultimately. It makes everything more expensive.
- 25:34Speaker 1: It's an important good. So, kind of what we expected
- 25:37Speaker 1: from the... Like, Greg, if this is September, by October,
- 25:41Speaker 1: I think Trump rallies are just going to look like
- 25:43Speaker 1: the Joker at the end of the first Batman movie,
- 25:46Speaker 1: where he's at the parade. He's just throwing piles of
- 25:48Speaker 1: cash around or something like that.
- 25:50Speaker 3: That is where we're headed towards between now and the
- 25:51Speaker 3: midterms at this rate. Yeah, we don't want that promise
- 25:54Speaker 3: to be kept. We do want the Republicans to hold
- 25:56Speaker 3: the House and Senate, but if they conveniently forgot about
- 25:59Speaker 3: that one, I think it would be good for all
- 26:00Speaker 3: of us and certainly be good for the economy. I
- 26:03Speaker 3: think somebody put the price tag on that of $ 1. 3 trillion.
- 26:07Speaker 3: That seems like, when we already got $ 2 trillion deficits,
- 26:10Speaker 3: that seems like a lot. Just give me my money
- 26:12Speaker 3: back as much as you can in tax cuts and
- 26:14Speaker 3: I'll decide what happens to it. I don't need to
- 26:16Speaker 3: launder it through the government.
- 26:17Speaker 1: All right.
- 26:18Speaker 3: In a moment, we are going to talk about another
- 26:21Speaker 3: twist from the convention last night. But in the meantime,
- 26:25Speaker 3: if you don't like the taste of what you're hearing
- 26:27Speaker 3: from libs on a variety of issues, or even what
- 26:30Speaker 3: you heard right there about $ 5, 000 checks, Lorinco is the
- 26:34Speaker 3: way to go. Lorinco is better for you chewing gum
- 26:36Speaker 3: that uses the same mineral your teeth are Made up
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- 26:42Speaker 3: love the gum. My daughter loves the gum as well.
- 26:44Speaker 3: And Jim, it all boils down to one amazing mineral.
- 26:48Speaker 1: I was about to say, Greg, this probably ranks among
- 26:51Speaker 1: our darkest, most depressing, and gloomiest episodes. And so when
- 26:55Speaker 1: you're in this state, what can you turn to? Nano-hydroxyapatite. Now,
- 27:00Speaker 1: nanohydroxyapatite is the mineral that your tooth enamel is actually
- 27:04Speaker 1: made of. And Lorinco can actually strengthen your enamel and
- 27:07Speaker 1: repair the damage. Comes in tons of flavors, including mint, cinnamon, bubblegum,
- 27:11Speaker 1: and berry. And let us not forget the great fluoride-free
- 27:15Speaker 1: toothpaste they also offer.
- 27:17Speaker 3: Right now, Lorinco is offering our listeners up to 50%
- 27:19Speaker 3: off at buylorin.com slash 3ml. That's buylorin, L-A-R-I-N-E dot com
- 27:25Speaker 3: slash 3ml. for up to 50% off. All right, Jim,
- 27:35Speaker 3: real quick here in our chaser. John Fetterman showed up,
- 27:38Speaker 3: sort of, at the GOP midterm convention. He appeared by
- 27:41Speaker 3: video to introduce his great friend and Pennsylvania Republican Senator
- 27:45Speaker 3: Dave McCormick. He immediately issued a statement saying, this doesn't
- 27:48Speaker 3: mean I'm not going to stay in the Democratic Party.
- 27:50Speaker 3: I vote with you people 90% of the time. I
- 27:53Speaker 3: think the number is slightly less than that, but it's
- 27:54Speaker 3: still overwhelmingly most of the time. But you had folks
- 27:58Speaker 3: on the CNN panel yesterday saying, oh, he's a traitor
- 28:00Speaker 3: to the Democratic Party. Other people saying, oh, he's certainly
- 28:03Speaker 3: going to jump now. He insists he's not. Other Democrats
- 28:07Speaker 3: are telling some other Democrats to calm down because they
- 28:10Speaker 3: think they need that vote in the next Congress and
- 28:12Speaker 3: so forth. But it's a little bit further down the
- 28:16Speaker 3: road when you start showing up at other people's conventions.
- 28:18Speaker 1: So, Greg, at the start of the week, I wrote
- 28:20Speaker 1: about this in my Washington Post column. I had been
- 28:23Speaker 1: a skeptic of the notion that Fetterman was going to
- 28:25Speaker 1: switch parties. The last number I'd seen was 78% of
- 28:28Speaker 1: the time he votes with the Democratic Party. So if
- 28:31Speaker 1: you're a Republican in Pennsylvania, why would you want a
- 28:35Speaker 1: senator who only votes your way roughly one out of
- 28:37Speaker 1: every five times? Maybe you can get up to one
- 28:40Speaker 1: out of every four, but you figure you could find
- 28:42Speaker 1: any replacement level Republican would do better. Now, if you're
- 28:45Speaker 1: a Pennsylvanian, I would say enjoy it while you have it.
- 28:48Speaker 1: Having one Republican senator and one Democratic senator who get
- 28:51Speaker 1: along very well and work together on your state's priorities.
- 28:54Speaker 1: That's really good, but that used to be fairly normal
- 28:58Speaker 1: in the U.S. Senate. It was not that rare to
- 29:00Speaker 1: have states that had one Democrat and one Republican. And
- 29:03Speaker 1: whatever else they thought of each other or other disagreements,
- 29:05Speaker 1: they had to work together to serve their constituents as
- 29:07Speaker 1: best they can, and particularly to protect local industries and
- 29:10Speaker 1: things like that. But I now look at something like this.
- 29:14Speaker 1: Fetterman knows what he's doing. This is a highly symbolic
- 29:17Speaker 1: gesture here. His odds of re-election, his approval rating amongst
- 29:23Speaker 1: Republicans and Democrats has basically flipped over the last two years. Which,
- 29:26Speaker 1: by the way, demonstrates how little people pay attention to
- 29:28Speaker 1: voting records. And I think if you're a Pennsylvania Republican,
- 29:31Speaker 1: you can love the guy for his stance on Israel.
- 29:33Speaker 1: You can vote, love the guy for his stance on saying,
- 29:36Speaker 1: you know, border security is not xenophobia. We love how
- 29:40Speaker 1: he makes fun of Bob Menendez, who's now, you know,
- 29:42Speaker 1: making license plates. There's a lot to like about the guy.
- 29:46Speaker 1: I'd also be very glad that he recovered from the
- 29:48Speaker 1: stroke as well as he has. But in the end,
- 29:50Speaker 1: he's not really a Republican. I do think it's very
- 29:53Speaker 1: likely if he's going to run for reelection, which is
- 29:54Speaker 1: not a guarantee. He's going to run as an independent.
- 29:56Speaker 1: I think his path, there's no way he wins a
- 29:58Speaker 1: primary in that state. And again, I don't think it
- 30:00Speaker 1: makes sense for him to switch to the Republicans because
- 30:03Speaker 1: in the end, he is more left of center than
- 30:04Speaker 1: he is right of center, even though he has some
- 30:06Speaker 1: very high-profile exceptions to that. But something like this, look,
- 30:10Speaker 1: is it a nice thing to do for McCormick? Sure.
- 30:12Speaker 1: Does he kind of know that this is going to
- 30:14Speaker 1: enhance his image as a guy who reaches across the aisle? Sure.
- 30:18Speaker 1: But also, this is a Republican midterm convention. And if
- 30:22Speaker 1: Fetterman shows up there, he is well along the road
- 30:26Speaker 1: to Zell Millardom.
- 30:28Speaker 3: True, but Zell Miller never switched parties. He did give
- 30:30Speaker 3: the keynote address at the 2004 Republican Convention. So if
- 30:33Speaker 3: John Fetterman shows up at the GOP convention in two
- 30:35Speaker 3: years and says that the Democratic nominee is going to
- 30:37Speaker 3: hollow out the military to the point where we're going
- 30:39Speaker 3: to be left fighting with spitballs, then you know he's
- 30:42Speaker 3: gone full Zell Miller.
- 30:43Speaker 1: Yeah, for good point. But I think he's going down
- 30:45Speaker 1: that road. That is the direction he's pointing at. Or
- 30:47Speaker 1: Joe Lieberman-ishness. That is the probably best parallel of a
- 30:51Speaker 1: guy who lost his primary, ran as an independent- and
- 30:54Speaker 1: remained in the Senate for, I believe, Joe Lieberman, former
- 30:57Speaker 1: Three Martini Lunch podcast guest, I should point out. Yeah, absolutely.
- 31:01Speaker 3: Go back in the archives and listen to Joe. We
- 31:02Speaker 3: talked to him just before the Russians invaded Ukraine. And
- 31:06Speaker 3: we were talking about the biggest threats in the world
- 31:08Speaker 3: at that point. So early 2022. But anyway, as mentioned, Jim,
- 31:12Speaker 3: tomorrow we'll be talking all about 9-11, what we experienced
- 31:16Speaker 3: that day, what has happened over the last 25 years,
- 31:19Speaker 3: and where we go from here.
- 31:20Speaker 1: I'll talk to you then. See you tomorrow, Greg.
- 31:22Speaker 3: Jim Garrity, National Review. I'm Greg Karumbas of Radio America.
- 31:25Speaker 3: Thanks so much for being with us today. Please be
- 31:26Speaker 3: sure to subscribe to the podcast. If you don't already,
- 31:28Speaker 3: tell your friends about us as well. Thanks also for
- 31:30Speaker 3: your five-star ratings and your kind reviews. Please keep those coming.
- 31:34Speaker 3: Get us on your home devices. All you have to
- 31:35Speaker 3: say is play 3 Martini Lunch podcast. Follow us both
- 31:38Speaker 3: on X. Jim is at Jim Garrity. I'm at Greg Karumbas.
- 31:41Speaker 3: And follow 3 Martini Lunch on Facebook and Instagram. Have
- 31:44Speaker 3: a terrific Thursday. Join us again on Friday for the
- 31:47Speaker 3: next 3 Martini Lunch.