Latest / SILVER / GOLD / $UFD Meme Coin Investing & Global Economics / ✅ SPECIAL REPORT! - SILVER Just had a Big SHIFT... Gold & Precious Metals
Transcript
- 0:01Are you ready for higher gold and silver prices?
- 0:03Well, we've got all kinds of great information to look at
- 0:07today. And I think when we get to the
- 0:09end, you're going to agree with me.
- 0:11The future looks unbelievably bright for silver and gold.
- 0:15But the brightest thing we got going right now is that you're
- 0:18down here in the basement with me.
- 0:20We are the basement dwellers. We believe in the future of
- 0:25silver and gold because we understand history and basic
- 0:30mathematics. Today in our show together,
- 0:32we're going to cover some great things.
- 0:34America is not going to be able to deal with the upcoming
- 0:39shortage of silver and gold. Wait till you hear these stats.
- 0:43Michael Gentilly talks about what I think is the number one
- 0:47sleeper massive factor for both gold and silver.
- 0:51Wait till you hear what he has to say.
- 0:53Asia, right? Taking over.
- 0:55It's not just about America. I know, I understand.
- 0:57I live in America. Hey, today's holiday weekend,
- 1:00happy Memorial Day, all that great stuff.
- 1:02We love America. America, right?
- 1:05But guys, the reality is gold and silver are worldwide assets
- 1:10and what is happening in Asia is important.
- 1:13And on top of that, we're going to talk about $200 silver.
- 1:17How you like that that those apples?
- 1:19Did your mom used to say that to you?
- 1:21My mom did. How about $45,000 gold or even
- 1:25higher? Those are low estimates.
- 1:26Let's get started right now. How do you stack up?
- 1:29Alright, let's start with something kind of fun, but
- 1:31interesting. If your entire net worth working
- 1:36were were converted into silver, how would you stack up against
- 1:40the average person in the United States?
- 1:43My friend, Bald guy money. I love bald guy.
- 1:46We'll come back to that in a second.
- 1:48We got some good news. We got the silver markets open,
- 1:51but ball guy money good friend like the best fastest growing
- 1:56gold and silver YouTube channel put this out on X and I thought
- 2:00it was great. Median net worth for Americans
- 2:03by age group. So there's, you know, a thing
- 2:06down here like if you are my age group, 55 to 64, the median,
- 2:12which is like the exact middle, not the average, but the exact
- 2:16middle is what, 364,000? But but how many silver oz would
- 2:23that be? He, I thought it was fun that he
- 2:25did this. OK, if you're 75 or older,
- 2:29there's gold. The first number's gold.
- 2:31The second number is silver. Your net worth would be 4500
- 2:36ounces of silver, 65 to 74, 5500, my age group, right?
- 2:43If my entire net worth were converted to silver and I was
- 2:47the absolute middle person, it would be about 4850 ounces of
- 2:53silver. How do you stack up?
- 2:55And if you're younger, right, what, 45 to 50, four 3300 ounces
- 3:01of silver and 35 to 40 four 1800 ounces of silver.
- 3:07And finally, if you're under 35, your net worth, the middle
- 3:11person out of everybody. That means if there's eleven
- 3:14people, it would be #6 there's a difference in statistics between
- 3:19average and median. This is median.
- 3:22Median means exactly in the middle.
- 3:25So if there's eleven people, the median person would be the 6th
- 3:29person. There'd be 5 people below him,
- 3:31five people above him. And so that's where we would
- 3:35stack up. Now let's go out and take a look
- 3:38at the silver price. Let's go out to Kitco and see
- 3:42what's happening because surprise, surprise, surprise, it
- 3:45may be a holiday weekend, but the markets are open and silver
- 3:49is up what, $1.90 per oz? It's 77 in the spot market,
- 3:55$77.30 per oz. In the futures market, it's even
- 4:00higher as we have returned to a state of contango $77.75.
- 4:09Right. Let's make sure.
- 4:11Hold on. Yep.
- 4:13Yeah. So not, not as, not as much as
- 4:16it was earlier, but the futures price is higher than the
- 4:19current. I'm sorry.
- 4:21Yeah, the futures price is higher than the current spot
- 4:24price. So that means we are back in
- 4:27what is a natural state of contango.
- 4:29We'll keep an eye on that now, next thing.
- 4:31It's created a big star, a big key point that really turned on
- 4:35a light bulb for a lot of people and I'm going to share it with
- 4:38you again right now. We talked about this two days
- 4:41ago here on the show, right? When we buy silver gold, why do
- 4:45you buy it? Why would I buy silver gold?
- 4:47Why would I buy even precious metals mining stocks?
- 4:51Because I want to be my own central bank.
- 4:54Am I going to trust the central bank or new, what's his name?
- 4:58Wash used to be a Powell. And you know, anyway, you know
- 5:03what I'm saying, Are we going to trust the central bank?
- 5:05No, the central bank since 1913, right, has basically stolen from
- 5:10the American citizenry. Andrew Jackson, Thomas
- 5:13Jefferson, those guys hated central banks.
- 5:16What about the government? Think about the three, the three
- 5:19big components. You get the central banks #1 #2
- 5:23you have our government. Are you going to trust the
- 5:25government to foster a strong dollar, to foster of your
- 5:30savings that are in U.S. dollars?
- 5:32No, unfortunately, I don't like it.
- 5:34It's a bad number. We're going to watch something
- 5:36tomorrow that talks about how somebody who talked with
- 5:40Volcker, who's the guy that did the big interest rate thing
- 5:43during the 8:00 during the 80s, seventies, late 70s, eighties.
- 5:46He was like, he was shocked that Nixon took us off the gold
- 5:50standard, but that we didn't go back immediately on to the gold
- 5:53standard. Anyway.
- 5:54We're not going to trust the central banks.
- 5:56We're not going to trust the government.
- 5:57And what about Wall Street? Are we going to trust Wall
- 5:59Street? Heck no, right?
- 6:02They've blown bubbles after bubble.
- 6:04The mortgage-backed security bubble of O8, the tech bubble,
- 6:08the current AI bubble. What about the what about the
- 6:12private credit thing that was going on?
- 6:14That all disappeared, right? I mean, anyway, like we aren't
- 6:17going to trust Wall Street. Those are the three, the three
- 6:20legs to the stool that really create the quote UN quote value
- 6:25in the US dollar, the Fed, the government and Wall Street,
- 6:29right. And I understand it's a little
- 6:31shocking for a lot of us. I don't like it either.
- 6:33But the reality is, I think the big key take away is that silver
- 6:38and gold, like the founding fathers of the United States on
- 6:42this holiday weekend, for those of you joining me in the United
- 6:44States, put into the Constitution, silver and gold
- 6:48allow us to act as our own central banks.
- 6:51Now, I'm not a financial advisor.
- 6:52Listen to me, listen to other people, listen to yourself.
- 6:56But I think that's an awesome thing.
- 6:57OK, now let's talk about the price of gold in the shift.
- 7:01OK, I call it the shift, but this comes from Jesse Colombo.
- 7:05I wrote this down. He really truly is one of the
- 7:08most in depth and comprehensive analyst out there.
- 7:12He's got the biggest sub stack for gold and silver and he talks
- 7:16about something very fun and interesting for the gold price
- 7:20and it also applies to the silver price.
- 7:23This came out over the weekend. Here he is right here.
- 7:27Jesse Colombo, the bubble bubble report is the name of the sub
- 7:32stack. He says metals and miners market
- 7:36update. This is where it gets
- 7:37interesting. Precious metals and mining
- 7:40stocks are once again oversold while still in an uptrend, a
- 7:46combination that often precedes rebounds.
- 7:50We're going to look at the chart here in a second but one more
- 7:52paragraph. Volatility in the precious
- 7:55metals complex continues to subside and oversold conditions
- 7:59have returned, reflecting the ongoing process of flushing out
- 8:05the bullish sentiment in speculative positioning that
- 8:09built up last year. Me interject something really
- 8:12quickly. I know it feels like when the
- 8:14sentiment gets in, it's been guys, it's been hard for the
- 8:17last what, 8 weeks? In particular in the precious
- 8:21metal sector, the sentiment has gotten very negative.
- 8:24It's almost not quite on the basement floor, but pretty low.
- 8:27And I know that seems bad, bad, bad, but that's actually what
- 8:32needs to happen for a big rebound to occur.
- 8:35OK. He says this is ultimately
- 8:38setting the stage for the continuation of the long term
- 8:42bull market because like he says, we are still in a definite
- 8:46uptrend. Now let's go down and take a
- 8:51look at his chart. OK, this is the gold price.
- 8:55And as you can see, right, we still have.
- 8:58Let's get out of this made it smaller.
- 9:00We still have the 200 day moving average, right, supporting
- 9:06everything in the gold price going all the way back to
- 9:11October of last year. But what's really interesting,
- 9:15right, and that's good. That's like the foundation of
- 9:17what's going on is that we are in, as you can see, oversold.
- 9:22I'm going to circle these three times when we got into oversold
- 9:26territory. Now remove the circles.
- 9:29We are definitely right now back in oversold territory.
- 9:33That's what the Williams percentage are.
- 9:36It's a momentum oscillator that kind of that shows relative
- 9:40strength and the price of gold or whatever it's measuring.
- 9:43But as we can see, right, the last time we were in that state
- 9:49of being oversold, we had a rebound.
- 9:52As we can also see, the last time we were in that state, we
- 9:55had a little rebound. Here we are again.
- 9:58And according to what we're seeing in the in the markets
- 10:02that just opened, hey, maybe this is the week now.
- 10:06Let's read this last paragraph here, He said.
- 10:09In my recent tech updates, I've also highlighted gold support
- 10:13zone between 4300 and 4600, which formed a key peak and
- 10:18Lowe's over the past eight months.
- 10:20Ideally, I'd like to see gold hold above that zone and rebound
- 10:24from there. And the near oversold conditions
- 10:28increase the likelihood of that outcome.
- 10:31And there's that chart right there again, the gold price and
- 10:34you can see in light blue, right?
- 10:36That's the support zone. So, so think about what what
- 10:40he's telling us right now. OK, Number one, we have long
- 10:44term support for gold with the 200 day moving average, which is
- 10:48bullish #2 we are an oversold. That's an oscillator.
- 10:51That means it goes up and down, up and down.
- 10:54We are oversold, which could lead us to a big rebound.
- 10:57And we are still really in the upper ranges of a massive,
- 11:02massive support zone. Now guess what, boys and girls?
- 11:06The good thing is, I can tell you from looking at the silver
- 11:09charts as well, the same thing is essentially true with silver.
- 11:13And we know that silver has been just like hanging out in this
- 11:18like 73 to let's say $83 range for a long, long time.
- 11:24We've looked at that chart a zillion times.
- 11:26Some people call it a wedge pattern, some people call it a
- 11:29triangle pattern. We call it a sideways pyramid.
- 11:32Whatever, right? Like the same thing is also true
- 11:35to right now for the silver price.
- 11:38And if you want to get your hands on some silver, check out
- 11:41right there, number one, right where my finger is.
- 11:44First Mint channel sponsor, the silver specialist Mint, the
- 11:49freshest silver in town because they're owned by First Majestic
- 11:55Silver. Keith Newmeyer's big Silver
- 11:57mining company, who mines the silver in Mexico, sends it to
- 12:021st Mint in Las Vegas, NV here in the United States.
- 12:06And then it goes directly to your door.
- 12:09Here's their Liberty Bar. Hey, it's AUSA Holiday, Check
- 12:12that out. I mean, isn't that thing nothing
- 12:15like a one ounce silver bar? It's absolutely beautiful.
- 12:19And on the other side, all right, you've got the first Mint
- 12:22logo at 1 Troy oz. Nothing like holding an ounce.
- 12:27Yeah, holding. Look at that shiny, huh?
- 12:30An ounce of silver in your hand. You can check them out here at
- 12:33their website, firstmint.com. And there's a discount code
- 12:39special for us VIP, like very important person RB, like Ron's
- 12:45basement, there's the hail to the chief, you're the dragon.
- 12:48There's the Liberty bar, which is actually on sale right now,
- 12:51$2 off. So check them out.
- 12:53Make sure you use the discount code.
- 12:55You can go to store they got, they have bars, rounds, they
- 12:58even personalized silver. Great company, great customer
- 13:02service, great selection, great everything.
- 13:05And the most important thing is the feedback from you.
- 13:08Yeah, you. The basement dweller community
- 13:10has been exclusively positive. Really a true premium retail
- 13:16silver buying experience. How about 200?
- 13:19Wait, let's go back. What do you say, basement
- 13:23dwellers? How about $200 silver?
- 13:25Let's go check on our friend Rashad.
- 13:27He's at it again today. He says from October of 2025 to
- 13:32January of this year, silver gained 167% in three months.
- 13:37If silver starts a fresh cycle next week and produces that same
- 13:43167% again, it would reach 202 dollars by late summer.
- 13:49However, the final parabolic runs usually produce larger
- 13:54gains in a shorter, so bigger gains in a shorter period of
- 13:58time. Hence, $200 silver is a
- 14:01conservative price target. I love you, Rashad.
- 14:05Rashad is our is our basement optimist.
- 14:09OK, he's saying $200.00, but it could actually happen sooner and
- 14:14even go higher. And here, as you can see on his
- 14:17chart, there's what he's talking about, right?
- 14:20The 45 to 121. And if we overlay that to where
- 14:25we are now that we could be and he thinks that we're going to
- 14:27get to $200 silver. Hey, we have Michael Oliver.
- 14:31Nope, I am going to show it. Hold on.
- 14:35Thank you, Susie. There we go upstairs, Susie
- 14:38saves the day. There's the chart and real
- 14:41quickly I will show you again, there's that 45 to 120, the 167%
- 14:47move and he's overlaying that here as well, 167 and 167.
- 14:54And again, Rashad is our basement resident, basement
- 14:59eternal optimist. And hey, you know what, let's
- 15:03let's not argue with him. But yeah, we'll have something
- 15:06fun here because it's a holiday. This is silver trade.
- 15:12It says me explaining to my wife, to my wife why 100% of our
- 15:17net worth is in this invested in junior silver mining stocks.
- 15:23Susie and I went through this as well.
- 15:24So this guy apparently is explaining to his wife why he
- 15:27has all of his money in silver. Yeah.
- 15:30And that he's explaining. Yeah.
- 15:33And she's getting ready to react.
- 15:35I think. Up there.
- 15:36Up yet? What?
- 15:40What? Yeah, OK.
- 15:43That maybe that feels familiar to you as well.
- 15:47How about $45,000 gold? We're going to go there next.
- 15:50First, I do want to say thank you to channel sponsor First
- 15:54mining gold, right? They have millions of Oz of gold
- 15:58in the ground in Canada. They're a development stage
- 16:01company with two huge projects, Spring Pole in Ontario and
- 16:05Duparque located in Quebec and they have interest in other gold
- 16:10projects in Canada. Data is well, you can learn more
- 16:13about them at firstmininggold.com.
- 16:16It's a stock I own and Full disclosure, but I owned it long
- 16:19before they sponsored Ron's basement.
- 16:23Always remember, I'm not a financial advisor.
- 16:25Do your own research, all that good stuff.
- 16:28But let's talk about $45,000 gold.
- 16:31Let's go there right now and get that pulled up for us.
- 16:36Yes, how, why Northstar charts, right?
- 16:39The one of the top chart is down there says gold versus the stock
- 16:43market. Can this continue to reflect the
- 16:471960s and 70s? This is interesting as closely
- 16:52as it has for the last 13 years. So if you pull this chart up,
- 16:57OK, what he's talking about is gold over here on the left,
- 17:03right, we have gold versus the S&P 500 in the 60s and 70s.
- 17:09That's this red line. I won't draw it over, but it's
- 17:12that red line, OK, over there. Now he overlays that to where we
- 17:17are. He said this particular piece of
- 17:20evidence suggests that the CRE is likely to occur late this
- 17:24year. If the red support line fails,
- 17:27it gets pushed further out. But he takes this exact same red
- 17:31section over here here, which compares gold, the gold price to
- 17:35the S&P 500 and overlays it over here.
- 17:39Now, what's interesting, right, is that this is where we are
- 17:43right now. This part here, OK, Is this part
- 17:49here, right? It's the exact same thing.
- 17:51He just moved it from there to over there.
- 17:54But what's interesting is that right now this ratio sits at, I
- 18:00checked it right before we came on .61.
- 18:06That means that for each ounce of gold that you have, if you
- 18:10divide that the price of gold 4500 by the S&P 500, about 7400,
- 18:16each ounce of gold will get you about a little over 1/2 of a
- 18:21unit of the S&P 500. Guys, it went as high as seven,
- 18:26OK, more than 10X right here. This isn't fantasy, that's
- 18:31reality. If that were to continue right
- 18:34and and gold would go gold in the S&P 500 were to stay where
- 18:38it were, the price of gold would have to be like somewhere in the
- 18:42actually in the 50 thousands to make that ratio match where it
- 18:47was right there. Again, these are real numbers
- 18:50from the real world, not a guarantee that could happen.
- 18:53But but based upon what's happened in the past, we aren't
- 18:57talking about I mean, it could it could go higher if I was
- 19:00sitting down here saying, oh, it could go twice as high.
- 19:03I mean, I don't I won't even say what the number would be for
- 19:06gold right now. Of course the S&P 500 could drop
- 19:10a little bit. Still, what we're talking about
- 19:12is that on a historic basis, when you compare the the value
- 19:15of gold and silver to the S&P 500, OK, it is at very
- 19:21historically low levels. And isn't it true, right, that
- 19:26like, you know, a gold's been around for a few thousand more
- 19:29years than the S&P 500, but that's OK because America will
- 19:33be able to mine its way out of this, produce all kinds of gold
- 19:37and silver. Wrong, wrong, wrong.
- 19:39Let's take a look at what the data tells us about the amount
- 19:43of of actual silver and gold ore being produced by the United
- 19:49States. We go to Metals and Miners and
- 19:51they put out some incredible information.
- 19:54This is their sub stack as well. Metals and miners.
- 19:57America can't mine its way out of this.
- 20:01US gold and silver mining has lost 60% of its output since the
- 20:071990s. While the world is demanding
- 20:11more hard assets than ever before and the repricing is
- 20:16coming. I mean, this is from data from
- 20:19the Federal Reserve that shows industrial production, mining of
- 20:24gold ore and silver ore. And this starts back in.
- 20:29Let's see if that makes it bigger.
- 20:30It does on the lower left corner 19.
- 20:34That's 1998. Wow, went from what 18190 all
- 20:40the way down to basically 60 on that chart.
- 20:44Now let's talk about just a few more things.
- 20:48According to the Feds own Industrial Production Index, the
- 20:52volume of gold and silver ores dropped by 60%.
- 20:54This is not a temporary cyclical dip, it's a terminal secular
- 20:59decline in domestic production capacity.
- 21:02This collapse in physical output is occurring at the exact moment
- 21:07when these metals are becoming the foundational bedrock of the
- 21:12new global financial system. Demand is going up in the United
- 21:17States is producing a fraction of what it did just, what, 30
- 21:22years ago? But wait, there's war.
- 21:25This does make the miners more valuable, but it's not getting
- 21:29better because of two key things, right?
- 21:32The future supply, the pipeline of new projects coming on board,
- 21:37OK. There has been little investment
- 21:39in the gold and silver mining sector over the last 40 years.
- 21:44Why? Because the price has been
- 21:46suppressed, manipulated lower. It's been proven right, $1.2
- 21:51billion in fines paid, however you want to say it.
- 21:54But there's been very little invested.
- 21:56And when you see the statistics that show new gold and silver
- 22:00discoveries in the world, but in particular in the United States,
- 22:04it's been down, down, down, OK #2 now that the mining companies
- 22:09are indeed making tons of money, they're still, on a net basis,
- 22:15not really investing in their pipelines.
- 22:17Instead, what they're doing, they're paying off debt.
- 22:21What else are they doing? They're doing buybacks.
- 22:24They're all buying back their stock instead of investing and
- 22:27drilling for more silver or drilling for more gold, which
- 22:31there is some of that going on, but they're also buying back
- 22:36massive amounts of stock. And I got to remember all three
- 22:40of these. They're also, instead of
- 22:44investing that money into the ground, into the future of their
- 22:46pipeline, they're paying dividends, right?
- 22:49That's the big thing. It's like the the gold and
- 22:51silver mining sector is all this cash they're generating is going
- 22:55to dividends, paying off debt. And what was the other thing?
- 22:59Buybacks, Think about it, OK, there's not going to be like a
- 23:03big and then it even if they are investing in the future of their
- 23:09pipeline, it's going to take like 10-15 years, right from the
- 23:13time they find something with the drill bit to the time that
- 23:16they're able to actually put a new mine into production, the
- 23:20future looks bright. That's why I got some great
- 23:23knowledge for you from the all time best book ever written
- 23:26about investing. We're going to go just a tiny
- 23:29bit off track, but this does relate to gold and silver
- 23:32because it can be a real test of our patience, right?
- 23:36And a lot of us have already been patient and we've had a
- 23:38great run. Don't get me wrong.
- 23:40Very grateful for what's happened in the gold and silver
- 23:43and mining sector. Don't forget, my friends, one
- 23:46year ago, the price of silver was like $3435 per oz.
- 23:50Think about where we are now. But it still takes patience.
- 23:53Jesse Livermore was a famous trader in the most famous book
- 23:58ever written about trading. He gave the best advice that
- 24:02everybody who's a professional trader knows.
- 24:05And we need to remember at Manico 64 shared this to
- 24:09investors in precious metals. At the moment, it's not enough
- 24:13to be right. You also have to sit tight.
- 24:17You'd this guy, there's was a book written about him called
- 24:19Reminisces of a Stock Operator. If you haven't read it, read it
- 24:23was written like 100 years ago, but it's considered to be like
- 24:26the one of the foundational books about trading.
- 24:28But it does apply to the silver and gold sector right now,
- 24:32right? Like #1 you got to be right,
- 24:34which I think we're right. OK.
- 24:36But then you also have to have the patience to sit tight,
- 24:41right? To not not to be impatient.
- 24:43So remember that, all right, Don't let your emotions get the
- 24:48best of you. I'm not giving financial advice,
- 24:51but but all what I can't give this advice.
- 24:54I know it to be a fact. Sometimes the silver market in
- 24:57particular, right? We've been through the mill
- 25:00several times. Think about having in January.
- 25:02It can be very emotional, right? And I'm an emotional guy.
- 25:06I'm a little bit of a sensitive Sally, you got to never make
- 25:11decisions based on emotion. Trust me.
- 25:14Almost always right. It will come back to bite you in
- 25:17your your rear. OK, now there's one thing that's
- 25:22going to be massive and, and very few people, I hear Vince
- 25:25Lancey talk about it. I hear some of the smartest
- 25:28people talk about and recognize, and that is the tokenization of
- 25:32gold, not digital gold, tokenized gold where a company
- 25:36buys massive amounts of gold, has it in a vault silver also
- 25:40and tokenizes it. Look, it's not that much
- 25:43different if you own stock and you've got it in like a Fidelity
- 25:47or a Vanguard investment account, OK?
- 25:49You don't actually have the physical certificates.
- 25:52Very I don't think you can even do that anymore.
- 25:54And almost nobody did did it over the last 20 years, right?
- 25:57Like you got it, you look at it on your phone and you believe
- 26:01and trust that Vanguard infidelity have those stock
- 26:04certificates, that they're that they're holding them for you,
- 26:07that they're on a register somewhere, alright, but it
- 26:10exists. And that's almost the exact same
- 26:12thing we're talking about with tokenized gold and silver.
- 26:15These companies are buying massive amounts of gold and
- 26:17silver, putting them in vaults, right?
- 26:20In the case of Tether, it's in Switzerland and storing it and
- 26:24then tokenizing it so that you can buy it and own it and it's,
- 26:28there's so many benefits. You can bring it with you
- 26:30anywhere you want. The the cost to buy and sell it
- 26:34are a fraction. OK.
- 26:36And I'm not, I'm not against if you don't hold it, you don't own
- 26:40it anything like that. But what I'm saying is this is
- 26:43growing like crazy, whether you like it or not.
- 26:46That's fine. I'm not going to argue that
- 26:48point, OK, This is not a not not crypto, not digital gold.
- 26:52This is tokenized real world asset and it's going to be huge
- 26:57with people all around the world, OK, all around the world.
- 27:01And it is already becoming huge. And Michael Gentilly, who is the
- 27:05smartest guy out there in my opinion right now in the gold
- 27:10and silver sector. I'm we're going to watch a
- 27:12little video where he talks about what he thinks about
- 27:16what's going on with the tokenization of gold and silver
- 27:20right now. If you don't follow Michael
- 27:22Gentilly, I would highly recommend you do.
- 27:25This came out as part of a Saturday morning e-mail that he
- 27:28puts out and let's get him up on screen.
- 27:31That's Michael right there. Let me see if I can get this on
- 27:35full screen for you. Maybe I can't.
- 27:38All right, we'll just hit play. I think what Tether is doing is
- 27:42massively important for the gold market.
- 27:45OK, he just said I'll and then I'll shut up.
- 27:47I promise. He said.
- 27:48I think what Tether, right? That's the company that's
- 27:51tokenizing gold. They bought more gold than
- 27:55anybody over the last six months except for central banks.
- 28:00Now bear that in mind and I'll start it over and I will not
- 28:04talk. Here we go.
- 28:05I. Think what Tether is doing is
- 28:07massively important for the gold market and why is that is
- 28:11everyone's talked about doing this for the last 30 years,
- 28:13World Gold Council, governments, Tether has over 500 million
- 28:18users. They have distribution in every
- 28:22single country in the world. I think they have 180 billion in
- 28:25assets in the US dollar stable coin products.
- 28:28So what Tether has created is the distribution network to
- 28:34allow gold to be monetized as a currency anywhere in the world.
- 28:39If you're working in a mine in Mali and you want to convert
- 28:43your paycheck into gold, you can do that the next day by using
- 28:46Tether. And who's one of the biggest
- 28:48physical gold buyers in the world today?
- 28:51It's Tether, right? They are, they are pre buying,
- 28:54they're buying royalty companies.
- 28:55They're one of the biggest buyers in physical gold.
- 28:57They are. They're rapidly building out
- 28:59their supply of gold and the only reason why they're not
- 29:02rolling out Tether gold faster is because they're afraid that
- 29:06they don't have enough physical goals to meet the demand.
- 29:09So that's why you see them being so aggressive on acquiring gold
- 29:12or gold like assets, like royalty companies, so they can
- 29:14convert to gold and hedge themselves against it.
- 29:17The other amazing things about tech and cell phones and just
- 29:20global ubiquitous use of technology is if Tether creates
- 29:23the pathways or creates the business model they want to
- 29:26leverage. If I own gold on my phone,
- 29:28another part of the problem about gold is that they can't
- 29:31create interest. You can't.
- 29:32I mentioned my note today, right?
- 29:33Bonds. When bond yields go up, gold
- 29:35goes down because you can't generate yield off of gold.
- 29:37You can hold gold and tether. And they're creating platforms
- 29:41where if I want to lend my gold out to a central bank or to
- 29:44Coca-Cola or everybody else, that I can earn a yield on my
- 29:47gold. And based based on the
- 29:48counterparty, I can earn 2% of I lend to a central bank and 12%
- 29:52of I lend to Zara because it's riskier, right?
- 29:54And so you're also monetizing gold, allowing to earn a coupon.
- 29:58So what they're doing with tech and gold could do what people
- 30:02like Paul and I have been dreaming about for 30 years is
- 30:04making gold liquid and transferable and earning A yield
- 30:08and and you can pay your workers in it and makes it fungible in a
- 30:10way that's never been before. Wow, guys.
- 30:12OK, it's real and it is happening right now.
- 30:17Like he said, think about, think about what he said.
- 30:21There we go. Tether has 500 million users
- 30:24around the world and growing rapidly.
- 30:27Tether, not only are they buying physical gold, but I forgot to
- 30:30mention as well, they're buying, they're investing in gold mines,
- 30:33gold royalty companies. This is real.
- 30:35This is, this will be the story five years from now.
- 30:40We're going to be down here in the basement.
- 30:42We're going to say we knew, we talked about it, right?
- 30:44And other people are talking about it as well.
- 30:46But it allows people all around the world to have access.
- 30:50The other thing is you can, the other cool thing about, about
- 30:54tokenized gold is people can buy fractions like like down to, I
- 30:59don't know, like four or five, maybe more 9 decimals points of
- 31:03gold and buy it and sell it and do it again with very little
- 31:07spread. I mean, right now you go to the
- 31:09coin shop, you can buy an ounce of gold for one price, but if
- 31:14you go to sell it back immediately, you're probably
- 31:16going to lose 100 or $200 per oz.
- 31:19So this, this is a big deal, right?
- 31:22And it makes, it makes gold. And then the other big thing
- 31:25about it is I, I believe 100% it's going to happen with
- 31:30silver. It's already happened on a minor
- 31:32scale, but it's going to happen on a big scale with silver as
- 31:36well. In the key take away for us to
- 31:38remember is this creates massive demand for the actual physical
- 31:44metal because remember, they can't tokenize it.
- 31:47They can't create that token right until they have that ounce
- 31:52of silver or ounce of gold in a vault.
- 31:55And we've got that. There's the look.
- 31:57OK, alright, now let's move on. Oh, you know, gold's a crowded
- 32:03trade. Gold is, is gold a crowded trade
- 32:06or is there a lot more room right, for the gold trade to get
- 32:10a lot more people coming in? Let's let's switch gears and
- 32:14take a look at this data I pulled this from.
- 32:19There we go. I think it's a Jordan.
- 32:20Roy Byrne had this up on one of his videos.
- 32:23We're going to look at the red line right here.
- 32:26OK, I'll circle it in green for you so we can see it better.
- 32:32OK, implied allocation to gold. OK, which is this red line that
- 32:37you see at the bottom on this chart.
- 32:39What that shows you is the amount of money in gold related
- 32:45ETFs versus the amount of money in all ETFs, OK, As you can see,
- 32:52right back in kind of O 8 through 2011 when gold had a
- 32:57good run, it was way up here, right, right up as high as 8%,
- 33:04meaning that the amount of money in gold ETFs in 2011 was equal
- 33:09to 8% of all the money in all ETS today.
- 33:13Today we're at 2 percent, 2%. Even after we're in the
- 33:18situation where gold had reached like what new all time highs and
- 33:22is still very, very high. Realize that to go from that 2%
- 33:27to 8%, OK, One way that could happen is with the gold price
- 33:31going up 4X or and or a lot more new money coming into the gold
- 33:39sector. So that we talked about what's
- 33:41going on with tokenization of gold, which is huge, right,
- 33:45because they have to buy the physical gold.
- 33:47But guess what? The gold ETF, that was the thing
- 33:51I don't know what 15 years ago when they first came out, they
- 33:54created massive new demand for physical gold and silver GLD and
- 34:00SLV from BlackRock. I think it isn't.
- 34:03I'm again, I'm not arguing a lot of people are very suspicious of
- 34:08the gold and silver ETFs and I might add that I'm also a bit
- 34:13suspicious. But nonetheless, it did create
- 34:16right. But a lot of people think are a
- 34:18big wave of demand for the gold and silver markets.
- 34:23Are we in a commodity super cycle?
- 34:25We hear about this all the time. The man, William Middlecoup says
- 34:30huge commodities and that would include silver and gold are
- 34:34breaking out right now from a 15 year downtrend versus the
- 34:38general equities. Again, this is similar to what
- 34:40we looked at earlier comparing the gold price to the S&P 500,
- 34:44but this compares the general commodity sector to the general
- 34:50markets. And as you can see guys, OK,
- 34:53again, we this commodity super cycle that everybody's talking
- 34:58about right now way down on the lower right of this chart, which
- 35:02you can't see, but you will see right now there it is on the
- 35:08lower right corner. We are in like historically low
- 35:14levels on this chart. It has gotten, if you look at
- 35:17the upper left corner way up here in the past, this is
- 35:21multiples, multiples higher. And remember the price of silver
- 35:26and the price of gold are in that commodities index.
- 35:31But the world is changing like never before.
- 35:34Asia, I know where we we live in our own little bubble, don't we?
- 35:38We all think, and a lot of you are joining from all over the
- 35:41world, but mostly Western countries.
- 35:44Asia is taking over silver and gold.
- 35:48That's just a fact at this point between China and what's going
- 35:52on in the rest the rest of Asia in India, right they are, they
- 35:56are taking over silver, gold. We're going to look at some big
- 35:59developments going on there. Before I do that, I do want to
- 36:02say thank you to channel sponsor Sugar Mountain Trading Company.
- 36:07They are a premium personal care brand that I've been using for
- 36:11the last 30 days. Unbelievable.
- 36:13Like handmade, curated, 100% natural things like a soap.
- 36:18Here's the one I've been using right here.
- 36:20Cherry Almond oat in honey soap, right?
- 36:23This is like handmade soap, all natural, and it is way different
- 36:29than what you get at the grocery store.
- 36:31It lasts longer, but it feels different as well.
- 36:35It's a natural product. You can check them out.
- 36:37They do have a discount code, Ron 25.
- 36:40OK, And you can check them out at sugarmountaintrading.com.
- 36:43Let's go to Asia, where we've got some developments there.
- 36:48First, Hong Kong, and let me go back to you.
- 36:53Hong Kong, which is part of China, is basically starting a
- 36:58new exchange that is going to be in direct competition with the
- 37:02LBMA. But then wait, there's more
- 37:05because we've also got news out of Singapore and Singapore is
- 37:08what like the richest country in Asia.
- 37:10But let's go to Vince Lancey to hear he he sums it up in less
- 37:15than a minute. Why this news out of Hong Kong
- 37:20is so, so important? And there's Vince.
- 37:24Let's give him full screen treatment and listen to what
- 37:27Vince has to say about what's going on developments in Hong
- 37:31Kong. Hong Kong's London Mirror Hong
- 37:33Kong claims to launch a government backed gold clearing
- 37:35platform in July, modeled after London's Play Market
- 37:37infrastructure. According to Bloomberg, the
- 37:39system will support unallocated gold settlement and invite
- 37:42participation from China friendly central banks,
- 37:44including Asia's growing effort to expand its role in global
- 37:47gold trading and storage. Rest in peace, LBMA.
- 37:50This is what we've been saying for almost 2 years now.
- 37:54We were early on this. We were ahead of the curve and
- 37:57we were right. The LBMA is in trouble.
- 37:59It's being attacked within because it can't manage its own
- 38:01risk and it's being attacked without with alternatives to the
- 38:04LBMA for physical gold. And they're outright saying that
- 38:08they're mirroring the LBMA. So the LBMA will survive in the
- 38:12sense that it will become a satellite of the Hong Kong and
- 38:14the Shanghai Dyad and Singapore. So caught a triad.
- 38:21OK. So like you said, they're
- 38:23basically explicitly saying that they are mirroring or replacing
- 38:30the LBMA, the London Billion Market Association, which is
- 38:34like that old market in London that some people speculate has
- 38:38been a little bit manipulative of the metals prices over the
- 38:41years as well. But there's even more because
- 38:44then we had news last week also, So not only Hong Kong creating
- 38:47this exchange, but their biggest like Courier service, the
- 38:51equivalent of Brinks in the United States.
- 38:55They announced that they're building a massive vault, right,
- 38:58right in Hong Kong, right by the airport.
- 39:01They're taking over the physical.
- 39:03That's the going to be more like a spot market, the physical
- 39:06market for gold and silver. It's crazy.
- 39:09Now let's go to Singapore. And this is also interesting
- 39:13because they're not like they're just dropping the bombs
- 39:16basically. They're not, they're not holding
- 39:18back when they're talking about what's going on.
- 39:20We're going to head out to Kitco, right?
- 39:23Who has this for us from our friend Neil's.
- 39:26Trading in Abax's silver Singapore.
- 39:30Silver Singapore futures kicks off OK, this is interesting.
- 39:35This is silver focused. Abax Technologies announced on
- 39:38Friday that trading has officially commenced in its
- 39:42Silver Singapore futures contract, marking the latest
- 39:46step in the company's effort to position Singapore as a major
- 39:51global hub for precious metals trading and price discovery.
- 39:59Very interesting. The new contract is designed to
- 40:02bridge what Abex describes as OK.
- 40:06Listen to this A growing disconnect between traditional
- 40:11global silver benchmarks. So what they're saying is that
- 40:16the, as I read it, I'm speculating that the COMEX paper
- 40:23price maybe isn't so accurate, the LBMA paper price maybe it's
- 40:29a growing disconnect. They said it, not me, OK.
- 40:34And right. And on top of that, but wait,
- 40:37there's more, the evolving physical requirements of
- 40:42industrial users across Asia. It's becoming a physical market
- 40:50across Asia. OK, period, period, period.
- 40:54Now it wouldn't be one of our get togethers down here in the
- 40:57basement without our daily dose of United States economy gloom
- 41:01and doom. I don't want to be the Crown
- 41:03town crier, but let's be real, right?
- 41:06Things aren't so great. The United States we got like
- 41:09this news last week the Philly Fed index went negative negative
- 41:14I didn't think go negative but it went negative right measuring
- 41:17I don't know manufacturing in the Philadelphia maybe East
- 41:20Coast region. Consumer confidence is consumer
- 41:24confidence in the United States is a consumer based economy is
- 41:28at an all time low data since 1952.
- 41:33Consumer confidence wasn't lower, right was it was not
- 41:37lower during the great financial crisis was not lower when the
- 41:41tech bubble burst wasn't lower when and when 911 happened.
- 41:46We have the lowest consumer confidence ever.
- 41:51But the stock market's magically at all time highs.
- 41:56All you got to do is buy AI stocks and you'll get rich.
- 42:02It'll be interesting to see how that plays out six months from
- 42:04now. I suspect they'll be lower, but
- 42:07nonetheless, this is shocking and very interesting.
- 42:11This is your daily dose of gloom and doom because we're always so
- 42:16positive. This came from no name, he says.
- 42:23I can't stop looking away from this chart. thisisthe.com crash
- 42:29overlaid on today's S&P 500. We're going to look at it.
- 42:33It's a little it's a little tiny 10 second video.
- 42:37OK, so it overlays the.com crash on the today's S&P 500.
- 42:42Every week I come back expecting it to finally diverge.
- 42:47It doesn't. The overlap keeps tracking with
- 42:50a precision precision that is honestly unsettling.
- 42:54OK, startling, taken aback, flabbergasting.
- 42:59What are your thoughts on this? All right, so without further
- 43:03ado, we're going to watch this. And if if you have high blood
- 43:06pressure, you may want to look away.
- 43:08I have high blood pressure, but I can't close my eyes.
- 43:12So this is the current S&P 500. What you see on your screen
- 43:16right now, Next you're going to watch as they overlaythe.com
- 43:21bubble burst. It's up there in the upper left
- 43:23corner, but it's going to start moving, so pay attention.
- 43:27Here we go. Whoa, if you see that, let's go
- 43:34back one more time. That's the current S&P 500
- 43:40herecomesthe.com bubble crash. Unbelievable.
- 43:47Wow, does that not look like maybe.
- 43:52Yeah, there we are right now. Check Mark.
- 43:57But wait, there's more, guys. OK, there's more.
- 44:01OK, Because think about it, what we just looked at how similar
- 44:05those patterns are. Isn't it interesting that what's
- 44:10going on right now in the AI sector is so similar, even a
- 44:16little more extreme, right when we with compared to
- 44:20whathappenedduringthe.com. rememberthe.com, I remember
- 44:24you're probably as old as me. Any companythathad.com at the
- 44:28end of their name, they went public and they raised billions
- 44:32and now, you know, millions and billions of dollars.
- 44:36That's exactly what's happening right now.
- 44:38Let me give you a little insight.
- 44:40AI, these AI stocks have doubled tripled, I don't know since the
- 44:44beginning of the year, the last month right the Philadelphia
- 44:47there's a thing called the Philadelphia semiconductor index
- 44:51that the tracks like these companies that are very AI
- 44:54centric. I mean it's like skyrocketed
- 44:56look it up it's incredible and what's happening right now with
- 45:00AI is almost very eerily similar to to whathappenedduringthe.com
- 45:08sector. I think right that that that
- 45:11that and I I look AI, I think it's cool.
- 45:13I use a little bit of AI by the way, I'm not AI for those of you
- 45:17who say is Ron, AI is no, everything here is real OK, but
- 45:22I think AI is great. I think AI is here to stay, but
- 45:25it's a bubble right The Internet was here to stay in the late
- 45:2990s, right. We are using it right now.
- 45:32It's revolutionary. It's is incredible.
- 45:34But there was also a tech bubble and Internet bubble that burst
- 45:40during that same time period and things had to be worked out.
- 45:43And then companies like Amazon and another Priceline and eBay
- 45:48emerged as winners through all of that.
- 45:50Be prepared, right? And the scary thing is that
- 45:53right now the statistics that talk about how the AI sector
- 45:59makes up, I don't know like what 40 percent, 60% of all the value
- 46:03in the S&P 500, the S&P buyer, I mean, it's crazy.
- 46:07Or that they've accounted for like the lion's share of the
- 46:12gains in the market. It's all and think about this,
- 46:15but wait, there's more, right? These these companies, these
- 46:19tech companies are all based on make believe fantasy all future
- 46:24like, oh, they're going to make all this money in the future.
- 46:26And that's why their valuations are 200 times price to earnings
- 46:31ratio. I mean, there's 22 big
- 46:34components. Number one, that right there
- 46:37that fantasy future. It used to be before the great.
- 46:41The here's an interesting point for used to be like in the
- 46:451920s, stocks were valued at their actual asset values, OK?
- 46:51Meaning if a stock cost $5, you basically got $5.
- 46:55Sears and Roebuck was the first company that ever was able to
- 46:59like create a future or create a current stock price based on
- 47:03future projections. Now that's all these tech
- 47:07companies are valued on. That's point #1 the second
- 47:10point, the measuring stick we're using on those valuations.
- 47:16Hold on, let me get it out here. Is this right?
- 47:20the US dollar, it's like a fantasy valuation based off of a
- 47:26fantasy paper make believe measuring stick.
- 47:29It's crazy. It's absolutely crazy.
- 47:32Not like this. Sorry, my hands got mixed up by
- 47:35the wayside Note, this is different than what I just
- 47:38showed you. Is this exactly what I just
- 47:39showed you? No, this is different.
- 47:42This is a look at the top silver certificate, right?
- 47:49It says $1.00 and then I'll read you what it says on Earth.
- 47:52This is from like the 1930s. One dollar in silver payable to
- 47:58the bearer on demand. One of the basement dwellers
- 48:01sent me this. OK, that's it right there.
- 48:04That used to be our dollar backed by real silver.
- 48:08Apparently you could take it to the bank and they would give you
- 48:11silver for it. So anyway, be prepared for a
- 48:13market crash. Be prepared.
- 48:16You want to hear some good news? Be prepared for what I
- 48:20wholeheartedly believe is an unbelievable future in the
- 48:25silver and gold price. Right.
- 48:27I'll keep you posted. You know that upstairs, Susie
- 48:32and I super appreciate you joining us down here.
- 48:34Please subscribe. OK, what?
- 48:41Hey, you guys are awesome. 230. Hey, give this a thumbs up.
- 48:44Let's see if we can get to 250 thumbs up.
- 48:47I'll ring the bell upstairs. Susie will keep me posted.
- 48:52What was I? What was I saying?
- 48:55I don't know. I don't know.
- 48:57Let's go look at the silver price now.
- 48:59You never know. It could be read by now.
- 49:01I don't think it is. Take a deep breath and all
- 49:05right. Oh, my gosh.
- 49:06Guys, check this out. Hold on.
- 49:09Let's get the markers out. Silver, since we've been live,
- 49:14is now up $2.96. It's gone up another whole $1.00
- 49:21per oz. That is incredible.
- 49:23Let's go look at the futures. OK, up to 5070, up almost $79.
- 49:30Hey, happy days are here again. Hey, man, what the heck?
- 49:34We're out walking around the Internet.
- 49:36Let's go take a look at what's happening at the US debt clock.
- 49:40I wonder if the US debt went up lately.
- 49:42Yeah, now we are at 39 trillion, $284 billion in debt.
- 49:49For those of you who are new, I'm going to tell you why this
- 49:52is so, so important. Hold on, This is a critical
- 49:57concept to understand and it is very easy to understand.
- 50:03And let's get out of marker here.
- 50:07We'll make it a little bit bigger.
- 50:08What color you want? How about orange?
- 50:11We'll go with orange. There we go.
- 50:13All right, here is our national debt, which I'm circling.
- 50:16This is pretty wide, but anyway, the US national debt creates
- 50:23this down here that I'm circling interest expense, OK?
- 50:27And like what? A third of our debt is going to
- 50:29be due to be refinanced. Interest rates are much higher.
- 50:32This number is going way, way higher.
- 50:35So the US debt, right, makes this number go higher, OK.
- 50:42Now the problem is, let me see if I can circle this right here
- 50:47so you can see it. This is our federal budget
- 50:51deficit. That means the amount of money
- 50:53that our government spends in excess of what it brings in.
- 50:56That's at 1.6 trillion. The problem is that interest
- 51:00expense, which is going up, feeds into, yeah, you guessed
- 51:05it, the federal budget deficit, which then feeds directly into
- 51:11the US national debt. If you can see here, if you
- 51:15follow this, that makes the debt bigger, which is then going to
- 51:18make the interest expense bigger, which is going to make
- 51:22the federal budget deficit get bigger.
- 51:25It's a spiral. It is a debt spiral.
- 51:30It is a situation called fiscal dominance, which is a new term
- 51:35that we learned down here in the basement not too long ago,
- 51:38right? You hear that term?
- 51:39What do you think when you hear, oh, the United States is in a
- 51:42condition of fiscal dominance? Well, that means we dominate
- 51:46fiscally. No, that means that the fiscal
- 51:51situation, which is what we 303 hundred the ball and the bell.
- 52:00OK upstairs, Susie is requesting the gong in the bell.
- 52:04Fiscal dominance is this situation when the fiscal
- 52:07situation of a country, the United States of America, thanks
- 52:12to President Richard Nixon who took us off the gold standard.
- 52:15Anyway, the fiscal situation, which is what we just looked at,
- 52:19dominates what the government, the treasury, the Fed can do,
- 52:26right? It it dictates what's going to
- 52:29happen because of what we just looked at is interest rates will
- 52:32countries and we, it's already happening, right?
- 52:35China, Japan, everybody's dumping our Treasuries, right,
- 52:39which makes the interest rates go up.
- 52:41The what, what the, the Fed is going to have.
- 52:43The Fed has two options in the coming years, but let everything
- 52:49crash, OK, and reset, which they won't do, or option B, which
- 52:55they have done and they will continue to do, which is turn on
- 53:00the old printing press, right, And make these and they don't.
- 53:04You obviously that's a figurative term, right?
- 53:07They do it digitally, and they'll print those and they'll
- 53:11buy U.S. Treasuries.
- 53:14They've done it before. They'll do it again.
- 53:20And you and me and us and we basement dwellers will be even
- 53:25happier that we own silver and gold.
- 53:27Let's ring the bell. We're going to do the bell and
- 53:29the gong. It's a holiday weekend, OK, For
- 53:31the thumbs up. Thank you, basement dwellers.
- 53:36And boy, it's been a couple weeks.
- 53:38Got to warm up the old gong. This is the golden gong of good
- 53:42luck. Maybe that's why the silver and
- 53:45gold price we're struggling. We didn't ring the gong.
- 53:47We're going to ring it three times.
- 53:49Listen to it resonate. It's beautiful.
- 53:57All right, guys, thanks for joining us down in the basement.
- 53:59On behalf of upstairs, Susie, my lovely and talented
- 54:03walkie-talkie wife and assistant, we thank you.
- 54:06We have a lot of fun down here. We're going to have so much fun
- 54:09going into the future. Please subscribe to the channel.
- 54:13We're running that special still.
- 54:15It's free To subscribe, press that button.
- 54:19Press the little bell so you get notified.
- 54:21Come back to the basement. Leave a comment.
- 54:23We love you. Have a great day.
- 54:25Take care. And we'll see you.
- 54:27And we do see you. We're looking at you.
- 54:30We'll see you soon. Bye.
- 54:31Bye.