Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA Quick Hit | December 30, 2023 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

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NBA Quick Hit | December 30, 2023 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

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All system's gone clear the left off. What's up guys here? Bertid here,
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I'm going to be breaking down this four games slate on Saturday, December
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thirtieth. Let's waste no time. Lets get right into it. First game
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of the night, we have the New York next ticking on the Indiana Pacers
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two forty seven and a half over under. Indie favored by three big news
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in this one, the Nicks I've traded away r J, Barrett and Emanuel
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quickly for og And and Obi this morning. I would assume that if Quinton
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Grimes plays, he got downgrade to questionable. But if he plays, I
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would assume that would put him in the starting lineup. If he's out,
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then I would also assume that probably adds Josh Hart to the starting lineup.
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That would I don't think that they would go with like a Duce McBride type
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of play. I think that Josh Hart would make some sense, but that
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would with the Knick train away buried and quickly, it's going to give more
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run for guys like Dante DiVincenzo for the time being for this game, at
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least give him a higher minutes floor. Should give Josh Hart a higher minutes
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floor. Maybe that gives Brunson a bigger minute ceiling. He could get up
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to forty minutes in this game. Possibly. But from matchup standpoint, yeah,
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the Pacers still playing as one of the fastest teams in the league,
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second in pace in the season, there's dead last and interior defense right now,
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and their first overall in three pointers allowed per game, so we should
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have a pretty clear pathway of knowing how to attack this one. Yeah,
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just from a minute standpoint, this is a pretty good spot for Jalen Brunton.
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He's almost nine k now though, which is pretty uncomfortable. But I
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mean, I don't see them giving Duce McBride a ton of minutes here,
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so we could if Brunton gets up to forty, I think he'd definitely pay
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off this price. Like he's a ton of upside and matchup is just okay.
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He's gonna be getting a lot of injury. Nemhard on defense is a
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pretty solid defender. But Brunton as a team leading thirty two percent usedge erate
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this season with bard and quickly off the floor, so we know the ball
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is going to be in his hands a ton. I think that I slightly
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prefer well, actually, I prefer Randal a lot to Brunton in this one's
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gonna be a much better spot for him. With the Pacers being so bad
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in the interior defense, they're also second worst in DVP to power forwards.
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Randall's coming off a big game against Orlando, who is a pretty good interior
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defense, so I have no doubts that Ranald could have a repeat performance here,
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and like the price like eight point seven K, so he's probably my
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favorite play. On the Nick side. Harnstein is going to continue to project
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well, but I don't think that this is a great spot for him.
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You know, the Pacers, while they are really bad with the interior defense,
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they've actually been pretty decent and gets supposing centers, so like in their
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DVP, they're like middle of the pack. We did see last game where
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we were all playing Andre Drummond he kind of got ran off the floor a
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little bit, so I think that is definitely in play for Harnstein. He
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lost some minutes last game in a match of versus the Magic who have.
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You know, they're known for their size. You'd think the Harnstein would have
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been out there for thirty plus minutes, but he lost some run to Josh
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Hart, so I don't think that it's too crazy to think that that could
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happen again here. But yeah, actually I like this spot a little bit
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better for the value. Guys with Josh Hart five to two got to see
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more minutes now looking at a prety solid positive rejection in our projections. Dante
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DiVincenzo, it's a tougher matchup for him, just he's going to be out
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there to play defense mostly and be launching from three where pacers are the best
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three point defense, So don't love him. I think i'd prefer Josh Hard.
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He has multiple ways to get They're been adding some more rebounds and assists
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to his his stat line side, prefer him. If quind grinds plays,
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think you could definitely go to him at three point one K. You don't
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really need a ton to pay off that tag. He's very scoring dependent.
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He really is just extremely low usage and not going to add much to outside
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of a couple of three pointers here and there. So you know, matchup
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wise is pretty bad for him. But three point one K you don't really
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need much on the pacer side. Yeah. Tarris Halburn, after a slew
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of down games, he's pretty much back, gotten sixty one plus in three
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straight games, shooting the ball extremely efficiently over that span. Knicks, you
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know, the middle of the pack defense definitely gotten worse with no Mitchell Robinson,
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but they're getting beaten by three point shooters mostly. Their interior defensive been
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has held up pretty solidly. And how Burden has taken thirteen three point attempts
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in two straight games. Obviously the assist umbers are going to be there.
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Pace is going to be there. This is the best game environment on the
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slate, So I think he might be my favorite overall spin up on this
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slate. Miles Turner, He's always a fine option going to be He'll always
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come in low owned. Price has coming down now under seven K. Finally,
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Knicks did struggle last night and with their rim defense, gave it forty
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four points to the Magic. So I think that if Heartstein continues to lose
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minutes to for the small ball lineup, I think that Miles Turner could be
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in a pretty good spot here, So I don't mind him as a low
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owned option six point a K. I like this spot here a lot though
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for Buddy Heald. Like just said, Nicks are getting beaten by three point
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shooters. Buddy's minutes floor has come up a ton with Bruce Brown being ruled
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out these past couple of games four short games with at least twenty six y
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K points, with three of those games going over thirty four. So that
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would be a pretty good value spot if you can get up to that number
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again. Here Haliburn is doing a really good job finding his shooters. I
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think that you know, a little correlation with with Halburn and Buddy Heeld makes
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a ton of sense. You could start your lines with Haliburn, Heild and
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Randall. I think you'd be off to a good start for the night.
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I'm find getting away with Andrew namhard, especially at ownership, just he's not
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out there to take away usage from Tres Haliburn. He's gonna shoot a couple
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threes, but mostly out there just for his defense. And he'll definitely play
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a ton of minutes tonight against Jalen Bronson. So I guess you know from
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a minute Standboay, he could get there if he runs into a few steals
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in a couple of three pointers. But I'm find getting away from it.
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I would much rather prefer for three hundred cheaper, different different position, But
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Jalen Smith step to the starting lineup been playing pretty well, has some I
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think it's some minutes for some upside too. Maybe if the the Knicks go
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more small ball, maybe that gives Jaylen Smith more minutes at the five and
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kind of takes down Miles Turner a little bit. But yeah, I like
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the spot here for him a lot at four point nine K and I think
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that Ben Matheren Aaron need Smith could definitely make your player pool, but not
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don't love playing them. Let's move over to the Philadelphia seventy six ers taken
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on Chicago Bulls low two to four over under, Chicago favored by three.
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Yeah, low game total here, but I think the environment is a little
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bit better than the total would speak just both these teams are pretty condensed with
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their usage. Both these guys are going to be down a couple of stars,
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you know, we know the sixer is going to be with au Joel
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Embiid, So it's another game for Maxy, Harris and Melton to see usage
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bombs. Paul Read is going to get the start again. The Bulls are
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down Zach Lavine and Nikolavucevich, so DeMar Deroz and Kobe Wha are going to
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run the offense, and Andre Drummond will continue to get the start as well.
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But game environment whise you. The Bulls are dead last in pace in
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the year, the Sixers or twelfth overall. Both these teams are pretty sound
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defensively, but they do have areas in their defense that can be exploited.
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Bulls are a huge three point three point final ranking bottom four in the in
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the league and three pointers allowed per game, whereas the Sixers are a rim
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funnel, bottom eight in the category. And you just look back one game
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ago against the Rockets, they got torched inside sixty two rim points. So
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definitely some areas that we can exploit here. On the the Sixers side,
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tarry S Maxi had had a good game versus Houston last time, which is
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kind of what we're looking for from him without Joel and being in the lineup.
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He went for fifty five and a half DK points in forty one minutes
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and should be looking at another huge workload here. Thirty three percent usage rate
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without Embaid on the court this season, and he averages around forty six DK
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points per thirty six so he's going to see close to forty minutes on a
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nightly basis, and I think there's a ton of upside for him, just
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with this Bulls team being a big three point funnel leads a team in assist
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percentage without Joel Embiid. This has been a really tough matchup for opposing point
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guards going against you know, a mixture of Alex Brusso, Io Desumo two
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plus on ball defenders. The Bulls are first overall on DVP to opposing point
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guards, so there's a little bit of downside to him, some merits of
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fading him if he's coming to with hironship as well, but just don't even
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match up aside. I mean, we did see Haliburton and Trey Young have
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big games against the same team, so it's not like Tyres Maxi, in
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arguably a better role could have a similar game. So I definitely like Maxi's
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spind up option. Tobias Harris gonna run into Patrick Williams and defense who's a
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pretty solid defender as well. But Tobias Harris's shot volume has been increasing since
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Beat Went Down. Has taken no less than eighteen shots in four straight games
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and scored no less than thirty seven DK points with three of those games going
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over forty seven, so there's definitely upside to him even at seven point two
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K. I think I'm probably going to be going back to Anthony to d
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Anthony Melton here probably my favorite sixer just price adjusted six point five k's good
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for him. Had an awful game last time out, just didn't see any
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usage against the rock It's we know the Rockets are pretty solid defense, so
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could have something to do with that, but just wasn't usage wasn't there.
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The minutes were there, but I just didn't really get there. But this
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is a good matchup for three point shooters. Melton sees one of the biggest
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bumps in his fantasy scoring averages thirty eight DK points per thirty six with him
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beat off of the floor, and he's a pretty big usage bump on his
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on his season average with him beat out, So he definitely like Melton.
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Paul reads Okay as the last man in. That's really all I'm looking to
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on the six er side, those main four guys on the bull side.
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Yeah, I mean, anytime tomortw Rosien is getting ownership, I think you
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can just fade him. He's a fine cash game play, but eight point
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five k never worth it for him, just doesn't have the same upside as
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some of the other guys pricing that same range. I mean, small forward,
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power forward. You could go a couple hundred up and get to Julius
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Randall for a much better matchup and upside. Andre Drummond ak pretty the price.
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Sikes definitely warranted, had a sixty burger a couple of games ago.
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We went right back to him against the Pacers. Last game lots some run
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due to foul trouble, but should have to worry about that here going against
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Paul Reid who is not going to draw too many fouls, and on top
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of that, Sixers just getting beat inside without Joel Embiid give him sixty two
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rim points. Like I said earlier against the Rockets, I think that drum
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definitely has a huge matchup in this upside looking at a pretty strong projection for
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us as well. Kobe White. He his usage and efficiency has really come
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down a lot since he's been dealing with a little bit of a wrist injury,
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so I'm assuming it does something to do with that matchup is not all
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that good here, going to see d Anthony Melton on defense, so tougher
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spot for him. I'm okay getting away from him, and I think that
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Patrick Williams and ox Brus could definitely make the playerpool as last man in type
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of plays. Next game, Los Angeles Lakers taking on the Minnesota Timberwolves two
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twenty five over under with Minnesota favorite by five, should be a very competitive
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game. Should be a defensive battle. Wolves are the best overall defense in
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the league and the Lakers are number nine overall. Matchup wise, the Wolves
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there's no hole spoke in their game. They're taking away rim scoring, taken
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away three point scoring. Transition defense has been good, so it's a tough
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matchup for everybody in the Lakers, but the Lakers really good room defense,
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huge three point funnel though Lakers are second worst than three point defense on the
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year. Yeah, on the Lakers side, Anthony Davis going to see Ridy
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Gobern defense gonna make life really tough for him. But I think that the
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upside case for AD is definitely there if he weren't able to get Rudy Gobert
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into some foul trouble. AD has been playing much better offensively this year and
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he I'm seeing some big ownership on him right now that I don't think that
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he's going to come in at forty four percent. I could definitely see him
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come in closer to twenty. I think that at that point it's a pretty
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interesting fade just with the matchup. But I mean, he's been the focal
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point of the offense and he could definitely get there. Has had historically some
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pretty good games against Rudy Gobert since Gobert has joined the Timberwolves. But I
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think there's definitely a ton of downside to him in this matchup. Lebron's going
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to see Jada McDaniels on the defensive end, and he's one of the better
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winging, slash on ball defenders in the league. I think Lebron's path to
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upside is his rebounding and assist numbers, which have been constantly hovering right around
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double digits. So I think that I would prefer Lebron' to AD in this
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game. And I believe today is Lebron's birthday as well, so if you
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want to get into the birthday narrative, he just turned thirty nine, so
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he's got that going for him. And on the Wolf side, love the
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spot for Anthony Edwards here at nine point two k Cam Reddish is probable,
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which you know, he's a pretty solid on ball defender. But and it's
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just been lights out the past seven games, scoring at least twenty five real
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points in all seven and no less than forty three DraftKings points gone up to
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sixty three of those seven games. And the Lakers have struggled all year defending
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opposing guards. Huge three point final, So I think there's a ton of
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upside for Anthony Edwards in this one, especially I Karl Anthony Towns were to
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miss. I mean, regardless, Cat has been looking pretty limited. Hasn't
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seen you know, his normal thirty four plus minutes in a couple of games.
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So I think it's safe to say that he's limited right now. And
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Anthony Edwards isn't a great spot, So I love this spot for him.
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You have Kat were to play, not a good match up for him.
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I'm gonna see probably Vanderbilt on defense. Vanderbilt's pretty solid defender, just and
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he's Kat's looking pretty limited right now, so I'm finding getting away from him
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a tough spot for Rudy Gobert going against a d if he's able to stay
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out of foul trouble. He's shown some upside in the same game. What
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for went for forty four in this game a few days ago, So he's
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got pretty big you know. I always has the rebounding upside, got the
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blocks and steals upside. So I don't think that he's the craziest play at
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seven point four K. Sam could be said for Mike Conley. He's been
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playing, you know, just Mike Colling basketball have been pretty solid all year
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long. Five point seven K. I think he's definitely got a little bit
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of upside there, and he'll see probably the weakest defender on the court while
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he's out there, so I don't don't mind him. I think Jay McDaniels
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is interesting at five K. He should be able to get there. Just
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from a pure minute standpoint, I could see him getting close to forty minutes
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going to be out there to defend Lebron and if you can knock down some
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threes and maybe get a couple steals and blocks, I think that he could
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definitely pay off the five K price tag. So I don't mind him at
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all that I'll do it for that game. Let's move over the last game
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of the night Dallas taking on the Golden State Warriors with a two forty two
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over under gold and State favored by four. On the Maverick side, it's
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pretty much just Luca or bust. If he's in, gonna take away a
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ton of the upside off of the Tim Harnaway Junior is Dante Exhem Hardy will
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be out of play. I don't think you even want to get to Grant
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Williams and below. On the Maverick side, I think that you could you
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could pair Luca with like a Derek Lively. They've shown a really good two
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man game in the pick and roll, and the Warriors are a little bit
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worse versus centers on the year, so I don't think that he's craziest play.
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Derek Jones Junior five point three K would be in play as well,
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But yeah, lucas In just takes a ton of upside off of a lot
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of these guys, and Luca is a pretty solid price side eleven point seven
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K, so I would not mind going to him on the Warrior side.
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Yeah, Steph eight point eight K. Definitely interesting when you're looking at it,
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but you know he's got a good, good projection just the upside has
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not been there this year. Kurr is just limiting a lot of the upside
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for a lot of these guys in terms of their minutes he's not seeing.
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You know, it's probably averaging around thirty three thirty four minutes a game this
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year, so I mean he could always get there. Definitely still has the
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upside that Seth Curry has shown in his career, but I'll be fine getting
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away from it at eight point a K. I'm much more interested in all
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of these secondary warriors, especially Brandon Padjeenski five point eight K. He's been
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the only other guy outside of Curry to really see consistent minutes around thirty two
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to thirty four, and the Mavericks are bottom four DVP versus opposing shooting guards.
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I think that he's probably my favorite overall play looking at little ownership right
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now in a pretty good projection for us. Well, actually I'm saying conflicting
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reports on his ownership, but regardless, I like him a lot, and
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he's his assists numbers are up, his rebounding totals are up. I think
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he's been getting close to a triple double. I think he could start hitting
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that a couple times this year really start to pay off this price tax.
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I like him a lot. On paper, this is a pretty good matchup
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for Kaminga as well, with the Mavericks being a pretty bad interior defense and
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really bad in transition, so I think that we could attack them there.
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And I think Kaminga has shown upside at five point two K, so I
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like him as well. Trace Jackson Davis very interesting off the bench. Three
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games out of his last five he's seen at least twenty six minutes, and
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when he's gotten those minutes, he's gotten a double double in all of those
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games. And in this game, where it's gonna be probably more up and
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pace, I could see him taking away some minutes from Kevon Looney. Looney
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does come into the game questionable with an illness, so if you were to
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miss I would love Thhja as a value option. Wiggins at four point six
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K is kind of just staring at me's seeing solid, solid minutes. I
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don't think that he's the worst player in the world, but yeah, a
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ton of interest in Podjemski on the warrior side. That's going to do it
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for the four gamer. I hope that everybody has a good weekend. Happy
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New Year's everybody. Thanks for sticking around with us showing all your support and
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I will see you guys on Tuesday for our first NBA stream of the New
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year heven years. Everybody, stay safe, I'll see you later.