Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 332 - 8/8/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:19Hello, and welcome to episode 332 of the All Systems Go sports
- 0:25Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:28I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
- 0:36Happy Friday. Our work week has come to an
- 0:39end. We got a huge weekend ahead
- 0:41here, guys. And oh, by the way, we are now
- 0:43just four days away from my second book launching, Going
- 0:47Live, available to the public. You walk into a Barnes and Noble
- 0:51or a bookstore near you, you're going to go to the sports
- 0:53section. Then you're going to find the
- 0:55NFL Sharp betting playbook. I cannot wait.
- 0:58It's been a long time coming. Of course it is available for
- 1:01pre sale if you want to buy it right now and support the team
- 1:04from Amazon.com. That way when the 12th rolls
- 1:07around Tuesday August 12th, a few days only again four days
- 1:11away, you pre-order it now it'll be dropped off by a Bezos drone
- 1:15on your front porch when Tuesday rolls around.
- 1:17So super excited about it. Guys, I'm actually coming to you
- 1:21live from Mohegan Sun in Connecticut.
- 1:24My brother-in-law is an artist and he has a booth at
- 1:27Terrificon, which is basically the Comic Con of the East Coast.
- 1:31So we took the drive from outskirts of Boston down to
- 1:35Mohegan Sun in Connecticut. Nice little hour and a half
- 1:37drive, really not too far. Got here early yesterday, kind
- 1:41of hung out. I wasn't able to do a pod so I
- 1:43do apologize. Had a couple of you guys reach
- 1:45out and say hey, where's the pod today?
- 1:47I wasn't able to and we had to set up his booth and get checked
- 1:51into the hotel And then I had my by the time I I could have like
- 1:54sat down and done, it was like 630 and all the games are about
- 1:57to start. So didn't have a pod yesterday
- 2:00and do apologize for that. But hopefully we can make up for
- 2:03it today and get some winners here.
- 2:04But really enjoying Mohegan Sun, a lot of great food spots, the
- 2:08sports book. I hung out there and did my hit
- 2:10on V some live tonight last night with my buddy Patrick
- 2:13Maher live from the sports book. So I was pretty cool.
- 2:16And again, I'm four days away from my second book going live,
- 2:19so feels pretty awesome. But with that being said, guys,
- 2:22we got to get back to do what we love to do.
- 2:24And you know we've been doing these 3 packs, you know,
- 2:27baseball 3 packs for many, many a day, many a week, many a month
- 2:32now at this point. Well guess what?
- 2:34We got football back. We got three games tonight in
- 2:36all three games match up pretty nicely with what we saw
- 2:40yesterday. And if you notice yesterday,
- 2:42those inflated line dogs really crushed it.
- 2:45We had all three go 3 and O ATS. Baltimore open laying a point.
- 2:50They closed getting six. They won outright.
- 2:53You know, Philly open minus one 1 1/2.
- 2:55They ended up getting 6 1/2 and 1 outright.
- 2:58And then Seattle was -1 1/2 up to plus 5 1/2 then up tying the
- 3:03game. And remember, you can't have
- 3:04ties in the preseason, which will not allow a winner on the
- 3:08money line, but based on the spread, you'll cover if you're
- 3:10on the dog there in a tied game. So a little hint, hint.
- 3:13We're gonna talk about the three games here for tonight, Browns
- 3:16and Carolina Panthers, Detroit and Atlanta and Washington and
- 3:20my New England Patriots. So we'll see if we can get some
- 3:22winners here on the NFL preseason gridiron.
- 3:26And then we're still going to have those 3 packs of baseball
- 3:28plays. So we got 3 plays in MLB.
- 3:30So we got 6 plays tonight. We're going all out.
- 3:33A little dangerous. You know, I don't want to have
- 3:35too many bets because too many plays is the quickest way to go
- 3:38bankrupt. But you know what, we got some
- 3:41system matches. We're going to try to take
- 3:42advantage. So let's see if we can maybe eke
- 3:44out a four and two night. That'll be pretty awesome.
- 3:47With that being said, guys, let's waste no time and let's
- 3:50talk about the NFL preseason because I think it was a great
- 3:53teachable moment from last night.
- 3:55And I put out a tweet if you guys follow me on Twitter at
- 3:59Josh under score Insights and basically I did a screenshot of
- 4:02the Odds Logic Live odds page. Again, you want to give it a
- 4:05shot? Odds logic.com/josh 123.
- 4:09But I said 3 pack of sweats tonight in the preseason.
- 4:12Anyone buying low on the inflated dogs?
- 4:14And as I mentioned, all these, all three of these inflated line
- 4:17dogs end up winning or covering. The whole thought process here
- 4:21guys is, you know, if you had played yesterday some of those
- 4:25teams and gotten a good number, like for example, you know, if
- 4:28you got, you know, Indy -1 -, 2 they close -6 they lose by 8,
- 4:33you lost your bet, but you made a good play because he beat the
- 4:35closing line. Same thing with that Cincy
- 4:37Philly game. Like if you got cincy -1 -, 2
- 4:40they close -6 and half you beat the closing line.
- 4:44But here's the thing, NFL pre season, it's a very different
- 4:47kind of animal. Obviously there's a lot of
- 4:49unknowns and a lot of backups playing.
- 4:51But the whole thought here is that if you can't get a good
- 4:54number, then laying the worst of it at the back end of a line
- 4:57move really is not a smart play. Like yesterday maybe Indy would
- 5:01have rolled in one by ten or more, or maybe since he would
- 5:04have rolled or Vegas or whatever.
- 5:06But you never want to get in the habit of laying the worst of the
- 5:08number after a huge line move. So that's why I tweeted that out
- 5:12and said, hey, is there an opportunity to buy low on these
- 5:14inflated dogs? And of course they go 3 and O 8
- 5:17TS. So that being said, we have 3
- 5:20inflated line opportunities here for tonight.
- 5:23Now a lot of these lines have moved and that's a reason why,
- 5:26you know, we've been able to get these by law opportunities.
- 5:29But let me just give you a couple stats when it comes to
- 5:31the preseason. In the preseason, we have dogs.
- 5:35This goes back about a 20 year sample, so pretty good sample
- 5:38size dogs in the preseason right around 53% against the spread.
- 5:44Now remember 53%, you know, you get a 53 on an algebra test in
- 5:488th grade. You're you're in trouble.
- 5:50Your parents are mad at you. You know you need a tutor. 53%
- 5:55ATS assuming -110 juice, you're actually winning sports better.
- 5:58Remember the the magic number is 52.38%.
- 6:02So 53% ATS. That means you're winning.
- 6:04That means you've turned a profit.
- 6:06The other angle aside from just, you know, it's a crapshoot.
- 6:08Volatility, unpredictability, take the dog, take the points.
- 6:12The other angle is pretty low totals like yesterday I believe
- 6:16overs went three and oh, yeah. So really, we've seen these
- 6:20totals that are low. Yeah, they all flew over.
- 6:23You know, a lot of totals here for today have dipped, except
- 6:26for Washington and New England that rose 33 1/2 up to like 36
- 6:291/2. But the point being is that you
- 6:31want to think about correlative betting.
- 6:33And we talked about a lot in baseball where if you're on a
- 6:35favorite, you want a low total 8 or less dog, high total 9 or
- 6:39more. When you're looking at a dog in
- 6:41football, you really want a low total game because the fewer
- 6:45amount of expected points scored means it's going to be a little
- 6:48bit more difficult for the favorite who's laying the points
- 6:50to cover the number. So historically, dogs have
- 6:53barked in the preseason. We have the dog low totals.
- 6:57All these games tonight are 3333 1/2, you know, 36 ish.
- 7:02And then the last angle here is taking advantage.
- 7:05And I'm not going to call these sharp plays, but I'm going to
- 7:07call them value plays because you're taking advantage of a
- 7:10line that has moved so much in One Direction.
- 7:12And the reason is, you know, this team's playing their guys.
- 7:15The other team is not like why yesterday did you see, you know,
- 7:19the line moves so big to Indy or the line moves so big to Cincy
- 7:21or Vegas? It's because they're playing a
- 7:23lot of their starters. Joe Burrow played for Cincy.
- 7:25That's why the line moved in his favor.
- 7:27But then you got to say to yourself, for example, like
- 7:30Cleveland and Carolina tonight, Carolina open this game as
- 7:35really a very short about a two point favorite, 1 1/2 point
- 7:38favorite. Now they're up to -6 1/2.
- 7:41So, yes, Caroline looks like they're going to play their
- 7:43guys. And yes, the line has moved big
- 7:45toward Carolina. But if you're laying a -, 6 1/2
- 7:48with the Panthers tonight, you're getting the worst of the
- 7:51number. So we want to take advantage of
- 7:54these inflated spots. So I'm going to play all, I'm
- 7:56going to make it easy on you all three dogs tonight.
- 7:59Cleveland, Carolina is your 7:00 game.
- 8:01As I mentioned, Carolina open -1 1/2 two.
- 8:05Now they're -6 1/2. I'm going to buy low and take
- 8:08Cleveland plus 6 1/2. You can shop around.
- 8:11A lot of books are at six. Definitely try to find the hook.
- 8:14We got to kind of reprogram, reprogram our brains to think
- 8:17about hooks and juice and what the which direction the juice is
- 8:21leaning and shop for the best price, which again, odds logic
- 8:24can really help you with. But there's a lot of Cleveland
- 8:27plus sixes out there. But there are some 6 and a
- 8:29halfs. And I did find plus 6 1/2 using
- 8:33the FanDuel Mohegan Sun sports book here in Connecticut plus 6
- 8:381/2 at -120 So again, same blueprint as last night.
- 8:42Big line moves instead of getting the worst of it with.
- 8:45And again, here's the thing, it can be confusing because you
- 8:47know, typically you want to be with the line movement, but not
- 8:50when it's moved such a ridiculous degree that we're
- 8:52chasing steam and getting the worst of it.
- 8:54So my first play, Carolina and Cleveland, I'm buying low and
- 8:57taking the Browns plus 6 1/2. Next game, Detroit in Atlanta,
- 9:03very similar sort of thing here. Detroit Lions, remember they
- 9:05played in the Hall of Fame game and got rolled.
- 9:09We're able to get our over in that one.
- 9:11But they opened a very short basically -1 -, 1 1/2 favorite.
- 9:16Now they're all the way up to -3 1/2.
- 9:18Now this isn't quite the huge move that we've seen, you know,
- 9:21in last night's games, but this would also be a buy low
- 9:24opportunity where the Lions move so much to Detroit that their
- 9:27creates value to buy low on Atlanta.
- 9:30So I'm taking Atlanta plus 3 1/2.
- 9:32And then lastly, my Patriots hosting the Washington
- 9:35Commanders. Now tonight is the unveiling of
- 9:38the Tom Brady statue. So I can tell you in New
- 9:41England, we're pretty pumped about this because, you know,
- 9:44you don't know what you got until it's gone, as the old
- 9:45phrase goes. But we've seen a massive move
- 9:48toward the Patriots because it sounds like the Pats are going
- 9:49to play a lot of their guys. Well, guess what?
- 9:52The Patriots open this game as a very short round of two point
- 9:56favorite at home. And we've now seen the Patriots
- 9:58get all the way up to -6 1/2 and you may even be able to find a 7
- 10:03out there. I forgot to mention that not
- 10:07only are dogs 53% against the spread last decade, but inflated
- 10:11line dogs in which they're getting, I believe it's either
- 10:13four or five points off the opener.
- 10:15They're close to 60% against the spread.
- 10:18So I would match obviously with both Cleveland and Washington
- 10:22tonight. Now, it doesn't technically
- 10:24match with Atlanta because that's only moved about two or 2
- 10:271/2 points there, but that would still be an inflated line dog
- 10:30opportunity. It's still profitable.
- 10:31It's close to like I think 5455% ATS, but I'm going to buy law on
- 10:36Washington here. Now.
- 10:37You might be able to find a + 7 at DraftKings -120 but I was
- 10:41able to get some reduced juice and take Washington plus 6 1/2
- 10:45at -1 O 5:00. That becomes a bit of a, you
- 10:48know, decision for you if you want to save the juice and get 6
- 10:511/2 or pay more juice and get the seven that way.
- 10:54Again, key number, you can make the case.
- 10:56You can, you know, pay a little more juice to protect yourself.
- 11:00But I'm playing all three dogs again.
- 11:02I was annoyed I couldn't get the pot out yesterday and get these
- 11:05plays out to you guys. Of course they go 3 and O, but
- 11:08I'm going to see if we can maybe eke out a two and one using the
- 11:10same exact philosophy. So inflated line dogs going with
- 11:14the Browns plus 6 1/2, the Atlanta Falcons at plus 3 1/2
- 11:20and the Washington Commanders at plus 6 1/2.
- 11:23Trying to go 2 and 1. Eke out a winning pre season
- 11:26night. Now back over to some MLB action
- 11:31because I did have a three pack of MLB sweats and let's waste no
- 11:34more time and get right down to it.
- 11:36So first one on the board for me.
- 11:38Let's go to a 6:40 PM Eastern Time.
- 11:40First pitch the red legs visiting the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- 11:44Now the Pirates come into this 150 and 66 on the year they won
- 11:48last night. Series opener, 7 to nothing.
- 11:50Skeins pitch to gem. I saw you gave up the most hits
- 11:53ever. I think seven hits but still
- 11:54shut out. Came through as a -165 home
- 11:58favorite the pitching matchup for tonight.
- 12:00In tonight's rematch, the Reds, who are 60 and 56, they're going
- 12:04to go with the ready chase Burns.
- 12:06He's oh and three with a 6.04 ER a Pirates, meanwhile, are going
- 12:10to go with the fellow ready Mitch Keller, who's 5 and 10
- 12:13with a 3.89 ER a. So what are you seeing across
- 12:17the market here? Well, the Pittsburgh Pirates
- 12:19open this game around a -. 120 home favorite Reds around a +
- 12:22100 Rd. dog and boy have we seen a big adjustment toward the Red
- 12:28legs because you've now seen the Reds go from plus 100 Rd. dog to
- 12:32around a -. 120 Rd. favorite. Some shops even as high as -125
- 12:38S. You guys know what that means.
- 12:39Dog to fave line move Reds open as a dog plus 100.
- 12:43Now they're laying -120 -. 125 S One of the classic wise guy
- 12:47moves there that I want to follow with the Reds.
- 12:50At DraftKings, the Reds are getting 62% of money line bets,
- 12:5485% of money line dollars. At Circa out in Vegas, 63% of
- 12:59bets, 99% of dollars. So a really good low bets,
- 13:03higher dollar split at both books and especially the wise
- 13:06guys in the desert at Circa. Going with the Reds now, the
- 13:10Reds would have correlative betting value as a favorite in a
- 13:13low total game total. This one is 7 1/2.
- 13:16So the fair amount of expected runs scored more likely to come
- 13:18from quote UN quote that better team.
- 13:20I'm going to bank on the Reds bats hopefully getting to
- 13:23Keller. And again, Burns is a highly
- 13:25touted rookie. He's kind of been so, so hope he
- 13:28pitches well tonight. At least the markets moving
- 13:30toward him. But the Reds do have the better
- 13:32bats overall, hitting 246 on the year, 117 home runs, 521 runs
- 13:38scored. Pirates hitting 233 only 83
- 13:42homers, 414 runs scored. And lastly, we got two righties
- 13:46on the bump. Cincinnati happens to be hitting
- 13:48254 against righties. That's the 8th best in baseball.
- 13:52Meanwhile, Pittsburgh only hitting 237 against righties,
- 13:55that ranks 26th. So you kind of have a classic
- 13:58dog to fave line move favorite off a loss bounce back spot.
- 14:01I'm going to back the back, the red legs in this one, guys.
- 14:04I got cincy -120, but shop around some books now as high as
- 14:08-125 next one for you. 7:15 PM Eastern Time, Miami Marlins at
- 14:14the Atlanta Braves. Now the Braves who are 48 and
- 14:1766, they came from behind to win last night 8 to 6 came through
- 14:21as a + 115 home dog. The rematch for tonight, the
- 14:24Marlins who are 56 and 58, they're going to go with the
- 14:27righty Edward Cabrera. He's five and five with a 3.24
- 14:31ERA. Meanwhile, the Braves are going
- 14:32to go with the fellow righty Bryce Elder.
- 14:35He's four and eight with a six point O3 ERA.
- 14:37So what have we seen across the market here?
- 14:40Well, this game opened the Marlins around a -. 115 Rd.
- 14:43favorite Atlanta a -, 105 home dog and sharps.
- 14:48They've taken a position here, gotten down hard on the fish
- 14:51steaming up Miami -115 up to around -130 Now aside from this
- 14:57big steam toward the fish, DraftKings has a pretty good bet
- 14:59split 66% of money line bets 81% of money line dollars, so low
- 15:05bets higher dollar sharp split in their favor.
- 15:08Miami would have that correlative betting favorite low
- 15:11total total. This game is 8.
- 15:12So once again, fair amount of expected run scored.
- 15:15More likely to come from quote UN quote that better team.
- 15:18Now Cabrera on a back him tonight.
- 15:20He's pitched very well this season, but in particular in his
- 15:23last 15 starts, 13 of them, he's giving up two earned runs or
- 15:27less. Meanwhile, Elder, six of his
- 15:30last eight starts, he's giving up three earned runs or more.
- 15:33So you have Elder who's gotten roughed up.
- 15:34Cabrera has pitched very well and the line is moving toward
- 15:37Cabrera and the Marlins. Hopefully the Marlins bats come
- 15:40to life. Actually had a six to two lead
- 15:42last night and blew it. But they are overall hitting
- 15:45better than Atlanta, hitting 253.
- 15:48They scored 492 runs. Braves are hitting 242.
- 15:52They scored 276 runs last 10 games.
- 15:55Miami six and four team ERA of 4.7 O Atlanta last 10-4 and six
- 16:00ERA of 5.36 and nothing huge but home Rd.
- 16:04Marlins are slightly profitable on the road 28 and 27.
- 16:07Braves haven't been great at home 27 and 29.
- 16:10So Miami blew the lead yesterday but they do have a line move
- 16:15here in a bounce back spot today.
- 16:17Hopefully better pitcher on the bump with some good, good angles
- 16:20to back the fish. So Long story short, guys, I'm
- 16:23going Miami. I got them at -130 They should
- 16:26still pretty much be available at that number across the
- 16:29market. Last bed of the night, 8:10 PM
- 16:32Eastern Time, New York Mets visiting the Milwaukee Brew
- 16:35Crew. Now the Mets come into the game
- 16:38one of the series with a 63 and 52 record, but they just got
- 16:41swept by the Guardians. They lost the series finale 4 to
- 16:441 as a -180 home favorite. Meanwhile the Brew Crew, man are
- 16:48they hot. 70 and 44 best record in baseball.
- 16:51They just swept the Braves. They won that series finale 5 to
- 16:544 as a + 110 Rd. dog pitching match up for tonight and the
- 16:59opener we got the Mets going with the ready code Senga.
- 17:02He's seven and three with a 2.31 ERA.
- 17:05Brewers, meanwhile, going with the fellow ready Brandon
- 17:07Woodruff, he's 3 and O 2.22 ERA. What do we see across the
- 17:12market? Well, the Brew Crew open this
- 17:14game as a very short -130 home favorite.
- 17:17New York A + 110 row dog and pros are saying, man, that is a
- 17:21short price to back a really good team.
- 17:23And they've hit Milwaukee and steamed up the Brew crew -130
- 17:27now up to -140. I got -140 a bet MGM some looks
- 17:31now as high as -145 look at the splits here.
- 17:34They look pretty good on the beer makers. 70% of money line
- 17:37bets 83% of money line dollars at DK and at circa 77% of bets
- 17:4390% of dollars. So both books are showing that
- 17:46notable low bets, higher dollar split in favor of the home
- 17:49chalk. Now Milwaukee has a couple
- 17:51betting systems that we like to look at.
- 17:53Correlative betting favorite low total total of 7 1/2 line moving
- 17:56toward the favorite Brew Crew and also a non division
- 17:59favorite. Lack of familiarity benefiting
- 18:02the better team who's expected to win.
- 18:04Now Milwaukee, they don't hit a million home runs, but they're
- 18:07very productive offensively. They're hitting 257.
- 18:09They've scored 570 runs, that's writing 239.
- 18:13They scored 501 runs. Look at 2 righties on the bump.
- 18:17Milwaukee's been better against. Righty's hitting 253.
- 18:20That's 9th best in baseball. New York is hitting 244.
- 18:23That ranks 21st. Brandon Woodruff, who missed a
- 18:27big portion of the year, since he's come back, the Brewers are
- 18:31five and O and the five starts that he's made, he's only given
- 18:34up 7 earned runs in 28.1 innings pitched.
- 18:37Meanwhile, Milwaukee nine and one over their last ten, hitting
- 18:41323 team ERA of 3.9 O. And then also we have the Mets
- 18:45two and eight over their last ten, hitting 2O four with a 5.25
- 18:50ERA. Lastly, Mets are losing team as
- 18:53a visitor. 25 and 31 on the road, Brewers 36 and 20 at home.
- 18:58They've done very well making beer in their backyard.
- 19:01So you had it all up here, guys. Brewers are the hottest team in
- 19:03baseball, the best team in baseball.
- 19:05Short number. They're getting steamed, and the
- 19:07Mets have really struggled here as of late.
- 19:09I'm going with this line move. I got Milwaukee -140 at Bet MGM.
- 19:14So Reds, Marlins and Brewers. And in football, Atlanta plus 3
- 19:201/2, Cleveland plus 6 1/2 and Washington plus 6 1/2.
- 19:23Let's get some winners on the diamond and on the gridiron.
- 19:27So that about does it for episode 332 of the All Systems
- 19:31Go sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 19:33Again, coming to you live from my hotel room in at Mohegan Sun
- 19:36in Connecticut. If you've never been, you got to
- 19:38stop by. And my wife actually is going to
- 19:41meet her college roommate, one of her best friends in Mystic,
- 19:44CT tonight. So that means myself and my
- 19:47brother-in-law, we're going to order some pizza, we're going to
- 19:49hang out, hang out out the book. He's not much of A better.
- 19:52He'll probably do his own thing, but it should be hopefully a
- 19:54good night here watching some of these games on the big screen.
- 19:58But anyway, guys, it's the part of the pot where we wrap things
- 20:00up. And I want to start first by
- 20:01saying thank you. Thank you for taking the time
- 20:03out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
- 20:07the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven plays with me.
- 20:10Win, lose or draw, we're grinding out there from a
- 20:12data-driven perspective and that means a lot how that we've
- 20:15created this community together. So if you want to help me grow
- 20:17the pod. You appreciate the daily
- 20:19insights. Please would you consider giving
- 20:21the podcast a five star review on Spotify or iTunes?
- 20:25Also, if you wanted to click the follow button or leave a nice
- 20:28comment or recommend the pod to a friend, I'd very much
- 20:31appreciate that as well. Now, if you enjoy the style of
- 20:35betting breakdown, data-driven, sharp contrarian betting,
- 20:37focusing on the numbers, not not our own innate biases, that's
- 20:41really what it all comes down to.
- 20:43But if you want to learn more about data-driven betting or you
- 20:45know someone who could use some data-driven tips or you just
- 20:48want to support the pod, support the team, I'd love for you guys
- 20:51to go to Amazon.com and type in the Everything Guide to Sports
- 20:55Betting. It's the first book ever wrote,
- 20:57really. It's geared toward brand new
- 20:58betters, but it can really help some newer betters and even
- 21:01intermediate betters. But it's got everything I've
- 21:03learned in the industry, how lines are set, how and why they
- 21:06move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp action, how
- 21:09to place a bet in person or online, how to shop for the best
- 21:11line, how to set up a bankroll management plan, all included in
- 21:15the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
- 21:17Now, while you're at it, while you're picking up the Everything
- 21:19guide, stay on Amazon.com and then type in the NFL Sharp
- 21:23Betting Playbook. I let off the pod by telling you
- 21:26guys, we are now just four days away.
- 21:28I'm just really starting to get excited here.
- 21:30But if you'd like to pre-order a copy, you would make me very,
- 21:32very happy. I have a lot of you, including
- 21:34my guy babyface assassin who showed me a screenshot that he
- 21:37bought the book. Thank you guys.
- 21:39It really, really does mean a lot.
- 21:40And if you want to bring the everything guide or as well,
- 21:44bring the NFL sharp Betting playbook to the sports book.
- 21:47Bring them to Mohegan Sun tonight.
- 21:48I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you BA and we'll sweat
- 21:51some games together next. Have you downloaded Rhythm and
- 21:54Juice Real yet? My two favorite sports betting
- 21:56apps, Rhythm. Fantastic job powering this pod,
- 22:00giving us AI backed models and predictions for game bets and
- 22:03player props obviously for baseball and WNBA.
- 22:06By the way, I'm at Mohegan Sun and this is where the
- 22:08Connecticut Sun, the WNBA team is.
- 22:11I got to see if they're home or not because we're going to be
- 22:12here actually leaving Monday morning.
- 22:15So we will catch a game. Who knows you got to check the
- 22:17schedule but anyway also we're going to have NFL and college
- 22:22football player props and game models coming up soon here with
- 22:27the rhythm app. I am gonna have an announcement
- 22:29pretty exciting 1 I believe starting next week.
- 22:31I'm just waiting to put the finishing touches on it, but
- 22:34then also Juice Real. Juice Real is another great
- 22:36sports betting app you gotta download if we want to support
- 22:39the pod. This is when I'm going to pass
- 22:41the tip jar. Go tip your podcast host, drop
- 22:43in a $5.00 bill, Sign up to get the all systems go best Bet
- 22:47picks exclusively and only from the Juice Real app.
- 22:51And I got to make sure I'm synced up to Connecticut to make
- 22:53sure those plays get out here for today.
- 22:55If not, I'll drive across the border to Massachusetts and get
- 22:58them set up. But anyway, for $4.99 a week,
- 23:01you're going to get every all systems go best bet pick.
- 23:03You're going to make me happy and my buddy Ricky Gold, who
- 23:06runs Juice Real happy, but it's also gonna give you the Robo
- 23:09Jackson best bet picks. The AI generated plays each day
- 23:13as well as the sharp motion indicators.
- 23:15The arbitrage plays the shop for the best line features sync up
- 23:18your books, all available, and you get a running report card
- 23:21when you download Juice Rail. So download Rhythm and download
- 23:24Juice Rail. You'll be off and running adding
- 23:26those two great data-driven tools to your toolkit.
- 23:30Lastly, do you have a live odds page?
- 23:32You need a live odds page. I can't stress it enough.
- 23:35You got to know what a line open that how it's moved.
- 23:38Shop for the best price across the market.
- 23:40Find the book giving the best odds.
- 23:42Identify Steam pull up line history, live scoring, live in
- 23:45game wagering odds all available when you give a shot to the odds
- 23:49logic live odds page. So there's a lot of live odds
- 23:52pages out there. Some are pretty good, but
- 23:55they're very expensive. Others are cheap or free, but
- 23:58they don't give you any good information and you don't get
- 24:00any good, good books to follow and they're delayed.
- 24:03They're not in real time and you can't identify steam.
- 24:06I was talking to Patrick about the importance about my buddy
- 24:08Patrick Maher last night on VSON Live tonight about the
- 24:11importance of Pinnacle, who was really the biggest global
- 24:14offshore book and they're the first to market 1st to move and
- 24:18odds logic has Pinnacle. You can't find Pinnacle not
- 24:21pretty much anywhere anymore, but Odds Logic will give you
- 24:23that book, which is really, even though you don't bet it,
- 24:25Pinnacle when you know when they're going to move, the rest
- 24:27of the markets about to move. So it's kind of a weather vane
- 24:30in a way to help you get a good price before it moves too much.
- 24:34But anyway, guys, I'd love for you to test out Odds Logic with
- 24:37a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first month.
- 24:39Just go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
- 24:45Again, oddslogic.com/josh 123. So that about does it for
- 24:50episode 332 of the ASG Pod coming to you live from Mohegan
- 24:54Sun. As always, guys, leave you with
- 24:56two final thoughts. Whether I see you at the Borgata
- 24:58in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the man, I got
- 25:03screwed up here because I'm in Mohegan Sun.
- 25:06You can find me there. Or of course, the Nash in
- 25:09Nashville, New Hampshire, out in the desert where the true
- 25:10grinders get down. Or Billy Walters sends his
- 25:13number runners where the lowest choose possible is found at the
- 25:15South Point. Or sweat and sharp and terrain
- 25:17plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool when he cashed a
- 25:19big ticket at Circa. Hopefully I'm going to bump
- 25:22India with a beer in hand tonight at Mohegan Sun Sports
- 25:24Book and hopefully catch some of these baseball and NFL dogs here
- 25:28for tonight. First one will be on me, next
- 25:31one's on you. Then we'll post up, sweat some
- 25:33games together. As always, guys coming off a
- 25:35great night, a terrible night, a three and O&O and 3A2 and 1A1
- 25:38and two. There's going to be ups and
- 25:40downs. Sports betting is difficult.
- 25:41Never get down on yourself when things aren't going your way.
- 25:44Stick to the model, stick to the blueprint.
- 25:46If we can find games that fit our model against the public,
- 25:50with the house, with the pros, flat bat, avoid parlays and get
- 25:53that CLV. If we can do that, we're going
- 25:55to be successful sports bettors. So have a great Friday,
- 25:58everybody, enjoy your weekend. I will be posting plays and
- 26:02writing the Sharp report for visa.com, so you can check it
- 26:04out there. And then we'll be back at it on
- 26:06Monday, which at that point will just be one day away.
- 26:09I can't believe it from the NFL Sharp betting playbook going
- 26:12live. But I'll see you guys then for
- 26:14episode 333 on Monday of the All Systems Go Sports Betting
- 26:19podcast powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
- 26:22great Friday and an even better weekend.