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3 Things You Probably Don't Realize About The 12-Team College Football Playoff · Buckeyes TomOrrow Morning

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Welcome to Buckeyes tomorrow morning. From Monday, June sixteenth, I'm your host,
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Tom Moore. The Akron game in seventy five days, the game against
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Michigan in one hundred and sixty six days. With it being June sixteenth,
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we are officially now in late June. Just trust me on this. We're
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going to round up June sixteenth basically rounds up to June thirtieth, which is
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basically July, which is conference media day's time, and then fall camp time,
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and then the season's almost here. So with the season being almost here,
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felt like a good time to run through this year's college football playoff format.
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Twelve teams this year, not just for any very different schedule, very
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different format, and some very different rules this year that I think maybe have
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not gotten as much attention as they deserve, and some stuff that I think
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in about three or four months, the people who are not real college football
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sicos are going to go, wait, they're doing it? What? What?
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Why would that team get the what that doesn't make any sense? Well,
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you're going to have a little bit of a head start on all of
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that. We're going to run through the predictions from one of the national outlets
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and we'll put those in, plug those into the college football playoff schedule and
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run through what that might look like. So we're gonna be doing that with
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our buddy Toty Gurnament if Buckyhuddle dot com Tony. This is the time of
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year. It is college football magazine season. We've gotten, we talked,
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we did a show on the first one on Buckeye Weekly a couple weeks ago.
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You just got an advanced digital copy of another one. It is the
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most wonderful time of the year. Mary Steele, miss everybody. Yes,
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the Phil Steel Phil Steel Digital magazine out to to the VIP purchasers and just
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coming off the printing press late last week and should be out to uh check
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your mailboxes this week again for your Phil Steel magazine. But yes, always
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uh something you look forward to every year. It is here and then you
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just pour through it and whether you disagree or you don't, it's just nice
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to have in your hands again, even even in the tablet version that I
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have now. Yeah, it is always a welcome sign that the season is
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just getting a little bit closer. This year's rankings, you were running through
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them with me and I went, oh boy, that's not how I would
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necessarily have it. But we're gonna use Phils. We're gonna use phills rankings
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for the teams. How he's got them stacked up in his powerpole. Let
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me this. This is how he views how he expects things to go,
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sorry, how he expects things to go. Yes, sorry, so's how
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he's expecting things to go. You know, we'll see how the College Football
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Playoff Committee adjust things, tweaks things to you know, we've got some rematches
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going here. I'm not sure this is exactly how it'll look when all is
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said and done, but this is just going to be a you know,
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for for illustrative purposes only. We're going to run through here. So here's
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here's the rankings that he has number one, Georgia number two, Ohio State
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number three, Oregon number four, Texas number five, Penn State number six,
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Notre Dame number seven, Alabama number eight, Utah at number nine,
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Michigan number ten, Miami number eleven, Iowa, Yes, Iowa, and
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then Boise State is the top non power conference team in his ranking. So
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now here's you know, there's there's probably some things in there that you might
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have arched an ibrow at but you know, nothing crazy. However, here's
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where I wanted to kind of get into some of the details on this,
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because I don't know that people have really thought through the fact that it's the
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top four conference champions, not necessarily power conference champions. Theoretically, Boise State
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could get a top four bid, but the top four conference champions get the
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top four seeds in the tournament. In the College Football Playoff this year,
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they get a first round by So when you reseed things based off of those
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rankings, you get number one Georgia sure, number two Ohio State okay,
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number three, wait for it, Big twelve champion Utah okay, number four
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ACC champion Miami Tony. The phrase ACC champion Miami jarring enough, number four
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even more surprising there, But yes, Utah and Miami would then be seated
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ahead of number five seed Oregon, number six seed Texas, number seven seed,
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En State, number eight seed Notre Dame, number nine seed Alabama,
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number ten seed, Michigan, number eleven seed Iowa, number twelve, Boise
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State, Tony, which one to you is more visually jarring five Big ten
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teams in the top eleven or number three Utah and number four, Miami having
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first round buys. Yeah, I mean all of that because when you figure
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in Miami and these rankings are ten, and yet in the CFP they're going
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to be four. I think that's one of the things that people have not
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yet figured like, yeah, well, you know, they'll just be you
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know, maybe you're the top five teams will be where the conference championships,
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conference champions come from. And it's like, yeah, with the lack of
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I guess distance between what is the what are the best teams in the ACC
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and what are the really good teams in the ACC? And the same with
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the Big twelve, Like I think there's a lot of congestion in there.
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So there's going to be two lost too, maybe two lost, three loss
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teams winning a conference championship, and it's they're gonna be jumping everybody and going
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almost to the front of the line. And then you know, say Oregon
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or Ohio State, their only loss is to each other, to the other
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team, and that team, whoever loses, is going to fall back behind.
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Say a three loss Miami. Do you think tom Ohio State fans are
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going to take that? Well, you know, sure they'll get a home
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game in the playoffs. But to see the nine and ten and three Miami
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Hurricanes, or even better, the nine and four Miami Hurricanes going to to
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you know, to the front of the line and getting that four seed in
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and Ohio State dropping back at being on perhaps the five seed. Do you
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think that would be taken in stride? I think it will go over extremely
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well with whoever is the five seed, because again, I think there are
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a lot of people who are going to figure this out in about late November
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and then go, what what Why would you do it that way? That's
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incredibly stupid. Uh, don't worry, We're already way ahead of you.
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This is incredibly stupid. I do think there is going to be a surprising
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benefit. Yes, you have to play an extra extra game, but a
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surprising benefit to being the five seed where you're going to play a non power
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team in the first round at home, and generally, you know, generally
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just the non power teams have just not had the depth to stay with the
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high level power five teams. So you're probably favored by seventeen twenty points something
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like that in that first game against like a Boise State at home, and
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then your second game is against Miami at a neutral site that that feels like,
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that feels like you're get you're gonna get to. If you're the five
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seed, you are very very likely to get to the semi finals of the
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College Football Playoff every bit as much so as if you are the two seed
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or the one seed. You the first game, you are very very likely
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to win. Sure you want to buy, but that's a very winnable first
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game, it's a very winnable second game, and then you go from there.
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So just as a reminder, just since we're all trying to figure this
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out together, first round games, so this is going to be seeds five
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through twelve. They play the first round games on campus Friday, December twentieth.
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There's gonna be one game in the evening Saturday, December twenty. First,
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there's gonna be three games from the early afternoon, late afternoon, and
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then evening time slots. The first and last games are going to be on
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ESPN. The second and third games are going to be on t NT or
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TBS. I don't remember which one, but those are going to be think
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it's TNT because I believe they know drama. That is going to be the
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games in this scenario, would be Boise State at Oregon, Iowa at Notre
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Dame, Michigan at Penn State, and Alabama at my chef Notre Dame in
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there twice, that can't be right, So that would be Iowa at Texas.
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Sorry, Iowa at Texas. So that's that's where that would happen.
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You know, we can project where where these games would probably slide. I'm
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going to guess the Boise State at Oregon game would be the Friday night game,
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and then Michigan Penn State at noon, Bama Notre Dame at three point
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thirty in Iowa at Texas in primetime probably, but you know, we'll see.
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And you know, this is one tony where I doubt that you're going
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to have Boise State at Oregon would be a regular season rematch. Michigan and
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Penn State don't play in the regular season, so it's not a rematch.
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But you're probably you're probably going to try to avoid conference versus conference kind of
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games, although with five Big ten teams in here, it would be pretty
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hard to pretty hard to do. Well. Yeah, if you've got that
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many in there, and I've seen other projections with you know, five SCC
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teams and you can only key avoid them, keep them away from each other
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for so long. But you would think they would try to not have conference
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matchups in the first round. They're going to tell you that we don't look
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at conferences when we rank these teams, because that's what the committee always says.
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We don't look at conferences. We only look at the individual teams.
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Then we rank those teams. But you know, I do find it a
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little sad that you've already put a Michigan at Penn State in the playoffs at
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noon so that they cannot get a wide out. Tom are you are you
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secretly working for Fox by any chance? Are you you Fox Home? Or
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you you think every big game at Penn State needs to be played at noon?
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You make me sick. Put the Texas game at noon. They're used
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to playing their biggest game at noon every year against Oklahoma. Like they're used
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to that. Put at eleven o'clock local. Let Penn State fans please,
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can they not have a wide out for once? I have to tell you,
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I think that the Iowa Texas game, just time, time zone wise,
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would make sense in primetime. I think about it. They're probably not
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putting that at noon it probably is Michigan Penn State at noon, Iowa Texas
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at three thirty, and then Bama at Notre Dame. You want the Alabama
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eyeballs, you want the Notre Dame eyeballs. That's your primetime game. I
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don't. I can't even believe I didn't. I hadn't thought this there before
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I said it the last time. That's absolutely your primetime game. So that's
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December twentieth and twenty first, So that's your first round games. Those are
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on campus sites, so at Oregon, at Texas, at Penn State at
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Notre Dame. In this example, you were Tony, if there's only one
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SEC team playing a home game that that first round, I would I would
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be pretty surprised. I was going to say something about eating my hat or
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walking somewhere, but I've seen that go poorly for people, so I will
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just say I would be pretty surprised if that happened. Now on to the
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quarterfinals. This is December thirty first and January first. December thirty first,
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the first quarter final. It's just like the first round. There's one game
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on the night before and then three games on the afternoon or during the during
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the day on the following day. So December thirty, first Fiesta Bowl in
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the evening, so yes, you will have a New Year's Eve watching the
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college football playoff yet again. And then January first, New Year's Day,
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Peach Bowl in the early afternoon, Rose Bowl, late afternoon, Sugar Bowl
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in the evening. I don't think they've announced that there's not conference tie ins
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with these bowls anymore. They have not really said are they going to try
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and maintain some of those historical tie ins. I would assume Tony that you
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know Fiesta Bowl, if you've got if your your teams that are kind of
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the the ones who there, you know, they they know that these four
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teams are going to be in the playoff. They know they're going to be
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in these games. Georgia, Ohio State, Utah, Miami Fiesta Bowl.
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That feels like that's the Utah game. You put Utah against the winner of
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Iowa Texas. So probably Utah Texas in the Fiesta Bowl on New Year's Eve,
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Chick fil A Peach Bowl. I probably don't need to tell you who
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is probably going to get to play about an hour from their home campus.
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Why it's the Georgia Bulldogs. Look at that. Wait, wait till we
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get two games in the future and you get to see where Georgia gets to
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play Georgia versus the winner of Alabama Notre Dame in the Peach Bowl in the
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early afternoon Rose Bowl game late afternoon. This is where this is where it's
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interesting to me because Ohio State geographically might prefer to play in the Sugar Bowl,
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and the TV network might prefer to have Ohio State in primetime maybe,
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but you've also the Rose Bowl, the tradition there Ohio State. You could
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potentially, Tony in this scenario have an Ohio State Michigan Rose Bowl or an
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Ohio State Penn State Rose Bowl. I'm not expecting that to be how it
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lines up, but boy, would Ohio State Michigan in the Rose Bowl would
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be one of the weirdest. Like this is deeply college football traditional and also
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so extremely weird. I don't know how people would handle it well. And
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as I've said about this potential matchup before, do it like they do.
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If you see in UCLA both home jerseys in the Rose Ball, that has
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to be the way that you have it and go from there. But when
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when we talk about the committee trying to steer conference teams away, like do
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they want Michigan and Penn State playing in that first round? I also wonder
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how quickly, like do you the sooner that say Ohio State and Michigan can
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play in the playoffs, the better and the the the more likely it is
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to happen, Like you if you're trying to well, we'll just wait to
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try to steer it so that they can meet in the finals. It's like,
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well, there's a lot that could happen between that, you know now,
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and then if you have it in the you know, the second round
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or third round or whatever, there's there's a better chance of happening. So
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I do wonder if there's not manipulation, but you know, being okay with
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it happening that early or earlier rather than trying to save it for the final
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four, the final game. But Michigan or High State in the rose Ball,
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I mean that's I mean that there's so much college football. I don't
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know if you can consume too much college football and get the college football diabetes.
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But if you could, that is what you know, you'd go to
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the doctor and they'd be like, were you at the Rose Bowl watching Ohio
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State in Michigan because you have college football diabetes and you're like, was I
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not supposed to do that? Did I have too much college football? Was
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that too much? We just talked about eating forty donuts and a sitting on
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a previous show. That feels like the college football version of eating forty donuts.
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And you know the other piece of this is Georgia in the Peach Bowl
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early afternoon. A TV network is going to go in nuts with Georgia versus
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Notre Dame or Georgia versus Alabama being a what noon kick one o'clock kick on
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New Year's Day? That is that is a huge, huge audience magnet.
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But there's no way they're not having Georgia play in the Peach Bowl unless they
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put them in the Sugar Bowl. They could think conceivably, I guess put
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them in the Sugar Bowl, maintain that traditional SEC tie in. But you
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know, so you've got however they sort this out, I'm going to guess
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Utah and the Texas IOWA winner in the Beesta Bowl on New Year's Eve,
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Georgia versus Notre Dame or BAMA winner and the Peach Bowl early New Year's afternoon
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Ohio State versus the Michigan Penn State winner in the early evening or in the
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late afternoon, and then the Sugar Bowl being Miami versus the Boise State Oregon
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winner in the evening of New Year's Day, and then you get the semi
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finals, and the semi finals is let's just say Georgia versus Let's say Georgia
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versus Oregon, because I think that's probably the reality of the situation. And
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Ohio State versus probably the Notre Dame Alabama winner probably if you know, if
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you're assuming that Utah and and Miami both lose, you know, Georgia,
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and that would be on the Thursday, January ninth in the Orange Bowl and
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Friday January tenth in the Cotton Ball. These are back to back days.
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I'm going to once again guess Tony Georgia will get the Orange Bowl game.
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They just played in the Orange Bowl last year. It's closer to home as
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the top seed. If anyone gets a choice, they would get the choice.
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It would also give them an extra day to prepare for the National Championship
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Game, which I'm sure they would probably prefer. Friday, January tenth Cotton
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Bowl, So we would have both potentially Georgia and Ohio State going back to
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the bowl games they played in last year Friday, January tenth, that night,
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you'd have Ohio State versus Utah or Notre Dame or Utah or probably Texas.
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I'm gonna guess. So yeah, let's say Ohio State Texas in the
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Cotton Bowl and Georgia Oregon in the Orange Bowl. Not the friendliest route to
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not the friendliest route to the final for Ohio State potentially there, but then
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Tony it gets worse for Ohio State there Monday, January twentieth National Championship game,
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the two top projected teams Ohio State, Georgia, Tony. You'll never
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guess where they're playing the National Championship this year. It's Atlanta, tom am,
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I right, it is Atlanta. Yes, Georgia could potentially have a
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road to the College Football Playoff that is Atlanta, Miami Atlanta or Atlanta at
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New Orleans Atlanta, where Ohio State could have to go potentially Pasadena, Texas
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against a Texas team potentially, and then Georgia against the Georgia team. That's
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you know, I mean, you got to win. You gotta win the
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games, it doesn't matter, you know, you team teams win on the
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road all the time, but that is that is potentially a rough, a
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rough pathway there. Had not looked at that until just now. It's like,
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oh boy, that is not the friendliest, not the friendliest schedule.
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No, and kind of furthers my thought that you know, people are talking
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about this as Natty or Bush for Ohio State, and this is people outside
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of Ohio State's realm, like the national people are saying, you know,
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if they don't win it this year, you know, it's never going to
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happen. And meanwhile, they're in every ranking, they're like number two.
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Georgia is the favorite at number one, and you don't even factor in like
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you're supposed to. You're supposed to win it all by beating Texas in the
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cotton Ball and beating Georgia in Georgia Like these are very difficult things to do.
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They don't just happen. And so you know, Ohio State is not
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the shoe in that people are saying they should be, even though they're not
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putting them number one when they put their own rankings out. But yeah,
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if you uh, you know, get Texas, that would that is a
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huge place Jerry World. And you know Ohio State fans travel, They travel
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like crazy. That is going to be a very very difficult ticket for Buckeye
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fans, and the allotment that Ohio State gets will go immediately. And you
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know, I don't Texas fans are gonna tom As. We know everybody in
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Texas has oil money, and so they're gonna use that oil money to get
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tickets and probably hold onto those tickets. I think that's Texas, A and
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m everyone has oil money. Texas is everyone has I don't know insurance money
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or banking money or something like that, but yes, either way, Yeah,
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this is you're looking at. I mean, if the expectation for people
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is Ohio State's going to go sixteen to oh they would have to win at
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Oregon at Penn State home, against Michigan, against probably Oregon again at a
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neutral site in Indy maybe, and then beat in this case Michigan or Penn
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State in a neutral site at the Rose Bowl, then beat Texas in Texas,
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then beat Georgia in Georgia. That's when I say, Tony, don't
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ever predict a team to go undefeated in any given season. This is what
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I'm talking about there's that would be a lot, but you know someone's gonna
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do it this year. We will see. But yeah, that is just
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wanted to run through that for you with just some real names and real numbers
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in there, just to kind of give you a sense for what to expect
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this year. Well, I may do this again with another set of ranking
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because I think you may end up with some more interesting first round matchups if
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you've got a few more comp teams from different conferences and you don't have the
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U don't have the rematches and all that kind of stuf. We will,
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Uh, we don't worry. We got plenty more shows between now and the
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start of the season to run through all of this stuff. But I wanted
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to just give you that little exercise. I think there was a lot too,
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a lot to learn there in terms of how this is all going to
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work, what this is going to look like, and uh, you know
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how much how much travel everyone might get to do in the months of December
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and January. I can't wait. Personally, it is gonna be a lot
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of fun to see some of these matchups and see you'll see some of these
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teams that haven't played or haven't played in a long time, or haven't played
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on campus sites. That is going to be really fantastic. Really looking forward
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to that, really looking forward to the start of the season. We're looking
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forward to seeing you guys at Bucky Huddle dot com. It's where Tony,
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Kevin and I cover the team, Mark covers recruiting. Were our whole team
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of Ex's nose Guruz making you a smarter football fan. It's a really fun
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and active community on the huddle board, presented by Jeffruby Steakhouse. That's all
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at Buckey huddle dot com. We hope to see you there. That'll do
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it for today. Thank you guys all for joining us. Have a great
20:49
day. We'll talk to you tomorrow.