Latest / Foul Territory / Did the Mariners make the right manager hire? Award finalists announced, MLB’s latest labor proposal…
Transcript
- 0:03Speaker 1: I can't believe that you guys let me get away
- 0:07Speaker 1: with yesterday's show going two hours and not mentioning one
- 0:11Speaker 1: of the option moves that occurred. It's a theme that
- 0:14Speaker 1: we've talked about over the last few years. And we've
- 0:17Speaker 1: been befuddled sometimes by the interest and the option getting
- 0:23Speaker 1: picked up. Yes, there was a bright season about a
- 0:26Speaker 1: half a decade ago. The player's fun when he's in
- 0:29Speaker 1: his prime and he's thriving and he's healthy, but it's
- 0:32Speaker 1: happened for five minutes in his career. It's no offense
- 0:34Speaker 1: to him, but Luis Robert has had a massively disappointing
- 0:37Speaker 1: career and made a lot of money. The Baltimore Orioles
- 0:40Speaker 1: traded for him. He played, I don't even know it
- 0:43Speaker 1: was five minutes. It might've been three minutes if we're
- 0:45Speaker 1: counting minutes as games and they declined his option. So
- 0:49Speaker 1: he gets 2 million bucks. He hits free agency. He's
- 0:51Speaker 1: going to sign with the team. I'm not saying that
- 0:52Speaker 1: he doesn't deserve to be in the major leagues. It's
- 0:54Speaker 1: just that AJ for years, he's looked at as a
- 0:57Speaker 1: $ 20 million player and he just was not.
- 1:00Speaker 2: Well, it's hard to justify anybody being any kind of
- 1:02Speaker 2: player when they can't get on the field. Sorry. If
- 1:06Speaker 2: you can't play, you're not worth anything. I mean, yeah,
- 1:10Speaker 2: he's ultra talented, but I can find you a million
- 1:12Speaker 2: ultra talented guys that can't play. So yeah, if you
- 1:15Speaker 2: can't play, it doesn't matter what your talent level is,
- 1:18Speaker 2: but excuse me. Yeah. I mean, the Orioles traded for him.
- 1:25Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know what they gave up for him,
- 1:27Speaker 2: but they had to give up something for him, and
- 1:29Speaker 2: I think they thought they'd maybe be able to fix him. But, hey,
- 1:32Speaker 2: like many of the Orioles' prospects, they are now no
- 1:35Speaker 2: longer Baltimore Orioles, and they maybe should have traded some
- 1:38Speaker 2: of these guys a while ago, like we've also discussed.
- 1:41Speaker 2: But what do we know?
- 1:42Speaker 1: Yeah, right. I mean, playing to that, Kratz, Heston, Kerstad,
- 1:47Speaker 1: free agent, DFA cleared waivers, second overall pick in 2020,
- 1:51Speaker 1: often disqualified. involved in trade conversations where you'd at least
- 1:57Speaker 1: see reports that he was a big guy in the
- 1:59Speaker 1: ask and they held tight and he didn't develop.
- 2:05Speaker 3: It's tough it's tough it's not look there's plenty of
- 2:09Speaker 3: people that don't i'm just trying to look up his
- 2:11Speaker 3: stats here there's plenty of people that don't necessarily live
- 2:15Speaker 3: up to the hype which is exactly why from i
- 2:20Speaker 3: don't know like December 1st to January 30th, we're like, hey,
- 2:27Speaker 3: this prospect, all that's good. But, man, if you could
- 2:29Speaker 3: upgrade with this player or this pitcher, it would really
- 2:33Speaker 3: finish your team off. Credit to the Orioles. They got
- 2:36Speaker 3: Corbin Burns. And then at the trade deadline, we do
- 2:38Speaker 3: the same thing. And you know what? You get something
- 2:42Speaker 3: for the guys that you can get something for when
- 2:44Speaker 3: the opportunity for your big league team is to strike.
- 2:49Speaker 1: Yep. Well, the Orioles sold at the deadline. Then they
- 2:54Speaker 1: added Robert later. I think they thought they.
- 3:00Speaker 2: Could fix him. I think they thought they could fix him.
- 3:03Speaker 2: And I think that they were like, oh, we'll take
- 3:04Speaker 2: a shot. If we can figure him out and we
- 3:06Speaker 2: can get him to play, well, we'll pick up his
- 3:08Speaker 2: option or it's worth $ 2 million. Instead, they were like, yeah,
- 3:11Speaker 2: we figured out like every other team. We'll just give
- 3:13Speaker 2: you the $ 2 million.
- 3:15Speaker 1: I just remember last year. There was a Mets report,
- 3:20Speaker 1: I think from Steve Gelbs on the broadcast. He does
- 3:22Speaker 1: a great job that went really in detail. And I
- 3:25Speaker 1: sent it to you guys. It was like this elaborate plan.
- 3:28Speaker 1: And sure, you're going to try that. But the way
- 3:31Speaker 1: it sounded was almost like we know how to fix this.
- 3:36Speaker 1: It was so detailed, like. off on Tuesdays and then Thursday. Like,
- 3:40Speaker 1: it was so detailed. And I know teams have plans
- 3:42Speaker 1: for everyone, but this was like an above and beyond plan,
- 3:45Speaker 1: and that's why it was reported on. And then five
- 3:47Speaker 1: minutes later, he got hurt. Some guys just can't stay
- 3:49Speaker 1: on the field, period.
- 3:53Speaker 2: It happens.
- 3:55Speaker 3: I'm not going to comment on injuries and hurting, but, like,
- 4:03Speaker 3: it's hard to have a lot of injuries in a
- 4:05Speaker 3: row when you're putting everything you have into it.
- 4:08Speaker 2: Pain? There's a lot of pain. But again, I'm not
- 4:12Speaker 2: going to go deeper into that.
- 4:15Speaker 3: He'll find another job because there's talent there and he's
- 4:17Speaker 3: going to get whatever it is. But you can't, if
- 4:20Speaker 3: a guy's only going to get 300 at-bats, you can't
- 4:22Speaker 3: like mix and match your entire roster around him. He
- 4:26Speaker 3: needs to step up and he could make millions and
- 4:30Speaker 3: millions of dollars if he.
- 4:31Speaker 2: Stays on the field. Yeah.
- 4:35Speaker 1: Oh, yeah, here it was. Two types of off days. Yeah,
- 4:40Speaker 1: maybe we'll post it somewhere so that people can see
- 4:43Speaker 1: the tweet I was talking about with the specific plan.
- 4:46Speaker 1: And again, this isn't on him. I get it. Some
- 4:48Speaker 1: guys just can't stay on the field, but just the
- 4:50Speaker 1: way that teams were valuing him for a while. So
- 4:53Speaker 1: I'm not trying to just crap on the player all day,
- 4:55Speaker 1: but he's been a disappointment. All right, let's get to
- 4:58Speaker 1: some news.
- 5:00Speaker 2: He's charging the mound.
- 5:03Speaker 1: Jason Kanzler is the name. The Mariners hire him to
- 5:06Speaker 1: be their manager. They spoke to a number of people,
- 5:09Speaker 1: and then they ended up coming up with Joe Espada
- 5:11Speaker 1: versus Jason Kanzler. Kanzler gets the job. Player development director
- 5:16Speaker 1: with the Cubs. Spent a good amount of time with
- 5:18Speaker 1: the Astros before that. And with the Astros, he was
- 5:23Speaker 1: a minor league hitting coach, hitting coordinator, coach on the
- 5:26Speaker 1: big league staff. So he has coaching experience. No manager experience,
- 5:29Speaker 1: just like Scott Service. And just like Dan Wilson, who
- 5:34Speaker 1: obviously was a highly regarded player in the Mariners organization
- 5:38Speaker 1: for a while, but more of a unique path higher.
- 5:41Speaker 1: This was traditional versus non-traditional, and they went that route. AJ,
- 5:44Speaker 1: what do you think? Wow.
- 5:51Speaker 2: Yeah, cool. I mean, I'm just reading his bio. I'm like, okay,
- 5:56Speaker 2: so he was teaching high school in physics in 2014.
- 6:03Speaker 2: Played college baseball, University of Buffalo. The M's were due
- 6:08Speaker 2: to his intelligence, creativity, and intensity. Okay. What about experience
- 6:16Speaker 2: and being able to talk to players about experiences? I mean,
- 6:20Speaker 2: you know what this is? They said they were going
- 6:22Speaker 2: completely the opposite way. The last two guys they had
- 6:24Speaker 2: were players. They were players, and they probably had their
- 6:27Speaker 2: own ideas. And Jason Kanzler will do any analytical thing
- 6:31Speaker 2: that Jerry DiPoto wants. And I think that's what he
- 6:34Speaker 2: got here. We'll see how it goes. But I thought
- 6:36Speaker 2: for a team that's ready to win and supposed to
- 6:39Speaker 2: be ready to win, you should hire a guy that's
- 6:41Speaker 2: ready to win, not a guy that needs to learn
- 6:42Speaker 2: on the job.
- 6:43Speaker 1: Sorry.
- 6:43Speaker 2: I don't know Jason Kanzler from Adam. He might be
- 6:46Speaker 2: the nicest guy. He might be the greatest manager of
- 6:48Speaker 2: all time. But for a team usually that's ready to
- 6:50Speaker 2: contend and to win like the Mariners are supposed to be,
- 6:52Speaker 2: usually hire a guy with experience because he's been through
- 6:55Speaker 2: the learning curve And he's been through the mistakes, as
- 6:58Speaker 2: Joe Maddon so eloquently said it on our show. He
- 7:00Speaker 2: might work out greatly. All I know is the Bears
- 7:04Speaker 2: beat the crap out of the Seahawks last night, 34-17.
- 7:08Speaker 2: So bear down, Seattle. That was a great game for you,
- 7:11Speaker 2: by the way. Because you were going to win no
- 7:13Speaker 2: matter what. I love that for you. That was like
- 7:15Speaker 2: the greatest hedge game. But my thing is, Jason Kanzler
- 7:22Speaker 2: was part of, I talked to somebody this morning that
- 7:26Speaker 2: was also part of that managerial search. And the questions
- 7:31Speaker 2: they were asking, the route that they were going, they
- 7:35Speaker 2: clearly wanted to cast a wide net that was going
- 7:40Speaker 2: to give them so many different points of view.
- 7:44Speaker 3: But they were leaning towards this higher because of what
- 7:50Speaker 3: the intangible things that the last managers didn't have. Like
- 7:55Speaker 3: AJ said, like the things that, you know, experience in
- 8:00Speaker 3: different ways of developing players, experience in different ways of
- 8:03Speaker 3: all things that I'm like, that's awesome. For the Nats,
- 8:09Speaker 3: the Mariners, like you need somebody who's able to get
- 8:12Speaker 3: Julio Rodriguez to hit in April. How is that? And
- 8:17Speaker 3: maybe the first two managers, they couldn't do it. So
- 8:19Speaker 3: maybe this is the route. It's not the route that
- 8:22Speaker 3: I would have gone. It doesn't mean it's the right
- 8:25Speaker 3: route or the wrong route.
- 8:28Speaker 1: Yeah. I'm going to play a little game with you guys,
- 8:30Speaker 1: a little both sides game. So I like to try
- 8:32Speaker 1: and present what the one side is thinking. Clearly, Jerry
- 8:36Speaker 1: DePoto is picking managers that don't have prior manager experience,
- 8:42Speaker 1: and that's been a thing for him, or in some
- 8:44Speaker 1: cases not a ton of coaching experience or big league
- 8:46Speaker 1: coaching experience, all of that. They don't feel like their
- 8:49Speaker 1: players have improved enough at the big league level. And
- 8:52Speaker 1: they felt like that was one of the separators because
- 8:55Speaker 1: this person directly comes from player development. Okay. So I'm
- 8:58Speaker 1: just giving you that side of the equation. And hey,
- 9:00Speaker 1: we had, for example, the Nats hire just now was
- 9:03Speaker 1: unique and they had a pretty good season in terms
- 9:05Speaker 1: of developing. That team's in a very different place right now, though.
- 9:07Speaker 1: That's a total rebuild team. Okay. Now the other side
- 9:10Speaker 1: of the coin. Ready, AJ? I'm just going to name
- 9:13Speaker 1: the past like 10 World Series winning managers. Pat Murphy.
- 9:18Speaker 1: Dave Roberts, Bruce Bochy, Dusty Baker, Brian Snicker. I'm not
- 9:24Speaker 1: going to repeat names because Doc 1 and 20. Dave Martinez,
- 9:27Speaker 1: Alex Cora, AJ Hinch, Joe Madden, Ned Yost. I'll stop there.
- 9:31Speaker 1: We went back to 2015. How many guys didn't have
- 9:37Speaker 1: a ton of experience? They didn't all have direct manager
- 9:40Speaker 1: experience right off the jump. I mean, obviously, Hinch, it
- 9:42Speaker 1: was his second time through. Most of them have been– No, most–
- 9:47Speaker 1: I'm just saying coaches for a.
- 9:49Speaker 2: Long time or had already been fired from their job
- 9:51Speaker 2: once or twice. And this was their second go-around. Yes.
- 9:56Speaker 1: I'm just trying to prevent someone saying, oh, Dave Martinez
- 9:59Speaker 1: wasn't a manager before that.
- 10:01Speaker 2: No, he was Joe Maddon's bench coach for like 10 years.
- 10:05Speaker 1: For life. Exactly. So how did I do? How was
- 10:09Speaker 1: that list? Is the industry proving that you don't need
- 10:12Speaker 1: someone that has done this for a long time?
- 10:16Speaker 2: They don't care, Scott. They think that their formulas can
- 10:20Speaker 2: figure it out. I mean, am I wrong, Kratz? I mean,
- 10:24Speaker 2: they think that their formulas can make whoever they want.
- 10:27Speaker 2: If they have enough analytics people and they put enough
- 10:31Speaker 2: people in the right, and they win 54% of the games, sorry,
- 10:34Speaker 2: Mariner fans, but if you win 54% of the games
- 10:37Speaker 2: and you put your manager in enough spots and you
- 10:39Speaker 2: give them enough of the script to go by, then
- 10:42Speaker 2: you'll win more games and the manager doesn't matter. This
- 10:45Speaker 2: is one of the things, listen, analytics I understand, But
- 10:48Speaker 2: I totally disagree with this. Managers matter. They really, really
- 10:51Speaker 2: do matter, especially now in a data-driven world where you
- 10:55Speaker 2: need people. And I hate to say it like this.
- 10:58Speaker 2: I don't know how else to say it, Kratz. But
- 11:00Speaker 2: you need people that can tell your players they're okay.
- 11:03Speaker 2: Because I have a kid. Kratz, you have kids. I
- 11:05Speaker 2: have kids. Kids today, they need to be told repeatedly
- 11:08Speaker 2: they're okay and that everything is going to be okay.
- 11:11Speaker 2: And you have to have the right guy telling them
- 11:12Speaker 2: it's going to be okay at all times. Otherwise, you
- 11:14Speaker 2: can lose guys. And that's just the way the game
- 11:17Speaker 2: is right now. And, I mean, listen, again, Jason Kanzler,
- 11:20Speaker 2: I don't know him at all, but he might be
- 11:22Speaker 2: the greatest guy in the world. I don't know this.
- 11:24Speaker 2: It's just weird when you have a guy like Joe
- 11:25Speaker 2: Espada in your division who's been really good, and you
- 11:28Speaker 2: pass over him for a guy who worked underneath him.
- 11:30Speaker 3: That's interesting to me. It also could be a money thing.
- 11:34Speaker 3: I just feel, I mean, I love what you said. Like,
- 11:36Speaker 3: tell them they'll be okay. At some point this year,
- 11:41Speaker 3: some of the Brewers players were pissed off at Pat Murphy.
- 11:44Speaker 3: Some of them this year needed Pat Murphy. Did he
- 11:48Speaker 3: have all the experience to draw from, from his failed
- 11:52Speaker 3: college or failed situations that he was coaching in before? Yes,
- 11:58Speaker 3: where he can build this team up. That experience helps
- 12:01Speaker 3: him grow in those situations. And without that experience, I
- 12:05Speaker 3: want them, I want the Mariners to be a really
- 12:07Speaker 3: good team. And I think Jerry DiPoto wants them to
- 12:10Speaker 3: be a really good team. It just seems like we've
- 12:13Speaker 3: lost the North Star of what drives the success at
- 12:18Speaker 3: the big league level when you don't have enough experience
- 12:22Speaker 3: because it is so tough. I've watched coaches come in
- 12:26Speaker 3: and out of the big leagues without experience, and it
- 12:30Speaker 3: is like deer in headlights. And I don't feel like
- 12:33Speaker 3: this team's window is necessarily like a five-year window that
- 12:38Speaker 3: they have. To me, they should be AL West champion
- 12:42Speaker 3: this year with a shot at going to the World
- 12:45Speaker 3: Series with the pitching staff.
- 12:48Speaker 2: By the way, Crouch, there's something I used to always say,
- 12:49Speaker 2: and I mean this with all my heart, and you
- 12:52Speaker 2: don't have to be an ex-player to be a great coach, okay?
- 12:55Speaker 2: You don't. You don't have to be. I mean, there's
- 12:57Speaker 2: been some, there's been guys that I had as coaches
- 13:00Speaker 2: that never played, or they played some, and they were awesome.
- 13:03Speaker 2: And then I had some guys that played in the
- 13:04Speaker 2: big leagues, and they weren't very good. But I'll say
- 13:07Speaker 2: this about coaches, and this is the one thing I
- 13:10Speaker 2: I believe to the bottom of my heart, if you
- 13:12Speaker 2: are coaching or managing and you are worried about losing
- 13:15Speaker 2: your job, you are not going to be the right
- 13:17Speaker 2: guy for any job. I'm sorry, you cannot coach to
- 13:19Speaker 2: be worried about keeping your job and you cannot manage
- 13:22Speaker 2: to worry about keeping your job. Because if you are,
- 13:24Speaker 2: you're not going to be able to give guys the
- 13:26Speaker 2: truth and guys will find out and they will not
- 13:28Speaker 2: trust you and they will not be able to believe
- 13:31Speaker 2: what you're telling them. Kratz, tell me I'm wrong, but
- 13:33Speaker 2: to my core, I believe that if you are managing
- 13:36Speaker 2: and coaching to keep your job going, you will be
- 13:39Speaker 2: unsuccessful as a coach or manager. Preach.
- 13:42Speaker 3: I couldn't, you can't sum it up any more than that.
- 13:45Speaker 3: It is 100%. And that doesn't take somebody, that doesn't
- 13:49Speaker 3: take somebody that's played before. Sometimes people that played before
- 13:54Speaker 3: are not the right answer. That is not what we're saying.
- 13:57Speaker 3: And it's probably going to get lost on what we
- 13:58Speaker 3: said here. But that is, clip that, what you just said.
- 14:03Speaker 1: There was a time not long ago, when a team
- 14:06Speaker 1: that was rebuilding would hire someone and you kind of
- 14:09Speaker 1: knew that it wasn't going to be the guy once
- 14:11Speaker 1: they were good. And then they'd come in with like
- 14:13Speaker 1: the Joe Maddon, you know, I'm just using the Rick
- 14:15Speaker 1: Renterie example, no offense to Rick, but that was a
- 14:19Speaker 1: thing for a while.
- 14:20Speaker 2: And Joe Maddon, let's not forget Joe Maddon coach. He
- 14:23Speaker 2: told us the other day, he was in the angels
- 14:24Speaker 2: for like 30 years, minor league coach, minor league manager,
- 14:27Speaker 2: minor league coordinator. And then he became, you know, he
- 14:30Speaker 2: got to work with Socia for years on the big
- 14:32Speaker 2: league bench and, before he came up with all these
- 14:35Speaker 2: what we called wacky ideas, which are now ideas, which
- 14:37Speaker 2: were kind of outside the box that worked, that he
- 14:40Speaker 2: had been able to try and test and fail and
- 14:43Speaker 2: try to, you know, make them work. And that's how
- 14:47Speaker 2: you learn. I mean, that's why, listen, did, I always
- 14:50Speaker 2: want to call him Drew Butera. Did Blake Butera work
- 14:52Speaker 2: great in Washington? I guess. But did they have a
- 14:55Speaker 2: million bullpen questions and pitching questions they had? Of course,
- 14:58Speaker 2: because the number one thing that's hardest to learn is
- 15:01Speaker 2: how to deal with a bullpen and how to deal
- 15:02Speaker 2: with arms and when to use guys. Guys aren't robots.
- 15:04Speaker 2: They need days off. You need to be able to
- 15:05Speaker 2: think about three days down the line. And I think
- 15:08Speaker 2: that's what veteran managers figure out over time, where you
- 15:10Speaker 2: better have one hell of a pitching coach. And also,
- 15:13Speaker 2: you know, it's not plug and play. That's the thing
- 15:16Speaker 2: that I think people realize over time as managers is
- 15:19Speaker 2: it's not plug and play. You just can't plug guys
- 15:21Speaker 2: in and they're going to just do exactly what the
- 15:23Speaker 2: computer says. And again, analytics are very useful. I don't
- 15:26Speaker 2: want people to say, oh, you're anti-analytics. I am not.
- 15:29Speaker 2: But it's not plug and play. You have to have
- 15:30Speaker 2: a feel for both sides of it.
- 15:41Speaker 1: Shake it up.
- 15:42Speaker 2: All right.
- 15:42Speaker 1: So we have qualifying offers that went out officially soon
- 15:45Speaker 1: after we recorded or we did the live show on Monday.
- 15:49Speaker 1: We don't record. We're live. Eight players. $ 23. 15 million. Randy Rosarena,
- 15:55Speaker 1: Seya Suzuki, Jake Bowers, Brandon Lau, Trevor Rogers, Adrian Morajon,
- 15:59Speaker 1: David Bednar, Ryan Jeffers. Not one for Ian Happ, Alec Boehm,
- 16:04Speaker 1: Josh Chisholm. Maybe there's some other names that some were
- 16:07Speaker 1: thinking about, but most prognosticators pretty much nailed this list. AJ,
- 16:12Speaker 1: anything stand out to you about who received or did
- 16:14Speaker 1: not receive?
- 16:16Speaker 2: Well, Ryan Jeffers to me was a guy that we
- 16:18Speaker 2: heard might be traded last year, and he wasn't. Now
- 16:20Speaker 2: they're qualifying off from him. I know no one's going
- 16:23Speaker 2: to accept this offer, but he would be the one,
- 16:25Speaker 2: if I'm looking at this list honestly, that might. $ 23
- 16:29Speaker 2: million for a catcher is a lot of money. And
- 16:32Speaker 2: he's still relatively young. So I think he would be
- 16:35Speaker 2: the one that might. And maybe Jake Bowers. I don't
- 16:37Speaker 2: think Jake Bowers will do it, though, because he's a
- 16:39Speaker 2: little bit older and won a longer-term deal. But, I mean,
- 16:43Speaker 2: no surprises here. There's some teams that are happy that
- 16:46Speaker 2: their team didn't offer guys a qualifying offer, so good list.
- 16:51Speaker 2: Probably no one's going to accept, and they'll get draft picks. Congratulations, teams.
- 16:54Speaker 2: You're going to get draft picks.
- 16:57Speaker 3: I would disagree. I think Brandon Lau is 32 years old.
- 17:02Speaker 3: I think to make $ 23 million, I get it. He
- 17:04Speaker 3: wants to get in, but when you're starting to look
- 17:07Speaker 3: at that $ 40 to $ 60 million contract, those are the
- 17:13Speaker 3: guys that clearly have been hurt by the qualifying offer
- 17:16Speaker 3: because teams don't want to give up that draft pick.
- 17:19Speaker 3: So when I look at Jake Bowers, again, I agree
- 17:22Speaker 3: with you with Jeffers. And I look at Brandon Lau, too.
- 17:27Speaker 3: Maybe even a Seiya Suzuki. I think Seiya might be
- 17:31Speaker 3: just a tick outside that window. But I think there's
- 17:35Speaker 3: going to be a chance. And even Trevor Rodgers. I
- 17:38Speaker 3: think Trevor Rodgers is He kind of faded down the
- 17:41Speaker 3: stretch last year. He wasn't as dominant as he was
- 17:44Speaker 3: the year before. He has age on his side a
- 17:47Speaker 3: little bit.
- 17:47Speaker 2: Pitchers get a little bit longer contracts. I don't think
- 17:50Speaker 2: they're all going to decline it.
- 17:55Speaker 1: I could see one.
- 17:57Speaker 2: Say Suzuki, the fact that we're already hearing stuff about
- 18:02Speaker 2: him getting offers, that takes Say Suzuki out right away.
- 18:05Speaker 2: I mean, the fact that there's already teams we're hearing
- 18:07Speaker 2: about interested in the Blue Jays. He's already like– why
- 18:09Speaker 2: would I take this qualifying offer? I already have teams
- 18:11Speaker 2: talking about me. So I think he's the one that's
- 18:14Speaker 2: for sure out. I mean, I could see Lowe and Bowers,
- 18:17Speaker 2: but I think Bowers and Lowe are going to try
- 18:19Speaker 2: and chase a multi-year deal because of what you said.
- 18:21Speaker 2: They are older, and I think that they're going to
- 18:23Speaker 2: be expecting to get a bigger contract now while they
- 18:28Speaker 2: have one last shot at the Apple. I hear that.
- 18:32Speaker 2: I hear what you're saying. I see both sides.
- 18:34Speaker 3: My biggest thing is how teams have interacted well with
- 18:39Speaker 3: that player that is 40 to 60, 30 to 55 million. Like,
- 18:46Speaker 3: are we willing to give up a first-round pick for
- 18:51Speaker 3: this player, this contract?
- 18:54Speaker 2: I agree. I don't know.
- 18:56Speaker 1: Also, I don't know if Seah's gotten offers. Are you
- 18:59Speaker 1: talking about when Ken was asked about him being linked
- 19:03Speaker 1: to the Blue Jays as a fit? The point is,
- 19:05Speaker 1: he's going to have plenty of interest. Say Suzuki's not
- 19:07Speaker 1: taking $ 23 million. He's going to make more than that,
- 19:10Speaker 1: and a team will pay for that. Also, look at
- 19:13Speaker 1: the market. This is not a strong free agent class.
- 19:17Speaker 1: That will help some of these guys. This is a
- 19:19Speaker 1: very weak position player class. That will help these guys, right? True.
- 19:26Speaker 2: Yes. Yes.
- 19:28Speaker 3: But it's still really where you see them falling into
- 19:32Speaker 3: that what type of contract. Because teams are so unwilling
- 19:37Speaker 3: to give up that draft pick. And then they're getting
- 19:41Speaker 3: less and less.
- 19:44Speaker 2: Right.
- 19:44Speaker 1: And then when every player gets a value and a
- 19:49Speaker 1: player with a qualifying offer is looking at the market
- 19:52Speaker 1: and saying, well, why is my number lower? Some teams
- 19:56Speaker 1: put a high number on that draft pick they're giving up.
- 19:58Speaker 1: Point is that could carry into post lockout. And I
- 20:03Speaker 1: think that's actually the biggest factor here. I think one
- 20:06Speaker 1: of the most underrated components of the next few weeks
- 20:08Speaker 1: is is how many players would feel more comfortable locking
- 20:11Speaker 1: in a spot. We always talk about how certain players
- 20:14Speaker 1: absolutely despise signing in February, March, whatever it is, right?
- 20:18Speaker 1: This is an extreme case. I mean, we might have
- 20:21Speaker 1: a unique scenario where all of a sudden the lockout
- 20:25Speaker 1: ends in whatever month, March, April, May, and players have
- 20:29Speaker 1: to be at ballparks in five minutes. And you guys
- 20:31Speaker 1: know about the scramble behind the scenes to make all
- 20:33Speaker 1: of that happen, right? So if you're a player that's like, hey,
- 20:36Speaker 1: I can make 23 or Let's say it's Jeffers and
- 20:40Speaker 1: the market thinks he's a three at 40 mil. Maybe
- 20:44Speaker 1: he's like, you know what? I'll take the 23 and
- 20:46Speaker 1: bank on myself and get this locked in and then
- 20:49Speaker 1: have another good season. And then maybe I can get
- 20:52Speaker 1: that 340 the next year and end up making more money.
- 20:55Speaker 1: So there's a few ways to look at it. I'm
- 20:56Speaker 1: with you guys. I think one or two tops out
- 21:00Speaker 1: of this list. Yeah.
- 21:04Speaker 2: We'll see. We'll see. We'll see. I don't know. You
- 21:07Speaker 2: just never know. I mean, last year was pretty obvious.
- 21:10Speaker 2: Trent Christian was like, huh, $ 20 million? I'll take that.
- 21:13Speaker 2: To go back to the Yankees where I had a
- 21:14Speaker 2: good time? Duh. There's not an obvious lock for me
- 21:19Speaker 2: on this one this year, though.
- 21:22Speaker 1: Who would you say is most likely Jeffers, you guys think,
- 21:25Speaker 1: on this list to take it? A $ 23 million catcher?
- 21:32Speaker 3: I mean, right when I saw it come out, it
- 21:34Speaker 3: was Brandon Lyle for me. He went to Pittsburgh. He
- 21:39Speaker 3: hit 30-plus dingers. The fact that he's 32, he'll play
- 21:44Speaker 3: his 33 season. Does he have a three-year deal coming
- 21:48Speaker 3: to him? And would that three-year deal pay him $ 50 million?
- 21:53Speaker 3: Or does he have three one-year deals and can he
- 21:57Speaker 3: get $ 20 million a year after next year? Because he
- 22:00Speaker 3: improved his defense too. He has extra value than just
- 22:04Speaker 3: his offensive output that he put out there this year.
- 22:10Speaker 1: It's crazy. Even with Bowers, I mean, dude was basically done.
- 22:14Speaker 1: And then now he's going to say 23 mil on
- 22:18Speaker 1: a qualifying offer. I'm good. The one other guy I
- 22:20Speaker 1: wanted to ask you about AJ is Trevor Rogers. I
- 22:24Speaker 1: appear on radio in Baltimore a lot. We've got the
- 22:27Speaker 1: Orioles show that's talked about him a lot. And Trevor's
- 22:30Speaker 1: been pretty public. I don't know if there's been anything
- 22:31Speaker 1: in the last month. I guess I'm guessing no, but
- 22:34Speaker 1: He wanted to stay. And I think he said they
- 22:37Speaker 1: never even spoke to him, like no offer, no conversation,
- 22:40Speaker 1: no nothing. Right. Because sometimes it's like, hey, a player
- 22:42Speaker 1: says he wants to stay, but he's asking for a
- 22:44Speaker 1: lot and they're not on the same page. So I'm
- 22:46Speaker 1: just curious, like Baltimore gives him the qualifying offer. So
- 22:49Speaker 1: clearly they're interested in bringing him back. If you had
- 22:51Speaker 1: no interest at all, you don't give that out. Right.
- 22:54Speaker 1: So just curious, like why they wouldn't have tried to say, hey,
- 22:57Speaker 1: let's try and get something done for three or four years.
- 23:01Speaker 2: Or they just want the draft pick. We know how
- 23:03Speaker 2: much Baltimore loves draft picks and prospects. So maybe they're
- 23:06Speaker 2: thinking Trevor Rogers isn't going to accept it. And we'll
- 23:08Speaker 2: get it. We'll get us another draft pick that we
- 23:10Speaker 2: can DFA in a couple of years and get nothing
- 23:13Speaker 2: for them. Like here's to like Mountcastle, like those guys.
- 23:16Speaker 2: I don't know. Scott, I don't know why teams do
- 23:18Speaker 2: what they do. If I knew that I'd be a
- 23:20Speaker 2: general manager and I'd hopefully have a couple of world
- 23:22Speaker 2: series under my belt as a general manager. I don't
- 23:24Speaker 2: know why teams do what they do. And I'm sure,
- 23:27Speaker 2: At some point, Mike Elias and the new GM, his
- 23:30Speaker 2: name just went out of my mind, that they just
- 23:32Speaker 2: hired will maybe come out and say, hey, we offered
- 23:34Speaker 2: him this because of A, B, and C.
- 23:37Speaker 1: Yeah, Jared Banner, by the way. Jared Banner, just to
- 23:40Speaker 1: get the name out there, GM.
- 23:41Speaker 2: Yep. Great. What a great name, Jared Banner.
- 23:44Speaker 3: But his ERA Plus, besides last season, not this past season,
- 23:51Speaker 3: he was essentially league average.
- 23:53Speaker 2: It was a 221.
- 23:54Speaker 3: So do they think that they offered the qualifying offer
- 23:57Speaker 3: because he is what he was last year, 2025, or
- 24:01Speaker 3: he is what he was this year in 2026 because
- 24:04Speaker 3: I don't think they would have offered him the qualifying offer.
- 24:06Speaker 3: That's why I brought his name up originally as possibly
- 24:09Speaker 3: somebody that could accept it. That's 23 million. He'll still
- 24:16Speaker 3: be able to go to be a free agent the
- 24:17Speaker 3: next year at 30. Plenty of pitchers coming off much
- 24:21Speaker 3: better years than he has this year. get a six-year
- 24:25Speaker 3: deal at age 30.
- 24:29Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 24:30Speaker 2: Agreed.
- 24:32Speaker 1: The Yankees one's interesting, too, because we went from– I mean,
- 24:36Speaker 1: I think Jazz Chisholm's stock has dropped a lot, right?
- 24:39Speaker 1: I mean, I think most people would have anticipated a
- 24:42Speaker 1: qualifying offer. I do think a little bit of this
- 24:45Speaker 1: has to do with the Yankees giving Trent Grisham the
- 24:47Speaker 1: qualifying offer and thinking that he was going to reject it,
- 24:51Speaker 1: and then he took it. And so they're looking at
- 24:54Speaker 1: jazz thinking, you know, we're ready to move on and
- 24:58Speaker 1: there is always a chance. But I mean, realistically, I
- 25:02Speaker 1: know obviously jazz is very eccentric and always says crazy quotes,
- 25:05Speaker 1: but you know, hundreds of millions of dollars and then
- 25:07Speaker 1: the Yankees are worried he's going to take 23 mil.
- 25:09Speaker 1: So just a big difference there, but all right, let's
- 25:13Speaker 1: move on. Let's get to our next guest. Hold on.
- 25:16Speaker 2: Sorry. Before we get, sorry, before we get to him,
- 25:17Speaker 2: but before we get to Spencer, Spencer, I mean, Jim
- 25:20Speaker 2: Bowden said it yesterday. He didn't want Jazz. He's like,
- 25:22Speaker 2: I don't want Jazz on my team. So maybe there's
- 25:24Speaker 2: a bunch of teams out there. And the Yankees were like, whoa, whoa, whoa.
- 25:27Speaker 2: We're not going to offer him the one spot at
- 25:30Speaker 2: $ 23 million. And listen, again, Jazz is a nice player.
- 25:33Speaker 2: But Jim Bowden said, I didn't say it, but maybe
- 25:36Speaker 2: there's other teams out there. And this is all speculation.
- 25:38Speaker 2: They're like, I don't know that we want to offer
- 25:40Speaker 2: Jazz that big of a contract. He might have to
- 25:42Speaker 2: go on one of them prove-it deals. And $ 23 million
- 25:45Speaker 2: isn't a prove-it deal.
- 25:47Speaker 1: Yeah, I think what hurt him the most in terms
- 25:49Speaker 1: of perception is being pissed about not playing in a
- 25:53Speaker 1: playoff game, stuff like that. It just doesn't play well.
- 25:56Speaker 1: You can feel that way to death. You've got to
- 25:58Speaker 1: fake it. I know he likes to be real, and
- 26:00Speaker 1: we love players being real, but that's the one time
- 26:03Speaker 1: where you've got to at least fake that you're a
- 26:05Speaker 1: team player and you want whatever's best. And if the
- 26:07Speaker 1: team thinks that's best, that's fine. That's my take. I
- 26:09Speaker 1: think that really did resonate in the industry. Hot corner. So...
- 26:18Speaker 1: Votes come in at the end of the season for awards.
- 26:21Speaker 1: And then what we just learned is the top three.
- 26:24Speaker 1: It's not like anything changes here. I see that sometimes
- 26:27Speaker 1: where people are like, oh, well, who's going to get picked?
- 26:29Speaker 1: Like you don't re-vote. So we got a top three
- 26:31Speaker 1: here from all of the categories, rookie of the year,
- 26:33Speaker 1: manager of the year, reliever of the year, which is
- 26:36Speaker 1: a new one. There was a different reliever of the
- 26:38Speaker 1: year award, but this is the main one now from
- 26:40Speaker 1: the writers, just like they do for Cy Young, MVP
- 26:44Speaker 1: and all of that. So where shall we begin? Well,
- 26:47Speaker 1: we know that MVP is pretty easy here. Pete Carr
- 26:52Speaker 1: Armstrong's had this thing wrapped up for months, right? And
- 26:55Speaker 1: I know what, Bowdoin was one of the few that
- 26:58Speaker 1: I think was calling for Junior Caminero over Yardan Alvarez,
- 27:00Speaker 1: and Junior looks like a clear-cut number two.
- 27:02Speaker 2: You know what I find awesome, Krabs? Parker Messick is
- 27:06Speaker 2: going to finish in the top three in Cy Young,
- 27:07Speaker 2: and they would only let him pitch two innings in
- 27:09Speaker 2: the playoffs because they didn't trust him. But he's going
- 27:11Speaker 2: to finish top three in the Cy Young as a rookie,
- 27:14Speaker 2: but they didn't trust him enough. He's also in for
- 27:17Speaker 2: the rookie. He's going to finish top three, rookie of
- 27:19Speaker 2: the year, top three in Cy Young, but they only
- 27:21Speaker 2: let him pitch an inning or two in the postseason.
- 27:23Speaker 2: I found that very interesting. But most of these are
- 27:25Speaker 2: pretty easy. It's when you get into the manager of
- 27:28Speaker 2: the year ones that it gets a little tougher for me.
- 27:33Speaker 2: Manager of the year, is it Will Venable? Is it
- 27:35Speaker 2: Chad Tracy who came in the middle of the year
- 27:36Speaker 2: in the AL? Reliever of the year, Brian Baker and
- 27:39Speaker 2: Kate Smith tied for saves. Louis Varlin pitched every day.
- 27:42Speaker 2: And those are where it gets interesting. Rookies of the
- 27:45Speaker 2: year is going to be McGonigal in the AL. National
- 27:49Speaker 2: League is going to be– it should be Sal Stewart.
- 27:53Speaker 2: And then the rest of them, I mean, Cy Youngs
- 27:55Speaker 2: we have, MVPs we have. It's just when you get
- 27:57Speaker 2: into the more lesser defined kind of awards is where
- 28:00Speaker 2: it gets interesting. By the way, I thought nobody even
- 28:05Speaker 2: really knows this. I get it.
- 28:07Speaker 3: He's not going to get any first place votes. But
- 28:10Speaker 3: Bobby Witt. Bobby Witt's a top three again. Bobby Witt
- 28:13Speaker 3: missed a little bit of the season too. I picked
- 28:17Speaker 3: him as the MVP at the beginning of the year.
- 28:18Speaker 3: I think I'm probably going to pick him again next
- 28:20Speaker 3: year because he's just always hanging around. Like he's always,
- 28:24Speaker 3: I get it. He's only top three. But to me,
- 28:28Speaker 3: I don't think anybody saw that coming midway through the year.
- 28:32Speaker 3: And he just continues to put out just ridiculous. I mean,
- 28:37Speaker 3: war is his friend for sure.
- 28:39Speaker 2: Yeah. All of those numbers.
- 28:40Speaker 3: 18 homers, 54 stakes, 281, 800 OPS. People are going
- 28:45Speaker 3: to be like, eh, 45 stolen bases. He's got the
- 28:51Speaker 3: defense that goes, like, anyway.
- 28:54Speaker 2: I get it.
- 28:54Speaker 3: He's only a number three. I think he's a far
- 28:57Speaker 3: number three, but he is in the number three. He's
- 29:00Speaker 3: number three right there. And the other one is Carson
- 29:02Speaker 3: Bench for me in the National League. I heard what
- 29:05Speaker 3: his words were, and I get it. You look at
- 29:10Speaker 3: Carson Bench, Bobby Witt on the other side would say,
- 29:14Speaker 3: you know what, I'm putting up MVP type of numbers.
- 29:17Speaker 3: Carson Bench is putting up those types of numbers compared
- 29:20Speaker 3: to the rookies of the year. And he's not going
- 29:23Speaker 3: to win it. I think Sal Stewart's going to win it.
- 29:26Speaker 3: But he has a very valid case and it leans
- 29:32Speaker 3: towards the overall type of player. Murakami's not in the
- 29:37Speaker 3: American League and Murakami had 35 pumps like Sal Stewart did.
- 29:42Speaker 3: He had quite a few less RBIs, but he had
- 29:45Speaker 3: it in less games too. So it's a good discussion.
- 29:48Speaker 3: It's a fun discussion. And Carson Bench should get more
- 29:51Speaker 3: votes than I think a lot of people would have
- 29:54Speaker 3: originally thought of.
- 29:56Speaker 2: Oh, yeah.
- 29:56Speaker 1: Bench has some similar offensive numbers to Bobby Witt. The
- 30:00Speaker 1: slash line was pretty close. The homers, RBIs, obviously a
- 30:04Speaker 1: little less on stolen bases. And Bobby Witt's the best
- 30:06Speaker 1: shortstop defender. Top three shortstop if you want to make debates.
- 30:11Speaker 1: Top three shortstop defender. One thing to go back to, too,
- 30:13Speaker 1: from the beginning, because I think you're going to hear it,
- 30:16Speaker 1: not that you care, AJ. Parker Messick did give the
- 30:20Speaker 1: Guardians a five inning and a four and a third.
- 30:23Speaker 1: But yeah, he also had a two and a two
- 30:25Speaker 1: and a third in his starts in the postseason. So
- 30:28Speaker 1: just throwing that out there.
- 30:31Speaker 2: Yeah. But I, how do you lean on your best?
- 30:36Speaker 2: How do you lean on your best pitchers in the
- 30:39Speaker 2: post season? Like he's going to be a top, he's
- 30:42Speaker 2: a top three in the Cy Young. If you say
- 30:44Speaker 2: before the year, okay, we have Gavin Williams and then
- 30:47Speaker 2: we have another pitcher who's going to be top three
- 30:49Speaker 2: in the Cy Young for the season. I think what
- 30:52Speaker 2: AJ saying and AJ tell me if I'm wrong, like,
- 30:56Speaker 2: You can lean on this guy when he gets in
- 30:57Speaker 2: a little bit of trouble. It's not just, hey, rookie,
- 31:01Speaker 2: got to take him out type of thing. Or maybe
- 31:03Speaker 2: that's not what you're saying. No, it was. It's exactly
- 31:06Speaker 2: what I was saying, Cratch. It was exactly what I
- 31:08Speaker 2: was saying. They didn't trust him at all. I mean,
- 31:11Speaker 2: it's surprising to me that they just didn't trust him.
- 31:13Speaker 2: I mean, those– by the way, those numbers you showed
- 31:16Speaker 2: were earlier in the postseason. And as the postseason got deeper,
- 31:19Speaker 2: I think, Scott, when they got to the LCS is
- 31:21Speaker 2: when he went two and two and a third, by
- 31:23Speaker 2: the way. And that's also– No, no. No, those were
- 31:26Speaker 2: the earlier starts?
- 31:28Speaker 1: Well, no, I mean, it was every other. So DS,
- 31:30Speaker 1: he was four and a third against the White Sox.
- 31:32Speaker 1: Then the two and a third where they pulled him early.
- 31:36Speaker 1: Then the CS was five innings. He went against the
- 31:39Speaker 1: Rays in game two. And then in game five, he
- 31:43Speaker 1: went two innings.
- 31:44Speaker 2: That's what I have for his position. They didn't trust
- 31:47Speaker 2: him when the series was on the line. They trusted
- 31:48Speaker 2: him when they could lose and still be alive.
- 31:52Speaker 1: Yeah, and I think, I mean, if you look at
- 31:55Speaker 1: what the guardians do, there were definitely some serious question
- 31:58Speaker 1: marks about how everything played out.
- 32:01Speaker 2: Right.
- 32:01Speaker 1: I mean, you're so excited and anxious to get to
- 32:04Speaker 1: the bullpen. And at the first sign of trouble, this
- 32:06Speaker 1: is what you guys are alluding to. You're going to
- 32:08Speaker 1: pull the guy because the bullpen is so good, but
- 32:11Speaker 1: that can create issues. And they lost to a team
- 32:14Speaker 1: that actually really let their starters eat the rays. Right. Yeah.
- 32:22Speaker 1: So that was part of it, but. I mean, also
- 32:24Speaker 1: in fairness, they did mention this. I mean, you know
- 32:27Speaker 1: Voter well, Kratz. Like, Parker Messick pitched a lot this year.
- 32:31Speaker 1: In today's world, he pitched a lot for his first season.
- 32:35Speaker 3: Look, I trust Voter to be understanding the analytics. I
- 32:41Speaker 3: also trust him to be able to understand what's going on,
- 32:44Speaker 3: use his eye out on the mound.
- 32:46Speaker 2: So maybe I lean towards trusting him. But, again, like there's– Obviously,
- 32:55Speaker 2: the series doesn't hinge on that one thing. The series
- 32:57Speaker 2: hinged on the fact that the Guardians' bats just shut down.
- 33:02Speaker 2: They shut down, and they had an opportunity. They could
- 33:05Speaker 2: have been up 3-0 in that series, and as soon
- 33:07Speaker 2: as the Rays had that rainout, and Jose Ramirez's error
- 33:12Speaker 2: gave them game two, they were down 2-1, the rainout,
- 33:15Speaker 2: and then the bats just came alive against what I
- 33:18Speaker 2: thought was kind of a more sleepy team. exhausted bullpen
- 33:23Speaker 2: that was overused. The other one that I wanted to
- 33:26Speaker 2: hit on was the clear third place finisher for the
- 33:31Speaker 2: MVP in the National League, Bryce Terang. Just saying. That's
- 33:37Speaker 2: so impressive from him. Again, another war darling that I
- 33:41Speaker 2: think is really starting to elevate his power game that
- 33:47Speaker 2: could push him. Could he be a 30 homer guy?
- 33:51Speaker 3: And does that, with his platinum glove defense, does that
- 33:56Speaker 3: get him an MVP one day?
- 33:58Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 34:00Speaker 2: He's only 26.
- 34:01Speaker 1: 100 stakes, too. And the Brewers had a great offense,
- 34:06Speaker 1: so you've got to have the opportunities. But yeah, all-around player,
- 34:09Speaker 1: same thing. All-around player, just like you were referring to
- 34:11Speaker 1: with Bobby Witt. And AJ, I know we've done this before.
- 34:14Speaker 2: RBIs don't matter, Scott.
- 34:16Speaker 1: Sometimes they don't. They selectively matter. Sometimes they do. Sometimes
- 34:20Speaker 1: they don't. If you need to drive in a run
- 34:21Speaker 1: to win a World Series game, they matter. We've talked
- 34:27Speaker 1: about this where wins above replacement can be looked at
- 34:30Speaker 1: too much for certain awards, including MVP for sure. Even
- 34:34Speaker 1: writers and super analytic nerds will be like, make sure
- 34:37Speaker 1: you look at the whole package. I actually think the
- 34:40Speaker 1: number being simplified has helped players like Bryce Terang get
- 34:44Speaker 1: more recognition. And I know it's not a perfect science
- 34:48Speaker 1: with defense, but defensive metrics, being weighed in two wins
- 34:52Speaker 1: above replacement, especially in the last 10, 15 years, I
- 34:56Speaker 1: think has really helped us recognize someone like Bryce Terang.
- 35:01Speaker 1: And even Bobby Witt, for that matter. To make sure
- 35:03Speaker 1: that we recognize how impactful those guys are on defense.
- 35:06Speaker 1: And guess what? A lot of the best teams in
- 35:08Speaker 1: the sport are playing sick defense. And I get it,
- 35:11Speaker 1: the Brewers had a decent amount of errors in the postseason,
- 35:13Speaker 1: but The amount of sick plays that they made, the
- 35:16Speaker 1: amount of ground that they cover is special. You're not
- 35:18Speaker 1: going to be perfect, right? But I do like the
- 35:22Speaker 1: fact that we are valuing defense with this statistic a
- 35:25Speaker 1: little bit more. If there are going to be people
- 35:27Speaker 1: lazy going off one stat, I like the fact that
- 35:30Speaker 1: it's doing a pretty good job of finding defenders that
- 35:32Speaker 1: are making an impact on the sport. Do you agree?
- 35:35Speaker 2: I mean, I think it's weighed a little bit heavily,
- 35:39Speaker 2: but that's my opinion. I think war is... War is
- 35:42Speaker 2: a good staff, but I don't think it's the end-all,
- 35:43Speaker 2: be-all like we're starting to treat it as. It's just
- 35:47Speaker 2: my opinion, and my opinion stinks.
- 35:50Speaker 1: Let's finish on a fun note. AJ, if you're Bryce
- 35:52Speaker 1: Terang and you've got to do the award show, but
- 35:55Speaker 1: you know obviously that you're not winning, how do you
- 35:59Speaker 1: play it on the interviews? Like, hey, we've got our
- 36:01Speaker 1: top three. We're excited to announce the winner of MVP,
- 36:05Speaker 1: which we all know is going to be Pete Crowe-Armstrong.
- 36:08Speaker 2: Do you have fun with it? It's the same in
- 36:10Speaker 2: the American League, isn't it?
- 36:12Speaker 1: Yeah. It's the same with the Cy Youngs too.
- 36:14Speaker 2: With Bobby Witt. You're like, oh, cool. I got third place. Like, cool.
- 36:18Speaker 2: I mean, I guess it helps him. He probably made
- 36:20Speaker 2: some money. But I guarantee if he has Bobby Witt,
- 36:22Speaker 2: he ain't real happy with the year he had.
- 36:25Speaker 1: Nope. No, no. The Royals had a terrible year. But,
- 36:29Speaker 1: you know, if you're Christopher Sanchez and you're like, hey,
- 36:31Speaker 1: you know, how much would it mean to you to
- 36:33Speaker 1: win Cy Young? We're like, I'm not winning. but it's
- 36:40Speaker 1: a great honor.
- 36:40Speaker 2: That might be the best.
- 36:43Speaker 3: Have we ever had a unanimous one, two, three, like
- 36:47Speaker 3: where Christopher Sanchez gets all the third place votes, sale
- 36:50Speaker 3: gets all the second place votes and the minutes gets
- 36:53Speaker 3: all the first place.
- 36:55Speaker 1: I bet we haven't. And I bet you that we
- 36:57Speaker 1: won't because somebody will be a little bit of dancing. Yeah. Okay.
- 37:02Speaker 2: Somebody will, somebody will vote in, somebody will vote for
- 37:04Speaker 2: somebody in third place or something. Yeah. Three guys. I agree.
- 37:10Speaker 1: But let's see. We'll get the results next week in
- 37:13Speaker 1: terms of, yeah, the intrigue is not the top spot.
- 37:16Speaker 1: The intrigue is to see how the voting played out
- 37:18Speaker 1: the rest of the way since we already know who
- 37:20Speaker 1: won some of the big awards. Reliever of the Year
- 37:22Speaker 1: could have some intrigue to finish up here. Duran, McGill, Miller. Well,
- 37:29Speaker 1: I guess on that side, Mason Miller is going to
- 37:30Speaker 1: win that one. But on the American League side, you've
- 37:33Speaker 1: got Cade Smith, Louis Varlin, Brian Baker. That one's a
- 37:35Speaker 1: little bit more of a debate, right?
- 37:38Speaker 2: Mm-hmm.
- 37:39Speaker 1: We could have some fun with that one. Three great
- 37:42Speaker 1: relievers this year. All right, let's slap a couple little options.
- 37:58Speaker 1: Not little. I mean, they're big for the players involved,
- 38:00Speaker 1: but news. And then we'll finish with some CBA news
- 38:04Speaker 1: since it's always AJ's request to finish that way. But
- 38:07Speaker 1: a few things did emerge. while the show's been happening.
- 38:10Speaker 1: Blue Jays declined Myles Straw's option, $ 8 million for 2027.
- 38:14Speaker 1: He got to pay out for $ 1. 75 million. Guardians are
- 38:19Speaker 1: covering that. Remember this trade when the Blue Jays were
- 38:23Speaker 1: trying to find more money for Roki Suzuki? Do you
- 38:25Speaker 1: remember that hole? Where will Roki go? And then Straw
- 38:29Speaker 1: actually ended up being... Yeah, but Straw ended up actually
- 38:32Speaker 1: being a nice contributor to the Blue Jays. And they
- 38:34Speaker 1: loved him, apparently. They loved him. Like... great in the
- 38:38Speaker 1: clubhouse obviously had two years ago a pretty good year
- 38:42Speaker 1: and uh it was looked at as a money dump
- 38:44Speaker 1: for cleveland so worked out for its time period um
- 38:48Speaker 1: and maybe they bring him back on on less than
- 38:49Speaker 1: eight yuki matsui uh not opting out of his contract
- 38:54Speaker 1: he had a pretty underrated nice year too aj yuki
- 38:58Speaker 1: for the uh for the.
- 38:59Speaker 2: Really good year check his numbers yeah i mean he
- 39:02Speaker 2: didn't pitch in very high leverage but the padres pitched
- 39:04Speaker 2: him in good situations and He did a really nice job.
- 39:08Speaker 2: He had barely a two ERA for the whole year.
- 39:11Speaker 2: He figured something out. He struggled for a couple of years,
- 39:13Speaker 2: but he figured something out this year. So yeah, of
- 39:15Speaker 2: course he wants to go back. Who doesn't want to
- 39:16Speaker 2: go back to San Diego?
- 39:19Speaker 1: And doesn't want to test the market. No, I'm with you.
- 39:21Speaker 1: I mean, good team.
- 39:22Speaker 2: They have 40,000 fans a night. They're always pretty, recently
- 39:25Speaker 2: they've been pretty decent. San Diego is not a terrible
- 39:28Speaker 2: place to live. I mean. who wouldn't want to go
- 39:31Speaker 2: san diego is easy to get to japan if he
- 39:33Speaker 2: wants to shoot to japan too so yep who wouldn't
- 39:35Speaker 2: want to.
- 39:35Speaker 1: Go six and a half million bucks for 27 seven
- 39:38Speaker 1: million dollar player option he still holds for the next
- 39:40Speaker 1: year 2028 tigers declined kenley jansen's 12 mil he'll get
- 39:45Speaker 1: a two million dollar payout He's at 498 for career saves, too.
- 39:49Speaker 1: I mean, he's still going to pitch. He just isn't 12,
- 39:54Speaker 1: according to the Tigers.
- 39:57Speaker 2: Nats.
- 39:59Speaker 1: You like that for the Nats? That's a good one.
- 40:02Speaker 2: What did Spencer say? They're looking for cheaper-ish. He's going
- 40:06Speaker 2: to be cheaper.
- 40:07Speaker 1: He wants to close.
- 40:09Speaker 2: Of course. And according to Spencer, they're not ready to
- 40:13Speaker 2: compete next year, so they'll give him the opportunity to
- 40:16Speaker 2: get his saves. I like that.
- 40:21Speaker 1: We mentioned this quickly yesterday, Jacob Webb, one-year deal. I
- 40:25Speaker 1: didn't realize this. Bob posted it. Led the Cubs in appearances, innings, saves, strikeouts,
- 40:30Speaker 1: all that. So nice year for him. He's back on
- 40:34Speaker 1: a couple mil.
- 40:35Speaker 2: Yeah. What a stat. All right.
- 40:41Speaker 1: You guys ready for the CBA news? You want to
- 40:43Speaker 1: show the tweets back-to-back here? Nope.
- 40:46Speaker 2: Okay, good.
- 40:47Speaker 1: Let's run it.
- 40:48Speaker 2: I love them.
- 40:49Speaker 1: All right, so Jeff Passan posted within the last hour
- 40:53Speaker 1: here on the show, MLB proposed postponing the implementation of
- 40:58Speaker 1: a salary cap until the 2028 season, while still putting
- 41:01Speaker 1: into place the other elements of its labor offered for 2027,
- 41:05Speaker 1: citing the difficulty of teams navigating free agency amid the
- 41:08Speaker 1: current uncertainty. In its proposal, MLB also set new numbers
- 41:12Speaker 1: for its proposed cap and floor in 2028. the cap
- 41:16Speaker 1: would be $ 258. 2 million. And remember, the prior proposal offered $ 245. 3. Although,
- 41:23Speaker 1: and I'm commenting here, I think that the prior proposal
- 41:27Speaker 1: was for next year, 27. So it goes from $ 245
- 41:29Speaker 1: up $ 13 million to $ 258. And then the floor that
- 41:31Speaker 1: they proposed from $ 171. 2 is now at $ 180. 2 if you're
- 41:32Speaker 1: doing this for the 2028 season. So There we go.
- 41:42Speaker 1: Now we can play baseball next year, AJ. No salary
- 41:45Speaker 1: cap in 27, as long as they accept one in 2028.
- 41:47Speaker 1: What did.
- 41:50Speaker 2: Garrett Stubbs say? It's a non-starter. They just keep trying.
- 41:55Speaker 2: They keep trying. I don't understand. And the other thing is,
- 42:01Speaker 2: how does this get out? How does Jeff Passan get this?
- 42:04Speaker 2: Who tells Jeff Passan? From what I've heard, I've heard
- 42:06Speaker 2: there's people that have been in this room and there's
- 42:09Speaker 2: stuff been tweeted out while they're in the room and
- 42:11Speaker 2: it's this stuff. So somebody is leaking something to Passon
- 42:15Speaker 2: and other people. And I like Jeff Passon, so I
- 42:16Speaker 2: can't blame him at all because he just gets the
- 42:18Speaker 2: information and re-puts it out. But who's leaking this?
- 42:22Speaker 1: Why does it matter? What do you mean?
- 42:24Speaker 2: No, I know, but it sounds like good numbers, especially
- 42:26Speaker 2: on the cap end. But then when you look into pensions, insurance,
- 42:30Speaker 2: all this other stuff has to be funded by this,
- 42:32Speaker 2: it knocks it way down. So that's the other thing
- 42:34Speaker 2: for me. It's like the cap is 280, what was it, 281? Sorry, 258. 258. $ 258, right? Well,
- 42:43Speaker 2: there's also like 20, I think it's around $ 20 million
- 42:46Speaker 2: that's built in that has to pay for all this
- 42:47Speaker 2: other stuff. So it's really $ 238, right? So you're, I
- 42:51Speaker 2: don't know. I don't know enough about this. We're going
- 42:53Speaker 2: to have so much time to talk about this. Cool.
- 42:55Speaker 2: Nice proposal, MLB. Way to go. I'm sure the players
- 42:59Speaker 2: really love this one and really negotiated the crap out
- 43:02Speaker 2: of it with you.
- 43:06Speaker 1: We're going to talk plenty about this, Kratz, especially in December,
- 43:10Speaker 1: but we'll report news as it comes through to us.
- 43:13Speaker 1: You know what I just thought of? How many ways
- 43:16Speaker 1: somebody can try to ask someone out? They just keep
- 43:19Speaker 1: saying no.
- 43:21Speaker 2: Yes, that is exactly.
- 43:23Speaker 1: I know you don't want to date me, but what
- 43:25Speaker 1: if we go to an event together, just you and me,
- 43:29Speaker 1: I pick you up, I pay for you. That might
- 43:33Speaker 1: be looked at as a date. I don't want to
- 43:35Speaker 1: go with you.
- 43:37Speaker 3: Or I got a spam call the other day and
- 43:39Speaker 3: they were like, we'll give you three nights at $ 99
- 43:43Speaker 3: a night. And I was like, I'm sorry, I appreciate
- 43:46Speaker 3: you calling, but I just really can't travel right now.
- 43:49Speaker 3: Is it because it was too high? I'll give it
- 43:53Speaker 3: to you for $ 59 a night. I was like, nah,
- 43:58Speaker 3: that's really generous. How about $ 59 a night plus free breakfast?
- 44:04Speaker 3: And I was just like, I don't think you're listening.
- 44:07Speaker 3: I didn't know the players responded immediately. Like, hey, if
- 44:10Speaker 3: you could change those cap and floor numbers, then we'll
- 44:14Speaker 3: think about it. Like, the owners are just like, beep, boop, beep, boop, beep, boop, AI. Yes,
- 44:20Speaker 3: cap is now higher. Floor is higher. Are you happy?
- 44:24Speaker 2: And Garrett Stubbs is like, what? No, no. Say no
- 44:27Speaker 2: to the salary cap. So you only go up, you
- 44:32Speaker 2: go up, you go up 9 million on the floor,
- 44:35Speaker 2: but you go up and you go up, what, 13
- 44:37Speaker 2: million on the, on the, on the top end.
- 44:39Speaker 1: For the next year.
- 44:41Speaker 2: Like, wow, they're so generous on those numbers. Like, wow.
- 44:45Speaker 2: So the, so if you spend less, you're actually rewarded
- 44:47Speaker 2: because you, you can, you just have to spend, you
- 44:50Speaker 2: can spend less after. I don't know.
- 44:52Speaker 1: It's just, it's a good indicator. The cap will go
- 44:55Speaker 1: up about $ 10 million a year while revenues go up
- 44:58Speaker 1: $ 3 billion a year. I don't know. Yeah.
- 45:01Speaker 2: Exactly. How do they know what the revenue is going
- 45:03Speaker 2: to be in 28?
- 45:03Speaker 1: They don't, I mean, they don't.
- 45:04Speaker 2: Have an idea. I mean, they have a guess, but
- 45:10Speaker 2: they don't know if it's supposed to be truly 50-50.
- 45:12Speaker 2: Wouldn't you say, hey, if we're going to do this,
- 45:14Speaker 2: we'll give you guaranteed 50%. We're not going to set
- 45:16Speaker 2: the numbers now. Wouldn't that be the way to do it?
- 45:22Speaker 3: Well, no, but I mean, there's market experts and economists.
- 45:27Speaker 3: And then there's also, if they don't make it, you
- 45:29Speaker 3: know what's going to happen. If they don't make those revenues,
- 45:31Speaker 3: you're going to have to give your money back.
- 45:33Speaker 2: That's what happens. Exactly.
- 45:35Speaker 3: That's what happens under this system. And look at that
- 45:39Speaker 3: $ 180 million. I know we're going too far into this.
- 45:42Speaker 3: Eric Neander's going.
- 45:43Speaker 2: Oh my gosh, I have $ 90 million more to spend?
- 45:47Speaker 3: He's calling Scooble and be like, Scooble, I know right
- 45:51Speaker 3: now you're not thinking about signing with us, but what
- 45:54Speaker 3: do you think about living in Tampa, ushering us into
- 45:58Speaker 3: the new stadium? I got $ 90 million extra I have
- 46:01Speaker 3: to spend every year.
- 46:02Speaker 2: Yeah, but also, I'm going to say this. It also
- 46:06Speaker 2: leads to players getting paid that shouldn't be getting the
- 46:09Speaker 2: amount of money that they make. Not that I'm for
- 46:12Speaker 2: not all players getting the amount of money they should make,
- 46:14Speaker 2: but it also... Well, that's the point. I guess. I
- 46:18Speaker 2: guess that is the point. But if you just keep
- 46:22Speaker 2: upping the minimum, right? Oh, boom, we're going to fire
- 46:24Speaker 2: the minimum, fire the minimum, fire the minimum to $ 3 million.
- 46:27Speaker 2: And the teams are going to say, well, we can
- 46:29Speaker 2: get one great star and 24 minimum guys and call
- 46:33Speaker 2: it a team. I don't know. There's so many... I
- 46:35Speaker 2: hate talking about this. This is going to have so
- 46:37Speaker 2: much time to talk about this.
- 46:39Speaker 1: Yeah, but they would cap how much stars can get.
- 46:41Speaker 1: That's part of it. That was in the proposal.
- 46:44Speaker 2: Yeah, why? Why? No one caps how much a CEO
- 46:46Speaker 2: can make in other companies.
- 46:49Speaker 1: Yeah, but they cap how much the teams can make
- 46:52Speaker 1: and how much they can profit when they sell the teams.
- 46:55Speaker 1: You can only sell it at a certain number.
- 46:57Speaker 2: No, you can't. I'm being sarcastic. I know. If you
- 47:02Speaker 2: start your own business and you're the owner, when you
- 47:05Speaker 2: do an IPO, if you make billions of dollars, no
- 47:07Speaker 2: one says, just kidding, guys. You can only make $ 100 million.
- 47:11Speaker 2: We're going to cap it and the rest goes to
- 47:14Speaker 2: the other guy's pocket, whoever's pocket.
- 47:17Speaker 1: No. Which country are we talking about? Because if it's
- 47:22Speaker 1: a communist country, that is kind of how it works.
- 47:25Speaker 3: This is where our show is going to kill it.
- 47:27Speaker 3: This is where our show is going to kill it.
- 47:29Speaker 3: Any other baseball, like the network, all they have is
- 47:33Speaker 3: dudes like you who made tons of money and are
- 47:35Speaker 3: going to talk about how they made tons of money.
- 47:38Speaker 3: They don't have dudes like me. Because right now, that's
- 47:40Speaker 3: what Major League Baseball is trying to do. They're trying
- 47:43Speaker 3: to make this divide right here between you and I, AJ,
- 47:47Speaker 3: a guy who didn't make millions of dollars and a
- 47:51Speaker 3: guy who did make millions of dollars. And they're completely
- 47:54Speaker 3: erasing the fact that you are a much better player
- 47:57Speaker 3: than I was. And they're saying, Eric, you represent the
- 48:02Speaker 3: majority here. We're going to pander to your majority because
- 48:06Speaker 3: we're going to get you $ 3 million when you only
- 48:09Speaker 3: should be making $ 720, 000 per year as a rookie, as
- 48:10Speaker 3: a kind of a 26th man on the roster type
- 48:13Speaker 3: of thing.
- 48:13Speaker 2: So if they can break my people....
- 48:22Speaker 3: If they can break the 85%, that's how they're going
- 48:25Speaker 3: to get this done because they're going to convince those guys.
- 48:28Speaker 2: That's how they did it last time.
- 48:30Speaker 3: And that's why they're making their push this time because
- 48:32Speaker 3: they did it last time. They went over the executive committee,
- 48:36Speaker 3: and the executive committee was built up at that time.
- 48:38Speaker 2: It's not anymore. The executive committee was built of guys
- 48:41Speaker 2: exactly like the Players Association, all dudes with 10-plus years,
- 48:46Speaker 2: made millions of dollars, and those guys said, no, k-boshed.
- 48:52Speaker 2: the agreement.
- 48:53Speaker 3: And then the majority said, yes, we'll take it. That's
- 48:56Speaker 3: why the owners are going at it. It's not parody.
- 48:59Speaker 3: It's not the owners say we see a weak link.
- 49:02Speaker 3: We see an opportunity to strike and we're going to
- 49:05Speaker 3: hit those 85%. What they're not telling those 85% is
- 49:10Speaker 3: once you get two or three years in the big leagues,
- 49:12Speaker 3: just like the NFL, you're going to be out because
- 49:15Speaker 3: you're going to be priced out. And then we'll bring
- 49:17Speaker 3: in the next guys to make $ 3 million as rookies.
- 49:22Speaker 1: Yeah. Also, for the record, I mean, the PA's proposal
- 49:24Speaker 1: has a higher league minimum than MLB's proposal. But I
- 49:28Speaker 1: get it. I mean, that doesn't mean you get what
- 49:29Speaker 1: you want. You can't just propose whatever you want.
- 49:31Speaker 2: Get it.
- 49:31Speaker 1: But I did want to finish with this. And I
- 49:35Speaker 1: know this might be a little bit dark. The only
- 49:40Speaker 1: reason that these kinds of exchanges are happening right now
- 49:43Speaker 1: is because there's like a national labor relations board. I've
- 49:45Speaker 1: read about this and Evan Drellick's way smarter about this
- 49:48Speaker 1: stuff from the athletic. He'll come on and help us
- 49:50Speaker 1: out more, but you actually have to show that you're
- 49:52Speaker 1: trying both sides. The facts are, if there's one huge
- 49:57Speaker 1: issue that is not being agreed to, it is kind
- 50:00Speaker 1: of a waste of time to do anything. If they
- 50:02Speaker 1: can't get past that, right. Until we get to like
- 50:06Speaker 1: March when there's a real leverage deadline. None of this
- 50:09Speaker 1: matters because every conversation is just wrapped around the same theme.
- 50:13Speaker 1: And even if you're a person that thinks that the
- 50:16Speaker 1: players union is going to ultimately decide, you're right. We're
- 50:19Speaker 1: giving in after a hundred something years in the sport.
- 50:21Speaker 1: We're going to have a salary cap. Bless you. Even
- 50:24Speaker 1: if you do think that's going to happen, I promise
- 50:26Speaker 1: you this. It wouldn't happen until probably May, June, July.
- 50:31Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 50:32Speaker 1: It would be really deep into next year. So my
- 50:34Speaker 1: point is, why even have the conversations if you can't
- 50:37Speaker 1: have a conversation about something besides a salary cap? I
- 50:41Speaker 1: guess I mentioned this a little bit the other day.
- 50:43Speaker 1: There are other issues in our sport that are worth covering.
- 50:47Speaker 1: I just think that they shouldn't even talk about a
- 50:49Speaker 1: cap until we get to the leverage point and then
- 50:52Speaker 1: see if both sides are actually willing to miss games.
- 50:55Speaker 1: What is the point of a conversation November, December, January
- 50:58Speaker 1: revolving around a cap when you know it's a non-starter
- 51:01Speaker 1: for a long period of time? If not ever, we
- 51:03Speaker 1: don't know, right? You don't know the true decision that
- 51:07Speaker 1: would be made by a voting body of many people
- 51:10Speaker 1: on the players union side, right? Like you don't know.
- 51:13Speaker 1: How long would it take, right? Because there's always a number.
- 51:16Speaker 1: If the sports shut down for five years, yeah, eventually
- 51:18Speaker 1: they're going to give in to something. But also if
- 51:20Speaker 1: you shut down for five years, your sport's basically over, right?
- 51:23Speaker 1: That I get. My point is right now having that
- 51:26Speaker 1: conversation in early November is a literal waste of time,
- 51:30Speaker 1: but it's a formality thing. due to a legal process.
- 51:34Speaker 1: So just throwing that out there. Again, it has nothing
- 51:38Speaker 1: to do with either side. It just has to do
- 51:39Speaker 1: with the fact that it's a complete waste of time
- 51:41Speaker 1: for like four months to talk about that topic. Let's
- 51:43Speaker 1: talk about other topics. Debating the topic, great, but actually
- 51:46Speaker 1: making the exchange is stupid because you just get, it's
- 51:50Speaker 1: literally just someone saying, give me your lunch. And they say, no,
- 51:53Speaker 1: give me your lunch. No, give me your lunch. No,
- 51:54Speaker 1: over and over again. All right, good show. Let's finish
- 51:58Speaker 1: on a high note. Aiden Miller, exciting prospect. Looking for
- 52:02Speaker 1: a bounce back a little bit. Billy's organization, one of
- 52:05Speaker 1: their top guys, he's going to be joining Hot Sheet.
- 52:07Speaker 1: Hot Sheet's already starting right now on Baseball America's YouTube channel.
- 52:10Speaker 1: So go check that out, please. Also, new top 10
- 52:14Speaker 1: lists per organization being released by Baseball America. And today
- 52:18Speaker 1: they're hitting the Braves and the Marlins. So a lot
- 52:21Speaker 1: of National League East talk on that one. And we'll
- 52:25Speaker 1: see everyone else on Wednesday.