Latest / Three For The Money / Week 3 NFL Betting Picks, McVey is the GOAT, Tomlin Loves Primetime, Bandit is HOT

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Week 3 NFL Betting Picks, McVey is the GOAT, Tomlin Loves Primetime, Bandit is HOT · Three For The Money

0:00
Okay, okay, okay.
0:07
We're here.
0:11
We're back.
0:12
It's three for the money.
0:13
New episodes every Thursday.
0:16
Week two is over.
0:18
And now we're on to week three.
0:21
Yeah.
0:22
Up next is the week two.
0:24
A bunch of crazy shit happened last week.
0:30
I had a miracle cover by the Rams.
0:32
But before we kind of dive into.
0:36
The slate this week, I think, I think we got to start this off and say.
0:42
Bandit is super white lava.
0:45
Red hot.
0:46
Molten.
0:47
The.
0:48
Molten.
0:49
Hot. Molten lava hot.
0:55
The boy knows he can't be stopped.
0:58
He knows ball.
1:00
That's a ball.
1:04
Yeah.
1:05
That is all he knows.
1:06
If they didn't, it knows one thing.
1:08
It's, it's ball.
1:11
For sure. It's just like.
1:13
He's, he's better than all of us.
1:15
Like his ROI is just through the roof because he hasn't lost.
1:20
Yeah.
1:21
I mean, he hasn't lost yet.
1:23
You can't have a bad ROI if you don't lose.
1:26
Yeah.
1:28
That's, that's just insane.
1:31
Two thirds and I picked in a row.
1:34
And then his parlay hit not fully because Panthers pushed.
1:41
But it still went through.
1:43
That's still a dub.
1:45
Like the parlay still wins.
1:47
Yeah. Like that's, you're still up six and a half units.
1:50
So overall bandits up like probably almost nine units now.
1:55
Yeah.
1:56
Like a billion units.
1:58
And he's a dog.
2:00
He's.
2:01
He's not even a person.
2:03
He's not a person.
2:04
He's an animal.
2:05
And he's so much better at this thing.
2:07
He's better than anybody in the, in the country right now.
2:11
It's, it's just incredible.
2:15
Just never been done before.
2:18
Put him in the hall of him.
2:21
So follow the Twitter, follow the tick tock.
2:26
That's, that's where he posts his picks.
2:28
You know, he always be posting.
2:31
Um, I mean, I'm going to take his picks.
2:36
Um, but all right.
2:40
I just had to mention that we just, he can't be stopped.
2:44
Um, he won't be, he's going to keep it going and he won't be.
2:48
Yeah.
2:49
Got to keep the street street going.
2:52
Um, but yeah, we're back.
2:54
It's week three.
2:56
Uh, for me week two was just okay.
2:59
Um, I went six and five somehow.
3:04
Um, but I did lose my sure fire bet.
3:06
I have yet to win one of those.
3:08
Um, I'm pretty bummed about it.
3:10
Um, cause it's kind of like not really, uh,
3:13
making me money here.
3:14
So, but, uh, we're going to try to improve on that.
3:17
Um, all, although shout out with the Rams.
3:20
Uh, they did cover.
3:22
Uh, that was insane.
3:25
That was just an insane cover.
3:28
He didn't have to do that.
3:30
He, he made the spread like, right?
3:33
Like, I know he's not going to say it, but he, he knew.
3:36
Yeah.
3:37
This guy, this guy's known like every play he's called since like,
3:41
he was in college.
3:43
Like he, he knew the spread.
3:45
Yeah.
3:46
He for sure knew it.
3:48
And he's gone to call from upstairs.
3:51
His reason was like, I didn't want to get Matt Stafford hurt.
3:54
It's like, yeah, it's kind of hard to do that on the knee down.
3:56
So, uh, let's just kick field goal.
3:58
It's just crazy.
4:02
I'm not complaining.
4:04
Oh, no.
4:05
No, no, no, I love it.
4:07
Yeah, I would do, if I was a coach, I would like, as soon as the line came out,
4:12
but all right, I'm covering this number, whatever I do, I'm covering this number.
4:18
I wouldn't bet it cause I would be frowned upon, but I would, I'd cover it.
4:24
I think 49ers were just a good team and the Rams were a great team.
4:31
That's what it comes down to.
4:32
They covered.
4:33
They covered.
4:34
They're a great team.
4:35
No one cares about, no one cares about winning.
4:37
Yeah.
4:38
Well, it matters just if you cover.
4:40
Yeah.
4:41
That's right.
4:44
Well, Chris, how did you do last week?
4:47
Pretty much the exact same as you will.
4:49
Lost my surefire.
4:51
I went six, five and one shout out to the Panthers for pushing on Monday night,
4:55
which was insane.
4:58
They hadn't like, they did not move the ball at all the entire game and they get
5:03
shot in the last minute and a half of the game to put, to get the push.
5:08
Love it.
5:09
Shout out Bryce Young.
5:11
But yeah, records not good so far.
5:15
I am, let's see, let me find it.
5:21
1115 and one.
5:24
So slowly, but surely digging out of that hole.
5:27
I dug for myself and week one.
5:32
I'm not sure what it was.
5:33
I'm not sure what it was.
5:35
I'm not sure what it was.
5:36
I don't know about every single game.
5:38
Yeah, I'm not.
5:39
Yeah, that was a mistake.
5:41
It's okay.
5:42
You're excited.
5:43
Just just jumping.
5:44
I was so it's okay.
5:45
Yeah.
5:46
I don't regret it.
5:47
I don't.
5:48
I'm just not going to do it again.
5:49
Yeah.
5:50
Sean, how did you do?
5:51
I went eight, five and one.
5:56
So not bad.
5:59
Hit my surefire pick.
6:01
It's a good weekend row.
6:02
The only like plus odds that I hit this week was the Steelers
6:11
Moneyline, which I also had.
6:13
I put a unit and a half on the Steelers Moneyline and the spread.
6:17
So I came out pretty on top for the whole weekend in general.
6:23
So that was, that was nice.
6:26
But unfortunately, I was playing.
6:29
My opponent in fantasy had the Steelers defense.
6:32
So lost that one.
6:35
And it's fucked up because he also had to Sean Watson and it's
6:41
like every Dishon mistake.
6:43
Every Dishon mistake is also still his game.
6:47
That's, that's chess, not checkers.
6:49
Yeah.
6:50
That's, that's 3d chess.
6:51
He was playing 3d chess and I'm playing with sticks in the backyard.
6:58
So I'm going to go back to the game.
7:00
Real quick, going back to Monday night, I did hit since it was
7:03
doubleheader, I did parlayed over three and a half field goals in
7:06
both games, cashed.
7:08
And there's another Monday night, doubleheader this week.
7:12
So I'll be doing the exact same thing.
7:15
I might tell you on that one because that seems like a lot of fun.
7:19
Yeah, just rooting for field goals.
7:21
Just, oh, um, which the panther.
7:24
Oh, I'm sorry.
7:25
Go ahead.
7:26
The panther Saints over three and a half people's hit in the second
7:29
quarter.
7:30
Yeah.
7:31
So I didn't have to care about that game anymore after that.
7:34
That's, that's good because that game blue sucked.
7:38
The other game sucked.
7:39
The Steelers Browns was actually like decent.
7:42
It was actually a pretty good game.
7:44
It was bad football, but it was so much fun.
7:47
Yeah, it was, yeah, that was a fun game.
7:50
It was very fun.
7:52
That was college football being played by professional athletes.
7:55
Yes, it was awesome.
7:57
Oh, incredible.
7:59
That game just lasted a million years though.
8:04
Dude, so long.
8:07
It got to half time and I was like, we're only halfway through this shit.
8:11
Are you serious?
8:12
Yeah.
8:13
Yeah, I texted y'all.
8:14
I was like, my, my internal football has this like almost the fourth quarter.
8:19
I looked up, there's nine minutes left in the third.
8:21
I was like, what are we doing here?
8:25
I want to go to bed, man.
8:28
Yeah, a lot of crazy shit happened Monday.
8:31
That's kind of struggling.
8:33
But just to backtrack a little bit.
8:37
We had a friend of ours give out a prop like literally two minutes
8:42
before the Titans game of Nick Falk over one and a half field goals.
8:47
And I hopped on that as quick as I could.
8:50
I had my bet slip and it says that I placed it at 1159.
8:55
48, which means I only had like 12 more seconds left to place the bet.
9:01
But oh my God, Nick Falk walked it off with the Titans win and a gambling dub.
9:09
So shout out to the goat.
9:12
That's awesome.
9:13
That was I believe Nick Falk.
9:17
Yeah.
9:19
I believe in him for the first two games of the season.
9:23
So, but yeah, that was last week, but now we're under this week.
9:29
And we're going to, I'm going to try to do better.
9:33
It's getting kind of depressing.
9:35
Like I might mean my record's positive, but like I'm losing the surf.
9:40
I suck.
9:42
But I'm losing these surf firepets and I'm like, man, and I, and I up my unit size this year.
9:48
So it's like, I'm kind of feeling it right now.
9:51
And college just, just blew my asshole.
9:55
Like this past week, this was not a good week.
10:00
We don't have to talk about that.
10:03
If we don't want to.
10:04
I've just been moping around since Saturday about college football because literally everything I did was wrong.
10:15
It was wrong.
10:17
I went like, oh, and 12.
10:19
It was a horrible day.
10:21
Some say that's harder than going 12 and now I mean, I, it felt pretty easy.
10:33
Wasn't that hard for me, apparently.
10:37
And I'll tell you, that's not the first time that's happened either.
10:41
Oh, it's not the first time for me either.
10:44
So, but let's move on.
10:47
It's a new week.
10:48
Yeah.
10:49
Positive vibes.
10:50
Yeah.
10:51
Positive vibes.
10:52
All right.
10:53
The first game we're going to talk about in week three.
10:56
Surprise, surprise.
10:58
It's the Titans.
10:59
The Titans are playing the Browns in Cleveland.
11:03
The Browns as of right now currently favored by three and a half.
11:08
I got, I got all my lines from, from a bed MGM.
11:11
They've kind of moved a little bit since the beginning of the week.
11:14
But I think I know where I want to go, but where do you want to go, Chris?
11:20
I was hoping you don't go to me first on this one.
11:25
I want to go Titans plus three, but I can't tell if I'm a prisoner of the moment.
11:32
Just watching the Browns play.
11:34
I'm taking obviously the terrible Nick Chubb injury out of it.
11:37
The Sean Watson was horrific.
11:41
He was played about as bad as a quarterback could play.
11:45
So I don't know if I'm just like, Oh, well, he's going to be like that again.
11:50
Or it's like, well, the Sean Watson has a history of just fucking the Titans.
11:55
So I don't, my brain's kind of in a, is in a pretzel right now.
11:59
I want to go Titans plus three, but I'm open to suggestions, which whoever has one.
12:06
I'm going to stay as far away from these spreads and money lines as possible for this game.
12:15
I'm just going to, I'm just going to go over, over 39 and a half.
12:20
I think, I mean, okay.
12:23
So in the past eight games that the Browns and Titans have played, they are seven and one on the over.
12:31
So, this, this is extremely low.
12:38
This is an extremely low total.
12:41
And I mean, the last time the Browns and Titans played where it was in 2020, which was the COVID year,
12:51
and that, that over under was set at 54 and a half.
12:55
And it went way over.
13:00
I don't think I remember that game.
13:02
I mean, it was like the COVID year fumbled.
13:06
I think those dark Henry fumbled like pretty early in the game.
13:10
And we were back like 14 to zero.
13:13
And we spent the whole game just trying to call back.
13:17
Oh yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, I remember that.
13:20
Yeah. And they, they got up to massively real quick.
13:25
Yeah.
13:26
We started to score more points.
13:28
I remember the second half. Yeah, it was better. But yeah, they got up to like, it was like 30 to nothing at halftime.
13:33
Wasn't it?
13:34
It was something like that.
13:36
It's coming back to me now.
13:37
I kind of remember this game.
13:39
I remember it was like, wasn't like Dolly Parton, like the involved with it somehow.
13:45
Yeah.
13:47
I believe that just feels disrespectful.
13:50
Well, she was, I'm pretty sure she was.
13:53
On our part, that just feels really disrespectful.
13:56
Yeah.
13:59
We're not, you know, getting a dub in front of the queen.
14:06
But, uh, hmm, well said.
14:11
Let's see.
14:12
I was going to go Titans plus three and a half, but yeah, man, you make some great points, Sean.
14:18
I mean, our two and oh against the spread.
14:24
I was also, yeah, I was also thinking like Monday night, the Browns, like I said, were a disaster on offense and they still, they still score 22 points.
14:37
And the Steelers Titans have a good defense. The Steelers have an elite defense.
14:43
So it's like, if they can score 22 on them, they prize, they score more than that on us probably just football math.
14:52
So yeah, you know what, I'm going to do that over 39 and a half.
14:55
I think I'm going to do that as well.
14:58
I think it's the safest option.
15:03
When in doubt, take the over.
15:05
Yeah.
15:07
It'll be three to nothing after the first quarter probably.
15:13
Fuck it. I'm taking the over.
15:16
Next game Falcons at Lions in Detroit Lions are home favorites by three and a half.
15:24
John, I'm going to throw it off to you for this one.
15:28
And I think I think I can predict what you're going to say.
15:33
What do you think I'm going to say?
15:35
I think you're going to say over 46.
15:38
I am not.
15:40
Oh,
15:42
but it's not the opposite. So I'm not taking the under.
15:49
I think the Falcons are pretty damn good.
15:54
I think they're pretty damn good.
15:58
I'm going to take, I'm not going to take them straight up here even though I think they could beat the Lions,
16:04
but I'm going to take the plus three here.
16:08
That's my pick.
16:10
I've been, I'm sorry, three and a half.
16:13
I've been racking my brain about it for the past, you know, two days.
16:18
And more and more of me just wants to take this three point underdog on the road.
16:25
It just like this screams trap for Lions betters to me.
16:34
This, this line kind of doesn't make any sense. If you think about it, why is it, why is it three?
16:42
They were favored with the Seahawks by five and a half and lost just because they beat the,
16:49
I think the Lions are a good team and they can compete, but just like last year, they're going to come out with a slow start.
16:57
And yeah, you got that dub against the chiefs. Congratulations.
17:01
But this, this Falcons team can run all over you every which way.
17:08
And I got to keep riding with the Falcons. I think I've rode with the Falcons for the past two weeks now.
17:15
And it's just, they're just kind of becoming my ride or die at this point.
17:20
I'm, I'm riding them until they, they lose.
17:25
You make some very good points there.
17:28
I don't hate that.
17:30
Chris, what do you think?
17:34
Well, what you thought Sean was going to take is what I'm taking over 46 and a half. I think the Lions are, excuse me, I think the Falcons are better.
17:44
Like that sounds weird to say the Lions cannot stop the run whatsoever.
17:50
Kenneth Walker ran all over them on Sunday. And I think Bijon is going to do, and the whole stable of running backs they have is going to do the exact same thing.
18:01
I do not trust the Falcons defense though. That's why I'm not taking them straight up. That's why I'm taking over 46 and a half.
18:06
The Lions will get their points. They always do. It seems like they always, I mean, they have a great offense. That's why, but they always find a way to get their points.
18:15
I think this is a shootout. I think both teams get into the 30s, honestly.
18:19
I do like the over a lot.
18:24
Yes, I'm taking the over.
18:26
Let's go.
18:27
Surprise.
18:29
But yeah, like, let's see if this is like the Lions teams of the past couple of years, it's like, yeah, they're going to have a slow start, but they're still going to score points.
18:40
And these past two weeks with the Falcons, they can definitely put a point. And so it's going to be points.
18:49
And that's, that's what I'm, that's what I'm seeing here. And Sean was like, I'm racking my brain for the past two days. I was definitely not racking my brain with this.
18:58
I immediately saw this and I was like, Oh, that's an over right there.
19:02
Before I even looked at the line, I was like, as long as this isn't in the 50s, I'm taking this over. Even if it was in the 50s, I still probably take it. I just be pretty nervous about it.
19:12
But the fact that it's 46 and a half, give it to me.
19:16
Yes, I fully fully agree.
19:19
All right, next game, we got the Buffalo Bills at the Washington Manders.
19:26
The Manders are dogs by six and a half.
19:31
Okay, it's my turn to go first. So I guess I'll go first.
19:37
I'm taking the Manders plus six and a half here. I think the past two weeks they've, they've really shown that they have a dog in the fight. They're two and they're two and oh bills aren't
19:51
there one and one. I worry about this being like a backs against the wall type of situation for the bills and they're just going to smoke them and I can easily see the bills just smoking the commanders.
20:06
But I think that this has big trap potential right here.
20:14
Just because like Vegas will set this line to six and a half to make people think oh it's Josh Allen the bills are going to smoke the commanders they're going to they're going to kill them they're going to murder them.
20:25
It's not even a touchdown. That's why they want you to take that minus six and a half because it's not even a touchdown. So I'm taking plus six and a half Washington commanders.
20:36
Sam Howe. I, he's, he's really bad in the first half is what we've learned from these games, but then he comes back in the second half, and he's a dog. And so I'm riding with Sam Howe.
20:52
There we go. Chris, I see you writing something down. What do you think? Well,
20:58
Well, thank you for asking. I'm taking over 44 and a half. I think this is points points points.
21:06
The commander's defense is nowhere as good as I thought it would be. I thought they would shut down fraudulent Russell Wilson. They did not. He looked like the Super Bowl winner Russell Wilson.
21:19
They did not trust the commanders to stop Josh Allen. So I'm taking over 44 and a half. I just, I think it's a track me, honestly, I don't think either defense. I don't think the bills defense is very good, either.
21:34
I played pretty well against the Raiders, but the Raiders have Jimmy G, who's meh and Vonte Adams, who's obviously amazing, but they have one good player. Everyone else is mediocre at best.
21:49
I think the commanders will get their points and over 44 and a half of things kind of low for this game. So I'm taking.
21:57
Hell yeah, Sean.
22:01
Man, the more you guys talk, the more that I am undecided.
22:10
Man, this one, this one had my brain and another pretzel, honestly.
22:18
See, like with these spreads, like you just said, Chris, like you see the bills playing the commanders into like an average better, it would be like, oh, the commanders stink.
22:32
I'm taking the bills, but six and a half point underdog at home.
22:37
That's, that's a lot of points. That's a lot of points.
22:41
And like, I almost want to put half a unit on that and half a unit on the over.
22:50
Just because you also made some really good points about, you know, just points, points, points. I mean, I don't know if y'all.
22:58
So I think it was the Cowboys Jets game where they just like, I think Fox just turned it or CBS just turned it off.
23:08
Yeah, sucked. Yeah.
23:11
We're going to 40 to 10. Yeah.
23:14
We're going to commanders at Broncos and I was like, okay, and then like the more I watched, I was like, man, this, this same Hal guy, he's kind of, he can, he can put up numbers if he wants to.
23:29
He can sling it.
23:31
I think that that's what I'm going to do. I'm going to split half a unit for each of those picks.
23:39
So I'll have two picks in that game. I'll take manders plus six and a half and over 43 and a half.
23:45
Let's go.
23:47
Will, you made an excellent point about this. The commanders are have both games have started very slow.
23:56
So for that reason, I'll also be having to double dip Bill's first half minus three and a half.
24:03
That sounds like a winner. Yeah.
24:06
Like, I mean, they, they, they trail that halftime to the Cardinals, I believe.
24:12
And they were down, but what three touchdowns at one point against the Broncos. So yeah, Bill's first half minus three and a half. That seems like a winner.
24:22
All right. Cool. Cool. Cool. Cool. Cool. Cool. All right.
24:26
Next game Sunday night football Steelers at Raiders Raiders are favored at home by two and a half.
24:39
Okay.
24:42
That line does not make a lot of sense to me.
24:47
I kind of hate it. I'm the more I just look at it, I'm like feeling less and less confident in my pick.
24:55
But I'm, I'm going to fucking roll with this. All right.
24:59
I'm taking the Steelers plus two and a half here. I mean, it surprise surprise, the Steelers have an elite defense.
25:11
Yeah, it's not a surprise.
25:14
You guys said that and like every year since 19 like 72, and it would have been factual.
25:20
Exactly. Like it's and the Raiders, they kind of stink.
25:26
Like, and the Steelers have playoff aspirations. The Raiders, I mean, I guess the players do.
25:35
Like, if you're a fan, like, I don't really think that you can compete in that division or with anyone.
25:45
Damn.
25:46
Beat the Broncos.
25:48
Yeah, by one.
25:50
Same hell.
25:52
It's fair.
25:54
Yeah. So I'm taking the Steelers. I mean, Jimmy G is a system QB.
26:01
TJ Watts going to wreck their shit.
26:05
I'm rolling with the Steelers. It's two and a half, not even a field goal.
26:09
I think people want, I think Vegas wants people to take the Raiders because they're at home.
26:15
They're essentially calling this game a pick them because a home field advantage counts for like three.
26:21
But really the Steelers are kind of favored.
26:25
If you, if you, if you think about it, don't think about it too much. You don't have to think about it too much.
26:30
Okay.
26:31
I like that.
26:32
I like that.
26:33
Yeah.
26:34
Sean, what do you think about this game?
26:39
So I do like the Steelers here and I do have a stat to back this up.
26:48
Mike Tomlin is 17 and eight on Sunday night football.
26:53
And if anything, I think we just keep rolling with Mike Tomlin stats because he's what like 10 and 0 on 11 and 0 now on Monday night football.
27:08
At home.
27:09
I saw the Steelers haven't lost a home Monday night football game in like 20 years.
27:15
That's, I mean, that's crazy.
27:18
Like, what are we talking about?
27:20
I wish I would have known that last week.
27:23
Yeah.
27:24
I was taking the Steelers anyways, but I mean, yeah, but I would have, I would have put a lot of money on them if I knew that.
27:30
That's why that's why I put a unit and a half, but I digress.
27:35
So I don't think I'm going to take that.
27:40
I don't think I'm going to take the spread here.
27:42
I think I'm going to take them straight up at plus 130.
27:46
I mean, okay, Raiders, like you said, they.
27:49
They're not impressive.
27:53
They're not impressive on either side of the ball.
27:56
At least the Steelers are impressive on the defensive side of the ball.
28:00
And God forbid that Steelers have pickings.
28:09
Is there only like real, real good offensive player, but I like the Steelers here.
28:18
I think they get back to back prime time dubs and they'll make a case that they could compete in this in their division.
28:29
Oh yeah.
28:30
What do you think, Chris?
28:32
I like what Sean said, honestly, almost swayed me, but the line just feels a little too trap for me.
28:37
So I'm going to go total again under 43.
28:40
The Steelers have, like we all have said, an incredible defense.
28:46
The Steelers don't have a very good offense.
28:48
The Steelers offense is atrocious.
28:52
They had negative seven yards in the fourth quarter on Monday night.
28:58
Negative seven.
29:00
And they scored a touchdown.
29:02
They went backwards.
29:05
So I mean, shit, like, I know the Browns have a phenomenal defense, but I think the rate, I know I said the Raiders defense was atrocious.
29:14
I think they're not as bad as I thought they were.
29:17
They'll probably look like world leaders against Matt Canada and his dumb ass play calling.
29:23
So under 43, also prime time under.
29:26
So which I guess, oh, it will hit one of them last night.
29:31
So on Monday night, excuse me.
29:33
So yeah, under 43, it's probably going to be a stinky game, honestly, but that's where the Steelers thrive.
29:39
So next game we got the Rams at the Bengals Monday night football, one of the Monday night football games.
29:48
Bengals are home favorites by two and a half.
29:51
Rams look pretty good.
29:53
They don't look terrible.
29:56
Like this Pukinacua dude.
29:59
This guy's a straight dog.
30:02
This guy just, he's crazy, man.
30:07
This is a ball rematch.
30:09
Yeah.
30:13
This is a Bengals are kind of had their backs against the wall.
30:21
They're 0-2, they're 0-2 against the spread.
30:25
They got to get this win.
30:28
This is almost do or die for them.
30:32
Sean, what do you think?
30:38
I was hoping we could, I could hear y'all's pick first and then I could decide because.
30:48
Okay.
30:49
Well, Sean, if you, I'll go first on this one.
30:51
Yeah, yeah.
30:52
I got a stat.
30:54
Joe Burrow in his career versus non-divisional opponents.
31:01
It's 16-2 against the spread.
31:04
Really?
31:05
Yeah.
31:06
And revenge game.
31:07
Like you said, backs against the wall, hungry dog runs faster.
31:11
Bengals must 2-1 1 half all day for me.
31:14
I might try to find a book or a book.
31:17
It's out there somewhere where I can put in a exact final score bet.
31:21
23-20 Bengals.
31:23
Because that's reverse of the Super Bowl.
31:26
Yeah, it is.
31:28
So I want to try to look for that and I might sprinkle like a few bucks on that.
31:34
But either way, Bengals must 2-1 1 half is, is what I'm taking.
31:40
Yeah.
31:41
I, I'm also taking Bengals minus 2-1 1 half for all the reasons I said.
31:47
Excuse me.
31:49
Bless you.
31:50
Thanks.
31:52
God blesses me every day.
31:55
Yeah.
31:56
I mean, it's, they can't, they cannot go down 0-3.
32:02
Seasons over if they go 0-3.
32:05
Pretty much.
32:06
Like, they can't, their, their toes.
32:09
Yeah.
32:10
They can't just give all this money to Joe Burrow and get nothing.
32:16
He still could be hurt.
32:18
But I mean, if we know anything about Joe Burrow since last year, he shits the bed the first two games.
32:25
And then he's like, Oh, okay, we're going to, we're going to run it back.
32:30
And then they start winning games again.
32:32
And so this, I'm, I'm hoping this is the moment that, that they come back because I've been on them for two straight weeks and it has not gone well for me.
32:41
So I'm taking Bengals minus 2-1 1 half.
32:45
Sean.
32:46
All right.
32:48
You have convinced me.
32:51
I will be taking Bengals minus 2-1 1 half.
32:55
Let's go.
32:56
If they do not cover this game, I have taken the Bengals.
32:59
No, not you.
33:01
I have taken the Bengals in the past two weeks to cover the spread.
33:09
If they do not cover this spread and lose outright to go down 0-3, they have made the list and I will no longer bet on them.
33:20
For the rest of the season.
33:22
You just made the list.
33:24
I mean, I feel like that's fair.
33:28
This is like, you know, strike three and you're out.
33:33
This is, this is crunch time.
33:35
So I hate this pick, but I'm going to ride with it.
33:39
Okay.
33:40
I hate it.
33:41
I hate this pick.
33:43
Oh my gosh.
33:51
Yeah.
33:53
Yeah, that's it for the main slate.
33:55
So right now we're going to go into our surefire bets.
34:00
Hopefully I can win one of these.
34:02
I guess I'm going to send it to Chris first because I'm going to be on the show.
34:08
I guess I'm going to send it to Chris first because I don't know.
34:13
I feel like I've been talking a lot.
34:15
Chris, what is your double unit surefire cannot lose double unit play?
34:22
I'm double unit twice.
34:24
Well, I guess you have four units.
34:27
I'm not doing.
34:28
I might because the bet that I have for my double unit surefire can't lose play of the week or whatever.
34:37
I mean, it's a tail is all this time.
34:41
Death taxes and the Patriots being the New York Jets.
34:45
Jets minus, or excuse me Patriots minus two and a half lock it.
34:51
I, it made me a little, I opened at three and a half made me a little nervous.
34:55
It dropped to two and a half today.
34:57
I mean, give it to me.
34:59
The, I mean, Bill Belichick owns the New York Jets.
35:03
He just does.
35:04
I don't care if their defense is phenomenal.
35:07
I don't care if Matt Jones is pulling very average.
35:10
The Patriots beat the Jets.
35:12
They just do.
35:13
They have not lost the Jets in regulation since 2010.
35:17
They haven't lost to him at all since 2015.
35:20
I mean, Zach Wilson was dry humping his girlfriend last time the Jets beat the Patriots.
35:25
So Patriots minus two and a half all day.
35:30
He was, he had to be, who wins BYU right?
35:33
Yeah, he's a weirdo Mormon.
35:35
Yeah, he was, he was.
35:36
No offense.
35:37
He was soaking.
35:38
No, that's later that later.
35:41
Also, I don't want to think about that.
35:46
He was, he was like what, 16 years old, I think the last, he's 20 foot three, four now.
35:52
He was like 16 years old the last time the Patriots beat the Jets.
35:58
That's crazy.
35:59
I cracked myself up a little bit.
36:04
But yeah, Patriots minus two and a half.
36:06
It's, I've taken it every year for, I mean, since I've been betting.
36:11
So since I've been born.
36:13
Yes, honestly.
36:15
But it's free money at this point.
36:18
So Patriots minus two and a half.
36:20
Sean, what is your double unit surefire, can't lose blah, blah, blah better than that?
36:26
Surefire double unit guaranteed to win surefire bed of the week is Falcons plus three.
36:37
Like I said, I am, I am riding with this team until they cross me.
36:42
And I feel very confident about this, this Falcons game coming up.
36:50
I think they're just going to run over Detroit.
36:54
And it's not really going to be close.
36:58
But I'm still, I'm not taking money line.
37:00
I'm still taking the spread.
37:04
Yeah, that's, I went into it earlier.
37:07
I don't really have much more to add Falcons plus three.
37:11
Will, what do you got?
37:13
So my surefire double unit guaranteed to win play of the week is an ugly one.
37:22
It's an ugly bastard.
37:25
And, but I love it.
37:29
I think this is the trap game of the week.
37:34
I have the Broncos plus six and a half against the dolphins.
37:39
Okay.
37:40
I love that. Will, I love that.
37:43
I think this is an ugly, ugly bastard of a bit is, but, but I, I love it.
37:50
Only a mother could love it.
37:54
This is why for, for, for the reason I said, for my, my commander's pick, plus six and a half, not quite a touchdown.
38:04
Vegas lures these people into taking these, these six and a half favorite spreads because they know that it's not going to hit.
38:13
They want you to think, Oh, it's not even a touchdown.
38:19
So that's why you take it because I mean, if, if it was a Super Bowl this week, it would be dolphins cowboys, dolphins look incredible.
38:29
They just, they're able to put up points.
38:31
They're able to stop teams.
38:34
And listen, if you think about it, the Broncos, they've only lost to these two games by a combined three points.
38:46
They've almost won both of their games.
38:51
They have playoff aspirations.
38:53
Okay.
38:54
Backs up against the wall.
38:56
Hungry dog runs faster.
38:59
I'm hoping that Russell Wilson isn't going to be dog shit in this game.
39:04
It seems like he has more of a brain this year with Sean Payton, you know, actually being, you know, a competent coach at the helm in Denver.
39:16
So I'm taking Broncos plus six and a half double unit.
39:20
I love it.
39:21
It's ugly, but I love it.
39:25
Boom.
39:26
There we go.
39:27
That was perfectly said.
39:29
Thank you.
39:30
You're welcome.
39:31
I, I thought a lot about it.
39:33
I did a little research about, you know, teams and shit.
39:38
But anyway, um, all right, sure fires are done.
39:45
Now onto our bonus plays.
39:49
Sean, what other plays do you have?
39:52
Please tell me.
39:53
I'm glad you asked.
39:56
Let me just go through here.
39:59
So, oh, that's interesting.
40:05
So, okay, so I was doing research yesterday and I saw on fan dual that the Vikings were favored by minus one and a half and they were plus 100.
40:18
And I was like, well, I'm hopping on that.
40:21
Anytime I see a football spread that's plus, plus odds, I'm going to, I'm just going to take it.
40:28
It's simple.
40:29
It's as simple as that.
40:30
But now the Vikings are dogs at plus one and a half, which has me scratch my head a little bit.
40:39
You thinking about double dipping the chip?
40:42
No, not really.
40:44
I think I'm just going to keep it as is.
40:49
But yeah, that's, that's one of them.
40:51
I guess it's not really relevant anymore.
40:53
But yeah, I've got Vikings minus one and a half.
40:56
I got Patriots minus two and a half, Chris.
40:59
Damn straight.
41:03
Okay, I'm going to save the bad one for last.
41:08
Okay, I got Bears Chiefs under 47 and a half.
41:13
And I've got Panther Seahawks over 42.
41:19
Cowboys and Cardinals under 43.
41:22
Now for the bad one that might take a little bit convincing with my mindset.
41:29
I have the Houston Texans plus nine and a half against the Jacksonville Jaguars on the road.
41:40
I don't hate that.
41:42
I've thought about that.
41:45
I didn't think about it at all.
41:46
I kind of just stand away from that game, but please enlighten me.
41:50
Did you know that the Texans are nine and one against the Jaguars straight up in their last 10?
41:55
Not adding it to my car.
41:58
No, I didn't.
41:59
And they are seven and three against the spread.
42:04
And the only time Trevor Lawrence has beaten the Texans is when it was crunch time to win the AFC.
42:13
Like the week before they played the Titans.
42:16
Yeah.
42:17
When they went on that like what seven game win streak or something like that.
42:20
Yeah.
42:21
Yeah.
42:23
This is a super crunchy like I will not be surprised if the Texans lose by 20.
42:30
Honestly.
42:32
But this nine and a half is speaking to me.
42:37
It's whispering sweet nothings into my ear.
42:40
I've already taken it.
42:42
So you convinced me.
42:44
Well, I haven't written down.
42:46
I will be taking it as soon as I can.
42:54
So that's that's my one where I'm kind of like, we'll see.
43:04
But I feel good about it.
43:07
Clearly.
43:08
Did I say, did I say the Packers Saints game?
43:14
No, no.
43:15
I've got the Packers minus two.
43:18
Let's go.
43:20
Okay.
43:21
I don't really need.
43:22
I think Jordan Love is doing a lot better than I thought he would.
43:27
Yeah.
43:29
They're they can stay in games.
43:33
Like they I mean, I know they've played the Bears and the Falcons.
43:38
But I mean, they can stay in games and they can get up early.
43:42
If they can get up early on the Saints, I think it's over.
43:48
So yeah, that's my card and I'm sticking with it.
43:52
Hoping to have another positive week.
43:56
I am 28 and one as of this moment.
44:01
Wait, oh, 20, 20.
44:03
Sorry.
44:04
That's 20, 20 hyphen eight and one.
44:11
I said that was like in what?
44:14
I realized that I said it.
44:17
I talked kind of fast through it.
44:19
But that's still a very impressive record.
44:22
Sean's the only reason people watch this fucking show.
44:25
I'm doing okay.
44:27
I don't really know what's going on.
44:29
No question.
44:30
Just a question in it.
44:32
And I'm just going to keep going with my gut and doing my same ritual
44:37
throughout the week and what you're where that gets me.
44:40
It's none of your business.
44:42
Oh, it's something dirty.
44:44
It's not.
44:46
Okay.
44:51
Was I the last person or will.
44:54
Sorry.
44:55
You have your card.
44:56
I think you were the first.
44:58
I was the first.
45:00
Oh, shit.
45:02
I talked for a while then.
45:05
I talked so long that I thought y'all already went.
45:09
Okay.
45:10
Who wants to go next?
45:12
Well, you got it.
45:13
I guess I'll go next.
45:15
So.
45:17
In the Chargers Vikings game.
45:20
Both of these teams have their backs against the wall.
45:24
Both of these teams can put up.
45:27
Serious points.
45:29
So I'm taking the over.
45:31
Over 54.
45:33
I think it's, it might be the highest over on the slate this week.
45:38
But I'm not going to take it.
45:40
I'm going to take it.
45:42
And you know what?
45:44
I'm going to take it.
45:46
This is just.
45:48
It screams over and sometimes when it screams at you, you got to
45:51
listen.
45:52
So I'm taking that over.
45:54
I, I can't really choose who's back is against the wall more in
45:57
that game.
45:58
So I'm just rolling with points.
46:00
And then my only other play is, is of course the Patriots minus two
46:04
and a half against the jets.
46:06
I'm going to take it over.
46:08
All right.
46:09
I have a relatively small rest of the bunch compared to other weeks.
46:12
I will be adding more once Sunday comes along.
46:15
I have bears plus 12 and a half written down just because
46:18
Patrick Holmes is God awful.
46:20
And against the spread in these big numbers.
46:23
But Sean told me the bears DC's like house got rated by the FBI or
46:27
something.
46:29
That's weird.
46:31
So I'm staying away from, I'm just going to scratch that one off.
46:34
And you know, this is just.
46:36
I'm just going to scratch that one off.
46:38
And then I'm going to take it over.
46:40
And then I'm going to play it.
46:41
The Patriots minus two.
46:43
Packers minus two.
46:44
I think the saints are very, very fraudulent.
46:46
They have played nobody.
46:47
And they played the Titans.
46:49
The Titans often are Ryan Tannehill was a joke that game.
46:52
So.
46:54
Packers minus two, I think they shove it.
46:56
Now Broncos plus six and a half Texans plus nine and a half.
46:59
And then.
47:00
Back to the well panthers plus six and a half.
47:03
I don't think the Seahawks are that good.
47:06
Give me a touchdown.
47:07
The Panthers, they just find ways to stay in these games.
47:10
I don't, granted, playing bad teams is one way to do it.
47:13
But I just, I don't believe in,
47:18
this is more anti-Seahawks than it is pro Panthers.
47:21
So Panthers plus six and a half.
47:23
That's all I got for now, but I will be adding more.
47:26
So follow the Twitter.
47:27
Hell, yes, follow the Twitter.
47:31
That's also where you'll find the banded picks,
47:35
the banded Parley, banded the Gamblin Dog, college picks.
47:40
I'm probably gonna pick a couple less games on Saturday
47:46
for the college slate just because I got my ass kicked.
47:51
I just kept, I just kept betting.
47:53
I just kept betting on shit.
47:54
Throughout the day, I'm like, fuck, I lost.
47:57
I got, I had one more play.
47:59
I had to chase it.
48:00
Yeah, and I hate it.
48:02
I thought for sure Colorado I was gonna cover in that game
48:06
just with all the shit that was happening
48:08
before every game.
48:09
I was like, this is a lock.
48:11
I had that over, man.
48:13
That was, that was fun.
48:17
I was like, going down the stretch, I was like,
48:19
okay, I was doing my gambling math.
48:21
I was like, I need double overtime for this to hit.
48:25
So let's just fuck it, see what happens.
48:27
And double overtime.
48:29
Hell yeah.
48:30
It rocked.
48:33
When Will and I were watching the games,
48:39
I had already lost like everything.
48:42
And I hadn't, and I still had Colorado.
48:46
And I go, Will, I may have lost all of my bets today,
48:51
but I have never been more sure of Colorado,
48:53
minus 21 and a half.
48:55
I was like, you're right, Sean.
49:00
And sure enough, wrong again.
49:06
God, I don't know what I'm gonna do Saturday.
49:09
I really don't.
49:11
I haven't even looked at college.
49:13
Yeah, I haven't looked either.
49:15
There are a few that I like, but can't give those out yet.
49:20
I ended up doing all right on Saturday.
49:22
I think I went like, I mean, I went like five and seven.
49:24
That's not good.
49:25
But I started legitimately oh and six.
49:28
So, I mean, all things considered, that's not awful.
49:34
Yeah.
49:35
You do that.
49:38
That happens to you a lot.
49:40
Colleagues, I-
49:40
You just like win four and then you lose six
49:43
and then you win three or you just have these streaks.
49:48
Well, Saturdays are a nightmare at my house.
49:51
It's either from like 11 to like four.
49:56
I'm in a phenomenal mood or I'm just in an awful mood.
50:00
And then from four until nine or 10, I'm like,
50:05
well, hey, we're turning in the corner.
50:07
And it's like, well, I gotta stay up until two
50:09
to watch the Pac-12.
50:11
So, Saturdays, they're a grind.
50:15
It's, but I'm up overall.
50:18
So, it's been fun.
50:19
I guess you could say.
50:22
Let's go.
50:24
Yeah, that's gonna be it for us.
50:26
Thank you so much for listening.
50:27
Thank you so much for watching.
50:29
We really appreciate it.
50:30
Please like, comment, subscribe.
50:32
Any interaction with this really helps us out,
50:35
really helps our reach.
50:38
Yeah.
50:39
And follow us on Twitter and tweet us if you take our pics
50:44
or if we lose, chirp us.
50:47
Feel free.
50:52
Anything else, boys?
50:54
I think that's it.
50:56
I'm good.
50:59
All right.
51:00
Stay tuned for Bandit's Pick.
51:02
That's right.
51:03
Stay tuned for Bandit's Pick.
51:06
There's three of us.
51:08
Now let's take a moment.