Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Final Pennies on the Sad Cats | NFL Week 11 Best Bets

Transcript

Final Pennies on the Sad Cats | NFL Week 11 Best Bets · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:09
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, presented by Draft Kings. The Crown
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: is yours. Happy Thursday. NFL Week eleven is here. I'm
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: Brandon Kravitz, joined by my two faves, the Prime Minister
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: of Degenerate Nations, Stucky and the Queen of the Pod,
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: Miss Kendra Middleton. On today's episode, we're gonna submit our
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: official plays of the week. We've got our stat of
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: the day, two Kings and a Queen Parlay. National Pickle
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: Day is tomorrow, so of course we've got Kendra's pickle
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: prop action under distraction. We've got fun, fun on top
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: of fun, and hopefully some winning picks along the way.
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: The Thursday Night Football line continues to tilt the way
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: of the New England Patriots. We said on Tuesday it
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: was Pat's minus eleven and a half or pass, so
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: if you wanted New England, hopefully you got in on
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: that early. Let's kick things off with Evan Abrams Shrimp.
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: Unbelievable stat of the week, straight from the primer. Both teams,
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: in terms of the Seahawks and the Rams seven and
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: two entering this game in Week eleven, both teams covering
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: at a rate of seventy seven percent as well. First
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: time since nineteen ninety that we've had two teams with
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: a cover rate that high play against each other. After
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Week ten, Sean mcvayh eleven and two ats against Seattle
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: in their last thirteen matchups. But this Seattle team feels different.
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: They are so good Seahawks now with three point dog though,
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: So it looks like money's coming in on the Rams. Stucky.
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: How did we get here with this number? This feels
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: like such an even matchup. The Rams don't have this
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: historically great home field advantage, and yet the number continues
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: to tilt in their direction.
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: Yeah, just a lot, just sharper. Money came in on
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: the Rams. That's pretty much what's gonna move the line
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: other than injury news. During the week of the NFL
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: S I I would at over three. I would look
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: at Seattle. I'm just really looking forward to this game.
• 2:08
  Speaker 2: There's not been many like just amazing games the NFL
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: this season. There's just so many bad teams. This week,
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: we have a couple of games where you're like, all right,
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: I need to tune in for this, and I think
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: that they'll live up to the hype. I could I
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: could make a case that the You know, I talked
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: about this last week that the Rams defense might be
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: a little overrated statistically. I mean over the last month
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: and a half. Right, they should have given up thirty
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: to the Colts at home, They had the drop at
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: the one, they had the tailor touchdown called back. They
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: are carved up by Matt Jones twice. And then if
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: you look at their other games, you know, they played
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: Cooper Rush when they played the Ravens, they played Tyler
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: Schuck in the Saints, so they've benefited from some of
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: their opponents. I think that that secondary is attackable. We'll
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: see if Sam Darnold can have more success against the
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: Rams than he did last year in Minnesota. A completely
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: different offense, but that's how his season ended last year,
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: and we also saw him struggle during the regular season.
• 3:09
  Speaker 3: But I.
• 3:12
  Speaker 2: Could also make the case that Seattle's defense is a
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: bit underrated because they played a good chunk of the
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: season with a lot of secondary injuries, and they've had
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: some guys step up. They've gotten a bit healthier on
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: the back end. It's a ferocious defensive line. They can
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: get pressure without blitzing. Coach by Mike McDonald, I mean
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: just the x's and o's matchup between McVeigh and McDonald.
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: I'm really looking forward to there. But yeah, I don't
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: have these teams too far. Apart as far as power
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: ratings are concerned, the Rams offense is a machine right now,
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: so I could only look at Seattle. But as of
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: right now, I haven't gotten to the window yet.
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: I bet Seattle early because I thought the same thing
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: last week when we were having the argument about the
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: Packers and the Eagles. I thought, no way that number
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: touches three on Philadelphia. I thought the same thing going
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: into this one, and it looks like it might end
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: up closing it three and a half. So I'm sitting
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: on a pretty bad number here at two and a
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: half on Seattle. But I still like Seattle in this game,
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: just looking at it opinion wise, but not ahead of
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: it in terms of the market. Read Kendra, this is
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: easily the game of the week for me. Are you
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: an agreement there?
• 4:29
  Speaker 4: Yeah? I think it has to be.
• 4:31
  Speaker 5: I also lean Seahawks in this game haven't gotten to
• 4:34
  Speaker 5: the window I did here. This morning, I was listening
• 4:37
  Speaker 5: to a podcast that there's expected to be a massive
• 4:40
  Speaker 5: Seattle crowd show up for this I mean, the Seahawks
• 4:43
  Speaker 5: fans travel well in general, the team is good, LA
• 4:46
  Speaker 5: doesn't really have a ton of their own fans. I
• 4:49
  Speaker 5: think that there could be a heavy Seahawks crowd here,
• 4:52
  Speaker 5: so I think that that's something to pay attention to
• 4:54
  Speaker 5: as well. These are my two favorite teams in the
• 4:57
  Speaker 5: entire NFL together, so I think that there's no way anyone.
• 5:01
  Speaker 4: But me could say that this is my game of
• 5:03
  Speaker 4: the week.
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: The public percentages heavily on the side of the dog.
• 5:08
  Speaker 3: No surprise.
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: When you have two teams that are this good and
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: you've got one that's catching points, obviously people are going
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: to gravitate towards that side. Seventy four percent of the
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: bets seventy nine percent of the money on Seattle right now,
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: But the number continues to tilt the way of the Rams.
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: So if you're just looking at this sharp analysis, wise
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: it looks like the Rams are the smarter side, but
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: as we know in the NFL, doesn't necessarily mean that
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: they're going to win and cover all Right, stuck, you
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: what do you got? Let's dive into the weird, random,
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: bizarre world of the thoughts that live inside of your brain.
• 5:43
  Speaker 3: Hey, this is a dumb question. Let me ask you
• 5:47
  Speaker 3: a personal question kind.
• 5:49
  Speaker 4: Of question is that is question?
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: I saw we we minted the last penny and at
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: the two hundred and thirty years production is ended. Some
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: people collect coins, So my question for you is what
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: do you collect anything? And if so, what I know
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: that Kendra probably will answer random animals or shrimp. But Kendra,
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: I'll start with you. Do you collect Do you have
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: any weird collections?
• 6:19
  Speaker 4: Coins? Actually? Uh so, yeah, yeah, I like to what
• 6:24
  Speaker 4: I don't get.
• 6:25
  Speaker 5: Change very often, but every coin has like like obviously
• 6:28
  Speaker 5: like a marking to differentiate when it was made in
• 6:31
  Speaker 5: that type of thing and the year on it. So
• 6:32
  Speaker 5: when you look at a coin, there's like a D
• 6:34
  Speaker 5: marking or a C marking or whatever, and that can
• 6:37
  Speaker 5: also mean.
• 6:37
  Speaker 4: It's more valuable.
• 6:38
  Speaker 5: So I just like to like look at coins when
• 6:40
  Speaker 5: I get them and see what they're currently worth, if
• 6:42
  Speaker 5: they're super old or like a manu like they had
• 6:46
  Speaker 5: like a manufacturing issue or something like that that makes
• 6:48
  Speaker 5: them more valuable. And then I also have I guess
• 6:53
  Speaker 5: animals would be one. And then I collect trinkets from
• 6:55
  Speaker 5: like a little like a country I go to.
• 6:57
  Speaker 4: I get like a little really weird random like animal trinket.
• 7:02
  Speaker 3: Yeah.
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: I had a Funko Pop collection going for a while,
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: but I had to cut that off. He was getting
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: a little expensive. And now I just have a drawer
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: in my garage. I can't get rid of them. There's
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: just a ton of Funko pops. And we were talking
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: about everything from like Ninja Turtles, pro wrestling, entertainment, characters
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: from the Office and things like that.
• 7:23
  Speaker 3: But the one for me that you don't know what.
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: It's like a bobble head that does. You can't pull
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: up a picture for him.
• 7:31
  Speaker 3: You've got to see this.
• 7:32
  Speaker 4: You definitely know what they are.
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: Tiny bodies, big head, little figure you put on the
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: shelf in my house.
• 7:40
  Speaker 3: I would grab one right now, but I'm I'm at
• 7:42
  Speaker 3: the office doing the show. They do have.
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: I have Evan Andrew Luck Funko Pop. I've got an
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers. Yeah, there you go.
• 7:52
  Speaker 4: You see these?
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I've seen them.
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: Okay, But every state that I go to I get
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: a magnet. It has to be purchased. My rule is
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: that it has to be purchased inside of the state.
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: I can't buy it online after the fact, just because
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: I find a better one, and it has to be
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: something that is identifiable to the state itself. It can't
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: just be one of those from like a Flying J
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: gas station. It's got to be something super unique to
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: that state. So you like in Kentucky, I've got one
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: that's a it's a horse stuff like that your neck
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: of the woods Stucky.
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I.
• 8:28
  Speaker 3: Guess.
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: I collect bourbon for our basement bar. But my favorite
• 8:33
  Speaker 2: thing to collect is books, like I have. I actually just.
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: Got How did I never notice until right now that
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: you have a million books behind it?
• 8:43
  Speaker 3: You're a fucking library.
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: I have a thousand and fifty I think I.
• 8:49
  Speaker 4: Have you read all of those?
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: Yeah? Not right now, but in the spring, as soon
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: as college basketball is over. In summer, I try to
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: read like thirty forty books in the offseason. I am
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: not I think all, but maybe ten or nonfiction. So yeah,
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: I have. I think I have like eight full book
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: shelves and bookcases in my house all filled up. I
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: cannot read on my phone. I cannot read it.
• 9:19
  Speaker 5: On a tablet, I can't nothing electronics.
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: Having the actual yeah, the sacond book. I love collecting.
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: I love showing people. I love giving people books when
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: they come over and I'm like and they're like, what
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: do you like to read? And I'll just lend it
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: to them and then never get it back.
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: But what's your favorite category of book? Is it history?
• 9:38
  Speaker 2: History, non fiction, sports, anything nonfiction, anything about like any
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: random topic. Like these books right here we have. This
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: is a Vietnam marine memoir, River of Doubt. This is
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: UH about Roosevelt's trip down the Amazon Destiny disrupted. This
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: is history of the world through Islamic guy. Some people
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: need killing. It's about the Philippines and them killing uh
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: like just na naming everyone, saying, calling everyone a drug
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: dealer and killing everyone with their.
• 10:14
  Speaker 4: This is so endearing, you guys, so cute.
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: We need an entire episode on this in the off season.
• 10:21
  Speaker 3: This is killing.
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: Giant steps is cool. This is the guy who went
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: from walked all around the world and like just about
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: all stops.
• 10:31
  Speaker 5: This is the same energy as when some reporter asked
• 10:33
  Speaker 5: Bill Belichick if he liked Christmas and he like smiled
• 10:36
  Speaker 5: and he was like he liked Christmas music and he
• 10:39
  Speaker 5: just smiled and he's like, I love all the songs.
• 10:40
  Speaker 4: They're my favorite.
• 10:41
  Speaker 5: Like this is like how I feel watching Stucky with
• 10:43
  Speaker 5: his books right now.
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: This is got King Leopold, Colonial Africa. Same with this
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: another Colonial Africa, American Revolutions. Carthage must be Destroyed. I've
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: heard that's really good one on the history of slavery.
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: Another anti communist book. So yeah, that's that's what I
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: collect and I have. So anyone's like, oh, I like
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: I like this topic, I'm like, oh, I got a
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: book about that. So that's my favorite thing to collect.
• 11:12
  Speaker 4: It's literally built Belichick right now.
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: It's not losing losing betting tickets that collect this.
• 11:18
  Speaker 3: That was, of course all we all do. You know,
• 11:20
  Speaker 3: That's that's how we got here.
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: But of those great stuff, time for action or distraction,
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: this is distracted static.
• 11:28
  Speaker 4: I'm not stacking.
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: I want it on the action.
• 11:34
  Speaker 3: Brian Day ball fired.
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: The Giants have an interim head coach, Mike Kafka be
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: stepping up Jameis Winston at quarterback, just like Kendra was
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: asking for.
• 11:43
  Speaker 6: I'm on fans of No Dad. I'm gonna do my best,
• 11:45
  Speaker 6: you know, off Sally. I'm gonna have fun, but I'm
• 11:48
  Speaker 6: going to execute, uh, have a surgical execution. Uh and
• 11:52
  Speaker 6: just and just play ball, man, Like this is something
• 11:54
  Speaker 6: I've been doing since I've been four years old and
• 11:56
  Speaker 6: I just get to do it in the greatest city
• 11:58
  Speaker 6: in the world. I'm gonna be saying with my son,
• 12:01
  Speaker 6: it's the greatest city in the world. Yeah, that's a
• 12:04
  Speaker 6: Hamlets in reference, if y'ah. I don't know.
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: And the line has been bet down from Packers to
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: minus they're minus eight at the beginning of the week.
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: Their minus six and a half right now, Kendra, action
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: or distraction on betting the g Men.
• 12:17
  Speaker 4: I think it's a distraction. I can't this game feels.
• 12:21
  Speaker 5: I think the Packers might actually be okay in the
• 12:24
  Speaker 5: stratch of it, but this current, like right now version
• 12:27
  Speaker 5: of the Packers kind of hot garbage, Booty Cheeks bad,
• 12:31
  Speaker 5: not in a good way. Booty Cheeks, they're not good.
• 12:34
  Speaker 5: And the Giants they're frisky and they're fun. And I
• 12:37
  Speaker 5: think they like each other, which is so lame and
• 12:40
  Speaker 5: stupid to say, but I think they like each other.
• 12:41
  Speaker 4: They play for each other every week.
• 12:43
  Speaker 5: I also am still not completely out on the idea
• 12:47
  Speaker 5: of backing a team after their coach gets fired.
• 12:51
  Speaker 4: I can't. I want to be there, but both of
• 12:55
  Speaker 4: these teams, just neither side of it really intrigues me
• 12:58
  Speaker 4: enough yeah.
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: Uh hard to fall in love with the Giants in
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: their current state. Are you are you gonna throw any
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: money to this is? This is the kind of dog
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: that usually bet stuck here. Are you in on the Giants?
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: No, I'm not quite there. There are there are I
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: do know of some sharp groups and people that did
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: bet the Giants, especially at over a touchdown. I mean
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: the Packers are beat up on offense, and the Avengers,
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: I mean, like the Craft injury, the Jenkins injury, They're
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: not healthy a wide receiver. Their offense right now is
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: just trying to find an identity and it's not and
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: it's not an overly reliable unit right now that you
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: want to be laying a touchdown plus with on the road.
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: With that said, I you know, even if they just
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: go hand it off the Jacobs too much, which they
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: can do at times, that should work. The Giants have
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: the worst run defense in the league. But I just
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: don't know what I'm I'm going to get from Jamis Winston.
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: He is he is super high variants. It's better than
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: Russell Wilson. We were saying, you gotta start Jamis here,
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: and like he's going to make some explosive throws. He's
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: going to try to make things happen with his arm,
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: but he also could throw three pick sixes. He's also
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: going to give the ball on the other team, and
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: this Packers defense is playing at a high level. Plus
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: you have to like change your entire offense. So maybe
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: that can work in their favor, because that's one of
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: the things that happens with the new coach. Right that
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: first game. You have new wrinkles, you showcase new things
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: that the other team doesn't have on film. But this
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: has to be a complete one eight. Like Dark's legs
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: were essentially an enormous part of the offense since he
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: took over, that's not really going to be a thing
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: with Jamis. So I'm curious to see what the offense
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: looks like this So I can't get there. I didn't
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: lay with the job, I didn't lay with the Packers,
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: but I can't quite get there on the Giants. There's
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: just too much uncertainty with what this offense looks like
• 15:11
  Speaker 2: and the fact that Green Bay should just be able
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: to run the ball, and there's probably gonna be some
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: Jamis turnovers that might end up being the difference in
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: the game.
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: Evan I know you wrote about this and the primer
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: Jordan Love as a favorite north of a field goal
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: has not been profitable.
• 15:30
  Speaker 3: What's the exact number on that?
• 15:32
  Speaker 2: And Jamis is a dog of overfield goal. I think
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: it's been like really good.
• 15:36
  Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean just looking at it right now, six
• 15:38
  Speaker 7: points or more. He's two and seven against the spread.
• 15:43
  Speaker 7: But that's like career, You've had some decent losses in
• 15:46
  Speaker 7: that spot. But even if you look, Packers zero to
• 15:49
  Speaker 7: five against the spread this season in favored by four
• 15:51
  Speaker 7: points or more, which honestly doesn't happen a lot because
• 15:54
  Speaker 7: once you start losing once or twice, is that big
• 15:56
  Speaker 7: of a favorite, you tend not to get that respect again.
• 16:00
  Speaker 7: So twenty twenty one Ravens which stuck. You might remember
• 16:03
  Speaker 7: Ohn five ats is four plus point favorites to ten
• 16:06
  Speaker 7: weeks as well, but just kind of id that you
• 16:08
  Speaker 7: have that type of respect.
• 16:10
  Speaker 8: And again this week.
• 16:11
  Speaker 7: On the road, so also kind of the spot with
• 16:13
  Speaker 7: the Giants, but I agree with stucky Jamis gives them
• 16:16
  Speaker 7: a better chance to win and lose the game, so
• 16:19
  Speaker 7: it should be fun.
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: A nice little nugget from Nick Giffin's luck rankings. Philadelphia's
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: offense has generated just nineteen and a half points per
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: game in four games against top ten defenses by DVOA
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: just eighteen points by expected score action or distractions. Stucky
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: on Philly team total under twenty four and a half
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: as a smart play this week.
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: I don't mind it that. I mean just that the
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: Eagles offense is they are who they are at this
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: point and they come out of the buy and it's
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: more of the same. The offensive line they're not fully healthy.
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: They've taken a step back from last year, so Barkley
• 16:59
  Speaker 2: can't really going and there's just no creativity with the
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: offensive play calling. I don't think it's going to ultimately
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: work out with Patola, and I think it's eventually going
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: to cost them in the playoffs. There's no motion, there's
• 17:15
  Speaker 2: no play action. I mean there's it's just all shotgun
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: and I mean, look at there's they're not there's no
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: screen game. There's nothing to like really challenge opposing defenses.
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: Who when you watch them like you watch the Packers
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: lose this. If the Packers knew every play that was coming,
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: and I mean throughout that entire game, they basically had
• 17:36
  Speaker 2: two good plays on offense. They had to dump off
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: the Barkley in a long pass to Devonte Smith. There's
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: there's just not much to like about this offense right now.
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean the Eagles are just until further notice,
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: they're an under team, and and they think every week
• 17:55
  Speaker 2: it's almost every week unless they're playing like the Giants
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: who can't stop the run. It seems like almost every
• 18:00
  Speaker 2: week there's like a quarter or two or like almost
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: an entire half where they just don't score. So it's
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: hard to score more than twenty four points in the
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: NFL when you don't score for an entire half every
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: other week. And would I would imagine that the Eagles.
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: And the other thing is that if they're up on Detroit,
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: when they get up on anybody, they're a team that
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: can just go on these long clock bleeding drives, you know,
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: and just eat up eight to ten minutes in the
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: second half when they get a lead. So I don't
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: mind that. Look, there's there's still major problems with this
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia offense for sure.
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: Kendrillya to AJ Brown saying that you can go ahead
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: and drop me in fantasy. I don't know that I'm
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: willing to go that far, But what do you make
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: of that.
• 18:54
  Speaker 5: And I actually almost sent someone I know an offer
• 19:00
  Speaker 5: for him, just as a joke in my personal fantasy
• 19:02
  Speaker 5: football league, just to see if they would actually believe
• 19:06
  Speaker 5: him and give him to me for cheap.
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: But I just a offer, I know something, did you
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: try and trade a kicker something.
• 19:12
  Speaker 5: I was just gonna offer him something stupid like facial touton.
• 19:14
  Speaker 5: But I didn't wind up doing it because I didn't
• 19:16
  Speaker 5: think that the person who had him kind of would
• 19:18
  Speaker 5: get the joke.
• 19:19
  Speaker 4: They don't follow sports as closely as the rest of.
• 19:22
  Speaker 5: Us in the league, so I didn't think that it
• 19:23
  Speaker 5: would be as funny. But yeah, that's I think that
• 19:26
  Speaker 5: that's maybe he will actually catch touchdown this week. Maybe
• 19:29
  Speaker 5: it's smok a mirror's maybe that's his way of being like,
• 19:31
  Speaker 5: don't drop me, actually bet on me. That would be
• 19:33
  Speaker 5: how I would look at it, because I'm insane. But yeah,
• 19:36
  Speaker 5: I kind of agree with everything Stuckie said. I just
• 19:39
  Speaker 5: this team on offense goes at maybe you know what,
• 19:42
  Speaker 5: maybe it's the Madden curse.
• 19:44
  Speaker 4: That's where we're at.
• 19:45
  Speaker 5: It is not just cursing the player this year, it's
• 19:47
  Speaker 5: cursing their entire offense. That's where I'm at that's my
• 19:49
  Speaker 5: final answer. Is the end done.
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: One of the bets that I made this week was
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: a sprinkle on a tray McBride anytime touchdown Marvin Harrison
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: Junior is out.
• 20:00
  Speaker 3: We love the tight.
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: End touchdown props, Kendra action or distraction on that?
• 20:04
  Speaker 3: Are you in or out on my McBride prop action?
• 20:09
  Speaker 4: You guys know that I love the tight end props.
• 20:11
  Speaker 5: I'm actually gonna maybe give one out in a minute
• 20:14
  Speaker 5: here with my pickle prop.
• 20:15
  Speaker 4: But I love, love, love a tight end.
• 20:17
  Speaker 5: I was actually looking at this earlier this morning because
• 20:21
  Speaker 5: of the Marvin Harrison Junior situation and the price just
• 20:24
  Speaker 5: was not where I wanted it to be. But I'm
• 20:26
  Speaker 5: totally behind this. He's the only other answer that they have.
• 20:29
  Speaker 5: This offense looks a lot better, looked a lot better
• 20:31
  Speaker 5: last week in comparison to weeks prior. You could argue
• 20:35
  Speaker 5: that I guess, but I am all in on the
• 20:38
  Speaker 5: train McBride. You guys know I love a tight end.
• 20:40
  Speaker 5: I love a kicker, and I love a left tackle.
• 20:42
  Speaker 5: So you can get into the window on pretty much
• 20:44
  Speaker 5: Eddie tight end prop if you present it to me.
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: Interesting question coming in from production here has anyone on
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: the show had their appendix removed.
• 20:52
  Speaker 3: I have not.
• 20:53
  Speaker 4: I don't have a gall bladder, stucky.
• 20:55
  Speaker 3: Have you had any organs removed?
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: Ah? Not that I know, So I don't know. Maybe
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: during a bad vendor someone took something, but not that
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: I know of. No, but that does say it sounds painful.
• 21:12
  Speaker 3: It does.
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: I like the McBride look. Also, on the Action Eric podcast,
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: we talked about Raybon and I like Dortch as well.
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: He's going to get increased. Looks like the Cardinals are
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: decimated at wide receiver still even at plus three, I
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: would I could only look their way, just because the
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: forty nine Ers defense right now is it's a sieve.
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: It can't It's not gonna stop anyone. I don't care who, who,
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: what type of offense you're playing. But we'll see how
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: healthy Arizona's defense is. That's important too. Oh and by
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: the way, I should mention that McBride has scored five
• 21:49
  Speaker 2: touchdowns in four games with Versette and five touchdowns in
• 21:53
  Speaker 2: thirty nine games with Murray. That's insane. The same amount
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: of touchdowns in thirty five fewer games with Persett, who
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: clearly looks his way and he's clearly going to get
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: a increased target share this week, especially in the red zone.
• 22:09
  Speaker 3: I would imagine what about Lamar Jackson.
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: I am growing concerned with him because he missed all
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: this time. I know it's just a Wednesday practice and
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: a lot of stars sit that one out, but he
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: didn't practice.
• 22:23
  Speaker 3: It was undisclosed reasons.
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: There's a chance for bad weather thirty five mile per
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: hour wind gusts off of Lake Erie in Cleveland. Are
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: you buying brownstock? I think stuck here. I think I
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: saw you put them in the app if I'm not mistaken.
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: Are you on the Browns this week?
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: I am?
• 22:40
  Speaker 3: Is that one you're going to tee up to us
• 22:42
  Speaker 3: for the parlay? Yeah?
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: I mean I could see it up now and just
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: mention it later. I mean, essentially, the Browns at home
• 22:52
  Speaker 2: I almost bet as a dog. I almost bet, and
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: I bet him as a favorite. I've bet them at
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: home every game this year. They only played three home games.
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: They haven't been at home in a month, which is
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: pretty crazy. They went overseas, then they went to Pittsburgh,
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: and then they crushed Miami. But they've only had three
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: home games, and by the way, they went three and
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: oo against spreading those games over. This is a crazy stat.
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I haven't read Evans primer yet this week.
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: But the Browns this their defense. I talk about this
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: all the time. Their defense at home is historically good
• 23:31
  Speaker 2: and it's been one of the best units in the
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: NFL offense or defense over the past three seasons. They
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: just play up and it doesn't matter who they play.
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: I mean, this year they should have beat Burrow. They
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: held the Bengals offense to seventeen. They beat love In,
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: the Packers, they held them to ten, they beat the Dolphins,
• 23:49
  Speaker 2: held them the three and over the past three seasons
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: at home, the Browns are thirteen and eight against the
• 23:57
  Speaker 2: spread sixty two percent on the road five and seventeen
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: twenty two point seven percent. It's the worst in the league.
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: It's worse than the Titans, who never cover five and
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: seventeen against the spread. On the road, They've been a
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: They've been a touchdown plus underdog at home three times
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: over the past three years. They not only cover them all,
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: they won them all out right.
• 24:19
  Speaker 3: They beat the.
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: Packers are this year, they beat the Ravens last year,
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: and they beat the forty nine ers last year. So
• 24:25
  Speaker 2: this this is gonna be a super low scoring game.
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: It's gonna be weather wins, and that's not great for
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: Lamar's hamstring. Did I just think he didn't practice could
• 24:34
  Speaker 2: precautionate reasons, but he didn't. He didn't have the same
• 24:37
  Speaker 2: He took a lot of the hams knee.
• 24:41
  Speaker 4: It was, but it matters. I just think it was
• 24:43
  Speaker 4: a little bit about injury.
• 24:45
  Speaker 2: Yeah, He's just he just doesn't have the same burst
• 24:48
  Speaker 2: right now, the same explosiveness that I was expecting after
• 24:51
  Speaker 2: the extended rest following the Miami game. So and his
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: legs are such a huge part of everything that he
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: can do. And if the weather here is going to
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: neutralize some of the downfield passing attack, and you know
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: that the Browns can stop the run. I mean, Derek
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: Henry couldn't even get a yard in the first matchup,
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: and they'll get after the quarterback. And without Lamar's capability,
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: and with the weather impacting the downfield passing attack, that's
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: a huge advantage for the Browns who don't have a
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: downfield passing attack. Everything they want to do is run,
• 25:20
  Speaker 2: which you can do on this Ravens team. You know
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: they're without with their defensive line injuries, you can run
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: on them, short passes and throws to the tight end,
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: which again some of the things that the Ravens struggle with.
• 25:31
  Speaker 2: So I think this is a decent matchup for the Browns.
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: You'll get their best effort, and just in a game
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: where with a total that you know there might not
• 25:40
  Speaker 2: be thirty one total points in this game, taking over
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: a touchdown with the home dog is always going to
• 25:45
  Speaker 2: be intriguing. So yeah, I think the conditions and a
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: lot of the matchup things favor the raid favor of
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: the Browns here. So I took the Browns at home
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: or you know their defense is going to come to play.
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: Some of that home field advantage stuff, I think that
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: that's mitigated by the fact that this is a division games.
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: When I think about the Browns, the home field advantage
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: they've had over the last couple of years, a lot
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: of these upset wins and great performances they've had, off
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: the top of my head, have been against teams like
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: the Packers, like the forty nine ers. Does that lessen
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: the home field advantage because it's Baltimore, because they're used
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: to that environment.
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: Now, I mean a couple of the upsets they've have
• 26:27
  Speaker 2: been over the Ravens at home. I've been to a
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: couple of those games. I mean last last year they
• 26:30
  Speaker 2: beat the Ravens is ten point dogs, I believe. And
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: part of the reason is not only is their defense.
• 26:38
  Speaker 2: I can't explain why their defense plays so well at home.
• 26:42
  Speaker 2: It's got to be but to get conditions to help.
• 26:45
  Speaker 2: And the Browns offense is not an explosive offense. It
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: hasn't been for years. It's not a good offense, especially
• 26:51
  Speaker 2: this year. So in that stadium when you get the
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: heavy wins and just miserable weather and then the field
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: all of that slow. Usually when they're when they're a
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: big underdog, well that means the other team usually has
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: a good offense that's going to help stunt the opposing
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: offense and boost their defense. So that's probably part of it.
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: And that's certainly the case with the Ravens. The Ravens
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: have a very explosive offense, and you know, with the
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: dealing with the hamstring and the cold win rain, like,
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: I'm sure Lamar is going to be extra cautious here
• 27:25
  Speaker 2: against that defense, so you're not going to get his
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: full I don't think you think he's at one hundred percent,
• 27:30
  Speaker 2: But I don't think you're going to get even him
• 27:32
  Speaker 2: trying to. You probably get him throwing it away. More
• 27:35
  Speaker 2: Ravens maybe being a little bit more conservative, knowing they
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: don't have to put up a huge number here to
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: beat the Browns. So but now I think I think
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: it still has the same effect on the Ravens due
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: to the conditions. Now the familiarity, like in general home
• 27:51
  Speaker 2: field advantage in divisional games is less, Like when I
• 27:54
  Speaker 2: sign home field, it'll be less for divisional games because
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: you have familiarity with just a small home field, and
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: advantage in the NFL's diminishing each and every year. But
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: just having familiarity with like going to that stadium, knowing
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: the nuances of the kicking, especially in Shanahan, didn't know,
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: like the forty nine ers didn't know this last year
• 28:16
  Speaker 2: some of the kicking nuances in Cleveland and it cost them.
• 28:19
  Speaker 2: There's like the Phil Dawson flag and you can look
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: to see what the wins are doing in the corner
• 28:24
  Speaker 2: of the stadium, So some of those things, and just
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: like we've been to this stadium before, we know that
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: home field's always gonna be a little less for divisional games,
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: but I still think it has a major impact on
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: this particular matchup.
• 28:37
  Speaker 3: Still the comar two Kings and a Queen parlay.
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: We nominate our picks in just a moment, but first
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: a word.
• 28:44
  Speaker 3: From our first lady as she chants about Draft Kings.
• 28:47
  Speaker 5: The Favorites podcast is sponsored by DraftKings sports book and
• 28:50
  Speaker 5: in partnership with DraftKings.
• 28:52
  Speaker 4: Favorites listeners get a great offer right now. New customers
• 28:55
  Speaker 4: can bet five dollars.
• 28:56
  Speaker 5: And get three hundred dollars back in bonus bett if
• 28:58
  Speaker 5: your bet wins, and three months of.
• 29:00
  Speaker 4: NBA League Pass to new customers.
• 29:02
  Speaker 5: To get started, use promo code Favorites when signing up
• 29:05
  Speaker 5: with DraftKings. That's promo Code Favorites when signing up with
• 29:08
  Speaker 5: DraftKings for three months of NBA League Pass and three
• 29:11
  Speaker 5: hundred dollars back in bonus betts if your bet wins,
• 29:13
  Speaker 5: the crown is yours, Kendra.
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: Tomorrow is National Pickle Day, So no better time than
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: right now to ask you what is your week eleven
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: pickle prop?
• 29:24
  Speaker 3: What prop? As he in a pickle?
• 29:27
  Speaker 4: Okay, we're in a pickle.
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: Now, I'm really in a pickle?
• 29:30
  Speaker 5: Now?
• 29:31
  Speaker 3: All right? Look we're gonna pickle again.
• 29:36
  Speaker 5: Hot Friarmouth plus two forty. The Bengals are the worst
• 29:41
  Speaker 5: team in the NFL against the tight end this year.
• 29:43
  Speaker 5: But he hasn't been finding the end zone the way
• 29:45
  Speaker 5: that I personally expected him to and probably a lot
• 29:48
  Speaker 5: of other people.
• 29:49
  Speaker 4: But he had two.
• 29:50
  Speaker 5: Touchdowns in this matchup prior in this season.
• 29:54
  Speaker 4: I am curious that they're gonna find a way to.
• 29:56
  Speaker 5: Shut him down because obviously it could be a John
• 29:59
  Speaker 5: Newsmith game. He gave them a hard time last time
• 30:01
  Speaker 5: these two teams played each other.
• 30:03
  Speaker 4: The other thing I will.
• 30:03
  Speaker 5: Note, though I was doing some research about this earlier,
• 30:06
  Speaker 5: Aaron Rodgers is throwing way more touchdowns than it feels
• 30:09
  Speaker 5: like he's a top ten quarterback as far as passing
• 30:12
  Speaker 5: touchdowns go, probably even top seven I think I want
• 30:15
  Speaker 5: to say he was six or seven on that list.
• 30:16
  Speaker 4: So he's throwing more than we think he would do.
• 30:19
  Speaker 5: We take the cheese. He's currently plus two forty. I
• 30:21
  Speaker 5: already put it in the app. Do I feel great
• 30:23
  Speaker 5: about it?
• 30:24
  Speaker 3: No?
• 30:25
  Speaker 5: But I did it because I'm not a coward and
• 30:27
  Speaker 5: I really want to be behind my Massachusetts king, pav Fryarmuth.
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: This week, well, I think that that's the thing. You're
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: not going to make this bet and feel good about
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: it because Pat Fryarmouth can be an absolute non factor
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: any given week. He's got three catches, forget about touchdowns.
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: He's got three catches in his last three games, but
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: he roasts the Bengals routinely. Not only the game that
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: you're talking about from a couple of weeks ago that
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: was on primetime. We all remember there was a touchdown
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: fest and tight ends were scoring left and right, but
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: he scored both times he played against them last year.
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: So there's just something something about those that gets some
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: going stucky.
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't mind him. My only fear would be like,
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: any way that Pittsburgh chooses to attack Cincinnati is going
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: to work. So like it's just like, is he in
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: the game plan?
• 31:13
  Speaker 3: That's the thing.
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: They rotate three guys, that's the unpredictable part. If it
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: was just Pat Fryermuth, well you probably wouldn't be getting
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: a plus two forty on it, But then it would
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: I would just feel so much better about it. But
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: if he's just not part of the game plan, then
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: we're just gonna get screwed in that direction.
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: Yeah, No, but I don't mind. I mean Cincinnati's line,
• 31:30
  Speaker 2: they have the worst linebacker room in the NFL. They
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: have the worst defense. They cannot cover tight ends, as
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: you mentioned, they really struggle in that department. And you
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: could get some wind. This is where at the time
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: of the year, where do you have to worry about
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: the weather. That would impact the downfield passing attack much
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: more and the Bengals much more. And the Steelers love
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: throwing at their tight ends Aaron Rodgers quick short passes.
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: That's not going to have an impact on the tight
• 31:59
  Speaker 2: end product and it could actually increase it for the Steelers.
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: So yeah, like regardless, I think the tight end room
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: for the Steelers. The Steelers utilize their tight tight ends
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: as much as anyone, although the Rams. When you're watching
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: that Rams seayoffs game, the Rams have used like thirteen
• 32:20
  Speaker 2: personnel forty percent of the time over the past month.
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: They're going with like multiple tight ends. They're going heavy
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: and throwing. That's like the new trend in the NFL
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: if you can throw out of heavy packages, and the
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: Rams are doing it as well as anyone, and the
• 32:36
  Speaker 2: Steelers do a good job of doing that as well.
• 32:38
  Speaker 2: You're going to see a lot of many two and
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: three tight end packages. And then regardless of the weather
• 32:43
  Speaker 2: of the wind, that's not going to impact Rogers getting
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: rid of the ball quick to those tight ends. So
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: I don't mind it.
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: Look two tight end touchdown props on today's episode, Kendra,
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: this must rank top three for you all time on
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: the favorites.
• 32:56
  Speaker 4: Hikels and tight ends. We're really getting after it for
• 32:58
  Speaker 4: me today. I appreciate it.
• 33:00
  Speaker 3: You guys.
• 33:01
  Speaker 4: I have pickle nails for tomorrow.
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: And people don't understand the uh we got a you
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: guys reference on the podcast just now. That is a
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: regular occurrence prior to us going live. Is the the
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: you guys shout out something random on the back end
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: from Kendra Middleton, always a classic. It's time for the
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: reason that you came here today. Our two Kings and
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: a queen parlay. We'll each nominate at least two plays.
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: We'll see if we can find some general consensus. We'll
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: slam them together and hopefully well cash in like we
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: did two weeks ago.
• 33:43
  Speaker 3: Kendra, get us started all.
• 33:45
  Speaker 5: Right, So this number has moved to four, but do
• 33:48
  Speaker 5: we want the chiefs to cover the now four? It
• 33:51
  Speaker 5: was three and a half when I put it in
• 33:53
  Speaker 5: here earlier, or do we want Jacoby Meyers anytime plus
• 33:58
  Speaker 5: two fifty because I I think that they're really trying
• 34:00
  Speaker 5: to get Jacobe Myers into the offense. I know that
• 34:04
  Speaker 5: Stucky has a potential nomination from this game as well.
• 34:07
  Speaker 5: But last week threw a touchdown to him. It was
• 34:11
  Speaker 5: recalled for a penalty, which makes sense. Jacksonville Jaguars penalizes
• 34:14
  Speaker 5: to hell most us undisciplined team that I've ever seen
• 34:16
  Speaker 5: in my life. So I think that they're going to
• 34:18
  Speaker 5: try and get him involved early and often. They have
• 34:20
  Speaker 5: no choice now that Travis Hunter is out for the
• 34:22
  Speaker 5: season as well, but to get him acclimated and get
• 34:24
  Speaker 5: him acclimated quickly. But I do people there's so much
• 34:28
  Speaker 5: money on the Chiefs as I was looking into it
• 34:30
  Speaker 5: this morning, But Chiefs after a by Patrick Mahomes, after
• 34:33
  Speaker 5: a buy and you read after a bye, all of
• 34:35
  Speaker 5: those statistics that people love, probably a little square of
• 34:38
  Speaker 5: super square on my part, but that's okay.
• 34:40
  Speaker 4: These are my two options for the week.
• 34:43
  Speaker 3: I like the Chiefs. I like the Chiefs.
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: Why don't we throw in because we're gonna have two
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: other ones, why don't we throw in just money on
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: like I go a little too high, but I really do.
• 34:53
  Speaker 2: I can't see the Chiefs losing this game after the
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: bye week. That Broncos aren't even fully healthy.
• 34:58
  Speaker 4: They're bad and they're bad. BIS looks bad.
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: Bonus looks bad. But uh, I could see this being
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: just like a Chiefs peep go win. But I think
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: the Chiefs are going to get it done. It's a partlay.
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: I do you okay? Throwing Chiefs money line down?
• 35:11
  Speaker 4: Chiefs money line?
• 35:12
  Speaker 3: Yeah?
• 35:13
  Speaker 4: What is it?
• 35:13
  Speaker 3: Probably? To back that up?
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: This is from Evans Primer this week, Andy Reid, Patrick
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: Mahomes off the by thirty four and ten straight up
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: or that's on extended prep but still thirty four and ten.
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: Mahomes and Reid against the AFC West eighty six.
• 35:29
  Speaker 3: Percent of the time they win.
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: So a lot of these and we've seen the Broncos
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: have trailed in seven straight games. This team is due
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: for a loss, so I've got no problem with it.
• 35:42
  Speaker 3: I think the win is the way to look.
• 35:44
  Speaker 4: And then minus two five is not a bad price.
• 35:47
  Speaker 4: That's better than I thought it would.
• 35:48
  Speaker 3: Be, all right, So that one is in stucky.
• 35:52
  Speaker 4: Wow, you guys, that was too easy. I didn't like that.
• 35:55
  Speaker 4: Now I'm on comfy.
• 35:58
  Speaker 3: The Chiefs. It's cozy.
• 36:00
  Speaker 2: I My first one is gonna be Cleveland. I already
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: talked about that game. My second one is going to
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: be the Jags. This is a Jags podcast. They're back
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: at home. When's the last time they played at home?
• 36:12
  Speaker 2: Over a month?
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: Here's the thing, it's kind of a Chargers podcast too.
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: It's the low key Chargers podcast, yet we brand ourselves
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: Jags podcasts.
• 36:20
  Speaker 3: And now that you get.
• 36:21
  Speaker 4: These two, it was a month ago. It was before
• 36:23
  Speaker 4: the London game. That was their last home game for Yeah, and.
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: It's the team they went one in three over the
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: past four But I mean they collapse urus the Texans,
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: one of the best defense, but they played that we
• 36:32
  Speaker 2: just talked about. They played the Seahawks and the Rams.
• 36:35
  Speaker 2: So I think getting back at home where they've been
• 36:37
  Speaker 2: good this year, getting back at home, catching three against
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: the Charters team that cannot block anybody, and the Jags
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: can get pressure. The Charters don't have an offensive line,
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: which means they're not going to travel well and play
• 36:49
  Speaker 2: well on the road. And you look at what they've
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: done on the road this year since they've had offensive
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: line Injers. I mean they lost to the Giants, they
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: barely beat the Dolphins by two, and then they beat
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: the Titans. That's not a very are encouraging road data set.
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: My only concern with the Jags, and also the jack
• 37:04
  Speaker 2: should be able to run the ball.
• 37:05
  Speaker 4: Here, you're missing the biggest part of all of this.
• 37:08
  Speaker 4: Justin Herbert cannot play. Listen, I'm gonna say this now.
• 37:13
  Speaker 5: The Chargers are gonna beat the shit out of the Jags,
• 37:15
  Speaker 5: But Justin Herbert cannot play in Jacksonville. That comeback game
• 37:21
  Speaker 5: in the playoffs, that was in Jacksonville. He grabs his
• 37:24
  Speaker 5: pants against this team consistently. However, this team is so dead,
• 37:29
  Speaker 5: so done for the locker room after the Travis Hunter
• 37:32
  Speaker 5: news absolutely disgusting. Liam Cohen is absolutely disgusted by this.
• 37:36
  Speaker 5: This team's falling apart. They need you, Cobey.
• 37:39
  Speaker 4: I can't do it. I can't get there.
• 37:40
  Speaker 3: Well, we sell a Jags plus three. It is on you.
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: Once you sell all of your stock on a team,
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: that's probably the time to buy in plus.
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: But the only thing I'm worried about I will say,
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: I mean, I think Breton strangely back. I've been talking
• 37:52
  Speaker 2: about paying his loss for a while again, and he
• 37:54
  Speaker 2: returned to practice yesterday. I think he's gonna play. He's
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: big in the red zoneses next week, tom bet. I mean,
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: I think anyone who can play will play this week.
• 38:03
  Speaker 2: This game is an enormous swing in postseason odds. Like
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: if the Jags win, I think they go to like
• 38:09
  Speaker 2: sixty percent to make it. If they lose, their down
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: to like twenty percent. Same with the Chargers. If they win,
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: they go up to like ninety. If they lose, they're
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: basically a coin flip. So Brian Thomas Junior returned to practice.
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: You have Jacoby Myers. If you can get strange back,
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: you can run on this Chargers defense. And that's basically
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: when the jat if the Jags can run the ball.
• 38:28
  Speaker 4: But they choose not to because they're idiots.
• 38:31
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I don't think Owen's an idiot. He's
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: and they went against I mean the Rams, Seahawks, Texans.
• 38:36
  Speaker 2: You can't really run on those teams. You can run
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: on the charters. My only concern is that everyone is
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: always on the injury report yesterday. I'll see what it
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: looks like today. But they're like basically their entire offensive line,
• 38:46
  Speaker 2: Jordan Lewis Parker Washington is playing really well. There's a
• 38:51
  Speaker 2: lot of limited guys.
• 38:52
  Speaker 4: Why any time too, So that those.
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: Are my two options, Jags plus three at home plus
• 38:59
  Speaker 2: I'm I just make the line one and a half
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: one one and a half. So I think it's too high.
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: So Jags plus three at DraftKings or what are at DraftKings?
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: What are the Browns seven and a half?
• 39:12
  Speaker 4: Seven and a half?
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: I'm half yeah, we're gonna need Evan to break the tie.
• 39:17
  Speaker 3: I like both.
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: I just really don't want to fade this Ravens team
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: right now. They're just they're just rolling downhill with their
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: momentum starting one in five. They have to treat every
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: week like it's a playoff game. This is not a
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: sleepy spot, even though Cleveland is a really tough place
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: to play right now. But I like the Jags bed
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: a little bit more. Evan break the tie for us.
• 39:37
  Speaker 7: This is a house of content, and we have the
• 39:39
  Speaker 7: ability to take the Jaguars plus three at home.
• 39:41
  Speaker 8: I don't know how we don't pass that up.
• 39:44
  Speaker 7: Jaguars, because no matter what happens, this is the best
• 39:48
  Speaker 7: thing for the show. I can't believe we recou even
• 39:51
  Speaker 7: though Stuck he sold the entire thing and it probably
• 39:54
  Speaker 7: does cash.
• 39:55
  Speaker 8: It's Jaguars, ladies and gentlemen enjoy Well, yeah, I hate.
• 39:58
  Speaker 5: You guys literally every week.
• 40:01
  Speaker 4: There's so many knives in my back at this point.
• 40:04
  Speaker 4: You guys will never pull out. It's unblavle. You just
• 40:07
  Speaker 4: keep twisting them further in.
• 40:08
  Speaker 7: Front thee though, so Jack enjoy the rest.
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: Well, technically Stuck he handed the knife, but uh, you
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: know that is fair.
• 40:17
  Speaker 5: Can actually record my reaction if this goes down to
• 40:20
  Speaker 5: the wire, I'm literally gonna have to like put my
• 40:22
  Speaker 5: phone up in my house and just run.
• 40:23
  Speaker 4: I'm literally, oh my god.
• 40:25
  Speaker 5: When Cam Little hit that seventy yarder in the preseason,
• 40:28
  Speaker 5: I was running around my kitchen island and I ate
• 40:31
  Speaker 5: shit in a pair of socks.
• 40:32
  Speaker 4: So I hope that we get one of those again.
• 40:34
  Speaker 3: If we hit this parlay.
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: I needed all caps, you guys from the Kindred Middleton.
• 40:39
  Speaker 8: Twin Chargers by one or two. That's probably what you and.
• 40:43
  Speaker 4: The Chargers are gonna beat the crap out of them.
• 40:46
  Speaker 4: And I'm so for real.
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: Little versus great kick kicking matchup.
• 40:51
  Speaker 4: Little dicker, you love it.
• 40:52
  Speaker 3: I mean, that was just what a lay up that
• 40:55
  Speaker 3: was right there.
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: Panther's plus three and a half against the Atlanta Falcons
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: or the.
• 41:00
  Speaker 3: Eagles money line.
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: So since we're talking juicy money lines, the Eagles they have.
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: I was going through every team that's five and four better,
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: seeing if I could rank their top three wins of
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: the year.
• 41:13
  Speaker 3: The Eagles blow out the competition.
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: As far as if you were just saying resume builder,
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: like if we were treating this as if it were
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: college football, Chiefs, Packers, Rams, no team touches that list
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: of three as far as wins. Adding Detroit to that
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: resume nah Chef's kiss Siriani two to zero against Dan Campbell,
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: averaging forty one points per game against them. And another
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: great stat from the primer, a good week after the
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: bye week team five and oho straight up four and
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: one against the spread coming off of the game that's
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: off the buy so Philadelphia money line. The number continues
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: to tilt in that direction. If we talk about stacked
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: injury reports, go look at the Lions. And then the
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: other one is the Panthers Falcons coming back from overseas
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: no bye week. The Panthers already showed the match up
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: well with this team. They blasted them thirty to zero
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: earlier in the year. Carolina lost to the Saints last week.
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: They are not to be trusted as a favorite. They
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: are to be trusted as a dog. I like the
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: sad Cats, Kendra, which do you like better?
• 42:15
  Speaker 4: Habits? I fucking hate both of these same. I hate these.
• 42:21
  Speaker 5: I love the Falcons this week and I love the Lions.
• 42:25
  Speaker 4: What are we doing? I don't stuck eat, I can't.
• 42:28
  Speaker 5: You're gonna have you and Evan, this is in God's
• 42:31
  Speaker 5: hands because it can't be in mind talk amongst yourselves.
• 42:34
  Speaker 3: I have to play.
• 42:35
  Speaker 2: And I think the Eagles win. I think their defense
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: will be the difference, like you're getting the they're I
• 42:41
  Speaker 2: think their defense is going to continue trending up. And
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: the Lions offensive line might still be an issue.
• 42:46
  Speaker 8: And we can't stand either of these.
• 42:48
  Speaker 2: I know, I don't. I get the spot like after
• 42:53
  Speaker 2: an overtime game coming over back overseas. It's not great
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: without a bye week, and Atlanta is not a great
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: They don't have a great home field advantage and this
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: is an a visual game, but they were embarrassed the
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: last time on their home field against the Dolphins. They
• 43:07
  Speaker 2: were embarrassed by this team earlier this season, so I
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: think they're gonna get the Falcon's best effort. And the
• 43:14
  Speaker 2: Falcons at home with Penix, they're a different team. But
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: I mean, the Panthers could run the ball, and that's
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: the Falcon's biggest weakness right now, especially with that Diablo.
• 43:22
  Speaker 2: They can't stop the run.
• 43:24
  Speaker 5: I'm gonna say the Eagles money line is my choice,
• 43:26
  Speaker 5: just because somehow they find ways to win.
• 43:28
  Speaker 4: But I fucking hate both of these.
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: I'll say the Panthers, Oh my god, Evan, just so
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: Evan can break the tie, because I don't really have
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: a strong.
• 43:39
  Speaker 8: Yeah, it's Panthers. I'll go three and a half.
• 43:40
  Speaker 7: But I got I hate it if you could pick
• 43:42
  Speaker 7: a spot where you're going off a team who won
• 43:44
  Speaker 7: thirty nothing and then you've got San Francisco on Monday
• 43:47
  Speaker 7: Night football on deck, like it's just a I know
• 43:50
  Speaker 7: it's a division, I know it's a big deal, just
• 43:52
  Speaker 7: a shitty spot.
• 43:53
  Speaker 3: I don't want everyone.
• 43:54
  Speaker 8: I'll take Carolina though.
• 43:56
  Speaker 4: No, I'm so serious.
• 43:58
  Speaker 5: If my leg of this hits and the two of
• 44:00
  Speaker 5: you lose, I will be so insufferable for so long,
• 44:04
  Speaker 5: worse than usual.
• 44:05
  Speaker 4: I will be so beyond worse than usual. You guys,
• 44:10
  Speaker 4: I'm you better.
• 44:11
  Speaker 5: You better cross your fingers and tell pray to Evan
• 44:14
  Speaker 5: Abrams because he's our Jesus Christ.
• 44:16
  Speaker 4: It's I'm no Jack and I'm.
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: Getting ship on in the chat over here, Eagles money
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: line worst suggestion of the year. I have easily had
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: worse suggestions than taking the Eagles in primetime to win
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: a football game.
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: Jags plus three Panthers plus three and a half cheaps
• 44:32
  Speaker 2: money on plus four twenty at DraftKings.
• 44:35
  Speaker 8: One King and two sad Cats. It's gonna be a
• 44:37
  Speaker 8: good weekend.
• 44:38
  Speaker 4: That right there, Bad cat parlay. Holy crap, do we.
• 44:42
  Speaker 5: Switch to Jacobe Myers just so it can truly be
• 44:45
  Speaker 5: the sad Cat Parlay?
• 44:47
  Speaker 3: No, no, no.
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: Exsion.
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: That right there are two Kings and a queen parlay
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: presented by Draft Kings.
• 44:53
  Speaker 3: The crown is yours.
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: That'll do it for today's episode special Thanks to our
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: producers Gifford Gold and David Payne. Are statf guy, Evan
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: Abrams the favorite. We'll return on Sunday night a week
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: eleven recap. Catch it right here on the Action Network
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: YouTube page. Thanks so much for tuning in. We'll see
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: you next time here on the Favorites podcast presented by
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: Draft Gas.
• 45:14
  Speaker 3: The Crown is Yours.
• 45:26
  Speaker 4: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or
• 45:31
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• 45:33
  Speaker 4: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler