Latest / Yaron Brook Show / TACO; Rare Earth; Golden Age; FISA; DEGrowth; Milei; Achievement | Yaron Brook Show
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- 0:02Speaker 1: A lot of them, fundamental ristles of Wiedom, rational self
- 0:10Speaker 1: and an individual lots.
- 0:14Speaker 2: This is the show, all right, everybody, welcome, Welcome to
- 0:22Speaker 2: your one book show on this those day, June eleventh.
- 0:27Speaker 1: I hope everybody's having a a good week. Yeah, so, uh,
- 0:36Speaker 1: what's what is there to be surprised? Taco? Trump strikes again,
- 0:43Speaker 1: strikes again. So this morning there was a lot of
- 0:47Speaker 1: talk about We're gonna hit them really really hard today tonight,
- 0:53Speaker 1: We're really gonna go after the a Indians. We're gonna
- 0:55Speaker 1: hit them out. He even said that he declared that
- 0:59Speaker 1: the US will sees Cog Island from the Uranians, so
- 1:05Speaker 1: the Corg Island is where they have all their explore depots,
- 1:07Speaker 1: and then we would seize the oil and gas and
- 1:10Speaker 1: the United States would control the oil and gas. And
- 1:13Speaker 1: I mean he was putting boots on the ground, he
- 1:17Speaker 1: was taking war seriously, and that yes, that the uh
- 1:25Speaker 1: that the United States was going to massively attack attack
- 1:32Speaker 1: Trump And then, unsurprising to anybody, I think it was
- 1:39Speaker 1: on this afternoon he declared, Nope, it's off. The attack
- 1:43Speaker 1: is off. The Uanians have agreed to all of my demands.
- 1:46Speaker 1: There was a there was a there was an agreement.
- 1:50Speaker 1: The agreement has been approved by the monkey MUCKs, the
- 1:55Speaker 1: higher ups in Iran and uh, you know the this
- 2:00Speaker 1: is a done deal. He just a little while ago
- 2:04Speaker 1: said and kind of talking to the press, he said,
- 2:06Speaker 1: we could be signing over the weekend in Europe. I
- 2:08Speaker 1: won't be able to be there, but jade Vans will
- 2:10Speaker 1: be there. Uh and uh and yeah, you know, it's
- 2:14Speaker 1: a deal. It's it's a done deal. Now. A little
- 2:23Speaker 1: while after that, the Iranian media said, no, there's no deal.
- 2:28Speaker 1: We don't know anything about this. What's he's talking about?
- 2:30Speaker 1: Usual Trump? But then and this is maybe where this
- 2:35Speaker 1: is going to be different than the past and Scaria
- 2:40Speaker 1: and then the Iranians came back and said, actually, Trump
- 2:48Speaker 1: has basically agreed to everything we demanded. Uh, well, we
- 2:53Speaker 1: demanded in past sessions that he had not agreed to
- 2:57Speaker 1: and and and submitted accountant proposal that we cannot approve.
- 3:01Speaker 1: And that's why for two weeks we haven't been talking
- 3:03Speaker 1: to him because we're not going to prove any of
- 3:05Speaker 1: that he agreed to. The proposal was a bit of
- 3:08Speaker 1: two weeks ago. And he's basically given us everything we want,
- 3:15Speaker 1: and we Indeed, the story is that indeed, the the Iranians,
- 3:25Speaker 1: you know, are going to sign the deal, and there
- 3:27Speaker 1: is a deal with the United States. Now, whether the
- 3:31Speaker 1: Ranians are agreeing to the same deal Trump really thinks
- 3:35Speaker 1: he's agreeing to God only knows, but well maybe even
- 3:41Speaker 1: God doesn't know. But the reality is if the Ranians
- 3:46Speaker 1: agreeing to it, it can be a good deal. It's
- 3:48Speaker 1: an awful deal. It's going to be a disaster. So
- 3:52Speaker 1: everybody's waiting to see what exactly in this, but one
- 3:56Speaker 1: would expect it will have very, very very loose statements
- 4:01Speaker 1: about the nuclear program, maybe ten years, the same as Obama,
- 4:07Speaker 1: but nothing really committed to be negotiated in the future.
- 4:11Speaker 1: It's likely to include a complete cease fire in Lebanon,
- 4:16Speaker 1: so Israel standing down. I don't see how Israel can
- 4:21Speaker 1: agree to that, but Israel completely standing down in Lebanon,
- 4:26Speaker 1: and is likely to include the unfreezing of assets immediately,
- 4:32Speaker 1: because uan that was basically the peac conditioned for any
- 4:35Speaker 1: any deal was the unfreezing of assets and the media
- 4:40Speaker 1: transfer funds into Iranian hands. So it really looks like
- 4:48Speaker 1: complete American capitulation here, complete Trump capitulation. He was spin
- 4:53Speaker 1: this as the greatest deal ever. But yeah, I mean,
- 4:58Speaker 1: I think the bottom line is he was told that
- 5:02Speaker 1: the war is unpopular, it's hurting America, it's hurting the
- 5:06Speaker 1: Republicans for the midterms. He saw, you know, the stock
- 5:10Speaker 1: market yesterday didn't do well, it was kind of flat earlier.
- 5:14Speaker 1: I mean, one of the main things amazing things to
- 5:16Speaker 1: me is the extent to which the market, stock market
- 5:21Speaker 1: and bond market love the idea of a deal, love
- 5:27Speaker 1: the idea of a deal. As soon as this was announced,
- 5:32Speaker 1: as soon as he announced that there was a deal,
- 5:35Speaker 1: all the indexes were up, inches, straights were down, all
- 5:40Speaker 1: prices went from ninety one to eighty seven, a huge
- 5:43Speaker 1: decline in one day. And you know, it's we will
- 5:58Speaker 1: see now what happens. We will nowtter what happens. But
- 6:02Speaker 1: the markets, the markets really want this deal, and I
- 6:07Speaker 1: wouldn't be surprised if that ultimately what's swayed Trump. So
- 6:12Speaker 1: we will see exactly what happens. We will see if
- 6:17Speaker 1: any of this is based on reality. But it does
- 6:19Speaker 1: seem like it does seem like the Iranians are ready
- 6:27Speaker 1: to sign a deal. And my guess I might be wrong,
- 6:31Speaker 1: but I doubt it is that they're willing to sign
- 6:34Speaker 1: the deal because the deal, because the deal is really
- 6:38Speaker 1: really really really really good for them, and that means
- 6:41Speaker 1: it's really really really really bad for us. These Raelis
- 6:46Speaker 1: are really kind of in shock. These Raelis are basically
- 6:52Speaker 1: Nianio was in a meeting when this happened. He hadn't
- 6:54Speaker 1: heard any of it. He wasn't consulted or told about it.
- 6:59Speaker 1: And uh, it's I think these releas are in a
- 7:02Speaker 1: bit of a panic mode right now, uh, and trying
- 7:07Speaker 1: to figure out what this means for them and whether
- 7:12Speaker 1: this is whether this is uh, this is real. I'm
- 7:16Speaker 1: just looking at some Israeli news sources. Yeah, I mean
- 7:25Speaker 1: the the Iranian news service is saying there's a high
- 7:28Speaker 1: chance that the deal will be approved. This is the
- 7:31Speaker 1: first time the Ranians have been positive about a deal,
- 7:35Speaker 1: first time the Ranians have been positive about a deal.
- 7:40Speaker 1: It looks like Trump and Itanao have spoken this afternoon,
- 7:47Speaker 1: you know, after this was announced by two social That
- 7:51Speaker 1: is always the first thing that happens. Trump is saying
- 8:00Speaker 1: the Disapine lead ever Uan has approved the deal. But again,
- 8:06Speaker 1: the Iranians are saying, this is not the deal, This
- 8:08Speaker 1: is not what America proposed. This is the deal pre
- 8:13Speaker 1: US changes to it. This is the deal that was
- 8:18Speaker 1: originally proposed by the Iran Let's see again. It's hard
- 8:32Speaker 1: to tell exactly what's going on because, uh, you know, foss,
- 8:40Speaker 1: the the the the the Iranian news agency now is
- 8:43Speaker 1: saying there is no deal yet. It's not final. We
- 8:47Speaker 1: haven't finalized that here in Iran. Don't pay attention to
- 8:50Speaker 1: what Trump was saying. But this is taco. This is
- 8:55Speaker 1: uh what what is taco mean? Uh? Ump always you know, uh,
- 9:06Speaker 1: coward cows out right? Is that it? He always he
- 9:11Speaker 1: always finds a way to back off of what he
- 9:15Speaker 1: said he would do our out of cowardice, out of
- 9:19Speaker 1: coward ass right. Chickens out. Sorry, Trump always chickens out.
- 9:24Speaker 1: Same thing. Trump always chickens out, And he clearly is
- 9:27Speaker 1: chicken out now, several times, over and over and over
- 9:30Speaker 1: again from this wall, from this wall. Don't know, it's
- 9:39Speaker 1: hard to you know, I've said this over and over again,
- 9:42Speaker 1: so maybe tell me if this is over the repetitive.
- 9:46Speaker 1: But it's hard to express just how dumb this is.
- 9:52Speaker 1: It's hard to express how you know, bad for America
- 9:57Speaker 1: and and and and bad for America and allies in
- 10:01Speaker 1: the Gulf and Israel. It's hard to express how close
- 10:06Speaker 1: we were for a good outcome, and how Trump's behavior
- 10:09Speaker 1: and Trump's inability to follow through, an inability to see
- 10:13Speaker 1: things through an end or really Trump's commitment to his
- 10:18Speaker 1: own whims, Trump's commitment to his own emotions, how that
- 10:23Speaker 1: is undercut and undermined something that could have turned out
- 10:27Speaker 1: really really positive. I mean this, if this goes through,
- 10:34Speaker 1: and again, who knows, a massive betrayal of the Uranian
- 10:38Speaker 1: people after they told him he was coming to their help,
- 10:40Speaker 1: and all of that. This regime in Iran is only
- 10:43Speaker 1: going to be more brutal, is only going to be
- 10:46Speaker 1: more violent and yep in NATANIAO in his conversation with Trump,
- 11:05Speaker 1: reinforced the idea that that at the end of this,
- 11:09Speaker 1: at the end of the negotiations, that it's important that
- 11:13Speaker 1: the uranium, the enriched uranium, be taken out of Iran,
- 11:17Speaker 1: that the entire infrastructure for enriching uranium be dismantled, and
- 11:25Speaker 1: that there be limitations on the ability of the Uranians
- 11:27Speaker 1: to build ballistic missiles, and a commitment and a mechanism
- 11:34Speaker 1: by which to guarantee that Iran stops supporting proxy proxies
- 11:40Speaker 1: around the Middle East. I can guarantee you, I can
- 11:44Speaker 1: guarantee you I'll put real money on this. None of
- 11:47Speaker 1: that is in the deal. None of that will be
- 11:50Speaker 1: in the deal. Ntenieo is going to be bitterly disappointed.
- 11:55Speaker 1: And of course, if this deal does happen, Ntenia will
- 11:58Speaker 1: also likely take a significant electorial hit in the coming elections.
- 12:05Speaker 1: His big stake as compared to his opponents is not
- 12:10Speaker 1: he's tougher than them. There's no basis to believe that.
- 12:14Speaker 1: It's really he has a better relationship with Trump. If
- 12:19Speaker 1: Trump is perceived as having stabbed Israel in the back,
- 12:23Speaker 1: the advantage of Nitennieo, of Nintenieo being the leader goes away.
- 12:31Speaker 1: And my guess is that support for Natennia will decline
- 12:33Speaker 1: in Israel. Trump, who was like super popular in Israel
- 12:38Speaker 1: super I mean, at some point ninety plus percent then
- 12:41Speaker 1: seventy percent popularity is plummeted to well under fifty percent.
- 12:45Speaker 3: Now so, all right, those of you who predicted the
- 12:53Speaker 3: United States would lose the war, right, not for lack
- 12:59Speaker 3: of ability, not for lack of firepower, not for lack
- 13:02Speaker 3: of military competence, but for lack of presidential balls.
- 13:10Speaker 1: I think that's how we'll define it, lack of presidential balls.
- 13:16Speaker 1: But again we will see. I mean, the Ranians might
- 13:18Speaker 1: save us again. The Ranians might turn down the deal
- 13:22Speaker 1: and and might come back and keep saving us. I
- 13:24Speaker 1: mean Trump keeps keeps begging them to do a deal
- 13:29Speaker 1: with him, and he's willing to give them a lot
- 13:31Speaker 1: for that deal. But the reality is that, yeah, that
- 13:37Speaker 1: that that the Ranians might might might save the United
- 13:43Speaker 1: States and his allies again. All right, but my frustration aside,
- 13:53Speaker 1: Let's move on. I mean, we've talked about this story
- 13:56Speaker 1: forever now, it's getting kind of boring. Maybe it's better
- 13:59Speaker 1: that they just do it deal, just just just just
- 14:01Speaker 1: just so we can take this off of the around
- 14:03Speaker 1: book show news updates, so we don't have to repeat
- 14:07Speaker 1: ourselves over and over and over and over again. Yeah,
- 14:17Speaker 1: I mean, hopefully Eon will reject the deal. It's it's uh,
- 14:26Speaker 1: it's pretty crazy that they've got a deal being offered
- 14:29Speaker 1: to them, uh, being offered to them. Ah Uh, let's see. Yeah. Remember,
- 14:40Speaker 1: one of Trump's goals in going to China and meeting
- 14:44Speaker 1: with Hi was to try to get the supply of
- 14:48Speaker 1: rail earth materials flowing again. China was restricting the availability
- 14:53Speaker 1: of railroad materials. It has set up a kind of
- 14:56Speaker 1: an export enforcement mechanism that politicized the whole process of exporting,
- 15:06Speaker 1: of exporting the rare earth materials. And of course we
- 15:09Speaker 1: know that China basically dominates, it dominates that the whole
- 15:16Speaker 1: rare earth for magnets and for everything else, and that
- 15:20Speaker 1: is essential. It's national security issue. And supposedly one of
- 15:24Speaker 1: Trump's achievements during his meeting with Shi, although I was
- 15:31Speaker 1: skeptical that there were any achievements, was to get a
- 15:35Speaker 1: deal from China to facilitate, to facilitate, you know, an
- 15:45Speaker 1: easier ability of US businesses to receive rare earth materials. Well,
- 15:52Speaker 1: it turns out not surprising to anybody who knows how
- 15:56Speaker 1: bad Trump is a deal making not surprise. US business
- 16:01Speaker 1: groups are saying that Chinese export controls have made critical
- 16:06Speaker 1: minerals nearly unobtainable. That's especially true materials used in aerospace
- 16:12Speaker 1: and defense. That's include samarium, cobot magnets, I guess, and
- 16:21Speaker 1: yetrium I don't even know if I'm pronouncing it right.
- 16:24Speaker 1: Y T T R I UM affected companies. US affected
- 16:30Speaker 1: companies are searching the world for non Chinese supplies. But
- 16:34Speaker 1: as we've talked about in the past, the problem there is,
- 16:37Speaker 1: while there's plenty of rare earth materials in the ground
- 16:40Speaker 1: all over the world, there's very little mining of it,
- 16:44Speaker 1: and because of all kinds of environmental regulations, there's just
- 16:49Speaker 1: a very little refining of it that is actually processing,
- 16:55Speaker 1: refining these rare earth materials because it's the dirty. It's dirty,
- 17:02Speaker 1: it's not it's it's you know, it's tough. It's tough.
- 17:09Speaker 1: And so China really does control this. It has a
- 17:13Speaker 1: eighty plus percent of the entire global market. China really
- 17:19Speaker 1: has leverage. Not abstract, but if you think about it,
- 17:24Speaker 1: China today is embedded in supply chains for US weapons systems,
- 17:31Speaker 1: for microprocessors, for electric vehicles, for energy, for industrial production.
- 17:36Speaker 1: Almost everything today in the modern world depends on these
- 17:39Speaker 1: raios materials. And we have allowed, out of a neglect
- 17:42Speaker 1: for our own mining industry, out of a neglect for
- 17:46Speaker 1: own resources, out of elevation of mother nature above national security,
- 17:54Speaker 1: we have neglected to create our own supply chain to
- 17:59Speaker 1: build these things. In the United States. We've also not
- 18:03Speaker 1: encouraged other countries to do it. I mean Trump came
- 18:08Speaker 1: in in his first term as the big China hawk
- 18:13Speaker 1: who wanted to disengage with China. That was what that
- 18:17Speaker 1: was twenty sixteen. That's ten years ago, or really nine
- 18:21Speaker 1: years ago. He came in in twenty seventeen, nine years ago.
- 18:24Speaker 1: We had nine years to figure this out, nine years
- 18:28Speaker 1: to build alternatives, nine years to encourage other countries to
- 18:32Speaker 1: create these facilities. I means, it really is stunning. I mean,
- 18:39Speaker 1: remember even Obama had a pivot to Asia, wanted to
- 18:43Speaker 1: pivot to Asia. Well okay, well, wouldn't one of the
- 18:45Speaker 1: main strategies be in a pivot where you're focusing on
- 18:49Speaker 1: Chinese to figure out, ooh, we've got all these supply chains,
- 18:52Speaker 1: particularly particularly these rare materials that really depend on China.
- 18:57Speaker 1: How do we how do we protect ourselves from being
- 19:00Speaker 1: completely dominated by them, completely reliant on them? The United States,
- 19:08Speaker 1: the West more broadly is not you know, this is
- 19:14Speaker 1: the point I keep making. I've been making this for
- 19:17Speaker 1: years and years. Our politicians, the people who run our country,
- 19:25Speaker 1: have no strategy. They don't think beyond tomorrow or the
- 19:30Speaker 1: next election cycle. There's almost no strategic thinking. This is
- 19:36Speaker 1: I mean, the Iran war is a great case, right.
- 19:39Speaker 1: I mean, any strategic thinking would have said, the first
- 19:42Speaker 1: thing Uranians will do would block their homeost straits U,
- 19:45Speaker 1: let's have a plan for that. There's no strategic thinking
- 19:48Speaker 1: in Washington, DC. I mean literally not, and when there is,
- 19:53Speaker 1: it's not very good. Our politicians and our bureaucrats are
- 19:58Speaker 1: not that smart, they're not very able, and they're not
- 20:03Speaker 1: owe you in it towards thinking long term. I mean,
- 20:06Speaker 1: we could go on and on about the fact that
- 20:08Speaker 1: SOID security is going bankrupt. You see story after story
- 20:11Speaker 1: after the story coming out these days about how by
- 20:14Speaker 1: twenty thirty two, which is just around the corner, there's
- 20:18Speaker 1: going to be real problem of social security medicare you know,
- 20:21Speaker 1: the deficit, the massive amount of debt. I mean, it's
- 20:25Speaker 1: almost like the government's going, yeah, what s meant? All
- 20:27Speaker 1: do we want? And then we'll pray, We'll all pray
- 20:30Speaker 1: that AI will save us. That the US economy like
- 20:33Speaker 1: what's his name, Bessett, and the comments secretary of his
- 20:38Speaker 1: names said, oh, the US economy is going to go
- 20:40Speaker 1: at six percent. Now, it's true. If the US economy
- 20:43Speaker 1: grew at six percent, the deficit would not be a
- 20:45Speaker 1: problem and we will pay back all our debts. But
- 20:49Speaker 1: the US economy is struggling to go at two percent,
- 20:53Speaker 1: and that was completely predictable. So they're replacing strategy with prayer.
- 20:59Speaker 1: I mean not literally prayer, but whom desire emotion this
- 21:04Speaker 1: present more than any But they're all that way. It's
- 21:06Speaker 1: not like Biden could think strategically. Wait. Stop, it's not
- 21:10Speaker 1: like Biden could think period. I mean, his mind was gone.
- 21:15Speaker 1: And it's not that the people around him had long
- 21:17Speaker 1: term strategy, not real, not one that actually considered America's
- 21:27Speaker 1: interest and had any kind of understanding of economics, so
- 21:30Speaker 1: national security or geopolitics. It is stunning, stunning that you
- 21:37Speaker 1: have to hear about this stuff on the book show.
- 21:39Speaker 1: And it's not something that's debated regularly you know media
- 21:43Speaker 1: among our politicians that it's not debated in presidential debates
- 21:49Speaker 1: or congressional debates. It's not being spoken of much in
- 21:53Speaker 1: the Senate and place like that. We just don't have
- 21:56Speaker 1: a political class that is interested in any long term
- 21:59Speaker 1: SI solutions to any problems. They deny the problems and
- 22:03Speaker 1: they don't want to think about solutions. And this is
- 22:06Speaker 1: true of Democrats and Republicans. It's true of both sides
- 22:11Speaker 1: of the aisle. All they care about, and it's now
- 22:15Speaker 1: become naked and explicit. All they care about is power.
- 22:20Speaker 1: I mean, even with the Iran deal stuff, not having
- 22:24Speaker 1: a deal is interfering with the Midtrum election, not with
- 22:27Speaker 1: the interests of the United States. So the Miditum election.
- 22:29Speaker 1: So let's get a deal. No matter what kind of deal,
- 22:31Speaker 1: We'll get a deal so we can somehow survive. Now,
- 22:41Speaker 1: as I've told you, markets often solve these problems, but
- 22:44Speaker 1: it takes time, particularly when the geopolitics gets in the way.
- 22:52Speaker 1: There is an opportunity for another country to step in
- 22:55Speaker 1: and start building capabilities in railroad materials. Is an opportunity
- 23:00Speaker 1: for another country to start building the uh processing, refining
- 23:07Speaker 1: that is necessary capacity. Industrial capacity is necessary to compete
- 23:12Speaker 1: with China. I mean, the need for with materiality is
- 23:15Speaker 1: not going away. So a long term investment makes a
- 23:18Speaker 1: lot of sense. And indeed, that is exactly what is
- 23:22Speaker 1: happening in India. Conglomerates like Reliance, Vedanta and adanih investing
- 23:40Speaker 1: in mining, refining, processing, and building things like magnets. Right.
- 23:49Speaker 1: This is an area that Chinese dominance has created a
- 23:52Speaker 1: massive market opportunity for somebody. And in this case India,
- 23:58Speaker 1: which is ambitious, India, which has it's a big country.
- 24:03Speaker 1: I guess is it has real earth materials, it has capital,
- 24:08Speaker 1: it has industries, it has capabilities, and it's probably a
- 24:12Speaker 1: little less concerned about environmental issues then let's say the
- 24:15Speaker 1: United States would be. Uh, you're seeing the private sector
- 24:20Speaker 1: in India step up and and and you don't engage.
- 24:25Speaker 1: Now we'll see if these projects come into being, it's
- 24:28Speaker 1: going to require government. My guess is the land is
- 24:32Speaker 1: owned by governments, and my guess is the environmental regulation
- 24:35Speaker 1: that the government will have to sign off on. But
- 24:40Speaker 1: here's the market finding a solution because there's a huge
- 24:46Speaker 1: market opportunity here. H This is you know, this is
- 24:56Speaker 1: the contrast with this, and and and the whole absurdity
- 25:00Speaker 1: of a green transition. Right. So we were encouraged to
- 25:03Speaker 1: go net zero green transition. Bid will build windmills, build
- 25:08Speaker 1: solar panels. But you know what you need for windmills
- 25:10Speaker 1: and solar panels. For windmills and solar panels, what you
- 25:15Speaker 1: need is rare earth materials. That's what you need. We've
- 25:20Speaker 1: encouraged to go electric and buy electric cars, evs. What
- 25:25Speaker 1: do you need for EV's rare earth materials? So the
- 25:32Speaker 1: left drove us off a cliff, you know, engaging in
- 25:37Speaker 1: all this net zero stuff, which is driven demand for
- 25:43Speaker 1: a lot of these air earth materials through the roof.
- 25:47Speaker 1: And now in order to gain access to these rare
- 25:50Speaker 1: earth materials, we're gonna have to you know, cut up
- 25:53Speaker 1: the earth, dig inside of it, you know, engage in
- 25:57Speaker 1: processing or finding, which is pretty polluting. And you know,
- 26:01Speaker 1: the greens don't like and the greens don't really care.
- 26:05Speaker 1: They want to stop that because they're not really and
- 26:09Speaker 1: this is one more way in which they reveal themselves
- 26:11Speaker 1: they not really they don't really want green energy, but
- 26:15Speaker 1: they really want and we'll get to this in a
- 26:18Speaker 1: few segments, what they really want is to stop. Stop civilization,
- 26:23Speaker 1: stop capitalism, stop production, stop increasing standard living, just stop
- 26:27Speaker 1: stop now, please stop. That is what motivates them. That's
- 26:34Speaker 1: what drives them. So that's a story. Anyway, India might
- 26:39Speaker 1: try to fill in the gap. It's going to take
- 26:41Speaker 1: a while. We're probably looking at twenty thirty before India
- 26:44Speaker 1: becomes a significant resource for you know, these rare earth materials,
- 26:50Speaker 1: including lithium. But it does look like the government is
- 26:55Speaker 1: committed to this and that the private sector is gauged
- 27:00Speaker 1: and involved in going to do this. Again, there's a
- 27:02Speaker 1: massive market opportunity. All right, Yeah, I want to show
- 27:12Speaker 1: you these graphs. So these are graphs from scott Linskipp.
- 27:17Speaker 1: So remember Trump told us that Trump told us that
- 27:25Speaker 1: tariffs we're gonna usher in a new era, a golden
- 27:31Speaker 1: age of manufacturing. US manufacturing was going to take off.
- 27:38Speaker 1: Things were going to be so good. Golden Age, the
- 27:41Speaker 1: Golden Age. I want to I want to do an
- 27:42Speaker 1: update on the Golden Age. Once in a while, we
- 27:44Speaker 1: do updates and golden ages, figure out what's actually happened
- 27:47Speaker 1: out there in the manufacturing world, which Trump seems to
- 27:53Speaker 1: care so much about. I'm not very concerned about any
- 27:58Speaker 1: of these graphs. I'm just concerned that Trump not fulfilling
- 28:00Speaker 1: his promise. I'm shocked, as I'm sure you are too.
- 28:06Speaker 1: So let's take a look. Yeah, there's a graph. Okay,
- 28:09Speaker 1: So this is a graph of construction of manufacturing facilities.
- 28:14Speaker 1: Now what you see is, you know, being fairly flat
- 28:20Speaker 1: during Trump's first term, and then a huge spike a
- 28:24Speaker 1: golden age of construction during the Biden administration. Now, this
- 28:30Speaker 1: huge increase in the Biden administration was driven by gum
- 28:34Speaker 1: and subsidies. It was driven by the Inflation Now Acts,
- 28:39Speaker 1: and it was in inflation whatever the Inflation Act of
- 28:43Speaker 1: when he came into office in twenty twenty one. It
- 28:45Speaker 1: was driven by the Chip Act. It was driven by
- 28:49Speaker 1: a lot of this is wasteful, meaningless construction of factories
- 28:54Speaker 1: that produce solar panels, you know, involved in solar energy
- 29:00Speaker 1: mills and batteries and things like that. These are massive
- 29:03Speaker 1: subsidies to all kinds of industries, including the ship industry
- 29:07Speaker 1: to build bilbiltsy. So a huge increase. This is the
- 29:11Speaker 1: value of private manufacturing construction went from somewhere around six
- 29:17Speaker 1: I assume this is in billion, yes, six billion to
- 29:20Speaker 1: twenty billion three acts plus in Biden's four years. Now,
- 29:27Speaker 1: that's a huge We know this had an amazing impact
- 29:32Speaker 1: on the economy, because the economy was amazing in the
- 29:34Speaker 1: Biden or maybe not so. Construction of manufacturing facilities does
- 29:40Speaker 1: not necessarily colorate with great jobs, and particularly if it's
- 29:46Speaker 1: subsidized by the government, one worries about all this construction
- 29:50Speaker 1: actually having any use. Since then, since Strump came into power,
- 29:57Speaker 1: as you can see, you know, going down during the
- 30:01Speaker 1: final months of the Biden administration in twenty twenty five,
- 30:05Speaker 1: and then since Trump came in, it flattened out and
- 30:08Speaker 1: then collapsed earlier this year, and now seems flattening out
- 30:12Speaker 1: again at around fifteen billion, still significantly higher than it
- 30:16Speaker 1: was in Trump's first term, but significantly lower than it
- 30:21Speaker 1: peaked out and Biden. And a lot of this is
- 30:24Speaker 1: still the ongoing subsidies of the Chip Act, So we
- 30:31Speaker 1: haven't really seen a manufacturing renaissance. Well maybe existing factories
- 30:37Speaker 1: without going they've hired a lot of people. Maybe they've
- 30:40Speaker 1: hired a lot of people. So here's two things. One
- 30:43Speaker 1: is manufacturing output, and you can see that manufacturing have
- 30:49Speaker 1: to it kind of peaked. I think it was an
- 30:51Speaker 1: all time high sometimes during Trump won, and then declined
- 30:57Speaker 1: and then crashed during COVID and then recovered and it
- 30:59Speaker 1: was flat doing Biden, starting to decline a little bit
- 31:02Speaker 1: during Biden, and then increased a little bit under Trump,
- 31:05Speaker 1: and seems to have increased a little bit, but not
- 31:08Speaker 1: by much. I wouldn't say it's a Golden Age way increasing.
- 31:12Speaker 1: Maybe we're heading back to where we were in Trump won,
- 31:16Speaker 1: which was an all time high in spite of all
- 31:18Speaker 1: the complaints about manufacturing is going away from the United
- 31:21Speaker 1: States in terms of actual stuff produced output all time
- 31:27Speaker 1: high was in twenty eighteen.
- 31:30Speaker 3: I think.
- 31:33Speaker 1: Employment, on the other hand, went up during Trump's first
- 31:38Speaker 1: term even as output went down, then collapsed under COVID,
- 31:43Speaker 1: and then recovered under Biden and peaked in twenty twenty
- 31:47Speaker 1: two twenty twenty three, and has since then been slowly declining.
- 31:52Speaker 1: That does look like over the last few months it's
- 31:55Speaker 1: flattened out a little bit, maybe upticking a little bit.
- 32:00Speaker 1: But so far, so far. I just wanted to update
- 32:02Speaker 1: you so far. No golden age of manufacturing, yeah, yeah, now, uh,
- 32:17Speaker 1: it is a question. Yeah, so you can see all
- 32:21Speaker 1: this and in this let me just see something, all right,
- 32:29Speaker 1: Uh all right, yes, it's we don't quite have it yet,
- 32:49Speaker 1: the Golden age. Maybe it's coming. By the way, this
- 32:52Speaker 1: is from uh these Uh I got it off for
- 32:55Speaker 1: Scott Linds again, but it's actually Christian Davy and Ian
- 33:00Speaker 1: Hodgens published an article about this in The Financial Times
- 33:07Speaker 1: a few days ago, and it's really the graphs from them.
- 33:13Speaker 1: And so remember the trillions and trillions and trillions and
- 33:18Speaker 1: trillions and trillions of dollars that the world promised Trump
- 33:24Speaker 1: that they would invest in the United States, and uh,
- 33:29Speaker 1: you know, invested in the United States, and Trump say,
- 33:32Speaker 1: I think it was seventeen trillion or something. It's not happening.
- 33:38Speaker 1: It's just it's just not happening. Maybe there's something about
- 33:46Speaker 1: America just doesn't it doesn't make sense of many facts
- 33:49Speaker 1: in America, which is probably true. It just doesn't make
- 33:52Speaker 1: sense too many facture more than we already making some manufacturing.
- 33:56Speaker 1: Or maybe if you want to manufacture in America, the
- 33:59Speaker 1: thing to do is not some sidize. It's not a
- 34:01Speaker 1: big Fahn country. Stay invest when you know they're not
- 34:04Speaker 1: going to anyway. Maybe the answer to that is rejuice regulation,
- 34:12Speaker 1: make it easier to hire, make it easier to build.
- 34:17Speaker 1: Maybe that's the solution. Uh, just give me one second,
- 34:31Speaker 1: all right. So that was from Scott. That is a
- 34:38Speaker 1: Golden Age PHIASA PHISA god. So PHIASA is the Phone
- 34:52Speaker 1: Intelligence Surveillance Act, right, and the Fun Intelligence Surveillance Act
- 34:58Speaker 1: has a section Section seven zero too. Uh, and the
- 35:03Speaker 1: both the phone both PISA and the section siver to
- 35:06Speaker 1: really undermine the government's electronic spying program in the United States.
- 35:13Speaker 1: PISA gives the ability of the government to get The
- 35:16Speaker 1: government has secret courts where they can get secret warrants
- 35:20Speaker 1: to tap your phone, listen in, spy on you more broadly.
- 35:26Speaker 1: And you know this has passed as part of the
- 35:29Speaker 1: post nine to eleven hysteria. And this gave the NSA
- 35:36Speaker 1: and the other intelligence agencies huge amount of power within
- 35:40Speaker 1: the United States to spy un Americans. It's what God,
- 35:49Speaker 1: what's his name? The the NSA guy who who told
- 35:55Speaker 1: us about all these programs where the NSA was listening
- 35:59Speaker 1: in on Americans. It was what we found out was
- 36:05Speaker 1: going on with him right now. The expre PAISA permits
- 36:11Speaker 1: the government to collect US technology companies get from Google
- 36:15Speaker 1: and AT and T, for example, the communications of foreigners
- 36:20Speaker 1: located abroad without a warrant when seeking foreign intelligence information.
- 36:26Speaker 1: It also permits them to get information at Snowden. Thank
- 36:30Speaker 1: you God. I can see his face, I can't get
- 36:32Speaker 1: his name. My brain will not deliver that information. And
- 36:40Speaker 1: you know it's it's about to expire. PAISA expires tomorrow,
- 36:44Speaker 1: expires tomorrow. And members of Congress voted on it today
- 36:53Speaker 1: and in a two hundred and eighteen hundred and ninety
- 36:55Speaker 1: eight vote, the House rejected a measure to temper or
- 37:00Speaker 1: renew to renew PFISER. So at least section seven oh
- 37:08Speaker 1: two a PFISER, which is again allows all this spying
- 37:13Speaker 1: to happen. Now, part of this is that there are lawmakers, Democrats,
- 37:21Speaker 1: are plenty of Republicans who just don't like this, who've
- 37:26Speaker 1: never liked it. I mean, I know Rand Paul always
- 37:29Speaker 1: votes against renewing the section seven to a PISA. I
- 37:33Speaker 1: think he votes against Pfiser more broadly. But but there's
- 37:42Speaker 1: a group of Congressmen who would normally vote for this,
- 37:50Speaker 1: but that group splendid away from Trump, splintered away from
- 37:54Speaker 1: approving this is something Trump really wants because he had
- 37:58Speaker 1: installed Bill Poulte, a housing official, right the top housing official,
- 38:05Speaker 1: as the head of as basically a director of National Intelligence,
- 38:10Speaker 1: which he is, you know, how do you say it,
- 38:15Speaker 1: you know, massively un qualified to be. He just has
- 38:19Speaker 1: no qualification for it. And he's clearly a partisan. And
- 38:22Speaker 1: he was going to keep his housing positions and do this,
- 38:26Speaker 1: and they were like, no, we're not, you know, and
- 38:30Speaker 1: he was bypassing congressional approval because you know, he was
- 38:34Speaker 1: an interim position, but the guy could stay there into
- 38:37Speaker 1: him forever. Basically, Republicans stold Trump, if you want fights
- 38:42Speaker 1: at a pass, you've got to appoint somebody and have
- 38:48Speaker 1: them go through the Senate and have the Senate to
- 38:51Speaker 1: prove him like all other but have somebody credible. Now,
- 38:57Speaker 1: remember some Democrats act he want us right, they're all
- 39:01Speaker 1: for spying, right. It's not like Democrats are for privacy
- 39:03Speaker 1: and Republicans are for spying. This usually gets a significant majority.
- 39:18Speaker 1: And again they the Democrats said unless Trump picked somebody
- 39:24Speaker 1: else other than mister Polte or nominated a permanent pick,
- 39:29Speaker 1: they would now vote for it. And this is what
- 39:30Speaker 1: happened today. So nobody knows exactly what happens tomorrow. I mean,
- 39:35Speaker 1: the reality is that tomorrow whatever the NSA does in
- 39:39Speaker 1: terms of listening to people becomes illegal. It's not authorized
- 39:43Speaker 1: by the law. So you know, the worry that both
- 39:55Speaker 1: Republicans and Democrats have is that the reason Poulte was
- 39:59Speaker 1: appointed to direct of National Security and National Intelligence is
- 40:06Speaker 1: that he would use that position to go after Trump's enemies,
- 40:12Speaker 1: which is what Trump has always wanted. That's all he
- 40:16Speaker 1: really cares about. He certainly doesn't care about American national security.
- 40:23Speaker 1: So the fear was that he was going to use
- 40:24Speaker 1: this to go after his enemies, and both Republicans and
- 40:28Speaker 1: Democrats united to go after that. Uh Poultier was going
- 40:32Speaker 1: to conduct max firings of employees at the Office of
- 40:36Speaker 1: Director of the National Intelligence. Again, that is an officer
- 40:39Speaker 1: was established after nine to eleven, after the intelligence failure
- 40:43Speaker 1: of nine to eleven UH and in order to coordinate
- 40:47Speaker 1: all the different intelligence agencies of the military, civilian, NSSA, CIA, FBI,
- 40:53Speaker 1: and the military intelligence to coordinate them because nine to
- 40:56Speaker 1: eleven to large Dolge extent happened because there was no
- 40:59Speaker 1: such coordination. Now, Tolsi Govett, who had been the director,
- 41:04Speaker 1: had already overseen significantnouncizing of the agency. So people thought
- 41:09Speaker 1: this was going to be a gutting into agency and
- 41:11Speaker 1: a focusing on the agency onjust on political motives. Anyway,
- 41:16Speaker 1: Trump caved another taco. Trump earlier today announced that because
- 41:28Speaker 1: of the controversy of him appointing Bill Poulte, that he
- 41:33Speaker 1: was now going to nominate Jake Clayton to become the
- 41:38Speaker 1: next permanent Director of National Security. Now it's not just
- 41:45Speaker 1: Jake Clayton has any national security experience. He doesn't really
- 41:51Speaker 1: more than Bill Poultey, because at least Clayton is a
- 41:55Speaker 1: lawyer who might have had some you know, interaction action
- 42:00Speaker 1: with some security issues. Clayton is currently the US Attorney
- 42:04Speaker 1: for the Southern District of New York. He's the former
- 42:08Speaker 1: chairman of SEC the Securities and Exchange Commission, and he
- 42:13Speaker 1: will now go in front of the Senate to be approved.
- 42:23Speaker 1: Clayton is a registered independent, He's not a Republican. He's
- 42:27Speaker 1: served on what legal experts call the most powerful position
- 42:29Speaker 1: in and Justice Apartment, the Southern District of New York.
- 42:33Speaker 1: I've told you that that's where Giuliani served. He's been
- 42:37Speaker 1: this since August of twenty twenty five. Trump nominated him
- 42:40Speaker 1: shortly after winning the twenty twenty four election. You know.
- 42:49Speaker 1: So one of the things that Clayton did was go
- 42:52Speaker 1: after indict Maduro right that ultimately led to his extraction.
- 42:59Speaker 1: Call it that he's a West Virginia Natives. He started
- 43:04Speaker 1: his legal career as a low clerk for US district
- 43:08Speaker 1: courts in the Eastern District of Pennsylvania. You know. He
- 43:14Speaker 1: then worked at a private law firm. He was nominated
- 43:19Speaker 1: to be Chairman of the of the SEC by Trump
- 43:22Speaker 1: in twenty seventeen. And yeah, you know, the guy seems
- 43:29Speaker 1: like he's pretty well respected. He is frequently testified before Congress.
- 43:35Speaker 1: He knows what that is going to be about. Now again,
- 43:40Speaker 1: it really is hard to figure out how Congress is
- 43:49Speaker 1: going to deal with the fact that he has no
- 43:51Speaker 1: zero zilch national security experience needed the Tolci gabet So
- 43:59Speaker 1: I guess, I guess that won't stop them. He'll probably
- 44:02Speaker 1: get approved. He's been approved by Congress for other positions,
- 44:06Speaker 1: so it's likely he would get approved. But this is
- 44:09Speaker 1: a case where Trump has caved to Congress in order
- 44:13Speaker 1: to get in order to get PISA approved for supposed
- 44:17Speaker 1: national security reasons. Now again, from our perspective, fights is
- 44:21Speaker 1: a bad law because it ultimately allows Congress, sorry, that
- 44:26Speaker 1: allows the NSA to spy on Americans. It's what Ed
- 44:30Speaker 1: Snowden told us about at the time.
- 44:33Speaker 4: I thought that that would that the reaction to that
- 44:40Speaker 4: would be stronger, that the consequence of that would be,
- 44:45Speaker 4: you know, the weakening AFFISA, that Americans.
- 44:48Speaker 1: Would rebel against it. But it won't. Somebody says he's
- 44:56Speaker 1: a swamp Dennison, He probably is that's why you'll probably
- 44:59Speaker 1: be approved. And you know he probably won't go after
- 45:05Speaker 1: you know, Trump's enemies the way Poultier would have, so
- 45:10Speaker 1: who knows. But yeah, it's another Trump backing down. But fine,
- 45:19Speaker 1: in this case, we're all supportive, all right. One of
- 45:25Speaker 1: the most vicious, really evil, anti human, anti life movements
- 45:33Speaker 1: on the left is the de growth movement, which is
- 45:40Speaker 1: a growing movement uh and is gaining credibility and prestige
- 45:48Speaker 1: as part of that yesterday, well this isn't yesterday. This
- 45:52Speaker 1: last week, six prominent figures, including a Nobel Prize winning
- 45:58Speaker 1: economics Joseph Stieglitz, Thomas Picketti, j Ti Ghosh, Kate Warworth,
- 46:08Speaker 1: Jason Hickel, Oliver de Shutter, all well known economists of
- 46:14Speaker 1: the left, but well known, published a manifesto in The
- 46:18Speaker 1: Guardian under the headline quote we economists have done the math.
- 46:23Speaker 1: Growth is dedoomed strategy. They announced, quote a roadmap for
- 46:31Speaker 1: eradicating poverty beyond growth now. Supposedly, this manifesto was drafted
- 46:40Speaker 1: over eighteen months by more than four hundred people, including
- 46:45Speaker 1: people from UN agencies, national governments, academic experts, civil society organizations,
- 46:51Speaker 1: trade union, social and solidarity, economic economy actors and grassroot movements,
- 46:57Speaker 1: and it has been endorsed by three hundred and fifty
- 47:00Speaker 1: ignitaries who call on national governments, political leaders all over
- 47:07Speaker 1: the globe to use this. Now, note how they approach this.
- 47:16Speaker 1: They've done the math, they tell you they've done the math,
- 47:20Speaker 1: and yet the entire manifesto contains no math, no model,
- 47:26Speaker 1: no estimate, no conte factual, no argument. What it contains
- 47:34Speaker 1: is just assertions. The main assertion and the main proposition
- 47:39Speaker 1: is that the world economy needs to be redesigned by
- 47:43Speaker 1: the experts, and it needs to be redesigned around objectives
- 47:48Speaker 1: chosen by coalition of UN agencies and NGOs, with growth
- 47:54Speaker 1: demoted to being suspicious, and it's not. It's being presented
- 48:04Speaker 1: as truth. As we are the experts, some of us
- 48:10Speaker 1: have noble prices in economics. We know we are superior
- 48:15Speaker 1: to the rest of you. We are the philosopher kings.
- 48:18Speaker 1: We know. Now Pedro Santa Clara, who is you know,
- 48:31Speaker 1: as a professor of finance and from actually in Portugal,
- 48:38Speaker 1: has written a bunch of stuff against these kind of things,
- 48:42Speaker 1: and he's kind of, you know, he's kind of written
- 48:45Speaker 1: a response. If you will to this. I mean, the
- 48:50Speaker 1: reality is that this is this is the new manifesto
- 48:56Speaker 1: of the left. This is what they are going to embrace.
- 48:59Speaker 1: This is what going to uh, you know, cultivate. This
- 49:03Speaker 1: is consistent with their environmentalist goals, It consistent with net zero. Indeed,
- 49:08Speaker 1: much of this, much of this is based on the
- 49:11Speaker 1: idea that growth is destroying the environment, that we're going
- 49:15Speaker 1: to die of climate change, that that is the cost
- 49:18Speaker 1: of growth, is climate change, and that is a cost
- 49:21Speaker 1: humanity cannot cannot survive. So let's quickly look at some
- 49:29Speaker 1: of these. We'll get into much more detail on a
- 49:30Speaker 1: future show. We'll do maybe a whole show on the
- 49:33Speaker 1: the growth movement. It's worthy of that given how I
- 49:36Speaker 1: think they're going to be significant, this significant power on
- 49:40Speaker 1: the left. They believe in a in a fixed piety world,
- 49:49Speaker 1: that the world is a fixed by They believe that poverty,
- 50:01Speaker 1: the poverty should not exist because poverty is a consequence
- 50:08Speaker 1: of the fact that we have not redistributed enough of
- 50:12Speaker 1: the rich. They say in the article in the manifesto,
- 50:18Speaker 1: the poor poor because of the rich are rich. There's
- 50:21Speaker 1: a fixed pie. If the rich take more than the
- 50:24Speaker 1: poor have lass now put aside the fact that there
- 50:31Speaker 1: is no such thing as a pie, put aside the
- 50:34Speaker 1: fact that you have what you create. That would be
- 50:39Speaker 1: a huge cognitive dissonance for them. By the way, Stiglitz,
- 50:44Speaker 1: who is the Nobel Prize lotterate who wrote this with
- 50:47Speaker 1: the others, with somebody who you know, was once at
- 50:51Speaker 1: an event Don Watkins and I did about inequality and
- 50:56Speaker 1: around a conversation where actually two Nobil Prizes win as
- 50:59Speaker 1: their stigulats in one the other more of a census
- 51:02Speaker 1: center right kind of economists. And there was a conversation
- 51:05Speaker 1: going on with other people about this, and Don and
- 51:08Speaker 1: I were presenting our views about inequality, and at some
- 51:13Speaker 1: point in Stigulus were participating a little bit, and at
- 51:15Speaker 1: some point Stiglus just stood up and said, this is
- 51:20Speaker 1: completely this is nonsense, this is terrible. You know, there's
- 51:24Speaker 1: nothing to talk about here, and he just walked out,
- 51:27Speaker 1: walked out. So this is some thinking the the growth,
- 51:38Speaker 1: you know, and scarcity, This is the idea again, the
- 51:41Speaker 1: scarcity everything scarce, and the scarcity is manufactured. We could
- 51:48Speaker 1: give everybody enough to be not poor just by redistributing
- 51:56Speaker 1: everything we have. We don't need to grow in order
- 51:59Speaker 1: to do it. I mean, they argue that all this
- 52:09Speaker 1: economic growth does not improved human life. That is that
- 52:23Speaker 1: you know, poverty is still has not been reduced, which
- 52:27Speaker 1: is counter to just you know, visible evidence. You know,
- 52:38Speaker 1: they're selective in the numbers they choose. Wages are stagnated,
- 52:43Speaker 1: which is completely nonsense. You know, inequality is exploded, which
- 52:48Speaker 1: is nonsense and irrelevant. And you know they make the
- 52:54Speaker 1: claim of around you know, around ninety two percent of
- 52:58Speaker 1: excess global carbon emission could be attributed to the global
- 53:01Speaker 1: north based on what is China the global north of
- 53:08Speaker 1: the global south. China's emitting a lot, India's emitting a
- 53:12Speaker 1: lot of the global north of the global south. It's
- 53:15Speaker 1: a completely manufactured number. It has no reality. It comes
- 53:21Speaker 1: from nowhere. The wealthiest ten percent of individuals are responsible
- 53:27Speaker 1: for nearly half global emissions. Again from where I mean,
- 53:31Speaker 1: what does the growth stuff mostly comes out of? Is
- 53:36Speaker 1: a panic I think among many leftists the climate change
- 53:41Speaker 1: is no longer a big issue. The people don't see
- 53:44Speaker 1: the care anymore. Greta has abandoned climate change as an agenda.
- 53:48Speaker 1: She's much more interested in Palestinians than she is in
- 53:52Speaker 1: climate change. So we need to bring it back. And
- 53:58Speaker 1: the way to bring it back is to recreate the
- 54:00Speaker 1: hysteria about poverty, about inequality, and about climate, and as
- 54:10Speaker 1: part of that, frame it all in terms of the growths.
- 54:21Speaker 1: The solution to all this is no growth and massive redistribution, massive,
- 54:27Speaker 1: not little redistribution, massive redistribution. Now, how we survive once
- 54:33Speaker 1: all the redistribution happens where the capital comes from in
- 54:37Speaker 1: order to keep investing. I guess some governments who print money.
- 54:41Speaker 1: Everything is centralized, central planning. I mean, this is the
- 54:45Speaker 1: new communism, if you will. These are the ultimate statists.
- 54:54Speaker 1: So the left is not committed to base an agenda
- 54:59Speaker 1: of stagnation, an agenda of stagnation, not a consequence, not
- 55:04Speaker 1: a stagnation as a consequence. But that's what we're striving forward,
- 55:08Speaker 1: that's what we're going for. That's what we're trying to achieve,
- 55:11Speaker 1: is stagnation. It really is. You know, how to believe
- 55:20Speaker 1: that anybody serious really has such an agenda and they
- 55:23Speaker 1: say this, nobody has become out of poverty. Just look
- 55:26Speaker 1: at China where billion people have come out of poverty.
- 55:29Speaker 1: Look at India where billion people are coming out of poverty.
- 55:32Speaker 1: Still got a way to go. But they're coming out.
- 55:37Speaker 1: Look at South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, even Vietnam
- 55:46Speaker 1: or Thailand. I mean, look at all of Asia, Look
- 55:50Speaker 1: at the African countries that have adopted some market programs.
- 55:56Speaker 1: Look at Eastern Europe, look at Poland. It is astounding
- 56:06Speaker 1: how well educated, high IQ individuals who are economists of
- 56:14Speaker 1: all things, can just make stuff up, lie blatantly lie
- 56:23Speaker 1: because of their commitment, the real commitment, unwavering commitment to
- 56:31Speaker 1: an egalitarian ideal, to the ideal of equal outcome. It's
- 56:38Speaker 1: not a surprise Piquetti is one of them. Piquetti is
- 56:44Speaker 1: the guy who has resurrected the idea over the last
- 56:49Speaker 1: fourteen years, resurrected the idea that inequality is the biggest
- 56:53Speaker 1: problem in the world and the equality of outcome, of course,
- 56:58Speaker 1: is the ultimate ideal. He is resurrected, in non Marxist terms,
- 57:05Speaker 1: non Marxist philosophical terms, the Marxist ideology, at least Marxist outcome.
- 57:11Speaker 1: If not the Marxist process, but the Shaer evasion. These
- 57:20Speaker 1: people engage in the share evil that they are promoting,
- 57:26Speaker 1: I mean, what they're really doing. I mean, imagine if
- 57:29Speaker 1: you redistributed all the wealth. What they're really doing is
- 57:31Speaker 1: dramatically would be increasing poverty all over the world, dramatically,
- 57:36Speaker 1: not a little bit. They would be determining in the
- 57:39Speaker 1: fate of humanity for the next one hundred, you know,
- 57:42Speaker 1: one hundred years in poverty. They would be you know,
- 57:49Speaker 1: they would be stopping human progress. Now, Marx is not
- 57:56Speaker 1: back now, and these people are not philosophical innocence that
- 57:59Speaker 1: Marx was. They don't have a theory the way Marks had.
- 58:04Speaker 1: They know what I mean here is of a history
- 58:05Speaker 1: of you know, synthesis and everything. They're just people who
- 58:12Speaker 1: are bought into the idea of the ultimate outcome of
- 58:18Speaker 1: egalitarianism as an ultimate outcome is equality for this as
- 58:22Speaker 1: equality for the sake of equality. They are Platonists in
- 58:28Speaker 1: the sense that they believe there philosopher kings who could
- 58:30Speaker 1: guide as such a world, who can redistribute the wealth
- 58:34Speaker 1: wisely and make can then make investments wisely to sustain
- 58:38Speaker 1: life on planet Earth in spite of not growing. But
- 58:48Speaker 1: here's the point that iron Man makes powerfully and Lennon
- 58:51Speaker 1: Peacock makes an opah powerfully. You're either growing or you're dying.
- 59:00Speaker 1: Either growing or you're dying. You're either moving in the
- 59:02Speaker 1: direction of life, more, life, more, more more. When people
- 59:06Speaker 1: say when is enough, when is enough enough? Never, It's
- 59:10Speaker 1: never enough. There is no such thing as the concept enough.
- 59:16Speaker 1: Human life is constant growing, constant seeking, constant valuing, constant more, more,
- 59:23Speaker 1: more of whatever, more, love, more art, more beauty, more stuff,
- 59:30Speaker 1: bigger homes, be nicer, cause more. Or you're shrinking and
- 59:43Speaker 1: you're dying and you're moving towards death. The degrowth movement
- 59:52Speaker 1: is a death movement. It's a death cult. It's about
- 59:57Speaker 1: the destruction of human value. It's about the destruction of
- 1:00:02Speaker 1: human life. It is about the destruction of civilization. It
- 1:00:07Speaker 1: is about shrinking the human population back to the caves.
- 1:00:12Speaker 1: That is what at the heart of it, that's what
- 1:00:17Speaker 1: motivates them. That's the outcome they want. Deep down, they'll
- 1:00:21Speaker 1: never admit it. Egalitarianism everywhere that's been tried, equality of
- 1:00:28Speaker 1: outcome everywhere it's tried, leads to nothing but poverty and destruction,
- 1:00:34Speaker 1: pain and suffering, death. And that's what the de growth
- 1:00:39Speaker 1: movement is. It is a movement of death. All right,
- 1:00:47Speaker 1: we'll leave it there. I'm actually going to I'll do
- 1:00:49Speaker 1: a show on the growth where we'll pull out the
- 1:00:53Speaker 1: entire manifesto, analyze it, analyze it and go through it,
- 1:00:58Speaker 1: and you know, have the the appropriate comeback, the appropriate
- 1:01:04Speaker 1: counter argument. All right, let me just refresh something. These economists,
- 1:01:16Speaker 1: by the way, were all economists who signed a letter
- 1:01:25Speaker 1: when Milay came to power saying that Malay's policies would
- 1:01:30Speaker 1: lead to destruction. And you know, to harl of those stuff,
- 1:01:42Speaker 1: the exact opposite has happened, as we know. I mean, well,
- 1:01:45Speaker 1: there's still challenges and a lot of them in the
- 1:01:48Speaker 1: Argentinian economy. Well, unemployment is too high and inflation is
- 1:01:55Speaker 1: still too high. It hasn't mean cut completely the achievements masses,
- 1:02:01Speaker 1: and I just want to give you a quick update
- 1:02:03Speaker 1: on the continued progress that me Lay is making. So
- 1:02:08Speaker 1: I mean Lay is in the post. Is now a
- 1:02:11Speaker 1: privatizing the railway system in in Argentina, at least the
- 1:02:19Speaker 1: commercial rail, the freight rail. A number of groups, group
- 1:02:25Speaker 1: of Mexico and some US rail tech firms. One of
- 1:02:30Speaker 1: those films called web Tech, I've never heard of them,
- 1:02:33Speaker 1: wab Tech uh reportedly preparing to bid for Argentina's state
- 1:02:38Speaker 1: freight operator, Bogranokugas. This is a network of freight operators
- 1:02:45Speaker 1: that moves grain and other exports from Argentina's interior to
- 1:02:50Speaker 1: ports where it is being exported. And by the way,
- 1:02:54Speaker 1: there's a massive export boom in Argentina as export taxes
- 1:02:59Speaker 1: have been eliminated and as you know, the the Argentina
- 1:03:05Speaker 1: economy has been liberalized. Agricultural productivity has gone up significantly
- 1:03:11Speaker 1: and a lot of that is going for exports, which
- 1:03:15Speaker 1: is what Argentina used to be. It used to be
- 1:03:17Speaker 1: an export powerhouse in agricultural products and the elimination of
- 1:03:23Speaker 1: the government constraints and exportation have returned it to being
- 1:03:27Speaker 1: a powerhouse in exporting agricultural products. And real system is
- 1:03:31Speaker 1: important and that's being privatized, and I expect we will
- 1:03:39Speaker 1: see more and more privatization. This will be a test
- 1:03:43Speaker 1: case for, you know, whether Argentina can actually get that
- 1:03:47Speaker 1: done and move towards greater and greater you know, productive efficiencies.
- 1:03:53Speaker 1: But there's a whole list of companies that Mila has
- 1:03:57Speaker 1: promised to privatize. Most of those have now been approved
- 1:03:59Speaker 1: and most of those are now going through the motion
- 1:04:03Speaker 1: and we'll be privatized. We'll keep an eye on the
- 1:04:06Speaker 1: story and keep updating you as more and more of
- 1:04:13Speaker 1: the ten economy is privatized than when we get positive
- 1:04:19Speaker 1: results coming out of that. All right, let's see. Yeah,
- 1:04:27Speaker 1: a few days ago I mentioned this story and we're
- 1:04:31Speaker 1: now in the human achievement of WOULD section. Of course,
- 1:04:34Speaker 1: me Leay is part of that, and I wanted to
- 1:04:38Speaker 1: mention a few things. So one is I told you
- 1:04:41Speaker 1: about a story where palantea software had managed to save
- 1:04:46Speaker 1: a lot of lives at a flor at a hospital,
- 1:04:49Speaker 1: and I want to give you a little bit more
- 1:04:51Speaker 1: color on that because it really is a pretty amazing story.
- 1:04:55Speaker 1: So it turns out that's sepsis. That is an infection.
- 1:04:59Speaker 1: The are bacterial infections. Sepsis kills more people in American
- 1:05:04Speaker 1: hospitals than heart attacks. Three hundred and fifty thousand people
- 1:05:08Speaker 1: die a year, and the reason is that the early
- 1:05:14Speaker 1: warning signs are not detected. People die of sepsis typically
- 1:05:21Speaker 1: in hospital. So for example, a slightly higher, slightly elevated
- 1:05:27Speaker 1: heart rate, a small temperature shift, a lab value drifting
- 1:05:32Speaker 1: in the wrong direction. Now, each one of these separately
- 1:05:36Speaker 1: could be ignored. But if you can find the pattern
- 1:05:40Speaker 1: among all the noise, you can identify what is going on.
- 1:05:47Speaker 1: Hours before it cascades into organ failure and before ultimately death.
- 1:05:56Speaker 1: The more you delay antibiotic treatment, the less the antibiotics
- 1:06:02Speaker 1: are effective. So the Tampa General built a system on
- 1:06:07Speaker 1: Pallanteer's foundry, which is a piece of software. The watchers
- 1:06:12Speaker 1: about one thousand in patients continuously. It looks at all
- 1:06:16Speaker 1: their vitals, vitals, their labs, their medication records, clinical notes,
- 1:06:23Speaker 1: everything scanned in real time for a pattern, a pattern
- 1:06:28Speaker 1: no single nurse would ever see, particularly one that is
- 1:06:33Speaker 1: in charge of twelve beds at three am in the morning,
- 1:06:39Speaker 1: but when risk crosses a certain threshold and then a
- 1:06:51Speaker 1: rapid response team gets paid. Now, humans are going to
- 1:06:55Speaker 1: make the treatment decision, but the software is alerting them
- 1:07:00Speaker 1: to something's going on, and it changes detection you know,
- 1:07:08Speaker 1: from having you know. It allows them to have hours
- 1:07:11Speaker 1: before stepsis really kicks in two minutes when it's usually detected.
- 1:07:17Speaker 1: And results being this since twenty twenty two, overall sepsis
- 1:07:20Speaker 1: mortality is cut in half. Footy in our desks down
- 1:07:24Speaker 1: sixty eight percent, length of stayed down thirty percent. Roughly
- 1:07:29Speaker 1: nine hundred lives saved one hospital. Now, if you could
- 1:07:33Speaker 1: do this and every hospital in America. We're talking about
- 1:07:37Speaker 1: tens of thousands of lives saved. So this is this
- 1:07:49Speaker 1: is great stuff and again an example of what you
- 1:07:52Speaker 1: can do with AI, what you can do with you know,
- 1:07:56Speaker 1: developed algorithms, what you can do with Palentia software, which
- 1:08:00Speaker 1: we usually associate with military, Well, it has a healthcare
- 1:08:04Speaker 1: function as well. Here's a weird one. I'm trying to
- 1:08:08Speaker 1: figure about what this actually means. Maybe maybe some of
- 1:08:12Speaker 1: you with more of a biology background will be able
- 1:08:16Speaker 1: to enlighten me. So this is an Israeli startup that
- 1:08:20Speaker 1: is using some kind of cell based technology to create
- 1:08:27Speaker 1: basically to grow create chocolate and coffee. Chocolate and coffee.
- 1:08:35Speaker 1: It is a solution that allows the manufacture of coffee
- 1:08:38Speaker 1: and chocolate in a way that bypasses all the challenges,
- 1:08:43Speaker 1: primarily climate and disease, and challenges like that chocolate and
- 1:08:49Speaker 1: coffee typically necessitates, you know, a particular type of climate,
- 1:08:55Speaker 1: a tropical climate. Most of the chocolate, for example, in
- 1:08:59Speaker 1: the world is grown in Western Africa. It originated from
- 1:09:07Speaker 1: the Amazon rainforest, but today eighty percent is growing in
- 1:09:10Speaker 1: Western Africa. Right but weather changes from year to year.
- 1:09:16Speaker 1: Climate might be changing, and is there a way to
- 1:09:21Speaker 1: guarantee that we can produce chocolate independent of climate. So
- 1:09:28Speaker 1: this company is using cellular what they call cellular agriculture.
- 1:09:34Speaker 1: Somebody is gonna have to explain cellular agriculture to me.
- 1:09:38Speaker 1: It's a technology that can produce cacao and coffee through
- 1:09:42Speaker 1: controlled cultivation processes rather than relying solely on traditional farming. So,
- 1:09:49Speaker 1: for example, one company is working to create cacao products.
- 1:09:52Speaker 1: I'm a huge cacao consumer. Right By cultivating cocw sells
- 1:09:58Speaker 1: directly eliminating the need to wait years for cacao trees
- 1:10:01Speaker 1: to mature. So they're growing the cells into chocolate immediately.
- 1:10:11Speaker 1: The process relies on advanced bioreact to systems. I don't
- 1:10:15Speaker 1: know what that is, designed to replicate the environmental conditions
- 1:10:19Speaker 1: plants need to grow. Plant cells are supplied with rich
- 1:10:23Speaker 1: nutrient rich nutrient rich media that support their development under
- 1:10:26Speaker 1: carefully monitored conditions. So this is lab grown meat. But
- 1:10:33Speaker 1: for chocolate and coffee, they do the same with chocolate,
- 1:10:39Speaker 1: they're doing the same thing with coffee. Now, supposely the
- 1:10:43Speaker 1: coffee tastes a little different. So for those of you
- 1:10:47Speaker 1: coffee fanatics who need your coffee to take you know,
- 1:10:50Speaker 1: they taste a little different, maybe a little sweeter, but
- 1:10:56Speaker 1: it's a process that is reliable. Fish. You don't need
- 1:11:02Speaker 1: a lot of water, you don't need a particular climate.
- 1:11:07Speaker 1: And demand for both coffee and chocolate is up. Supply
- 1:11:13Speaker 1: is going down, prices are going up, and there's a
- 1:11:16Speaker 1: real opportunity to get capitalism at work, real opportunity for
- 1:11:20Speaker 1: artificial coffee. It's not really artificial coffee, it's lab grown
- 1:11:23Speaker 1: coffee and lab grown chocolate. To really be at the
- 1:11:29Speaker 1: full front of this. By the way, Israeli Israel is
- 1:11:32Speaker 1: also you know, very much at the forefund of lab
- 1:11:40Speaker 1: gon meat. So Israeli company is particularly coming out of
- 1:11:43Speaker 1: my alma mater, the Technion, developing kind of lab gown
- 1:11:48Speaker 1: meat that is probably gonna dominate that if it's allowed
- 1:11:54Speaker 1: to write. You know, a lot of states are banning it.
- 1:11:58Speaker 1: But you know, anyway, all right, that is coffee and chocolate.
- 1:12:13Speaker 1: What else? Oh, The first advanced nuclear reactor to achieve
- 1:12:20Speaker 1: what's called criticality under is just being announced. This is
- 1:12:28Speaker 1: under New d Department of an Energy pilot program, and
- 1:12:32Speaker 1: this is the Antio Nuclear Inks Mark zero, a sodium
- 1:12:37Speaker 1: heat pipe cooled microreactor fueled by high assay low enriched
- 1:12:42Speaker 1: uranium and a tri structural isotropic fuel compacts, whatever the
- 1:12:49Speaker 1: hell that means. Has it's achieved zero power criticality at
- 1:12:53Speaker 1: the Idaho National Laboratory. It's become the first advanced reactor
- 1:12:59Speaker 1: to reach that mile stone. The development announced last week
- 1:13:04Speaker 1: also marks the fifty third reactor built at the Iron
- 1:13:08Speaker 1: l that is the Ideahowed National Laboratory site since nineteen
- 1:13:12Speaker 1: fifty one, and the first novel reactor designed to achieve
- 1:13:16Speaker 1: criticality at the laboratory in more than fifty years. More
- 1:13:22Speaker 1: than fifty years, that's ridiculous anyway. This pilot program, which
- 1:13:30Speaker 1: was established by Trump in May twenty twenty five, Again,
- 1:13:32Speaker 1: this is one of the areas where Trump has been
- 1:13:35Speaker 1: good directs at the Partner of Energy to accelerate reactor
- 1:13:39Speaker 1: testing and to target at least three advanced reactors reaching
- 1:13:44Speaker 1: criticality by July fourth, twenty twenty six. Now, what is criticality.
- 1:13:52Speaker 1: Criticality is the condition into which a nuclear fission chain
- 1:13:55Speaker 1: reaction becomes self sustaining. Now TERROR achieved what it achieved
- 1:14:01Speaker 1: is specifically zero power criticality. The chain reaction was sustained
- 1:14:06Speaker 1: at essentially no measurable energy output. That's no electricity generation.
- 1:14:12Speaker 1: It is not full power operation. It is just proof
- 1:14:15Speaker 1: that the system work, the scientific and engineering validation that
- 1:14:21Speaker 1: every subsequent step depends on. So this is great. It
- 1:14:27Speaker 1: shows that there is innovation going on in the nuclear sector.
- 1:14:33Speaker 1: Stuff is happening. The Department of Energy is more moving
- 1:14:37Speaker 1: forward with trying to get more nuclear actors approved and developed,
- 1:14:42Speaker 1: so that you know, the United States can shift to
- 1:14:46Speaker 1: more and more, more and more nuclear over the years
- 1:14:52Speaker 1: to come. And of course, a democratic administration a few
- 1:14:55Speaker 1: years might reverse any progress has made. But let's hope
- 1:14:58Speaker 1: that this is sustainable and that real progress is made
- 1:15:02Speaker 1: and that this is put into action and reactors are built.
- 1:15:07Speaker 1: All right, let me see, yes, Okay, this is the
- 1:15:13Speaker 1: final one. An AI designed universal vaccine could stop future
- 1:15:21Speaker 1: pandemics before they start. That's the headline, right, ground breaking.
- 1:15:24Speaker 1: AI designed vaccine aims to protect against not only today's coronaviruses,
- 1:15:30Speaker 1: so it would cover all the coronaviruses, but tomorrow's coronaviruses
- 1:15:34Speaker 1: as well. It's a new type of coronavirus vaccine. It's
- 1:15:38Speaker 1: past its first test in humans, and the idea is
- 1:15:43Speaker 1: here that it could protect us from other coronaviruses. That
- 1:15:49Speaker 1: a viruses that typically come over from bats. Unlike traditional
- 1:15:55Speaker 1: vaccines that target a specific virus strain, this vaccine was
- 1:15:59Speaker 1: designed to provide across wide the white subico coronavirus family.
- 1:16:08Speaker 1: This group includes a covid, the SAWS COVID two, the
- 1:16:15Speaker 1: one responsible of COVID nineteen, as well as SAWS, the
- 1:16:20Speaker 1: original SAWS, and related coronaviruses found in bats that could
- 1:16:24Speaker 1: potentially spill over to humans in the future. Now the
- 1:16:30Speaker 1: vaccine was designed with the help of AI. It's a
- 1:16:34Speaker 1: new approach to the vaccine development. Instead of focusing again
- 1:16:37Speaker 1: on a known virus, research use an artificial intelligence and
- 1:16:42Speaker 1: computer modeling to create a super antigen capable of triggering
- 1:16:46Speaker 1: immunity against many related viruses at once. The antigen is
- 1:16:52Speaker 1: active is active ingredient in a vaccine that trains the
- 1:16:56Speaker 1: immune system to recognize and response to infection. By then
- 1:17:00Speaker 1: to find generic features shared across all these coronavirus strains,
- 1:17:06Speaker 1: scientists designed a synthetic antigen intended to provide broad protection,
- 1:17:10Speaker 1: including against viruses that have not yet emerged. That is
- 1:17:16Speaker 1: really cool. That is really really cool stuff. And again,
- 1:17:20Speaker 1: if if, if, just the politics would be kept out
- 1:17:23Speaker 1: of kept out of science. There's so much potential for
- 1:17:30Speaker 1: improving human life and and dealing with you know, dealing
- 1:17:35Speaker 1: with disease and extending life and everything else. All Right,
- 1:17:47Speaker 1: let's see yeh, all right, that's for another day. We'll
- 1:17:58Speaker 1: get to that. All right, That, my friends, is the
- 1:18:01Speaker 1: news for this Thursday, June eleventh. Thank you, thank you,
- 1:18:05Speaker 1: thank you for being here. We will turn out to
- 1:18:09Speaker 1: our super chat. I see Andrew has made an appearance. Okay,
- 1:18:12Speaker 1: I'm eager to write what read what Andrew has said.
- 1:18:15Speaker 1: We've missed Andrew. I've mentioned that in a few shows,
- 1:18:19Speaker 1: but he is back, which is nice. All right. A
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- 1:20:07Speaker 1: Reminder that the Admin Institute you know, encourages you to
- 1:20:10Speaker 1: sign up for I encourage you to sign up for
- 1:20:13Speaker 1: ai R Live, which is a set of courses that
- 1:20:16Speaker 1: AARI is offering and you can you can take them online,
- 1:20:20Speaker 1: you can be graded, you can just audit them, you
- 1:20:24Speaker 1: can hand in homework assignments and get them graded. You can,
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- 1:20:31Speaker 1: think it's all the same price. So go to Iran
- 1:20:37Speaker 1: dot Oak slash ybs dot oak slash to ibs and
- 1:20:41Speaker 1: sign up. I'm teaching class on global globalization and trade,
- 1:20:45Speaker 1: which will be I think a lot of fun. UH
- 1:20:47Speaker 1: and uh Uncle Gate's course on objectivism, and Keith is
- 1:20:52Speaker 1: doing a science course and a writing seminar. So yeah,
- 1:20:56Speaker 1: a huge amount of value here. You can get a
- 1:20:58Speaker 1: ten percent discount by using their YBS discount code twenty
- 1:21:04Speaker 1: six YBS ten twenty six YBS ten. Hendershot wealth dot
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- 1:21:20Speaker 1: can save you a lot of money on taxes if
- 1:21:21Speaker 1: you have a lot of capital gains. Expecting a lot
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- 1:21:29Speaker 1: order to develop the strategy to protect you from paying
- 1:21:32Speaker 1: the taxes. So check them out. Check out the interview
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- 1:21:39Speaker 1: the playlist for sponsors. UH interview with Robert handershot Defenders
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- 1:21:59Speaker 1: a lot of the material and the program, and check
- 1:22:02Speaker 1: it out. I think I think you'll find it super
- 1:22:03Speaker 1: interesting and really cool. And finally, Alex Epstein, the number
- 1:22:08Speaker 1: one world authority on climate change, on energy including nuclear
- 1:22:13Speaker 1: energy and you know so called alternative but really unreliable energy,
- 1:22:19Speaker 1: and of course for self fuels. He is the guy
- 1:22:23Speaker 1: where you to, you know, the source for all information
- 1:22:26Speaker 1: about these kind of topics. Check him out, Alex Epstein
- 1:22:29Speaker 1: dosubstick dot com. All right again, I'll wryting you Patreon, Yeah, Patreon.
- 1:22:36Speaker 1: All right, Andrew is back with one hundred dollars questions.
- 1:22:39Speaker 1: So wow, all right, here's Andrew Hope all as well.
- 1:22:45Speaker 1: I fell into a bit of an abyss let my job,
- 1:22:48Speaker 1: taking time off assessing whether or not to leave an
- 1:22:52Speaker 1: industry I grew up in for twenty four years, gained
- 1:22:57Speaker 1: gained skills and experience that earn a good income. Advice
- 1:23:02Speaker 1: for considerations to analyze in such a decision, well as
- 1:23:07Speaker 1: you know, I think I've got some rusful life that
- 1:23:12Speaker 1: are relevant here for you to go back and listen to. Maybe,
- 1:23:16Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean this is a tough one. Considerations
- 1:23:21Speaker 1: are not how much you've invested. So here's the thing
- 1:23:27Speaker 1: you should ignore. Here's the thing you should ignore. You
- 1:23:32Speaker 1: should igno everything you put into this career. You should
- 1:23:35Speaker 1: ignore all the time and effort and money you've invested
- 1:23:38Speaker 1: in it. We call that in finance sunk cost. In
- 1:23:44Speaker 1: terms of the poll, you'llno it. You don't ignore it.
- 1:23:49Speaker 1: In other context. We'll get to that in a minute.
- 1:23:51Speaker 1: But yougno it. In terms of oh, I've done this
- 1:23:53Speaker 1: for twenty four years, I need to continue. I've invested
- 1:23:55Speaker 1: twenty four years of my life. I have to continue.
- 1:23:57Speaker 1: None of that is true. Indeed, people constantly make bad
- 1:24:03Speaker 1: decisions in investments, in life, decisions in every aspect of life.
- 1:24:09Speaker 1: I've been married for twenty years. Might as well see
- 1:24:11Speaker 1: it through. You know, in marriage and a lot of things,
- 1:24:14Speaker 1: the sun cost fallacy that if I sunk all this
- 1:24:18Speaker 1: cost and I'd have to continue. No, the sun costs irrelevant.
- 1:24:23Speaker 1: You are now standing at the beginning of life. You
- 1:24:28Speaker 1: are now evaluating the future, the past, is only relevant
- 1:24:33Speaker 1: in that it is providing you with information about the future. So,
- 1:24:37Speaker 1: for example, what are my career prospects at this point
- 1:24:44Speaker 1: in this industry or in other industries? And here the
- 1:24:51Speaker 1: past experience and knowledge that you have is relevant. But
- 1:24:54Speaker 1: what can I expect in the future in terms of
- 1:24:56Speaker 1: a career, in terms of interest, value creation, and in
- 1:25:02Speaker 1: terms of renumeration. What can I expect if I stay
- 1:25:06Speaker 1: with this particular career to what extent is the knowledge
- 1:25:10Speaker 1: and experience I have relevant for other careers? You know,
- 1:25:16Speaker 1: But it's forward looking, not backward looking. Forward looking. And
- 1:25:22Speaker 1: then the question is why did I bone out? That
- 1:25:31Speaker 1: requires a lot of introspection. What is it that I
- 1:25:34Speaker 1: hated about the job? Why did I leave it? What
- 1:25:39Speaker 1: is it that I like? What is it that I
- 1:25:40Speaker 1: don't like about this particular industry? What alternatives are they?
- 1:25:46Speaker 1: What do I think I like and dislike about them?
- 1:25:50Speaker 1: And really evaluate all the different options coolly, rationally based
- 1:25:57Speaker 1: on whatever data you can bring forward. Now, some data
- 1:26:00Speaker 1: you won't have. You don't know what day to day
- 1:26:04Speaker 1: work will be like in some of the industries that
- 1:26:06Speaker 1: you haven't been in, But gather as much information as
- 1:26:09Speaker 1: you can. But the focus should be what should I
- 1:26:15Speaker 1: do now to maximize my happiness, to maximize my productiveness,
- 1:26:23Speaker 1: to maximize my you know, my well being over the
- 1:26:29Speaker 1: next ten twenty thirty years, over the rest of my life.
- 1:26:35Speaker 1: And that requires really understanding what your options are, really
- 1:26:42Speaker 1: understanding what you like and what you don't like, what
- 1:26:45Speaker 1: was good for you, and what was and good for you,
- 1:26:47Speaker 1: and what you need and what you really want to
- 1:26:51Speaker 1: avoid if you're going to be successful at happiness. So
- 1:26:58Speaker 1: it really needs the introspection, the introspective work about why
- 1:27:04Speaker 1: you left the job, what is it you didn't like
- 1:27:06Speaker 1: about it, and so that you don't get into a
- 1:27:11Speaker 1: different job, a different type of work that is that
- 1:27:15Speaker 1: has the same pitfalls. So future oriented, put all the
- 1:27:23Speaker 1: options down in front of you and try to evaluate
- 1:27:27Speaker 1: evaluate them rationally, calmly, without you know, without being stuck
- 1:27:35Speaker 1: in a sense, so without feeling obligated to the past.
- 1:27:40Speaker 1: You're not obligated to the past. You're not obligated to
- 1:27:43Speaker 1: Oh but I studied this in school. Oh, I you know,
- 1:27:47Speaker 1: this is what I've worked at for twenty four years. Irrelevant.
- 1:27:50Speaker 1: You're obligated to your future. What is going to lead
- 1:27:54Speaker 1: to a better future? So you know, what else can
- 1:28:07Speaker 1: I tell you. I mean, I think that's the main
- 1:28:09Speaker 1: part of it. I'm sorry to hear that you fell
- 1:28:13Speaker 1: into an abyss. That sounds bad. We've missed you here.
- 1:28:16Speaker 1: It's been a few months and I was a little worried.
- 1:28:22Speaker 1: I thought you were just taking a break from the
- 1:28:23Speaker 1: IRN Bookshow for a while. But so it's good to
- 1:28:28Speaker 1: see you back. And you know, it's twenty four years
- 1:28:34Speaker 1: of a career. That's good. You know, somebody once told me,
- 1:28:37Speaker 1: a very wise man once told me ten years, ten
- 1:28:40Speaker 1: years doing one thing. That's about enough. After ten years,
- 1:28:43Speaker 1: you should shift change. Life is too short to be
- 1:28:47Speaker 1: doing the same thing over and over again. So one
- 1:28:50Speaker 1: way to think about this, Andrew, is with excitement of
- 1:28:53Speaker 1: a new chapter, of doing something new. I think that
- 1:29:00Speaker 1: is you know, try to frame it in terms of
- 1:29:06Speaker 1: an exciting prospects for the future, rather than on the
- 1:29:11Speaker 1: end of something you did, or the or the past again.
- 1:29:15Speaker 1: Future orientation. All right, how do you get over a
- 1:29:23Speaker 1: massive pay cut? Well, I mean that's hot. You know,
- 1:29:28Speaker 1: a massive pay cut is no question is hot. It's
- 1:29:33Speaker 1: a question of you know, what is the trade off? Right,
- 1:29:40Speaker 1: It's certainly not you know, it's not worth and I
- 1:29:44Speaker 1: don't know the circumstances. You married, you have kids, do
- 1:29:47Speaker 1: you have a mortgage? I mean, what are the what
- 1:29:51Speaker 1: are the you know what. I don't know what the
- 1:29:53Speaker 1: consequences of of the of the massive pay cut, you know,
- 1:29:58Speaker 1: and what kind of responsi abilities you have in that context.
- 1:30:03Speaker 1: But you just got to you just got to focus
- 1:30:07Speaker 1: on your own happiness and if that means a pay cat,
- 1:30:10Speaker 1: that means a pay cat. You've got to focus on
- 1:30:15Speaker 1: the future. And you know, maybe if you find an
- 1:30:18Speaker 1: alternative profession, you find something you love alternatively, maybe ultimately
- 1:30:23Speaker 1: it won't mean a pay cut. Maybe your pay will
- 1:30:27Speaker 1: even be larger because you'll be loving what you do.
- 1:30:32Speaker 1: But I wouldn't make pay the primary consideration. It is
- 1:30:38Speaker 1: a consideration, particularly if you have commitments, but I wouldn't
- 1:30:42Speaker 1: make it a primary And it's quite possible that if
- 1:30:48Speaker 1: you go out there and you try some other things
- 1:30:50Speaker 1: for a year and they don't work out, you could
- 1:30:52Speaker 1: come back to this profession. I don't know, but it's
- 1:30:56Speaker 1: it's possible. If not now, when if you don't do
- 1:31:00Speaker 1: it now. Okay, so twenty four years. So what you're
- 1:31:03Speaker 1: in the mid forties, if you're not gonna do in
- 1:31:05Speaker 1: your mid forties. When are you gonna do it? You're
- 1:31:07Speaker 1: not gonna do it. You're not gonna make the change
- 1:31:08Speaker 1: in your fifties and sixties. Now's the time, and you've
- 1:31:11Speaker 1: still got half your life in front of you. So
- 1:31:17Speaker 1: you know, if you're going to bite the bullet, now
- 1:31:19Speaker 1: is the time to bite the bullet. So the Piacott
- 1:31:25Speaker 1: is the hardest part. But you know, again, I don't
- 1:31:29Speaker 1: know the circumstances, and I don't know what the options are,
- 1:31:32Speaker 1: what alternatives are, and how big of a Pickott, and
- 1:31:34Speaker 1: how sustained is the pecott? Does the pick had last forever?
- 1:31:41Speaker 1: All right? Michael says, fifty dollars. Thank you, Michael, and
- 1:31:46Speaker 1: thank you Andrew, thank you for the support. Michael says,
- 1:31:49Speaker 1: within the next fifty to one hundred years, I do
- 1:31:51Speaker 1: believe the culture will change in an objective's direction, although
- 1:31:55Speaker 1: within the next twenty years we may face economic collapse
- 1:31:57Speaker 1: and end up in a gulag kind of re education camp. Yeah,
- 1:32:02Speaker 1: I mean all of that is true. I doubt that
- 1:32:05Speaker 1: we end up in a gulag. I doubt that we
- 1:32:06Speaker 1: end up in read education camps. Again, I much more
- 1:32:10Speaker 1: think that we're gonna putter around and somehow limp limp
- 1:32:15Speaker 1: forward or limp sideways, or you know, stagnate our way
- 1:32:21Speaker 1: through the future. But yes, I think within the next
- 1:32:25Speaker 1: fifty to one hundred years we do win, or at
- 1:32:28Speaker 1: least we start winning. All right, guys, we're only twenty
- 1:32:33Speaker 1: nine dollars short of the second the first hour goal,
- 1:32:36Speaker 1: so let's at least make that twenty nine bucks in
- 1:32:39Speaker 1: the next ten to fifteen minutes would be really nice.
- 1:32:43Speaker 1: Stick as we've done a bunch of stickers, Jasper and
- 1:32:48Speaker 1: Jasper again to Jasper's thank you, stickers, Normative Novative, ran
- 1:32:52Speaker 1: Roid and Greg and Roland and Carolina thank you, and
- 1:33:00Speaker 1: Darlean thank you and eaesive esive Yeah, thank you guys,
- 1:33:08Speaker 1: thanks for the stickers. And Molten's Splendik just came in
- 1:33:11Speaker 1: with fifty dollars question. Thank you Moulten Splendor really appreciate it.
- 1:33:15Speaker 1: As long as we have a mixed economy, words like freedom,
- 1:33:18Speaker 1: self interest less if you capitalism don't resonate. What percentage
- 1:33:22Speaker 1: do you think are afraid of surviving on their own or
- 1:33:25Speaker 1: one to be taken care of by government? I think
- 1:33:28Speaker 1: a large percentage. I think there's a case to be
- 1:33:31Speaker 1: made that people just don't right now have the psychology
- 1:33:37Speaker 1: or in other words, they don't have the self esteem
- 1:33:41Speaker 1: for freedom. Freedom acquires self esteem. Feedom requires the knowledge,
- 1:33:47Speaker 1: the confidence, the self assuredness. I can survive in this world,
- 1:33:52Speaker 1: I can achieve, I can be successful. So many people,
- 1:33:58Speaker 1: I mean what, almost fifty son of Americans gets something
- 1:34:01Speaker 1: from the government, and a big chunk of the ones
- 1:34:05Speaker 1: who don't don't mind having a safety net just in
- 1:34:09Speaker 1: case something bad happens to them. And a lot of it,
- 1:34:14Speaker 1: or some of it at least, is associated with fear. Now,
- 1:34:19Speaker 1: some of it is associated with altruism and philosophy and everything,
- 1:34:23Speaker 1: but some of it's definitely associated with fear, an associated
- 1:34:26Speaker 1: with the psychology, and of not so muchs've been taken
- 1:34:31Speaker 1: care of by government as wanting to have a safety net.
- 1:34:35Speaker 1: And this is the regulatory state as well. Why do
- 1:34:38Speaker 1: we have all the regulations we have? Why do people
- 1:34:39Speaker 1: buy into it? Keeps us safe, It prevents those greedy
- 1:34:43Speaker 1: businessmen from doing crazy stuff that will kill us all.
- 1:34:48Speaker 1: So altruism and altruism, of course leads to fear. But
- 1:34:55Speaker 1: more importantly than that, even an educational system that does
- 1:34:59Speaker 1: not teach kids to think that that does not encourage
- 1:35:05Speaker 1: thinking and developing of the thinking skills that lead and
- 1:35:11Speaker 1: does not celebrate achievement. The salvation of achievement and the
- 1:35:16Speaker 1: elevation of thinking skills. These are things that lead one
- 1:35:19Speaker 1: to have self esteem. Well, if you have an educational
- 1:35:25Speaker 1: system that retards kids self esteem, it's going to be
- 1:35:31Speaker 1: very hard to establish freedom, to establish capitalism. This is
- 1:35:40Speaker 1: why the most important area that we need to take over,
- 1:35:44Speaker 1: the most im important area to privatize these most important
- 1:35:47Speaker 1: area that we need to focus on is on education.
- 1:35:52Speaker 1: And and you know, in terms of objectivism, get to
- 1:35:56Speaker 1: people when they're young, give them the tools when they're young,
- 1:35:59Speaker 1: because the older they get, the harder it is. The
- 1:36:02Speaker 1: harder it is because of all these other factors. Thank
- 1:36:08Speaker 1: you Multon's plan to really appreciate that. Michael says, interesting
- 1:36:11Speaker 1: that Canada has a much more los e fe immigration
- 1:36:14Speaker 1: policy than we do, combined with crushing high taxes. How
- 1:36:19Speaker 1: does that even out? Yeah, I mean it is pretty amazing.
- 1:36:23Speaker 1: But it's amazing that it seems like the left has
- 1:36:26Speaker 1: a much more rational immigration policy than the right does.
- 1:36:29Speaker 1: I mean, the left, which wants control of the economy,
- 1:36:32Speaker 1: it really doesn't make any sense. But it's true partially
- 1:36:37Speaker 1: because the left wants to views immigration as a form
- 1:36:42Speaker 1: of sacrificing to the third world. You know, by allowing
- 1:36:47Speaker 1: them to come to America, we're sacrificing and helping them,
- 1:36:51Speaker 1: which is the sick way of thinking of immigration. But
- 1:36:55Speaker 1: that motivates them and that results in a better strategy
- 1:36:59Speaker 1: in some way. But a big part of the fact
- 1:37:04Speaker 1: that we in America don't have a strategy is what
- 1:37:09Speaker 1: I said earlier in the show. We just don't have
- 1:37:11Speaker 1: a strategy about anything. We don't have a strategy about
- 1:37:15Speaker 1: fixing our deficits. You know, Canada in the nineteen nineties
- 1:37:18Speaker 1: had massive government deficits and was on the verge of bankruptcy,
- 1:37:23Speaker 1: and they actually cut government spending. They actually engaged in
- 1:37:27Speaker 1: the activity of cutting government spending. Sweden did the same
- 1:37:32Speaker 1: thing in the nineties. The United States isn't capable of
- 1:37:36Speaker 1: doing stuff like that. We just don't want to think
- 1:37:40Speaker 1: long term. We don't want to give up on We
- 1:37:43Speaker 1: don't give up any goodies. We're afraid of challenging the
- 1:37:48Speaker 1: people with some I don't know a little bit of
- 1:37:52Speaker 1: rationality and responsibility and forward thinking. I mean, think about
- 1:37:57Speaker 1: the debate, think about what politicians to talk about. Most
- 1:38:00Speaker 1: of it's irrelevant, most of it's stupid, most of this
- 1:38:04Speaker 1: cultural fight which has nothing to do with for most
- 1:38:08Speaker 1: of us, with the real issues that need to be dealted.
- 1:38:14Speaker 1: So there's just no adults in the room. It's another
- 1:38:16Speaker 1: way of thinking about we just have no adults in America.
- 1:38:19Speaker 1: For whatever reason, Canada has more adults. They figured out
- 1:38:23Speaker 1: an immigration strategy. It might not be perfect better than ours. Wes,
- 1:38:32Speaker 1: thank you for the stake of fifty dollars. Thank you
- 1:38:34Speaker 1: think you think you really appreciate that?
- 1:38:38Speaker 3: All right?
- 1:38:38Speaker 1: Woman? Can you envision alternative methods to discover natural law
- 1:38:43Speaker 1: other than other than parliament's Which legislative alternative would be feasible? Well,
- 1:38:51Speaker 1: parliaments don't discover natural law, and I don't even know
- 1:38:54Speaker 1: what you mean by natural law. You know, natural law
- 1:39:00Speaker 1: rights are discovered by philosophers, not by parliaments. Parliaments implement
- 1:39:06Speaker 1: laws to you know, to codify those rights. But parliaments
- 1:39:14Speaker 1: don't discover natural law. Natural law requires philosophy philosophers to do,
- 1:39:20Speaker 1: and all the parliament does is find figure out how
- 1:39:25Speaker 1: to apply them in the context of a legal system.
- 1:39:30Speaker 1: Is parliament the best way to do it. Yeah, but
- 1:39:34Speaker 1: a parliament that is focused on just that, not discovery. God,
- 1:39:41Speaker 1: we don't want them discovering anything. On application, application of
- 1:39:45Speaker 1: the principle of individual rights properly understood to the verse
- 1:39:51Speaker 1: realm in which they might be violated, and figuring out
- 1:39:56Speaker 1: ways to protect them. That's what parliament you do. And
- 1:40:01Speaker 1: I don't know what alternatives there would be. I mean,
- 1:40:04Speaker 1: you could think about alternatives to structuring parliaments. Although I
- 1:40:07Speaker 1: like the two house system, a House and a senate
- 1:40:11Speaker 1: kind of thing. It gives a presentation to the people.
- 1:40:16Speaker 1: I think that's the best way to do it, and
- 1:40:19Speaker 1: of course the judiciary is a way to check the
- 1:40:22Speaker 1: power of the parliament to make sure it's not going
- 1:40:25Speaker 1: off track. Gradive says Trump gonna sign deal with Iran eventually,
- 1:40:32Speaker 1: worse than Obama's. I agree. Ilon gonna have nukes maybe soon,
- 1:40:37Speaker 1: but the good works will win in the long run. Yeah,
- 1:40:41Speaker 1: unless we blow ourselves to smithereens. I agree with most
- 1:40:44Speaker 1: of that, although I think I don't think Iran will
- 1:40:46Speaker 1: have nukes very soon. I think Israel will do everything
- 1:40:48Speaker 1: its power to stop them from having the nukes. I
- 1:40:52Speaker 1: recommended song by Roman Bob Bud no deal with the Devil.
- 1:40:58Speaker 1: I have no idea what that means, Bob, but maybe
- 1:41:01Speaker 1: the group No Deal with the Devil is the name
- 1:41:03Speaker 1: of the song. Check it out, guys. According to Roman,
- 1:41:06Speaker 1: all right the profit. Don't investors think long term? Why
- 1:41:10Speaker 1: does the market go up over the deals with Iran?
- 1:41:13Speaker 1: Shouldn't it be the opposite if you think about the
- 1:41:16Speaker 1: consequences and benefits to the world. If you ran who
- 1:41:20Speaker 1: is more free, well maybe it would go up if
- 1:41:24Speaker 1: the market believed that Trump actually going to war men
- 1:41:29Speaker 1: to victory. The market is responding more to the economics
- 1:41:36Speaker 1: of a dragged out war in which the command in
- 1:41:40Speaker 1: chief has no strategy and refuses to use military for
- 1:41:44Speaker 1: US to open up the straits of homos. They are
- 1:41:48Speaker 1: evaluating a deal is better than that, and maybe they're right.
- 1:41:54Speaker 1: For the economic numbers, they might be right. Markets usually
- 1:42:00Speaker 1: price long term, but they pricing cash flow, and it
- 1:42:04Speaker 1: might be true that for cash flows in the next
- 1:42:07Speaker 1: ten years, a deal is better than a no victory war.
- 1:42:14Speaker 1: I think if Trump was committed to victory and and
- 1:42:17Speaker 1: and could convince the markets he was, then that would
- 1:42:21Speaker 1: be a winning strategy. I'm just I think the markets
- 1:42:26Speaker 1: are too smart and they know he's not committed to victory.
- 1:42:31Speaker 1: Harrison no virtue in the in idle hands. The law
- 1:42:35Speaker 1: of life by feed rate command. What the song explains
- 1:42:39Speaker 1: is that the law of life is to move. Yes,
- 1:42:42Speaker 1: that is the law of life. Movement, progress, growth, that's life.
- 1:42:51Speaker 1: Ali Stickers were working for me. So sending this as
- 1:42:54Speaker 1: a thank you, thank you, Allie appreciated. Jason, what do
- 1:42:57Speaker 1: you know about capturing CO two and turning it into
- 1:43:01Speaker 1: jet fuel? The liberal governor of Washington was in town
- 1:43:05Speaker 1: to announce a new plant in our city. I mean,
- 1:43:08Speaker 1: there's all kinds of things you can do with COE two.
- 1:43:10Speaker 1: I don't know about jet fuel, but you can turn
- 1:43:11Speaker 1: it into I think there is. I did read something
- 1:43:14Speaker 1: about a process that does that. You can turn into water.
- 1:43:18Speaker 1: There's different things you can do with COEO two. My
- 1:43:21Speaker 1: guess is the energy, the energy required to get that
- 1:43:24Speaker 1: process is going to produce more CO two than your saving.
- 1:43:29Speaker 1: But I'm not sure. There's a lot of companies that
- 1:43:32Speaker 1: have worked on trying to get capturing CO two and
- 1:43:38Speaker 1: uh transform it into something useful. And I do remember
- 1:43:43Speaker 1: a story about that doing that for fuel, but I
- 1:43:47Speaker 1: can't vouch for that. Uh. Sebastian says, you're my favorite
- 1:43:53Speaker 1: greedy member of the Chosen People. Bernie Sanders is my
- 1:43:56Speaker 1: least favorite. Oh, they're probably even more least favorite. But
- 1:44:03Speaker 1: Bernie Sander is pretty bad. But I'm glad to be
- 1:44:06Speaker 1: your favorite, uh Jess. But listening to almost every single
- 1:44:10Speaker 1: show since October seventh, I have some value for value
- 1:44:13Speaker 1: to make up for. But I will come around when
- 1:44:16Speaker 1: I get a full time job or publish my book,
- 1:44:19Speaker 1: which ever makes me money. Sounds good, Jess, But I
- 1:44:22Speaker 1: appreciate that. Thank you, thank you. Uh. Fudrocker, Fudrockers, Fudrockers.
- 1:44:32Speaker 1: Thoughts on melais automated company's bill allowing one hundred percent
- 1:44:37Speaker 1: AI run corps with zero human owners, who carries the
- 1:44:40Speaker 1: legal liability if things go wrong. I don't know, good question.
- 1:44:45Speaker 1: Let me let me look into that. Let me get
- 1:44:48Speaker 1: back to you, because I haven't. I haven't seen that,
- 1:44:51Speaker 1: so I guess I'm behind on that one. So let
- 1:44:56Speaker 1: me let me save your question and and get back
- 1:45:01Speaker 1: to you with it. Sorry about that, I say, I
- 1:45:05Speaker 1: don't know, and I don't know one of my virtues.
- 1:45:09Speaker 1: I think, all right, everybody, I will see you tomorrow.
- 1:45:14Speaker 1: Thank you to all the you know, stick of people,
- 1:45:17Speaker 1: particularly to West. Thank you, to Molten Splendor, and to
- 1:45:22Speaker 1: Andrew and Andrew, it's good to have you back, and
- 1:45:26Speaker 1: thank you, and you know, of course to Michael who
- 1:45:31Speaker 1: is always here. So thank you guys, and I will
- 1:45:34Speaker 1: see you guys tomorrow. Bye, everybody,