Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Yacht Trips & Early NFL Rookie Predictions

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Yacht Trips & Early NFL Rookie Predictions · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:45
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, presented by Draft Kings. The crown
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: is yours. We are an Action Network podcast. I'm Brandon Kravitz,
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: your host, back at it with the first lady of
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: the pod, Miss Kendri Middleton, and the director of Stats,
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: the man who puts the pro I'm in primer, Evan Abrams,
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: is here with us today. I am taking the mantle
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: for the Stucky Question of the week as he is out.
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: Our thoughts, our prayers, our heart are with you, Stuck.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: We hope that you are spending some quality time with
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: the fam much much, earn much deserved, something that I
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: am struggling with outside of this week not being able
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: to talk, which, by the way, bounce back strong shout
• 1:29
  Speaker 1: out to the Medicaia welcome back. Yes, feeling good a
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: Maxacylan for the win. This is hardcore drugs when you're
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: in your forties. By the way, I've had a couple
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: of text conversations over the last few days and weeks
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: with people that I haven't spoken to in a while,
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: and we've gone back and forth asking how we're doing
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: and sharing updates, and I would say, like for a
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: median reference of like ten messages back and forth. It
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: was a full blown conversation multiple different people. And the
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: thing that I am struggling with and where I am
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: an awkward individual is I don't know if I'm supposed
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: to say bye at the end of the discussion, and
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: so I need a ruling on this. I can't just
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: put yeah, these are like former colleagues or friends, like
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: people that you don't sing.
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: Are you on the phone?
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: No, Yeah, you're texting. Obviously you say buy on the phone.
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: But like if you're catching up with someone via text
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: and you're going back and forth, do you then end
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: the conversation or does it just or do you just
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: let it go?
• 2:38
  Speaker 3: No, because when you get off the phone, you have
• 2:40
  Speaker 3: to give someone a signal that you're getting off the phone.
• 2:43
  Speaker 3: Where when you're texting that that's in a twenty four
• 2:45
  Speaker 3: to seven availability thing you don't say by that is
• 2:50
  Speaker 3: so millennial dad, go to the view, I'm actually I
• 2:53
  Speaker 3: can't holy if you don't, so I tend to agree that,
• 2:57
  Speaker 3: Like you thought you were going to ask if a
• 2:59
  Speaker 3: hot dog was a sandwich, but this is pretty much
• 3:01
  Speaker 3: like the technological equivalent of asking me if a hot
• 3:04
  Speaker 3: dog is a fucking sandwich?
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: Gravit.
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: No, I'm not that basic close close, but it's like,
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: I agree that it's awkward to say bye guys. I
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: agree with that, but it also feels like I'm ghosting
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: the individual if they send me a message, but after ten.
• 3:24
  Speaker 3: Replies someone via text unless they like they can just
• 3:29
  Speaker 3: keep reaching out to you.
• 3:30
  Speaker 4: That's that's that's why we created the moojis right, Like,
• 3:33
  Speaker 4: you could just thumb up something, do something like that
• 3:35
  Speaker 4: to acknowledge that you've seen something and move on with
• 3:39
  Speaker 4: your day.
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: So wait, how is it How is it millennial dad
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: of me to even ask this question? How not to
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: send a thumbs up? Although a discussion?
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: It's because you don't know how to use the internet.
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: That's why, Yes.
• 3:57
  Speaker 4: Dad, just just thumb the message and move on with
• 4:00
  Speaker 4: your day.
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: So we should not t t y l at the
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: end of.
• 4:05
  Speaker 4: No, I haven't heard that one in a bit. That's good.
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: I mean, I adore you.
• 4:10
  Speaker 3: However, it's like when my mom asked me what a
• 4:14
  Speaker 3: u ur l was the other day.
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: A hot dog, by the way, definitely definitely not a sandwich.
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: Not a sandwich actually, but it's fun.
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: No, Evan, don't do this.
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: Okay, Wait, can I know Evan's reason quickly.
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: Jeez, come on, because it's.
• 4:30
  Speaker 4: An entree, because it's an entree with multiple hot dogs
• 4:33
  Speaker 4: and multiple restaurants. Like you go to Jackson Hole, there's
• 4:36
  Speaker 4: two hot dogs with some chili and stuff on it,
• 4:38
  Speaker 4: and it's put in the same exact section as an hamburger. Like,
• 4:41
  Speaker 4: there's no need to have this discussion, like it's it's
• 4:44
  Speaker 4: it's a sandwich on a decent level. Move on.
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: I do think I agree with production in the chat
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: you kind of need to split the bread in half.
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: But I refuse. You guys tried to paint me into
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: a corner of basic forty year old dad.
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: No rabbits in the corner.
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: I will not I will not be roped into having
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: this conversation.
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: I hope that you start saying t tyl.
• 5:08
  Speaker 4: I'm going to think important are more important things like Mike.
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: Rabel, our slack chandles about to go wild with some ttyl's.
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: All right, Kendrick, give me the latest. Mike Rabel and
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: a pregnant Diana Rossini with her son Michael rented a
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: private boat together two months before the birth of her son,
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: which again his name is Michael. How does this story
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: keep getting worse. I don't understand what are we going
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: to see next.
• 5:39
  Speaker 3: I'm taking over first stucky for real here because this
• 5:41
  Speaker 3: is my question to you guys. Is it freakier to
• 5:45
  Speaker 3: get down with the get down if she's seven months
• 5:47
  Speaker 3: pregnant and it's your kid or not your kid?
• 5:52
  Speaker 4: I mean, from my perspective, this just went from I
• 5:57
  Speaker 4: really don't care to a little creepy and the only
• 6:00
  Speaker 4: reason I even care about this and I don't think
• 6:02
  Speaker 4: this really even matters on any level except he's eighty
• 6:05
  Speaker 4: to one doing Coach of the Year and he's never
• 6:06
  Speaker 4: gonna win that award, so there is no reason to
• 6:09
  Speaker 4: talk about him, or the Patriots or the story unless
• 6:13
  Speaker 4: they decide to make a move and take him away,
• 6:15
  Speaker 4: and then it's a handicapping story. Aside from that, I
• 6:18
  Speaker 4: could care less with these two. Okay, question, yes, but yes,
• 6:22
  Speaker 4: the pregnant thing did get weird.
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: I have the answer. The answer to the question, is
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: it's freaker if it's not your kid?
• 6:30
  Speaker 4: Of course, of course yes, that is yes.
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: Total no no. On top of not that in either direction,
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: this is okay, But that's like that's way off the
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: beaten path. But I agree with Evan, this is how
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: I know when I saw this story, This is how
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: I know I've slid into the right chair in life,
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: because all I can think is those Patriots win total
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: unders are going to a hit so hard this year,
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: never mind the fact that they had the world's easiest
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: schedule last year. But now you layer in this like Kendra,
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: I will give you credit. At the start of this story,
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: when it was just a seed of what it has become,
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: which is a full blown forest of news, you said
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: this is going to cost Mike Rabel his reputation. It
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: could cost him his reputation within the locker room, and
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: I believe you even implied that it could cost him
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: his job, and we collectively laughed at that. And we
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: are a whole lot closer to that being reality than
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: the opposite end of the spectrum.
• 7:35
  Speaker 3: I told you guys before, like all of the playlists
• 7:37
  Speaker 3: and everything dropped, that there was going to be more
• 7:40
  Speaker 3: coming out of this, and I still don't even think
• 7:43
  Speaker 3: that we're done here.
• 7:44
  Speaker 4: To be honest, I think this is this is a
• 7:46
  Speaker 4: trickle thing because someone has information that is just picking
• 7:49
  Speaker 4: times and points to do this because it feels vindictive,
• 7:52
  Speaker 4: So I would imagine and this is not being hyperbolic,
• 7:56
  Speaker 4: Like look at the NFL Important Dates document and like
• 7:59
  Speaker 4: you could probablyably find different times that different information are
• 8:02
  Speaker 4: going to drop, because I just feel like this is
• 8:05
  Speaker 4: just going to happen around the release and then like
• 8:07
  Speaker 4: around just dates where the Patriots show up, He's going
• 8:09
  Speaker 4: to be out on a microphone. You're gonna have to
• 8:11
  Speaker 4: talk about this instead of the fact that their schedules
• 8:13
  Speaker 4: stit more difficult.
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: Next is going to be the paternity test for me.
• 8:17
  Speaker 3: But I think what comes here now the question becomes
• 8:23
  Speaker 3: there are two options. One is she going to do
• 8:27
  Speaker 3: a tell all? And two is she going to sign
• 8:30
  Speaker 3: an NDA and say nothing. I think if she signs
• 8:33
  Speaker 3: the NDA and she goes away and she doesn't do
• 8:35
  Speaker 3: a tell all, that's.
• 8:36
  Speaker 2: When we know that these are Rabel's children. If she
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: does the tell all, we know that they're not.
• 8:40
  Speaker 3: Because I don't think that she's going to be willing
• 8:42
  Speaker 3: to jeopardize her kids having a relationship with their father
• 8:47
  Speaker 3: by doing a tell all, especially because she doesn't need
• 8:50
  Speaker 3: the money.
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: And if she wants to reveal that on this podcast,
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: we'd be happy to have Diana, we will interview her.
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: We will and will be hospital to Diana Rossini if
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: she wants to hop on the podt and chat about it.
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: But I don't. I don't think that we're going to
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: hear from her for a long time. So whatever the situation,
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: however the situation settles itself before the start of the
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: twenty twenty sixth season, I don't think it involves hearing
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: from Diana Rossini. I don't think that happens until twenty
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: twenty seven.
• 9:23
  Speaker 3: It's going to be crazy when Michael is sixty five,
• 9:26
  Speaker 3: two hundred and fifty pounds and plays linebacker in the NFL.
• 9:29
  Speaker 3: I was talking to my neighbor about this the other day,
• 9:32
  Speaker 3: and they said that they think that Diana should come
• 9:36
  Speaker 3: out with a podcast called DTF Diana Talks Football.
• 9:41
  Speaker 4: Wow.
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: That's and that that is sort of where we are
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: as a society and as a media is. I think
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: all of us would be an agreement that if she
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: decides to spin this into her brand, it's only going
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: to make her more popular.
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: Agree.
• 9:59
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean I think this is also I mean
• 10:01
  Speaker 4: we should probably move on to actual real stuff. But
• 10:03
  Speaker 4: she is a family, like, she's got other things, probably
• 10:06
  Speaker 4: other than like a career, Like if you were single
• 10:08
  Speaker 4: or something like, obviously it wouldn't be a situation. But
• 10:10
  Speaker 4: there's there's a lot going on here that I'm sure
• 10:12
  Speaker 4: she's got to deal with. But we can. The DTF
• 10:15
  Speaker 4: thing is that's a wow.
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: Yeah, that's wow if you are with me. By the way,
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: if you want to spin this into a football slash betting,
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: take the alt unders, so ten and a half is
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: minus one fifty for the Patriots win. Total under nine
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: and a half is plus one fifteen under eight and
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: a half pace two to one under seven and a half.
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: If you really think everything is going to hell is
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: plus three fifty.
• 10:43
  Speaker 3: Any right, is their division their division? Like I think
• 10:47
  Speaker 3: the Jets are going to be better. I think Miami's
• 10:49
  Speaker 3: gonna be asked and Buffalo will continue to do Buffalo things.
• 10:53
  Speaker 3: I feel like I would feel a lot better about
• 10:55
  Speaker 3: the seven and a half if they played a different division.
• 11:00
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I think you're probably right. The schedule, as I
• 11:02
  Speaker 4: put in an article I put on an action hour today,
• 11:05
  Speaker 4: is just also a lot more difficult. But how could it.
• 11:08
  Speaker 4: It couldn't have gotten easier, So like there had to
• 11:10
  Speaker 4: have been a point where the schedule got more difficult
• 11:12
  Speaker 4: than it did. I mean, last year they faced opponents
• 11:15
  Speaker 4: forty three percentage. Now it's fifty three percent. That's a
• 11:18
  Speaker 4: pretty decent jump. And you even look at Super Bowl odds.
• 11:22
  Speaker 4: Last year, their average opponent was like one hundred and
• 11:24
  Speaker 4: twenty to one. This year it's eighty four to one.
• 11:26
  Speaker 4: So it's like you are seeing a more high quality
• 11:29
  Speaker 4: opponent and some pretty good qbs. So I like the
• 11:32
  Speaker 4: under overall.
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: I think it's a good and ideally they their schedule
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: is always going to stiffen up. There's no way it
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: was going to be as easy as it was last year.
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: But they should also be a better football team. The
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: question is can they avoid the we lost the Super
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: Bowl slide, which that is a slump that a lot
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: of teams find themselves in, and then you have this
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: Mike Rabel news and nobody knows how to handicap that
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: because this is one of the most peculiar stores that
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: we've ever had leading into an NFL season.
• 12:03
  Speaker 4: It's not a positive though, like I there's no don't
• 12:06
  Speaker 4: I don't think there's noainly not a positive.
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: But how negative is it? I think is the question
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: that I keep asking myself.
• 12:11
  Speaker 3: I am I don't even think it's that I think
• 12:14
  Speaker 3: it is very much is he the head coach by
• 12:19
  Speaker 3: the time the season rolls around, because if he's not,
• 12:22
  Speaker 3: and you get in on this.
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: Now, yeah, and I think he's a good enough coach
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: where if we were to just describe a value to it,
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: I think he's worth two wins. I think Mike Rabel
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: is that good.
• 12:34
  Speaker 3: It's just also, you have to have the conversation with yourself.
• 12:36
  Speaker 3: Let's say he is the coach, but how much of
• 12:38
  Speaker 3: that locker room has he lost?
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: And that's and that's the angle to this discussion that
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: I continue to go back and forth on because accountability, integrity,
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: all of these things a coach has preached, he has
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: shown none of it. But at the same time, a
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: lot of the guys in that locker room have probably
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: done something similar to what Mike Rabel has done, just
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: not with Diana Rassina.
• 12:59
  Speaker 4: Now yet, I will say this as well, if you're
• 13:01
  Speaker 4: assuming the aj Brown trade, you could wait for that
• 13:04
  Speaker 4: because the win total is just gonna rise with that transaction.
• 13:07
  Speaker 4: They added Dobbs, you add Brown, like, there's gonna be
• 13:09
  Speaker 4: a lot of hype and maybe the Brown trade puts
• 13:12
  Speaker 4: this a little bit on the uh uh. But we'll
• 13:16
  Speaker 4: see what happens with that, and it's supposed to happen.
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: What do we say, Junie, I think June second, okay.
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: So I will say though, so to that point, I agree.
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: I think that if nothing changes and all this stuff
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: blows over, the AJ Brown news will then spike a
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: win total. And if you like the under then wait
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: for it. But Mike Rabel not being the head coach
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: is more impactful to the win total than AJ Brown
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: joining the football team.
• 13:40
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I would agree.
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: I think that there's like probably a difference about of
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: about a game in favor of the head coach because
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: of how important that position is. So in other news,
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: Andy Reid says that Patrick Mahomes is in a good
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: position to do some things in OTAs, which starts at
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: the end of the month.
• 13:56
  Speaker 3: Uh.
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: I want to back the Chiefs. I like the idea
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: of getting them on this bounce back season based on
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: the faith I have in the regime. I just can't
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: get past the fact that there's little to no value
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: on this. They are favored to win the AFC West
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: and that's the thing I was going to enter the
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: market going, I'm going to be the guy that buys
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs and apparently the market agrees, and so I
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: have not made any wagers on this, but I'll need
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: folks to sour on Kansas City, Kendra, where do you
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: land on Kansas City confidence going into the season.
• 14:30
  Speaker 3: I really want to hate them, I have to be honest,
• 14:33
  Speaker 3: But their roster did get a lot better. And do
• 14:36
  Speaker 3: I think that they overpaid Kelsey? Yeah, it's just a
• 14:38
  Speaker 3: Taylor Swift price tag and all of the marketing that
• 14:41
  Speaker 3: you get with her in tow and I want to
• 14:43
  Speaker 3: hate them, but I think that they're roster's good. I
• 14:45
  Speaker 3: think it's built to last. I think that it's built
• 14:46
  Speaker 3: to last through some injuries as well. But at the
• 14:49
  Speaker 3: same time, that division is the absolute gauntlet. So I
• 14:55
  Speaker 3: really don't want to be anywhere near anything to do
• 14:59
  Speaker 3: with the Chiefs because of the division.
• 15:02
  Speaker 4: Yeah. Division's absolutely brutal. Yeah Yeah, division is the reason
• 15:06
  Speaker 4: why you probably wouldn't go there. Schedules a bit easier
• 15:09
  Speaker 4: from last year, rosters better, You're assume healthier on some level.
• 15:15
  Speaker 4: I mean, there's lots of reasons to look up for
• 15:18
  Speaker 4: Kansas City aside from the fact of having to probably
• 15:21
  Speaker 4: just play the Chargers and Broncos and the Raiders are better,
• 15:24
  Speaker 4: but it's still a team they should dominate. I mean,
• 15:26
  Speaker 4: you know, depending on where the schedule falls out, like
• 15:29
  Speaker 4: they might get a Kirk Cousins game, they might get
• 15:32
  Speaker 4: an early Frinando Mendoza game, Like, I don't know. I
• 15:35
  Speaker 4: like Kansas City though early though, I think it's possible.
• 15:40
  Speaker 4: I think that's part of the I think the handicap
• 15:42
  Speaker 4: right now Cousins is minus two hundred to start week one,
• 15:45
  Speaker 4: but like, what does that look like five weeks in,
• 15:48
  Speaker 4: Like if they're one in three one, Like, I feel
• 15:50
  Speaker 4: like you want to get Mendoza in at some point.
• 15:51
  Speaker 4: There is very little to lose to get him reps.
• 15:55
  Speaker 4: The only thing is is, like you start with Kirk.
• 15:57
  Speaker 4: If Kirk's two and zero three and one, Like, if
• 16:00
  Speaker 4: there's a surprising start, maybe you make a decision. If
• 16:02
  Speaker 4: they're bad, I think you want to see what you
• 16:04
  Speaker 4: got with the kid.
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: Yeah, you got to let's table that because that's gonna
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: be a big part of our discussion coming up in
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: a moment. We've got way too early bets on the
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: rookies ahead of the twenty twenty six NFL season. But first,
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  Speaker 3: your ours.
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: So the rookie market this year from an awards perspective,
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: is going to be fascinating. We have the number one
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: overall pick, who, as Kendra implied, might not start at all.
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: Maybe he starts early. We don't know. We have the
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: number one offensive weapon on a team that could be
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: the worst in the NFL and Jeremiah Love on Arizona.
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: We saw how that panned out for Ashton genty last
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: year with the Raiders and the number one wide receiver
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: Carnel tait is with a quarterback that we still don't
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: know if he's any good. So we're kind of grasping
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: at straws here to find something that we absolutely love.
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: I think that creates immense value in the betting market.
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: But we'll start with Fernando Mendoza. Kendra, you teed it up.
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: Is he going to play? I believe the over under
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: that I've seen out there for games played from Fernando
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: Mendoza's like seven and a half or I think it's
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: right around that range. With Tom Brady being in the
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: front office and he has been adamant as somebody who
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: experienced this and as somebody who has seen quarterback failure
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: across the league, that you sit and they went and
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: paid handsomely to bring in a guy that is definitely
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: good enough to be your starter throughout the year and
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: not embarrass your franchise. I would take in any version
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: that is out there, Fernando Mendoza unders games played, passing yards, touchdowns.
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: There's no way I'm betting this guy for Offensive Rookie
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: of the Year.
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: That's exactly where I was going to go.
• 18:29
  Speaker 3: Is the whole Brady conversation of him saying that he
• 18:32
  Speaker 3: would love if Mendoza set But that's where you also
• 18:36
  Speaker 3: have to kind of get into the weeds of things
• 18:38
  Speaker 3: of Okay, let's say that their schedule really quickly turns
• 18:41
  Speaker 3: into shit, how soon do you.
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: Throw the kid out there?
• 18:44
  Speaker 3: But the other thing is that you have to consider
• 18:46
  Speaker 3: Tom Brady comes from this background of growing up in
• 18:50
  Speaker 3: football with Bill Belichick, and Bill is notorious for not
• 18:54
  Speaker 3: always being honest about wants and needs for you know,
• 18:57
  Speaker 3: obvious reasons. So how much stock do you put into
• 19:00
  Speaker 3: what Tom Brady has to say about it? Because it's
• 19:03
  Speaker 3: easy to sit here and be like, well, there's no
• 19:04
  Speaker 3: way he's lying about it because he experienced it. But
• 19:06
  Speaker 3: at the same time, it's like, maybe he's just kind
• 19:09
  Speaker 3: of saying, yeah, I'd like him to sit for the
• 19:12
  Speaker 3: entire year, knowing that this is probably very quickly going
• 19:15
  Speaker 3: to go to shit because of the division, and they're
• 19:17
  Speaker 3: going to going to have to wind up giving the
• 19:19
  Speaker 3: kids some reps and getting him out there.
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: I think the fact that they have a rookie head
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: coach as well, and such a young roster, there's no
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: rush and getting him reps and they can wait until
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: the end of the season. But all those things sound
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: really nice until you get the week five and the
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: fan base starts with the.
• 19:42
  Speaker 3: Mendoz's I don't think they care about that though, to
• 19:44
  Speaker 3: be honest, because like, they have a fan base, but
• 19:46
  Speaker 3: is it really like a fan base where you're gonna
• 19:49
  Speaker 3: feel pressure.
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: It's Vegas? Who the fuck lives in Las Vegas?
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: Oh, there you go. There's another reason to like the
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: idea that Mendoza ain't playing.
• 19:57
  Speaker 3: Here's the real piece of it. Though, Kirk Cousin is
• 20:00
  Speaker 3: old and injured. We know this, like even if he's
• 20:04
  Speaker 3: starting the season as healthy as his idea of healthy is,
• 20:08
  Speaker 3: if he gets injured and they want to keep sitting
• 20:11
  Speaker 3: Mendoza so he can learn or he can now sit
• 20:12
  Speaker 3: on the bench with Kirk or whatever, your next option
• 20:15
  Speaker 3: is eight and O'Connell. So what kind of pressure is
• 20:18
  Speaker 3: that going to put on you to throw Mendoza out there?
• 20:21
  Speaker 3: If Brady very much is adamant about him sitting and learning.
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: You can't throw eight and O'Connell out there, like, yeah.
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: An injury would throw a wrench. I agree with that.
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: Fernando Mendoza would be starting if Cousins goes down with
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: an injury, Evan, will they be able to hold off
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: is the question, But.
• 20:36
  Speaker 4: Everything that is, I think that's the question that you
• 20:38
  Speaker 4: have to I said, like week five, week six, depending
• 20:41
  Speaker 4: on where the schedule rolls for the Raiders, will probably
• 20:45
  Speaker 4: make the decision for you. I don't think there's a
• 20:47
  Speaker 4: way he starts the first few weeks. And for what
• 20:50
  Speaker 4: it's worth, since you I quickly looked this up. They
• 20:52
  Speaker 4: have the hardest home schedule in the NFL this year
• 20:55
  Speaker 4: fifty eight percent opponents average for in Vegas this year,
• 21:00
  Speaker 4: So I mean, I imagine they're going to lose a
• 21:02
  Speaker 4: ton of games no matter how much they're improved. And
• 21:05
  Speaker 4: with that, like, I expect to see Mendoza relatively early
• 21:09
  Speaker 4: because I just feel like there's very little to lose
• 21:12
  Speaker 4: in a season that it is most likely lost.
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: So he is plus three point eighty to be Offensive
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: Rookie of the Year. The favorite is Jeremiah Love at
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: three to one You could definitely talk me into that.
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: He's a sensational talent. We've seen rookies that get that
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: sort of bulk of work. Saint Kwon Barkley one offensive
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: rookie of the year with a similar type of situation.
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: Bad team, great running back, So it could happen. Carnel
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: Tate plus five fifty if he ends up with this
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: high volume, I worry a little bit about the target
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: share with him. They've got Calvin Ridley still in that offense.
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure that cam Ward's any good. Jordan Tyson
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: is six to one. I don't think I'm touching that
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: way too much of an injury risk. The one as
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: far as the short shots go, that I'm most intrigued
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: by is Jude Price. You give me a talented rookie,
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: first round capital injured other running back in Charbonnay. I
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: don't know how when he's going to be available to
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: play at the start of the year in one of
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: the best offenses in football, a team that just won
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. So I think I could be talked
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: into him at plus seven fifty. But I don't think
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: I'm going to take any of these guys that are
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: short shots unless I end up just falling in love
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: with Jeremiah Love in the preseason.
• 22:27
  Speaker 3: Kendra, I don't have any short anything that I like.
• 22:33
  Speaker 3: But I think I've told you guys that there is
• 22:35
  Speaker 3: a long shot that I've already been on for a
• 22:38
  Speaker 3: week and a half now, maybe.
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: Two Evan before we get her selling us on Beck.
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: What do you think about the Jadarian price bet? Is
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: that one worth making?
• 22:50
  Speaker 4: So I see like six players under twenty to one
• 22:53
  Speaker 4: area across a few books, including DraftKings. I think Price
• 22:57
  Speaker 4: and Lemon would be my two looks. Yeah, I think
• 23:00
  Speaker 4: Price is fine. He's going to get a bunch of
• 23:03
  Speaker 4: the looks. Charbonay probably not back till like mid season,
• 23:07
  Speaker 4: I would say so in terms of actual workload and touches,
• 23:10
  Speaker 4: it's hard to go away from that. And then Lemon
• 23:11
  Speaker 4: I just think is interesting, probably third wide receiver on
• 23:14
  Speaker 4: that team. You know, they trade away Brown and all
• 23:17
  Speaker 4: of a sudden, I think that price comes down as well.
• 23:20
  Speaker 4: So I think thirteen to one right now might be
• 23:23
  Speaker 4: the right play considering the move.
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: The problem is that you're also sort of betting on
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: Jalen Hurt's arm, which you can be dicey.
• 23:30
  Speaker 4: Yeah, but you look at the other situations, right, like
• 23:33
  Speaker 4: love is the is you know, we understand that. But
• 23:35
  Speaker 4: you go to Tyson, you see issues. You go to Tate,
• 23:38
  Speaker 4: you see competition. You look at Beck you may not start.
• 23:41
  Speaker 4: Then you got a bunch of Browns wide receivers. So
• 23:44
  Speaker 4: it's just and then you go to the Jets, like
• 23:46
  Speaker 4: I just you have a lot of and I just
• 23:48
  Speaker 4: went through this kind of in my head. I feel
• 23:49
  Speaker 4: like between the teams and the quarterbacks, Lemon's actually in
• 23:53
  Speaker 4: a pretty darn good situation compared to the rest.
• 23:56
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I was gonna say, I before we got on
• 23:58
  Speaker 3: the show, was telling you guys that I have a
• 24:00
  Speaker 3: McKay Lemon future for him to have over four touchdowns.
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: I threw that out there.
• 24:05
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I threw that out there is like something that
• 24:07
  Speaker 3: we could talk about. I don't think that that number
• 24:09
  Speaker 3: is going to get any better, especially if AJ Brown
• 24:11
  Speaker 3: does get traded. So if that's something that you like
• 24:13
  Speaker 3: or something that you want, I would do it now.
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: Wandel Robinson, by the way, was the other name he's
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: been added to the Tennessee Titans. So there is the
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: Carnal Tait stuff like, yeah, he could be the alpha.
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: He didn't come into the league as this dazzling prospect,
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: and he's got a lot of targets. They have a
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: lot of targets to divvy up over there. But I
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: like the Mikayle Lemon look from you guys. I mean
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: it makes sense. One of the ones that I would
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: look at that I would I think I would steer
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: clear of is Kendri's boy, Kenyan Sadiq less than ideal
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: situation Geno Smith throwing them the rock five hundred plus
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: yards is at minus one oh five if we're using
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: last year's crop as a guide. Tyler Warren went for
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: eight seventeen Colston Love and one for seven thirteen after
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: a big late season push. I bet that under was
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: looking real sharp for about half the season, both of
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: which much better offenses than what Kenyan Sadik is looking at.
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: I don't think that that's the guy that we should
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: look at, despite his combine.
• 25:18
  Speaker 3: Yeah, no, he really got the got the short end
• 25:22
  Speaker 3: of the stick.
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: Unfortunately.
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: What about the Cardinals potential starting quarterback Carson Beck. This
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: is a number that has plummeted and it's still nice,
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: nice little payout twenty two to one for Carson Beck
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: to win offensive rookie of the year. I think when
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: he was drafted, they initially listed the price on DK
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: at about sixty to one, and that started getting twenty
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: twenty five on DK right now, But it was a
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: lot longer immediately after the draft, and then immediately that
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: conversation started to come and go, wait, are we sure
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: that he's not to be the starting quarterback in Arizona?
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: And people started to buy. So right now it seems
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: like it's nice and settled at twenty five to one.
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: I still think, Kenjre, you could you could softly twist
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: my arm and talk me into this.
• 26:12
  Speaker 3: So my reason that I think I can talk you
• 26:15
  Speaker 3: into this even further is, Okay, let's say he doesn't start, right,
• 26:19
  Speaker 3: Let's look back at Tyler Schuck last year didn't start,
• 26:23
  Speaker 3: and because he was a quarterback, he got so much
• 26:26
  Speaker 3: of a push at the end of the season for
• 26:28
  Speaker 3: finding success on that shitty team that it pushed him
• 26:31
  Speaker 3: into the conversation even though he played I think six
• 26:34
  Speaker 3: or seven games. So even if Carson Beck, let's say,
• 26:37
  Speaker 3: doesn't start, which I think that there's probably a chance
• 26:39
  Speaker 3: that that's true because of the position. If he goes
• 26:42
  Speaker 3: out there and plays well, on a bad team, he
• 26:46
  Speaker 3: will still get that extra bump and that extra juice
• 26:49
  Speaker 3: before the voting.
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: Okay, well, I was gonna say, what do you do?
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: We know, Evan, you just wrote an article on this.
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: He probably have them. Where the Cardinals rank as far
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: as their schedule difficulty, I believe because they're in the
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: NFC West, they have one of the tougher schedules that's
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: out there. I say that because I did a quick
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: check on seven easiest schedules going into last season, and
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: the Saints for one of them, they had the second
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: easiest schedule in terms of win percentage against going into
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: the season. So for Chuck to get that opportunity in
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: an advantageous division with an advantageous schedule, it feels like
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: maybe the path was a little bit clearer for him.
• 27:30
  Speaker 3: Wouldn't that help him though, if he goes out there
• 27:32
  Speaker 3: and plays good in a really good division with a
• 27:34
  Speaker 3: difficult schedule.
• 27:35
  Speaker 2: And the other thing is is that I peeped.
• 27:37
  Speaker 3: I think people are forgetting Do I think that Carson
• 27:40
  Speaker 3: back is about to be a world beater in the NFL?
• 27:42
  Speaker 2: No, but the kid is a certified winner.
• 27:44
  Speaker 3: Not only did he do it at Georgia, but he
• 27:46
  Speaker 3: did it in Miami, and so I think that people
• 27:49
  Speaker 3: need to give him a little bit of credit for
• 27:52
  Speaker 3: not maybe who he will be, but who he was.
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: And he's a pro style quarterback too, so he could
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: look good early exactly.
• 27:58
  Speaker 4: Well, say, I will say this, there's like two markets
• 28:00
  Speaker 4: available on Beck right now. It's like eight to one
• 28:03
  Speaker 4: to be the Week one starter, or like twenty seven
• 28:05
  Speaker 4: to one to win Rookie of the Year. God, I
• 28:07
  Speaker 4: like that twenty seven to one much better because I
• 28:09
  Speaker 4: don't see him getting the early start. But we've seen
• 28:12
  Speaker 4: this year after year of year you just mentioned it.
• 28:14
  Speaker 4: Like these quarterbacks who start mid season, we don't really
• 28:17
  Speaker 4: have a guy we like. A guy has two or
• 28:18
  Speaker 4: three touchdowns and all of a sudden, a guy wins
• 28:20
  Speaker 4: two or three straight games, has a bunch of touchdowns,
• 28:23
  Speaker 4: and all of a sudden he flies up the odds board.
• 28:25
  Speaker 4: So I do like it. As the look you talk
• 28:27
  Speaker 4: about the Cardinals schedule, I really just have one thing
• 28:29
  Speaker 4: to say. Their opponent win total nine point three two
• 28:32
  Speaker 4: this year. That is the highest since the divisional era
• 28:36
  Speaker 4: two thousand and two. Now, obviously seventeen game schedule starts
• 28:39
  Speaker 4: in twenty twenty one. But that mark is still the
• 28:41
  Speaker 4: highest for any team. So their schedule this year is
• 28:44
  Speaker 4: absolutely brutal, brutal, brutal, especially with that division. But really bad.
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, maybe one of the lowest, one of the
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: lowest win total teams out there, perhaps the lowest as
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: it stands right now in the NFL, and not facing
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: a favorable schedule either, but still, And this is why
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: I think this is an important conversation to have. When
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: you're talking about Offensive Rookie of the Year in a
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: year where the number one overall pick was a quarterback
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: who might not even play taking shots down the board,
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: this is a great year to do it. We saw
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: what that looked like last year. Jackson Dart was another
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: guy bad team got going middle of the season and
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: then started to catch all of that buzz for Offensive
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: Rookie of the Year before he dealt with injuries and
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: Brian day Ball shoving him back out onto the football field.
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: What about the other side of the ball? Defensive Rookie
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: of the Year Ruben Bade odds on favorite at plus
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: five hundred. Don't roll out the second round guys. Carson
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: Schwessinger took home the award last year. He was picked
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: number thirty three. This will be the honorary Dolphins mentioned
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: on the podcast today. I kind of like talk about
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: twenty two to one's Jacob Rodriguez could lead the team
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: in tackles in year one. They're certainly gonna have plenty
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: of opportunities playing on defense because their offense won't be
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: doing much for them. So that's a guy early pick
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: in the second round that I would look like look
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: at as well, Kendra, is there anybody you like on
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: the defensive side of the ball as we look at
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: rookie futures?
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: You know who I'm in on.
• 30:25
  Speaker 3: As far as wind totals already this year, I'm gonna
• 30:28
  Speaker 3: give you one guess. I've been talking about them pretty
• 30:33
  Speaker 3: much every single week, even before the draft. Hmm. It's
• 30:42
  Speaker 3: the Giants, Yep, it's rvl Rees that would be the Yeah,
• 30:48
  Speaker 3: that would probably be I mean, I do there's someone
• 30:50
  Speaker 3: that you put in our notes that I also agree
• 30:52
  Speaker 3: with that I will be taking a stab at.
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: But as far as shorter odds, that's gonna be my guy.
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: You are going to be so in on this team.
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: The heartbreak is going to be very They are my
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: p words this year. They're my Panthers. Okay, it is
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: what it is.
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: Hey, we are We have already planted our flag on
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: teams in twenty twenty six. I'm all in on the Falcons.
• 31:14
  Speaker 3: They're all planted my flag on them. Like the first
• 31:17
  Speaker 3: week of March.
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: Evan, who do you like, defensive rookie of the year.
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: It's your first look as we scan that market.
• 31:24
  Speaker 4: So I just think bang's the easiest. But I don't
• 31:27
  Speaker 4: like chalking with short arm player, not even that defensive
• 31:32
  Speaker 4: rookie of the Year. Like I kind of look like
• 31:35
  Speaker 4: to look a little bit down the board, like schwestioningers
• 31:37
  Speaker 4: one as a linebacker, who was I believe a little
• 31:40
  Speaker 4: bit down the board. I'm kind of a sucker for
• 31:42
  Speaker 4: the edge guys because I do think in the end,
• 31:45
  Speaker 4: sacks and numbers to look at that are easy numbers
• 31:49
  Speaker 4: tend to win this award, even if they're a little
• 31:51
  Speaker 4: deflated sometimes. So I was trying to look at guys
• 31:54
  Speaker 4: that might get some looks, Like I was looking at
• 31:56
  Speaker 4: our Mason Dave Thomas from the Chiefs, like if he
• 32:00
  Speaker 4: actually gets looks at edge for them, potentially he's seventy
• 32:04
  Speaker 4: five to one, which is a crazy number. Like I'm
• 32:06
  Speaker 4: just looking for guys who can potentially create havoc and
• 32:10
  Speaker 4: get playing time like Keldric Folk potentially with the Titans
• 32:14
  Speaker 4: is someone I might look at because that defense gets
• 32:16
  Speaker 4: a lot of hits and sacks. So those are the
• 32:19
  Speaker 4: two off the board, kind of down the list guys.
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: I do think, yeah, on defense. For offense, you need
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: basically to be a productive quarterback or a really flashy
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: player like a Saquan or a Jamar Chase in order
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: to win the award for defensive rookies. If you look
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: at the history, the recent history, it's more so guys
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: that are productive on good teams. Yeah, And I think
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: that not so much last year because the Browns weren't good,
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: but Jared Vers the year before that on the Rams,
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: Will Anderson the year before that on the Texans, Sauce
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: Gardner not a great example, Micah Park on the Dallas Cowboys.
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: So you had some of those guys in recent history.
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: That defense is one of those categories that we tend
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: to look at and say we attribute. We're gonna attribute
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: wins more so, we're gonna count that more towards your
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: value than on offense. We're stuck on the statistics of it.
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: All or just obsessing over the quarterback position. So I
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: don't mind looking at it in that regard. I also
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: want to make sure that I bring this up on
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: the offensive side. This was a note that we had.
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: As far as trends since twenty fifteen, there have been
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: six seasons where non quarterback opened up as the favorite
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: to win offensive Rookie of the Year since twenty fifteen.
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: Teed McMillan one, CJ. Stroud one in twenty twenty three,
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: Saquon in twenty eighteen, Alvin Kamara, Dak Prescott in the
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: years prior to that. So something to consider there. Caleb
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: Downs plus eight fifty Kendra could should we look in
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: that direction. He is the biggest star on the defensive
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: side on a team that gets a lot of love
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: and a lot of primetime games.
• 34:03
  Speaker 3: I think it's easy to make the argument to a
• 34:06
  Speaker 3: casual that it's a decent look. I just outside of
• 34:12
  Speaker 3: taking the way that I like to do things is
• 34:14
  Speaker 3: usually I'll take one shot with shorter odds and then
• 34:17
  Speaker 3: one shot with longer odds. I just I think it's easy,
• 34:20
  Speaker 3: because they're going to get a lot of primetime games
• 34:22
  Speaker 3: to have that conversation. I just if I'm going to
• 34:24
  Speaker 3: take short odds, I think it's still going to be
• 34:26
  Speaker 3: r Bell Reese.
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: How many andes would Caleb Down's need Evan in order
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: to win this award.
• 34:31
  Speaker 4: I was just going to say that because on the
• 34:33
  Speaker 4: same team, would you rather take eight point fifty on
• 34:36
  Speaker 4: Downs or a shot at twenty seven to one on Lawrence?
• 34:40
  Speaker 4: Like I'm again, it's the it's the question of playing time.
• 34:43
  Speaker 4: But Lawrence could put up some decent numbers. You know,
• 34:45
  Speaker 4: he's fighting with I believe what as Araku Uh they
• 34:49
  Speaker 4: got Rashan Gary, which makes that also a little bit crowded.
• 34:53
  Speaker 4: But to me, it's just tough, like Downs is going
• 34:55
  Speaker 4: to have to a lot of havoc, some force fumbles,
• 34:58
  Speaker 4: a few interceptions, like a lot of that stuff can
• 35:00
  Speaker 4: be lucky more than not. So it's just it's tough
• 35:03
  Speaker 4: for me with those odds to look that direction.
• 35:05
  Speaker 3: The other thing I think you have to think about
• 35:07
  Speaker 3: here is how good the receivers in that division are,
• 35:11
  Speaker 3: Like it's not that's I think that that's something that
• 35:13
  Speaker 3: people aren't going to pay attention to as far as
• 35:15
  Speaker 3: that's what I mean by like the casual piece as well,
• 35:17
  Speaker 3: is like the receivers in that division are so good,
• 35:20
  Speaker 3: you're not going to be able as a rookie to
• 35:22
  Speaker 3: kind of go out there and mess those guys game up.
• 35:26
  Speaker 3: That's just kind of how I am I guess handicapping
• 35:30
  Speaker 3: him specifically.
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: Last ten years, we've only seen two guys in the
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: secondary win this award. This is very much a do
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: you sack the quarterback you win the award, or you
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: rack up a shit ton of tackles, which is why
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: I somewhat say in jest but not really, I think
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: Jacob Rodriguez at twenty two to one is not a
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: bad bet because he's a guy that can rack up
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: the tackles.
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: I will never.
• 35:55
  Speaker 4: I'll say this, Josiah Trotter has a great storyline. I
• 35:59
  Speaker 4: got to see if he's going to get playing time
• 36:00
  Speaker 4: and he gets a ton of tackles with the Bucks,
• 36:03
  Speaker 4: but the last name does give him a leg up
• 36:05
  Speaker 4: if he gets close.
• 36:07
  Speaker 3: I one will never not be mad at Kravitz for
• 36:10
  Speaker 3: drafting Jacob Rodriguez because he was supposed to be at Jaguar.
• 36:14
  Speaker 3: And two, you will never get me to say no
• 36:16
  Speaker 3: to a media mugly man with a mustache.
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: There you go, see, he's a family guy. All right,
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: let's get to our draftking picks for the week. Time
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: to plant our flag on a couple of rooks. Kendra
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: get Us started your official plant the Flag bet among
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: these rookie props.
• 36:34
  Speaker 3: Yeah, the literally the only two bets that I have
• 36:37
  Speaker 3: logged in DK so far, Carson Beck Rookie of the Year,
• 36:42
  Speaker 3: and then I'm also gonna go with makayle Lemmons over is,
• 36:45
  Speaker 3: whichever one you prefer. Those are the two, like, literally
• 36:47
  Speaker 3: the only two things that I have gotten to the
• 36:50
  Speaker 3: window on and it's mostly because I don't think that
• 36:52
  Speaker 3: mackay is going to get any better when AJ Brown
• 36:54
  Speaker 3: is officially out.
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm going to count yours as I'm planting
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: your flags, specifically just for recap purposes on Carson Beck,
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: because I like, somebody's got to be attached to that
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: bet that's really good.
• 37:07
  Speaker 3: And you know what said the sloth, great character. I'm
• 37:10
  Speaker 3: attached to him already, Evan.
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: Here go.
• 37:15
  Speaker 4: These are the four bets I liked, and then we
• 37:16
  Speaker 4: could figure out one. I like the lemon bet the
• 37:18
  Speaker 4: four touchdowns, which is I believe at minus two hundred
• 37:21
  Speaker 4: right now, which will only go up with the Brown trade.
• 37:24
  Speaker 4: Two unders were Jordan Tyson under eight hundred and a
• 37:26
  Speaker 4: half receiving yards. I see a multitude of different avenues.
• 37:30
  Speaker 4: How that wouldn't hit injuries. A little bit of competition
• 37:33
  Speaker 4: at the position. Shuck runs the ball at on Jordan
• 37:37
  Speaker 4: and Jeremiah Love, not Jordan Love under nine hundred and
• 37:40
  Speaker 4: a half receiving rushing yards was another look I liked.
• 37:44
  Speaker 4: But I think I am going to plant my flag
• 37:46
  Speaker 4: with Cooper. I'll go Omark Cooper four and a half touchdowns.
• 37:50
  Speaker 4: I think he is going to win that job. Ish
• 37:53
  Speaker 4: next to Wilson, be good with Gino. Gino tosses the ball,
• 37:57
  Speaker 4: it's on. I'll take Gomark. I'm an Eyeu guy. I
• 38:01
  Speaker 4: got the hat on. It's hard not to go that direction. Also,
• 38:03
  Speaker 4: sucker for under some surprise, I went that direction. But
• 38:07
  Speaker 4: it's all right.
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: You gave us three unders and then over zoomed in
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: the direction of it. Over. What's the number on Omar
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: Cooper to get four touchdowns?
• 38:17
  Speaker 4: Let's see, I'm looking right on. I got to get
• 38:19
  Speaker 4: to DraftKings.
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: I will the only one that I cannot co sign
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: of the ones that you teed up, and we'll go
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: with Omar Cooper for your plan minus one twenty for
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: four touchdowns. That's a really fun follow throughout the year
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: as well for a guy, and well, they're going to
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: get in a lot of pass happy game scripts. Yeah,
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: and four is a very attainable number. Hell, you can
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: get halfway there very realistically. You could get halfway there
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: in one game and then and then coast for the
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: ropefully that happens early coast for the rest of the season.
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: The only one that I will not be walking into
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: remotely would be Jeremiah Love. I think this guy is
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: going to be a stud right away. We see these
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: running backs, these premiere premium talents. They come into the
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: league and it looks like they've been playing in the
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: NFL for five years. They don't have the same sort
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: of like rookie overcome the rookie obstacle that other positions do,
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: because these guys just literally hit the ground running.
• 39:19
  Speaker 4: I think you're right. There was no need to plant
• 39:21
  Speaker 4: my flag on that one. I just felt like that
• 39:23
  Speaker 4: number was intriguing. If I had to pick, it would
• 39:25
  Speaker 4: probably be Tyson's under eight hundred over Loves under nine hundred.
• 39:29
  Speaker 4: I just a lot of outs there and I think
• 39:31
  Speaker 4: you agree with that.
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: Yes, I love the Tyson bet. We do have a
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: bit of breaking news real quick before I plant my flag.
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers likely to join the Steelers this season. Cool
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: our shot a collective shockface.
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: Is his Ai wife staying there too?
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: We are a waiting word.
• 39:50
  Speaker 4: It also takes away the rumor I heard him to
• 39:52
  Speaker 4: Arizona yesterday. Like we just kept creating different things. So
• 39:56
  Speaker 4: I'm glad we can just put that to bed.
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: Yes, same as much as I love talking about Aaron
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: Rodgers all the time, We'll go ahead and table it
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: for the next episode. I'm gonna split my bet in half,
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: so I'm gonna plant my flag. You guys can you
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: can veto this if you want to, but I'm gonna
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: split my bet. It's the same offense, so I feel
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: like it's it's allowed, and both are long shots. I'm
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: going Casey Conceptsion twenty eight to one and Denzel Boston
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: thirty to one. This is a quarterback. Why I know this?
• 40:27
  Speaker 2: I go, I know Ravits.
• 40:30
  Speaker 4: I feel like we just had this discussion what is
• 40:32
  Speaker 4: going on with this bet?
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: So you know what's gonna happen.
• 40:37
  Speaker 3: The fucking Atlanta Falcons are going to win the Super Bowl,
• 40:40
  Speaker 3: and I'm not gonna be able.
• 40:42
  Speaker 2: I can't.
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: Hear me.
• 40:45
  Speaker 4: Let him continue, I will, all right.
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: There's two ways to win, okay, all o, there's three.
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: You could be a quarterback, or you get a lot
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: of volume at wide receiver, running back, or you're incredibly explosive.
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: I think Conceptsione could win on explosiveness. I think Boston
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: could win on volume either way. Both of these numbers
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: are long enough. There's enough ambiguity in that offense. They
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: really only have Jerry Judy standing in their way, Schador Sanders,
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: Deshaun Watson, whatever. I mean. It's like, pick your favorite
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: shitty quarterback. I just need them to get the ball
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: out of their hands quickly with a couple of long
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: shot odds on guys that I think can put up
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: big numbers.
• 41:29
  Speaker 4: So you would like Boston. They have him at five
• 41:31
  Speaker 4: hundred receiving yards at.
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: Even Let me get this straight.
• 41:36
  Speaker 3: You want these odds for guys that need to catch passes.
• 41:42
  Speaker 3: Knowing that you admitted that they just have insert any
• 41:46
  Speaker 3: shitty quarterback here.
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I mean they're gonna be There's not a
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: lot of talent on these offenses. So if either one
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: of these guys pop, then they're going to receive so
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: much volume anyway, they could just stat their way to
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: the win.
• 42:05
  Speaker 3: In a run first offense, no matter who the quarterback is.
• 42:09
  Speaker 2: Am I hearing this correctly?
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: Well, you've got Todd Monkin now as the head coach.
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: I think he wants to up the pass volume a
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: little bit. And now I know that here the panel
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: not that high on Deshaun Watson with this bet. I
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: would rather Deshaun Watson be the quarterback.
• 42:26
  Speaker 4: You sure door can sling it pretty decently.
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: Yes, I don't hate it. You gotta be okay with
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: either guy if you're gonna make this bet, but you're
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: gonna be.
• 42:35
  Speaker 4: Crazy if you're gonna make this bet. But you're gonna
• 42:37
  Speaker 4: make it anyway, that's fine.
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: You also have to be at Deshaun Watson apologist.
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: I guess. Well, let's not go that far, all right.
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: Quick recap four hour Plant the Flag bets presented by DraftKings.
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: The crown is yours, Kendrick going Carson Beck twenty five
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: to one. Offensive Rookie of the Year Evan Abrams is
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: on Omar Cooper four plus touchdowns at minus one twenty
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: and I will be splitting my bet it despite the
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: dismay of the panel. Casey conceptsi on twenty eight to one,
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: Denzel Boston thirty to one for Offensive Rookie of the Year.
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: Those are your plant the Flag bets and that is
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: a wrap for the week special. Thanks loves this show.
• 43:16
  Speaker 2: It's just because of crowdits well, I hope.
• 43:18
  Speaker 3: So.
• 43:19
  Speaker 4: I'm surprised you didn't take Zach Yer Branch for some
• 43:21
  Speaker 4: Falcons loveingess.
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: You don't want to be you don't be too pot
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: committed on the Atlanta Falcons. Take it from the Atlanta MVP.
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: That'll do it for this week. On the Favorite shout
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: out the Gifford Gold, David Payne stat sound Evid Abrams
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: for hopping on and and sliding in for Stuckey, We're
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: thinking of you, Bud. The Favorites will return next week
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: as always, catch it right here on the Action Network
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: YouTube page or wherever you download your favorite podcast. We'll
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: see you next time here on the Favorites presented by DraftKings,
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: Fly Falcons, Fly.
• 44:23
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• 44:28
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• 44:31
  Speaker 2: Twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler