Latest / Trumponomics / Chinese Workers Are Saying Enough Is Enough, and Xi Is Not Amused
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Wow, she was like sugar red, qunchy like chips and
- 0:06Speaker 1: stuff like that. Actually, the days are crickets. Hello and
- 0:16Speaker 1: welcome to Stephanomics, the podcast that brings the global economy
- 0:19Speaker 1: to you. What you heard there might well be your
- 0:21Speaker 1: Christmas dinner in a few years time. Keep listening to
- 0:24Speaker 1: find out what those lucky people were tasting why it
- 0:27Speaker 1: might just save the world. We also tell you about
- 0:31Speaker 1: a new treasure trove of data showing just how much
- 0:34Speaker 1: federal stimulus checks have boosted the spending of black and
- 0:37Speaker 1: Hispanic families and how inflation and a slower economy could
- 0:42Speaker 1: take them back to square one. But first tune in,
- 0:46Speaker 1: drop out, Live flat. Their parents may have worked twelve
- 0:50Speaker 1: hour days for decades, supporting China's breakneck economic growth, but
- 0:54Speaker 1: a growing number of young people in this famously industrious
- 0:57Speaker 1: nation would rather not work at all. You could say
- 1:01Speaker 1: it was the Asian counterpart to the Great Resignation that
- 1:05Speaker 1: has business executives scratching their heads in the US and Europe.
- 1:09Speaker 1: But the life flat movement also tells us quite a
- 1:11Speaker 1: lot about how Chinese society has changed, and it could
- 1:15Speaker 1: even put the government's grand plans for the future at risk.
- 1:19Speaker 1: In a minute, I'll discuss all of that with Bloomberg
- 1:21Speaker 1: opinion columnist Truly Rehn. But first here is our Hong
- 1:24Speaker 1: Kong based China economy reporter Tom Hancock. In what has
- 1:35Speaker 1: been branded as the Great Resignation, US workers are quitting
- 1:38Speaker 1: their jobs in record numbers. More than twenty four million
- 1:42Speaker 1: did so from April to September this year. Millions have
- 1:45Speaker 1: dropped permanently out of the labor force, and similar trends
- 1:49Speaker 1: are being seen in parts of Europe. But even in China,
- 1:53Speaker 1: where coronavirus has been kept largely under control and the
- 1:57Speaker 1: economy has doubled in size in the last decade, people
- 2:00Speaker 1: are having similar feelings. The country's live flat movement, jump
- 2:05Speaker 1: started by a social media post, is also about opting out.
- 2:09Speaker 1: It's a reaction against the system in which are grueling
- 2:12Speaker 1: nine six work schedule nine am to nine pm, six
- 2:16Speaker 1: days a week is common in industries like technology, so
- 2:20Speaker 1: is unrelenting pressure from family, society, and even the government
- 2:24Speaker 1: to keep climbing the ladder. In October, thousands of employees
- 2:30Speaker 1: at Chinese tech giants, including Ali Baba Group and the
- 2:33Speaker 1: owner of TikTok groused about their long work hours in
- 2:37Speaker 1: an online campaign called workers Lives Matter and It's not
- 2:41Speaker 1: just a white color phenomenon. In the southern city of Shenjen,
- 2:44Speaker 1: migrant workers from the countryside, once celebrated for being willing
- 2:48Speaker 1: to work tough jobs in manufacturing, are rejecting manual jobs
- 2:52Speaker 1: and sometimes prefer to spend their time playing online games,
- 2:55Speaker 1: picking up day jobs as needed. Some see parallels between
- 3:00Speaker 1: lie flat sentiment in China and similar ideas that emerged
- 3:03Speaker 1: in Japan in the ninety nineties after its economic growth
- 3:06Speaker 1: slowed sharply, suggesting China might be facing impending Japan style stagnation,
- 3:14Speaker 1: but others argue it's more like the nineteen sixties style
- 3:17Speaker 1: counterculture movements that cropped up in the US and Europe
- 3:20Speaker 1: in a period of affluence, with ordinary people seeking a
- 3:23Speaker 1: lower pressure society that's more focused on personal development the
- 3:27Speaker 1: material success. That's the view of Chenza Young, a twenty
- 3:31Speaker 1: five year old who lives in shen Jen while studying
- 3:34Speaker 1: for a master's degree online. The society needs more definition
- 3:39Speaker 1: about sucsass at the people around you are doing so well,
- 3:42Speaker 1: or you are all competing for the same job or
- 3:44Speaker 1: for the same kind of success, so you kind of
- 3:48Speaker 1: like fear you are gonna laughed out, so some people
- 3:52Speaker 1: just give up. Even though China, the US and Europe
- 3:55Speaker 1: are very different economies, we can connect China's lying flat
- 3:59Speaker 1: discussion with the concept of the great resignation in developed countries,
- 4:03Speaker 1: says Young Bio, director of the Max Planck Institute for
- 4:06Speaker 1: Social Anthropology in Germany. Both are about questioning the pursuit
- 4:11Speaker 1: of wealth at an individual and a social level. They
- 4:15Speaker 1: emerge at at the same time, and we can make
- 4:18Speaker 1: a connection and the even links to bigger idea such
- 4:22Speaker 1: as the growths such as a sustainability and this is
- 4:27Speaker 1: somehow all related because it is about the overheating about
- 4:31Speaker 1: US society. They become a excessively completed too, and just
- 4:34Speaker 1: not as sustainable, not only in terms of environmental extraction,
- 4:39Speaker 1: but also the mental the mental abendance is not as sustainable.
- 4:45Speaker 1: Among the new dropouts is Melana Cooler, a twenty six
- 4:48Speaker 1: year old from Germany who lost her job at the
- 4:50Speaker 1: height of the pandemic last year. She has chosen to
- 4:54Speaker 1: set up an environmentally sustainable commune in the countryside rather
- 4:58Speaker 1: than seeking full time work. Am I enough just the
- 5:01Speaker 1: way I am? Or do I constantly needs new equipment,
- 5:08Speaker 1: new material, new goods in my life, new experiences to
- 5:13Speaker 1: feel full in some form. So that's something I've really changed.
- 5:18Speaker 1: Here in developed countries, pressure has been building for decades.
- 5:24Speaker 1: Incomes of stagnated, job security has become precarious, and the
- 5:28Speaker 1: costs of housing and education of sword making it harder
- 5:32Speaker 1: to build a financially stable life. Melana story indicates how
- 5:36Speaker 1: the pandemic has sometimes converted those simmering concerns into action.
- 5:43Speaker 1: Will the Great Resignation and Life Let have a longer
- 5:45Speaker 1: term impact. While they are a challenge to conventional ideas
- 5:49Speaker 1: about work and consumption, Cimball points out that they seem
- 5:53Speaker 1: to lack specific demands about how to change society. Many
- 5:57Speaker 1: will be waiting to see if those ideas emerge. For
- 6:00Speaker 1: Bloomberg News, I'm Tom Hancock in Hong Kong, so I
- 6:10Speaker 1: wanted to talk a bit more about lying Flat and
- 6:13Speaker 1: what it tells us about China's future with Bloomberg Opinion
- 6:17Speaker 1: columnists Shuli Wren in Hong Kong. Shuli, welcome to Stephanomics.
- 6:21Speaker 1: I love the opening line of a columny wrote the
- 6:23Speaker 1: other day, China's young people are stressed out. I mean,
- 6:27Speaker 1: there are there are concrete forces making young people's lives
- 6:31Speaker 1: more stressful in China and the live flat movement, it's
- 6:35Speaker 1: just one reaction to that, so tell us more absolutely
- 6:39Speaker 1: definitely so so like after the Chinese governments a big
- 6:44Speaker 1: tack and big real estate developer crackdown like that actually
- 6:49Speaker 1: ruined a lot of the job prospects for China's young people,
- 6:54Speaker 1: especially those fresh university graduates. I mean, China has been
- 6:58Speaker 1: training about ten million university graduates every year, and in
- 7:03Speaker 1: the past they already struggled to find good jobs, and
- 7:06Speaker 1: now the jobs are even fewer than before. And then
- 7:09Speaker 1: like in the graduating class of only one third decided
- 7:14Speaker 1: to go into the job market, with another third saying, oh,
- 7:17Speaker 1: I'm just going to try to, you know, go out
- 7:20Speaker 1: to grad school because you know, like when there's a reception,
- 7:23Speaker 1: everyone applies for grass school, right, some young people they
- 7:27Speaker 1: just say, oh, I'm just going to take some time off,
- 7:29Speaker 1: lie on my parents cultures, and figure out what they
- 7:32Speaker 1: want to do. And I guess one of the one
- 7:34Speaker 1: of the things that's happening is that you know, China's
- 7:38Speaker 1: getting richer as a country and now it can have
- 7:41Speaker 1: dropouts just the way that you know, the US had
- 7:43Speaker 1: dropouts in the sixties. Absolutely, I mean being able to
- 7:48Speaker 1: life flat, to be honest, it's a luxury good, right.
- 7:52Speaker 1: And also like that the cost of of UH consumption
- 7:56Speaker 1: for a lot of young people is coming down, like
- 7:59Speaker 1: a China's a chancy just like elsewhere in US and
- 8:03Speaker 1: then the UK. They don't need very much money or
- 8:06Speaker 1: like they spend a lot of time on the internet
- 8:09Speaker 1: right surfing on the internet, chat rooms and playing video games.
- 8:13Speaker 1: It doesn't cost very much money, so they don't need
- 8:16Speaker 1: to really earn that much, so they can afford it
- 8:19Speaker 1: in a way. And also the parents. China has this
- 8:22Speaker 1: major like only child policy, right, so the parents will
- 8:25Speaker 1: be like, oh, that's my baby, and what can I do?
- 8:28Speaker 1: I have to let them life that I want to
- 8:30Speaker 1: get on with two what how the government's responded. But
- 8:34Speaker 1: before I get to that, I wanted to ask you
- 8:36Speaker 1: about young women facing particular challenges in this labor force.
- 8:42Speaker 1: Tell us a bit more about that. So the best
- 8:45Speaker 1: jobs for young women are in the services industries such
- 8:49Speaker 1: as financial industry like UH and the media industry. And
- 8:54Speaker 1: then like in China as in South Korea, like when
- 8:57Speaker 1: when the young people apply for jobs they they need,
- 9:01Speaker 1: they oftentimes are asked to attach a photo of themselves, right,
- 9:04Speaker 1: So so young women start to feel that, oh, you know,
- 9:07Speaker 1: if I I look better that that that makes me
- 9:10Speaker 1: look a little bit more presentable. So a lot of
- 9:13Speaker 1: them start to do a lot of clusters surgery like facelifts,
- 9:16Speaker 1: you know, those jobs, so on, so forth, which is
- 9:19Speaker 1: quite awful. H A while back, I also wrote about
- 9:22Speaker 1: like aesthetics medicine in China, and then most of the
- 9:25Speaker 1: demand don't come from older women but from eighteen to
- 9:29Speaker 1: twenty four year olds, and it has become such a problem.
- 9:32Speaker 1: And then like basically a facelift costs a lot of
- 9:34Speaker 1: money and they don't have money for that, right, So
- 9:37Speaker 1: so there are e commerce websites such as Ali baba
- 9:41Speaker 1: um that uh, that give young women so called consumer
- 9:46Speaker 1: loans to do those um a statics medicine procedures um.
- 9:52Speaker 1: And then the government is calling a stop to that.
- 9:54Speaker 1: They said that, you know, companies can no longer sell
- 9:58Speaker 1: asset back securities which are backed by plastic facelift loans. Unbelievable.
- 10:06Speaker 1: It's clearly alarming, I would think for China's government that
- 10:11Speaker 1: has such big plans to to lead the world in
- 10:15Speaker 1: several critical industries and become bigger and better and more
- 10:20Speaker 1: skilled as a nation. To have young people dropping out
- 10:24Speaker 1: like this, and how's the government responded, I mean present
- 10:28Speaker 1: Shinping is very very worried that he he openly talked
- 10:32Speaker 1: about like the lying flat problem phenomenon in China. And
- 10:37Speaker 1: then like in October, so so like China that the
- 10:41Speaker 1: State Council proposed this so called deal training program. It's
- 10:45Speaker 1: it's essentially the German model. Like basically, China thinks that
- 10:49Speaker 1: that the society is turning out too many fresh university
- 10:52Speaker 1: graduates who just don't want to go to the factory
- 10:55Speaker 1: flaws because they feel like, oh I I did four
- 10:58Speaker 1: years of undergraduate that why do I want to go
- 11:00Speaker 1: to the manufacturing sector? Right, So as a result, they
- 11:03Speaker 1: decide to life flat and China things that society has
- 11:07Speaker 1: too many of these people, and they want to have
- 11:09Speaker 1: more young people go into um like so called the
- 11:13Speaker 1: vocational training, like you know, you spend a few years
- 11:17Speaker 1: learning skills in the school, but also a few more
- 11:20Speaker 1: years you know, doing on the job training at the
- 11:23Speaker 1: biggest blue chip companies such as Huawei or the China's
- 11:27Speaker 1: power grid and that seems to be their their their solutions.
- 11:31Speaker 1: They want more young people to go into high end
- 11:34Speaker 1: manufacturing that does you know, electric evy supply chains or
- 11:39Speaker 1: like chip manufacturing, and the China doesn't have enough of
- 11:42Speaker 1: that right now. Is any of that working? Well, this
- 11:47Speaker 1: is just a start. They just proposed this so called
- 11:51Speaker 1: the German model in October. One problem is like, um,
- 11:54Speaker 1: there is a little bit of a stigma when it
- 11:57Speaker 1: comes to working on the factory floors, and the China's
- 12:01Speaker 1: middle class families they don't really want their children to
- 12:04Speaker 1: go into vocational school training, right, I mean the US
- 12:08Speaker 1: that that hasn't been very successful either. So so what
- 12:12Speaker 1: the state Council proposes that you know, some high, very
- 12:16Speaker 1: high end like vocational schools. They should be able to
- 12:19Speaker 1: offer bachelor's degrees as well. So so even though you
- 12:23Speaker 1: are technically going to you know, um, the German model,
- 12:26Speaker 1: you're still have a degree. So perhaps that will persuade
- 12:30Speaker 1: the China's middle class families to allow their children to
- 12:33Speaker 1: go into this kind of German uh deal track training programs.
- 12:39Speaker 1: There's an awful lot of countries that have tried to
- 12:40Speaker 1: be more German in particularly this respect. For many decades.
- 12:44Speaker 1: Anybody who ever looks at the UK economy always concludes
- 12:47Speaker 1: that we should be more German in our approach to
- 12:49Speaker 1: education and have exactly this emphasis on technical skills and
- 12:54Speaker 1: giving the same amount of esteem and regard to people
- 13:00Speaker 1: doing engineering and working on the shop floors to people
- 13:03Speaker 1: in universities. And it hasn't worked. They've been trying to
- 13:05Speaker 1: do it for decades. Yeah, China will trial as well,
- 13:09Speaker 1: I guess, but it certainly seems like the consequence of
- 13:13Speaker 1: a new kind of China. When you say that, people
- 13:16Speaker 1: say that it is demeaning to work on the shop
- 13:18Speaker 1: on the shop floor in factories. Presumibly its people's parents
- 13:21Speaker 1: originally did that. I mean, all of this development has
- 13:23Speaker 1: happened in very few generations. I mean absolutely. My my
- 13:29Speaker 1: father was a chemical engineer and that he did pretty well,
- 13:32Speaker 1: like you know, like in the last two decades and
- 13:36Speaker 1: basically exporting pollution, like you know, polluting the exporting products
- 13:42Speaker 1: and stuff, and he did well. But he absolutely does
- 13:45Speaker 1: not want me to go into engineering. He said it's
- 13:48Speaker 1: tough work. And then he rather me you know, writing instead.
- 13:51Speaker 1: Like the parents, they just don't want their children to
- 13:54Speaker 1: go out to factory for and I think it's a
- 13:56Speaker 1: sign that China is no longer really the typical virgin market.
- 14:01Speaker 1: It kind of has emerged in a way, you know,
- 14:04Speaker 1: like and you're and you're part of the problem, it seems, yeah, exactly,
- 14:08Speaker 1: And the whole of time, I'm afraid cannot all work
- 14:10Speaker 1: at Bloomberg. I'm afraid that Uliman, thank you so much
- 14:17Speaker 1: for joining us, Thanks for having me so. Bloomberg has
- 14:28Speaker 1: recently published a series of articles under the tagline of
- 14:31Speaker 1: Race and Recovery, looking at how America's economic recovery is
- 14:35Speaker 1: playing out in minority communities. There's some really eye opening
- 14:39Speaker 1: data and stories about life in different parts of the
- 14:41Speaker 1: economy in this series, and the final article came out
- 14:45Speaker 1: this week and seemed to me particularly timely as the
- 14:49Speaker 1: US Central Bank starts to talk about raising interest rates
- 14:52Speaker 1: and we enter what feels like a new phase of
- 14:54Speaker 1: the recovery. Andre Tartar is a data journalist for Bloomberg
- 14:59Speaker 1: based in New York, and he's with me now. And
- 15:03Speaker 1: the data you pulled together for this piece with Christopher
- 15:06Speaker 1: Cannon this week paid a fascinating picture of US household
- 15:11Speaker 1: spending through this pandemic period and particularly impact that government
- 15:16Speaker 1: stimulus money has had on particular parts of the population.
- 15:20Speaker 1: So just give us some of the big headlines from
- 15:22Speaker 1: those numbers, sure thing, and thank you so much for
- 15:25Speaker 1: having me. So we got access to spending data for
- 15:29Speaker 1: just over a ten million people, a constant sample over
- 15:33Speaker 1: time that allowed us to really kind of look for
- 15:36Speaker 1: those trends and changes in spending behaviors. And the thing
- 15:39Speaker 1: that we really kind of struck us was just how
- 15:42Speaker 1: much spending had surged, in particular among black and lower
- 15:46Speaker 1: income families, um And we could see the very clear
- 15:51Speaker 1: uh impact of those federal stimulus checks, in part because
- 15:57Speaker 1: both of those groups, black and lower income groups are
- 16:00Speaker 1: much more reliant on debit card spending. And we could
- 16:03Speaker 1: see in this data just how much the debit card
- 16:07Speaker 1: usage kind of rows around the time of the stimulus
- 16:10Speaker 1: checks because you're already spending what you have. You can
- 16:12Speaker 1: only spend what you have in your account because you
- 16:14Speaker 1: don't necessarily get credit exactly right. Whereas whereas, for instance,
- 16:18Speaker 1: if you look at higher income spenders or you know,
- 16:20Speaker 1: which you know also will capture a large portion of
- 16:23Speaker 1: white and agent spenders, their use of credit is much
- 16:26Speaker 1: much higher. They were clearly in this data and and
- 16:29Speaker 1: other research has shown that they that those groups were
- 16:33Speaker 1: much more able to hold back spending right in those
- 16:36Speaker 1: first few months waiting this out, which is much harder
- 16:39Speaker 1: for those groups which live a bit tighter, you know,
- 16:42Speaker 1: month to month. What kind of numbers are we talking
- 16:46Speaker 1: about in terms of just the impact of the of
- 16:48Speaker 1: the stimulus packages relative to what they would have spent
- 16:52Speaker 1: would have been spending in say, in the case of
- 16:55Speaker 1: say spending by the black people in our sample, it
- 16:59Speaker 1: was up almost um this past kind of spring and
- 17:03Speaker 1: summer compared to twenty m minting levels, which is, you know,
- 17:08Speaker 1: a trend that would not be seen normally, you know,
- 17:10Speaker 1: even factoring in just normal economic growth, normal inflation, that
- 17:14Speaker 1: is a really significant bump up um, you know, and
- 17:17Speaker 1: there certainly are other factors at play, but you know,
- 17:20Speaker 1: given kind of this, given the scope of that of
- 17:24Speaker 1: that injection of cash really into into parts of economy,
- 17:28Speaker 1: it was significant, and across the sample, I think it
- 17:31Speaker 1: was even it was increase in spending, which only which
- 17:35Speaker 1: only came back a certain amount when things like the
- 17:39Speaker 1: unemployment benefits ran out in in the full absolutely, I
- 17:44Speaker 1: mean as of October, which was the last month that
- 17:48Speaker 1: we had data for overall spending across this group of
- 17:52Speaker 1: about ten million Americans was still up about fifteen compared
- 17:56Speaker 1: to twenty miniting levels. And we should just say briefly
- 18:00Speaker 1: what this what this data was? Where did you get
- 18:02Speaker 1: hold of these numbers? So this DADA comes from from
- 18:04Speaker 1: a company called Affinity Solutions, Inc. Which have been incredibly
- 18:08Speaker 1: generous in working with us and often partner with the
- 18:11Speaker 1: FED academics to provide access to their data, which nationally
- 18:17Speaker 1: covers more than a hundred million debit and credit cards
- 18:20Speaker 1: UM and has an incredible amount of depth to it.
- 18:23Speaker 1: So you know, it was really great Chricket access to
- 18:27Speaker 1: this UM and being able to also use the data
- 18:30Speaker 1: that they have linking demographics and income into this data,
- 18:34Speaker 1: which is a very kind of complicated process that they
- 18:38Speaker 1: undertake UM on their end, so you know, it really
- 18:41Speaker 1: gives a lot of insights that otherwise are hard to
- 18:43Speaker 1: get at that at that level of detail. It's so
- 18:48Speaker 1: exciting when you get hold of a big, meaty data
- 18:50Speaker 1: set like this and to have it been relatively timely
- 18:52Speaker 1: as well as going through to October. And I have
- 18:55Speaker 1: to say you do a fantastic job of making it
- 18:57Speaker 1: come alive with some really lovely colorful graphics, which we're
- 19:00Speaker 1: not doing justice too on the podcast. Right a shout
- 19:04Speaker 1: out to Christopher Cannon on the graphics who made all
- 19:06Speaker 1: those beautiful graphics and definitely recommend folks to go and
- 19:11Speaker 1: a metical look. I mean, inflation poses a risk to
- 19:15Speaker 1: this big increase in spending power. Right when we look
- 19:18Speaker 1: forward to next year, are we potentially seeing this big
- 19:22Speaker 1: improvement in in particularly black and Hispanic households spending power
- 19:26Speaker 1: being being really hit by both inflation and potentially a
- 19:32Speaker 1: slowing economy. I mean absolutely right. So this really kind
- 19:37Speaker 1: of that injection of that federals federal simulus really closed
- 19:42Speaker 1: a huge consumption gap and also showed us the kind
- 19:45Speaker 1: of untapped potential right that exists in those communities who
- 19:49Speaker 1: who just tend to have lower incomes and lower access
- 19:53Speaker 1: to credit. So both so both kind of the fact
- 19:56Speaker 1: that now most of that you know, additional cash has
- 20:00Speaker 1: have been spent, and as you mentioned, inflation is going
- 20:02Speaker 1: to begin to eat in to some of those core
- 20:05Speaker 1: spending staple groups that just can't be avoided. Certainly foods,
- 20:09Speaker 1: certainly gas are ones where you know, groups who have
- 20:13Speaker 1: to go physically into work, who don't have a lot
- 20:15Speaker 1: of ability to hold off spending or access credit. I
- 20:19Speaker 1: think we will certainly see a very you know, a
- 20:22Speaker 1: very likely a kind of a tempering or even a
- 20:26Speaker 1: full on slow down of the spending recovery, which as
- 20:29Speaker 1: we know, powers the vast majority of the U. S economy.
- 20:32Speaker 1: So you know, it both has implications for the kind
- 20:34Speaker 1: of equity side of the picture, but also just for
- 20:37Speaker 1: the recovery more broadly. Yeah, and there's certainly a lesson
- 20:41Speaker 1: if you if you want to stimulate the economy and
- 20:42Speaker 1: get people to spend, give it to pull people who
- 20:44Speaker 1: don't have enough money to buy the things they want
- 20:47Speaker 1: to buy. There actually are some fascinating studies out there
- 20:49Speaker 1: which have really shown though that that stimulus money, if
- 20:53Speaker 1: you were a wealth your household, you basically saved it
- 20:56Speaker 1: all right, So I mean, really it wasn't doing what
- 20:58Speaker 1: it was meant to do. Of course, for reasons of
- 21:00Speaker 1: you know, of efficiency, the idea was to just give
- 21:04Speaker 1: checks all around. But as you mentioned, I mean, this
- 21:06Speaker 1: data really shows that you can get the biggest bang
- 21:09Speaker 1: for your stimulus buck by really sending it to those
- 21:12Speaker 1: lower income households and communities of color, you know who
- 21:15Speaker 1: kind of aren't being able to tap into their full
- 21:18Speaker 1: consumption potential. It's a difficult challenge for the Federal reserver,
- 21:22Speaker 1: right because they're supposed to be they're supposed to be
- 21:24Speaker 1: focused on both stable inflation and full employment. They've said
- 21:29Speaker 1: they're going to focus more on everybody's unemployment rate, not
- 21:33Speaker 1: just the headline rate, and of course on black unemployment
- 21:36Speaker 1: is still quite a lot higher, um than the than
- 21:39Speaker 1: the average for the rest of the country, but they're
- 21:42Speaker 1: kind of weighing up. Inflation hurts poor people, digs into
- 21:46Speaker 1: their spending power, but not getting those jobs created, not
- 21:51Speaker 1: bringing down unemployment hurts them too. It's a difficult challenge absolutely, um,
- 21:55Speaker 1: I mean, and on top of that, there's also you know,
- 21:58Speaker 1: there's a machine momentum that um, we are in where
- 22:01Speaker 1: we have I think it's something like a ten million
- 22:04Speaker 1: unful jobs, and yet we're still not seeing really that
- 22:08Speaker 1: broad based, you know, decline in unemployment. So it really
- 22:12Speaker 1: does present a very difficult obstacle course for the Fed policymakers,
- 22:18Speaker 1: but also fantastic time to be doing data journalism. Thanks
- 22:22Speaker 1: so much, Thank you, definitely, I really appreciate it. M H. Finally,
- 22:34Speaker 1: at the start of the program. I think I promised
- 22:36Speaker 1: to you the future of food is Hong Kong reporter
- 22:39Speaker 1: Juan ha. It has the rain natty taste. That's Malaysian
- 22:45Speaker 1: entrepreneur Kevin Wou describing the perfect burger that he wants
- 22:49Speaker 1: to put into restaurants and grocery stores. So we added
- 22:52Speaker 1: some spices to give it that kind of familiar beefy taste,
- 22:55Speaker 1: the grounded beef taste. And we've added certain kind of
- 23:00Speaker 1: hats like mushroom seasoning to give you that umami flavor.
- 23:04Speaker 1: And the secret ingredient. We've perized our crickets, you heard right,
- 23:10Speaker 1: crickets roasted and processed into a fine brown powder, and
- 23:14Speaker 1: then we mix it with other plant based protein source.
- 23:17Speaker 1: I think it's pretty tasty, especially when you when you
- 23:20Speaker 1: look at the burglar, it looks at normal burger, small,
- 23:23Speaker 1: normal burger, even sizzles like a normal burger. Who's the
- 23:29Speaker 1: founder and CEO of Ento based in Kuala Lumpur. He's
- 23:33Speaker 1: an evangelist for protein made from insects, and he's not alone.
- 23:37Speaker 1: Startups from Europe, Asia and North America are joining the
- 23:40Speaker 1: race for alternative proteins and say bugs are making their
- 23:43Speaker 1: way to our dinner plates. It's the next big frontier
- 23:47Speaker 1: for planet friendly sustainable protein after fake meat. If you
- 23:51Speaker 1: were to compare one kilogram of beef versus one kilogram
- 23:55Speaker 1: of cricket powder um, it will require tolf times last feet,
- 23:58Speaker 1: twenty times less land, two thousand times less water, and
- 24:02Speaker 1: amid two thousand times less greenhouse gas emissions. So, in
- 24:06Speaker 1: its most natural form, insect based protein has already high
- 24:09Speaker 1: enriched levels of proteins and other macro nutrients. And in
- 24:13Speaker 1: an into promotional video, taste testers who tried the company's
- 24:16Speaker 1: cricket snacks gave it a thumbs up. There's like sugars,
- 24:22Speaker 1: red clunchy like chips and stuff like that. Actually thottle
- 24:26Speaker 1: taste are crickets. There's also a sustainability reason why edible
- 24:32Speaker 1: bugs are on the menu. Constant Tetter is CEO of
- 24:35Speaker 1: Fly Farm. You know protein is needed, It's going to
- 24:39Speaker 1: be an increasing need as the human population expands. His
- 24:42Speaker 1: company is setting up industrial farms to harvest black Soldier
- 24:46Speaker 1: fly larvae. You know that those needs cannot be met sustainable,
- 24:50Speaker 1: and so insect farming has a giant potential to be
- 24:53Speaker 1: able to alter that entire protein landscape, whether that use
- 24:57Speaker 1: is going directly to humans, or whether it's going to
- 24:59Speaker 1: feed that then go to animals that then go to humans.
- 25:04Speaker 1: Tedder and other industry insiders say insect protein is gaining momentum.
- 25:09Speaker 1: The industry was worth just a little under a billion
- 25:11Speaker 1: dollars in nine and Barclay's estimates it will be an
- 25:14Speaker 1: eight billion dollar market. Still, there's a lot of ketchup
- 25:19Speaker 1: that bug protein needs to do to challenge the plant
- 25:21Speaker 1: based protein industry that's now thirty billion dollars strong. The
- 25:26Speaker 1: market has matured massively in the last couple of couple
- 25:30Speaker 1: of years. Katharina Unger's company Live in Farms is building
- 25:35Speaker 1: industrial scale automated factories that grow and harvest the larvae
- 25:39Speaker 1: of black soldier flies. The CEO says, one of the
- 25:42Speaker 1: biggest obstacles standing in the way of insect protein being
- 25:45Speaker 1: accepted as food is the yuck factor. I didn't grow
- 25:50Speaker 1: up loving insects or loving the idea of eating insects.
- 25:53Speaker 1: On the contrary, my hands were shaking when I was
- 25:55Speaker 1: first doing doing it, you know, and I really had
- 25:58Speaker 1: to also myself get over this. This concept of eating
- 26:02Speaker 1: a larva. Larvae is the industry's preferred term for what
- 26:07Speaker 1: most people would describe our living writhing maggots. So far,
- 26:11Speaker 1: many of those willing to try larvae and other critters
- 26:13Speaker 1: are young consumers looking to make planet friendly choices. Here's
- 26:18Speaker 1: wu from into our current segments, mostly urban, affluent millennials,
- 26:25Speaker 1: who are aware about the negative impact that traditional agriculture
- 26:30Speaker 1: and meat based production has on our planet. Some of
- 26:34Speaker 1: the world's major producers are betting on that sustainability value proposition.
- 26:39Speaker 1: There are now investing millions of dollars to help bring crickets, beetles,
- 26:42Speaker 1: meal worms, and fly larvae to mouths around the world,
- 26:46Speaker 1: and the market may not need that much prodding. Globally,
- 26:49Speaker 1: more than two billion people already eat insects. According to
- 26:52Speaker 1: the United Nations, nearly two thousand types of bugs are edible,
- 26:56Speaker 1: and that's catching the attention of food producers. The company
- 27:00Speaker 1: Chicken of the Sea Tuna Thai Union launched a thirty
- 27:03Speaker 1: million venture fund to invest in alternative proteins. It's invested
- 27:07Speaker 1: in three insect protein startups so far, including an Israeli
- 27:11Speaker 1: company that's working on tuna from fruit fly larvae. Antoine
- 27:15Speaker 1: Hubert is CEO of insect in France. So the two
- 27:19Speaker 1: main trends are execually meat replacements and false in efficient
- 27:22Speaker 1: serial or an eergy drinks, which was the first market
- 27:26Speaker 1: before it would be the first grow where it's more
- 27:30Speaker 1: about performance and not about tastes. The company is building
- 27:35Speaker 1: some of the biggest industrial insect farms after attracting millions
- 27:39Speaker 1: of dollars in investments from venture capitalists and Hollywood star
- 27:43Speaker 1: Robert Downey Jr. Who Bear says the industry got a
- 27:46Speaker 1: big boost when European Union lawmakers passed legislation this year
- 27:50Speaker 1: to allow insects to be fed to farm animals. Last week,
- 27:54Speaker 1: crickets were approved as food for humans. They joined meal
- 27:58Speaker 1: worms and locusts to get the green light to be
- 28:00Speaker 1: marketed in Europe. Lawmakers are also considering nearly a dozen
- 28:04Speaker 1: other insects seeking approval to be sold as food. Clearlier,
- 28:08Speaker 1: the Europe is a more advance framework there, which is
- 28:12Speaker 1: then helping companies to innovate Row, which invests with the
- 28:17Speaker 1: visibility and investors that there are more stronger insurance of
- 28:22Speaker 1: success because the markets are there. The company is selling
- 28:26Speaker 1: burger patties made from buffalo meal worm protein that's being
- 28:30Speaker 1: offered in restaurants and grocery stores in Austria and Denmark.
- 28:34Speaker 1: Meal worm protein has a nutty mild taste and it's
- 28:37Speaker 1: being used in baked goods and pastas. But the company's
- 28:40Speaker 1: bigger business now and for the next few years is
- 28:43Speaker 1: selling bug protein as feed for animals. Food giants from
- 28:48Speaker 1: Cargil to Archer Daniels Midland are putting money into such initiatives.
- 28:52Speaker 1: Katharina Unger of Living Farms sees that as the low
- 28:55Speaker 1: hanging fruit, turning insects into pet food or as feed
- 28:59Speaker 1: for farm animals and fish, our customers in the food
- 29:02Speaker 1: and feet industry. They typically make six digit losses on
- 29:06Speaker 1: their food waste, disposing it at a cost to biogas digestors.
- 29:11Speaker 1: A new planet friendly regulations to cut waste and emissions
- 29:15Speaker 1: in Europe and elsewhere put insects front and center to
- 29:18Speaker 1: upscale organic food waste. Anger's company has contracts to build
- 29:22Speaker 1: three plants next year in Europe and Asia for food
- 29:24Speaker 1: and beverage companies. Live in Farms plans to work with
- 29:27Speaker 1: the likes of breweries, bakeries and juice makers that produce
- 29:31Speaker 1: tons of organic waste. With our solution, they can produce
- 29:36Speaker 1: higher value products that they can sell so they turn
- 29:39Speaker 1: their losses into revenues and into an emission saving process.
- 29:44Speaker 1: We save about sevent of emissions turning the waste into
- 29:49Speaker 1: insect proteins. The bug protein will be sold to pet
- 29:52Speaker 1: food producers, while insect oil and excrement called frast is
- 29:56Speaker 1: sold as fertilizer. Who bear of insect also sees more
- 30:00Speaker 1: our money and investment over the next few years for
- 30:02Speaker 1: bug protein and more acceptance by consumers. So we will
- 30:07Speaker 1: have thousands of in six months in the world. That's
- 30:10Speaker 1: that's supporting this more fest nipple food system. You will
- 30:14Speaker 1: see insect on the menu everywhere. It would be a
- 30:17Speaker 1: normal You won't eat it every day, of course, but
- 30:20Speaker 1: it will be no more to sit on the menu
- 30:22Speaker 1: in the restaurants, no more to sit in the supermarkets.
- 30:24Speaker 1: The company's third factory comes online next year near Paris.
- 30:28Speaker 1: It says that will be the world's largest insect farm
- 30:31Speaker 1: in the world. For Bloomberg News, I'm one hard. That's
- 30:54Speaker 1: it for this episode of Stephonomics. Will be back next
- 30:56Speaker 1: week with a special Christmas episode of Stephonomics featuring the one,
- 31:00Speaker 1: the Only Larry Summers. In the meantime, if you like
- 31:03Speaker 1: the program, please rate it and follow at economics on
- 31:06Speaker 1: Twitter for more news analysis from Bloomberg Economics. This episode
- 31:11Speaker 1: was produced by Magnus Hendrickson. As we mentioned earlier, Christopher
- 31:14Speaker 1: Cannon worked with Andrew Tarter on that report on US
- 31:17Speaker 1: household spending. Special thanks also to Shulei Wren, Tom Hancock,
- 31:22Speaker 1: and Juan Haa. Mike Sasso is executive producer of Stephonomics
- 31:26Speaker 1: and the head of Bloomberg Podcast is Francesca Levy.