Latest / Your Mortgage Minute | Onlendhub / The 90-Day Renewal Advantage | Your Mortgage Minute
Transcript
- 0:15SPEAKER_01: Welcome to another episode of your mortgage minute by on lendhub.ca.
- 0:19SPEAKER_01: I'm Sarah, and with me is our mortgage expert Mooley.
- 0:23SPEAKER_01: Today we're tackling a question thousands of Canadians are asking right now.
- 0:28SPEAKER_01: Should I renew my mortgage early or wait until my maturity date?
- 0:32SPEAKER_01: Mooley, we're seeing a lot of renewal letters hitting mailboxes.
- 0:36SPEAKER_01: What's the real advantage of acting 90 days ahead?
- 0:40SPEAKER_00: Great question, Sarah.
- 0:41SPEAKER_00: The 90-day window, or even better, 120 days, is when you have maximum leverage.
- 0:46SPEAKER_00: Here's why.
- 0:47SPEAKER_00: When you're within that prematurity period, lenders compete for your business before you're locked into their default renewal rate.
- 0:54SPEAKER_00: Once you hit day zero, you're on their terms.
- 0:56SPEAKER_00: Let me give you a concrete example.
- 0:58SPEAKER_00: Say you have a$500,000 mortgage coming up for renewal.
- 1:01SPEAKER_00: Your bank's posted renewal rate might be 6.2%.
- 1:04SPEAKER_00: But if you start shopping at day minus 120, you could secure an insured rate around 4.09% through a broker.
- 1:11SPEAKER_00: That's a 2.11% difference on$500,000 over five years.
- 1:15SPEAKER_00: That's roughly$52,750 in interest savings.
- 1:19SPEAKER_01: That's a massive difference.
- 1:21SPEAKER_01: But I'm hearing from listeners who say, My bank offered me a great rate already.
- 1:26SPEAKER_01: How do they know if it's actually competitive?
- 1:29SPEAKER_00: They don't unless they compare.
- 1:31SPEAKER_00: And here's the framework I use.
- 1:33SPEAKER_00: First, get your renewal letter and note the rate and term.
- 1:36SPEAKER_00: Second, call at least two other major banks and ask for their best five-year fixed rate for a switch.
- 1:42SPEAKER_00: Third, talk to a mortgage broker who has access to monoline lenders and insured rates.
- 1:48SPEAKER_00: You're looking for three data points.
- 1:50SPEAKER_00: Let's say bank A offers 5.89%, bank B offers 5.64%, and a broker quotes 4.09% insured.
- 2:01SPEAKER_00: That spread, 1.8%, on a$500,000 mortgage is about$45,000 over five years.
- 2:09SPEAKER_00: That's the cost of not shopping.
- 2:11SPEAKER_01: So the timing piece is critical.
- 2:13SPEAKER_01: What happens if someone waits until the last minute, say 30 days before maturity?
- 2:18SPEAKER_00: You lose optionality.
- 2:20SPEAKER_00: At 30 days out, some lenders won't even quote you because they can't guarantee closing before your current term expires.
- 2:26SPEAKER_00: You're also under time pressure, which means you're less likely to negotiate or walk away.
- 2:31SPEAKER_00: And here's a red flag.
- 2:32SPEAKER_00: If your current lender knows you're desperate, they have zero incentive to improve their offer.
- 2:36SPEAKER_00: I've seen borrowers wait until week two of their renewal month, panic, and sign a rate that's 50 to 75 basis points higher than what was available 60 days earlier.
- 2:45SPEAKER_00: On$500,000, that's an extra$6,250 to$9,375 over five years, just for waiting.
- 2:52SPEAKER_01: Let's talk about the market conditions right now.
- 2:55SPEAKER_01: The Bank of Canada just held at 2.25% for the sixth time, but bond yields are rising.
- 3:01SPEAKER_01: Should that influence the timing decision?
- 3:04SPEAKER_00: Absolutely.
- 3:05SPEAKER_00: Fixed mortgage rates don't follow the Bank of Canada, they follow bond yields.
- 3:10SPEAKER_00: The five-year government of Canada bond is around 3.2% right now and it's been climbing.
- 3:16SPEAKER_00: That means fixed rates are under upward pressure.
- 3:18SPEAKER_00: Variable rates, on the other hand, track the overnight rate, so they're stable at prime minus discounts, around 3.4 to 3.9%, depending on the lender.
- 3:28SPEAKER_00: If you're leaning fixed, locking in early makes sense because you're betting against rising bond yields.
- 3:34SPEAKER_00: If you're considering variable, you have more flexibility because the Bank of Canada is on hold.
- 3:40SPEAKER_00: But here's the key don't wait for the perfect moment.
- 3:43SPEAKER_00: The cost of waiting, even a few basis points, adds up fast.
- 3:48SPEAKER_01: Can you walk us through a real scenario?
- 3:50SPEAKER_01: Let's say someone in Toronto with a$600,000 mortgage, currently at 2.1%, renewing in October 2026.
- 3:59SPEAKER_01: What should they do?
- 4:01SPEAKER_00: Sure.
- 4:02SPEAKER_00: First they should start shopping in July.
- 4:04SPEAKER_00: That's 90 days out.
- 4:06SPEAKER_00: Their current bank might offer 5.99% on renewal, but if they act early, they could get 4.09% insured or 4.64% uninsured with a major lender.
- 4:18SPEAKER_00: Let's calculate the difference.
- 4:20SPEAKER_00: At 5.99%, their monthly payment on a 25-year amortization is about$3,850.
- 4:28SPEAKER_00: At 4.09%, it's$3,150.
- 4:33SPEAKER_00: That's$700 per month or$8,400 per year.
- 4:37SPEAKER_00: Over five years, that's$42,000.
- 4:40SPEAKER_00: Even if bond yields drop and they could refinance later, they've already locked in savings.
- 4:45SPEAKER_01: What about someone who's thinking, I'll just wait and see if rates come down?
- 4:49SPEAKER_01: What's the risk there?
- 4:51SPEAKER_00: The risk is twofold.
- 4:53SPEAKER_00: First, bond yields could keep rising, and they have been.
- 4:56SPEAKER_00: If the five-year bond moves from 3.2 to 3.5%, fixed rates could jump another 25 to 50 basis points.
- 5:04SPEAKER_00: Second, even if rates drop slightly, you're gambling with your largest monthly expense.
- 5:10SPEAKER_00: The smarter move is to lock in a competitive rate now, and if rates do drop significantly within the first year, most lenders allow you to break the mortgage with a three-month interest penalty.
- 5:21SPEAKER_00: On$600,000 at 4.09%, that penalty is about$6,135.
- 5:29SPEAKER_00: But if rates drop by one full percent, you'd save roughly$12,000 per year.
- 5:34SPEAKER_00: So the math still favors acting early and refinancing later if needed.
- 5:39SPEAKER_01: Let's wrap with actionable steps.
- 5:42SPEAKER_01: What should listeners do this week if their mortgage is renewing in the next six months?
- 5:47SPEAKER_00: Three steps.
- 5:48SPEAKER_00: One, pull your renewal letter and note the maturity date.
- 5:52SPEAKER_00: Two, if you're within 120 days of that date, start calling lenders and brokers today.
- 5:58SPEAKER_00: Three, get at least three written quotes.
- 6:01SPEAKER_00: Don't rely on verbal estimates.
- 6:03SPEAKER_00: And here's the decision framework.
- 6:05SPEAKER_00: If the spread between your best quote and your bank's offer is more than 50 basis points, switch.
- 6:10SPEAKER_00: If it's less than 25 basis points, staying might make sense for convenience.
- 6:14SPEAKER_00: But anything in between, shop harder.
- 6:17SPEAKER_01: Perfect.
- 6:17SPEAKER_01: So to recap, start shopping 90 to 120 days early, compare at least three quotes, and don't wait for the perfect rate.
- 6:28SPEAKER_01: Thanks, Mooley.
- 6:29SPEAKER_01: And thanks for listening to Your Mortgage Minute by OnlandHub.ca.