Latest / The So-Called Sports Analysts / Episode 4 - NFL Conference Championship predictions
Transcript
- 0:01Welcome, welcome, welcome, welcome everybody, ladies and gentlemen. It is
- 0:05finally time. Today is January twenty eight, twenty ninth. Actually it is
- 0:11a early Sunday morning. I'm your host, a fonso portial. Welcome back
- 0:17to another episode, episode number four of the so called Sports Analysts. It
- 0:22is Conference Championship weekend. Now we see who are the best teams coming out
- 0:29of their respective conferences and who is one step closer to winning the Super Bowl
- 0:35and possibly changing the four tenths for whatever franchise they are a part of.
- 0:40And there's a lot on the line for all of these teams here. The
- 0:43Cincinnati Bengals could win their first ever championship, the Kansas City Chiefs could prove
- 0:50their dynasty is real, and Patrick Mahomes could already go down as one of
- 0:54all time great quarterbacks. The San Francisco forty nine Ers can break a drought
- 1:00of not winning the Super Bowl since Steve Young, or the Philadelphia Eagles can
- 1:07go from winning no Super Bowls before twenty eighteen to now having two Super Bowls
- 1:15in six years. But first, we're gonna go ahead and talk about the
- 1:21San Francisco forty nine Ers. And the Philadelphia Eagles. There's really not any
- 1:26weaknesses for any of these teams right here. Usually when you get to the
- 1:30conference championship weekend, if you're not going to find a major hole in a
- 1:37team that has made it this far and still possibly win or even make it
- 1:45to the Super Bowl. But that's my job right here. I have to
- 1:49find the weaknesses for each team. And one weakness that does stand out for
- 1:55me from the San Francisco forty nine ers perspective is that they do have a
- 2:00run run defense, but they are liable to give up deep shots over the
- 2:05top and their cornerback two two is not good. You go to the last
- 2:10three times they have played a top receiver. The first one will go to
- 2:16is the San Francisco forty nine Ers versus the Oakland Raiders, where it was
- 2:22the first time where the San Francisco forty nine Ers they allowed over thirty points
- 2:30since Patrick Mahomes did that in Week eight, and they had a top receiver
- 2:36in DeVante Adams who had over ten receptions a little over one hundred and sixty
- 2:40yards and two touchdowns. Then you could go to the wild Card round where
- 2:46the Seattle Seahawks have a top receiver in DK Metcalf. He had ten receptions
- 2:52one hundred and thirty yards two testsounds you go to last week, Ceedee Lamb
- 2:57had ten receptions one hundred and seventeen yards. And why I say this is
- 3:01a problem is because the Eagles, they have two great wide receivers on their
- 3:06team in A. J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, and they have more
- 3:08than a capable enough quarterback and Jalen Hurts to get them the ball, and
- 3:15they have a great coach who could scheme up the right play calls for them.
- 3:23So that's a real weakness that I do see and what can change the
- 3:28game right there. And I do believe that the San Francisco forty nine ers
- 3:31weakness is worse than the Philadelphia Eagles weakness. And I believe the Philadelphia Eagles
- 3:38weakness is they are too athletic and they react to the ball very quick.
- 3:46And yes, that may sound like a very good thing, but when you
- 3:50have a team like the San Francisco forty nine Ers who run the ball very
- 3:53effectively and use a play action game great and have a great play caller,
- 4:00that could eventually cost you a first down, a big first down, A
- 4:06touchdown or a big play that or a game changer. It changes the momentum
- 4:14because that split second that you miss is a difference between getting the interception or
- 4:21giving up a touchdown. So I believe that Kyle Shanahan, with the skilled
- 4:27position players in Deebo, Samuel Brandon, Kyle Uschek, Christian McCaffrey, Elijah
- 4:33Mitchell, George Kittle, can't exploit that weakness. But at the end of
- 4:40the day, it's gonna come down to the interior of the offensive and defensive
- 4:46line. Because both of these teams right here have the best offensive and defensive
- 4:54lines in the league. You could arguably say that both of these teams are
- 5:00here have the best offensive line and best defensive line in the league, both
- 5:08of them. So you're going strength against strength. So one of these teams
- 5:14are going to lose that battle. And I don't know what exactly is going
- 5:20to happen, but what I can say is that the Philadelphia Eagles, they
- 5:28do have more talent on their defense and offensive line over the San Francisco forty
- 5:34nine ers, because you can go all the way across both offensive and defensive
- 5:42line. Eagles they have more all pros, They have more Pro Bowlers,
- 5:50They have more experience, and they have proved what they can do in the
- 5:55playoffs. The only person that I am scared on the defensive line for the
- 6:02San Francisco forty nine ers is Nick Bosa. But with the Philadelphia Eagles,
- 6:08you do have Brandon Graham, Fletcher Cox, and Jordan Davis. So there's
- 6:16not really much to argue here because none of these teams, like I said
- 6:25previous, none of these teams right here have a real weakness in any of
- 6:34their skill positions or interior lines. But somebody has to have the better line.
- 6:45And one thing that I can say too is that Jalen Hurts is a
- 6:48better quarterback than Brock Purty. Janaln Hurts this year, he's been playing at
- 6:54an MVP level and should have won MVP if he did not get hurt.
- 6:58And Brock Purty, yes, he has won eight starts in a row,
- 7:02but like I said, this is unprecedented and it would be the first time
- 7:08ever if he does happen to beat Philadelphia a rookie quarterback has led a team
- 7:13to the Super Bowl. So we would be going up against history right here,
- 7:19because there has been some other quarterbacks that have made it to the rookie
- 7:24year. In the conference championship, you have Stacy King, you have Mark
- 7:27Sanchez, and eventually they showed why they were rookie quarterbacks. And yes,
- 7:35I know Jalen Hurts he is not that much experienced either, but he did
- 7:41have playoff experience last year. Yes it was one game, but it does
- 7:45matter, and he is not a rookie quarterback. He knows that he can't
- 7:47make that mistake. Brock Purdy last week did get billed out by Trayvon Diggs
- 7:54missing that interception, and that could have changed the whole game around. Maybe
- 7:59we would beat talking about Dallas in Philadelphia right now if it wasn't for that
- 8:03right there. So I do believe that the Philadelphia Eagles, they will end
- 8:11up winning this game right here. And it is going to be a low
- 8:18scoring game because you could even go to all the betting sides everything. The
- 8:26over under right now is forty six, And what the over under means is
- 8:30you're projecting what the total points is going to be. If you think it's
- 8:33going to be under forty six, you pick the under. If it's going
- 8:37to be over forty six points, you pick the over. And all the
- 8:41betters right now, they are picking the under, and I agree with them
- 8:45right there because the strengths of both of these teams is the defense. But
- 8:52the Philadelphia Eagles do have the better defense. They have the better secondary players.
- 9:01So the two secondary players that are great for the Niners is Chardavius Ward
- 9:07and Halfonga, who are very great players. But then you go to the
- 9:13Philadelphia Eagles. They have Darius Slay, they have James Bradberry, they have
- 9:20Chauncey Gardner Johnson. Then you go to the linebacking corps. I would I
- 9:26will give the Niners this. They do have the better linebacking corps and Dred
- 9:31Greenlaw and Fred Warner, but the Philadelphia Eagles have Hassan Reddick and Kazer White,
- 9:37who's who's a pretty good combo in themselves. And I already talked about
- 9:43the defensive line right here. And then the coaching. I believe that it
- 9:50is a draw right down the middle right now because Nick Sirianni, he has
- 9:56been coaching almost a perfect season till now, and I don't see him stopping
- 10:01anytime soon. And yes, I know the San Francisco forty nine ers ever
- 10:07since they did get Christian McCaffrey. They have been on a twelve game winning
- 10:13streak if you're excluding that Kansas City loss, which was the first week and
- 10:18Christian McCaffrey didn't even get a full weekend. But Nick Sirianni, he's looked
- 10:24like the best coach in the league right now, and last week against the
- 10:28New York Giants, who did have a potential coach in the year Brian day
- 10:33Ball, he outcoached him the entire game, and that's very hard to do.
- 10:41So I do think, like I said, it is going to be
- 10:46a low scoring game. Both of these teams. These teams right here are
- 10:48going to try to run the ball. It's gonna be very tough for them
- 10:52to get many yards. But I do believe the Philadelphia Eagles they will find
- 10:58a way to run the ball more effectively than the San Francisco forty nine ers,
- 11:05and Jalen Hurtz will not make the same mistakes that Dak Prescott did last
- 11:09week in those two turnovers, and they will win this game, in which
- 11:16I have the under. I believe the score will be twenty seven seventeen,
- 11:20Philadelphia Eagles making it back to the Super Bowl for the first time since twenty
- 11:26eighteen when Nick Foles was their starting quarterback, all right, and the next
- 11:35next one right here. Obviously we've seen these two teams play out, unlike
- 11:39the San Francisco forty Niners and the Philadelphia Eagles, so we kind of know
- 11:43what we're expecting here. It's a later game, the Cincinnati Bengals versus the
- 11:48Chiefs at Barrowhead. And yes I did say Burrowhead because a bunch of the
- 11:54players they have been calling calling that stadium that as of now. But it's
- 12:01gonna be it's gonna determine who's gonna be the top dog in the AFC for
- 12:05the next four to five years. And I believe whoever does win this game,
- 12:13it's going to determine who is the best quarterback in the NFL right now,
- 12:16between Patrick Mahomes and Joe Burrow, because I know Joe Burrow. He
- 12:22does not have the MVP or a Super Bowl right now, but Joe Burrow,
- 12:28he's been in the MVP conversation for the past two years. And once
- 12:35again, the best player does not always get an a VP award. It's
- 12:39more based off a narrative or who's having the best statistical season. And I
- 12:48know there has been a lot of speculation about Patrick Mahomes and how healthy his
- 12:52ankle is going to be. But I do believe that that is being overplayed
- 12:58in in favor to pick the Bengals. But he's been a full participant in
- 13:03practice all week. I believe that it went overblown. And let's not even
- 13:09mentioned when Patrick Mahomes did come back the very same day, he had a
- 13:16high infl spring. He led the Chiefs down the field and scored a testdown
- 13:20in the second half and they won the game against the Jacksonville Jaguars, who
- 13:28the Jacksonville Jaguars have been coming out better as a second half team, which
- 13:33we've seen before against the Cowboys when they came back and won the game,
- 13:39or against the Los Angeles Chargers when they came back and won the game.
- 13:43And they were able to stop the Jacksonville Jaguars from coming back, which is
- 13:48a pretty tall task right there. But you have one thing I will give
- 13:56to the Cincinnati Bengals is that they do have the better skill positions because they
- 14:01do obviously have you already know the names Jamar Chase T. Higgins, Tyler
- 14:05Boyd, and Joe Mixon. But the Chiefs. They still still do have
- 14:11really good pieces too in Isaiah Pacheco, Jered McKinnon, Travis Kelsey, Juju
- 14:16Smith, Schuster, Marcus Valda Scantley, So you have these good players too.
- 14:24Obviously, I'm not saying the Chiefs have better skill position players than the
- 14:31Bengals, but the chief skill position players are plenty more than competent enough to
- 14:37win this game. And still the Cincinnati Bengals offensive line right now, they're
- 14:46still very banged up. And the Kansas City Chiefs they have the third highest
- 14:50pressure rate right now in the NFL, So that means they're good at getting
- 14:56to your quarterback and that's one way to stop Joe bur The last time the
- 15:01Bengals offense looks stagnant was Week one of the season in Week two, and
- 15:09what those two games had in common is that the Pittsburgh Steelers got plenty of
- 15:16pressure on Joe Burrow in Week two against the Dallas Cowboys. That's when the
- 15:22Cowboys were playing their best defensive football of the whole year, and they obviously
- 15:28pressured Joe Burrow. So I believe the Chiefs they do have the right recipe
- 15:35right now in order to beat the Bengals. And another thing about the Bengals
- 15:41in their postseason games under Joe Burrow, they have not scored a offensive touchdown
- 15:46in the fourth quarter, not at all field goals. Yes, they have
- 15:52scored field goals, but not a touchdown. The only touchdown they have had
- 15:58is with Sam Hubbert this year in the wild Card round, where the Ravens
- 16:03were about to score and possibly win the game. So that means if the
- 16:10Cincinnati Bengals they are in a close game with the Kansas City Chiefs, we
- 16:15don't know if they will be able to score the ball. And last year,
- 16:22what everybody they have been overlooking is that Mahomes he played his worst half
- 16:30of football ever throughout his entire NFL career and through two terrible interceptions. And
- 16:36that is not Patrick Mahomes. He has proved that already. That is not
- 16:41something that he repeats. That's an outlier performance right there. And even if
- 16:48you go to this year's game, how do they end up losing that game
- 16:52was because Travis Kelsey, who's a future Hall of Famer, fumbled the ball.
- 17:00So I believe everything has been going towards the bengals favor and they've been
- 17:06capitalizing on it and which you still need to capitalize on it, which credits
- 17:10to them. They have been doing that, but I believe that the Chiefs
- 17:15they will not do that again. And it's hard to beat a team three
- 17:19times in a row, let alone four times in a row in arrowhead or
- 17:26excuse me, borrowhead from what all the Bengals Bengals players have been saying.
- 17:34And the Chiefs, they do have one of the best home field advantages in
- 17:38the league right right there behind or I'd say they have a better home field
- 17:45advantage in Philadelphia, but all in all, they have one of the best
- 17:49in the league. But one thing that I do think that's going to be
- 17:55different from the Kansas City game plan compared to years years prior, or games
- 18:00prior where they have paid played the Cincinnati Bengals, is that they would be
- 18:07throwing the ball down the field and trying to get that big play. And
- 18:12last year what happened in the AFC Championship Game, the Bengals kept Patrick Mahomes
- 18:18off the field and limited his time on the field and his possessions were very
- 18:23little, so that means he had to capitalize on him every single time.
- 18:29And I believe the Chiefs are going to flip the script because, like I
- 18:33said earlier on through the week, Mahomes he will not be able to plant
- 18:38his foot and throw the ball deep down the field as much as he usually
- 18:42can. He obviously will be able to throw the ball deep every once in
- 18:47a while to keep the defense honest, but they're going to also be using
- 18:52this game plan to keep Joe Burrow off the field. So and I don't
- 19:03think this game is going to be as high scoring as everybody thinks it's going
- 19:07to be because because the Chiefs they're gonna try to keep Joe Burrow off the
- 19:14field and the Bengals are going to try to keep Patrick Mahomes off the field.
- 19:21So it's going to be very few possessions. You'll probably see six,
- 19:27maybe five possessions throughout the entire game for each team. So it's gonna come
- 19:34down to red zone efficiency and who is going to get the touchdown and who
- 19:40is going to get the field goal in the red zone spots. And as
- 19:47of right now, the Chiefs, they do have a better red zone percentage
- 19:49than the Cincinnati Bengals. And like I did say earlier, the Cincinnati Bengals
- 19:55have not scored a fourth quarter touchdown in the postseason these past two years,
- 20:00other than the Sam Hubbard touchdown, which was a defensive touchdown. So I
- 20:08think the Chiefs they'll finally be able to break break the streak, slain their
- 20:15goliath, and make it back to the Super Bowl in a very low scoring
- 20:21game, lower than what people expect. And I believe that it will be
- 20:27twenty four to twenty Chiefs. Late in the ballgame, it will be twenty
- 20:33seventeen. Bengals will be up, but myhomes will have a late scoring drive
- 20:37and put them over the top to face the Philadelphia Eagles in the Super Bowl
- 20:42in Arizona on February twelfth. But all right, guys, that wraps it
- 20:49up right there. It was a shorter episode right here. This was just
- 20:55all based off for predictions. Once again, I appreciate it, guys.
- 21:00I'm very excited to see the outcome of these games, and I do believe
- 21:03that what I did say, we'll come into fruition. But again, you
- 21:08guys can listen to me obviously here on Spreaker or Spotify or iHeartRadio. You
- 21:15guys can follow me on Twitter, Underscore Alfonso zero three, or on Instagram
- 21:21underscore, Alfonso zero three underscore and thank you guys. I will see you
- 21:26guys next Thursday. See you soon. Take care,