Latest / Brian Thomas / Daniel Davis Deep Dive

Transcript

Daniel Davis Deep Dive · Brian Thomas

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: It's that time. Always look forward to the Insight, or
• 0:02
  Speaker 1: rather the Daniel Davis Deep Dive. You can find his
• 0:04
  Speaker 1: podcast wherever you get your podcast. Retired Lieutenant Colonel Daniel Davis,
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: Welcome back to the fifty five Caressey Morning Show. Sir.
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: I'm not anticipating good news, but we'll hit the ground
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: running as we always do. We got wars to talk about.
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: Welcome back, my friends. Great see in your face and
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: having you on the show. Always a pleasure to be here, Brian,
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: thanks for having me. All right. Dealer's choice? Where does
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: the guests want to begin? You want to start with
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: Israel and Hamas. You want to look at Ukraine and Russia.
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: Where should we start?
• 0:30
  Speaker 2: Yeah, let's just start in the middle eight's we use.
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: We usually hit that one second, let's go there first.
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: Fair enough. On that one, I noted that the Hamas
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: has returned three more deceased IDF soldiers. That just happened,
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: and according to the reporting I've read on this, they
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: have eight deceased hostages still believed to be inside Gaza.
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: The ceasefire that was in place temporarily interrupted the other day,
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: but apparently back in place. Is this progress? We can
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: hang our hat on, Daniel Davis, should we be optimistic
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: about this? Or where where are things? That's what we
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: have you for.
• 1:05
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it's very tenuous at best, and it's tenuous on
• 1:09
  Speaker 2: both sides of the line. It's tenuous because of the
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: Hamas side. It's tenuous because of the Israeli side. I
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: don't think either one of them really wanted. I think
• 1:18
  Speaker 2: that's the only reason we have even a tenuous piece
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: is because President Trump demands it and there's willing to
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: put pressure on both sides to get it done. How
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: long that stays and how far that can go because
• 1:28
  Speaker 2: it is with it's not without limit because obviously both
• 1:32
  Speaker 2: of them have agency as well. There's many in Israel
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: that the last thing that they want is any kind
• 1:38
  Speaker 2: of a ceasefire. They want a military victory, and they
• 1:40
  Speaker 2: are unhappy that they had to go down this route.
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: And meanwhile, you would think that the Hamas side would
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: be breathing a sigh of relief and would be thinking
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: they're lucky stars that they got one, because otherwise they're
• 1:51
  Speaker 2: really the only other alternative is complete and utter destruction
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: for them and thousands more of their innocent people. But
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: they still seem to be pretty pretty boisterous and not
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: wanting to accommodate, not wanting to disarm, and just resisting
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: really across the board. And I think that's part of
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: the really the the I guess the depravity of the
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: Hamas side that no matter what their actions are doing
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: to their people, even given this opportunity to finally end
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: the suffering, they still keep dragging their feet.
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: This screams parallels to be drawn with Ukraine and Russia,
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: doesn't it. I mean, Zelunsky doesn't want to give up
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: any land. He's refused to capitulate. He refuses to give up.
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: Is that a parallel? I mean, is Samas the one
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: that's being completely unrealistic here? I know the balance of
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: power militarily speaking, is with Israel, But as you always
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: and regularly have pointed out, and I'll con side the point,
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: it's a valid one. It's going to require the slaughter
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: of a whole lot more people for Israel to roll
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: over and complete what it proceeds to be its military objective.
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: But I get the sense that they could do it
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: if they're willing to go down that road. So is
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: it Hamas that's the unrealistic party here?
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: Where are we Well, there are some similarities and there's
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: some differences between the two. In the Russia Ukraine war
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: is it is just black and white. There's one side
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: that can win, one side that can't, and the side
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: that can. On the Zelynski side still keeps acting like
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: he can. That's the distinction between the Hamas side. Because
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: they don't believe they can win. They just don't want
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: to give in. Zelensky is still as of today, still
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: thinks that he can succeed and just is pretending like
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: the things are not going bad on the battlefield. Maybe
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: more on that in a second, But the issue for
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: Hamas is they're simply unwilling to acknowledge reality. Yes, the
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: Israeli side has the unequivocal and non negotiable advance in
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: capabilities militarily and they can impose their will at a
• 3:47
  Speaker 2: horrific cost that God help us if that actually gets imposed.
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: But somehow, whether it's the air regime whereas the Trump administration,
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: they're going to have to put some pressure on the
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: Hamas side to finally just do the The only thing they have,
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: the only agency they have, is to stop the killing
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: of their people by laying down their arms and leaving.
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: And I think it's going to take more internal pressure
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: on either the Palestinian side or the Arab regimes that
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: are in the area.
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: I think it's going to take those to get it done. Okay,
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: And that was the next question, was going to ask
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: you further or greater involvement by the surrounding countries, the
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: Arab nations that are surrounded that would benefit tremendously by
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: peace in the region. I mean, that's kind of what
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: the abraham Acords were directed towards. Listen, Yeah, you're different countries,
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: you've got different ideologies, you're different wings of a religious faction.
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: But let's all play well together. It'll inure to all
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: of our benefits economically, so that that makes sense for everybody.
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, can't we just all get along? But then
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: you have very very ideologically wed folks or like, No,
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: I can't capitulate. I've been a war with these people,
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: and my father and my grandfather, my father's father file
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: of law. I'm not going to give in no musk.
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: And there's plenty of grievances that are genuine and valid
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: on the on the any inside that need to be addressed,
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: But you can't even start to address those until you
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: get the killing stopped, until you get the war over with.
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: And I think the Arab regimes are very focused on this,
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: and I don't think that they have any confusion on
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: this point at all, and they, I think have been
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: putting a lot of pressure, at least a fair amount.
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: I don't know that they've gone all the way yet,
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: but I think that they really need to because they
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: can't get to their objectives. They can't get to peace
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: in the region, they can't get to the issues to
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: take care of the Palestinian people and address their grievances
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: until Hamas lays down their weapons. So I've got plenty
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: of things to say about the IDF and things that
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: they shouldn't have done, But right now, the long pole
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: in the tent right now is the Hama.
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: Side, Okay. And to that end, this exchange of the
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: deceased and bringing back the remaining deceased Israeli folks, that's
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: just phase one. I mean that this period of time
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: with the ceasefire was designed to bring about that reality.
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: We've seem to be very close to there being no
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: more Israeli deceased held by Hamas. So once we get
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: over that milestone. What's the next phase Daniel Davis.
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: Yeah, the Phase two is being negotiated. And that's always
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: been my I keep bringing that up every time President
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: Trump talks about how he brought peace to the Middle East,
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: because there hadn't been any peace brought to the Middle
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: East so far. It's only been Phase one, which is
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: a ceasefire and a hostage exchange and now you know,
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: deceased remains exchange, et cetera. All of the hard stuff
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: has yet to be decided and even negotiated. So there
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: is you know, I'm not to the point yet where
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: I'm willing to say, yeah, we're over the hump here.
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: I mean we're We're still way on the up down
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: side of the home Yep. Phase three is profit though,
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: Daniel Davis. Never forget that.
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: Now moving over to I hope you get that the
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: Ukraine Russia situation. Thank you appreciate it. No, Tomahawk missiles
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: were still there, But I just read the other day
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: that we were going to be sending some patriot missiles.
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: That to me, that doesn't make it any sense. For
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: all the millions of reasons we talked about this before.
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: Patriots aren't effective against drone swarms. They're really, really, really
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: really expensive, and there's only a finite number of them.
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: Does that make any sense whatsoever considering where we are
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: in this conflict? Well, back to your comment a second
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: ago about phase three, that also applies over here with
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: the profits, and certainly it's going to make some profits
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: for some people over here. Now, my understanding is that
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: those patriots didn't come from the United States. That came
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: from Germany and from some other countries here with apparently
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: some future promise that will backfill them at a much
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: later date when they can actually be produced, which of
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: course you know.
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: Is a very slow process. And listen, none of it
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: makes any sense militarily or politically or diplomatically. It only
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: makes sense profit wise. That the war cannot be won
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: by Ukraine. They can't even avoid losing. And it's playing
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: out that way every day, especially in Pokrowsk, and you
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: have Zelensky this morning still talking about how no, everything's fine,
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: and Koupionsk and Pokrovsk there's not that many Russians left
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: and we're just strowing them every day. And yet you
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: can just look at the map that just the red
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: grows by the day and as of this morning, just
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: before we came on air, there are reports now that
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: the final cauldron has been closed in Pokrosk, and the
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: Russians in the north and in the south have linked up.
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: And now then you've got somewhere between who knows five
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: to ten thousand Ukraine soldiers now physically circled inside that
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: in the Mirinograd area, because Pokrowsk has been about ninety
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: percent taken already, only the Outskirts are out by all.
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: In practical points, Pokrowsk has fallen today, and Zelensky is
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: kind of like Hitler in the bunker, just pretending like
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: everything's good.
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: It's that bad well, and piling on. Yeah, we're already
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: piling a lot. Telegraph reported that nearly one hundred thousand
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: Ukrainian men between the age of eighteen and twenty two
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: have left Ukraine in the past two months alone. I think,
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: first off, Daniel Davis, I didn't even realize there were
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: that many of that age left in the country, given
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: how many of e in the conflict, But that they
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: are still fleeing the country is at that rate is amazing.
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: I mean, Ukraine can't keep up militarily in terms of
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: boots on the ground, regardless how much hardware might be
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: laying around.
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: No, there are three issues at stake here. Number one,
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: that age group eighteen to twenty two had not been mobilized.
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: They had been left untouched, so that's why. But then
• 9:23
  Speaker 2: they were prevented from leaving, and that turned out to
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: be a big problem with a lot of the European regimes,
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: and they put pressure on Selenski to open the borders
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: and let them go, and then there was a flood
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: and that they went out because they don't want to
• 9:33
  Speaker 2: be the next ones to pointlessly die in a war.
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: Okay, so you have this big loss.
• 9:38
  Speaker 2: You also have up to by some reports, half a
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: million deserters so far in this calendar year, half a
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: million that have left the battlefield, on top of all
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: of the casualties which continue to pile up every day.
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: And then the last point is that they're now is
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: just is not enough to even force mobilized to come
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: close to matching all of those losses.
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: Every day the man.
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: Powerpool shrinks even further while the Russian side grows.
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: I appreciate you correcting the record here. I was imposing
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: US draft eligibility age on Ukraine, when in fact they
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: didn't require eighteen year olds to sign up. I mean
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: it's a it's a later later eligibility age there, correct.
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: It is. Yeah, that's that's a choice that they made,
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: probably not unwise. But now then they're trying to go
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: into that. There was a lot of pressure inside Ukraine
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: legislatively to open that up and to sacrifice yet another
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: generation of men that they are desperately going to need
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: if they want to have a chance to have a future.
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: Wow, we retire Lieutenant Colonel Daniel Davis. Always fascinating, if
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: not disturbing, conversation we have every week. Someday, someday you
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: are going to be talking about a peace agreement somewhere
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: in the world. I long for that day. You and
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: me brother, forward to it. You and me brother, the
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: and the loss of life senseless. May I underscore loss
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: of life must come to an end. We will be
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: looking for you next Tuesday, sir, God bless you for
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: coming out the program. Keep up the great work, Daniel
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: Davis Deep Dive check it out on your podcast pages.
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: Stick around, folks, got more to come, OAC You'll be
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: in studio. My favorite cancer folks, My cancer doctor's got
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: some