Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NCAAF Bowls/Playoffs Best Bets Wednesday 12/31/25

Transcript

NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NCAAF Bowls/Playoffs Best Bets Wednesday 12/31/25 · Toadstool Sports

0:00
Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
0:05
Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
0:08
Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
0:11
Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
0:14
Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
0:17
Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
0:20
Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
0:24
Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
0:28
Speaker 1: I have not had a good season. Man with wookends
0:33
Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've
0:37
Speaker 1: reached into peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins
0:41
Speaker 1: hat Man, I don't know what is going on with
0:43
Speaker 1: the bruins arch hape? Is that what it is? I
0:46
Speaker 1: don't even know it's it's March ninth, I think who
0:50
Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what day it is anymore.
0:52
Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
0:55
Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
0:59
Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die
1:02
Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not
1:06
Speaker 1: go well for me. Own five the worst month that
1:10
Speaker 1: I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I
1:13
Speaker 1: don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
1:15
Speaker 1: To the slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody
1:20
Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
1:24
Speaker 1: should do at this point, other than potentially end it all.
1:32
Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you. Happy New
1:35
Speaker 1: Year's Eve, everybody, it's towed stool sports. I think I
1:38
Speaker 1: said Wednesday yesterday. Obviously yesterday was Tuesday. I'm out of
1:43
Speaker 1: it every day, man, today is Wednesday. Whatever, It's all
1:47
Speaker 1: blur anyway. Uh, we got games today, obviously a lot
1:52
Speaker 1: of afternoon action here. College football, we got some balls.
1:57
Speaker 1: The playoffs. Playoffs begin tonight, so we'll talk about that,
2:02
Speaker 1: you know, playoffs. Don't talk about playoffs. You kidding me? Playoffs.
2:09
Speaker 1: I just hope we can win a game another game.
2:13
Speaker 1: So yeah, there's afternoon NBA, there's afternoon hockey. I'm narrowing
2:22
Speaker 1: it down. Man. Again, I'm being selective, and it's not
2:25
Speaker 1: you know, I'm not here to have fun, even though
2:30
Speaker 1: I like trying to predict things to get them right.
2:32
Speaker 1: But I mean, I like talking about all this shit.
2:35
Speaker 1: I mean, the bets that i'm gonna have are not fun.
2:37
Speaker 1: That's just what it is. You want to make money,
2:40
Speaker 1: you know, this is what I'm gonna recommend, and it
2:42
Speaker 1: is ugly today. It's not fun. It's not the big
2:46
Speaker 1: TV games, you know what I mean, it's fine value
2:49
Speaker 1: wherever it is. Yesterday we're one and one for a
2:51
Speaker 1: slight loss, which is unfortunate because it should have been too.
2:55
Speaker 1: And oh, I mean we had Illinois in the bowl
2:57
Speaker 1: game that was a winner, outright winner. So even with
3:00
Speaker 1: the money line sprinkle on that, it was still a
3:02
Speaker 1: very small loss for me. Yesterday with the two plays Illinois,
3:08
Speaker 1: I mean, that game was starting to piss me off too,
3:09
Speaker 1: because they they had the game. I mean, they did win,
3:13
Speaker 1: so we got it right. They won outright, they covered Obviously,
3:18
Speaker 1: it was a wire to wire cover for Illinois as well,
3:20
Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure, except I think they were losing seven
3:24
Speaker 1: to nothing early, but after they tied it then they
3:27
Speaker 1: were never losing by that margin again. They were winning
3:30
Speaker 1: by ten in the fourth quarter, I believe, and then
3:33
Speaker 1: Tennessee cut it back to three. Then I'm trying to
3:37
Speaker 1: remember what the sequence of events was that I remember,
3:39
Speaker 1: Oh right, Illinois got a field goal to go back
3:42
Speaker 1: up six, Like, okay, they get held to a field goal.
3:45
Speaker 1: They're up six, probably about four minutes left in the game.
3:48
Speaker 1: It's looking pretty good. Tennessee returned the kickoff for a
3:51
Speaker 1: touchdown to take the lead back by one. But it's like,
3:55
Speaker 1: come on, man, a kick return touchdown might throw this
3:59
Speaker 1: thing away completely, but no. Luckily, Illinois had a long
4:04
Speaker 1: drive after that. They took basically all the rest of
4:07
Speaker 1: the time off the clock just to win the game
4:09
Speaker 1: with a field goal with almost no time left. Very
4:12
Speaker 1: very good drive by Illinois at the end there, I
4:16
Speaker 1: mean Tennessee bad defense. They had some of their defenders
4:20
Speaker 1: weren't playing as well. So whatever, I'm happy about it.
4:23
Speaker 1: We got it right. Yeah, it could have been bad
4:28
Speaker 1: after that kick return touchdown, mean Illinois won the game.
4:30
Speaker 1: They had more yards in the game, significantly more yards
4:34
Speaker 1: per play. All those statistics were in favor of Illinois.
4:38
Speaker 1: Then the basketball game, Pacific had almost a wire to
4:42
Speaker 1: wire cover in that game. If you were watching what
4:43
Speaker 1: happened in that game, they were not losing by the
4:46
Speaker 1: spread until like the final minutes of the game. They
4:49
Speaker 1: were winning the game outright, with like ten minutes to go.
4:52
Speaker 1: They're winning by I think four or five points. I
4:55
Speaker 1: don't know how they didn't cover that number, And then
4:58
Speaker 1: I looked they were behind by exactly five with a
5:01
Speaker 1: five and a half point spread. For me, the line
5:04
Speaker 1: had dropped. Actually, when the game tipped off, I think
5:07
Speaker 1: there were only a four point dog. So we beat
5:10
Speaker 1: the closing number on that one too. The money came
5:12
Speaker 1: in on Pacific, so the market agreed with me on
5:15
Speaker 1: that one. But yeah, even though they were covering for
5:18
Speaker 1: almost the entirety of the game, I don't know what happened.
5:22
Speaker 1: They wound up losing by nine. They probably intentionally fouled,
5:25
Speaker 1: and I know the intentional fouls usually stop at seven.
5:28
Speaker 1: I don't know how they lost by nine, But yeah,
5:31
Speaker 1: I'm just pissed about it because it was like a
5:33
Speaker 1: wire to wire cover. Looked like they might be able
5:36
Speaker 1: to win the game outright in the middle of the
5:38
Speaker 1: second half, and that did not happen. I'm pissed. Zach,
5:43
Speaker 1: what's up, man? Yes, I was correct about the Celtics,
5:46
Speaker 1: even though they were they were losing by ten, like
5:50
Speaker 1: almost immediately in the game. But even at that point,
5:53
Speaker 1: I'm like, ah, whatever, the Celtics are gonna win this
5:55
Speaker 1: game with ease. It was a little bit close. I
5:59
Speaker 1: guess they covered. They won by ten I think so, Yeah,
6:02
Speaker 1: they covered by one or two points, whatever it was.
6:07
Speaker 1: I told you, man, I was correct. I know my
6:09
Speaker 1: own team, the Celtics. Also, the spot just kind of
6:13
Speaker 1: screamed Celtics in that game. I mean it screamed to
6:16
Speaker 1: fade the Jazz. Uh, Jeffrey, what's up man? Thanks for
6:20
Speaker 1: hanging out, Tyson, what's up? Yeah? The Celtics, Yes, thank you. Uh.
6:25
Speaker 1: They they are my team as well, So I'm happy
6:27
Speaker 1: about that. I'm very unhappy about the state of the Bruins.
6:30
Speaker 1: Dirty sock. What's up? Happy? New Year's Eve? Huge men's
6:34
Speaker 1: vat No, not really the men. You should see what
6:39
Speaker 1: saturdays look like. This is not a very big board.
6:43
Speaker 1: There is college basketball on TV. Fuck Pacific. Uh, Kyle,
6:48
Speaker 1: what's up man? You stayed away from from which games? Uh?
6:54
Speaker 1: All right, let's get into today. I gotta share this
7:00
Speaker 1: screen here. College basketball? Yeah, I mean I looked at
7:03
Speaker 1: the board. I'm like, this is not big enough for
7:05
Speaker 1: me to do a night game about this. Like, seriously,
7:09
Speaker 1: there are three hundred and sixty five teams like you
7:11
Speaker 1: should see what saturdays look like. Once college basketball really
7:16
Speaker 1: gets going. This is basically nothing. We do have some
7:19
Speaker 1: conference play starting today. We have like Atlantic ten going
7:23
Speaker 1: on here with Loyola Chicago and Rhode Island is the
7:26
Speaker 1: first game up. It's only on ESPN Plus though, even
7:29
Speaker 1: though it actually might be kind of an interesting game.
7:32
Speaker 1: Loyola Chicago and we know they look down this year.
7:36
Speaker 1: They're also in a bad spot, I think because they
7:38
Speaker 1: did just beat Santa Clara in their last game. That
7:41
Speaker 1: was a big win for them. Man, Santa Clara solid team.
7:45
Speaker 1: But maybe the letdown won't quite happen because this is
7:49
Speaker 1: still the start of conference play and I've had whatever
7:52
Speaker 1: it is eight nine days off, whatever nine days off,
7:55
Speaker 1: so maybe that'll help them get over that. But sometimes
7:58
Speaker 1: you just think about that win the whole time. You know,
8:00
Speaker 1: it's a nice win. I still don't think they're gonna
8:02
Speaker 1: overlook Rhode Island, though, knowing that Rhode Island has been
8:06
Speaker 1: decent so far. Rhode Island they last played last Monday.
8:11
Speaker 1: They bare like, well, they didn't do well against Northeastern,
8:14
Speaker 1: let's just put it that way, only beating them by eight.
8:17
Speaker 1: They do have George Mason up next, so I don't
8:19
Speaker 1: know if that's a potential look ahead at all, but
8:21
Speaker 1: I doubt that they overlook their first conference game at
8:25
Speaker 1: home after having some time off, and this is like
8:29
Speaker 1: the only thing they have to focus on right now.
8:31
Speaker 1: So the move in this game is probably Rhode Island,
8:34
Speaker 1: but the money is signaling otherwise. Rhode Island down from
8:38
Speaker 1: eleven to nine. I think this is a spot where
8:41
Speaker 1: I think the situation I think is better for Rhode Island,
8:45
Speaker 1: even though that time off could bust that like winning
8:48
Speaker 1: momentum that they have. But I think the numbers guys
8:51
Speaker 1: are kind of coming in here. The numbers guys have
8:53
Speaker 1: been playing Royala Chicago all year man basically thinking that
8:57
Speaker 1: they can't possibly be as bad as what their record
9:01
Speaker 1: looks so far. So I think it's probably numbers guys
9:03
Speaker 1: that are taking Loyola here seventy three percent to ticket
9:06
Speaker 1: sixty three percent of the cash on Rhode Island. I'm
9:09
Speaker 1: not touching the game, although if you do like Loyola
9:12
Speaker 1: with the points, the total is pretty low at one
9:15
Speaker 1: hundred and forty six and a half. I have a
9:16
Speaker 1: slight lean opposite that, but it's not I don't know,
9:20
Speaker 1: I mean whatever, I'm not gonna talk about every one
9:23
Speaker 1: of these games. That one was somewhat interesting. Blackhawks, Canadians Penguins.
9:31
Speaker 1: The Kings got absolutely destroyed. I leaned to the Kings yesterday.
9:35
Speaker 1: I thought the Celtics were a stronger play though Penguins
9:39
Speaker 1: I believe won. I don't know what happened in the
9:42
Speaker 1: other games. Wake Forest, NC State we get acc play
9:47
Speaker 1: going on ESPN two. This is an interesting game, man.
9:51
Speaker 1: Wake Forest looks like they have the opportunity this year
9:55
Speaker 1: to maybe get into the tournament for the first time
9:57
Speaker 1: in quite a while. NC State is better team though,
10:01
Speaker 1: there's no question about that. But Wake Forest they're kind
10:04
Speaker 1: of like the bastard cousin whatever you want to call it,
10:07
Speaker 1: Like they're they're like the you know, the they're yeah,
10:12
Speaker 1: what what else can I say about it? They're the
10:14
Speaker 1: one of the big North Carolina schools that kind of
10:17
Speaker 1: gets left out right because you got Duke UNC NC
10:21
Speaker 1: State a little bit behind those two teams, and then
10:23
Speaker 1: Wake Forest is not even considered to be in that
10:25
Speaker 1: like Trio, you know what I mean. And they're I believe,
10:28
Speaker 1: further west in North Carolina as well. So they usually
10:33
Speaker 1: try to step up their game for these games against
10:35
Speaker 1: the other North Carolina schools because they consider themselves to
10:38
Speaker 1: be the little brother or yeah, whatever you want to
10:41
Speaker 1: call it, the cousin NC State. In this game, you
10:46
Speaker 1: could argue they're in the worst spot here because they
10:48
Speaker 1: went into the break beating an SEC team Old Miss,
10:51
Speaker 1: even though ol Miss is down this year. Maybe that
10:54
Speaker 1: break will disrupt their momentum a little bit. I don't
10:58
Speaker 1: totally see them overlooking their first ACC game, but they
11:01
Speaker 1: do play Virginia next, and that maybe has caused for
11:04
Speaker 1: a look ahead because that is a big game against
11:06
Speaker 1: a ranked Virginia team. Looks like they're on the rise
11:10
Speaker 1: again and looking like a good Virginia team again. Wake
11:13
Speaker 1: Forest went into the break getting smashed by Vandy. Vandy,
11:19
Speaker 1: I mean, they're a good team, although you shouldn't really
11:21
Speaker 1: lose by thirty one to anybody really, but it is
11:25
Speaker 1: what it is. That's how they went into the break.
11:27
Speaker 1: So I think there's more of an opportunity for a
11:29
Speaker 1: bounce back spot for wake here. So my handicap on
11:33
Speaker 1: this I would lean towards taking the points with wake
11:35
Speaker 1: Forest if I was gonna play this game. NC State
11:38
Speaker 1: is a ten point favorite. Sixty four percent of the
11:40
Speaker 1: tickets are on them fifty six percent of the cash
11:43
Speaker 1: on WAKE, so the money seems to agree with me
11:46
Speaker 1: on that one. That would be my lean in that game.
11:51
Speaker 1: Duke basketball and football on TV, Well, yeah, Duke is
11:54
Speaker 1: in the Sun Bowl today in football, which is kind
11:58
Speaker 1: of an interessing game. It's a weird matchup. I'm gonna
12:00
Speaker 1: talk about it. And then obviously their basketball team will
12:04
Speaker 1: be on TV. I mean there, it's their conference home
12:07
Speaker 1: opener today, and yeah it's a it's a game against
12:11
Speaker 1: a very weak opponent, Georgia Tech. Garrett, what's up man?
12:15
Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out your North Carolina tire Heels one yesterday.
12:21
Speaker 1: I think they might have missed the cover by like
12:23
Speaker 1: one point. What other games that I want to talk
12:26
Speaker 1: about here though? So Con is starting today, Southland, American.
12:30
Speaker 1: These are all getting underway here. Patriot League is underway.
12:33
Speaker 1: If you want me to talk about any of these games,
12:34
Speaker 1: I will, But I don't have much of a feel
12:37
Speaker 1: for many of these. Loyola Maryland at American. I kind
12:41
Speaker 1: of looked at this one. Loyola Maryland. They played George
12:44
Speaker 1: Mason pretty well in the last game, and I think
12:46
Speaker 1: I used that as part of the George Mason handicap
12:48
Speaker 1: the other day, even though I lost that play, but
12:52
Speaker 1: Loyal and Maryland played pretty tough in that game against
12:55
Speaker 1: a fairly good George Mason team. So Loyola was a
12:59
Speaker 1: big underdog in that game. We're talking about all the
13:01
Speaker 1: Loyolas today, Man, coming up of that could be a
13:04
Speaker 1: bit of a hangover spot for them. Man, And they
13:07
Speaker 1: are not coming out of the break because I think
13:09
Speaker 1: that was their first game out of the break they
13:11
Speaker 1: played George Mason, which was I know, I'm wrong. That
13:15
Speaker 1: was before the break, my mistake. So they have had
13:17
Speaker 1: the break to kind of get over that. But I
13:20
Speaker 1: don't know. Man. To me, I would play American in
13:23
Speaker 1: this game where past the game American. They went into
13:26
Speaker 1: the break losing to two good Virginia schools. Man, they
13:29
Speaker 1: made the Virginia trip, they lost to VCU. Virginia. VCU
13:33
Speaker 1: is probably still the best team in the A ten
13:36
Speaker 1: and Virginia, I mean they're solid. Like I said, so American,
13:41
Speaker 1: you knew they weren't gonna win those games, but maybe
13:43
Speaker 1: it's an opportunity to just halt that losing momentum. So
13:46
Speaker 1: if I was gonna play this game, I would lay
13:47
Speaker 1: the points with American. We're gonna be We're being American
13:53
Speaker 1: today on New Year's Eve. Man Americans a nine point
13:56
Speaker 1: favorite in that one. Totals kind of in the mid
13:59
Speaker 1: range there. That would be my lean in that one. Garrot,
14:03
Speaker 1: what's up? Man oh Illinois? Yes? Correct? Caleb Wilson rebounds.
14:10
Speaker 1: Caleb Wilson sounds like an NFL quarterback. It's some mix
14:17
Speaker 1: between Caleb Williams and Russell Wilson. What are we talking
14:20
Speaker 1: about right now? Caleb Wilson? All right, hit a rebounds
14:24
Speaker 1: prop you did solid? Hell? Yeah, a couple dollars. I
14:30
Speaker 1: thought that said Dallas for a minute. You met a
14:32
Speaker 1: couple in Dallas. All right, I don't I don't want
14:35
Speaker 1: to know what you did with those people. All right? Yeah,
14:40
Speaker 1: I mean again, I'm gonna skip some of these games.
14:41
Speaker 1: You want me to talk about him, I guess I can.
14:43
Speaker 1: South Alabama is at Louisiana. The Sun Belt is already underway.
14:48
Speaker 1: South Alabama. They beat what I assume is Mobile Alabama.
14:52
Speaker 1: Another Southern Alabama team here, non Division one team going
14:57
Speaker 1: into the break. I guess with this before the Christmas break.
15:00
Speaker 1: This is the other thing you gotta see, Like, which
15:01
Speaker 1: of these teams have played since the break, so I
15:04
Speaker 1: guess they did. This was after the break, so that's
15:07
Speaker 1: actually a good thing for South Alabama. They get to
15:09
Speaker 1: just have like a tune up, they get some momentum back. However,
15:13
Speaker 1: I do think this is a look ahead spot because
15:15
Speaker 1: they have other Alabama school Troy up next to Troy
15:18
Speaker 1: is one of the I think there's still kind of
15:21
Speaker 1: one of the better teams in the Sun Belt right now.
15:23
Speaker 1: They've been decent in football and in basketball over the
15:26
Speaker 1: last few years, so could be a bit of a
15:28
Speaker 1: look ahead. It's an in state sibling game. They're they're
15:31
Speaker 1: playing Louisiana. I hear Louisiana is awful, so definitely a
15:35
Speaker 1: team that might overlook. Louisiana did just beat in Norfolk State, though,
15:40
Speaker 1: that is a nice win. Norfolk State. They're not great.
15:44
Speaker 1: I mean, they're not in a really good conference. Obviously,
15:46
Speaker 1: they're in the MEAC, but they're basically the class of
15:49
Speaker 1: the MEDIAC. That was still a nice win for Louisiana
15:52
Speaker 1: coming out of the break, So I don't know if
15:54
Speaker 1: it's really gonna put them in a letdown spot or
15:56
Speaker 1: anything like that. If they can, I think they'll still
15:58
Speaker 1: try to get up for this game against South Alabama.
16:01
Speaker 1: They do, interestingly have a revenge game already against Southern Miss.
16:04
Speaker 1: They're already playing Southern Miss conference foe for the second time,
16:08
Speaker 1: probably the earliest second conference matchup mean all of Division
16:13
Speaker 1: one coming up on January third. In that game, very
16:16
Speaker 1: weird game, but I'll maybe I'll talk about it then
16:18
Speaker 1: because I have my way of handicapping the second conference matchups.
16:23
Speaker 1: Although it's very similar to how I do Divisional NFL,
16:27
Speaker 1: like the second of a divisional matchup, it's similar to
16:29
Speaker 1: that basically involves zig zagging potentially, so I don't think
16:34
Speaker 1: they're going to overlook South Alabama. Though if I was
16:36
Speaker 1: gonna play this game, I would probably take the points
16:39
Speaker 1: with Louisiana. I know it's ugly, really ugly. Oh they
16:43
Speaker 1: still call them you Al Lafayette. Here South Alabama looks
16:47
Speaker 1: like they're taking the money though they're up to three
16:49
Speaker 1: and a half ninety three percent of the tickets on
16:51
Speaker 1: them cash on them, excuse me, fifty nine percent of
16:54
Speaker 1: the tickets on Louisiana Lafayette, so the money seems to
16:58
Speaker 1: not agree with me on that. But again, these are
17:01
Speaker 1: like really weak opinions of mine here, mister Pinsey, what's up,
17:06
Speaker 1: good morning, Thanks for hanging out. Yeah, Charles, what's up man?
17:11
Speaker 1: All right, Charles, thanks for hanging out with Loser casts
17:15
Speaker 1: last night. By the way, we had some fun. I
17:17
Speaker 1: thought there was too much political talk that we had
17:20
Speaker 1: to let Tyler and that's why I had to demand
17:23
Speaker 1: the Tyler get in man and break up. That we
17:25
Speaker 1: had to jar the show in some way back into
17:29
Speaker 1: comedy mode. We have an interesting game. You're Virginia Virginia
17:33
Speaker 1: Tech man on ACC Network at two pm. This is
17:36
Speaker 1: a big game usually for both teams, although Virginia Tech
17:40
Speaker 1: they played the little brother role here against Virginia Man.
17:43
Speaker 1: That's the way it is. Virginia usually the better team
17:46
Speaker 1: in Virginia. They are again right now, they have been
17:49
Speaker 1: for a while, so I think Virginia Tech might be
17:51
Speaker 1: a little bit extra motivated in this one Virginia. I'm
17:55
Speaker 1: not gonna say Virginia is gonna overlook this game though,
17:59
Speaker 1: but I believe Virginia hasn't played this before the break. Yeah,
18:02
Speaker 1: they went into the break on a six game win streak.
18:04
Speaker 1: So again, I don't like when teams have a break
18:07
Speaker 1: when they're on a roll because it can hurt their momentum.
18:09
Speaker 1: They do have an ESPN two game next against NC State.
18:13
Speaker 1: NC State has been in and out of the rankings,
18:15
Speaker 1: So is that gonna be a look ahead. I don't know,
18:17
Speaker 1: because Virginia Tech does have a good record and this
18:20
Speaker 1: is still a rivalry game. But I just think that
18:23
Speaker 1: little extra momentum for Virginia Tech might put them over
18:26
Speaker 1: the hump here. However, I will tell you right now,
18:29
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech's not as good as their record looks. They're
18:31
Speaker 1: at eleven and two. They haven't faced that difficult of
18:33
Speaker 1: a schedule, and both times that they stepped up in
18:36
Speaker 1: class they didn't do that well. They lost to Saint
18:39
Speaker 1: Mary's VCU, both on a neutral. Those are the best
18:42
Speaker 1: two teams that played so far. Actually, South Carolina I
18:45
Speaker 1: never might have forgot they had this game in here.
18:47
Speaker 1: That was a good win on the road at South Carolina.
18:50
Speaker 1: South Carolina. I mean they're somewhere towards the bottom of
18:54
Speaker 1: the SEC, but the SEC is strong. South Carolina is
18:57
Speaker 1: not that bad, so that was actually a good win.
18:59
Speaker 1: That was upset win. But I do expect them to
19:02
Speaker 1: pull out all the stops here man, And yes they're
19:04
Speaker 1: coming out of the break as well. They also went
19:07
Speaker 1: into the break on a win streak, five game win streak,
19:09
Speaker 1: so again, I worry about that a little bit that
19:12
Speaker 1: they went into the break on a roll, But you
19:15
Speaker 1: could argue they didn't because their last game before going
19:19
Speaker 1: into the break, they might have already been looking ahead
19:21
Speaker 1: because they almost got caught by Elon. Elon Musk almost
19:26
Speaker 1: removed their Twitter account. They almost lost to Elon at home.
19:30
Speaker 1: That is not good man. You know, Virginia Tech was
19:32
Speaker 1: a big favorite in that one, and they had to
19:34
Speaker 1: go into overtime to beat Elon, so I think they
19:36
Speaker 1: were probably looking ahead. I think that is gonna shock
19:39
Speaker 1: them into some sort of focus here. You're asking Virginia,
19:43
Speaker 1: you know, a slow paced team to lay points on
19:45
Speaker 1: the road. If I was gonna play this game, I
19:48
Speaker 1: would have to take the points with Virginia Tech. Virginia.
19:51
Speaker 1: It looks like the money is disagreeing with me again
19:53
Speaker 1: on this one, though. Virginia's up from three and a
19:55
Speaker 1: half to five. Ninety percent of the tickets and seventy
19:58
Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash Onvirginia Tech. Though I don't
20:01
Speaker 1: really get why Virginia Tech would be a public side here.
20:04
Speaker 1: I know the record looks pretty good, but Virginia is
20:07
Speaker 1: a one loss team. Virginia is a ranked team, so
20:09
Speaker 1: I don't really understand why the public would be actually
20:13
Speaker 1: on Virginia Tech here. That doesn't make any sense to me.
20:16
Speaker 1: So I don't know if this market is gonna shift
20:18
Speaker 1: around by the time the game tips off. We do
20:21
Speaker 1: have a total that's kind of in the mid range here,
20:23
Speaker 1: which is because Virginia play is really slow, but Virginia
20:26
Speaker 1: Tech plays faster. So it's a style contrast here as well,
20:30
Speaker 1: I believe they do. Where's Virginia Tech here? Ken Bum's
20:35
Speaker 1: got Virginia in the top twenty five. Of course, he
20:37
Speaker 1: has Virginia Tech in the sixties Virginia Tech. I mean,
20:40
Speaker 1: he only has them as kind of a mid tempo team,
20:42
Speaker 1: though he does have them as one of the luckier
20:44
Speaker 1: teams though, But still, that's the way I would play it,
20:47
Speaker 1: if I was gonna play it at all. Not a
20:50
Speaker 1: whole lot else to say about that, But Virginia Tech's
20:52
Speaker 1: gonna try to speed the game up, you know, with
20:54
Speaker 1: Virginia being a slow paced team, I don't want to
20:57
Speaker 1: lay points with them on the road usually. Even so,
21:00
Speaker 1: it's not that many points, Charles, what's up? Uh oh hilarious, Yes,
21:04
Speaker 1: that's right, well, thank you, all right, Virginia's speeding up there, basically,
21:13
Speaker 1: that's right. Tony Bennett is not there anymore. But I mean,
21:16
Speaker 1: Virginia used to be just exorbitantly slow. But I still
21:18
Speaker 1: think they're a slow paced team. Man kem Bom has
21:21
Speaker 1: them at two point fifty one in tempo. I mean
21:23
Speaker 1: that is slow. That's uh, They're in the bottom third
21:27
Speaker 1: in tempo. So there's still a slow paced team. Saint
21:31
Speaker 1: Bonaventure VCU is an interesting game. This is the A
21:34
Speaker 1: ten play getting started here. Bonaventure, they're pretty good, but
21:39
Speaker 1: they're not really as good as their record looks. This
21:41
Speaker 1: is one where people are gonna look at it and
21:43
Speaker 1: see Bonaventure is eleven and two Vcus nine and four.
21:48
Speaker 1: Yet VC is a nine and a half point favorite here,
21:51
Speaker 1: so the public is probably gonna want to take the
21:54
Speaker 1: points here. Oh my god, I'm getting the team with
21:56
Speaker 1: the better record getting all these points here. Like it
21:59
Speaker 1: looks way too easy to take the points here, I think.
22:02
Speaker 1: So it's one of those lines that just kind of stinks,
22:05
Speaker 1: like it doesn't smell right, which would lead me to
22:09
Speaker 1: believe that VCU must be the right side here because
22:11
Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are just telling you they're the better team.
22:14
Speaker 1: They must have faced the more difficult schedule because they
22:16
Speaker 1: have more losses, and indeed they have. I mean their
22:20
Speaker 1: losses are to Utah State, who's probably the best team
22:23
Speaker 1: in the Mountain West. That was a three point loss.
22:25
Speaker 1: They lost to NC State by six, not really any
22:28
Speaker 1: shame in that. On the road, they lost to Vandy.
22:31
Speaker 1: Vandy's probably actually the best team in the SEC. And
22:34
Speaker 1: they lost a close game to New Mexico by three,
22:37
Speaker 1: I mean, not the greatest result there, but New Mexico's okay.
22:42
Speaker 1: So again, they face some more difficult schedule than the
22:45
Speaker 1: bodies have. I would lay it if I was gonna
22:47
Speaker 1: play it in this one. It seems like VCU is
22:49
Speaker 1: also speeding up their tempo again after I'm used to
22:52
Speaker 1: them being a slow paced team over the last couple
22:54
Speaker 1: of years. That's not the case now though. Both teams
22:57
Speaker 1: are gonna show up for this game so usually, and
23:00
Speaker 1: that's the case, you also do want to look towards
23:02
Speaker 1: the better team. Both teams are coming up easy wins
23:05
Speaker 1: doesn't really matter, So I would lay it with VCU
23:08
Speaker 1: if I was gonna play it in this one, although
23:11
Speaker 1: I believe VCU you could argue them out have a
23:13
Speaker 1: little bit of a look ahead here. Actually no, not really.
23:16
Speaker 1: They have Ducaine, then they play Saint Louis. Saint Louis.
23:20
Speaker 1: That's gonna be a really interesting game to see, man,
23:22
Speaker 1: because those two teams are the top two teams in
23:25
Speaker 1: the A ten men, and I think that if one
23:28
Speaker 1: of them wins the A ten, which probably should be
23:31
Speaker 1: the case, the other one should also get into the
23:33
Speaker 1: tournament in my opinion, although we haven't seen what they're
23:35
Speaker 1: gonna do in conference play yet, but ken Bum has
23:38
Speaker 1: them both in the top fifty right now, so I
23:41
Speaker 1: think they both should get in as it stands right now.
23:43
Speaker 1: But that game's gonna be interesting. But yes, I would
23:46
Speaker 1: lay it with VCU in this one. And it looks
23:50
Speaker 1: like the money is starting to agree with me. It
23:52
Speaker 1: looks like Bonaventure is setting up as a public dog.
23:55
Speaker 1: Eighty nine percent of the tickets, seventy eight percent of
23:58
Speaker 1: the cash on Bonaventure VCU down from ten and a
24:02
Speaker 1: half to nine and a half here. But yeah, again
24:04
Speaker 1: I would lay it. It looks like the money's starting
24:07
Speaker 1: to kind of align with me on that one. You
24:12
Speaker 1: take the points. Yeah, I'm disagreeing with you on that one.
24:15
Speaker 1: Not my strongest opinion, but yeah, we're gonna disagree. I
24:18
Speaker 1: usually get super stubborn, especially when it involves my stronger
24:22
Speaker 1: opinions and my teams like the Celtics. I'm not gonna
24:26
Speaker 1: beat you up too much on that one, but I
24:28
Speaker 1: definitely disagree with you on that one. Again, like Bonaventure
24:33
Speaker 1: looks like a very square side to me in that game. Okay,
24:37
Speaker 1: what other games we got going on here? Games that
24:41
Speaker 1: are maybe of note here. I'm gonna give you my
24:43
Speaker 1: best bet here, and why not? A lot of these
24:46
Speaker 1: games are just not that interesting. I mean, again, shout
24:51
Speaker 1: it out and I'll talk about it. But we gotta
24:52
Speaker 1: get through all these other sports here today too. I
24:55
Speaker 1: told you how ugly this is gonna be, and this
24:57
Speaker 1: is gonna be ugly. We're gonna be on one of
24:59
Speaker 1: the the worst teams in college basketball, Gardner Webb plus
25:03
Speaker 1: ten and a half here. They did cover for me
25:06
Speaker 1: barely the other time I played them. This year, we're
25:09
Speaker 1: getting them at home here, but we're fanning Charleston Southern.
25:12
Speaker 1: Charleston Southern is also not a great team. They're like
25:14
Speaker 1: a bottom third team. I know Gardner Webb is like
25:17
Speaker 1: a bottom ten team and Kenbom's rankings, they're absolutely atrocious
25:22
Speaker 1: on both sides of the ball. I understand that, But
25:25
Speaker 1: the spot that Charleston Southern is in dictates what we're
25:29
Speaker 1: gonna do here. Charleston Southern already played out of the break.
25:32
Speaker 1: They played on Sunday and they upset Richmond on the
25:36
Speaker 1: road an a ten team Richmond, big win man. Richmond,
25:40
Speaker 1: I think was probably double digit favorites in that game.
25:43
Speaker 1: Charleston Southern able to get the win there, big upset
25:46
Speaker 1: win for them. Digging into the box score, I didn't
25:51
Speaker 1: see a whole lot here as far as like the
25:53
Speaker 1: box score, except that Richmond had a really bad shooting game,
25:56
Speaker 1: which was somewhat of the reason why it happened. Four
26:00
Speaker 1: percent from the field. Yeah, Charleston's Southern did actually outplay
26:03
Speaker 1: them in a lot of ways, they outrebounded them, So
26:08
Speaker 1: that does warn me a little bit. But I think
26:10
Speaker 1: they're gonna be in a letdown spot coming off that upset.
26:13
Speaker 1: It was three days ago. It's another road game here.
26:17
Speaker 1: I know it's the start of conference play, but how
26:19
Speaker 1: excited do you get for this awful Gardner Web team?
26:22
Speaker 1: When up next you have the three teams that have
26:24
Speaker 1: really been near the top of the conference every year
26:26
Speaker 1: the last few years, Ashville Winthrop in high point. Of
26:30
Speaker 1: their next three opponents, those are all bigger games. Man.
26:33
Speaker 1: Even though Asheville is actually pretty down this year, it
26:36
Speaker 1: looks like but Gardner Webb is again they're a complete dormat.
26:40
Speaker 1: So I think this is a sandwich spot. I think
26:42
Speaker 1: all three of these upcoming games are bigger than this one.
26:45
Speaker 1: And for Gardner Webb, they actually have not played out
26:49
Speaker 1: of the break yet, so they're gonna be the way
26:50
Speaker 1: more rested team. And I think the rest should be
26:53
Speaker 1: helpful because they went into the break on a bad note.
26:55
Speaker 1: They lost to Tennessee. Tennessee is a good team, they
26:59
Speaker 1: got blown out, and of course what else as expected
27:03
Speaker 1: Gardner Webb. Of course, there are only two wins on
27:06
Speaker 1: the season are against non Division one teams. I know
27:08
Speaker 1: they're bad. We don't need them to win here though,
27:11
Speaker 1: we only need them to come within double digits in
27:13
Speaker 1: this one. It's their home conference opener. They're the more
27:16
Speaker 1: rested team. They could shed some of that negative energy
27:20
Speaker 1: or whatever having that break there. So even though sometimes
27:24
Speaker 1: I'll I'll like the less rusty team if they did
27:27
Speaker 1: just play a game, but not in this case. Man,
27:30
Speaker 1: I think Charles's Southern is in a letdown spot and
27:33
Speaker 1: that's what we're gonna do here. We will take the
27:35
Speaker 1: more rested Gardner Web team. Here. You can get eleven
27:38
Speaker 1: on this right now. I was like, the cash is
27:40
Speaker 1: disagreeing with me on this right now. Ninety eight percent
27:43
Speaker 1: of the cash of Charles's Southern, they're minus eleven right now.
27:47
Speaker 1: Sixty tickets on Gardner Webb. I doubt it. I don't
27:50
Speaker 1: think the public is playing Gardner Webb in this game.
27:53
Speaker 1: I don't think the public is playing this game at all. Really,
27:55
Speaker 1: when there's football, NBA, all this other stuff going on,
27:59
Speaker 1: this is not gonna be on their radar. And yes,
28:01
Speaker 1: it is a high total. Both teams played at a
28:03
Speaker 1: fast tempo, so I know, I don't love taking points
28:07
Speaker 1: necessarily when it's a high total. Although we did it
28:09
Speaker 1: in the bowl game yesterday, but we're gonna do it
28:12
Speaker 1: again in that one. Yeah, it's crazy, ugly, but that's
28:15
Speaker 1: what we're gonna do. Sam Bennett over his shots. See,
28:20
Speaker 1: I'm not a fan of Bennett after watching the Bruins
28:25
Speaker 1: lose to the Florida pant There's multiple times in the playoffs.
28:30
Speaker 1: Acc continues with Clemson at Syracuse on ESPN two. Clemson.
28:36
Speaker 1: They're coming off that game where they were dominating Cincinnati,
28:39
Speaker 1: and I think that was before the break. I talked
28:41
Speaker 1: about this game in that Cincinnati handicapped the other day,
28:43
Speaker 1: which I lost on our college basketball has gone cold, man.
28:48
Speaker 1: I apologize because we were on fire in college basketball
28:52
Speaker 1: for a while and college basketball is high volume, so
28:54
Speaker 1: I don't want to excuse me throw it all away.
28:57
Speaker 1: But I'm trying to just keep doing what I usually do. Man.
29:01
Speaker 1: But for Clemson here, they were demolish at Cincinnati. In
29:05
Speaker 1: that game, they were winning by twenty seven, I believe.
29:08
Speaker 1: Really early in the game, it was like I think
29:10
Speaker 1: I had the game on over here and it was
29:12
Speaker 1: like whatever this It was like thirty three to six
29:17
Speaker 1: or something, and I like did a double take. I'm
29:19
Speaker 1: like that can't be right, and I'm like, holy crap,
29:21
Speaker 1: Clemson is gonna run away with that game. And then
29:23
Speaker 1: I saw the final I'm like what happened? Because they
29:27
Speaker 1: wound up only winning by three, But Clemson was much
29:30
Speaker 1: much better in that game. They wound up having to
29:32
Speaker 1: escape against a pretty weak Cincinnati team. Clemson was a
29:37
Speaker 1: big favorite in that game. So I actually see Clemson
29:39
Speaker 1: maybe bouncing back here, even though they're having to go
29:42
Speaker 1: up to Syracuse, which I know it's not fun. These
29:46
Speaker 1: ACC teams from the South don't love going up here.
29:50
Speaker 1: You know, you gotta travel up into the cold weather.
29:52
Speaker 1: But at least these are indoor games here. Syracuse. They're
29:56
Speaker 1: not really as good as their record looks at nine
29:58
Speaker 1: to four. They've they've been pretty poor and stepping up
30:03
Speaker 1: in class. Like. Most of their wins are against really
30:05
Speaker 1: bad teams except a win for us on the show
30:08
Speaker 1: that we had when they beat Tennessee. But we took
30:11
Speaker 1: Syracuse in that game because Tennessee was in a horrific
30:13
Speaker 1: spot in that game. It was a letdown spot. I
30:16
Speaker 1: think it was a sandwich spot. I think it was
30:19
Speaker 1: a weird travel spot. First true road game as well,
30:22
Speaker 1: after Tennessee had played in the Vegas thing. But whatever, Syracuse,
30:26
Speaker 1: they're not as good as the record looks. They just
30:29
Speaker 1: beat stone Hill whatever. Yeah, it's their conference home opener. Yeah,
30:34
Speaker 1: they're gonna get up for a game against Clemson. A
30:36
Speaker 1: lot of orange in this game, by the way, between
30:39
Speaker 1: these two teams, but the money is coming on Syracuse,
30:42
Speaker 1: which is odd to me. They've flipped from a two
30:45
Speaker 1: point dog to a one point favorite here. I expected
30:49
Speaker 1: Clemson to be a favorite in this game, so I
30:51
Speaker 1: don't I don't know what's going on with this line.
30:54
Speaker 1: My opinion on this game would be that I would
30:56
Speaker 1: lean towards Clemson with both teams I think showing up
30:59
Speaker 1: in this game, so I would lean towards the better team.
31:01
Speaker 1: But and you're getting points now, But there's just something
31:04
Speaker 1: weird going on here where I kind of think Clemson
31:06
Speaker 1: would be the public side as well in this game.
31:09
Speaker 1: They have seventy four percent of ticket seventy percent of
31:12
Speaker 1: the cash on them, so the market reid looks pretty
31:16
Speaker 1: strong on Syracuse here. So again, I don't really totally
31:21
Speaker 1: understand it. I don't know what's going on there. Yeah,
31:25
Speaker 1: take that for what you want to, I guess, but
31:27
Speaker 1: I've not been impressed with Syracuse's resume so far. Yeah,
31:32
Speaker 1: they've played some good teams. Both teams have played a
31:35
Speaker 1: reasonably difficult schedule so far, but Syracuse has lost all
31:39
Speaker 1: of those games except the Tennessee one, and that was
31:43
Speaker 1: explainable because how bad the spot was for Tennessee. You're
31:47
Speaker 1: a big ACC man. Maybe the ACC is improving again
31:52
Speaker 1: here after they've been a pretty bad conference last couple
31:54
Speaker 1: of years. Man NJIT in Pennsylvania. I looked at the
32:00
Speaker 1: game Pennsylvania. They played pretty tough against both Rutgers and
32:04
Speaker 1: George Mason in the last two games. Those were big
32:07
Speaker 1: performances out of Penn. Man. That was a loss for
32:09
Speaker 1: us on George Mason because I did not think penn
32:12
Speaker 1: was gonna keep up an effort two games in a
32:15
Speaker 1: row like that, although I think the Christmas break came
32:17
Speaker 1: between those two games. Yep, I made a mistake on
32:21
Speaker 1: that one, although George Mason had a horrible shooting game
32:23
Speaker 1: in that one. Penn does have the IVY League starting
32:28
Speaker 1: next with Princeton, although Princeton is way down this year.
32:31
Speaker 1: But I don't think they're gonna pay much attention to
32:33
Speaker 1: n J t here Man. So I do think this
32:35
Speaker 1: does look like a sandwich spot. If I was gonna
32:38
Speaker 1: play it, I would fade penn here. NJI team just
32:41
Speaker 1: broke a losing street with a win over New York
32:44
Speaker 1: Canton SU State University of New York, Canton, Sony Canton,
32:50
Speaker 1: the Ruse, another team called the Ruse. Hey, it's not
32:53
Speaker 1: just Kansas City, because you know, we have all these
32:56
Speaker 1: kangaroos in New York and in Kansas City. But yes,
33:01
Speaker 1: I would lean to nj T if I was gonna
33:03
Speaker 1: play this one. It's a low total. You're getting fourteen
33:06
Speaker 1: and a half points, which seems like kind of a
33:08
Speaker 1: lot to lay for a team that's not that great
33:11
Speaker 1: like Penn, although I know, you know nj I is
33:16
Speaker 1: a really bad team. I get it, But yeah, I
33:18
Speaker 1: would take the points there if that's if that's uh,
33:21
Speaker 1: if I was gonna play that game, I should say,
33:24
Speaker 1: George Mason. Yeah, they're all right. I mean, they were
33:27
Speaker 1: in the conference final last year and it was fairly
33:30
Speaker 1: close against VCU. They're they're probably like they're in the
33:35
Speaker 1: top like four or five A ten teams, but they're
33:38
Speaker 1: definitely not on the level of VCU and Saint Louis.
33:42
Speaker 1: Like those two teams are far and away the best
33:44
Speaker 1: two teams in that conference. What else we got here,
33:49
Speaker 1: Charleston and Elon. I mean these teams are both was
33:54
Speaker 1: Elon Wait is Elon in South Carolina, or North Carolina.
33:56
Speaker 1: I always forget, so you know, if they were South Carolina,
34:00
Speaker 1: they might get up a little bit more for Charleston.
34:03
Speaker 1: I don't know, but I was gonna talk about how
34:04
Speaker 1: Elon almost pulled off that upset against or yeah, almost
34:07
Speaker 1: pulled off that upset against Virginia Tech. But they played
34:10
Speaker 1: two games since then. They've beaten Northeastern in their last game,
34:14
Speaker 1: which is, you know, not an impressive win, but whatever,
34:17
Speaker 1: Charleston coming off a win over Drexel. I don't know
34:21
Speaker 1: why I'm talking about this game. I think it was
34:23
Speaker 1: because I thought Elon was coming off the Virginia Tech game.
34:26
Speaker 1: I don't really have an opinion on this game, but it's, yeah, whatever,
34:30
Speaker 1: Maybe somebody could throw an Elon joking here or whatever. Yeah,
34:35
Speaker 1: no opinion on this game really though, And of course
34:38
Speaker 1: I just closed my pregame tab. That's great. Elon is
34:41
Speaker 1: a three and a half point favorite in this one.
34:43
Speaker 1: It looks like they're taking the money ninety percent of
34:45
Speaker 1: the tickets, ninety six percent of the cash if you
34:47
Speaker 1: want to do with that information anything. The public is
34:52
Speaker 1: not getting involved in that game, though, so I think
34:54
Speaker 1: it is probably actual money on Elon in that one.
34:59
Speaker 1: It's in North Carolina. It's gay. I mean it's I mean,
35:05
Speaker 1: it sounds like a very preppy school. It sounds like
35:09
Speaker 1: a bunch of rich kids go there. That would be
35:13
Speaker 1: my guess. We go to Elon. Yeah, Okay, their team's
35:18
Speaker 1: name is the Phoenix. Yeah. I don't know. There's something
35:21
Speaker 1: kind of lame about that to me. All Right, What
35:25
Speaker 1: other games that I want to even mention here? I
35:28
Speaker 1: don't know. There aren't really that many other games I
35:30
Speaker 1: was gonna talk about. I'll talk about your ACC game here.
35:33
Speaker 1: Georgia Attack and Duke. Duke just took their first loss. Man,
35:37
Speaker 1: I think it was going into the Christmas break, But
35:39
Speaker 1: I talk about this when teams take their first loss,
35:42
Speaker 1: or if they'd gone into the break on their huge
35:44
Speaker 1: win streak. Either one. I think it's disruptive to their momentum.
35:47
Speaker 1: So I think it is a momentum stopper. So I
35:50
Speaker 1: think Duke might come out of the gate a little
35:52
Speaker 1: bit slow in this game. So I kind of lean
35:56
Speaker 1: to Georgia Tech in this one, but especially like early
35:59
Speaker 1: in the game, maybe a first half playing on Georgia
36:02
Speaker 1: Tech or something like that, because I think Duke might
36:04
Speaker 1: start slow Georgia Tech. I believe they haven't played since
36:08
Speaker 1: the break either, but I could be wrong about that.
36:10
Speaker 1: Let me see. No, they played on Sunday actually, so
36:13
Speaker 1: they got kind of a tune up against Florida A
36:16
Speaker 1: and M. Duke I believe saw has it played since
36:18
Speaker 1: the break. So yeah, Duke is technically more rested here.
36:23
Speaker 1: But I think it's actually better that Georgia Tech came
36:25
Speaker 1: out of the break and played again and won against
36:27
Speaker 1: an easy opponent Florida A and M. So I do
36:30
Speaker 1: like Georgia Tech plus the points in this one. Duke
36:33
Speaker 1: is laying a lot of points again. They don't really
36:36
Speaker 1: need style points here. The money is disagreeing with me
36:38
Speaker 1: yet again though. Duke is up to twenty seven and
36:41
Speaker 1: a half here, eighty three percent of the cash on Duke,
36:45
Speaker 1: eighty percent of the tickets on Georgia Tech. That makes
36:47
Speaker 1: no sense to me. The public is not playing Georgia
36:50
Speaker 1: Tech in this game. Man. Yeah, I don't really understand
36:54
Speaker 1: those numbers there. I don't think those numbers are accurate.
36:57
Speaker 1: Duke also plays fairly slow again, and you're asking him
37:00
Speaker 1: to cover a big number as a slow paced team.
37:03
Speaker 1: I would take the points if I was gonna do it,
37:05
Speaker 1: and again first half makes sense to me as well.
37:08
Speaker 1: Uh yeah, Garrett, I disagree with that. I mean they
37:10
Speaker 1: could they can win by twenty and not cover. So
37:14
Speaker 1: what do you mean by smash hey Eton is where
37:18
Speaker 1: James Bond went man. James Bond is a casanova, but no,
37:24
Speaker 1: this this looks like one of those spots where Duke
37:27
Speaker 1: is not going to be at their best and then
37:31
Speaker 1: I don't know who does Duke play after this? I
37:33
Speaker 1: looked earlier Florida State, not really a huge game there,
37:36
Speaker 1: but yeah, I mean I would take the points of
37:38
Speaker 1: Georgia attack if I was gonna play that one. Sat
37:43
Speaker 1: Joe's and Saint Louis here. Saint Louis, I think they're
37:49
Speaker 1: second best in the A ten to VCU. I think
37:51
Speaker 1: ken Bumm, I think actually has those two teams flipped,
37:54
Speaker 1: but he has them close. Saint Joe's is coming off
37:57
Speaker 1: a really easy win over Principia Principia College Principia. I
38:03
Speaker 1: don't know why ESPN has it that way, but Saint
38:07
Speaker 1: Louis has a weird scheduling spot here where they play
38:09
Speaker 1: Saint Joe's, then they don't play again for a week
38:12
Speaker 1: and then they have their huge game against VCU. So
38:16
Speaker 1: maybe it is a little bit of a look ahead
38:17
Speaker 1: here from them. Maybe they overlook Saint Joe's a little
38:21
Speaker 1: bit here. Saint Joe's coming off a win over Arcadia.
38:24
Speaker 1: I assume as who this is. Yeah, so yeah, I
38:28
Speaker 1: don't know, man. I mean I could see Saint Louis
38:30
Speaker 1: maybe not being totally up to their best in this game.
38:34
Speaker 1: They're laying twenty one and a half points here. I mean, yes,
38:37
Speaker 1: they are quite good this year, but I would probably
38:41
Speaker 1: en toward taking the points in that one. If I
38:44
Speaker 1: was gonna play it. You had Notre Wait Notre Dame?
38:49
Speaker 1: Do they did they play yesterday? I don't even know.
38:53
Speaker 1: Notre Dame money line? Waituh? Notre Dame was probably a
38:56
Speaker 1: big favorite, right, I don't know. Wait, what are we
39:02
Speaker 1: even talking about? Georgia? Wait what? I don't know what
39:05
Speaker 1: we're talking about here? All right? We got George Washington
39:10
Speaker 1: and Richmond Richmond I already talked about because they just
39:13
Speaker 1: lost to Charleston Southern, so they're in bounced back mode, man,
39:17
Speaker 1: Because when a team loses a big favorite like that,
39:19
Speaker 1: usually it's because they were looking ahead or something like that.
39:22
Speaker 1: This is their conference home opener. I believe they're gonna
39:25
Speaker 1: show up for this game. George Washington has been pretty
39:28
Speaker 1: decent in this conference as well, though they were one
39:30
Speaker 1: of those teams that looked good early in the season
39:32
Speaker 1: last year because they played an easy schedule and then
39:35
Speaker 1: they started to fade as conference play began. Could be
39:38
Speaker 1: a similar situation here, although they played decently against Florida
39:42
Speaker 1: and that was a win for us on the show,
39:44
Speaker 1: But Florida was in a bad spot in that one,
39:46
Speaker 1: which is why we had a George Washington play in
39:49
Speaker 1: that one. George Washington did play I believe one game
39:52
Speaker 1: out of the break, they had kind of a tune
39:54
Speaker 1: up against I don't know, some non Division one team here. No,
39:59
Speaker 1: my mistake that was for the break, but they didn't
40:01
Speaker 1: really have that much momentum to stop. However, Richmond, I
40:06
Speaker 1: think they did play that one game out of the break, right,
40:09
Speaker 1: and they didn't play well. So I prefer Richmond to
40:11
Speaker 1: this game because they got that game out of the way.
40:14
Speaker 1: They're gonna be in a huge bounce back mode here.
40:16
Speaker 1: I would lean towards Richmond in this one. And the
40:19
Speaker 1: money is disagreeing with me yet again with George Washington
40:21
Speaker 1: being a three point road favorite, seventy per tickets eighty
40:25
Speaker 1: five percent of the cash on them. I will say
40:27
Speaker 1: that Richmond having the better record and being a home
40:30
Speaker 1: dog doesn't make it look too easy to take the
40:33
Speaker 1: points with Richmond. But in this situation, I think it's
40:37
Speaker 1: better to take Richmond. Again. I don't like teams that
40:39
Speaker 1: are coming up these huge layoffs unless it broke, like
40:43
Speaker 1: a huge amount of losing momentum or something like that.
40:45
Speaker 1: And I do like to be on teams that just
40:48
Speaker 1: lost as big favorites, So that would put me on Richmond.
40:51
Speaker 1: In that game Stanford, Oh yeah, that's right. Notre Dame
40:59
Speaker 1: went to Stanford, right, yeah, correct, Notre Dame. What was
41:05
Speaker 1: the game that Notre Dame was coming off of? Though,
41:07
Speaker 1: I don't know Notre Dame won that game outright, I
41:10
Speaker 1: think I I don't think I thought Notre Dame had
41:13
Speaker 1: was gonna win that game, if I remember correctly. I
41:15
Speaker 1: don't remember the under Yeah, I have no wow what
41:24
Speaker 1: was the score in that game? I don't do a
41:25
Speaker 1: whole lot of totals. So Notre Dame I think, does
41:29
Speaker 1: play a slow pace though, Yeah, what ad Notre Dame
41:33
Speaker 1: do in that game. I'm pretty sure that I oh no,
41:37
Speaker 1: I liked Notre Dame in that game because they were
41:38
Speaker 1: coming off that ugly loss to IPFW. Yeah yeah, forty
41:43
Speaker 1: seven to forty that's ridiculous. But you know, sometimes it
41:48
Speaker 1: does make sense to play unders of both teams that
41:51
Speaker 1: huge layouts. I don't want to give ken Bomb give
41:53
Speaker 1: away all of Kent Bum's secrets, but actually Stanford was
41:57
Speaker 1: actually in a decent spot as well, because they had
41:59
Speaker 1: a played pretty poorly against north Ridge the game before that,
42:03
Speaker 1: So both teams are in bounced back mode in that game.
42:07
Speaker 1: But because both teams are kind of in focus spots,
42:10
Speaker 1: that is kind of an under situation, I would say so,
42:14
Speaker 1: and with one team not having played for over a week,
42:17
Speaker 1: that also affects the offense. So when when both teams
42:20
Speaker 1: have had a huge layoff, I think unders make sense
42:22
Speaker 1: in situations like that as well. All right, uh, North
42:27
Speaker 1: Texas is playing Memphis on ESPN two. We don't have
42:29
Speaker 1: too many games left on this board here, too much
42:33
Speaker 1: college basketball. Man, This is a game that I believe
42:37
Speaker 1: is going to be a contrast of styles. North Texas
42:39
Speaker 1: still plays really slow, Memphis definitely on the faster side,
42:43
Speaker 1: Memphis has faced a really difficult schedule, ninth in the
42:46
Speaker 1: country according to Kenbam three hundred and twenty seventh. Uh
42:51
Speaker 1: in luck. So Memphis is underperformed so far, even though
42:54
Speaker 1: I don't think they're that good. But at five and seven,
42:56
Speaker 1: they're definitely better than that record makes them look. Uh.
42:59
Speaker 1: People probably won't want them because of their record. North
43:03
Speaker 1: Texas coming off some easy win over some non Division
43:05
Speaker 1: one team, don't remember if that was before the break
43:10
Speaker 1: or not. Memphis also easy win over Alabama State in
43:13
Speaker 1: their last game. You might be getting some value with
43:16
Speaker 1: Memphis here, though, just because I think they're believe it
43:18
Speaker 1: or not, they're an underrated commodity right now and people
43:22
Speaker 1: are gonna see this. How is Memphis laying ten and
43:24
Speaker 1: a half double digits against unworth Texas team that has
43:28
Speaker 1: a way better record right Like, it almost looks way
43:30
Speaker 1: too easy to take North Texas. I would probably lay
43:34
Speaker 1: the points and hope Memphis speeds the game up, although
43:36
Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are kind of telling you that's not gonna
43:39
Speaker 1: happen with the total in the one thirties. Although the
43:41
Speaker 1: over seems to have gotten some play. But I think
43:45
Speaker 1: if you like Memphis. You probably like this game to
43:48
Speaker 1: go over that total soil, though I usually don't like
43:51
Speaker 1: playing over with low totals because usually I think it's
43:54
Speaker 1: over for a reason. It's a low for a reason.
43:59
Speaker 1: Money looks like it's coming in North Texas, but I
44:01
Speaker 1: just don't quite agree with it. Sixty four percent of tickets,
44:04
Speaker 1: ninety percent of the cash on North Texas. Again, I
44:08
Speaker 1: think Memphis. The fact that they're laying double digits here
44:11
Speaker 1: as a below five hundred team. Something looks really really
44:15
Speaker 1: off about that line. So the oddsmakers are kind of
44:18
Speaker 1: telling you what you're what you need to know in
44:20
Speaker 1: that game. Okay, we got Kansas City at Denver. I
44:27
Speaker 1: think Denver could be in a bit of a letdown
44:28
Speaker 1: spot here or hangover spot. I mean, Denver pulled up
44:32
Speaker 1: that upset of Northern Colorado win for us on the
44:34
Speaker 1: show on that one. They did not suffer a let
44:37
Speaker 1: down after that. And then they went to Tulsa. It
44:39
Speaker 1: has been pretty good this year, and they took Tulsa
44:42
Speaker 1: almost to the wire, although actually I think the game
44:44
Speaker 1: wasn't as close as it looked. Actually, I think Denver
44:47
Speaker 1: actually maybe I'm wrong about that. Let me say, yeah,
44:50
Speaker 1: Denver kind of made a run late in the game
44:52
Speaker 1: to make it cosmetic, but that was still a big
44:55
Speaker 1: game where they still only lost by five. They got
44:57
Speaker 1: Saint Thomas next. The Tommy are like probably the best
45:01
Speaker 1: team in the Summit, so that is probably a look
45:04
Speaker 1: ahead spot. Kansas City total dormat. I know they're really
45:08
Speaker 1: really ugly, but if I was gonna play this game,
45:10
Speaker 1: I would take the points with Kansas City. They just
45:13
Speaker 1: got a nice tune up win, let's say against the
45:18
Speaker 1: non Division one team, so at least there's that they
45:20
Speaker 1: have a little bit of momentum here. Denver's laying double
45:23
Speaker 1: digits here. I know this is gonna be a game
45:26
Speaker 1: that I think is a contrast of styles. Denver does
45:29
Speaker 1: like to play fast, and the total is somewhat high.
45:34
Speaker 1: Kansas City actually they play fast as well. Never Mind
45:38
Speaker 1: I thought they were slower based team, they're not, so
45:40
Speaker 1: I think both teams play fast here. So I don't
45:45
Speaker 1: know do with all of that information what you want to,
45:47
Speaker 1: but I think the spot is bad for Denver in
45:49
Speaker 1: that one, I would play Kansas City. I talked about
45:55
Speaker 1: that game. I stayed off of that game because I
45:58
Speaker 1: thought both teams were in bounced backs, and I didn't
46:01
Speaker 1: trust Notre Dame going to the Pacific Coast either, So yeah,
46:06
Speaker 1: I mean I gave you my analysis on that game.
46:09
Speaker 1: I just didn't have a strong opinion on it. Normally
46:13
Speaker 1: I would have liked to Notre Dame a lot, coming
46:16
Speaker 1: off of an ugly loss to IPFW like that, but
46:19
Speaker 1: there were just reasons why I could not get involved
46:21
Speaker 1: with that. The Ruse, Yeah, they're bad, that's true. I
46:29
Speaker 1: don't know. I make fun of the Ruse from time
46:31
Speaker 1: to time because their name is pretty lame. Yukon and
46:36
Speaker 1: Xavier are playing on Peacock if you want this Big
46:38
Speaker 1: East game here, which is not necessarily a great game,
46:41
Speaker 1: although maybe it'll be closer that people think. Yukon hasn't
46:45
Speaker 1: played that many games on the road yet, although they've
46:47
Speaker 1: been fine when they have done it. They won at
46:49
Speaker 1: Kansas at Allen Field House, which is not that easy
46:52
Speaker 1: to do. Then they did win at DePaul in their
46:55
Speaker 1: last game, although who cares to Paul is the dormat
46:59
Speaker 1: almost a literal dormat in the Big East. Now, Xavier
47:04
Speaker 1: is a step up from that. Although I'm not impressed
47:06
Speaker 1: by Xavier this year. I think Xavier is bad this year.
47:09
Speaker 1: I think they're down. They got I believe they have
47:12
Speaker 1: Richard Patino I think is their coach. Now, Am I
47:14
Speaker 1: right about that? Yeah? Inside I want to kill myself.
47:18
Speaker 1: Not Rick Patino, but his son, Richard Patino. I think
47:21
Speaker 1: he said Xavier Now it's I don't think he's a
47:25
Speaker 1: good coach. I don't know, man. I mean he's had
47:27
Speaker 1: some of his teams get to the tournament whatever, But yeah,
47:30
Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't trust Xavier. It's not really
47:32
Speaker 1: that bad of a spot for Yukon here, but Xavier.
47:37
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know. Xavier is coming up beating
47:40
Speaker 1: Georgetown on the road. That was an alright win. I
47:42
Speaker 1: assume they were actually probably a dog in this game. Yeah,
47:46
Speaker 1: so Xavier did just pull off an upset of Georgetown.
47:51
Speaker 1: This game's hard for me to read. Man. The money
47:54
Speaker 1: is saying to take the points with Xavier. Connecticut is
47:57
Speaker 1: obviously going to be a public side seventy five percent.
48:00
Speaker 1: Think it's sixty three percent of the cash on them.
48:02
Speaker 1: Xavier is in Cincinnati, by the way, for people that
48:05
Speaker 1: don't know, Connecticut down from thirteen and a half to
48:07
Speaker 1: twelve here. I don't love the idea of laying huge
48:11
Speaker 1: points on the road with Yukon usually just because they're
48:14
Speaker 1: slow paced teams, so if they're gonna control the pace,
48:17
Speaker 1: it's gonna be a little bit more difficult for them
48:19
Speaker 1: to cover a number like that. I definitely don't trust
48:22
Speaker 1: Xavier either though, so this is this game is a
48:24
Speaker 1: stay away from me. The money is saying to take
48:27
Speaker 1: the points with Xavier for what it's worth, but I
48:30
Speaker 1: don't love it by any means. Another Big East game.
48:33
Speaker 1: It's maybe worse to Paul at Villanova, although this game
48:38
Speaker 1: might actually be closer than people think as well. To Paul,
48:42
Speaker 1: they're coming up that lost to Yukon, whatever that was expected.
48:46
Speaker 1: I think they'll show up for a game against Villanova.
48:50
Speaker 1: Villanova might, on the other hand, overlook to Paul because
48:53
Speaker 1: we all know De Paul is not that good. Villanova's
48:55
Speaker 1: on a nice run of games here man where they
48:57
Speaker 1: upset Wisconsin, they went on the road, they beat Seaton
49:01
Speaker 1: Hall that was Villanova's conference opener as well. Pulled off
49:05
Speaker 1: an upset over a decent Seaton Hall team this year.
49:09
Speaker 1: Nice win for Villanova. I think they might have been
49:11
Speaker 1: a small underdog in this game. I would guess they
49:14
Speaker 1: might have been a small favorite. I don't know. It's
49:16
Speaker 1: hard to gauge when ESPN had the prediction at about
49:19
Speaker 1: fifty to fifty there. But Villanova also plays Butler and
49:22
Speaker 1: Creton up after this, Like basically every Big East game
49:26
Speaker 1: is gonna be bigger than a game against a Paul,
49:28
Speaker 1: So it is definitely possible they overlook to Paul. You
49:31
Speaker 1: could make the argument this is a sandwich. Villanova plays ugly.
49:35
Speaker 1: They play slow, although they actually have an efficient offense.
49:39
Speaker 1: So Villanova is one of those teams where they find
49:42
Speaker 1: really good shots. They play this half court style, but
49:44
Speaker 1: they score on a lot of their possessions. But they
49:47
Speaker 1: still play slow, so they play low scoring games, which
49:50
Speaker 1: does make it more difficult to cover as a favorite.
49:54
Speaker 1: They're a twelve and a half point favorite here, down
49:56
Speaker 1: from thirteen and a half totals in the one thirties.
49:59
Speaker 1: Really really low. I would lean to taking the points
50:03
Speaker 1: with DePaul in that game, but it's not something that
50:06
Speaker 1: I love. Yep. Chip Kelly's gonna be the o C
50:09
Speaker 1: at Northwestern. Now, he's a pretty good o C. He's
50:12
Speaker 1: not a good head coach. It's the way that it is.
50:15
Speaker 1: I didn't succeed in the NFL. I believe when he
50:17
Speaker 1: was briefly there Xavier McDaniel, what about him? To shave
50:25
Speaker 1: my head, I have two different raizors that I I dude,
50:28
Speaker 1: I have a razor for everything, man, I have a
50:31
Speaker 1: face razor. I have a body raiser from manscaped, the lawnmower.
50:37
Speaker 1: I've got two different head raisers. I've got a nostril
50:42
Speaker 1: groomer that also works for like your years and whatever.
50:47
Speaker 1: For the head I use up mostly, I use the
50:49
Speaker 1: skull shaver pit bull pro or whatever it's called. It's
50:53
Speaker 1: a skull shaver. It doesn't quite get that close, but
50:57
Speaker 1: it's way quicker. You just you know, rub it over
51:00
Speaker 1: your head. It doesn't take that long. But I do
51:02
Speaker 1: also have the manscaped their head raiser. It's actually better,
51:07
Speaker 1: but it's way more expensive. It's the dome shaver, I
51:11
Speaker 1: think is what they call it. It's it's it's not
51:13
Speaker 1: a very good name for their head razor, but it's
51:16
Speaker 1: really really good. It works really well, So I use
51:19
Speaker 1: both of those. The skull shaver has one problem with
51:22
Speaker 1: it though, it's that the so it's pretty easy to clean.
51:28
Speaker 1: Both of those head raisors are easy to clean, but
51:31
Speaker 1: the skull shaver. Wo. When you take like the the
51:34
Speaker 1: part out like inside the head that has all the
51:37
Speaker 1: blades in it whatever, the thing that like locks the
51:39
Speaker 1: blades in place, it twists on and off, and the
51:43
Speaker 1: plastic piece that it like locks onto breaks all the time.
51:48
Speaker 1: And you can buy the heads, but I think they
51:50
Speaker 1: do it on purpose that you have to buy more heads.
51:52
Speaker 1: The heads are not that expensive, they're probably like fifteen bucks,
51:56
Speaker 1: but still like it kind of pisses me off when
51:58
Speaker 1: it breaks. So you know, yes, Manscape sponsor me. Yes, Manscaped.
52:05
Speaker 1: I got a lot of them. I have Nadeau. But dude,
52:08
Speaker 1: you can't shave your head with nada. You can't do it.
52:10
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna straight raizor my head, although I've had
52:13
Speaker 1: a barber do it before. Though I've had a barber
52:16
Speaker 1: shave my head all the way down for my doctor
52:20
Speaker 1: Evil Halloween costs Him. And it was announced that Whitey
52:23
Speaker 1: Bulger died while I was there at a barber shop
52:27
Speaker 1: in Boston. It was one of the most Bostonian experiences ever. Yo,
52:31
Speaker 1: Whitey died, kid, Yo, Yeah you know, so that shout
52:36
Speaker 1: out to Big Jim. I think it was his name.
52:40
Speaker 1: My barber that I had for that head shaving experience there.
52:46
Speaker 1: He was ironically named Big Jim because he was He
52:49
Speaker 1: was just an average sized dude, but he's Big Jim
52:52
Speaker 1: for whatever reason. Yeah, Chip Kelly was awful with the Eagles. Correct, Zach,
52:59
Speaker 1: what's up? Man? How old? When I started tapping out?
53:04
Speaker 1: What does that mean? I think it's called the dome
53:07
Speaker 1: shave round? I forget? Oh how old was I? Dude?
53:11
Speaker 1: I've I have thick hair everywhere except right here. It
53:15
Speaker 1: thinned in the front. So I had no choice but
53:17
Speaker 1: to just start shaving it all off because it looks horrible. Otherwise,
53:20
Speaker 1: if you know, do that. And I'm pissed because my
53:23
Speaker 1: mom's dad had hair up until he died. My mom's
53:25
Speaker 1: oldest brother looks like their father, and he has a
53:28
Speaker 1: full head of hair and he's in his seventies. They
53:31
Speaker 1: got good hair the Italian side. I thought I was
53:33
Speaker 1: going to get that, but instead I'm you know, I
53:37
Speaker 1: got some of the genes from my dad's side where
53:39
Speaker 1: all the baldness is. So it sucks. You know, it
53:44
Speaker 1: is what it is, But I was, dude, it was.
53:46
Speaker 1: It was bad too because I didn't go bald early
53:48
Speaker 1: like some of the guys on my dad's side go
53:50
Speaker 1: bald really early, like my cousin that I just saw
53:54
Speaker 1: on Christmas Eve. He's a I think he's in his
53:58
Speaker 1: fifties now, but he looks good man. You can't tell
54:00
Speaker 1: how old he is. He shaves his head. He went
54:02
Speaker 1: bald probably at about eighteen, and he's just shaved his
54:06
Speaker 1: head since then. He looks good bald, So good for him.
54:10
Speaker 1: Pretty good looking guy to be honest, you know. But yeah, whatever,
54:16
Speaker 1: So I went bald like in my well, I didn't
54:19
Speaker 1: go bald. I'm not bald, but I shave my head bald.
54:21
Speaker 1: But the thinning on you know in the front here,
54:25
Speaker 1: happened in my early thirties, so yeah, I don't know.
54:28
Speaker 1: It sucks because you go that long, have really thick
54:31
Speaker 1: hair for this whole time, and then that happens. It's
54:33
Speaker 1: pretty bad. Vic from the shield. No, the spray spray
54:40
Speaker 1: paint looks horrible. The only option is to shave your head.
54:44
Speaker 1: It doesn't look that bad. And I don't look that
54:46
Speaker 1: bad bald at least I have. You know, I have
54:50
Speaker 1: a round head like a I have a normal shaped head,
54:53
Speaker 1: not an abnormal head. So there you go. And then
54:58
Speaker 1: we do have one more big East game, although I
55:00
Speaker 1: will talk about Drexel and Wilmington for a minute as well.
55:04
Speaker 1: You wouldn't see Wilmington's coming off that game where they
55:05
Speaker 1: didn't play well against NCA and T. Wilmington is a
55:09
Speaker 1: big favorite there. I think they show up with more
55:12
Speaker 1: focus after a bad game like that. They don't really
55:14
Speaker 1: have anything on deck here. Wilmington is the best team
55:17
Speaker 1: in this conference, and I think they're gonna want to
55:19
Speaker 1: show up with some intensity in this one. Drexel just
55:23
Speaker 1: lost to Charleston. Charleston's not an easy team to beat
55:26
Speaker 1: on the road, really, especially for a team like Drexel
55:29
Speaker 1: that's not that good. I think Drexel must have been
55:32
Speaker 1: a dog in that game. Now, second straight road game
55:35
Speaker 1: for them. They'll try to get up for it because
55:38
Speaker 1: they know Wilmington's good. But I would lay the points
55:40
Speaker 1: with Wilmington if I was gonna play it. They're up
55:42
Speaker 1: to twelve and a half, seventy five percent of tickets
55:44
Speaker 1: ninety percent of the cash on Wilmington, but the total
55:47
Speaker 1: is low in one hundred and thirty eight, so makes
55:49
Speaker 1: it a little bit more tempt less, a little less
55:52
Speaker 1: tempting to lay the points. Oh, thank you. Yes, I'm
55:55
Speaker 1: a sex symbol. Yeah, I don't know, I have a
55:59
Speaker 1: I have a Twitter harem of women at least. Yeah. Yeah,
56:06
Speaker 1: all right, and then well, yes, thank you Kyle. Yes.
56:12
Speaker 1: Last game up is another big East game with Saint
56:14
Speaker 1: John's at Georgetown, and the public might be no longer
56:19
Speaker 1: on Saint John's. By the way, Saint John inside, I
56:22
Speaker 1: want to kill myself. Saint John's not doing too well
56:26
Speaker 1: right now at eight and four Georgetown nine and four.
56:29
Speaker 1: I think people are gonna see this line and see
56:31
Speaker 1: Saint John's favored by eight nine points in that range,
56:35
Speaker 1: and think that it makes sense to take the points
56:37
Speaker 1: with Georgetown at home. But the oddsmakers are telling you again,
56:40
Speaker 1: They're telling you all you need to know. They're telling
56:42
Speaker 1: you that Saint John's is the better team. The line
56:45
Speaker 1: looks really fishy for them to be favored by that
56:47
Speaker 1: much on the road, but they faced the difficult schedule
56:50
Speaker 1: so far. I know, last year they only had like
56:52
Speaker 1: two regular season losses. This year they haven't stepped up
56:56
Speaker 1: particularly well in class, but I mean their losses have
56:58
Speaker 1: been respectable though, Like they lost by seven to Alabama,
57:03
Speaker 1: they lost by one to Iowa, State. Iowa State's really good.
57:06
Speaker 1: They lost by eleven to Auburn. That's not horrible. Kentucky
57:10
Speaker 1: is underrated right now in my opinion. They lost to
57:12
Speaker 1: them as well, and that was a spot that was
57:16
Speaker 1: I believe closer to Kentucky. I think I liked Kentucky
57:19
Speaker 1: in that game, if I recall so. I think Saint
57:21
Speaker 1: John's shows up in this game. But they're coming off
57:23
Speaker 1: an easy, bounce back blowout win over Harvard, have it.
57:28
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna show up for this one man Georgetown. Yeah,
57:31
Speaker 1: it's a big game for them as well. At home.
57:33
Speaker 1: They're gonna try to show up for this game against
57:34
Speaker 1: Saint John's. They're coming off a win over cop and State,
57:37
Speaker 1: easy win there. Both teams will show up in my opinion,
57:41
Speaker 1: and I just think it looks too easy to play
57:43
Speaker 1: Georgetown here, even though it looks like maybe some of
57:45
Speaker 1: the public money is on Saint John's as well, but
57:47
Speaker 1: it looks like the real money also is, at least
57:50
Speaker 1: for now, I would lay it if I was gonna
57:52
Speaker 1: play it. Saint John's down from nine and a half
57:55
Speaker 1: to nine here, eighty two percent of tickets, ninety three
57:57
Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Saint John Mark Lawrence. I
58:02
Speaker 1: forget what that guy looks like like. I like his
58:06
Speaker 1: analysis on especially football, but I've been disagreeing with them
58:11
Speaker 1: a decent amount recently. All right, let's go to NHL.
58:15
Speaker 1: We got a bunch of afternoon stuff going on here, man,
58:17
Speaker 1: I got to get this stuff done. College bowls start
58:20
Speaker 1: at twelve as well, and I gotta make sure my
58:21
Speaker 1: bowl entry is done. Twelve thirty Eastern. We got the
58:26
Speaker 1: Rangers at Washington. This is an interesting game. Rangers. We
58:31
Speaker 1: know they're good on the road, so they are on
58:33
Speaker 1: the road here. I might lean against the Rangers here though.
58:37
Speaker 1: The Rangers are coming on an overtime lost to Carolina
58:40
Speaker 1: on Monday. That was a huge game. Taking Carolina overtime
58:44
Speaker 1: like that, that takes a lot out of you. And
58:45
Speaker 1: they even though Washington's good, you could argue they're going
58:48
Speaker 1: to overlook Washington here because they did just beat Washington
58:52
Speaker 1: in this same arena at Washington and embarrass them seven
58:56
Speaker 1: to three back on last Tuesday. So it's fresh in mind.
59:01
Speaker 1: So it's gonna be one of those potential zigzag spots
59:04
Speaker 1: or Washington's gonna adjust to what happened, and the Rangers
59:07
Speaker 1: might be looking ahead because they're playing in the Winter
59:10
Speaker 1: Classic on Friday against Florida. So I think it is
59:14
Speaker 1: a spot where you could argue this is a sandwich
59:16
Speaker 1: spot that the Rangers are in here for Washington. They're
59:20
Speaker 1: coming off a loss to Florida, so tough game, but
59:23
Speaker 1: they could be in a bounce back spot. They are
59:25
Speaker 1: returning home, but they only went to New Jersey and Florida.
59:28
Speaker 1: It was a quick two game road trip, so I
59:29
Speaker 1: don't really see this being a complete road trip return
59:33
Speaker 1: spot or anything like that. And I think they're gonna
59:35
Speaker 1: show up again because the Rangers just embarrassed them three
59:39
Speaker 1: games ago for Washington in this same venue, in their
59:43
Speaker 1: own place, So this game is Washington or pass. For me,
59:48
Speaker 1: it looks like Washington flipped from plus one thirty six
59:51
Speaker 1: to minus one thirty five. I don't think that's right.
59:53
Speaker 1: I think that's just I think that's a screw up.
59:56
Speaker 1: That's a glitch in pregame, I think. But Washington is
59:59
Speaker 1: a minus one three five favor right now. That line
1:00:02
Speaker 1: is right around where I expected it. Fifty three percent
1:00:05
Speaker 1: of tickets and cash on the Rangers. Public maybe slightly
1:00:10
Speaker 1: leaning towards the Rangers in this one, just based off
1:00:13
Speaker 1: of recency, but I think it's Washington money line in
1:00:16
Speaker 1: that game. If you're gonna play the game, you like Decks,
1:00:20
Speaker 1: Dax Ducks. I almost said Dix, you like the Ducks,
1:00:24
Speaker 1: the devils in Dallas of triple D is Oh god,
1:00:28
Speaker 1: that's a triple D. Isn't a thing? Right? It just
1:00:31
Speaker 1: goes from double D to right to F. I think,
1:00:34
Speaker 1: I don't know, I'm a boob expert, but I'm not
1:00:37
Speaker 1: really a bra expert because uh, I prefer them without
1:00:41
Speaker 1: the bra. So all right, Nashville at Vegas, Nashville. I mean,
1:00:48
Speaker 1: I don't know what to say about Nashville. I mean,
1:00:50
Speaker 1: they started winning some games recently. They just won in Utah.
1:00:54
Speaker 1: Now they're coming out of elevation to play at Vegas.
1:00:56
Speaker 1: Sure they're gonna show up for a game against Vegas.
1:00:59
Speaker 1: Will that be an to beat a team that's better
1:01:01
Speaker 1: than them like Vegas. I don't know. Vegas is coming
1:01:04
Speaker 1: off losing in a big game, but they lost pretty
1:01:07
Speaker 1: ugly in Minnesota, and I did say that was gonna
1:01:09
Speaker 1: be a difficult spot because Vegas had taken Colorado into
1:01:13
Speaker 1: a shootout and they probably should have beaten Colorado, so
1:01:15
Speaker 1: that took a lot out of Vegas. Vegas took that
1:01:18
Speaker 1: loss pretty ugly loss to Minnesota. I think you could
1:01:21
Speaker 1: argue this is going to be a bounce back for
1:01:23
Speaker 1: Vegas here because they want to try to even up
1:01:25
Speaker 1: the home stand before they go back out on the road.
1:01:28
Speaker 1: I would lean towards Vegas and this one. The money
1:01:30
Speaker 1: is disagreeing with me on this one though. Vegas down
1:01:33
Speaker 1: for minus two to ten to minus one seventy nine.
1:01:35
Speaker 1: Maybe you'll get a money line price that's deacent enough
1:01:38
Speaker 1: that you can just play the money line of Vegas.
1:01:40
Speaker 1: But I would also, you know, I could see splitting it,
1:01:45
Speaker 1: you know, doing one of those split bets, or you
1:01:47
Speaker 1: make your own minus one puck line in this one,
1:01:50
Speaker 1: seventy two percent of tickets on Vegas, fifty one percent
1:01:52
Speaker 1: of the cash on Nashville though, So the money is
1:01:55
Speaker 1: not agreeing with me on that one. As far as
1:01:58
Speaker 1: the Ducks, they're playing the light. I do think I
1:02:02
Speaker 1: think I agree with Jeffrey on the Ducks in this one.
1:02:05
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay they're on a four game win streak. They
1:02:08
Speaker 1: just they beat Carolina to start the win streak. They
1:02:10
Speaker 1: did not suffer a sandwich spot against Saint Louis. Then
1:02:14
Speaker 1: they beat Florida, then they beat Montreal on a shootout,
1:02:18
Speaker 1: and now they have a couple of days off, so
1:02:20
Speaker 1: they're rested here and they are starting a road trip.
1:02:22
Speaker 1: So that's kind of my hesitation with this is that
1:02:25
Speaker 1: usually a team that starts a road trip, they're usually
1:02:27
Speaker 1: focused because they want to get the road trip off
1:02:29
Speaker 1: on the right foot. I don't exactly know how big
1:02:32
Speaker 1: they're gonna consider that win over Montreal, to be I
1:02:34
Speaker 1: in Montreal is an okay team. They will have Vassilevski
1:02:38
Speaker 1: back in net here because Johanson played in that last
1:02:41
Speaker 1: game against Montreal. So there are some things that I
1:02:43
Speaker 1: don't necessarily love about fading Tampa and this one. And
1:02:46
Speaker 1: this is not a late night game either. It's a
1:02:48
Speaker 1: biologically speaking for their biological clock, it's not gonna be
1:02:52
Speaker 1: that bad because it's at four pm Eastern. For Anaheim,
1:02:58
Speaker 1: they've been on a slide. Man lost three games in
1:03:00
Speaker 1: a row, so I do think it is a bounce
1:03:02
Speaker 1: back spot for them, staying at home coming off that
1:03:05
Speaker 1: loss to San Jose. So I'll lightly agree with the
1:03:09
Speaker 1: Ducks here should be dostile dostal back in net year
1:03:12
Speaker 1: after Marazak played in the last game Maracik, however he
1:03:16
Speaker 1: pronounce his name. I'll slightly agree the money is actually
1:03:20
Speaker 1: disagreeing with the Ducks on this one. I lean Ducks slightly,
1:03:24
Speaker 1: but it's not a strong opinion for me. Tampa up
1:03:27
Speaker 1: for minus one thirty five to minus one forty five
1:03:29
Speaker 1: on the money line, sixty five percent of the cash
1:03:32
Speaker 1: on them, sixty six percent of the tickets on Anaheim though,
1:03:36
Speaker 1: So uh, take from all that what you want to Stamcost.
1:03:41
Speaker 1: He's one goal away from six hundred. Yeah, but that's
1:03:44
Speaker 1: gonna mean he's overvalued. Like if you want like a
1:03:46
Speaker 1: stam cooast prop or whatever, if people know that they're
1:03:50
Speaker 1: gonna be playing like Stampcost to score you know, a
1:03:53
Speaker 1: goal in the game or whatever, like he's gonna be
1:03:55
Speaker 1: overvalued in the market because of that because everybody wants
1:03:58
Speaker 1: to see him do it. You know what I mean.
1:04:00
Speaker 1: I would not play a Stamcos prop like that, and
1:04:04
Speaker 1: I don't think it factors into the game handicapped that much.
1:04:08
Speaker 1: Thank you, Kyle Well. I mean, I don't know it's autism.
1:04:11
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm looking at all the stuff that I
1:04:13
Speaker 1: have in front of me too, and I'm just going I'm,
1:04:15
Speaker 1: you know, talking about what I'm looking at as I
1:04:17
Speaker 1: see it, although I did already look at all these
1:04:19
Speaker 1: games earlier Minnesota at San Jose, Minnesota, coming off that
1:04:24
Speaker 1: wallaping a Vegas, they could be in a letdown spot here. Man,
1:04:27
Speaker 1: I don't know how much focus they're gonna have against
1:04:29
Speaker 1: the Sharks. After they just beat Winnipeg with hello book
1:04:32
Speaker 1: back on the road in overtime, then they beat Vegas
1:04:35
Speaker 1: in Vegas. They got bigger games up next, I would
1:04:38
Speaker 1: say Anaheim and then the Kings. I mean, not that
1:04:40
Speaker 1: those are huge games, but those games might draw more
1:04:43
Speaker 1: of your focus than San Jose. So I leaned to
1:04:46
Speaker 1: San Jose in this one. I think this is one
1:04:48
Speaker 1: of the better hockey opinions of the day. Although San
1:04:51
Speaker 1: Jose is returning over from a road trip, but it
1:04:54
Speaker 1: was only a two game road trip. It took them
1:04:56
Speaker 1: to Vancouver though, and Anaheim. They won both games on
1:04:59
Speaker 1: the road trip. I believe we had them as a
1:05:01
Speaker 1: winner against Vancouver on the show. And yes they are
1:05:03
Speaker 1: coming off a win at Anaheim, which is a big win.
1:05:06
Speaker 1: They are technically returning over a road trip where I
1:05:09
Speaker 1: talk about how a lot of teams that return over
1:05:11
Speaker 1: from road trips could be distracted. But again, they were
1:05:14
Speaker 1: home right before going out on the road on Saturday.
1:05:17
Speaker 1: So because they were home for the holidays, no police
1:05:23
Speaker 1: like home for the holidays. Uh yeah, so you know,
1:05:27
Speaker 1: it wasn't a long road trip from them. So I
1:05:28
Speaker 1: still lean to San Jose slightly here. Minnesota is definitely
1:05:33
Speaker 1: the public side. Seventy seven percent of the tickets on them,
1:05:35
Speaker 1: only seventy three percent of the cash, and they've gone
1:05:39
Speaker 1: up a little bit on the money line for minus
1:05:40
Speaker 1: one seventy to minus one seventy two. But you're getting
1:05:43
Speaker 1: a decent dog price on San Jose. I would do
1:05:46
Speaker 1: one of those things where you're like make your own
1:05:48
Speaker 1: minus one puck line on that one if I was
1:05:50
Speaker 1: gonna play it. Winnipeg at Detroit. Winnipeg they're on a
1:05:56
Speaker 1: huge slide, man, Even though they have Hello Book back,
1:05:58
Speaker 1: They've only won one game with him back, and he's
1:06:00
Speaker 1: played every single game. They've had three overtime losses over
1:06:04
Speaker 1: that span, though, and a couple of their other losses
1:06:07
Speaker 1: were to Colorado and Edmonton. So I think Winnipeg might
1:06:10
Speaker 1: be better than they look right now. Man, so maybe
1:06:13
Speaker 1: there is some value playing them. Yeah, they just took
1:06:15
Speaker 1: that loss to Edmonton, but now they're starting a road trip.
1:06:19
Speaker 1: Usually that you can take that as being like a reset.
1:06:21
Speaker 1: Like starting a road trip is generally a positive like
1:06:24
Speaker 1: kind of regardless of what happened, unless you're coming off
1:06:26
Speaker 1: a monumental win or something like that. But either if
1:06:30
Speaker 1: you're winning, like it'll like continue your momentum, or if
1:06:33
Speaker 1: you're losing, it'll be like a break from that momentum.
1:06:37
Speaker 1: So I think it's a positive for Winnipeg. I think
1:06:39
Speaker 1: they're gonna show up in this game against Detroit. Detroit
1:06:42
Speaker 1: is coming off an overtime win over Toronto. Decent win.
1:06:46
Speaker 1: I mean, maybe they consider that to be a fairly
1:06:48
Speaker 1: big win because it's one of those original six matchups.
1:06:51
Speaker 1: They got this Winnipeg team that really has been struggling,
1:06:54
Speaker 1: and they do play Pittsburgh next. Pittsburgh's got a decent
1:06:58
Speaker 1: record on the season and they're starting to play all
1:06:59
Speaker 1: right again here, So this would be Winnipeg or pass
1:07:03
Speaker 1: for me in this game. It looks like the money
1:07:05
Speaker 1: does agree with me on this one. Detroit down for
1:07:07
Speaker 1: minus one thirty to minus one fourteen in the money
1:07:10
Speaker 1: line fifty two percent of ticket seventy two percent of
1:07:12
Speaker 1: the cash on the Winnipeg side, So the real money
1:07:15
Speaker 1: looks like it is taking Winnipeg and taking them as
1:07:18
Speaker 1: an underdog. So yeah, moneyline Winnipeg would be my opinion
1:07:21
Speaker 1: on that one. Devils at Columbus. Devils did just get
1:07:26
Speaker 1: shut out yesterday. That was yesterday, though, I believe so.
1:07:29
Speaker 1: They're on a back to back, so I don't love
1:07:31
Speaker 1: the back to back scenario with travel from Toronto to Columbus.
1:07:35
Speaker 1: But yes, they did get shut out yesterday, so a
1:07:38
Speaker 1: lot of times you do want to back a team
1:07:39
Speaker 1: that just got shut out in the previous game. So
1:07:44
Speaker 1: that was an ugly loss for the Devils for sure,
1:07:46
Speaker 1: so I could see this being a bounced back spot.
1:07:48
Speaker 1: They did have some rest before that game. They will
1:07:51
Speaker 1: have Alan back and net in this one, so you
1:07:53
Speaker 1: will get a rested goaltender in this one at the
1:07:55
Speaker 1: very least. But I don't necessarily want to I don't
1:07:58
Speaker 1: necessarily want to back the Devils on a back to
1:08:01
Speaker 1: back here though Columbus. They're on a three game win street.
1:08:05
Speaker 1: They did just beat Autow up pretty easily. They're coming
1:08:09
Speaker 1: back home from that. It was a single game road trip, though,
1:08:11
Speaker 1: but they aren't playing a third game in four days
1:08:14
Speaker 1: with travel between the two games. So I'll slightly agree
1:08:18
Speaker 1: with the Devils in this one. But again, I don't know.
1:08:20
Speaker 1: I don't have a strong opinion on it. Columbus is
1:08:23
Speaker 1: a public side. Eighty percent of the tickets, eighty two
1:08:26
Speaker 1: percent of the cash the public wants nothing to do
1:08:28
Speaker 1: with in New Jersey, but they haven't had Hues back
1:08:31
Speaker 1: for that long either, so they're kind of getting back
1:08:33
Speaker 1: into the swing of things. So maybe in New Jersey's
1:08:36
Speaker 1: a little bit of an undervalued commodity right now. I
1:08:40
Speaker 1: don't think that that two percentage of two percentage difference
1:08:44
Speaker 1: on the cash is really that meaningful there. I think
1:08:47
Speaker 1: you're fading the public if you're taking the devils here.
1:08:49
Speaker 1: I don't really disagree with that. But yeah, you gotta
1:08:53
Speaker 1: support the team. That's that's right. I don't have that,
1:08:55
Speaker 1: uh I, dude, I need to cut I need to
1:08:58
Speaker 1: clip that. I don't have that ZAC line. I just
1:09:00
Speaker 1: have the one that I always playing that I have
1:09:03
Speaker 1: this one. Man, I'm just trying to support the team.
1:09:08
Speaker 1: You sit down, you're disturbing everybody. Oh yeah, because you're
1:09:12
Speaker 1: rang and you know I'm messing with their heads. Oh yeah,
1:09:20
Speaker 1: he did say got to support the team or trying
1:09:22
Speaker 1: to support the team in that one. But he says
1:09:24
Speaker 1: got to support the team when Elaine is complaining about
1:09:28
Speaker 1: his face painting in the first place or whatever. He
1:09:31
Speaker 1: says it multiple times. Then Puddy. One of the best
1:09:34
Speaker 1: characters on TV man David Putty, Patrick Warburton, also the
1:09:39
Speaker 1: voice of Joe and Family Guy, and he's done some
1:09:43
Speaker 1: other things that are pretty funny. Awesome Matthews, Yeah, he
1:09:47
Speaker 1: is back. Awesome Matthews getting into shape for the Olympics.
1:09:51
Speaker 1: The hour. I will be rooting against Canada and the Olympics.
1:09:55
Speaker 1: And I don't know. Are they doing the the four
1:09:59
Speaker 1: Nations thing again this year instead of the All Star thing?
1:10:01
Speaker 1: I mean, that was a good idea because it got
1:10:03
Speaker 1: a lot of publicity. So we'll see about that. But yeah,
1:10:07
Speaker 1: Toronto's not playing well for sure, although they did just
1:10:11
Speaker 1: shut out New Jersey Buffalo at Dallas, I agree with
1:10:17
Speaker 1: with Jeffrey on this one as well. I agree with
1:10:19
Speaker 1: Dallas on this one. I think this one is stronger
1:10:22
Speaker 1: than the other ones. But you're gonna have to jump
1:10:24
Speaker 1: in front of a train here with Buffalo. Buffalo has
1:10:26
Speaker 1: won like nine games in a row or whatever, but
1:10:30
Speaker 1: I still don't think they're that good. They just beat
1:10:32
Speaker 1: Saint Louis. Now they're going to Dallas. I mean, Dallas
1:10:35
Speaker 1: is gonna be a monster favorite in this game. The
1:10:38
Speaker 1: oddsmakers are still to telling you they're not really totally
1:10:40
Speaker 1: buying Buffalo here. I'm not either. They're on a hot
1:10:44
Speaker 1: streak right now. I think it will end here. I
1:10:46
Speaker 1: think Dallas will win this game. But if you're gonna
1:10:48
Speaker 1: play Dallas, you basically are gonna need to lay a
1:10:51
Speaker 1: run puck line price here and need them to win
1:10:53
Speaker 1: by margin. But they have a lot of rest here. Man.
1:10:56
Speaker 1: They only played one game out of the break, and
1:10:58
Speaker 1: that was a game where I think I leaned to
1:11:01
Speaker 1: Chicago and that did I give it out as a
1:11:03
Speaker 1: play I don't remember, but Chicago. I think we faded
1:11:06
Speaker 1: Chicago off of that game. I think is what we did,
1:11:09
Speaker 1: because Chicago is in a huge letdown off of that.
1:11:11
Speaker 1: But yeah, Chicago caught Dallas beat them in a shootout,
1:11:15
Speaker 1: really ugly loss for Dallas, and they haven't played since
1:11:18
Speaker 1: then since Saturday, so they do have their revenge game
1:11:21
Speaker 1: against Chicago tomorrow though, So I don't know if you
1:11:25
Speaker 1: factor like that quick revenge motivation, and they definitely want
1:11:28
Speaker 1: to go gonna want to go into Chicago and beat
1:11:31
Speaker 1: their ass. So I worry about that a little bit,
1:11:34
Speaker 1: that maybe that's a look ahead. But other than that,
1:11:36
Speaker 1: they should be up for this game because that was
1:11:38
Speaker 1: a pretty ugly loss. They're staying at home, they're rested,
1:11:42
Speaker 1: but you know, that look ahead to tomorrow does it
1:11:46
Speaker 1: does worry me a little bit. And the money is
1:11:48
Speaker 1: completely disagreeing with Dallas here. Dallas is actually less of
1:11:51
Speaker 1: a favorite than I thought they would be. I thought
1:11:53
Speaker 1: they would be like minus two hundred. So I don't know, man,
1:11:57
Speaker 1: I I'm still not buying Buffalo. The odds have given
1:12:00
Speaker 1: them a little bit of credit here, though. Dallas is
1:12:02
Speaker 1: down for minus one seventy five to minus one fifty five,
1:12:06
Speaker 1: sixty five percent of tickets on Dallas seventy two percent
1:12:08
Speaker 1: of the cash on Buffalo. That market read really really
1:12:12
Speaker 1: worries me about Dallas here. If I have a really
1:12:14
Speaker 1: strong opinion on a situation that counters, you know, that
1:12:18
Speaker 1: goes against the market, I will still do it usually,
1:12:21
Speaker 1: but in this case, yeah, I mean, I'm not getting
1:12:24
Speaker 1: involved in this game at all. Uh. My initial read
1:12:27
Speaker 1: on this was I agree with Dallas. You can get
1:12:29
Speaker 1: actually a pretty cheap price on this. Probably money line
1:12:33
Speaker 1: will split the money line and puck line here, but
1:12:35
Speaker 1: that market read has to be really, really concerned about it.
1:12:40
Speaker 1: I don't want to deal with it. An Olympic break?
1:12:48
Speaker 1: Are you sure it's not the foreign Nations? Or is
1:12:50
Speaker 1: is it really the Olympics or the Olympics happening right now?
1:12:54
Speaker 1: Winter Olympics? Maybe they are. I don't know. I guess
1:13:00
Speaker 1: there has I guess because the Olympic Winter Olympics, whenever
1:13:02
Speaker 1: they happen, they have to happen during the hockey season,
1:13:05
Speaker 1: So I guess there has to be a break. I
1:13:06
Speaker 1: don't know. That's weird. I don't remember handicapping hockey through
1:13:10
Speaker 1: a Winter Olympic break, but I must have. The Blue
1:13:14
Speaker 1: Jackets beat the Devils on December first, yeah, so it's
1:13:18
Speaker 1: like a quick yeah sort of adjustment spot. Maybe for
1:13:21
Speaker 1: the Devils as well. I don't know. I don't Maybe
1:13:25
Speaker 1: it's a slight factor. I don't know, when it's something
1:13:27
Speaker 1: that happened a month ago. I don't put as much
1:13:29
Speaker 1: weight into it. I put more weight into it when
1:13:32
Speaker 1: it was I put more weight into it if it
1:13:34
Speaker 1: was more recent. But revenge definitely gets overvalued by like
1:13:38
Speaker 1: recreational betters and stuff like that. Bork made the national team,
1:13:43
Speaker 1: like you mean, like right now he did? What is
1:13:45
Speaker 1: he like sixty years old? Pork is my man, though,
1:13:49
Speaker 1: Pork kid he was he was on the Bruins. Chicago
1:13:54
Speaker 1: is definitely well known for shootouts. That is a good joke, Charles.
1:13:57
Speaker 1: We could use that one on Twitter there. Yeah, the
1:14:00
Speaker 1: Olympics are in February, yes, correct, that is when they are.
1:14:05
Speaker 1: I just forgot that they were this year, twenty twenty six.
1:14:08
Speaker 1: Happy New Year everyone. Saint Louis at Colorado, gotta try
1:14:12
Speaker 1: to get all this stuff done and we'll be done
1:14:14
Speaker 1: before noon. Though there isn't that much NBA today Saint Louis,
1:14:19
Speaker 1: they just lost to Buffalo. Could be a bounce back
1:14:22
Speaker 1: spot for them. I mean, you know they're gonna focus
1:14:24
Speaker 1: on Colorado. It's just a matter of are they gonna
1:14:27
Speaker 1: be able to do it because Colorado is way better
1:14:29
Speaker 1: than they are. It's a single game road trip, or
1:14:32
Speaker 1: they do have to go into elevation here. Colorado's just
1:14:35
Speaker 1: on another roll here, They've won eight games in a row.
1:14:38
Speaker 1: What else is new? They had a nice bounce back
1:14:40
Speaker 1: off of that Vegas loss. They handily beat the Kings here.
1:14:45
Speaker 1: You could argue they're gonna have a look aat to Carolina, Florida,
1:14:48
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay all upcoming here, but that doesn't That run
1:14:51
Speaker 1: of games doesn't start until Saturday, so I don't know.
1:14:54
Speaker 1: Will they overlook Saint Louis in this game. I don't
1:14:57
Speaker 1: know it's possible, but I don't really want to bank
1:15:00
Speaker 1: on it. A little. Colorado is a public side. Eighty
1:15:02
Speaker 1: nine percent of the tickets, eight to ninety six percent
1:15:05
Speaker 1: of the cash on them. They're down for minus three
1:15:07
Speaker 1: forty five to minus three twenty five on the money line.
1:15:11
Speaker 1: You could get a huge puck line price on Saint
1:15:13
Speaker 1: Louis if you really want it. Maybe slightly in that way,
1:15:17
Speaker 1: But I don't really have much of an opinion at
1:15:19
Speaker 1: all here. Chris Pronger was talking shit on Series XM. Yeah,
1:15:25
Speaker 1: Pronger is kind of an ass alright, And then we
1:15:29
Speaker 1: have a Philadelphia at Calgary. This actually might be one
1:15:33
Speaker 1: of my better opinions in hockey today. I don't know,
1:15:36
Speaker 1: man Philadelphia to just beat Vancouver yesterday. They're on a
1:15:39
Speaker 1: back to back, they're playing a third game in four days,
1:15:42
Speaker 1: all in different cities. The win over Vancouver isn't that big,
1:15:45
Speaker 1: but they're probably gonna have Ersen in that again here
1:15:48
Speaker 1: and they have Edmonton next on Saturday, so that is
1:15:51
Speaker 1: a look ahead. I think I think they might overlook
1:15:53
Speaker 1: this Calgary team. It's just not really that good. Even
1:15:56
Speaker 1: though Calgary just beat my Bruins despite having beaten Edmonton
1:16:00
Speaker 1: in the previous game. I'm pissed about that. But Calgary's
1:16:04
Speaker 1: just staying at home. They don't really have that much
1:16:06
Speaker 1: to look forward to. So this game, for me, it's
1:16:09
Speaker 1: Calgary or pass. This is maybe one of the best
1:16:13
Speaker 1: of the hockey leans today. If I was gonna play
1:16:15
Speaker 1: any game, it actually probably would be this game. The
1:16:18
Speaker 1: money agrees with this one. Philadelphia sixty tickets on them,
1:16:22
Speaker 1: seventy four percent of the cash on the Flames. I'm
1:16:25
Speaker 1: surprised Jeffrey doesn't like the Flames in this one because
1:16:28
Speaker 1: he likes the Flames the Flamers boats because they're going
1:16:33
Speaker 1: against Philly. That's why, because it's Philly is his city,
1:16:37
Speaker 1: so they're going against Philly, and Calgary might not have
1:16:42
Speaker 1: Wolf in net vood I don't. There's no no, there's
1:16:51
Speaker 1: there's nothing to be said about revenge. No, absolutely not.
1:16:56
Speaker 1: Oh dude, I'll go up against you again in this one.
1:16:58
Speaker 1: The money is all over Calgary. This is a horrible
1:17:00
Speaker 1: spot for Philadelphia. The revenge is almost meaningless in a
1:17:04
Speaker 1: game like this. They don't give a shit about Calgary. No, way,
1:17:08
Speaker 1: absolutely not. There's I think there's almost no revenge motive here.
1:17:13
Speaker 1: I did. I completely disagree. Yeah, no stock in that
1:17:18
Speaker 1: at all. Do they play it all this year? They did?
1:17:21
Speaker 1: Philadelphia did lose at home to Calgary. That was way
1:17:23
Speaker 1: back on November two. Dude. People put way too much
1:17:26
Speaker 1: weight into shit like that. The situation is horrible for Philadelphia. Again,
1:17:32
Speaker 1: I already pointed out all the reasons to fade them
1:17:34
Speaker 1: in this game, including that the market also agrees with
1:17:36
Speaker 1: me on that. No, it's yeah, this is definitely a
1:17:42
Speaker 1: spot where it's it's Calgary, where you don't play the
1:17:44
Speaker 1: game and Calgary. Voidar is also not playing like I said,
1:17:49
Speaker 1: he played yesterday. Ersten is gonna be in net tonight,
1:17:52
Speaker 1: So what the fuck are you talking about? It's a
1:17:54
Speaker 1: back to back. They're not playing Valdiar in two games
1:17:57
Speaker 1: in a row, so it'll be Ersten in net. He's
1:18:00
Speaker 1: Calgary is the right side in that game Boston at Edmonton.
1:18:06
Speaker 1: My Bruins better fucking do something. Man. They've lost six
1:18:09
Speaker 1: games in a row. I am not happy about it.
1:18:12
Speaker 1: I'm gonna burn my Bruins hat man. I don't know
1:18:15
Speaker 1: what is going on with the Bruins. Six losses in
1:18:18
Speaker 1: a row, including an overtime loss with Swam in a net.
1:18:22
Speaker 1: He wasn't bad, though, he wasn't the reason they lost.
1:18:24
Speaker 1: The offense didn't do shit against Calgary Bruins. I mean, yeah,
1:18:30
Speaker 1: they're offensively challenged. They're not a deep team either, but
1:18:34
Speaker 1: they gotta give you something. Man. They did lose it
1:18:36
Speaker 1: home to Edmonton back in mid December. Maybe they'll zigzag
1:18:40
Speaker 1: from that and have some adjustments to make. I think
1:18:43
Speaker 1: I do have to lean to the Bruins in this game, though,
1:18:45
Speaker 1: because I just don't know that Edmonton is gonna really
1:18:47
Speaker 1: pay much attention to them. Edmonton just beat Winnipeg decent
1:18:51
Speaker 1: win on the road. They beat Helle Buck since he's back.
1:18:54
Speaker 1: They do have a team that has a better record
1:18:56
Speaker 1: up next in Philadelphia. They already beat Boston on the road, recently.
1:19:01
Speaker 1: So yeah, for me, it's Boston or pass here. It's
1:19:03
Speaker 1: not a strong opinion though, but uh, fifty nine percent
1:19:07
Speaker 1: of tickets, eighty seven percent of the cash on Boston
1:19:10
Speaker 1: Edmonton is down for minus two point five to minus
1:19:12
Speaker 1: one ninety on the money line there, So the money
1:19:16
Speaker 1: is agreeing with Boston here. That would be the way
1:19:19
Speaker 1: I would do it, like make your own plus one
1:19:21
Speaker 1: puck line or anything. Dude, you should like Calgary in
1:19:23
Speaker 1: that game anyway, regardless of who's in net there. Like
1:19:26
Speaker 1: the spot pretty much screams Calgary in that game, the
1:19:31
Speaker 1: goaltender revenge, whatever you want to call it, it's yeah,
1:19:35
Speaker 1: you can't weigh that that heavily. The situation is just
1:19:41
Speaker 1: really really bad for Philadelphia in that game. All Right,
1:19:44
Speaker 1: we got damn it. There's a lot of NBA here.
1:19:46
Speaker 1: I'm gonna try to get through it. Golden State at
1:19:49
Speaker 1: Charlotte afternoon NBA as well. This is at one pm Eastern,
1:19:54
Speaker 1: great game that we get to start off the NBA
1:19:56
Speaker 1: slate on NBA TV. He really wants to watch, you know,
1:20:01
Speaker 1: an ancient Golden State team against the Charlotte Hornets. Golden
1:20:06
Speaker 1: State just beat Brooklyn. They aren't playing a third game
1:20:10
Speaker 1: in four days though, all in different cities, so that's
1:20:12
Speaker 1: not easy and could be a look ahead because they
1:20:14
Speaker 1: got the Oklahoma City Thunder coming up next on Friday.
1:20:18
Speaker 1: So I don't think it's a great spot for Golden State,
1:20:21
Speaker 1: even though they're not really in a letdown spot here,
1:20:23
Speaker 1: but the look ahead maybe something. Charlotte just lost to Milwaukee,
1:20:28
Speaker 1: who does have Giannis back. Now, Charlotte is in a
1:20:31
Speaker 1: better rest spot because they didn't play prior to that.
1:20:33
Speaker 1: Since Friday, they're staying at home. They're gonna want to
1:20:37
Speaker 1: split this two game home standing after losing that first game.
1:20:41
Speaker 1: Likely they'll show up for Golden State. So for me,
1:20:44
Speaker 1: Charlotte is the lead in that game. Warriors have fifty
1:20:49
Speaker 1: three percent of tickets and sixty five percent of the
1:20:51
Speaker 1: cash right now. They're in their seven point favorite here.
1:20:54
Speaker 1: I don't agree with that cash percentage there. I would
1:20:58
Speaker 1: take the Hornets plus the points or leave the game
1:21:00
Speaker 1: alone in that one. Jeffrey agrees with the Hornets. You
1:21:05
Speaker 1: like Pacers, Sons, Pelicans? Uh yeah, You're you're gonna love
1:21:11
Speaker 1: what I have to say about the Pelicans. Go Minnesota
1:21:15
Speaker 1: at Atlanta, Minnesota. Let's see here, Minnesota. They're coming off
1:21:21
Speaker 1: beating Chicago by thirty five points on the road. Uh,
1:21:25
Speaker 1: they might be feeling a little bit high off of that.
1:21:27
Speaker 1: That was a nice bounce back went off of that
1:21:29
Speaker 1: horrible loss to Brooklyn, which was kind of explainable because
1:21:33
Speaker 1: they had a huge game against Denver, and they had
1:21:36
Speaker 1: games against actually ok C and the Knicks and Denver
1:21:41
Speaker 1: in three of the prior four games. So Brooklyn caught
1:21:44
Speaker 1: them at a really good time. I think, Uh, I
1:21:46
Speaker 1: wish yeah, I did not give up a play on that.
1:21:48
Speaker 1: I wish I did. I was gonna say I think
1:21:50
Speaker 1: I gave out a plan that I didn't, but that
1:21:52
Speaker 1: was I think my strongest opinion in the NBA and Saturday.
1:21:55
Speaker 1: But I didn't give it out as a play, So
1:21:57
Speaker 1: fuck me. I guess Minnesota. They're on the road here,
1:22:01
Speaker 1: They're going to Atlanta. They might overlook Atlanta. Man, Atlanta
1:22:05
Speaker 1: hasn't been playing well. They got Miami up next. That
1:22:08
Speaker 1: might be a little bit of a bigger game for them.
1:22:10
Speaker 1: So I think it's Hawks or pass in this one.
1:22:13
Speaker 1: Not a strong opinion for me. Hawks just lost in
1:22:16
Speaker 1: Oklahoma City by double digits, but obviously that was expected.
1:22:19
Speaker 1: The Hawks played pretty well against the Knicks in the
1:22:22
Speaker 1: game prior to that. However, they do have the Knicks
1:22:24
Speaker 1: on deck, but I don't know. I just don't really
1:22:27
Speaker 1: see them overlooking Minnesota here though it is a weird
1:22:30
Speaker 1: one game homestand though before they go back out on
1:22:33
Speaker 1: the road, but they're only returning from a one game
1:22:36
Speaker 1: road trip, so it's not really like they have anything
1:22:37
Speaker 1: to do like home wise. Back at home, the money
1:22:41
Speaker 1: is all over the Hawks here. The tea Wolves are
1:22:43
Speaker 1: up from three and a half to five and a
1:22:44
Speaker 1: half here, fifty four percent of the tickets on the
1:22:47
Speaker 1: tea Wolves, eighty three percent of the cash on the Hawks.
1:22:50
Speaker 1: The money is on the Hawks, and this one I'll
1:22:53
Speaker 1: agree with it, but I don't have a strong opinion
1:22:55
Speaker 1: on that the Flames are the only team not a
1:23:00
Speaker 1: rady to fight the Flyers. Yeah, back when the Flames
1:23:02
Speaker 1: actually actually had balls, the Flames I think might have
1:23:07
Speaker 1: been one of the last Canadian teams to win the
1:23:09
Speaker 1: Stanley Cup. Two. Sab gave out a play on what
1:23:15
Speaker 1: it's see on Calgary. Where's sab At? I haven't seen
1:23:19
Speaker 1: him in the chat for a while, Garrett A Burner,
1:23:21
Speaker 1: you mean you're what do you mean is your money
1:23:24
Speaker 1: being burned? You mean you're losing, or you mean you're
1:23:26
Speaker 1: on a heater and you're winning. Orlando at Indiana. Jeffrey
1:23:32
Speaker 1: likes the Pacers in this game. Orlando is coming off
1:23:35
Speaker 1: beating Denver and then they went up to Toronto and
1:23:37
Speaker 1: they only lost by wana. Though Toronto hasn't been that
1:23:39
Speaker 1: great of a home team. But I'll probably slightly agree
1:23:43
Speaker 1: with the Pacers here, I guess. I mean, Orlando, those
1:23:46
Speaker 1: are two fairly big games for them. They're traveling back
1:23:48
Speaker 1: from Toronto down to Indiana. They got the Bulls on deck.
1:23:52
Speaker 1: I mean, maybe they pay more attention to the Bulls
1:23:54
Speaker 1: than this really struggling Indiana team that doesn't have Haliburton here.
1:23:59
Speaker 1: Indiana's just on this massive skid. They've lost how many
1:24:02
Speaker 1: games in a row? Is this nine games in a row.
1:24:04
Speaker 1: So you're gonna have to jump in front of that train.
1:24:06
Speaker 1: They are returning home from a road trip, although it
1:24:08
Speaker 1: was only a two game road trip where they went
1:24:11
Speaker 1: to Miami and Houston. That worries me a little bit. Uh.
1:24:15
Speaker 1: They played okay against Houston, only losing by seven, but
1:24:18
Speaker 1: this game wasn't close down the stretch like Indiana made
1:24:21
Speaker 1: it look more cosmetic at the end. They were losing
1:24:24
Speaker 1: by double digits, and I think Houston just kind of
1:24:26
Speaker 1: led up a little bit at the end. However, Indiana
1:24:30
Speaker 1: does have San Antonio on deck. I don't know if
1:24:32
Speaker 1: they're gonna be looking ahead or not. Probably when you're losing,
1:24:34
Speaker 1: you can't really overlook anybody. And again, this road trip
1:24:38
Speaker 1: return doesn't worry me that much because it was only
1:24:40
Speaker 1: a two game road trip, so I don't think they're
1:24:42
Speaker 1: really gonna fall into that like distraction spot. I don't
1:24:45
Speaker 1: love the game, but I'll agree with the Pacers slightly here.
1:24:49
Speaker 1: Magic of sixty nine percent of ticket, sixty percent of
1:24:51
Speaker 1: the cash their four point favorite, So yeah, I'll slightly
1:24:55
Speaker 1: agree with that one. You're on a heater, Hell yeah,
1:24:58
Speaker 1: that's right. At least not sitting on a heater that
1:25:01
Speaker 1: will burn you. The NBA is your best doe. The
1:25:05
Speaker 1: NBA has been my best sport over the entire Over
1:25:08
Speaker 1: the entire time that I've been doing this, I've won well.
1:25:11
Speaker 1: Over the last three years that I'm at tracking an
1:25:13
Speaker 1: action network, I've won twice as much in the NBA
1:25:16
Speaker 1: as any other sport, which is really saying something when
1:25:20
Speaker 1: there's more volume in sports like baseball and especially college basketball.
1:25:25
Speaker 1: So it's really crazy that the NBA is that good
1:25:28
Speaker 1: for me. But over my entire like career, basically, if
1:25:31
Speaker 1: you want to call it a career, NBA has been
1:25:33
Speaker 1: my best. SOB is hanging out with jeff Bezos at
1:25:37
Speaker 1: the the New New Year's Eve party. Jeffrey actually likes
1:25:41
Speaker 1: the Bulls. That's all right, now we're talking. I was
1:25:46
Speaker 1: gonna I was gonna be going head to head against
1:25:49
Speaker 1: Jeffrey in that one, but now you know what my
1:25:52
Speaker 1: play is in the NBA Phoenix at Cleveland this game.
1:25:59
Speaker 1: Jeffrey likes the this one. The Suns they just beat Washington.
1:26:03
Speaker 1: They've won three easy games in a row against New
1:26:05
Speaker 1: Orleans and Washington, so they got some momentum coming into
1:26:08
Speaker 1: this game against Cleveland. One problem I might have with
1:26:11
Speaker 1: the Suns here is that people are gonna look at
1:26:13
Speaker 1: this and think that it looks way too easy to
1:26:16
Speaker 1: take the points with Phoenix. You got an eighteen and
1:26:18
Speaker 1: sixteen Cleveland team against a nineteen and thirteen Phoenix team.
1:26:22
Speaker 1: Yet Cleveland is a six and a half point favorite,
1:26:25
Speaker 1: So this line kind of stinks. You know, the odds
1:26:28
Speaker 1: makers are telling you the team with the worst record
1:26:30
Speaker 1: is actually the better team. Home court doesn't account for
1:26:33
Speaker 1: that much in the NBA. It's like at most two points,
1:26:37
Speaker 1: probably a little bit less. So the odds makers are
1:26:39
Speaker 1: telling you Cleveland's the better team. So that worries me
1:26:41
Speaker 1: a little bit. For Cleveland, though, they're coming up beating
1:26:44
Speaker 1: San Antonio, so I agree they're kind of in a
1:26:47
Speaker 1: letdown spot off of that. They got Denver on deck.
1:26:50
Speaker 1: I don't really know that they're gonna overlook a team
1:26:52
Speaker 1: like Phoenix. That's good, though, but Cleveland is also returning
1:26:55
Speaker 1: over from a road trip, and it was a tough
1:26:57
Speaker 1: road trip. Man. They blew that game on Chris miss
1:27:00
Speaker 1: at the Knicks. I don't know if they did their
1:27:03
Speaker 1: holidays stuff before Christmas or not, but they've been on
1:27:06
Speaker 1: the road between the two major holidays, man, And then
1:27:08
Speaker 1: they had to go to Houston, then San Antonio. They
1:27:11
Speaker 1: got the huge win over San Antonio. Now they got Phoenix.
1:27:14
Speaker 1: You know, I kind of liked this one more than most.
1:27:18
Speaker 1: I agree with Phoenix in this one, so I want
1:27:22
Speaker 1: to play it. I don't know. I still am kind
1:27:25
Speaker 1: of thrown off by that line, though, but you know,
1:27:28
Speaker 1: I mean, you don't want to make that your only
1:27:29
Speaker 1: like handicapping tool. But again, it's it's one thing that
1:27:32
Speaker 1: might keep me off of the game though. But I agree,
1:27:34
Speaker 1: I like Phoenix in this one as well. You know,
1:27:39
Speaker 1: this road trip is gonna be tough to return from.
1:27:41
Speaker 1: Probably even though it was less than a week, it
1:27:43
Speaker 1: was during the holidays. They might have stuff to do
1:27:45
Speaker 1: back at home because they basically missed the holidays being
1:27:49
Speaker 1: on the road for it. The money is slightly coming
1:27:52
Speaker 1: in on the Calves throw up to a six point favorite.
1:27:56
Speaker 1: They have sixty four percent to take it, sixty nine
1:27:58
Speaker 1: percent of the cash. It's not that much of a
1:28:00
Speaker 1: cash disparity there, But I don't know, just something to
1:28:04
Speaker 1: keep in mind in that one. I'll stay off of it.
1:28:09
Speaker 1: But I agree with the Suns in that one. So yeah,
1:28:16
Speaker 1: my baseball players. I didn't have a good baseball season
1:28:19
Speaker 1: this year though, But it's been one of my better
1:28:21
Speaker 1: sports like long term, but this year didn't go that well.
1:28:24
Speaker 1: Baseball is the only sport where I really give out
1:28:26
Speaker 1: a high amount of totals as well. Also, it kind
1:28:30
Speaker 1: of just fits because it's the only sport that's going on,
1:28:33
Speaker 1: so I wind up having a similar volume. Just overall
1:28:37
Speaker 1: that way, Go Red Sox, Baby Red Sox. I like
1:28:43
Speaker 1: what they're doing. They're they're rebuilding right now. They're looking
1:28:46
Speaker 1: like they're on their way back up. You can't read
1:28:48
Speaker 1: your own notes. Yes, Garrett, you're a Braves fan. I
1:28:53
Speaker 1: get well, yeah, because I guess there's no Carolina baseball
1:28:56
Speaker 1: team right. Cole, my former tower gan co hoo is
1:29:00
Speaker 1: also a Braves fan because they're closest to him. I
1:29:03
Speaker 1: guess he's in Alabama, although his rooting interests are all
1:29:07
Speaker 1: over the place. He's a Celtic fan, which I don't
1:29:10
Speaker 1: know why, and then he's a Duke fan, which I
1:29:12
Speaker 1: think there's some history there in his family, and he's
1:29:15
Speaker 1: a Broncos fan in the NFL. He's all over the map. Dude,
1:29:19
Speaker 1: people are glazing Cleveland. No, they're not. Why would they
1:29:22
Speaker 1: be glazing Cleveland. I disagree with that. No, I think
1:29:26
Speaker 1: Cleveland's under the raidar right. I think they're way better
1:29:29
Speaker 1: than the record looks. That's what worries me about that. Yeah,
1:29:32
Speaker 1: they did their Kwansa stuff the business Person special. I
1:29:37
Speaker 1: don't know what that is exactly. It doesn't sound quite right,
1:29:41
Speaker 1: all right, New Orleans at Chicago. This is it best bet.
1:29:45
Speaker 1: I'm not going head to head with Jeffrey on this
1:29:47
Speaker 1: one because otherwise, you know, I would I'd be really
1:29:52
Speaker 1: really getting into this one because Yeah, I like the
1:29:54
Speaker 1: Bulls in this one a lot. The money agrees with
1:29:57
Speaker 1: me on this one. The Bulls flip from a one
1:29:59
Speaker 1: point dog one and a half point doctor to a
1:30:01
Speaker 1: one point favorite. Now. I actually found a Bull's money
1:30:04
Speaker 1: line at minus one oh seven, So if you if
1:30:06
Speaker 1: you find a cheap money line, you could do the
1:30:09
Speaker 1: money line. Otherwise you could probably lay about one on this.
1:30:12
Speaker 1: You might have to lay one and a half. Again,
1:30:14
Speaker 1: if you find a money line that's like minus one
1:30:16
Speaker 1: fifteen or cheaper that like, it's almost a no brain
1:30:20
Speaker 1: right they to just go money line on this thing.
1:30:22
Speaker 1: Minus one o seven, absolute steal thanks to bally Bets
1:30:26
Speaker 1: for that. Bulls have fifty nine percent tickets, ninety two
1:30:29
Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them. Money looks like it's
1:30:32
Speaker 1: all over the Bulls side in this one. Nobody wants
1:30:35
Speaker 1: the Bulls right now because they've been playing horribly. They're
1:30:38
Speaker 1: a really streaky team. I think they're actually playing better
1:30:40
Speaker 1: right now. People still don't want them. It's crazy. That
1:30:44
Speaker 1: the Bulls are not public even against the Pelicans, like
1:30:47
Speaker 1: the public like they don't want to fade the Pelicans
1:30:50
Speaker 1: right now, even though they've lost four games in a row.
1:30:52
Speaker 1: But look at what they did in those games, man,
1:30:54
Speaker 1: I mean they got blown out by Cleveland. Yeah, they
1:30:56
Speaker 1: played pretty uh tough against Phoenix two games, and then
1:31:00
Speaker 1: look at what they did in their last game. Man,
1:31:03
Speaker 1: they basically took the Knicks to the wire. This is
1:31:06
Speaker 1: a back and forth game. They almost beat the Knicks,
1:31:08
Speaker 1: and the Knicks are a team that'll play physical against you.
1:31:11
Speaker 1: You know, they'll play defense against you. This game was
1:31:14
Speaker 1: right to the wire. It was a one point game
1:31:16
Speaker 1: in the final minute of the game. I think it
1:31:18
Speaker 1: was tied in the final minute of the game. Pelicans
1:31:20
Speaker 1: almost pulled off that huge win, big upset over the Knicks.
1:31:25
Speaker 1: Coming off of that, I think they're gonna be in
1:31:26
Speaker 1: a major flat spot. And it's this weird one game
1:31:30
Speaker 1: where they have to travel to Chicago. I don't like it. Man.
1:31:33
Speaker 1: They got Portland next, which isn't exactly a look ahead,
1:31:36
Speaker 1: but yeah, I think just I think they're not gonna
1:31:39
Speaker 1: have much left after that game against the Knicks and
1:31:41
Speaker 1: for Chicago. They just got blown out by thirty five points, man,
1:31:45
Speaker 1: and they're staying at home and they've lost the last
1:31:47
Speaker 1: two games at home. I think they're gonna be a
1:31:49
Speaker 1: pissed off team right now. Man. So people just don't
1:31:52
Speaker 1: want Chicago after getting annihilated all the Minnesota is a
1:31:56
Speaker 1: good team. They started beating winning teams finally, but losing
1:32:00
Speaker 1: by thirty five at home is basically just you know,
1:32:04
Speaker 1: like that's that's just something. That's what's the word I'm
1:32:07
Speaker 1: looking for. It's unacceptable, man. So like they're gonna bounce
1:32:10
Speaker 1: back from that. They're gonna be in a big time
1:32:12
Speaker 1: focused spot here, I imagine. So we're gonna take the
1:32:15
Speaker 1: Bulls in this game. I'm all over it. Bulls is
1:32:19
Speaker 1: the best probably the best play of the day, in
1:32:21
Speaker 1: my opinion, is the Chicago Bulls, Hornet's Tarios, Braves and Panthers.
1:32:28
Speaker 1: Yeah so mostly yeah, the Carolina teams there correct, Cleveland, Yeah,
1:32:35
Speaker 1: just played those two huge games that well. The Spurs
1:32:37
Speaker 1: game was a while ago though, but they literally just
1:32:40
Speaker 1: played the Knicks in the last game. Bulls, two best
1:32:42
Speaker 1: players are hurt, all right, give me the Bulls, don't
1:32:45
Speaker 1: care whatever. How long has Giddy been hurt whatever. I
1:32:51
Speaker 1: don't know, dude. I played the Bulls against Detroit in
1:32:53
Speaker 1: an injured player theory spot when Giddy was out, I believe, right,
1:32:57
Speaker 1: and that was that was a nice win for us
1:32:59
Speaker 1: that we had. When was that game? Or am I
1:33:03
Speaker 1: wrong about that? Maybe I played on Detroit. I don't remember, dude.
1:33:07
Speaker 1: Actually I think I played on Detroit because Giddy was
1:33:09
Speaker 1: coming back. But yeah, when When's when was Giddy? When
1:33:13
Speaker 1: was the last time he played? Let me see, Oh
1:33:18
Speaker 1: that's even better, baby, it's an injured player theory spot.
1:33:21
Speaker 1: Giddy got hurt in the game against Minnesota, so now
1:33:24
Speaker 1: we get extra value on the Bulls because their star
1:33:27
Speaker 1: player got hurt. You know, I always talk about this,
1:33:29
Speaker 1: when a team star player gets hurt, you get extra
1:33:32
Speaker 1: value on the team and the team will usually really
1:33:33
Speaker 1: step up their game after that. So, yeah, Giddy got
1:33:36
Speaker 1: hurt in that Minnesota game, So this is an injured
1:33:38
Speaker 1: player spot as well. Thank you Garrett for telling me that. Yes,
1:33:43
Speaker 1: even better double injured player spot. Although I care more
1:33:47
Speaker 1: about Giddy than everybody else because he's like, they're star players.
1:33:50
Speaker 1: So yes, we're absolutely on the Bulls in this game.
1:33:54
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna step it up. You're getting a
1:33:56
Speaker 1: ton of value on the Bulls because of the injuries
1:33:58
Speaker 1: as well. It's all in this game, and I mean
1:34:03
Speaker 1: the Pelicans suck. I mean, come on, man, let's let's
1:34:06
Speaker 1: be real about this. Yeah, the Bulls are still the
1:34:10
Speaker 1: better team, I think, and and the game is priced
1:34:13
Speaker 1: like the Bulls aren't the better team basically because of
1:34:16
Speaker 1: the injuries. But I think even with those injuries, I
1:34:18
Speaker 1: think the Bulls are slightly better than the Pelicans, So
1:34:21
Speaker 1: I think there is value on that line there. I
1:34:25
Speaker 1: don't know much about Kobe White, though obviously I know
1:34:28
Speaker 1: Giddy because he was on the Thunder and he got
1:34:31
Speaker 1: all that shit for dude, I think he basically got
1:34:34
Speaker 1: Birdmand he got Chris Anderson, where people are saying that
1:34:37
Speaker 1: Giddy's a pedophile and whatever. I've made jokes about it.
1:34:39
Speaker 1: But it was a situation where he was like communicating
1:34:43
Speaker 1: with a woman online I think, or maybe I don't
1:34:45
Speaker 1: remember if it was in person or not, but the
1:34:47
Speaker 1: chick lied about her age and it turned out that
1:34:49
Speaker 1: she was like, I don't know, like a month away
1:34:53
Speaker 1: from being eighteen or something like that. So it was
1:34:55
Speaker 1: like a he got honey potted basically man. So yeah,
1:34:58
Speaker 1: I mean that shit is all kind of for Chris Anderson,
1:35:01
Speaker 1: bird man, it was even more ridiculous because, like his career,
1:35:06
Speaker 1: his reputation got ruined. And what actually happened to him
1:35:09
Speaker 1: was he got catfish. He was communicating with his chick
1:35:13
Speaker 1: online and the chick actually wound up on catfish to
1:35:16
Speaker 1: the TV show because she was a cereal catfish out
1:35:19
Speaker 1: of Canada. She was like a teenager catfishing all these
1:35:23
Speaker 1: men and she was on catfish for catfishing some other dude,
1:35:27
Speaker 1: and she was the person who catfished Chris Anderson. And
1:35:31
Speaker 1: he thought she told him that she was like this
1:35:33
Speaker 1: like twenty something year old woman who That's what he
1:35:36
Speaker 1: thought he was talking to him. I didn't realize that
1:35:38
Speaker 1: she was this psycho teenager who was this serial catfish.
1:35:42
Speaker 1: So Chris Anderson really gets a bad rap man. He
1:35:45
Speaker 1: didn't do anything wrong, you know what I mean, other
1:35:49
Speaker 1: than the fact that, yeah, I mean he was stupid
1:35:51
Speaker 1: enough to get catfished, I guess. But other than that.
1:35:58
Speaker 1: Cleveland beat the Spurs two nights ago. What oh yeah, Cleveland,
1:36:02
Speaker 1: Yes correct, I was thinking of a different team. Yes correct.
1:36:08
Speaker 1: Kobe White played for the tar heels. Yeah, yeah, I
1:36:12
Speaker 1: don't pay enough attention to the personnel to be honest.
1:36:19
Speaker 1: Oh because yeah, because Giddy Uh yeah, because he has
1:36:22
Speaker 1: the sexy long hair, he's white, and he uh gets
1:36:25
Speaker 1: a lot of women. I guess. Yeah, it's part of
1:36:29
Speaker 1: the great replacement. Yeah, he's been He's gonna be being
1:36:31
Speaker 1: replaced by black players in this game. Probably. Let's not
1:36:35
Speaker 1: get this channel nuked. We got to finish the rest
1:36:37
Speaker 1: of these games here, man. We got bold games to
1:36:39
Speaker 1: talk about that are starting in like an hour. I
1:36:41
Speaker 1: gotta get this done. I think we'll be able to
1:36:43
Speaker 1: do it. The Knicks are playing San Antonio, so yeah,
1:36:48
Speaker 1: the Knicks just came off that game against New Orleans.
1:36:50
Speaker 1: Whe the Knicks didn't play well. The Knicks almost lost
1:36:53
Speaker 1: that game. I think they were looking ahead to San
1:36:54
Speaker 1: Antonio here, man, So this is a big game for
1:36:57
Speaker 1: both teams. I think the Knicks are in a bounced
1:36:59
Speaker 1: back spot here now. I prefer San Antonio because it
1:37:03
Speaker 1: is that kind of quick revenge spot, and I think
1:37:05
Speaker 1: it is a revenge spot that matters because the Spurs
1:37:08
Speaker 1: lost to the Knicks in the NBA Cup Final. Even
1:37:12
Speaker 1: though I don't put that much weight into the Cup,
1:37:14
Speaker 1: but I think that does matter. No, Spurs did lose
1:37:17
Speaker 1: to Utah and Cleveland, so I think maybe even they
1:37:20
Speaker 1: were looking ahead to this game against the Knicks. Spurs
1:37:22
Speaker 1: will show up in this game. This might be a
1:37:25
Speaker 1: game of revenge does matter, or it's you know, zig zag.
1:37:28
Speaker 1: The Spurs will make the adjustments. This time. They're at
1:37:31
Speaker 1: home where they were not in that game in the
1:37:33
Speaker 1: NBA Cup. That game was at Vegas. In Vegas, so
1:37:38
Speaker 1: I hesitate because the Knicks are obviously I think gonna
1:37:41
Speaker 1: show up for this game as well, because they're coming
1:37:43
Speaker 1: off that ugly game against the Pelicans. But I think
1:37:47
Speaker 1: you if you play the game, you play the Spurs
1:37:49
Speaker 1: or pass. That would be my opinion. The money agrees
1:37:52
Speaker 1: that on that one, fifty four percent of tickets, seventy
1:37:55
Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash on the Spurs. I'm surprised
1:37:57
Speaker 1: Jeffrey is not on this one because he ways revenge
1:38:01
Speaker 1: too heavily. Spurs down from two and a half to
1:38:04
Speaker 1: two in this game. But yeah, I agree with the
1:38:06
Speaker 1: Spurs in that one, but I don't love it. Denver
1:38:10
Speaker 1: at Toronto is gonna be a weird one. Man. Denver,
1:38:13
Speaker 1: they just had an embarrassing loss to Miami. They gave
1:38:17
Speaker 1: up one hundred and forty seven points to Miami. Got
1:38:20
Speaker 1: to think they're in some sort of bounced back spot here.
1:38:24
Speaker 1: They do have Cleveland on deck, but I think they're
1:38:26
Speaker 1: probably gonna show up focus for this game. But Toronto,
1:38:32
Speaker 1: I mean Toronto. Toronto is coming off two decent wins
1:38:35
Speaker 1: at home. They beat Golden State by double digits in overtime,
1:38:38
Speaker 1: which is weird, and then they beat Orlando. Pretty nice
1:38:41
Speaker 1: win for Toronto. Though Toronto's actually not that good at
1:38:44
Speaker 1: home coming off two decent wins. They're only ten and
1:38:46
Speaker 1: seven at home, and Denver is twelve and five on
1:38:49
Speaker 1: the road. So the situational setup does have me leaning
1:38:53
Speaker 1: somewhat towards Denver here a bouncing back from an ugly loss.
1:38:57
Speaker 1: Toronto is, you know, so coming up those two decent wins.
1:39:02
Speaker 1: But people are gonna look at this line and be like,
1:39:04
Speaker 1: what the hell is going on here? Because Toronto's now
1:39:08
Speaker 1: a six and a half point favorite, So, you know,
1:39:11
Speaker 1: in a way, it almost looks too easy to take
1:39:13
Speaker 1: the Nuggets sixty three percent of tickets, seventy percent of
1:39:16
Speaker 1: the cash on Toronto. But obviously the line is where
1:39:20
Speaker 1: it is because Jokic got hurt, so that means it
1:39:23
Speaker 1: is an injured player spot. Yes, correct, Jokic is out
1:39:27
Speaker 1: for four weeks, so I think people do know about
1:39:30
Speaker 1: that one because it was all over the sports media,
1:39:32
Speaker 1: so I talk about it all the time. Injured player
1:39:36
Speaker 1: spot usually you get value that first game that that
1:39:39
Speaker 1: star players hurt because the line over adjusts. I know
1:39:41
Speaker 1: Jokic is basically carrying the Nuggets team right now, but
1:39:46
Speaker 1: first game without him in a spot that I think
1:39:48
Speaker 1: is decent for them as well to bounce back. I
1:39:50
Speaker 1: think they will show up for this. I think you're
1:39:52
Speaker 1: getting extra line value because Jokic is out. Usually the
1:39:56
Speaker 1: line does over adjust a little bit. So I would
1:39:58
Speaker 1: take the points with Denver. I was gonna play that game.
1:40:02
Speaker 1: I considered it because you know, the injured player theory
1:40:05
Speaker 1: spot is part of the arsenal man It's one of
1:40:09
Speaker 1: the tools in the toolbox. But this one, I just
1:40:12
Speaker 1: worry about it slightly. I don't know, I just something
1:40:18
Speaker 1: about it. Just yeah, it doesn't feel as strong to me.
1:40:21
Speaker 1: But yeah, I like Denver generally in that game plus
1:40:24
Speaker 1: the points though, and again the team usually like shows
1:40:28
Speaker 1: up that first game because they know they have to
1:40:30
Speaker 1: play hard with that star player gone, especially because they're
1:40:33
Speaker 1: coming off a real ugly loss too, which is the
1:40:36
Speaker 1: game where Jokic got hurt against the Heat Washington and Milwaukee.
1:40:40
Speaker 1: Washington's coming off losing by double digits of Phoenix. Single
1:40:44
Speaker 1: road game here, third game in four days, with the
1:40:46
Speaker 1: only one in a different city here. Weird single game
1:40:49
Speaker 1: road trip though. In the Bucks, they're coming off beating Charlotte,
1:40:53
Speaker 1: but they are turning over from a road trip. So
1:40:55
Speaker 1: the Bucks. After Christmas, they got you Yannis back as
1:40:59
Speaker 1: a Christmas gift, they went on the road. I believe
1:41:01
Speaker 1: Giannis is why played two games since coming back, and
1:41:04
Speaker 1: they actually did win both of them. Even though I
1:41:06
Speaker 1: talk about the reverse injured player spot, it didn't happen
1:41:09
Speaker 1: in Milwaukee's game against Chicago. I don't believe they won
1:41:12
Speaker 1: the game and probably covered because they were on the road.
1:41:16
Speaker 1: So Milwaukee, they are turning over from a road trip though,
1:41:18
Speaker 1: And you know, I don't love road trip orturn spots
1:41:20
Speaker 1: because I think you can overlook your opponent. They weren't
1:41:23
Speaker 1: gone for that long, it was less than a week.
1:41:26
Speaker 1: They only went to Memphis, Chicago and Charlotte. But still
1:41:30
Speaker 1: could be a little bit distracted. Maybe they overlooked Washington
1:41:32
Speaker 1: a little bit year so slightly for me to the
1:41:35
Speaker 1: Wizards in this one. The money agrees with that Bucks
1:41:39
Speaker 1: down from thirteen to ten and a half, seventy eight
1:41:40
Speaker 1: percent of tickets on the Bucks, sixty nine percent of
1:41:43
Speaker 1: the cash on the Wizards. But I'm passing on it.
1:41:46
Speaker 1: And then we have Portland and Oklahoma City to finish
1:41:50
Speaker 1: it off, which Portland is one of the only teams
1:41:52
Speaker 1: to beat Oklahoma City this year, but Oklahoma City did
1:41:55
Speaker 1: get revenge on them already and beat them in Oklahoma City.
1:41:58
Speaker 1: And that's where this game is. Portland's playing a third
1:42:01
Speaker 1: game in four days. They beat Dallas even though we
1:42:04
Speaker 1: faded them. We got a push on that game on
1:42:07
Speaker 1: the Mavericks. I thought Portland was in a bad spot
1:42:09
Speaker 1: after beating my Celtics. Then they had Oklahoma City up next,
1:42:13
Speaker 1: so I thought it was a sandwich spot. Unfortunately it
1:42:16
Speaker 1: was a push. Now they are going to Oklahoma City,
1:42:19
Speaker 1: where they did lose the last time they were here.
1:42:20
Speaker 1: But Okasee is just really good at home, man, and
1:42:23
Speaker 1: they're staying at home. They're playing a third game at
1:42:26
Speaker 1: four days. Debatably maybe the look ahead to Golden State,
1:42:29
Speaker 1: I don't know. And then you got to look at
1:42:31
Speaker 1: what's going on with the injuries for Portland here. Jeremy
1:42:35
Speaker 1: Grant is still gonna be out, so he's not back yet.
1:42:37
Speaker 1: Drew Holliday is not coming back yet either. It looked
1:42:40
Speaker 1: like their returns were imminent, but that's not gonna be
1:42:43
Speaker 1: the case here. So Portland is still playing pretty shorthanded here.
1:42:47
Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean, I don't love it. The money
1:42:51
Speaker 1: is coming in on the Blazers, for what it's worth.
1:42:52
Speaker 1: The Thunder, I think we're favored by about the same
1:42:55
Speaker 1: amount in this game when we laid the points with
1:42:58
Speaker 1: them against the Blazers the last time we got a
1:43:00
Speaker 1: win on that one. Sixty seven percent of tickets on
1:43:03
Speaker 1: the Thunder, seventy of the cash coming back on the Blazers.
1:43:06
Speaker 1: Thunder or sixteen point favorite here. But the Thunder aren't
1:43:09
Speaker 1: really in a terrible spot here, and they're really good
1:43:12
Speaker 1: at home. They went by like an average of almost
1:43:14
Speaker 1: twenty points at home, So I kind of worry about it, man,
1:43:18
Speaker 1: so I'm staying away from it. I guess I slightly
1:43:21
Speaker 1: agree with the zigzag component of it towards taking the
1:43:23
Speaker 1: boys with Portland, but I don't want anything to do
1:43:25
Speaker 1: with it. And then we got college football, we got
1:43:28
Speaker 1: bowls and we got playoffs. Here, man, I'm not gonna
1:43:31
Speaker 1: get involved in the bulls today. They're kind of interesting.
1:43:34
Speaker 1: I am not. I'm gonna be at my parents' house.
1:43:38
Speaker 1: There's a New Year's dinner going on at my parents' house.
1:43:41
Speaker 1: That's where I'm gonna be. Uh where I was last
1:43:43
Speaker 1: week as well for the Christmas festivities. This is gonna
1:43:48
Speaker 1: be a smaller thing though. First game up is the
1:43:51
Speaker 1: relya Quest Bowl, which relya Quest is some AI bullshit.
1:43:56
Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't trust that company. This is
1:43:59
Speaker 1: number twenty three Iowa on number fourteen Vandy. The game
1:44:02
Speaker 1: is in Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay. So Raymond
1:44:05
Speaker 1: James actually hosts multiple Bowl games. This is a Tampa
1:44:10
Speaker 1: Bay Buccaneers stadium here. I guess you could make the
1:44:13
Speaker 1: argument the venue is a little bit better for Vandy
1:44:16
Speaker 1: because the travel is a little bit less for their
1:44:18
Speaker 1: fans to get there. But you know me, this game
1:44:22
Speaker 1: is pretty much defense versus offense, so you know I'm
1:44:25
Speaker 1: gonna start leaning towards the defense. You've got to look
1:44:27
Speaker 1: at the opt outs. Iowa has all these potential opt
1:44:30
Speaker 1: outs here, but Kirk Ferrence is basically saying his guys
1:44:33
Speaker 1: are gonna all show up for the game. So to me,
1:44:35
Speaker 1: it does seem like the opt outs are gonna be
1:44:37
Speaker 1: minimal on the Iowa side. I think they're minimal on
1:44:40
Speaker 1: both sides. So I think this game is actually pretty
1:44:43
Speaker 1: much a straight handicap unless we get news that Iowa
1:44:46
Speaker 1: players are opting out last minute here. So I don't know,
1:44:49
Speaker 1: pay attention to the news here, but to me, it
1:44:52
Speaker 1: looks like both teams are showing up for this Bowl game. Vandy,
1:44:57
Speaker 1: you know, I mean, Pavious Listen is a potential opt out,
1:45:00
Speaker 1: I doubt it. I think he's definitely gonna play. Pavia.
1:45:03
Speaker 1: I mean, he went through all that. He went through
1:45:05
Speaker 1: that tirade though, because he like came in second in
1:45:08
Speaker 1: the Heisman voting I think or whatever it was. So
1:45:11
Speaker 1: Mendoza I believe won the Heisman and Pavia was like
1:45:14
Speaker 1: flipping out about it on social media. Pavia is out
1:45:17
Speaker 1: of his mind, man, let's just put it that way.
1:45:19
Speaker 1: So I don't know if that heisman uh snub, if
1:45:23
Speaker 1: you want to call it that. I mean, I think
1:45:24
Speaker 1: Mendoza rightfully got it. But if you want to yeah,
1:45:27
Speaker 1: if you think that the Heisman snub or whatever you
1:45:29
Speaker 1: want to call it is going to affect Pavio's mental state,
1:45:32
Speaker 1: maybe that's part of the handicap here as well. But
1:45:35
Speaker 1: I think the handicap kind of comes down to just
1:45:37
Speaker 1: handicapping this game straight, and it is I always got
1:45:41
Speaker 1: the better defense, Vandy has the way better offense, and
1:45:43
Speaker 1: you know me, I like defense over offense. I think
1:45:46
Speaker 1: good defenses can beat good offenses. And I think it's
1:45:50
Speaker 1: it matters more when you have a spot like this
1:45:52
Speaker 1: where these teams have been off for a long time,
1:45:56
Speaker 1: and I think that hurts, like an offense like Vandy,
1:45:58
Speaker 1: like a team that has a precision offense, a finesse offense.
1:46:02
Speaker 1: When you've been off for that long, it takes you
1:46:04
Speaker 1: a little while to get back into the swing of things,
1:46:06
Speaker 1: you know what I mean. So I could also see
1:46:08
Speaker 1: playing Iowa and you know, first quarter, first half in
1:46:10
Speaker 1: this game as a small underdog, like expecting that Vandy
1:46:14
Speaker 1: might start slow because they're gonna be out of rhythm,
1:46:17
Speaker 1: whereas for Iowa, they could just hit the ground running
1:46:20
Speaker 1: pun intended because a team like Iowa that runs the
1:46:23
Speaker 1: ball a lot and plays defense, they handle layoffs a
1:46:27
Speaker 1: lot better than that man because they don't have to
1:46:29
Speaker 1: worry about timing or whatever. They could just get right
1:46:31
Speaker 1: back out there and start grinding, you know what I mean.
1:46:33
Speaker 1: So the situation does set up a lot better for
1:46:36
Speaker 1: Iowa just in general. Earlier in this game, I think
1:46:39
Speaker 1: it does as well. You do have to worry about
1:46:41
Speaker 1: maybe Vandy being a little bit disappointed as well, because
1:46:44
Speaker 1: you know, there was just kind of that outside shot
1:46:46
Speaker 1: of them making the playoffs. So I don't know if
1:46:48
Speaker 1: they legitimately thought they could make it down the stretch.
1:46:52
Speaker 1: But however, this was Vandy's best season, like maybe in
1:46:55
Speaker 1: program history, though, so I don't know how they how
1:46:57
Speaker 1: disappointed they really could be here. So I think they
1:47:01
Speaker 1: will probably still show up. You know, they want to
1:47:04
Speaker 1: cap what was a really really good season for the
1:47:06
Speaker 1: program with a decent win. They get to play a
1:47:08
Speaker 1: Big ten team, so it's not like they're playing some
1:47:11
Speaker 1: cupcake here, so I think, to me, I do think
1:47:14
Speaker 1: they will consider it a reward. I think Iowa will
1:47:16
Speaker 1: as well. I mean, Iowa didn't really have any actual
1:47:20
Speaker 1: thoughts of making the playoff or anything. Like that. Either.
1:47:23
Speaker 1: Iowa faced a pretty difficult schedule as well. They played
1:47:25
Speaker 1: pretty well this year. Man, So I was defense showed
1:47:28
Speaker 1: up and played really well against like Indiana Oregon. Io
1:47:32
Speaker 1: was legit defensively, man, if they could hold those teams.
1:47:36
Speaker 1: I think they held both teams to below twenty points.
1:47:39
Speaker 1: And we had Iowa against against Indiana and that game
1:47:43
Speaker 1: we had Iowa plus the points too. Iowa was defens
1:47:47
Speaker 1: is for real, man, And if i was defense could
1:47:48
Speaker 1: slow down Indiana and Oregon. Vandy's offense isn't as good
1:47:52
Speaker 1: as those two offenses, I don't think so. I think
1:47:54
Speaker 1: Iowa can pretty much slow down any offense if they
1:47:57
Speaker 1: have the ability to do that. So yeah, I like
1:48:00
Speaker 1: Iowa in this one. I think that's pretty much the
1:48:03
Speaker 1: handicap there. The money is agreeing with that. Uh, you
1:48:06
Speaker 1: could have gotten five to five and a half. If
1:48:08
Speaker 1: you want to get Iowa, you got to get at
1:48:09
Speaker 1: least three and a half, get you know, the key
1:48:12
Speaker 1: number at the very least. But the late money looks
1:48:13
Speaker 1: like it is agreeing with Iowa. Here fifty three percent
1:48:16
Speaker 1: of the tickets on Vandy of the cash on Iowa.
1:48:19
Speaker 1: You know, the public, they always love offense. They don't
1:48:22
Speaker 1: love defense, you know, teams that play ugly offense. But Iowa,
1:48:27
Speaker 1: I mean their passing offense has been a little bit
1:48:29
Speaker 1: better than in year's past because Kirk Farrens told his
1:48:33
Speaker 1: son that he couldn't be the offensive coordinator anymore. So
1:48:36
Speaker 1: Iowa they've actually been able to throw the ball a
1:48:39
Speaker 1: little bit this year with Granowski, and they're facing a
1:48:42
Speaker 1: weak Vandy defense here, so Iowa should be able to
1:48:44
Speaker 1: move the ball I think a bit against this defense.
1:48:49
Speaker 1: I wouldn't disagree with an under as well. I think
1:48:51
Speaker 1: this game is obviously like a game where it's correlated,
1:48:54
Speaker 1: where if you think Iowa covers, probably it's a low
1:48:56
Speaker 1: scoring game. Vandy covers, it's probably a high scoring game.
1:48:59
Speaker 1: The toll all the way down to forty six, though,
1:49:01
Speaker 1: so if you want the under, you missed out on
1:49:04
Speaker 1: that key number of forty seven. Money is coming in
1:49:07
Speaker 1: on the under, fifty two tickets on the over, sixty
1:49:10
Speaker 1: six percent of the cash on the under. So that
1:49:12
Speaker 1: also kind of backs thinking that Iowa is the right
1:49:16
Speaker 1: side here because it looks like the professional money is
1:49:18
Speaker 1: on Iowa and the under, and that all lines up
1:49:21
Speaker 1: to me, So it's not a play for me, just
1:49:24
Speaker 1: because I don't really see like a motivational factor that's
1:49:27
Speaker 1: good enough here, But I like Iowa to cover in
1:49:30
Speaker 1: that game. You better get at least three and a
1:49:32
Speaker 1: half though. CBS at two pm we have the Tony
1:49:37
Speaker 1: the Tiger Sunball because it's great, which I think it's
1:49:41
Speaker 1: been Tony the Tiger for quite a while. Man with
1:49:46
Speaker 1: By the way, Tony the Tiger's voice was thorough. Ravenscroft
1:49:51
Speaker 1: did his voice and he's the singer for your A
1:49:54
Speaker 1: mean one, mister Grinch. That guy, same voice, Tony the Tiger.
1:50:00
Speaker 1: This is Arizona State and Duke. This is This is
1:50:04
Speaker 1: a game that I think has a lot of moving
1:50:05
Speaker 1: parts that makes it really difficult to handicap. It's in
1:50:08
Speaker 1: El Paso, Texas, so the location is probably favorable to
1:50:12
Speaker 1: Arizona State because they play in the Southwest obviously, so
1:50:16
Speaker 1: I think it'll be easier for their fans to get
1:50:18
Speaker 1: to this game. Now, do you make the argument that
1:50:22
Speaker 1: Duke is disappointed at all because Duke won the ACC
1:50:25
Speaker 1: Championship but did not make the playoff, But I think
1:50:29
Speaker 1: going into that game they had to have known they
1:50:30
Speaker 1: weren't going to make the playoff. I mean that's I
1:50:33
Speaker 1: think why Duke played really loose in that game and
1:50:35
Speaker 1: beat Virginia's because Virginia all the pressure was on them,
1:50:38
Speaker 1: and that was my handicap in that game. I wish
1:50:40
Speaker 1: I played it Virginia because I was correct about Duke
1:50:44
Speaker 1: in that game. Virginia had all the pressure on the
1:50:46
Speaker 1: minute was we have to win to get in, whereas
1:50:48
Speaker 1: for Duke, it was even if we win, we're not
1:50:51
Speaker 1: going to get in. So I think Duke was playing
1:50:53
Speaker 1: with a chip on their shoulder. They're playing with a
1:50:55
Speaker 1: little bit of revenge or zig zag as well playing loose.
1:50:59
Speaker 1: You know. So Duke got that win. Now, will it
1:51:02
Speaker 1: be like a letdown spot of any kind of Basically,
1:51:05
Speaker 1: will Duke be excited to be in this Bowl game?
1:51:07
Speaker 1: That is the question. I don't know. I mean, they
1:51:09
Speaker 1: get to face a big twelve team. They're not really
1:51:11
Speaker 1: facing a cupcake here, so maybe they will show up
1:51:14
Speaker 1: for it. The money seems to indicate, or at least
1:51:17
Speaker 1: it was for a while, because Duke went up from
1:51:19
Speaker 1: a one and a half to a three point favorite
1:51:21
Speaker 1: kind of indicated that maybe Duke is showing up for
1:51:24
Speaker 1: this game to some extent. But the lay money seems
1:51:27
Speaker 1: to be coming back on taking the points of the
1:51:29
Speaker 1: Arizona State I would probably lean that way fifty nine
1:51:32
Speaker 1: percent of tickets and fifty five percent of the cash
1:51:35
Speaker 1: on Duke. Now, the problem with Duke is similar to
1:51:37
Speaker 1: the Vandy problem, which is the Duke is more of
1:51:39
Speaker 1: a precision offense. And again with all that time off,
1:51:43
Speaker 1: even though they did play in the a SEC Championship,
1:51:45
Speaker 1: having that time off could hurt their offense. Whereas Arizona State,
1:51:49
Speaker 1: they were a defensive team. They're the better defense getting points.
1:51:52
Speaker 1: And you know, just like Iowa better defense getting points.
1:51:55
Speaker 1: I prefer that side usually, and I think Arizona State
1:51:58
Speaker 1: should be able to play better or early in the
1:52:01
Speaker 1: game as well, just because the way that they play
1:52:03
Speaker 1: is more conducive to them. They're gonna have to run
1:52:06
Speaker 1: the ball where because we know Arizona State's quarterback Levitt
1:52:10
Speaker 1: has been hurt for a while. He got hurt twice
1:52:12
Speaker 1: this season and the last time he got hurt he
1:52:14
Speaker 1: hasn't come back. So Arizona State, I believe their quarterback
1:52:18
Speaker 1: that filled in for him is gonna play, which is
1:52:23
Speaker 1: let me see here, what was his name? I can't
1:52:26
Speaker 1: remember his name. This stuff is all over the place here,
1:52:30
Speaker 1: sims Jeff Simms. He wasn't great, but he played some
1:52:34
Speaker 1: of Arizona State's games this year, and it looks like
1:52:36
Speaker 1: I guess dilling him. Arizona States coach is saying he
1:52:40
Speaker 1: wants to get their freshman quarterback Dire some reps in
1:52:43
Speaker 1: this game too, to get him some experience. I think
1:52:46
Speaker 1: that's okay though, because Duke's defense is pretty bad, so
1:52:51
Speaker 1: I think Arizona State should be able to have some
1:52:54
Speaker 1: amount of offense in this game against that defense, So
1:52:57
Speaker 1: I'm okay with that. As far as the transfer portal,
1:53:00
Speaker 1: Arizona State has a bunch of guys in the transfer
1:53:02
Speaker 1: port but of course Levitt is already injured, so he's
1:53:05
Speaker 1: not gonna play anyway, it doesn't matter. Some of these
1:53:08
Speaker 1: guys might play. And then we do have the actual
1:53:11
Speaker 1: opt outs for Arizona State. There are some. One of
1:53:14
Speaker 1: them is an injured a defensive back though, but we
1:53:18
Speaker 1: do see some opt outs on Arizona State on both sides,
1:53:21
Speaker 1: and then some potential opt outs. It looks like some
1:53:24
Speaker 1: of these guys are still playing though in the game,
1:53:26
Speaker 1: even though it looks like they're gonna head to the
1:53:28
Speaker 1: NFL Draft. So Arizona State has some opt outs and
1:53:33
Speaker 1: Duke actually has fewer opt outs. So that's what I
1:53:36
Speaker 1: was talking about. Where to me, it seemed like Duke
1:53:39
Speaker 1: is going to pretty much show up in this game,
1:53:41
Speaker 1: and that includes Mensa O, the quarterback who I guess
1:53:45
Speaker 1: was considering entering the draft this year, but it looks
1:53:47
Speaker 1: like he is actually going to play in this game instead.
1:53:50
Speaker 1: So I think he is playing in this game and
1:53:53
Speaker 1: he's gonna return to Duke for another season. So as
1:53:57
Speaker 1: a red shirt junior, even I think it's like it's
1:54:00
Speaker 1: fifth year because he was on TWU lane before this year. Whatever,
1:54:04
Speaker 1: So I think Duke has a more intact roster here,
1:54:07
Speaker 1: and that's kind of the issue that I have with it.
1:54:09
Speaker 1: I'll slightly lean to taking the boys in Arizona State,
1:54:11
Speaker 1: but I really don't love it. Pavia out drinking all night,
1:54:17
Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, maybe I mean Tampa, you know,
1:54:20
Speaker 1: maybe it's kind of a party city. I mean, because
1:54:23
Speaker 1: I guess because you know, when you when you play
1:54:25
Speaker 1: for an inland team like Tennessee and you wind up
1:54:27
Speaker 1: at the beach, you know, you know, in a coastal
1:54:30
Speaker 1: area in Tampa, maybe you will be partying a little bit.
1:54:34
Speaker 1: I don't know. Uh, Nate, you got Nebraska. You're not
1:54:38
Speaker 1: gonna like what I'm gonna say about Nebraska, but you
1:54:40
Speaker 1: probably already know that. Although I don't have to play
1:54:43
Speaker 1: on that game. Yes, my parents house again. Yeah, I
1:54:47
Speaker 1: don't think I mentioned I would be there tonight, but yes, correct,
1:54:51
Speaker 1: My Twitter bitches are always online, baby, They're they're always around.
1:54:55
Speaker 1: I have so many of them. Some of them are
1:54:57
Speaker 1: always around. Mendoza you no, no brainer. Yeah, Pavi is
1:55:02
Speaker 1: just a crazy dude. Man. He plays a dude. I
1:55:07
Speaker 1: mean I kind of like him though, just because he's
1:55:09
Speaker 1: a small dude and and so am I. And he
1:55:11
Speaker 1: goes out there just plays like basically just the effort
1:55:14
Speaker 1: that he puts in is what makes him good, you
1:55:16
Speaker 1: know what I mean. He's I said, he's like a
1:55:19
Speaker 1: bulldog out there. He should be on a team whose
1:55:21
Speaker 1: mascot is the Bulldogs and not the gay Commodores and
1:55:26
Speaker 1: the Vanderbilt Commodoores. Sounds way too, you know, sounds way too,
1:55:33
Speaker 1: robber Baron, and I don't mean in a good way. Yeah,
1:55:37
Speaker 1: Duke lacrosse was a hoax. Correct. I agree that Nebraska
1:55:41
Speaker 1: will lose that game in that Bowl game, and I
1:55:45
Speaker 1: don't really like them to cover either money line with
1:55:51
Speaker 1: Arizona State, I really worry about it because they're gonna
1:55:53
Speaker 1: have somewhat of a thin roster there. It seems like
1:55:55
Speaker 1: Duke is the more intact team there, which is basically
1:55:58
Speaker 1: why they're the favorite. I don't know, I worry about that.
1:56:01
Speaker 1: Michigan and Texas are playing in the Cheese at Citrus Bowl,
1:56:07
Speaker 1: which I think cheese that used to sponsor a different bowl.
1:56:09
Speaker 1: This is in Orlando, Florida, so we get today is
1:56:12
Speaker 1: all good weather Bowl games, man, unless there's going to
1:56:16
Speaker 1: be rain or anything. But I don't know about that,
1:56:18
Speaker 1: but it's all at least not cold weather in these games.
1:56:22
Speaker 1: Of course there's not going to be rained in the
1:56:23
Speaker 1: Sun Bowl though, But the Cheese at Citrus Bowl is
1:56:26
Speaker 1: number eighteen Michigan, number thirteen Texas. This game is an
1:56:29
Speaker 1: absolute mess to try to handicap man. It's in Orlando,
1:56:34
Speaker 1: so the venue isn't really that beneficial to either team.
1:56:38
Speaker 1: Texas has more experience, especially on the quarterback side of things,
1:56:42
Speaker 1: because Arch you know, Arch Manning whatever. Even though he
1:56:45
Speaker 1: looks like ass I assume he's playing in this game.
1:56:48
Speaker 1: He played a little bit last year. He's got a
1:56:50
Speaker 1: bit more experience than true freshman Bryce Underwood from Michigan,
1:56:55
Speaker 1: who was okay this year. But Michigan's really known for
1:56:58
Speaker 1: their defense man, and that's what both teams are known for.
1:57:01
Speaker 1: So this is a game where both teams are much
1:57:03
Speaker 1: better defensively than offensively. And you know what I like
1:57:06
Speaker 1: to say, when you get defenses, you tend to want
1:57:09
Speaker 1: to look towards lower scoring games and taking the points,
1:57:12
Speaker 1: and that's probably what I would do in this game.
1:57:14
Speaker 1: By the way, if you like Michigan, you're missing the
1:57:16
Speaker 1: boat here because Texas was seven, seven and a half
1:57:19
Speaker 1: and now the key number is gone and it's all
1:57:21
Speaker 1: the way down to six. So it seems like the
1:57:23
Speaker 1: real money is coming in and fading Texas in this one.
1:57:27
Speaker 1: So I would try to find at least a seven
1:57:30
Speaker 1: if you like Michigan. Here met because the public is
1:57:32
Speaker 1: on the Texas side, so maybe they'll help keep that
1:57:35
Speaker 1: line up as we get into the afternoon. Sixty nine
1:57:38
Speaker 1: percent of tickets, seventy one percent of the cash on Texas,
1:57:40
Speaker 1: but they're a public side. Total is up to forty eight.
1:57:44
Speaker 1: But I also don't really disagree with an under in
1:57:46
Speaker 1: this one. Fifty one percent of tickets on the under,
1:57:48
Speaker 1: fifty six percent of the cash on the over, So
1:57:50
Speaker 1: the money is on the over. But when you're talking
1:57:53
Speaker 1: about two teams that focus on defense, I you know,
1:57:56
Speaker 1: I don't know. I see it being kind of an
1:57:58
Speaker 1: ugly game. I lean towards an under in this one.
1:58:01
Speaker 1: I don't really have an opinion on the total in
1:58:03
Speaker 1: the Duke game, by the way, where probably it's again
1:58:07
Speaker 1: if you like the under, you probably like Arizona State
1:58:09
Speaker 1: in that one. If you like the over, you probably
1:58:11
Speaker 1: like Duke. It is probably correlated. And the total dropped
1:58:14
Speaker 1: to forty seven and a half in that one. So
1:58:16
Speaker 1: some ugly low totals in these games today. Seventy nine
1:58:19
Speaker 1: percent of tickets and eighty five percent of the cash
1:58:21
Speaker 1: on the over in that game, for what it's worth.
1:58:23
Speaker 1: But this game, there's a lot going on here, man,
1:58:26
Speaker 1: because my first instinct in this game was this might
1:58:29
Speaker 1: be a play for me on Michigan in this game,
1:58:31
Speaker 1: because Texas has to be one of the most disappointed teams, right.
1:58:35
Speaker 1: Texas made the playoffs last year, they made the semi
1:58:38
Speaker 1: finals last year, I believe, and they were number one
1:58:42
Speaker 1: in the country. That was their ranking to start this season.
1:58:45
Speaker 1: So for them to not even make the playoff this year,
1:58:47
Speaker 1: that is a major disappointment. And in their last game
1:58:50
Speaker 1: they had that huge win against Texas A and m
1:58:53
Speaker 1: still didn't make the playoffs. So it's like, what do
1:58:55
Speaker 1: they really have to play for here? Even though yes,
1:58:57
Speaker 1: I know they get a draw where they get to
1:58:59
Speaker 1: face a blue blood team here, a powerhouse team in Michigan,
1:59:03
Speaker 1: so maybe that motivates them. I just don't know. Man
1:59:06
Speaker 1: in Texas, with how bad their offense has been, yeah,
1:59:11
Speaker 1: I don't like it. So initially I was like, Michigan
1:59:13
Speaker 1: might be a play for me on this bowl slate.
1:59:15
Speaker 1: Then all the Michigan stuff happened. Where their quarter there, Sorry,
1:59:20
Speaker 1: they're a head coach. Charad Moore got fired from the
1:59:24
Speaker 1: team for impropriety, which, by the way, did happen to Ohio.
1:59:28
Speaker 1: As I mentioned, Ohio wound up winning their bowl game
1:59:31
Speaker 1: against UNLV. So even though Ohio had all those potential
1:59:34
Speaker 1: distractions with their coach being fired for sleeping with women
1:59:38
Speaker 1: on the staff or whatever and drinking in his office
1:59:41
Speaker 1: with the other staff members, Ohio played in that game.
1:59:45
Speaker 1: But you remember I did talk about how Ohio did
1:59:47
Speaker 1: have a huge Bowl wind streak on the line there
1:59:50
Speaker 1: as well, so they showed up for that reason. Michigan
1:59:52
Speaker 1: doesn't have that. But it seems like Michigan is for
1:59:55
Speaker 1: the most part showing up for this Bowl game. Man,
1:59:57
Speaker 1: like their whole team pretty much traveled. So even though
2:00:00
Speaker 1: their coach not only got fired for sleeping with an assistant,
2:00:04
Speaker 1: but he got arrested for breaking into her house and
2:00:08
Speaker 1: she was I believe married, so he broke into their
2:00:11
Speaker 1: house to try to like steal evidence or something like that.
2:00:14
Speaker 1: So it's absolutely insane. Then in a matter of like
2:00:17
Speaker 1: a day or two, he got kicked off, he kicked
2:00:20
Speaker 1: out of the school, fired, and then he wound up
2:00:24
Speaker 1: in jail. It's just insane. But it seems like it
2:00:30
Speaker 1: seems like Michigan is rallying around their interim coach here,
2:00:32
Speaker 1: which is Biff something Biff ridiculous name a Biff? What's
2:00:38
Speaker 1: his name here? Let me see, Biff Poggy is the
2:00:44
Speaker 1: interim head coach here now for Michigan. Dude, you look
2:00:48
Speaker 1: at this guy, he's like this old fat dude in
2:00:51
Speaker 1: the picture that people put out of him. He's got
2:00:53
Speaker 1: like these horrible man moves and stuff, and I'm like, really,
2:00:56
Speaker 1: this is the guy, but it seems like the team
2:00:58
Speaker 1: likes him. So it seems the team is gonna play
2:01:01
Speaker 1: for Biff here in this one. And like I said,
2:01:05
Speaker 1: I'm expecting most of Michigan to pretty much play as
2:01:07
Speaker 1: you can see here. Even though Poggy said he thought
2:01:10
Speaker 1: they were gonna be opt outs. This update here says
2:01:13
Speaker 1: everybody made the trip except for three players. So these
2:01:18
Speaker 1: three opt outs, two defensive players and one offensive player
2:01:22
Speaker 1: from Michigan. Aside from those three guys, everybody's playing. It
2:01:25
Speaker 1: looks like from Michigan here. So for me, it seems
2:01:29
Speaker 1: like Michigan is definitely the more motivated team here. Though
2:01:32
Speaker 1: Texas has a lot of guys in the transfer portal,
2:01:35
Speaker 1: they have a somewhat decent amount of opt outs here,
2:01:37
Speaker 1: and a lot of opt outs on defense, and that
2:01:40
Speaker 1: is the issue here. Texas seven of their top eleven
2:01:43
Speaker 1: defenders are missing this game because they're opting out, and
2:01:47
Speaker 1: you know, some of them entering the NFL Draft and whatever.
2:01:50
Speaker 1: So Texas their strength is their defense, and that might
2:01:53
Speaker 1: be a problem, man, with all those guys opting out.
2:01:56
Speaker 1: So this game, Texas also oddly fired their defensive coordinator
2:02:02
Speaker 1: and they're bringing him will musk Champi, who I think
2:02:04
Speaker 1: used to be a Florida head coach. He's not there
2:02:06
Speaker 1: yet though, so they're gonna have some interim d C here.
2:02:09
Speaker 1: Why would Texas fire their defensive coordinator though, I don't
2:02:13
Speaker 1: understand that, Like after they beat Texas A and M
2:02:15
Speaker 1: and Texas's defense was their saving grace this year. Their
2:02:18
Speaker 1: defense was really good, so I don't understand that at all.
2:02:22
Speaker 1: But to me, I actually think Michigan is the more
2:02:25
Speaker 1: intact team here man, So I would take the points
2:02:27
Speaker 1: with Michigan if I was gonna play that one, even
2:02:30
Speaker 1: though I worry about the distractions from the head coach
2:02:34
Speaker 1: scenario to still. But yeah, some will be in Miami.
2:02:41
Speaker 1: Probably not. Miami's pretty far from Tampa, I don't think so,
2:02:46
Speaker 1: and Tampa does have a Tampa has a huge like
2:02:51
Speaker 1: strip club and prostitution scene. They're not gonna go to Miami.
2:02:57
Speaker 1: I mean, dude, Miami is probably like what like a
2:03:00
Speaker 1: six hour drive from Tampa. There's no way they're going there. Yeah, correct, yes, right,
2:03:13
Speaker 1: well yeah, he's a yeah, he's he's not making his
2:03:16
Speaker 1: race look good. Let's just say that nen yah, who
2:03:20
Speaker 1: is yea? With Trump being gay and marlag or whatever?
2:03:23
Speaker 1: And then we do have the final non playoff bowl
2:03:26
Speaker 1: game here, which is the U by the way, uh
2:03:29
Speaker 1: the winning coach for the cheese It's dude, why doesn't
2:03:32
Speaker 1: the cheese at Citrus Bowl? Why don't they do something
2:03:34
Speaker 1: like the fucking pop tar Bullock? Why don't Why doesn't
2:03:37
Speaker 1: the winning team get to bake and anthropomorphic cheese it
2:03:41
Speaker 1: and kill the cheese it and then eat a giant
2:03:43
Speaker 1: cheese it? Like, what's going on here? Why don't they
2:03:45
Speaker 1: get to do that? Anyway? Then we have the three
2:03:48
Speaker 1: point thirty PM game because all the games are in
2:03:50
Speaker 1: the afternoon to make way for the playoff game. Of course,
2:03:54
Speaker 1: that Michigan Texas game is on ABC. I forgot to mention.
2:03:57
Speaker 1: This next game is back on ESPN. Nebraska and Utah
2:04:01
Speaker 1: and the SRS Distribution Las Vegas Ball. I don't know
2:04:05
Speaker 1: what that company is. This game is in the Raiders
2:04:08
Speaker 1: Stadium allegianed Stadium, so it's an NFL stadium here. First
2:04:12
Speaker 1: of all, I think Vegas is a better location for
2:04:14
Speaker 1: Utah because they're closer, So I think Utah their fan
2:04:18
Speaker 1: base will travel Utah's ranked fifteenth in the country. Utah,
2:04:22
Speaker 1: I mean, they kind of knew that they weren't going
2:04:24
Speaker 1: to make the Big Twelve Championship pretty early on, so
2:04:26
Speaker 1: I think Utah is not really going to be a
2:04:28
Speaker 1: disappointed team here. And for Utah, they're the type of
2:04:30
Speaker 1: team that can get out and play right away, like
2:04:34
Speaker 1: with a long layoff, because you know what Utah does.
2:04:37
Speaker 1: They play physical defense, they run the football a ton,
2:04:40
Speaker 1: So it's way better for a team like that to
2:04:42
Speaker 1: come off a long layoff. It just hit the ground running.
2:04:45
Speaker 1: And it's worse for Nebraska because Nebraska had a really
2:04:49
Speaker 1: poor run defense this year and Utah wants to run
2:04:52
Speaker 1: the football. So this smash mouth rushing attack of Utah
2:04:55
Speaker 1: has a lot of advantages in this game. And it
2:04:58
Speaker 1: also means that if Utah is winning, they can actually
2:05:00
Speaker 1: extend the lead if they're rushing attack is work. And
2:05:03
Speaker 1: whereas for Nebraska, you know, Nebraska is already shorthanded because
2:05:07
Speaker 1: the Patrick Mahomes want to be is being exactly like
2:05:10
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes and being injured. There you go, what's his
2:05:14
Speaker 1: name again, Dylan Ryola. He's not playing, so it will
2:05:18
Speaker 1: be TJ latif playing in this game for Nebraska. Who
2:05:21
Speaker 1: he's looked? Okay, you know he had that one huge
2:05:24
Speaker 1: game where he got to play in La. He's from
2:05:26
Speaker 1: La originally, I think or that area had a huge
2:05:29
Speaker 1: homecoming beating Ucla. But who is he played since he
2:05:35
Speaker 1: started playing? Man? Well, yeah, they he beat Ucla and
2:05:39
Speaker 1: then they got crushed by Penn State and uh oh no,
2:05:42
Speaker 1: wait what am I looking at? Yeah? Yeah, they got
2:05:46
Speaker 1: crushed by Penn State and then they got crushed by
2:05:48
Speaker 1: Iowa to finish off the season. I didn't even remember
2:05:51
Speaker 1: that being the case. But yeah, so Latif when he
2:05:54
Speaker 1: was facing those better defenses, he didn't look good. And
2:05:56
Speaker 1: guess what, Utah is a better defense as well. So
2:06:00
Speaker 1: Latif might not be able to be able to hold
2:06:02
Speaker 1: up against this defense man. So yeah, I think it's
2:06:06
Speaker 1: all a problem. You know, there's a reason why Utah
2:06:10
Speaker 1: has a double digit favorite here. Utah, it seemed like
2:06:15
Speaker 1: a dampier their their quarterback. He was potentially gonna opt out,
2:06:19
Speaker 1: but it seems like he's playing. So Utah has kind
2:06:21
Speaker 1: of minimal opt outs here. They have a few guys
2:06:24
Speaker 1: on the on the offensive and defensive lines that are
2:06:26
Speaker 1: opting out, but it looks like they're pretty much limited
2:06:28
Speaker 1: to three opt outs here. Now, one thing to consider
2:06:31
Speaker 1: is Utah is losing Kyle Winning Him. He's not coaching
2:06:35
Speaker 1: this game. So he's been the coach at Utah for
2:06:39
Speaker 1: a long time and he's been excellent. He's going to Michigan, which,
2:06:42
Speaker 1: by the way, I think Michigan's players knowing that they
2:06:45
Speaker 1: have winning Him coming in. He's not coaching that Bowl obviously,
2:06:48
Speaker 1: but knowing that they now have some stability on the horizon,
2:06:52
Speaker 1: I think Michigan they their players might want to play
2:06:55
Speaker 1: well because they know winning Ham is going to be
2:06:57
Speaker 1: watching the game, you know, so they want to impress.
2:07:00
Speaker 1: So that's something to consider this. So Winning Him is
2:07:03
Speaker 1: leaving Utah, but the defensive coordinator Scally, who is also
2:07:09
Speaker 1: already known to be their their head coach next year,
2:07:12
Speaker 1: he's taking over. So I think that's okay for Utah
2:07:14
Speaker 1: because he's obviously been good at their defensive play calling
2:07:17
Speaker 1: and he's now the head coach and he's gonna stay there.
2:07:20
Speaker 1: So Utah has continuity here. Man, they already know the guy,
2:07:23
Speaker 1: they like the guy. He's been really great at building
2:07:26
Speaker 1: up their defense. He's gonna be their head coach, so
2:07:28
Speaker 1: I think that's okay for Utah. He'll coach the bowl game,
2:07:31
Speaker 1: and again they want to play well for him because
2:07:34
Speaker 1: he's gonna be their coach next year too, So it's
2:07:37
Speaker 1: fine for Utah in this game. For the most part,
2:07:39
Speaker 1: They're gonna be mostly intact. Nebraska's actually the team with
2:07:41
Speaker 1: more opt outs here, natas singing Ryola transferred out? Is
2:07:48
Speaker 1: that even true? I don't even know that's not on
2:07:53
Speaker 1: the list here, but whatever. So Nebraska also fired their
2:07:57
Speaker 1: defensive coordinator that was earlier this month, though the San
2:08:00
Speaker 1: Diego State defensive coordinator is coming in next year. He
2:08:04
Speaker 1: was really good this year, but he's not there yet.
2:08:06
Speaker 1: They have an interim defensive coach. They also fired offensive
2:08:11
Speaker 1: and defensive line coaches. I mean, Nebraska is kind of
2:08:14
Speaker 1: a mess right now. Man. They're also losing one of
2:08:16
Speaker 1: their best running backs. I think in Johnson, he's going
2:08:19
Speaker 1: into the NFL drafts, so he's not playing. So yeah,
2:08:24
Speaker 1: to me, I think it's Utah or pass in this one.
2:08:27
Speaker 1: There were just too many advantages for Utah here. They're
2:08:29
Speaker 1: a fourteen point favorite with Jews, and the money is
2:08:32
Speaker 1: agreeing with the Utah side here sixty five percent taket
2:08:36
Speaker 1: sixty nine percent of the cash. The totals up to
2:08:38
Speaker 1: fifty one. Sixty percent of the tickets are on the over,
2:08:42
Speaker 1: but there is money on the under fifty three percent
2:08:45
Speaker 1: of the cash on the under. As far as the
2:08:48
Speaker 1: total is concerned, I don't have a great read on that,
2:08:50
Speaker 1: although Utah does like to play defense and you know,
2:08:54
Speaker 1: run the football, So if they're winning the game, it
2:08:56
Speaker 1: might be a lower scoring game, even though that means
2:08:58
Speaker 1: it might be more difficult for them to cover. But
2:09:01
Speaker 1: then again, like I said, if their rushing attack is
2:09:05
Speaker 1: doing well, you know, they can pad the lead while
2:09:07
Speaker 1: they're ahead. So if I was gonna play it, I
2:09:10
Speaker 1: would lay it with Utah on that one Matt rule.
2:09:13
Speaker 1: He's not good man, I agree, thank you, sir. Well,
2:09:17
Speaker 1: I haven't talked about the biggest game, the playoff game.
2:09:23
Speaker 1: Nebraska fired his shitty coach of an uncle. All right,
2:09:26
Speaker 1: we got to get to it, man, playoffs. Don't talk
2:09:30
Speaker 1: about playoffs. You kidding me? Playoffs? I just hope we
2:09:35
Speaker 1: can win a game another game. We have the first
2:09:38
Speaker 1: playoff game that is actually a bowl game that is
2:09:41
Speaker 1: in the Cotton Bowl, which is what is it? Good Year?
2:09:45
Speaker 1: I think it's who sponsors this thing. Yeah, the Goodyear
2:09:48
Speaker 1: Cotton Bowl Classic, which is the college football quarterfinals. As
2:09:52
Speaker 1: we know since the setup started last year, these quarterfinal
2:09:55
Speaker 1: and semi final matchups hijack the New Year Six Bowls.
2:09:59
Speaker 1: This is number ten Miami in number two Ohio State
2:10:01
Speaker 1: in this one. It's an interesting game. Man. Now, Oddly enough,
2:10:07
Speaker 1: both teams are actually better defensively than offensively. And that
2:10:10
Speaker 1: makes sense for Ohio State. I mean, they have a
2:10:12
Speaker 1: freshman quarterback here and saying so, Miami does have an
2:10:16
Speaker 1: advantage as far as the quarterback experience. They got Carson
2:10:19
Speaker 1: Beck there. Although remember Beck didn't play for Georgia in
2:10:22
Speaker 1: the playoffs last year, so he has not played in
2:10:24
Speaker 1: these playoffs us in Arros because he was hurt last year.
2:10:28
Speaker 1: But he does have more experience and that he's played
2:10:30
Speaker 1: more years than saying. Of course, so Beck is the
2:10:33
Speaker 1: more experienced quarterback. But I think Ohio State is just
2:10:38
Speaker 1: the more balanced team, man, Believe it or not. I
2:10:39
Speaker 1: think Ohio State is the better offense and the better defense.
2:10:43
Speaker 1: And it's gonna show because you'll see what the line
2:10:45
Speaker 1: is in this game in a minute. They're the better
2:10:47
Speaker 1: team in the game. Man, Ohio State is the number
2:10:49
Speaker 1: one power rated team in the country, so I still
2:10:51
Speaker 1: consider them to be the best team. But both teams
2:10:55
Speaker 1: do have better defenses than offense, so this could be
2:10:57
Speaker 1: a low scoring game here. I wouldn't disagree with an
2:11:01
Speaker 1: under here, but the totals crossed through that key number
2:11:04
Speaker 1: of forty one down to forty juice to the over.
2:11:07
Speaker 1: If you can find a forty one, it makes sense,
2:11:09
Speaker 1: I think with that key number there. Other than that,
2:11:12
Speaker 1: I would probably lay lay off of the total fifty
2:11:14
Speaker 1: eight percent of tickets on the over, sixty one percent
2:11:16
Speaker 1: of the cash on the under. In this one, Ohio
2:11:19
Speaker 1: State is up to a nine to NAPF point favorite,
2:11:21
Speaker 1: sixty two percent of the tickets on them, but only
2:11:23
Speaker 1: fifty two percent of the cash. But you know, I
2:11:27
Speaker 1: disagree with that cash disparity there. I like Ohio State
2:11:30
Speaker 1: in this game, even though I think it might be
2:11:31
Speaker 1: a low scoring game. I would lean towards Ohio State
2:11:34
Speaker 1: covering the number, though I know Miami has one advantage,
2:11:38
Speaker 1: and that is that they played last week and you remember,
2:11:42
Speaker 1: or a week and a half ago or whatever they
2:11:44
Speaker 1: played in the playoffs already, And you know I always
2:11:47
Speaker 1: talk about this in football and in basketball. In the
2:11:49
Speaker 1: football playoffs, we saw this happen last year. The team
2:11:52
Speaker 1: that gets a game under their belt is at an
2:11:55
Speaker 1: advantage because they have momentum coming into the next game
2:11:58
Speaker 1: and some of the pressure is off them because they
2:12:00
Speaker 1: got the nerves out of the way. They already played
2:12:02
Speaker 1: a game, you know what I mean. And last year
2:12:04
Speaker 1: all four teams that had buys lost in the first round.
2:12:08
Speaker 1: But remember a couple of those teams that had buys
2:12:11
Speaker 1: were big underdogs and they shouldn't have even been there.
2:12:14
Speaker 1: Boise stayed in Arizona State, and then I think the
2:12:18
Speaker 1: other two were I can't even remember. Actually the other
2:12:22
Speaker 1: two were I think close like toss up matchups. This
2:12:25
Speaker 1: is not one of those. Like yes, Ohio State has
2:12:28
Speaker 1: had a long layoff, so there is an advantage from
2:12:31
Speaker 1: Miami the fact that they played already. But Miami pulled
2:12:33
Speaker 1: off a big road up set. Man, So Miami is
2:12:37
Speaker 1: coming off a really, really big, tough physical performance. So
2:12:41
Speaker 1: in a way, the layoff for Ohio State might actually
2:12:44
Speaker 1: helped them in a way because they lost the Big
2:12:46
Speaker 1: Ten championship the last time we saw them, and they
2:12:48
Speaker 1: didn't look that good, so they might be using the
2:12:51
Speaker 1: time off to fix what went wrong in that game
2:12:53
Speaker 1: against Indiana, you know what I mean. So kind of
2:12:55
Speaker 1: like what I said about Alabama when they came into
2:12:58
Speaker 1: their game against Arizona using it's the Oklahoma excuse me.
2:13:03
Speaker 1: You know, Alabama had lost ugly in the SEC Championship, right,
2:13:06
Speaker 1: so having that time off they think actually might help
2:13:10
Speaker 1: fix some things. So I don't think it's that much
2:13:12
Speaker 1: of a negative for Ohio State in this game. Now,
2:13:14
Speaker 1: Miami does have one advantage, which is that they get
2:13:17
Speaker 1: to stay in Texas, although I don't know if they did.
2:13:20
Speaker 1: Miami might have gone back to Florida in between the two,
2:13:22
Speaker 1: but they did just play in Texas and now they're back.
2:13:25
Speaker 1: They just played in College Station and now they're coming
2:13:28
Speaker 1: back and playing in Arlington, which isn't that far away,
2:13:31
Speaker 1: but you know, venue wise, it is what it is. Like,
2:13:34
Speaker 1: I don't think it's that much of an advantage there.
2:13:36
Speaker 1: Both teams should play fine in a warm weather environment.
2:13:39
Speaker 1: I mean, it's whatever. It's when a warm weather team
2:13:41
Speaker 1: goes into the cold weather is that you really have
2:13:43
Speaker 1: to worry about. But that really was only something that
2:13:45
Speaker 1: might have had an impact last week. Now we're into
2:13:48
Speaker 1: the bowls that are all good weather bowls, so doesn't
2:13:51
Speaker 1: really matter. But yeah, I think that's basically it for
2:13:55
Speaker 1: the handicap there. I lean to Ohio State in that game.
2:14:00
Speaker 1: I would lay the points, all right. You found out
2:14:05
Speaker 1: that Matt rule as a joke in Carolina college football playoffs.
2:14:10
Speaker 1: That is tonight. Yes, yes, super, sayan, he's not that super.
2:14:14
Speaker 1: He's been Okay, he's not. He hasn't been as good
2:14:17
Speaker 1: as Simpson on Alabama. Miami's defense is good, that's correct.
2:14:22
Speaker 1: I disagree with taking the points though. I to me,
2:14:25
Speaker 1: I think the public is gonna think that it looks
2:14:27
Speaker 1: like too many points. So I don't really get these
2:14:29
Speaker 1: percentages that are showing right now. I actually don't think
2:14:32
Speaker 1: that's gonna be the case. I think the public saw
2:14:34
Speaker 1: Ohio State lose to Indiana, which makes them look vulnerable.
2:14:38
Speaker 1: The public just saw Miami beat Texas A and M
2:14:41
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna think this is too many points.
2:14:43
Speaker 1: I think Miami is a square side in this game.
2:14:46
Speaker 1: I don't know why the percentages look like they do,
2:14:48
Speaker 1: but I like Ohio State in that game. I think
2:14:51
Speaker 1: Ohio State wins by double digits. Obviously, if you like
2:14:54
Speaker 1: Ohio State. You gotta lay nine and a half, like,
2:14:56
Speaker 1: don't let it get to ten. But I think it
2:14:58
Speaker 1: is gonna hit the ten. So if you do like Miami,
2:15:01
Speaker 1: you'll get the key number of ten. There. Probably that's
2:15:04
Speaker 1: gonna do it. Once again, I only placed two hours
2:15:07
Speaker 1: for two plays and one of them is Gardner Webb
2:15:09
Speaker 1: plus the points in college basketball. That is as bad
2:15:12
Speaker 1: as it gets man. And then we do have the Bulls,
2:15:14
Speaker 1: which I like quite a bit. The Bulls money line
2:15:17
Speaker 1: will lay a small spread on that one. That's gonna
2:15:20
Speaker 1: do it. Gotta get my Bowl entries finalized year, although
2:15:23
Speaker 1: there aren't really that many games left to shift around
2:15:26
Speaker 1: in confidence or whatever. Learn it tod on Twitter. I
2:15:28
Speaker 1: got subscriptions over there now learn it so on on Instagram,
2:15:32
Speaker 1: Mike subscribe, give me good comments here. I appreciate you
2:15:34
Speaker 1: guys hanging out. Listen on audio that helps me out
2:15:38
Speaker 1: as well. Give me good reviews over there, Apples, Spotify,
2:15:41
Speaker 1: check out my yuke channel a covered in yuke on
2:15:44
Speaker 1: YouTube that's up Patreon dot com, slash learned it so
2:15:48
Speaker 1: for some bonus yuke stuff there and the Loser Cast
2:15:52
Speaker 1: where we had another live show last night. That was
2:15:54
Speaker 1: just me and Lighton for about half of it, and
2:15:56
Speaker 1: then Tyler joined us. We had some fun. We nominated
2:16:01
Speaker 1: six losers, two between two each last night, and some
2:16:05
Speaker 1: of them might not be what you would expect or
2:16:07
Speaker 1: any or maybe people that you've never even heard of
2:16:09
Speaker 1: before in some cases. And I did go sports with
2:16:14
Speaker 1: one of them though, so you can check out as well.
2:16:16
Speaker 1: We had some fun again last night. That's gonna do it.
2:16:20
Speaker 1: Thank you, sir. Have a good day, everybody. I'll be back. Yeah,
2:16:26
Speaker 1: probably tomorrow morning will be the next stuff. Because New
2:16:29
Speaker 1: Year's I'm expecting there won't be that many college basketball games,
2:16:32
Speaker 1: so probably tomorrow we gotta talk about the The New
2:16:34
Speaker 1: Year's Day is gonna be I think all of college
2:16:36
Speaker 1: it's all college football playoffs. I think maybe the maybe
2:16:39
Speaker 1: one or two other bowls, but we'll talk about them tomorrow.
2:16:42
Speaker 1: I think I have a play in one of them upcoming,
2:16:45
Speaker 1: and that's gonna do it. Peace,