Latest / Inside the OSD / S3 E5 - Snow Days with Bob Lindmeier
Transcript
- 0:00SPEAKER1: Today on Inside the OSD, we're talking about a topic that is very timely as we start seeing colder temperatures--snow days.
- 0:09This is a hot topic -- or should I say a cold topic?
- 0:12-- for all school districts in Wisconsin during winter months.
- 0:15Today we are talking with a local Oregon resident and Senior Chief Meteorologist at WKOW, Bob Lindmeier, and one of our own OSD
- 0:25parents to discuss common questions about snow days.
- 0:30SPEAKER2: Welcome to this episode of Inside the OSD podcast where it's all about the kids.
- 0:36Here is your host, lifelong educator, and our superintendent, Doctor Leslie Bergstrom.
- 0:45SPEAKER1: Good morning, Bob, and welcome to Inside the OSD.
- 0:48One thing we look at when considering a snow day is the weather forecast, and we're excited to talk to you to shed some light about forecasting when it comes
- 0:57to making these tricky calls.
- 1:00Could you start by telling our listeners a little bit about yourself and how you came to be a meteorologist?
- 1:07SPEAKER3: So yes, my name is Bob Lindmeier.
- 1:09I'm what you call the senior chief meteorologist at WKOW-TV in Madison.
- 1:14It's the ABC affiliate.
- 1:16Been doing this for a long time.
- 1:18I'm finishing up my 44th year with the station, so I've been pretty lucky to have my whole career in one location.
- 1:26Incredible. Yeah, and very fortunate for me.
- 1:29So I--how I got into the business?
- 1:33When I went to college, I didn't know what I wanted to do, really, but I took some 100 level courses and one of them happened to be a meteorology course.
- 1:42Okay. And from that, I really--it really spurred my interest.
- 1:46And I decided that's the direction I want to go with my career.
- 1:50Uh, but I grew up in Minnesota, and no college in Minnesota offered the degree.
- 1:54So I looked around and there was the University of Wisconsin and, uh, the reciprocity agreement between the two.
- 2:02SPEAKER1: That's a beautiful thing.
- 2:03SPEAKER3: It is, so kind of made it a no brainer to come here.
- 2:06So I came here and finished my last two years in the major at the University of Wisconsin and received a bachelor's of science degree in
- 2:15meteorology back in--way back in 1979.
- 2:19So once I had the degree, then it was, "what am I going to do with it?" You can go many directions as a meteorologist that actually a small percentage go into
- 2:28TV weather, but um.
- 2:31Huh. I-- was kind of happenstance.
- 2:33I was looking for a job, and there happened to be a job posting up in Wausau, and I had a young family at the time.
- 2:39It was like, "I need to find a job." So I went up there with no experience.
- 2:45I had not planned to do TV, but um, yeah, stayed there for about a half a year.
- 2:52Then I made my move down here to Madison and started January 1st of 1980, and my career has been through, uh, through
- 3:01there. Um, became the chief meteorologist in 1989, uh, which is the position I pretty much held ever since.
- 3:09SPEAKER1: Isn't it pretty unusual for someone who's doing TV meteorology to be in the same place that long?
- 3:16SPEAKER3: It is, uh, most--incredible!
- 3:19Yeah. I was very fortunate because there was a side company called Weather Central, and Weather Central actually provided the TV meteorologist
- 3:29to WKOW TV.
- 3:30It was a private forecast company that had served a lot of weather sensitive clients in many industries.
- 3:37So I had my position in Weather Central.
- 3:40I was in their management and eventually in their ownership.
- 3:44Okay. And that allowed me to generate the income that you normally wouldn't in this market size.
- 3:50So that allowed me to stay here.
- 3:53And it worked out great.
- 3:55Um, and, uh, yeah, it's I feel very fortunate.
- 3:59It's been a fun career.
- 4:01It's, you know, it's all about, I think, finding a job that you really enjoy that, that you like to go to every morning.
- 4:08And I was in that situation.
- 4:10It's challenging but also a fun.
- 4:14SPEAKER1: So what makes it fun?
- 4:15What do you like best about it?
- 4:17And then what is the most challenging thing?
- 4:19Yeah.
- 4:19SPEAKER3: You know, um, the the fun part for me is actually doing the, the TV presentation.
- 4:28I just enjoy it.
- 4:29When I first started, I was petrified.
- 4:32Um, "boy, there's thousands of people watching me," and I'm.
- 4:36And I didn't know what I was doing, really.
- 4:38And you're kind of pointing
- 4:38SPEAKER1: at a screen that you can't see, right?
- 4:41Oh, that is. That would scare me, too.
- 4:43There's a green
- 4:43SPEAKER3: wall out there, so you have to deal with that.
- 4:47Nothing really behind you.
- 4:49You have to figure that out.
- 4:50Yeah. One of the challenges was to figure out how to talk to people in a way that was understandable, because I was used to talking to other meteorologists.
- 5:00If I say, well, you know, "we got a positive vorticity advection coming in generating snow tomorrow." You know, people don't understand that.
- 5:07SPEAKER1: So they tune out.
- 5:09SPEAKER3: Exactly. So that was a challenge was to figure out how to talk to people in--in a way that they understand.
- 5:16You want to do it understandably.
- 5:19Um, you want to be entertaining to a certain degree.
- 5:23Um, so there's--it was challenging in that way.
- 5:26But over time, I gradually figured it out.
- 5:29I tell people, "if I can do it, almost anybody can" because it was a rough -- It was rough for me when I started, but I figured it out with time and, uh,
- 5:38yeah. So I, I enjoy the, the TV part of things.
- 5:44Um, and actually giving that presentation on air, the, one of the challenging things is actually just the forecast.
- 5:52Um, because it's not an easy thing to do.
- 5:56We use different computer models.
- 5:59Um, that help us.
- 6:01We have five that we routinely look at every day and try to figure out which one's doing the best job because they have their strengths and weaknesses.
- 6:09And so figuring that out is is a challenge as well.
- 6:14But it's a challenge.
- 6:15But it also, to me, fun.
- 6:18Okay. I would say the one downside for my career has been the fact that I work evenings and I have to do.
- 6:25Yeah. Yeah. For many years, I was doing a 6 and 10 p.m.
- 6:30newscast, which means with my--with my family, my young family, as they were growing up, I didn't see them as much as I hoped.
- 6:37I did make the effort to come home every evening, um, when possible, to have have dinner.
- 6:44In
- 6:44SPEAKER1: between the shows?
- 6:45Between
- 6:46SPEAKER3: the 6 and 10:00.
- 6:47So. But, um, so I had some time, but it wasn't, you know, I missed out on some of those evening activities.
- 6:53Of course, you know that, uh, that you really want to beat.
- 6:57So that was the one downside.
- 7:00Aside from that, it's been a lot of positives.
- 7:02SPEAKER1: It sounds like you loved it.
- 7:04SPEAKER3: I did, I really enjoyed it.
- 7:05SPEAKER1: So last month, WKOW did a story that indicated we could be in for a La Nina winter.
- 7:11SPEAKER3: Yes.
- 7:12SPEAKER1: What is the significance of this and what might it mean for this year's winter weather?
- 7:17SPEAKER3: Yeah, we have these fundamental things that happen in our weather that really have impacts.
- 7:26And one is El Nino or La Nina.
- 7:29Um, El Nino, which is Spanish for "the child." Um, because it usually was observed near Christmas down in South
- 7:39America.
- 7:40SPEAKER1: But that's where it came from.
- 7:41Yeah.
- 7:42SPEAKER3: Yeah.
- 7:42SPEAKER1: Interesting.
- 7:43SPEAKER3: So but it was this development in the in the oceans.
- 7:47The oceans really play a huge part in our weather.
- 7:51And if there's something that unusual that happens in the oceans that affects worldwide weather patterns.
- 7:58So El Nino, which is-- it's a warming of the equatorial Pacific Ocean water.
- 8:07Okay. Okay.
- 8:08It goes warmer than normal.
- 8:11And when you get this burst of warmth in this huge area of the equatorial Pacific, that changes weather patterns fundamentally, not only
- 8:21here, but through much of the country.
- 8:23Okay. We had an El Nino last year, and you might recall, it was a warm winter.
- 8:29It was a it was a pretty dry winter.
- 8:31And that's the thing that an El Nino does.
- 8:35It produces above normal temperatures and usually below normal precipitation.
- 8:39Okay. On the other side, there's La Nina.
- 8:43And that's when the oceans go the other direction and go from warmer than normal to near normal, which is kind of where we're at right now.
- 8:51Then below normal, those surface ocean waters go colder than average.
- 8:57And that has its own kind of disruption, but in a different way.
- 9:01And for us, it usually means that we're going to have an equal chance of above or below normal temperatures.
- 9:09There's really not a trend one way or another.
- 9:13SPEAKER1: So it's a coin toss, what it's going to do to us.
- 9:15SPEAKER3: Yeah. The the upper air wind patterns can go either way in terms of producing a warm or cold.
- 9:22Normally precipitation is above average, though, and in a lean-- La Nina winter.
- 9:29But overriding all that is still climate change and the impact that it's having.
- 9:33And it's having a significant impact, especially in our winters.
- 9:37So that's where we're really feeling the effects of climate change here in Wisconsin.
- 9:42Our winters are much warmer.
- 9:45Um, and that's really being observed.
- 9:48So that is also going to be playing into the winter.
- 9:52But so to answer the question, what kind of winter are we going to have?
- 9:57Well, Temperatures.
- 9:58We don't really see it very much.
- 10:01But again, this is we're talking about a three month time span -- or more sometimes depending.
- 10:08And you think about it okay.
- 10:11Say we have near normal temperatures through that three month time span.
- 10:14But that could include sharp cold waves, warm waves.
- 10:19It all averages out to near normal.
- 10:20Right. But you can still have significant weather events that happen.
- 10:25We can have you might recall last winter it was an above normal winter.
- 10:28But we had that extreme cold outbreak.
- 10:31Yes, that lasted for a week.
- 10:33But so that that stuff's going to happen, we're still going to have our winter storms.
- 10:39Um, we'll likely have some school closures.
- 10:42It's, you know, we have them pretty much every winter.
- 10:44Uh, but how many?
- 10:45And, um, you know that that's impossible to say at this point.
- 10:50SPEAKER1: Well, you are leading into the next question because as a school district, we know that calling a snow day is a really big decision.
- 10:57It is. It really, um, disrupts family schedules, people's work schedules in a significant way, and it's really hard to predict
- 11:07this, as you said.
- 11:08Even though we try to call it as far in advance as we can, the weather patterns make it difficult to do.
- 11:14So we often have to make decisions in the very early hours of the morning.
- 11:18So can you talk to our listeners a little bit about the process of predicting these weather patterns, and why it is so challenging to predict snowfall?
- 11:27SPEAKER3: Oh it is. Um, the way we forecast just forecast in general.
- 11:32But as I touched on before, we use computer models, these model runs come out, um, fundamentally twice a day.
- 11:40Uh, but other models are what we call rapid refresh.
- 11:44They come out more frequently, but so it--we--when we have that forecast in the early morning trying to figure out, "well,
- 11:53what are the school districts going to do?" We want to get that latest computer model information in there to to help us out and issue.
- 12:03But like the National Weather Service, which you depend upon.
- 12:07And by the way, the National Weather Service is great.
- 12:09I think they're experts and I really think highly of them.
- 12:15Um, but and they're 24/7 there.
- 12:18So they're looking at everything all day and all night.
- 12:22Um, and, you know, getting prepared for, uh, when there's a potential winter storm, whether it's extreme cold or snowfall or ice, for that
- 12:32matter. I think those are the three main ones, um, that, you know, they put a lot of time and effort and thought
- 12:41into that, uh, into telling the school districts what they think is going to happen.
- 12:49But it can be so challenging.
- 12:50Snow, a lot of times it's on the edge of being mixed rain or snow.
- 12:54Right. Uh, the timing, of course, is so important that that's a big decision for you.
- 13:00You might have a ton of snowfall, but you know, most of it happens overnight.
- 13:04That's not as impactful, obviously, as if it happens during the day.
- 13:08So there's the timing.
- 13:09There's the amount of snow when there's the intensity going to be the highest.
- 13:13All challenging questions in their own right.
- 13:17Yes. But um, you know, they do their best to make those forecasts.
- 13:22But you know, are we right 100% of the time?
- 13:26When I give that question to school children right away, they say, "no!" They don't have to think about it.
- 13:33And they're right.
- 13:34And so it's it's definitely a challenging thing for forecasters and for school districts.
- 13:41SPEAKER1: Yes I agree.
- 13:42Thank you. Now as you mentioned, another reason we close is cold temperatures.
- 13:47And we know that the National Weather Service has made some changes to terminology.
- 13:52Specifically, there's a difference between extreme cold warning which used to be wind chill warning and cold weather advisories, which used to be wind chill
- 14:01advisory. Yeah, we tend to close when there are extreme cold warnings.
- 14:06Can you talk about the difference between the two?
- 14:08SPEAKER3: Yeah, and I'm just getting acquainted to this as well.
- 14:10This is going to be new for me.
- 14:12SPEAKER1: Yeah. Yeah.
- 14:13SPEAKER3: But I think it's--I can see why they made the change.
- 14:16And I think it will make things a little more clear to people.
- 14:20But yeah, for the extreme cold, there's first of all, a watch, by the way, an extreme cold watch.
- 14:25They put out, uh, ahead of time.
- 14:28It's kind of like a severe thunderstorm watch when conditions are favorable.
- 14:31It's the same thing.
- 14:33So conditions are favorable for temperatures to meet or extreme, or to meet or exceed the local extreme cold warning criteria in the next 12 to 48 hours.
- 14:42So it's giving you that it could be as much as two days out.
- 14:46Hey, it could be coming.
- 14:47Issuing this extreme cold warning might be coming.
- 14:50When an extreme cold warning is actually issued, that means there's a high potential for temperatures of five degrees Fahrenheit or lower, regardless of
- 15:00expected wind speeds.
- 15:02Um, sometimes it can be just really cold with hardly any wind, or you can have a lot of wind that really drives down that wind chill.
- 15:11So in very rare cases, this warning may be issued if the hazardous weather conditions are expected to pose a significant threat to life due to the timing
- 15:20or other circumstances within--without reaching the criteria stated above.
- 15:25So you don't have to be exactly in that criteria, but most of the time you will be.
- 15:33Um, yeah, the cold weather advisory for 15°F or lower.
- 15:38Uh, but remaining above that warning criteria of five degrees Fahrenheit.
- 15:42Okay. Again, regardless of, uh, expected wind speeds.
- 15:46SPEAKER1: Well, actually, calling a cold day is easier than a snow day.
- 15:51That's. I mean, they tell us ahead of time we know what's going to happen.
- 15:55It's much easier to predict than snow patterns, right?
- 15:58Yeah. So, um, I don't enjoy those, but those are the ones we can call in advance.
- 16:04Right. So I think that helps families.
- 16:06Right? Yeah.
- 16:07SPEAKER3: But let's hope that the families understand it's really difficult to forecast a snow event, an ice event, and keep that in mind if it doesn't work out
- 16:17as expected, if there's a closure that happens and it's like, "why did you close?" Well, there-- you're basing on the best available information in the
- 16:25early morning. So, you know, just cut the school district some slack if it.
- 16:31SPEAKER1: Thank you for saying that.
- 16:34So finally, of course, we're an educational institution.
- 16:37So we're helping our kids prepare for career options and plan for their future.
- 16:41So what advice would you give to students who might be interested in meteorology?
- 16:45SPEAKER3: If you're interested in science in general?
- 16:47And that's what I was when I was growing up.
- 16:49When I was in elementary school, going through high school, I loved science, um, and meteorology was kind of there, but not really on my radar.
- 16:58So I would say, if you're interested in science, um, give meteorology a look.
- 17:05Usually there's coursework that you can take.
- 17:08Um, in elementary school, middle school, you're going to have your weather units.
- 17:13And in high school you can take a class in it.
- 17:17Um, take advantage of that, I would say.
- 17:19I would say everybody should take a weather course, and especially if you're interested in science and see if it really triggers some things for you because
- 17:27there's a lot that, again, a lot of positive is a challenging profession.
- 17:31Every day is different.
- 17:33Um, but um, it's, it's it's a fun profession.
- 17:37And, and one I would encourage students to look at.
- 17:40SPEAKER1: Wonderful. Thank you for your time today.
- 17:42SPEAKER3: You're welcome.
- 17:44SPEAKER1: Now, we'd like to talk with one of our own OSD parents who has students in our district to discuss some common questions that we get from families about snow
- 17:54days. Welcome to Inside the OSD.
- 17:57Could you start by introducing yourself?
- 17:59Yes.
- 18:00SPEAKER4: Thank you for having me on today.
- 18:01My name is Julia Bavery and I am a mom to four.
- 18:04I have a child in high school, one at the middle school, a kiddo in 4K and one at home waiting patiently for his turn.
- 18:12SPEAKER1: Waiting patiently.
- 18:13All right. So to me, that means you're a wonderful person to talk to because you have multiple perspectives on the student experience.
- 18:21So after listening to the complexity of predicting weather and calling snow days, what questions come to mind for you as a parent or questions that you've
- 18:31heard from others about snow days and their impact on kids and families?
- 18:35SPEAKER4: Yeah, the first thing is the timing.
- 18:37Of course, we all want it to be as soon as possible, but what is the latest that you would call it?
- 18:44SPEAKER1: That's a great question.
- 18:46Um, as you heard from Bob Lindmeier, it's really difficult to predict in advance.
- 18:52So while I would love to be able to call it the day before, That puts the margin of error at a place that I'm very often uncomfortable with.
- 19:01So what I do, and what many other superintendents in the area do, is we get on a National Weather Service call that's usually about
- 19:103:45 in the morning.
- 19:12To get the latest update on whatever is happening, connect to our weather.
- 19:17And then we are consulting with one another and we all have to wait for input from either people who are driving the roads
- 19:26or transportation directors, people who are out there on the roads giving us some input.
- 19:34And all of that is happening between 4 and 5:30 in the morning.
- 19:39Really, I would say 6 a.m.
- 19:41is probably the latest we would call it, because we really do have a very short window of time and a lot of pieces are coming
- 19:51together. But I'm also thinking about our families and how difficult it is to find last minute care.
- 19:58So we try really hard to do all of the things I mentioned before 6 a.m..
- 20:03SPEAKER4: Perfect. What process do you go through to call a snow day?
- 20:08SPEAKER1: Well, I just described it a little bit.
- 20:10It really takes a lot of information gathering, consultation with the people who are currently on the roads.
- 20:19I'm also talking to our transportation director, Larry Mayo.
- 20:23So there are a lot of people giving input.
- 20:27And area superintendents are often on a text chain with one another giving input as to what they are doing.
- 20:36Um, people don't make calls based on what a neighboring district is doing, but their input, um, is always, you know, a part of gathering the information
- 20:45that's necessary to make a decision.
- 20:48So bus transportation really plays a big issue, a big part in this.
- 20:52You have to think about what it's like to drive a bus and safety related factors related to driving a bus on roads that are challenging.
- 21:01And you also have to make sure that all of your bus drivers can actually get to their bus, you know, and really difficult situations.
- 21:09That's a factor also.
- 21:12SPEAKER4: So you mentioned that you talked to other districts, and it seems like sometimes you guys make different calls.
- 21:19SPEAKER1: Absolutely. So we all are responsible for our own individual districts, and we have to make the calls that are best for our districts.
- 21:28But um, we do share information and we do talk to one another because we can inform one another's
- 21:38decisions. But road conditions in one area of Dane County may be very different from the road conditions in another area of Dane County.
- 21:46Consequently, we don't all move uniformly in making these decisions because things do vary.
- 21:54Um, some of the school districts that have a lot of rural roads have a much more difficult time, because it's less likely that the plows are getting to
- 22:04those roads before we need to pick kids up.
- 22:08So you know where you are in the county, the location of the storm, the types of roads that your busses or your families are traveling.
- 22:17All of those things are factors in why we simply don't always make the same decisions, even when we're in similar locations.
- 22:28SPEAKER4: Um, last year I recalled us having a two hour delay when others called a full day.
- 22:33What was the decision making strategy in this?
- 22:36SPEAKER1: Oh boy, that was something I was really eager to try because very often when you make an inclement weather call, the weather is poor.
- 22:46When kids would be getting on the bus or in the car to come to school.
- 22:50However, a couple of hours later, it can very often look much more positive.
- 22:56Much more safe.
- 22:57And in those situations, you know, you have to do it because you want to keep the kids safe in the morning.
- 23:03But boy, do you wish missing--you wish you didn't have to miss all of that instruction.
- 23:07So we planned ahead last year to get all of our ducks in a row related to having a late start.
- 23:16Not all school districts can do it.
- 23:18There's a lot of factors connected to it, but we felt that we could give it a try and actually it worked quite well.
- 23:25And I think it's a strategy we will employ in the future when the timing of a storm is such that we know that students and
- 23:35bus drivers and families who are driving the car, they all need a little bit more time for the roads to get better, but we are able to actually get them into
- 23:45school and get them into school safely if we just wait two hours.
- 23:48So I was super pleased with how it went.
- 23:51We will use it again and not all school districts are doing it, so you will see some more variation around the county.
- 23:59SPEAKER4: That sounds good.
- 24:00How do our snow days impact our school calendar?
- 24:03SPEAKER1: Well, we build in three days, so if we use those three days, then we know the last day of school will be whatever has been indicated on the calendar.
- 24:13If we don't use those days, school might end a little bit early.
- 24:17It's an unusual way to do it, but it does give us those three days of inclement weather cushion.
- 24:24And I think that's really, really helpful because when we run out of those days and we have more than three snow days, we have to think about
- 24:34meeting the DPI required number of instructional minutes.
- 24:37So we have to think, "do we add on a few minutes to every day?
- 24:42Do we move a professional development day into a full attendance day?
- 24:47Do we utilize the option of virtual instruction?" So we really try to think ahead and have the best plan, but it often
- 24:56depends on when it does depend on if we have used those three days.
- 25:01But if we have, when have we?
- 25:04Because that really helps us better understand what our options are for meeting the required number of instructional minutes.
- 25:12SPEAKER4: So you mentioned that the last day of school is tentative on our school calendar.
- 25:16When will you know the official last day of school?
- 25:18SPEAKER1: Well, you know what? We have a day in our head and it's sort of it's really around mid-April.
- 25:24And I know it's tempting, especially when you have a beautiful spring day to think, "oh, winter is over, just call the day." But if you remember, last year
- 25:33we had a snow day after spring break, so we really shouldn't, in all good conscience, call it before mid-April because there could be
- 25:43additional bad weather days.
- 25:44And so that's when we try to make that call.
- 25:47SPEAKER4: Perfect. One last question.
- 25:49If you don't call a snow day, but we aren't comfortable sending our child, what is the process for that?
- 25:55SPEAKER1: Thank you for bringing that up.
- 25:57I--if you hadn't, I hope I would have remembered that because that's a really big deal.
- 26:02If school is going on, but you don't think the roads are safe.
- 26:05You can call your child's school, say you're keeping them home, and the absence doesn't count as part of the number of days that a parent can excuse a child
- 26:15from school.
- 26:16SPEAKER4: Perfect. Thank you.
- 26:17SPEAKER1: You bet.
- 26:19SPEAKER5: Remember that you can find links to all episodes of Inside the OSD and submit topic ideas on our website at
- 26:26OregonSD.org/podcast. You can find this podcast anywhere you can find podcasts.
- 26:34Make sure to subscribe if you're listening on one of these apps to get notifications on the most recent episodes.
- 26:40We'll see you next time on Inside the OSD, where it's all about the kids.