Latest / Show Me The Evidence / From Physics-Based Simulation to Surgical Robots| Show Me The Evidence E8- Dr Dwight Meglan
Transcript
- 0:07In the late 1990s, Dr. Dwight Meglan and I met at
- 0:12Medicine Meets Virtual Reality
- 0:14somewhere in California, I seem to recall.
- 0:17Dwight's an engineer. Initially, when I met him, he was
- 0:21working on physics-based virtual reality simulation.
- 0:24He subsequently moved into surgical robotics.
- 0:28You're very welcome this evening,
- 0:31Dwight, and nice to talk to you.
- 0:34So you developed one of the first
- 0:37physics-based virtual reality simulators.
- 0:39I purchased one in 1999 at some considerable cost.
- 0:44So at that time, how did you envision that the VR
- 0:49simulation market would develop?
- 0:52And has it developed the way that you thought it would?
- 0:57I have to be honest, I really didn't think about it a whole
- 0:59lot about relative to a market.
- 1:01I was more thinking about it as a technical problem.
- 1:05I was just interested in the idea of how do you do
- 1:08real-time physics of tool tissue
- 1:10interaction and replicate the real-time fluoroscopy
- 1:15and give haptic feedback in a way
- 1:17that was natural to the procedure itself.
- 1:20And I was much more focused on that than anything else.
- 1:25And I really didn't give it a lot of thought other than
- 1:27there's a lot of catheterization.
- 1:29So I figured it was probably going
- 1:30to be useful and people would use it.
- 1:34And do you think that the current developers of virtual
- 1:37reality simulation pays much attention to the physics-based
- 1:42virtual reality simulation
- 1:44today, as you did back in the 1990s?
- 1:48I don't really think many of the simulators pay much
- 1:51attention to that, no matter what it is.
- 1:54I was kind of obsessed with trying to mimic the actual
- 1:59physics of the tool tissue interaction.
- 2:02And I figured if I could get that right, then the
- 2:03experience for the user would
- 2:05reflect reality to some degree.
- 2:08So I kind of focused on that. Whereas, as you well know, a
- 2:12lot of the simulators kind of
- 2:14focus on the user experience itself.
- 2:17I actually didn't really think about the user experience.
- 2:19I just figured if I did the simulation
- 2:21right, then the user experience would be right.
- 2:24So what do you think have been the drivers of the current
- 2:28state of virtual reality simulation today?
- 2:31Well, over the last 20 years, 20-odd years?
- 2:36Basically, the device manufacturers. I mean, I figured
- 2:39early on, I didn't really give
- 2:41that a lot of thought, to be honest.
- 2:42I was just thinking about it relative to build something
- 2:46that's useful for the clinicians.
- 2:48And that would be something that would be meaningful.
- 2:52But as I spent more time working in the area, because I
- 2:55worked on other simulators besides endovascular,
- 2:58I came to understand that really the only people that are
- 3:01really paying for this and really caring about it a whole
- 3:03lot were the device manufacturers.
- 3:07And they kind of drive the way things work. And that's kind
- 3:12of what it seems like it is today to me.
- 3:14I mean, there's various professional societies that have
- 3:18set up standards for learning and other things.
- 3:23But as far as I know, like the thing I was driving towards
- 3:26years ago, like 20, 25 years ago,
- 3:29was trying to figure out how to come up with physics tests
- 3:33that would allow you to verify
- 3:35the correctness of the simulator.
- 3:38And those still don't exist for the most part, as far as I
- 3:41know, which I'm kind of surprised at.
- 3:44Yeah, but one of the things that always struck me about the
- 3:47sensation that the or the perceptions
- 3:50are that the user actually had from the simulation. People
- 3:55have different sensory thresholds.
- 3:57Therefore, the sensory thresholds are
- 3:59going to impact on what they perceive.
- 4:01And one of the one of the interesting things I find out
- 4:03over the years was the plastic surgeons or microsurgeons.
- 4:07They won't go for a run. They won't have coffee.
- 4:10They try to get a good night's sleep the
- 4:12night before they operate because they know
- 4:14that they can, a slight nudge can
- 4:17impact their performance the following day.
- 4:20So it's very hard to actually come up with, you know, what
- 4:23are the sensory thresholds for the clinicians to feel?
- 4:26So how did you approach that or try and solve it?
- 4:29Well, so we did do a couple of things early on because we
- 4:32were kind of curious about how would we
- 4:35know if we were producing
- 4:37things that the cardiologists felt.
- 4:43And what we ended up doing was we built an instrumented
- 4:46torquer that the cardiologists would
- 4:49hold to actually manipulate the tools.
- 4:51And we figured if we could measure what
- 4:54they were actually feeling in real life,
- 4:58then we could actually, and we knew what we were feeding
- 5:00back to them on the simulator,
- 5:01that if they were at least somewhat correlated, that we
- 5:04were actually doing at least some level of a good job.
- 5:07We never went far enough along with that to actually try
- 5:10and figure out if there's
- 5:12different thresholds for different people,
- 5:13which of course there is. We know from haptics that
- 5:16different people have just
- 5:17noticeable difference thresholds.
- 5:20But we never pursued that. I mean,
- 5:23this was never done academically.
- 5:25This was all done in the auspices of a company.
- 5:29And since I'm not super active in the field anymore, like
- 5:35you said earlier, I mostly work on surgical robots now.
- 5:38I'm not aware of anybody having published extensive data
- 5:42sets on what it is that a
- 5:43cardiologist feels when they do catheterisation.
- 5:46So there's not minimal data out there
- 5:49to even test against, quite frankly.
- 5:51And we certainly don't know much about the actual
- 5:54interaction of the catheters with the tissue,
- 5:58which is what I was really headed toward. I really wanted
- 6:00to eventually be able to say that
- 6:03we're actually generating the same forces, contact forces
- 6:07and pressures and motions that
- 6:09you see in real life quantitatively.
- 6:11Yeah, I think that's still a real problem today.
- 6:15Sometimes I had four of the simulators that you built when
- 6:20I worked in University College Cork.
- 6:22And occasionally the haptics weren't switched on and the
- 6:27clinicians would be telling me
- 6:28only the haptics in this are great.
- 6:30And I'm not sure what's going on
- 6:33here. I mean, I know about that.
- 6:38I think over the years, I think it's just a personal
- 6:43conclusion that I've come to.
- 6:44Is it the better the clinician is, the
- 6:46more attentional capacity that they have,
- 6:49the greater awareness they have to the
- 6:52subtle aspects of catheter wire performance?
- 6:56And I think it's the same in
- 6:59robotics or actually there's no.
- 7:06Well, except for in the DV5 now does have it.
- 7:10So, and I've never used it, so I don't know what it's like.
- 7:13So.
- 7:16So you think one of the biggest drivers
- 7:19of the physics based virtual reality simulation
- 7:22was primarily the manufacturers.
- 7:24I mean, and the conclusion or the observation
- 7:27I've sort of made is they seem to want it only
- 7:30for mostly for marketing and that education and training
- 7:35seem to come well down the track after that.
- 7:38Would you agree with that?
- 7:40I mean, everything's subservient to a purpose
- 7:44when it's a product, right?
- 7:46I mean, they're trying to sell stuff
- 7:48and that's just the way it is.
- 7:50They'd like you to use it well,
- 7:51or at the very least they'd like you
- 7:53to not use it dangerously,
- 7:54because if nothing else, it's bad on their reputation
- 7:57and maybe it can be more than that,
- 7:59depending on the situation.
- 8:00Could get them into liability issues or whatever.
- 8:03So they want you to use it in a way that
- 8:06they consider you to be competent at running the device.
- 8:11But I mean, I honestly, having worked on the simulators
- 8:16and on the robots, I mean, there's a threshold
- 8:20at which they kind of draw the line.
- 8:23They just want you to be able to use the tool
- 8:26in the way that they had designed it to be used,
- 8:28at least to their best understanding
- 8:29of how it designed it to be used,
- 8:32but not, they don't, as you know,
- 8:35they don't claim any responsibility
- 8:37for the practice of medicine.
- 8:38So they're not trying to teach you how to do the procedure.
- 8:41They're just trying to teach you how to use the device.
- 8:44So that's the cutoff.
- 8:46I'm not entirely sure, but I had a conversation
- 8:49with a manufacturer last week,
- 8:52and it was about the use of a stapling device.
- 8:56Okay.
- 8:57And the stapling device has a six to 27%
- 9:00leak and complication rate.
- 9:02And one third of the patients that develop a leak will die.
- 9:07That's huge consequences for a relatively--
- 9:10And the conversation that we're having now saying that
- 9:13basically what you want to be able to do is,
- 9:17now, well, number one, we have good evidence
- 9:19that a lot of the very experienced surgeons are,
- 9:23I don't know that they're not able to,
- 9:24but they certainly don't know how to use the device safely.
- 9:29Okay?
- 9:29And to what I said to the manufacturer,
- 9:31I said, you really want to be able to train the surgeons
- 9:36to use your device safely according to the IFU.
- 9:41And what they were concerned about was
- 9:43that what I was proposing was that they were training
- 9:46surgical skills and I wasn't.
- 9:48I was just arguing that they should be training
- 9:50to use the device safely.
- 9:53Yeah, I would agree with that,
- 9:55with what you just said on,
- 9:56I mean, this is all just about doing the stapling itself.
- 9:59It's not about doing the procedure.
- 10:00And I mean, that's what the stapler is, right?
- 10:03So yeah, I can see that.
- 10:05But I would have thought that would be
- 10:07that the manufacturer would take that in
- 10:09as that is their responsibility,
- 10:11is to train them how to use the device effectively,
- 10:15which basically means safely when you can write down to it.
- 10:18That's correct.
- 10:19I mean, and a lot of the problems that we see
- 10:21with new devices or even old devices,
- 10:25the clinicians will blame the device
- 10:28but say that if something was wrong,
- 10:29it was the device fault.
- 10:31And I mean, for the cardiovascular devices,
- 10:33the implanting, the cardiac defibrillator.
- 10:40See, clinicians, they don't follow the instruction for use.
- 10:45For example, when you're suturing the device
- 10:49into the packet that you've created,
- 10:51some clinicians don't use any sutures at all.
- 10:53They don't use the sleeve that covers the leads.
- 10:57They use the wrong type of sutures.
- 10:59They use to dispose or sorry, sutures that melt away
- 11:03rather than, you know,
- 11:05For a minute.
- 11:06Surely I would have thought that the manufacturers
- 11:08would be concerned about that.
- 11:11I would think so.
- 11:12Yeah, but yes, they're concerned about it.
- 11:15And their trainers were telling them
- 11:18that maybe some of the clinicians
- 11:20that were training the juniors
- 11:23were not maybe as good as they originally perceived.
- 11:27You know, they had a senior position.
- 11:29They had a high volume of procedures per year
- 11:32according to their CV.
- 11:35But when you looked at their performance,
- 11:37they really didn't do that well.
- 11:39And over the last decade, what we've been publishing,
- 11:42you know, for the concert validity of the metrics
- 11:44for the different devices,
- 11:46what we've been observing is
- 11:47that some very senior clinicians
- 11:49perform worse than the worst trainee.
- 11:53Now that's problematic.
- 11:56Yeah, no, that's not good.
- 11:59Yeah, it's, you know, the one question there is,
- 12:03you know, are they really that bad
- 12:05or is it because they're not acclimated
- 12:08to the device and the technology never have been,
- 12:11you never learned how to use it well.
- 12:13This wasn't on the device.
- 12:14This was actually video recording from actual patients.
- 12:18Okay, just, okay.
- 12:20Yeah, and the metrics weren't made by,
- 12:23us, they were made by their peers
- 12:25and for a straightforward procedure,
- 12:27not for a complex procedure.
- 12:29Yeah, yeah, well, these, as you know,
- 12:33when you're doing things like this,
- 12:34we were talking about,
- 12:35these are all gonna be observational metrics, right?
- 12:38Because it's surgeons watching other surgeons
- 12:40so they don't have any other thing they can do
- 12:43other than watch and say what's going on.
- 12:45Whereas, you know, like in a simulator,
- 12:47you could actually measure the actual forces
- 12:50and, you know, things like that,
- 12:52you know, like tool tissue interactions and stuff
- 12:55and turn those into metrics if you wanted to,
- 12:57but then nobody would know what those metrics need to be
- 12:59because we don't know what that data is in real life.
- 13:02So we're kind of stuck doing the same thing,
- 13:04just making it fancy and quantitative
- 13:07in terms of like tools moving around and stuff.
- 13:10You know, all the economy, emotional,
- 13:12the other stuff.
- 13:13We'll get to that one another.
- 13:15So when you were building the simulator in the 1990s,
- 13:19what was your view on what the simulator should measure?
- 13:25And-
- 13:26Basically everything.
- 13:29There's only one thing worse than having no data.
- 13:31That's having too much data.
- 13:32It's too much.
- 13:35So measuring everything.
- 13:37Well, no, no, no, no, there's a reason for that.
- 13:41So when I did the original VIST,
- 13:44I did try to do a harness on it
- 13:48that would record literally everything,
- 13:51like every force, every torque, you know,
- 13:53every contact point, like everything,
- 13:56because I figured eventually we were gonna wanna go through
- 13:59there and try and make sense of it
- 14:00in terms of what would give us measures
- 14:02that would be kind of telling you
- 14:04whether you did it right, whatever it was.
- 14:08And so the original intent was literally to record
- 14:11as many things as we could
- 14:12and then go rifling through it
- 14:14and try and figure out what the essential measurements
- 14:17would be that would tell you
- 14:19whether you had actually learned how.
- 14:21The, so the simulators were originally supposed
- 14:24to be designed around learning goals.
- 14:27And we wanna be able to have a way to actually
- 14:29a certain that you had learned whatever the goal was.
- 14:32And so our intent was that we would have some kind
- 14:36of measurement of that.
- 14:37And since we didn't know what that would be,
- 14:40we were like, let's just do built-in suspenders
- 14:42and record everything and then we'll figure out
- 14:43how to pare it down to something that makes sense.
- 14:47Well, to some extent, we did that
- 14:48for the mechanical thrombectomy for acute stroke.
- 14:53I mean, we developed the metrics from the human procedure
- 14:57along with Mentice.
- 14:58And then what we did was,
- 15:01myself and the three interventional neuro radiologists,
- 15:04we imposed the metrics well, Mentice did.
- 15:07We told them what to do
- 15:08and they imposed the metrics on the system.
- 15:11And one of the things that the simulator didn't do
- 15:14was when you inject contrast into the brain
- 15:17and into the brain neurovascular structure
- 15:22through a microcatheter, they were using syringe with air.
- 15:26And it just plunged straight down and--
- 15:30Wrong flow characteristics.
- 15:32Absolutely.
- 15:33And the interventional neuro radiologist stood the ground.
- 15:36They basically said, that's not gonna do.
- 15:37Yeah. And we're not standing over this.
- 15:39So Mentice had to develop and subsequently patent
- 15:43a new methodology where they were injecting a fluid
- 15:46into a small device that actually was made
- 15:50the whole training more realistic.
- 15:53And I mean, it works when you insist on it,
- 15:57but you have to start off with the metrics.
- 15:59So you were trying to measure everything
- 16:01in the late 1990s, early 2000s.
- 16:06What did you end up,
- 16:07what sort of metrics did you end up producing?
- 16:09Or the simulator?
- 16:10Well, so I really was not the one that did that.
- 16:16That was others that decided what the metrics would be.
- 16:19I just put the platform together
- 16:21so that the information would be available.
- 16:23And then other people made decisions about
- 16:25what the actual metrics derived
- 16:30from that information would be.
- 16:32These were clinicians or clinician engineers or engineers?
- 16:37Yeah, my experience was that
- 16:39it was a little bit of everything.
- 16:40It was clinicians in concert with the companies.
- 16:44The companies usually worked with some clinicians
- 16:46and it was usually a small number.
- 16:49And whoever their subject matter experts was
- 16:53that they were paying to consult with them.
- 16:57And then they would basically for the most part
- 16:59do whatever their SMEs said.
- 17:01And all we did was implement it.
- 17:04Which usually meant just pulling out things
- 17:06that were already there.
- 17:08It wasn't that often we had to do something new.
- 17:11So it was a combination of stuff
- 17:13that was already getting dumped out
- 17:14or that was already available in the simulator.
- 17:17And then turning those into some kind of metrics
- 17:19which were typically, as you know,
- 17:22they're observational metrics.
- 17:23They're nothing exotic for the most part.
- 17:27And
- 17:28I know that you keep an eye on the simulation developments.
- 17:35What's your view on the metrics that currently exist?
- 17:38Not just in endovascular simulators or
- 17:41interventional cardiology simulators,
- 17:42but robotics and so on.
- 17:45They haven't changed a lot, basically.
- 17:48They're kind of the same things
- 17:49we came up at the very beginning
- 17:50when you come right down to it.
- 17:52I mean, I think it's slightly worse.
- 17:53Yeah, I'm sure there's...
- 17:56Okay, you're much more in the
- 17:57fray than I am these days, frankly.
- 18:00I was at the ERA conference in Paris a few months ago,
- 18:04and I walked around all the
- 18:05booths to look at the simulations.
- 18:08And almost none of them, I think only one of them,
- 18:11had any form of metrics whatsoever.
- 18:14So it was...
- 18:15I mean, I was...
- 18:17To be honest with you, I was kind of shocked.
- 18:19And...
- 18:20Well, were they just using them as a marketing tool?
- 18:22I mean, a lot of the early
- 18:24simulators we did were just marketing tools.
- 18:26You know, you stuck them in a booth
- 18:28and it was a way to show off the system,
- 18:30you know, whatever the system was you were trying to sell.
- 18:32And they really didn't care if there were metrics or not.
- 18:34It was just to give people an experience.
- 18:36Yeah. Well, I also talked to some of the manufacturers,
- 18:40the device manufacturers, and they
- 18:41were complaining about the simulators
- 18:43and the fact that they weren't able...
- 18:45Well, some of the manufacturers, device manufacturers,
- 18:48didn't want to measure things.
- 18:50Because...
- 18:51Because if they...
- 18:52They don't want to know.
- 18:54Correct. They don't want to know.
- 18:55Plausible deniability.
- 18:57Plausible deniability.
- 18:59And other manufacturers complained that the simulation
- 19:04companies weren't producing the
- 19:06metrics that they required. And they said, where do you
- 19:09expect them to get the metrics from?
- 19:11You really have to derive the metrics from real clinicians
- 19:15doing real procedures in real life
- 19:19situations. And a straightforward procedure, not a complex
- 19:21procedure. And when they go to the
- 19:23manufacturer, they say, these are our metrics, our
- 19:27validated metrics. If you can build the
- 19:31metrics into your simulator, we'll purchase it. If you
- 19:33can't, we're not. So I mean, go on.
- 19:38That would require people to actually
- 19:39say that, that that's what they want to do.
- 19:42You know, if people still buy the
- 19:44simulators, even if their metrics aren't there,
- 19:47you know, what am I supposed to say? Yeah, well, I think
- 19:51something's got to give, because
- 19:53what we're seeing is that the evidence is fairly clear now.
- 19:58The intraoperative performance of the
- 20:00clinician is going to impact on the patient outcomes. I
- 20:03mean, the data is there now. And
- 20:07with a new device, it's more likely that a clinician who's
- 20:12not trained, you know, to a level of
- 20:15proficiency, they're going to perform less well than
- 20:18somebody who's actually been trained to
- 20:19efficiency. And that's the data on that's very clear. So I
- 20:23don't understand why there isn't,
- 20:27you know, a drive by the manufacturer, the device
- 20:29manufacturers to insist on metrics being
- 20:33implemented in the simulator. I don't know what to tell
- 20:40you. I mean, maybe they don't think that
- 20:42it's going to doesn't make a difference on selling their
- 20:45gadgets in any form. It's just a cost,
- 20:49to do this. And so if it's not going to make them sell
- 20:53more, why do it? I don't know.
- 20:55Well, I mean, the other side of that is there's devices
- 20:59that have failed in the marketplace.
- 21:01And it wasn't an issue with the device. It was the user of
- 21:06the device. It's been held back
- 21:10and repeated the introduction of that device into the
- 21:13market. And I've been told that it's
- 21:16hundreds and hundreds of millions in some cases. Yeah, I
- 21:20think a lot of times people don't think
- 21:22ahead of like think ahead like that. Or those or those
- 21:25stories don't get around well enough,
- 21:27right to management at the medical device companies to
- 21:31realise, really, you know, you could. Yeah.
- 21:36Hmm. So in the early 2000s, she appeared to move away from
- 21:43simulation and more into surgical
- 21:44robotics. What were the major drivers of that change for
- 21:48you? So I basically kind of felt
- 21:52hemmed in with surgical simulation.
- 21:55You were always constrained by,
- 21:58there's not that many things to be simulated,
- 22:00at least at that point.
- 22:02And it was always driven by the device manufacturers,
- 22:06whatever it was that we were gonna be doing.
- 22:08And quite frankly, I kind of felt like
- 22:10it was kind of a lousy business
- 22:12because you were inherently capped
- 22:14as to how many things you were gonna be able to sell,
- 22:16how much money you were gonna be able to make.
- 22:18Not that I really cared that much about it,
- 22:21but it just didn't seem like it was a major growth field.
- 22:24And surgical robotics had really just started to get going.
- 22:28And it was interesting,
- 22:30and there was a whole bunch of different things
- 22:32to be done there.
- 22:34So I just decided to move over there.
- 22:37And as it turns out that surgical robotics
- 22:39isn't all that different from surgical simulation
- 22:41in terms of sort of the systems engineering stuff,
- 22:44which is more where I work at it.
- 22:45So I like working at the real-time sensing,
- 22:49real-time computation, real-time actuation,
- 22:52and then potentially real-time graphics,
- 22:55whether it's stereo or whatever.
- 22:58And simulators are actually very similar to robots
- 23:00as far as that goes in terms of all the different parts
- 23:03having to go together and work in real-time.
- 23:05So I basically had a skillset already done
- 23:09because of the simulators that moved over onto robots.
- 23:12And so I just started working on the robots
- 23:15and kind of been going ever since.
- 23:19So you agree with Rick Satavo then
- 23:20that the VR simulators and surgical robotics
- 23:24have an analogous DNA, if you like,
- 23:27as they're both information processing systems?
- 23:31Yeah, they're both interesting.
- 23:35They're both systems where you're doing real-time sensing
- 23:38and computation and actuation
- 23:40and typically graphics generation.
- 23:43The simulators don't nearly have as high a bar to them
- 23:47as the robots do.
- 23:48I mean, the robot can actually hurt somebody.
- 23:50The simulator can't directly hurt somebody.
- 23:52It could indirectly hurt somebody by teaching them wrong,
- 23:55but it's not got a direct immediate effect
- 23:57of punching a hole in someone.
- 23:59So the robots have a much higher standard
- 24:01and there's much more that has to be done
- 24:03with verification.
- 24:04In fact, robots do all kinds of things with verification,
- 24:07whereas the simulators basically don't.
- 24:10What do you mean they do all sorts of things
- 24:12with verification?
- 24:13You mean within the system
- 24:14or within the management of the system
- 24:16by the manufacturer?
- 24:19When you're developing them,
- 24:21they put together all kinds of bench tests for the robots
- 24:24to make sure that they have the right forces,
- 24:27the right velocities, the right accelerations
- 24:30that they hold up over time, your reliability,
- 24:35that they're stable, that the control loops are stable,
- 24:40all kinds of things like that.
- 24:42There's just dozens and dozens of tests
- 24:45that the device manufacturers put together
- 24:48to verify that the specifications
- 24:51that they've made for the robot are what the robot does.
- 24:55And I, at least in my experience,
- 24:57there's little to none of that
- 24:58that happens with the surgical simulators.
- 25:00It's, if anything, it's validation,
- 25:03which I basically don't like validation.
- 25:07Verification is like you did the engineering correctly.
- 25:11Validation is like, "I think it's okay."
- 25:14It's not precise for me.
- 25:16That's like the end user just saying,
- 25:19"Okay, that worked, I like it."
- 25:21But they don't know why they like it or don't like it.
- 25:23I'm not sure I agree with that.
- 25:25I mean, validation-
- 25:26This is from an engineering point.
- 25:28This has been an engineering point of view.
- 25:30Clinically, I mean, it's not my methodology.
- 25:34The methodology was agreed in the 1970s
- 25:37by all the education and training establishments
- 25:40in terms of how you validate,
- 25:43whether something works or it doesn't work.
- 25:45Well, okay, so from an engineering point of view,
- 25:47validation is like, "Yeah, okay, it does something useful.
- 25:53They're actually learning or whatever it is."
- 25:55But I find that to be imprecise.
- 25:59From an engineering point of view,
- 26:01I'm much more interested in verification.
- 26:03I guess the way I look at it from a,
- 26:05like from a surgical robot point of view,
- 26:08verification and validation is,
- 26:10verification is I built what I said I was gonna build,
- 26:12and validation is I built the right thing.
- 26:15I consider that much less precise
- 26:19from an engineering point of view.
- 26:21Yeah, but it isn't engineering.
- 26:23And I mean, the ultimate test of the validation
- 26:26for a robot or a simulator is,
- 26:28does the robot do what it's supposed to do clinically?
- 26:33For somebody that can it do the procedure,
- 26:36can it do the procedure safely?
- 26:38And that's not the engineer's realm, basically.
- 26:42That's my point of view.
- 26:43That's for the clinicians and others,
- 26:47but the engineer is to verify.
- 26:49Yeah, so in the 1990s, laparoscopic surgery developed,
- 26:56they extensively investigated this whole surgical tracking
- 27:01and path and path length and motion and so on.
- 27:05And it really didn't go anywhere.
- 27:08And surgical robotics seems to be heading down
- 27:10the same road as an approach to the assessment
- 27:15of operative performance.
- 27:19Sure.
- 27:20Oh, I think there's two parts to this.
- 27:23It's basically the only thing people can think of
- 27:25for the most part.
- 27:26And it's gonna get turbocharged
- 27:28because of machine learning in AI.
- 27:30Yeah.
- 27:31It's gonna be on steroids
- 27:32because they're gonna be looking for patterns
- 27:33in everything with the data they collect.
- 27:36I have a feeling.
- 27:38Yeah, but I mean,
- 27:39I mean, it's like looking for a target
- 27:44and a very thick fog.
- 27:47I mean, the whole thing about science
- 27:49is that you're supposed to hypothesise
- 27:52what it is that you're looking.
- 27:53I mean, the tracking stuff,
- 27:58it seems to be like going on a fishing expedition
- 28:02without any--
- 28:02It is, yep.
- 28:04I mean, and do you think it's gonna go anywhere?
- 28:08I'm sure they'll find some things.
- 28:11I mean, this is the thing with AI coming at it.
- 28:15It's that it's able to do so much more
- 28:18than we could in the past.
- 28:22But I mean, you really wanna have a theory of operation
- 28:26behind things of what is it we're trying to achieve
- 28:29and how is it you're going about
- 28:32making this thing attain whatever it is
- 28:34it's going to attain.
- 28:36So I would think that you basically wanna,
- 28:42you have to have some kind of concept
- 28:44that drives why you do what you do,
- 28:46which is why you do the things you do
- 28:48where you break procedures down
- 28:49so you understand that there's learning goals
- 28:52and based on those learning goals
- 28:53that there's a scaffolding of skills that support those.
- 28:57And then from that,
- 28:58you'd figure out how to measure things
- 29:00because those are the things that support
- 29:02your understanding of whether you would obtain
- 29:04those skills or not.
- 29:06Yeah, so what strikes me is that what laparoscopic did
- 29:09and what robotic surgery is doing now
- 29:12and interventional cardiology and the fluoroscopically,
- 29:15they measure process and they take that
- 29:19as some sort of indication of skills.
- 29:22If somebody does lots of procedures,
- 29:24they're gonna be better than somebody that does less.
- 29:26If you're smooth with the instrument
- 29:28or you have a shorter path length,
- 29:30you're obviously more skilled
- 29:31rather than you just jump complete phases
- 29:34or steps in the procedure.
- 29:36And this process seems to be,
- 29:40I mean, like they're hanging on to,
- 29:41this is a strategy for measurement.
- 29:43Yeah, well, so if it was a perfect world,
- 29:47I'll just use suturing as an example,
- 29:48because that's the thing I tried years ago.
- 29:51If it was a perfect world,
- 29:52we'd actually know exactly how much tissue apposition,
- 29:56how much of the tissue faces need to come be in contact
- 29:59and how much pressure there needs to be,
- 30:02and how well distributed it is.
- 30:04And that would actually be the measure
- 30:05of how well you did suturing.
- 30:08It wouldn't be an indirect measure of like,
- 30:10did you do it smoothly, quickly, decisively,
- 30:14all those things,
- 30:15because that's not really the measure of the outcome.
- 30:18We know that the whole idea with suturing
- 30:20is you're trying to get the tissue
- 30:21to grow back together and heal, right?
- 30:23So you'd measure it based on the metrics
- 30:25that are reflective of achieving
- 30:27the ineffective environment for tissue regrowth.
- 30:32But we don't even know what those are.
- 30:35Back in the day, at least when I was working on it,
- 30:37that wasn't published information.
- 30:39Nobody had sat down and built like a jig
- 30:42and tried all kinds of different amounts of pressure
- 30:44and distribution of the sutures along it
- 30:48and the likes to see how well living tissue would regrow.
- 30:52So like, nobody knows as far as I know.
- 30:55Yeah, well, I mean, I've worked quite a bit
- 30:57with suturing as well,
- 30:58and I haven't seen once a milliter
- 31:00that can reasonably, even reasonably,
- 31:04approximate the instrument thread, needle, suture,
- 31:09or tissue dynamics.
- 31:10And so what I've reverted to
- 31:12is actually getting individuals to suture on tissue
- 31:16and then a surrogate measures,
- 31:18like how well is the tissue approximated,
- 31:21did the surgeon drive the needle
- 31:23through the tissue atraumatically,
- 31:26do their knots hold when they're supposed to?
- 31:29Is the tissue pucker?
- 31:30And those surrogate measures seem to work reasonably well,
- 31:34but why hasn't somebody actually worked out
- 31:37the actual physics of suturing and thread dynamics?
- 31:44Well, the suture and the tissue, it's not easy.
- 31:49It's a high computation activity
- 31:53and there frankly aren't that many people
- 31:56that work in this field.
- 31:58If this is, so like look at what's happening
- 32:01with AI right now.
- 32:02The entire planet has decided that having physics,
- 32:07what they're calling physical intelligence now
- 32:09is sort of one of the next big things for AI.
- 32:12So there's like thousands, tens of thousands of people
- 32:15doing physics models now for robots,
- 32:18for humanoid robots and everything else.
- 32:20And you're gonna see a tremendous amount of improvement
- 32:23in the physics simulation abilities.
- 32:25You just don't have that with surgical simulation.
- 32:28It's not like the whole planet's decided
- 32:30this is how you're gonna become a billionaire
- 32:32is by getting physical intelligence
- 32:34combined with humanoid robots,
- 32:36which is what a whole lot of people have decided now.
- 32:39So you're seeing a huge amount of improvement.
- 32:40You're just not gonna see that in simulation,
- 32:42in surgical simulation.
- 32:44It's just not, like I said,
- 32:46that's the reason I got out of it a long time ago.
- 32:48It's just not a big market.
- 32:49So there's not a lot of drive to do it.
- 32:51What's gonna happen with surgical simulation
- 32:53is they're gonna get the indirect benefits
- 32:56of all the work that's happening for robotics right now.
- 33:00And you have all these things that people are doing
- 33:03where they're using AI combined with physics models now,
- 33:07so that you can use a reduced accuracy physics model
- 33:11and you use AI to fill in the blanks.
- 33:14I think you'll probably see that showing up
- 33:16in surgical simulation,
- 33:18but it's gonna come from other fields.
- 33:19It's not gonna come from surgical.
- 33:21It's not gonna be developed in surgical simulation.
- 33:23It's gonna be developed in other fields
- 33:25and adopted in basically.
- 33:27But if the measurements of whatever task
- 33:31you're at let's stick with suturing,
- 33:34if the measurements that you have are measures of process
- 33:39rather than actual measures of skill,
- 33:41I'm not too sure how the AI system's gonna improve that.
- 33:44No, yeah, no, no, yeah, no, that doesn't,
- 33:48that's such an indirect measure.
- 33:50I don't see how that really is a good reflection
- 33:52of mastery, if you will.
- 33:55Yeah, I mean, so you're still going to need
- 33:58the performance metrics which are derived
- 34:00from experienced clinicians
- 34:03and to actually teach an AI system to how to assess.
- 34:08And I don't see anybody doing that in the surgical domain.
- 34:12And I don't know whether they're actually doing it
- 34:15in other domains like famous or infamous, whichever.
- 34:21Car manufacturer said that surgeons would be replaced
- 34:23in what I can remember, was it two years or three years?
- 34:28Oh, him, yeah, right.
- 34:30So what is happening now in humanoid robotics
- 34:34is they're trying to teach all these humanoids.
- 34:36So they're measuring all kinds of things
- 34:38about everyday activities.
- 34:41So it'll be interesting to see if some of that stuff
- 34:44actually maybe becomes learning points relative
- 34:49to things that could be moved over
- 34:51into surgical simulation, just the process
- 34:55by which they're doing it, not the details of it.
- 34:57Yeah, but you see--
- 34:59You are trying to quantify things like crazy right now
- 35:01in everyday activities, so.
- 35:04Yeah, but what I see a lot of the AI people do
- 35:08is they're loading data into the AI system.
- 35:13And there's no quality, little or not very good
- 35:16quality assurance of the data
- 35:18that the AI system's learning on.
- 35:21And the individuals that are coding the tasks,
- 35:26I mean, they don't really know whether the task
- 35:30could or not.
- 35:31I mean, but that has to impede the development of AI
- 35:38in terms of the assessment of performance.
- 35:43Well, in surgery, certainly it is.
- 35:45I mean, if you're looking at all these
- 35:48humanoid robots desperately trying
- 35:50to do everyday activities, I think the thing
- 35:53that's happening there is there's so many people doing it
- 35:55that it's an aggregate result.
- 35:59There's just so many, there's like 100 humanoid
- 36:02robotics companies in China alone.
- 36:05So you get enough of them doing it
- 36:07and they're all piling on top of each other.
- 36:10And no matter how much they're screwing up,
- 36:11there's enough of them doing the right thing
- 36:14that it accumulates.
- 36:15And you just don't have that effect with surgery simulation
- 36:19because there's just not that many people active in it
- 36:21when you come right down to it.
- 36:23One of the things that has struck me across the decades
- 36:27where we've been hanging out together
- 36:29is everybody's looking for an easy way
- 36:34to actually do something that's quite difficult.
- 36:37And science, I mean, doing good science, it's not easy.
- 36:43You know, I mean, and I mean, one of the things
- 36:47that I'm shocked at is the use of Likert scales
- 36:51for the assessment of performance.
- 36:52Because again, it's a measure of process.
- 36:55Yeah, yeah.
- 36:56I mean, in robotics, I'm sorry, go ahead.
- 37:00No, I was gonna say all those hand-wavy things, right?
- 37:02All those hand-wavy. One to five, right?
- 37:05One to five.
- 37:06I mean, my fellows, well, they
- 37:09know my views on it, don't they?
- 37:10And they initially think that Tony's got a thing
- 37:14about Likert scales, and they very quickly learn,
- 37:17okay, for the binary metric-based assessment,
- 37:21you've got to watch the entire video and score it.
- 37:23And you have to learn how to score it reliably
- 37:26with somebody else that you're paired with.
- 37:29With the Likert scales, you can watch it, you know,
- 37:32about two to five minutes of the video,
- 37:34and you can score it in one to five
- 37:35on the different constructs.
- 37:37I mean, that's not measurement, so it's not.
- 37:40Yep, yep.
- 37:42So what's your current view
- 37:44on the status of surgical robotic simulation
- 37:47and the metrics used to assess performance?
- 37:50I mean, you've worked on these or you've--
- 37:52Yeah, I've been around them, yeah.
- 37:54You've been around them?
- 37:57They could be better.
- 37:59I mean, you know, even doing the simple things
- 38:04like ring exercises and stuff like that,
- 38:07they still haven't verified that the performance of the,
- 38:11you know, like the exact forces
- 38:13that you grasp the rings with and the exact forces
- 38:16when you pull on the stretchy ones,
- 38:18that those actually reflect what happens in real life.
- 38:22So it's all based on tweaking and tuning
- 38:25to make it so that it's at least objectionable
- 38:29to the largest number of people,
- 38:31but that doesn't mean that it's correct.
- 38:33And I don't think it's ever,
- 38:36unless they change how they do things,
- 38:38it's probably never gonna be,
- 38:39you're never gonna know how correct it is
- 38:40when you come right down to it.
- 38:42But surely that should be of concern
- 38:45given that you said earlier
- 38:47that the robot is something that can actually hurt
- 38:51a patient relatively easily
- 38:53if the surgeon doesn't actually know
- 38:56how to use it properly and safely.
- 38:58Yeah, well, I'm not disagreeing with you on that.
- 39:02I mean, but the manufacturer's goal
- 39:04is to verify that it won't unintentionally hurt somebody.
- 39:10If it intentionally hurts somebody because of the operator,
- 39:13that's kind of not their problem,
- 39:16is there kind of their point of view?
- 39:18Unless of course it happened so many times
- 39:20because of something that's clearly
- 39:22a human user interface issue,
- 39:24then that does become their problem.
- 39:27And so whose responsibility is then
- 39:30for the clinician to be trained
- 39:33to a level that allows them to use the device safely?
- 39:40Well, I would assume it would be
- 39:43the professional societies.
- 39:45I mean, the ones that are actually saying
- 39:47that yes, you are a surgeon.
- 39:49And if not the societies,
- 39:51it's the hospitals themselves giving privileges.
- 39:55So then that would be sort of the next level up
- 39:57because the privilege granting
- 40:00is at a whole different level
- 40:02than the device manufacturers, right?
- 40:05The device manufacturer is just saying,
- 40:06I taught you how to use the device
- 40:08in a way that we certify that it can be used.
- 40:13But the granting of privileges is saying,
- 40:15you know how to use this gadget to actually
- 40:17get a clinical result and we're gonna take,
- 40:21we end up having liability for it
- 40:24if you don't essentially, right?
- 40:27But in the US, you have a much better,
- 40:30I'm okay, it's problematic,
- 40:31but you have a better privileging system
- 40:33than we have over in Europe.
- 40:36I mean, once you're qualified,
- 40:37I mean, I was at a PhD viva by last week
- 40:40and one of the examiners was saying
- 40:42that he works in Sweden.
- 40:45And once he's qualified as a surgical specialty,
- 40:50he can do almost anything.
- 40:51He also works in New York.
- 40:54And he said each procedure that he wants to perform,
- 40:58he has to be privileged for it.
- 41:01That seems like a better system than here.
- 41:03Yeah, yeah, no, I would go with that,
- 41:06but I think that's sort of reflective
- 41:07of sort of the old school, you know,
- 41:09doctors are geniuses kind of thing
- 41:12from the old days, right?
- 41:13So, yeah, it's not--
- 41:15You mean in Europe or the US?
- 41:19Well, in Europe in that case, I mean, I don't know if the
- 41:22experience you said about in New York, if that's uniform
- 41:24across the US, I don't really follow that.
- 41:27It would be nice if it was. I suspect
- 41:29it's not. It's probably highly variable.
- 41:31I can only talk about, you know, I've worked in Yale
- 41:35and Emory and it was the case
- 41:36in both of those like 20 odd years ago.
- 41:38That's good.
- 41:39But one of the problems, the Chief of Cardiology, there was
- 41:42a credentialing going on for carotid
- 41:43artery stenting with embolic protection
- 41:46and he was saying that he had to go to one of
- 41:48the credentialing committees and I said,
- 41:51"That sounds, you know, pretty powerful."
- 41:53And he said, "No, not really."
- 41:55He says the credentialing system in a hospital is based on
- 41:59the person who has the lowest
- 42:00experience in that procedure on the committee.
- 42:04So there was again no objective for it.
- 42:08Nobody wants to have any kind of social admittance of
- 42:11social whatever that they don't know what's
- 42:13going on.
- 42:14Yeah, okay.
- 42:14I mean, I think that at some point there needs to be some
- 42:19objective assessment of performance,
- 42:22either at the end of a course or a
- 42:24verification, you know, at a hospital level.
- 42:29Because one of the things we're learning is a lot of the
- 42:32metrics in the past were used
- 42:34for the assessment of performance,
- 42:35like how many procedures did you do?
- 42:37Did you do a fellowship?
- 42:38How long was your fellowship?
- 42:40These were the performance metrics that
- 42:42were used to say, "Okay, that person's safe to
- 42:44do the procedure."
- 42:45But one of the things that we've learned over the last few
- 42:48decades since the introduction
- 42:49of the laparoscopic surgery, to some
- 42:51extent, maybe even to a large extent, those sorts
- 42:54of metrics mean nothing.
- 42:56They're measures of process again.
- 42:58Yeah, well, they're social proof, if anything, when you
- 43:01come right down to it, right?
- 43:03I know this person and I think they're okay.
- 43:05And that's kind of the end of it, right?
- 43:07Yeah, and do you think that's okay?
- 43:11No, of course not.
- 43:13I mean, we fall back to what Rick Satava and others went on
- 43:19and on and on about years ago,
- 43:20about the way that the pilots are done, right?
- 43:24Mandatory training and mandatory testing, right?
- 43:27Yes, yes.
- 43:28And that's that end of story.
- 43:30And those simulators, just to throw this in for reference,
- 43:34those simulators are verified.
- 43:37Those simulators are verified big time, that they give the
- 43:40right movements, they give the
- 43:42right forces, you know, everything on those simulators is
- 43:46reflective of what happens in
- 43:47real life.
- 43:50But they cost like tens or hundreds of millions to develop?
- 43:55Absolutely.
- 43:56And so why do you think that the governments and the
- 43:59departments of health have not insisted
- 44:02on the same level of
- 44:04verification for the surgical simulators?
- 44:08Two things.
- 44:09A surgeon can only kill one person at a time.
- 44:14And it's only one person's worth as opposed to hundreds of
- 44:18millions of dollars for a plane
- 44:19and however many hundreds of people that are going to sue
- 44:22the airline to be really blown
- 44:24about it.
- 44:25Yeah.
- 44:26Yeah.
- 44:26But I mean, somebody cited in that PhD, that globally,
- 44:31there's the number of deaths due
- 44:35to surgical misadventure or surgical skills deficits is
- 44:40about the equivalent of one full
- 44:43jumbo jet going down per day.
- 44:45Yeah.
- 44:46And that actually doesn't surprise me at all.
- 44:49I mean, since air travel has gotten so safe these days.
- 44:52But you know, like I said, even if it's that many, it's
- 44:55still one surgeon killing one person
- 44:57at a time, widely distributed as opposed
- 45:00to 500 people in one spectacular event.
- 45:03So unfortunately, it just doesn't get in people's brains.
- 45:07Yeah.
- 45:08I mean, the Bristol case is a fairly famous case in the
- 45:13United Kingdom where there was
- 45:16a in the Bristol Royal Infirmary, there were two cardiac,
- 45:21they were adult cardiac surgeons
- 45:24operating on children, children and their
- 45:27mortality rate in the Bristol case report
- 45:31said that there were there complication, their mortality
- 45:35and morbidity was about twice the
- 45:37national average.
- 45:38I'm told privately that it was
- 45:39significantly higher than that.
- 45:41That went on for the guts of 10 years.
- 45:44And there took 10 years, right?
- 45:47Yeah.
- 45:48I mean, their peers knew that there were issues.
- 45:50And it wasn't until it hit the front pages of Sunday
- 45:53newspapers that the colleges of
- 45:56surgeons, the Royal College of
- 45:57Surgeons was forced to take action.
- 45:59You know, that's a very like I
- 46:02said, that was that was cumulative.
- 46:04And it took a long time.
- 46:06And I'm sure that there was a whole lot
- 46:08of social stuff going on at the same time.
- 46:11Right.
- 46:11Like, yeah, these people were known
- 46:14to other people and blah, blah, blah.
- 46:16And you can't rat them out or
- 46:18whatever, whatever it's going to be.
- 46:20There's all kinds of stuff like, like I said, back on the
- 46:22airplane thing, it's because it
- 46:24all happens at once and the stakes are so high.
- 46:27If it happens one time, you know, if if a
- 46:30surgeon managed to kill dozens of people in
- 46:33the span of a week, you know, it
- 46:35would become a thing, you know.
- 46:37Yeah.
- 46:38Yeah.
- 46:38There was a wait, wait till tell it wait till tell us.
- 46:40Wait till telesurgery goes on steroids and you have
- 46:43somebody who's doing way too many
- 46:46cases.
- 46:48They could make a big mess really quickly, basically.
- 46:52What do you mean?
- 46:53Telesurgery goes on steroids.
- 46:54You mean that there's a lot of it being performed or?
- 46:56Yeah.
- 46:57And you could have a certain you.
- 46:58Well, you and I both know from being in hospitals that, you
- 47:02know, the head surgeons bouncing
- 47:04between operating rooms with the fellows and the residents
- 47:07in there doing doing the most
- 47:09of the work, you know, and you places where they have like
- 47:11four, five, six operating rooms
- 47:13going at the same time.
- 47:14But the the lead surgeon is
- 47:16supposedly the lead surgeon for all those.
- 47:19Imagine what happens when you have telesurgery.
- 47:22Yeah.
- 47:23I mean, but in the United States, OK, that goes on, but
- 47:28it's really not supposed to go
- 47:29on the lead surgeon supposed
- 47:32to be in the room all the time.
- 47:35And they get away with it because they sign off on the case
- 47:38or they perform the important
- 47:39part of the case.
- 47:40You know, I mean, they wouldn't get away with that in the
- 47:43UK and Ireland, I don't think.
- 47:46Yeah.
- 47:47Yeah.
- 47:47I mean, there's no two systematic reviews and meta analysis
- 47:52on proficiency based progression
- 47:54training and comparison to the training outcomes in
- 47:57comparison to conventionally trained quality
- 48:00assured approaches to training.
- 48:03And the results are pretty similar.
- 48:04They basically show that if you're trained
- 48:06in a proficiency based progression approach,
- 48:09you're going to make between 60 and 58 percent fewer
- 48:13objectively assessed interoperative
- 48:14errors.
- 48:15And there's small scale evidence that basically said and
- 48:19the differences in clinical outcomes
- 48:20is about 60 percent as well.
- 48:23So why do you think that the PBP
- 48:26approach hasn't been hasn't had wider adoption?
- 48:31I mean, this is 20 odd years now, 24 years.
- 48:36Well, I would guess, as you well know,
- 48:39it's a lot of work to do a curriculum based on
- 48:41this.
- 48:42I mean, it's a whole lot of work trying
- 48:44to figure out what the metrics are and what
- 48:47progression is like in an objective
- 48:49manner to actually be able to lay that out.
- 48:52And it's a lot of work.
- 48:54So I think that's a lot of the problem.
- 48:57And I think the other thing is that I suspect that people
- 49:00don't like the idea of having
- 49:01to train to some kind of objective threshold because they
- 49:05have no idea how long it's going
- 49:07to take them to attain it, frankly.
- 49:11But the evidence that evidence is out there now, you can
- 49:14train somebody to proficiency
- 49:16in one third of the time than you
- 49:18can using a conventional approach.
- 49:20And it's about less than half of the cost
- 49:25to train somebody using the proficiency.
- 49:27And I mean, that data is published.
- 49:30Yeah.
- 49:30OK.
- 49:31Well, maybe it's just the words not gotten around.
- 49:34This is too new.
- 49:35People aren't listening.
- 49:36I don't know what to tell you there.
- 49:40But it's well, it's not it's too new in the general sense.
- 49:44I mean, they've been teaching people the same way for
- 49:48hundreds of years, if you will.
- 49:51So this is still kind of working its way.
- 49:54I don't disagree with you because I'm a big supporter of
- 49:58proficiency based progression, as
- 49:59you know.
- 50:01I think maybe one of the other things is that it needs to
- 50:03be made more readily available
- 50:06in some kind of an automation way of doing it.
- 50:09You know, you and I have talked about that, like how you
- 50:12could leverage machine learning
- 50:13to actually make it so that you can
- 50:15actually do it without having to train people to do
- 50:19the evaluations and the likes,
- 50:21which is one of the negating factors.
- 50:23Right.
- 50:23Yeah.
- 50:24Well, I mean, that's something
- 50:26still in the in the planning process.
- 50:29But I mean, I was asked the question in Australia, I was at
- 50:33the surgical robotics meeting in
- 50:37Melbourne and somebody asked me, Tony, if
- 50:40you've got all this, I was talking about
- 50:41proficiency based progression training and robotics.
- 50:44He said, Tony, if you've got all this
- 50:45evidence, why has it not had wider adoption?
- 50:51And I hadn't even thought about the question.
- 50:53But my answer was out before.
- 50:55And clearly, I must have had it in the back of my mind.
- 50:57I said, a failure of leadership.
- 51:00I mean, the reason that Orsi Academy, the
- 51:02reason that the Arthroscopic Association of
- 51:04North America and to some extent, now, Medtronic,
- 51:09cardiovascular seems to be going down
- 51:11that road.
- 51:12The reason is somebody senior in the
- 51:14organization said, OK, this is what we're doing.
- 51:18And this is not negotiable.
- 51:20And I mean, but there doesn't seem to be enough.
- 51:24ERUS, The European robotic urological society.
- 51:28I mean, I showed the data on the failure rate of the ARIS
- 51:34fellowship program, the number
- 51:35of fellows that weren't finishing.
- 51:37And the president, Alberto
- 51:39Breda, said, OK, we're changing.
- 51:42We're going to go and use a proficiency based progression.
- 51:44That's what I call leadership.
- 51:46I mean, but it's surgeries, surgery.
- 51:50They must have to have more leaders.
- 51:52And is it something I'm missing?
- 51:58I'm only an engineer as far as that goes.
- 52:00Yeah, but you've been around this for a long time,
- 52:03and I know that you're using these things.
- 52:06Yeah, well, you know, a lot of people,
- 52:10yeah, no, I'm just assuming that they
- 52:14don't think they need it for whatever reason.
- 52:18I mean, you've seen, you know, in a few isolated cases,
- 52:21you've seen people make the decision that
- 52:23they do need it, and that's that, right?
- 52:25I mean, it might also be, I
- 52:27mean, like with flight simulation,
- 52:28I mean, that's all government regulated.
- 52:30It's mandated, you know, and so you'd need
- 52:33something like that, but I don't know if that'll ever
- 52:37certainly won't happen in the United
- 52:38States anytime soon, put it
- 52:39mildly. But yeah, I would think it.
- 52:45Well, our current environment, which insists that the
- 52:49government can't do anything right,
- 52:50and all regulations are evil for some reason, you know.
- 52:55Yeah, I was in, it was a long
- 52:58time ago, 2006, I was in Australia,
- 53:01giving a talk for the Royal
- 53:02Australasian College of Surgeons,
- 53:04and part of the deal was that I would talk to the aviation
- 53:08industry about simulation based training.
- 53:10This was 2006, and one of the leaders
- 53:16of the aviation simulation group come up,
- 53:18he says to me, "Hold on a second." He
- 53:20said, "You have all this validation data
- 53:23about how effective it is in terms of skills training, and
- 53:27you can't, it's not adopted?"
- 53:28And I said, "No." And he said, "How come you've got it?" He
- 53:32says, "We had no evidence when it was
- 53:34mandated." Somebody in government
- 53:37basically decided, "Okay, this is a better way."
- 53:41And I mean, I don't know how we persuade them. A fellow of
- 53:46mine said to me, "Tony, this isn't
- 53:49data and evidence thing. This is a matter
- 53:52of selling the idea to the powers that be."
- 53:58So you do a lot of work and publish on
- 54:00the developments in robotics and simulation.
- 54:04Where do you envision that
- 54:05simulation based training and robotics
- 54:08are heading in the next 10 years or so?
- 54:11Well, just like everything else, it's going to all change
- 54:14completely because of AI, quite honestly.
- 54:18I do think you'll see a lot more enhancements of things,
- 54:22like the simulators because of AI
- 54:24as time moves on. It's definitely going to happen. I think
- 54:30it'll become more pervasive too,
- 54:31because the threshold to do it... So I could go out and
- 54:37build a new simulator now by myself
- 54:40because of AI. I'm not going to do it because it doesn't
- 54:44really make a lot of sense economically,
- 54:46but I'd have the ability to do it because of how well Claude
- 54:50and OpenAI Codex and all these other
- 54:53things work now. It's going to dramatically drop the bar.
- 54:57Robots are a different issue because you
- 54:59still got to go through all the development of the
- 55:01mechanics and things. It's not like AI is going
- 55:05to make more surgical robots pop out quicker, but you're
- 55:09going to see a lot more software enablement
- 55:11in surgical robotics. So there'll be
- 55:14little automations, little part-task automations
- 55:18that are going to start showing up. Same in surgical
- 55:21simulation, you'll see a lot more
- 55:24sort of semi-automated instruction things are going to
- 55:27start showing up independent of the
- 55:28simulator cores themselves. Yeah, you're
- 55:31just going to see a lot more of this for sure.
- 55:33And how fast, do you think that autonomous robotics
- 55:39performance surgical procedures will develop?
- 55:42No, no, just no. So you've heard me say
- 55:49this, other people have heard me say this,
- 55:50I'm a real downer on this relative to academics because
- 55:55they're all wanting to do this, is that
- 55:57unless the financial structures are changed, there's no way
- 56:01that autonomous surgery is going
- 56:03to happen with commercial surgical robots because they're
- 56:07not going to allow themselves to become
- 56:08financially liable for what their robot does. As it is
- 56:13right now, they just build the tool
- 56:15and others use the tool and those other people are the ones
- 56:18that become liable from use of that tool.
- 56:22If they start automating things, then they're doing
- 56:26surgery, they're performing medicine,
- 56:28and that's a whole different world. You'll see lots of AI
- 56:32that is going to be suggestive
- 56:34of like, maybe you shouldn't do that, or maybe you should
- 56:37notice this other thing there,
- 56:40stuff like that. You'll see lots of that, but close the
- 56:44wound for me. I don't think so.
- 56:49You might have smart things. Your stapler example is a
- 56:52really good one. There is a possibility that
- 56:55some kind of a supervised stapler that just performs that
- 57:00little tiny task and does it much
- 57:01more uniformly and precisely than the human does. You're
- 57:07not going to see autonomous procedures.
- 57:09You could in a crazy situation like Satava always used to
- 57:14talk about, like battlefield medicine,
- 57:16or you're on your ship to Mars or whatever it is, then
- 57:20totally, I get that. But in a general sense,
- 57:23well, so there might be things in the developing world that
- 57:29this might be a possibility to,
- 57:31but I don't see it in the Western
- 57:35Europe. All the developed markets, China, Asia,
- 57:43Europe, the United States, I don't see it. I just don't.
- 57:47Yeah. I'm sure that the clinicians will
- 57:50have something to say about it as well.
- 57:52I mean, I assume they're particularly aware of the
- 57:58perceived threat of autonomous
- 58:01operators or do they have a realistic understanding? This
- 58:05is probably not going to happen.
- 58:07Yeah. Like I said, I think it's a regulatory and a
- 58:12financial issue and it's not a technology
- 58:15issue. I think they will figure out how to
- 58:17do it, but it's just like with self-driving,
- 58:22right? The self-driving cars, they get freaked out by
- 58:25things they haven't seen before, right?
- 58:28And they've been trying really hard for a
- 58:30really long time to get it to all be perfect,
- 58:33and it's still not perfect. And you'd have to do the same
- 58:37thing in surgery, and you just don't have
- 58:39the infrastructure that you have for autonomous driving in
- 58:44the first place, right? In terms of
- 58:45data collection. And as we know, there's millions of miles
- 58:49of simulated driving that's used to train
- 58:51the autonomous driving systems. You'd have to do the same
- 58:55thing for surgical robotics. And that
- 58:59would mean that you'd have to verify the simulators being
- 59:02accurate so that you know that the footage
- 59:05you're synthetically generating is
- 59:07actually reflective of what happens in real life.
- 59:09So that might be the only way that we end up with good
- 59:12surgical simulators. If somebody decides
- 59:14they're going to invest a huge amount of money into
- 59:17generating millions of hours of surgical video
- 59:22through simulation, they'd have to actually verify the
- 59:25Dickens out of it. So it might be the only way
- 59:27you're ever going to get a properly verified surgical
- 59:29simulator. But okay. So you would have
- 59:32a map and the physical forces that are generated by the
- 59:37different behaviors. I'm saying the
- 59:40endovascular again, because I mean, you're working in a
- 59:44confined space. And I suppose the
- 59:47metrics for that there would be easier. I'm not saying
- 59:50easy, but easier to generate.
- 59:53But you would still need the metrics
- 59:56of the performance of the procedure.
- 59:58You know what the cardiologist or the radiologist does what they need to.
- 1:00:02Yeah, so you'd be we'd be verified. We'd be building
- 1:00:06physical stand ins for the for the
- 1:00:10for the patient and then instrumenting the
- 1:00:12hell out of them to get like the forces and
- 1:00:15torques and pressures and everything else. And then we'd be
- 1:00:18using those to verify the actual,
- 1:00:21you know, virtual simulations, the other
- 1:00:24computational simulations. And from there,
- 1:00:26you would take those simulators used by clinicians, and
- 1:00:30you'd probably be back mapping the you'd
- 1:00:33have them perform the procedures people that everybody
- 1:00:35agrees are good. And then you'd be
- 1:00:38back mapping the information you pull out of those
- 1:00:41simulators and turning those into metrics,
- 1:00:44basically. So you don't think that the clinicians have
- 1:00:49anything to worry about about an autonomous
- 1:00:51robot anytime soon? No, I really
- 1:00:55don't. I don't see it. Yeah. Okay.
- 1:00:59You will see part task automation, but autonomous robots, no
- 1:01:03Yeah, yeah. I mean, I think that's entirely feasible.
- 1:01:08OK, Dwight, thanks for joining me and
- 1:01:11Yeah Sure!
- 1:01:12thanks for a very interesting conversation.
- 1:01:15Yep, absolutely.